Irish Political Studies ISSN: 0790-7184 (Print) 1743-9078 (Online) Journal homepage: http://www.tandfonline.com/loi/fips20 The End of Party Democracy as We Know It? A Tribute to Peter Mair Ingrid van Biezen To cite this article: Ingrid van Biezen (2014) The End of Party Democracy as We Know It? A Tribute to Peter Mair, Irish Political Studies, 29:2, 177-193, DOI: 10.1080/07907184.2014.897944 To link to this article: http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/07907184.2014.897944 Published online: 06 May 2014. Submit your article to this journal Article views: 1033 View related articles View Crossmark data Citing articles: 4 View citing articles Full Terms & Conditions of access and use can be found at http://www.tandfonline.com/action/journalInformation?journalCode=fips20 Download by: [Leabharlann Choláiste na Tríonóide/Trinity College Library & IReL] Date: 09 September 2016, At: 09:37 Irish Political Studies, 2014 Vol. 29, No. 2, 177 –193, http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/07907184.2014.897944 The End of Party Democracy as We Know It? A Tribute to Peter Mair INGRID VAN BIEZEN1 Leiden University, The Netherlands I would like to take this opportunity to thank the organizers of the Political Studies Association of Ireland (PSAI) for inviting me to their annual conference. I am delighted that the association has decided to pay tribute to Peter Mair and his legacy for the discipline of political science by establishing an annual memorial lecture. It is an immense honour and privilege for me to be here and deliver the very first one. Having said that, I should perhaps bracket my enthusiasm by emphasizing that – it probably goes without saying – I would rather wish that the sad circumstances that have prompted the organization of this lecture series had not arisen in the first place. I first met Peter Mair at Leiden University in 1990, where I was an undergraduate student and he a newly appointed senior lecturer. I registered for his course on Parties and Party Systems. We were all captivated by both its substantive content and the engaging course instructor, and so inspired that we tended to continue our conversations also outside the classroom. I particularly remember one New Year’s Eve, when we were startled by the fireworks announcing the arrival of the New Year. We had completely missed the countdown to midnight, absorbed as we were debating the varieties of moderate and polarized pluralism, discussing how frozen cleavage structures were now beginning to thaw, and mass parties were transforming into catch-all parties. At our disposal were the selected writings of intellectual giants such as Sartori, Lipset and Rokkan, Duverger, and Kirchheimer, brought together in a book that Mair had compiled shortly before (Mair, 1990). Mortified that others might think that our idea of entertainment consisted of discussing compulsory course readings when others were partying, for a long time we were too embarrassed to tell anyone. It thus was Peter Mair who first introduced me to the study of political parties and party systems, and who instigated my interest in comparative politics. Little did I Correspondence Address: Ingrid van Biezen, Leiden University, Political Science, PO Box 9555, 2300 RB Leiden, The Netherlands. Email: [email protected] # 2014 Political Studies Association of Ireland 178 I. van Biezen know that I myself would become so enthusiastic about the parties and party systems that they would also come to define my own professional career. It is not too much of an exaggeration to state that, if it were not for Peter, who later became my mentor and supervisor, I would not be here today. But although mine is a personal story of indebtedness and gratitude, the sense of obligation and appreciation is one that is more broadly shared across the academic community. As students of political parties, party systems and democracy, and regardless of how well or how long we had known him, we are all in one way or another beholden to his insights. In a recent article on which Peter Mair and I collaborated together with Thomas Poguntke, and which is probably among the last of his publications that he saw appear ‘in print’ (van Biezen et al., 2012),2 we observe a continuous decline in party membership levels in the large majority of European democracies, both in absolute numbers and as a percentage of the electorate. We also conclude that party memberships have now fallen to such a low level that the size of the membership organization itself no longer offers a meaningful indicator of party organizational capacity. Our discussion is embedded in a long-standing debate over the decline or crisis of parties (e.g. Lawson & Merkel, 1988; Selle & Svåsand, 1991; Dalton & Wattenberg, 2000). Have the organizational transformations of parties progressed to such an extent that we can now consider the party to be over? (cf. Whiteley, 2011). The UK Political Studies Association even chose this as the main theme for its annual conference in 2013, aiming to speak to ‘a number of senses in which assumptions and modalities that have hitherto underpinned political life, and political analysis, may no longer be sustainable’. What future is there, it was asked rhetorically, for representative politics, given ‘the apparent inability of mainstream politics to provide solutions, beyond endless austerity, to current problems’, which ‘offers to contribute further to the long-term decline in the popularity and social reach of leading political parties’. According to many party scholars, as well as several democratic audits, the problematic performance of the parties has made the quality of representative democracy deteriorate over the last decades, in particular because parties continue to lose members, the levels of party activism are dwindling, and provisions for internal democracy generally remain weak. Evidence suggests that apparently ‘democratizing’ reforms may in fact have increased the power of party leaders while they appear to have reduced the scope for members to exert influence, which is accompanied by a decay of ‘public faith in democratic institutions’, a widening gap in the participation rates of different social classes of voters, and an ‘unprecedented growth in corporate power’, all of which suggest that the reality of representative democracy is ‘pretty catastrophically in decline’, as the authors of the recent democratic audit in the UK conclude (Wilks-Heeg et al., 2012).3 These observations resonate with Mair’s long-standing interest in the transformation of political parties and echo his concerns, which grew more pronounced towards later stages of his career, about the quality of their democratic performance and the implications this may have for the future of the representative democracy. A Tribute to Peter Mair 179 The Cartel Party Throughout his scholarly career, Peter Mair was guided by a strong interest in adaptation and change: evidence for change, its sources, and its possible future impact (Mair, 1983: 428), with a particular emphasis on party system change and party organizational transformation and adaptation. The notion of the ‘cartel party’, which was developed together with Richard Katz and advanced in the maiden issue of Party Politics, is arguably among the most influential in the discipline of comparative politics. Indeed, according to a recent assessment by Alan Ware (2011: 420), the cartel party, advanced by Katz and Mair (1995), represents ‘the most important “European” development in the analysis of party structures in the last 20 years’. Until then, most of the existing literature on party organizational models had been built on relatively simple dichotomies: between primarily electoralist and elite-centred party organizations, on the one hand, and more popular and expressive organizations, on the other. Thus, Duverger (1954) contrasted the cadre party with the mass party, for example, and Kirchheimer (1966) and Panebianco (1988) the mass party with the catch-all and electoral-professional parties, respectively. Rather than juxtaposing two parties of different types, Katz and Mair went beyond these dichotomies and analysed developments over time, identifying the various shifts from one party model to another. Adopting a long-term dynamic perspective, they observed that the process of party organizational transformation since the heyday of the mass party is best characterized as a movement of parties away from civil society and towards the state. They were among the first to point out that the notion of a decline of political parties tout court was misconceived, as there are few signs of any deterioration in their procedural or institutional functions (cf. Bartolini & Mair, 2001), If anything, the linkages between parties and the state have grown stronger over time.4 If attention is paid to both the (weakening) linkages between parties and society and the (strengthening) linkages between parties and the state, the evolution and the survival of party organizations become more readily understandable, as parties respond to changes in the environment in which they operate and to shifts in the available opportunity structure. While the linkages between parties and civil society may thus have been weakened, those between parties and the state have become stronger, to the point that parties no longer act as the representative agents of civil society but have become instead absorbed by the state and begin to act as semi-state agencies. The cartel party is characterized, organizationally, by the interpenetration of party and state and, at the level of the party system, by a pattern of inter-party collusion rather than competition. In the era of the cartel party, the main parties work together and use the resources of the state – such as public subsidies, state-regulated media access, or party patronage – to ensure their collective survival. The argument has since been criticized on various counts, not least because of the label ‘cartel’ and the conspiratorial connotations it invokes, but also for conflating the analytical level of the party organization with that of the party system (e.g. Koole, 1996; Detterbeck, 2005). Important elements of the cartel party, moreover, remain 180 I. van Biezen to be corroborated empirically. The jury is still out on the question, for example, of whether the availability of state funding actually hinders or helps the prospects of new parties challenging the status quo (e.g. Bischoff, 2006; Scarrow, 2006), although recent research suggests – counter to the cartel thesis – that countries which provide subsidies to parties below the electoral threshold may actually help facilitate their organizational survival (Casal Bértoa & Spirova, 2013). More regulation, on the other hand, does indeed appear to decrease the number of successful new party entries (e.g. van Biezen & Rashkova, 2012). The broader parameters of the cartel thesis, however, have quickly acquired a wide acceptance, as the tendencies they describe – as so much with Mair’s work – resonated with familiarity. The Katz and Mair conjecture, as it is perhaps most accurately described, reminds us that the so-called decline of party stems from a one-sided and thus biased view on parties, both empirically and normatively. In fact, political parties are as strong as ever before, if not stronger, and have access to far greater resources. As representative organizations, however, as Schmitter (2001) recalls, they may no longer be what they once were. Their linkages with society have become more contingent, temporal and loose, as a consequence of which they are less capable of fulfilling their representative functions. At the same time, and in part as a response to their increased vulnerability, parties have ‘migrated to the safety of the institutions of the state’, facilitating their own survival by exchanging or extracting resources from it in the form of public funds, favourable legal rules, or patronage appointments. Katz and Mair also remind us that there is no natural end point to this dialectic process of organizational development and adaptation. They surmise that the cartel party will generate its own opposition, such as from extremist and populist parties, which constitute one of the most powerful challenges to cartelized political systems as they seek to break the status quo of established politics (Katz & Mair, 1995: 24). They thus echo Arend Lijphart’s earlier observations about the dangers of so-called ‘depoliticized democracy’ (which he called karteldemocratie in Dutch): systems in which there no longer is any meaningful opposition are likely to generate distrust of politicians and opposition to the political system itself (Lijphart, 1975; see also Koole, 1996). In contemporary party systems, populist parties are often seen as the most evident reification of such anti-establishment opposition. Populist parties, in particular of the radical right, often share a number of organizational idiosyncrasies, most notably a charismatic and populist leader who claims to possess a direct and unmediated relationship with the people (e.g. Zaslove, 2008). However, the variety in organizational forms among such parties is probably too large to identify a distinctive populist mode of political mobilization or organization (cf. Mudde, 2004). Take the Freedom Party (PVV) in the Netherlands, for instance, which is a party that revolves entirely around its founder and leader Geert Wilders. It has no formal party organization and it eschews party membership completely. That is, there is simply no ‘party on the ground’ or ‘party central office’. Other populist parties, by contrast, remain highly committed to having real membership organizations, and seek to engage their members in policy formulation, leadership selection, and so on. The Italian Lega Nord offers a powerful example in this regard, as it A Tribute to Peter Mair 181 deliberately seeks to build a tight and highly disciplined mass organization on the model of the former Italian Communist Party, and, in the process, has marked up one electoral success after another (e.g. Albertazzi & McDonnell, 2010). While new challengers such as populist parties may thus form a powerful challenge to the ‘cosy arrangements’ formed by existing party cartels, they are less likely to provide an alternative mode of organization to the cartel party. In challenging the status quo, populist parties claim to represent the interests of the people, which they claim are being neglected by the established elites, thus accentuating the emerging divide, which I shall discuss in more detail later on, between what Mair subsequently called responsible and responsive government (Mair, 2009). In modern democracies, the roles of parties by which they are responsive to their supporters and public opinion, while at the same time responsible towards internal and external systemic constraints, have become increasingly incompatible and difficult to reconcile. The Return of the Party in Public Office Although Katz and Mair do not necessarily claim a unilinear trend, there is a ‘distinctively developmental aspect to their approach in which European party structures and processes have changed over time in response to changed external circumstances’ (Ware, 2011: 421). Indeed, Katz and Mair famously contend that ‘the development of parties in western democracies has been reflective of a dialectical process in which each new party type generates a reaction that stimulates further development, thus leading to yet another new party type, and to another set of reactions, and so on’ (Katz & Mair, 1995: 6). In terms of the internal balance of power, they had contended earlier, the organizational development of political parties can best be described as a transformation of the power constellation between the three ‘faces’ of party organization: the party on the ground, the party central office and the party in public office (Katz & Mair, 1993). At the risk of oversimplification, it could be stated that there are three essential internal power configurations: there may be a dominant party central office and subordinate party in public office, as in the case of the classic mass party; a state of relative equilibrium between the party central office and the party in public office, as in the case of the catch-all party; or a dominant party in public office and a subordinate central office, as in the case of the modern cartel party. The relative importance of the third face, the party on the ground, may vary, but it is itself unlikely to exert a dominant position, as it always needs an agent to embody and represent it. Hybrid forms of party organization may exist, of course, such as in many of the newer democracies where the party central office and the party in public office are largely fused horizontally, and ‘party organizations are controlled from a small center of power located at the interstices of the extra-parliamentary party and the party in public office’ (van Biezen, 2003: 218). The faces of parties may also become vertically fused. The continuing decline in party members, for example, implies that the number of grass-roots activists within parties decreases while the 182 I. van Biezen share of those who at some level also hold public office goes up. It thus may happen, and for some of the parties in the younger democracies of Southern and Eastern Europe this indeed appears to be the case, that the large majority of party members are also public office holders for the party (van Biezen, 2003). This also suggests that contemporary party memberships – in terms of social profile, education and employment – may have less and less in common with the traditional party on the ground and progressively more with the party in central or even public office, such that it might be more reasonable ‘to regard them not as constituting part of civil society – with which party membership has traditionally been associated – but rather as constituting the outer ring of an extended political class’ (van Biezen et al., 2012: 39). If, however, we understand the historical development of political parties in terms of changing power relations between the three faces of party organization, only a limited number of permutations appears possible. This is not to suggest that, with the advent of the cartel party, we have reached the end point of the process of organizational development. Katz and Mair were right to caution against any notion of stasis in political reality. However, rather than understanding the process of organizational change and adaptation as a dialectical process, which does not place any limits on the number of theoretically possible syntheses, the process is perhaps better conceived as one of temporal movements around a longer-term equilibrium, in which the party in public office is (by default) the predominant face of the party, while the central party office is the agent of the party in public office in organizing and directing the party on the ground – to the extent that indeed there is one – as well as the party’s myriad of supporters, adherents, sympathizers and voters. Parties adapt primarily in response to their changing environment. The mode of party organization is therefore a product of decisions made by party actors in selective contexts. Although actors may develop different strategic responses to the opportunity structure of mobilization in which they operate, their structural environment favours certain strategies over others (Hellmann, 2011). Thus we find that the increasingly standardized conditions prevailing in post-industrial societies, globalized economies and electoral democracies encourage a convergence of organizational styles ‘across different polities in which the evolutionary trajectory of parties in established democracies . . . meets with that of the parties in new democracies as they begin to settle into roles that, at least initially, were forged almost exclusively by the exigencies of public office’ (Bartolini & Mair, 2001: 338). The emergence of parties as strong movements of society is thus an exception to the norm, unlikely to be repeated in modern times or in different institutional contexts of party formation. On this view, the European mass party does not merely represent one stage in an ongoing process of organizational development; rather, it is a unique product of a historically contingent institutional structure. It is not so much the child of mass democracy and universal franchise emerging to ‘woo and organize the masses’, as Weber (1948 [1918]) put it, but rather the product of the particular context of nineteenth century Western Europe of what Dahl (1971) has called an ‘competitive oligarchy’. Mass parties emerged as a response to a particular A Tribute to Peter Mair 183 institutional order in which large segments of society were excluded politically (and indeed economically) and from a sequence of development in which organization building came prior to mass electoral competition and executive power (van Biezen, 2003). The mass party is thus a temporary deviation from a longer-term equilibrium. Once the conditions that fostered its development ceased to prevail, the subsequent catch-all and cartel parties returned to it. Such a perspective demonstrates that, despite the fact that Katz and Mair acknowledge the contingent nature of the mass party, in their description of the process they very much take it as the empirical – if not normative and ideal typical – reference point. However, if we take the classic cadre parties of the nineteenth century as our point of departure, it would appear to be more accurate to speak of the return rather than the ascendancy of the party in public office (Katz & Mair, 2002). As a rule, linkages with society are driven primarily by a short-term electoral rather than a long-term partisan logic. Linkages with the state can become part of the party, and can be used by the party as an element of its strategy of adaptation. State Intervention in Party Politics In this context, it is important to observe the increased propensity of modern states to intervene in the area of party politics. In this context, two key developments should be emphasized in particular: on the one hand, parties have become more dependent on the state; on the other, they are also increasingly managed by the state (van Biezen & Kopecký, 2007). First of all, the introduction of public subsidies has made parties increasingly dependent on public money and state support. Indeed, for Katz and Mair (1995) the availability of state support for the parties constituted a preeminent indicator of cartelization. While parties in Western Europe had traditionally relied on membership subscriptions, contributions from donors and affiliated organizations, and other forms of grass-roots funding, in most countries today state subventions have become beyond any doubt the single most important financial resource. First introduced in Germany in 1959, state subsidies are now available to national political parties in virtually every European democracy, Switzerland and Malta being the only exceptions. Public subsidies have indeed become a widespread phenomenon across the globe, in both old and new democracies, although perhaps somewhat more prominently in the latter. In the newer democracies of Southern and East-Central Europe, for example, state funding was often made available at an early stage of the democratization process – in some countries even before the first democratic elections – and without much debate on the role public money should play in the financing of political parties.5 In the older democracies, public funding was inevitably introduced at a much later stage in the process of party organizational development. The widespread availability of state funding underscores that the predominant conception of democracy currently is one in which parties are both procedurally necessary and democratically desirable institutions, even amidst increasing concern that their actual functioning may not always contribute to the quality of democratic representation. 184 I. van Biezen While the pervasiveness of public funding might in itself be taken as an indication of the parties’ growing financial dependence on the state, the more interesting question is of course how important these public subsidies are in relation to the total party incomes. Although reliable cross-national data are hard to obtain, recent evaluations by GRECO – the Group of States against Corruption established by the Council of Europe to monitor member state compliance with the existing anti-corruption standards – show that the parties’ financial dependence on the state is quite staggering (see Piccio, 2012; van Biezen & Kopecký, 2014), to the point that state subventions are effectively crowding out other sources of income. It is only in Germany and the Netherlands that public subsidies are estimated to contribute to less than half of the total party income, while in the majority of countries the state contributes to at least two-thirds of party income. In countries on the high end of the spectrum, such as Belgium, Italy or Spain, state subsidies are estimated to account for no less than 80– 95 per cent of the total income. In most of the democracies that have relatively recently emerged out of what Huntington (1991) has called the ‘third wave’, the ratio of state funding has remained at a high level since it was first introduced. In many of the older democracies, the relevance of public subsidies has increased considerably in recent decades. In Denmark, the figure has gone up from approximately 20 per cent at the end of the 1980s to some 75 per cent at the end of the first decade of the ‘noughties’; Sweden and Norway have seen an increase from around 45– 50 per cent to 70 – 75 per cent 20 years later.6 The general importance of public funding for parties has thus become such that any cross-national variation that may have existed one or two decades ago has now largely levelled out. The data and underlying trends convincingly support the assertions of Katz and Mair, at least at the party organization level. The introduction of public subsidies has made political parties increasingly dependent on the state, regardless of whether the democracy in question is relatively long-standing or not. As Alan Ware observes, by increasing the access of parties to state resources, the traditional boundary between public body and private association has become increasingly blurred (Ware, 2011: 421). Second, political parties have not only become financially dependent on the state, but also are increasingly managed by the state through public law and the constitution. Post-war democratic states have shown an increased propensity to intervene in party politics, in that the activities, behaviour and internal organizational structures of the parties are ever more closely defined or prescribed by external regulations and state laws. Countries have begun formally to codify political parties in their national constitutions and to adopt special party laws and finance laws to regulate the parties’ financial and other matters (van Biezen, 2012; van Biezen & Kopecký, 2014). Thus the law may not only determine what formally constitutes a political party, who qualifies for ballot access, and who benefits from public subsidies, but may also regulate the permissible types of activity and behaviour and prescribe the structures of the party organization and internal party procedures. Over the course of the second half of the twentieth century, we can observe a progressive codification of political parties in public law, to the point that party structures have now become ‘legitimate A Tribute to Peter Mair 185 objects of state regulation to a degree far exceeding what would normally be acceptable for private associations in a liberal society’ (Katz, 2002: 90). The increased judicialization of party politics raises a number of important issues and concerns, such as whether parties should in fact be regulated differently from other types of (civil) organization, or whether the special regulation of parties should be reconciled with basic democratic freedoms, such as the freedom of speech and association. As the American lawyer Samuel Issacharoff (2007) has argued, attempts to control the internal governance of the parties in particular may bring the force of state authority too deep into the heart of the parties and may thereby critically weaken their organizational autonomy and undermine their necessary independence from the state. In addition, the judicialization of party politics raises concerns similar to those emerging from the expansion of judicial activism: these processes arguably undermine fundamental principles of democracy by effectively transferring powers from representative to non-representative institutions (e.g. Shapiro, 2003). Although the courts might sometimes act as a powerful constraint on the possibly undemocratic or anti-competitive behaviour of political parties, the legal regulation of parties evokes anxieties not only about the state centralization and control of political participation and public life, but also about the democratic legitimacy of transferring the ultimate decision-making authority on their behaviour and organization from the responsible organs of the party to a non-elected body of judges (Avnon, 1995: 285). Finally, and perhaps most importantly, the legal codification of political parties has strengthened both their material and their ideational position within the political system. Their constitutionally enshrined position, for example, effectively gives parties an official status as part of the state: by endowing them with a constitutional status, political parties are granted explicit recognition with respect to the institutional importance of democracy (van Biezen, 2012). According to the German constitutional lawyer and former Constitutional Court Justice, Gerhard Leibholz, this effectively legitimizes the existence of party democracy and transforms political parties from sociopolitical organizations into institutions that form the integral and necessary units of the democratic state (Leibholz, 1958: 92). Their legal codification in various sources of party law implies that, although parties may be bound by tighter restrictions in comparison with other (representative) organizations, they are also being endowed with important privileges. The two clearest examples in this regard are the regular provision of public subsidies, which in most countries is virtually unconditional except for an eligibility threshold in terms of votes, seats and/or candidates, and access to the ballot, which in many countries has become legally defined as the exclusive preserve of political parties, at the expense of other forms of organization or independent candidates. In this context, it is perhaps ironic that the parties’ privileges tend to be premised on their perceived democratic significance, which is seen to lie primarily in the contribution they (ought to) make to the realization of substantive democratic principles, such as political participation and representation, while their capacity to act as representative agents or vehicles of participation is increasingly uncertain. 186 I. van Biezen The increased involvement of the state in internal party affairs, whereby parties become subject to a regulatory framework that grants them an official status as part of the democratic state and they are financially supported by the state in order to fulfil their democratic functions, has contributed to a transformation of parties from voluntary private association towards the party as a special type of public utility (van Biezen, 2004). Whereas parties once drew their legitimacy from their capacity to represent the key constituencies within civil society, they now justify themselves by appealing to a conception of democracy in which parties are seen an essential public good. Unlike other factors that have contributed to the process of organizational change and adaptation over the course of the twentieth century, the introduction of public funding and the establishment of regulatory frameworks are processes that are not exogenous to the parties. In other words, it is the parties themselves who have played a major role in establishing the parameters of their own institutional context, effectively privileging themselves over other forms of organization, thereby facilitating their own survival as well as the continued existence of party democracy. Thus, while the parties have firmly cemented their position as institutional actors, they no longer fulfil many of the traditional functions once assigned to them. What remains of their linkage with society is gradually being transformed into a predominantly electoral linkage, while as decision-making actors parties principally serve to enhance policy coordination (Bolleyer, 2011). In both capacities, it is the party in public office that occupies a predominant position. The End of Party Democracy (As We Know It)? As parties become more disconnected from society, they are also losing relevance as agents of representation. To be sure, parties still perform important democratic linkage functions, as Dalton et al. (2011) have recently pointed out. Voters are still able to distinguish between parties, for example, and the differences between parties are still being translated into government policy. In other words, parties still matter, although the differences between them matter less than they once did. As Rohrschneider and Whitefield (2012: 31) argue, voter choices will become ‘less sharply defined as independent voters locate themselves more in the ideological center than partisans and salient issues become more diverse’. Moreover, ‘programs may become more fragmented as the social glue connecting parties and voters and defining a common set of interests vanishes’. In addition, and partly as a consequence, the nature as well as the direction of representation are clearly changing. Representation typically presupposes the existence of stable and meaningful social or political collectivities, a condition that is progressively undermined as a result of increased individualization, globalization and mediatization in modern democracies, as well as a horizontalization of relationships of authority. The ensuing uncertainty about citizen preferences and the transformation of political parties into parastatal agents, coupled with the growing unpredictability and complexity of the political agenda, have shifted modes of representation from bottom-up forms of ex A Tribute to Peter Mair 187 ante mandates towards more top-down and ex post forms of accountability (Andeweg, 2003). The political theorist Michael Saward has made a similar point, by arguing that political parties may in fact (claim to) represent in a variety of forms, and that what we are witnessing is a shift from one form, the so-called popular mode, to another, which he calls the statal mode of representation. The ‘popular’ mode is characterized by parties claiming to speak as delegates of certain politicized interests on the basis of a relatively fixed ideology. This understanding of representation involves a bottom-up process of interest articulation and aggregation, and perhaps resonates most deeply with dominant – but increasingly outdated – conceptions of party democracy. The ‘statal’ mode is characterized by parties claiming to speak as trustees of depoliticized and relatively flexible issue-based positions. This mode of representation is more top-down and accentuates the public rather than the private functions of the parties. In a similar vein, Mair (2009: 6) has argued that ‘the parties have moved from representing interests of citizens to the state, to representing interests of the state to the citizens’. The representation of citizens, then, to the extent that it occurs at all is increasingly left to other, non-governing, organizations (Mair, 2011a). For Saward, such a shift in the mode of representation does ‘not necessarily add up to a picture that is less democratic. It can, rather, be differently democratic’ (Saward, 2008: 283). Be that as it may, these developments do appear to entail a change from a partisan mode of representation to a mode of representation that centres more explicitly on some notion of the general or public interest, and which is decidedly less partisan. The key problem being confronted by the parties, then, is that of legitimizing their governance in the face of their weakening relevance as channels of citizen representation. It does not seem too much of an exaggeration to posit that much of the criticisms of contemporary parties can be attributed to a legitimacy deficit. As a result, democratic polities are currently experiencing a variety of forms of opposition to the established parties and political elites. In some political systems, anti-system and anti-party sentiments are successfully channelled through emerging populist parties, on both the left and right of the political spectrum, which combine an anti-establishment rhetoric with claims of popular representation. Other varieties of anti-establishment parties have also managed to break into the conventional arenas of democratic representation. Interesting examples are the German Pirate Party, which since 2011 has succeeded in entering four Land parliaments, although it failed to cross the threshold in the 2013 general elections, or the Five Star Movement of the Italian comedian and actor turned political activist Beppe Grillo, which managed to conquer the city of Parma in the recent mayoral elections, win the largest share of the vote in the Sicilian regional elections, as well as coming in third with about a quarter of the vote in the general elections in 2013. Outside the electoral and parliamentary arenas, protest movements such as Occupy or the Spanish indignados are creating identities that structure and polarize political attitudes above and beyond the direct impact of partisanship (e.g. Greene & Saunders, 2012). Despite some modest successes, however, as yet such forces largely remain 188 I. van Biezen outsider voices of dissent against what they perceive as a corrupted political (and economic) system. In the context of democratic renewal, we may also point to trials and experiments with alternative modes of decision-making and the plethora of instances of institutional reform. There is a still growing interest in forms of direct, participatory and deliberative democracy – referendums, citizen juries and assemblies, deliberative polls, participatory budgeting, and so on. All of these aim to provide ordinary citizens with more influence in the political process also outside the electoral cycle and separate from the hierarchical and aggregative channels of party politics. Leaving aside the question whether the ordinary citizen actually wants to engage more frequently and more intensively in the decision-making process (e.g. Hibbing & TheissMorse, 2002; Stoker, 2006), it should also be noted that the record of success of these alternatives and reforms to date is not exactly impressive (cf. Farrell, 2012). The fact that there are gradually more cases of citizen-oriented reform seems to suggest that things are changing, but their restricted scope and agenda as well as their ad hoc character make them unsuitable as structural alternatives to the established channels of party politics. In order to address the legitimacy crisis, parties will have to integrate these alternatives with established institutional mechanisms. More generally, they will have to find a way to close the gap between an increasingly horizontalized public domain, on the one hand, in which critical citizens, societal organizations and political actors operate on a relatively equitable footing in real and virtual networks, and the vertical structures of electoral democracy and party government, on the other, which continue to be organized hierarchically and top-down (Rob, 2010). It is not easy to see how this can be accomplished. At the same time, and in the opposite direction of citizen-oriented reforms, we appear to be witnessing a ‘technocratic challenge’ to democratically elected politicians. The counterweight of non-majoritarian institutions is considered necessary by some to safeguard democratic goals ‘from the predatory inclinations of a transitory political elite’ (Everson, 2000: 106). March and Olsen (1995: 136 – 137) even cast doubt on the value of party competition itself, by suggesting that it is not selfevident that it ‘will necessarily produce leaders who represent the interests of the people well or who are competent to govern’. In this context we may not only emphasize the continuing encroachment of the civil service on political decision-making, but also highlight especially the recent events, such as in Greece and Italy, where elected politicians were replaced by professional experts, and the Greek prime minister was ridiculed for even entertaining, however momentarily, the notion of a popular referendum. Some may herald the arrival of more specialist professional expertise as a solution to the problems caused by Europe’s politicians.7 However, as Mair has pointed out in the Irish context, where in the wake of the financial crisis the immediate constraints imposed upon parties by external actors became particularly acute, the technocratic solution is difficult to reconcile with the democratic process. Indeed, the imposition of budget cuts for which millions of innocent citizens are having to suffer, imposed by non-elected bureaucrats in Brussels and Washington, not only constitutes a social A Tribute to Peter Mair 189 catastrophe but also signals a failure of elected governments and democracy (Mair, 2011b). Who can blame voters for turning to political entrepreneurs with quick and easy solutions to their problems while the mainstream parties have – constrained by external demands from the European Union and International Monetary Fund – lost virtually all policy autonomy? The rational answer to the current financial crisis appears to be an even closer fiscal and monetary union, but this is a technocratic solution that will not make Europe more democratic. For the parties, the advent of technocratic forms of decision-making undermines not only their policy autonomy but also their policy coordination function. According to Mair, it is the growing disequilibrium between the popular irrelevance of parties and their increased public privileges that lies at the heart of the present discontent with political parties and that is difficult to remedy. He once drew a powerful parallel with Tocqueville’s analysis of the nobility to make this point: the more public functions passed out of their hands, the more uncalled for their invidious rights and privileges appeared, ‘until at last their mere existence seemed a meaningless anachronism’ (Mair, 1995). In the same vein, he argued that the conditions for party government have now been undermined in such a way that ‘it is almost impossible to imagine [it] . . . sustaining complete legitimacy’ in the long run (Mair, 2008). In the context of the euro crisis, Mair furthermore observed a mismatch between the demands and preferences of citizens and the capacity of their governments, such that public opinion effectively becomes divorced from problem solving, and elections from political decision-making. This malaise is pathological rather than contingent. At the final stages of his career, Mair had become more pessimistic about the future of party democracy (cf. Andeweg, 2012), and increasingly convinced that unless parties are seen to represent as well as to govern, their governments will find it increasingly difficult to legitimize their governance. Democracy then becomes hollowed out (Mair, 2006). In an unpublished paper for the Max Planck Institute, Mair, in 2009, emphasized further the tensions between representation and governance underlying the contemporary crises of governance and democracy, making the compelling distinction between representative parties and responsible governments. Representative parties are those that are responsive to public opinion. Responsible government is ‘good government’, i.e. government that is prudent and consistent, and follows accepted procedural norms and practices. The two are increasingly becoming incompatible, to the point that the party systems are bifurcating, with the established parties acting responsibly, but not very responsively, and the populist parties and other outside challengers acting responsively, but not very responsibly. Although this situation is in large part a product of party adaptation to changes in their external environment, for Mair the mainstream parties are also to blame for preferring strategies that are aimed first and foremost at ensuring their own organizational survival rather than safeguarding their representative linkages with society. Mair intimated that the age of party democracy might be passing as both the societal and governance functions of the parties eventually become hollowed out. In practical terms, the end of parties and party democracy may be a matter of 190 I. van Biezen definition. If we adopt Sartori’s minimal definition,8 it is difficult to envisage an alternative to parties as long as elections are the sine qua non of democracy. Such a minimalist notion of parties is perfectly compatible with some – albeit equally minimalist – theories of democracy. And even if we were to experiment with radically alternative forms of democracy – abolishing elections in favour of random selection or sortition as a mechanism for the selection of public office holders, for example – it is likely that some form of ‘party’ (or faction, or tendency, or whatever) will emerge. Every political system of a certain magnitude knows or has known the phenomenon of party formation, because in every political community there will be conflicting interests and claims to power that can be mobilized (Tromp, 2003). ‘In the end’, therefore, as Saward concludes, ‘whether democracy is unthinkable save for political parties may no longer be the question we need to ask. Rather, we may need to ask: what kinds of representative democracy are thinkable. And what forms of party . . . if any, are appropriate to them?’ (Saward, 2008: 284). Whether the glass is currently half full or half empty largely depends on our normative assumptions. Among the many things that Mair has taught us is that we have to pay attention to the trends over time and in comparative perspective if we are to draw any conclusions about the past, present or future. For the moment, to paraphrase Mark Twain, the reported death of the parties or party democracy appears to be an exaggeration. But if we are serious about democracy, and especially if we embrace a more substantive notion of what democracy is, we have to be serious about contemplating alternative and/or complementary forms of elite – mass linkages. Let me conclude by saying that it is difficult to underestimate Peter Mair’s contributions to political science, which were intellectually ambitious and far-reaching, while he himself would always remain modest about his own brilliance. In his work he addressed the very big questions, amidst increasing volumes of more narrowly cast and specialized analysis that now flood the literature. In addition, the questions he studied were of obvious normative importance. His ideas often struck a chord also because they have a clear bearing on the real world of politics and policymaking;9 and he possessed the enviable capacity to convey his ideas in a wonderfully accessible and engaging manner, making his arguments all the more compelling. He will be widely remembered not only for his many theoretical, conceptual and empirical contributions to the scholarly debate, but also for the way in which his insights were so often acutely in tune with political reality. As the crisis of party democracy – or indeed the euro crisis – shows few signs of abating, he will also be greatly missed for those same reasons. Notes 1. Slightly revised and updated version of the inaugural Peter Mair memorial lecture, delivered at the PSAI annual conference, 20 October 2012, Londonderry. 2. The digital ‘pre-print’ version of the article appeared a few months before Mair’s death; the printed version appeared in 2012. 3. ‘British democracy in terminal decline, warns report’, The Guardian, 6 July 2012. A Tribute to Peter Mair 191 4. In their later restatement of the cartel party thesis, Katz and Mair (2009: 755) pointed out that already in the 1950s Kirchheimer had drawn attention to what he called the ‘state-party cartel’. This was not just unbeknownst to them at the time, but did not have much traction in the wider political science community either. 5. The only exception to this pattern is Latvia, where public funding was not introduced until 2010. 6. The figures for the late 1980s are taken from the contributions in Katz and Mair (1992). 7. 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