Invest to Win Placing the right bets in a shifting competitive environment Introduction Most companies painstakingly try to stay ahead of market trends and shifting consumer expectations, but lacking a coherent decision framework, many fall into a rut when investing in support of these goals. Many firms either repeatedly invest in the same areas or gamble on new plays without fully understanding the value at stake. The goal is to understand what else consumers might want to purchase, and ask how the company could use these insights to sell more offerings or provide a service that enables it to increase its share of wallet. This perspective focuses on how companies should approach the ways they invest operating or capital funds. Our research focuses primarily on three company goals: Industry borders continue to blur • Achieving topline revenue growth 2. New customer-centered plays have led to companies offering one-stop shopping for current customers that goes beyond their traditional offerings. The goal is to understand what else consumers might want to purchase, and to ask themselves if their company could use these insights to sell more offerings or provide a service that enables it to increase its share of wallet. • Improving profitability • Strengthening market position Forces are compelling companies to change Firms face a number of challenges that complicate their efforts to choose the right ways to invest capital or operating funds. Among the biggest: traditional approaches no longer meet stakeholder expectations; blurring industry lines make the playing field less transparent than before; evolving customer demands keep raising the bar on expected company performance; and the arrival of disruptive new entrants is changing competitive dynamics. Traditional approaches lose their power The current unprecedented changes taking place across industries have compromised many traditional investment approaches that worked adequately in the past. Most companies cannot repeat historical investment patterns and expect to receive the same returns because their industries no longer grow at their former pace. Organizations grow today by expanding into existing markets or creating new markets or product segments that meet customer needs. As a result, leaders need to challenge themselves to identify what customers really value and are willing to buy, and seek out new ways to exploit current assets. 2 Companies seeking new growth opportunities typically start by identifying how to deploy their assets in new ways: 1. Technology plays have included the use of advanced mobile devices, digital software and sensors to monitor and maintain patient health on a 24/7 basis. Other breakthroughs involve the emergence of location-based apps that are transforming everything from hailing a cab to the shopping experience. 3. Extending brands and generating customer bonding can work, if the company’s assets and brands provide a plausible rationale. Leaders need to determine how they can improve the customer experience and what product add-ons to offer. Consequently, firms are entering industries and developing products and markets that they had not previously considered. In this environment, organizations that insist on following historical investment patterns face two challenges. First, they might miss chances to capitalize on the creative destruction that characterizes many of today’s vibrant new markets, and second, the behavior of their competitors is no longer as predictable. Consumer expectations continue to evolve Practiced users of Internet search engines and social networks, today’s digitally savvy consumers are highly informed. From a company’s perspective, this sophistication translates into higher expectations, which if not met could damage an enterprise’s brand and reputation. The threat comes from both the loss to an individual customer and the amplification of a disgruntled consumer’s complaint through public platforms (e.g., social media). To keep up with consumers, many businesses need to make significant investments. Areas of concern could include the expectations of new and innovative products that offer good value, as well as a positive, expedient customer experience with purchased products and subsequent service. People also want companies to engage them digitally before and after a purchase, and to have an online presence. This implies that simply expanding a company’s brick-andmortar footprint will not generate the same levels of retail growth that it once did. Many customers also expect firms to exhibit good corporate citizenship and have effective sustainability strategies. Disruptive new entrants make an impact Increasingly, new entrants are creating new markets to satisfy unmet customer needs. In the process, they are challenging incumbent business models and investment choices and in many cases, roiling established markets. Examples abound, from Uber, which digitally connects drivers that have cars for hire with people looking for transportation, to Gilt Groupe, an online fashion retailer, and Pinkberry, a restaurant franchisee that carved out a niche as a purveyor of upscale frozen desserts. In their early stages, each of these upstarts could have been a low-priced opportunity for existing players to develop a new market. Instead, they now represent competitive threats. 3 Establishing an investment decision logic Companies need a clear rationale for any investment, which means that before deciding where to invest, they need to clarify why they are spending the money, what they expect in return, and over what time frame. One rule of thumb holds that any investment that has an impact on purchasers or endusers must align with their needs and desires, and willingness to pay. This is critical to ensure that the investment will generate sufficient revenues and return on investment. In other words, companies must invest in understanding their markets before investments are made. Making the decisions before the decision As a result, enterprises must make a conscious decision as to what competitive and growth levers they should pull and over what time horizon. They need to understand what it means to win: Are we after revenue, return to shareholders, profit, market position, or a global presence? They should also work through what it would mean to win today versus tomorrow, and where winning would take them relative to their current positions. Once determined, companies need to balance these decisions against the time horizon it will take to accomplish them. If they don’t, they risk making initial investments that do not translate into timely wins. We believe businesses make investments to achieve one of the three goals we noted above: better topline revenue growth, increased profitability or a strengthening of their market position. How to choose where to invest When firms decide where to invest to win, they have a range of choices. They can develop new products, services and solutions, investing to develop innovative offerings that consumers seek. They could invest to maintain or expand an already introduced product’s position in the market, or focus on sales and specific channels, spending to improve their go-to-market capabilities. 4 Another choice involves outlays aimed at strengthening a company’s marketing performance and brand image. Boosting the company’s pricing capabilities also makes sense. Actions here could include investing in capabilities to improve the organization’s understanding of target customers, revising the positioning and promotion of offerings, and optimizing the company’s returns for its offerings. Another option concentrates on simplifying and optimizing the company’s internal capabilities in areas such as manufacturing, supply chain management or at the corporate center by introducing new processes and technologies. Firms seeking overall topline growth might employ mergers and acquisitions as an accelerator for this goal. Under this scenario, they would invest to acquire the capabilities they need to win that are currently absent or weak in the company. These could include brands or sales capabilities, for example. They could also purchase additional resources to complement or utilize existing assets. For instance, they might acquire a new business line that can utilize an existing sales channel or build on an existing customer base. Leaders need to make a number of strategic tradeoffs across different areas when determining where to invest. Figure 1 provides answers to the following question: Where will investments likely generate the most significant returns or accomplish the three underlying goals of boosting revenues, profits or the firm’s market position? For instance, based on Accenture’s experience, investing in sales or sales channels could potentially increase revenues if the market is a new one, and would help to build the firm’s market position. However, it would likely have little effect on profitability. Figure 1. Investment impact on business goal Ability to Increase Revenue Ability to Increase Profit Ability to Increase Market Position New Product High—new product drives purchases Mixed—depends on required investments Low—new product in new market Product Evolution High—drives purchases Mixed—positive if it increases price and/or quantity High—holds/builds position Sales/Channels High if a new market or if needed to establish market; otherwise, Low Low—adds cost Mixed—can build access Marketing/Brand Mixed—depends on current value of brand Low—adds cost Mixed—can build awareness Operations/Efficiency Low—cost play High—lowers costs Mixed—positive if it benefits sales channel M&A Accelerator Only if buying “profit” Accelerator Source: Accenture analysis 2014 5 Figure 2. Investment impact on addressable outcomes Operational Efficiency Market Share Customer Bonding Potential to Grow Addressable Market New Product Low Low Low High Product Evolution Low High High Low Sales/Channels Low Mixed Low High Marketing/Brand Low Mixed High Mixed Operations/Efficiency High Mixed Mixed Low M&A Serves as an Accelerator to Address Each of These Source: Accenture analysis 2014 Organizations can also take a step further and answer another question: Considering the current situation, what impact will each investment choice have on four specific outcomes—operational efficiency, market share, customer bonding or the potential to grow the addressable market? Figure 2 provides an overview and explanation of the analysis. Operational efficiency Can the organization make its end-products cheaper and more efficiently? Operational efficiency reduces costs and drives profits. Market share How much of the market does the firm “own” (in terms of either revenue or volume)? An expanding market share increases quantity and therefore revenue, all else equal. 6 Customer bonding Customer bonding is the stickiness of the relationship with the customer. In other words, how likely are customers to buy from the company again? Can it extend its relationship with them? Increasing customer bonding boosts purchases (quantity) and willingness to pay more, leading to higher revenue with lower customer acquisition costs, and resulting in increased profitability. Potential to grow the addressable market How much “white space” (untapped markets) is there; how much opportunity is there for new products to serve unmet needs? If an enterprise can expand the addressable market, then a multiplier effect could exist. That will give the organization the firstmover advantage in the market. Companies can maintain this advantage over time if they combine it with effective customer bonding approaches. Why have companies invested? At the macro level, the reasons why firms make investments all tend to sound the same: to achieve topline growth, to improve profitability, and/or to ensure a strengthened market position. However, individual companies often face unique challenges or have singular opportunities. What follow are realworld examples of some of these more granular choices. Retail Industrial Technology Health payer Communications Retail Bonding with customers and evolving products to drive revenue Walmart has indicated it plans to take advantage of its physical footprint and floor space to increase its revenue per square foot while expanding its ability to meet customer needs. The company has also expanded beyond the physical realm into the digital world to learn more about its customers, creating a feedback loop of information to drive investment decisions.1 The retailer is focusing on becoming more customer-driven, tailoring its experience and products more to its customers.2 To that end, it is collecting additional information about its shoppers, in effect creating a complementary feedback loop to improve the customer experience and hence increase the bond with the customer.3 The company now provides banking and health services at its stores, expanding the ways it can meet customer needs. This expansion generates direct revenue from Walmart’s partners, as well as additional customer purchases due to increased traffic and cross-selling opportunities. 1. W almart 2014 Annual Report, http://cdn.corporate.walmart.com/66/e5/9ff9a87445949173fde56316ac5f/2014-annualreport.pdf 2. Walmart, News & Views, “Walmart CEO Outlines Company’s Future: Being Customer-Driven, Investing in its People, Leading at the Forefront of Innovation and Technology”, June 6, 2014, https://news.walmart.com/news-archive/2014/06/06/ walmart-ceo-outlines-companys-future-being-customer-driven-investing-in-its-people-leading-at-the-forefront-ofinnovation-and-technology 3. F arhad Manjoo, FastCompany, “Walmart’s Evolution From Big Box Giant to E-Commerce Innovator”, November 26, 2012, http://www.fastcompany.com/3002948/walmarts-evolution-big-box-giant-e-commerce-innovator 7 Technology Walmart executives have indicated that the company is investing to expand its retail space and its e-commerce capabilities simultaneously. This convergence, combined with investments in data analytics and customer insights, should provide the enterprise with an edge over other retailers that only operate in one arena. As one company executive noted in 2014, “We are integrating digital retail and physical retail to create one seamless, customer-driven Walmart experience…We are helping people save money in new and convenient ways so they can live a better life. And we’re doing it by bringing together the best of e-commerce and the best of retail.”4 Given this strategy, Walmart is focusing investments on bolstering its e-commerce capabilities. Today, the company states that its organizational e-commerce capabilities have never been better. The second part of this convergence involves investments in retail space. In fiscal year 2014, the firm added 33 million square feet of floor space and plans to add between 21 million and 23 million square feet more in fiscal 2015.5 Evolving products while embracing risk A number of companies are investing in technology to drive new product development and open innovative sales channels. Google generates additional revenue streams by introducing new products, launching new sales channels and acquiring new assets. This strategy enables it to boost sales in existing markets and position itself to enter new ones. The company has grown revenue through tech-related investments, taking advantage of its cash position, industry research and trend predicting and setting capabilities to invest in the next big thing. The organization’s scattershot approach spreads investments around, a strategy it combines with an institutional willingness to accept potential failure. In February 2014, the firm established Google Capital, a $300 million new venture engine focused on “growth stage” companies. The fund, staffed by a 15-member investment team, concentrates on a range of industries, from IT providers to brick-and-mortar establishments. The fund looks for growth-stage companies – not startups – that have solid business models. Google Capital Investments includes a cloud-based e-learning organization, a peer-to-peer loan-offering website, and a cloud-based survey development firm.6 The company also created Google Ventures in 2009, which has invested in 250 startups to date and has $1.5 billion under management.7 A number of these investments have been integrated into Google X, the company’s technology and investment arm. Google X has used the investments to introduce new products and improve existing ones. Google’s actions suggest it has separated this new product investment arm from the core business to minimize risk, which is the reason for the research arm’s somewhat secretive nature. As one industry insider put it, “Google X is the search giant’s factory for moonshots, those million-to-one scientific bets that require generous amounts of capital, massive leaps of faith, and a willingness to break things. Google X…is home to the self-driving car initiative and…Google Glass, among other improbable projects.”8 4. Walmart, News & Views, “Walmart CEO Outlines Company’s Future: Being Customer-Driven, Investing in its People, Leading at the Forefront of Innovation and Technology”, June 6, 2014, https://news.walmart.com/news-archive/2014/06/06/walmart-ceo-outlines-companys-future-being-customer-driven-investing-in-its-people-leading-at-the-forefront-of-innovation-andtechnology 5. Walmart, News & Views, “Walmart CEO Outlines Company’s Future: Being Customer-Driven, Investing in its People, Leading at the Forefront of Innovation and Technology”, June 6, 2014, https://news.walmart.com/news-archive/2014/06/06/walmart-ceo-outlines-companys-future-being-customer-driven-investing-in-its-people-leading-at-the-forefront-of-innovation-andtechnology) and Walmart 2014 Annual Report, http://cdn.corporate.walmart.com/66/e5/9ff9a87445949173fde56316ac5f/2014-annual-report.pdf 6. Richard Byrne Reilly, Venturebeat.com, “Google Capital: Meet the $300 million cousin to Google Ventures”, February 20, 2014, http://venturebeat.com/2014/02/20/google-capital-meet-the300-million-cousin-to-google-ventures/ 7. Google Ventures, https://www.gv.com/portfolio/ and Lizette Chapman, The Wall Street Journal Venture Capital Dispatch “Google Presents Google Ventures With $1.5B for Investments Through 2017”, November 9, 2011, http://blogs.wsj.com/venturecapital/2012/11/09/google-presents-google-ventures-with-1-5b-for-investments-through-2017/ 8. Brad Stone, Bloomberg Business Week Technology, “Inside Google’s Secret Lab”, May 22, 2013, http://www.businessweek.com/articles/2013-05-22/inside-googles-secret-lab 8 Communications Health payer Creating new products and testing new sales models Investing in different channels, products and services T-Mobile USA, Inc. has shifted to a more efficient pricing and sales model. The operator’s aggressive marketing has created a much stronger customer bond over the past few years. For example, it offers only flat-rate plans with no overages and pays the termination fees new customers could accrue when exiting contracts with other telcos as they sign up with T-Mobile.9 UnitedHealth Group has invested to find effective entry strategies in new channels and to introduce new products and services in response to major external events. These events include the Affordable Care Act’s requirement that supports outcomebased reimbursements, shifts in consumer expectations, and the growth of public/ private exchanges.12 The most striking part of its new sales model is that the operator has abandoned the industry’s ubiquitous two-year contract format in favor of allowing the customer to finance the phone over a two-year period, allowing for quicker upgrades.10 UnitedHealth Group’s insurance division, UnitedHealthcare, has indicated it will become an early adopter of outcome-based reimbursement, which requires a new business model with new channels. The payer says that within five years it will more than double the value of its contracts with doctors and hospitals—to $50 billion annually—with a focus on quality and cost efficiency.13 As a subsidiary of European heavyweight Deutsche Telekom, T-Mobile also became one of the first US telcos to offer subscribers international service at no additional charge.11 The company notes that across markets, the industry as a whole is adapting product, network and marketing strategies to anticipate new distribution options. It also expects distribution channels to expand, including public exchanges, private exchanges and off-exchange purchasing.14 9. J ohn McDuling, Quartz, “Here’s more evidence that T-Mobile’s crazy strategy might just be working”, April 4, 2014, http://qz.com/195641/heres-more-evidence-that-t-mobiles-crazystrategy-might-just-be-working/ 10. Daniel Kline, The Motley Fool, “Subscriber Growth Shows T-Mobile CEO John Legere’s Strategy Is Working”, May 7, 2014, http://www.fool.com/investing/general/2014/05/07/subscribergrowth-shows-t-mobile-ceo-john-legeres.aspx 11. T-Mobile Company Overview, http://www.t-mobile.com/company/companyinfo.aspx?tp=Abt_Tab_CompanyOverview 12. UnitedHealth Group 2013 Annual Report, Letter to shareholders, p.3-8, http://www.unitedhealthgroup.com/~/media/UHG/PDF/2013/UNH-2013-Annual-Report-Summary-Form-10-K.ashx 13. Bruce Japsen, Forbes, “UnitedHealthcare Makes $50 Billion Wager On Accountable Care As Obamacare Looms”, October 7, 2013, http://www.forbes.com/sites/brucejapsen/2013/07/10/ unitedhealthcare-makes-50-billion-wager-on-accountable-care-as-obamacare-looms/ 14. UnitedHealth Group 2013 Annual Report, Letter to shareholders, p.3-8, http://www.unitedhealthgroup.com/~/media/UHG/PDF/2013/UNH-2013-Annual-Report-Summary-Form-10-K.ashx 15. UnitedHealth Group 2013 Annual Report, p.8, http://www.unitedhealthgroup.com/~/media/UHG/PDF/2013/UNH-2013-Annual-Report-Summary-Form-10-K.ashx 16. UnitedHealthcare, “UnitedHealthcare Collaborates with Konami and Zamzee on Innovative Health Programs that Help Reduce Childhood Obesity”, January 9, 2014, http://www.uhc.com/ news_room/2014_news_release_archive/unitedhealthcare_collaborates_with_konami_and_zamzee.htm 17. D ave Chase, Forbes, “Hospital-based Strategic Venture Funds To Spark Innovation”, November 24, 2012, http://www.forbes.com/sites/davechase/2012/11/24/hospital-based-strategicventure-funds-to-spark-innovation 9 Industrial The organization has built on its core business of providing insurance to offer high-value-added health services and products through its Optum division. Examples include wellness programs and personal digital health devices. It is investing to open up consumer health markets, offering direct health texts and direct-to-consumer digital services, and is partnering with game makers such as Konami.15 By adapting their gaming userinterface advances, the company reportedly hopes to foster better health via computer apps and mobile technologies.16 The organization is also experimenting with venture capital incubators and crowdsourcing innovations to create new products in a defined ecosystem.17 Concentrate investments primarily on new and evolving products 3M evolves its products by innovating across the company’s 45 key technology platforms, combining them to create new products or improve existing ones.22 The organization is highly adept at commercializing its technologies for consumers, as illustrated by more than 55,000 brands that often focus on highly technical technologies.23 In 1988, 3M invented a best practice standard metric, the New Product Vitality Index (NPVI), to determine how successful its product development efforts were, both individually and by portfolio. In 2011, its NPVI was 32 percent, which means that roughly a third of all of the firm’s products were less than five years old.24 More recently, the NPVI has climbed to more than 50 percent.25 Technologists at 3M can devote up to 15 percent of their time to ideas they have discovered through the usual course of work but lacked the time to pursue.26 This policy aims to encourage investment and to keep the company focused on new product introductions. The organization plans to escalate its R&D spending to 6 percent of revenue by 2017, putting it far ahead of its peers.27 18. Steven Prokesch, Harvard Business Review, “How GE Teaches Teams to Lead Change”, 2008, http://www.ge.com/pdf/innovation/leadership/hbr_crotonville.pdf 19. Peter C. Evans and Marco Annunziata, “Industrial Internet: Pushing the Boundaries of Minds and Machines”, November 26, 2012, http://www.ge.com/docs/chapters/Industrial_Internet.pdf 20. Antonio Regalado, MIT technology Review.com. Business Report, the Internet of Things, “GE’s $1 Billion Software Bet”, May 20, 2014, http://www.technologyreview.com/news/527381/ges1-billion-software-bet/ 21. Rachael King, The Wall Street Journal, CIO Journal, “GE Wants to Spawn Industrial Internet Startups”, June 24, 2014, http://blogs.wsj.com/cio/2014/06/25/ge-wants-to-spawn-industrialinternet-startups/ 22. Larry A. Wendling, 3M Corporate Research Laboratory, “Creating and Environment … for Innovation at 3M”, p.15, ©3M Company 2010, http://www.virginia.edu/vpr/industry/pfi/contents/ presentations/LarryWendling.pdf 23. Larry A. Wendling, 3M Corporate Research Laboratory, “Environment … for Innovation”, p.2, ©3M Company 2010, http://www.virginia.edu/vpr/industry/pfi/contents/presentations/ LarryWendling.pdf 24. 3M 2011 Annual Report, http://solutions.3m.com/3MContentRetrievalAPI/BlobServlet?lmd=1340133270000&locale=en_US&univid=1180611654372&fallback=true&assetType=MMM_ Image&blobAttribute=ImageFile&placeId=7BC6E48B1800BAE180A88E4927000076&version=current&WT.mc_id=www.3m.com/annualreport/corp 25. Rebecca Schatz, Innovation, etc, “3M Innovation: New Product Vitality Index”, October 26, 2012, http://rebecca-schatz-on-innovation.blogspot.com/2012/10/3m-innovation-new-productvitality-index.html 26. Kaomi Goetz, FastCompany Co.Design, “How 3M Gave Everyone Days Off and Created an Innovation Dynamo”, February 2011, http://www.fastcodesign.com/1663137/how-3m-gaveeveryone-days-off-and-created-an-innovation-dynamo 27. Michelle Caruso-Cabrera, CNBC, “3M CEO: Research Is ‘Driving This Company’”, June 10, 2013, http://www.cnbc.com/id/100801531# 10 Conclusion There is no single best answer for all industries or companies on where to invest to win. That’s because winning is situational. However, a thoughtful way does exist to make investment decisions, and it involves consciously answering three questions before investing: • Why are we spending the money? • What do we expect in return? • In what time frame do we expect that return? What is clear today is that investing to win is not as straightforward as it once was. The market is fluid and a company’s ability to control the market is much lower than it once was. Leaders must make smart investment tradeoffs to ensure that their companies continue to win in an ever-changing market. 11 Authors About Accenture Accenture Strategy Michael V. Peterson, Managing Director, Accenture Strategy, Chicago [email protected] Accenture is a global management consulting, technology services and outsourcing company, with more than 305,000 people serving clients in more than 120 countries. Combining unparalleled experience, comprehensive capabilities across all industries and business functions, and extensive research on the world’s most successful companies, Accenture collaborates with clients to help them become highperformance businesses and governments. The company generated net revenues of US$30.0 billion for the fiscal year ended Aug. 31, 2014. Its home page is www.accenture.com. Accenture Strategy helps leading organizations shape and drive their plans for growth and innovation, competitiveness, new operating models, talent and leadership, and digital transformation. Accenture Strategy integrates business, technology and function strategies to improve agility and deliver tangible outcomes. Christopher R. Roark, Managing Director, Accenture Strategy, Chicago [email protected] Amrita Kimmi Grewal, Senior Manager, Accenture Strategy, Austin [email protected] James M. Scully, Senior Manager, Accenture Strategy, New York [email protected] The authors would like to thank Diego del Rio Diaz Jara, a consultant in Accenture Strategy based in San Francisco, Christina Lui, a consultant in Accenture Strategy based in New York, Mat Marolla, a manager in Accenture Strategy based in New York, Corey Newman, a consultant in Accenture Strategy based in Washington, DC, for their contributions to this article. Disclaimer This document is intended for general informational purposes only and does not take into account the reader’s specific circumstances, and may not reflect the most current developments. Accenture disclaims, to the fullest extent permitted by applicable law, any and all liability for the accuracy and completeness of the information in this document and for any acts or omissions made based on such information. Accenture does not provide legal, regulatory, audit, or tax advice. Readers are responsible for obtaining such advice from their own legal counsel or other licensed professionals. Visit our site to learn more about Accenture Strategy: www.accenture.com/strategy or join the conversation via: @AccentureStrat www.facebook.com/ accenturestrategy www.linkedin.com/company/ accenture-strategy Copyright © 2014 Accenture All rights reserved. Accenture, its logo, and High Performance Delivered are trademarks of Accenture. 14-4343
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