SPECIAL ELECTION POLL:
GEORGIA CD-06
OVERVIEW
Less than a week out from the Special Election for Georgia’s 6th Congressional District, Revily
surveyed likely voters to breakdown political sentiment and candidate support. Taking place in
a traditionally strong Republican district, this race swiftly became a high profile race to watch as
Democrat Jon Ossoff entered the race with heavy financial backing. After a closer than expected
race to replace Mike Pompeo in Kansas’s 4th Congressional District, this special election takes
center stage as just the second in Donald Trump’s first one hundred days as President. The result
could potentially be a preview of what the 2018 midterm elections have in store.
RED DISTRICT IN DANGER
Republicans have been elected to Georgia’s 6th Congressional District by double digit margins
since the seat was flipped by, current US Senator, Johnny Isakson in 2000. When asked a generic
ballot question, voters indicated that they would prefer the next representative from their district
to be a Republican, with that quorum hovering around 50%.
Generic Ballot: In general, would you prefer that the next representative from your congressional district be a
Republican or a Democrat?
Answer
Percent
Republican Candidate
50.14%
Democrat Candidate
44.06%
Depends
4.83%
Not Sure
0.97%
Total
100%
However, when breaking down the head-to-head candidate support, Democrat Jon Ossoff easily
leads the pack of those vying for the seat with 44.7% of the vote. Republicans Karen Handel
16.82% and Bob Gray 15.96% make up the second and third place share of the vote, while Dan
Moody trails with 9%.
GA CD 06: If the special election for Congressional District 6 was being held today and the candidates were
Republican Bob Gray, Republican Karen Handel, Republican Judson Hill, Republican Amy Kremer, Democrat Jon
Ossof, Republican Dan Moody and Democrat Ron Slotin - for which candidate would you vote? If you are still
undecided on who to vote for, then please select undecided.
Answer
Percent
Bob Gray
15.96%
Karen Handel
16.82%
Judson Hill
6.54%
Amy Kremer
0%
Jon Ossoff
44.7%
Dan Moody
9%
Ron Slotin
0.47%
Another Candidate
0.84%
Undecided
5.66%
Total
100%
A further notable insight is the breakdown of those who have already voted. 63% of those who
voted early said that they voted for Jon Ossoff. This statistic is particularly powerful when placed
in the context of a special election, where voter turnout can be very difficult to predict.
Q1: Voter Likelihood Crossed With Q5: GA CD 06
Q1: Voter
Likelihood
Already Voted
Q5: GA CD 06
Bob
Gray
Karen
Handel
Judson
Hill
Amy
Kremer
Jon
Ossoff
Dan
Moody
Ron
Slotin
Another
Candidate
Undecided
10%
15%
4%
0%
63%
5%
0%
1%
1%
ROAD TO A RUNOFF
Unless a candidate can pull over 50% of the vote on April 18th, this race will head to a runoff
election between the top two candidates on June 20th. An early hypothetical matchup between
Karen Handel and Jon Ossoff, as well as a matchup between Bob Gray and Jon Ossoff resulted
in statistical deadlocks in both cases. Our analysis reveals that in both hypothetical matchups
support throughout the large field of Republican candidates will shift to the eventual Republican
in the runoff, whether it be Gray or Handel.
Handel v Ossoff: If the special election for Congressional District 6 were to result in a runoff election and the
candidates were Republican Karen Handel and Democrat Jon Ossoff - for which candidate would you vote? If you
are still undecided on who to vote for, then please select undecided.
Answer
Percent
Karen Handel
46.06%
Jon Ossoff
47.27%
Undecided
6.68%
Total
100%
Gray v Ossoff: If the special election for Congressional District 6 were to result in a runoff election and the
candidates were Republican Bob Gray and Democrat Jon Ossoff - for which candidate would you vote? If you are
still undecided on who to vote for, then please select undecided.
Answer
Percent
Bob Gray
48.3%
Jon Ossoff
47.27%
Undecided
4.43%
Total
100%
KEY TAKEAWAYS
• Jon Ossoff leads the field with 44.7% of the vote; Handel and Gray trail with 16.82% and 15.96%
respectively. 5.66% of the population is undecided.
• Generic Ballot question revealed that 50.14% of District 6 voters would prefer for their next US
Congressman to be a Republican candidate; 44.06% preferred a Democratic candidate, 4.83%
said it would depend on the candidate and .97% were undecided
• Hypothetical runoff between Karen Handel and Jon Ossoff yields (Handel 46.06% / Ossoff
47.27% / Undecided 6.68%), Hypothetical runoff between Bob Gray and Jon Ossoff yields (Gray
48.3% / Ossoff 47.2% / Undecided 4.43%)
• Jon Ossoff’s image assessment resulted in just 5.07% of the population who were either
unaware or had not formed an opinion on him (47.97% Favorable/ 46.96% Unfavorable), Handel
and Gray have significantly larger portions of the population who are either have never heard of
them or haven’t formed an opinion
WANT TO KNOW MORE?
Interested in leaning more about our survey? Revily’s full report includes responses by political
geography, question by question breakdowns among demographics such as income ranges,
education level and more. For more information or a more exhaustive report on this research
Contact Us.
FOR PRESS INQUIRIES:
Janey Burrell | Dir. of Research Services
e: [email protected]
m: 770.855.0737
GA CD 06 Special Election
04/10/2017 - 04/12/2017
Performed by Revily
TOPLINE REPORT
Methodology: The GA CD 06 Poll was performed by Revily, Inc. The poll was conducted by
IVR Interviews from April 10 - April 12 among a random sample of 485 likely voters. The poll
has a margin error of plus or minus 4.45 percentage points. Results are weighted. Some
percentages in crosstab reports for this poll may not add to 100% due to rounding.
GA CD 06 Special Election
04/10/2017 - 04/12/2017
Q1: Voter Likelihood: Have you voted or how likely would you say you are to vote in the special election for
Congressional District 6 on April 18th:
Answer
Percent
Already Voted
33.44%
Extremely Likely
61.49%
Very Likely
3.97%
Somewhat Likely
1.11%
Not Very Likely
0%
Not Likely at All
0%
Total
100%
Q2: Presidential Approval: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling his job as president?
Answer
Percent
Approve
47.48%
Disapprove
47.79%
Undecided
4.73%
Total
100%
Revily.com
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GA CD 06 Special Election
04/10/2017 - 04/12/2017
Q3: Price Approval: Do you approve of the job Tom Price has done as a US Congressman?
Answer
Percent
Approve
46.47%
Disapprove
42.1%
Undecided
11.43%
Total
100%
Q4: Generic Ballot: In general, would you prefer that the next representative from your congressional district be a
Republican or a Democrat?
Answer
Percent
Republican Candidate
50.14%
Democrat Candidate
44.06%
Depends
4.83%
Not Sure
0.97%
Total
100%
Revily.com
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GA CD 06 Special Election
04/10/2017 - 04/12/2017
Q5: GA CD 06: If the special election for Congressional District 6 was being held today and the candidates were
Republican Bob Gray, Republican Karen Handel, Republican Judson Hill, Republican Amy Kremer, Democrat Jon
Ossof , Republican Dan Moody and Democrat Ron Slotin - for which candidate would you vote? If you are still
undecided on who to vote for, then please select undecided.
Answer
Percent
Bob Gray
15.96%
Karen Handel
16.82%
Judson Hill
6.54%
Amy Kremer
0%
Jon Ossoff
44.7%
Dan Moody
9%
Ron Slotin
0.47%
Another Candidate
0.84%
Undecided
5.66%
Total
100%
Revily.com
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GA CD 06 Special Election
04/10/2017 - 04/12/2017
Q6: Handel v Ossoff: If the special election for Congressional District 6 were to result in a runoff election and the
candidates were Republican Karen Handel and Democrat Jon Ossoff - for which candidate would you vote? If you
are still undecided on who to vote for, then please select undecided.
Answer
Percent
Karen Handel
46.06%
Jon Ossoff
47.27%
Undecided
6.68%
Total
100%
Q7: Gray v Ossoff: If the special election for Congressional District 6 were to result in a runoff election and the
candidates were Republican Bob Gray and Democrat Jon Ossoff - for which candidate would you vote? If you are
still undecided on who to vote for, then please select undecided.
Answer
Percent
Bob Gray
48.3%
Jon Ossoff
47.27%
Undecided
4.43%
Total
100%
Revily.com
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GA CD 06 Special Election
04/10/2017 - 04/12/2017
Q8: Gray Image: Now I would like to read you a list of names and have you select the choice, for each name, that
best describes your opinion of that person. If you don\u2019t know enough of the person to state your opinion, just
say so. For Congressional Candidate Bob Gray:
Answer
Percent
Favorable
33.74%
Unfavorable
28.37%
Not Formed Opinion
37.89%
Total
100%
Q9: Handel Image: For Congressional Candidate Karen Handel:
Answer
Percent
Favorable
35.59%
Unfavorable
50.39%
Not Formed Opinion
14.02%
Total
100%
Revily.com
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GA CD 06 Special Election
04/10/2017 - 04/12/2017
Q10: Ossoff Image: For Congressional Candidate John Ossoff:
Answer
Percent
Favorable
47.97%
Unfavorable
46.96%
Not Formed Opinion
5.07%
Total
100%
Q11: Syrian Air Strikes: Do you approve or disapprove of the U.S. launching airstrikes against Syrian military targets
in response to the Syrian governments use of chemical weapons on civilians?
Answer
Percent
Approve
59.93%
Disapprove
22.27%
Not Formed Opinion
17.8%
Total
100%
Revily.com
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GA CD 06 Special Election
04/10/2017 - 04/12/2017
Q12: Ideology: Do you consider yourself to be very conservative, somewhat conservative, moderate, somewhat
liberal or very liberal?
Answer
Percent
Very Conservative
22.94%
SW Conservative
23.95%
Moderate
25.27%
SW Liberal
17.61%
Very Liberal
10.23%
Total
100%
Q13: Party: In politics today, do you consider yourself a Republican, Democrat, or Independent?
Answer
Percent
Republican
34%
Democrat
33%
Independent or Other
33%
Total
100%
Revily.com
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GA CD 06 Special Election
04/10/2017 - 04/12/2017
Q14: Ethnicity: What is your ethnicity?
Answer
Percent
Caucasian
82.88%
African American
8.98%
Hispanic
1.38%
Other
6.75%
Total
100%
Q15: Gender: Are you male or are you female?
Answer
Percent
Male
44%
Female
56%
Total
100%
Revily.com
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GA CD 06 Special Election
04/10/2017 - 04/12/2017
Q16: Age: Which of the following choices is your age range?
Answer
Percent
18-34
8%
35-54
20%
55-64
20%
65+
52%
Total
100%
Q17: Marital Status: Which of the following choices describes your current marital status?
Answer
Percent
Single and Never Married
11.77%
Married
69.32%
Separated
0%
Divorced
10.21%
Widowed
8.7%
Total
100%
Revily.com
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