The Current Demographic Characteristics of the South Asian Presence in Britain: an analysis of the results of the 2001 Census Roger Ballard Director Centre for Applied South Asian Studies University of Manchester 1 INTRODUCTION................................................................................................. 1 2 THE OVERALL DEMOGRAPHIC PICTURE ...................................................... 1 2.1 Bangladeshis in the UK.......................................................................................................................... 2 2.2 The Pakistanis......................................................................................................................................... 3 2.3 The Indians ............................................................................................................................................. 4 2.4 Indians, Pakistanis and Bangladeshis in Comparative Perspective................................................... 6 3 RELIGIOUS AFFILIATION IN THE UK .............................................................. 7 4 THE REGIONAL DISTRIBUTION OF THE SOUTH ASIAN PRESENCE .......... 9 4.1 The Indians and Pakistanis ................................................................................................................. 10 4.2 The Bangladeshis and the Chinese...................................................................................................... 10 4.3 Religious dimensions of spatial diversity within the Indian population .......................................... 11 4.4 The concentration South Asian communities in specific Local Authorities .................................... 12 5 WHAT CONCLUSIONS CAN BE DRAWN FROM ALL THIS?........................ 12 6 STATISTICAL APPENDICES........................................................................... 15 Tables Table 1 The Growth of the South Asian presence in the UK 1961 – 2001............................................. 1 Table 2 Percentage distribution of members of each ethnic group by religious affiliation.................... 7 Table 3 Percentage distribution of those affiliated to each major religion by ethnic group ................. 9 Table 4 Local authorities with highest percentage of Indian, Pakistani and Bangladeshi residents ... 13 Table 5 Regional Distribution of the Population of England and Wales by Ethnic Group .................. 15 Table 6 Relative size of the Ethnic Groups identified in the 2001 Census, by Region.......................... 15 Table 7 Regional distribution (%) of each of the Ethnic Groups identified in the 2001 Census .......... 16 Table 8 Regional Distribution of the South Asian population of England by Religion ........................ 16 Figures Figure 1 Age Distribution of Bangladeshi population of UK 2001 ........................................................ 2 Figure 2 Comparison between expected and actual UK Bangladeshi population in 2001 .................. 3 Figure 3 Age Distribution of Pakistani population of the UK 2001 ....................................................... 3 Figure 4 Comparison between expected and actual UK Pakistani population in 2001 ........................ 4 Figure 5 Age Distribution of the Indian population of the UK 2001...................................................... 5 Figure 6 Comparison between expected and actual UK Indian population in 2001............................ 5 Figure 7 Regional distribution of (i) the White and (ii) the Asian population....................................... 9 Figure 8 Regional distribution of (i) the Indian and (ii) the Pakistani population .............................. 10 Figure 9 Regional distribution of (i) the Bangladeshi and (ii) the Chinese population ....................... 11 Figure 10 Regional distribution of (i) the Indian Hindu and (ii) the Indian Sikh population ............. 11 Figure 11 Regional distribution of (i) the Indian Muslim and (ii) the Indian Christian population .... 12 The demographic characteristics of the South Asian presence in Britain 1 Introduction Not only does the decennial Census provide by far the most accurate source of statistical data on the population of the UK as a whole, but the exercise conducted in April 2001 included a significant additional dimension: all respondents were asked to identify their religious affiliation. The data so generated is particularly useful when it comes to the analysis of the social and demographic characteristics of Britain’s South Asian population because it allows us to further disaggregate the three ‘ethnic group’ categories introduced in the 1991 Census. Whilst our ability to divide this section of the population into three ethno-national categories – Indian, Pakistani and Bangladeshi – has undoubtedly been extremely helpful, it would be quite wrong to assume that any of these categories is internally homogeneous. In other words there was clear downside to the categories used in 1991: this simple tripartite division obscured all manner of highly significant patterns of regional, linguistic and religious variation within each such ‘group’. With this in mind the results of the 2001 Census not only update our existing knowledge of the demographic character of the South Asian presence in Britain by a further decade, but also to explore religious differentiation amongst its members in a reasonably systematic way. Hence this paper has three complementary objectives • • • 2 To present an overall account of the ethno-religious and demographic characteristics of Britain’s South Asian population as revealed by the most recent Census. To explore the differential spatial distribution of currently identifiable ethno-religious components this section of the population by region and by local authority within the UK. To provide a brief account of population dynamics of each of the currently identifiable ethno-religious components this section of the population by comparing the results of the 2001 Census with those of the 1991 exercise. The overall demographic picture As between 1991 and 2001, Britain’s South Asian population grew from a total of rather less than one and a half million to just over two million. This pattern of growth was particularly marked amongst the Bangladeshis – whose numbers grew by 74% during the decade – and the Pakistanis and the Pakistanis (57%). By contrast the Indian population grew by a considerably more modest rate of 24% during this period, whilst the population of UK as a whole was effectively stable. Ethno-national origins 1961 1971 1981 1991 2001 India Pakistan Bangladesh East Africa Total South Asian population 81,400 24,900 — — 106,300 240,730 127,565 — 44,860 413,155 673,704 295,461 64,562 181,321 1,215,048 823,821 449,646 157,881 — 1,431,348 1,028,539 706,752 275,250 — 2,010,541 2.52% 3.04% 4.00% % of South Asians in UK population 0.23% 0.85% Table 1 The Growth of the South Asian presence in the UK 1961 – 2001 2 Changes in population size in any given locality are the outcome of the combined impact of two processes: of differences between the number of births as opposed to deaths, and also as between in-migrants and out-migrants. Whilst the Census provides no direct measure of either of these processes, it is relatively easy establish their relative impact by examining population distributions across the age spectrum. In most relatively recently established migrant populations there is a marked skew towards the younger end of the age spectrum, and this most certainly applies in the case of the South Asian presence in Britain. 2.1 Bangladeshis in the UK This skew towards the youthful end of the spectrum is particularly dramatic in the case of the Bangladeshi population. There are two main reasons why this is so. Firstly Bengali migrants (the vast majority of whom are from Sylhet district) reunited their families in the UK much more tardily than did any other segment of the South Asian population; and secondly their fertility rate (>4.0) was and remains high. Hence even if there was no further immigration from Sylhet, the data in Figure 1 shows that for straightforward demographic reasons we can expect further rapid increases in this section of the population in years to come: if all the age cohorts up to the age of 70 or so come to include around 35,000 persons – as is to be expected if other factors remain equal – it follows that this population will eventually stabilise at around half a million. Such an estimate is based on two provisos: that fertility will in future be at a level no greater than replacement rate, and that the population will not be augmented by further immigration. Neither proviso currently holds good. Whilst fertility rates amongst Sylheti women do appear to be falling, they are still considerably higher than replacement rates; meanwhile further immigration from Bangladesh still proceeds apace. 40,000 35,000 30,000 Males 25,000 Females 20,000 15,000 10,000 5,000 0 0-4 5-9 10 14 15 19 20 24 25 29 30 34 35 39 40 44 45 49 50 54 Age Group 55 59 60 64 65 69 70 74 75 79 80 84 85 89 90 and over Figure 1 Age Distribution of Bangladeshi population of UK 2001 The extent to which population growth which has recently been precipitated by further immigration is illustrated in Figure 2, which compares the ‘expected’ Bangladeshi population in 2001 (i.e. the 1991 Census results ‘time shifted’ forward by a decade) with the population as actually observed in 2001. There is clearly an excess in every cohort up to the age of 50, and this grows particularly large in every cohort up to the age of 35. Given that ‘primary migration’ of adult male workers with no prior connection with the UK has long since come to a halt, the observed increase can be attributed to two main factors. Firstly to family reunion (especially in the case of those aged under 20 and over 40 in 1991); and secondly to the arrival of Sylheti-born spouses arriving to join their partners in the UK. The first source is by definition self-limiting; however as long as the latter trend continues, the arrival of further 3 settlers on the brink of fertility will necessarily precipitate a yet higher level of population growth. Given the combined impact of high (although now declining) levels of fertility in this section of the population, together with the continued inflow of immigrant spouses, it follows that the level at which the Bangladeshi population in the UK eventually stabilises is likely to be significantly in excess of half a million. 40,000 35,000 30,000 'Time shifted' 1991 Population 25,000 2001 Census data 20,000 15,000 10,000 5,000 04 59 10 14 15 19 20 24 25 29 30 34 35 39 40 44 45 49 50 54 55 59 60 64 65 69 Age group in 2001 70 74 75 79 80 84 85 89 e shifted' 1991 Population - 90+ Figure 2 Comparison between expected and actual UK Bangladeshi population in 2001 2.2 The Pakistanis The data set out in Figure 3 follow a very similar pattern to that displayed in Figure 1, except that this time the sharp drop-off in numbers does not begin until the 30-34 year old age cohort. This reflects the fact that family reunion amongst the Pakistanis became the norm at least a decade earlier than it did amongst the Bangladeshis, so in their case family reunion is now effectively complete. However the scale of the Pakistani presence in the UK is substantially larger, so if we perform the ‘other things being equal calculation’ for the Pakistanis, we arrive at predicted ultimate population size of around 1.2 million, provided that fertility rates fall to no more than replacement level, and that any excess of immigration of emigration is rapidly eliminated. 90,000 80,000 70,000 Males 60,000 Females 50,000 40,000 30,000 20,000 10,000 0-4 5-9 10 14 15 19 20 24 25 29 30 34 35 39 40 44 45 49 50 54 Age Group Figure 3 Age Distribution of Pakistani population of the UK 2001 55 59 60 64 65 69 70 74 75 79 80 84 85 89 90 and over 4 Accurate data about current levels of fertility within the UK South Asian population are hard to come by. However as far as I have been able to determine whilst fertility rates amongst Pakistanis in the UK are now running at a lower level than in Pakistan (where they reach one of the highest levels in the contemporary world), the speed with which fertility rates amongst UK-based Pakistanis are declining is less sharp than amongst their Bangladeshi counterparts. If so, raised levels of fertility amongst Pakistani women can be expected continue to boost population growth in this section of the South Asian population at least for the immediate future. Nor is that all: there are good reasons to suppose that an excess of immigration over emigration will further reinforce this trend for some time to come. 90,000 80,000 70,000 'Time shifted' 1991 Population 60,000 2001 Census data 50,000 40,000 30,000 20,000 04 59 10 14 15 19 20 24 25 29 30 34 35 39 Age group in 2001 40 44 45 49 50 54 55 59 60 64 65 69 70 74 75 79 80 84 85 89 90+ e shifted' 1991 Population 10,000 Figure 4 Comparison between expected and actual UK Pakistani population in 2001 Whilst pattern which emerges in Figure 4 may appear at first glance to be very similar to that in Figure 2, close inspection reveals some significant differences. Whilst the ‘population excess’ is particularly strongly marked 25-29 and 30-34 age cohorts, it falls off amongst school-age cohorts, as well as amongst the over forties. This reflects the high frequency with which young people based in the UK are marrying Pakistan-based spouses. This preference, particularly if it continues, can once again be expected to add significantly to long-term population growth. 2.3 The Indians As even the most cursory glance at Figure 5 will confirm, the demographic characteristics of the Indian population differ strikingly from those we have noted amongst the Pakistanis and Bangladeshis. Nevertheless begin by noting the parallels before exploring the differences. One parallel is clear enough: the sharp decline in numbers towards the upper end of the age spectrum. Whilst this is precisely what we should expect to find in the case of a relatively recently settled immigrant population, the effect is rather less marked amongst the Indians. Firstly a substantial proportion of the Indian population found its way to the UK by way of East Africa, and given that they also arrived as refugees from Africanisation, many arrived in the UK as complete families, rather than as young male workers seeking to establish a foothold on their own account. Secondly direct migrants from India brought their wives and children to join them in the UK much more rapidly than did their Indian and Pakistani counterparts. The result is plain to see: amongst the Indians, even the retiree age cohorts have 5 begun to be significantly populated – in sharp contrast to current patterns amongst the Pakistanis and Bangladeshis. 120,000 Males 100,000 Females 80,000 60,000 40,000 20,000 0 0-4 5-9 10 14 15 19 20 24 25 29 30 34 35 39 40 44 45 49 50 54 55 59 60 64 65 69 70 74 75 79 80 84 85 89 Age Group 90 and over Figure 5 Age Distribution of the Indian population of the UK 2001 But whilst there are manifest parallels across the board at the upper end of the age spectrum, the steady decline in the scale of the age cohorts at the younger end of the scale amongst the Indians stands in exceptionally sharp contrast to the patterns which we have examined so far. How, then, is this to be explained? Whilst there are now strong indications that levels of fertility amongst Indian women are currently in sharp decline, just as they are amongst the Chinese, that is by no means the whole picture, as a careful consideration of the patterns in Figure 6 reveal. 100,000 90,000 'Time shifted' 1991 Population 80,000 70,000 2001 Census data 60,000 50,000 40,000 30,000 20,000 10,000 04 59 10 14 15 19 20 24 25 29 30 34 35 39 Age group in 2001 40 44 45 49 50 54 55 59 60 64 65 69 70 74 75 79 80 84 85 89 90+ Figure 6 Comparison between expected and actual UK Indian population in 2001 Two features stand out in Figure 6. Firstly the familiar pattern of population excess is now much more tightly concentrated in the age-cohorts between 20 and 39, and secondly the histograms reveals a deficiency as between the observed and expected population in all age cohorts greater than 55. Whilst part of this deficiency can undoubtedly be explained in terms of the natural cull of mortality, my own first-hand observations of developments within UK resident Indians’ families, together with a comparison of the results of the 1981 and 1991 Census, suggest that these unexpected patterns are the consequence a further highly 6 significant development: namely that in many parts of the age spectrum the level of emigration from the UK amongst ethnic Indians now exceeds the volume of immigration. But if that is the case, to what destination are such onward migrants departing? Putting together qualitative data from a variety of sources (for I have not been able to identify source which would provide a reliable quantitative means of measuring this outflow) I would suggest that the outflow is two-fold. Whilst a small number of elderly settlers have undoubtedly begun to fulfil their long-cherished dreams of returning to Gujarat or Punjab to enjoy their years of retirement, this ‘back-home’ outflow has clearly been dwarfed into insignificance by an onward movement across the Atlantic to the United States and Canada. The driving force behind this movement is quite clear. Not only do transnational networks provide a direct link with settlers of similar regional and caste origins as themselves who have taken up residence in North America, but members of the younger British-educated generation are becoming increasingly aware that professional salaries in the US and Canada are considerably higher than those in the UK, whilst the handicaps imposed by the constraints of ethnic exclusionism are considerably less severe. As has already been indicated, there currently appears to be no way of making an accurate estimate of the scale of this outflow. However if my own rule of thumb of 10,000 per annum is anywhere near the mark, the annual departure of such a large number of people will undoubtedly have had a far-reaching impact on the demographic characteristics of the UK’s Indian population, even if it has been roughly matched – at least in terms of overall numbers – by a parallel inflow from India. But even though continued immigration may consequently be no less significant amongst the Indians than amongst the Pakistanis and Bangladeshis, there are good reasons to suppose that it is now rather different in character. In their case the process of family reunion has long since been complete, and their proclivity to recruit spouses from South Asia is now very much lower than amongst their Pakistani and Bangladeshi counterparts. This appears to leave two further possible sources of population growth. Firstly a substantial increase in the number of illegitimate entrants whose status has been regularised, and secondly an even more substantial rise in the inflow of newcomers whose professional qualifications were such that they were granted leave to remain without demur. As should by now be obvious, the Census only reports observed outcomes. However accurate this data may be, the figures provide no direct explanation of how these outcomes came about. Hence a more informed analysis of the demographic characteristics of the Indian population – as well of its likely patterns of future growth – will have to wait on the availability of better data than is currently available. 2.4 Indians, Pakistanis and Bangladeshis in Comparative Perspective Nevertheless there is one point which the results of the 2001 Census very clearly confirm: the Indian, Pakistani and Bangladeshi components of Britain’s South Asian populations differ from one another in all sorts of very significant ways. Moreover since the founding members of all three populations arrived in the UK more than half a century ago, we are now far enough down the track to be reasonably confident that these patterns of differentiation are likely to be a permanent feature of the South Asian presence in the UK. This is certainly not to suggest that currently observable trends are fixed in stone, such that they can used to make confident extrapolations into the far-distant future; however it is to insist that there are good reasons to expect that members of each of the many distinct groups of which the South Asian presence is composed can be expected to follow their own distinctive trajectories of 7 adaptation, and that their convergence into a singly homogeneous pan-Asian patterns of behaviour is consequently most unlikely. With this in mind it is worth remembering that whilst the labels Indian, Pakistani and Bangladeshi are undoubtedly helpful at the first level of approximation, these categories are by definition artefacts of the questions posed in the Census itself. Even if they are indeed ‘pretty good approximations’, and hence a great deal better than nothing, such homogenising categories frequently obscure a great deal of highly significant internal differentiation. Of the three, the category Bangladeshi is by far the most homogeneous, if only because the overwhelming majority of those who fall within it are not only Muslims by religion, but originate from specific parts of Sylhet District in the far north-west of Bangladesh. By contrast members of UK’s Pakistani population are drawn from several spatially, linguistically and culturally distinctive regions, whilst in the Indian case religious differences add a further dimension to all these forms of differentiation. Whilst the Census questions have as yet not provided respondents with an opportunity identify themselves in terms of their linguistic heritage (which is also an excellent proxy for regional origins) the 2001 Census has at least provided us with an opportunity to explore the religious affiliations of all Census respondents, and hence to cross-reference the South Asian data in terms of both ethnic and religious variables. 3 Religious affiliation in the UK By its very nature the Religion question has generated just as complex data sets as those generated by the Ethnic Group question, and the outcome becomes yet more complex when the Religion and Ethnic Group variables are themselves cross-referenced (see Tables 5 - 8 in the statistical appendix). We therefore need to approach the data step by step if we are not to get lost in its intricacies. White Indian Pakistani Bangladeshi Other Asian Mixed Asian Black Caribbean Mixed Caribbean Black African Mixed African Chinese Christian 75.7 4.9 1.1 0.5 13.4 44.0 73.8 60.7 68.9 56.4 57.4 Jewish 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.1 Buddhist 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.1 4.8 1.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.6 40.2 Muslim 0.4 12.7 92.0 92.5 37.3 16.1 0.8 0.6 20.0 13.3 0.9 Hindu 0.0 45.0 0.1 0.6 26.8 1.9 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 Sikh 0.0 29.1 0.0 0.0 6.2 1.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 Others, none, not stated 23.3 8.1 6.7 6.3 11.1 35.6 24.9 38.2 10.7 29.2 1.1 Table 2 Percentage distribution of members of each ethnic group by religious affiliation In this respect Table 2 is quite straightforward: it merely cross-references Religion against Ethnic Group in the population as a whole. As most observers would no doubt have expected, members of the White majority overwhelmingly identified themselves as Christian, or failing that answered the question in such a way as to fall into the final unspecific column; very small minorities (less than 1% in each case) identified themselves as Jewish, Muslim or Buddhist. Turning next to the three major South Asian ethnic categories, it is worth noting that in comparison with members of the indigenous majority, a far lower proportion of British South Asians are uncertain and/or unconcerned about their religious affiliation. Amongst 8 other things this serves to suggest that in diaspora no less than in South Asia itself, religion is still remains just as important a vehicle for collective identification as does (culturally grounded) ethnicity. Stepping down a level to look at specific patterns of differentiation within each ethnic category, Hindus are clearly the predominant group amongst the Indians, since they make up just under half of the total, followed by the Sikhs at just under a third. However what the Census reveals for the first time is that 12.7% of the British Indian population are Muslims. By way of commentary it is worth mentioning that my experience suggests that the historical roots of the great majority of Indian Muslims in the UK lie in Gujarat, and also that a very large proportion of them made their way to the UK via East Africa. Last but not least the Census also reveals the presence of a small Christian minority amongst the Indians. By contrast with Britain’s Indian population, both the Pakistanis and the Bangladeshis are far more religiously homogeneous: in each case 92% identified themselves as Muslim. To be sure the presence of Christian, Hindu and Buddhist minorities within their midst should not be overlooked, but the scale of that presence is so small that it hardly even provides a leaven to what are otherwise appear to be completely homogeneous population categories. Nevertheless it should never be forgotten that Census data is by definition an artefact of the questions asked, and consequently the appearance of homogeneity can easily be far more apparent than real. Hence whilst it is well known that the Pakistani social order is currently riven by severe tensions between Sunnis and Shi’as, and that amongst the Sunnis tensions between followers of the relatively laid-back Barelwi tradition and the much more authoritarian Deobandis are escalating almost by the day, the Census is entirely silent on such matters. Similarly because the Census made no efforts to differentiate between the regional components of the Pakistani presence (e.g. Punjabis, Pothoharis and Pathans), its results cannot shed any light on these increasingly important sources of differentiation within what the data represents as a nominally homogeneous ‘Pakistani’ ethnic category. However as we saw earlier, this caveat applies much less strongly to the Bangladeshis. At least as afar as I am aware, the overwhelming majority of Bangladeshis in the UK hail from a restricted number of Thanas lining the Kushyara and Surma rivers in the central parts of Sylhet District. Whilst I have included the remainder of the data set out in Table 2 largely for interest’s sake, it is nevertheless worth commenting on some further issues which are of relevance in this context. In the first place the spread of data associated with ‘Other Asians’ suggests that a significant proportion of those who identified themselves in this way are probably of South Asian ancestry. However since both ‘Other’ and ‘Mixed’ are necessarily rag-bag categories, once can never be certain about any such estimates. With this caveat in mind, the fact that 16.1% of those who identified themselves as being of mixed White and Asian ancestry also identified themselves as Muslim may indicate that a higher proportion of Muslim immigrants have had children with White partners than is or was is the case amongst Hindus and Sikhs. Despite great deal of effort on the part of ONS to explore the extent of ethnic admixture, the Census is an extremely blunt instrument on the basis of which to seek to explore such matters. As for the remainder of the ethnic groups identified in the Census, all but the Black Africans and the Chinese display high levels of affiliation to Christianity; but whilst the Black Africans display a moderate level of commitment to Islam, the Chinese display almost as high a level of commitment to the Buddhist tradition as they do to Christianity. However as well as looking at the proportion of followers of different religious traditions found within any given ethnic tradition, it is equally illuminating to consider the ways in 9 which the followers of any given religious traditions are distributed by ethnicity – as I have done in the figures set out in Table 3. The patterns revealed in first two columns are very straightforward: in statistical terms the vast majority of Christians and Jews in the UK are members of the White majority. Turning next to followers of the Buddhist tradition in the UK, rather more than a third are drawn from the white majority, and just under a quarter are Chinese; only a tiny proportion of South Asians identified themselves as Buddhists. White Indian Pakistani Bangladeshi Other Asian Mixed Asian Black Caribbean Mixed Caribbean Black African Mixed African Chinese Christian 96.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 1.1 0.4 0.9 0.1 0.1 Jewish 96.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 Buddhist 38.8 1.3 0.1 0.1 8.1 1.3 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.3 23.7 Muslim 11.6 8.5 42.5 16.8 5.8 2.0 0.3 0.1 6.2 0.7 0.0 Hindu 1.3 84.5 0.1 0.3 11.7 0.6 0.3 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 Sikh 2.1 91.5 0.1 0.0 4.6 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 Table 3 Percentage distribution of those affiliated to each major religion by ethnic group However what is also striking is the of all the religious traditions identified by the Census, UK’s Muslim population displays by far the largest degree of ethnic diversity, since its followers make a significant showing in every row in Table 3. By contrast the Hindus, and even more so the Sikhs, are overwhelmingly concentrated amongst those who identified their ethnicity as Indian. 4 The Regional Distribution of the South Asian presence Over an above these complex patterns of internal diversity, the South Asian presence in Britain is very far from being homogeneously distributed across the UK in spatial terms. Whilst I have set out the numerical data which indicates both the extent and the character of these diversities in Appendix 1, it is always extremely difficult to make much sense of what is going on in the midst of such complex numerical matrices. Hence in the interests of clarifying my exegesis the argument that follows takes the form of a commentary on a series of graphical representations of the patterns which can be derived from this data. Inner London, 1,396,753, 3% Outer London, 2,891,108, 6% South East, 7,304,678, 17% Wales, 2,786,605, 6% South West, 4,701,602, 10% North East, 2,425,592, 5% East of England, 4,927,343, 11% Wales, 21,984, 1% South West, 27,939, 1% Inner London, 257,344, 13% Outer London, 476,291, 24% North West, 6,203,043, 14% Yorkshire and Humberside, 4,551,394, 10% East of England, 108,328, 5% North West, 215,190, 11% West Midlands, 4,537,892, 10% East Midlands, 3,807,731, 8% North East, 30,397, 1% Yorkshire and Humberside, 210,153, 10% East Midlands, 157,098, 8% South East, 163,097, 8% Figure 7 Regional distribution of (i) the White and (ii) the Asian population West Midlands, 364,642, 18% 10 As the Pie charts in Figure 7 clearly demonstrate, the residential pattern of the Asian population at large still differs strikingly from that found amongst the White majority: the Asian population (in the right hand chart) is disproportionately heavily concentrated in London (both inner and outer) and in the West Midlands, whilst being even more markedly under-represented in Wales, the South West and the North East. This pattern of spatial distribution is of long standing, and very largely reflects the way in which the demand for additional labour was disproportionately concentrated in London and the industrial centres of the West Midlands during the period when mass migration was taking place the best part of forty years ago. However just as has been observed with respect to demographic issues, patterns of spatial distribution also differ quite markedly as between different sub-sections of the South Asian presence. 4.1 The Indians and Pakistanis Wales, 8,261, 1% Inner London, 85,471, 8% South West, 16,394, 2% North East, 10,156, 1% East of England, 51,035, 5% North West, 72,219, 7% Outer London, 351,522, 33% South East, 89,219, 9% Yorkshire and Humberside, 51,493, 5% Wales, 8,287, 1% Inner London, 43,559, 6% South West, 6,729, 1% Outer London, 99,190, 14% North West, 116,968, 16% South East, 58,520, 8% East Midlands, 122,346, 12% West Midlands, 178,691, 17% North East, 14,074, 2% East of England, 38,790, 5% Yorkshire and Humberside, 146,330, 20% West Midlands, 154,550, 23% East Midlands, 27,829, 4% Figure 8 Regional distribution of (i) the Indian and (ii) the Pakistani population Given that between them the Indians and Pakistanis make up by far the greater part of the South Asian presence in Britain, it is worth beginning our exploration of internal diversity by considering the differences between them. As the charts in Figure 8 reveal, these are very substantial, for whilst the Indian population is much more heavily represented London, and especially in outer London, as well as the east Midlands, Pakistanis are disprortionately concentrated in the West Midlands, in Yorkshire and Humberside and the North West. Once again this makes historical sense: when mass migration was at its peak Pakistanis – and most especially those from Mirpur – displayed a disproportionate tendency to seek employment in heavy engineering factories in the West Midlands, as well as in the textile towns on both sides of the Pennines. Meanwhile the salience of the Indian presence in the East Midlands is best understood as a consequence of the ‘Leicester phenomenon’, which will be discussed in further detail later. 4.2 The Bangladeshis and the Chinese The Bangladeshis display a different pattern yet again, with almost half their numbers concentrated in inner London, where they are yet further concentrated – as we shall see later – in the Borough of Tower Hamlets. Yet despite their current heavy concentration in a single location, there are good reasons to suppose that the Bangladeshis are in some respects one of the most spatially mobile components of the South Asian presence in Britain. If a similar mapping exercise had been carried out in the 1960s and 70s, the Bangladeshis would have shown up much more prominently in the same areas into which the Pakistanis were then moving in such numbers – the West Midlands and the Pennine region. But when the recession struck in the early 1980s a large proportion of the men who had settled in these areas moved down to rejoin the Sylheti ethnic colony in Tower Hamlets. Accomodation in 11 the area was extremely tight (but as single men, that didn’t matter too much, they simply shared) but jobs were still relatively plentiful. Wales, 5,436, 2% Inner London, 128,314, 47% South West, 4,816, 2% Wales, 6,267, 3% North East, 6,167, 2% East of England, 18,503, 7% South West, 12,722, 6% North East, 6,048, 3% Inner London, 38,918, 17% East of England, 20,385, 9% North West, 26,003, 9% Yorkshire and Humberside, 12,330, 4% Outer London, 41,283, 17% North West, 26,887, 12% Yorkshire and Humberside, 12,340, 5% East Midlands, 6,923, 2% West Midlands, 31,401, 11% Outer London, 25,579, 9% South East, 15,358, 5% East Midlands, 12,910, 6% South East, 33,089, 15% West Midlands, 16,099, 7% Figure 9 Regional distribution of (i) the Bangladeshi and (ii) the Chinese population But if industrial recession in the north precipitated a substantial rush south during the 1980s, the steady expansion of the Indian restaurant trade – which is very largely owned and manned by Sylhetis – has had, as might be expected, quite the opposite effect. The other major group of ethnic restaurateurs in the UK are the Chinese, and as Figure 9 (ii) shows, they display the least degree of out-of-the-ordinary spatial concentration of all of Britain’s minorities. In my view the reasons for this is quite straightforward: it is not so much that the Chinese are committed assimilationists, but in the process of filling up all the available niches in the market they have spread out relatively evenly across the length and breadth of the UK. If one loks carefully at Figure 9 (i) from this perspective, there are signs that the Bangladeshis have already begun to follow in their footsteps. 4.3 Religious dimensions of spatial diversity within the Indian population If the three members of the ethno-national components of the South Asian population are spatially distributed around the UK’s major regions in strikingly varied way, the opportunity to disaggregate the Indian population which the 2001 Census has made available reveals some even more striking variations. Whilst Figure 10 (i) shows that amongst Britain’s Indians, the Hindu population is disproportionately concentrated in Outer London, and to a slightly lesser extent in the East Midlands. By contrast the Sikhs are disproportionately concentrated in the West Midlands, whilst also making a significant showing in Yorkshire and Humberside. SouthWest, 6,672 , 1% Inner London, 39,452 , 9% SouthWest, 3,880 , 1% North East, 3,831 , 1% East of England, 26,701 , 6% North East, 4,376 , 1% Inner London, 12,615 , 4% North West, 24,769 , Outer London, 82,558 5% , 28% Yorks and Humberside, 13,901 3% Outer London, 194,565 , 42% South East, 36,219 , 8% Yorks and Humberside, 17,055 , 6% East Midlands, 30,348 , 10% East Midlands, 63,014 , 14% West Midlands, 52,973 , 11% East of England, 11,981 , 4% North West, 5,343 , 2% South East, 34,601 , 12% Figure 10 Regional distribution of (i) the Indian Hindu and (ii) the Indian Sikh population West Midlands, 96,960 , 32% 12 Turning to Figure 11 (i) we encounter yet another pattern, since over a quarter of Britain’s Indian Muslim population turn out to be living in the North West of England, so much so that they make up half of the region’s Indian population; and whilst significantly less well represented in London than other components of the Indian population, they also show up strongly in the East Midlands. SouthWest, 2,293 , 2% Inner London, 16,757 , 13% Outer London, 23,740 , 18% South East, 3,443 , 3% West Midlands, 10,775 , 8% North East, 406 , 0% East of England, 3,141 , 2% North West, 34,994 , 27% SouthWest, 1,735 , 3% Inner London, 7,154 , 14% North East, 644 , 1% East of England, 3,966 , 8% North West, 1,966 , 4% Yorks and Humberside, 1,437 , 3% East Midlands, 2,203 , 4% West Midlands, 4,690 , 9% Yorks and Humberside, 15,499 , 12% East Midlands, 20,050 , 15% Outer London, 18,642 , 38% South East, 7,439 , 16% Figure 11 Regional distribution of (i) the Indian Muslim and (ii) the Indian Christian population For the sake of completeness I have also taken the opportunity to set out the data for the spatial distribution of the Indian Christians in Figure 11 (ii), whose patterns of residence is not greatly dissimilar to that found amongst the Sikhs, but for a considerably heavier degree of concentration in Outer London. A considerable degree of congruence between the two groups makes a great deal of intuitive sense: both populations are overwhelmingly drawn from the Jullundur Doab region in Indian Punjab, but whilst the Sikhs are overwhelmingly drawn from families whose ancestral occupations were either as farmers or Craftsmen, the majority of the majority of Christian converts were drawn from so-called ‘untouchable’ castes whose members principal occupation was as landless day-labourers for Sikh farmers. Parallel streams of chain migration ensured that members of both groups tended to settle down at similar destinations once they reached the UK. 4.4 The concentration South Asian communities in specific Local Authorities As should by now be quite clear, the further one disaggregates the Census data on Britain’s minority populations, the more diversity one discovers: this tendency continues right down to the smallest unit if analysis deployed in the Census, the electoral ward. The reasons for this are quite obvious. In a plural society it follows that members of specific communities will tend cluster together in residential terms at every level of analysis, so much so that mapping exercises become an ever more complex task the finer the degree of resolution one brings to the task. Hence by way of conclusion I have approached the issue from the other end of the telescope. Table 4 simply lists the 30 English Local Authorities in which Indians, Pakistanis and Bangladeshis form the highest proportion of the local population. Whilst it would be easy enough to extend the list by providing the figures for all the remaining 120 Authorities. However by aim in this report has been to provide a judicious selection of figures from the huge quantities of data which the 2001 Census – just like all its predecessors – has thrown up. 5 What conclusions can be drawn from all this? In my view the most obvious conclusion to be drawn from this initial examination of the Data is that the strategies of adaptation being pursued by different component of the South Asian presence in Britain remain so diverse that each must still be understood on its own terms. 13 Hence if one considers the Local Authorities which appear in the upper regions of Table 4, it is swiftly apparent that they have little in common beyond playing host to a substantial South Asian. Whilst all are urban, they are located in the North and South as well as the Midlands; whilst some are prosperous, others poverty-stricken; some are heavily industrialised, others are not. Indians Local Authority Pakistanis % of local population Local Authority Bangladeshis % of local population Local Authority % of local population Leicester 25.73 Bradford 14.54 Tower Hamlets 33.43 Harrow 21.91 Slough 12.06 Newham 8.80 Brent 18.46 Birmingham 10.65 Camden 6.35 Hounslow 17.34 Luton 9.23 Oldham 4.52 Ealing 16.53 Blackburn 8.74 Luton 4.14 Slough 14.04 Newham 8.46 City of London 3.84 Redbridge 13.96 Waltham Forest 7.92 Hackney 2.94 Wolverhampton 12.32 Rochdale 7.71 Westminster 2.76 Newham 12.14 Kirklees 6.83 Islington 2.41 Blackburn 10.66 Oldham 6.33 Birmingham 2.13 Hillingdon 9.56 Redbridge 6.24 Redbridge 1.77 Sandwell 9.14 Manchester 5.88 Southwark 1.49 Barnet 8.62 Calderdale 4.91 Haringey 1.37 Coventry 8.04 Peterborough 4.47 Portsmouth 1.35 Croydon 6.43 Hounslow 4.30 Enfield 1.29 Bolton 6.08 Brent 4.03 Rochdale 1.26 Birmingham 5.71 Derby 3.96 Sandwell 1.21 Walsall 5.43 Ealing 3.75 Tameside 1.17 Greenwich 4.38 Walsall 3.68 Bradford 1.06 Merton 4.28 Nottingham 3.64 Newcastle 1.00 Luton 4.09 Middlesbrough 3.59 Waltham Forest 0.99 Kirklees 4.07 Buckinghamshire 3.14 Walsall 0.99 Enfield 3.98 Sheffield 3.09 Manchester 0.93 Derby 3.84 Bury 3.04 Merton 0.91 Hackney 3.76 Sandwell 2.95 Lambeth 0.81 Kingston on Thames 3.61 Reading 2.68 Kensington and Chelsea 0.72 Waltham Forest 3.51 Stoke-on-Trent 2.64 Leicester 0.69 Westminster 3.12 Bolton 2.49 North Lincolnshire 0.67 Leicestershire 3.04 Merton 2.40 Hammersmith and Fulham 0.61 Table 4 Local authorities with highest percentage of Indian, Pakistani and Bangladeshi residents If, however we turn the picture around to explore these mysterious patterns of distribution from the migrants’ perspective, the reasons for the location of these ‘hotspots’ spring into focus: they still reflect the points at which pioneer migrants established their initial bridgeheads when they first arrived in Britain half a century or more ago. Sylheti seamen’s cafés on the London dockside led to the settlement in Tower Hamlets; Pakistani seamen 14 drafted to work in wartime munitions factories led to the settlements in Birmingham and Bradford; Gujaratis who had moved directly from India to establish themselves in Leicester became a magnet for further settlement when their relatives who had emigrated to East Africa found themselves faced with expulsion; Wolf’s Rubber factory in Southall precipitated the initial Sikh settlement in Ealing, whilst Punjabi Pakistanis took jobs on the Mars Bar production lines just down the road in Slough – and so on and so forth. In matters of migration, history invariably casts a very long shadow. Moreover the effects of this kind if ethno-specific networking can be observed in many other spheres of activity. Whilst commitment to the family’s ancestral home base invariably fades sharply amongst those born overseas, it takes well over half a century for the first generation of migrants to pass away. So until that occurs every such network will contain a powerful constituency of elders with a strong sense of commitment to their overseas roots. However those roots are rarely, if even, conceived of as lying in grand and abstract edifices such as ‘India’, Pakistan’ and ‘Bangladesh’: rather they are much more tightly focused on their families, villages and regions of origin, with the result that developments in Kashmir, Punjab, Gujarat and Sylhet (as the case may be) usually mark the outer limits of their emotional concerns. Hence Godhra and its aftermath matters greatly to Gujaratis, but is little known to others; Operation Bluestar is still etched in the minds of Indian Punjabis, as is the consequences of the construction of Mangla Dam for the Mirpuris, so much so that it is one of the principal reasons why they now prefer to identify themselves as Kashmiri. It is also worth remembering that such concerns are less parochial than they seem: it is only the vast scale of the nation-states into which post-Imperial India crystallised that renders these loyalties ‘regional’ rather than ‘national’. However once all this is borne in mind they throw new perspective on developments in the UK: the observation the grassroots tensions between Hindus and Muslims are currently particularly intense in South Asian settlements up and down the Ribble valley comes as less surprise when we realise that this is in substantial part a Gujarati phenomenon. In just the same vein Pakistanis from Mirpur tend to have very different views on the ways in which the Kashmir dispute should be resolved as compared with those favoured by their Punjabi fellow countrymen. But it is not just with respect to issues and developments in South Asia that members of each of these many networks display differing perspectives and priorities. The same is true with respect to members of these many networks responses to the patterns of opportunities and obstacles which they have encountered in the UK. Although such matters are beyond the scope of this Report, the results of the Census also serve to confirm that different components of the South Asian population are continuing to pursue ever more divergent strategies of adaptation and mobility in every observable sphere of socio-economic activity. To turn the kaleidoscope one last time, lists such as those set out in Table 4 certainly provide a convenient means of identifying those Local Authorities in which ethnic plurality stands out with particular prominence, and hence the localities in which the challenges to social policy thrown up by these developments stand in most urgent need of examination and resolution. However as this paper has repeatedly emphasised, our current condition of plurality is anything but uni-dimensional. If one’s sole yardstick of comparison is grounded in the premises of the white majority, all South Asians may appear to have a great deal in common; however a less myopic inspection of current developments swiftly reveals South Asians differ amongst themselves quite as much as they do with respect to their non-South Asian fellow citizens. In these circumstances one size will most certainly not fit all. 15 6 Statistical Appendices White British White Irish White Other 5,996 2,413 White/ Asian Other mixed 5,001 4,251 Indian 8,261 Pakistani Bangla deshi 8,287 5,436 Other Asian 3,464 Carib bean 2,597 Black African 3,727 Other Black 745 Chinese 6,267 Other 2,786,605 North East 2,425,592 8,682 21,142 2,783 1,741 4,733 2,971 10,156 14,074 6,167 3,185 927 2,597 429 6,048 4,215 North West 6,203,043 77,499 74,953 22,119 9,853 17,223 13,344 72,219 116,968 26,003 14,685 20,422 15,912 5,303 26,887 13,331 West Midlands Yorks and Humberside 4,537,892 73,136 63,268 39,782 3,683 18,160 11,600 178,691 154,550 31,401 20,931 82,282 11,985 9,765 16,099 14,083 4,551,394 32,735 57,134 18,187 4,094 14,218 8,496 51,493 146,330 12,330 12,333 21,308 9,625 3,329 12,340 9,487 East of England 4,927,343 61,208 136,452 19,882 6,109 17,385 14,608 51,035 38,790 18,503 13,424 26,199 16,968 5,297 20,385 14,552 East Midlands 3,807,731 35,478 57,171 20,658 3,426 11,176 7,881 122,346 27,829 6,923 11,815 26,684 9,165 3,628 12,910 7,353 South East 7,304,678 82,405 221,906 23,742 9,493 29,977 22,567 89,219 58,520 15,358 23,518 27,452 24,582 4,880 33,089 29,259 Outer London 2,891,108 127,324 268,166 35,073 15,847 36,293 31,192 351,522 99,190 25,579 96,041 153,576 150,242 24,581 41,283 58,960 South West 4,701,602 32,484 81,230 13,343 3,917 11,198 8,913 16,394 6,729 4,816 4,861 12,405 6,171 2,344 12,722 9,305 All regions 37,211 White/ Black African Wales Inner London 17,689 White/ Caribbean 5,135 1,396,753 93,164 326,688 35,855 18,335 23,651 29,865 85,471 43,559 128,314 37,017 189,991 228,691 35,768 38,918 54,074 45,533,741 641,804 1,345,321 237,420 78,911 189,015 155,688 1,036,807 714,826 280,830 241,274 563,843 479,665 96,069 226,948 219,754 Table 5 Regional Distribution of the Population of England and Wales by Ethnic Group White British White Irish White Other White/ Caribbean White/ Black African White/ Asian Other mixed Indian Pakistani Bangla deshi Other Asian Carib bean Black African Other Black Chinese Other Wales 95.99 0.61 1.28 0.21 0.08 0.17 0.15 0.28 0.29 0.19 0.12 0.09 0.13 0.03 0.22 0.18 North East 96.43 0.35 0.84 0.11 0.07 0.19 0.12 0.40 0.56 0.25 0.13 0.04 0.10 0.02 0.24 0.17 North West 92.17 1.15 1.11 0.33 0.15 0.26 0.20 1.07 1.74 0.39 0.22 0.30 0.24 0.08 0.40 0.20 West Midlands Yorkshire and Humberside 86.15 1.39 1.20 0.76 0.07 0.34 0.22 3.39 2.93 0.60 0.40 1.56 0.23 0.19 0.31 0.27 91.67 0.66 1.15 0.37 0.08 0.29 0.17 1.04 2.95 0.25 0.25 0.43 0.19 0.07 0.25 0.19 East of England 91.45 1.14 2.53 0.37 0.11 0.32 0.27 0.95 0.72 0.34 0.25 0.49 0.31 0.10 0.38 0.27 East Midlands 91.26 0.85 1.37 0.50 0.08 0.27 0.19 2.93 0.67 0.17 0.28 0.64 0.22 0.09 0.31 0.18 South East 91.30 1.03 2.77 0.30 0.12 0.37 0.28 1.12 0.73 0.19 0.29 0.34 0.31 0.06 0.41 0.37 Outer London 65.62 2.89 6.09 0.80 0.36 0.82 0.71 7.98 2.25 0.58 2.18 3.49 3.41 0.56 0.94 1.34 South West 95.40 0.66 1.65 0.27 0.08 0.23 0.18 0.33 0.14 0.10 0.10 0.25 0.13 0.05 0.26 0.19 Inner London 50.50 3.37 11.81 1.30 0.66 0.86 1.08 3.09 1.57 4.64 1.34 6.87 8.27 1.29 1.41 1.95 All regions 87.49 1.23 2.59 0.46 0.15 0.36 0.30 1.99 1.37 0.54 0.46 1.08 0.92 0.18 0.44 0.42 Table 6 Relative size of the Ethnic Groups identified in the 2001 Census, by Region 16 White British White Irish White Other White/ Caribbean White/ Black African White/ Asian Other mixed Indian Pakistani Bangla deshi Other Asian Carib bean Black African Other Black Chinese Other Wales 6.12 2.76 2.77 2.53 3.06 2.65 2.73 0.80 1.16 1.94 1.44 0.46 0.78 0.78 2.76 North East 5.33 1.35 1.57 1.17 2.21 2.50 1.91 0.98 1.97 2.20 1.32 0.16 0.54 0.45 2.66 1.92 North West 13.62 12.08 5.57 9.32 12.49 9.11 8.57 6.97 16.36 9.26 6.09 3.62 3.32 5.52 11.85 6.07 9.97 11.40 4.70 16.76 4.67 9.61 7.45 17.23 21.62 11.18 8.68 14.59 2.50 10.16 7.09 6.41 10.00 5.10 4.25 7.66 5.19 7.52 5.46 4.97 20.47 4.39 5.11 3.78 2.01 3.47 5.44 4.32 10.82 9.54 10.14 8.37 7.74 9.20 9.38 4.92 5.43 6.59 5.56 4.65 3.54 5.51 8.98 6.62 West Midlands Yorkshire and Humberside East of England East Midlands South East Outer London South West Inner London 2.34 8.36 5.53 4.25 8.70 4.34 5.91 5.06 11.80 3.89 2.47 4.90 4.73 1.91 3.78 5.69 3.35 16.04 12.84 16.49 10.00 12.03 15.86 14.50 8.61 8.19 5.47 9.75 4.87 5.12 5.08 14.58 13.31 26.83 6.35 19.84 19.93 14.77 20.08 19.20 20.03 33.90 13.88 9.11 39.81 27.24 31.32 25.59 18.19 10.33 5.06 6.04 5.62 4.96 5.92 5.72 1.58 0.94 1.71 2.01 2.20 1.29 2.44 5.61 4.23 3.07 14.52 24.28 15.10 23.24 12.51 19.18 8.24 6.09 45.69 15.34 33.70 47.68 37.23 17.15 24.61 Table 7 Regional distribution (%) of each of the Ethnic Groups identified in the 2001 Census Christian South West North East East of England North West Yorkshire and Humberside East Midlands West Midlands South East Outer London Inner London England Hindu Indian Muslim Sikh Christian Hindu Pakistani Muslim Sikh Christian Bangladeshi Hindu Muslim Sikh 1,735 644 3,966 1,966 6,672 3,831 26,701 24,769 2,293 406 3,141 34,994 3,880 4,376 11,981 5,343 556 197 580 1,140 8 12 32 48 5,577 12,912 35,324 108,466 4 3 22 29 142 48 183 121 8 26 76 231 4,200 5,586 16,995 24,182 0 3 7 6 1,437 2,203 4,690 7,439 18,642 7,154 50,652 13,901 63,014 52,973 36,219 194,565 39,452 466,597 15,499 20,050 10,775 3,443 23,740 16,757 131,662 17,055 30,348 96,960 34,601 82,558 12,615 301,295 647 359 617 1,058 1,536 756 7,819 35 36 65 43 191 70 547 133,990 25,644 144,348 53,602 91,471 39,182 657,680 52 24 103 33 54 19 346 68 46 104 198 187 235 1,395 140 81 132 73 312 607 1,693 11,111 6,428 29,069 14,202 23,532 119,399 259,710 3 5 17 7 4 61 113 Table 8 Regional Distribution of the South Asian population of England by Religion
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