E T M! LIND B A R V E managing director, hdfcamc EXCLUSIVE Q&A 1^inksome °f smaller fund houses have done good product differentiation, and we should respect them fo r it. I don't think small means non-serious. At one point of time, our asset size was also?3,000- 4,000 crore / _______ Redemption Pressure is Easing Now HDFC AMC, w ith a positive outlook over the medium-to-long term, hopes to add 4 lakh new customers w ith the acquisition of Morgan Stanley MF which has a m ajority of folios from the retail segment, says Barve s th e new y e a r begins, here is a th o u g h t th a t is p ro b a b ly upperm ost in th e m inds o f m utu a l fu n d managers and m a rke t strategists. W hen w ill the in d u s try s ta rt b u yin g again? In 2013, m utual fu nds sold stocks w o rth ? 2 2,0 00 crore. Fils, on the o th e r hand, have bo ug ht stocks w o rth ?1 4,0 00 crore. In d u s try executives have long com plained th a t red em ptions and th e slow do w n are fo rc in g th e m to sell and book p ro fits . But w ith some recent NFOs doing w ell, are th ing s changing now? Milind Barve heads th e co u n try's largest m utual fu nd, HDFC Asset M anagem ent. It re c e n tly p u rchased th e six schemes o f M organ Stanley Asset M anagem ent and B arve s a ys th e y w ere attracted by M organ's e q u ity fu nds and th e ir re ta il in ve sto r base. In an exclusive in te rv ie w to Biswajit Baruah and RSriram, Barve holds o u t a ra y o f hope fo r the in d u s try by say ing th a t re d em ptions are slow ing dow n. Edited excerpts: A What was the rational behind the acquisition of Morgan Stanley Mutual Fund? How do you think this acquisition will strengthen HDFC Mutual Fund’s business? The ra tio n a le behind acquiring M organ S ta nle y’s M utual Fund schemes was its open-ended e q u ity p o rtfo l io, w hich has an asset size o f a p p ro xim a te ly ?1,400 crore. It’s a sig n ifica n t am ount to acquire by cu rre n t in d u stry standards, and m o re o ve r m ost o f th e fo l ios are fro m th e re ta il segm ent. The assets under m anagem ent com prise o v e r 40% e q u ity com pared to an in d u stry average o f 20-22%. We expect to add a p p ro xim a te ly fo u r lakh new custom ers to o u rfu n d w ith th is a c q u is itio n . M organ Stanley w anted a fu nd house w hich can be a good hom e to th e ir u n it holders. They also w an ted a fu nd house th a t can act s w iftly and ta ke decisions q u ic kly in th e acquisition process. We have closed th e deal in record tim e. What are the key challenges mutual fund houses are facing in increasing the business, especially building an equity AUM? We have a p o sitiv e o u tlo o k on m arkets o v e r the m e d iu m -to -lo n g te rm . One o f th e challenges th e in du stry isfa cin g is fre s h e q u ity in flo w s in to m utual funds, w h ic h have been negative o v e rth e last 10 m onths. There has been an o u tflo w o f about ?1 0,0 00 cro re y e a r-to -d a te till N ovem ber 2013, but in the recent past it has been com ing dow n. H ow ever, th e to ta l m utual fu n d in d u s try assets are at an a ll-tim e high w ith ? 8 .90 lakh crore assets u n de r managem ent, as m ost o f th e flo w s have come in to liq u id funds. The concern is q u a lity in flo w s have not come in to e q u ity o r lo n g -d u ra tio n debt funds, th e y have come m a in ly in to liq u id funds. W hen you see negative in flo w s in to equ ity m a rkets, it re a lly is a re fle c tio n o f re ta il in ve sto rs ’ outlo o k o n the m arket. Retail investors, in general, have a v e ry sh o rt v ie w about e q u ity m arkets. They look at th e pe rform an ce o f th e im m ediate past, and e x tra p o la te it in to th e fu tu re , w h ic h m ay n o t a lw ays be the rig h t approach. d ON REALTY There wi 11be pai n in the real estate sector, there isd e fin ite ly oversupply in thecom m ercial space.... the challenge isto see com pletion o f projects on time. The pricing pow er is no longer w ith the developers. Bu it’s been historically proved that pricesdon’tta ke a b ig c u te ith e r. Deepak Parekh said that consolidation in the d ON CONSOLIDATION Post 2008, investors have leaned tow ards largerfund houses, especially tow ardstop 10 fund houses. In a way, m arket consolidation has been done by investors themselves. industry is inevitable with 44 mutual fund houses operating for the same pie of business. Do you share the same view? The to p fiv e fu n d houses c o n trib u te 50% to to ta l m utual fu nd in d u stry's AUM, a n d th e to p lO fu n d houses co n stitu te 80% o f th e to ta l in d u stry size. Very ofte n th e re is debate o f large versus sm all fund houses, but fa c t o f th e m a tte r is th a t custom ers are m a kin g th e choice. Post 2008, investors have leaned to w a rd s la rg e rfu n d houses, especially to w ards th e to p 10 fu n d houses. In a w ay, m a rke t conso lid a tio n has been done by investors them selves. HDFC as a brand is o u r biggest asset, com bined w ith good pe rform an ce and a vast d is trib u tio n ne tw o rk, becomes a fo rm id a b le com b in atio n. Are you open to more acquisitions of asset management companies (AMC), if it comes on your way? We are open to m ore acquisitions, bu t a tth e p re sent m om ent n o t m any sellers are com ing o u t in the open. If you look a tth e h is to ry o f th is in d u stry, no t m any deals have happened in th e past, considering th e num ber o f players op era tin g in th e sector. We have seen Fidelity, Morgan Stanley, Daiwa exit mutual fund business. Are Indian markets a difficult proposition for foreigners? Each o f the above named sellers has had its ow n reasons to e x it India. A t th e same tim e , w e have had a num ber o f global names w h o have bought large stakes in Indian AM C s.Therefore, it w ou ld no t be correct to generalise. Besides, w e have a gre at e x am ple o f Franklin Tem pleton, w hich has managed to b u ild a rob ust business in India. H aving said th a t, one cannot deny th a t post 20 0 8 th e re has been a preference by investors to w a rd s strong er local brands w hich is a na tura l phenom enon in m ost m arkets. Market regulator Sebi has expressed its discomfort over non-serious play ers in the mutual fund industry. What is your view? I th in k some o f th e sm aller fund houses have done good pro d u ct d iffe re n tia tio n , and w e should re spect th em fo r it. I d o n 't th in k sm all means nonserious. A t one p o in t o f tim e, ou r asset size was also ?3,0 0 0 -4 ,0 0 0 crore. Sebi has also expressed its dissatisfaction over the mutual fund industry not spreading beyond top cities. What steps have you taken to reach out to investors in tier-ll and -III cities? Liquid funds have assets under managem ent o f app ro xim a te ly ?2.40 lakh crore w hich comes fro m the to p cities, as corpo rate headquarters are situated in these cities. M utual funds are a push category and no t a pull product w he re people come and ask fo r schemes. The c o u n try ’s lite ra cy level is low, and in financial products lite ra cy level is even lower. We are ta k in g th e In ve sto r education and awareness in itia tiv e by Sebi v e ry serio usly to reach tie r-ll and tie r-III tow ns. It's a m onum ental ta s k fo r the industry , but I am sure w ith tim e and e ffo rt we w ill be able to achieve th is goal. An interesting trend has been observed in the markets. At the time when Fils have been big buyers into the market, mutual funds have turned net sellers. Are these redemption pressures or profit-booking? Yes, th e re have been red em ptions in th e industry. Most o f th e tim es w hen MFs sell, its due to red em ptio n s but at tim e s also to book p ro fits , ye a r-to -d a te o u tflo w s have been a p p ro xim a te ly ?10,00 0 crore in e q u ity fu n d s . C u rre n tly ,th e re isa v e ry high core la tio n betw een m a rk e ts p ik e s a n d redem ptions. In any particu lar m onth, w hen we see a sharp spike in m arkets, red em ptions escalate; on the o th e r hand, when m arkets are stable to negative, red e m p tio n s a re low er. Some of the leading fund managers are saying that Indian economy and corporate earnings have bottomed out and they expect a market rally up to the elections. What is your view? Most o f th e fin a n cia l ja rgon used by fu nd m anagers d o e s n o t mean m u c h to re ta il investors. Investors o n ly see past pe rform an ce o f th e ir funds. I th in k we should s triv e harde r to get custom ers to in ve st in m arkets w here th e re is s ig n ifica n t value. It’s human nature th oug h not to take risk, especially when p e rceived ris k is high. Retail in ve sto rs are no t as w ell in form ed as In s titu tio n a l investors. Do you think Indian markets have run ahead of the economy? In th e last ye a r o r so, m arkets have been v e ry edgy and have reacted sh a rp ly on n e w s flo w . H aving said th at, I w o n 't say th a t m arkets are c u rre n tly e x pensive, if you look at va lu a tio n s th e y are s till qu ite a ttra c tiv e , even th oug h th e y are tra d in g at an a lltim e high, its P/E m u ltip le is not at an a ll-tim e high and, in fact, below its lo n g -te rm average. We hope in ve sto rs w ou ld focus on th e sim ple concept o f low P/E investing. rftrr \_ J For full interview, log on to w w w .econom ictim es.com
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