Survey of Jordan Public Opinion
National Poll #13
April 19-24, 2016
Detailed Methodology
•
This survey was designed, coordinated and analyzed by the Middle East Marketing and Research
Consultants on behalf of the International Republican Institute (IRI).
•
The national representative survey was carried out from April 19-24, 2016. The eligibility criteria was
based on age (18 years or older). A sample of 1000 individuals were interviewed face-to-face in their
homes.
The sample design was a multi-stage cluster sample:
• Stage one : Break country into 100 clusters distributed among Jordan’s 12 governorates based on
DoS latest available Housing and Population Census frame. The Nyman allocation approach was
used to distribute the sample of clusters among the different governorates ensuring proper
coverage for governorates with small population sizes. Weights were then used to reflect the
actual population size of each governorate .
•
•
Stage two :Ten households were drawn (with replacement allowing for non-contacts) from each
cluster using a random start and a systematic procedure of selection to ensure proper
representation of different parts of the cluster in sample and to reduce intra-class correlation.
•
Researchers conducted one in-person interview per household, selected using the Kish method.
•
The response rate for the survey was 91 percent, seven percent of contacts were refused at the door of
respondents and two percent refused to participate in the poll after receiving interviewers.
•
The margin of error for the survey does not exceed +/- 3.5 percent with a confidence level of 95 percent
and where p=0.50.
•
Figures in charts and graphs may not add to 100 percent due to rounding.
•
This poll was funded by the U.S. Agency for International Development (USAID).
2
Direction Country is Going
Overall, is Jordan headed in the right direction or the
wrong direction?
50%
39%
40%
30%
40%
27%
25%
19%
20%
16%
12%
8%
10%
0%
Things are going Things are going Things are going Things are going
mostly in the somewhat in the somewhat in the mostly in the
right direction
right direction
wrong direction wrong direction
2015
2016
8%
5%
Not sure/Don’t
know
4
What is your main reason for considering things in Jordan to
be going in the right direction?
Open-ended; n=519
70%
66%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
Stability &
Security
8%
7%
Improving
Economy
Political
Reforms
7%
4%
Hashemite
Situation
Leadership better than
neighboring
countries
4%
4%
Improved
citizens'
daily
conditions
Other
5
What is your main reason for considering things in Jordan to
be going in the wrong direction?
Open-ended; n=426
30%
26%
20%
16%
15%
10%
10%
9%
9%
9%
6%
0%
Rising Prices
Admin &
Financial
Corruption
Weak
Economic
Conditions
Unemployment Refugee Influx
Poverty
Government
Wrong Policies
Other
6
What, in your opinion, is the single biggest problem facing
Jordan as a whole?
40%
Open-ended
40%
35%
34%
30%
25%
20%
23%
19%
21%
15%
15%
11%
10%
9%
24%
20%
20%
17%
16%
14%
13%
13%
13%
8%
7%
5%
0%
25%
10%
6%
16%
10%
15%
8%
2011
2012
Rising prices
Poverty
Jordan's economic conditions
Refugee influx
14%
11%
8%
7%
6%
2%
1%
2009
17%
2013
2015
2016
Unemployment
Terrorism
Admin & financial corruption
7
Current Economic Situation
How would you describe the current economic situation in
Jordan?
60%
54%
55%
50%
50%
46%
39%
40%
32%
30%
29%
0%
9% 8%
29% 29%
24%
22%
19%
20%
10%
35%
33%
16%
13%
18%
16%
4% 2% 3%2%
Very good
2% 2%
Good
2009
Bad
2011
2012
2013
Very bad
2015
2016
4%
1% 2% 2%
Not sure
9
Why in your opinion is the current economic situation in
Jordan is in “Good" or "Very good" shape?
Multiple Answer Question - Open-ended; n=393
Other
14%
Stability of economic conditions
5%
Thriving trade
7%
Provision of basic services
8%
Goods & services at reasonable prices
9%
New direct investments
9%
Job creation
9%
Basic needs fulfilled
12%
Individual incomes improved
13%
Safety & security positively impacted economy
14%
0%
10%
20% 10
Why in your opinion is the current economic situation in
Jordan "Bad" or "Very bad"?
Multiple Answer Question - Open-ended; n=1341
Other
11%
Poor economic conditions
4%
Refugee influx
7%
Corruption
7%
Poverty
9%
13%
Low incomes
23%
Unemployment
26%
High prices
0%
20%
40%
11
Why in your opinion is the current economic situation in
Jordan "Bad" or "Very bad"?
Multiple Answer Question - Open-ended; n=1341
Other
9%
Poor economic conditions
4%
11%
11%
6%
8%
7%
7%
Refugee influx
10%
Corruption
7%
7%
5%
Poverty
8%
9%
15%
Low incomes
11%
13%
13%
Unemployment
22%
23%
33%
High prices
26%
0%
20%
2013
2015
2016
30%
40%
12
Do you think that the general economic situation in Jordan
over the next 12 months is likely to get:
60%
46%
40%
33%
20%
10%
9%
Much worse
Not sure/Don't
know
3%
0%
Much better
Somewhat
better
Somewhat worse
13
How would you describe your household economic condition?
69%
70%
61%
60%
56%
50%
40%
30%
24%
20%
10%
0%
30%
20%
10%
5% 5% 4%
Very good
Good
Bad
2013
2015
6%
10%
Very bad
1%
Not sure/Don't
know
2016
14
Do you think your own household economic situation over
the coming 12 months is likely to get:
80%
64%
60%
54%
40%
40%
28%
20%
12%
15%
11%
6% 5% 5%
0%
Much better
6%
4% 5%
Somewhat better Somewhat worse
2013
2015
2016
Much worse
5%
7%
Not sure
15
Which of the following costs constituted the heaviest burden on
your household budget?
1%
1%
Mobile phones
Clothing
1%
1%
Transportation
3%
2%
3%
2%
Other
3%
2%
2%
2%
3%
Health
None
Car fuel
11%
7%
Education
39%
15%
13%
20%
19%
Housing
Food
17%
Electricity
35%
21%
21%
26%
0%
10%
2013
20%
2015
2016
28%
30%
40%
16
If prices had to be further increased by 10 percent, on which of
the following would you most tolerate an increase?
1%
1%
Not sure/Don't know
5%
3%
Other
43%
None
60%
3%
1%
Electricity
4%
2%
3%
4%
Transportation
Car fuel
4%
5%
Housing
Food
5%
Mobile phones
8%
5%
14%
15%
11%
Clothes
0%
10%
20%
2015
30%
2016
40%
50%
60%
70%
17
In order to improve basic government services (health care,
education, infrastructure, etc…), would you be in favor of or
against levying new taxes?
100%
87%
90% 93%
80%
60%
40%
20%
0%
12%
9%
6%
1%
In favor
Against
2013
2015
2%
1%
Not sure/Don't know
2016
18
Public Confidence in Parliament; The
Independent Election Commission (IEC)
Overall, has the impact of the current parliament* moved
Jordan:
60%
41%
40%
33%
20%
18%
15%
5%
0%
31%
28%
16%
11%
2%
In a much
better
direction
1%
In a better
direction
In a worse
direction
2015
In a much
worse
direction
Not sure/
Don't know
Refused to
answer
2016
*Survey conducted prior to the dissolution of parliament on May 29, 2016.
20
Did the current parliament* accomplish anything that you
feel it should be commended for?
100%
87%
81%
71%
50%
16%
5%
5%
0%
14%
Yes
No
2013
2015
14%
8%
Not sure/Don't know
2016
*Survey conducted prior to the dissolution of parliament on May 29, 2016.
21
What is the biggest accomplishment of the new parliament*
so far?
Open-ended; n=50
Do not remember
2%
Other
16%
Approval of constitutional amendments
2%
Promulgation of amendment to article 308 of the
penal law
5%
Offered employment to some Jordanians
6%
Promulgation of Parliamentary Election Law
7%
Fighting corruption
8%
Curbing price increase on some goods
14%
Demands for improved services & infrastructure
17%
24%
Demands for citizen benefits
0%
10%
20%
*Survey conducted prior to the dissolution of parliament on May 29, 2016.
30%
22
The parliament has passed a new election law this year. To
what degree are you aware of the content of this new law?
58%
60%
40%
21%
20%
15%
4%
0%
To a large degree
3%
To a moderate
degree
To a little degree
Not at all
Not sure/Don't
know
23
To what degree are you aware of the mandate of the
Independent Election Commission (IEC)?
58%
60%
40%
21%
20%
16%
3%
3%
0%
To a large
degree
To a moderate
degree
To a little
degree
Not at all
Not sure/Don't
know
24
To what degree do you believe the Independent Election
Commission (IEC) would be able to ensure fair and
transparent elections?
60%
41%
40%
29%
20%
25%
19%
18%
15%
29%
12%
6%
5%
0%
To a large
degree
To a moderate
degree
To a little
degree
2015
2016
Not at all
Not sure/Don't
know
25
Government, Reform and Elections
To what degree do you care about political reform in Jordan?
60%
48%
40%
39%
27%
30%
20%
14%
11%
0%
To a large
degree
To a moderate
degree
To a little degree
2015
2016
14%
10%
Not at all
5%
2%
Not sure/Don't
know
27
Do you think any of the following will improve political
reforms in Jordan?
6%
Government that is chosen by parliament
55%
38%
Candidates elected on a national level rather
than regional
7%
Empowerment and development of political
parties
40%
53%
14%
57%
29%
Not sure/Don't know
No
Yes
28
To what degree do you have confidence in the following
persons and institutions?
To a large degree
To a moderate degree
To a little degree
Military
Not at all
Not sure/Don't know
10% 2% 1%
87%
Judiciary
49%
Doctors and
hospitals
37%
Religious
institutions
36%
Schools and
universities
35%
47%
51%
14%
Municipal
governance
35%
Parliament
23%
6%
Political parties 3%
0%
12%
13%
41%
11%
19%
20%
11%
8% 1%
12%
8% 1%
2%
26%
3%
51%
2%
50%
40%
7%
35%
19%
17%
6% 3%
8%
44%
27%
Prime Minister
Ensour
8%
60%
18%
80%
100%
29
To what degree do you think the Government, Parliament
and the Judiciary are:
Very effective
Quite effective
Parliament
22%
7%
Government
18%
Somewhat effective
0%
20%
Not sure/Don't know
28%
39%
47%
21%
32%
Judiciary
Not very effective
60%
11% 2%
11%
49%
40%
5%
80%
5% 3%
100%
30
To what degree do you think the Government, Parliament
and the Judiciary are:
Parliament
22%
7%
Government
18%
Somewhat effective
0%
Very effective
Parliament
20%
Quite effective
39%
47%
21%
Government
40%
Somewhat effective
36%
0%
20%
11% 2%
80%
Not very effective
18%
43%
40%
11%
60%
46%
33%
Judiciary
5%
49%
42%
17%
Not sure/Don't know
28%
32%
Judiciary
Not very effective
60%
2016
Quite effective
5% 3%
100%
Not sure/Don't know
16%
7%
10%
6% 6%
9%
5% 6%
80%
100%
2015
Very effective
31
How likely, if at all, are you to vote in the next elections?
43%
45%
40%
35%
30%
25%
20%
28%
27%
20% 20%
18%
16%
15%
14%
10%
8%
6%
5%
0%
Very likely
Somewhat likely
Somewhat
unlikely
2015
2016
Very unlikely
Not sure/Don't
know
32
To what degree do you feel that you (citizens) have a say in
governmental decision-making on issues that
directly affect you?
40%
40%
35%
35%
30%
30%
25%
25%
23% 23%
20%
15%
10%
8%
10%
5%
5%
0%
2%
To a large
degree
To a moderate
degree
To a little degree
2015
2016
Not at all
Not sure/Don't
know
33
If you could have only one or the other, which is more
important to you: a democratic system of government or a
prosperous economy?
34%
35%
30%
26%
25%
21%
20%
15%
15%
10%
4%
5%
0%
A democratic
system of
government is
definitely more
important to me
A democratic
system of
government is
somewhat more
important to me
A prosperous
economy is
somewhat more
important to me
A prosperous
economy is
definitely more
important to me
Not sure/Don't
know
34
To what degree do you feel citizens should engage in the
development of their community?
45%
40%
41%
35%
33%
30%
25%
20%
15%
15%
10%
8%
5%
0%
3%
To a large
degree
To a moderate
degree
To a little degree
Not at all
Not sure/Don't
know
35
Women and Youth
Do you believe women should be equally represented in
political decision making in Jordan?
40%
40%
36%
35%
30%
27% 27%
26%
25%
20%
20%
15%
12%
10%
10%
5%
0%
2%
Strongly agree
Somewhat agree
Somewhat
disagree
2015
2016
Strongly disagree
1%
Not sure
37
If there are two candidates running for office and they have
the same qualifications, which candidate are
you more likely to support ?
45%
44%
40%
35%
29%
30%
25%
25%
20%
15%
10%
5%
0%
2%
Man
Woman
Makes no difference
to me
Not sure
38
Do you agree or disagree with the following statement:
“Politicians do not listen to the needs and ideas of women.”
50%
50%
50%
45%
40%
42%
38%
35%
30%
25%
20%
15%
12%
8%
10%
5%
0%
Agree
Disagree
2015
2016
Not Sure
39
Do you agree or disagree with the following statement:
“Politicians do not listen to the needs and
ideas of young people.”
70%
62%
60%
53%
50%
42%
40%
30%
26%
20%
11%
10%
0%
Agree
Disagree
2015
2016
5%
Not sure/Don't know
40
Perceptions of ISIS
Do you consider the self-declared Islamic State (ISIS) to be a
terrorist organization?
100%
89%
89%
80%
60%
40%
20%
4%
0%
7%
4%
2015
Yes
7%
2016
No
Not sure/Don't know
42
To what degree do you feel ISIS is a real threat to
security in Jordan?
50%
42%
40%
37%
30%
26%
22%
20%
16%
16%
12%
18%
10%
5%
5%
1% 1%
0%
To a large
degree
To a
moderate
degree
To a little
degree
2015
Not at all
2016
Not
sure/Don't
know
Refused to
answer
43
To what degree do you support the international
intervention against ISIS?
80%
64%
60%
54%
40%
21%
20%
16%
4%
0%
To a large
degree
To a
moderate
degree
11% 8%
4%
7%
1% 1%
To a little
degree
2015
10%
Not at all
Not
sure/Don't
know
Refused to
answer
2016
44
What is your most important reason for this support?
Open-ended, n=839
60%
58%
53%
40%
22%
20%
13%
0%
17% 16%
9%
8%
2%
Fight
terrorism &
eliminate ISIS
Safeguard
regional
security &
enhance
stability
ISIS harmed
Islam & its
image
2015
The
criminality &
corruption of
ISIS
2016
Avenge the
killing of
pilot
Kasasbeh
2% 1%
No specific
reason
45
What is your most important reason for
not supporting intervention?
Open-ended, n=81
40%
35%
38%
34%
36%
31%
30%
25%
20%
17%
14%
15%
9%
10%
4%
5%
0%
8%
Conspiracy
targeting
Muslims and
Islam
Fear of
dragging
Jordan into
war and
instability
Not our
war/Jordan is
far from events
3%
Spare Muslims
and other
innocent
people
ISIS is not a
terrorist
organization
2015
2016
3%
The
international
intervention
should be
restricted to
Arab and
Muslim
countries
3%
Other
No reason
3%
Refused to
answer
46
To what degree do you support the involvement of Jordan in
the international intervention against ISIS?
60%
47%
40%
24%
20%
14%
10%
5%
0%
To a large
degree
To a
moderate
degree
To a little
degree
Not at all
Not
sure/Don't
know
1%
Refused to
answer
47
Do you believe the ideology of ISIS has
support among Jordanians?
60%
58%
53%
50%
40%
30%
26%
25%
21%
20%
16%
10%
0%
1%
Yes
No
Not sure/Don't know
2015
2016
1%
Refused to answer
48
What are the reasons do you believe for this support among
Jordanians?
Multiple Answer Question - Open-ended, n=391
Refused to answer
2%
Other
3%
No specific reason
2%
Youth are tricked
3%
Religious fanaticism
9%
Financial gains
12%
Unemployment
12%
Wrong belief that Daesh is Islamic State
14%
Poverty
15%
29%
Ignorance of religious teachings
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
49
Do you think ISIS is mainly supported by youth, religious
people, or poor people?
40%
36%
35%
32%
28%
30%
25%
30%
24%
19%
20%
15%
19%
11%
10%
5%
1%
0%
Poor people
Youth
Religious
people
2015
2016
Not sure /
Don't know
Refused to
answer
50
Syrian Refugee Influx
Do you approve of closing the borders to any more Syrian
refugees, continuing to receive Syrian refugees but limiting
the number or continuing to receive more Syrian refugees?
50%
45%
40%
46%
40%
38%
34%
35%
30%
24%
25%
20%
15%
13%
10%
5%
0%
2%
Closing the borders
to any more Syrian
refugees
Continuing to
receive Syrian
refugees but limit
the number
2015
Continuing to
receive more of
Syrian refugees
2016
2%
Not sure/Don't know
52
Do you think attitudes towards Syrians Refugees are getting:
70%
65%
60%
50%
40%
30%
26%
20%
10%
0%
8%
2%
Better
Worse
Remained the same
Not sure/Don't know
53
Demographics
50%
50%
Male
GENDER
Female
29%
North (Irbid, Jerash, Ajloun, Mafraq)
LOCATION
63%
Center (Amman, Zarqa, Balqa, Madaba)
9%
South (Karak, Tafileh, Ma'an, Aqaba)
POPULATION DENSITY
80%
Urban
20%
19%
25%
23%
Rural
18-24
AGE GROUP
25-34
35-44
33%
45+
3%
Illiterate
EDUCATION
31%
Less than secondary
40%
Secondary
27%
Higher than secondary
11%
Less than 200 JOD
36%
200 - 399 JOD
29%
400 - 599 JOD
HOUSEHOLD INCOME
(MONTHLY)
12%
600 - 799 JOD
6%
4%
2%
1%
800 - 999 JOD
1000+ JOD
Not sure/Don't know
Refused to Answer
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
54
Demographics
24%
Single
MARITAL STATUS
68%
Married
8%
Other
36%
Working
EMPLOYMENT STATUS
64%
Not working
EMPLOYMENT SECTOR
(n=356)
29%
Public
71%
Private
LOOKING FOR A JOB
(n=644)
26%
Yes
74%
No
5%
Less than one month
12%
TIME SPENT LOOKING FOR A JOB Less than three months
(n=165)
Less than six months
9%
12%
Less than 12 months
60%
More than 12 months
2%
Not sure/Don’t remember
DROPPED OUT FROM SCHOOLS
19%
Yes
82%
No
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
55
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