Acta Pædiatrica ISSN 0803–5253 REGULAR ARTICLE Prevalence of overweight and obesity in Danish preschool children over a 10-year period: a study of two birth cohorts in general practice Lone Marie Larsen ([email protected])1, Niels Thomas Hertel1, Christian Mølgaard1,3, René dePont Christensen2, Steffen Husby1, Dorte Ejg Jarbøl2 1.Hans Christian Andersen Children’s Hospital, Odense University Hospital 2.Research Unit of General Practice, Institute of Public Health, University of Southern Denmark 3.Department of Human Nutrition, Faculty of Life Sciences, University of Copenhagen Keywords Body mass index, Obesity, Overweight, Preschool children, Prevalence Correspondence LM Larsen, M.D., Research Unit, Hans Christian Andersen Children’s Hospital, Odense University Hospital, Sdr. Boulevard 29, DK-5000 Odense C, Denmark. Tel: 0045 2629 4192 | Fax: 0045 65 91 18 62 | Email: [email protected] Received 1 July 2011; revised 12 October 2011; accepted 28 November 2011. DOI:10.1111/j.1651-2227.2011.02551.x ABSTRACT Aim: To determine change in the prevalence of overweight and obesity in preschool children, over a 10-year period and to identify possible predictors of overweight in 5-yearold children. Methods: Anthropometric data from birth and routine child health examinations at 3 and 5 years of age performed in general practice were collected in 5580 children from two Funen birth cohorts (1992 and 2001, respectively) representing 48% of the total population at similar age. The prevalence of overweight and obesity was classified using the International Obesity Task Force definitions. Results: In a Danish representative survey of preschool children, the average body mass index (BMI) and prevalence of overweight and obesity did not vary significantly during the 10-year period. No significant changes in mean birth weight were registered and mean BMI in the group of obese children did not increase. Overweight or obesity at 5 years was strongly associated with overweight and obesity at 3 years and with birth weight and gender. Conclusion: The prevalence of overweight and obesity was observed to be stable over a decade in Danish preschool children without changes in mean BMI in the group of obese children. A strong association between overweight and obesity at 3 and at 5 years of age was detected. INTRODUCTION Overweight and obesity in children is a problem of epidemic proportions in the Western world, (1–5). In addition to short-term health and psycho-social consequences, childhood overweight and obesity may have severe consequences later in adolescence and adulthood (6–9). A steep increase in overweight and obesity in school children has been seen in the past decades in several populations (2,4). There is, however, sparse knowledge about the prevalence of overweight and obesity in preschool children also in Denmark (2,10). Such data are important, as overweight in a 5-year-old child suggestively increases the risk of overweight or obesity in adolescence or adulthood by 70–80% (11,12). The objectives of the present study were to determine trends in prevalence of overweight and obesity in preschool children over a 10-year period, based on data from Abbreviations IOTF, International Obesity Task force Childhood Obesity Working Group; BMI, body mass index (kg ⁄ m2); CPR number, A Civil Registration personal number which can identify all individuals who reside in Denmark at any time. birth and routine health examinations in general practice in two birth cohorts from 1992 and 2001, respectively, and to explore possible predictors of overweight at the age of 5 years. In addition, to compare study data with available anthropometric data from 30-year-old Danish reference material. MATERIAL AND METHODS Design and setting The study was a population-based study of two birth cohorts, based on anthropometric data from routine health Key notes • In this study of 5580 Danish preschool children, a stable prevalence of overweight and obesity over a decade was indicated, but still approximately 10% of the preschool Danish children were found to be overweight or obese. A strong association between overweight and obesity at 3 and 5 years of age was revealed indicating that early attention is advisable. ª2011 The Author(s)/Acta Pædiatrica ª2011 Foundation Acta Pædiatrica 2012 101, pp. 201–207 201 Prevalence of overweight in preschool children Larsen et al. examinations, performed in the period from 1992 to 2007 in general practice on the island of Funen, Denmark. In Denmark, all children are offered free health examinations in general practice at the ages of 5 weeks, 5 months, 12 months, 2, 3, 4 and 5 years. Height and weight are registered at all examinations. All weight scales in general practices in Funen were calibrated once a year (since 1997) by an external regional laboratory advising system (http:// www.skup.nu). According to the standards for anthropometric measuring in general practice, the body weight was measured in light underwear and socks to the nearest 0.1 kg, using the same digital medical scale. Height was measured to the nearest 0.1 cm using a stadiometer in standing position with no shoes. Birth length and weight data from the maternity hospital are kept on record by the general practitioners. Participants All 162 general practices in the study area were invited to participate in the study. Children born in 1992 and 2001, respectively, and allocated to the participating general practices, were identified by the Civil Registration System (CPR number) which can identify all individuals who reside in Denmark at any time. Based on the identification by the CPR number, length ⁄ height and weight at birth and at the 3- and 5-year health examinations were obtained from the medical records in general practice. When data were missing, the anthropometric data from the nearest health examination were chosen. Among the free health examinations performed in general practice, examination at 3 years of age was chosen because of available reliable age-correlated (BMI) references (13,14) and certainty that the measurement of height was carried out in a standing position. Fiveyear age anthropometric data were chosen to assess the individual weight development from 3 years of age to 5 years of age. BMI [BMI, defined as weight (kg) divided by stature squared (m2)] was calculated. At birth, mean weights were compared instead of mean BMI, because of the uncertainty in the measurement of the length at birth. Children with overweight and obesity were identified using the criteria presented by the International Obesity Task Force (IOTF) Childhood Obesity Working Group (14) including age- and gender-specific BMI cut-off values from 2 to 18 years corresponding to BMI values of 25 and 30 kg ⁄ m2 at 18 years of age. A comparison of growth data in this study with a 30-year-old Danish reference material also collected from free health examinations in general practice in preschool children was performed using z scores (SDS) (13,15). The study was approved by the Danish Data Protection Agency (j. no 2007- 41-1137). Registry-based studies in Denmark do not require ethical approval. Data processing and validation In the period July 2008 to May 2009, medical records based on electronic or paper files were identified in general practice. Data were validated by the analysis of outliers in the dataset. Children with birth weight below 2500 g. were 202 excluded because of an aberrant growth pattern for preterm and small-for-date infants. Additionally a birth length below 40 cm was excluded as measurement error. Statistics The survey sample was categorized according to age and gender, and age groups were constructed with the intervals: <2.5 years of age, 2.5–3.5 years of age, 3.5–4.5 years of age and 4.5–5.5 years of age. Mean BMIs in the two birth cohorts were compared using an unpaired t-test with a 5% significance level. Equality of variance between groups was tested using Bartlett’s test. As t-test presumes a normal distribution, we compared the results of the parametric t-test with those of the non-parametric Wilcoxon rank-sum (Mann–Whitney) test and found comparable results. The prevalence of normal weight, overweight and obesity was compared between groups by a Pearson chi-square test or, when appropriate, a Fisher’s exact test. To identify possible predictors of overweight and obesity in 5-year-old children, a sample of children born in 1992 and 2001, respectively, was used. The sample was defined by obtaining complete consecutive growth data 6 months prior to and after the 3- and 5-year birthdays. We performed logistic regression modelling with overweight or obesity at 5 years of age (4.5–5.5 years) as the dependent variable. As potential explanatory variables, we used weight class at 3 years of age (2.5–3.5 years) (normal weight vs. overweight vs. obesity at 3 years), birth weight (in kg) and gender in an unadjusted univariate regression analysis and a multivariate analysis adjusted for all potential explanatory variables. For the estimates, we report odds ratio (OR) and 95% confidence intervals. Mean z scores were calculated and compared to zero (mean z score in the Danish reference material) by a one sample t-test. Data were analysed using STATA version 11 (Stata-Corp LP, College Station,TX, USA). RESULTS A total of 68 general practices agreed to participate in the study, equivalent to 42% of all invited representing both urban and rural areas. Medical records from a total of 5 580 children, i.e. 48% of all children born in two birth cohorts 1992 and 2001 in the study area, were identified and reviewed. In medical records from the 1992 birth cohort, complete data sets from both examinations were available in 1532 (54.0%), while growth data from only one single health examination were available in 364 (12.8%) and no growth or only birth data were obtainable in 835 (29.4%). In the 2001 birth cohort, the similar figures were 1559 (61.7%), 523 (20.7%) and 359 (14.2%), respectively. Tables 1 and 2 show mean birth weights and BMIs in girls and boys born in 1992 and 2001, respectively. In girls, mean birth weight tended to increase, but not significantly from 1992 to 2001. There were no changes in mean birth weight in boys over the 10-year period, and no change in birth length in neither boys nor girls. For both genders, mean BMIs were almost identical in the two cohorts in all the age groups and no significant changes over the decade were ª2011 The Author(s)/Acta Pædiatrica ª2011 Foundation Acta Pædiatrica 2012 101, pp. 201–207 ± ± ± ± 0.38 0.10 0.24 0.11 ª2011 The Author(s)/Acta Pædiatrica ª2011 Foundation Acta Pædiatrica 2012 101, pp. 201–207 ± ± ± ± ± 1.23 2.05 1.37 1.68 1.66 ± ± ± ± 0.31 0.10 0.24 0.13 0.498 2.50 1.83 2.03 2.59 ± ± ± ± ± 0.023 0.06 0.04 0.05 0.05 0.526 0.90 0.98 1.05 1.13 ± ± ± ± ± 3.617 13.71 15.53 17.39 19.91 Values are mean (±SD) unless stated otherwise. *Mean Birth Weight, two sample unpaired t-test, equal variance. **Mean BMI, two sample unpaired t-test with unequal variance. ***Mean BMI, two sample unpaired t-test, equal variance. The bold values indicate the values included in the t-tests. 2.03 3.06 4.01 5.08 13.04 17.05 16.19 15.92 15.69 ± ± ± ± ± 1.27 2.16 1.40 1.24 1.44 884 48 793 77 914 824 27 819 94 787 Birth <2½ 2½–3½ 3½–4½ 4½–5½ BMI N Length ⁄ height (m) Weight (kg) N 812 38 749 81 880 2001 Age 12.82 16.31 15.98 15.78 15.66 1992 0.022 0.06 0.04 0.04 0.05 Boys Age groups (years of age) Table 2 Birth weight and mean BMI in preschool boys, over a 10-year period ± ± ± ± ± 0.518 0.91 0.97 1.05 1.11 3.464 ± 0.470 13.65 ± 2.55 15.01 ± 1.84 17.25 ± 2.37 19.47 ± 2.83 Values are mean (±SD) unless stated otherwise. *Mean Birth weight, two sample unpaired t-test, equal variance. **Mean BMI, two sample unpaired t-test, equal variance. The bold values indicate the values included in the t-tests 2.02 3.07 4.06 5.08 760 39 792 80 770 Birth <2½ 2½–3½ 3½–4½ 4½–5½ BMI N Length ⁄ height (m) Weight (Kg) N Age 2001 1992 Girls Age groups (years of age) Table 1 Birth weight and mean BMI in preschool girls, over a 10-year period 2.12 3.08 4.03 5.10 Age 2.11 3.07 4.01 5.09 Age ± ± ± ± ± ± ± ± 0.27 0.11 0.27 0.13 0.24 0.12 0.25 0.13 ± ± ± ± ± 0.501 1.69 1.88 2.54 2.97 3.621 13.23 15.61 17.27 20.11 ± ± ± ± ± 0.535 1.50 1.88 2.18 2.76 Weight (kg) 3.503 12.72 14.95 17.59 19.60 Weight (kg) ± ± ± ± ± 0.021 0.05 0.04 0.05 0.05 0.528 0.90 0.98 1.04 1.13 ± ± ± ± ± 0.023 0.05 0.04 0.05 0.05 Length ⁄ height (m) 0.520 0.88 0.97 1.05 1.12 Length ⁄ height (m) 12.96 16.48 16.25 15.84 15.71 BMI 1.22 1.82 1.49 1.68 1.74 1.25 1.45 1.48 1.15 1.55 ± ± ± ± ± ± ± ± ± ± 12.90 16.46 16.02 15.90 15.60 BMI 0.86* 0.23** 0.44*** 0.69*** 0.75*** p value 0.11* 0.75** 0.65** 0.67** 0.48** p-value Larsen et al. Prevalence of overweight in preschool children 203 Prevalence of overweight in preschool children Larsen et al. seen. Prevalence of overweight and obesity in preschool children was presented (Table 3) according to the previously defined age groups with omission of the age group ‘<2.5 years of age’ because of lack of valid reference material according to the IOTF definition. The prevalence of overweight and obesity varied only slightly and not significantly during the decade in all age groups for both genders. We repeated the analysis in all age groups combined. For children with several measurements, we selected the last measurement. No significant change in the prevalence of overweight and obesity were found in the combined age groups either (results not shown). In the evaluation of a possible increase in the severity of obesity during the decade, mean BMI in the obese preschool children was analysed according to age groups and gender (Fig. 1). Mean BMIs of obese children tended to increase for both genders, but the changes were non-significant. Table 4 shows crude and adjusted OR for associations with overweight and obesity in 5-year-old children. The adjusted analyses showed a significant association between overweight and obesity at the age of 5 years and overweight at 3 years [OR 13.4 (95% CI 9.4–19.2)], obesity at 3 years of age [OR 24.4 (95% CI 12.2–48.9)] and increasing birth weight [OR 2.0 (95% CI 1.5–2.7)]. Male gender was significantly associated with decreasing odds of overweight and obesity at the age of 5 years (OR 0.61 (95% CI 0.44–0.83). No significant differences were found in mean BMI and Table 3 Prevalence (%) of overweight and obesity in preschool children, over a 10-year period Girls 1992 Age-group (years) 2½–3½ 3½–4½ 4½–5½ Boys N % N % N % 2001 1992 NW OW OB NW OW OB p-value* p-value** p-value*** NW 706 89.1 71 88.7 668 86.7 71 9.0 7 8.8 80 10.4 15 1.9 2 2.50 22 2.9 657 87.7 68 83.9 761 86.5 78 10.4 10 12.4 96 10.9 14 0.63 1.9 3 0.67 3.70 23 0.91 2.6 0.34 0.99 0.46 0.99 0.73 0.77 746 91.0 86 91.4 713 90.6 2001 OW OB NW OW OB 57 7.0 7 7.5 59 7.5 708 89.2 73 94.8 828 90.6 71 9.0 3 3.9 65 7.1 16 2.0 1 1.06 15 1.9 p-value* p-value** p-value*** 14 0.33 1.8 1 0.61 1.30 21 0.82 2.3 0.14 0.86 0.33 0.99 0.76 0.62 NW = normal weight; OW = overweight children; OB = obese children defined by International Obesity Task Force criteria. *NW ⁄ OW ⁄ OB distribution. Between group comparison over the 10-year period, chi square test (ordinal data). **Proportion of overweight. Between group comparison over the 10-year period, chi square test (binary data). ***Proportion of obesity. Between group comparison over the 10-year period, Fisher exact test (binary data). Figure 1 Mean BMI in obese preschool children defined by International Obesity Task Force criteria. *Two sample unpaired t-test, unequal variances. **Two sample unpaired t-test, equal variance. Y, years. 204 ª2011 The Author(s)/Acta Pædiatrica ª2011 Foundation Acta Pædiatrica 2012 101, pp. 201–207 Larsen et al. Prevalence of overweight in preschool children Table 4 Logistic regression analysis of overweight and obesity at 5 years of age in children born in the two birth cohorts 1992 and 2001 Overweight at the age of 3 (ref. normal weight) Obesity at the age of 3 (ref. normal weight) Birth weight (kg) Gender, male (ref. female) Crude odds ratio (95% CI)* Adjusted odds ratio (95% CI) (N = 1002)† 13.06 (9.54–17.87) 32.23 (17.48–59.41) 1.93 (1.53–2.44) 0.67 (0.54–0.83) 13.44 (9.39–19.24) 24.37 (12.15–48.88) 2.03 (1.51–2.74) 0.61 (0.44–0.83) *Univariate regression analysis. † Multivariate regression analysis with all explanatory variables included. proportion of overweight for the sub-sample with complete consecutive growth data compared to the whole study group. Comparison of the mean BMIs with the former Danish reference material showed that the average BMI z- score at the 3-year health examination tended to be lower than 30 years ago in both birth cohorts (Table 5). The differences were significant for boys in the 1992 cohort (p = 0.01). At the 5-year health examination, the average BMI z- scores in both birth cohorts and for both genders were all significantly above the reference data (with p values of 0.0001– 0.04). DISCUSSION In this study of 5 580 preschool children in two birth cohorts with an interval of a decade, we observed a stable prevalence of overweight and obesity. In a subsample analysis of consecutive data, a strong association between overweight and obesity at 3 years of age and overweight and obesity at 5 years of age was revealed. There were no available data on either the ethnicity of the children or the families’ socioeconomic status in the present study. However, the population-based approach, a large sample size and the demographic similarity between the investigated area and the rest of Denmark (16) indicate that our results are generalizable to the Danish population. Strengths of the study were the data registration of height and weight by trained staff in general practice and the Table 5 Mean BMI Z scores compared to zero (mean BMI in Danish reference material) 3-year Health examination 5-year Health examination One sample t-test 1992 2001 1992 2001 Girls N Mean BMI Z score SE p-value Boys N Mean BMI Z score SE p-value 871 )0.042 0.038 0.27 887 )0.102 0.040 0.01 834 )0.021 0.040 0.60 883 )0.065 0.040 0.11 853 0.124 0.037 0.0008 892 0.109 0.039 0.005 986 0.075 0.037 0.04 1038 0.139 0.036 0.0001 subsequent direct data transfer from the medical records. Weight and height measurements extracted retrospectively from medical records probably lack the precision that could be obtained in prospective registrations. However, any errors in these measurements were likely to appear at random. A former register study performed by the Danish National Board of Health showed that 30% of children born in 2001 did not attend the 3-year free health examination in general practice (17). In the present study, we identified data for 59% ⁄ 57% and 65% ⁄ 72% attending the 3-year ⁄ 5-year visits in the 1992 and the 2001 cohort, respectively. Possible explanations of missing anthropometric registration in the present study were families having changed to another general practitioner in the study period and the transition to electronic record systems in the follow-up period with a subsequently loss of data registered in paper systems. However, comparison between mean birth weight in the study population where only birth weight was available and the subpopulation with complete data set did not show any systematic differences. We may therefore assume that the study population comprises a large and representative majority of the children who actually attended the health examinations in the included general practices. The estimated prevalence of overweight and obesity among preschool children in the two present birth cohorts of approximately 10% was comparable with results from a Danish study of preschool children born in the autumn 1995, where completeness of data at 5 years of age, however, was <50% (18). The identification of a potential stagnation of overweight and obesity trends over a decade was in contrast to results of a British study where an increase in the prevalence of overweight and obesity in 2.6–4.5-year-old children from 12.2% and 2.2%, respectively, in 1988 to 19.1% and 4.0% in 2003 was found (IOTF criteria used) (19). Among Danish (Copenhagen) school children, an alarming increase in overweight and obesity was shown from 1947 to 2003 (4), but recent published data identified a potential stagnation in contrast to the preceding decades (20). Prevalence of overweight including obesity was 15.9% and 11.6% in girls and boys, respectively, at school entry in 2007, a little higher than prevalence estimates found in the preschool children in the present study. A similar tendency of stagnation has recently been observed among 4-year-old children as well ª2011 The Author(s)/Acta Pædiatrica ª2011 Foundation Acta Pædiatrica 2012 101, pp. 201–207 205 Prevalence of overweight in preschool children Larsen et al. as schoolchildren in Sweden (21–23) and in 7–9-year-old children in France (24). In the United States, the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey, NHANES, for the first time showed no significant increasing trend in obesity in 2–19-year-old children and adolescents in the time period 1999–2008, except among the heaviest 6- through 19-year-old boys (25). In this study, the group of obese children did not gain more adiposity during the 10-year period. This result is different from other studies. A recent analysis of American children aged 2–19, from 1988 to 1994 and 1999 to 2004 (26) showed that the mean 10-year increases in adiposity evaluated by mean BMI, waist circumference and triceps skin-fold thickness were significantly higher in older children and in the more obese groups. The conclusion was that heavier children and adolescents gained more adiposity. In this study, no measures of waist circumference and triceps skin-fold thickness were available. These measures may have added to the analysis of weight development in obese Danish preschool children. We found a very strong association between overweight and obesity at 3 years of age and overweight and obesity at 5 years of age. To our knowledge, such association in consecutive anthropometric preschool data has not previously been reported. Whitaker et al. (27) showed that obese children under 3 years of age without obese parents were at low risk of obesity in adulthood and that among older children obesity was an increasingly important predictor of adult obesity, regardless of whether the parents were obese. Singh et al. (28) stated that the risk of overweight and obese children becoming overweight adults was at least twice as high compared with normal weight children. CONCLUSION Approximately 10% of preschool children were found to be overweight or obese. The study indicated that the prevalence of overweight and obesity in Danish preschool children remained stable over a 10-year period. Furthermore, comparison with Danish reference material indicated that the prevalence only increased modestly over a 30-year period. The strong association between overweight and obesity at 3 and 5 years of age indicates that early attention is advisable. ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS We thank the general practitioners participating in the survey for their generous assistance. We also thank project technician Simone Markøv, Christian Hertel and Secretarial Manager Susanne Berntsen, for practical assistance in the project. Thanks to Secretary Lise Keller Stark for skilful proofreading of the manuscript. This study was funded by the General Practice Research Foundation, The Health Insurance Foundation, Rhode’s Foundation, The Egmont Foundation, The Tryg Foundation, Institute of Clinical Research, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of Southern Denmark, Odense University Hospital. 206 CONFLICT OF INTEREST The authors declare no conflicts of interest. References 1. Lobstein T, Baur L, Uauy R. Obesity in children and young people: a crisis in public health. Obes Rev 2004; 5(Suppl 1): 4–104. 2. Wang Y, Lobstein T. Worldwide trends in childhood overweight and obesity. Int J Pediatr Obes 2006; 1: 11–25. 3. Thomsen BL, Ekstrom CT, Sorensen TI. Development of the obesity epidemic in Denmark: cohort, time and age effects among boys born 1930–1975. Int J Obes Relat Metab Disord 1999; 23: 693–701. 4. Pearson S, Olsen LW, Hansen B, Sorensen TI. Increase in overweight and obesity amongst Copenhagen schoolchildren, 1947–2003. Ugeskr Laeger 2005; 167: 158–62. 5. 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