DRAINAGE BASIN APPROACH 30% of the lands are severely or very severely degraded in the Sahel, while 67% of the lands are lightly to severely degraded. Humans are responsible for 15 to 38% of the land degradation in the Sahel. The FAO has determined the risk of desertification, an indicator based on the degree of land vulnerability related to current and future climatic and human pressure. The risk changes according to climatic variations, along with human agricultural, pastoral, and environmental practices. The risk of desertification is as follows: 100% in Eritrea, Mauritania, Senegal, and Somalia; 98% in Mali and Chad; 87% in Burkina Faso and Niger; 78% in Sudan; 77% in Kenya; and 63% in Ethiopia. The Sahel region spans Africa from East to West. Etymologically, the Sahel borders the Sahara; however, Kenya (north), Somalia, Eritrea, and Djibouti are generally associated with the area since a large part of their territory is located in dry zones. Uganda (north) will also be included in this report. More than 140 million people in the Sahel live on hyper-arid, arid, semi-arid, and dry and sub-humid lands. (For all indicators compiled by country, see chart in Appendix) about 1650 kg/hectare; it is the lowest in Niger, Somalia, and Sudan, where it is between 400 and 500 kg/hectare. By way of comparison, production is at 7460 kg/hectare in France, seven times higher than it is in the Sahel. Sahelian countries count among those at the lowest levels of classification on the Human Development Index, which is calculated according to life expectancy, education level, and quality of life. The African continent has gone through seven major periods of drought over the past four decades. The droughts of 1972-1974 and of 19811984 had a massive impact on the people of Western Africa and the Horn of Africa, causing deep social and economic disruptions. Periods of drought and food crises have since followed. Today, the countries in the Horn of Africa are going through a severe food crisis affecting more than 12 million people. From East to West, the people in the Sahel practice mainly subsistence agriculture, including livestock-based forms, which is dependent on rainfall. Climatic variations, such as drought and floods, along with the instability of the market price of basic commodity foods, have had a direct impact on the populations’ already-fragile revenue sources. Their vulnerability is too pronounced for them to be able to benefit from permanent food security. 33 to 75% of the territory in Sahelian countries is agricultural land. On average, cereal production is 1108 kg/hectare. Climatic constraints, soil degradation, and poverty (limiting famers’ ability to invest) lead to low agricultural yields. Cereal production is highest in Ethiopia, at Access to basic services such as water, health, and education, differs significantly between urban and rural areas. The countries that are better off regarding access to drinking water in rural areas are Burkina Faso (72%), followed by Cameroon, Djibouti, Eritrea, Kenya, Uganda, Senegal, and Sudan (prior to partition), with coverage rate of 51% and 64%. For Chad, Niger, Mali, and Mauritania, the figure is between 47% and 39%. It is 26% in Ethiopia and 9% in Somalia. Access to drinking water in urban environments is between 98% and 67% for all of the countries, except for Mauritania (52%). All areas considered, access to sanitation is less widespread than access to drinking water, with coverage rates of less than 26% for Burkina, Eritrea, Ethiopia, Mauritania, Niger, Somalia, and Chad. It is less than 56% and more than 26% for Cameroon, Djibouti, Kenya, Mali, Uganda, Senegal, and Sudan. This data does not reflect the massive gaps that can exist between the rural areas within the same country, such as those that can be found between agricultural and pastoral areas. Access to health services remains a troubling problem for the majority of Sahelian countries, even though some progress has been observed, notably regarding the reduction of birth and maternal deaths. There is a lack of quality infrastructure in rural areas. The prevalence of water-borne diseases is significant, as it is for malnutrition, malaria, and HIV (the most affected countries being Uganda, Kenya, Cameroon, Djibouti, and Chad). Major transboundary aquifer systems of West Africa Source : ESRI, Global GIS, WHY MAP Réalisation : M. Niasse, C. Mbow (2006) © Club du Sahel et de l’Afrique de l’Ouest Water is at the heart of the development process The African continent is characterised by very large water systems that find their source in the humid tropical regions and that bring a considerable volume of water into the arid or semiarid regions. These basins cover many countries. The result is a very strong sub-regional interdependency, and population densities whose concentration varies according to water availability and the economic activity that results from it. In the Sahelian countries considered in this study, there are seven major water basins spanning from East to West. There are seven major water basins in the Sahel running from East to West: the Senegal River, the Niger River, the Upper Volta, Lake Chad, the Nile, Lake Turkana, and the Jubba Shibeli The basins have a high proportion of land located in arid and semiarid zones These basins are subject to significant interannual climate variability in the parts found in the Sahel The population dynamics are driven by water availability and fertile soil Pastoral spaces: Agriculture and livestock farming are the main activities throughout the Sahel. Food-producing basins: The Senegal River (Niayes, River Valley, peanut basin); Niger River (the Upper Delta in Guinea, the Inner Delta in Mali, the Coastal Delta in Nigeria); Upper Volta; Ghana; Lake Chad (the lake, the Southern Chad); The Nile (the Nile and the White Nile in Sudan, the Blue Nile in Ethiopia, Sudd in South Sudan, north of Uganda). Mainly located in humid zones, these are the economic centers in the Sahel. They are a hub of development, concentrating important agricultural activity, both modern and subsistence, and industry. Population density is high and continues to increase due to the influx of people from underprivileged rural areas. This demographic pressure makes the processes of desertification and land degradation especially important. Agropastoral spaces: Moderately populated, to the north of the Senegal River basin; northern zone of the Upper Volta basin in Burkina; the mid-central zones of the Niger River basins in Mali, Niger, Chad, and the Nile basin in Sudan; a small part of the Jubba Shibeli basin in Somalia. Aware of the potential compatibility between agriculture and livestock farming, the people of the Sahel are developing more and more agropastoral systems, with a few farmlands and herds of smaller size. No longer able to live through nomadic pastoralism, a number of nomadic herders have started to adopt a more sedentary lifestyle, notably in East Africa. This trend has been having significant repercussions for local nomadic populations, as the settlements are frequently located on transhumance routes (in Sudan, for example), and in more favorable areas attracting settlements (major considerations: accelerating resource degradation, increasing pressure on the availability of arable land, misunderstanding sustainable agricultural practices). Food security in these areas is precarious, being dependent on rainfall. Low in population, situated in “transition” zones between the agropastoral spaces and the desert spaces in the north of the basins, in Mauritania, Mali, Niger, Chad, Sudan; in the lowlands of Ethiopia (south and mid-east), in Djibouti, Somalia (and Somaliland), and Eritrea. The basins of Jubba Shibeli and of Lake Turkana are for a large part pastoral. Livestock farming has undergone considerable expansion in many areas of the Sahel, particularly in the East, which has contributed to the deterioration of pastures. Due to the frequency of draught, the farmers are faced with a scarcity of natural resources that is growing in acuteness. They are forced to seek out pastures in agricultural areas, leading to conflict and longer transhumances. Some see their way of living called into question, and begin diversifying their activities by migrating and settling in more humid areas. Others develop activities complimentary to those of the farmers. Globally, the pastoral populations are relatively marginalized from the Sahelian States’ development policies. Today, 12 million people in the Horn of Africa are going through a food crisis. These are mainly pastoral populations. Desert spaces: Sparsely populated, these are the northern areas of the hydrological basins, to the exception of that of the Upper Volta and of Lake Turkana. Camel farming is practiced. Agriculture is nonexistent, unless it is in small, little-developed oasis systems, such as the gardens of the drainage basins in Djibouti, or north of Ethiopia. Certain spaces are traversed by important traditional commercial routes for livestock, as is the case in Sudan, for example. Major demographic trends The demographic growth rate in the Sahel is high. If a strong trend in urbanization is to be expected, the proportion of rural populations will remain important over the coming decades. The demand for commodity foods could represent one of the levers for a transition from subsistence agriculture towards agroecological intensification. Heavy overall degradation of agricultural lands and pastures in the Sahel Structural drought Demographic pressure Expansion farming Low development indicators Subsistence strategies caused by vulnerability to climatic and economic shifts. of farmlands and livestock Concrete progress made in the fight against desertification Traditional techniques of widespread CA and ANR (Conservation Agriculture and Assisted Natural Regeneration) A significant improvement of cereal production and an increase in market gardening production in areas where investments have been granted Areas of revegetation driven by people of the Sahel, with a return of the tree to the heart of agroecological systems (in more populated areas) People in the Sahel remain extremely vulnerable to food crisis Facing climatic variability Facing unstable market prices of basic commodity foods The development of ecosystem market production, when excessive, translates into a decrease of the overall output of goods and services. Smart agriculture, also known as evergreen agriculture or agroecology, sustainably improves farmland productivity and adaptability to the climate and reduces, if not eliminates, greenhouse gas. It improves food security and helps to carry out development goals. Many smart production systems are already used by farmers and producers all over the world and are strongly encouraged by international organizations such as FAO (Food and Agriculture Organization), UNDP (United Nations Development Programme), and UNEP (United Nations Environment Programme). The average productivity gains can reach 79% when resorting to ecological approaches, according to a UN study. Traditional conservation agriculture (conservation techniques of storm water and assisted natural regeneration). Agroforestry (trees planted or preserved on farmlands for, for example, their fertilizing role; intercropping and small-scale livestock farming). Combined systems to meet food and energy needs (in areas heavily deforested for home energy). Livestock farming ecology (an approach more centered on livestock quality, focusing, for example, on transhumance routes). The main actions initiated in the Sahel to make its people less vulnerable The continuation agriculture. A transition towards a “smart agriculture”: agroforestry, agropastoralism, livestock farming ecology. The development of greater compatibility between agriculture and livestock production. The quality/productivity approach to develop and improve agricultural and livestock farming products in order to reinforce the farmers’ role in the industry. An integrated agricultural systems approach, with the development of sustainable energy. Necessary social measures to support the poorest farmers in initiating the transition towards agroecological intensification The creation of funding opportunities connected to payment for environmental services (carbon). of conservation The Sahelian Populations A population in demographic transition: greater life expectancy, a reduction of birth mortality rates... A demographic boom with growth of more than 3% per year over decades Marginalised groups: women (despite being significantly implicated in economic life), youth (unemployment and job uncertainty), pastoral populations (with a traditional lifestyle, in remote areas) Migration and Population Zones A strong trend towards urbanization and rural population growth (a false idea of rural depopulation) Strategic migratory movements for economic reasons within the same country and within the Sahel. Western Africa, notably, is historically an area of intermixing of peoples. An influx of climate and conflict refugees towards more favorable and stable areas. Economic Growth and Employment A growth rate of about 5%, yet insufficient to reach the Millennium Development Goals (7% is required) Per capita gross income between $340 and $1670 among the least developed countries (LDC). The highest incomes are in Sudan and Djibouti, but this does not reflect the regional disparities within the countries. An expanding domestic market, along with an evolution of nutritional needs towards products that are more easily consumed (rice, vegetables...) The informal sector is the main provider of jobs, with an important part in agriculture and the majority in urban areas Youth are particularly affected by unemployment (difficulty accessing land, instability). Rural Population Total Population in % (4) ***(4) % Pop Living On Less Than 2 $/Day (Poverty) (5) HDI Rank Human Development Index 2011 (Out of 187 countries) Kenya 39 802 015 78% 47% 143 Cameroon 19 521 645 42% 8% 150 Mauritania 3 290 630 59% 16% 159 Uganda 32 709 865 87% 25% 161 Senegal 12 534 228 57% 25% 155 Djibouti 864 202 12% 74% 165 Sudan 42 272 435 56% 47% 169 Ethiopia 82 824 732 83% 44% 174 Mali 13 010 209 67% 37% 175 Burkina Faso 15 756 927 80% 39% 181 Chad 11 206 152 73% 44% 183 Niger 15 290 102 83% 63% 186 Eritrea 5 073 279 79% 69% 177 Somalia 9 133 124 63% 81.2%** Not Ranked (1) Source: World Bank, 2008 (2) Source: World Bank, 2009 (3) Source: World Bank, recorded data between 2006 et 2010 (4) Source: UNAIDS 2008 Report on the Global AIDS Epidemic (population between 15 et 49 years). Higher prevalence in Central and Southern Africa. (1) Source: World Bank, 2009 (percentage relating to children from enrollment age to primary school) * In 2005, according to the World Bank (5) Source: UNDP in 2002 ** in 2008 (Source: UNDP) (6) Source: World Bank, 2009. The cereal yield, measured in kilograms per hectare of harvested cropland, is comprised of wheat, rice, corn, bran, rye, millet, sorghum, buckwheat, and mixed grains. By way of comparison, the cereal yield in France is 7460 kg / ha. (7) Source: World Bank, 2010. The forest area designates the lands with trees either present naturally or planted, whether these lands be productive or not. WATER AND SANITATION (1) % Urban % Rural Pop % Pop Pop with with with AcAccess to Access cess to Drinking to SanitaWater Drinking tion Water HEALTH Prevalence Life Exof pectancy Fertility Malnuat Birth Rate (2) trition (Years) (Weight ) (3) EDUCATION (6) Prevalence of HIV (4) Primary School Enrollment Secondary School Enrollment PostSecondary Enrollment Adult Literacy Rate Burkina Faso 72% 95% 11% 53 5.8 26% 1% 78% 20% 3% 29% Cameroon 51% 92% 47% 51 4.5 17% 5% 114% 41% 9% 71% Djibouti 52% 98% 56% 57 3.8 30% 3% 54% 30% 3% N/A Eritrea 57% 74% 14% 60 4.5 N/A 1% 40% 32% 2% 67% Ethiopia 26% 98% 12% 56 5.2 34.6%* N/A 102% 34% 4% 30% Kenya 52% 83% 31% 55 4.9 16% 6% 113% 59% 4% 87% Mali 44% 81% 36% 49 6.5 28% 1% 95% 38% 6% 26% Mauritania 47% 52% 26% 57 4.4 17% 1% 104% 24% 4% 57% Niger 39% 96% 9% 52 7.1 40% 1% 62% 12% 1% N/A Uganda 64% 91% 48% 53 6.3 16% 7% 122% 27% 4% 73% Senegal 52% 92% 51% 56 4.7 N/A 1% 84% 30% 8% 50% Somalia 9% 67% 23% 50 6.4 33% 1% 33% 8% N/A N/A Sudan 52% 64% 34% 58 4.1 32% 1% 74% 38% N/A 70% Chad 44% 67% 9% 49 6.1 N/A 3% 90% 24% 2% 34% 83% 87% 57% 63% 56% 73% 32 709 865 12 534 228 9 133 124 42 272 435 11 206 152 Uganda Senegal Somalia Sudan Chad Mauritania 59% 67% 13 010 209 Mali 3 290 630 78% 39 802 015 Kenya 15 290 102 83% Niger 79% 5 073 279 82 824 732 12% 864 202 Djibouti Ethiopia 42% 19 521 645 Cameroon Eritrea 80% 15 756 927 Rural Population in % ***(4) Burkina Faso Total Population (4) 1 284 000 2 498 000 642 000 197 000 242 000 1 189 000 1 054 000 1 250 000 591 000 1 133 000 122 000 22 000 465 000 276 000 Total Area in km² 38% 39% 66% 0% 0% 53% 78% 51% 11% 10% 42% 99% 0% 0% Hyper-Arid Land (Deserts) 19% 11% 20% 0% 0% 15% 7% 11% 19% 19% 8% 1% 0% 0% Arid Land 23% 17% 14% 46% 0% 14% 14% 19% 31% 15% 50% 0% 2% 20% SemiArid Land 19% 19% 1% 54% 0% 1% 0% 18% 18% 23% 0% 0% 8% 66% Dry SubHumid Land Total Drylands in km² 70 760 220 46 500 0 61% 783 240 35% 224 700 1 174 47% 060 100% 197 000 0% 30% 356 700 21% 221 340 48% 600 000 68% 401 880 57% 645 810 58% 1% 10% 86% 237 360 (Without Deserts) Total % Drylands Drylands (1) 91% 73% 31% 89% 0% 97% 55% 84% 27% 28% 97% 0% 22% 91% % Pop Living in Dry Areas (1)** 10 197 598 30 858 878 2 831 268 11 155 463 0 14 831 399 1 809 847 10 928 576 10 746 544 23 190 925 4 921 081 0 4 294 762 14 338 804 (Without Dry Sub-Humid Land) Population Living in Dry Areas Agricultural and Forest Land Agricultur- Irrigated al Land in Agricultur% al Land in (5) % Burkina Faso Cameroon Djibouti Eritrea Ethiopia Kenya Mali Mauritania Niger Uganda Senegal Somalia Sudan Chad 45% 19% 73% 75% 35% 48% 33% 39% 34% 66% 48% 70% 58% 39% Economic Growth Rate (1) Burkina Faso Cameroon Djibouti Eritrea Ethiopia Kenya Mali Mauritania Niger Uganda Senegal Somalia Sudan South Soudan Chad 5.8% 3.0% 4.5% 2.2% 8.0% 4.0% 4.5% 4.7% 7.5% 5.2% 4.2% 2.6% 5.1% N/A 5.1% Cereal Yield (in kg per ha) (6) Forest Area (3) in % (7) 1 035 1 574 1 667 938 1 652 1 204 1 588 873 489 1 539 1 135 417 587 812 21% 42% 0% 15% 12% 6% 10% 0.2% 1% 15% 44% 11% 29% 9% N/A N/A N/A N/A 0.5% 0.1% N/A N/A N/A N/A 0.7% N/A 1.3% N/A Gross Annual Income per capita in 2010 (2) $550 $1180 $1270 $340 $390 $790 $600 $1030 $370 $500 $1090 $600 $1642 $984 $620 Unemployment Rate in 2010 (1) * Pop Youth Rate (0 to 14 years) in 2010 (2) 77% 30% 59% N/A 20.5% 40% 30% 30% N/A N/A 48% N/A 19% N/A N/A 45% 41% 36% 42% 41% 42% 47% 40% 49% 48% 44% 45% 40% N/A 45% Youth Unemployme nt Rate in 2010 (less than 25 years) (1) N/A N/A N/A N/A 25% N/A N/A N/A 3% N/A 15% N/A N/A N/A N/A Source (1) CIA World Factbook - Version January 2011. * The unemployment data don’t take into account the significant role played by the informal economy in employment. Source (2) World Bank Crédits photo: Alexandre GELEBART/20 Minutes/SOS SAHEL ; Michel Maindru/SOS SAHEL.
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