Carbon pools in Mediterranean forests: comparing eddy covariance and GOTILWA+ model results. Carlos Gracia1,2, Santi Sabaté1,2, Trevor Keenan2 1.Department of Ecology, University of Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain. 2. CREAF, Autonomous University of Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain. [email protected] Abstract Modeling and monitoring the processes involved in terrestrial carbon sequestration are often thought to be independent events. In fact, rigorously validated modern modeling techniques can prove very useful tools in the monitoring of the carbon sequestration potential of an ecosystem through simulation, by highlighting key areas for study of what is a complex dynamical system. This is ever more important in the light of climate change, where it becomes essential to have an understanding of the future role of terrestrial ecosystems as potential sinks or sources in the global carbon cycle. The lack of understanding of the effect of water stress on ecosystem function leads to big discrepancies when modelling under these conditions. Recent advances allow us to successfully reproduce water and carbon balances during periods of stress. This will be of particular importance for modelling future scenarios, where water stress is expected to increase in Mediterranean ecosystems. The analysis of FLUXNET data gathered at four Mediterranean forest sites made it possible to separate stomatal and non-stomatal limitations to assimilation under drought conditions on the canopy scale. From the analysis, new process descriptions were developed which allow for the accurate simulation of carbon and water fluxes at each site. Three sites in Mediterranean Europe and one in Mediterranean California were chosen, including both deciduous and evergreen species - Quercus cerris, Quercus ilex, Pinus ponderosa, and Fagus sylvatica, and varying degrees of water stress and ecosystem responses. The effectiveness of ecosystem process based modelling using the forest growth model GOTILWA+ was assessed, and both observed and modelled canopy responses to stressed conditions were analysed, by confronting the models with FLUXNET data from each site. The results show that the currently accepted hypothesis of stomatal control over photosynthesis does not hold in water stressed conditions, and reveal the involvement of non-stomatal limitations to net photosynthesis which come into play under more severe water stress. It is shown that, applying non-stomatal limitations to assimilation, carbon and water fluxes can now be modelled to an equal degree of accuracy in both stressed and non stressed conditions. Keywords: Gotilwa+, Ecosystem Models, FLUXNET, Modelling, drought-stress, Mediterranean climate Introduction Changes in regional and global climate have already been observed, and projections of climate change suggest that higher temperatures, and increased potential evapotranspiration, as well as changes in seasonal precipitation patterns (IPCC AR4, 2007) will probably aggravate the seasonal drought stress characteristic to Mediterranean ecosystems. As soil water availability is already the main limiting factor to Mediterranean production, this could thereby push certain ecosystems beyond their climatic limits of existence. However, despite recent advances, our knowledge of the effect of water stress on carbon and water fluxes is limited. In modelling the vulnerability of Mediterranean vegetation, it is vital to know how their rate of assimilation and thus their capacity to store carbon is affected by drought. Only through a thorough understanding of the key processes will it be possible to design process-based models that confidently predict the effect of potential future changes in these ecosystems Process-based models incorporate the relevant ecosystem processes to successfully simulate the sensitivity of ecosystem functioning to drought stress at all relevant time scales and are thus indispensable tools to assess the vulnerability of Mediterranean ecosystems. However, previous modelling studies have highlighted that, at regional to global scales, models consistently perform worse in Mediterranean ecosystems than in any others, mainly related to difficulties in reproducing the effects of seasonal drought on carbon and water fluxes (Morales et al., 2005; Reichstein et al., 2007; Jung et al., 2007). The effect of water stress on plant photosynthesis and stomatal conductance has been widely studied in leaf level laboratory experiments (Wilson, Baldocchi & Hanson 2000; Chaves et al., 2002). Empirical relationships based on the stomatal control of photosynthesis have been developed to scale the functioning from the leaf level to the canopy of ecosystems (Field, 1995). Such relationships are employed by process-based ecosystem models to simulate the effect of water stress on ecosystem fluxes. Recent studies suggest that these relationships do not hold under severe water stress (Reichstein et al., 2003; Misson et al., 2006). The most widely adhered paradigm for the control of photosynthesis during water stressed periods is stomatal closure, that reduces leaf level water loss at the expense of reducing the supply of carbon to the intercellular spaces required for continued photosynthesis (Chaves et al., 2002). More recent studies also show the existence of non-stomatal limitations (Wilson, Baldocchi & Hanson, 2000), which have been hypothesised to relate to changes in the conductivity of the mesophyll, or metabolic changes. There has been much discourse over the weight of the roles played by stomatal and non-stomatal limitations during drought periods (Jones, 1985; Ni & Pallardy, 1992; Kubiske & Adams, 1993; Wilson et al., 2000), with many studies giving conflicting results and great uncertainty as to which limitation is strongest under drought conditions (Lawlor, 1995; Tezara et al., 1999; Lawlor & Cornic, 2002; Flexas & Medrano, 2002). Here we provide a careful data analysis that allows for the weight and timing of stomatal limitations to assimilation to be assessed against that of non-stomatal limitations. This is the first study to look at the dynamic between the two limiting factors on the canopy scale, including several ecosystems. The utility of the understanding derived from the observations is evaluated using Gotilwa+, a biogeochemical forest growth model (Gracia et al., 1999), first at Puechabon forest and then to four different Mediterranean sites. Three sites are situated in Europe (Puechabon, France; Roccarespampani, Italy; Collelongo, Italy), under the CarboEurope-EUROFLUX project, and one site in the United States (Blodgett, California), under the AMERIFLUX project. They are mostly monospecific forest sites, and include Quercus ilex, Quercus cerris, Fagus sylvatica, and Pinus ponderosa, respectively. Gotilwa+ is an individual based forest growth model, designed to simulate carbon and water fluxes for individual forest stands, accounting for tree species and site characteristics. Simulations are preformed at each site, as a validation of the model, and a comparison is made of their performance using the standard process assumptions with their performance using the inclusion of the new process descriptions. We evaluate the effect this has on site and regional scale simulations, and discuss the generality of the findings. 2 Materials and Methods Model Approach Process based models are complex simulators that attempt to mimic the real world. The aim is to include mathematical descriptions of both the processes that govern a system, and their interactions, thus recreating the system in a virtual environment. Each process in the system is described separately, and dynamically interacts with other processes. Given an accurate description of each processes separately, it is argued that a better description of the ecosystem in general, through the interaction of these processes, can be achieved. Due to their detail, a large number of parameters are necessary. The parameters determine the response of each function describing an individual process, and are based on detailed field work or lab experiments. This allows an accurate description of all factors affecting a process, but such parameters are not always available. This can be a problem, and a lack of data often leads to assumptions and approximations, but the approach leads to a model with a wide applicability. The detail and dynamic characteristic of process based models allows them, theoretically, to function as effective exploratory tools and they should be fully applicable under new conditions and scenarios. GOTILWA+: A Process-Based Model Gotilwa+ (Growth of Trees Is Limited by WAter), is a highly mechanistic process based forest growth model. It comprises of a two layer canopy photosynthetic model, coupled with a carbon allocation and growth model and a soil respiration and hydrology model. It describes monospecific stands, which can be even or uneven aged. The key environmental forcing factors taken into account are precipitation, air temperature, vapour pressure, global radiation, wind speed, and atmospheric carbon dioxide concentration.GOTILWA+ has been implemented to simulate forest growth processes and to explore how these processes are influenced by climate, tree stand structure, management techniques, soil properties and climate change. The Gotilwa+ model simulates carbon and water fluxes through forests in different environments, for different tree species, under changing environmental conditions, either due to climate or to management regimes. Climate Tree & Stand structure Pipe Model Pipe Model Soil Traits & Processes Ecosystem Physiology Figure 1. A schematic graph of processes and interactions accounted for in the GOTILWA+ model 3 Results of GOTILWA+ are computed separately for 50 DBH classes and they are integrated at the stand level. The processes are described with different sub-models that interact and integrate the results of simulated growth and the evolution of the whole tree stand through time (hourly calculations integrated at a daily time step). Horizontal space is assumed homogeneous and the vertical profile distinguishes two canopy layers (sun and shade conditions). Input and Output Variables The input data includes: climate (max. and min. temperatures, rainfall, VPD, wind speed, global radiation and atmospheric CO2 concentration); stand characteristics (tree structure including the structure of the canopy; DBH class distribution); tree physiology (photosynthetic and stomatal conductance parameters, specific growth and maintenance respiration rates), site conditions including soil characteristics and hydrological parameters and also forest management criteria. Many output variables can be extracted from the model. These can be separated into three main categories: canopy variables, tree and stand structural variables, and root and soil variables. Canopy variables include: gross primary production, net primary production, net ecosystem exchange, leaf area index, transpiration, water use efficiency, leaf production, leaf respiration, leaf biomass, growth activity, the length of the growing period and volatile organic compound emissions. Tree and stand structural variables include: tree density, sapling density, basal area, sapwood area, mean quadratic tree diameter, vigour index, tree height, wood production, wood respiration, mobile carbohydrates, tree ring width, aboveground biomass, the weight of the sapwood column, wood volume, dead wood volume and yield (when considering management). Root and soil variables include: soil temperature, water stored in soil, fine and gross litter fall, soil organic carbon, fine root biomass, fine root production, fine root respiration, heterotrophic respiration, maintenance respiration and growth respiration. How GOTILWA+ copes with processes. Process based models start at the very basic physiological leaf level, combining and describing the different processes involved. Figure 2 shows a schematic of the most fundamental compartment, the leaf. Here, photosynthesis is calculated dynamically, based on internal and external conditions. Photosynthesis is calculated using a two layer model which splits the available leaf area index into sun and shade leaves, depending on the time of the day, leaf area angle and the canopy’s ellipsoidal distribution. Assimilation rates depend on the direct and diffuse radiation intercepted, the species specific photosynthetic capacities, leaf temperature, available carbon, the extent of stomatal opening, and the availability of soil water. Growth and the allocation of mobile carbon for tree maintenance are considered through three compartments: Leaf respiration, Sapwood respiration, and Fine roots respiration. Respiration rates respond to water stress. Fine litter fall (e.g. leaves), gross litter fall (e.g. bark, branches) and the mortality of fine roots add to the soil organic carbon content. The soil in Gotilwa+ is divided into two layers, an organic layer and a mineral layer, with a rate of transfer between them. Soil organic carbon is decomposed depending on to which layer it belongs, with both decomposition rates depending on a Q10 function taking into account soil water content and soil temperature. Soil temperature is calculated from air temperature using a moving average of 11 days. The amount of soil water available for organic layers is calculated taking into account the cumulated rainfall of the previous 30 days and soil water availability for mineral layers depends on the soils water filled porosity which in turn is a function of the organic matter present in soil. Soil water content is described as one layer, taking inputs though precipitation less leaf interception, which is evaporated, (stem interception, or stemflow, is not evaporated, but directed to the soil), and outputs though drainage, runoff, and transpiration. Surface evaporation only occurs when the canopy is not closed. 4 Flux calculations are performed hourly, whereas slower processes such as growth and other state variables are calculated daily. Gotilwa+ comprises of a two layer canopy photosynthetic model (Wang & Leuning, 1998), coupled with a carbon allocation and growth model and a soil respiration and hydrology model. The photosynthesis submodel splits the available leaf area index into sun and shade leaves, with intercepted radiation depending on the time of the day, leaf area angle and the canopy’s ellipsoidal distribution. Assimilation rates are calculated using the Farquhar approach (von Caemmerer & Farquhar, 1981) and depend on the direct and diffuse radiation intercepted, the species specific photosynthetic capacities, leaf temperature, available internal carbon, the extent of stomatal opening. Stomatal conductance is calculated using the Leuning, Ball and Berry model, (Leuning et al., 1995). Growth and the allocation of mobile carbon for tree maintenance are considered through three compartments: Leaf respiration, Sapwood respiration, and fine roots respiration. Stand characteristics are taken into account and species specific parameters, to give highly accurate predictions of forest growth and carbon or water fluxes in the system. Q transpiration rate Leaf energy balance Q-(R+C+λ E)< ε YES NO stomatal conductance leaf temperature f(θ) assimilation rate estimation of Vc, J and other temperature-dependent parameters of photosynthesis Ci=f(C a, gs , E, A) soil water storage Figure 2. A schematic diagram of the model representation of the photosynthetic assimilation rate. Leaf Temperature is the result of the energetic balance which depends on the radiation which reaches the leaf and the amount of transpired water. Leaf temperature influences the rate of assimilation, which is also dependent on the stomatal conductance. These interactions constitute the basis of the coupling of the eco-physiological processes of the leaf with it’s surrounding atmosphere. In Gotilwa+, the leaf is initially assigned an arbitrary temperature (tair+5ºC). With this temperature, it is possible to determine the values of Vc, J and the resulting photosynthetic parameters whose values determine the rate of assimilation. The rate of assimilation is in equilibrium with the stomatal conductance and, as a result, the rate of transpiration, which is in turn dependent on the quantity of water in the soil. Once the rate of transpiration of determined, the energetic balance of the leaf is recalculated and a check is made to see if the radiation absorbed and the radiation emitted by the leaf differ by less than a fixed value ε (normally ε<0.001ºC). The leaf temperature is modified progressively until a point is reached where the energetic balance, temperature, assimilation, conductance and transpiration couple together. Fine litter fall (i.e. leaves), gross litter fall (i.e. bark, branches) and the mortality of fine roots add to the soil organic carbon content. The soil in Gotilwa+ is divided into two layers, an organic layer and a 5 mineral layer, with a rate of transfer between them. Soil organic carbon is decomposed depending on to which layer it belongs, with both decomposition rates depending on a Q10 function taking into account soil water content and soil temperature. Soil temperature is calculated from air temperature using a moving average of 11 days. The amount of soil water available for organic layers is calculated taking into account the cumulated rainfall of the previous 30 days and soil water availability for mineral layers depends on the soils water filled porosity which in turn is a function of the organic matter present in soil. Soil water content is described as one layer, taking inputs though precipitation less leaf interception, which is evaporated, (stem interception, or stemflow, is not evaporated, but directed to the soil), and outputs though drainage, runoff, evaporation and transpiration. Surface evaporation only occurs when the canopy is not closed. Flux calculations are performed hourly, whereas slower processes such as growth and other state variables are calculated daily. The input data includes: half-hourly meteorological variables (temperature, precipitation, vapour pressure deficit, wind speed, global radiation and atmospheric CO2 concentration), which have been taken from site observations; and site conditions including soil characteristics and hydrological parameters (Table 1). Observed or reported values from the literature of photosynthetic were also used for each site and model. Stomatal conductance parameters were calculated from the data (Table 2). In addition Gotilwa+ requires descriptions of stand characteristics (tree structure including the structure of the canopy; DBH class distribution), and also allows for the possibility of forest management, as well as some tree physiology parameters (specific growth and maintenance respiration rates). Fluxnet Site Data and Data Manipulation Simulations were run at 3 EUROFLUX sites in Mediterranean Europe, and one AMERIFLUX site in Mediterranean California, covering a total of 12 years. The sites were chosen to include a range of species, including Deciduous, Coniferous and Broadleaf Evergreen species, at various altitudes, and varying levels of water stress in summer. Table 1. Characteristics of the FluxNet sites chosen. Physiological functional types (PFT) considered are temperate broadleaved evergreen (TeBE), needle-leaved evergreen (TeNE) and broadleaved-summergreen (TeBS). Max LAI - Maximum Leaf Area Index; SD – Soil Depth; SWHC – Soil Water Holding Capacity. Site Period Puéchabon, France Rocarespampani, Italy Collelongo, Italy Blodgett Forest, California 20012004 20022004 19981999 20012004 Longitude Latitude Altitude 3º 35’ 43º 44’ 270 11º 55’ 42º 23’ 223 13º 35’ 41º 50’ 1560 -120º 37’ 38º 53’ 1315 Max LAI (m2/ m2) 2.9 - 3.2 4.0 - 5.0 4 – 5.5 2.4 – 4.2 SD (m) SWHC (Kg/ m2) 4.5 172 4.5 485? 4 287 4 583 Species/PFT Quercus ilex (TeBE) Quercus cerris (TeBS) Fagus sylvatica (TeBS) Pinus ponderosa (TeNE) Fluxnet provides continuous measurement of carbon dioxide and water fluxes on a seasonal basis with half-hourly discrimination (Wofsy et al., 1993), and new flux separation techniques now give the improved level 4 data set (Reichstein et al., 2005) which has been used in this study. Data was gap 6 filled using the Artificial Neural Network method (Papale & Valentini, 2003), with carbon flux measurements broken down into assimilation rates using estimated ecosystem respiration. Although the methodology is highly refined, and eddy covariance techniques have developed to apply very sophisticated algorithms and techniques for the back calculation of many variables, it should be kept in mind that the resulting measurements of ecosystem variables are results of modelling techniques, not to mention gap filling techniques employed. It is also often the case that the energy budget does not close (Wilson et al., 2002). Thus, any comparison between models such as Gotilwa+ and FLUXNET data is, in reality, an inter-model comparison. That said, the data generated by the FLUXNET eddy covariance techniques is probably as close as we will ever get to the truth, and certainly is as close as we can get right now. Estimation of fractional soil water storage, canopy conductance and leaf inter-cellular carbon concentration Fractional soil water storage Understanding the response of observed carbon and water fluxes to changes in soil moisture requires the seasonal evolution of soil water content to be known. In the absence of such measurements, daily soil moisture content at each site was reconstructed by inverting the measured latent heat flux, given the observed maximum soil water holding capacity, and inputs of water into the soil from rainfall (less interception). A simple ‘bucket’ soil water model, accounting for drainage and runoff as a function of soil moisture (Gracia et al., 1999), was employed prescribing the evapotranspiration loss of soil water using the observed latent heat fluxes. The method to reconstruct soil moisture can in addition be applied to prescribe soil moisture in the ecosystem models. Decoupling the simulation of soil and canopy processes by removing the water volume equivalent of the observed latent heat flux at each time step instead of the simulated evapotranspiration, allows for the validation of the canopy physiological process description, and thus to assess the modelling of physiological responses to soil moisture independent of potential inaccuracies in the simulated hydrological budgets of the ecosystem models. Calculation of Canopy conductance and internal leaf carbon dioxide concentrations In order to gauge ecophysiological responses to drought, it is also necessary to calculate canopy conductance. Canopy conductance can be estimated from observed latent heat flux provided that the canopy is dry and well coupled to the atmosphere, and assuming furthermore that evaporation from bare soil in an ecosystem with a closed canopy is minimal. Latent heat flux under these conditions can be taken as equivalent to gross canopy transpiration. By inverting the McNaughton and Black approach for calculating stand transpiration (McNaughton & Black, 1973) a proxy for canopy conductance, Gc , can be obtained: Gc = LH .ε .λ .γ ρ .Cp.vpd eq. 1) where LH is the observed latent heat flux, ε the coefficient for the conversion of latent heat to its water flux equivalent, λ is the latent heat of vaporisation of water, γ is the psychometric constant, ρ is the air density, Cp is the heat capacity of air, vpd is the observed vapour pressure deficit. Using the estimated canopy conductance, observed rates of net carbon assimilation from the eddycovariance measurements, and atmospheric CO2 concentrations, the canopy average level of leaf internal carbon dioxide can be calculated using a simple supply and demand algorithm. 7 2.1.2 The response of Conductance and Assimilation to soil water stress Response of canopy conductance to soil water stress. Traditional modelling approaches estimate canopy conductance as a function of irradiance, the balance of the supply and demand of carbon, and vapour pressure deficit. The Ball, Berry & Leuning approach, applies the following equation for the calculation of canopy conductance Gc : Gs = Gs 0 + bi ( An − Rd ) ⎛ vpd ⎞ (Ca − Γ* ). ⎜1 + ⎟ ⎝ GsD 0 ⎠ eq. 2) where Gs 0 is the residual conductance (or intercept); An is the rate of Assimilation; Rd is the rate of dark respiration; Ca is the atmospheric concentration of CO2; Γ* is the photosynthetic compensation point; GsD 0 is a parameter that describes the sensitivity of conductance to vpd ; b is the slope, an empirical factor. Studies often model canopy conductance in periods of drought by imposing changes in the slope and/or intercept of equation 2, thus controlling the internal carbon available for photosynthesis. To evaluate changes in canopy conductance due to soil moisture availability, the intercept and slope of the Ball & Berry equation (eq. 2) were estimated over a range of soil moisture availability levels using canopy conductance as calculated in equation 1 and solving eq. 2 for Gs0 and b. Non conductance related limitations of photosynthesis due to soil water stress: To evaluate whether or not there are non-stomatal limitations to photosynthesis during drought periods, the observed net assimilation flux was filtered to extract assimilation rates within a ‘non-limiting’ range of leaf internal CO2 concentrations (220 to 300 ppm ) at different levels of soil water availability. The filtering criteria also took into account a site-specific range of similar atmospheric conditions (air temperature, radiation level and vapour pressure deficit). Thus, changes in assimilation rates could be directly related to changes in soil water content, excluding any effects of climate or of changes in conductance. 2.3 Techniques used for the analysis of model performance Two types of model comparisons were made. Firstly, Daily Primary Production, Soil water content, Ecosystem respiration and Net Ecosystem Exchange modelled by Gotilwa+, compared against field data gathered by the FLUXNET network at the Puechabon site. Secondly, simulations from Gotilwa+ by applying the stress functions to both stomatal conductance and photosynthetic potential simultaneously, were compared against Fluxnet data for each site. Statistics outlined below were used to assess model goodness of fit. Statistics Various statistical methods were employed to assess model performance. The models were evaluated based on r2, the Mean Squared Error, and the Root Mean Squared Error. To this was added the statistic Model Efficiency, which is a complement to the r2 statistic. The modelling efficiency statistic (MEF) is interpreted as the proportion of variation explained by the fitted line. This statistic has been extensively used in hydrology models (Byers et al., 1989; Loague & Green, 1991), but can certainly be used in biogeochemical models. In a perfect fit, both r2 and the MEF would result in a value equal to one. The upper bound of MEF is one and the (theoretical) lower bound of MEF is negative infinity. If MEF is lower than zero, the model-predicted values are worse than the observed mean (Loague & Green, 8 1991). The MEF statistic is more sensitive than the r2 to systematic deviations and can be a good tool in the assessment of goodness of fit (Mayer & Butler, 1993). Results Observed vs. simulated values at Puechabon forest. Several validation exercises were carried out modellng daily primary production, soil water content, ecosystem respiration and net ecosystem exchange using Gotilwa+ model. The simulations where carried out using the structural data of Puechabon Quercus ilex forest and the climate data (2001-2004) gathered by the FLUXNET network at the Puechabon site. GPP - Measured Vs Modelled 10 2 GPP Modelled (gC/m /day) 12 8 6 4 y = 0.9775x + 0.2026 r2 = 0.7027 2 0 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 2 GPP Measured (gC/m /day) Figure 3. Daily Primary Production (10 day smoothed) for years 2002 and 2003, modelled by Gotilwa+, compared against field data gathered by the FLUXNET network at the Puechabon site. The results where compared against FLUXNET network field data. The figures 3 and 4 give an example of the performance of the model. Simulated Gross Primary production (figure 3) compares well with the FLUXNET measured data as well as Soil Water (figure 4) content does. Ecosystem respiration and Net ecosystem exchange are slightly overestimated by the model (figure 4). The analyses of the data show that these overestimation is mainly due to the fact that under water stress conditions, which are common under Mediterranean climate, non-stomatal limitations to photosynthesis limit the assimilation rates. In the second approach, oriented to evaluate whether or not there are non-stomatal limitations to photosynthesis during drought periods simulations were run at each of the four sites, covering a total of 12 years of half hourly data and four separate species. There was a wide range of inter-annual and inter-site variability in climatic variables for the four chosen sites. This lead to varying levels of drought, with a particularly strong drought experienced in 2003 at the European sites. 9 Soil Water Comparison 2 Soil Water Calculated (kg/m ) 200 160 120 80 y = 0.8443x + 20.042 2 R = 0.9773 40 0 0 50 100 150 200 2 Soil Water Modelled (kg/m ) Ecosystem Respiration - Modelled Vs Measured 2 Measured Ecosystem (gC/m /day) 10 8 6 4 2 y = 0.7357x + 0.5156 R2 = 0.6386 0 0 2 4 6 8 10 2 Modelled Ecosystem Respiration (gC/m /day) Net Ecosystem Exchange Comparison 4 2 NEE Measured (gC/m /day) 6 2 0 -2 y = 0.5946x - 0.0775 R2 = 0.2085 -4 -6 -6 -4 -2 0 2 Figure 4. Water in Soil, Ecosystem respiration, and Net Ecosystem Exchange (bottom) modelled by Gotilwa+, compared against field data gathered by the FLUXNET network at the Puechabon site. Simulated Gross Primary production compares well with the FLUXNET measured data as well as Soil Water content does. Ecosystem respiration and Net ecosystem exchange are slightly overestimated by the model. The analyses of the data show that these overestimation is mainly due to the fact that under water stress conditions, which are common under Mediterranean climate, non-stomatal limitations to photosynthesis limit the assimilation rates. 4 2 NEE Modeled (gC/m /day) 10 Soil Water Content Soil water content was calculated at each site as described above. Figure 5 shows the evolution of reconstructed relative soil water content for each simulated site and year. The Blodgett site soil water content shows little inter-annual variability due to the lack of inter-annual variability in its climate during the studied period. In comparison, at Puechabon, soil water varies over a large range, with levels reaching a prolonged low during 2003 due to the notable drought experienced in Europe in that year. This drought period is also reflected at the Roccarespampani site, with soil water levels in 2003 reaching more than half of those in 2004. These levels correspond well with levels reported in other studies at these sites (Hoff et al., 2002; Rambal et al., 2003). Figure 5. Reconstructed relative soil water content for the simulated periods at each of the studied sites, separated by year. Stomatal Limitations Calculated values for the slope (b, Eq.2) and intercept (Residual conductance - G s 0 , Eq.2) of the Ball, Berry & Leuning model at high soil water content for each site are given in Table 2. It was found that residual conductance did not change significantly with changes in available soil water in any of the sites. This is contrary to results previously reported at the Blodgett site (Misson et al., 2004), but in line with the accepted understanding of the affects of soil water on stomatal conductance. Table 2. Parameters for the calculation of Stomatal Conductance, and water stress parameters applied to Stomatal Conductance and Photosynthetic potential for each site. Site Stomata - Wfacstoma Photosynthesis - Wfacphoto Wfac Puéchabon Rocca Collelongo Blodgett Slope Intercept smax 9 11.2 10.5 10.5 0.0017 0.0015 0.000025 0.00002 80 95 95 85 Wfac WFac s min q smax s min q 10 10 0 5 0.15 0.22 0.23 0.18 65 70 75 45 15 10 5 5 0.5 0.85 0.3 0.2 WFac 11 The stomatal conductance levels declined gradually with soil water levels due to the closure of the stomata. A similar response was found at all sites, suggesting that a general model could be applied to all species. Non - Stomatal Limitations Non-stomatal limitations begin to take effect at lower soil water content than do stomatal limitations. Thus at high soil water contents, and at the onset of drought, stomatal limitations play the largest part in limiting photosynthesis at otherwise optimal conditions, through the control of the concentration of internal carbon available for assimilation. Once the severity of the drought reaches a sufficient level, which was found to be different for each of the studied species, the role of non-stomatal limitations increases, and in severe drought can eventually come to limit photosynthesis to the same extent as stomatal limitations, or more (as is the case for the two Quercus species in Puechabon and Roccarespampani). This dynamic between stomatal and non-stomatal limitations agrees with recent laboratory results reported (Grassi & Magnani, 2005), and is the first to be reported across various ecosystems on the canopy scale. Simulations The effect of soil water stress on canopy conductance (Wfacstoma) and non-stomatal limitations of photosynthesis (Wfacphoto) was modelled using a limitation function derived by fitting the following function separately to the filtered assimilation rates and the slope of the Ball & Berry equation for conductance, in dependence of soil moisture (Porporato et al., 2002): ⎧ ⎪ ⎪ Wfac = ⎨ ⎪ ⎪ ⎩ if S (t ) ≥ S max 1, (eq. 3) q ⎡ s (t ) − s min ⎤ ⎢ ⎥ , ⎣ s max − s min ⎦ if S (t ) < S max where q is a measure of the non-linearity of the effects of soil moisture deficit on plant conditions, s max the point at which reductions are first evident, and s min is the soil water level which gives the maximum effect on the process in question (conductance, or non-stomatal limitations on assimilation). The parameters of this function have been estimated for each site independently, both for conductance and non stomatal limitations, to account for potential differences between vegetation types. These functions are then used within Gotilwa+ to adjust conductance and photosynthetic potential in drought conditions. Conductance is affected by soil water content in the model by applying Wfacstoma in a modified version of eq. 2: Gs = Gs 0 + Wfacstoma ibi ( An − Rd ) ⎛ vpd ⎞ (Ca − Γ* ). ⎜ 1 + ⎟ ⎝ GsD 0 ⎠ (eq. 4) Non-stomatal limitations are simulated by applying Wfacphoto to photosynthetic potential as follows: Vc max = Vc max* Wfac photo J max = J max*Wfac photo (eq. 5) 12 Where Vcmax, and Jmax are the maximum rate of RuBP carboxylation, and the maximum rate of electron transport. Comparing approaches Four Simulations were run for each site. The first applied the original process description and parameters, the second applied the restrictions which were calculated from the Fluxnet data, presented in Table 2, to photosynthesis, the third to stomatal conductance, and the fourth to both stomatal conductance and photosynthetic potential. The simulation of the diurnal courses of carbon and water fluxes during periods of high water availability was relatively unaffected by the modelling approach chosen, due to the fact that the approaches only differ in their treatment of responses to water stress. During periods of drought, responses to water stress were highly dependent on the chosen response description. All sites showed marked improvements in diurnal simulation accuracy when applying a reduction in both stomatal conductance capacity and photosynthetic capacity. The average diurnal cycle for 20 days in both wet and dry periods at the Collelongo site is shown in figure 6, using each modelling approach. The correlations between each of the simulations and the Euroflux data correspond closely, due to the effective capturing of the shape of the diurnal cycle. The different approaches gave marked differences however in the mean average error. Applying the calculated water stress restrictions presented in Table 2 to both stomatal conductance and photosynthetic potential lead to a reduction of 61.33% in the mean average error for assimilated carbon when compared to the original model parameterisation. Figure 6. 20 average diurnal courses for the modelled (Gotilwa+) and observed net assimilation (An, in umol/m2/s) and latent heat flux (LHF, in mm/hour) for Collelongo, using 4 different modelling approaches: 1) Applying factors from Table 2 to both Stomatal conductance and Photosynthetic potential, 2) Applying the factors to stomatal conductance only. 3) Applying the factors to Photosynthetic potential only, and 4) Applying the original parameterisations. On the left, well watered conditions. On the right, strongly water stressed periods. 13 Applying the water stress restrictions solely to stomatal control lead to a marked increase of 76.8% in the mean average error, whilst applying the restrictions to photosynthetic potential decreased the mean average error by 18.44%. Latent heat fluxes were similarly affected, with the most effective modelling approach (considering the water use efficiency) being the application of the stress limiting factor to both the stomatal conductance and photosynthetic potential. This pattern was repeated at each site, with the optimal modelling strategy being the application of limiting functions to both stomatal control and photosynthetic potential. Carbon and water fluxes were accurately modelled in Collelongo. Gotilwa+ compared well, with both the shape and the magnitude of the diurnal cycle in both dry and wet conditions being accurately captured. Simulation at Roccarespampani was made difficult by the existence of an under story and phenology, but when focussing on Golden days it can be seen that accurately reproduced carbon assimilation. Drought events at the Blodgett site are less severe than at the other chosen sites. However, although the seasonal drought does not lead to a drop in assimilation rates and conductance it does prevent the rates of assimilation from reaching their optimal maximum. This was well captured by Gotilwa+, with water use efficiency accurately reproduced. A full set of statistics comparing the model against the Fluxnet data for each site is given in Keenan et al. (in press). Conclusions It has recently become more evident that the long accepted classical approach of modelling carbon and water fluxes in the water stressed Mediterranean environment is not capable of reproducing data gathered in the field. The implementation of algorithms in which the photosynthetic response to drought solely depends on stomatal control over photosynthesis invariably overestimates water use efficiency, and fails to capture both the timing and extent of the photosynthetic response to water stress. This is not due to an inaccurate description of stomatal conductance using the Ball-Berry approach, but an incomplete description of the mechanisms controlling photosynthetic response to water stress. It has been shown here that other mechanisms play a role in controlling photosynthesis during drought, and the weight of these controls has been gauged through the analysis of Fluxnet data. The identification of these mechanisms is outside the scope of this study, but it has been hypothesised that the possible controls are: 1) Changes in mesophyll conductance or 2) Damage to the photosynthetic apparatus. Most likely both of these possibilities play a part in the control of photosynthesis, depending on the degree of water stress encountered. The dynamic of the timing and extent of stomatal and non stomatal limitations to photosynthesis observed here reflects those reported in other recent studies, with stomata beginning to close before the non stomatal limitation on photosynthesis is observed. Non stomatal limitations were seen to be highly species dependent, and shown to become as or more limiting to photosynthesis as stomatal limitations, depending on the degree of water stress encountered and the species in question. With the inclusion of the knowledge learned through the analysis of the Fluxnet data at each site, fluxes of carbon and water during water stressed periods can now be simulated to as high a degree as fluxes simulated in well watered conditions. This is only possible through the application of water stress responses to both stomatal conductance and photosynthetic capacity independently.Gotilwa+ model compared well against the Fluxnet data. To the best of the author’s knowledge, this is the first time eco-physiological process based models have been able to achieve such accuracy in ecosystems which suffer strong seasonal drought cycles and this has greatly improved our ability to model and predict carbon and water fluxes in Mediterranean forest ecosystems. 14 5. Acknowledgments This study was funded through GREENCYCLES, the Marie-Curie Biogeochemistry and Climate Change Research and Training Network (MRTN-CT-2004-512464) supported by the European Commissions Sixth Framework program for Earth System Science. Bibliography Ball, J.T.; Woodrow, I.E.; Berry, J.A.; 1987. A model predicting stomatal conductance and its contribution to the control of photosynthesis under different environmental conditions. 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