DSC 221 DSCFC 15 E Original: English NATO Parliamentary Assembly SUB-COMMITTEE ON FUTURE SECURITY AND DEFENCE CAPABILITIES MISSION REPORT LORIENT, BREST, MARSEILLE AND PARIS, FRANCE 6 – 9 JULY 2015 www.nato-pa.int 21 September 2015 This Mission Report is presented for information only and does not represent the official view of the Assembly. This report was prepared by Ethan Corbin, Director of the Defence and Security Committee. 221 DSCFC 15 E I. INTRODUCTION 1. Over the last few years, France has significantly increased its role as a provider of international peace and security. France’s new leadership role in international security is evident not only from its growing footprint as the leader of counterterrorism operations in the Sahel, but also through its increased efforts in global peace operations with its Allies and partner nations. A recent spate of domestic terrorist attacks in France, however, only underscores the increasing realities of today’s security environment, which increasingly finds both domestic and international security concerns interlinked. 2. France is a stalwart NATO Ally; even exemplar for its commitment to maintaining full-spectrum operational capacity in an era of significant declines in defence spending and readiness throughout Europe. Today, France views the transatlantic security community as a principal pillar of its future security. Though eager to be a real contributor to the future of the Alliance, France also needs the support of allies and partners as its deals with an increasingly complex security reality at home and abroad. France’s ability to respond to its increasing domestic security challenges and its international responsibilities will likely be determinant of both its near as well as long-term security. 3. In light of the above, a delegation from the Sub-Committee on Future Security and Defence Capabilities (DSCFC) of the NATO Parliamentary Assembly visited France from 6-9 July 2015 to better understand the country’s armed forces and current defence and security policies. Led by DSCFC Chairman, Raymond Knops (Netherlands), and Defence Committee Chairperson, Nicole Ameline (France), the delegation consisted of legislators from eight different NATO member states. The parliamentary mission included visits to military bases in Lorient, Brest, and Marseille, as well as a slate of high-level meetings with French officials in Paris. 4. This mission report will progress thematically. First, it will engage with the changed, complex security environment France is trying to manage both at home and abroad. It will then move on to ends, ways, and means discussion of France’s current political priorities and the resources being made available to achieve these goals. France’s understanding of Alliance priorities resonated clearly throughout the parliamentary mission; they will feature prominently. Finally, a discussion of France’s ability to maintain its desired strategic independence in an era wherein Allies are increasingly finding themselves interdependent will conclude the report. II. FRANCE’S RAPIDLY EVOLVING SECURITY ENVIRONMENT 5. 2015 has been a challenging year for France. In January, the country was rocked by coordinated violent terrorist attacks, rattling domestic perceptions of peace and security in free and open democratic societies. The slaughter of many innocent civilians in the beginning of the year has been followed by several other failed large-scale attacks on not only civilians, but also on military and state institutions as well as other high-value industrial and civilian sites. The changing tenor of the domestic security environment has come on top of a more activist France at the international security level. 6. Since the turn of the century, it has become increasingly clear that the international security environment is achieving a never before seen level of complexity. The distributed nature of the 21st century landscape poses all NATO member states with a spectrum of threats: running from the state to the non-state, in and out of the kinetic and cyber realms, in a morphing international system plagued by failing states and ‘contested zones’, and increased competition for scarce resources – all within a changing climate. As a strong power in the Alliance with a complicated historical legacy and a current international power with global interests, France views itself as imbued with a relatively unique role in the international security system: the maintenance of its own vital interests, while also being a significant contributor to the security of its allies and partners. 1 221 DSCFC 15 E 7. The changing, dynamic security environment is having a dual effect on France’s security thinking; this idea was reinforced by almost every speaker during a slate of meetings at the Assemblée nationale and was a central message of the parliamentary mission. First, it has reinforced the notion that domestic security is increasingly interlinked with international security. Second, France as well as other member states needed to use the events of the last several years to spur a much-needed re-investment in their transatlantic security bond via increased defence investments and multilateral training efforts. Both of these points were particularly stressed by Guillaume Schlumberger, Director for Defence Strategy, Counter Proliferation and Strategic Foresight at the Defence Ministry, who stated: “France has made its choice, it is completely invested in transatlantic security as a critical axis upon which our security will turn.” 8. Hélène Duchêne, Director of Strategic Affairs, Security and Disarmament at the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, encapsulated France’s security zeitgeist by stating: “Today, there is a greater awareness of security issues than ever before. There is a common feeling that if we do not take care of security, security will take care of us. No country is particularly well-equipped to handle the security challenges lashing at the gates of Europe alone.” During his remarks, Major General Grégoire de Saint-Quentin, Commander of French Special Forces, stated that: “The new security dynamic – particularly the threat of terrorism – has dispersed the ability to commit high-levels of violence. As a result states are finding it increasingly challenging to guarantee security for their populations.” As such, all states, he noted would be faced with increasingly complex and diverse terrorism threats. A. STEPPING UP ITS ROLE IN THE GLOBAL FIGHT AGAINST TERRORISM 9. For several years, France has been stepping up its contribution to the global fight on terrorism. It has become the de facto leader in the Sahel as a result of its willingness to take on a broad area of responsibility. Clearly, France’s drive to assume operational control over large swathes of its former colonial empire in the area, denotes an understanding that it feels both it is within its interests and duty bound to help bring peace and stability to the region. In addition, France has been a stalwart supporter of the US-led campaign against ISIS in both Iraq and Syria. 10. As a result of its increased international security footprint, many voices have been raised in France noting that the rise in domestic terrorism was clear blowback for its policies. When questioned about this by different members of the delegation, there seemed to be a clear consensus among French officials that, despite a degree of blowback, the only way forward for French security was through increased engagement at both the international and domestic levels. The reason for such an understanding, it became clear, was that, despite efforts by French intellectuals, pundits, and politicians to paint it as such, the rise in domestic security threats is not unique to France. France faces the same complex security environment as many other states within the Alliance and, in addition to maintaining a full spectrum of capabilities, reinforcing Alliance solidarity, capabilities, and interoperability is the only way forward. No state, no matter how powerful, is capable of handling all of today’s security challenges alone. 11. As such, insight into how France is responding to the challenges imposed upon in served as a framework for the parliamentary visit. III. TAKING ACTION AT HOME AND ABROAD 12. A quick answer to the above question is: France is reconfiguring and strengthening its internal security services and increasing its role as a provider of international peace and security. After a number of years of steady declines in spending on its armed forces, France has done an about-face in 2015. An April adjustment to its proposed defense spending for the next five years will increase spending by 3.8 billion Euros. In addition and concurrent with the visit of the DSCFC delegation, both houses of French parliament voted through a relatively ambitious military 2 221 DSCFC 15 E programming law (Loi de Progammation militaire) that will give the necessary legal framework to set into action an ambitious asset acquisition programme and institutional restructuring as a means of lending greater dynamism to French defence institutions tasked with an increasingly complex security environment. 13. A particular focus of France’s spending increase and internal restructuring centers on the honing agility and adeptness in responding to not only short-term threats and crises, but also to the long-term challenges that the country and its allies can expect over the horizon. A renewed programme of domestic security reinforcement in the wake of a spate of domestic terrorist attacks this year is a first priority. To get there, domestic intelligence institutions will be strengthened and resourced to increase manpower for analysis and data collection (both on the ground human intelligence and various technologically-enabled data collection). In addition, intelligence agencies will benefit from new Intelligence, Surveillance and Reconnaissance (ISR) platform acquisition to expand the breadth and depth of its perspective and understanding. 14. Guillaume Schlumberger underscored these points to the group by noting that, “the January attacks reinforced the understanding of the link between domestic threats and the necessity for external action. France is responding to terrorist actions in Africa and the Middle East and working to stabilize the homefront as well.” Schlumberger also noted that there is also a collective security question facing the Alliance [NATO]: “France is doing its part to help by lending ISR assets, moving hard military assets to the eastern flank, and clearly still has nuclear capabilities as well.” Schlumberger stated that France is working to attain the means to defend French and Alliance interests, noting that recent trends to reduce the number of armed forces had been stopped and, to a degree, reversed. He continued by stating that France’s defence budget will rise to over 34 billion Euros by 2019; of which 19 billion Euros will be dedicated to new equipment purchases. He concluded that the French Defence Ministry understood the need for a stronger NATO Alliance, and that “France is happy to see that many Allies are taking the same steps to reinvest in defence as well.” A. THE GROWING BURDEN OF EXTERNAL OPERATIONS 15. The evolving international security environment has made it increasingly difficult for France to sustain its relatively extensive external operations (OPEX). France currently commits a significant number of its forces abroad for a variety of missions from counterterrorism in the Sahel to peace and stability operations with its international partners in many other corners of the globe. To date, France leads or has committed forces in West Africa across the Sahel and into Central Africa, along the Horn of Africa, in the Middle East, and significant presences in the Atlantic, Indian, and Pacific Oceans. France has approximately 7,000 military personnel deployed in OPEX, another 28,000 French forces on permanent rotation among France’s global air, land, and sea bases, and another 7,000 activated for Operation Sentinelle, a domestic counterterrorism operation. Still, civilian defence experts reminded the delegation that France’s OPEX expenditures had been affected greatly by the unpredictability of international events, noting that the Defence Ministry had set aside 450 million Euros for OPEX in 2014, when the real price tag came out to 1,2 billion Euros. 16. As the delegation learned from Lieutenant General Eric Margail, Commander French Rapid Reaction Corps, France’s military efforts in Africa in particular have required significant investment in new OPEX capacities. The French have honed their ability for rapid response, and understood the need for increased ISR capabilities. Logistical capability is still being reviewed and new investment in heavy lift capacity is also underway. 17. LtGen Margail continued by noting that, “the menace of international jihadism is encroaching European territory and it is increasingly difficult to defend against it.” As General de Saint-Quentin stated, “the threat of terrorism is forcing a renewed look at force agility in particular, what formula will work best to be able to maneuver fire and manpower quickly and effectively where it is needed 3 221 DSCFC 15 E is the order of the day.” Both Generals noted that France is one of the few nations in the world today that has such a high level of operational experience. France’s rapid response capacity remains exemplary, the example of France’s response in Central Africa in 24 hours was cited as a clear success of this capability. A key element to France’s rapid response capacity is due to a renewed focus on its Special Forces. B. FRENCH SOF TODAY 18. The role of Special Operational Forces (SOF) in today’s security environment cannot be underestimated. Special Forces are the spearhead of any modern force, providing the on-theground intelligence in difficult-to-reach areas and the ability for rapid and precise operations, if necessary. In addition, the delegation learned, that French Special Forces provide value far beyond their kinetic operations abilities, as they work closely with Allies and partners to provide critical training and assistance, as well as crucial intelligence capacities. As Major General SaintQuentin stated: “The ability of SOF to respond quickly and with the appropriate tactics is vital in today’s threat environment. SOF is based on anticipation and the ability to integrate players with the best intelligence for close, effective coordination – we see it as a three-level partnership between the services, domestic defence institutions, and Allies.” As the delegation discussed learned from Saint-Quentin, this is the best defence for the national interests of all of the Allies. 19. When discussing the example of the campaign against Daesh in Syria and Iraq, Saint-Quentin noted that, in order to weaken the armed group on all sides, the Allied effort required the high-levels of cooperation that the NATO SOF network provides for effective intelligence, cooperation with local forces on the ground, and precision strike capabilities. As he stated, “the NATO SOF community understand each other and has the same vision – by our size and vision, we function at a plug and play level.” When asked by a member of the delegation what still needed to be done to hone the capacities of the French SOF even further, Saint-Quentin stated that the ability to deploy command and control capabilities to any area quickly could still be improved. In addition, he said that the SOF toolkit still needed more lift capacity, fine-tuned ISR technologies, aerial refueling among others to build out its operational toolkit. 20. The delegation was able to have first-hand experience with the French SOF during its visit where it was briefed on various aspect of French SOF and then was given a static and dynamic demonstration of various capabilities. IV. FRANCE IN NATO 21. All of the military interlocutors with whom the delegation interacted stated that interoperability is key to the future. They underscored France’s significant experience in working with Allies already, and noted that it had been an essential key to their success in OPEX. Prepositioning and rapidity of deployment to command and control to maintaining the full spectrum of capabilities remain essential to the future of France’s military forces, and French forces’ abilities would be multiplied through closer partnership with Allies. 22. France is a founding member of NATO and was initially the host of its institutions, but France decided to leave the integrated military facility in 1966 for “reasons of national sovereignty.” France officially returned to the NATO Command Structure in April 2009, but with certain conditions attached such as: independence vis-à-vis operations, remaining outside of the Nuclear Planning Group (NPG), no requirement to participate in financing equipment decided upon before reintegration, and that France will head Allied Command Transformation. France is currently the third largest contributor to the Alliance common funding. France’s place in NATO was cemented in the 2013 Defence White Paper, which noted that French security could not be conceived of outside of the transatlantic Alliance. 4 221 DSCFC 15 E 23. Hélène Duchêne noted that, while it was clear that the United States still represents the ultimate security guarantee for many European states, particularly because of its NATO commitments, Washington has noted the increased importance of the EU in foreign policy and would like it to play a larger role in the security arena as well. She continued to note that France understands the role it must play in both the EU as well as NATO. She made it clear that, if other European nations are willing to undertake their respective responsibilities then the region would be able to rise to meet almost any challenge faced. 24. When asked about France’s positions on the upcoming Warsaw Summit, Duchêne noted that France will continue to evaluate how to allocate its time and resources to NATO’s challenges. Another member questioned how France planned to respond to escalation on the eastern flank. Duchêne noted that flexibility of response would be the central driving factor; this is why France will be a framework nation to the Very High Readiness Joint Task Force (VJTF) in 2022. 25. Duchêne continued by stating that effective defence planning in the Alliance is essential and that the political guidance (published just prior to the visit) would be the principal driver. A key breakthrough in the guidance, she continued, may be the call for improved joint ISR in NATO. Maritime security and power projection is also important to the Alliance, she noted and stated that France will work to adapt the maritime component to the Readiness Action Plan (RAP). She concluded by stating that: “The Alliance needs to adapt and change to be able to share and contribute more; not only at the transatlantic level, but also at the European level. France will work to further EU and NATO cooperation.” 26. In general, the principal takeaway for members from the discussion with Ms Duchêne about France and NATO is that: The EU, NATO, and France can do much more to integrate their common security policies and actions. The EU will only credible if it can lead and execute operations, and NATO Allies need to increase their investments in Allied defence capabilities. V. STRATEGIC INDEPENDENCE IN AN ERA OF INCREASING INTERDEPENDENCE 27. France was quick to become a nuclear state in 1960, adding yet another layer of military independence not only among the Euro-Atlantic security community, but also vis-à-vis France’s global position. One of the central drivers behind France’s decision to leave the NATO command structure in 1966 was a fierce desire to maintain this strategic independence it had acquired, particularly when it came to any matter it viewed as central to the security of France. The maintenance of this nuclear deterrent is still a central feature to France’s military posture today. 28. To garner greater insight into France’s nuclear deterrent Admiral Louis-Michel Guillaume (Commander of Submarine and Strategic Oceanic Forces (ALFOST)) and General Bernard Schuler (Commander Strategic Air Command) briefed the DSCFC delegation during their meetings at the Assemblée nationale. 29. As both commanders noted to the delegation, the key foundations of the French nuclear deterrence rely upon a relatively basic principle – backing the credibility of political messaging via legitimate defence capacity, i.e. backing up rhetoric with capacity. In other words, vital French interests will be backed by a credible nuclear force if necessary. 30. Regarding France’s strategic air force, 51 years of continuous operations (1964) have been maintained by French Air Command. France guaranteed its strategic independence with the launch of its first Ballistic Missile Submarines (SSBN) in 1972. Ever since, France has maintained a continuous, capable, and complementary air and sea deterrence posture. France’s nuclear deterrence capabilities are purely defensive means. France has always maintained a nuclear deterrence posture limited to only what was determined to be necessary and nothing more: the posture has evolved over the years, but the central concept has remained basically the same – the 5 221 DSCFC 15 E ultimate guarantee of France’s vital interests. France’s nuclear assets are outside of NATO’s remit – France does not take part in the Alliance’s Nuclear Planning Group. 31. Any one of France’s SSBNs can deliver up to 16 nuclear missiles, if called upon by the President of the Republic. France’s air and sea nuclear assets are continuously updated to meet the strict ‘sufficiency’ requirement of the President of France. France only has strategic nuclear weapons, no tactical nuclear weapons. 32. The central question to deterrence, the delegation heard several times, is credibility. As a result France’s nuclear forces continue to work to hone their accuracy – the new Medium Range surface-to-air missiles (MRSAM), it was mentioned, are a perfect example of this. The delegation was also reminded of the necessity of flexibility of use: General Schuler noted that France’s nuclear air forces can ramp up and deploy as a means of showing force in times of crisis. 33. Future of the French Nuclear deterrent – regardless of the component, both elements (air and sea) have undergone considerable upgrading/modernization to be able to continue into the future. Future programmes are always looking out 15-20 years into the future: the reliability of the systems is guaranteed for today, the renewal of the system scheduled for 2035. 34. France currently dedicates 3.6 billion Euros to maintain its nuclear deterrence capabilities, equaling 11% of the current budget. When asked by a member of the delegation if this was sustainable, the confident reply was, “Yes, this is certainly doable, but France is also always reviewing its policy.” 35. Throughout the parliamentary mission, and particularly during the day of meetings with French defence officials at the Assemblée nationale, the DSCFC delegation was constantly reminded of the fact that, while France continued to view its strategic independence as vital, ever closer partnership with its allies in the Euro-Atlantic security community is the necessary way forward. ______________ 6
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