Brownian Motion and Stochastic Calculus Xiongzhi Chen University of Hawaii at Manoa Department of Mathematics August 3, 2008 Contents 1 Dsicrete Time Martingales 1 2 Continuous-Time Martingales 5 Brownian Motion and Stochastic Calculus Basic Properties of Continuous-Time Martingales 1 Dsicrete Time Martingales Lemma 1 Let z = z (!) be the integrable random variable (E (jz (!)j) < 1) and be a Markov time relative to the system fFt g ; t 2 T: Then on the set f! : = tg the conditional mathematical expectation E (zjF ) coincides with E (zjFt ) ;i.e., E (zjF ) = E (zjFt ) ; P -a:s: on f! : = tg Proof. It must be shown that P (f = tg or, equivalently, f =tg E Since f =tg := T fE (zjF ) 6= E (zjFt )g) = 0 (zjF ) = f =tg E (zjFt ) ; P -a:s: is both Ft - and F -measurable, then f =tg E (zjF ) = E ( zjF ) ; f =tg E (zjFt ) = E ( zjFt ) and it su¢ ces to show E ( zjFt ) = E ( zjF ) ; P -a:s: First of all, note that E ( zjFt ) is F -measurable. Actually, let s 2 T and a 2 R: Then if t s;evidently T fE ( zjFt ) ag f sg 2 Fs since fE ( zjFt ) ag 2 Ft : But if t > s;then the set B = fE ( zjFt ) ag T T f sg = f E (zjFt ) ag f sg ? if a < 0 = f sg if a 0 1 since f =tg := = 0 on f sg ; i.e., f sg f E (zjFt ) = 0g for all t > s: Further, according to the de…nition of the c.m.e for all A 2 F Z Z Z zdP zdP = E ( zjF ) dP = Since A f = tg 2 Ft ;then Z Z zdP = A\f =tg A\f =tg A A T Z E (zjFt ) dP = E (zjFt ) dP = E ( zjFt ) dP A A A\f =tg Z The arbitrariness of A 2 F and the F -measurability of E (zjFt ) implies that E ( zjFt ) = E ( zjF ) ; P -a:s: as desired. Remark 2 For a right-continuous distribution function F ( ) according to the law P ((a; b]) = F (b) F (a) and a random variable (x) the Lebesgue-Stieltijes integral Z b (x) P (dx) := a Z b (x) dF (x) a can be reduced to an integral with respect to Lebesgue measure P (dt) = dt by letting c (t) = inf fx : F (x) Then Z b (x) dF (x) = a Theorem 3 For the family f Z (x) tg F (b) (c (t)) dt F (a) : 2 Ug ;the following holds 8 R > sup j j d < 1 > > R > 2U > < limc!1 sup fj j>cg j j d = 0 (integrally uniformly R bnded) 2U () lim sup sup j jd = 0 > > Uniform Integrability !0+ fA2F : (A) g 2U A > > > : (integrally equi-absolute continuity) where d is the Lebesgue measure on Rn . Now that the more general settings will be R 8 sup E jf j d < 1 > > > 2U > > 8" > R0; 9g 0; g 2 L1 (E) : > (integrally uniformly bnded) < 1 sup Efjf j>gg jf j d < " () R 8" > 0; 9h 0; h 2 LR (E) ; 9 > 0 : 2U > > > > Uniform Integrability e h (x) dx < =) sup e jf j d < "; 8e > > 2U : (integrally equi-absolute continuity) 2 0 and Proof. Necessity. Pick " = 1 and the corresponding g 0; g 2 L1 (E) ;then Z Z Z jf j d jf j d + sup jf j d sup sup E 2U Efj 2U j>gg Efj 2U j gg 1 + kg1E k1 < 1 For any " > 0; choose the corresponding g 0; g 2 L1 (E) ; such that (e) < and Z gd < " > 0 and any measurble set e E e Thus sup 2U Z e jf j d sup Z eEfjf j>gg 2U sup 2U Z Z "+ fjf j>gg j j j d + sup 2U Z j d + sup Z eEfjf j gg j jd gd eEfjf j gg 2U gd = 2" e Su¢ ciency: Let M = sup 2U such that R E jf j d < 1: For any "; > 0;pick h Z e and pick bounded set E1 such that hd < ; 8 (e) < Z 0; h 2 L1 (E) and 1 hd < EnE1 Now de…ne 2M g= Then g 0; g 2 L1 (E) and Z jfk j d = if if 1 0 Z Efjfk j>ggE1 fjfk j>gg Z Efjfk j>ggE1 Z Efjfk j>ggE1 x 2 E1 x 2 EnE1 jfk j d + jfk j d + Z Efjfk j>ggE1C Z EE1C jfk j d jfk j d jfk j d + " But 2M = Z 1 (E fjfk j > gg E1 ) Z 2M d Efjfk j>ggE1 1 Efjfk j>ggE1 jfk j d implies (E fjfk j > gg E1 ) 3 1 2 Z E jfk j d M 1 >0 Thus R Efjfk j>ggE1 hd < ;which implies Z R jfk j d < " and Efjfk j>ggE1 fjfk j>gg jfk j d 2" Theorem 4 For the family fn 2 L1 (E) : n 2 N such that fn ! f -a:s: The following holds Z Z Z jfn j d = 0 fn d ! f d () lim sup c!1 n2N fj n j>cg Proof. Su¢ ciency. From the above proved theorem. It’s clear that Z Z Z jf j d = limn jfn j d jfn j d M = sup fkfn k1 g limn E E For any "; > 0; choose h E 0; h 2 L1 (E) ; Z n2N > 0 and bounded set E1 such that 1 hd < EnE1 and Z e jf j d < "; Z e hd < ; 8 (e) < By Egorov Theorem, there exist a subset F uniformly to f on F: Thus Z lim sup jfn F n2N Z sup jfn lim F Further, since R E1 with E1 nF sup n2N 1 (E1 nF ) < 1 such that fn converges fj d fj d = 0 n2N hd < ; then Z E1 nF jfn fj d sup n2N Z E1 nF jfn j d + Z E1 nF jf j d " + " = 2" Consequently kfn k ! kf k Necissity. kfn k ! kf k implies M = sup fkfn kg < 1: For any " > 0; there is some k0 2 N such n2N that sup kfn fk < " n k0 P 0 Now let g = ki=1 jfi j + 2 jf j : Then g 0 and g 2 L1 (E) and Z sup jfn j d n fjfn j>gg Z Z Z sup jfn f j d + sup jf j d + sup n<k0 = 0 " fjfn j>gg since fjfn j > gg = ? all n n<k0 n k0 fjfn j>gg fjfn j>gg jfn k0 and n < k0 by the fact that lim fn = f 4 f j d + sup n k0 Z fjfn j>gg jf j d 2 Continuous-Time Martingales Problem 5 Let T1 ; T2 ; with parameter > 0 : be a sequence of independent, exponentially distributed random variables P [Ti 2 dt] = e Pn t dt; t 0 Let S0 = 0; Sn = i=1 Ti ; n 1 (We may think of Sn as the time at which the n-th customer arrives in a queue, and of the random variables Ti ; i = 1; 2; as the interarrival times.) De…ne a continuous-time, integer-valued RCLL process Nt = max fn 0; Sn tg ; 0 t<1 (we may regard Nt as the number of customers who arrive up to time t). (i) Show that for 0 we have P SNs +1 > tjFsN = e (t s) ; P a:s: (ii) Show that for 0 of FsN : s < t; Nt Ns is a Poisson random variable with parameter Proof. (i) Firstly, we’ll show that n T T A = A~ 2 FsN : A~ fNs = ng = A fNs = ng for some A 2 (Ti ; 1 (t s) ;independent i o n) is actually FsN ;which is supported by (1) ?; 2 A (2) A~ 2 A implies T A~C fNs = ng C T ~T T T A fNs = ng = fNs = ng = fNs = ng (A fNs = ng)C T = AC fNs = ng So, A 2 (Ti ; 1 i n) implies A~C 2 A. (3) Suppose A~m 2 A; 1 n n S T S A~m fNs = ng = m=1 = n S m=1 which implies (Am T fNs = ng) = m=1 n S m s<t n; then T A~m fNs = ng Am m=1 n S ~ Then A~m 2 A:(4) Suppose A~m 2 A; A~m " B: T fNs = ng m=1 ~ T fNs = ng B T T fNs = ng = lim A~m fNs = ng = lim A~m m m T T fNs = ng = lim (Am fNs = ng) = lim Am m m ~ 2 A: Consequentely, A is a -algebra. To Let limm Am = B:Then B 2 (Ti ; 1 i n) :Thus B show A = FsN ; it su¢ ces to show A FsN : Let Aa;b = (a; b) ; a; b 2 Q (here a; b may be negative/positive in…nity and a = b is also allow2 d. De…ne D = Nt 1 (Aa;b ) : t 2 [0; s] ; Aa;b R 5 If it’s shown that D A; then FsN = (D) A and the assertion is proved. Pick any Nt 1 (Aa;b ) 2 D:Obviously Nt 1 (Aa;b ) 2 A if Aa;b = ? or ( 1; +1) : So, let’s suppose Aa;b 6= ?; R and denote W = Nt 1 (Aa;b ) : Then W = fa < Nt (!) < bg (1) = fc + 1 Nt (!) d 1g T = fSc+1 (!) tg fSd (!) > tg where c = [a] and d = ]b[ : Consequently T W fNs = ng (2) T T T = fSd (!) > tg fSc+1 (!) tg fSn (!) sg fSn+1 (!) > sg T T where in (2) A = ? is set if W fNs = ng = ?: Else if W fNs = ng = 6 ? in (2) then by the nondecreasing property of Nt with respect to t 2 [0; 1); it’s clear that c + 1 n since t s;which further gives (1) if d n; then W 2 Sd := (T1 ; ; Td ) since fSc+1 (!) tg 2 Sc+1 := (T1 ; ; Tc+1 ) and fSd (!) > tg 2 Sd := (T1 ; ; Td ) and with Sc+1 Sd Sn := (Ti ; 1 i n) ; that is, W itself is the needed set A; or (2) if d > n; then fSn+1 (!) > sg fSd (!) > tg (since additionally t s) and T W fNs = ng T T = fSc+1 (!) tg fSn (!) sg fSn+1 (!) > sg T = fSc+1 (!) tg fNs = ng which sets A = fSc+1 (!) tg 2 Sn as the desired set. Whence D A: Finally from (D) = = = Nt 1 Nt 1 Nt 1 (Aa;b ) : t 2 [0; s] ; a; b 2 Q ( (Aa;b ; ; a; b 2 Q)) (B (R)) ; t 2 [0; s] it’s implied that FsN = (D) A FsN as the desired assertion. (With your hints, I didn’t useTtrans…nite induction, did I miss anything?) T Now, for any A~ 2 FsN choose A 2 Sn such that A~ fNs = ng = A fNs = ng ; then Z P Sn+1 > tjFsN dP ~ A\fN s =ng Z Z = 1fSn+1 >tg (!) dP = 1A 1fSn sg 1fSn+1 >tg (!) dP A\fNs =ng Z = 1A 1[r2Q \[0;s] (fSn =rg\fTn+1 >t rg) dP X Z = dP r2Q \[0;s] AfSn =rg\fTn+1 >t rg Note that the above decomposition is usually what supposes, which is unfruitful. 6 Remark 6 De…ne C= S (Nt ; t 2 I) I [0;s];jIj<1 which is a sub-algebra of FsN such that FsN = (C) : Thus C A yields A = FsN : Proof. For any C 2 C;it’s clear that C 2 assertion will be proved if we can show (Nt ; t 2 I) for some I [0; s] with jIj < 1: the Theorem 7 Let 0 = A0 A1 ; where random variables An are Fn -measurable and E (A1 ) < 1: In order that An are Fn 1 -measurable, n 1; it’s necessary and su¢ cient that for each bounded martingale Y = (yn ; Fn ) ; n = 0; 1; : (the bracket means each yn is Fn -measurable.) ! 1 X E yn 1 (An An 1 ) = E (y1 A1 ) (3) n=1 where y1 = lim yn Proof. Necessity: let An be Fn 1 -measurable, E (yn An 1) E (A1 ) < 1: Since = E (yn An ) ; n 1 (4) therefore E 1 X yn 1 (An ! An 1) n=1 = = lim E N !1 N X (yn = lim E N !1 y n ) An + y N AN 1 n=1 ! N X yn 1 (An An n=1 ! 1) lim E (yN AN ) = E (y1 A1 ) N !1 Su¢ ciency: Suppose (3) is satis…ed. Then E (y1 A1 ) = E = = lim E N !1 lim E N !1 N X n=1 N X yn 1 X yn 1 (An n=1 N X1 1 An y n An n=1 (yn An 1 yn ) An n=1 ! ! ! 1) = lim E = lim E N !1 E N X n=1 yn 1 (An An 1) n=1 (yn 1 ! y n ) An + y N AN ! + lim E (yN AN ) N !1 implies 1 X N !1 N X (yn y n ) An 1 n=1 ! =0 (5) for any bounded martingale Y = (yn ; Fn ) ; n 0: Now make use of the fact that if Y = (yn ; Fn ) ; n 0;is a martingale, then Y = (yn ; Fn ) ; n 0 is a martingale, then the "stopped" sequence (yn^ ; Fn ) ; n 0 will be also a martingale for any stopping time : Taking time 1 and appyling (5) to the martingale (yn^1 ; Fn ) ;we infer that E [A1 (y0 y1 )] = 0 7 (6) Similarly consederations on 2; 3;etc, lead to the fac that if (5) is correct, then there exist the equalities given by (4) for any bounded martingale Y = (yn ; Fn ) ; n 0: From (4) it follows that E f(yn yn 1 ) [An E (An jFn 1 )]g =0 (7) (This above equalitity is what I don’t understand since it requires necessarily E f(yn yn 1) E (An jFn 1 )g =0 (8) or E [yn E (An jFn I don’t see how to get this from E (yn An Ok, this is the way to do it: 1) E f(yn = E (yn 1 An ) = E (yn An ) ; n yn = E fE [(yn 1 )] 1) E yn = E fE (An jFn = E fE (An jFn (An jFn 1) E 1 )g (An jFn 1) E [(yn 1) 0g 1) yn 1 )] jFn 1 g 1 ) jFn 1 ]g = E (0) = 0 Let yn+m = yn ; m …nd 0; yn = sign [An 0 = E f[sign [An = E fsign [An = E (jAn from which An = E (An jFn 1) E (An jFn E (An jFn E (An jFn E (An jFn 1 )] 1 )] ; yk yn 1 )] [An 1 )j) (P -a.s), i.e., An is Fn = E (yn jFk ) ; k < n:Then from (7), we 1 ] [An E (An jFn E (An jFn 1 -measurable 1 )]g 1 )]g for each n: Problem 8 Show that the compensated Poisson process fMt = Nt t; Ft ; 0 t < 1g is a martingale. o n (1) (d) ; Ft ; 0 t < 1 be a vector of martingales, and ' : Rd ! Problem 9 Let Xt = Xt ; ; Xt R a convex function with E j' (X)j < 1 valid for every t 0: Then f' (Xt ) ; Ft ; 0 t < 1g is a submartingale; in particular fkXt k ; Ft ; 0 t < 1g is a submartingale Proof. For ' : R ! R is convex then '0+ (x) = inf y>x ' (y) y ' (x) 0 ' (x) ; ' (x) = sup x x x<y ' (y) y and '0 (x) '0+ (x) and '0 ; '0+ are increasing. And ' is continuous. For y x; it’s clear that ' (y) ' (x) + '0+ (x) (y x) and for y < x;it’s clear that ' (y) ' (x) + '0 (x) (y x). Thus for '0 (x) ax '0+ (x) we have ' (y) ' (x) + ax (y x) =: Lx (y) ; 8y 2 I 8 and ' (x) = sup fLs (x)g s2I Now for any x 2 I let rn 2 Q and rn ! x: Then ' (x) + ar (x Lr (y) g (y) and '0 (r) ar '0+ (r) r) =: Lr (x) ! ' (x) with For ' : Rd ! R convex. De…ne g (t) = ' (ty + (1 t) x) Then g is convex and g 0 (t) = hr' (ty + (1 t) x) ; y xi and g (1) 0 g (0) + g+ (0) which implies ' (y) ' (x) + grad+ '; y x ;y x ' (y) ' (x) + grad '; y x ;y x and Same procedure again ' (x) = sup fLs (x)g s2I Problem 10 Let fFn g1 1g n=1 be a decreasing sequence of sub- -algebras of F and let fXn ; Fn ; n be a backward submartingale; i.e., E jXn j < 1; Xn is Fn -measurable, and E (Xn jFn+1 ) Xn+1 a.s. P for every n 1: Then l := lim E (Xn ) > 1 implies that the sequence fXn g1 n=1 is uniformly integrable. Hints of these above 2 problems are given in the textbook. 9
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