FIELD INSIGHTS SERIES SEPTEMBER 2013 SAFE WATER DISTRIBUTION IN INDIA Improving Financial Viability Through Cost-Effective Delivery Services MARCH 2014 Safe Water Stations need to reach minimum sales volumes to become financially viable. We’ve field-tested a range of approaches to enable third-party distribution networks, with the goal of demonstrating a model that’s profitable for local distributors and standardized for replication. Lead Author: Ryan Hebert Contributing Authors: Ravi Sewak, Hew Crooks, Sumanta Mitra, Shanker Batra Background: Safe Water Kiosks PROGRAM SUMMARY To become sustainable, any water system must first achieve • Objective: Improve the financial viability of Safe Water Stations in India1 through bulk water sales to institutions, distribution through retail stores, and home delivery services. financial viability. The community-level Safe Water Stations we • Intervention: Field-testing alternative models to enable consumers to pay a premium for delivery services—including part- and full-time approaches, different vehicle types and channels, and various models for equipment ownership and water pricing. operating expenses, and a total of ~200 (45% of system capacity) establish operate at low margins in order to maintain affordable pricing (`4, or $0.07, per 20L container 2 ). As a result, each must sell ~90 containers per day (20% of system capacity) to cover ongoing if it is to build reserves for maintenance and capital replacement. To help reach these thresholds, and to ensure health benefits, our target is for 75% of households in each community to become Safe Water Station customers3. Testing Delivery Services to Drive Sales KEY INSIGHTS As part of our work to reach these goals, we developed distribution models (pricing, channels, logistics, vehicle selection, etc.), and • Local distributors have both the interest and the capacity to carry out safe water distribution as an extension of their businesses. provided training to local private distributors. These distributors collect water from Stations and deliver it throughout the village and in nearby hamlets, serving homes, retail stores, and institutional buyers capable of purchasing 10 or more containers at a time (such • Profitable distribution is challenging: water is heavy, roads are often poor, and low margins make it critical to keep costs as low as possible. as schools). To date, we have implemented distribution in 23 villages, in the states of Andhra Pradesh (Warangal and Karimnagar districts) and Uttar Pradesh (Gautam Buddha Nagar and Mathura districts). • Distribution is most successful using part-time assets, and in communities where populations are sufficiently large to offset costs. At the end of 2012, we made distribution a more significant focus and intensified our efforts, as described below. • Success requires identifying suitable distributors, engaging bulk purchasers, and ensuring consumer willingness to pay for the value-add of distribution. 1 2 3 Our related work to develop viable distribution in Ghana will be described in a future Field Insights. As of this writing, $1 = `60 (August 2013) A household of five people would need to purchase slightly less than two containers per day to provide each person with the 7L minimum recommended by UNHCR. Safe Water Network develops innovative solutions that provide safe water to communities in need. Our goal is to achieve sustainable service delivery and locally-independent operations through the application of local ownership and market principles. In Field Insights, we provide a focused analysis of how we’ve approached a particular challenge and what insights have been gained. For more information, contact [email protected]. 1 FIELD INSIGHTS SERIES FIELD INSIGHTS SERIES SAFE WATER DISTRIBUTION IN INDIA Improving Financial Viability Through Cost-Effective Delivery Services SAFE WATER DISTRIBUTION IN INDIA Improving Financial Viability Through Cost-Effective Delivery Services Beyond improving the viability of water systems, distribution nursing homes, and retailers) and individual customers, especially 4. Seasonality contributes to local livelihoods by providing revenue streams to the old and infirm. Challenge: Water demand is highly seasonal, peaking along with private distributors and retailers. It also enables us to provide safe 3. Quality Assurance temperatures between March and June, as shown in Figure 3 on water access to many more people, including the old and infirm the previous page. This fluctuation makes it highly challenging for Challenge: With more activities happening outside the controlled (who may be unable to carry water over any significant distance), distributors, who must be prepared to meet high demand during Safe Water Station environment, distribution creates complications and greater convenience for others.4 the peak season while avoiding the high costs of excess capacity in in ensuring that treated water is not recontaminated before it the low-seasonality months. It also makes it difficult to build and reaches the final consumer. Handling during transport and storage, Challenges to Cost-Effective Distribution maintain a customer base over time. the rate of inventory turnover in retail shops, and the transfer of water between vessels all have the potential to compromise water Solution: We ensure that distributors anticipate this seasonality, quality. Quality assurance can be particularly challenging in areas and we incorporate it into the model in two ways: by reducing where residents insist on owning their own containers rather than distribution frequency during lower seasonality months to reduce exchanging an empty for a full one (often because of sensitivities costs, and by setting high customer targets during peak months revenues between an operator, a distributor, and in some cases regarding caste). with the goal of ensuring that when demand drops, sales remain a retailer. Our field-testing focused on addressing the following Solution: We manage this risk through the consistent use of sufficient to keep distributors at breakeven or better. challenges: residual chlorine (0.2 to 0.3 ppm in treated water, with 50 ppm used 1. Vehicle Selection weekly to clean distribution tanks). Where resellers maintain their Though distribution has the potential to improve system economics, it is also challenging on a number of fronts. Water is heavy to transport, and our low margins make it essential to identify efficiencies wherever possible—particularly given the need to divide Economic Results own inventory of containers, we also closely monitor their cleaning Challenge: We found that distributors were often unrealistic in 1. Economics for Distributors practices, ensuring that strict standards are met. their revenue and margin expectations, and purchased expensive Figure 4 presents a sample from our economic modeling, showing how profitability can be reached if certain volume thresholds are new vehicles for which cost recovery was unlikely. Vehicles must be carefully chosen based on a balance between cargo capacity, Figure 4. Summary of Economics for Distributors Figure 1: Vehicles tested for distribution: (Clockwise from top left) distributor filling containers from a three-wheeled truck, four-wheeled truck, jugaad, oxcart and motorized cycle rickshaw reliability on bad roads, and cost. Solution: We tested a range of vehicles to determine which 1 at right) included three- and four-wheeled trucks, motorized rickshaws, jugaads (motorized trolleys), and oxcarts. Different vehicles showed potential for different use cases. Fourwheeled pickups proved ideal for long distances over poor roads with heavy water loads. Three-wheeled trucks are limited in Figure 2: Distributors and operators are taught basic principles of route planning. Once bulk buyers are identified and established (left), the distributor works to fill in with household deliveries. In peri-urban areas or other locations with relatively smooth roads, motorized cycle rickshaws can be used. Surprisingly, oxcarts proved to be unworkable, both because they become scarce during the harvest season and because the cost of food for oxen is generally 2. Logistics 160 CANS PER DAY Challenge: Given the slow speed of filling tanks5, long distances between delivery points, and bad roads (particularly during 140 monsoon periods), a distribution model must leverage efficiencies 120 wherever possible. the previous page) so we could design cost-effective routes that minimized travel times and distance, strengthen reliability, and strike an effective balance between bulk buyers (colleges, schools, 5 40 AVERAGE HIGH TEMPERATURE 35 TOTAL EXPENSES each village and its neighboring communities (see Figure 2 on 4 EXPENSES Water Diesel fuel consumption Vehicle Loader Reseller 45 100 Solution: We worked with plant operators and distributors to map TOTAL REVENUE 50°C AVERAGE SALES VOLUME 80 30 60 25 J F M A M J J A Convenience itself can contribute significantly to safe water consumption (see Field Insights: Remote Kiosks, April 2013). When electricity is unavailable to run a motorized pump, filling a 1,000-L tank can take nearly an hour. 2 S O N D to 100 20L containers each day (92 for a four-wheeled truck using HAMLET 3,430 4.3 800 20% 100% 12 1,920 64 $0.17 $0.07 $0.02 diesel, as presented in Figure 4). We have completed variations of TOTAL 6,430 this table for each combination of vehicle and fuel. Distribution is more likely to reach viability if costs can be reduced 1,500 through the use of part-time assets (both staff and equipment). This can be achieved by an independent entrepreneur distributing water part of the day 6 and other goods at other times, or by a Safe 2,760 92 Water Station operator running deliveries in the middle of the day when the Station is closed. Under both of these models, distribution represents a part-time activity, which distributors report to be worthwhile if they can earn an incremental $30-80 per month beyond their income from other DELIVERY ECONOMICS (monthly) Figure 3: Average Monthly Water Sales vs. Average Monthly High Temperatures, Warangal District, 2012 higher than the cost of fuel for a motorized vehicle. This threshold depends on the vehicle used, but ranges from 40 MAIN ASSUMPTIONS COMMUNITY 3,000 Village population 4.3 Average family size 700 Households (HH) 50% % HH purchasing/month 20% % Customer HH delivery purchasing HH buying frequency (20L cans/month) 12 840 Total 20L cans delivered/month 28 Total 20L cans delivered/day Sales price - delivered water/20L can $0.17 $0.07 Cost of water/20L can $0.03 Reseller margin represented the most effective balance. Vehicles tested (see Figure weight-carrying capacity and tend to require more maintenance. consistently achieved (including in the low-seasonality months). (four-wheeled truck, diesel fuel) NET INCOME FROM DELIVERY $140 $320 activities—a threshold now being reached in five villages. Figure $460 5 on the following page shows the year-to-date average monthly net income from delivery in each village. For the six-month period $56 $2 $32 $13 $28 $128 $4 $74 $30 $32 $184 $6 $106 $43 $60 from January to June (which includes both high- and low-volume $131 $269 $399 Retail resellers generally seek an incremental income of `20 ($0.30) $10 $52 $61 months), distribution is a profitable activity overall in 13 villages, and in a 14th (Jookal) the distributor is breaking even. 2. Economics for Retailers per day. For most retailers (who pay `7 to have water delivered, and resell it at `8), this requires selling 20 containers per day. As retailers establish a market price for retail water, however, we have 6 For example, 1.5-2 hours twice a day, as at the village of Pathipaka 3 FIELD INSIGHTS SERIES SAFE WATER DISTRIBUTION IN INDIA Improving Financial Viability Through Cost-Effective Delivery Services seen other enterprising individuals begin to fetch water by bicycle Figure 5: Distributors’ Net Income from Delivery, Jan.-Jun 2013 directly from the Safe Water Station for resale from their homes or storefronts. Earning the full differential from `4 (at the Station) to `8, they can reach `20 per day by selling just five containers per day, AREA which requires only two or three bicycle trips. $128 Parkal, AP 58 Pathipaka, AP 45 Mahabubabad, AP 38 Shayampet, AP 34 Kolahar, UP 19 Asmadpur Charoli, UP 13 Kampalli, AP 7 Kothapally, AP 3 Mulkalapally, AP $30 2 Pasargonda, AP Minimum 1 Gangirenigudem, AP profitability threshold for 0.45 Hasanparthi, AP distributors 0.35 Wadlakonda, AP 0 Rajavaram, AP -0.40 Pochampally, AP -1 Jookal -1 Thodellagudem, AP -1 Gorikothapally, AP -3 Mannegudem, AP -4 Nizampally, AP Katrapalle, AP -7 -11 Kureb, UP -34 Mana Garhi, UP 3. Contribution to Overall Performance In Q2 of 2013, distribution represented 20% of total system volumes across all 23 villages, up from just 11% in Q2 of 2012. In volume terms (see Figure 6), distribution increased 60% year over year in Q1 2013 (from 11 to 18 containers per day on average) and 112% year over year in Q2 2013 (from 14 to 29 containers per day). These increased distribution volumes have not come at the expense of main-site sales, which increased by some 5% year over year over the same period. Distribution has played a significant role in bringing Stations above the ~90 container/day threshold for covering operating expenses. It has also generated benefits to livelihoods in the form of full-time employment for 14 people and part-time incremental income for an additional 74 (including 61 retailers). Having shown the potential for distribution to improve viability and increase coverage, the challenge is to make it profitable everywhere that it is implemented. Villages that have struggled to achieve profitable distribution are generally (though not in all cases) smaller, making it harder to cover costs. Additional NET INCOME challenges in these villages include difficulties in identifying distributors, engaging bulk purchasers, ensuring willingness to Figure 6: Average Sales Volume from Distribution pay for distribution, or simply bad roads, which interrupt (all sites) established delivery routes. 40 CANS PER DAY What’s Next? 30 We continue to refine our approaches and test new methods in the lower-performing villages. Initiatives include: 20 • Identifying opportunities for distribution to reach poorer 10 consumers, who may be unable to afford the higher prices +112% YOY INTERVENTION +60% YOY 11 11 Q4 2011 Q1 2012 18 14 29 18 8 0 currently charged. • Testing subscription models for bulk purchasers to increase frequency and predictability of routes and volumes. Q2 2012 Q3 2012 Q4 2012 Q1 2013 Q2 2013 With these improvements in place, we expect that effective, year- • Identifying ways to improve the speed of loading and unloading round distribution will be a key element of any community safe to improve efficiency. water project and an important contributor to economic viability. • Expanding distribution footprints to ensure distributors reach Safe Water Network’s distribution program is made possible through support from the: minimal volumes in off-peak months. • Continuing to investigate more-successful and less-successful villages to identify opportunities to replicate successes in new environments. • Developing a standardized “distribution kit” (similar to our THE NELL NEWMAN FOUNDATION Toolkits) including training materials for both distributors and Lead Supporters of Safe Water Network in India: Merck Foundation, PepsiCo Foundation, SRTT water system managers. 4
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