Botanzcal Journal of the Linnean Sac@ (1998),126: 109-1 2 1. With 6 figures Orchid population biology: conservation and challenges. Edited by S. Waite Population biology of the rare military orchid (Orchis militaris L.) at an established site in Suffolk, England STEPHEN WAITE Biology Division, Dtpartment of Phamay, UniuersiQ of Brighton, Cockcroft Building, Moulsecoomb, Brghton BN2 4GJ LYNNE FARRELL Scottish Natural Heritage, 2 Anderson Place, Edinburgh EH6 5NP In Britain, where it reaches the north-westerly limit of its European distribution, Orchis militaris L. is extremely rare. Well-established and persistent populations of 0. militaris are known to exist at only two sites. The largest extant population of 0. militaris occurs in a disused chalk pit in Suffok. A preliminary demographic analysis of this population, covering the period 1975 to 1991, along with estimates of key life stage transition probabilities are presented here. From 1975 to 1986 the number of separate identifiable plants in the population declined substantially. Until 1986 recruitment of rosettes was poor. The largest cohort of new plants, recorded in 1976, was 35. Approximately 48% of new individuals recruited between 1976 and 1985 failed to flower. Of those flowering, approximately 55% flowered during their first year above ground. Of the original population recorded in 1975, 67.8% flowered at least once during the study. The reproductive performance, i.e. the frequency of flowering and the period between episodes of flowering, varied considerably between individuals. Some plants flowered every year while others only flowered once during the study. Few plants remained below ground for more than one year, while several apparently persisted below ground for more than 6 successive years. Although the number of plants that can be identified as separate individuals has declined, the total number of rosettes in the population has, from 1986, increased dramatically. Because of the dense clumping of these recruits it is not possible to determine whether they are derived from seed or vegetative propagation. When post 1986 recruitment is combined with the number of plants that established before 1986 and survive, the apparent number of plants present at the site has more than doubled between 1975 and 1991. 0 1998 The Linnean Society of London ADDITIONAL KEY WORDS:-conservation - life-cycles - monitoring. Correspondence to Dr S. Waite. Email [email protected] 0024-4074/98/0 10109 + 13 $25.00/0/bt970 148 109 0 1998 The Linnean Society of London llO S. WAITE Al'\lD L. FARRELL CO:\'TE!\'TS Introduction . . . . . . . . Site history and management Methods . . . . . . . l\fonitoring of population . . Results . . . . . . . . . Population structure Recruitment and population trends . Transition probabilities . Discussion Acknowledgements References 110 110 Ill 111 112 112 113 114 118 120 120 Il\'TRODIJCTIOl\" Orchis militaris L. is an extremely rare species in Britain, where it reaches the north-westerly limit of its European distribution. Although it was thought to be extinct in 1929, well-established and persistent populations of 0. militaris are now known to exist at two sites. A small population was discovered, at a site at which the species was previously unknown, in Buckinghamshire in 194 7 (see Hutchings, Mendoza & Havers, this volume). A second, larger population was discovered in 1954 in a disused Suffolk chalk pit. Records of the size of the Suffolk population have been kept since 1955. Since 197 5 plant coordinates have been recorded each year during the flowering season, allowing the fate of plants to be determined. A preliminary demographic analysis of the Suffolk population covering the period 197 5-91, along with estimates of key life stage transition probabilities, is presented here. On the European mainland the distribution of 0. militaris extends from southeastern Sweden and Russia, through central Europe to northern Spain, central Italy, through Turkey and eastward to the Altai Mountains and Lake Baikal. Throughout its range 0. militaris occurs in species-rich grasslands on calcareous soil, in full light or partial shade. The species is reported to prefer warm spring and summer conditions, to be tolerant of cold winters, but not of hot dry summers. The plants of the Suffolk populations differ from the Buckinghamshire populations, being larger and more closely resembling the plants of continental Europe and Asia. At the Suffolk site plants emerge above ground in late December or earlyJanuary, increasing rapidly in size during May, when the flower stalks elongate. Flowers are fully open in early June, seed capsules being fully ripe in late August or early September (Farrell, 1985, 1991). Site history and management The Suffolk population has been continuously monitored since its discovery in 1954. The original population of plants was largely confined to open areas of chalk. It expanded rapidly in numbers from an estimated initial population of 500 plants to a total of 2854 plants in 1958. The population remained at around this high POPULATION BIOLOGY OF ORCHIS MZLJTARZS L. 111 level until the late 1960s, after which it declined rapidly to only 252 plants in 1971. During this period the site had become overgrown and steps were subsequently taken to remove invading scrub and tree species. The encroaching shrub corresponds to the NVC Crataegus monogyna-Hedera helix W21 community (Rodwell, 1991). In autumn 1972, Acer sp. trees were felled to reduce shading at the site. Subsequently, in 1980 and 1982, all Betula spp. trees were removed from the main orchid area (Farrell, 1985, 1991). During this period a 10 m belt of tall Corsican pine (I? niga var. maritima) which had been planted in 1952, was removed from the perimeter of the site. In some parts of the site areas of moss cover developed following tree removal. Because of the concern that the moss may smother seedlings of 0. militaris, and harbour small mammals that eat and damage orchid tubers, occasional hand clearance of moss has also been conducted since 1980 (Farrell, 1991; M. Harding, pers comm.). Since 1987, two annual work parties, in October and February, have hand-cleared potentially competitive herbaceous species (e.g. liussilago fagara and RubusJiuticosus agg.). This management appears to have been very successful, since the decline of the population has been reversed. The total number of plants increased substantially after 1986, although the high numbers recorded in the 1950s have not been reached (Farrell, 1991). METHODS Monitoring of the population Since 1975 the population has been recorded annually during the flowering period, using the co-ordinate method (Farrell, 1985), which allows the fate of individual plants to be followed (Wells, 1967). At each census date the positions of individuals are recorded along with their status, i.e. whether they are flowering or non-flowering (vegetative).Multi-leaved rosettes and plants with only a single leaf were recorded as distinct classes. From 1986 onwards many small plants with only a single leaf entered the population. The data set allows the fate of individual plants to be easily determined from 1975 to 1987. After this date, although it is still possible to follow the fate of many previously established plants, the identity and fate of recruits cannot be followed. Recruits entering the population after 1986 were all clustered closely around the co-ordinates of established plants, making it impossible to identlf). individuals unambiguously using the co-ordinate method. Thus, some of the population parameters presented here are based on the first 12 years of records only. Records for some small sections of the population, which were incomplete or inconsistent, have been excluded from the analysis. Because of this, figures presented here underestimate the true size of the population at the site. The records of the sections included in the present study contained approximately 80% of the all rosettes present at the start of the study in 1975. In common with other temperate orchid species (Wells, 1981; Mehrhoff, 1989; Willems & Bik, 1991; Rasmussen, 1995),plants of 0. militaris appear to demonstrate dormancy, failing to be recorded above ground during one or more consecutive annual censuses, but re-emerging in subsequent years. Plants were classified as being in one of three states: (1) above-ground flowering, (2) above-ground vegetative, or (3) absent (i.e. below-ground dormant). Plants re-emerging after periods of apparent 1 I!: S. LVhITE XKD L. FARRELL dormancy at the position previously occupied by a plant were retrospectively classed as dormant. In these cases it is possible that a small number of new recruits may wrongly be classified as established plants. It is impossible to distinguish unambiguously between vegetative and seedlingderkred recruits. Gi\Ten the rarity of the 0. militaris in the UK, excavation of individuals is not possible. A pragmatic approach has been adopted. Following FVillems (1989), an individual plant is considered to be either an isolated rosette or a small group (2-4) of closely associated rosettes. Recruits (i.e. newly recorded rosettes) that occupy locations clearly distinct from previously established plants are treated as new plants, mostly probably derived from seed. The occurrence of more than one multi-leaved rosette centred on the same co-ordinates previously occupied by a single individual rosette has been treated as vegetative multiplication of rosettes. While increasing the number of rosettes present in the population, rosette multiplication is not considered to constitute recruitment of new plants. Probabilities for all possible life-stage transitions (tn+tll+ J, were calculated from the demographic data using the procedures outlined in van Groenendael, Kroon & Caswell (1988) and detailed in Caswell (1989). The transition probabilities were calculated independently, for each year of the study and for each class of aboveground plant, i.e. flowering or vegetative. N o distinction was made between plants with differing past histories. Transition probabilities were tested for normality using the Shapiro -Wilks test and found to be normally distributed. The Pearson product moment correlation was used to test for relationships between transition probability values and calendar year. None was found. To assess whether the dynamics of the population had changed in response to site management transition probabilities were averaged for the first 1 years of the study (1975-79) and for the period 1983-87, the last 4 years for which reliable estimates of transition probabilities can be obtained. Llveragevalues were compared using Student t-tests. Cohort and population depletion curves were fitted by regression analysis, using the negative exponential model (Harper, 1977). M statistical procedures follow Sokal & Rohlf (1987) and were performed using MINITAB version 10. RESULTS Population structure Of the 416 plants whose fate could be followed throughout the study period, 30.8O/o were absent from the above ground population for at least one census between their first and last dates of recording. O n average in any year approximately 1 4 O O (range 9.55-22.360/0) are dormant. Mowing for the presence of dormant plants, the estimated size of the initial 1975 population was 350 plants, made up of 304 above ground plants plus 46 plants below ground. Plants persist in the below cground phase for differing lengths of time. The majority of plants remain below ,ground for one year only. Between 1975 and 1987, 95% of plants that entered and returned from the below ground phases did so within 3 years, although some indil-iduals appeared to persist below ground for up to 8 consecutive years (Fig. 1). POPULATION BIOLOGY OF ORCHZS MZLKARZS L 113 70.0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Number of successive years below ground 8 Figure I. Proportional distribution of records of dormancy between dormant periods of different durations. The majority (67.8%) of the 304 above-ground plants recorded in 1975 flowered at least once during the study. Of the 108 plants entering the population between 1976 and 1986, 48.2% failed to flower between 1976 and 1991; 28.7% flowered in the year of recruitment to the above ground population; 84% flowered within 3 years of first being recorded. Overall, flowering plants accounted for 28.7% of all recruits recorded during the study (Fig. 2A). The frequency of flowering varied between individuals. The majority of flowering plants flowered in each year for which they were recorded above ground. However some individuals persisted as non-flowering plants for up to 11 years between flowering events (Fig. 2B). The proportion of the survivors of the 1975 cohort that flowered in any one year varied considerably during the study (Fig. 3). It decreased from approximately 0.4 in 1975 to 0.1 7 in 1981, after which the proportion of surviving plants flowering increased, so that in 1990 over 60% were recorded flowering. Recruitment and population trends Recruitment of individual plants which appeared not to be derived from vegetative propagation was not sufficient to maintain the population during the study. Plant losses far exceeded gains. The population in 1988, the last date for which a reliable estimate of the number of plants in the below ground phase can be made, was approximately half the size of the estimated 1975 population (Fig. 4). The original population, and all cohorts, followed Deevey type I1 survivorship curves, implying a constant risk of mortality. Cohort half-lives ranged from 7.8 years for the 1977 cohort to 2.2 years for the 1986 cohort. Approximately 15% of the 1975 population survived until 1991 when they were at least 17 years old, and 18% of the 1976 cohort survived until 1991, when they were at least 16 years old. The progressive decline in cohort sizes and half-lives suggests that conditions at the site have S. WUTE AWD L. FARRELL B Irrym,,=, 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 1 8 Time to first recorded flowering event (years) 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 91011 Length of vegetative period between flowering events (years) Figure 2. A, proportional distribution of the records for the length of time between a plant first being recorded above ground and its first recorded flowering event, based on plants recruited between 1976 and 1986 (n= 108); 48.2% ofthese plants failed to flower during the study. B, proportional distribution of the records of the length of time between successive flowering events, based on data for all flowering plants and all flowering events. deteriorated and are less favourable for the recruitment and/or survival of individuals derived from seed (Table 1). When the total numbers of rosettes in the population is considered, (i.e. no attempt is made to distinguish between individual plants (possibly genets),vegetatively derived rosettes (ramets) and plants whose original is uncertain) a different pattern emerges (Fig. 5). Although the population decreased steadily in size from 1975 to 1986, this was followed by a rapid increase. In 1986, substantial numbers of singleleafed plants were recorded for the first time. These were all closely associated with established plants. In 1987 they formed the largest single component of the population, accounting for 56.6% of all plants. Although the increase in the total number of rosettes present largely results from the recruitment of single-leafed individuals, it also results partly from an increase in the number of rosettes produced by established plants. The number of rosettes apparently associated with each of the surviving plants first recorded in 1975 increased substantially from 1986 onwards (Fig. 6). Transition probabilities All transition probabilities were normally distributed and varied little during the study. Between successive years the probability of either flowering or vegetative plants entering the below ground phase was approximately 10%. This value did not change significantly between the start and end of the study (Table 2). The risk of mortality among flowering individuals (F-+D) was low (-3%). In contrast, POPULATION BIOLOGY OF ORCHIS MIL!TARIS L. 115 0. 70 .-----------~------, bll ·.:= 0.50 Q) ~ 00 ] 0.40 ....-a 0 § 0.30 t 8 il< 0.20 0.10 0. 00 L___l____L____L_L__j__L_J.._J_____L____L_L__j__L_L_j_____L_j_J 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 Year Figure 3. Proportion of the survivors from the 19 75 cohorts for which plants flowered in each year after their recruitment. 150.--------------------------------------------------. 100 00 ·~ ] 50 or---~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~.ahr~~~~~----------~ c:l gj -50 ...s -100 00 00 ~ al -150 1-200 z -250 _ 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 -300L-_L_~-~~-_j______L 75 76 77 78 _j___L_L__L_L__L_~-~~-_j__~ 90 91 Year Figure 4. Cumulative changes in the population of plants after 1975. Net population change (.); Cumulative losses from population (D); Cumulative number of recruits (Ill). S. \ \ A l l E ,LUD L FARRELL 116 TABLE1. Cohort half-life values. Cohort size includes estimated numbrr of plants below ground. Significance of fitted regression line *P<O.O5, **P<O.Ol, ***P<O.OOl ~~~~ Yrar of ~~ Half-life cohort cstahliahnieiit ~~ C:orrelation coefficient of fitted line ~ R I 6.+8 5.82 7.80 6.31 0.9705 0.933'., 0.9798 0.9392 6.61 4.44 7.27 5.18 4.88 2.37 2.19 0.905 0.6708 0.9170 0.9813 0.9581 0.001 i 0.8283 3.81 0.9482 Significance of fitted linear re<gression n (Initial size of cohort) *** *** *** ** 350 44 16 8 0 *** 10 13 1 * *** *** *** 9 9 -1 ** * 0 5 * 9 800-r I I " 75 76 77 78 79 80 8 1 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 Year Fi<gure5. Total number of status of rmettes present in the population 1975-91. Elowering rosettes A):\.egetative rosettes Estimated number of absent (dormant) individuals (0); Single leafed plants (+), total number of rosettes i (a); (m). POPULATION BIOLOGY OF ORCHIS MILLCARIS L. 117 - 5.0 - 5% 0 4.0 - 3.0 - 2.0 M g 1.0 0.0 74 75 76 77 78 79808182 83 84858687 888990 9192 Year Figure 6. The number of rosettes associated with surviving plants from the initial 1975 population. TABLE 2. Mean (+SE) transition probabilities calculated before (1975-78) and following extensive site management (1983-87). CV, percentage coefficient of variation; NS not significant, *P<0.05. F = flowering plants, V =vegetative plants, A =plants absent from the above-ground population (i.e. dormant), D =dead, FV =plants with two rosettes, one vegetative, one flowering Transition 1975-78 Mean fSE %CV 1983-87 Mean If: SE %CV t (df= 6) V+V V-F V+A 69.05 f0.027 6.38+0.0073 9.29f0.0095 7.7 22.9 20.3 54.2 k 0.066 12.99 f0.024 10.94k 0.012 24.4 37.1 2 1.29 2.08 NS 2.63* 1.10 NS F+F F+V F+A 39.6 f0.085 39.9f0.064 9.15k0.024 42.9 32.1 53.1 52.22 f0.059 19.0fO.Q56 9.53f0.017 22.6 59.0 35.3 1.22 NS 2.46* 0.13 NS V+D F-+D 10.90f0.018 2.75+0.027 32.2 199.6 13.20k0.022 17.9+0.0081 33.0 90.5 0.82 NS 0.33 NS 10.49+0.024 17.5f0.067 46.6 38.3 1.33 NS 2.76* V+FV F+FV 7.25f0.0019 8.44 0.0084 10.3 20.02 vegetative plants were substantially more likely to suffer mortality (V+D); approximately 10% were lost from the population each year. Between the start and end of the study three transition probabilities changed significantly. The proportion of flowering plants which survived as non-flowering the following year (F+V), approximately halved from 40% to 20%. The proportion of vegetative plants flowering the next year (V-tF) approximately doubled from around 6% to 13%, and the probability of flowering plants flowering in successive years (F+F) also increased, from around 40% to 52%, although this change was not significant (Table 2). The probability of flowering rosettes producing a second rosette (F+FV) increased significantly. A similar, although not significant, increase also occurred in the probability of vegetative rosettes giving rise to a second rosette (V-+FV). These I la S. IVAITE XYD L. FARRELL changes all suggest that, for established plants at least, site conditions became more favourable for growth and propagation. DISCUSSION Three main conclusions may be drawn from the results of this study: (i) the beha\iour of individual plants is extremely variable, (ii) although the number of indhidual plants has declined, total rosette numbers have increased substantially during the study and (iii) the site has become more favourable for the persistence and growth of established plants of 0. militaris during the study. Although the majority of plants that enter the dormant phase do so for only one )ear, some persist below ground for considerably longer (Fig. 1). O n average the dormant fraction of the population accounted for 14% of all the plants present. The length of apparent dormancy period. 1-8 years, and proportion of the population in dormancy are similar to values recorded for other members of the Orchidaceae (Lesica & Steele, 1994). For example, Tamm (1972) found that plants of 0. masculu remain dormant for 1-12 years, and that the alrerage proportion of the population dormant at any one time was 17Oh. For all species, the majority of plants recorded in dormancy remained below ground for only one year (Lesica & Steele, 1994). The frequency of flowering varied between individuals and from year to year. IVhile the majority of flowering plants flowered each year, some plants persisted as non-flowering plants for up to 11 years between flowering events (Fig. 2). The low rate of mortaliq shown by flowering plants (Table 2), and the observation that many plants flower in consecutive years suggests that reproduction does not impose a heavy cost on flowering plants. There is no evidence of an increased postreproductive mortality risk. This may reflect the low levels of fruit set reported for this species at this site. Reported levels of natural pollination of 0. militaris at the site are low, ranging from 8.45 to 10.45% (Appleton, 1990; Hawke, 1989; Patmore 1988). An average value of 4.4% has been reported for fruit set (Farrell, 1985). The occurrence of plants flowering in their first year above ground implies that during the subterranean phase of seedling development, plants are able to accumulate wfficient resources for flowering. The length of this phase is unknown. Farrell(l985) reports values of 5, 4 and 3 years for the time between sowing seeds and the first emergence of plants above ground. The shortest value reported, three years, was for the appearance of flowering plants. The suggestion of Summerhayes (195 1) that once seedlings emerged above ground they require a further 7-8 years of growth before flowering is not supported by this study. It is possible that some plants that appear to be dormant or which apparently flower in their first year above ground have been missed during recording in previous years. This seems unlikely given the carrful monitoring to which the population is subjected. It is also possible that a small number of plants recorded as dormant may represent plants that emerge above ground but lose their above ground parts before census (cf. Sanger & Waite, this volume). Clearly, the behaviour of individual plants varies considerably. In assessing the future development and management of the population it would be extremely valuable to know how much of this variation may be attributed to environmental heterogeneity, and how much to genetic factors. Individuals of 0. militani can demonstrate considerable longevity with some POPULATION BIOLOGY OF 0RCHZS.MZLITARZSL. 119 members of the initial 1975 population surviving for at least 17 years. If allowance is made for the pre-emergence phase, these plants must be at least 20 years old. The range of cohort half-lives (2.19-7.80 years, Table 1) is similar to the range of values reported for other terrestrial orchid species (Wells, 1981). Cohort half-lives reported in this study have taken account of the fate of dormant cohort members. Since dormant plants have the highest probability of mortality, longer half-life periods (greater than 10 years) can be obtained if calculations are based on the performance of above-ground plants only. Survivors of the 1975 population accounted for approximately 60% of the ‘individual’ plants present in 1991. If conditions remain the same, the population continues to decline in numbers at the same rate recorded during the study, the half-life of 6.48 years implies that within 13 years only some 15 plants of this cohort will remain alive. The decline in halflives of consecutive cohorts recorded during the study (Table 1) may represent cause for concern over the long-term viability of the population. In contrast to the number of individual plants, total rosette numbers have increased dramatically from 1986 onwards. This increase, although partially the product of increased rosette production by established individual plants predominantly results from the recruitment of single-leafed plants (Fig. 5). It is not possible to say whether these single leafed plants are of sexual or vegetative (asexual)origin. The failure of seed sown in 1979 to produce above ground plants, and the clustering of new plants close to old established individuals all suggests that they are the result of vegetative propagation. If so, and the number of individuals continues to decline, then the genetic diversity of the population will decrease with the remaining population consisting of fewer but larger individuals. Alternatively, these new rosettes could be the product of sexual reproduction. Farrell(l985) reports that the number of flowers per flower spike ranges from 7 to 42 and that each flower is likely to contain around 6200 seeds. Thus, even allowing for poor seed set, the total number of seed released into the site each year might be substantial. The clustering of recruits around old established plants may simply reflect predominantly local seed dispersal and variations in habitat suitabilityfor seedling establishment and development, and the distribution of the mycorrhizal fungi, which in Orchis milataris is known to continue to infect adult plants (Farrell, 1985). The prolonged period of population monitoring has allowed the effectiveness of the site management to be assessed. Indications of increased plant vigour (e.g. Figs 3, 5, 6, Table 2) are most pronounced following management intervention during the early 1980s. The beneficial effects of site management are reflected in the differences between transition probabilities at the start of the study and after substantial management intervention (Table 2). Although site management has clearly been successful, it is also possible that populations of these species are prone to natural cycles of ‘boom and bust’, with the Suffolk population currently entering a boom period. Such population behaviour may result from the intrinsic characteristics of the species, for example, longevity combined with high reproductive capacity, both asexual and sexual. Time lags or delays will also tend to destabilize population size (Begon, Mortimer & Thompson, 1996). In the case of orchids, the situation is complicated by the possibilitythat the fungal pattern may also demonstrate cyclic or chaotic behaviour, in which case a stable population of 0. militak may not be an achievable management goal even if favourable site conditions are maintained. The present high local density of rosettes around established individuals requires !:20 S. WAITE .~"iD L. FARRELL an alternative approach to coordinate mapping to be developed. One approach that has been partly adopted at the site, is to map the position of clumps and record the number and status of plants within a clump. However, in doing this much valuable information is lost, not least the ability to follow individuals into and out of the below-ground phase. The presence of this component of the population can have important consequences for the survival and dynamics of a population. Waite (1989) has shown how the size of, and recruitment from, the dormant phase can affect the dynamics of a population, acting as a reservoir of potential recruits and aiding the persistence of a population. ACK.'\0\ H.EDGE:\lE::'-iTS \Ve would like to thank English Nature and members of the Suffolk Wildlife Trust for their help over the years with field recording, Terry Wells for his advice on recording methods and Suffolk \Vildlife Trust voluntary wardens and the Forestry Commission for help with site maintenance. \Ve also wish to thank Edgar MilneRedhead and John Trist for their early encouragement and continued interest in the conservation of this species. REFEREl'\CES Appleton T. 1990. Report rifthe orchid warden for the military orchid site, Rex Graham, Mildenhall. Unpublished Report, Ipswich, Suffolk Wildlife Trust. Begon M, Mortimer M. Thompson DJ. 1996. Population ecology. A unified stuqy rif animals and plants, 3rd Edn. Oxford: Blackwell Science Ltd. Caswell H. 1989. }vfatrix population models. Construction, anab•sis and interpretation. Sunderland, Massachusetts: Sinauer Associates. Farrell L. 1985. Biological Flora of the British Isles: Orchis militaris L. Journal rif Ecology 73: I 041-1053. Farrell L. 1991. Population changes and management of Orchis militaris at two sites in England. In: Wells TCE, Willems JN, eds. Population ecology rif terrestrial orchids. The Hague: SPB Academic Publishing, 63-68. GroenendaelJM van, Kroon H de, Caswell H. 1988. Projection matrices in population biology. Trends in Ecology and Emlution 3: 264-26. Harper JL. 1977. Population biologr rif plants. London: Academic Press. Hawke C. 1989. Rex Graham Resnve. Orrhid wardens report 1989. Unpublished report, Ipswich, Suffolk Wildlife Trust. Lesica P, Steele BM. 1994. Prolonged dormancy in vascular plants and implications for monitoring studies. Natural Areas ]ouma/14: 209-212. MehrhoffLA. 1989. The dynamics of declining populations of an endangered orchid, Isotria medeoloides. Ecology 70: 783-786. Patmore J. 1988. Orchid wardellS report for the Rex Graham nature reserve, Suffolk. Unpublished report, Ipswich, Suffolk Wildlife Trust. Rasmussen HN. 1995. 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