Emil Vahtera, Daniel J. Conley, Bo G. Gustafsson, Harri Kuosa, Heikki Pitkänen, Oleg P. Savchuk, Timo Tamminen, Markku Viitasalo, Maren Voss, Norbert Wasmund and Fredrik Wulff Internal Ecosystem Feedbacks Enhance Nitrogen-fixing Cyanobacteria Blooms and Complicate Management in the Baltic Sea ?1 ?2 ?4 Eutrophication of the Baltic Sea has potentially increased the frequency and magnitude of cyanobacteria blooms. Eutrophication leads to increased sedimentation of organic material, increasing the extent of anoxic bottoms subsequently increasing the internal phosphorus loading. In addition, the hypoxic water volume displays a negative relationship with the total dissolved inorganic nitrogen pool, suggesting greater overall nitrogen removal with increased hypoxia. Enhanced internal loading of phosphorus and the removal of dissolved inorganic nitrogen leads to lower nitrogen to phosphorus ratios, which are one of the main factors promoting nitrogen-fixing cyanobacteria blooms. Because cyanobacteria blooms in the open waters of the Baltic Sea seem to be strongly regulated by internal processes, the effects of external nutrient reductions are scale-dependent. During longer time scales, reductions in external phosphorus load may reduce cyanobacteria blooms; however, on shorter time scales the internal phosphorus loading can counteract external phosphorus reductions. The coupled processes inducing internal loading, nitrogen removal, and the prevalence of nitrogen-fixing cyanobacteria can qualitatively be described as a potentially self-sustaining ‘‘vicious circle.’’ To effectively reduce cyanobacteria blooms and overall signs of eutrophication, reductions in both nitrogen and phosphorus external loads appear essential. INTRODUCTION ?5 Extensive blooms formed by cyanobacteria capable of biological fixation of dissolved atmospheric dinitrogen gas (N2 fixation) have been a recurring phenomenon in the Baltic Sea since at least the 1960s (1). They are noxious and relevant to the ecosystem and to society because of the formation of a conspicuous surface scum, toxicity, and large nitrogen inputs through N2 fixation. Traditionally, phosphorus alone has been considered as the limiting nutrient for N2-fixing cyanobacteria. In this article we present how elemental cycles of nitrogen and oxygen are interlinked with the phosphorus cycle in basin-wide and long-term processes. To manage cyanobacteria blooms, we must resolve the relative importance of nutrient supply and internal biogeochemical processes. Most of the nutrient load to the Baltic Sea arrives at the coast, but the most striking cyanobacteria blooms appear in offshore pelagic regions of the basin. It is apparent that the actions controlling external nutrient loads, except those concerning atmospheric load, can directly affect coastal ecosystems in source regions. The external loads may be filtered by the coastal zone and propagated offshore. The Baltic Sea, with long residence times and strong internal nutrient recycling, thus poses a challenge for ecosystem research and the management of nutrient inputs. In this article we summarize the prevailing knowledge on the controlling mechanisms of Baltic Sea cyanobacteria blooms and highlight the gaps in the present knowledge for the long-term restoration of this eutrophied ecosystem. Ambio Vol. 36, No. 2/3, Month 2007 BALTIC SEA CYANOBACTERIA The dominant species of cyanobacteria in the open Baltic Sea are the heterocyte (2)-possessing, N2-fixing, filamentous species belonging to the order Nostocales; Nodularia spumigena Mertens (hepatotoxic); Aphanizomenon flos-aquae (L.) Ralfs (presently regarded as nontoxic) (3, 4); and Anabaena spp. (potentially neurotoxic) (5). Along with the heterocyte-possessing filamentous species, either filamentous or coccoid colonyforming species without heterocytes (not capable of N2 fixation) frequently occur. The small coccoid species may also dominate pelagic cyanobacteria biomass (6, 7). Filamentous species without heterocytes or the colonial species, which include toxic species like Microcystis, are abundant in eutrophied coastal areas. They can form extensive surface-accumulating blooms, but it is the N2-fixing filamentous species that generally produce the conspicuous property of the large-scale pelagic blooms. Pigments from sediment cores indicate that cyanobacteria have been present in the brackish Baltic Sea for 7000–8000 years (8, 9), but anthropogenic nutrient loading may have intensified their blooms (1, 10). The extent, intensity, and species composition of cyanobacteria blooms show temporal variation on interannual and intraannual scales and spatial variation ranging from the scale of Langmuir circulation to Baltic Sea–wide horizontal inhomogeneities with distinct vertical distribution patterns within the euphotic zone (11–16). Geographically, the blooms are mainly confined to the Baltic Proper, the Gulf of Finland, and the Gulf of Riga, with occasional blooms in the Bothnian Sea and the Belt Seas (11, 12). This distribution pattern may be caused by the low nitrogen to phosphorus (N : P) ratios (17) and/or the mesohaline conditions (6, 18) prevailing in the central and eastern Baltic Sea. Satellite imagery shows that blooms can cover areas larger than 60,000 km2 (11), which is approximately 16% of the entire Baltic Sea surface area. The N2-fixing cyanobacteria start to grow primarily in June after the exhaustion of dissolved inorganic nitrogen (DIN) and reach bloom concentrations in July or early August (19). Upwelling water rich in dissolved inorganic phosphate (DIP) may also initiate local blooms (20, 21). Variations in the intensity and occurrence of blooms are dependent upon wintertime nutrient conditions (22, 23), surface layer salinity, temperature and solar irradiation (18), summer stratification conditions (21), upwelling (20), and frontal processes (21, 24). Nutrient limitation characteristics of the different cyanobacteria diverge because of the N2-fixation capability of the heterocyte-possessing filamentous species. The N2-fixing species are most likely limited by phosphorus availability (25, 26), and growth may be inhibited by sulfate that impedes N2 fixation (6). The non–N2-fixing species are primarily limited by nitrogen availability, with phosphorus and iron as potential secondary limiting factors (6, 26). However, as the dominant N2-fixing species differ in their limitation patterns and stoichiometry, the species composition and spatial and temporal occurrence of blooms are affected by nutrient availability (27, 28). Meteoro- Ó Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences 2007 http://www.ambio.kva.se 1 ?6 ?7 logical conditions also shape the spatial occurrence of blooms (29). Sedimentary and grazing losses of filamentous species are generally small, and most of the biomass is decomposed in the surface layer (30–32). Blooms are terminated by several factors, including nutrient limitation, mixing events, decreased solar irradiation, decreasing water temperature, and possibly viral lysis (18, 33). The amount of N2-fixing cyanobacteria increased from 1968 to 1981 (34), and the increase in late-summer chlorophyll a concentrations in the 1990s (35) may be related to increases in the abundance of cyanobacteria. The N2-fixation capability of some of the cyanobacteria causes large additional nitrogen inputs to the Baltic Sea during summer. N2-fixation estimates span a wide range, reflecting the patchy nature and interannual variability of the blooms, as well as, partly, methodological difficulties. Recent estimates suggest that cyanobacteria N2 fixation can introduce 180,000–430,000 tonnes (19, 36) of new nitrogen annually [values as high as 790,000 tonnes have been suggested (19)], supporting new production during nitrogen-limited periods. N2 fixation has supported new production to a variable extent and has been estimated to supply the phytoplankton community with enough nitrogen to account for 27% of total nitrogen uptake during summer bloom conditions (37). In other studies, 5–10% of total fixed nitrogen was found in the picoplanktonic size fraction during a bloom (38), and uptake was observed to be dominated by regenerated forms of nitrogen (37, 39). However, more recent estimates show that N2 fixation can supply up to 50–90% of total nitrogen demand (7, 27) and can account for 18–23% of net primary production during a 108-day period of new production from 28 March to 13 July 2001 (40) and for 30–90% of net community production from June to August (36). Also, it is estimated that up to 45% of mesozooplankton nitrogen demand is contributed by nitrogen fixation through trophic vectors (41). Thus, N2 fixation appears to have an important role in supporting production in nitrogen-deficient areas. Phosphorus availability is the most important factor setting the maximum limits on the magnitude of cyanobacteria blooms. The biomass of N2-fixing cyanobacteria is correlated with the wintertime phosphorus pools and the excess amount of phosphorus remaining after the spring bloom, which is based on the assumption of a balanced Redfield-ratio uptake of nutrients during the spring bloom (Excess DIP ¼ DIP–DIN/16, in molar units) (22, 23). Nevertheless, the correlation is not ubiquitous (19), and considerable temporal and spatial variation occurs between years and in different basins of the Baltic Sea. Thus, resolving how the coupled large-scale biogeochemical cycles of nitrogen and phosphorus regulate cyanobacteria blooms is of great relevance. Therefore, we explored the pool sizes of nitrogen and phosphorus, the regulation of these pools, and the balance of nitrogen and phosphorus supply to the productive upper mixed layer on the scale of the entire Baltic Sea. NITROGEN AND PHOSPHORUS MASS BALANCES Data and Methods To examine the variation of water-column pools of nitrogen we applied a basin-wide approach as previously done for phosphorus (42). Nitrogen pools were summed up for three subbasins where N2 fixation occurs: the Baltic Proper and the Gulfs of Finland and Riga. Annually averaged pools of total nitrogen (TN) and DIN as well as volumes of water confined by the oxygen isosurfaces of 0 and 1 mL L1 were computed with the Data Assimilation System (43) on three-dimensional fields reconstructed from observations found in the Baltic Environment Database (BED) (Stockholm University, Department of Systems Ecology, Marine Ecosystems Modeling Group, http:// 2 data.ecology.su.se/models/bed.htm), which includes a vast amount of data from monitoring programs and scientific cruises in the region. The time series of combined nitrogen input to the Baltic Proper from land and atmospheric sources was compiled from several sources (44), including (45), unpublished data in BED, the periodic load compilations by HELCOM (e.g. 46), (47), and published and unpublished data from the Cooperative Programme for Monitoring and Evaluation of the Long-range Transmission of Air Pollutants in Europe (e.g. 48). Results The pool of phosphorus in the water column shows large variation between years, the variation being up to three times the size of the average annual allochthonous load (42). The winter-to-winter changes in the basin-wide DIP pool in the Baltic Proper are correlated to the changes in bottom area covered by hypoxic water, but not to changes in total phosphorus load (42). Thus, regarding the phosphorus availability of N2-fixing cyanobacteria, internal processes, i.e. the sediment release of phosphorus into deep-water layers and the conveyance of this phosphorus pool to the upper mixed layer, are the key factors. The deep-water phosphate concentrations in the Gulf of Finland and Baltic Proper have increasing trends during stagnation periods with low oxygen concentrations in deep waters (49, 50); this is also mirrored in the winter mixed surface layer concentrations (49, 51). Because N2-fixing cyanobacteria are dependent on the availability of phosphorus and generally gain competitive advantage from low DIN : DIP ratios (e.g. 17), the regulation of the nitrogen pool is also of importance; next we examine factors regulating the total DIN pool of the Baltic Sea. The long-term annual (mean 6 SD) load is 752,000 6 98,000 tonnes nitrogen for the 33-year period examined, during which no clear and definite long-term trends were observed (Fig. 1). Fluctuations can be explained by climatic variations, particularly in freshwater runoff. For the TN pool there is a long-term increasing trend until the mid-1980s, but there were several problems with analytical methods used in many of the laboratories in the early 1970s, so data from this period should be taken with caution. The average year-to-year variation in nitrogen load is ca. 72,000 tonnes, whereas the corresponding variation in the TN pool in the Gulfs of Finland and Riga and the Baltic Proper combined is about 225,000 tonnes. No clear correlation between loads and either the pool itself or its year-to-year changes were observed. The annual net exchange of TN between the Baltic Proper and adjacent basins is about 120,000 tonnes (52, 53) and varies between years by less than 30,000 tonnes (44). Subsequently, exchange processes cannot explain the variations in the TN pool. However, there is a significant negative relationship between the DIN pool and hypoxic water volume (Fig. 2). The relationship suggests that losses of the DIN pool through nitrogen removal processes may be higher during periods of hypoxia. The relative role of nitrogen removal processes in the pelagic water column is unknown. Denitrification has been observed at the interface of anoxic and oxic waters in the stratified Baltic Proper (54, 55), but the importance of the process cannot be determined from these measurements. The loss of nitrogen through the anammox process has been observed to occur in the oxygen-poor and ammonia-rich environment of the eastern Gotland Basin (56) and could potentially be responsible for some nitrogen losses on a Baltic Sea scale as well. By simply relating the amount of nitrogen load to the study area surface layer volume we should see an increase in nitrogen concentrations due to the external load. If we assume that the 752,000 tonnes of total nitrogen transported annually by rivers Ó Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences 2007 http://www.ambio.kva.se Ambio Vol. 36, No. 2/3, Month 2007 ?8 Figure 1. Long-term variations of the annually averaged TN pool in the Baltic Proper, the Gulf of Finland, and the Gulf of Riga and external annual nitrogen inputs (t TN y1) to the area. Figure 2. Relationship between total amounts of DIN in the Baltic Proper, the Gulf of Finland, and the Gulf of Riga and hypoxic water volume confined by isosurfaces of 0 and 1 mL O2 L1 in the same basins. and deposited from the atmosphere would be instantaneously mixed into the 14,500 km3 of the surface layer (0–60 m) in the Baltic Proper, the Gulf of Finland, and the Gulf of Riga and that there would be no net exchange of nitrogen between the study area and the neighboring basins, an annual increase of about 3.7 lM nitrogen would be observed. The amount would be even larger with N2 fixation added. This hypothetical increase in nitrogen concentration in surface waters has not been observed in long-term observations (57); therefore a considerable sink of nitrogen is postulated by models (58, 59) and has been confirmed by empirical budgets (52, 53) and direct measurements (54, 60). Denitrification in sandy coastal sediments has been suggested as one of the major sinks for nitrogen entering the Baltic Sea (57). A loss of all river DIN discharging into the Baltic Proper and the Gulfs of Finland and Riga (344,000 t y1) over the coastal area of these basins shallower than 30 m (80,000 km2) would result in a loss of 0.84 mmol N m2 d1, roughly matching denitrification rates as reported from deep bottom sediments of the Gulf of Finland (60). During the productive season, autotrophic nitrate uptake and sedimentation of particulate organic nitrogen taking place in the coastal zone explains the low nitrate concentrations found already at relatively short distances (tens of kilometers) from the coast (61, 62). Coastal areas of the Baltic Sea shallower than 30 m receive high nitrogen loads that are rapidly turned over during the productive season (62). In the northern parts of the Baltic Ambio Vol. 36, No. 2/3, Month 2007 Sea, the terrestrial loads are, however, conveyed almost intact toward the offshore system during winter months. Thus, similar to phosphorus, internal processes, N2 fixation, denitrification, anammox, sedimentation, and trophic transfer control the annual variations of nitrogen concentrations in the open sea to a greater extent than external loads. The net effect of these processes and the magnitudes of N2 fixation and N2 production counteracting each other cannot be estimated from mass balance calculations without direct measurements of these processes. Nevertheless, load reductions might have more pronounced effects on smaller spatial scales in subbasins. The separate subbasins have their own characteristic internal dynamics in their nitrogen budgets. For example, in the Gulf of Finland a 35% reduction of external nitrogen load from the late 1980s to the late 1990s was observed (63). During the same period, wintertime DIN concentrations in the Gulf decreased by 20–30% (64). Simultaneous decreases in external nitrogen load and winter DIN appear to have taken place also in the Gulf of Riga (65). Possible reasons for this discrepancy between the Baltic Proper and the Gulfs of Finland and Riga can be different ratios of load versus mean annual nitrogen content of a basin, which were 1 : 2.6 for the Gulf of Finland, 1 : 1.9 for the Gulf of Riga, and 1 : 5.2 for the Baltic Proper (53). Thus, the shorter residence time of water and nitrogen in the Gulfs of Finland and Riga probably enable the decreased loads to affect the basin-wide nitrogen dynamics more Ó Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences 2007 http://www.ambio.kva.se 3 Figure 3. Annual cycles of (a) salinity (PSU), (b) temperature (8C), (c) nitrate (lM), (d) phosphate (lM), (e) organic nitrogen (lM) and (f) organic phosphorus (lM) at a central Baltic Sea monitoring station (BY15, eastern Gotland basin). Estimates for organic nutrients were acquired by subtracting the dissolved inorganic fraction from total nutrients. Average values for 1994–2004. rapidly than in the Baltic Proper. Furthermore, denitrification is possibly favored in the gulfs because of the relatively large proportion of bottom sediments at depths of 30–60 m, i.e. above the permanent halocline, ensuring the availability of nitrate in the denitrification process in the sediments. HYDROGRAPHIC AND BIOGEOCHEMICAL CONTROLS OF CYANOBACTERIA BLOOMS Data and Methods We analyzed the annual development of nitrogen and phosphorus pools and how they are related to hydrography and biogeochemistry. The data were acquired mainly from the Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute, but also from monitoring data from other nations. Data from the station BY15 in the central Eastern Gotland basin for 1994–2005 were used for analysis of the annual development of nutrient 4 concentrations. The number of vertical profiles used ranges from 139 to 170, depending on the parameter. The vertical average concentrations in Figure 3 are computed by first interpolating the measurements vertically to a 1-m resolution; they are then integrated using the hypsographic function for the Baltic Proper, excluding the Gulf of Finland, the Gulf of Riga, and the Bornholm basin. The monthly averages for specific depth intervals presented in Figure 4 are based on 8–20 profiles per month, with the highest measurement frequency being in August and the lowest in November and December. Data for Figure 5 were acquired from BED. Results The onset of the spring bloom is controlled by average light conditions and stratification in the surface layer (66). At the termination of the spring bloom, most of the DIN and much of the DIP is consumed in the Baltic Proper, on average down to Ó Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences 2007 http://www.ambio.kva.se Ambio Vol. 36, No. 2/3, Month 2007 Figure 4. Monthly averages of vertical means for the years 1994–2004 of observations from a central Baltic Sea monitoring station (BY15, eastern Gotland basin) in different depth intervals. The vertical means are computed using the hypsographic function for the Baltic Proper, excluding the Gulfs of Finland and Riga, and Bornholm and Arkona basins. the permanent halocline (60 m) (Fig. 3c,d). In recent years the spring bloom is terminated because of the lack of available DIN, with excess DIP remaining in the surface layer. However, DIP concentrations continue to decrease during the summer. In most years DIP concentrations reach levels that limit phytoplankton growth, with some DIP available below the summer thermocline (15–20 m) (Fig. 3d). After the spring bloom, roughly 50% of the consumed inorganic nutrients remain in the surface layer, but in organic forms (Fig. 3e,f). Significant increases in pelagic inorganic nutrient concentrations above the halocline occur again in October (Fig. 3c,d). From the average time series in the Baltic Proper, about half of the winter surface pool is built up from the regeneration of nutrients, the nutrient load, and, possibly, vertical diffusion between October and December, whereas the remaining half comes with vertical mixing in January and February. A closer look at the integrated amount of nutrients in the upper 60 m reveals that, on average, DIP concentrations increase from 0.25 lM to 0.35 lM from September to December, whereas total phosphorus (TP) remains constant (Fig. 4). This means that remineralized phosphorus builds up as a bioavailable DIP pool instead of being used or lost through burial or other processes. An increase of ca. 0.15 lM in both DIP and TP concentrations occurs from December to January, with an additional increase of ca. 0.10 lM reaching 0.60 lM in March (Fig. 4). Dissolved inorganic nitrogen and TN follow the same pattern; an increase in DIN from about 1 lM in September to 2.5 lM in December occurs with an insignificant change in TN. This change is followed by an increase of ca. 2 lM in both DIN and TN concentrations during the winter months (Fig. 4). Averaged over the same water volume, the nutrient loads to the Baltic Proper correspond to approximately 0.25 lM mo1 (or 3 lM y1) nitrogen (365,000 t y1) and 0.005 lM month1 (0.06 lM y1) phosphorus (18,300 t y1). Contrasting to that of nitrogen, the monthly load of TP is small relative to pool size Ambio Vol. 36, No. 2/3, Month 2007 and therefore does not cause detectable changes in concentration on seasonal time scales. Neglecting loads and horizontal advection, we estimate that about 40% of the winter DIP pool above 60 m comes from regeneration in the upper water column and 60% from mixing/ advection from below. Roughly the same figures apply for DIN, but here atmospheric loads should be taken into account. Atmospheric deposition of nitrogen is about 2 g m2 y1 (e.g. 48) or 2.5 lM y1 in a 60-m column. Thus, for the period from October to March the atmospheric contribution should be about 1.2 lM, or 35% of the total increase. The increase in TN in the upper 20-m layer in July (Fig. 4) is indicative of nitrogen fixation. The fixed nitrogen is efficiently removed from the system, as shown by the decreasing TN concentrations beginning in August (Fig. 4). Water column increases of DIN are observed by November. TN and DIN concentrations have a rather similar annual pattern at deeper depths in contrast to the upper 20-m layer, which would indicate a loss of the fixed nitrogen in the upper (0–20 m) water column. Therefore, fixed nitrogen seems to be removed by some process (potentially denitrification or anammox at intermediate depths) from the offshore system before the winter period. Rapid settling of particulate material can also remove fixed nitrogen from the water column. Baltic Sea deep waters (. 180 m) have a depleted d15N-signal, indicative of nitrogen fixation (67), and nitrogen has a greater sedimentary loss than carbon or phosphorus (68). However, the relative contribution of settling losses of nitrogen introduced to the system by N2 fixation is poorly known. The year-to-year variations in surface layer DIN and DIP are sensitive to hydrographic conditions because a large proportion of the winter pools of both surface water DIN and DIP comes from vertical mixing and advection from below the halocline, as shown above. In periods when the halocline is weak and well ventilated, oxygen conditions are improved, resulting in lower DIP and higher DIN concentrations, Ó Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences 2007 http://www.ambio.kva.se 5 Figure 5. Vertical distribution of nitrate and nitrite and phosphate concentrations from the central Baltic Sea (monitoring station BY15, eastern Gotland basin) in relation to oxygen conditions (black contours, 0–2 mL O2 L1). Values are 90-day averages. especially nitrate, in deep waters. The opposite occurs when the halocline is strong and hypoxia/anoxia reaches higher into the water column. DIP concentrations tend to be high whereas nitrate concentrations are lower (Fig. 5). REGULATION OF PELAGIC, COASTAL, AND LOCAL CYANOBACTERIA BLOOMS The excess phosphorus that is regulated by internal processes governs the offshore pelagic cyanobacteria blooms. This phosphorus is channeled to the cyanobacteria through uptake of DIP to cellular stores (27, 36) and through recycling processes within the planktonic food web (27, 69), whereas coastal and local blooms might mainly be regulated by different factors. Coastal blooms are either laterally advected from the open sea or they can develop in situ. The in situ formation is often preceded by additional inputs of phosphorus to the surface layer by upwelling and followed by calm conditions. The response time-scale in biomass is measured in weeks because of the slow growth of filamentous cyanobacteria. Coastal blooms generated by upwellings are dominated by Aphanizomenon in the Gulf of Finland (20, 29). However, several cyanobacteria species can co-occur in coastal blooms, and niche separation for 6 the N2-fixing Aphanizomenon and Nodularia, suggested by Niemistö et al. (15), reflects their different nutritional and physiological properties (21, 27, 28, 36). Local blooms are more variable in space and time than the offshore or coastal blooms. Occasional large blooms may occur in sheltered basins in archipelagos often affected by local landbased nutrient inputs, with a more variable species composition than offshore or coastal blooms. Blooms often include Microcystis, Planktothrix, Oscillatoria, and Pseudanabaena species (1 and references therein), which are non–N2-fixing species and consequently compete for DIN with other phytoplankton taxa. The main triggering factor for these blooms may be exceptionally strong stratification and warm water, as well as selective grazing favoring cyanobacteria. A VICIOUS CIRCLE? The Baltic Sea basins, where the conspicuous cyanobacteria blooms occur, have been generally nitrogen-limited throughout the growth season (70–73), which gives cyanobacteria a competitive advantage during summer months, but also affects the seasonal dynamics of planktonic production and sedimentation. The loading of nitrogen directly enhances production during the spring bloom, which is quantitatively the most Ó Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences 2007 http://www.ambio.kva.se Ambio Vol. 36, No. 2/3, Month 2007 Figure 6. A schematic presentation of main feedback processes that inhibit recovery from eutrophication and favor cyanobacteria blooms in the Baltic Sea. The vicious circle is potentially sustained by nitrogen(N)-limited production and sedimentation of phytoplankton, especially during the spring bloom, and subsequent oxygen depletion in bottom waters, causing internal loading of phosphorus (P). Physical transport of released phosphorus to surface layers would enhance N2 fixation by diazotrophic cyanobacteria. These seasonal feedbacks between biogeochemical cycles of nitrogen, phosphorus, and oxygen can effectively counteract reductions in the external phosphorus loading to the system if nitrogen loading is not reduced as well. Grey arrows depict material flows. Thin arrows depict causal relationships and successive events. Several potential feedback mechanisms and limiting factors are omitted for clarity. For details, see text. important production period annually both in the offshore Baltic Proper (40), and even more so in coastal regions (30, 68, 74). A large part of this nitrogen-fueled production is lost from the upper mixed layer through sedimentation, and it comprises the major sedimentation event on a seasonal scale (30, 74, 75). When decomposed in bottom waters of the stratified Baltic Sea, sedimenting biomass consumes near-bottom water oxygen. Phosphate is released from the sediments during hypoxic and anoxic conditions. External nitrogen loading thus appears to boost internal phosphorus loading through these seasonal feedbacks. Recent studies suggest that repeated hypoxic events lead to an increase in further hypoxia (76), creating a regime shift in benthic communities and changes in organic matter processing (77). This feedback creates a persistent internal loading of phosphate even if external nutrient loads are reduced. When phosphate that is released from sediments reaches the surface waters because of annual turnovers or summertime upwellings, the occurrences of cyanobacteria blooms are potentially increased. Major saltwater inflows have also been noted to stimulate cyanobacteria blooms by lifting up phosphate-rich deep waters (78). Increased blooms of N2-fixing cyanobacteria again incur further anoxia through increased nitrogen input to the generally nitrogen-limited summer-time pelagic ecosystem. In addition to affecting sediment release of phosphorus, the hypoxic water volume has a negative relationship with the total DIN pool of the Baltic Sea. Therefore, the same conditions that increase internal loading of phosphorus tend to increase nitrogen removal, further facilitating the occurrence of N2fixing cyanobacteria by lowering the DIN : DIP ratio. The increased nitrogen removal with increasing hypoxia might be related to the increasing area of the oxic and anoxic interface Ambio Vol. 36, No. 2/3, Month 2007 area where denitrification is possible and nitrate supply is not limiting the process. These connections accentuate the internal regulation of the present eutrophied state of the Baltic Sea, which might be qualitatively described as a vicious circle (73). The vicious circle (Fig. 6) depicts the relationships between the nitrogen, phosphorus, and oxygen cycles and how the feedbacks between these elements may work. It is forced and controlled by both external and internal nutrient loading and physical forcing. The potentially self-sustaining vicious circle can effectively counteract reductions in the external phosphorus loading to the system, as is evidenced in the Gulf of Finland (63). Because of these feedbacks, the Baltic Sea seems to be in a state of inhibited recovery regarding eutrophication. The nitrogen inputs through N2 fixation and other sources are approximately balanced by the losses (denitrification, including anammox, and permanent burial). This is suggested by the relatively constant winter DIN concentrations. But, only a few measurements on DIN loss rates have been made in the pelagic Baltic Proper (54–56, 79–81) , and the regulation of the loss rates by either organic matter supply (54) or reduced sulfur compounds (79) is unknown. How the feedback between input and removal of DIN works in detail is an important subject for future work. Phosphorus losses are coupled with the state of anoxia in the basin. By moderating the area of reducing sediments and the volume of anoxic water, DIP concentrations will decline. Since the magnitude of the DIN-limited spring bloom affects the amount of sedimenting organic material to a large extent annually, the external load of both nitrogen and phosphorus will have to be reduced to curb anoxia and the amount of N2fixing cyanobacteria. Ó Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences 2007 http://www.ambio.kva.se 7 CONCLUSIONS The size of the total nitrogen pool in the Baltic Sea is governed by internal processes (N2 fixation, denitrification, anammox, trophic transfer, permanent burial, resuspension) to a larger extent than by external loading, as evidenced by the considerable amplitude of the annual variation in the TN pool in relation to average annual loads. Hypoxic water volume shows a negative relationship with the DIN pool; however, the relative importance of each individual process governing the nitrogen pool size remains to be resolved. Wintertime DIN and DIP pools are largely governed by hydrography in the offshore system. Approximately 40% of the annual replenishment of DIP in the surface layer stems from remineralization of organic phosphorus originating from the previous growth season and 60% from deep water by mixing events. For DIN the internal sources have a similar relation, whereas an additional input from atmospheric sources during October to March constitutes 35% of the wintertime total increase. The nitrogen input caused by biological N2 fixation is removed by internal processes, either by burial, trophic transfers, denitrification, or anammox. Both phosphorus and nitrogen transformations, including physicochemical and biological reactions, which are mediated by microbial activity, are indirectly connected to oxygen conditions controlled by organic matter sedimentation and hydrography. The pelagic nutrient budgets for both nitrogen and phosphorus are largely unaffected by short-term changes in external loads as shown by much larger variations in interannual changes in total nutrients relative to estimates of external loads. Thus, offshore cyanobacteria blooms are strongly regulated by internal processes. External nutrient loads more directly affect the coastal and local blooms. The rim of southern sandy coastal sediments seems to remove much of the external nitrogen loads through denitrification. This can affect the outcome of load reduction responses, and thus possibly shape the species composition of bloom communities on an onshore–offshore gradient. Because of the interconnected cycles of oxygen, phosphorus, and nitrogen, the Baltic Sea is in a state of inhibited recovery regarding eutrophication. Ongoing eutrophication induces wide spread hypoxia and large permanently reducing bottom areas mainly through sedimentation of the intense nitrogen-limited spring bloom, thus facilitating internal phosphorus loading. This state of the system promotes the occurrence of N2-fixing cyanobacteria and tends to counteract the effects of external phosphorus load reductions on shorter time scales. To alleviate the adverse effects of eutrophication in the Baltic Sea, nitrogen and phosphorus emissions should be reduced. References and Notes 1. Finni, T., Kononen, K., Olsonen, R. and Wallström, K. 2001. The history of cyanobacterial blooms in the Baltic Sea. Ambio 304–5, 172–178. 2. We use the term heterocyte for the specialized cells of the filamentous cyanobacteria where nitrogen fixation occurs instead of the also widely used heterocyst. The latter term implies that the cells are cysts, which they are not. 3. Sivonen, K. 1996. Cyanobacterial toxins and toxin production. Phycologia 35, 12–24. 4. Laamanen, M.J., Forsström, L. and Sivonen, K. 2002. Diversity of Aphanizomenon flosaquae (Cyanobacterium) populations along a Baltic Sea salinity gradient. Appl. Environ. Microbiol. 6811, 5296–5303. 5. Karlsson, K.M., Kankaanpää, H., Huttunen, M. and Meriluoto, J. 2005. First observation of microcystin-LR in pelagic cyanobacterial blooms in the northern Baltic Sea. Harmful Algae 41, 163–166. 6. Stal, L.J., Staal, M. and Villbrandt, M. 1999. Nutrient control of cyanobacterial blooms in the Baltic Sea. Aquat. Microb. Ecol. 18, 165–173. 7. Stal, L.J., Albertano, P., Bergman, B., von Brockel, K., Gallon, J.R., Hayes, P.K., Sivonen, K. and Walsby, A.E. 2003. BASIC: Baltic Sea cyanobacteria. An investigation of the structure and dynamics of water blooms of cyanobacteria in the Baltic Sea— responses to a changing environment. Continental Shelf Research 2317–19, 1695–1714. 8. Poutanen, E-L. and Nikkilä, K. 2001. 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Denitrification in the central Baltic: evidence for H2S-oxidation as motor of denitrification at the oxic-anoxic interface Mar. Ecol. Prog. Ser. 772/3, 157–169. 80. Hietanen, S., Moisander, P.H., Kuparinen, J. and Tuominen, L. 2002. No sign of denitrification in a Baltic Sea cyanobacterial bloom. Mar. Ecol. Prog. Ser. 242, 73–82. 81. Tuomainen, J.M., Hietanen, S., Kuparinen, J., Martikainen, P.J. and Servomaa, K. 2003. Baltic Sea cyanobacterial bloom contains denitrification and nitrification genes, but has negligible denitrification activity. FEMS Microbiol. Ecol. 45, 83–96. 82. E. Vahtera acknowledges the funding provided by the Maj and Tor Nessling foundation. D. Conley and T. Tamminen would like to thank the EU 6th FFP project THRESHOLDS (GOCE-003900). B. Gustafsson, O. Savchuk, and F. Wulff were funded by MARE, which is funded by the Swedish Fund of Environmental Strategic Research (MISTRA). MARE also funded the workshop that initiated this paper. Ambio Vol. 36, No. 2/3, Month 2007 Emil Vahtera is a researcher at the Finnish Institute of Marine Research. He works mainly on questions regarding Baltic Sea eutrophication and specifically the phosphorus dynamics of cyanobacteria bloom communities. His address: Department of Biological Oceanography, Finnish Institute of Marine Research, P.O. Box 2, FI-00650 Helsinki, Finland. [email protected] Daniel J. Conley is a professor and holds a Marie Curie Chair at the Geobiosphere Centre at Lund University. His research focuses on nutrient biogeochemical cycles and the impacts of global change. He is engaged in providing links between science and the management of aquatic ecosystems. His address: Geobiosphere Centre, Department of Geology, Lund University, Sölvegatan 12, SE-223 62 Lund, Sweden Bo G. Gustafsson is an associate professor in Oceanography at the Earth Science Center, Göteborg University. Current Baltic Sea research activities involve not only eutrophication, but also mixing and circulation processes, climate change and effects thereof, and numerical models. He has been highly involved in the development of the mechanistic models used in MARE. His address: Oceanography, Earth Science Center, Göteborg University, Box 460, SE-405 30 Göteborg, Sweden. [email protected] Harri Kuosa is a professor in Baltic Sea research at Tvärminne Zoological Station, University of Helsinki. His work includes the evaluation of the responses of the Baltic Sea ecosystem to eutrophication and the studies on Baltic Sea sea-ice biota. His address: Tvärminne Zoological Station, FI 10900 Hanko, Finland. [email protected] Heikki Pitkänen is a senior scientist at the Finnish Environment Institute. He is studying the behavior and budgets of nutrients in river catchments, estuaries, and coastal waters. His address: Finnish Environment Institute, P.O. Box 140, FI00251 Helsinki, Finland. [email protected] Oleg P. Savchuk is a visiting researcher at the Department of Systems Ecology, Stockholm University, Sweden, and is on leave of absence from the St. Petersburg branch of the State Oceanographic Institute, Russia, where he is head of the Laboratory of the Baltic Sea Problems. He is also associate professor at the Department of Oceanology, St. Petersburg State University, Russia. He uses mathematical modeling as a tool to study marine ecosystems, with an emphasis on nutrient biogeochemical cycles. His address: Department of Systems Ecology, Stockholm University, SE 10691 Stockholm, Sweden. [email protected] Timo Tamminen is a senior scientist at SYKE (Finnish Environment Institute), working with plankton ecology and eutrophication of the Baltic Sea, presently within the EU 6th FP project THRESHOLDS (GOCE-003900). His address: Finnish Environment Institute, P.O. Box 140, FI-00251 Helsinki, Finland. [email protected] Markku Viitasalo is a professor and head of the Department of Biological Oceanography in FIMR. From 2003 to 2006 he acted as the leader of the Baltic Sea Research Programme (BIREME) research consortium Cyanobacteria Research in the Baltic Sea from Genetics to Open Sea Ecosystem Response (CYBER). His address: Department of Biological Oceanography, Finnish Institute of Marine Research, P.O. Box 2, FI-00561 Helsingfors, Finland. Maren Voss is a senior scientist in the Department of Biological Oceanography at Baltic Sea Research Institute Warnemünde since 1997. Her research area is the marine nitrogen cycle with an emphasis on nitrogen fixation in the Baltic Sea and tropical Ó Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences 2007 http://www.ambio.kva.se 9 oceanic regions. Linking riverine nitrogen loads with the coastal ecosystems is another research focus. She teaches isotope ecology at the University of Rostock. Her address: Baltic Sea Research Institute Warnemünde, Seestrasse 15, 18119 Rostock-Warnemünde, Germany. Norbert Wasmund is senior scientist at the Baltic Sea Research Institute Warnemünde. His main research includes phytoplankton ecology, evaluation of spatial and temporal patterns of species composition in relation with hydrological and chemical parameters, bloom dynamics, primary production, and nitrogen fixation. He is the coordinator of the biological monitoring activities at IOW and chair of the HELCOM Phytoplankton Expert Group. His address: Baltic Sea Research Institute, Seestr. 15, D-18119 Warnemünde, Germany. [email protected] 10 Fredrik Wulff is a professor in marine systems ecology at the Department of Systems Ecology, Stockholm University. He also holds an adjunct position at the Centre for Marine Research at the University of Queensland, Australia. He works mainly on the Baltic Sea, linking ecology, oceanography, and biogeochemistry with economy. He is the scientific coordinator for MARE. He is also involved in global change research, particularly studies on land–ocean interactions and coastal zone management. His address: Department of Systems Ecology, Stockholm University, SE 106 91 Stockholm, Sweden. [email protected] Ó Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences 2007 http://www.ambio.kva.se Ambio Vol. 36, No. 2/3, Month 2007
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