1 The EU Defence Debate: What kind of power is it? by Stephanie B. Anderson University of Wyoming Introduction Although the European Union 1 (EU) member states (MS) have long cooperated on defence issues outside the auspices of the EU, the first mention of defence in the EU context was in the Maastricht Treaty on European Union in 1993 calling for ‘the implementation of a common foreign and security policy including the eventual framing of a common defence policy, which might, in time, lead to a common defence.’2 A common defence policy differs significantly from a single defence policy: a single policy is one policy or one voice emanating from Brussels; a common policy is the coordination of the 28 separate, but similar member state policies: in other words, a chorus of 28 singing from the same page. Cooperation in security and defence remains intergovernmental. Despite the Saint-Malo Declaration of 1998, and the successful launching of a multitude of Common Security and Defence Policy (CSDP) missions, sixteen years after Maastricht, the language in the 2009 Lisbon treaty regarding defence was almost identical.3 The EU still has no exclusive competence for security or defence affairs, and national capitals retain vetoes in this area. Nick Whitney, former chief executive of the European Defence Agency (EDA), observed, ‘Somehow, collectively, the Europeans are not serious about defense.’4 On the other hand, the member states have achieved a great deal of cooperation on military matters. The EU has created a military staff and earmarked national military headquarters to conduct independent operations. It is developing indigenous European airlift, precision-guided munitions capabilities, as well as satellite reconnaissance and navigation systems. The EU has a roster of EU Battlegroups on call on a rotating basis. MS defence ministers now meet informally in the Council, and the MS have promised to come to each others’ aid in case of armed aggression or a disaster. The European Defence The author will use the term European Community (EC) for the years 1957-1992, and refer to the European Union after 1993 when its name changed. 2 The Maastricht Treaty on European Union states clearly in article B of the Common Provisions. 3 Lisbon Treaty on European Union, article 11.2. 4 Judy Dempsey, “Little Action on Common E.U. Defense” New York Times, 16 April 2012. 1 2 Agency rationalizes military procurement; and since 2003, the EU has launched more than 25 CSDP5 military and civilian missions. Nevertheless, a common defence, that is a collective military force generated by the member states, does not yet exist. Part of the problem is that member state defence capabilities vary greatly depending on the country’s wealth, inclination, and affiliations. The United Kingdom and France are both nuclear powers whereas Luxembourg’s military is limited to an army numbering in the hundreds that is merged with the police in the Force Publique, while Malta has only a merchant marine. Six countries, Ireland, Sweden, Austria, Finland, Cyprus and Malta are neutral, although Sweden has a very powerful military and arms sector. All other 22 countries are members of both the EU and the North Atlantic Treaty Organisation (NATO). Money is a continual problem. Although the NATO allies promise to spend at least two per cent of GDP on defence, only Britain and Greece meet these targets.6 The lack of funding, exacerbated by the financial crisis, means minimal progress in improving capabilities. According to the capabilities improvement chart, of the 63 different capabilities listed between 2002 and 2005, 53 had not been improved at all.7 In the UK House of Lords, one Lord was so disgusted he asked whether the 2010 headline goal could even be achieved in the next 50 years.8 Defence is a veritable political minefield requiring MS governments to bring their national security interests to the negotiating table. Defence cooperation has ramifications for each state’s military industrial complex, its foreign and security policy, its relationship with NATO and/or the United States, and for the character of the European Union itself. Member states have been loath to give up control over national military spending for a host of reasons including protection of their national champions in the defence industry as well as questions of governance: can Brussels force a national parliament to spend money on helicopters rather than on school buses? Further complicating matters, Article 41.2 of the Treaty on European Union explicitly bars the spending of the Union budget on defence or military The Saint-Malo Declaration established the European Security and Defence Policy (ESDP). In 2009, with the coming in force of the Lisbon treaty, the name changed to the Common Security and Defence Policy (CSDP). 6 http://www.nytimes.com/2013/04/23/world/europe/europes-shrinking-military-spendingunder-scrutiny.html?pagewanted=all 7 ‘Capability Improvement Chart I/2005’, Council of the European Union, http://ue.eu.int/ueDocs/cms_Data/docs/pressData/en/misc/84902.pdf. 8 House of Lords, Select Committee on European Union, Minutes of Evidence, Examination of Witnesses (questions 20-33), Lord Drayson, Andrew Mathewson, and Robert Regan, 19 January 2006, www.publications.parliament.uk/pa/ld200506/idselect/ideucom/125/6011903.htm 5 3 expenditures. Therefore, any funding for such endeavours must come from the member states at an additional expense. As a result, the EU’s CSDP missions each resemble a different ‘coalition of the willing’: as of 2013, no mission had involved all member states, and all missions had included non-EU member states, such as Norway and Turkey. In the end, the Lisbon treaty required convoluted language to accommodate the political realities of the member states in this area. Although the Lisbon treaty’s mutual defence clause obligates member states to come to each other’s aid, making the 1948 Treaty of Brussels and the Western European Union (WEU) redundant, article 42.7 also adds caveats that the provision ‘shall not prejudice the specific character of the security and defence policy of certain Member States,’ i.e., their neutrality, nor will it affect those member states who are also members of NATO, which ‘remains the foundation of their collective defence and the forum for its implementation.’ In other words, the EU treaty explicitly recognizes that, for some MS, NATO will remain the premier defence institution. This chapter provides an historical and theoretical overview of academic discourse on European defence policy. Section I traces the evolution of the literature based on the major historical events of the past fifty years. Section II maps out the most important theoretical developments regarding its analysis. Section III delves into the on-going ontological questions regarding the EU’s foray into defence, specifically the how defence changes the identity of the EU and what it means for the Atlantic Alliance. The chapter concludes that EU defence, rather than being fertile ground for rational actor models and game theory, that is theories associated with defence analysis, is proving itself more fertile ground for a host of social theories that better fit the integration and identity questions that surround the subject. Longitudinal/Historical Approach Academics are moved by current affairs; not surprisingly, EU defence literature is very sensitive to international events. During the Cold War, very little was written on the European Community as a security or defence actor because NATO dominated the landscape. Once the Cold War was over, academics argued over whether NATO would go the way of the Warsaw Pact and what Maastricht’s Common Foreign and Security Policy would mean for the EU. Soon after, when the Yugoslav crisis broke out, it should have been the ‘hour of 4 Europe’,9 but many academics were disillusioned by the EU’s lack of unity, vision and military might. Kosovo drove a wedge between the US and Europe, pushing the UK and France together at Saint-Malo where they agreed to forge ahead on European defence. The Iraq War exacerbated anti-American feeling and drove academics to question whether Europeans and Americans shared the same values or were even from the same planet. Finally, the ratification of the Lisbon treaty and the ten-year anniversary of the CSDP led to many retrospectives and evaluation of the EU’s foray into defence. The European Defence Policy Debate During the Cold War Jean Monnet was not interested in using defence policy as a way to unify Europe: ‘I had never believed that we should tackle the problem of Europe via defence. Although this would no doubt be one task for the future federation, it seemed to me by no means the most powerful or compelling motive for unity.’10 Nevertheless, the onset of the Korean War forced the question of German rearmament. Monnet helped design a European Defence Community (EDC) as a corollary to a European Coal and Steel Community because he had little choice. In any case, defence was still too sensitive a subject, and the proposal died in the French Parliament in 1954. After the EDC debacle, the 1957 Treaty of Rome steered clear of security and defence policy. With NATO taking care of defence, the EC became a de facto civilian, economic power paying little attention to traditional security concerns.11 In 1983, Stanley Hoffmann predicted that the need for a European defence regime would increase: ‘this vacuum, or absence, is a major source of weakness, both for each West European nation, and for the 'civilian' European entity as a whole,’ 12 but warned but that its formation would be difficult as defence questions were so sensitive. During this period, European defence literature either 1) described the security institutions such as the Western European Union, 2) analysed transatlantic relations, 3) evaluated the defence capabilities of the countries within the European theatre, or 4) entered the debate on the security architecture of Europe. Simply put, the EC was the ‘civilian’ power and NATO, the military. 9 The Financial Times, 1 July 1991. Monnet, Memoirs, 338. 11One should note that the EC played an active role in disarmament and arms control before the establishment of CFSP. 12Stanley Hoffmann, ‘Reflections on the Nation-State in Western Europe Today,’ Journal of Common Market Studies (1983): 37. 10 5 Very few theoretical or empirical attempts were made to bridge the gap between European integration and security studies. Although a minority, several European scholars, a few American academics, as well as some political elites, advocated that EC should involve itself in traditional security affairs. The European Parliament has long supported EC involvement in security.13 Wolfram Hanrieder wrote that considering European wealth and technology: the West Europeans must ask whether they truly regard themselves as so lacking in common purpose and strength that they cannot establish on their own a sufficiently credible joint deterrent, nuclear and conventional, to safeguard their fundamental security interests, augmenting if not replacing an increasingly shaky American commitment to their defense.14 End of the Cold War– 1990-1992 Three distinct views, somewhat along paradigmatic lines, emerged from the change in the international structure stemming from the end of the Cold War: 1) that realist analysis was still valid; 2) that realist analysis was no longer valid (usually supporting pluralism); and 3) critical of both realism and pluralism, that called for a paradigmatic shift altogether. Each different theoretical perspective implied a different role for the European Community in the ‘new’ Europe.15 Supporting the realist positions and charging that the Cold War was responsible for European integration, John Mearsheimer, wrote ‘Without a common Soviet threat and without the American night watchman, Western European states will begin viewing each other with greater fear and suspicion, as they did for centuries before the onset of the Cold War.’16 In such an analysis, the bi-polarity was responsible for the longest period of peace in Europe. Cooperation within the framework of the European Community was a by-product of the Cold War environment. In France especially, academics continued to see the 13See the Leo Tindemans, ‘‘European Union’ report to the European Council', chapter II.C, December 1975, Bulletin of the European Communities Supplement of January 1976. 14Wolfram Hanrieder, Germany, America, Europe: Forty Years of German Foreign Policy (New Haven: Yale University Press, 1989), 384. 15This section builds on a framework introduced by Patricia Chilton, 'Common, Collective or Combined Defence as the Path to European Security Integration' Paper presented at biennial meeting of the European Community Studies Association (ECSA), Charleston, SC, 11-14- May 1995. 16 John Mearsheimer, ‘Back to the Future,’ International Security 15 (summer 1990): 47. 6 worth of realism and its framework.17 Dominique Moïsi and Jacques Rupnik shared Mearsheimer's concern that the end of the Cold War could mean a return to 19th century balance of power politics.18 François Heisbourg found realism useful even after the Cold War in analysing direct threats to Europe.19 Other academics such as Richard Pipes20 and William Wohlforth21 agreed, realism was still applicable in the post Cold War world: 'Realist theories emerge from the end of the Cold War no weaker (though certainly no stronger) than they entered it.'22 Pessimistically, Wohlforth recommended keeping a wary eye on Russia. Many other academics disagreed; realism had met its Waterloo with the end of the Cold War.23 Thomas Risse-Kappen directly challenged Mearsheimer's realist analysis of post-Cold War Europe contending that any analysis of Europe should be based on institutions.24 Stephen Van Evera criticized Mearsheimer’s realist analysis maintaining that 'these pessimistic views rest on false fears.'25 He made the case that the causes of war in Europe had vanished or were vanishing. The threat of nuclear war, American military presence, a decrease in militarism, hyper-nationalism, imperialism, and a rise in democratic regimes and in per-capita wealth would all make war less likely. In his version of events, the 17 P. Terrence Hopmann, ‘French Perspectives on the International Relations After the Cold War,’ Mershon International Studies Review 38 (1994): 69-93. For examples, see Georges Ayache and Pascal Lorot, La conquête de l'est: Les atouts de la France dans le nouvel ordre mondial (Paris: Calmann-Lévy, 1991), André Fontaine, L'un sans l'autre (Paris: Fayard, 1991), Pierre Lellouche, Le nouveau monde: De l'ordre de Yalta au désordre des nations (Paris: Grasset, 1992), and Alain Prate, Quelle Europe? (Paris: Julliard, 1991). 18Dominique Moïsi and Jacques Rupnik, Le nouveau continent: Plaidoyer pour une Europe renaissante (Paris: Calmann-Lévy, 1991). 19François Heisbourg, ‘The European-US alliance: Valedictory reflections on continental drift in the post-Cold War era,’ International Affairs 68 (1992): 665-678. 20Richard Pipes, ‘The Soviet Union Adrift,’ Foreign Affairs 70 (1991): 70-87. 21William C. Wohlforth, ‘Realism and the End of the Cold War,’ International Security 19 (Winter 1994/95): 91-129. 22Ibid., 125. 23 See for example, Charles W. Kegley, Jr, ‘The Neoidealist Moment in International Studies? Realist Myths and the New International Realities,’ International Studies Quarterly 37 (June 1993): 131-147, Friedrich Kratochwil, ‘The Embarrassment of Changes: Neo-realism as the Science of Realpolitik without Politics,’ Review of International Studies 19 (January 1993): 6380 and John Lewis Gaddis, ‘International Relations Theory and the End of the Cold War,’ International Security 17 (Winter 1992-93): 5-58. 24Thomas Risse-Kappen, ‘Correspondence,’ International Security 15 (Fall 1990), and also see by the same author, ‘The Long-Term Future of European Security’ in European Foreign Policy: The EC and Changing Perspectives in Europe, eds. Walter Carlsnaes and Steve Smith (London: SAGE Publications, 1994). 25Stephen Van Evera, ‘Primed for Peace: Europe After the Cold War’ in The Cold War and After ed. Sean M. Lynn-Jones and Steven Miller (Cambridge, MA: MIT Press, 1993), 195. 7 European Community was not going to dissolve, but neither was it play a strong role in future European security arrangements; a revamped NATO was more in order. Even those academics who recognized the importance of the EC failed to see the Community as an active participant in the security of the ‘new’ Europe. Some academics responded by arguing that both the realist and the liberal/idealist schools were faulty prescribing a third path that recognized the power of co-operative international institutions.26 In what Jack Snyder called 'neo-liberal institutionalism', he advocated, in the integrationist’s tradition, that ‘The most effective scheme would gradually integrate reforming Soviet bloc states into the European Community.’27 Although all of these authors recognized that the European Community could play a role in guaranteeing the security of the Continent, they all saw the EC in a civilian role promoting stability in the Eastern bloc through trade, not through a security or military identity. With so many security organizations in Europe (NATO, WEU, CSCE/OSCE28), there seemed little reason to advocate the formation of a security arm for the Community. Yugoslav Crisis – 1992-1997 When the Yugoslav crisis erupted, the CFSP was being hammered out in the 1991 Intergovernmental Conference that led to the Maastricht treaty. So confident was Jacques Poos, Luxembourg’s foreign minister, of the EU’s emerging prowess, he declared: ‘It is the hour of Europe, not the hour of the Americans.’ The days of political deadlock were ‘pre-history’.29 Nevertheless, the EU Member States could not agree on whether or how to intervene militarily or even whether or not to recognize the breakaway republics. Perplexed by the EU’s inability to live up to its treaty aspirations, Jan Zielonka applied five different theories with the goal of (and title of his book) Explaining Euro-paralysis: why Europe is unable to act in international 26 See for example, Jack Snyder ‘Averting Anarchy in the New Europe,’ International Security 14 (Spring 1990): 5-41 and republished in The Cold War and After eds. Sean M. Lynn-Jones and Steven E. Miller (Cambridge, MA: MIT Press, 1993), 104-141, Jiri Dienstbier, ‘Central Europe’s Security,’ Foreign Policy 83 (Summer 1991): 119-127, and Richard H. Ullman, ‘Enlarging the Zone of Peace,’ Foreign Policy 80 (Fall 1990): 102-120. 27 Snyder, The Cold War and After, 131. 28 The Conference for Security and Cooperation in Europe, later changed to the Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe. 29 Financial Times, 1 July 1991. 8 politics.30 Christopher Hill was most likely influenced by Yugoslavia when he coined the term: ‘capabilities-expectations gap’.31 Stephanie Anderson compared the EU’s, NATO’s and the CSCE’s responses to the Yugoslav crisis, and found that some member states preferred stalemate to action.32 David Reiff was extremely critical of the EU and judged they had learned ‘nothing’ from the experience.33 Franklin Dehousse and Benoit Galer concluded that the Amsterdam treaty set up a defense project founded on a need-only basis explaining the EU’s inability to react militarily to the war in Yugoslavia.34 Theovald Stoltenberg argued that the EU’s power of attraction, that is its civilian power status, made it the most important peacekeeping institution in Europe, and stressed the need for the eventual integration of former Yugoslavia into the EU.35 Birth of the ESDP – 1998-2002 The Kosovo crisis created a rift between the British and the Americans that the French exploited. The UK and France were willing to put ‘boots on the ground”, but the Clinton administration, embroiled in the impeachment trial, and gun shy after the ‘Black Hawk Down’ incident in Mogadishu, refused until a settlement was in place. Wanting more autonomous capabilities for Europe, the UK, reversing previous policy, agreed in Saint-Malo, in late 1998, to an actual European security and defence policy. Simon Duke explained that Kosovo brought the EU to a crossroads: either it would rejuvenate the CFSP and give practical effect to European defence or leave it to the Americans.36 Elizabeth Pond as well as Anthony Forster and William Wallace wrote that the EU had learned from their experience in Kosovo, thus spurring key changes in EU security policy including the appointment of Javier Solana as the High Representative or ‘Monsieur PESC’ and the formation of policy planning unit.37 Jan Zielonka Explaining Euro-paralysis: why Europe is unable to act in international politics.(Basingstoke: Palgrave, 1998), 31 Hill, Christopher. ‘The Capability-Expectations Gap, or Conceptualizing Europe’s International Role’ Journal of Common Market Studies 30 (September 1993): 305-328. 32 Anderson, Stephanie B.. ‘EU, NATO, and CSCE responses to the Yugoslav crisis: Testing Europe’s New Security Architecture.’ European Security 4 (Summer 1995): 328-353. 33 ‘The Lessons of Bosnia: Morality and Power’ Rieff, David. World Policy Journal 12.1 (Spring 1995): 76 34 From Saint-Malo to Feira: The Stakes in the Renaissance of the European Defense Project Dehousse, Franklin; Galer, Benoit. Studia Diplomatica 52.4 : 1-114. 35 INTRODUCING PEACEKEEPING TO EUROPE Stoltenberg, T. International Peacekeeping 2.2 : 215-223. 36 Duke, Simon (01/01/1999). ‘From Amsterdam to Kosovo: lessons for the future of CFSP’. Eipascope, (2), pp. 1-14. 37 Pond, Elizabeth. ‘Kosovo: Catalyst for Europe’ The Washington Quarterly 22.4 (Autumn 1999): 77-92 and Anthony Forster and William Wallace, ‘Common Foreign and Security Policy: From Shadow to Substance?’ in Helen Wallace and William Wallace (eds.) Policy-Making in the European Union, 4th edition, (Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2000), 461-492. 30 9 Considering these accomplishments, and in light of the 9/11 attacks and the changing security environment, Laurent Cohen-Tanugi argued it was time for the EU to lead in the transatlantic context.38 Charles Kupchan agreed in his book titled The End of the American Era making the case that Europe needed a security identity for when the US did not want to get involved.39 Iraq War 2002-2009: Of Mars, Venus, and Emancipation Just as during the Gulf War and the Yugoslav crisis, the US invasion of Iraq in 2003 split the EU Member States and demonstrated the fragility of the CFSP. Eager to prove themselves good NATO allies, the former eastern bloc countries, and soon-to-be members of the European Union, vociferously supported the United States. In reaction to France and Germany’s criticism of US foreign policy, Secretary of Defense, Donald Rumsfeld said the US could ignore ‘old Europe’ because new Europe was on their side. 40 The eastern members’ vocal support for the United States caused French president Jacques Chirac to suggest publicly that they ‘be quiet.’41 Just before the 2003 Iraq War rift, Robert Kagan, alluding to the famous book on relationship advice,42 argued that America was from Mars and Europe from Venus. Like men, Kagan characterized the United States as more violent and action-oriented whilst the EU, like women, were more passive and peaceful, placing more emphasis on consensus and communication.43 Kagan’s assertions framed the next five years of the academic debate: did Americans and Europeans share the same values, the same interests or even a future together? German chancellor Gerhardt Schroeder called for ‘emancipation’ from US security policy, and some academics, such as Jolyon Howorth concurred contending that the EU needed its own defence to ‘defend’ itself from the United States.44 Taking a neorealist approach, Seth Jones and Barry Posen agreed that the shift from bipolarity to unipolarity meant that ‘European states … [had] bec[o]me increasingly An Alliance at Risk: The United States and Europe since September 11. Laurent Cohen-Tanugi. (The Johns Hopkins University Press, 2003). 39 See, for example, Charles A. Kupchan, The End of the American Era. 40 ‘Outrage at ‘old Europe’ remarks’, January 23, 2003, BBC News, http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/europe/2687403.stm. 41 Janet McEvoy, ‘France warns EU candidates risk membership over Iraq,’ Agence France Presse – English, 18 February 2003. There is some controversy as to whether Chirac’s use of ‘se taire’ should have been translated as ‘be quiet’ or ‘shut up’. In any case, even if inappropriate, this term was widely quoted in the English-speaking press as ‘shut up’, see Oana Lungescu, ‘Chirac blasts EU candidates’ BBC News, 18 February 2003. 42 John Gray, Men are from Mars, Women are from Venus: A Practical Guide for Improving Communication and Getting What You Want in Your Relationships, (New York: HarperCollins, 1992). 43 Robert Kagan, ‘Power and Weakness’ Policy Review 113 (2002): 5-23 (electronic copy). 44 Jolyon Howorth, Defending Europe. 38 10 concerned about American power and, with a growing divergence in security interests, wanted to increase their ability to project power abroad and decrease US influence.’45 When explaining the motivations for the ESDP, Salmon and Shepherd placed at number one that the ESDP ‘may reduce the perception of a unipolar international relations system dominated by a single superpower.’46 Nevertheless, Mette Eilstrup-Sangiovanni made the case that the ESDP was ‘bad’ for Europe as it wasted resources and was divisive.47 Assessing the Impact of the CSDP: 2009 to present Ten years after its launch, many authors took the opportunity to evaluate the impact of the CSDP in creating a cohesive defence policy and in influencing world events. The EU Institute for Security Studies (EUISS) published an extensive report on all the CSDP missions.48 In an article entitled ‘Empowering Paradise? The ESDP at Ten’ 49 Anand Menon assessed whether Kagan’s statement ‘European integration has proved to be the enemy of European military power and, indeed, of an important European global role’ was true. Two years later, in 2011, he guest-edited along with Bastien Irondelle and Chris J. Bickerton, a special issue for The Journal of Common Market Studies called ‘Security Cooperation beyond the Nation State: The EU’s Common Security and Defence Policy.’50 Roy Ginberg and Susan Penska devised a rubric for evaluating the global impact of CSDP missions,51 and Xymena Kurowska and Fabian Breuer catalogued the different theories applied to the CSDP.52 Latitudinal/ Theoretical Approaches Before the end of the Cold War, European integration studies and security studies seldom crossed; in general, the Community was perceived as a civilian power and the US and NATO dominated defence leading to ‘a paucity of S. Jones, The Rise of European Security Cooperation, 9 and Barry Posen, ‘ESDP: Response to Unipolarity?’ Security Studies 15 (2): 149-186. 46 Salmon and Shepherd, 2-3. 47 Eilstrup-Sandiovanni, ‘Why a Common Security and Defense Policy is Bad for Europe,’ 193-206. 48 European Security and Defence Policy: The First 10 Years (1999-2009), edited by Giovanni Grevi, Damien Helly and Daniel Keohane, 265-274. Paris: European Union Institute for Security Studies, 2009. 49 Anand Menon ‘Empowering Paradise? The ESDP at Ten’ International Affairs 85: 2 (2009) 227–246. 50 Anand Menon, Bastien Irondelle and Chris J. Bickerton eds., The Journal of Common Market Studies, Special Issue: Security Cooperation beyond the Nation State: The EU’s Common Security and Defense Policy.50 51 The European Union in Global Security: The Politics of Impact, by R.H. Ginsberg and S.E. Penksa, Houndmills, Basingstoke, Hampshire: Palgrave Macmillan, 2012. 52 Xymena Kurowska and Fabian Breuer (eds.) Explaining the EU’s Common Security and Defence Policy: Theory in Action (New York: Palgrave Macmilan, 2012). 45 11 theoretical studies.’53 International relations scholars have long used realism and its variants to analyse state interactions, but the theory fell short in the case of the CFSP, because it could not ‘integrate’ European integration into its analysis. By the same token, neo-functionalism, long associated with European integration, had trouble taking into account the intergovernmental nature of the CFSP.54 Therefore, especially over the past decade, scholars have adopted institutional and sociological approaches to CSDP, for example social constructivism, social theory and sociological institutionalism, and even critical theoretical approaches to explain the development of European defence policy. Realism and its variants Realism and its variants stress how power structures affect outcomes. Sten Rynning has defended the utility of realism with regards to the CSDP55 and many authors, such as Adrian Hyde-Price, Julian Lindley-French and Michael Lariaux find it the theory of choice as well. Since the Iraq War, many scholars have used realism to analyse the balancing of power vis-à-vis the United States. Barry Posen and Seth Jones posited that Europe no longer trusted the US, and therefore had built up a military.56 However, how useful was military power in a post 9/11 world? Could the EU soft-balance the US? Joseph Nye’s book Soft Power: The Means to Success in World Politics defined soft power in terms of a state’s values and not military might: ‘A country may obtain the outcomes it wants in world politics because other countries admiring its values, emulating its example, aspiring to its level of prosperity and openness want to follow it.’57 Rather than being a civilian power, the EU utilized soft power compared to the US’s over reliance on hard power, although there was some confusion regarding the term. Although Robert Art called it ‘soft-balancing’, he referred Chris J. Bickerton, Bastien Irondelle and Anand Menon, ‘Security Co-operation beyond the Nation-State: The EU’s Common Security and Defence Policy’ The Journal of Common Market Studies 49:1 (2011), Special Issue: Security Cooperation beyond the Nation State: The EU’s Common Security and Defense Policy, 8. 54 Jakob Øhrgaard, ‘Less than Supranational, More than Intergovernmental: European Political Co-operation and the Dynamics of Intergovernmental Integration’, Millennium: Journal of International Studies 26:1 (1997) 8. 55 Sten Rynning, ‘Realism and the Common Security and Defence Policy’ Journal of Common Market Studies 49:1 (2011): 23-42. 56 Barry Posen, ‘ESDP and the Structure of World Power’, The International Spectator 39:1 (2004): 5-17, and Barry Posen 2006, and Seth Jones, ‘The Rise of a European Defense’ Political Science Quarterly 121:2, (2006) 241-67. 57 Nye, Soft Power: the Means to Success in World Politics, 5. 53 12 almost exclusively to the EU’s potential military power. 58 Robert Pape and Joseph Nye defined ‘soft-balancing’ differently. Pape defined it as measures ‘that do not directly challenge US military preponderance but that use non-military tools to delay, frustrate and undermine aggressive unilateral US military policies [for example] international institutions, economic statecraft, and diplomatic arrangements.’59 Aysha agreed stating, ‘Soft power…refers to the policies adopted by a state to promote its image abroad’ using public diplomacy and cultural diplomacy.60 Brooks and Wohlforth were sceptical as to the usefulness of ‘softbalancing’ arguing that the subsequent EU Battle Groups of 1,500 troops would also have a minimum impact on the balance of power. 61 Institutionalism and its variants Assuming bounded rationality, institutionalism and its variants emphasize how institutions influence outcomes. Michael E. Smith used it to explain the development of over 40 years of security cooperation.62 Bailes used it to explain member state participation in CSDP missions.63 Anand Menon thought historical institutionalism the most useful for understanding the CSDP. 64 Defining institutions as the formal or informal processes, rules and norms embedded in the organizational structure of the polity, historical institutionalists agree that contending parties vie for limited resources, but recognize that the institutional structure privileges some groups and/or interests over others, often by creating a ‘moral or cognitive template for interpretation and action.’ 65 Petar Petrov applied it to crisis management operations.66 Robert Art, “Correspondence: Striking a Balance,” International Security, 30 (2005): 177. Robert Pape, ‘Soft Balancing Against the United States,’ 8-9. A similar argument is supported by T.V. Paul, ‘Soft Balancing in the Age of U.S. Primacy,’ 46-71. 60 Emad El-Din Aysha, ‘September 11 and the Middle East Failure of US ‘Soft Power’,’ 193. 61 Stephen Brooks and William Wohlforth, ‘Hard Times for Soft Balancing,’ International Security 30 (2005), 92. 62 Michael E. Smith, Europe’s Foreign and Security Policy: The Institutionalization of Cooperation (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2004). 63 A.J.K. Bailes, ‘The EU and a ‘Better World’: What Role for the European Security and Defence Policy?’ International Affairs, 84:1 (2008): 11-30. 64 Anand Menon, ‘Power, Institutions and the CSP: The Promise of Institutionalist Theory’ Journal of Common Market Studies 49:1 (2011): 83-100. 65 Peter A Hall and Rosemary C. R. Taylor, ‘Political Science and the Three New Institutionalisms’ MPIFG Discussion Paper 96/6, 6-8, http://www.mpifg.de/pu/mpifg_dp/dp96-6.pdf . 66 Petar Petrov, ‘Introducing governance arrangements for EU conflict prevention and crisis management operations: a historical instutionalist perspective’ in EU Conflict Prevention and Crisis Management: Roles, Institutions and Policies (eds.) Eva Gross and Ana E. Juncos (New York: Routledge, 2011): 49-65. 58 59 13 Mortiz Weiss used a version of rational choice institutionalism with a focus on economic transaction costs as the explanatory factor for the institutionalization of the ESDP. 67 Ana Juncos applied a sociological institutionalist analysis to explain the role of culture and bureaucracy in EU crisis management.68 In the same vein, Fabien Breuer analysed the ‘Brusselisation’ of CSDP. 69 Stephanie Hofmann focused on the regime complex of crisis management missions and on the networks that emerge within CSDP institutions.70 Social Constuctivism Social constructivists concentrate on the power of norms and identity,71 emphasizing the emergence of ‘a European security community.’ 72 Xymena Kurowska and Friedrich Kratochwil stress its utility in understanding security politics. Stephanie Anderson argued the CSDP was a tool for enhancing a collective identity in Europe. In other words, the EU ‘pursues its own security and defense policy as a way to increase its stature on the world stage and among its people at home […] the ESDP is for nation-building purposes and not for defense itself.’73 To be or not to be – what exactly? Timeless Ontological Questions in European Defence Over the decades, two major questions have dominated the European defence debate: 1) what kind of power is the EU or should it be? and 2) does a European defence mean the end of the Atlantic Alliance? What kind of power is the EU? Civilian? Soft? Hard? Normative? Moritz Weiss, Transaction Costs and Security Institutions: Unravelling the ESDP (New York: Palgrave Macmilan 2011). 68 Ana E. Juncos, ‘The other side of EU crisis management: a sociological institutionalist analysis’ in EU Conflict Prevention and Crisis Management: Roles, Institutions and Policies (eds.) Eva Gross and Ana E. Juncos (New York: Routledge, 2011): 84-99. 69 Fabian Breuer, ‘Sociological Institutionalism, Socialization and the Brusselisation of CSDP’ in Kurowska and Breuer. 70 Stephanie Hoffman, “Why Institutional Overlap Matters: CSDP in the European Security Architecture.” Journal of Common Market Studies 49 (2010): 101–120. 71 Alexander Wendt, Anarchy is what States Make of it: The Social Construction of Power Politics, International Organization, 1992, Vol. 46, No. 2, 391-425; Peter Katzenstein, The culture of national security: norms and identity in world politics, New York: Columbia University Press, 1996. 72 Ole Waever, Insecurity, Security, and Asecurity in the West European Non-War Community, 69-118, in Adler, E., and Barnett M., Security Communities. Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press, 1998. 73 Stephanie Anderson, Crafting EU security policy: in pursuit of a European identity. Boulder, Colo: Lynne Rienner Publishers, 2008, 46. 67 14 Does the European Union have more ‘power’ as a civilian actor (soft power) or as a military actor (hard power), or is the question moot because the European Union has almost no military power? In 1957, with the birth of the European Community, Karl Deutsch’s definition of a 'security community', where those countries within the community forego war as a means of settling disputes, seemed most apropos.74 Did this mean that military power was irrelevant to a discussion of the EC? In the 1970’s, François Duchêne and Hedley Bull each represented different sides of the debate. Duchêne argued that the EC had successfully replaced military power relationships in Europe (for example as between France and Germany) with civilian economic ties.75 Having rendered the traditional power relationships obsolete, military competition among EC partners would become impossible. Moreover, the EC, as a civilian power, would have little to fear from external aggression because of the strength of the Community’s economic power.76 Using a realist framework, Bull made the case that military power was still the most important tool of influence and would not go away with the addition of this new pattern of civilian relationships in Europe.77 As long as states operated in the anarchy that characterized the international system, military power would remain the ultimate arbiter of disputes. In time, however, the EC might become a sovereign state -- the basic unit of international relations -- with a security policy where alliance formation would dominate the European landscape.78 After the Cold War, the debate continued. Especially in light of the birth of the CFSP, would the EU become a sovereign state with a military as Bull predicted, or was military power obsolete? Pekka Sivonen saw virtue in the EC as a stabilizing presence, not as a military or security actor in the traditional sense: 'Today the systemic characteristics established by the Cold War in Europe have become anachronistic .… There is now less room for the 'stabilizing' functions of military force in the European security system than ever before.'79 As military 74 Karl Deutsch et al. Political Community and the North Atlantic Area (Princeton: Princeton University Press, 1957). 75François Duchêne, ‘Europe’s Role in World Peace,’ in Europe Tomorrow, ed. Richard Mayne (London: Fontana, 1972), 43. 76Ibid. 77 Hedley Bull, ‘Civilian Power Europe: A Contradiction in Terms?’ Journal of Common Market Studies 21 (Sept.-Dec. 1982): 151. 78For further elaboration on these arguments, see also François Duchêne, ‘Europe and Changing Superpower Relations,’ The Round Table 61 (October 1971): 577-584. 79Pekka Sivonen, ‘European Security: New, Old and Borrowed,’ Journal of Peace Research 27 (1990): 385. 15 power had become less useful than it was, Sivonen argued that European peace should be secured through the creation of 'a network of institutionalized rules for internal and international state behavior.'80 Björn Hettne agreed, but gave this institutionalized network of rules a name -- a European Peace Order.81 Gerhard Wettig argued that the end of the Cold War meant that 'This system of mutual deterrence from war, successful as it was under the conditions of East-West confrontation, cannot be continued once the situation has changed. Its basis does not exist any longer.'82 The role the EC played in the security of Europe was an important one: the EC would play the stabilizing economic and political force in the former Eastern bloc. Dieter Senghaas concurred.83 When describing the foreign relations policy and power of the EC, Christopher Hill concluded that the most accurate description was that of 'civilian power'.84 For academics including Ginsberg, the EC was living proof of realism’s shortcomings as an international relations theory. Rather than pursue power in the traditional sense, the EC was a peaceful, civilian economic community with no military ambitions. 85 More recently, Ginsberg wrote ‘regardless of the fate of the CFSP, the foreign political, economic and diplomatic influence of the EU will still be largely defined by the traditional Rome Treaty-based civilian actions still found in Pillar One.’86 Others including Lily Gardener Feldman, David Long and Michael E. Smith have argued that the EU’s impact on the world is unique precisely because it is not a military superpower.87 David Allen and Michael Smith made the case that the EU was so impotent militarily that it could only be considered a civilian power.88 Finally, Christopher Piening argued that the EU was a global power, but as its strength does not come from military power, it was 80 Ibid. 81Björn Hettne, ‘Security and Peace in Post-Cold War Europe,’ Journal of Peace Research 28 (1991): 279-294. 82Gerhard Wettig, ‘Security in Europe: A Challenging Task,’ Aussenpolitik 1 (1992): 5. 83Dieter Senghaas, Friedensprojekt Europa (Frankfurt am Main: Suhrkamp, 1992). 84Hill, 54. 85 See Ginsberg, Foreign Policy Actions of the European Community, 12. 86 Roy Ginsberg, ‘The EU’s CFSP: The Politics of Procedure’ in Martin Holland, (ed.) Common Foreign and Security Policy, 14. 87 See L. Feldman, ‘Reconciliation and External Diplomacy’ in T. Banchoff and M. Smith (eds.) Legitimacy and the European Union and David Long ‘Multilateralism in the CFSP’ in Martin Holland (ed.) Common Foreign and Security Policy: The Record and the Reform. See also Michael E. Smith, ‘Beyond Bargaining: The Institutionalization of Foreign Policy Co-operation in the European Community, 1970-1996’, Ph.D. Thesis, (Irvine: The University of California, 1998) as cited in Roy Ginsberg, ‘Conceptualizing the European Union as an International Actor,’ 445. 88 See David Allen and Michael Smith ‘The European Union’s Security Presence in the Contemporary International Arena’ in Carolyn Rhodes (ed.) The European Union in the World Community. 16 simply in a ‘class of its own’.89 However, in 2000, Karen Smith90 disagreed titling her paper ‘The end of civilian power Europe’. Since the end of the Cold War, the EU has made the most dramatic strides in a generation to build what Seth Jones termed ‘an increasingly integrated and technologically-advanced defense industry’ on a Europe-wide basis.91 G. Andréani, C. Bertram and C. Grant declared ‘Europe’s military revolution’.92 Charles Cogan asserted that the EU was ‘squarely on the road towards autonomy in matters of defense.’93 In 2002, Ian Manners tried to bridge the gap through use of the concept ‘normative power Europe’.94 Alluding to Bull, he argued that, rather than being ‘a contradiction in terms’, the EU could meld both civilian and military power into something unique: normative power. In 2006, the Journal of European Public Policy published a special issue called ‘What kind of power? European Foreign Policy in Perspective’95 asking whether the EU was a civilian, civilizing96, or normative power? Will A European Defence Undermine NATO? Academics from strong Atlanticist countries such as the US, the UK and Denmark have approached EU defence from a different angle: what will mean to the Atlantic Alliance? The United States and the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) still dominate the European defence debate. Until the end of the cold war, Europe could not afford to experiment with its defence policy. From 1966 to 1989, the debate cantered on how equal a partnership the Atlantic Alliance was: the US argued it paid too much in terms of military support and the European countries argued they had too little say in policy. Immediately after the fall of communism, Christopher Piening, Global Europe: The European Union in World Affairs, 196. Karen E. Smith, ‘The end of civilian power Europe: a welcome demise or a cause for concern?’, International Spectator 35: 2, 2000, 91 Jones, Seth. The Rise of European Security Cooperation. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2007. 92 G. Andréani, C. Bertram and C. Grant, Europe’s military revolution (London: Centre for European Reform, 2001). 93 Charles G. Cogan, The Third Option: The Emancipation of European Defense, 1989–2000 (Westport, CT: Praeger, 2001), 134. 94 Ian Manners, ‘Normative Power Europe: A Contradiction in Terms?’ Journal of Common Market Studies 40 (2): 235-58. 95 Journal of European Public Policy Volume 13, Issue 2, 2006 Special Issue: What Kind of Power? European Foreign Policy in Perspective 96 Nicolaidis, Kalypso and R. Howse. ‘’This Is My EUtopia …’: Narrative As Power.’ Journal of Common Market Studies 40 (2002): 767-92. 89 90 17 the debate shifted to the continued utility of NATO, and whether it would disband as the Warsaw Pact had. NATO has always enjoyed strong public support among all the member countries, on average 65 per cent; as a result, the Atlantic Alliance has endured, but questions have remained as to how to reform it to equalize the burden-sharing and the policy making. During the Cold War, where integration was taken into account with regard to security, many academics and politicians took note of the division between the North Americans and the West Europeans and speculated on the danger of such a division within the Atlantic Alliance. Henry Kissinger and David Calleo based their analyses of European security issues on the alliance system and NATO. In The Troubled Partnership 97 and in Beyond American Hegemony,98 both Kissinger and Calleo analysed European integration as it related to the integrity of NATO, as opposed to how it factored in the overall balance of power. They concluded that integration might strengthen Western Europe’s resolve to resist American domination within NATO, and, therefore, called for NATO reform to allow for a more equal partnership. However, the EC played no other role in the balance of power in the European theatre. Indeed, Calleo went so far as to say that American hegemony had made the development of an EC security dimension impossible: 'NATO has made it unnecessary for European states either to acquire the military resources they might otherwise have been expected to maintain or to develop the security relationships with each other that their interests might otherwise have commanded.'99 In a 640 page book entitled European Security Policy after the Revolutions of 1989,100 no chapter or section even addressed the European Community. For those who did address the possibility of an EC with a military dimension, they were pessimistic: NATO has from the start been built up around the forces of its members, including the USA. To remove the forces of any one country would court disaster. If that country were to be the USA, NATO would quite simply collapse. Europe can probably build a new and different defence structure in the long term, but this would demand much more expenditure, the mobilisation of more manpower and a high degree of integration of 97Henry Kissinger, The Troubled Partnership (Garden City, NY: Doubleday Anchor Books, 1966). 98David P. Calleo, Beyond American Hegemony (New York: Basic Books, Inc., 1987). 99Calleo, 217. 100Jeffrey Simon, European Security Policy after the Revolutions of 1989 (Washington, DC: National Defense University Press, 1991). 18 national armed forces. To attempt this with the WTO countries in a state of turmoil and instability would be folly of the highest order.101 Charles Glaser conceded that 'A Western European alliance could serve some [security] … functions,' but concludes, nevertheless, that 'NATO is still best'.102 As the CSDP developed, Sten Rynning asked, ‘Why not NATO?’103 Was NATO no longer suitable as an organization to deal with Europe’s new security agenda focusing on non-traditional threats such as environmental concerns, political instability and terrorism? Indeed, many see Europe’s pursuit of an ESDP as a self-fulfilling prophesy: by building an autonomous capability, it will undermine NATO,104 as well as create ill-will with the Americans, thereby encouraging its isolationist tendencies. Although an extreme example, one author titled his article ‘Save NATO from Europe’. 105 Lindley-French argued that seeing the formation of security institutions as security ends in and of themselves was dangerous, naïve, and could undermine NATO, the serious defence organization.106 As Stephen Larabee explained, ‘many of the forces and assets that will be required for ESDI already have NATO commitments. If these forces are restructured for ESDIrelated tasks, and especially if EU planning for these missions is not done in close cooperation with NATO’s defense planning process, ESDI could weaken rather than strengthen NATO.’ 107 Stanley Sloan 108 explored ways to revise the transatlantic relationship in light of the ESDP and Martin Reichart109 catalogued 101 Martin Farnsdale, former commander North Atlantic Group (NATO Central Europe), in Europe after an American Withdrawal, ed. Jane O. Sharp, (Oxford: Oxford University Press, 1990), 454. 102Charles L. Glaser, ‘Why NATO is Still Best,’ International Security 18 (Summer 1993): 5-50. Nevertheless, one should note that some authors including Ulrich Weisser, NATO ohne Feindbild: Konturen einer europäischen Sicherheitspolitik, (Bonn: Bouvier, 1992) support the EC developing a security and military dimension especially to allow Germany to participate militarily in international peacekeeping forces. 103 Rynning, Sten. ‘Why not NATO? Military planning in the European Union.’ Journal of Strategic Studies 26 (2003): 53-72. 104 Robert E. Hunter, The European Security and Defense Policy: NATO’s Companion – or Competitor? (Santa Monica, CA: RAND 2002). 105 Jeffrey Cimbalo, ‘Saving NATO from Europe,’ 83. 106 Julian Lindley-French, ‘In the shade of Locarno? Why European defence is failing,’ 789-811. 107 ‘The European Security and Defense Identity (ESDI) and American Interests.’ Prepared Statement of Dr. F. Stephen Larrabee, RAND, Washington, D.C. for a hearing before the Committee on Foreign Relations, Subcommittee on European Affairs, United States Senate, March 9, 2000, 4. 108 NATO, the European Union, and the Atlantic Community The Transatlantic Bargain Reconsidered. Stanley R. Sloan. (Rowman & Littlefield, 2003). 109 The EU-NATO Relationship: A Legal and Political Perspective. Martin Reichart. (Ashgate, 2006). 19 the legal and political relations between the two. Conclusions Considering that Monnet had not originally conceived of defence as a foundation for European unity and considering the dominance of the United States and the Soviet Union in a bi-polar cold war, ‘integrating’ the European project with security studies has been problematic. One of the most basic characteristics of a state is the ability to defend itself. Does the EU’s having a defence policy make it a state? Does the EU’s having a defence policy mean it can defend itself? The answer to both questions is ‘no’, but the answers mean that traditional security analysis does not apply to EU defence policy. The poor fit creates ontological questions: What kind of power is the EU? Will the EU become a state? Will the Atlantic Alliance continue to exist? Is the US our friend or foe? Can a country be Atlanticist and European at the same time? Understandably, academics have had to find other theories, often more sociological and psychological theories, to explain EU developments in this field.
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