EC1007 All Candidates January Examinations 2015 DO NOT OPEN THE QUESTION PAPER UNTIL INSTRUCTED TO DO SO BY THE CHIEF INVIGILATOR Department Economics Module Code EC1007 Module Title Statistics for Economists I Exam Duration Two hours (in words) CHECK YOU HAVE THE CORRECT QUESTION PAPER Number of Pages 3 Number of Questions 5 Instructions to Candidates Answer ALL questions For this exam you are allowed to use the following Calculators Yes Books/Statutes No Additional Stationery Yes Version 1 The approved calculator (that is Casio FX-83ES or Casio FX-85ES) may be used Not required Economics Stats Tables (Kmietowicz and Yannoulis) Green/Black cover Page 1 of 3 EC1007 All Candidates 1. The following table shows the weekly earnings (in pounds) of a random sample of 12 workers from a city in the UK. 213 345 609 273 167 243 444 524 199 682 325 274 With this information: a. Calculate the sample mean, variance and standard deviation. [5%] b. Obtain the median and the first and third quartile for this sample. What is the economic interpretation of the quartiles and the median in this case? [5%] c. It is found that the coefficient of skewness is equal to 0.8593. What can you say about the shape of the distribution of the data? Give an economic interpretation of the shape in this case. [5%] 2. Answer the following questions without using a Venn diagram: a. The owner of a bookshop is interested in the profile of customers purchasing nonfiction books. She finds that 49% of all the buyers decide to buy at least one nonfiction book. Also, 17% of those who buy a nonfiction book are under 30 years old. She also finds that 13% of all her customers are less than 30 years old. i. What is the probability that a randomly chosen customer buys a nonfiction book and is under 30? [5%] ii. What is the probability that a customer who is not under 30 does not purchase a nonfiction book? [10%] b. It is known that 96% of the workers in a factory are contributing to the pension scheme provided by the company. Of all contributors, 75% of them are aged more than 55 years, and only 15% of those who are not contributing to the pension scheme are aged more than 55 years. What is the probability that a worker randomly chosen among those aged more than 55 years has contracted the pension? [10%] 3. The manager of an estate agency knows from past experience that the maximum number of houses sold during a week will never be higher than five. The probability distribution of the number of houses sold during a week is shown in the following table: Houses sold 0 1 2 3 4 5 Probability 0.17 0.28 0.30 0.15 0.06 0.04 a. What is the expected number of houses sold in a week for this agency? [10%] b. What is the probability that the agency sells at least 3 houses? [5%] 4. Let Z denote a random variable that follows a standard normal distribution ๐~๐(0,1) And let X denote a random variable that follows a normal distribution with mean 56 and variance 900: ๐~๐(56,900) Find the following probabilities showing all steps [5% each]: a. P(Z<1.24) b. P(-0.25<Z<2.30) c. P(X>47) Version 1 Page 2 of 3 EC1007 All Candidates 5. As part of the quality control of the production process in a factory producing tyres, a random sample of 20 items is taken to be analysed. Historically, the (population) mean weight of the tyres produced is 26 lbs with a (population) standard deviation of 0.75 lbs. The weight of the tyres is assumed to be normally distributed. a. What is the probability that the mean of the sample taken is less than 26.5 lbs? [10%] b. Knowing that the mean weight of the tyres in the sample is 26.3 lbs, construct and interpret the 95% confidence interval for the population mean, µ. [10%] c. Assume now that the population parameters of the distribution are unknown, and that the standard deviation of the weight of the tyres in the sample is 1.25 lbs. Construct and interpret the 99% confidence interval for the mean in this case. [10%] END OF PAPER Version 1 Page 3 of 3
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