Report Card on the Alberta Bioenergy Producer Credit Program Impacts on Biofuel Capacity, Environmental Improvements and Economic Multipliers Prepared by Viresco Solutions Inc. September 2015 1 1 11,331,083 tonnes GHG emission reductions extends across all sectors. The Cars-off-road value stems from liquid fuels, the homes powered stems from electricity projects, and the homes heated stems from heat projects. 84% less emissions are emitted from the bioenergy projects compared to equivalent conventional energy sources. Disclaimer: This report was commissioned by the Alberta Bioenergy Producers Group (ABPG). Research assistance and funding for the project was managed by Western Canada Biodiesel Association. For further information regarding the ABPG, please contact: Doug Hooper, Director Policy & Regulation, Western Canada Biodiesel Association ([email protected]). This report and the material featured herein are provided “as is” for information purposes. All reasonable precautions have been taken by Viresco Solutions to verify the reliability of the material featured herein. Viresco Solutions and its staff do not provide any warranty, including as to the accuracy, completeness, or fitness for any particular purpose or use of such material, and they accept no responsibility or liability with regard to the use of this report and the material herein. The information contained herein does not necessarily represent the views of the staff of Viresco Solutions, nor is it an endorsement of any project, product, or service provider. E N D - T O - E N D S U S T AI N AB I L I T Y | 3 Executive Summary This report evaluates the status of Alberta’s bioenergy sector under the Bioenergy Producer Credit Program (BPCP) and affiliated programs between January 2007 and December 2014 and presents the performance of the qualifying bioenergy facilities. Bioenergy producers qualifying under the BPCP and associated programs in the sectors of liquid biofuels, biogas, wood pellets, and biomass combustion were contacted with a data request template, and the results of this engagement are presented below. Key Aggregated Findings: Since January 2007, 11,331,083 tonnes of CO2 equivalents have been saved through the use of the bioenergy products compared to an equivalent conventional fossil fuel. Bioenergy products are an average of 84% less carbon intensive than the equivalent fossil fuel. Currently the total capital investment in BPCP qualifying facilities exceeds $600 million, which would have required 2935 person-years of labour. The survey identified planned investments into new bioenergy facilities of almost $800 million, which would require 2767 person-year construction jobs. Annual bioenergy production supports 5,280 person-years of direct and indirect employment. Future expansions would support an additional 590 jobs per year in their operational phases. This equates to a $376M and $48M injection, respectively, of labour income into Alberta communities. Key Take-Away Points: The bioenergy industry in Alberta is a nearly $2 billion industry, requiring more than five thousand jobs in the operational phase directly and indirectly, with an impact of more than $300 million on labour income and a nearly $800 million impact on provincial GDP Bioenergy production is substantially less carbon intensive than equivalent conventional fossil fuels. Bioenergy production assets are often not operating at full capacity. Existing and new bioenergy plants can play a larger role in meeting the Provincial emissions reductions targets, provided appropriate economic and market-access conditions are in place. Bioenergy facilities are often located in forestry communities or agricultural-based communities, and thus most bioenergy jobs support rural economies. Bioenergy facilities can also stabilize local electricity grids by adding additional capacity at times of peak demand. Many producers reported intentions to diversify into other bioenergy production. Planned expansions result in the vertical integration of biomass supply chains and improve resiliency of the business model. E N D - T O - E N D S U S T AI N AB I L I T Y | 4 Introduction Alberta’s bioenergy sector produces clean, renewable biofuels, biogas, wood pellets and biomass-based heat and power. The bioenergy sector has expanded rapidly under the ‘9-Point Bioenergy Plan’ (the ‘Bioenergy Plan’), launched by the Government of Alberta in October 2006. While bioenergy production has strengthened the forest and agricultural-based communities in Alberta, the sector’s contribution to economic diversification and low carbon energy pathways and clean energy has gone relatively unnoticed compared to the non-renewable energy sectors. This report was commissioned by the Alberta Bioenergy Producers Group to evaluate the status of Alberta’s bioenergy sector and report on its performance over the period 2007 to 20142. Just as Alberta is rich in fossil fuel resources, so too is the province rich in renewable feedstocks for bioenergy production: more than 22,530,000 tonnes of municipal solid waste, agricultural residues, and forestry residues are available across the province that could be converted into biofuels 3. Bioenergy production in the province fits into four broad categories: liquid biofuels such as ethanol or biodiesel, biogas (bio-methane, or renewable natural gas), wood pellets, and biomass to combined heat and power (CHP). Bioenergy production is often integrated into primary agriculture, agri-food processing and forestry (pulp & paper, sawmill) industrial processes. The addition of bioenergy production provides economic resiliency for these sectors by diversifying revenue streams from value-added co-products, residues or process wastes. Some bioenergy refineries are ‘stand-alone’ facilities, using Alberta grown crops, forest fibre or municipal wastes as feedstocks. Alberta-based plants have commercialized leading ‘advanced biofuel’ and ‘waste-to-energy’ technologies to produce liquid biofuels, bio-products and bio-chemicals. The potential to expand bioenergy capacity across all platforms, with established resources and feedstocks, was evaluated at many of Alberta’s existing bioenergy plants. Provided appropriate economic and market-access conditions are in place, new bioenergy production capacity is poised to attract new investment. Expanding bioenergy production will provide resiliency within various energy sectors, diversify the provincial economy, and help the Province meet its climate action goals. However, many potential bioenergy solutions struggle to reach commercial-scale production, due to lack of access to capital, regulatory and market access barriers, and low energy prices. Furthermore the bioenergy industry is in a relatively early stage of industry development. Materials that were traditionally considered waste are now being used in novel applications, moving towards second and third generation technology that 2 All data collected throughout this report references the time period January 1, 2007 to December 31, 2014. Identification of Opportunities for the Production of Bio-Products from Waste Bio-Mass in Alberta: Final Report. Prepared by Jacobs Consultancy and the University of Alberta, March 2013. PDF, 213 pages. 3 E N D - T O - E N D S U S T AI N AB I L I T Y | 5 captures energy and fractionates materials in a new hierarchy of use and value. development surrounding these innovative systems are ongoing. Research and One of the Province’s key mechanisms to support bioenergy sector development has been the Bioenergy Credit Producer Program (BPCP), along with the companion programs of the Bioenergy Plan. The BPCP was implemented in 2011. The purpose of this report is to evaluate the status of the Alberta bioenergy sector and the results of the sector’s performance since implementation of the Bioenergy Plan in 2006 to present. This report presents the results of aggregated producer data, discusses the environmental and economic benefits of this sector, and contemplates the future of bioenergy in the province of Alberta. Project Purpose: Survey bioenergy producers and, using project based data and publicly available sources, quantitatively describe the impact of the Bioenergy Producer Credit Program. Desired Outcomes: Use the collected data to report on capacity, greenhouse gas impacts, investments (capital leverage), jobs, and other economic impacts of the bioenergy sector. Bioenergy Credit Producer Program Overview The Bioenergy Producer Credit Program The BPCP program is intended to encourage investment in bioenergy production capacity in Alberta. The program is administered by Alberta Energy and is effective from April 2011 to March 2016. In the 2013 Provincial budget, it was announced that the program was closed to further applications and would terminate in 2016. The first year of the program (2011/2012) had a budget allocation of $58 million, while subsequent years increased to $108 million and $170 million, respectively (BPCP allotments were set out in each annual provincial budget). Actual program spending beyond the first fiscal period (2011-2012) has not been released. The final BPCP budget allocations and expenditures for each program year are set out in Table 1 below: Table 1: BPCP Program Grant Allocations and Payments, as of April 2014. Data beyond Year One of payments was unavailable at the time of writing. 1: Liquid Biofuels 2: Biogas 3: Wood Pellets 4: Biomass Combustion TOTAL Total 5-Year Grant Obligation $149,716,068 $37,683,256 $10,377,500 $172,639,460 $370,416,284 Actual Payments 2011/12 $4,501,287 $3,252,524 $1,481,483 $31,597,273 $40,832,567 E N D - T O - E N D S U S T AI N AB I L I T Y | 6 Bioenergy producers who were already producing, or who would be producing by the second year of the BPCP program, applied during an annual call period specified by Alberta Energy. The BPCP program only accepted applications during two calls in 2011, before closing the program to new applicants4. In the application process, bioenergy producers commit to a certain quantity of production, which determines their eligibility for financial support (on a volume, tonne, GJ, or MWh basis). Bioenergy production was divided into four programs: liquid biofuels, biogas, wood pellets, and biomass combined heat and power. Alberta Bioenergy Plan In October 2006, the Province announced a ‘9-Point Bioenergy Plan’, of which the BPCP is a component5. The objectives of the original Bioenergy Plan were to stimulate bioenergy development in Alberta (especially ethanol, biodiesel, and biogas capacity). The Bioenergy Plan encompassed new program initiatives and policy resolutions to help with market access and stability. The Bioenergy plan was necessarily a cross-ministry plan that was developed in consultation with suppliers, processors and end users. Bioenergy was seen as the first step in a much larger bio-economy vision of creating high value products through a bio-refining approach to agriculture and forestry biomass, integrated with the energy sector. The development of the infrastructure was seen as a means to add value to the agriculture industry and contribute to long-term sustainable economic growth, while strengthening rural communities. Other components of this plan included two related capital grant programs: the Bioenergy Commercialization and Market Development Program (BCMDP), and the Bioenergy Infrastructure Development Program (BIDP). In addition, the province directs funding to bioenergy research and development and project development through the Alberta Innovates organizations 6 and the Climate Change Emissions Management Corporation7 funding. Under the Climate Change Emissions Management Act (CCEMA), and the Specified Gas Emitters Regulation8 (SGER), the Province also established a number of climate action measures which impacted the bioenergy sector; these include: carbon pricing, greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions reduction requirement (12%), renewable fuels standards (RFS), a Climate Change and Emissions Management Fund, and carbon emission performance credits and offsets. 4 Alberta Energy: http://www.energy.alberta.ca/BioEnergy/pdfs/Call_1_and_2_Grant_Recipients_and_Amounts_April_2014.pdf 5 For more information, please see Alberta Energy: http://www.energy.gov.ab.ca/pdfs/BioE9pointPlan.pdf 6 Relevant organizations include Alberta Innovates Bio Solutions (http://bio.albertainnovates.ca/) and Alberta Innovates Energy and Environment Solutions (http://www.ai-ees.ca/). 7 Climate Change Emissions Management Corporation website: http://ccemc.ca/ 8 The regulation is available at: http://www.qp.alberta.ca/documents/Regs/2004_251.pdf E N D - T O - E N D S U S T AI N AB I L I T Y | 7 The two companion programs, BCMDP, BIDP, supported many of the BPCP program recipients in undertaking market research and development activities, infrastructure and project capital costs. The 2006 Bioenergy Plan also included a renewable energy producer credit program that expired in 2011, and six other ‘proposed policy initiatives.’ The original renewable energy credit program was not well utilized, as most liquid biofuel and biogas projects were still in development stage. The proposed policy initiatives included policy revisions, taxation instruments, market targets, and a bio-industrial network development. Both the BCMDP and BIDP programs were closed in 2009. The BPCP program added additional support in 2011 for the production of biomass based heat and power. As noted above, the BPCP closed applications in 2011 and is set to expire on March 31, 2016. As the BPCP program was the primary economic measure impacting Alberta’s bioenergy producers over the 2007 – 2014 period, it is the primary focus of this report. Looking forward, the Government of Alberta is in the process of reviewing and renewing commitments to renewable and alternative energy production in the province. In June 2015, Minister Phillips renewed the Specified Gas Emitters Regulation, increasing the stringency of the targets and the price of carbon for the years 2016 and 2017. At the time of writing, consultations with respect to the climate change strategy were ongoing. A new energy and climate change policy framework presents a key opportunity to build off the success of the Bioenergy Plan, by defining a new comprehensive bioenergy strategy for the province. E N D - T O - E N D S U S T AI N AB I L I T Y | 8 BPCP Programs and Products: Table 2: Bioenergy Producer Credit Program: Eligible Bioenergy Production Types9 9 Program 1: Liquid Biofuels The liquid biofuels program includes renewable diesel, pyrolysis oil, ethanol, methanol, and other renewable fuel alcohols from feedstocks that may or may not include cereal grains. Ethanol and other renewable fuel alcohols, renewable diesel and pyrolysis oil must be certified to meet fuelgrade ASTM or Canadian General Standards Board specifications in order to be eligible. The local production of liquid biofuels can contribute to the Renewable Fuels Standard (RFS) requirement to blend 5% ethanol with gasoline and 2% biodiesel (or renewable diesel) with diesel. Program 2: Biogas Biogenic sources of methane are called biogas, or renewable {natural} gas. Biogas can be derived from anaerobic or aerobic digestion of animal manure, landfill waste, human or process wastewater, or biomass gasification. Eligible production under this program includes biogas sold or delivered off site, biogas combusted and converted into electricity to be sold into Alberta’s interconnected grid electricity system, or waste heat recovery from the production of the biogas products or the electricity from biogas products. Program 3: Wood Pellets The wood pellets program refers to pelleted heat sources such as biomass pellets or biocarbon with a higher heating value of at least 16.5 MJ/kg, and certified to meet fuel product specifications and standards accepted by Alberta Energy. This component of the BPCP program had the fewest number of producers (three), all of whom are operating in the forestry sector. These producers are making use of waste or residue forest fibre to produce a saleable, readily transportable energy product. Program 4: Biomass Combustion The biomass combustion program recognizes the opportunities for the generation of electricity, process heat, or combined heat and power (CHP) from biomass. Electricity generation capacity must have a nominal capacity of at least 150 kW and must not be an approved producer under the Micro Generation Regulation. Standalone heat systems must have a minimum capacity of 50,000 GJ per year. This program was taken up largely by the forestry sector, as well as the agri-processing sector. Alberta Energy: http://www.energy.alberta.ca/BioEnergy/pdfs/BPCPGuideline.pdf E N D - T O - E N D S U S T AI N AB I L I T Y | 9 Methodology All of the companies who were approved in BPCP program intake calls were contacted with a standardized data request form at the beginning of this project. The data request form asked the BPCP program applicants for information on their bioenergy project, including: capital cost, production capacity, date of commissioning, production to end-2014, carbon intensity of the product, number of full time equivalent (FTE) jobs, project partnerships, and whether the project received other public investment. Where the commissioning date was prior to January 1, 2007, only data from that date forward was considered in averages and totals. The data request was most frequently completed by the person who was responsible for BPCP program annual reporting. In some cases, BPCP annual reports were submitted in lieu of the data request form; in other cases, the information was taken from publicly available sources such as company press releases or industry media outlets. With respect to carbon intensities, the BPCP program companies supplied their own summations, averages, or calculation of emissions factors. The authors of this report did not attempt to verify or audit any information submitted, reported or accessed from publicly available sources. Of the 29 producers listed as BPCP applicants, 25 producers partially completed or fully completed a data request form, representing a response rate of approximately 86%. Data gaps exist in the wood pellet and biomass combustion sectors, such that those results are understated or conservative. Greenhouse Gas Quantification The greenhouse gas (GHG) analysis in this report is based on production reports and carbon intensities of bioenergy products at the bioenergy production facilities, as identified by the producers (data was most commonly derived from former BPCP reporting and production records). The analysis of actual bioenergy production is abridged since the survey did not capture all existing bioenergy production facilities or identify all potential future facilities in the province. The quantification of GHG reductions presented in this report is based on comparing the GHG emissions of Alberta bioenergy products to baseline energy products (gasoline, diesel, natural gas heat and electrical power) available in Alberta. The resulting values shows the GHG emission implications of Alberta bioenergy if it had been used within Alberta to displace traditional energy products. This value is useful as it gives a view of the emission performance of Alberta’s bioenergy sector on a comparable basis to the traditional energy products produced and used in the province. This methodology may or may not match bioenergy GHG reductions reported by the provincial government for two reasons: the first is whether or not comparable baselines for energy products are used for emission reduction comparisons; the second E N D - T O - E N D S U S T AI N AB I L I T Y | 1 0 is how on-site energy use (electricity and/or heat) at bioenergy facilities is quantified by other methodologies. Liquid biofuel GHG emission reductions compare the biofuel carbon intensities to a baseline of gasoline or diesel, with intensities of 91.6 g CO2e/MJ and 94.7 g CO2e/MJ respectively10. Biogas to electricity and biomass to electricity sectors compare the bioenergy carbon intensity to a conservative Alberta grid displacement factor of 0.59 tonnes CO2e/MWh11. Wood pellets and biomass to heat sectors compare the bioenergy carbon intensity to a natural gas displacement factor of 0.05709 tonnes CO2e/GJ12. BPCP Program Results Results: Bioenergy Production Capacity Bioenergy production capacity, as reported by the responding BPCP grant applicants, is substantial and grew rapidly under the BPCP program: Liquid Biofuels: The nameplate annual capacity of the four BPCP commercial biodiesel, ethanol, and methanol plants operating today is 388 million litres per year. Approximately two thirds of that volume is renewable diesel (biodiesel), while the balance is primarily ethanol and a smaller portion of methanol. Only one facility was established prior to the announcement of the 9-Point Bioenergy Plan. Since January 2007, biofuel facilities have produced more than 580,000,000 litres of renewable liquid biofuels. Biogas: Biogas producers have an annual power generating capacity of 183,785 MWh per year. Some of this capacity is used internally (i.e. within the bioenergy facilities), while the majority is exported to the provincial grid (the exact split is not known). The three BPCP producers of commercial biogas have been in operation only since 2012, and since then have generated over 16,105 MWh of renewable power. Wood Pellets: The three commercial wood pellet producers operating under the BPCP program produce an estimated 80,800 tonnes per year of a pelleted biomass heating product. Since January 2007, these operations have produced more than 646,400 tonnes of wood pellets. Biomass Combustion: Producers operating under this BPCP program sector produce process heat or electricity, and in some cases both. The seven producers with electricity generation have an annual generation capacity of 2,105,326 MWh per year, and since January 2007, have produced 10 Sourced from GHGenius, version 3.19 Alberta Environment and Parks, Carbon Offset Emission Factors Handbook, March 2015. 12 Ibid. 11 E N D - T O - E N D S U S T AI N AB I L I T Y | 1 1 more than 10,540,826 MWh of renewable power for the provincial grid. The ten producers who are using biomass to generate process heat have an annual generation capacity of 13,690,168 GJ/year. Since commencing operations, producers have used biomass to meet more than 79,639,804 GJ of their process heating needs. Table 3: Production Capacity and Production (2007-2014) of BPCP Producers by Sector. Liquid Biofuels Biogas Wood Pellets Biomass Combustion - Electricity Biomass Combustion - Heat Nameplate Annual Capacity 388,000,000 L/year 183,785 MWh/year 80,800 tonnes/year 2,105,326 MWh/year 13,690,168 GJ/year Production To Date 580,000,000 L 16,105 MWh 646,400 tonnes 10,540,826 MWh 79,639,805 GJ Results: Bioenergy Greenhouse Gas Savings: Across all program types, the use of bioenergy results in substantial greenhouse gas savings compared to a conventional fossil fuel product: Liquid Fuels: The carbon intensity of biofuels ranged between 20 – 37 gCO2e/MJ of fuel product (across all fuel types). Based on the province’s Carbon Offset Emissions Factors Handbook 13 carbon intensity for gasoline and diesel, the use of liquid biofuels results in substantial carbon emissions reductions on an energy basis. On average, liquid biofuels produced in Alberta are 66% less greenhouse gas intensive than the equivalent fossil fuel product. Given the production volumes above and respective fossil fuel product displacement, BPCP producers have generated greenhouse gas savings of 1,104,724 tonnes of carbon dioxide equivalents since January 2007. This greenhouse gas savings is equivalent to taking 232,573 passenger vehicles off the road. Biogas: A limited number of producers were able to report on the carbon intensity of their operations. The biogas to electricity projects had carbon intensities ranging from 0.04 to 0.07 tonnes CO2e/MWh. Considering the provincial electricity grid displacement emission factor is 0.59 tonnes CO2e/MWh 14 , biogas power produced in Alberta is an average of 89% less greenhouse gas intensive than the current Alberta grid. Given the production volumes above and the respective carbon intensities, biogas to electricity projects have resulted in greenhouse gas 13 Alberta Environment and Sustainable Resource Development: http://esrd.alberta.ca/focus/alberta-and-climatechange/regulating-greenhouse-gas-emissions/alberta-based-offset-credit-system/offset-credit-systemprotocols/documents/CarbonEmissionHandbook-Mar11-2015.pdf 14 Ibid. E N D - T O - E N D S U S T AI N AB I L I T Y | 1 2 savings of 8,389 tonnes of carbon dioxide equivalents since January 2007. The biogas electricity generation capacity is equivalent to powering 23,562 average Alberta homes for one year. Wood Pellets: Relatively little information was available on wood pellet production in Alberta. The BPCP producer reports indicated that wood pellets have a very low carbon intensity per GJ, approximately 0.002 tonnes CO2e/GJ of product. Given an estimated wood pellet production of 646,400 tonnes of pellets and the displacement of natural gas 15 as the conventional heating product, biomass pellets have resulted in savings of 608,340 tonnes of carbon dioxide equivalents since January 2007. The wood pellet production capacity is the equivalent of heating 83,025 average Alberta homes for one year. Biomass Combustion - Electricity: The biomass to electricity producers had a wide range of carbon intensities, ranging from 0.01 – 0.05 tonnes of CO2e/MWh. Considering the provincial electricity grid displacement emissions factor of 0.59 tonnes CO2e/MWh16, the biomass power producers achieved electricity generation at an average of 95% less greenhouse gas intensive than the current Alberta grid. Given the production volumes above, biomass to electricity projects have resulted in greenhouse gas savings of 5,949,532 tonnes of carbon dioxide equivalents since January 2007. This biomass to electricity generation capacity is equivalent to powering 269,914 average Alberta homes for one year. Biomass Combustion – Heat: The biomass to heat producers had a narrower range of carbon intensities, ranging from 0.01 – 0.02 tonnes of CO2e/GJ. The biomass heat producers achieved heat generation that is an average of 75% less greenhouse gas intensive than the use of natural gas. Given the production volumes above, biomass to heat projects have resulted in greenhouse gas savings of 3,660,099 tonnes of carbon dioxide equivalents since January 2007. This biomass to heat production capacity is equivalent to heating 114,085 average Alberta homes for one year. 15 Ibid; the natural gas emissions factor was calculated from the extraction, processing, and combustion factors provided for natural gas in Alberta to be 0.05709 tonnes CO2e/GJ. 16 Ibid. E N D - T O - E N D S U S T AI N AB I L I T Y | 1 3 Table 4: Greenhouse Gas Savings associated with BPCP Production (2007-2014) 31.63 gCO2e/MJ 0.061 tCO2e/MWh 0.002 tCO2e/GJ % Reduction over Business-as-Usual Scenario 66% 89% 97% 0.0284 tCO2e/MWh 95% 5,949,532 0.0259 tCO2e/GJ 75% 3,660,099 Average Carbon Intensity Liquid Biofuels Biogas Wood Pellets Biomass Combustion Electricity Biomass Combustion Heat Total GHG Savings To Date (since Jan. 2007) 1,104,724 8,389 608,340 11,331,083 The qualifying BPCP producers’ aggregated annual emissions reductions have increased every year since 2010 as more producers came online. Figure 1 below shows the greenhouse gas savings by year, between 2007 and 2014. 2,500,000 Tonnes CO2e 2,000,000 1,500,000 1,000,000 500,000 0 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Year Figure 1: Greenhouse Gas savings by year (2007-2014) E N D - T O - E N D S U S T AI N AB I L I T Y | 1 4 The years between 2011 and 2014 saw the greatest increases in greenhouse gas savings. Figure 2 below shows the cumulative greenhouse gas savings since January 1, 2007. The sharp increase towards the end of the BPCP program years reflects the delayed uptake of this incentive, as well as the increasing effectiveness of this incentive towards reducing the provincial greenhouse gas emissions. 12,000,000 TONNES CO2E 10,000,000 8,000,000 6,000,000 4,000,000 2,000,000 0 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 YEAR Figure 2: Cumulative Greenhouse Gas Emissions Savings (2007-2014) Greenhouse Gas Results in the Context of the Specified Gas Emitters Regulation (SGER) This section presents the magnitude of GHG reductions that BPCP producers have achieved in the context of other GHG reduction mechanisms in the province. Alberta’s Specified Gas Emitter’s Regulation (SGER) is the main mechanism employed to reduce the GHG emissions in the province. This regulation functions through mandating “specified emitters” (those who emit over 100,000 tonnes CO 2e per year) to make intensity reductions of 12% in aggregate at their facility, or else purchase carbon offsets, or else pay into the Climate Change Emissions Management Fund at $15/tonne (increasing to $30/tonne by 2017). Some bioenergy producers are generating emissions performance credits at their facilities while other bioenergy producers have undertaken the generation of carbon offset creations under an approved E N D - T O - E N D S U S T AI N AB I L I T Y | 1 5 government offset protocol. Bioenergy producer offset project types include Biofuel Production and Use, Anaerobic Digestion, Waste Heat Recovery, or Energy Efficiency. Table 5 below presents the results from the SGER over the same time frame as the BPCP results. The SGER results contemplate emissions reductions actually achieved at specified emitters’ facilities, offset credits submitted under the registry, and emissions reductions from cogeneration in the province. As of the end of calendar year 2014, the SGER has achieved cumulative reductions of 61 million tonnes (Mt) through all three mechanisms above. When considering the emissions reductions in the context of the BPCP producers, it is important to consider that there may be some double counting associated with the carbon offset credits submitted since some BPCP producers originate carbon offset tonnes or emissions performance credits. However, the majority of BPCP producers do not originate carbon offset tonnes. The emissions reductions at SGER facilities (106 facilities) total 14.57 Mt over the 2007 – 2014 time frame, while the emissions reductions from the BPCP facilities (25 facilities considered) over the same time frame total 7.1 Mt. The emissions reductions associated with BPCP production are equivalent to 49% of the SGER facilities’ emissions reductions. This comparison illuminates the magnitude of voluntary reductions achieved by BPCP producers when compared to other players subject to climate regulation. Table 5: Emissions Reductions Achieved by the Specified Gas Emitters Regulation Compliance Cycle 2007 (half year) 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Total Emissions Reductions at Facility (Mt CO2e) 1.60 1.35 0.89 1.02 3.06 1.20 0.45 5.01 14.57 Offset Credits Submitted (Mt CO2e) Recognition of Cogeneration (Mt CO2e) Total Reductions (Mt CO2e) 0.88 2.68 3.74 3.85 5.40 3.20 2.04 2.55 24.34 1.28 2.58 2.66 2.55 2.51 3.41 4.17 3.11 22.26 3.76 6.61 7.29 7.43 10.96 7.80 6.66 10.66 61.17 Note: Mt = Million Tonnes. Figures are subject to change as a result of auditing and are rounded for presentation purposes. E N D - T O - E N D S U S T AI N AB I L I T Y | 1 6 Results: Economic and Social Impacts Reported Capital Investment The Bioenergy Plan stimulated significant investment in bioenergy production capacity in Alberta. In aggregate, we estimate that more than $601,300,000 has been invested in the bioenergy infrastructure of qualifying BPCP facilities. Based on reported investments under the 9-Point Bioenergy Plan capital investment programs (BCMDP, BIDP) of $43,049,831 to the BPCP program recipients who participated in this study, public sector investment has effectively leveraged a 1:14 multiple of private sector capital. The liquid biofuels producers have directed approximately $325,000,000 in capital investments into their four facilities, while the biogas producers have invested approximately $107,000,000 in four facilities. Incomplete information was provided by wood pellet and biomass combustion producers. However, based on known project costs, we are able to estimate biomass combustion to electricity capital investment is likely in the range of $200 – 300 million for the seven facilities combined. Direct and Indirect Employment In terms of direct, full time employment following completion of construction and based on continued operating status, the bioenergy sector has created a significant number of new ‘clean energy’ jobs in Alberta. However, as many of the bioenergy facilities are expansion projects integrated into existing agricultural and forestry processing plants, respondents to the survey indicated that precise calculation of direct employment impacts are difficult to determine. In addition, the upstream indirect and induced employment impacts on employment in forestry harvesting, agricultural production and fibre or crop processing needs to be assessed. Based on the levels of reported output by sectors, as broken down in Table 6 sector by sector, a total of 5,281 full time equivalent (FTE) person-years of employment would have been required to produce the levels of bioenergy production reported by BPCP survey recipients. This figure is likely an underestimate as not all survey responses addressed employment, and the survey did not capture all bioenergy producers. E N D - T O - E N D S U S T AI N AB I L I T Y | 1 7 Table 6: Reported Investments, Public Investment and Direct/Indirect Person-Years of Employment, by sector Total Investment Liquid Biofuels Biogas Wood Pellets Biomass Combustion - Electricity Biomass Combustion - Heat Total $325,000,000 $107,000,000 $5,000,000+ $106,800,000 $57,500,000 $601,300,000 Provincial Grant Contributions $23,468,800 $11,354,000 $2,100,000 $3,127,031 $3,000,000 $43,049,831 Employment Required 2,130 345 207 1,132 1,467 5,281 Economic Impact Analysis The aggregated survey data was used to complete an evaluation of the economic benefits derived from the development of the bioenergy sector. In addition to direct job creation and capital expenditures, the bioenergy sector also generates a number of indirect employment opportunities and gross domestic product (GDP) impacts. The Alberta Economic Multipliers 2011 17 report was used here to determine economic multiplication effects of the bioenergy industry. This report makes use of an Input-Output Model developed by Alberta Treasury Board and Finance that is specific to 253 industries and 481 commodities within the province. The alternative to measuring economic growth GDP is to measure “total output” that captures final goods and services as well as the intermediate inputs. This is accomplished with an Input-Output analysis that captures linkages within the economy, and has a basis in the “System of National Accounts” developed by Statistics Canada. Input-Output models contemplate direct impacts (resulting from a direct change in demand within the industry), indirect impacts (those impacts to supplying industries) and induced impacts (additional economic consumption from spending wages). An open model considers direct and indirect impacts, while a closed model considers all three impact types. This research makes use of an open model for bioenergy production, while it makes use of a closed model for capital expenditures and investments. The closed model impact for construction used the default Alberta Economic Multiplier values for determining the portion of inputs that came from Alberta (vs imported). Model choices were made based on information available from interviews with subject matter experts and bioenergy producers, and on the degree to which bioenergy operators purchase key inputs (feedstocks) directly from biomass producers. 17 Alberta Treasury multipliers.html Board and Finance: http://www.finance.alberta.ca/aboutalberta/archive-economic- E N D - T O - E N D S U S T AI N AB I L I T Y | 1 8 The following tables present the results of the research in four areas: impact on GDP; impact on labour income, impact in employment required; and the total value of goods for final consumption and export, and goods consumed in production. Impact on GDP, labour income and total impact calculate the impact per dollar of output change, while the employment impacts are measured in person-years. Table 7 below presents the economic multiplier effects of the bioenergy industry in Alberta. It is worth noting that all values presented below are conservative, since not all bioenergy facilities in the province are included in the survey compiled for this report. The bioenergy industry in Alberta is a nearly $2 billion industry, requiring more than five thousand jobs in the operational phase directly and indirectly, with an impact of more than $300 million on labour income and a nearly $800 million impact on provincial GDP. Table 7: Economic multiplier effects of the bioenergy sector: current projects (2007 – 2014). Impact on GDP ($M) Impact on labour income ($M) Impact on employment required (person-years) Total value of goods for consumption or export and consumed during production ($M) Operations Construction $788 $361 5,281 $175 $121 2,937 $1,857 $402 Although the economic multiplier figures may appear small in relation to other sectors within Alberta, bioenergy facilities tend to be located in small communities. Specifically in 2011, 72% of bioenergy production plants in operation or under construction in Canada were in communities with less than 25,000 people and 44% were in communities with less than 5,000 people18. Many of these communities are struggling to survive due to changing demand for Canadian commodities (such as lumber). As a result, the addition of 30 to 40 jobs makes a significant contribution to the local community vitality19. Beyond employment and investment, additional indirect economic and social impacts of the bioenergy sector include: Increased waste diversion and decreased municipal and provincial spending on landfills and waste management strategies; 18 http://www.canbio.ca/upload/documents/canbio-bioenergy-data-study-2011-jan-31a-2012.pdf 19 http://www.canbio.ca/upload/documents/canbio-bioenergy-data-study-2011-jan-31a-2012.pdf E N D - T O - E N D S U S T AI N AB I L I T Y | 1 9 Health benefits associated with burning cleaner fuels like ethanol and biodiesel compared to gasoline and diesel, respectively; Decreases in the environmental costs associated with displacing toxic emissions from fossil fuels, and offsets against the $300M healthcare costs20 associated with coal-fired power emissions in Alberta; and, The creation of a value-added market for the agricultural and forestry sectors. A thriving bioenergy sector can play a key role in diversifying Alberta’s economy, while simultaneously supporting the province’s energy and environmental goals. Economic diversification helps build resilience and sustainable prosperity in the presence of fluctuating commodity prices in resource-based sectors. Future Alberta Bioenergy Projects Existing BPCP bioenergy producers surveyed for this project were also asked about future projects that were under construction, proposed, or planned. The survey methodology did not attempt to locate all bioenergy project developers; the data collected below is therefore only a sample set of current projects. The results of the survey of future projects points to considerable opportunity to grow the bioenergy sector through expanded use of existing forestry and agricultural feedstocks, residues and waste materials in the province. Another interesting trend is that those producers who listed future projects under a given bioenergy type were often already operating in a different bioenergy type; these results point to innovation, diversification and value-added manufacturing within the bioenergy sector. A summary of the proposed projects include: 20 Liquid biofuels: Survey respondents identified plans to add new production or expand production of ethanol, methanol, and renewable diesel by an additional 84,365,000 L/year of capacity, with a capital cost estimate of $413,000,000 in capital investments, and would require another 305 FTE jobs each year. (Note that planned projects include ‘next generation’ biofuels that have considerably higher capital costs per litre of output; hence, the GDP and employment impacts of the operating phase of these projects will be proportionately lower.) Biogas: Survey respondents identified additions of biogas to electricity facilities and/or biogas to heat facilities could add 61.9 MW of nameplate capacity of electrical generation and 18,000 GJ/year of heat. These projects would be worth over $323,000,000, and would require another 272 FTE jobs each year. http://asthma.ca/pdf/costly-diagnosis.pdf E N D - T O - E N D S U S T AI N AB I L I T Y | 2 0 Biomass Combustion: Innovative integrated heat and electricity projects are planned in this sector of unreported capacity, with an estimated $62,000,000 of new capital expenditures and require an additional 14 FTE jobs each year. Using greenhouse gas emissions reductions averages from the currently existing project types, it is estimated that the planned bioenergy projects will result in at least 2 million tonnes CO2e reductions per year. Projected revenues from planned projects were based on the 2014 average wholesale price for bioenergy products, and are not future discounted. Table 8: Summary of planned bioenergy expansions by currently producing BPCP producers Planned Capacity Planned Investment Jobs Required (FTE – annual) 84,365,000 L/year $ 413,000,000.00 305 Biogas 61.9 MW electricity; 18,000 GJ/yr heat $ 323,001,000.00 272 Biomass CHP Process efficiencies with heat + power capacity $ 62,000,000.00 Liquid Fuels Total $ 798,001,000.00 14 591 An economic analysis of the future bioenergy projects (similar to the economic impact analysis performed for the existing bioenergy projects above) is presented in Table 9 below. This table presents the potential economic multiplication of the projects if they are commissioned as presented in Table 8 above. Table 9: Economic multiplier effects of the bioenergy sector: planned future projects. Impact on GDP ($M) Impact on labour income ($M) Impact on employment required (person-years) Total value of goods for consumption or export and consumed during production ($M) Operations $69 $26 413 Construction $308 $213 2,767 $156 $708 E N D - T O - E N D S U S T AI N AB I L I T Y | 2 1 The following key opportunities for bioenergy sector expansion were noted: The planned projects in the liquid biofuels sector will contribute to Alberta’s increasing demand for renewable fuels under the Renewable Fuels Standard (RFS). In Alberta, approximately 300 million litres of ethanol or fuel alcohol, and 110 million litres of renewable diesel are needed per year in order to fulfill the RFS21, for a combined total of 410 million litres per year. The current production capacity of BPCP producers is a combined total of 388 million litres; planned capacity expansion of another 85 million litres (or more) will help Alberta move towards achieving 100% local production of renewable fuels. The decarbonisation of road transport fuels means there is an increasing opportunity to expand production and blending of biofuels in both the gasoline and diesel pools originating from the existing blending infrastructure in Alberta. Some of the planned future bioenergy projects are examples of the forestry and agri-processing industries’ efforts to integrate bioenergy production into their operations to achieve cost savings, or capture new revenue streams. In most cases, these projects will extend the producer’s influence in their upstream supply chain or downstream value chain, resulting in a more integrated company, leading to a more economically resilient operation. These projects are often initially capital intensive, but target low-risk business models with low-cost feedstocks. Another key opportunity for future bioenergy production is waste diversion from landfills. Approximately 2,628,000 tonnes per year of municipal solid waste (MSW) biomass per year is generated in the province, including single and multi-family residential waste (33%); institutional, commercial and industrial waste (40%), and construction and demolition waste (27%)22. The diversion of these materials to bioenergy facilities will capture economic value from waste or low value biomass resources. The use of these materials for energy generation would reduce provincial carbon emissions, and reduce the number of landfills and lagoons required, which eventually could lead to a landfill-free province. Landfill materials is an under-utilized resource at this time, and is growing at approximately the same rate as the population. Wood pellets for heating fuel is a growing industry across the province, and opportunities exist to co-fire wood pellets with conventional fuels such as coal, or to use them on their own. While demand is growing in Alberta, opportunities also exist to export wood pellets to other provinces, or the European Union. 21 Xiaomei Li and Arifra Sultana, 2015 Draft. Alberta Biofacility Systems – Information Management Systems. Alberta Innovates – Energy and Environment Solutions. 22 Identification of Opportunities for the Production of Bio-Products from Waste Bio-Mass in Alberta: Final Report. Prepared by Jacobs Consultancy and the University of Alberta, March 2013. PDF, 213 pages. E N D - T O - E N D S U S T AI N AB I L I T Y | 2 2 Bioenergy Project Financing Bioenergy funding sources that are presently available to these companies can be categorized as private capital, commercial loans, venture capital, federal and provincial funding initiatives23. The survey did not attempt to identify all clean energy project finance alternatives, but did ask respondents to identify public investment funds for existing (built) and planned projects. Notably, most federal and provincial clean energy funding mechanisms have terminated or closed applications for new funding. The federal government funding initiatives include: Sustainable Development Technology Canada (SDTC) Tech Fund, SDTC NextGen Biofuel Fund (winding down with no new applications), NRCan’s ecoEnergy for Biofuels Fund (closed in 201024), Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada initiatives (EcoAgriculture and Biofuel Capital Initiative (expired 2012), and Biofuels Opportunities for Producer Initiatives (closed 2008)). Provincial funding sources in Alberta include the BPCP program, as well as project funding from the Climate Change Emissions Management Corporation (CCEMC) and Alberta Innovates – Environment and Energy Solutions. Support from programs such as BCMDP and BIDP, as well as many AB Innovates – Bio Solutions programs have terminated. Some projects are also able to develop carbon offset credits for sale in Alberta’s regulatory market. It is worth noting that the survey respondent’s expansion plans may be conditional on one or more forms of the support listed above, and are not guaranteed to go ahead on private equity alone. A firm and clear production incentive system will allow bioenergy producers to use private equity to bridge the funding gaps. At this stage, alternative and renewable energy projects still require government policy to create market access as well as create conditions for competitive returns with minimal risk. 23 Xiaomei Li and Arifra Sultana, 2015 Draft. Alberta Biofacility Systems – Information Management Systems. Alberta Innovates – Energy and Environment Solutions. 24 http://www.nrcan.gc.ca/energy/alternative-fuels/programs/ecoenergy-biofuels/3605 E N D - T O - E N D S U S T AI N AB I L I T Y | 2 3 Summary This report surveyed the majority of the bioenergy producers that qualified under the Bioenergy Producer Credit Program (BPCP) in Alberta to determine the economic and environmental benefits associated with the bioenergy sector, specifically liquid biofuels, biogas electricity generation, wood pellets, and biomass combustion (heat and/or power). This report presents the substantial production capacity of those producers qualifying under the BPCP program, and presents the planned development and expansions beyond the current installed capacity. In summary, this report presents the potential of the bioenergy sector to provide low carbon intensity energy services while supporting provincial greenhouse gas emissions reductions targets and providing jobs. Associated benefits are also discussed, such as the economic multiplier effect, ability to divert materials formerly considered waste, and support for the economic resiliency of rural communities. The use of the bioenergy products, when compared to conventional equivalent energy products, results in substantial greenhouse gas reductions. Annual reductions have increased over the duration of the BPCP incentive program to 2,342,618 tonnes CO2e per year in 2014. A cumulative total of 11,331,083 tonnes of CO2e emissions reductions were achieved between 2007 and 2014. Greenhouse gas emissions are reduced by an average of 84% compared to the use of equivalent fossil fuels across all bioenergy types. Bioenergy producers operate largely in rural communities with forestry or agriculture-based economies, and support rural jobs. To date, production at the BPCP producers’ facilities supports an estimated 5,281 person-years of employment, with an economic multiplier impact of $361 million on labour income, and $788 million impact on provincial GDP. These industries are crucial for the resilience of the rural population, as innovative value-added manufacturing in the agriculture and forestry is critical to support these commodity-based sectors into the future. Bioenergy producers provide an additional benefit: diversification away from reliance on fossil fuel energy can help decouple the province’s economy from the volatility of crude oil and gas markets, expand access to capital for new energy sources, enhance competition in energy markets, and stabilize energy costs for Alberta consumers and industries as a whole. The bioenergy industry in Alberta is a nearly $2 billion industry, requiring more than five thousand jobs in the operational phase directly and indirectly, with an impact of more than $300 million on labour income and a nearly $800 million impact on provincial GDP. The total capital investment in bioenergy facilities that qualify under BPCP is at least $600 million, considering only those parts of the facility that are producing energy. Several of the BPCP producers have made use of available grants, and the provincial funding has been an important source of support, leveraged by the bioenergy producers at an impressive 1:14 ratio with private investments. E N D - T O - E N D S U S T AI N AB I L I T Y | 2 4 This report also presents the results of those producers who indicated plans for future expansion. In total, the producers surveyed indicated plans to develop capacity for 84,365,000 L/year of liquid biofuels, 65.9 MW of generating capacity, and 18,000 GJ/year of heat, as well as other process efficiencies. Notably, many producers are diversifying or increasing the types of bioenergy they will produce with their expansion, leading to more integrated primary industries. The goals of the 9-Point Bioenergy Plan were to help increase market access and stability for bioenergy producers, and support the creation of a bio-economy that includes high-value products from bio-refining of agriculture and forestry biomass. Given the increase in bioenergy production volumes since 2006, and identified or planned bioenergy expansions, the authors conclude that the initiatives put forth under the 9-Point Bioenergy Plan did help support its stated goals. Continued viability and growth of the bioenergy sector, however, is not guaranteed to continue in a robust manner without continued policy support, including some public and/or private funding support. Many of the bioenergy facilities are not operating at full capacity. Planned investments have not been committed due to uncertain market access and project returns. At the time of writing, the future policy, regulatory and competitiveness of bioenergy production in the province of Alberta is uncertain. However, the potential to make increasing use of biomass in the province is proven, with established environmental and economic benefits. The bioenergy sector is well poised to contribute to the province of Alberta’s economic and environmental goals. Renewed policy direction will help unlock the potential within this sector. E N D - T O - E N D S U S T AI N AB I L I T Y | 2 5 Appendix A: Data Tables Summary of Existing Projects Sector Liquid Fuels Biogas Wood Pellets Biomass CHP electricity Biomass CHP - heat Capacity 388,000,000 L/year 183,785 MWh/year 80,800 tonnes / year 2,105,326 MWh/year 13,690,168 GJ/year Production to date Total Investment Provincial Grant Amounts 580,000,000 L $325,000,000 $23,468,800 16,105 MWh $107,000,000 $11,354,000 646,400 tonnes $5,000,000 + $2,100,000 10,540,826 MWh $106,800,000 + $3,127,031 79,639,805 GJ $57,500,000 + $3,000,000 $601,300,000 $43,049,831 TOTAL/AVG Carbon Intensity 31.63 gCO2e/MJ 0.061 tCO2e/MWh 0.002 tCO2e/GJ 0.0284 tCO2e/MWh 0.0259 tCO2e/GJ % GHG Reduction GHG Savings to date (tonnes) Public to private investment ratio 66% 1,104,724 1:13 89% 8,389 1:9 97% 608,340 N/A 95% 5,949,532 1:34 75% 3,660,099 N/A 84% 11,331,083 1:14 Summary of Future Projects Liquid Fuels Biogas Biomass CHP TOTAL/AVG Planned Capacity 84,365,000 L/year Planned Investment $ 413,000,000.00 61.9 MW electricity; $ 323,001,000.00 18,000 GJ/yr heat 4 MW + process efficiencies $ 62,000,000.00 $ 798,001,000.00 Note: These tables present raw data aggregated from the time period of January 1, 2007 to December 31, 2014. Appendix B: Survey Respondents Call 1 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 N/A N/A Applicant Bioenergy Product Status Program 1: Liquid biofuels, such as renewable fuel alcohol and renewable diesel Alpac Forest Products Inc. Methanol Not Producing BFuel Canada Corporation Biodiesel Not Producing Blue Horizon Bio-Diesel Inc. Biodiesel Not Producing Growing Power Hairy Hill Intermittent Ethanol L.P. Production Kyoto Fuels Corporation Receivership (now Invigor Biofuels Biodiesel (purchased June Corporation) 2015) Northern Biodiesel L.P. Biodiesel Producing (now ADM) Olds College Biodiesel Program finished Permolex Ltd. Ethanol Producing Response Type See Below Not included Not included Survey Response Pending Survey Response Survey Response Survey Response Program 2: Biogas and syngas from manure, landfill and human wastewater; heat and electricity produced from biogas, syngas and gasification of biomass; electricity and heat from waste heat recovery Dapp Power L.P. Electricity Producing Survey Response Growing Power Hairy Hill Electricity Producing Survey Response L.P. Grow the Energy Circle Ltd. Electricity Producing Survey Response Lethbridge Biogas L.P. Electricity and Heat Producing Survey Response Mustus Energy Ltd. Electricity Future project No Response Renew Bioenergy Electricity and Heat Future project Survey Response Biorefinex Electricity Future project Publicly Available Info. Program 3: Wood pellets, biocarbon and other commercial biomass pellets 1 1 2 La Crete Sawmills Ltd. Vanderwell Contractors (1971) Ltd. Manning Diversified Forest Products Wood Pellets Producing Publicly Available Info. Wood Pellets Producing Survey Response Wood Pellets Producing Survey Response Call Applicant Bioenergy Product Status Response Type Program 4: Combustion of biomass, to produce electricity and heat, including cogeneration 1 1 2 2 1 Alpac Forest Products Inc. Blue Ridge Lumber Inc. Canadian Forest Products Ltd. Cargill Meat Solutions Daishowa-Marubeni International Ltd. Electricity and Heat Heat Producing Producing Survey Response Survey Response Electricity and Heat Producing Pending Electricity and Heat Producing Declined Participation Electricity and Heat Producing Survey Response Heat Producing BPCP Reports Submitted 1 Gordon Buchanan Enterprises Ltd. 1 Hinton Pulp, a Division of West Fraser Mills Ltd. Electricity and Heat Producing Survey Response 1 Hinton Wood Products, a Division of West Fraser Mills Ltd. Heat Producing Survey Response Heat Producing Survey Response Heat Producing Survey Response Heat Producing Survey Response Electricity Producing Survey Response Electricity Producing BPCP Reports Submitted 2 1 1 1 1 Northland Forest Products Ranger Board, a Division of West Fraser Mills Ltd. Sundre Forest Products Inc.- West Fraser LVL Valley Power L.P. Weyerhaeuser Company Ltd. E N D - T O - E N D S U S T AI N AB I L I T Y | 2 8 Appendix C: Economic Analysis Assumptions LIQUID BIOFUELS BIOGAS WOOD PELLETS BIOMASS CHP ELECTRICITY BIOMASS CHP - HEAT ALL SECTORS Existing Projects IMPACT ON GDP ($M) $364.6 $41.5 $27.7 $152.8 $201.3 $787.9 IMPACT ON LABOUR INCOME ($M) $104.3 $25.2 $16.8 $92.7 $122.2 $7.3 $3.4 $0.5 $2.2 $1.1 $111.6 $28.6 $17.3 $95.0 $123.3 2000 299 200 1102 1452 130 46 7 30 15 2130 345 207 1132 1467 5,281 $781.1 $105.5 $70.4 $388.2 $511.5 $1,856.6 IMPACT ON GDP ($M) $97.8 $22.8 $- $32.0 $24.0 $176.5 IMPACT ON LABOUR INCOME ($M) $67.5 $15.7 $- $22.1 $15.3 $120.6 877 205 0 287 1568 2,937 $224.6 $52.4 $- $73.5 $51.0 $401.6 OPERATIONS DIRECT SALARIES TOTAL LABOUR INCOME IMPACT IMPACT ON EMPLOYMENT REQUIRED (PERSONYEARS) DIRECT JOBS TOTAL JOBS IMPACT: EMPLOYMENT REQUIRED (DIRECT & INDIRECT) TOTAL VALUE OF GOODS FOR FINAL CONSUMPTION OR EXPORT, AND GOODS CONSUMED IN PRODUCTION ($M) $375.8 CONSTRUCTION IMPACT ON EMPLOYMENT REQUIRED (PERSON YEARS) TOTAL VALUE OF GOODS FOR FINAL CONSUMPTION OR EXPORT, AND GOODS CONSUMED IN PRODUCTION ($M) The operations component of this table is based on ATB Economic Multipliers Report, Table 3: Alberta Simple Multipliers (Commodities at Basic Prices), using the commodity codes M111B and M11E0. The construction component of this table is based on ATB Economic Multipliers Report, Table 4: Alberta Simple Multipliers (Commodities at Purchaser Prices), using the commodity codes M23B0, M3320, M3330, M334C, M3350, and M541E. E N D - T O - E N D S U S T AI N AB I L I T Y | 2 9 LIQUID BIOFUELS BIOGAS WOOD PELLETS BIOMASS CHP ELECTRICITY BIOMASS CHP - HEAT ALL SECTORS Future Projects IMPACT ON GDP ($M) $48.4 $19.2 $- $1.2 $- $68.8 IMPACT ON LABOUR INCOME ($M) $13.8 $11.7 $- $0.8 $- DIRECT SALARIES $2.2 $10.0 TOTAL LABOUR INCOME IMPACT $16.1 $21.6 $- $10.7 $- $48.4 265 139 0 9 0 413 40 133 0 6 0 179 305 272 0 14 0 591 $0.6 $224.6 $- $0.3 $- $225.5 IMPACT ON GDP ($M) $159.6 $124.8 $- $- $24.0 $308.3 IMPACT ON LABOUR INCOME ($M) $110.2 $86.2 $- $- $16.5 $212.9 1432 1120 0 0 215 2,767 $366.7 $286.8 $- $- $555.0 $708.5 OPERATIONS IMPACT ON EMPLOYMENT REQUIRED (PERSONYEARS) DIRECT JOBS TOTAL JOBS IMPSCT (DIRECT & INDIRECT) TOTAL VALUE OF GOODS FOR FINAL CONSUMPTION OR EXPORT, AND GOODS CONSUMED IN PRODUCTION ($M) $10.0 CONSTRUCTION IMPACT ON EMPLOYMENT REQUIRED (PERSON YEARS) TOTAL VALUE OF GOODS FOR FINAL CONSUMPTION OR EXPORT, AND GOODS CONSUMED IN PRODUCTION ($M) The operations component of this table is based on ATB Economic Multipliers Report, Table 3: Alberta Simple Multipliers (Commodities at Basic Prices), using the commodity codes M111B and M11E0. The construction component of this table is based on ATB Economic Multipliers Report, Table 4: Alberta Simple Multipliers (Commodities at Purchaser Prices), using the commodity codes M23B0, M3320, M3330, M334C, M3350, and M541E. E N D - T O - E N D S U S T AI N AB I L I T Y | 3 0 Appendix D: Additional Infographics E N D - T O - E N D S U S T AI N AB I L I T Y | 3 1 E N D - T O - E N D S U S T AI N AB I L I T Y | 3 2 E N D - T O - E N D S U S T AI N AB I L I T Y | 3 3 E N D - T O - E N D S U S T AI N AB I L I T Y | 3 4 E N D - T O - E N D S U S T AI N AB I L I T Y | 3 5
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