+ Province-Local Taxes Distribution in Indonesia Riatu M. Qibthiyyah LPEM FEUI, 29 April 2014 + Outline Background Description and Reviews Estimation Results Conclusions + Background One sided fiscal decentralization, low emphasis on revenue decentralization. In the next development stage, will Indonesia still emphasizes on expenditure decentralization and relies heavily on transfers? Intergovernmental Transfers are perceived as entitlement. Revenue decentralization is to improve region revenue autonomy, i.e. provincial and or local taxes shares. Revenue autonomy: percentage share of (Province or Local) taxes revenues from total revenues. Would there be differences among regions in terms of revenues autonomy? How is the variability of revenues autonomy among regions. + Background + Local Taxes as % of Total Revenues: Mean and Coefficient Variation Correlation (2002): 0.14 Correlation (2012): - 0.15 Province with low average of local governments tax share may have high variation of local governments tax share + Local Taxes as % of Total Revenues: Mean and Coefficient Variation In 2002-2012, some regions (73% of districts in comparison to 29% of cities) have a reduced local taxes share (as % of Total Revenues). On average, tax share grew faster in cities than in districts. + Taxes as % of Total Revenues: Provinces, Districts, and Cities Coefficient Variation (CV) 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Province Cities Districts 57.42 59.88 57.88 57.27 64.68 66.03 47.23 52.84 53.37 53.28 48.83 96.44 100.19 99.55 113.23 106.21 106.79 144.18 106.54 104.76 119.49 114.73 212.08 191.47 192.14 201.68 249.44 264.52 186.06 230.12 283.95 252.23 225.03 + Distribution of Tax (as % Total Revenues): Provinces (P), Cities (C), and Districts (D). Jumlah P 2002 (%) C 2002 (%) <10% 5 (16.7) 10 - <20% D 2002 (%) P 2012 (%) C 2012 (%) D 2012 (%) 70 (89.7) 245 (98.4) 4 (12.5) 70 (76.1) 369 (96.1) 9 (30.0) 8 (10.3) 3 (1.2) 4 (12.5) 13 (14.1) 12 (3.1) 20 - <30% 5 (16.7) 0 0 4 (15.6) 8 (8.7) 2 (0.5) 30 - <40% 7 (23.3) 0 0 5 (28.1) 1 (1.1) 0 40 - <50% 3 (10.0) 0 0 9 (12.5) 0 0 50% and up 1 (3.3) 0 1 (0.4) 4 (18.8) 0 1 (0.3) Total 30 (100) 78 (100) 249 (100) 32 (100) 92 (100) 384 (100) + Reviews One of the advantages of decentralization is the efficiency of Tiebout jurisdictions, in which the different level of local taxes represent different or various type of expenditure programs (that suited local preferences). Scully (1991) testing Tiebout Hypothesis on the case of US State Taxes and found the convergence of taxes revenues. Rhode and Strumpf (2003) using per capita taxes/revenues/spending on US state level and find reduction in heterogeneity of taxes and expenditures. Tiebout (1956) hypothesis: divergence of local taxes represents variability in taxes-expenditures mix across regions. Based onβconvergence model. + Estimation Result (1): Cities + Estimation Result (2): Cities + Estimation Result (1): Districts + Estimation Result (2): Districts + Estimation Result: Provinces + Conclusion Tax share tends not to converge among cities. There is no evidence of slower rate of tax share improvement among cities with initial high tax shares. Tax share seems to converge among districts which implies that there is a tendency districts with higher tax share experienced slower growth of tax share over the years. Initially high province tax share may associate with higher growth of districts tax share. + Recap: Plausible Policy Implications One of the advantage of decentralization is the presence of region competition by provision of a mix of taxes and expenditures. Revenue decentralization is potentially enhanced in cities type of government. The findings may support the context of heterogeneous jurisdictions -- Tiebout case for cities. More coordination in taxes administration between province and local governments, especially in the case of districts. It is possible that externality of efficient tax administration in the province level can be exploited to improve districts tax administration.
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