xiv vietnam © Gainsborough, Martin, Aug 12, 2010, Vietnam : Rethinking the State Zed Books, London, ISBN: 9781848133112 State’, Asian Survey, vol. 42, no. 5, 2002: 694–707; ‘From Patronage to “Outcomes” and Vietnamese Communist Party Congresses Reconsidered’, Journal of Vietnamese Studies, vol. 2, no. 1, 2007: 3–26 (both single-authored by me). Any errors of fact or judgement in the book are, of course, mine. © Gainsborough, Martin, Aug 12, 2010, Vietnam : Rethinking the State Zed Books, London, ISBN: 9781848133112 introduction If one thinks about Vietnam today, what images does it conjure up? It is not inappropriate to say that there is still a strong association in many people’s minds with war and its aftermath, even if this is not a day-to-day preoccupation within Vietnam. However, for many people, the country also conjures up a multiplicity of other images: a vibrant street life, amazing food, a country in transition from plan to market, industrialization, continued Communist Party rule, a strange mixture of seemingly free-market capitalism and yet continued talk of socialism, an increasingly vibrant public sphere, leading, for some, to thoughts of political pluralism, and a ruling party which is struggling to come to terms with a changing society and economy. Underpinning much of the commentary on contemporary Vietnam is also a heavy association with ‘reform’, usually understood as a set of policy changes associated with events which gathered momentum from the late 1970s and early 1980s. The much-celebrated Sixth National Communist Party Congress in December 1986, widely seen as the birthplace of doi moi (renovation), is strongly associated with such a position. Here, the policy changes are usually depicted in terms of increased economic openness, reflected in support for © Gainsborough, Martin, Aug 12, 2010, Vietnam : Rethinking the State Zed Books, London, ISBN: 9781848133112 vietnam export-oriented trade and foreign direct investment, encouragement of the private sector, and alignment or partial alignment with various neoliberal-inspired policies. This book, however, encourages a move away from a preoccupation with ‘reform’ as necessarily being about change, or as somehow capturing what Vietnam is about, or the character of its politics, suggesting instead a need to get behind this overused label. As a consequence of this, some of the dominant images of Vietnam which are explored throughout the book have relatively little to do with the sweeping away of what was there before but instead relate to the persistence, or reworking, of existing power structures. As will be seen, the book is not very sympathetic towards ideas of state retreat (although it is open to state change), arguments which imply the unmediated advance of neoliberalism or liberal democracy (even if not now but ‘some time in the future’, as is often implied), or positions which emphasize the very great power of external forces in relation to something more indigenous. However, none of this should be mistaken for a position which thinks that the Communist Party will always rule Vietnam, not least because no political party rules for ever. An approach to studying politics As well as being about Vietnam, the book also lays out an approach to studying and conceiving of politics. So what, in outline, does this approach to studying politics look like? In one sense, it is correct to say that this is a book about the state – as is captured in the book’s title. However, this is to raise some interesting and not necessarily straightforward questions about the relationship between politics (or power) and the state. For example, if one is interested in the state, is this synonymous with being interested in politics? Or, to turn it around, if one is interested in politics, must one automatically be interested in the state? This book advocates an approach which says that studying issues to do © Gainsborough, Martin, Aug 12, 2010, Vietnam : Rethinking the State Zed Books, London, ISBN: 9781848133112 introduction with politics, and more pertinently power, is the means by which we potentially shed light on the entity we call the state. In saying this, it is not being suggested that the political realm should be seen as being synonymous with the state (the book is open to the idea that the state is just one part of the political and not necessarily the most important part). However, in the approach to studying politics which is advocated here, it is argued that if we are to stand a chance of shedding light on the state it is important that as researchers we do not focus directly on it. This may sound a strange thing to say, but what are its implications in terms of method? The problem with focusing directly on the state is that to do so is in fact to define the object of our study in advance, which is a common problem in political science. The widespread tendency of scholars, including those who study Vietnam, to describe themselves as working on ‘state–society’ relations illustrates the problem perfectly since it assumes there is something clearly identifiable called the state to study – with clear boundaries, and so on. Instead, this book argues that it is necessary to try and surrender any preconceptions as to what the state is and, put simply, trust that what the state really is will come back into view as we focus our attention elsewhere. Of course, this is trickier than it sounds, but we must try. It is this desire to surrender our preconceptions about the state which lies behind the book’s focus on business – as reflected in many of its chapters – as a particularly fruitful window onto the political, and ultimately the nature of the state, precisely because in the world of money-making questions of ‘public’ and ‘private’, or state and society, seem more mixed up. Central to the method for studying politics advocated in this book, and related to the previous point, is also a commitment to looking at ‘actors’ – whether formally of the ‘state’ or not, albeit operating in a distinctive, power-laden setting – and seeing what they tell us about the political and ultimately the state. Writing on Africa, Béatrice Hibou says something similar, arguing that to understand the state it is necessary to ‘understand the people in power and, equally important, vietnam their games, their strategies and their historical practices’ (Hibou 2004: 21). It is through such a focus, she suggests that the outlines of the state come back into view. This too is the approach taken in this book. © Gainsborough, Martin, Aug 12, 2010, Vietnam : Rethinking the State Zed Books, London, ISBN: 9781848133112 Continuity and change in politics All the book’s chapters seek – in their different ways – to advance us towards an answer to our key research questions, namely ‘what is the nature of the state?’, and ‘what is the relationship of the state to the political?’, both of which are revisited at the end of the book. Throughout the book’s eight core chapters, which are based on fieldwork conducted from 1996 to 2007, it is clear that events in Vietnam are not standing still. This comes across most obviously in respect of changes affecting state enterprises (many of which have undergone significant organizational change in recent years), the growth of Vietnam’s capital markets, and signs of a widening of the political space, or a more vibrant society. However, at another level, one of the messages of the book is that while some of the actors and institutions may change, and while the relative weight between different dynamics may shift somewhat, certain things do not change very fast. This takes us to the heart of issues to do with the nature of the political, namely the way in which there is an underlying logic to Vietnam’s political system – and not just Vietnam’s – which means that power continuously seeks to re-create itself. Central here is the strong association in Vietnam between holding public office and making money, such that when certain institutions or money-making avenues are closed down, the logic of the system is such that they tend to spring up elsewhere. This can be seen most clearly in respect of public administration reform pursued by the international donor community in Vietnam since the 1990s, such that Vietnamese newspapers today are still full of stories about troublesome institutions, or the time that it takes to get things approved either as a citizen or as a business. Such introduction complaints were widespread in the late 1990s. The only change more than a decade on relates to the institutions and, to some extent, the actors involved, not to the underlying practices themselves, which persist. While none of this necessarily makes for ‘good governance’, or any of the other normative labels commonly hung on the state, it does tell us something about power. © Gainsborough, Martin, Aug 12, 2010, Vietnam : Rethinking the State Zed Books, London, ISBN: 9781848133112 The inappropriateness of reform as an organizational motif We will return to many of the issues raised in this introduction in the book’s conclusion, when we pull together what we understand by the state and its relationship to the political in a more overtly theoretical sense. However, since this book is also about eschewing some of the stereotypes commonly bandied around in popular and academic discourse on Vietnam, we will conclude this introduction by revisiting the question of the appropriateness of ‘reform’ as a motif for making sense of what has occurred in Vietnam over the last fifteen to twenty years. In this book, the concept of ‘reform’ is not seen as having much utility as a window onto Vietnam. Instead, it is seen as preferable to refer to the more neutral ‘marketization’ or highlight a process of international economic integration. If the term ‘reform’ is used, it is usually followed by the word ‘years’ (i.e. ‘the reform years’). In this way, the word ‘reform’ is being used to indicate an approximate period of time (largely the 1980s onwards) and there is an implied rejection of any of the other connotations usually associated with the term ‘reform’. But why might the concept of reform be seen as distorting? There are at least four key problems with the idea that ‘reform’ offers a satisfactory window either descriptively or in explanatory terms onto what has happened in Vietnam over the last fifteen to twenty years. First, to talk in terms of reform is immediately to place the emphasis on change. This, it has already been suggested, runs the risk of downplaying important areas of continuity, whether this is in terms of the persistence of existing power structures, elite control © Gainsborough, Martin, Aug 12, 2010, Vietnam : Rethinking the State Zed Books, London, ISBN: 9781848133112 vietnam over the economy, or particular forms of rule. Some readers may retort that of course we know that reform is not just about change. However, in terms of emphasis, continuity tends to be neglected. Indicative of this is the way in which it is quite hard to tell the story of ‘reform’ without depicting contemporary developments in Vietnam in terms of everything the pre-reform years were not (i.e. not closed, not planned, not supportive of the private sector), and yet on closer analysis of the pre-reform years such a stark characterization is difficult to sustain. Second, the focus on reform as change tends to place the emphasis on policy change introduced by Vietnam’s elite, implying further that policy is the key driver of change. In fact, it is questionable that policy is a leading determinant of change in Vietnam (or elsewhere), or that change is something which elites are necessarily in control of. To talk in this way is to make a distinction between the formal and the informal, or what actually happens, and this is an important characteristic of this book. Writing on China, Barry Naughton has referred to accounts which place a heavy premium on elite-led policy change as the key to understanding the reform years as offering a sanitized morality tale with crucial details airbrushed out (Naughton 1995b: 22). These details, it is argued here, often relate to the more Machiavellian aspects of politics, which have to do with money, patronage, strong-arm tactics, and elite self-interest. By not mentioning or by downplaying these things, talk of reform serves a legitimating function in terms of those in power. Third, accounts which place the emphasis on reform as somehow capturing what has happened in Vietnam rarely pause to consider what policy actually is. On closer inspection, what we find is that what people tend to call policy – a disparate collection of elite actions and counteractions – is often much less coherent than is thought. Moreover, policy coherence is something we (‘insiders’ and ‘outsiders’) like to impose upon the state in a bid to reinforce the state in the image of what we think it ought to be. That we behave like this, state theorists would suggest, reflects the way in which the © Gainsborough, Martin, Aug 12, 2010, Vietnam : Rethinking the State Zed Books, London, ISBN: 9781848133112 introduction state as an idea exerts power over us, as well as, in many cases, our own closeness to power (Abrams 1988; Mitchell 1991). Finally, the inappropriateness of reform as a window onto Vietnam extends to assumptions about what constitutes politics, which is itself bound up with the use of the word ‘reform’. Here, the tendency is to view politics in terms of disputes between rival factions grouped around distinct policy positions: traditionally the ‘reformer’ and ‘conservative’ language, which, the record shows, Vietnam scholars have found hard to jettison despite its many problems. However, what we find is that politics is much less about disputes over rival policy positions – elites in Vietnam hang loose to policy – than about money, patronage and loose political groupings linked to personalities. People often do not want to be identified too clearly with any particular policy position as this potentially restricts their freedom of movement, and prevents opportunism in terms of going after resources, particularly financial resources on offer from the international donor community. Given the position being advocated here in respect of downplaying the significance of reform and/or policy, the question arises whether reform and policy offer any salience at all in explaining outcomes in Vietnam. The position taken in this book is that while it would be a mistake to dismiss them entirely, they are just one factor among many which determines outcomes. Structure of the book The rest of the book is structured as follows. Chapter 1 looks at why the Communist Party continues to rule in Vietnam despite rapid economic growth and social change. Chapter 2 seeks to challenge ideas about Ho Chi Minh City’s distinctiveness vis-à-vis the rest of the country, highlighting a common ‘reform’ political economy in which state business interests are important. In this way, the chapter introduces crucial details about Vietnam’s political economy which are relevant for the rest of the book. Chapter 3 seeks to understand © Gainsborough, Martin, Aug 12, 2010, Vietnam : Rethinking the State Zed Books, London, ISBN: 9781848133112 vietnam the phenomenon of big corruption cases, asking what they teach us about politics and the state. Chapter 4 looks at equitization in Vietnam, specifically trying to account for why equitization suddenly speeded up in the very late 1990s after years of going nowhere. Continuing with the theme of equitization, Chapter 5 shows how the sale of shares in state companies should not necessarily be associated with state retreat, including highlighting the use of uncertainty as an instrument of rule in Vietnam. Chapter 6 on local politics considers the impact of globalization on the state in provincial Vietnam, suggesting that, as with equitization, it is a mistake to associate globalization necessarily with state retreat. Chapter 7 examines one of the key events in Vietnam’s political calendar, namely the National Communist Party Congress, held every five years. Adopting a revisionist tone, it argues that Congresses are less about policy issues than an occasion when access to patronage and political protection are circulated. Chapter 8 looks at neoliberal ideas about the state, seeking to explain why they have been relatively uninfluential in the direction of state change in Vietnam. The book concludes by asking how, in light of the preceding chapters, we understand the state and its relationship with the political. 1 © Gainsborough, Martin, Aug 12, 2010, Vietnam : Rethinking the State Zed Books, London, ISBN: 9781848133112 communist part y rule Some two decades after the collapse of Communism in Eastern Europe in 1989 and the former Soviet Union in 1991, Vietnam is just one of a handful of states where Communist Party rule persists (the others being China, North Korea, Laos and Cuba). While Vietnamese society is undoubtedly witnessing new forms of political expression, and pressure on the state, against the backdrop of rapid economic development, the fact of continued Communist Party rule at this juncture – whatever the future holds – requires some explanation. This chapter considers this issue with reference to theoretical ideas which have their origins in Barrington Moore’s now classic text, Social Origins of Dictatorship and Democracy (Moore 1966). Moore’s writing has since been built upon by other scholars, including most notably Rueschemeyer, Stephens and Stephens (1992). These writers, who emphasize the importance of changing class relations, state power and transnational forces in explaining moves towards greater democracy or their absence, are to be contrasted with those who focus on such things as political leadership, culture and political parties to explain why democratization has or has not occurred (Potter 1992: 355–79). vietnam © Gainsborough, Martin, Aug 12, 2010, Vietnam : Rethinking the State Zed Books, London, ISBN: 9781848133112 box 1.1 Vietnam’s formal political system at a glance Vietnam is a one-party state headed by the Communist Party of Vietnam (CPV). The National Party Congress is the highest body of the CPV and meets every five years. The Party Congress elects the Central Committee, the party organization in which political power is formally vested and which meets in plenary sessions at least twice a year. The Central Committee elects the Politburo and the general secretary of the Party. Between plenums the Politburo runs party affairs. The general secretary of the CPV, the president, the prime minister and the chairman of the National Assembly, Vietnam’s parliament, are all members of the Politburo. Formally speaking, the CPV sets policy direction, which the government implements, although the reality is far more complex. The government consists of the prime minister, three deputy prime ministers, ministers, and heads of organizations of ministerial rank. The government is accountable to the National Assembly and reports both to the National Assembly and to the president. The National Assembly is the highest ranking organization of the state and the only body with constitutional and legislative powers. Members of the National Assembly are elected through national elections held every five years. In terms of subnational government, People’s Councils are elected at the provincial, district and commune levels. The People’s Council is the highest state institution at the sub-national level, responsible to the electorate at each level and the National Assembly at the national level. People’s Councils elects People’s Committees to serve as the executive institution at the local level, although historically the People’s Councils have been weak. This chapter, which looks at political change in Vietnam over the past twenty or more years, will do so primarily with reference to the first body of literature. This has the advantage of helping us move away from a heavy reliance on the so-called ‘middle classes’ as the standard-bearer of democratization, which in recent years has tended to become the sine qua non of whether a country democratizes or not. While not ignoring the potential role of the middle class, the writings of Moore and Rueschemeyer et al. situate it within a © Gainsborough, Martin, Aug 12, 2010, Vietnam : Rethinking the State Zed Books, London, ISBN: 9781848133112 communist party rule broader context. Drawing on historical cases from the seventeenth to the twentieth century, these writers between them single out five classes as being important as to whether a country democratizes. These are large landowners, the peasantry and rural workers, the urban working class, the bourgeoisie (or capital-owning class), and the salaried and professional middle class. The writers argue that it is not only the changing stance of individual classes brought about by economic development that has a bearing on whether a country democratizes but also the relationship among classes and their relationship with the state. In terms of the focus of this chapter, some of the writers’ most interesting findings concern the position of the middle class or bourgeoisie. Drawing on the historical record, they note that while the middle class has been a force for democratization, it has often as not sided with authoritarianism. According to Moore, what is important is not simply the existence of a large middle class but its relationship with the state. That is, if it is to support democratization, it needs to be ‘vigorous and independent’ from the state. This chapter explores what this means in relation to Vietnam, particularly focusing on business interests that have emerged during the reform years. Also important, according to Rueschemeyer et al., in terms of whether the middle class will be a force for democratization, is its relationship with the working class. In countries where there is a large and politically active working class, the middle class has tended to feel threatened, favouring instead the authoritarian status quo. This issue will also be considered in relation to Vietnam. In addition, the chapter considers the nature of state power in Vietnam and the impact of transnational forces on the Vietnamese political scene, because these issues are also emphasized by these writers as having a bearing on whether a country democratizes. The danger with the approach being proposed here is that it can all too easily be taken to assume that all countries are travelling on the same historical road, ending with the establishment of liberal democracy. When looking at political change in authoritarian © Gainsborough, Martin, Aug 12, 2010, Vietnam : Rethinking the State Zed Books, London, ISBN: 9781848133112 vietnam states, we, in the West, find it genuinely very difficult to conceive of any other end point. And yet the experience in Asia to date would seem to suggest that Western-style liberal democracy is one of the least likely conclusions. Even Thailand and the Philippines, often seen as Asia’s most democratic states, display many features that suggest their democracies are more formal than substantive (Anderson 1988a; Hutchcroft 1991; McCargo and Pathmanand 2005; Sidel 1996). Moreover, Singapore, with its long-standing capitalist development and substantial middle class and yet the absence of a democratic transition, although perhaps explained by Moore’s emphasis on the importance of middle-class independence from the state, nevertheless seems to point to the possibility of another kind of evolution. One only has to read interviews with Singapore’s leadership to be aware of the very different philosophical and cultural tradition on which it draws (Rodan 1992; Heng and Devan 1992). We can, of course, dismiss the language of such politicians as simply a cover for authoritarianism. However, in terms of trying to gain a sense of how politics in Vietnam, or elsewhere in Asia, is likely to evolve, it seems worth taking this differentness seriously.1 These issues will be considered further towards the end of the chapter. In the meantime, it is important to bear in mind that the issues discussed below have been chosen because they appear to have been significant in the evolution away from authoritarianism in other historical contexts. However, they are not deterministic; nor do they provide much insight into the nature of political systems that will emerge in place of authoritarianism. Changing class interests under reform The onset of reform in Vietnam is variously dated from 1979, when the first tinkering with the central plan was carried out; from 1986, when the Vietnamese Communist Party held its Sixth Congress; and from 1989, when rather more substantive structural economic changes were introduced. Whatever one prefers, Vietnam for twenty communist party rule years or more has been undergoing a shift from a system of central planning to one that places greater emphasis on the market to allocate goods and services. During this period, the ruling party has eschewed making changes to the political system along multiparty lines, focusing instead on making one-party democracy work better. Nevertheless, driven by growing integration into the world economy, the past decade and a half has seen rapid economic growth in Vietnam and rising per capita incomes.2 This has had repercussions nationwide and in all sectors of society. The chapter will now consider the impact of the last fifteen or so years of rapid economic growth on class formation and the relationship among the five different classes cited above. © Gainsborough, Martin, Aug 12, 2010, Vietnam : Rethinking the State Zed Books, London, ISBN: 9781848133112 large landowners The first class mentioned in the theoretical literature is large landowners. Historically, they have been against democratization. In Vietnam’s case, it would appear to be axiomatic to argue that such a class does not exist. Large landowners were purged in the Democratic Republic of Vietnam during the 1950s, with the process continuing in liberated areas of the south during the 1960s and after the Communist victory in 1975 (Porter 1993: 57–8; Dacy 1986; Beresford 1989). According to the theoretical literature, the fact of their absence would seem to work in favour of a democratic transition. However, is it right to see Vietnam as a country devoid of a large landowning class? Despite continued formal restrictions on the maximum permitted landholdings in the countryside, the reform years have been accompanied by the growing incidence of landlessness with its obvious corollary, namely the re-emergence of large landowners (Kerkvliet and Porter 1995; Dahm and Houben 1999; de Mauny and Hong 1998). There is also a confluence of interest between the government’s stated desire for foreign investment in agroprocessing and the need for large landholdings. Foreign investment in agroprocessing has not been huge, but foreign agroprocessors have been able to secure large tracts of land when desired. vietnam One might also argue that while the large landowners of the ancien régime have been toppled, in their place there has emerged a new landlord class, namely Communist Party cadres and government officials. After all, it is very often they, or their family members, who dominate the rural economy (Kerkvliet and Porter 1995; Kerkvliet 2005). If this analysis is correct, the prospects for a widening of the political space look less good. © Gainsborough, Martin, Aug 12, 2010, Vietnam : Rethinking the State Zed Books, London, ISBN: 9781848133112 the peasantry and rur al work ers The second class is that of peasantry and rural workers. According to the theoretical literature, the peasantry have historically had an interest in democratization but have not been much of a force for it, largely because they have been poorly organized. The fact that Vietnam continues to be a predominantly rural society two decades after reform would seem to imply a relatively weak impulse for democratization. Nevertheless, with urbanization proceeding apace the situation is changing. Only 20 per cent of GDP is now derived from agriculture, although some 73 per cent of the population is still classified as rural (World Bank 2008). Since the 1990s, rural unrest has become more common. The causes of the unrest are multiple but they would appear very often to be linked to land disputes involving local elites, often with allegations of elite corruption (Kerkvliet and Porter 1995; Kerkvliet 2003). Although there is no evidence of direct foreign sponsorship of rural unrest, dissident non-government groups based overseas and foreign human-rights organizations have been quick to champion the cause of aggrieved rural communities, while foreign governments, including the United States, have criticized the government’s handling of such incidents. Beyond individual instances of unrest, it would, however, be misleading to speak of a rural opposition in Vietnam understood in terms of an organization with a common institutional base and a coherent critique of party rule. Some scholars have alluded to the growth of autonomous farmers’ groups (Fforde 1996: 78–80). communist party rule However, while it is clear that some farmers groups are increasingly outspoken, whether this amounts to clear or aspirational autonomy from the Party is less certain. © Gainsborough, Martin, Aug 12, 2010, Vietnam : Rethinking the State Zed Books, London, ISBN: 9781848133112 the urban work ing class The third class mentioned is the urban working class. It is regarded as having been an important force for democratization. In Vietnam, the urban working class is still quite small, given the predominantly rural nature of the country. However, the reform era has been accompanied by rapid urban growth, and hence a growing urban population. This has been driven in large part by spontaneous ruralto-urban migration, as strict controls on the movement of population have broken down and as farmers have flocked to the cities in search of employment on construction sites and in the factories that have sprung up in the context of marketization. By 2010, it is expected that one-third of the population will be urban-based. In terms of organized labour, the urban working class has yet to flex its muscles in a way which has moved the political goalposts significantly. Labour relations have certainly become more complex during the reform years, with the growth of private, including foreign, capital. Since the early 1990s, strikes have become more common, including ‘wildcat’ strikes and the emergence of self-proclaimed but as yet not recognized independent trade unions. Nevertheless, organized labour has been kept weak by a combination of an uncertain legal framework governing its activities and an official trade union, the Vietnam General Confederation of Labour, which, given political pressures on it, cannot represent workers adequately (Chan and Norland 1999; Clarke 2006; Hanson 2003: 45–67; Ying Zhu and Fahey 2000: 282–99). the bourgeoisie The fourth class is the bourgeoisie, understood here as the capitalowning or business class. In the popular view, entrepreneurs are often viewed as being part of the middle classes, and hence seen © Gainsborough, Martin, Aug 12, 2010, Vietnam : Rethinking the State Zed Books, London, ISBN: 9781848133112 vietnam as a force for democratization. However, in the writings of Moore, Rueschemeyer and others, bourgeoisies are typically viewed as taking an ambivalent stance towards democratization. Richard Robison, for instance, has referred to an effective ‘pact of domination’ between capital-owning classes and the authoritarian state in Suharto’s Indonesia, based around perceived shared interests (Robison 1988). In Vietnam, the reform years have certainly seen the emergence of a new business elite. However, while this elite is new in terms of its business interests, it is in fact rather old in terms of its political ties. That is, many of the new entrepreneurs have emerged from within the existing system, are currently serving or former officials, or are the children of the political elite. To succeed in business, companies are still very reliant on the state for licences, contracts, access to capital and land, and, very often, protection (Gainsborough 2003a). Moreover, while this may be changing in some areas with business becoming more confident and less ‘dependent’ (Cheshier 2010; UNDP 2006), Vietnam still lacks the ‘independent or vigorous bourgeoisie’ cited by Moore as a necessary element in democratization. The theoretical literature also emphasizes the importance of the bourgeoisie’s relationship with the urban working class in terms of whether it supports democratization or not. If the middle class feels threatened by the working class, it is likely to be more conservative. If not, it is likely to be bolder. Given the small size of Vietnam’s working class, the outlook would appear more positive in terms of the possible stance of the bourgeoisie. However, as has been noted, although organized labour has become more militant in recent years and although there is dis affection in parts of the business community, there is little evidence yet of pressure for far-reaching political change. 3 In calls for less red tape and a more open and transparent business environment, which can be seen coming from parts of the business community, one can perhaps see the early stages of a division between the communist party rule bourgeoisie and the state. However, these calls are relatively muted in comparison with the vigour with which many companies, out of necessity, go after state largesse. © Gainsborough, Martin, Aug 12, 2010, Vietnam : Rethinking the State Zed Books, London, ISBN: 9781848133112 the salaried and middle classes The fifth social group considered in the theoretical literature is the salaried and middle classes. In Vietnam, this would include professional state employees holding positions of responsibility in the bureaucracy and state enterprises, although there is likely to be some overlap with the capital-owning classes or bourgeoisie. Another group in this category would be professional Vietnamese employed by foreign companies or the international aid community. A decade ago some scholars were emphasizing an emerging gulf between groups such as these and the state, arguing that people were increasingly organizing their lives without reference to the party (David Marr cited in Thayer 1992b: 128). While the fact of someone’s employment by a foreign company may be significant, it is more appropriate to emphasize the continued close relations between these groups and the state, in terms of their relatively privileged background (i.e. securing the necessary education to make them employable by a foreign company or the aid community), and a primary loyalty towards the state, including a willingness in many cases to join the party. Thus, as with the bourgeoisie, professional Vietnamese employed by foreign companies or the aid industry are often, although not always, still ‘very much of the system’. In terms of possible change in this area, middle-class Vietnamese regularly travel abroad and hence are being exposed to different ways of doing things, which can make them less tolerant of certain practices in Vietnam. There is also a growing exasperation on the part of some professional Vietnamese with official corruption, but again professional Vietnamese are as likely to be playing the system as railing against it (Gainsborough et al. 2009). vietnam © Gainsborough, Martin, Aug 12, 2010, Vietnam : Rethinking the State Zed Books, London, ISBN: 9781848133112 State power As well as analysing the position of different classes and the relationships among them, the theoretical literature under consideration in this chapter also argues that the nature of state power has been crucial as to whether a country democratizes. In countries where it is difficult to identify clearly a distinct realm of authority separate from society (some African states, for example), the prospects for democratization are reportedly poor. However, a very powerful state – one which is almost entirely autonomous in relation to society – is also seen as not conducive to a shift away from authoritarianism. Thus, it is in the middle ground between not too little and not too much state power that a democratic breakthrough has the greatest chance of success. Over the years, the nature of state power in Vietnam has attracted quite contrasting characterizations. Joel Migdal, for example, has described Vietnam as a ‘strong state’, putting it, rather surprisingly, in a category with Israel and Japan but also alongside other state socialist countries (Migdal 1988: 269). For Migdal, these states are strong because they are able to deploy state institutions to perform certain public policy functions despite the existence of other power centres. In terms of the Vietnamese state’s alleged strength, Migdal is joined by a number of Vietnam scholars.4 Others have disputed the characterization of the Vietnamese state as strong, arguing that its actual capabilities are far less than is often assumed. 5 In this book, it is argued that the state in Vietnam is comparatively speaking quite strong but it depends on the context, hence the conflicting interpretations. Looking at the day-to-day working of state institutions and the bureaucracy, it is striking how particularistic seats of power in individual institutions are the norm, and how the ability of formally senior institutions in the hierarchy to galvanize junior institutions to act is limited. Power is thus scattered. The state is weak. However, looking at the role of the police in people’s day-to-day lives – their official ability to harass, extract rents, and generally prevent dissent, for instance – the state appears stronger. communist party rule Moreover, in periodic clampdowns on certain types of speculative business activity, and in the prosecution of big corruption cases, the state (or particular echelons of it) shows that when it feels so moved, it can act decisively and effectively. The issue of state strength versus state weakness will be developed further later in the book.6 In sum, therefore, the relative autonomy of the state some fifteen to twenty years after marketization would seem to be rather uncon ducive to a democratic transition. The theoretical literature particularly emphasizes how a heavy military and police presence in the state apparatus bodes ill for a transition away from authoritarianism. In Vietnam, the military and police have always been well represented in key leadership positions.7 © Gainsborough, Martin, Aug 12, 2010, Vietnam : Rethinking the State Zed Books, London, ISBN: 9781848133112 Transnational forces The literature also emphasizes the importance of transnational forces in the success or failure of moves away from authoritarianism. Factors mentioned as being of potential importance include a country’s size, its geographical location, and the nature of its relationship with the global economy. Looking at Vietnam, one is conscious of how there are pressures working in both directions at the same time. The end of the Cold War might be regarded as resulting in a climate in which Southeast Asian countries, no longer seen as potential dominoes in an anti-communist struggle, have come under increased pressure from the USA and European Union (EU) states on issues of human rights and governance. The extent to which such pressure results in substantive change in the target country is, of course, debatable. However, what is indisputable is that the ideological terms of the engagement between the West and Southeast Asia have changed substantially from the days of the Cold War (Anderson 1988b). On the other hand, Vietnam seems less vulnerable to external ideological and cultural inflows than some countries – neighbouring © Gainsborough, Martin, Aug 12, 2010, Vietnam : Rethinking the State Zed Books, London, ISBN: 9781848133112 vietnam Laos, for example. This would appear in part to reflect Laos’s small size and its very heavy economic and cultural links with more democratic Thailand (Evans 1988). However, this relative lack of vulnerability in Vietnam’s case may also be a feature and consequence of its heavily nationalistic independence struggle, which has given it a degree of self-belief that Laos, historically more dependent on Vietnamese wartime support, does not possess to the same extent. Moreover, in terms of limiting external ideological and cultural inflows, the state in Vietnam is still well placed to do this, even in an era of globalization (see Chapters 5, 6 and 8 in this volume for an examination of this point from a variety of angles). This again is something which Laos, with its close integration with Thailand, has appeared less able to do. That said, urban Vietnamese are now able to access a far greater range of media sources, despite censorship, than they were ten to fifteen years ago, so the situation is not static. Vietnam’s location in Southeast Asia and its membership in the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) since 1995 offer a certain level of insulation from US and EU pressure for political change. After all, while there is considerable variation in the political systems of ASEAN states, this is a grouping whose members still display relative degrees of authoritarianism, and an organization which has by and large maintained its principle of non-interference in the domestic affairs of its members (Dosch 2006). Meanwhile, Vietnam’s all-important relationship with China – much improved in recent years but still characterized by mistrust – has also arguably served to maintain authoritarian rule in Vietnam. Whatever differences Vietnam and China may have, they have in common a shared mistrust of US global power and the fact that they are some of the last remaining communist states seeking to reform their economies along market lines without losing political control. Thus, as the frequent party and government exchanges between the two countries illustrate, there is much they can learn from each other (Amer 1999; Thayer 1992a; 2008; Vuving 2006; Womack 2006). communist party rule In addition, the popular tendency is to emphasize how in an era of globalization, increased integration in the world economy tends to work to the detriment of authoritarianism, not least with the growth of the middle class on the back of economic development. However, what is also evident in relation to Vietnam is the way in which foreign aid and private capital inflows work to bolster state power, because it is state institutions and state companies that are the principal beneficiaries (see Chapters 2, 6 and 8 in this volume). © Gainsborough, Martin, Aug 12, 2010, Vietnam : Rethinking the State Zed Books, London, ISBN: 9781848133112 From one-party rule to what? From the outset, this chapter has emphasized the importance of trying to break free from a mindset that sees Vietnam as necessarily embarked on a historical road that ends in Western-style liberal democracy. Indeed, it has been argued that this is probably the least likely outcome, based on the experience of other countries in Southeast Asia. Taking this as our starting point, the key is not so much to be alert for some kind of liberal democratic breakthrough but rather to ask how else might a broadening of political space occur in a country like Vietnam? At least part of the answer would appear to lie in a re-examination of concepts such as state and society. Instead of looking for the emergence of a robust civil society standing as a bulwark against state power, as much of the literature does, it is also important to look at what is occurring within the state. A number of scholars have argued similarly. In Towards Illiberal Democracy in Pacific Asia, Daniel Bell et al. write: The impetus for political reform arises not from the autonomous assertion of independent interests by social classes but from conflict within the state; political reform is about the management of intra-elite conflict rather than about the fundamental restructuring of state–society relationships. Therefore, political liberalization vietnam © Gainsborough, Martin, Aug 12, 2010, Vietnam : Rethinking the State Zed Books, London, ISBN: 9781848133112 [in Pacific Asia] is manifested in the changing architecture of the state with civil society remaining both limited and circumscribed. (Bell et al. 1995: 14) That this is the case is testament to the very different philosophical and cultural heritage on which Asian states draw. Illustrating this with reference to Indonesia, Mark Berger notes how Suharto’s New Order regime ‘reinstated and reconfigured organicist (and/or integralist) ideas which view state and society as a single organic entity and the embodiment of a harmonious village or family’ (Berger 1997: 341). While Berger notes that this ideology is in part a reconfiguration, and is used to deny oppositional activity, it does highlight the different philosophical and cultural roots on which many Asian leaders draw. Moreover, to the extent that such thinking is influential in terms of what actually happens, it offers a clue to likely political evolution. To illustrate the same point, one suspects that when Lee Kuan Yew spoke in the 1990s of the need to establish safeguards to limit the ‘way in which people use their votes to bargain, to coerce, to push and jostle’ the government, or referred to the need for the government to show that it ‘cannot be blackmailed’, such rhetoric does not simply represent sheer cheek on his part, but is actually indicative of a fundamentally different way of understanding the relationship between state and society (Rodan 1992: 5). Similarly, when Vietnamese leaders go on record to say that Vietnam will never have need for opposition parties, justifying such a position on the grounds that the ruling Communist Party knows the will of the people and only exists to serve it, this is not just a crude defence of authoritarianism but represents heartfelt opinion based on a very different view of state and opposition than that of the West.8 The idea that one should look for a broadening of political space within the state rings very true for Vietnam. For all the emphasis in foreign journalistic and academic writing on civil society, the emerging middle class, Buddhist and Catholic dissent, dissident intellectuals, Internet bloggers, youth disillusionment, and rural © Gainsborough, Martin, Aug 12, 2010, Vietnam : Rethinking the State Zed Books, London, ISBN: 9781848133112 communist party rule unrest – all of which are legitimate areas of study – the main arena of struggle in Vietnam remains closely focused in and around the state. Thus, if one points to some of the major political debates of the reform era, which have to do with the relationship between the party and the government, the role of the National Assembly, issues of centralization and decentralization, or the best way to manage state enterprises, it is clear that the extent of change or the widening of political space must be seen in relation to state institutions. For example, the party may still be the ultimate authority, but it now has to contend with more robust government institutions and a stronger National Assembly, as, notwithstanding their common party representation, they are alternative seats of power. Whether this was the intended outcome of the critique of the party emerging at the Sixth Congress in 1986 is unclear, but, as an illustration of how change is occurring within the state, it is revealing. Equally, many of the concerns of the business sector, rather than finding expression through an organization external to the state, are still channelled through the state-sanctioned institutions (Stromseth 1998). Even if one were to speculate that such organizations might one day spawn breakaway groups or evolve into something external to the state, it is inconceivable that they would not retain something of the different philosophical and cultural underpinnings in terms of how they conceive of the relationship between state and society. Conclusion With reference to writings by Moore and Rueschemeyer et al., this chapter has sought to offer a robust account of the nature of political change in Vietnam over the past fifteen to twenty years. In terms of why the middle class has not emerged to challenge the state, the fact of its still-close relations with the state – dependent on it, not independent from it – seems highly significant. Moreover, for all the popular emphasis on issues such as civil society and globalization, the Vietnamese state remains relatively autonomous in relation to © Gainsborough, Martin, Aug 12, 2010, Vietnam : Rethinking the State Zed Books, London, ISBN: 9781848133112 vietnam where Vietnamese elites have led the way both as regulators of the market economy and as direct players. It is not the case that elite interests in Vietnam are now the same as those of external actors. Nevertheless, there has been some convergence such that elite Vietnamese and donor actors are able to work together while pursuing very different agendas (i.e. a marriage of convenience). By highlighting the way in which elite interests both inside and outside Vietnam converge, we are able to go some way towards transcending some of the binaries which typically govern the way we talk about power (inside/outside; national/international; global/ local etc.), even if in some ways the very language we use fails us. Viewed in this way, it is possible to conceive of neoliberalism as both weakened as a force in global politics (i.e. elites with interests which converge but are not the same, turning a blind eye to what the other is doing) and strengthened as the interests of elites in Vietnam genuinely become bound up with that of global capitalism such that there is a real convergence of interests with external elites. Seen like this, it is not beyond the bounds of possibility that Vietnamese elites might one day genuinely internalize aspects of the regulatory state discourse as serving a kind of a market order they could support. In the final analysis, we are dealing with a moving target here. The mixing of ‘external’ or ‘indigenous’ ideas and practices will continue to occur with both buffeting and influencing the other – as they have always done. What we can be certain of, however, is that external forces will never completely swamp internal ones. Instead, we will continue to see further gradual evolution of the state in Vietnam drawing on diverse inputs. © Gainsborough, Martin, Aug 12, 2010, Vietnam : Rethinking the State Zed Books, London, ISBN: 9781848133112 conclusion At the start of this book, a method for studying the state was proposed which entailed – paradoxically perhaps – not focusing our attention directly on the state, arguing that to do so risked defining the object of our study in advance. Instead, it was suggested that what we needed to do was to try to surrender any preconceptions as to what the state is, trusting that a more authentic picture of the state would eventually come back into view in light of our empirical work. Central to this approach was a commitment to looking at ‘actors’ – whether formally of the state or not – considering what Béatrice Hibou has referred to as their ‘games, their strategies and their historical practices’ (Hibou 2004: 21), and seeing what this tells us about the nature of the political, and ultimately the state. To talk like this is really to ask how people act politically. The conclusion to the book, therefore, offers some final thoughts on how people act politically in Vietnam, before asking what it tells us about the state. The conclusion also incorporates the outlining of a new research agenda born of the empirical work presented in this book, combined with a preliminary reading of parts of the state theory literature. vietnam © Gainsborough, Martin, Aug 12, 2010, Vietnam : Rethinking the State Zed Books, London, ISBN: 9781848133112 How do people act politically in Vietnam? The question of how people act politically in Vietnam – or elsewhere – is a deceptively complex one. However, to pose it is to ask how people think about the environment in which they operate, how they get things done, and how they head off potential threats. To the outsider, the stakes appear much higher in Vietnam, compared with the United Kingdom or the United States, for those who have aspirations to move and act politically. Of course, this could be debated, and may be a partial perspective influenced by our own closeness to power. However, to fall politically, or really come unstuck, in Vietnam seems to have consequences which go beyond just losing one’s job: it affects your family, your livelihood, your standing, and it makes you vulnerable to a loss of opportunities or to further bad things happening. Against this backdrop, we can say that politics in Vietnam is dominated by whom you know, what position you hold, and how much you can pay. Political umbrellas, whereby people higher up in the hierarchy look out for you and protect you, are a recognized part of the political landscape in Vietnam. This is a form of network politics, with the word ‘network’ simply used to point to the existence of a loose agglomeration of personalities. How do these networks form? As has been emphasized throughout this book, it is fundamentally about personal relationships – blood or marital ties, shared home town, time served together, past obligations and past debts. In Vietnam, the norm is that everyone owes their position to someone, which puts people in a hierarchical relationship, which in turn comes with further debts and obligations. It is important to nurture one’s relationship with one’s patron by showing them appropriate deference or giving them gifts. This can include passing a portion of one’s ‘corrupt’ takings upwards to the person to whom you owe your job, or who sits above you in the hierarchy. For instance, ‘corporate’ actors seeking to influence ‘state’ actors will go to great lengths to do so, including arranging overseas trips © Gainsborough, Martin, Aug 12, 2010, Vietnam : Rethinking the State Zed Books, London, ISBN: 9781848133112 conclusion for them, indulging their wives, or perhaps contributing to their children’s education. With the holding of office also comes a place in the system, which offers access, opportunities to do business or to collect rents or fees, and protection. However, because of the nature of the system with its uniformly unclear rules, everyone is always sailing close to the wind, or in danger of falling foul of some authority. Consequently, people are always looking over their shoulder, trying not to attract unwarranted attention, trying not to get caught out, or taking care not to upset someone who is more powerful than they are.1 To do anything in Vietnam, the ducks must line up, which in turns involves a constant process of wooing people, getting people onside, and neutralizing threats. Everyone in Vietnam – from top to bottom – is involved in some kind of network, as described above. It is just that some networks are more heavyweight, or closer to the top, than others. No one in Vietnam – however elevated – ever has it all sewn up. There is always someone who may potentially stand in your way. Thus, while we see political continuity in Vietnam, the story of the reform years is not simply one of the persistence of old power structures, unchecked. As Hibou says, ‘everywhere there are slip-ups’ and ‘spaces where freedom can slip in’. And, she continues, ‘if there are none of these’ it is always possible for ‘astute actors’ to ‘invent ways of circumventing’ (Hibou 2004: 17). As old routes or opportunities for advancement are closed down, new ones need to be found. People’s stars dim. Patrons grow old and die. Certain business interests survive, perhaps by diversifying into new areas. Others go to the wall. Of course, some people are better operators than others, and through a combination of luck or the fortune of their birth have more going for them. But success is never guaranteed. In the face of interventions – what are often referred to as ‘reforms’ – which seek to upset what people are doing, the system constantly reinvents itself to ensure that its underlying money-making and prestige-seeking functions are not vietnam upset. However, for the reasons just outlined, the system never entirely stays the same. For most actors, debates about ‘reform’ or ‘policy choices’, or the consequences of World Trade Organization membership and suchlike, are not their day-to-day concern. Instead, surviving, getting things done, using one’s connections, and paying people off, all in a context where moneymaking and maintaining one’s standing in the system are key, whether it be through doing business, exploiting a regulatory position, or milking the international donor community. This is the day-to-day stuff of politics. With politics spoken of in these terms, the question remains, what is, or wherein lies, ‘the state’? © Gainsborough, Martin, Aug 12, 2010, Vietnam : Rethinking the State Zed Books, London, ISBN: 9781848133112 Rethinking the state In light of the preceding analysis, one could respond that to talk about politics we do not need to talk about the state at all. Indeed, to do so might be misleading. And yet such a response does not seem entirely satisfactory either. Many of the ‘actors’ we have been talking about in this book – though not all – hold public office. Public office, therefore, seems important, although how exactly, and what it tells us about the nature of entity we call the state, is less clear. There is, for instance, a very real danger at this juncture in the book that in trying to say something about how we understand ‘the state’ we will end up superimposing on the state the very things we were trying to avoid through our methodology of not looking directly at the state (i.e. things that are not actually warranted by the data). Nevertheless, it is important to try. Perhaps the first thing to note about the state in Vietnam is the highly particularistic nature of the different institutions, offices and personnel which we commonly regard as comprising ‘the state’. That is, what comprises ‘the state’ rarely moves in the same direction, rarely works together, and rarely sings from the same hymn sheet. Information is not shared between offices – in fact, it is often sold © Gainsborough, Martin, Aug 12, 2010, Vietnam : Rethinking the State Zed Books, London, ISBN: 9781848133112 conclusion – as different institutions and personnel vie for influence where, as we have seen, the right to regulate various parts of the economy and society, extract revenue from citizens, or to run a commercial operation affiliated to one’s institutional base are among the key drivers of politics. Second, what we notice about the state in Vietnam is a persistent blurring of the relationship between public and private, reflected in the use of public office for private gain, which is the norm, and a lack of clarity in relation to the business activities of government offices in terms of who benefits (principally but not exclusively financially) from what are ostensibly state companies. In much writing on the state, including on Vietnam, a blurring between public and private is depicted as an aberration and not something which occurs in ‘developed’ Western states. In places where public and private are said to be blurred, it is also depicted as something which can be put right (through ‘reform’). However, this is a distortion: public and private are blurred in all states by definition because, as state theorists tell us, the state is a conceptual abstraction (i.e. there is not a real boundary between state and society or between public and private). That it appears otherwise is testament to the state’s unique character as a historically contingent form of rule, and indeed this blurring, and the policing of the boundary by those who inhabit the state, is central to how power is exercised.2 This way of exercising power was evident in the book in a number of ways, but could be seen most clearly in our discussions of corruption. Related to this is a third observation about the state, namely the importance of uncertainty as an instrument of rule. Keeping people in a state of uncertainty about what they can and cannot do is a sure way of exercising power over them. This dovetails nicely with the comments above about the policing of the state/society or public/ private boundary as the way in which rule occurs. Because the boundary is portrayed as a real one – an arbitrary line one must not cross – when in fact it only exists as a conceptual boundary, people © Gainsborough, Martin, Aug 12, 2010, Vietnam : Rethinking the State Zed Books, London, ISBN: 9781848133112 vietnam are always in danger of crossing it, and thus are always vulnerable to being disciplined when it suits those capable of doing so. In Vietnam, this comes across particularly vividly in relation to the labour market where regulations governing the right to strike are so confusing and Kafkaesque that it is said to be next to impossible to call a strike while keeping within the rules. While most of the time this is regarded as simply a fact of life, it provides those who inhabit the state with the means to discipline workers if they deem their activity is unusually threatening, or they wish to make an example of them. From the perspective of workers, this means they are never quite sure what the consequences of their actions will be, which tends to act as a constraint on their behaviour (i.e. uncertainty as an instrument of rule). As with the blurring of public and private, the use of uncertainty as an instrument of rule is depicted in much of the literature as the characteristic of a deviant state (Chabal and Daloz 1999; Duffield 2008). However, it is much more likely that the use of uncertainty is more universal, including extending into so-called ‘developed’ states. To sum up, what we have, then, is a state which is little more than a disparate group of actors with a weak notion of ‘the public good’, using uncertainty, not impartial rules, as the basis of order. However, this is only part of the picture since the state also appears as greater than the sum of its parts – an institution which has ‘self-preserving and self-aggrandizing impulses’, to quote Benedict Anderson (1983), which takes people in and spits them out, and which re-creates itself in a way that cannot be reducible to the wit of any one individual. In Vietnam this comes across most clearly in terms of the way in which when this ‘collectivity’ of institutions and actors feel its core interests threatened, it is able to mobilize fairly robustly in order to clamp down on people or activities deemed to threaten the ‘whole show’. In this book, we have seen this most vividly in respect of clampdowns on speculation in the foreign exchange and real-estate markets, which at various times appeared to threaten the stability of the banking system, or were © Gainsborough, Martin, Aug 12, 2010, Vietnam : Rethinking the State Zed Books, London, ISBN: 9781848133112 conclusion simply troubling because they represented a flagrant ignoring of authority. Understanding these ‘self-preserving and self-aggrandizing impulses’ expressed though the state’s living members, but which ‘cannot be reduced to their passing personal ambitions’ (Anderson 1983), is particularly important for a holistic understanding of the state. On what basis – or for what reason – might the state harbour ‘self-preserving and self-aggrandizing impulses’, and how might they not be reducible to their personal ambitions of the state’s members? One possible response would be to draw on post-structuralist ideas about the state, emphasizing the way in which ‘the state’ works at the level of the mind, entering social processes, working from within, and influencing what we see (Finlayson and Martin 2006; Mitchell 1991). Hence, we have a tendency to attribute coherence to what we call ‘the state’ when in fact it may not merit it. Another, rather different, way to make sense of the state as greater than the sum of its parts might be to draw on Marxist ideas of the state as ‘instrument’, tending (but not guaranteed) to act in the general interests of capital (Barrow 2008; Hay et al. 2006: 59–78; Jessop 2008; Wetherly 2008). Thus, to refer back to the example cited above, when the state in Vietnam mobilized to clamp down on speculation in the forex and real-estate markets – acting against individual capitalists – it was doing so because its ‘self-preserving and self-aggrandizing impulses’ told it that not to do so risked the ‘whole edifice’ coming down. And here the ‘whole edifice’ is understood in terms of the emerging capitalist economy over which the state was presiding and in which, in the context of marketization and international economic integration, its interests were increasingly bound up. To assert that the state in Vietnam is tending to act in the general interests of capital is a big claim. However, it makes sense with reference to a range of examples that we have seen throughout this book. This includes the difficulty the state appears to have representing organized labour, and the increased incidence of land conflicts © Gainsborough, Martin, Aug 12, 2010, Vietnam : Rethinking the State Zed Books, London, ISBN: 9781848133112 vietnam which pit farmers against capital, where capital backed by the state is the frequent winner (in the name of ‘development’ or ‘progress’). In addition, the Communist Party of Vietnam’s decision in 2006 to amend its statutes to remove the clause which said that party members ‘could not exploit’ can also be seen as an attempt by the party to bring itself in line with the fact that many of its members do own and run private businesses, in turn further showing its alignment with capital. 3 An argument which says that the state in Vietnam is today tending to act in the general interests of capital need not be premissed on the idea that there has necessarily been a sharp break between the pre-reform ‘state socialist’ state and the post-reform ‘capitalist’ state in terms of its relationship to capital – although mainstream writing on reform would tend to posit that this is what has occurred. The scepticism shown by some writers to the notion of collective ownership, ‘belonging to the people’, suggesting that in reality it means ‘belonging to the party elite’, combined also with the notion that the seeds of the reform era were laid via capital accumulation on the part of party elites in the pre-reform era, both point to a rather closer relationship to capital on the part of the state in the pre-reform era than is often thought (see Long and Kendall 1981; Cheshier 2009). However we explain this paradoxical position of the state both as illusion and as something substantive (i.e. ‘greater than the sum of its parts’), it seems clear that this is where a new research agenda should pick up. So what might this research agenda look like? Towards a new research agenda While this has been a book about Vietnam, it is evident that within it lie the seeds of a research agenda which go well beyond Vietnam. Underpinning this new research agenda is a quest for a universal theory of the state which can make sense of all states not just certain kinds of states. To talk in such terms is to move away © Gainsborough, Martin, Aug 12, 2010, Vietnam : Rethinking the State Zed Books, London, ISBN: 9781848133112 conclusion from the tendency in much contemporary writing on the state to emphasize ‘difference’ between states (i.e. developed/developing; democratic/authoritarian states) – in turn suggesting that they are beyond comparison. This is problematic for a number of reasons, not least because it is a political position bound up with the way in which the West seeks to exercise power over the global South. Two things are occurring here. First, in much contemporary writing on the state, Western states are held up as paradigms of virtue – i.e. how the state ought to be – which serves the purpose of putting them beyond reproach. Second, non-Western states, excluding to some extent those designated as ‘success stories’ pour encourager les autres (which is also a crucial part of how rule occurs), are depicted as deviant – that is, deviating from the Western ideal – which in turn provides the basis on which intervention can occur. This can take the form of outright invasion, or a seemingly ‘softer’ version of intervention via international donor aid. Either way, the result is very similar, with the goal being the promotion of a classic ‘governance’ agenda, and the creation of ‘regulatory states’ capable of safeguarding transnational capitalism (Jayasuriya 2001). A number of important obeervations flow from the above analysis. First, that much of what is presented today as offering a robust analysis of the state is nothing of the sort, and in fact is a selective, politically motivated characterization of the state, serving consciously or unconsciously the political agenda mapped out above.4 Second, that in order truly to gain a window onto the state as a distinctive, historically contingent form of rule it is necessary to break out of the straitjacket of states which cannot be compared, whether they are developed/developing, industrial/postindustrial/non-industrial, developmental/fragile/failing, or liberal democratic/illiberal/authoritarian, and ask what such states have in common simply by virtue of being states. Such a step serves two purposes: first, it will make for better theory (i.e. a theory of the general rather than the particular), and second, it will help unmask a key way in which rule occurs at the global level today. vietnam © Gainsborough, Martin, Aug 12, 2010, Vietnam : Rethinking the State Zed Books, London, ISBN: 9781848133112 What might a universal theory of the state look like? From the outset, a universal theory of the state needs to begin with an awareness of one’s own class position and how this might influence one’s theorizing. One way to address this is to be open to the way in which the state is Janus-faced (i.e. it is experienced differently depending on your relationship to it). Thus, a universal theory of the state needs to be attentive to the way in which ‘my experience of the state’ is unlikely to capture the character of the state in its entirety. Put another way, a universal theory of the state needs to be able to make sense of the state’s benevolent side as well as its predatory and abusive side. Recall here the comment made by the brother of Pol Pot that Pol Pot ‘would not hurt a chicken’, which in certain circumstances (e.g. among family members) was probably true. Or, in the UK, recall the comment of the former head of MI5, Stella Rimmington, who on trying to publish her memoirs following her retirement remarked that she had experienced for the first time what it was like ‘to be on the wrong side of the state’ (i.e. the same state, two different experiences). Second, a universal theory of the state needs to get away from pluralist notions of the state as class-neutral, exploring in whose interests the state is acting. Here, while there is a strong sense that the state is likely to be aligned with capital, whether it is Vietnam or Indonesia, the USA or the UK, it cannot be guaranteed (see Jessop 2008 for a discussion). Hence there is always an empirical task to be carried out to establish whether this is the case, and indeed the precise relationship with which manifestation of ‘capital’. Third, a universal theory of the state needs to get away from neo-Weberian notions of the state as rational and bureaucratic and accept that the normal character of the state – all states – is one where public and private are blurred and where this, along with the use of uncertainty, is central to how rule occurs. In this regard, there is further work to be done to clarify what Weber actually said about the state because there is a tendency in much writing © Gainsborough, Martin, Aug 12, 2010, Vietnam : Rethinking the State Zed Books, London, ISBN: 9781848133112 conclusion about the state to invoke Weber very selectively (see Dusza 1989; Greenfield 2001; Hibou 2004: 19; McVey 1992; Richards 2009 for some insights on this). Fourth, a universal theory of the state needs to be able to make sense of the state both as illusion (i.e. why it appears more real than it actually is) and as an entity which has ‘material effects’, including trying to understand what the key motivators are for the state to unite to defend what it perceives to be its core interests. Once again, this may lead us back to the state’s relations with capital but with a sense that while the state tends to align with capital it may not be reducible to it. That is to say, the state’s ‘self-preserving and selfaggrandizing impulses’ may in large part be motivated by a desire to protect the general interests of capital. However, what motivates the state to defend its core interests – and indeed what those core interests are – may lie elsewhere too. In this respect, part of the state’s core interests may lie in simply defending the public–private boundary from attack as an end in itself – and not one which is necessarily always shared by capital. So, what we have here are a series of theoretical observations, most of which point to areas for regular and ongoing empirical investigation. The areas for empirical investigation are: 1. The (blurred) character of the public and private boundary and how this is used as an instrument of rule. 2. The use of uncertainty as an instrument of rule. 3. How the state is experienced differently depending on your relationship to it. 4. How a conceptual abstraction can appear to have real boundaries. 5. Where the state’s core interests lie, including its relationship to capital, and the extent to which this is the principal motivator behind its self-preserving and self-aggrandizing impulses, or one of a number. While there is much to recommend such an approach to thinking about the state, it leaves open, as we have seen, that what has been vietnam said needs to be verified by regular empirical investigation. At the same time, while this book is claiming through a discussion of Vietnam to be highlighting something universal in relation to the nature of the political, one should also expect to encounter variation within this. So, what kind of variation? © Gainsborough, Martin, Aug 12, 2010, Vietnam : Rethinking the State Zed Books, London, ISBN: 9781848133112 Variation within the universal While expecting to find exploitation of the public–private boundary, and the use of uncertainty, both deployed as instruments of rule, and also anticipating that the collectivity of institutions and actors we call ‘the state’ will tend to act in the general interests of capital across a wide range of cases, we should nevertheless expect to encounter variation on this theme such that ‘local colour’ will be important in terms of how these mechanisms and tendencies play out. One important area where we expect this to be the case concerns the extent to which violence forms a part of the state’s everyday reper toire. Violence, or the threat of violence, is a feature of all states. However, what we need to make sense of is why it tends to be more pervasive in certain states than others, even while the underlying ‘universal’ features of the state described above remain in play. Invoking the Lukesian adage that the ‘supreme exercise of power’ is to ‘get another or others to have the desires you want them to have – that is to, to secure their compliance by controlling their thoughts and desires’ (Lukes cited in Hindess 1996: 68), we can say that states which invoke violence less, or where it is the exception rather than the rule, represent a stronger form of power. A good example is contemporary Singapore, where citizens by and large behave how the state wishes them to behave (Barr 2003; Rodan 1992; Tremewan 1994). Certainly the state in Singapore deploys a battery of legal and other means to undermine or wrongfoot its critics, but it rarely kills people. That said, it would be erroneous to suggest that uncertainty is not used as an instrument of rule in Singapore. Nor is it the case that there is a clear separation of public © Gainsborough, Martin, Aug 12, 2010, Vietnam : Rethinking the State Zed Books, London, ISBN: 9781848133112 conclusion and private in Singapore even though state discourse powerfully seeks to suggest there is: witness the close links between the family of Lee Kwan Yew and business in Singapore or the fact that the older Lee’s son is prime minister as examples of a greater blurring of public and private than is often implied (Gainsborough 2009b; Hamilton-Hart 2000). Nevertheless, we could say that in Singapore the state’s ideological effects are particularly strong and that it is this – rather than any objective differences in terms of how power is exercised – which distinguishes the state in Singapore from some other states.5 An example of a weaker state, where the use of uncertainty and exploitation of the public–private boundary are still key instruments of rule – just like in Singapore – is Burma/Myanmar. Here the use of violence is much more part of the normal fabric of the state, and in contrast to the Lukesean view of power represents a weaker application of power for it. An important feature of states where violence is commonplace, and where the state’s ideological effects are much weaker, is that state rule has to be constantly backed up by performative practices, such as hastily convened ‘mass rallies’ where public-sector workers are wheeled out to chant their support for the regime irrespective of what they really think (Duffield 2008: 23–4). As with the use of violence, it is not the case that performance plays no function in states where the ideological effects are stronger but the need to resort to such performances to reinforce a fragile, or fading, legitimacy is perhaps less. There may well be other areas where we are likely to encounter (local) variation in terms of the character of the state, notwithstanding the existence of the state’s more ‘universal’ features which have been highlighted in this book. This may, for instance, apply to the nature of the state’s relationship to capital, particularly if one extends the analysis to the sub-national level. Is, for example, the relationship of the state to capital in say sub-national Indonesia likely to be the same as metropolitan Singapore, or Washington and Westminster for that matter? A further area where we might expect
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