Journals of Gerontology: Medical Sciences cite as: J Gerontol A Biol Sci Med Sci, 2016, Vol. 71, No. 7, 935–940 doi:10.1093/gerona/glv197 Advance Access publication October 30, 2015 Research Article Anthropometric Cut Points for Definition of Sarcopenia Based on Incident Mobility and Physical Limitation in Older Chinese People Jean Woo1 and Jason Leung2 1 Department of Medicine & Therapeutics and 2The Jockey Club Centre for Osteoporosis Care and Control, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Shatin. Address correspondence to Jean Woo, MD, 9/F Lui Che Woo Clinical Sciences Building, Department of Medicine & Therapeutics, Prince of Wales Hospital, 30-32 Ngan Shing Street, Shatin, N.T. Hong Kong. E-mail: [email protected] Received May 21, 2015; Accepted October 7, 2015 Decision Editor: Stephen Kritchevsky, PhD Abstract Background: The Foundation of the National Institutes for Health (FNIH) Sarcopenia Project derived cut points in appendicular lean mass (ALM) and grip strength, in relation to mobility limitation defined as a walking speed less than 0.8 m/s. Methods: Using data from the Mr and Ms Os cohort of 4,000 community-dwelling Chinese men and women aged 65 years and older and a similar data-driven approach, we examined whether the cutoff values are the same for Chinese people using baseline walking speed, incident physical limitation, and incident slow walking speed at 4 years. Physical limitation was determined by interviewer-administered questionnaire. Height, weight, body composition (using dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry), grip strength, and walking speed were measured. Results: Cutoff values identified by Classification and Regression Tree (CART) analysis for grip strength were less than 27 kg for men and less than 17 kg for women. The values for ALM were less than 15.61 kg in men and less than 12.42 kg in women; the values for ALM/body mass index (BMI) were less than 0.72 in men and less than 0.47 in women. Using presence of physical limitation at 4 years as the outcome measure, cutoff values identified by CART analysis for grip strength were less than 27 kg for men and less than 19 kg for women; for ALM, less than 15.65 kg for men and less than 11.26 kg for women; for ALM/BMI, less than 0.69 for men and 0.52 for women. Cutoff values for grip strength were less than 28.5 kg for men and less than 19 kg for women; for ALM, less than 17.61 kg for men and less than 10.84 kg for women; for ALM/BMI, less than 0.81 for men and less than 0.53 for women. Conclusions: Cutoff values may differ between ethnic groups as a result of differences in body size and lifestyles. Keywords: Sarcopenia—Mobility limitation—Grip strength—Walking speed—Appendicular lean mass—Body mass index Twenty years after the introduction of the concept of sarcopenia, while there is agreement of its detection in clinical practice and the potential for reversibility, there is no universal consensus on the operationalized definition nor treatment (1). The need for universal definition of sarcopenia is all the more pressing in view of the increasing number of potential pharmacological agents that may be useful in treatment (2,3), as well as nonpharmacological interventions such as exercise regimes and nutritional supplements (4,5). Sarcopenia definition has evolved from the initial criterion using appendicular lean mass (ALM) in relation to young adult mean (6), to various Consensus Panel definitions incorporating muscle strength and physical performance measures in addition to lean mass (7–9). Such definitions of sarcopenia predict incident disability, hospitalization, and death (10). However, ethnic and geographic variations in muscle mass, muscle strength, physical performance measures, and cut point values relating to incident physical limitation exist (11,12). Another method is to determine cut points using data-driven approach (12–14). Recently, the Foundation of the National Institutes for Health (FNIH) Sarcopenia Project used data from a pooled sample of 26,625 predominantly Caucasian older people with a mean age over 70 years in the United States to derive cut points in ALM and grip strength, using data-driven approaches (13,15–17). The consortium pointed out that further validation in other populations and © The Author 2015. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of The Gerontological Society of America. All rights reserved. For permissions, please e-mail: [email protected]. 935 936 examination of alternative relevant outcomes are needed. Subsequently, this definition using the FNIH cut points has been applied to a longitudinal study of 1,705 men aged 70 years or older in Sydney, Australia, and sarcopenia classifications predicted incident disability, institutionalization, and mortality (18). A recent study in 1,566 men and women aged 60–64 years found limited overlap in identification of sarcopenia using the FNIH criteria compared with the European Working Group on Sarcopenia in Older people, and only sarcopenia defined using the FNIH criteria was associated with higher odds of slowness and walking difficulties (19). Cut points using ALM/body mass index (BMI) identified people with difficulties in several domains of physical activity while low ALM/height2 did not (20). Using data from the Mr and Ms Os cohort of community-dwelling Chinese men and women aged 65 years and older which began in 2000, we used Classification and Regression Tree (CART) models as employed in the FNIH study to derive cutoff values for parameters used for sarcopenia definition, using cross-sectional association with walking speed less than 0.8 m/s as for the FNIH study to determine whether the cutoff values are the same for Chinese people using the same mobility disability outcome, as well as examining cut points for incident physical limitation and incident slow walking speed as alternative relevant outcomes. Methods This analysis uses data from the Mr and Ms Os cohort, consisting of 4,000 community-living Chinese men and women aged 65 years and older recruited for a study on osteoporosis and general health in Hong Kong between August 2001 and February 2003. Participants responded to a general advertisement for health check. The sample was stratified so that approximately 33% each would be aged 65–69, 70–74, and 75+ years. They were invited to return at 2 and 4 years for follow-up assessments. At baseline, information regarding sociodemographic data, medical history, lifestyle habits, and activities of daily living was collected. Measurements included height, weight, body composition, and physical performance measures (21). Information regarding physical limitation was obtained from interviewer-administered questionnaire and assessed using the following two questions: do you have any difficulty in climbing stairs (no, a little, a lot) and do you have difficulty in carrying out household activities such as moving chairs or tables (no, a little, a lot). Participants were categorized as having physical limitation if the answer to either question was either a little or a lot, and no limitation of the answer to both questions was no. Body composition was measured by dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry by using a Hologic Delphi W4500 densitometer (Hologic Delphi, auto whole body version 12.4; Hologic Inc., Bedford, MA). Total appendicular skeletal muscle mass was calculated as the sum of ALM minus bone mineral content of both arms and legs. Grip strength was measured using a dynamometer (JAMAR Hand Dynamometer 5030JO; Sammons Preston Inc., Bolingbrook, IL). Two readings were taken from each side, and the average value between right and left was used for analysis. Gait speed was measured using the best time in seconds to complete a walk along a straight line 6 m long. A warmup period of less than 5 minutes was followed by two walks, and the best time was recorded (12). The cohort was invited to re-attend for repeat questionnaire interviews and physical measurements at 2 and 4 years. Due to participant attrition, at 4 years, data on physical limitation were only available from 1,516 men and 1,587 women; data on walking speed were available from 1,560 men and 1,577 women. Journals of Gerontology: MEDICAL SCIENCES, 2016, Vol. 71, No. 7 Statistical Analysis All statistical analyses were performed using the statistical package SAS, version 9.1.3 (SAS Institute, Inc., Cary, NC) except that CART was done by R software (version 3.1.2). Two sample independent t tests were used for continuous variables, while chi-squared tests for categorical variables. We determined the baseline cut points for grip strength, lean muscle mass (ALM), ALM/BMI, that corresponded to baseline walking speed less than 0.8 m/s, and presence of physical limitation and walking speed less than 0.8 m/s at 4 years for men and women separately, using CART analysis. In the Sarcopenia FNIH project (13,15,17), different cut points were obtained for Caucasians. Chinese cut points were determined by CART to compare with those for Caucasians. CART analysis does not assume a particular form of association between independent and dependent variables. It is useful in this study because (i) predictors and cut points are chosen by optimizing discrimination of the outcomes, (ii) number of cut points does not need to be predefined, and (iii) CART can identify complex and unsuspected interactions between important variables (19). CART analysis was performed by using rpart in R software (version 3.1.2) and crossvalidation was used to remove the less important splits by assessing the change in prediction error. Performing the cross-validation, the original sample is randomly partitioned into 10 equally sized mutually exclusive subsamples (ie, each sample contained 90% of the original pooled data). The tree was then applied to these 10 subsamples such that each contained 90% of the data. Prediction error from each subsample was calculated. These 10 prediction errors were used to calculate the empirical SE of the prediction error. The tree was pruned to the most parsimonious model within one standard prediction error from the best-fit model. The pruned tree contains the final set of cut points. Several CART models were run. First, each of the predictors— grip strength, ALM, and ALM/BMI—was entered into separate CART models and examined with different outcomes (baseline and incident slowness, and incident physical limitation) independently. Then, ALM and ALM/BMI were entered together. Finally, all three predictors—grip strength, ALM, and ALM/BMI—were entered into one model and were examined with different outcomes. The outcomes and predictors were further analyzed by using logistic regressions. The area under the curve (AUC) was used to measure the concordance of predictive values with actual outcomes. AUCs were compared using Wilcoxon tests. Sensitivity analysis was performed to examine the predictive power of the cut points in different groups including different age, BMI, height, and health status. Heterogeneity between different groups was accessed by including interaction term. All statistical tests were two sided. A p value of less than .05 was considered statistically significant. Results Table 1 shows the baseline characteristics for the variables used in the analysis for men and women. Walking Speed Less Than 0.8 m/s at Baseline Cutoff values identified by CART analysis for grip strength were less than 27 kg for men, and less than 17 kg for women. The values for ALM were less than 15.61 kg in men and less than 12.42 kg in women; the values for ALM/BMI were less than 0.72 in men and less than 0.47 in women (see Supplementary Figures 1–3). Table 2 shows the odds ratio (OR) for slow walking speed at baseline and Journals of Gerontology: MEDICAL SCIENCES, 2016, Vol. 71, No. 7 AUC for these cut points. The ORs for men were all greater than 2, the highest OR being observed for grip strength, followed by ALM and lastly ALM/BMI. A different pattern was observed in women, in that the OR for ALM/BMI was higher than ALM and similar to grip strength. As for the FNIH project, sensitivity analysis was carried out for different strata of age, BMI, height, presence of cancer, 937 heart failure, chronic obstructive pulmonary diseases (COPD) and diabetes (see Supplementary Table 5). In men, significant ORs for all three parameters were observed only in the 75+ age group; two weight categories (overweight and obese); height more than or equal to 160.5 cm; and absence of cancer, congestive heart failure, COPD, or diabetes. For women (see Supplementary Table 5), significant ORs for all three parameters were only observed for those aged 70–74 years; the obese category; and those without cancer, heart failure, COPD, or diabetes. Table 1. Characteristics of Subjects Frequency (%)/Mean (SD) Age 65–69 70–74 75 or above Mean BMI Underweight (<18.5 kg/m2) Normal weight (18.5–22.9 kg/m2) Overweight (23–24.9 kg/m2) Obese (≥25 kg/m2) Mean Height (cm) Cancer CHF COPD Diabetes Male (N = 2,000) Female (N = 2,000) 664 (33.20%) 708 (35.40%) 628 (31.40%) 72.39 (5.01) 669 (33.45%) 665 (33.25%) 666 (33.30%) 72.58 (5.36) * 100 (5.00%) 115 (5.75%) 760 (38.00%) 711 (35.55%) 524 (26.20%) 476 (23.80%) 601 (30.05%) 23.45 (3.13) 163.10 (5.72) 87 (4.35%) 73 (3.65%) 232 (11.60%) 293 (14.65%) 713 (35.65%) 23.92 (3.45)* 150.90 (5.31)* 90 (4.50%) 78 (3.90%) 101 (5.05%)* 286 (14.30%) Physical Limitation at 4 Years Using presence of physical limitation at 4 years as the outcome measure, cutoff values identified by CART analysis for grip strength were less than 27 kg for men and less than 19 kg for women; for ALM, less than 15.65 kg for men and less than 11.26 kg for women; for ALM/BMI, less than 0.69 for men and less than 0.52 for women (see Supplementary Figures 4–6). Table 3 shows the OR for physical limitation at 4 years and AUC for these cut points. The risk for physical limitation was significantly increased for all values below the cut points; however there were gender differences. The ORs for men were all greater than 2, with ALM/BMI having the highest OR (3.14). However, for women, the ORs were lower (all below 2). The predictive values were not high, the AUCs being all 0.55 or below. In men, significant ORs were observed for all three parameters only in the following subgroups: weight 18.5–22.9 kg/m2, height less than 165.54 cm, those without chronic cachectic diseases (cancer, heart failure, COPD) or diabetes. Similar findings were observed in women, with the exception that none of height group had significant ORs for all three parameters (see Supplementary Table 6). Walking Speed at 4 Years Notes: BMI = body mass index; CHF = congestive heart failure; COPD = chronic obstructive pulmonary disease. *p Value <.05 of chi-square for categorical and t test for continuous variables. Cutoff values for grip strength were less than 28.5 kg for men and less than 19 kg for women; for ALM, less than 17.61 kg for men Table 2. Relationship of Walking Speed <0.8 m/s at Baseline and Different Definitions for Sarcopenia Walking Speed < 0.8 m/s Male Grip strength ≥27 kg <27 kg (low) ALM ≥15.61 kg <15.61 kg (low) ALM/BMI ≥0.7223 <0.7223 (low) Female Grip strength ≥17 kg <17 kg (low) ALM ≥12.42 kg <12.42 kg (low) ALM/BMI ≥0.4718 <0.4718 (low) No Yes OR (95% CI) N = 1,782 N = 218 1,574 (91.89%) 208 (72.47%) 139 (8.11%) 79 (27.53%) 1.0 (referent) 4.30 (3.15, 5.87) 1,663 (90.63%) 119 (72.12%) 172 (9.37%) 46 (27.88%) 1.0 (referent) 3.74 (2.57, 5.44) 1,574 (90.25%) 208 (81.25%) N = 1,587 170 (9.75%) 48 (18.75%) N = 413 1.0 (referent) 2.14 (1.50, 3.04) 1,473 (81.52%) 114 (59.07%) 334 (18.48%) 79 (40.93%) 1.0 (referent) 3.06 (2.24, 4.17) 1,231 (80.83%) 356 (74.63%) 292 (19.17%) 121 (25.37%) 1.0 (referent) 1.43 (1.12, 1.83) 1,532 (80.42%) 55 (57.89%) 373 (19.58%) 40 (42.11%) 1.0 (referent) 2.99 (1.96, 4.56) AUC 0.6228 0.5721* 0.5517* 0.5597 0.5343 0.5311* Notes: ALM = appendicular lean mass; AUC = area under the curve; BMI = body mass index; CI = confidence interval; OR = odds ratio. *p Value <.05 for AUC of ALM or ALM/BMI comparing with grip strength. Journals of Gerontology: MEDICAL SCIENCES, 2016, Vol. 71, No. 7 938 and less than 10.84 kg for women; for ALM/BMI, less than 0.8 for men and less than 0.53 for women (see Supplementary Figures 7–9). The ORs for these cutoff values vary between 1.75 and 2.97, the highest being grip strength in men. With the exception of grip strength in men, all the AUC values were below 0.6 (Table 4). In the subgroup analyses for men, significant ORs for all three parameters were observed in the 75+ age group; the normal and overweight group; height 165.55 cm and above; and absence of cancer, heart failure, COPD, or diabetes. For women, significant ORs for all three parameters were observed in the following groups: normal weight Table 3. Relationship of Physical Limitation After 4 y and Grip Strength, ALM, and ALM/BMI Physical Limitation After 4 y Male Grip strength ≥27 kg <27 kg (low) ALM ≥15.65 kg <15.65 kg (low) ALM/BMI ≥0.6933 <0.6933 (low) Female Grip strength ≥19 kg <19 kg (low) ALM ≥11.26 kg <11.26 kg (low) ALM/BMI ≥0.522 <0.522 (low) No Yes N = 1,076 N = 490 OR (95% CI) AUC 0.5445 983 (70.87%) 93 (51.96%) 404 (29.13%) 86 (48.04%) 1.0 (referent) 2.25 (1.64, 3.08) 1,028 (69.88%) 48 (50.53%) 443 (30.12%) 47 (49.47%) 1.0 (referent) 2.27 (1.50, 3.45) 1,040 (70.18%) 36 (42.86%) N = 716 442 (29.82%) 48 (57.14%) N = 871 1.0 (referent) 3.14 (2.01, 4.90) 616 (48.20%) 100 (32.36%) 662 (51.80%) 209 (67.64%) 1.0 (referent) 1.95 (1.50, 2.53) 676 (45.86%) 40 (35.40%) 798 (54.14%) 73 (64.60%) 1.0 (referent) 1.55 (1.04, 2.30) 611 (47.44%) 105 (35.12%) 677 (52.56%) 194 (64.88%) 1.0 (referent) 1.67 (1.28, 2.17) 0.5257 0.5323 0.5501 0.5140* 0.5380† Notes: ALM = appendicular lean mass; AUC = area under the curve; BMI = body mass index; CI = confidence interval; OR = odds ratio. *p Value <.05 for AUC of ALM or ALM/BMI comparing with grip strength. † p Value <.05 for AUC of ALM/BMI comparing with ALM. Table 4. Relationship of Walking Speed <0.8 m/s After 4 y and Different Definitions for Sarcopenia Walking Speed < 0.8 m/s After 4 y Male Grip strength ≥28.5 kg <28.5 kg (low) ALM ≥17.61 kg <17.61 kg (low) ALM/BMI ≥0.8006 <0.8006 (low) Female Grip strength ≥19 kg <19 kg (low) ALM ≥10.84 kg <10.84 kg (low) ALM/BMI ≥0.5269 <0.5269 (low) No Yes OR (95% CI) N = 1,256 N = 304 1,057 (84.42%) 199 (64.61%) 195 (15.58%) 109 (35.39%) 1.0 (referent) 2.97 (2.25, 3.93) 955 (82.97%) 301 (73.59%) 196 (17.03%) 108 (26.41%) 1.0 (referent) 1.75 (1.34, 2.29) 779 (84.49%) 477 (74.76%) N = 1,041 143 (15.51%) 161 (25.24%) N = 536 1.0 (referent) 1.84 (1.43, 2.37) 895 (70.25%) 146 (48.18%) 379 (29.75%) 157 (51.82%) 1.0 (referent) 2.54 (1.97, 3.28) 1,012 (66.62%) 29 (50.00%) 507 (33.38%) 29 (50.00%) 1.0 (referent) 2.00 (1.18, 3.38) 850 (69.56%) 191 (53.80%) 372 (30.44%) 164 (46.20%) 1.0 (referent) 1.96 (1.54, 2.50) AUC 0.6001 0.5578* 0.5749 0.5763 0.5131* 0.5612† Notes: ALM = appendicular lean mass; AUC = area under the curve; BMI = body mass index; CI = confidence interval; OR = odds ratio. *p Value <.05 for AUC of ALM or ALM/BMI comparing with grip strength. † p Value <.05 for AUC of ALM/BMI comparing with ALM. Journals of Gerontology: MEDICAL SCIENCES, 2016, Vol. 71, No. 7 and absence of cancer, congestive heart failure, COPD, or diabetes (see Supplementary Table 7). Further CART Models By putting ALM and ALM/BMI together into a model, both were finally included in all six models (three outcomes with two sexes). ALM was the first node for baseline slowness while ALM/BMI was the first node for incident slowness and incident physical limitation in both men and women. For models with grip strength, ALM and ALM/BMI together, grip strength was the first node for all models (see Supplementary Figures 10–12). The cut points for grip strength in the model with ALM and ALM/BMI are the same as that for grip strength alone. Putting three parameters (grip strength, ALM, and ALM/BMI) together, in men, baseline slowness only included grip strength and ALM. Baseline slowness in women and incident physical limitation in men and women included grip strength and ALM/ BMI. However, incident slowness in men and women only included grip strength. Discussion This study validated the FNIH approach to the definition of sarcopenia. However, there are similarities and differences in cut points derived in a Chinese population compared with those from the FNIH Sarcopenia project. By using baseline slowness, the cut points for grip strength, ALM, and ALM/BMI in men were close to that for Caucasians (<27.5, <16.2, and <0.74 kg, respectively), with 0.07–0.22 SD smaller than that for Caucasians. The discrepancy of cut points between Hong Kong Chinese and Caucasian women is larger, with 0.27–0.55 SD difference (the cut points of Caucasian women: <18 kg for grip strength, <11.5 kg for ALM, and <0.51 for ALM/BMI). The adjustment for lean mass using BMI proposed by the FNIH project to certain extent adjust for body size and fat mass (13) and clearly narrows the difference between Caucasian and Chinese populations, suggesting that future studies where ethnic differences may act as a confounder may consider using this ratio instead of absolute ALM values. The findings confirm that there are ethnic and gender differences in the use of cut points for the definition of sarcopenia, and that these values may not be applicable for those with chronic wasting diseases such as heart failure or COPD or diabetes, since poor predictive values are seen in the presence of these diseases. Furthermore, the applicability of these parameters in very old age groups are uncertain, since few cohorts will have sufficient numbers of such people. The use of the FNIH approach towards sarcopenia definition is logical and evidence based. However, population variations in anthropometry and lifestyle habits are obstacles in applying universal cutoff values. At the same time, there are cost constraints in carrying out large-scale cross-sectional and longitudinal studies to establish cut points for individual populations. Such an approach may be necessary if incremental value for using this approach versus that of Consensus Panel definitions or screening instruments could be established and shown to be high. CART models identify subgroups which most greatly discriminate the outcome, providing the cut point which will result in the highest AUC and ORs. Among the three parameters, grip strength had the highest AUC and the cut point was most discriminatory (also being the first node among three parameters), and the cut point of ALM/BMI was better than ALM alone. However, a recent analysis using the Mr and Ms Os dataset to examine this point showed that with respect to predicting incident physical limitation and mortality, the FNIH criteria, various 939 Consensus Panel criteria, and brief screening instruments all have similar performance, the AUCs being between 0.6 and 0.7 (21). While all the cut point values derived in this study also predicted 10-year mortality, all the AUC values were below 0.6. There are limitations in the use of prospective data to derive cut points to be used as criteria for sarcopenia definitions. In any followup studies, the default rate would be higher among frailer individuals, and this may introduce a bias towards cutoff values being higher. However, it may be argued that prospective data have an advantage over cross-sectional data. Furthermore, it is difficult to take into account all the potential confounders such as lifestyle factors. 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