JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH, VOL. 114, C03023, doi:10.1029/2008JC004934, 2009 A study of a Hurricane Katrina–induced phytoplankton bloom using satellite observations and model simulations Xiaoming Liu,1,2 Menghua Wang,1 and Wei Shi1,3 Received 27 May 2008; revised 31 December 2008; accepted 13 January 2009; published 27 March 2009. [1] Satellite observations of sea surface temperature (SST) and chlorophyll-a concentration from the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) on Aqua revealed a phytoplankton bloom event in the vicinity of the Loop Current (LC) in the Gulf of Mexico after Hurricane Katrina’s passage in August 2005. The sea surface height (SSH) anomaly data derived from satellite altimetry measurements indicated that the phytoplankton bloom coincided with a LC frontal eddy and thus suggested that the cold-core eddy may have played a critical role in the phytoplankton bloom event. Using the Hybrid Coordinate Ocean Model (HYCOM), we have carried out numerical simulations to understand the mechanism that triggers the phytoplankton bloom after Katrina passage. The model study shows that the preexisting cold-core eddy strengthens the upper ocean dynamics and nutrient responses with significant increase of nutrient concentration after the passage of Hurricane Katrina, because of the uplift of nutrient fields within the cold-core eddy. The Hurricane Katrina–triggered phytoplankton bloom is attributed to the preexisting cold eddy as well as the slowly passing hurricane. The nutrient distribution after Hurricane Katrina indicates that the increase of nitrate concentration plays a dominant role in the development of the phytoplankton bloom. Citation: Liu, X., M. Wang, and W. Shi (2009), A study of a Hurricane Katrina – induced phytoplankton bloom using satellite observations and model simulations, J. Geophys. Res., 114, C03023, doi:10.1029/2008JC004934. 1. Introduction [2] Early observations of upper ocean response to hurricanes have been reported and studied by Leipper [1967], Brooks [1983], Sanford et al. [1987], Shay and Elsberry [1987], Shay et al. [1989, 1998], Dickey et al. [1998], and Jacob et al. [2000]. Hurricanes are known to lower sea surface temperature (SST) significantly during its passage, and this upper ocean process depends on many factors such as mixed layer depth, thermocline depth, air-sea heat fluxes, and the storm intensity and transition speed. Threedimensional ocean numerical models were also used to study the process [Price, 1981; Price et al., 1994; Prasad and Hogan, 2007]. Entrainment has been emphasized as the dominant term in lowering the SST beneath a moving hurricane. On the basis of observations, Jacob et al. [2000] suggested that entrainment at the mixed layer base generally accounts for 75– 90% of the cooling, while Price [1981] model results indicated that 85% of heat flux into the mixed layer was through entrainment. Price [1981] also concluded that upwelling causes a significant enhancement of the SST response to a slowly moving hurricane (4 m/s). 1 Center for Satellite Applications and Research, National Environmental Satellite, Data, and Information Service, NOAA, Camp Springs, Maryland, USA. 2 SP Systems Incorporated, Greenbelt, Maryland, USA. 3 CIRA, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, Colorado, USA. Copyright 2009 by the American Geophysical Union. 0148-0227/09/2008JC004934 In addition to the SST cooling, hurricane-induced vertical mixing and upwelling can also bring up the nutrient-rich water to the upper euphotic zone and thus stimulate biological production. With the advancement of satellite ocean color remote sensing from Sea-viewing Wide Field-of-view Sensor (SeaWiFS) and Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS), hurricane-induced phytoplankton blooms were also observed and reported in the past few years [Babin et al., 2004; Lin et al., 2003; Miller et al., 2006; Walker et al., 2005]. Most recently, Shi and Wang [2007] reported a Hurricane Katrina –induced SST cooling and a phytoplankton bloom in the Gulf of Mexico in August 2005. In their study, MODIS-Aqua data were processed using a recently developed short-wave infrared (SWIR) atmospheric correction algorithm [Wang, 2007; Wang and Shi, 2005]. It has been demonstrated that, comparing with the NASA standard algorithm [Gordon and Wang, 1994], using the SWIR algorithm ocean color products can be improved over the productive ocean waters [Wang et al., 2007; Wang et al., 2009]. Therefore, the phytoplankton bloom can be distinguished from sediment resuspension and transportation, which can also be induced by hurricane in coastal waters. A notable phytoplankton bloom centered at a location of (24°N, 84°W) was observed 4 days after Katrina passage [Shi and Wang, 2007]. [3] The Gulf of Mexico is greatly influenced by its unique ocean circulation feature, i.e., the Loop Current (LC). Warm water from the Caribbean Sea enters the Gulf of Mexico through the Yucatan Straits and then forms the LC. The LC penetrates northward into the Gulf of Mexico C03023 1 of 12 C03023 LIU ET AL.: A KATRINA-INDUCED PHYTOPLANKTON BLOOM and then turns anticyclonically to flow southward along the steep west Florida shelf before turning eastward into the southern Straits of Florida (SSF). The Straits of Florida forms a conduit for the Florida Current (FC), which connects the LC with the Gulf Stream in the North Atlantic. The instability processes that are associated with LC shed warm core eddies (WCE), which propagate westward and eventually dissipate along the shelf break. Cyclonic, coldcore eddies (CCE) are also formed along the shoreward boundary of the LC [Paluszkiewicz et al., 1983; Vukovich, 1988; Fratantoni et al., 1998], and they are called Loop Current Frontal Eddies (LCFE). LCFE is one type of CCE that occurs at LC boundary. LCFEs travel rapidly southward downstream with the LC at speeds of 20– 50 cm/s. Since the preexisting oceanic features such as LC, WCE and CCE can modulate the upper ocean vertical and horizontal structures and heat balance, they are also very important in the oceanic response process to hurricanes. When a hurricane enters the warm (cold) core eddy, SST cooling may be greatly suppressed (intensified) due primarily to deep (shallow) mixed layer and thermocline depth. [4] Shi and Wang [2007] used passive multiple-sensor remote sensing data to analyze the physical, optical, and biological responses. The phytoplankton bloom is attributed to the vertical mixing and upwelling caused by the slow moving hurricane at the bloom location near (24°N, 84°W). However, the effects of the passing hurricane could not completely explain why the phytoplankton bloom developed at this location, especially because it was on the left side of the storm track. To the right of the hurricane track, chlorophyll-a concentration shows modest increases as the storm moved slowly forward and the sustained winds strengthened before the Gulf coast landfall. [5] In this paper, we present some evidence from sea surface height (SSH) anomaly data derived from satellite altimetry measurements, which show the Hurricane Katrina – induced phytoplankton bloom near (24°N, 84°W) was coincident with a cyclonic eddy near Dry Tortugas. These observations indicate that the cyclonic eddy may have played a critical role in the phytoplankton bloom event. Near the Dry Tortugas, the Tortugas gyre often occurs when the southward flowing LC overshoots entry into the Straits of Florida and approaches the coast of Cuba, before abruptly turning to the east [Lee et al., 1995]. This offshore position of the Florida Current combined with the strong cyclonic curvature of the flow field can cause a counterclockwise recirculation off the Tortugas, i.e., the ‘‘Tortugas gyre’’ [Lee et al., 1995]. Fratantoni et al. [1998] used a combination of numerical model experiments with time series of satellite thermal images to show that the evolution of Tortugas gyres depend strongly on the variability of the LC and LCFEs. Romanou et al. [2004] reported that in their numerical simulations cyclone eddies occur very often near Dry Tortugas. They can be either generated locally or evolved from LCFEs ending up there after moving around LC boundary. In a cyclonic eddy, upwelling can bring cold nutrient-rich water up from the deep layer to the euphotic zone, and thus stimulate primary production. It has been reported that Hurricane-forced upwelling and chlorophyll-a concentration increase could be enhanced within cold-core cyclones in the Gulf of Mexico [Walker et al., 2005]. C03023 [6] The purpose of this study is to identify the mechanism that triggers the phytoplankton bloom near (24°N, 84°W) after the passage of hurricane. The process of upper ocean response to Hurricane Katrina is simulated using the Hybrid Coordinate Ocean Model (HYCOM) [Bleck, 2002]. Particularly, two experiments with and without the presence of a preexisting cyclone eddy near Dry Tortugas are simulated and the results are compared. In addition to the standard physical parameters such as temperature and salinity in HYCOM, three nutrient parameters, nitrate, phosphate, and silicate, are also included in the simulation to study the process of the Katrina-induced nutrient enhancement in the upper ocean. 2. Satellite Observations 2.1. Hurricane Katrina [7] Hurricane Katrina formed as a tropical depression over the southeastern Bahamas on 23 August 2005, and was then upgraded to tropical storm status on 24 August. The tropical storm continued to move toward Florida, and became a hurricane near 2100 UTC on 25 August 2005, only 2 h before it made landfall on the southeastern coast of Florida. The storm weakened over land, but it regained hurricane status about 1 h after entering the Gulf of Mexico. The storm rapidly intensified after entering the Gulf because of the storm’s movement over the LC warm waters. On 27 August, the storm reached Category 3 intensity, becoming the third major hurricane of the season. Katrina again rapidly intensified, attaining Category 5 status on 28 August. The pressure measurement made Katrina the fourth most intense Atlantic hurricane on record, and it was also the strongest hurricane ever recorded in the Gulf of Mexico at the time. Katrina made its second landfall on 29 August as a Category 3 hurricane with sustained winds of 125 mph (205 km/h) near Buras-Triumph, Louisiana. 2.2. Satellite SST Measurements [8] Figures 1a – 1c show the MODIS SST before and after Hurricane Katrina’s arrival. On 22 August, Gulf of Mexico was characterized by warm SST predominantly above 30°C (Figure 1a). Shi and Wang [2007] reported a maximum SST drop of 6 – 7°C near (24°N, 84°W) on 29 August from Advanced Microwave Scanning Radiometer EOS (AMSR-E) SST. For that specific day, MODIS SST data were not available because of cloud cover. On 31 August (Figure 1b), 4 days after Katrina passage, a cold SST patch was observed near (24°N, 84°W) from MODIS SST, and another cold SST patch was also observed near Katrina landfall in the Louisiana coast. Overall, the SST dropped at a magnitude of 1– 2°C in the Gulf of Mexico after Katrina passage [Shi and Wang, 2007]. Our particular interest is in the cold SST patch around (24°N, 84°W), where a phytoplankton bloom is also found from satellite-derived chlorophyll-a concentration. The cold SST patch moved eastward after Katrina passage and reached (23.8°N, 84°W) on 7 September (Figure 1c). 2.3. Satellite SSH Anomaly Data [9] The MODIS SST in the eastern Gulf of Mexico did not indicate the presence of mesoscale features like warmor cold-core eddies before Hurricane Katrina. However, 2 of 12 C03023 LIU ET AL.: A KATRINA-INDUCED PHYTOPLANKTON BLOOM C03023 Figure 1. Satellite-derived (a – c) MODIS SST, (d – f) SSH Anomaly, and (g – i) MODIS chlorophyll-a concentration on 22 August, 31 August, and 7 September 2005, respectively. SSH Anomaly data is from Center for Astrodynamics Research (CCAR). Figure 1b also shows the Hurricane Katrina eye locations (pink squares) with interval of every 6 h. Latitude and longitude for the region are indicated in Figure 1i. these features were revealed in the SSH observations provided by satellite altimeters. In a cyclonic eddy like LCFE, the water column is denser than normal, which results in a lower than average SSH or a negative SSH anomaly. On the contrary, in an anticyclone eddy like LC and WCE, there is a positive SSH anomaly. Figures 1d –1f show the SSH anomaly maps of 22 August, 31 August, and 7 September, derived from satellite altimetry, which were obtained from Colorado Center for Astrodynamics Research (CCAR), University of Colorado. CCAR SSH anomaly data sets are created using multiple satellite altimeter measurements from Jason-1, TOPEX/POSEIDON, Envisat, Geosat Follow-On, and ERS-2. The SSH anomaly data clearly indicate a positive anomaly in LC. On the eastside of LC, there was a southward propagating LCFE (negative anomaly) moving downstream with LC. On 22 August, the frontal eddy was at the location around (24.5°N, 84.5°W), and it moved to around (24°N, 84°W) on 31 August, where the phytoplankton bloom was observed. After Katrina passage, the frontal eddy moved eastward downstream of Florida Current to (23.8°N, 84°W) on 7 September. 2.4. Satellite Chlorophyll-a Data [10] Figures 1g – 1i show the MODIS chlorophyll-a concentration measured on 22 August, 31 August, and 7 September, respectively. A patch of high chlorophyll-a concentration with value over 1.5 mg/m3 was observed at (24°N, 84.2°W) on 31 August [Shi and Wang, 2007]. The high chlorophyll-a concentration patch clearly showed a cyclonic circulation pattern, of which the center coincided with the center of the frontal eddy as indicated in the SSH anomaly map. Furthermore, the patch of phytoplankton bloom moved in the same direction and speed with the frontal eddy: on 7 September, the eddy moved southeastward to (23.8°N, 84°W), and the phytoplankton bloom patch also moved to the same location. The colocation of the phytoplankton bloom and the cold-core eddy evidently indicated that the phytoplankton bloom was related to the preexisting cold-core eddy. In fact, it can be seen that elevation of the chlorophyll-a concentration was not continuous along the Katrina track, but occurred primarily at the location of the eddy, which suggested that the eddy may have played a critical role in the bloom event. 3 of 12 C03023 LIU ET AL.: A KATRINA-INDUCED PHYTOPLANKTON BLOOM [11] On the other hand, before Katrina’s arrival, the eddy itself did not generate a phytoplankton bloom at the surface as can be seen from the chlorophyll-a concentration map of 22 August. One possible mechanism of the phytoplankton bloom is that the cold nutrient-rich water, which is normally in the thermocline depth of 100 m, was brought up by the eddy to the subsurface layer, but did not reach the surface layer because of the strong stratification caused by the summer heating. Indeed, it was the strong vertical mixing and upwelling induced by Hurricane Katrina that further brought the nutrient up to the surface, and thus stimulated the phytoplankton bloom. Therefore, to simulate the oceanic response process to Hurricane Katrina, the model must be eddy-resolving, so that mesoscale cold-core eddies can be included in the model. 3. Numerical Model and Experiment 3.1. Numerical Model [12] The Hybrid-Coordinate Ocean Model (HYCOM) [Bleck, 2002] is used in this study. HYCOM is a primitive equation ocean general circulation model that was evolved from the Miami Isopycnic-Coordinate Ocean Model (MICOM) [Bleck et al., 1992]. HYCOM was developed to address known shortcomings of the MICOM vertical coordinate scheme. Vertical coordinates in HYCOM remain isopycnic in the open and stratified ocean. However, they are smoothly transition to z coordinate in the weakly stratified upper ocean mixed layer, then to terrain-following sigma coordinates in shallow water regions, and finally back to level coordinates in very shallow water. The latter transition prevents layers from becoming too thin where the water is very shallow. HYCOM has been widely used to study the North Atlantic circulation and Gulf Stream variability [Chassignet et al., 2003, and references therein]. [13] HYCOM is also equipped with biogeochemical models such as Nutrient-Phytoplankton-Zooplankton (NPZ) and Nutrient-Phytoplankton-Zooplankton-Detritus (NPZD) models. However, since there are some uncertainties in setting up model’s initial condition of zooplankton and biological parameters (such as the phytoplankton growth/mortality rates, nutrient uptake rate, zooplankton grazing rate, etc.) for this specific region in the Katrinainduced phytoplankton bloom event, we are not using these biogeochemical models in our simulations. Instead, it makes more sense to focus on the effect of physical processes on nutrient distribution in response to the hurricane by treating the three nutrient fields, i.e., nitrate, phosphate and silicate, as passive tracers. The three types of nutrient concentrations are initialized from World Ocean Atlas data set, and subsequently influenced by physical processes (advection and turbulent diffusion) only. There is no nutrient flow from its dissolved phase to phytoplankton or zooplankton in our simulations. The purpose of this passive tracer-based nutrient response study is to identify the dominant nutrient type in the Katrina-induced phytoplankton event. 3.2. Model Simulations [14] A simulation nested in the North Atlantic HYCOM ocean prediction system [Chassignet et al., 2007] was attempted before this study. However, the cyclonic eddy did not occur exactly at (24°N, 84°W), and the effect of C03023 upwelling on the vertical profile was not significant at that location during the Katrina passage. This is because the hurricane response is sensitive to the initial condition of the LC and its frontal eddy. The position of the SST cooling in the nested simulation did not match with the location of the observed phytoplankton bloom and maximum SST drop. Thus, we were motivated to do a two-case study to investigate the importance of the LC frontal eddy in the event of the Katrina-induced phytoplankton bloom. [15] To evaluate the importance of the cold-core eddy on physical and nutrient responses of the upper ocean to the hurricane forcing, and identify the mechanism of the hurricane-driven bloom, we use the same north Atlantic HYCOM model configuration used by Xie et al. [2007] for Gulf Stream meanders and eddies in the South Atlantic Bight to spin up the HYCOM model. Two cases with and without cold-core front eddy are then identified. The ocean conditions for these two cases are set up as the initial condition, and then wind-forcing associated with Hurricane Katrina is applied to these two cases. The model domain covers the north and equatorial Atlantic (98°W – 14°E, 17°S – 52°N). The horizontal resolution is 0.18° and the vertical resolution is 22 layers that move vertically as a function of total depth. The model is spun up for 1 year with an initial condition constructed from the Levitus Data Set [Levitus, 1982] and forced by Comprehensive Ocean Atmosphere Data Set (COADS) monthly climatology atmospheric forcing including wind, air-temperature, relative humidity, and short-wave radiation and long-wave radiations. The results are then used as the initial conditions of the Hurricane response for simulations. Cyclone eddies are found very often near Dry Tortugas area in the climatology run, and they can be either generated locally or evolved from LCFEs ending up there after moving around the LC front. In their numerical study using MICOM statistically, Romanou et al. [2004] reported that in the Gulf of Mexico cyclonic eddies are most frequently found in the Dry Tortugas area. In this study, we choose two cases of LC states near Dry Tortugas on two different model days (Figure 2): Experiment I, with the presence of a cyclone eddy near (24°N, 84°W) on model Day 600 (Year 2, 30 August, Figure 2a); and Experiment II, without the presence of a cyclone eddy near Dry Tortugas on model Day 549 (Year 2, 9 July, Figure 2b). Since the differences between July and August climatology monthly mean in the vertical structure are small when compared with the differences between the two cases with and without the presence of the eddy, it is assumed that the differences in the simulations between the two cases are mainly caused by the eddy. Here we focus on the response of upper ocean nutrient distribution to Hurricane Katrina. The advection and diffusion based multitracer code equipped in HYCOM are used for tracer distribution. Since biological processes are not considered in this present study, the nutrient tracers are treated as passive tracers. The annual mean fields of nitrate, phosphate, and silicate are extracted from World Ocean Atlas 2005 and set as the initial conditions of nutrient at the beginning of the both experiments. [16] The two cases of hurricane simulations are carried out for the time period of 25– 31 August 2005, and they are driven by NCEP atmospheric forcing fields at the ocean surface: wind, air temperature, and relative humidity. Wind 4 of 12 C03023 LIU ET AL.: A KATRINA-INDUCED PHYTOPLANKTON BLOOM C03023 Figure 2. Initial conditions of SSH for (a) Experiment I: with the presence of a cyclonic eddy near (24°N, 84°W); and (b) Experiment II: without the presence of the eddy (units: m). stress is computed using the conventional bulk aerodynamic formula: t ¼ rCd U10 U10 ; ð1Þ where r is the density of air and U10 is the wind speed at 10 m height. The drag coefficient, Cd is computed using Garratt’s [1977] composite form: Cd ¼ ð0:73 þ 0:069U10 Þ 103 : ð2Þ [17] Since the total contribution of the surface heat flux during the event accounts for only 10% of the mixed layer heat budget, and with the cloud effect and warm air temperature associated with the storm, the sum of the short-wave and long-wave radiation is only a small portion of the total air-sea heat exchange, which is dominated by the latent heat flux due to the strong hurricane wind speed. Thus, the short-wave and long-wave radiation heat flux at the ocean surface are not included in the simulations. HYCOM is equipped with several options of vertical mixing model including Kraus-Turner model (KT), Priece-Weller-Pinkel dynamical instability model (PWP), the K-Profile Parameterization model (KPP), the Mellor-Yamada level 2.5 model (MY), and the NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies level 2 model (GISS). In this study, KPP model is used for vertical mixing. 4. Results and Discussions [18] In this section, results of the two-case studies with numerical simulations for the hurricane response are compared and discussed. The physical response is presented in section 4.1, nutrient response in section 4.2, with discussion in section 4.3. 4.1. Physical Response [19] Figure 3 shows the SST map near the LC before and after Hurricane Katrina passage in Experiment I (Figures 3a and 3b) and Experiment II (Figures 3c and 3d). In both cases, the area is dominated by warm SSTs of 30°C on 27 August before Hurricane Katrina (Figures 3a and 3c). However, after Hurricane Katrina, the SST cooling shows quite large differences between the two cases: in Experiment I (Figure 3b), the maximum SST drop (4°C) is at the location of the cold-core eddy, and the SST cooling inside of the LC frontal eddy is much more significant than other areas; in Experiment II (Figure 3d), SST cooling shows no significant difference in the observed phytoplankton bloom location than other areas on the Hurricane track. Figure 4 shows the time series of the SST drop at the location of the observed phytoplankton bloom in Experiments I and II. The SST drop derived from AMSR-E satellite measurement is also plotted in Figure 4 for comparison. SST cooling from 27 August to 28 August is 4°C in Experiment I and 2.5°C in Experiment II, while the SST dropped 6°C in the satellite measurement. At the phytoplankton bloom location, the difference of SST cooling between the two experiments is 1.5°C. Because the model settings of Experiments I and II are identical except the preexisting LC frontal eddy at the phytoplankton bloom location in Experiment I, the presence of this eddy appears to be responsible for this difference in the SST cooling at the location of the phytoplankton bloom. On the right side of the hurricane track, both Experiments I and II show a hurricaneinduced SST drop of 1 – 2°C. Although the maximum SST cooling in Experiment I is 2°C less than the satellite measurement, it is in better agreement with the satellite measurement than in Experiment II. The difference between the Experiment I and satellite measurement is mainly due to the model setting of the initial condition. Since data assimilation is not used in the model experiments, the model’s initial vertical thermal and dynamic structures are different from the conditions of the real ocean before Hurricane Katrina passage, leading to the model-measurement difference. In fact, both SST and SSH are variables of the sea surface, and the method to accurately project the satellitemeasured sea surface property down to the water column below the surface is an area of active research in data assimilation. With the focus to investigate the mechanism of observed phytoplankton bloom at the location (24°N, 84°W), the twin experiment design in this study helps to 5 of 12 C03023 LIU ET AL.: A KATRINA-INDUCED PHYTOPLANKTON BLOOM C03023 Figure 3. Model-simulated SST in (a– b) Experiment I and (c– d) Experiment II (units: °C). Figures 3a and 3c are on 27 August, and Figures 3b and 3d are on 29 August. Katrina track is overlaid on Figure 3a as a dashed line with square symbols. overcome this model limitation, and reveals that a preexisting cold core eddy makes more significant SST cooling at the location of the phytoplankton bloom where maximum SST drop also observed from the satellite. [20] The time series of vertical temperature profile and mixed layer depth near the location of the observed phytoplankton bloom (24°N, 84°W) in the two experiments are shown in Figure 5. Before Hurricane Katrina, the surface waters down to 30 m depth are dominated by warm temperature > 29°C in both cases. However, the vertical structure below the surface shows large difference between the two cases due to different LC states. Without the presence of the cyclone eddy in Experiment II (Figure 5b), the location of the observed phytoplankton bloom is on the path of the LC, and thus is dominated by warm LC waters. In this case, the isotherms are deep, e.g., the 26°C isotherm is at 85 m depth. With the presence of the cyclone eddy in Experiment I (Figure 5a), the isotherms are elevated, and the 26°C isotherm is now at 60 m, which is 25 m shallower than in Experiment II. In Experiment I, strong hurricaneinduced upwelling lifts up the isotherms by 30 m on 27 August, and the mixed layer depth is also decreased. Because of strong vertical diffusion, the mixed layer depth deepens by 40 m on 28 August, and then it starts to decrease gradually. The maximum mixed layer depth is about 50 m, and coldest temperature below the mixed layer depth is 25°C, which is originally located at 70 m depth before Katrina. Thus, the deepest layer that contributes to the surface cooling is at 70 m depth. The significant mixed layer temperature cooling occurs between 27 and 28 August, which is similar to satellite SST observations. In Experiment II, because the location is under the influence of LC advection, changes of mixed layer depth and vertical profiles are different than from those in Experiment I. The upwelling Figure 4. Time series of SST drop at (24°N, 84°W) in Experiments I and II and the satellite-derived AMSR-E data from 26 to 31 August 2005. 6 of 12 C03023 LIU ET AL.: A KATRINA-INDUCED PHYTOPLANKTON BLOOM C03023 Figure 5. Time series of vertical temperature profile at (24°N, 84°W) in (a) Experiment I and (b) Experiment II (units: °C). Mixed layer depth is indicated as a dashed line. and vertical diffusion processes are not as strong as in Experiment I, and the isotherms are deeper. The 27°C isotherm is well below the bottom of the mixed layer during and after the Katrina passage, and it never reaches the surface. [21] To further explain the mechanism of the mixed layer cooling, we analyzed the roles of the major heat budget terms that contribute to the cooling on the basis of the thermal evolution equation, QT = QU+V QW + QDV + QDH + QS, where QT is the rate of change of heat storage, QU+V is horizontal advection, QW is vertical advection (upwelling), QDV is vertical diffusion, QDH is horizontal diffusion, and QS is surface heat flux. Figure 6 shows vertical cross section of the rate of change in water temperature due to (Figure 6a) vertical advection QW, (Figure 6b) vertical diffusion QDV, and (Figure 6c) horizontal advection QU+V averaged from 27 August 0600 UTC to 28 August 0000 UTC along 84°W in Experiment I. Below the mixed layer depth (50 m), the upwelling process dominates the temperature change. The maximum rate of change in temperature due to upwelling reaches 5°C/d just below the mixed layer base. Within the mixed layer, the vertical diffusive mixing process dominates the temperature change with a cooling of 2– 4°C/d. Below the mixed layer, the vertical mixing process causes a temperature warming of 2– 4°C/d. The horizontal advection also has a contribution to the temperature cooling due to divergence and horizontal temperature gradient. The maximum rate of change in temperature due to horizontal advection reaches 0.2 – 0.6°C/d at the surface, which account for 5 –15% of the Figure 6. Time rate of change in water temperature (°C/d) due to (a) vertical advection, (b) vertical diffusion, and (c) horizontal advection averaged from 27 August 0600 UTC to 28 August 0000 UTC along 84°W cross section in Experiment I. 7 of 12 C03023 LIU ET AL.: A KATRINA-INDUCED PHYTOPLANKTON BLOOM total rate of temperature change. These results are in agreement with the mixed layer heat budget analysis by Prasad and Hogan [2007]. [22] In summary, SST cooling is more significant with the presence of the cyclone eddy than in case of absence of the eddy. The vertical thermal structure shows that the cyclone eddy lifts up the isotherms prior to the arrival of the Katrina, thus leads to lower water temperature than in case of absence of the eddy at the same depth. It should be pointed out that the mechanism of mixed layer cooling is the same as Price [1981]: the entrainment (vertical diffusion) process dominates mixed layer cooling, while upwelling induced by the hurricane wind stress-curl is significant below the mixed layer base. Our model results indicate that the preexisting cold eddy makes a significant difference in the location and magnitude of the hurricane-induced mixed layer cooling between the two experiments. 4.2. Nutrient Responses 4.2.1. Overall Description [23] The initial surface nitrate, phosphate, and silicate concentrations are about 0.8 mM, 0.1 mM and 1.6 mM, respectively, in both cases before Hurricane Katrina. The basic mechanism of nutrient response is the same as temperature: deep nutrient-rich waters are brought up to the surface by hurricane-induced strong upwelling and vertical diffusion processes during the Katrina passage. Since they are treated as passive tracers in the simulations, their response to the hurricane colocated well with temperature, and thus shows quite large differences between the two cases. Figure 7 shows the post-Katrina/prior-Katrina ratio of surface nitrate, phosphate, and silicate concentrations. In Experiment I, all of the three types of nutrient concentrations within the cyclone eddy increase more significantly than other areas on the hurricane track. The maximum nutrient concentration increase occurs at the location of the observed phytoplankton bloom (24°N, 84°W). The nitrate concentration increases most significantly by 100% at the location of observed phytoplankton bloom, while phosphate and silicate concentration increases 40% and 20%, respectively. In Experiment II, nitrate, phosphate, and silicate concentrations at (24°N, 84°W) do not show more significant increase than other areas on the hurricane track. In general, the enhancement of all of the three nutrient concentrations is less than 20%. 4.2.2. Nitrate Responses [24] Figure 8 shows the time series of nitrate, phosphate, and silicate vertical profiles at (24°N, 84°W). Before Katrina passage, the subsurface nitrate concentrations in Experiment I are higher than in Experiment II at the same depth (Figures 8a and 8b). For example, at 70 m depth, the nitrate concentration is 2.0 mM in Experiment I, while it is only 1.2 mM in Experiment II. This is primarily due to cyclone eddy induced upwelling, which elevates the nitrate levels in Experiment I. The differences in the initial vertical structure between the two cases consequently lead to different results in the nitrate response to Katrina. In Experiment I, waters at 70 m depth with nitrate concentration of 2.0 mM are lifted up by 30 m and further entrained into the mixed layer, which significantly increases the nitrate concentrations at the surface. The surface nitrate concentration increases dramatically between 27 and 28 C03023 August, and the increase is in phase with SST cooling as shown in Figure 5a. In Experiment II, however, the 2.0 mM contour line is well below the bottom of the mixed layer, and does not contribute to the surface nitrate enhancement. The maximum nitrate concentration at the mixed layer base is about 1.2 mM, and thus the change of the nitrate concentration at the surface is less significant compared with Experiment I. 4.2.3. Phosphate Responses [25] The phosphate vertical profile (Figures 8c and 8d) shows the similar pattern as in nitrate in the two experiments. In Experiment I, the surface phosphate concentration increases from 0.1 mM to 0.14 mM after the Katrina passage near the location of the observed phytoplankton bloom. Before Katrina, the 0.14 mM contour line is originally at 70 m depth, and it is uplifted and further entrained into the mixed layer during the Katrina passage. The 0.16 mM contour line, which is originally at 80 m depth, never reaches the surface. Therefore, the impact of the hurricaneinduced upwelling and vertical diffusion can reach 70 m depth, which is consistent with the results of nitrate concentration. In Experiment II, the contour lines are much deeper than in Experiment I. In this case, waters with 0.14 mM phosphate concentration is originally at 90 m depth, and it is well below the bottom of the mixed layer during the Katrina passage. Before Katrina, the phosphate concentration at 70 m depth is 0.12 mM. Although it is brought up to the surface by the upwelling and vertical diffusion, it does not enhance the surface phosphate concentration due to little vertical gradient in the top 70 m. 4.2.4. Silicate Responses [26] The surface silicate concentrations show much less significant changes after Katrina passage compared with nitrate and phosphate (Figures 8e and 8f). Before Katrina, although the silicate concentration is higher in Experiment I than at the same depth in Experiment II, it can be seen that in both cases, the vertical gradient of silicate concentration is minimal in the top 70 m depth. Consequently, the upwelling and vertical diffusion process does not significantly increase the surface silicate levels in either of the experiments. 4.3. Discussion [27] It is well documented that the phytoplankton concentrations are increased over large areas because of intensified surface nutrient supply caused by strong wind-forcing [Babin et al., 2004; Lin et al., 2003; Miller et al., 2006; Walker et al., 2005]. However, the location of the phytoplankton bloom at (24°N, 84°W) cannot be explained only by upwelling and vertical diffusion associated with Hurricane Katrina. In fact, it has been well-documented that the maximum SST drop usually occurs to the right of the hurricane track because of the asymmetry in turning direction of the wind stress vector that drives a very strong asymmetry in the mixed layer velocity [Price, 1981]. On the contrary, the observed Katrina-induced maximum SST drop and phytoplankton bloom at (24°N, 84°W) occurred on the left of the hurricane track. According to National Hurricane Center report (http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/pdf/ TCR-AL122005_Katrina.pdf), the center of Hurricane Katrina is at (24.5°N, 84°W) while moving toward the west on 27 August at 0600 UTC. Thus, the location of the 8 of 12 C03023 LIU ET AL.: A KATRINA-INDUCED PHYTOPLANKTON BLOOM Figure 7. Post-Katrina/prior-Katrina ratio of (a – b) nitrate, (c– d) phosphate, and (e – f) silicate. Figures 7a, 7c, and 7e are from Experiment I, and Figures 7b, 7d, and 7f are from Experiment II. The 27 and 29 August data are used as the prior-Katrina and post-Katrina data, respectively. 9 of 12 C03023 C03023 LIU ET AL.: A KATRINA-INDUCED PHYTOPLANKTON BLOOM Figure 8. Time series of vertical profile of (a –b) nitrate, (c –d) phosphate, and (e – f) silicate at (24°N, 84°W). Figures 8a, 8c, and 8e are from Experiment I, and Figures 8b, 8d, and 8f are from Experiment II (units: mM). Mixed layer depth is indicated as a dashed line. 10 of 12 C03023 C03023 LIU ET AL.: A KATRINA-INDUCED PHYTOPLANKTON BLOOM observed maximum SST drop and the center of the phytoplankton bloom is 20– 30 km left on the hurricane track. The colocation of the cyclone eddy and the phytoplankton bloom explains this contradiction to the classic rightward bias response theories: the preexisting cold-core eddy at (24°N, 84°W) played an important role in the bloom event. [28] The numerical simulations in this study have further supported this hypothesis. The simulation results show that the SST cooling is more significant in case of the presence of the cyclone eddy at the location of the observed phytoplankton bloom. Although the response of the surface nitrate, phosphate, and silicate concentrations is due to the same mechanism of upwelling and vertical diffusion that induces SST cooling, the enhancement of the three types of nutrient concentrations at the surface are quite different. The surface nitrate and phosphate concentrations increase by 100% and 40%, respectively, while the surface silicate concentration increase only 20%. Given the same strength of upwelling and vertical diffusion, the enhancement of the surface nutrient levels depends on the initial vertical gradient of the subsurface nutrient concentrations within the maximum depth that the upwelling and vertical diffusion processes can reach. Generally, the vertical gradient of the nitrate and phosphate concentrations within the top 70 m depth are larger than that of silicate, and thus lead to much more significant surface enhancement. In addition, the preexisting cyclonic eddy greatly enhances the vertical gradient of nitrate and phosphate in the top 70 m depth, and consequently leads to more significant surface nitrate and phosphate concentrations in Experiment I. However, because of deep nutricline in the silicate vertical profile, the eddy does little enhancement on its vertical gradient of the top 70 m depth. Thus, there is little difference in the surface silicate enhancement between the two simulated cases. [29] The observed phytoplankton bloom is near the Tortugas eddy. Lee et al. [1992] reported that the eddy-induced upwelling could uplift of the nutricline to within 50 m of the surface near the eddy center. Nitrate and phosphate concentrations were about 10 mM and 1.0 mM, respectively, at 100 m in the eddy center. Without the eddy-induced upwelling, nitrate levels would be only from 1 to 3 mM, and phosphate levels is about 0.1 mM at the 100 m. In our simulations, the cyclone eddy increases the nitrate concentration from 2 mM to 4 mM, and the phosphate concentration from 0.15 mM to 0.3 mM at 100 m depth. The hurricaneinduced upwelling further increases the nitrate and phosphate concentrations to 8 mM and 0.4 mM, respectively. [30] The focus of this study is different from the other similar study of ocean responses of major Gulf of Mexico hurricanes in 2005 [Gierach and Subrahmanyam, 2008], which analyzed satellite-derived observations of SST, Chl-a, SSH anomaly, and surface winds during the passage of Hurricanes Katrina, Rita, and Wilma. Their satellite analysis of the upper ocean responses to the three hurricanes provided a preliminary understanding of the biophysical effects that transpired in the Gulf of Mexico. In addition, various factors that contribute to the SST cooling and Chl-a enhancement were analyzed. However, these observations only provided insight near the ocean surface. In this study, we focus on using the numerical model to study the overall mechanics of the physical and nutrient responses to Hurricane Katrina and the subsurface dynamics are also analyzed. C03023 Our particular interest is in the investigation of the mechanism of Katrina-induced phytoplankton bloom event near (24°N, 84°W). [31] Color dissolved organic matter (CDOM) is also a big component that contributes to the ocean surface radiance spectrum. With its maxima depth at subsurface layer, there are some reports showing the elevated CDOM concentration driven by wind-forcing in North Atlantic region [Hoge and Lyon, 2002]. Since our knowledge of CDOM such as vertical profile, global distribution and its relation with biological and geochemical processes in the ocean are still very limited, it is difficult to simulate and quantify its role in ocean responses after the hurricane passage. The radiance spectrum from Katrina-induced bloom shows strong absorption at the wavelength 443 nm, suggesting that it was a phytoplankton (not CDOM) bloom [Shi and Wang, 2007]. As also shown by Shi and Wang [2007], a time lag between the chlorophyll-a concentration and the SST drop in the satellite remote sensing further strengthens this conclusion. 5. Summary and Conclusions [32] Satellite observations revealed that Hurricane Katrina led to a significant SST cooling and a phytoplankton bloom near (24°N, 84°W) in the Gulf of Mexico. The SSH anomaly derived from satellite altimetry also showed that a southward propagating Loop Current frontal eddy colocated with the phytoplankton bloom, which suggested that the eddy was an important factor in the phytoplankton bloom event. In this study, HYCOM is used to study the process of upper ocean responses to Hurricane Katrina. Two different cases with and without the presence of a cyclone eddy at the location of the observed phytoplankton bloom are simulated. The model run demonstrates that the Katrinainduced phytoplankton bloom is attributed to the preexisting eddy, as well as to slow moving hurricane. The cyclonic eddy plays a critical role in the development of the Katrinainduced bloom, and it significantly strengthens the upper ocean dynamics and nutrient responses. In the simulations, Katrina-induced upwelling and vertical diffusion process can reach 70 m depth. The cyclonic eddy in the phytoplankton bloom area uplift the isotherms and increase vertical temperature and nitrate and phosphate gradient in the upper 70 m depth, and thus leads to more significant SST cooling and increase in nitrate and phosphate concentrations than in the noneddy case. Our model results also suggest that the nitrate concentration plays a dominant role in the development of the phytoplankton bloom with over 100% increase in the surface concentration, while the phosphate increases 40%. The silicate has a minimal effect on the bloom with the smallest increase for its surface concentration. [33] Acknowledgments. 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