Tri-Star Trust Bank www.tristartrust.com Simplifying Life Market Statistics LAST S&P 500 WEEKLY CHANGE % CHANGE LAST WEEKLY CHANGE % CHANGE 1,520 +2 + 0.1% 30-year fixed mortgage 3.53% + 0 bp DJIA 13,982 - 11 - 0.1% Gold $1,609 - $59 - 3.5% 10-year U.S. Treasury 2.01% + 6 bp + $1.09 + 0.9% Brent crude oil $120.33 This Week’s Highlights Retail Sales Are Light If doubt ever existed that tax increases don't affect spending, look no further than last month's advance report on retail sales (see chart). Sales for January rose just 0.1% to $416.6 billion. Recall that consumers saw their take-home pay drop as the payroll tax rate was restored to 6.2% in January from 4.2%. Auto sales continued to power forward, up 12.1% year over year. Building-equipment suppliers, reflecting the solid housing recovery, reported sales increased 5.7%. Retail and Food Services Sales 430 Billions of Dollars Weekly Telegram February 15, 2013 395 360 325 2007 2009 2011 2013 Nemo Disrupts Claims The snowstorm called Nemo that struck the East Coast in early February was blamed for skewing unemployment claims. Business generally came to a halt, so great skepticism surrounded the big drop to 341,000 claims. Industrial-production numbers for January also were released this week. Production declined 0.1%, driven primarily by a 3.2% decline in auto manufacturing. Period: Feb. 2 Announced: 341,000 Expected: 365,000 Source: Department of Labor Period: February 2013 Consumer Sentiment Rebounds With concerns of the "fiscal cliff" behind us, consumer confidence gained this month. The Thomson Reuters/University of Michigan sentiment index rose to 76.3 in early February from 73.8 last month. The results were better than expected. A rebounding housing market, better-than-expected jobs growth and stock indexes at five-year highs were cited as contributing to the brighter outlook. Announced: 76.3 Expected: 73.5 Source: TRI/Univ of Michigan Stocks Pause; Gold Slumps Stock prices closed down slightly for the week, as the market prepared for the sequestration showdown into the end of the month. The DJIA closed down 11 points to 13,982. Bond prices slipped as yields inched higher across all maturities. The 10-year Treasury settled at 2.01%. Oil prices were generally firm, as Brent crude closed at $120.33 per barrel. However, gold prices took a dive this week, closing at $1,609 per ounce, down $59. Rumors circulated of large hedge funds trimming exposure. 2-year UST + 2 bp to 0.27% 5-year UST + 4 bp to 0.87% 10-year UST + 6 bp to 2.01% 30-year UST + 3 bp to 3.19% S&P 500 DJIA Nasdaq FTSE + 2 (0.1%) to 1,520 - 11 (-0.1%) to 13,982 - 2 (-0.1%) to 3,192 + 64 (1.0%) to 6,328 Copyright 2013 by Financial Counselors, Inc. This material has been prepared for information purposes only. Factual materials obtained from sources believed to be reliable but cannot be guaranteed. Chart data: U.S. Department of Commerce: Census Bureau, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. Market data for the week ending February 15, 2013 Week Ending Close 2/15/13 Index Or Metric Week Opened at Point or $ Change YTD% Change 52 Week% Change Economics Summary This week’s economic releases: http://biz.yahoo.com/c/ec/ DJIA 13,981.76 1wk Δ = 0.06% 13,992.97 -11.21 6.7% 8.0% 201308.html Sources: The Wall Street S&P 500 1,519.79 1wk Δ = -0.10% 1,517.93 1.86 6.6% 11.6% -1.84 5.7% 8.1% Journal, CNBC.com, MSCI Barra.com, and Goldprice.org. NASDAQ 3,192.03 1wk Δ = -0.21% 3,193.87 Prepared by: Andre Buckley and Robert Russell 2000 923.15 1 wk Δ = -0.07% 913.67 9.48 8.7% 11.4% Miller Edited & Distributed by: Danielle Rohac M.S.C.I. EAFE 1,663.457 1 wk Δ = -0.5510% 1,672.674 -9.217 3.71% 8.22% *Disclaimer: This information is provided for Week Ending Yield Index or Metric The Week Opened at Basis Point Yield Change YTD % Change 52 Week % Change 3 Month T-Bill 0.101% 0.071% 0.03% 0.01% 0.2% 10 Year 2.009% 1.953% 0.056% -1.7% 2.4% 95.86 95.72 $0.14 -7.15% 4.40% NYMEX Crude 1 wk Δ = -1.49% informational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation for any investment strategy or product described herein. This information is not intended as investment advice and does not take Gold (CMX)/oz. $1608.80 1 wk Δ = -1.58% $1666.00 -$57.2 -6.71% -3.94% into account an investor’s individual circumstances. Week Ending Close The Week Opened at $1.3362 $1.3365 $ Up YTD %Δ= -1.2% Japanese Yen (per U.S. $) ¥/$ ¥93.51 ¥92.69 $ Up YTD %Δ= 7.8% British Pound (in U.S. $) $/₤ $1.5516 $1.5801 $ Up YTD %Δ= 4.7% be reliable, but its Canadian Dollar (in U.S. $) $/C$ $.9936 $.9975 $ Up YTD %Δ= 1.4% interpretation are Australian Dollar (in U.S. $) $/AUD$ $1.0305 $1.0318 $ Up YTD %Δ= 0.9% New Zealand Dollar (in U.S. $) $/NZ$ $.8451 $.8357 $ Down YTD %Δ= -2.0% Swiss Franc (in U.S. $) $/S Franc $1.0849 $1.0901 $ Up YTD %Δ= 0.7% Brazil Real $/Real $.5080 $.5068 $ Down YTD %Δ= -3.9% Currency Euro (in U.S. $) $/€ Opinions expressed Impact on the U.S. $ for the week and YTD % change herein are subject to change at any time without notice. Information has been obtained from sources believed to accuracy and not guaranteed.
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