THE EFFECTS OF DIVERSIFICATION ON GROWTH OF COMPANIES LISTED IN THE NAIROBI SECURITIES EXCHANGE BY KARIUKI SIMON NJUGUNA D61/75273/2009 RESEARCH PROJECT SUBMITTED IN PARTIAL FULFILLMENT OF THE DEGREE OF MASTER OF BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION, UNIVERSITY OF NAIROBI. NOVEMBER 2013 Declaration I declare that this project is my original work and has never been presented for academic purposes in any other university. Signed…………………………….. Date…………………….. KARIUKI SIMON NJUGUNA D61/75273/2009 This Research Project has been submitted for examination with my approval as the university supervisor. MR HERICK ONDIGO Lecturer: Department of Finance and Accounting School of Business University of Nairobi. Signed…………………………….. Date…………………….. i Acknowledgements I wish to appreciate the contributions of my parents, Mr. and Mrs. Michael Kariuki, for their immense contribution and sacrifices on my education, my supervisor, Mr. Herick Ondigo for his guidance, encouragement and prompt responses throughout the period of this study and the entire University of Nairobi fraternity who during tenure at the institution made my education a success. Family, friends and colleagues, too many to mention here, who encouraged and supported me during this study. Thank you all. ii Dedication I wish to dedicate this project to this project to all the people who made it possible for me to achieve my academic dreams and especially to my parents Mr.Michael Kariuki and my late Mum Teresia Njambi for their immense contribution towards my education. iii Abstract In finance, diversification means reducing risk by investing in a variety of assets. If the asset values do not move up and down in perfect synchrony, a diversified portfolio will have less risk than the weighted average risk of its constituent assets, and often less risk than the least risky of its constituents. The concept behind this study was that firms tend to diversify so as to enhance growth and their value to be increased. This can be supported by theories discussed in the study and those gives evidence and predict outcomes of diversification on growth of companies although in a different environment. Greenley (1989) wrote that growth can be achieved in a number of ways such as internal resources and personnel development, external acquisition, merger, joint venture and other strategic alliances. Financial growth can also be achieved by improving efficiency, financial control and increasing turnover. This study intended to establish the effects of diversification on growth of listed companies in the Nairobi Securities Exchange. Specifically, the paper studies the relationship diversification on the growth of listed companies in the Nairobi Securities Exchange. To achieve this aim a census of companies listed in the Nairobi Security Exchange was done using, a model that incorporated measure of growth being the dependent variable and measures of diversification being the independent variables was formulated and regression analysis was carried to come up with the results. The results of the findings was that R squared was consistent with the agency theory and showed that companies had positive relationship between the growth and firms size, the relationship variables was also not very strong, and this provided evidence to the policy that there are other factors that affect the growth of the companies other than diversification. This also cannot be a valid conclusion to deter firms from diversifying since by doing so they also end up reducing risk that might face them in future. iv TABLE OF CONTENTS CHAPTER ONE: INTRODUCTION ............................................................................. 1 1.1 Background of the Study ............................................................................................... 1 1.1.1 Diversification .......................................................................................................... 1 1.1.2 Growth ...................................................................................................................... 3 1.1.3 Effects of Diversification on Growth ........................................................................ 4 1.1.4 Nairobi Security Exchange ...................................................................................... 5 1.2 Research Problem .......................................................................................................... 6 1.3 Research Objective ........................................................................................................ 8 1.4 Value of the Study .......................................................................................................... 8 CHAPTER TWO: LITERATURE REVIEW............................................................. 9 2.1 Introduction. .................................................................................................................... 9 2.2 Theoretical Review. ....................................................................................................... 9 2.2.1 Resource View Theory. ........................................................................................... 10 2.2.2 Agency Theory. ....................................................................................................... 11 2.2.3 Market View Theory. ............................................................................................. 12 2.3 Types of Diversification. ............................................................................................... 13 2.3.1 Concentric Diversification. .................................................................................... 13 2.3.2 Conglomerate Diversification ................................................................................ 13 2.3.3 Internal Diversification. ........................................................................................ 14 2.3.4 External Diversification. ........................................................................................ 15 2.4 Measures of Growth ..................................................................................................... 15 2.5. Empirical Review........................................................................................................ 17 2.6 Summary of Literatture Review ................................................................................... 24 v CHAPTER THREE: RESEARCH METHODOLOGY .......................................... 25 3.1 Introduction ................................................................................................................... 25 3.2 Researchs Design ......................................................................................................... 25 3.3 Population..................................................................................................................... 25 3.4 Data Collection ............................................................................................................. 25 3.5 Data Analysis. ............................................................................................................... 26 3.5.1 Analytical Model. ................................................................................................... 26 CHAPTER FOUR: DATA ANALYSIS,RESULTS AND DISCUSSIONS....... 27 4.1 Introduction .................................................................................................................... 27 4.2 Descriptive Statistics ....................................................................................................... 27 4.3 Regression Analyisis ...................................................................................................... 27 4.4 Interpretation of Findings ............................................................................................... 29 CHAPTER FIVE: SUMMARY,CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATIONS .................................................................................................... 31 5.1 Introduction ...................................................................................................................... 31 5.2 Summary ........................................................................................................................... 31 5.3 Conclusion........................................................................................................................ 32 5.4 Recommendations for Policy ........................................................................................... 32 5.5 Limitations of the Study .................................................................................................... 32 5.6 Areas for Further Research ............................................................................................... 32 REFERENCES ............................................................................................................................. 33 Appendicies…............................................................................................................................... 35 vi List of Abbreviations ATS= Automated trading System CDS= Central Depository System EABS= East Africa Building Society FISD= Financial Information Services Division NASI= NSE All Share Index NSE= Nairobi Securities Exchange ROE=Return On Equity REITS= Real Estate Investments Trusts SIIA= Software and Information Industry Association SPSS= Statistical Package for the Social Sciences vii List of Tables 4.1 Overall descriptive statics ................................................................................................. 27 4.2 Regression Analyisis .......................................................................................................... 28 4.3 Model Summary ................................................................................................................ 28 viii CHAPTER ONE: INTRODUCTION 1.1 Background of the Study This study will assess how the diversification strategy impacts on firm value and provide evidence how the diversification affects the value of the firm, Specifically, the study focuses on the effect of different types of diversification on growth of firms listed in the NSE. Diversification is mentioned in the Bible, in the book of Ecclesiastes which was written in approximately 935. “But divide your investments among many places, for you do not know what risks might lay ahead.” Diversification is also mentioned in the Talmud. The formula given there is to split one's assets into thirds: one third in businesses (buying and selling things), one third kept liquid (e.g. gold coins), and one third in land (real estate). Diversification is mentioned in Shakespeare (Merchant of Venice): My ventures are not in one bottom trusted, Nor to one place; nor is my whole estate. Upon the fortune of this present year: Therefore, my merchandise makes me not sad. The modern understanding of diversification dates back to the work of Harry Markowitz in the 1950s. A risk management technique that mixes a wide variety of investments within a portfolio, the rationale behind this technique contends that a portfolio of different kinds of investments will, on average, yield higher returns and pose a lower risk than any individual investment found within the portfolio. The diversification strategy is a considerable and interesting topic of study in the literature of firm valuation, but there is significant divergence on whether or not diversification creates long-run competitive advantage and growth (Markides and 1 Williamson, 1994). Nowadays, there is a debate in the strategic management literature about the role played by corporate diversification as a value maximization strategy for shareholders. A firm diversifies when the benefits of diversification overcome its costs, and it stays focused when the opposite occurs. On the one hand, some theoretical arguments point to diversification as a value-increasing strategy for the firm. 1.1.1 Diversification In finance, diversification means reducing risk by investing in a variety of assets. If the asset values do not move up and down in perfect synchrony, a diversified portfolio will have less risk than the weighted average risk of its constituent assets, and often less risk than the least risky of its constituents. Therefore, any risk-averse investor will diversify to at least some extent, with more risk-averse investors diversifying more completely than less risk-averse investors. A diversified firm can be considered as one having operations in more than a single industry. Some scholars believe that these operations must be in synergy for diversification to be meaningful. Ofori and Chan (2000) identified diversification as one of three business growth paths (apart from concentration and acquisition). Diversification is defined by Pearce and Robinson (2000) as a firm‟s distinct departure from existing operations through acquisition or internal establishment of separate business that are able to provide synergy with the original firm by counter-balancing strengths and weaknesses of the two businesses. 2 1.1.2 Growth Greenley (1989) wrote that growth can be achieved in a number of ways such as internal resources and personnel development, external acquisition, merger, joint venture and other strategic alliances. Financial growth can also be achieved by improving efficiency, financial control and increasing turnover. Firms usually look into other areas of activity in the value chain in order to enhance their growth. Firm‟s growth could be measured on the basis of assets, corporate turnover, share prices, sales revenue, volume of output, and share of market, profit, number of employee and branches and extent of geographical spread. Financial statements on their own are of limited use, they need to be interpreted in order to gain additional information from them. There are variety of ratios that could be calculated, depending on the need of the user of such information. In the interpretation of financial ratios, the following group of ratios could be calculated; profitability ratios; liquidity ratios; long term financial stability ratios and investor ratios. These measures have been employed by researchers such as Akintoye and Skitmore (1991) and Ibrahim and Kaka (2007), among others to measure firm‟s growth. 1.1.3 Effects of Diversification on Growth The basic purpose of diversification is to minimize risk as by spreading your capital amongst a variety of investments one is less likely to be seriously adversely effected by a sharp and unanticipated move in one or a few of the holdings. However, even though diversification has 3 become a very common practice there are still a number of misconceptions and problems relating to its use among proponents of both traditional investment techniques (i.e. fundamental analysis) and those on the technical analysis side Ramanujan and Varadarajan (1989). Diversification has created complacency as many investors do not look past any ideas that differ to what they believe to be the one and only sound investment method; extensive diversification across a large number of markets in a net long manner. However, this complacency which is widespread throughout the money management industry has resulted in returns that in the long-term are on average no better than the overall returns of the broad market.Diversification is the riskiest of the four strategies presented in the Ansoff (1965) matrix and requires the most careful investigation. Going into an unknown market with an unfamiliar product offering means a lack of experience in the new skills and techniques required. Therefore, the company puts itself in a great uncertainty. Moreover, diversification might necessitate significant expanding of human and financial resources, which may detract focus, commitment, and sustained investments in the core industries. Therefore, a firm should choose this option only when the current product or current market orientation does not offer further opportunities for growth. In order to measure the chances of success, different tests can be done; the attractiveness test: the industry that has been chosen has to be either attractive or capable of being made attractive, the cost-of-entry test: the cost of entry must not capitalize all future profits; the better-off test: the new unit must either gain competitive advantage from its link with the corporation or vice versa. Because of the high risks explained above, many companies attempting to diversify have led to failure Rosa (1998) 4 1.1.4 Nairobi Securities Exchange In Kenya, dealing in shares and stocks started in the 1920's when the country was still a British colony. However the market was not formal as there did not exist any rules and regulations to govern stock broking activities. In 1954 the Nairobi Stock Exchange was then constituted as a voluntary association of stockbrokers registered under the Societies Act. . The East African Securities Exchanges Association came into being in 2004, following the signing of a Memorandum of Understanding between the Dar-es-Salaam Stock Exchange, the Uganda Securities Exchange and the Nairobi Stock Exchange. In July 2011, the Nairobi Stock Exchange Limited, changed its name to the Nairobi Securities Exchange Limited. The change of name reflected the strategic plan of the Nairobi Securities Exchange to evolve into a full service securities exchange which supports trading, clearing and settlement of equities, debt, derivatives and other associated instruments. In the same year, the equity settlement cycle moved from the previous T+4 settlement cycle to the T+3 settlement cycle. As of March 2012, the Nairobi Securities Exchange became a member of the Financial Information Services Division (FISD) of the Software and Information Industry Association (SIIA). 1.2 Research Problem Firms have to continually review their strategic operations in order to cope with the changing environment and enhance growth and at the same time continue being competitive. Entrants in the industries are posing a great threat to the existing firms and it is becoming almost inevitable to resist diversification as a tool to curb this threat and at the same time strengthen their core business and increase their revenue and result in growth of the firms. 5 With amendments of the Act in 1995 making it possible for foreign portfolio investors to buy government securities; repealing of the Exchange Control Act in December 1995 which ensured the removal of all exchange controls; introduction of Central Depository System (CDS) in November 2004; and automation of trading system in September 2006, inter alia. Opening of the NSE to foreign portfolio investment may have led to improvement in trading volumes, enhanced levels of service to stockbrokers and increased volume of capital raised. . We anticipate that the listing and trading of REITS on the NSE will provide Kenyan investors with an opportunity to participate in the Real Estate sector at an affordable cost. NSE held a Futures Market Participants Forum geared at enhancing financial literacy on the Futures Market, and in particular ensuring that the market participants appreciate the various opportunities, risks and rewards associated with these new asset classes. We shall shortly run a market simulation exercise. Futures and Options are among the most affordable and convenient means companies can cushion themselves against interest rates fluctuations, exchange rate volatility and commodity The most common findings by diversification-performance studies to date is that related diversifiers exemplify higher results in their economic growth Bettis (1981), Varadarajan and Ramanujam (1987). Other works, however, have illustrated that single product models or unrelated diversification can be more advantageous than related diversification Lubatkin (1987). These results have been intuitively enticing as they support the resource-based and related models of the firm Prahalad and Hamel (1990). Proponents of unrelated diversification assume that unrelated firms can allocate capital more efficiently than the external capital market. They then argue that unrelated diversification is desirable, when maturing markets result in profit erosion, or if the firm aims to modulate risk 6 in a highly cyclical industry Datta (1991). In spite of considerable studies, the findings of different studies have thus remained contradictory, and the impact of diversity on growth is yet pinned down. Few other studies have been done locally over the years Maithulia (1995) did an empirical investigation of portfolio diversification among Commercial banks in Kenya. Mwindi (2003) did an analysis of the implication of unrelated diversification strategy by the major oil companies in Kenya while Njoroge (2003) did a study on diversification strategy focusing on Nation Media Group. On the other hand Mwau (2005) did a study of related diversification within East Africa Building Society. Njoroge (2006) too did a study on building competitive advantage through diversification focusing on Kenol Kobil Oil Corporation. Wakhwoma (2007) did a survey of the product diversification strategies adopted by firms in the banking industry in Kenya. Munene (2008) did a study on diversification strategies among Christian Community Services of Mount Kenya East Region and Lole (2009) did a study on diversification strategies in the banking industry in Kenya. This study differs from the above mentioned studies on its focus on the in depth aftermath effect on the listed companies in the Nairobi Stock Exchange it terms of growth of the companies. The study therefore seeks to find an answer to the research question: Does diversification bring about growth in the companies listed in the Nairobi Securities Exchange? 1.3 Research Objective To establish the effects of diversification on growth of companies listed in the NSE. 7 1.4 Value of the Study In theory study will be vital since it will also be of importance since the study will enrich the existing literature on diversification it will also bring out contradictions in the theories and in the process exemplify the gaps in the theories. Academically it will also be of importance since the findings of the study will be useful for enhancing the understanding on the subject of the study and open up new areas for further academic research to the academic fraternity. The policy makers would obtain knowledge on diversification effect on growth and would therefore obtain guidance from this study in designing guidelines to the firms which are planning for successful diversification or are already in the process. 8 CHAPTER TWO: LITERATURE REVIEW 2.1 Introduction This chapter focuses on diversification strategies employed by established different firms and their relationships with growth. The chapter will also focus on theories of diversification, as they are the most applicable to the study and the theoretical foundations that inform the current study. The chapter then reviews the studies that have been done on the area. A research gap is then demonstrated from comparing and contrasting the reviewed studies. The conceptual framework is then crafted based on previous research so as to demonstrate the relationships between various variables 2.2 Theoretical Review There are two dimensions of rationale for diversification. The first one relates to the nature of the strategic objective: Diversification may be defensive or offensive. Defensive reasons may be spreading the risk of market contraction, or being forced to diversify when current product or current market orientation seems to provide no further opportunities for growth. Offensive reasons may be conquering new positions, taking opportunities that promise greater profitability than expansion opportunities, or using retained cash that exceeds total expansion needs. The second dimension involves the expected outcomes of diversification: Management may expect great economic value (growth, profitability) or first and foremost great coherence and complementary to their current activities (exploitation of know-how, more efficient use of available resources and capacities). In addition, companies may also explore diversification just to get a valuable comparison between this strategy and expansion. Calori and Harvatopoulos (1988). 9 2.2.1 The Resource Review Theory Based on the work of Penrose (1959) and presuming that firms often possess pools of not fully exploited or unused resource capacities Mahoney & Pandian (1992), the resource view focuses on corporate diversification as a strategic growth option Ramanujam & Varadarajan (1989). A company has several opportunities to take advantage of its excess capacities Teece (1982): They could be reinvested in the firm's traditional business or be sold to other firms in other markets. Unused resource which can be translated into free cash flow could be returned to stockholders through higher dividends. Firms with excess capacity in resources could also diversify into other markets, either through acquisition or new market entry. Assuming that firms choose a strategy in order to generate rents based upon their resource capabilities Mahoney & Pandian, (1992), rentseeking firms thus diversify as long as diversification provides a way of more profitably employing its underused resources Teece (1982); Montgomery & Wernerfelt (1988). The consequence under this theory is that gains from this strategy may come from managerial economies of scale, as proposed by Chandler (1977). As a result predictable future higher prices, and sustained losses that can be mitigated through cross-subsidization whereby the firm taps additional revenues from one product to support another through product diversification 2.2.2 The Agency Theory The agency theory considers corporate diversification as a result from the separation of ownership and control which gives managers the opportunity to pursue their own objectives at the expense of shareholders Jensen & Meckling (1976). Excessive expansion through diversification might thus occur because of different reasons: In order to increase the firm's 10 demands for their individual skills and knowledge Shleifer and Vishny (1989) or to diversify the managers‟ own employment risk Amihud & Lev (1981). As the firm‟s growth often augments not only their compensation, but also the resources under managers‟ control and therewith their power, managers have incentives to cause their firms growing beyond the optimal size Jensen (1986). While agency theory predicts that managers may sustain a diversification strategy irrespective of doing so reduces shareholder wealth Denis, Denis & Sarin (1999), the stewardship view presumes that managers are seeking to maximize organizational performance for the shareholders „welfare Donaldson & Davis (1991). The stewardship view therefore expects managers to draw diversification decisions in order to enhance a firm‟s profit and growth prospects Fox & Hamilton (1994); Lane, Cannella & Lubatkin ( 1999). The implication of agency theory is that managers can pursue their own interests at expense of shareholders by means of the diversification strategy Jensen (1986). In this way, diversification allows managers to reduce their personal risk (Amihud and Lev (1981), as well as increase their compensation, power and prestige (Jensen and Murphy (1990). This will in turn result in growth of the company as a result of diversification. 2.2.3 The Market View Theory Rooted in industrial economics, the market power view emphasizes the risk of anticompetitive effects of diversification Montgomery (1994). Thus, conglomerate companies may exercise market power Edwards (1955); Hill (1985) through e.g. cross-subsidization and predatory pricing activities, the exploitation of cost opportunities due to synergy effects, 11 reciprocity in buying and selling among large diversified firms which creates or raises entry barriers to smaller competitors Palepu (1985). Applying the ideas of industrial economics to the individual enterprise, Porter pointed out that industry characteristics might be exploited strategically to increase a firm‟s performance Porter (1980), thereby arguing that diversification is positively related with performance if a firm is able to generate opportunities in one business or reduce risk in another by diversifying its activities Porter and Spence (1980). However, Montgomery (1985) argues that market power theory has overemphasized what may be termed as collusive or general market power, and underemphasized the roles of specific skills and specific market power that give firms advantages in individual market settings. Caves (1981) and Montgomery (1985) present a slightly positive relationship between the diversification and corporate growth due to the enjoyment of economies of scope instead of market power. Therefore not all the firms that have dominant market power will seek to diversify. 2.3 Types of Diversification Pawaskar (1999) identified two ways by which diversification could be achieved in an enterprise; internal capacity expansion or mergers and acquisitions. In essence, mode of diversification is the extent to which a firm relies on internal business development relative to external acquisitions or mergers as a means of venturing into new business activities Ramanujam and Varadarajan (1989). 12 2.3.1 Concentric Diversification Concentric diversification occurs when a firm adds related products or markets. The goal of such diversification is to achieve strategic fit. Strategic fit allows an organization to achieve synergy. In essence, synergy is the ability of two or more parts of an organization to achieve greater total effectiveness together than would be experienced if the efforts of the independent parts were summed. Synergy may be achieved by combining firms with complementary marketing, financial, operating, or management efforts. Financial synergy may be obtained by combining a firm with strong financial resources but limited growth opportunities with a company having great market potential but weak financial resources Montgomery (1984). 2.3.2 Conglomerate Diversification Conglomerate diversification occurs when a firm diversifies into areas that are unrelated to its current line of business. Synergy may result through the application of management expertise or financial resources, but the primary purpose of conglomerate diversification is improved profitability of the acquiring firm. Little, if any, concern is given to achieving marketing or production synergy with conglomerate diversification Hill (1985). One of the most common reasons for pursuing a conglomerate growth strategy is that opportunities in a firm's current line of business are limited. Finding an attractive investment opportunity requires the firm to consider alternatives in other types of business. Goold and Luchs (1993). Firms may also pursue a conglomerate diversification strategy as a means of increasing the firm's growth rate. Growth in sales may make the company more attractive to investors. Growth may also increase the power and prestige of the firm's executives. 13 Conglomerate growth may be effective if the new area has growth opportunities greater than those available in the existing line of business. Probably the biggest disadvantage of a conglomerate diversification strategy is the increase in administrative problems associated with operating unrelated businesses Judelson (1969). 2.3.3 Internal Diversification One form of internal diversification is to market existing products in new markets. A firm may elect to broaden its geographic base to include new customers, either within its home country or in international markets. A business could also pursue an internal diversification strategy by finding new users for its current product new in existing markets Jensen (1993). It is also possible to have conglomerate growth through internal diversification. This strategy would entail marketing new and unrelated products to new markets. This strategy is the least used among the internal diversification strategies, as it is the most risky. It requires the company to enter a new market where it is not established. The firm is also developing and introducing a new product. Research and development costs, as well as advertising costs, will likely be higher than if existing products were marketed. In effect, the investment and the probability of failure are much greater when both the product and market are new Drucker (1955). 2.3.4 External Diversification External diversification occurs when a firm looks outside of its current operations and buys access to new products or markets. Mergers are one common form of external diversification. Mergers occur when two or more firms combine operations to form one corporation, perhaps with a new name. These firms are usually of similar size. One goal of a merger is to achieve management synergy by creating a stronger management team. 14 This can be achieved in a merger by combining the management teams from the merged firms. John C Van Horne (1986). Acquisitions, a second form of external growth, occur when the purchased corporation loses its identity. The acquiring company absorbs it. The acquired company and its assets may be absorbed into an existing business unit or remain intact as an independent subsidiary within the parent company. Acquisitions usually occur when a larger firm purchases a smaller company Copeland & Weston (2003). 2.4 Measures of Growth Ahlström‟s (1998) model of growth emphasizes the major roles of growth competence and resources, growth potential and growth ambitions. According to Andersson, Gran & Mossberg (2007), companies that make an effort to build or develop their competences are more likely to grow this growth can be measured mainly on firm specific determinants which include profitability, leverage, innovation, liquidity and solvency. Making profit is one of the ultimate goals of any economic activity. Profit can be measured by return on equity (ROE), which is calculated by dividing net profit by shareholders‟ equity. Shareholder‟s equity represents share capital and proportions of profit retained in the company fund which is called „retained earnings‟. Although there are other profit measures available, we prefer to use return on equity (ROE) as this is the most common measure of profitability in finance. Profitable firms will be more motivated to grow, because they will not only have the financial means to expand, but their ongoing profit creation will also make it possible to sustain growth Nelson & Winter (1982). The pecking order theory states that companies prioritize their sources of financing according to the principle of least effort. This means that companies first use internal financing at 15 startup. When this is depleted, they use debt financing, and when they cannot get any capital anymore through debt financing, they raise capital by looking for external equity. This theory was first suggested by Donaldson (1961) and later on modified by Myers & Majluf (1984). In the literature, we can find a lot of papers around the relationship between innovation and economic growth since the development of the Solow growth model, which was introduced by Robert Solow in 1956. This model is used to measure the economic growth of countries over a specific period of time. According to Robert Solow, there are three factors which can influence this economic growth: capital, labor and technology. We can see this relationship in the following equation: Y = Ka(AL)1-a where Y is output, K is capital, A is a labor-augmenting technology factor and L is labor. Mateev & Anastasov (2010) measured the level of short term liquidity by the current ratio. This ratio was part of the firm specific characteristics, which may affect the company growth. The current ratio is calculated by dividing the current assets by the current liabilities. An increase in the current ratio will reinforce a firm‟s liquidity position The solvency of a company indicates its health. The solvency ratio is calculated through dividing shareholders‟ equity by the total assets. The bigger this ratio, the healthier a company is. A company with a small solvency ratio has little shareholders‟ equity compared to its liabilities. A company facing this situation has a higher risk of bankruptcy than a company which has a healthy ratio.When discussing the solvency and growth hypothesis, much attention will be paid to the theory of Myers & Majluf (1984), better known as the pecking order theory. Myers & Majluf suggest a hierarchy in the way of financing firm 16 growth. According to them, a company manager will first use retained earnings as input for investments and will borrow at the next stage. 2.5 Empirical Review There are many, and somehow contradictory, theoretical arguments in the literature to explain the relationship between the diversification strategy and firm‟s growth, suggesting that diversification may have both value enhancing and value reducing effects. The key question is whether the act of corporate diversification destroys value or, on the contrary, it creates value. Ansoff (1958) in his conceptual planning framework for diversification suggested that there could be a multiple variety of tests that could be used to measure the value of the proposed diversification on the organisation. He concluded that the most common single test was in the form of Return on Investment, and his model was one of successive elimination of alternatives involving the application of qualitative criteria, followed by a mathematical comparison of potential profit earned before and after a diversification scenario has been developed for an organisation. Llewellyn (1971) because it allows the firm to exploit the tax advantages available from increasing borrowing. However, multi-segment firms enjoy much greater flexibility in capital formation, since they can access more easily to external sources as well as internally generated resources. Then, the diversification itself creates internal capital markets that permit a more competent allocation of resources across businesses, in that case multisegments firms gain considerable financial interests from the use of this internal market and resources. 17 Multi-segment firms can generate efficiencies that are unavailable to the single-business firm. In short, all the above mentioned arguments support diversification as a value-creating strategy. For instance, the coinsurance effect gives multi-segment firms greater debt capacity than single-line business of similar size Lewellen (1971). One way in which increased debt capacity creates value is by increasing interest tax shields, thus multisegment firms are predicted to have higher leverage and lower tax payments than their business would show if operated separately. Rumelt's studies are regarded as one of the most influential and widely investigated typologies in the strategy literature. The findings of Rumelt's (1986) empirical study conducted on a sample of 246 organisations over a period of two decades from 1949 to 1969 were that; Performance differences existed between the major categories of diversification strategy. The differences were however highlighted in more detail once the categories were broken down into subcategories; the dominant vertical organizations were low performing while the dominant constrained organizations were among the highest performing, the Related Constrained subgroup was high performing while the Related Linked subgroup was slightly below average and the dominant constrained and the related constrained subgroups were the best overall performers and both strategies were not totally dependent upon a single business or a true multi-industry organization. Porter (1987) argued that certain conditions need to be met in order for diversification to create shareholder value and are called the essential test and various questions to be 18 answered, that is How attractive is the industry? Diversification cannot create shareholder value unless new industries have favorable structures that support returns in excess of the cost of capital, and an industry needs to be attractive before diversification commences. Markides (1992) mentions other costs of diversification, such as control and effort losses (increment of shirking), coordination costs and other diseconomies related to organization, and discrepancy for ideas between businesses. Rotenberg and Saloner (1994). The difficulty in designing optimal incentive compensation for managers of diversified firms also generates costs of multi-segment operations Informational asymmetries between central management and divisional managers will also lead to higher costs of operating in multiple segments, Finally, although diversification translates into lower financial risk, it may increase business risk given the different nature and characteristics of business to be managed. What is unquestionable is that managers of the multi-segment firm enjoy greater opportunities to undertake projects and greater resources to do so whenever diversification relaxes the constraints imposed by imperfect external capital markets. Moreover, the increment of the market power is determined by the predatory pricing, future higher prices, and sustained losses that can be founded through cross-subsidization whereby the firm taps additional revenues from one product to support another Tirole (1995). The conventional theory posits that one of the positive effects of diversification is the reduction of the firm‟s risk in the way to be involved in more businesses in its portfolio This risk reduction is also helpful for debt capacity and cost of capital 19 Particularly, Berger and Ofek (1995) explain the value destruction by means of overinvestment and cross-subsidization of multi-segment firms. Contrary to these arguments, there is also evidence that indicates that multi-segment firms trade at a discount relative to a portfolio of single-segment firms. Specifically, he provides an empirical evidence supporting that multi-segment firms invest inefficiently and, consequently, trade at a discount in relation to similar constructed portfolios of single-segment firms From another perspective, Ferris and Sarin (1997) argue that investors prefer focused firms since it is more convenient for them to achieve the desired level of risk diversification with pure-play firms. Consequently, diversified firms would trade at a discount because of lower transparency and lower liquidity. These studies provide empirical evidence on the value destroying effect of corporate diversification and, consequently, on the existence of a diversification discount. The debate about diversification being a value-creating or a value-destroying strategy has given rise to a closely related line of research based on the existence of a premium or a discount of the diversification strategy. In this context, the evidence is also mixed. For instance, Campa and Kedia (2002) and Villalonga (2004) show that, controlling for a firm propensity to diversify; there is a diversification premium but all. Theoretically, Maksimovic and Phillips (2002) and Gomes and Livdan (2004) show that, diversification may be a value creating strategy even if, overall, multi-segment firms have a lower value than singlesegment firms. 20 Mwindi (2003) did a study on analysis of the application of unrelated diversification strategy by the major oil companies in Kenya found out that contrary to what the diversification managers had indicated to be the underlying reason for oil companies to engage in non-fuel business, that is to enter profitable arenas, customer related phenomena such as convenience tended to take more prominence as an outcome from these undertaking. It can therefore, based on this premise, be concluded that the concept of unrelated diversification in the service stations leads itself more towards enhancing customer satisfaction than improving on the financial performance of the companies. Mwau (2005) a study of related diversification within East Africa Building Society, found out that the related diversification the strategy of the EABS had given them a competitive advantage compared to other mortgage financing and housing development firms which had never opted for related diversification. It is in justification of sustaining their competitive advantage that they now wish to move into banking sector and actually close one of its SBUs which is not performing up to the expectation. Njoroge (2006) a study on building competitive advantage through diversification. A case studies of the Kenol/Kobil Oil Corporation. Found out that it was evident from the study that kenol Kobil had been able to increase its market share both locally and regionally through diversification, and the unique trading strategy used to support its expansion by providing alternative financing is the most successful and ingenious strategy considered by the company. 21 Lole (2006) did a study on the diversification strategies in the banking industry in Kenya found out that the costs associated with the diversification process included; increased costs spent on acquiring resources, higher operating costs, technological and marketing costs and training costs. The benefits included greater income, growth potential, improvement of the performance of distribution channels, risk control, acquisition of new technology, and change of business focus. Wakwoma (2007) a survey of the product diversification strategies adopted by the firms in the banking industry in Kenya, established that Commercial banks in Kenya undertake product diversification strategy. The widely practices form of product diversification is concentric diversification. A practice where new products and services with technological, marketing and operational synergies with existing product lines are introduce. Therefore a diversifying company gets into products that can perform better under common management than they could perform as stand-alone businesses. Benefits accrued from this type of diversification included, increase in returns and profitability, customer loyalty and stability of product earnings as main advantages of introducing new products to existing lines. 22 2.6 Summary of Literature Review In this chapter, the literature review, theoretical framework on diversification is discussed. Literature on the types of diversification is also reviewed and the empirical evidence on previous studies carried out on diversification both locally and globally. Corporate diversification is one of the fundamental strategic alternatives available to organisations to sustain growth and search for greater profits. International research has been conducted since the 1950's by Harry Markowitz to establish if diversification creates value and if it resulted in greater financial growth. The findings are inconsistent and there remains a lack of consensus regarding the diversification-growth relationship, although there has been a trend since the 1990's of organisations focusing more on their core competencies. There are also many arguments that have led scholars to assume that diversification destroys value. For instance, the agency theory argues that managers can pursue their own interests at expense of shareholders by means of the diversification strategy Jensen (1986). In this way, diversification allows managers to reduce their personal risk Amihud and Lev (1981), as well as increase their compensation, power and prestige Jensen and Murphy (1990). Moreover, managers of divisions that have a future perspective in the firm are encouraged to persuade the top management of the firm to conduct resources in their direction Meyer and Roberts (1992). It is on this basis that this study was carried out, to establish the effect of diversification on the growth of listed companies in the NSE. 23 CHAPTER THREE: RESEARCH METHODOLOGY 3.1 Introduction This chapter explains the various research methods and procedures employed in the study. The chapter discusses research design, categorization of samples, instruments used in the study, data collection and data analysis 3.2 Research Design The research was a descriptive study with intention of providing detailed information regarding the effects of diversification on growth of companies among listed Kenyan companies. Since this was a statistical study to measure trends of growth of companies. 3.3 Population The population was a census the companies listed in the Nairobi security exchange from 2008 - 2013.The number of companies listed in the NSE stood at 60 classified into 10 different industries as provided in the appendix 1. 3.4 Data Collection The study used secondary data to collect information about the company‟s growth. The source of the data was from the financial statements that were used for collecting information on growth; the statements that were mainly used were the statement of financial position and income statement. 24 3.5.1 Data Analysis After collecting data, it was analyzed using descriptive statistical tools for analysis. These included correlation, percentages and mean scores. The data was presented in tables and statistical software; SPSS was used to analyze the findings and present the data. 3.5.1 Analytical Model In order to study the relationships between growth and diversification and business group formation it is important to clarify the way in which diversification can measured. In this study diversification was measured by dependent variable growth and independent variables; profitability, leverage, liquidity and a natural logarithm of Total assets. Therefore growth was determined using below regression model below in determining relationship with a test of 0.05 level of significance will be applied to measure growth. G = β0 + β1X1 + β2X2 + β3X3 + β4X4 G = Dependent variable X 1-n =Independent variables β0 = Constant B 1-n = Change in Y by each X Growth was measured by the change in net income growth. X1 The number of branches X2 Returns on Equity X3 Current ratio X4 Natural logarithm of Total Assets CHAPTER: FOUR DATA ANALYSIS, RESULTS AND DISCUSSIONS 25 4.1 Introduction This chapter explains the statistics obtained findings of regression analysis, and interpretation of these findings. 4.2 Descriptive Statistics From table 4.1 below, we note that the average proportion of growth of income for years from 2008- 2012 was 5.19. The variable of firms‟ size had a mean of 23.49 in terms of in the size of the firms as a result of growth. The mean Number of branches was 30.19, return on equity 16.269 and current ratio at 1.7. N 37 due to unavailability of information of some companies which are listed in the Nairobi Securities Exchange. Table 4.1 Overall Descriptive Statistics of key variables Growth in Net Income No. of Branches Return on Equity Current Ratio Firm Size N N Minimum Maximum 37 0.0000 91.3100 37 1 175 37 -4.9840 41.8651 37 .3320 6.5087 37 18.4076 26.3110 37 Mean 5.198378 30.19 16.269725 1.770656 23.478248 Std. Deviation 16.9765584 49.182 10.4933768 1.2283438 1.7515707 Source: Research Findings 4.3 Regression Analysis In conducting regression analysis, the dependent variable selected was growth in net income, while the independent variables were number of branches, return on equity, current ratio and firm size. The information on all these variables was obtained from the published annual financial statements for each of the five years (appendix 2). Some companies were not included in this analysis due to unavailability of the financial reports. 26 An average of the independent and dependent variables for the five year period under review was obtained(appendix 3) and regressed to give the regression coefficients shown in the the table 4.2 hereunder Table 4.2 Regression Coefficients Model 1 (Constant) Unstandardized Coefficients Std. B Error -46.786 53.447 Standardized Coefficients Beta t -.875 Sig. .388 95.0% Confidence Interval for B Lower Upper Bound Bound -155.654 62.082 No. of Branches -.050 .073 -.145 -.691 .494 -.198 .098 Return on Equity .019 .287 .012 .066 .948 -.565 .602 Current Ratio -.335 2.734 -.024 -.122 .903 -5.903 5.233 Firm Size 2.291 2.250 .236 1.018 .316 -2.293 6.875 Dependent variable Growth in net income Source: Research Findings Research results shown in the table above indicates that β0 is -46.786 and β1 -.050, β2-0.19,β3 -.335 and β4 2.291. The summary indicated in table 4.3 below shows that the R squared and the adjusted R squared values are 0.043 and 0.077 respectively. These two measures show how well the explanatory variables in the model explain variations in the dependent variables. The study found a standard error of the estimators is 17.617 27 Table 4.3 Model Summary Model Summary Model R R Square Adjusted Std. Error of DurbinR Square the Estimate Watson 1 .207 .043 -.077 17.6176347 1.938 a. Predictors: (Constant), Firm Size, Return on Equity, Current Ratio, No. of Branches b. Dependent Variable: Growth in Net Income Source: Research Findings 4.4 Interpretation of the Findings The study sought to establish the effect of diversification on growth of companies listed in the NSE. According to the study findings were consistency with Nelson & Winter; Profitable firms will be more motivated to grow, because they will not only have the financial means to expand, but their ongoing profit creation will also make it possible to sustain growth. Since study findings had a positive R squared of 0.043 though very weak. The findings had inconsistency as earlier predicted that branch expansion had a positive relationship with the growth of companies. This is because regional expansion may take some time to breakeven and therefore the net income of the branches may result in a negative relationship with the net income of the company as a whole. Branch regression as an independent to growth had a negative relation of β-0.05. On the other had liquidity of the company measured in terms liquidity ratio had a negative relationship on growth of the listed companies in the NSE as earlier predicted. 28 Liquidity had a β 0f -0.335 indicating that growth of companies is not determined by the healthiness of the company. Prior research suggested that firm diversification may be financed through increased leverage (Kochhar and Hitt, 1998). Return on equity too on the other hand had a negative relationship with a β of -0.19 as earlier predicated. Firms‟ size had a positive relationship with the growth of companies with a β of 2.291 which indicated a strong relationship with the net income. This can be supported by the agency theory where costs may be a source a potential investment distortions in diversified firms. Top management in a diversified firm enjoys greater opportunities to undertake projects, and also more resources to do so if diversification relaxes constrains imposed by imperfect external capital markets so that overinvestment may arise (Stulz, 1990; Matsusaka and Nanda, 2002). In conclusion the firms listed in the Nairobi Securities Exchange only had a growth with a positive relationship with one variable which is the firm‟s size this holds since most of the net income will be used to acquire assets as a diversification means. 29 CHAPTER FIVE SUMMARY,CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATIONS 5.1 Introduction This chapter gives a summary of research objectives,methodology and findings,draws conclusions and recommendations, elaborate on limitation of gthe study and suggests areas for further research. 5.2 Summary. The objective of this study was to establish the effects of diversification on growth of listed companies in the NSE.The research methodology involved the use of secondary data collected from the published reports of listed companies in the NSE. A regression analysis was used to establish the relationship between growth and diversification. The research findings summary indicate that there is a positive realtionship between growth of companies and diversification though very insiginificant. 5.3 Conclusion The research findings indicate that there is a relationship between growth and diversification of companies listed in the NSE. The effect of Diversification solely is not significant enough given the value of R squared and adjusted R obtained. This means that there are other factors that have a greater impact on the growth of companies as opposed to diversification. 5.4 Recommendations for Policy Even though the research indicates that there is a weak relationship between growth and 30 diversification. This does not deter policy makers to engulf the importance of diversification as a means enhancing growth in the company and also as a means of spreading risk. The study also provides evidence to the policy that there are other factors that affect growth of companies other than diversification. 5.5 Limitations of the Study The limitation of this study arose mainly due to unavailability of annual reports for listed companies from the NSE website and that of the company. There were also some companies who gave their consolidated financial statements that included their regional sale where as in the study we were only interested in Kenyan companies. Another major limitation of the study was the nature in which the financial statements are maintained in the CMA library which makes it difficult for one to transfer the data to the working areas, since most of them are either scanned in a rotated manner. 5.6 Areas for Further Research A suggestion for further study would be to consider conducting a similar study but looking at a similar industry to avoid disparity in terms of those firms that do not require branch network to enhance operation or those that cannot have more branches due to the accessibility of raw materials. Another research area would be conducting a study on the effects of diversification on the value of the firm. Lastly a study could be conducted to establish the factors leading to diversification of firms in the industry. 31 REFERENCES Alchian A. (1950) Uncertainty, evolution, and economic theory, The Journal of Political Economy. Audretsch D.B. and Elston J.A. (2002) Does firm size matter? 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(2011) Factors that Affect Potential Growth of Canadian Firms, Journal of Applied Finance & Banking, 1 (4). Https://www.nse.co.ke/listed-companies/list.html Jang S. and Park K. (2011) Inter-relationship between firm growth and profitability, International Journal of Hospitality Management, 30, Lumby S. and Jones C. (2003) Corporate Finance Theory and Practice 7th Edition Miller K. D and Bromiley P. (1990), Strategic risk and corporate performance: An analysis of alternative risk measurements. Academy of Management Journal 33. 32 Montgomery C. A. and Singh H. (1984),Diversification strategy and systematic risk. Strategic Management Journal 5th Edition Markides C. C. (1992) Consequence of corporate refocusing Ex ante evidence. Academy of Management Journal 35 Myers S.C. and Majluf N.F. (1984) Corporate financing and investment decision when firms have information that investors do not have, Journal of Financial Economics, Phillips B. and Kirchhoff B. (1989) Formation, growth and survival; Small firm dynamics in the US economy, Small Business Economics, Roper S. (1997) Product Innovation and Small Business Growth: A Comparison of the Strategies of German, UK and Irish Companies, Small Business Economics, 9 Rumelt, R (1987), Diversification Strategy and Profitability. Strategic Management Journal Vol.3 33 Appendix 1 LISTED COMPANIES IN THE NAIROBI SECURITIES EXCHANGE AS AT 2013 AGRICULTURAL Eaagads Ltd. Kapchorua Tea Co. Ltd. Kakuzi. Limuru Tea Co. Ltd Rea Vipingo Plantations Ltd Sasini Ltd Williamson Tea Kenya Ltd COMMERCIAL AND SERVICES Express Ltd Kenya Airways Ltd Nation Media Group. Standard Group Ltd TPS Eastern Africa (Serena) Ltd Scangroup Ltd Uchumi Supermarket Ltd Hutchings Biemer Ltd Longhorn Kenya Ltd TELECOMMUNICATION AND TECHNOLOGY AccessKenya Group Ltd . Safaricom Ltd AUTOMOBILES AND ACCESSORIES Car and General (K) Ltd CMC Holdings Ltd Sameer Africa Ltd Marshalls (E.A.) Ltd BANKING Barclays Bank Ltd CFC Stanbic Holdings Ltd . I&M Holdings Ltd Diamond Trust Bank Kenya Ltd Housing Finance Co Ltd Kenya Commercial Bank Ltd National Bank of Kenya Ltd NIC Bank Ltd 0rd Standard Chartered Bank Ltd Equity Bank Ltd The Co-operative Bank of Kenya Ltd INSURANCE Jubilee Holdings Ltd Pan Africa Insurance Holdings Ltd 0rd Kenya Re-Insurance Corporation Ltd CFC Insurance Holdings British-American Investments Company ( Kenya) Ltd CIC Insurance Group Ltd 34 INVESTMENT Olympia Capital Holdings ltd Centum Investment Co Ltd Trans-Century Ltd MANUFACTURING AND ALLIED B.O.C Kenya Ltd British American Tobacco Kenya Ltd Carbacid Investments Ltd East African Breweries Ltd Mumias Sugar Co. Ltd Unga Group Ltd Eveready East Africa Ltd . Kenya Orchards Ltd MANUFACTURING AND ALLIED A.Baumann CO Ltd Athi River Mining Bamburi Cement Ltd Crown Berger Ltd 0rd E.A.Cables Ltd E.A.Portland Cement Ltd ENERGY AND PETROLEUM Kenol Kobil Ltd Total Kenya Ltd KenGen Ltd. Kenya Power & Lighting Co Ltd https://www.nse.co.ke/listed-companies/list 35 Appendix 2 Variable averages N COMPANY 1 ACCESS KENYA 2 ATHI RIVER 3 BAMBURI 4 BAICL 5 BBK 6 CENTUM 7 CFC 8 CMC 9 COOP 10 DTB 11 EAST AFRICA PORTLAND 12 EVEREADY 13 EXPRESS KENYA 14 HOUSING FINANCE 15 JUBILEE 16 KAKUZI 17 KCB 18 KENGEN 19 KENOKOBIL 20 KENYA RE 21 KPLC 22 LIMURU TEA 23 MUMIAS 24 NATION MEDIA 25 NATIONAL BANK 26 NIC BANK 27 OLYMPIA 28 PAN AFRICA 29 REA VIPINGO 30 SAFARICOM 31 SAMEER 32 SASINI 33 SCAN GROUP 34 STANDARD GROUP 35 TOTAL 36 TPS SERENA 37 UNGA 38 WILLIAMSON TEA Av of Sales Av. Net Income Shareholders Eqty Av. Of C.Assets Av of C. Liabilities Av.of T.Assets Branches 1,771,491.25 334,355.80 1,024,068.25 654,272.50 735,663.00 1,994,723.75 1 7,062,105.20 924,126.40 5,281,749.20 4,664,649.80 4,063,190.60 15,655,639.60 1 31,782,200.00 5,284,400.00 14,156,400.00 13,098,000.00 5,991,800.00 34,034,600.00 1 4,748,127.20 732,109.60 8,650,863.00 18,401,431.60 14,992,094.80 19,027,906.00 15 18,228,400.00 7,808,400.00 24,632,000.00 167,750,600.00 144,536,200.00 171,531,200.00 119 1,109,020.20 981,341.80 8,370,189.60 6,495,825.00 998,017.80 9,368,167.40 13 7,514,332.20 1,473,847.20 22,185,641.00 105,928,223.40 109,185,610.00 134,456,624.20 13 8,352,145.50 1,273,284.50 4,829,020.50 10,500,339.50 7,253,958.00 12,658,331.00 7 11,355,108.60 4,598,636.80 19,946,150.00 136,683,009.00 136,745,074.75 143,560,431.20 104 7,677,314.00 2,168,825.20 9,991,728.80 88,139,033.40 78,481,479.20 89,929,236.80 90 30,344,239.60 253,377.20 5,274,502.00 2,889,391.00 1,780,203.60 12,153,750.00 1 1,607,462.00 (17,295.00) 347,008.67 776,107.25 616,464.00 990,422.25 1 751,435.50 31,060.25 422,279.50 164,162.75 494,487.75 1,183,745.50 1 2,826,458.60 423,158.20 4,728,481.00 33,361,185.33 29,331,291.33 26,927,923.20 10 9,774,941.00 1,532,184.60 5,516,289.00 31,455,739.80 26,418,116.60 32,017,594.40 16 2,028,002.25 512,152.20 2,244,884.20 1,209,856.60 360,070.20 2,753,708.75 1 25,361,740.60 7,727,422.20 36,145,046.80 259,344,330.60 230,989,908.80 267,134,955.60 175 13,117,419.60 3,231,400.00 69,102,340.40 19,640,266.60 9,336,124.80 138,077,269.00 20 146,071,549.40 216,195.40 10,116,623.50 28,098,698.75 12,992,815.75 44,195,946.00 160 4,682,655.00 1,570,997.50 9,466,034.00 14,036,095.00 5,405,905.50 15,874,618.25 1 37,395,434.00 4,719,460.20 32,517,758.20 26,044,321.00 23,060,340.80 66,329,463.40 59 100,622.60 50,518.60 120,670.00 61,750.33 10,977.40 98,696.80 1 13,793,711.75 1,582,354.25 11,139,206.25 5,670,357.50 2,900,150.50 18,284,729.25 1 9,927,280.00 1,892,980.00 5,579,260.00 3,602,150.00 3,228,420.00 5,265,050.00 1 5,039,056.50 1,567,899.25 8,625,405.50 53,499,976.00 47,047,424.00 55,697,829.50 27 6,170,800.20 1,946,249.60 9,343,161.60 48,687,170.40 57,961,614.40 67,304,776.00 23 785,566.80 34,523.60 664,488.60 453,579.40 328,975.80 1,109,265.40 1 3,253,592.00 268,897.75 1,616,492.75 8,889,514.25 7,340,705.25 8,957,198.00 14 1,771,305.20 246,417.20 1,206,144.00 732,990.60 379,784.20 1,883,684.40 1 83,527,483.60 13,064,912.80 63,145,370.00 19,171,220.00 33,311,596.00 82,219,914.40 36 3,457,190.60 130,590.40 2,232,557.20 2,200,609.40 778,172.00 3,090,312.00 1 2,276,270.40 594,789.00 5,437,089.80 1,052,501.60 489,732.40 7,710,671.80 1 7,578,824.20 604,129.40 3,455,606.00 5,888,864.60 2,934,581.80 6,490,687.00 1 11,591,472.00 5,453,222.40 19,453,870.80 141,933,095.40 125,549,881.60 144,988,834.40 34 80,141,021.60 486,122.40 9,389,616.00 20,215,139.40 17,220,758.60 28,921,885.40 150 4,518,681.80 453,451.00 5,599,636.40 1,612,070.20 1,416,663.25 8,761,428.00 15 12,362,024.40 316,852.80 3,441,861.00 3,784,496.80 1,709,922.20 5,502,129.00 1 2,458,248.40 525,826.60 3,568,062.00 1,585,303.40 683,845.60 5,221,233.20 1 Appendix 3 Ratio Anlaysis N 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 GRWTH.net income BRANCHES Y X1 ACCESS KENYA 4.16 1.00 ATHI RIVER 1.68 1.00 BAMBURI (0.39) 15.00 BAICL 1.85 119.00 BBK (0.66) 13.00 CENTUM 1.65 13.00 CFC (0.78) 7.00 CMC 3.13 104.00 COOP (0.50) 90.00 DTB (0.47) 1.00 EAST AFRICA PORTLAND (0.93) 1.00 EVEREADY 0.22 1.00 EXPRESS KENYA 10.20 10.00 HOUSING FINANCE 0.17 16.00 JUBILEE (0.59) 1.00 KAKUZI 15.10 175.00 KCB 0.91 20.00 KENGEN (0.85) 160.00 KENOKOBIL (0.06) 1.00 KENYA RE 2.44 59.00 KPLC (1.00) 1.00 LIMURU TEA 91.31 1.00 MUMIAS (0.50) 1.00 NATION MEDIA 0.55 27.00 NATIONAL BANK 0.08 23.00 NIC BANK (0.93) 1.00 OLYMPIA 1.43 14.00 PAN AFRICA (0.25) 1.00 REA VIPINGO 51.35 36.00 SAFARICOM (0.96) 1.00 SAMEER 1.44 1.00 SASINI (0.36) 1.00 SCAN GROUP 4.63 34.00 STANDARD GROUP (0.52) 150.00 TOTAL (0.40) 15.00 TPS SERENA (0.39) 1.00 UNGA 0.04 1.00 ROE X2 17.49659753 37.32869939 8.462850469 31.70022735 11.72424816 6.643248216 26.3673451 23.05526029 21.70620564 4.803812758 -4.984025375 7.355377185 8.949136097 27.77564047 22.81419238 21.37892432 4.676252615 2.137031194 16.59615315 14.51348574 41.8650866 14.20526934 33.92887229 18.17768741 20.83073892 5.195514265 16.63464003 20.43016423 20.69021498 5.849364128 10.93947354 17.48258916 28.03155452 5.177234085 8.097865069 9.205856948 14.73703652 CURRENT RATIO X3 1.148026332 2.185987516 1.227408968 1.160613051 6.508726598 0.970166521 1.447532437 0.999546121 1.123055201 1.623067721 1.258966055 0.331985474 1.137392314 1.190688204 3.360057567 1.122751777 2.103685096 2.162633512 2.596437359 1.12939879 5.625223945 1.955194222 1.115762509 1.137149953 0.839989895 1.378762207 1.210989128 1.930018679 0.575511903 2.827921591 2.14913614 2.006713393 1.130491671 1.17388205 1.13793465 2.21325672 2.318218323 FIRM SIZE X4 23.47409705 24.25064349 23.66917248 25.86803101 22.96058333 25.62450749 23.26158141 25.69002191 25.22228894 23.2209036 20.71364193 20.8919494 24.01642962 24.18955141 21.73621448 26.31101982 25.65107929 24.5118989 23.48798733 24.91790003 18.40756308 23.62933208 22.38435648 24.74320702 24.93249704 20.82696383 22.91572329 21.35649548 25.13266338 21.85153789 22.76587115 22.59363422 25.69992257 24.08786443 22.89362474 22.42840095 22.37599946 Appendix 4 Companies whose data was inaccessible N 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 COMPANY A.Baumann CO Ltd B.O.C Kenya Ltd Bamburi Cement Ltd British American Tobacco Kenya Ltd Car and General (K) Ltd Carbacid Investments Ltd CIC Insurance Group Ltd Crown Berger Ltd 0rd E.A.Cables Ltd Eaagads Ltd. East African Breweries Ltd Hutchings Biemer Ltd I&M Holdings Ltd Kapchorua Tea Co. Ltd. Kenya Orchards Ltd Longhorn Kenya Ltd Marshalls (E.A.) Ltd Standard Chartered Bank Ltd Trans-Century Ltd Uchumi Supermarket Ltd Williamson Tea Kenya Ltd
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