reach for the sky! 1 Entrainment rate from buoyancy com velocity as B=W/c where c=120 s Center for Entrainment rates for deep convective cores found by exploiting the linear relationship of Multiscale Modeling of Atmospheric Process vertical velocity to buoyancy Ian B. Glenn and Steven K. Krueger For more information, please visit us online at: What is CMMAP? www.cmmap.org The Center for Multiscale Modeling of Atmospheric Processes, CMMAP (pronounced "see map"), is one of 17 current Science and Technology Centers sponsored by the National Science Foundation. CMMAP is a partnership of research and educational institutions, government agencies, and industry. Melissa Burt, CMMAP Education & Diversity Manager University of Utah, Salt Lake City, Utah [email protected] ! (970) 491-8706 CMMAP Reach for the sky. 1371 Campus Del. ! Colorado State University ! Fort Collins, Colorado Best fit entrainment rate given B and W Introduction 1 A National Science Foundation Science a Entrainment ratebe fromapplied buoyancy to computed from vertical Can method observations? CMMAP conducts research and promotes the education of a diverse scientific workforce. CMMAP communicates its findings to the general public, to policy makers, and to centers that predict weather and climate. velocity as B=W/c where c=120 s • Consider the buoyancy and vertical velocity profiles for each active 3D cloudy updraft • What fractional entrainment rate for a parcel gives the best fit to the 3D cloudy updraft profile of vertical velocity? The Giga-LES • System for 10^2 10^0 10^6 10^8 10^10 Volume (m3) 10^12 Figure 2. Log-log frequency distribution of 3D cloudy updraft volumes. We ignore the group of volumes to the left of the dashed black line as they are composed of only a few model grid points. The cut-off volume is that of a cube 450 m on each side. Partition cloudy updrafts into two groups Dissipating Active •Life-cycle stage of the convection? •Low cloud bases: growing and mature convective updrafts •Elevated cloud bases: dissipating stage of updraft •Define “active” as 3D cloudy updrafts with cloud base < 1 km Figure 3. Log frequency of 3D cloudy updrafts vertical extent vs. cloud base height. The clouds outlined in the lower black rectangle are representative of active cumulus convection, with bases below 1 km. 6 0.8 0.6 4 0.4 For more information, please visit us online at: 0.2 www.cmmap.org 0 0 Height ( km ) Height ( km ) 3 Mean Error: 2.5 0.5 m/s Lamda: 2 −1 0.38 km 1.5 1 0.5 Mean 4 Error: 0.8 m/s 3 Lamda: −1 0.41 km 2 1 3 km 5 km 0 −2 0 2 4 6 Vertical Velocity ( m/s ) and Buoyancy( 10−2 m/s2 ) 0 −4 −2 0 2 4 6 Vertical Velocity ( m/s ) and Buoyancy( 10−2 m/s2 ) (a) (b) 12 8 Mean Error: 6 0.7 m/s Lamda: −1 0.41 km 4 Mean 10 Error: 2.9 m/s 8 Lamda: 0.12 km−1 6 4 2 8 km 0 −2 0 2 4 6 Vertical Velocity ( m/s ) and Buoyancy( 10−2 m/s2 ) 2 12 km 0 −10 −5 0 5 10 Vertical Velocity ( m/s ) and Buoyancy( 10−2 m/s2 ) 0.4 0.8 1.2 1.6 2.0 Fractional entrainment rateEducation (km−1) Melissa Burt , CMMAP & Diversity Manager 1.8 1.6 Teacher Resource 1.4 1.2 8 1 Helping teachers and students reach0.8for the sky! 6 0.6 4 0.4 2 0.2 0 0 0.4 0.8 1.2 1.6 Fractional entrainment rate (km−1) 2.0 (a)instead of the known buoyancy profile we use B=W/(120 (b)(c)s) + Figure 6. Same as Fig. 5, but 1371 Campus Del. ! Colorado State University ! Fort Collins, Colorado Drag. The known drag profile is used to illustrate a best possible case of using this method. • An estimate of the drag force is essential for this method • Four example cloudy updrafts are shown, note different cloud top heights • Cloud average W profile in red • Many possible W profiles are calculated for a range of λ, best fit plotted in blue • “Unloaded” thermal buoyancy black dashed • “Loaded” density buoyancy B solid black Summary A National Science Foundation Sciencethe and Technolog Figure 1: The entrainment rate that produces best fi given approximate buoyancy profile as input. In • It aisB=W/c encouraging that precip. mixing drag force is added to the buoyancy profile. In (b) and (d ratio varies nicely with CTH note the horizontal scale is increased from 2 to 5 km−1 . In ( the average mass of precipitating condensate per kg of clo the last 13 hourly snapshots of GigaLES are used. • 3D cloudy updrafts are defined in a large domain LES of deep convection. We (c) select those with cloud base < 1 (d) km as “active clouds” 1 Figure 1: The entrainment rate that produces parcel the bestmodel fit to the profile cloud when show that a simple entraining forcloud eachWactive • We given a B=W/c approximate buoyancy profile as input. In (a) and (c), the actual known can partially explain the distribution of cloud top heights drag force is added to the buoyancy profile. In (b) and (d), no drag force is added, and −1 . In (c) and (d), the colors represent note•the horizontal scale is increased from 2 to 5 km After Alison Stirling of the Met office and others, we note average the average mass of precipitating condensate per kg of cloud air. All active clouds from vertical velocity profile is proportional to average unloaded buoyancy the last 13 hourly snapshots of GigaLES are used. profile in the active clouds • Using this estimate for unloaded buoyancy, dual doppler radar retrievals of vertical velocity could theoretically then be used to solve (c) (d) Entrainment rateblack), from buoyancy, vertical velocity, Figure 4. Profiles of 3D cloudy updraft average loaded buoyancy 1 (black), unloaded buoyancy (dashed and vertical for λ, given an estimate of drag Figure 3: Profiles of average buoyancy Bu (dashed velocity (red). Best fit parcelunloaded model vertical velocity is plottedblack), in blue.average loaded buoy1 for active clouds in the GigaLES ancy Bd (black), and average vertical velocity W (red), where the average is taken over Using the known drag as a “best case” gives encouraging results • each level of the cloud. The vertical velocity calculated using a parcel model that uses Entrainment rate λ from best-fit parcel model of cloudy updraft W B as input is plotted in blue. The parcel model is evaluated multiple times for different d assumed constant fractional entrainment rates, and the case with the minimum sum of 14 squared errors (SSE) between parcel W and cloud W is the one shown. The associated 12 entrainment rate (lamda) and the square root of SSE normalized by the number of levels is noted on each figure. The four clouds were selected from the group of clouds having cloud 10 top loaded buoyancy close to zero, cloud base below 2 km, and cloud top height within 1 km of 3, 5, 8, and 12 km respectively. 8 1 0.8 0.6 References Arakawa, A., 2004: The cumulus parameterization problem: Past, present, and future. J. Clim., 17, 0.4 2493-2525. 4 Heus, Thijs, Gertjan van Dijk, Harm J. J. Jonker, Harry E. A. Van den Akker, 2008: Mixing in shallow cumulus 0.2 2 5 clouds studied by lagrangian particle tracking. J. Atmos. Sci., 65, 2581–2597. Khairoutdinov, M., S. K. Krueger, C.-H. Moeng, P. A. Bogenschutz, and D. A. Randall, 0 0 0.4 0.8 1.2 1.6 2.0 2009: Large-eddy simulation of maritime deep tropical convection. J. Adv. Model. Earth Syst., 1. −1 Fractional entrainment rate (km ) LeMone, Margaret A., Edward J. Zipser, 1980: Cumulonimbus Vertical Velocity Events in GATE. Part I: (a) (b)Diameter, Intensity and Mass Flux. J. Atmos. Sci., 37, 2444–2457. Figure 5. On the left, frequency vs cloud top height of parcel model entrainment rate that produces the best fit to the Lin, C., and A. Arakawa, 1997: The macroscopic entrainment processes of simulated cumulus ensemble. cloud W profile. On the right, the average precipitating condensate for the clouds in each λ and cloud top height bin. Figure 1: The entrainment rate that produces the best fit to the cloud W profile when Part I: Entrainment sources. J. Atmos. Sci., 54, 1027-1043. • Maximum cloud top height at a particular λ decreases with increasing λ • What explains the range of cloud top heights for the same λ? Life-cycle stage? Are those clouds still growing? 6 C [email protected] ! (970) 491-8706 Cloud Mass Weighted Avg. Precip (g/kg) 10^4 3D Volumes Cut−off size …gives the best fit to the known W profile (min. RMS error) Cloudy Updraft Vertical Velocity Parcel Model Vertical Velocity Cloud Top Height (km) Frequency 10^6 • Contiguous volumes • We use a cloudy updraft core definition similar to that used in Lemone and Zipser (1980) • Vertical velocity (w) > 1 m/s and cloud water/ice mixing ratio (qn) > 0.1 g/kg • Largest volume is equivalent to a cube 10 km on each side Iterate to find the fractional entrainment rate that… Using level average density buoyancy from cloudy updraft core Height ( km ) Identify 3D cloudy updrafts 1 2 Height ( km ) Figure 1. SHDOM visualization of light scattering in liquid and ice water mixing ratio fields from the Giga-LES. The horizontal domain visualized above is 20 km x 20 km, about 1/100th of the total domain area. Atmospheric Modeling (SAM) • Horizontal domain of 204.8 km x 204.8 km • ∆x = ∆y = 100m • ∆z = 50m to 100m • 10^9 grid cells • A “virtual field campaign” (Khairoutdinov et al. 2009) • Validated against observations (Lemone and Zipser 1980) 8 Cloud Top Height (km) • What determines the distribution of cloud top heights (Arakawa 2004)? • The Giga-LES is especially well suited to studying entrainment in deep convection because of its large domain and turbulence resolving 100 m horizontal resolution. (a) Cloud Mass Weighted Avg. Precip (g/kg) Solve for B assuming W = (B - Drag) * 120 s Log10 Number of Clouds Parcel Model for Vertical Velocity Cloud Top Height (km) Motivations Clouds are one of the most important parts of the climate system and control cycles of energy, water, motion, and chemistry. The climate models that scientists currently have the technology to create do not 14 completely represent cloud processes; the models are too coarse to 14 1.8 accurately portray clouds and cloud movement, so it is difficult to understand and predict changes in global climate. Scientists have 12 1.6 12 recently discovered a way to address these issues. CMMAP is 1.4to more accurate developing a revolutionary new approach that will lead 10 10 simulations and a better understanding of global climate 1.2 change. given the cloud buoyancy profile as input. In (a), the density buoyancy is used (weight of•all cloud and precip. condensate included). In (b), the thermal buoyancy is used (only Average precipitating condensate is a ACKNOWLEDGEMENT. virtual temperature effects from vapor included). The colors represent the average massThis of material is based upon work supported by the National strong function of cloud top height, but Science and Technology Center for Multi-Scale Modeling of only precipitating condensate per kg of cloud air. All active clouds Foundation from the lastScience 13 hourly not ofofλGigaLES are used. Atmospheric Processes, managed by Colorado State University under cooperative snapshots agreement No. ATM-0425247.
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