Palaeogeography, Palaeoclimatology, Palaeoecology 304 (2011) 202–211 Contents lists available at ScienceDirect Palaeogeography, Palaeoclimatology, Palaeoecology j o u r n a l h o m e p a g e : w w w. e l s ev i e r. c o m / l o c a t e / p a l a e o Precipitation patterns in the Miocene of Central Europe and the development of continentality Angela A. Bruch a,⁎, Torsten Utescher b, Volker Mosbrugger a and NECLIME members 1 a b Senckenberg Research Institute, Senckenberganlage 25, D-60325 Frankfurt a. M., Germany Steinmann Institute, Bonn University, 53115 Bonn, Germany a r t i c l e i n f o Article history: Received 25 January 2010 Received in revised form 8 October 2010 Accepted 9 October 2010 Available online 15 October 2010 Keywords: Precipitation Continentality Climate maps Europe Open landscapes a b s t r a c t Understanding climate patterns, with their decisive influence on plant distribution and development, is crucial to understanding the history of vegetation patterns in Europe during the Miocene. This paper presents the detailed analyses of several precipitation parameters, including monthly precipitation of the wettest, driest and warmest months, for five Miocene stages. In conjunction with seasonality of temperature, those parameters provide a meaningful measure of continentality and can help to document Miocene climate changes and patterns and their possible influence on vegetation. Climate reconstructions provided here are entirely based on palaeobotanical material. In total, 169 Miocene floras were selected, including 14 Burdigalian, 41 Langhian, 40 Serravallian, 36 Tortonian, and 38 Messinian localities. All floras were analysed using the Coexistence Approach. The analysis of several precipitation parameters, the statistical intercorrelation of results, and the comparison with modern patterns provides a comprehensive account on Miocene precipitation. Miocene climatic changes after the Mid Miocene Climatic Optimum (MMCO) are evidenced in our data set by three major factors, i.e. (1) increasing seasonality of temperature, (2) changes in the annual distribution of precipitation towards a precipitation peak in summer, and (3) a late increase of longitudinal gradients of precipitation parameters. Evidence of continental climate in Eastern Europe first appears during the Messinian. In addition to changes in temperature, shifts in the annual distribution of precipitation may have played a major role in post-Langhian climate changes. However, the most significant climatic transformations occurred later, from the end of Miocene through to the present. Several authors have described patterns of vegetation development in Europe that are in good agreement with our finding of the first evidence for continental climate in Eastern Europe during the Messinian. Our data do not support an onset of opening of vegetation during the Tortonian or even earlier, as has been described for some parts of Eastern and Southern Europe. Possibly either non climatic parameters influenced such an early development, or our data lack the required resolution and/or spatial coverage to fully decipher the influence of continentality on vegetation and to correlate climate and vegetation statistically. Nevertheless, climatic data that quantify continentality can provide a sound basis for explaining the expansion of grassland in Eurasia. © 2010 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved. 1. Introduction Today the eastern and western coasts of Eurasia exist under very different climatic conditions influenced by the prevailing westerly atmospheric and oceanic circulation. The climate in western Eurasia is generally characterised by marine conditions along a west coast influenced by the Gulf Stream, with continentality increasing with distance from the coast. Climatologically, continentality is defined by a strong seasonality of temperature and low precipitation. Continental ⁎ Corresponding author. Tel.: + 49 69 7542 1568; fax: + 49 69 746238. E-mail address: [email protected] (A.A. Bruch). 1 www.neclime.de 0031-0182/$ – see front matter © 2010 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved. doi:10.1016/j.palaeo.2010.10.002 climate today is typically found in conjunction with large areas of open landscape, with grassland predominant in the interior of Eurasia. As part of the latter stage of the Cenozoic cooling, the Miocene was a time of important climate and vegetation changes. In the Early Miocene, glaciation was uni-polar, with an ice volume on Antarctica comparable to the present and a largely ice-free northern hemisphere. During the Late Miocene, however, the first indications of northern hemispheric glaciation ultimately appeared leading to the formation of the Greenland ice sheet in the Pliocene (Moran et al., 2006; Zachos et al., 2001). It is generally agreed that the epoch saw major environmental changes occurring both on the continents and in the oceans especially during the Late Miocene. A global intensification of orogenic movements considerably influenced the climate system; the A.A. Bruch et al. / Palaeogeography, Palaeoclimatology, Palaeoecology 304 (2011) 202–211 rapid uplift of the Tibetan Plateau, in particular, seems to have caused a stronger East Asian monsoon and triggered the upwelling systems of the Indian Ocean (An et al., 2001). Likewise, the Late Miocene witnessed the development and spread of C4-grasses, aridification of the interiors of continents, and the expansion of open landscapes. Although all these events are considered to be linked, there has as yet been no proof of their causal interdependence (cf. Molnar, 2005). To understand the history of vegetation patterns in Europe, it is crucial to understand climate patterns as the main basis for plant distribution and development. Miocene temperature patterns have been discussed to date by Bruch et al. (2004, 2006, 2007) and by various authors in this issue (Liu et al., 2011-this issue; Utescher et al., 2011-this issue; Yao et al., 2011-this issue). In the main, their data demonstrate that the general cooling during the Miocene brought greater climatic differentiation, both spatially via increased latitudinal gradients and temporally via increased seasonality of temperature. In addition to regional effects of palaeogeography such as the Paratethys sea and Alpine orogeny, temperature parameters reveal an increasing differentiation between marine and continental climate conditions. However, that interpretation has largely been based on examinations of temperature parameters. Miocene precipitation has been described so far only in terms of mean annual precipitation, whether through proxy-based reconstructions (e.g., Bruch et al., 2004, 2006, 2007; Böhme et al., 2008, 2011-this issue; Mosbrugger et al., 2005; Utescher et al., 2000) or in climate modelling (e.g., Micheels et al., 2007, 2009; Lunt et al., 2009). Studies of other precipitation parameters and the annual range of precipitation are lacking. Mertz-Kraus et al. (2009) interpret changes in coral growth increments as a signal of increased winter rain in Crete at 9 Ma and as first evidence for Mediterraneantype climate. For the Pannonian basin, Harzhauser et al. (2007) postulate a peak in summer precipitation in the Late Miocene (ca. 10 Ma) based on isotope data. Only van Dam (2006) provides a more exhaustive overview of changes and patterns of driest month precipitation from 12 to 3 Ma in Europe, basing the analysis on small mammal communities. This paper will therefore focus mainly on a detailed analysis of precipitation parameters, including monthly precipitation of the wettest, driest and warmest months. In combination with seasonality of temperature, they constitute a reliable measure of continentality and can help document changes and patterns of Miocene climate and their possible influence on vegetation. 2. Material and methods Climate reconstructions provided here are based entirely on palaeobotanical material. In total, 169 Miocene floras have been selected, including 14 Burdigalian (20.428–16.303 Ma), 41 Langhian (16.303–13.654 Ma), 40 Serravallian (13.654–11.600 Ma), 36 Tortonian (11.600–7.251 Ma), and 38 Messinian (7.251–5.332 Ma) localities, excluding the Aquitanian stage due to low data coverage (absolute ages after Harzhauser and Piller, 2007). Except for the Burdigalian with only 14 samples, all other stages are represented by comparable numbers of floras. The selection attempts to provide sufficient data coverage of the area of interest on the one hand and to narrow the stratigraphic range as much as possible on the other. To increase the reliability of results, low-diversity floras were avoided. Most of the investigated floras have been published already through the NECLIME network and are available in the PANGAEA database (www.pangaea.de; Bruch et al., 2004, 2006, 2007). New data will be published in PANGAEA with their geographic and stratigraphic positions and references to the original palaeobotanical investigations. The complete data are also appended to this paper as Supplements 1 and 2. All floras are from either continental or Paratethyan sediments; that restriction is intended to ensure relatively low variation in taphonomic influences (e.g., exclusion of long-distance transport into marine sediments). 203 All floras have been analysed using the Coexistence Approach (CA) following Mosbrugger and Utescher (1997). The method is one of the Nearest Living Relative Techniques that are based on the assumption that the climatic requirements of Tertiary plant taxa are similar to those of their nearest living relatives (NLRs). With the CA, for each climate parameter the climatic ranges in which a maximum number of NLRs of a given fossil flora can coexist is determined independently and considered the best description of the palaeoclimatic situation under which the given fossil flora lived. The application of the CA is facilitated by the computer program ClimStat and the database Palaeoflora which contains NLRs of more than 3000 Cenozoic plant taxa, together with their climatic requirements as derived from meteorological stations located within the distribution areas of the taxa (see also information provided on the web site www.palaeoflora.de). According to the data available in the Palaeoflora data base, the method allows calculation of up to 15 climate parameters. Typically, the resolution (width) and reliability of the resulting coexistence intervals increase with the number of taxa included in the analysis and are relatively high in floras with ten or more taxa for which climate parameters are known. Because results of CA analyses are intervals, the accuracy of calculated climate data corresponds to the accuracy of the borders of those coexistence intervals. Their accuracy varies with respect to the parameter examined. It is highest for temperature-related parameters where it is usually within the range of 1 to 2 °C and for mean annual precipitation with 100 to 200 mm. Other precipitation parameters are less accurate and mainly reflect overall trends. Although Mosbrugger and Utescher (1997) do not give error bars for CA results of different parameters, their application of the method to modern floras led them to conclude that reconstructions of mean annual precipitation and of precipitation of the warmest month are least reliable and therefore not easy to interpret. Thus, a correlation analysis (Section 3.1) is applied to overcome these difficulties. For a detailed discussion and introduction to the method, see Mosbrugger and Utescher (1997), Mosbrugger (1999), and Utescher et al. (2000). In this study, mean annual precipitation (MAP), monthly precipitation of the driest month (LMP), monthly precipitation of the wettest month (HMP), and monthly precipitation of the warmest month (WMP) have been calculated according to the CA. In addition, the mean annual range of temperature (MART — the temperature difference between of warmest and coldest months) and mean annual range of precipitation (MARP — the difference between HMP and LMP) have been taken into consideration. These parameters provide detailed information on precipitation patterns and a means of assessing continentality. As stated above, the CA calculates for all climate parameter coexistence intervals that are assumed to encompass the “real climate value”. For the purpose of data visualisation, the middle values of the calculated coexistence intervals are used. An analysis of recent European climate by Klotz (1999); see also (Pross et al., 2000) shows for subtropical to temperate conditions that the centres of the coexistence intervals correlate better to the real data than do the borders of the intervals. The use of middle values turns out to be appropriate in visualising climatic trends between regions, especially when interpolating over greater distances. Maps of the reconstructed climate data were generated using the GIS program ArcView. Interpolations between data points were calculated using the inverse distance weighted method, which provides a relatively smooth gradient between individual data points and more detailed patterns between neighbouring points, with less detail between points separated by greater distances. The interpolation does not take into account altitudinal factors such as lapse rates. For areas without data, the program extrapolates climate patterns. To discourage overinterpretation of the resulting maps, we clearly identify within these maps the underlying data points (localities). 204 A.A. Bruch et al. / Palaeogeography, Palaeoclimatology, Palaeoecology 304 (2011) 202–211 The maps are intended merely to aid understanding of the data set. Such caveats apply all the more to the maps that show the difference between fossil and modern data; their ostensible high resolution is owed purely to the detailed modern WORLDCLIM data set (available at www.worldclim.org). Despite those reservations, such maps are valid visualisation tools with high value to assist the comparison among climatic states at different points in time. 3. Results 3.1. Correlation of precipitation parameters 3.2. Patterns of continentality Continentality is defined by low precipitation and strong seasonality of temperature. Figs. 2 and 3 reflect the history of continental climate in central Europe by showing the patterns of MART and MAP, both as palaeo-data alone and as differences of palaeo-minus-modern data. Fig. 4 provides patterns of WMP that indicate the course of the development of summer rain. 250 300 225 275 200 250 175 225 HMP [mm] MARP [mm] To facilitate the study of Miocene precipitation patterns in Europe, mean annual precipitation (MAP), monthly precipitation of the driest month (LMP), monthly precipitation of the wettest month (HMP), monthly precipitation of the warmest month (WMP), and the mean annual range of precipitation (MARP — the difference between HMP and LMP) were estimated via CA. In the first step, the entire data set underwent a correlation analysis to determine the most significant parameters and the role of the wettest month data (tab. 1 and Fig. 1). Correlation coefficient and gradient of regression are two measures that reflect the relationships between two parameters. Where the correlation coefficient expresses how reliably the data are related to one another, the regressional gradients show the nature of those relationships. The strongest correlation with the highest correlation coefficients (N0.9, Table 1) in the entire data set arises between HMP and WMP. Both parameters correlate with the other precipitation parameters, to various degrees but always in a similar way. When the different time intervals are compared, the correlation coefficients between HMP and WMP are seen to increase continuously from the Middle to the Late Miocene. Thus WMP, as estimated using CA, is not only a good measure for summer precipitation but can be assumed to reflect general trends and patterns in precipitation parameters, especially for postLanghian times. The graphical regressions shown in Fig. 1 indicate that the gradient of regression between WMP and the other precipitation parameters is steepest in Burdigalian, Serravallian and Messinian data sets. The low number of data available for the Burdigalian stage does not allow for further interpretation, but the generally increasing gradient in postLanghian data evidences an increase in seasonal differentiation of precipitation towards a more pronounced precipitation peak in summer. On the other hand, despite high absolute values for summer precipitation and a high correlation coefficient, Langhian data show the lowest regressional gradient, reflecting generally humid conditions with no specific wetter or drier season in summer. 150 125 200 175 100 150 75 125 100 50 50 100 50 150 1,600 60 1,400 50 1,200 40 LMP [mm] MAP [mm] 100 150 WMP [mm] WMP [mm] 1,000 30 20 800 10 600 0 50 100 WMP [mm] 150 50 100 150 WMP [mm] Fig. 1. Correlation between WMP and other precipitation parameters; red circle — Burdigalian, blue triangle — Langhian; green reversed triangle — Serravallian; purple square — Tortonian; yellow rhombus — Messinian. A.A. Bruch et al. / Palaeogeography, Palaeoclimatology, Palaeoecology 304 (2011) 202–211 Table 1 Correlation coefficients between all precipitation parameters (Pearsons r) for each Miocene stage; most significant values N 0.9 are given in bold. MAP Messinian (n = 38) HMP 0.403021 LMP 0.531935 WMP 0.303088 MARP 0.212944 MART − 0.140436 HMP LMP WMP 0.696901 0.982339 − 0.521682 − 0.440914 0.650542 − 0.208308 − 0.153133 − 0.672101 − 0.479250 MARP 3.3. Seasonality gradients 0.740779 0.979634 − 0.478946 − 0.672349 0.736951 − 0.404016 − 0.471745 − 0.645457 − 0.742259 0.687520 Serravallian (n = 40) HMP 0.551581 LMP 0.571816 WMP 0.513372 MARP − 0.031048 MART − 0.336340 0.641429 0.973449 − 0.237586 − 0.493868 0.594771 − 0.026666 − 0.481734 − 0.453626 − 0.465477 0.052502 Langhian (n = 41) HMP 0.305209 LMP 0.361196 WMP 0.315189 MARP − 0.175075 MART − 0.026423 0.441367 0.952162 − 0.324336 − 0.155001 0.390299 − 0.050431 0.130017 − 0.597894 − 0.238667 0.332205 Burdigalian (n = 14) HMP 0.557893 LMP 0.381232 WMP 0.536028 MARP − 0.308981 MART − 0.533929 0.699585 0.970741 − 0.587317 − 0.793751 0.664921 − 0.363037 − 0.712488 − 0.764483 − 0.735265 0.347334 All data HMP LMP WMP MARP MART − 0.465211 0.605831 0.972750 − 0.509534 − 0.177360 − 0.657772 0.376803 0.561957 − 0.379528 The differences between modern and palaeo-data document the very low degree of change in precipitation (MAP, WMP) and MART during the Miocene compared to the transformations that occurred post-Miocene and up to the present. Although absolute values are clearly changing with the approach of the Messinian, they are still remote from the modern situation. 0.440318 Tortonian (n = 36) HMP 0.608278 LMP 0.315546 WMP 0.520197 MARP 0.039588 MART − 0.279421 0.408527 0.041926 0.483416 0.336634 − 0.248167 205 To aid in analysis of the latitudinal gradients of precipitation and MART as measures of continentality, fossil climate data are plotted against longitude in Fig. 5, while correlation coefficients are given in Table 2. Here none of the data reveal statistically significant longitudinal gradients. Only Messinian and Burdigalian data (with a small data sample) show a correlation between longitude and WMP, and Messinian and Serravallian data to some extent with MAP. The lack of significant correlation between longitude and MART can mainly be traced to the aforementioned buffering effect of the Paratethys, which suppressed any development towards temperature seasonality in the Pannonian Basin. Nevertheless, data from the Messinian stage show a slight, although not statistically significant, increase in MART, together with the strongest decrease in MAP and WMP from west to east of all data. With its combination of characteristics, the Messinian stands alone as the only stage to display a tendency towards higher continentality in Eastern Europe. All other Miocene stages show either no longitudinal changes, or not in this combination. In short, evidence for continental climate in Eastern Europe first appears with the Messinian. 4. Discussion 4.1. Miocene climate − 0.532256 The mean annual range of temperature (MART, Fig. 2) is lowest during Burdigalian and Langhian in Western Europe and increases beginning with the Middle Miocene. However, the coastal parts of the continent display only minor changes, reflecting a persistent low seasonality of temperature influenced by the Atlantic Ocean. This pattern is the first evidence for a Neogene climatic differentiation between oceanic and continental climate in Europe. Due to the buffering effect of the large Paratethys sea, temperatures in Eastern Europe also remain equable at least until the Tortonian (Bruch et al., 2004, 2006, 2007). During the Miocene, MART patterns were evidently not as strictly east–west oriented as they are today. Miocene precipitation data all show generally humid conditions for the entire Miocene. Besides a general decrease in mean annual precipitation (MAP, Fig. 3), the Langhian and Tortonian appear to be wetter phases compared to the times before and after. Moreover, a progressive spatial differentiation appears in the late Middle Miocene (Serravallian) with lower precipitation in the eastern part of central Europe. Summer precipitation (WMP, Fig. 4) decreases beginning with the Middle Miocene, and all stages to some extent show a longitudinal differentiation, with slightly lower values in eastern Europe. This trend becomes more obvious towards the Late Miocene and is the most prominent observed pattern change of all precipitation parameters studied. Beyond changes in temperature, shifts in the annual distribution of precipitation may have played a major role in postLanghian climate changes. To date, interpretation of Miocene climate has mainly been based on temperature parameters, with Miocene rainfall generally described in terms of mean annual precipitation. The current study relies on a more comprehensive set of Miocene precipitation data and employed more precise precipitation parameters. On the whole, the data document generally humid conditions, with all parameters exceeding present values. General climatic development over time can be summarised as follows. Langhian data show very high humidity, with a peak in precipitation that does not match summer precipitation and therefore occurred other than in summer, and no longitudinal gradient. Serravallian data show slightly less humid conditions, evidence of a summer peak in precipitation, and no significant longitudinal gradient. Tortonian data evidence slightly higher humidity than in previous times with increasing evidence of a summer peak in precipitation, but no longitudinal gradients. Messinian data evidence less humid conditions, increasing evidence of a summer peak in precipitation, and first evidence of longitudinal gradients in WMP and MAP. This succession testifies to a general decrease in precipitation since the Middle Miocene and the onset of continental climate conditions in Eastern Europe in the Late Miocene. Beyond the general decrease in MAP, the Langhian and Tortonian appear to have been wetter than the stages before and after. Wetter conditions during the Langhian may be related to the Mid Miocene Climatic Optimum (MMCO) and are widely discussed in the literature (e.g., Kürschner et al., 2008; Retallack, 2009; Wan et al., 2009; You et al., 2009). It is worth noting for general discussion of MMCO that our data show a strong annual range of precipitation in central Europe together with the highest values for all precipitation parameters, reflecting generally very humid conditions with some seasonality, but 206 A.A. Bruch et al. / Palaeogeography, Palaeoclimatology, Palaeoecology 304 (2011) 202–211 Fig. 2. Mean annual range of temperature. Left column: absolute proxy data, IDW interpolated; green — high seasonality, red — low seasonality. Right column: Differences between interpolated reconstructions and modern WORLDCLIM raster data: green — past higher than present, white — past similar to present, red — past lower than present (for detailed legend see Fig. 4b). without a precipitation peak during summer (see also Böhme et al., 2007). The prevalence of wetter conditions during the Tortonian than in preceding and successive stages has been less thoroughly discussed, mainly because the focus so far has been on comparing Middle and Late Miocene conditions and on the general decrease in humidity. Only Böhme et al. (2008, and 2011-this issue) describe wetter conditions during the Tortonian than in the late Serravallian and early A.A. Bruch et al. / Palaeogeography, Palaeoclimatology, Palaeoecology 304 (2011) 202–211 207 Fig. 3. Mean annual precipitation. Left column: absolute proxy data, IDW interpolated; blue — high precipitation, yellow — low precipitation. Right column: Differences between interpolated reconstruction and modern WORLDCLIM raster data: blue — past higher than present, white — past similar to present, brown — past lower than present (for detailed legend see Fig. 4b). All Miocene values are much higher than modern annual precipitation data. Messinian, based on a study of herpetofauna and in good agreement with our results. On the other hand, their data indicate lower than present MAP during short-term dryer phases, where our data do not confirm such low values for any of the parameters analysed. This may reflect the challenge of reconstructing very dry conditions on the basis of plant fossils (see Böhme et al., 2006, 2007). The lack of fossil floras 208 A.A. Bruch et al. / Palaeogeography, Palaeoclimatology, Palaeoecology 304 (2011) 202–211 preserved under dry conditions causes a strong bias in our data set with gaps towards southern Europe, where plant proxy data are available only from moister regions of Spain (NW coast) and Italy (N Italy). Moreover, in central and eastern Europe as well, faunas and floras usually come from different stratigraphic levels and taphonomic settings. It may well be that our data lack the necessary temporal Fig. 4. Precipitation of the warmest month. Left column: absolute proxy data, IDW interpolated; blue — high precipitation, yellow — low precipitation. Right column: Differences between interpolated reconstruction and modern WORLDCLIM raster data: blue — past higher than present, white — past similar to present, brown — past lower than present (for detailed legend see Fig. 4b). All Miocene values are much higher than modern summer precipitation data. b. Legend of Figs. 2–4. A.A. Bruch et al. / Palaeogeography, Palaeoclimatology, Palaeoecology 304 (2011) 202–211 209 Fig. 4 (continued). resolution and taphonomic ability to detect dry events that would support the results of Böhme et al. (2008, and 2011-this issue). However, aside from the probable bias between faunal and floral proxy data, the same basic signals may be documented by both studies. Not only the more humid Tortonian stage, but also an increasing aridification prograding from eastern Europe as well, as postulated by Böhme et al. (2011-this issue), is confirmed by our data. That signal is revealed in our data with especial clarity in the increasing longitudinal gradients of MAP and WMP over time (Fig. 5). Miocene climatic changes after MMCO are testified in our data set by three major factors: (1) increasing seasonality of temperature, (2) changes in the annual distribution of precipitation towards a precipitation peak in summer, and (3) a late increase of longitudinal gradients of precipitation parameters. 4.2. Landscape opening in Europe The expansion of open landscapes during the Miocene in Europe has been the subject of widespread and sometimes heated debate based on fossil fauna and flora. Strömberg et al. (2007) provide a comprehensive review of the discussion. Large mammal data speak for the presence of open environments in southern Europe since the early Late Miocene (e.g., Agustí et al., 1999; Fortelius et al., 2006). However, those data mainly confirm mosaic landscapes with open forests and do not support the notion of vast open landscapes (van Dam and Reichert, 2009; and references herein). With regard to plant fossils, only some data on phytoliths and pollen favour grassdominated savannas or open woodlands. Showing that such habitats were widely established in the eastern parts of southern Europe during the Late Miocene based on phytolith analyses, Strömberg et al. (2007) propose that relatively open habitats developed in Asia Minor beginning already in the Early Miocene. For Akgün et al. (2007), however, analysis of Anatolian pollen profiles documents increasing abundance of open vegetation taxa only during the Tortonian. In Fig. 5. Longitudinal gradients of MART, MAP, and WMP; red circle — Burdigalian, blue triangle — Langhian; green reversed triangle — Serravallian; purple square — Tortonian; yellow rhombus — Messinian. Correlation coefficients in Table 2. addition, Syabryaj et al. (2007) describe the vegetation development of the Ukrainian plain as a stepwise opening of the forests, with the first steppe grasslands arising during the early Tortonian (Khersonian) and expanding considerably during late Messinian (Pontian). The same pattern of development with an onset of opening of vegetation at the Khersonian stage is observed by Shatilova et al. (2010) for a shallow-marine succession in eastern Georgia. Only Kovar-Eder et al. (2008) provide a broader view of the European vegetation history, based on a quantitative analysis of a huge floristic data set from Europe. The authors summarise that for the Tortonian, Table 2 Correlation coefficients between longitude and climate parameters (Pearsons r) for each Miocene stage. Messinian (n = 38) Tortonian (n = 36) Serravallian (n = 41) Langhian (n = 40) Burdigalian (n = 14) MART MAP WMP 0.2595 − 0.0862 0.1782 0.2717 0.5436 − 0.3517 0.2434 − 0.4078 − 0.1932 0.0551 − 0.492 0.1649 − 0.1312 − 0.0154 − 0.4388 210 A.A. Bruch et al. / Palaeogeography, Palaeoclimatology, Palaeoecology 304 (2011) 202–211 “first records of xeric grasslands are found along the northern margin of the Black Sea”, whereas during the Messinian “open woodlands increasingly appeared in central and southern parts of Italy and Greece”. Those patterns are in agreement with our observation of the earliest data to support continental climate in Eastern Europe during the Messinian. Our data cannot be correlated with an onset of opening of vegetation during or prior to the Tortonian. Either that development in vegetation is not related to the climate parameters analysed here, or, conceivably other maybe non climatic parameters played a role, as discussed controversially by various authors for example for atmospheric CO2 concentration (e.g., Pagani et al., 1999; Cowling, 1999; Kürschner et al., 2008) or for the coevolution of grasses and grazers (Retallack, 2001). It is also possible that the implications of certain taxa as evidence for dryness and openness (e.g., Poaceae and Asteraceae) are overestimated by qualitative approaches or underestimated by our method due to the usually wide climatic ranges of these taxa. Hence, our data may lack the required resolution and/or spatial coverage to fully decipher the influence of continentality on vegetation and to correlate climatic and vegetation data statistically. This could apply especially to southern and Eastern Europe with their still scanty data coverage, but also points back to the methodological question of the ability of plant proxies to detect dry events, as discussed above. Nevertheless, climatic data that can quantify continentality are a valuable basis for explaining the expansion of grassland in Eurasia. Further studies on a broader geographic scale, with an enhanced focus on southern Europe and central Eurasia, will aid in quantifying the development of precipitation patterns and understanding their influence on the history of landscape opening during the Neogene. Supplementary materials related to this article can be found, online, at doi: 10.1016/j.palaeo.2010.10.002. Acknowledgements We would like to express our gratitude to all our colleagues in the NELCIME network who contributed their data, expertise and discussion. We very much appreciate the opportunity we have had to work with them over the last ten years and our many stimulating and fruitful discussions with various NECLIME members during annual meetings and on other occasions. We are also thankful to the two anonymous reviewers who helped to considerably improve the quality of the manuscript. Special thanks go to Dr. Christopher Traiser (Tübingen), who invested much effort in making the data available on Pangaea. 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