Volume 6 | Issue 1 | Number 0 | Jan 01, 2008 The Asia-Pacific Journal | Japan Focus Reconciling Japan and China Mel Gurtov issues in dispute are well known and are Reconciling Japan and China * therefore not the primary subject of this paper. Instead, the aim here is to explore areas of Mel Gurtov potential cooperation that may ease tension and eventually lead to reconciliation. Abstract: The conflict-resolution literature offers new insights to reconciling parties in conflict. This aim, almost needless to say, is more easily This article applies that literature, along with written about than accomplished in fact. political-science approaches, to the seemingly Intractable conflicts by their nature acquire a life intractable China-Japan rivalry. Proceeding from of their own; the longer they go on, the more the standpoint that China and Japan need one vested in conflict do the parties become. In the another, and should manage their conflict for case of China and Japan, moreover, history mutual benefit, the article suggests several steps envenoms the relationship to an extraordinary they may take—bilaterally, in multilateral degree, infecting both high-level dialogue and settings, and in civil society—to reduce tensions public opinion. Official rhetoric about the and promote better understanding. importance of Sino-Japanese peace and cooperation notwithstanding, in the public arena A Framework for Transforming Sino-Japanese it is rare to find groups or individuals speaking Conflict out on behalf of reconciliation, even when (as in the case of business leaders, for instance) they China-Japan relations constitute a long-running, benefit from it. In fact, influential people in both dangerous, and seemingly intractable conflict. countries have been attacked for advocating The relations are not immune to positive change, reconciliation. Governments always devote more but they are constantly vulnerable to resources to conflict than to conflict resolution. backtracking and intensification of rivalry. Both kinds of changes have occurred since Because China-Japan conflict operates at so many normalization of relations in the early 1970s. The levels—it is at once structural, societal, 1 6|1|0 APJ | JF psychological, and of course political—any effort This paper contends that to travel that road, the to move it toward reconciliation needs to look at appropriate starting point is not continuing both policiesand processes . Moreover, we should debate over grievances but practical steps that be audacious in thinking of reconciliation as serve common interests. There is a school of involving something more than “simple thought that argues that until Japan fully coexistence.” As David Crocker has written with acknowledges its past transgressions against respect to warring parties, reconciliation is a China and, like post-war Germany, makes healing process: apologies and amends, no progress is possible. But such an approach may add to the problem of conflict resolution. Dealing with the proximate In the most minimal account . . . causes of conflict is often more productive than reconciliation is nothing more than attempting to resolve past grievances. As we “simple coexistence” in the sense have seen many times in the China-Japan case, that former enemies comply with whenever Japanese politicians reopen the the law instead of killing each other. wounds of war, they invite a Chinese response, Although this modus vivendiis thus feeding competitive nationalisms and certainly better than violent conflict, pushing the history issue to center transitional societies . . . should aim stage—precisely where it should not be.[3] for more . . . Among other things, History is better off being shelved until such time this implies a willingness to hear as a sense of true partnership emerges—that is, each other out, to enter into give- when concerted cooperation occurs over a and-take about matters of public lengthy period. Only then, when mutual trust is policy, to build on areas of common implicit because of habitual dialogue and policies concern, and to forge principled that serve common interests, is reconciliation compromises with which all can possible and apologizing politically feasible. live. The process, so conceived, may help to prevent a society from lapsing back into violence as a way to resolve conflict.[1] Yet, if transformationof the parties is the ultimate goal of reconciliation,[2] there is a long road to travel when it comes to China and Japan. 2 6|1|0 APJ | JF politics of identity (nationalism in particular). Analyses grounded in political science, however, are insufficient when it comes to reconciling states and societies in conflict. For one thing, they have a strong tendency to fish for trouble: They mainly seek to identify the causes and consequences of conflict rather than focus on preventing, managing, and resolving conflict.[4] For another, they are in sharp disagreement with one another on basic premises. Realist analysis typically sees China-Japan rivalry as an enduring Premier Fukuda Yasuo (right) meets Prime feature of the East Asian strategic landscape, and Minister Wen Jiabao in Beijing discounts economic engagement as likely contributing to China’s military as well as For reconciliation to happen, the tools of both economic superiority. Constructivists often point political science and conflict resolution need to be to nationalism and history as being able to used. Most analysts favor one or more of the overwhelm any common ground Chinese and three now-standard approaches in political Japanese diplomats may find. The Liberals’ science: response—that strong business ties, coupled with China’s deepening involvement in Asian • Liberalism: the role of multilateral multilateral groups, will diminish rivalry and regimes and commercial ties in promote further cooperation with Japan—is promoting appealing but not easily testable. On one hand, irreversible interdependence; business ties have grown in spite of disputes over • Realism: the impact of power history and territory; but on the other, those differentials and power transitions disputes have persisted. Moreover, strong on policy making; economic relations sometimes create new • Constructivism: addressing issues disagreements of their own, such as over pertaining technology transfers, trade imbalances, and to cultural and development assistance.[5] psychological differences, and the 3 6|1|0 APJ | JF If scholars are to contribute to China-Japan civil society, must weigh in any usable approach reconciliation, as I believe they should, they will to conflict management.[7] Of cardinal need to dig deeper into the tool box and exploit importance, as stressed below, is the widespread the conflict-resolution literature. Three areas understanding that each leadership and society seem particularly pertinent: must come to about the virtues of their mutual dependence, as a source of common prosperity and as a restraint on nationalistic outbursts. • Dialogue: focus on the legitimacy of the parties, the diversity of Problems formats for discussions, and the • Engagement: techniques, such as Conflict In this paper I elaborate on the contribution and use of positive incentives, for piece together a menu that might be seized upon bringing parties to the table or by Chinese and Japanese at various levels to otherwise making contact; design a new relationship with each other. These • Confidence building : the use of diplomacy Sino-Japanese Management process of “getting to yes”; preventive of ideas are essentially building blocks, in which and synergy and consistency rather than a carefully transparency to build trust. calibrated strategy is the key. The essential argument is that peaceful, cooperative relations The vantage point of conflict resolution is its are in China’s and Japan’s (not to mention the focus on establishing greater trust, widening United States’ and everyone else’s) best interest, common ground, and managing differences and that there is a high and increasing price to be between disputants. Rivalry is not treated as paid for indifference to the consequences of unalterable, nor is one side to a dispute assumed ongoing rivalry—among which is a new cold war (for purposes of a settlement) to bear greater in Asia. responsibility than the other. Approaches to resolving conflicts and reconciliation must take Managing Sino-Japanese differences presents a place at several different levels, from the number of special problems, however. One is personal to the regional and global.[6] Of central that neither Beijing nor Tokyo seeks an honest importance, and often neglected, is the domestic broker who might mediate the conflict. Another political element. In the case of China and Japan, is the lack of self-criticism in each society, hence the roles of powerful bureaucracies, parties, and also the seeming inability of each to establish a political leaders, as well as of public opinion and new domestic consensus regarding the other 4 6|1|0 APJ | JF party. Third is that neither of the multilateral break, and would give a breakdown of its forums to which Japan and China belong—Asia- military budget.[9] But these two steps were Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) and the undermined when Japan’s navy joined U.S., various offshoots of the Association of Southeast Indian, and Australian ships in war games, part Asian Nations (ASEAN)—has the capacity or the of a major security initiative under Abe to authority to act preventively or as conciliator in become a strategic partner with Australia and the dispute. Nor does Northeast Asia, unlike other states with “democratic values.”[10] Southeast Asia, have a security dialogue mechanism that the two countries might use to One other formidable obstacle in the path of discuss their disputes. China-Japan reconciliation is the United States. Positive U.S.-China relations are central to the Fourth is the asymmetry of Japanese and Chinese resolution of most of East Asia’s security issues. power. While much is made these days of the fact But while the United States and China have that the two countries, for the first time in their found common ground lately in a number of modern history, are simultaneously strong, their policy arenas, such as terrorism and nuclear strengths lie in different areas. Fifth, is the nonproliferation, Japan and China have not. In consistent inconsistency of China-Japan dialogue. the eyes of many Chinese specialists, U.S. It seems that every positive step is quickly partiality to Japan is a major reason why.[11] undermined by a negative one—sometimes Their argument is that Japan’s deployments in deliberately, one suspects. One recent example is the Middle East, its enhanced military firepower, when Koizumi expressed “deep remorse” to Hu its interest in constitutional revision, its strategic Jintao in April 2005 for Japan’s aggression in partnership with Australia, and its revival of China. Hu accepted; but once Koizumi national spirit have all come at the behest of the announced in Japan that he would visit the United States and thus have the appearance of Yasukuni Shrine, all the goodwill dissipated.[8] balance-of-power politics directed at China. Yet, A second such instance occurred following as one Chinese specialist on Japan has admitted, Chinese defense minister Cao Gangchuan’s visit Beijing must choose between the lesser of two to Japan in August 2007. It was the first such evils: military exchange in nearly ten years, and it may lead to the setting up of a hotline. Thereafter, China’s foreign ministry informed the UN The Chinese academic community is secretary general that it would resume reporting somewhat conflicted about the of arms exports and imports after a decade-long fu¬ture of the U.S.-Japanese alliance. 5 6|1|0 APJ | JF On one hand, although it does not revealed the secretiveness of the military even expect the alliance to become within stronger, an invigorated U.S.- ranks[13]—Japanese leaders will justify Japanese alliance may join hands countermeasures, such as increases in military against China. On the other hand, a spending and force acquisitions, and revision of looser U.S.-Japanese alliance may Article 9 of the constitution. China’s own bureaucratic lead to its ultimate collapse, leaving Accenting the Positive a Tokyo unbound by Washington. It remains uncertain whether an Up until now, the official bilateral level has been independent Japan would employ a the locus of most discussions of problem areas in friendly China policy. The direction China-Japan relations. There is a positive side to and future of the alliance, however, this reality, however. First, Japanese and Chinese is ultimately up to Washington and leaders have embraced East Asian regionalism, at Tokyo.[12] least in terms of deepening economic integration and The Costs of Avoidance joint consultations (mainly in ASEAN+3);[14] and they along with all the other key actors in Northeast Asia have also accepted A serious potential consequence of the the idea of creating a regional dialogue continuing rift is that a new cold war will break mechanism for dispute resolution.[15] Second, as out in East Asia. The longer the rift simmers, the discussed further below, Prime Minister Abe more likely it is that the so-called security Shinzo’s trip to China and South Korea soon after dilemma will come to pass. While Japan has succeeding Koizumi Junichiro in October 2006, extended its security ties, Beijing is busy and the reassurances to China of his successor, cultivating its own alignments: the Shanghai Fukuda Yasuo, may open the door to further and Cooperation Organization, ASEAN+3, and more concrete dialogue. Third, the high and Russia. As China’s military modernization growing degree of economic interdependence proceeds and issues of transparency go between Japan and China—in trade, direct unresolved—the 17.8 percent boost in military investment, and official development assistance spending announced in 2007 represented the (ODA)—remains the crucial asset for preventing seventeenth year in the last eighteen in which a open conflict. spending increase reached double digits; and China’s ASAT test in January 2007 may have Viewed from the perspective of conflict 6 6|1|0 APJ | JF management, moreover, another source of optimism is that the same issues that divide the two countries and peoples may be turned into arenas of cooperation. Why do Chinese and Japanese leaders eye each other so warily? The reasons are easy enough to list: geographic propinquity, historical animosity, unequal power, concern about alliance relationships. All these concerns can be turned Fortunately, in recent times the China-Japan around, however, so that the key issue becomes relationship has not been all about competition not sources of endless rivalry but ways in which and heated words. In October 2006, on the China and Japan need one another. For indeed occasion of Prime Minister Abe Shinzo’s official they do—such as to control environmental visit to the PRC, the two sides proclaimed that destruction, to promote China’s “peaceful rise” in they would “strive to build a mutually beneficial ways conducive to both domestic and relationship based on common strategic interests international stability, to restrain military . . . ” “Contact and dialogue,” including growth, and to sustain regional political and “frequent” talks between the top leaders, would economic stability. Such mutual dependence take place. Explicit references were made to four helps neutralize potentially aggressive forms of areas of cooperation: the East China Sea nationalism. Thus, rather than interpret China- negotiations, “Japan-China security dialogue,” Japan relations exclusively in terms of ASEAN+3, and the Six-Party Talks. Last, Japan competition for influence, we might think about and China promised to “strengthen mutually the significant opportunity costs that occur as the beneficial cooperation particularly in the areas of result of China-Japan friction.[16] energy, environmental protection, finance, information and communication technology, and protection of intellectual property.”[17] Then, in April 2007 Prime Minister Wen Jiabao returned Abe’s visit and won great applause with a speech, “For Friendship and Cooperation,” before the Japanese Diet. As he had in the past, Wen stressed looking ahead rather than 7 6|1|0 APJ | JF backward, common development, and “seeking Japan-China relations have had their best agreement while minimizing differences” moments when dialogue has focused on (qiutong cunyi). Mention was again made of functional areas such as those mentioned in the energy and environmental cooperation.[18] joint statement on military, economic, environmental, and other concrete subjects. Still, Some specific follow-ups to those promises have one wonders how much wider and deeper since emerged. First, Prime Minister Fukuda cooperation might be if dialogue were more immediately proclaimed interest in improving culturally informed. How does dialogue actually China-Japan as well as Japan-Korea relations, take place between Japanese and Chinese starting with the assurance that he would not officials, visit the Yasukuni Shrine for war dead. On environmental and energy experts? Are there visiting China in December 2007, following a missing ingredients that reduce the opportunities visit to the United States, Fukuda (like Abe) for creating greater trust, such as mutual respect again stressed mutual interest.[19] Second, the and acceptance of the other’s legitimacy? two governments reportedly reached a basic Intercultural research has shown that understanding on global warming, with Japan insensitivity in international relationships can be agreeing to provide China with technological a major contributor to tensions, or can limit assistance to help cut greenhouse gas progress in dialogue.[23] Likewise, the choice of emissions.[20] Third, on the military side, the format, procedures, and participants in Chinese missile destroyer Shenzhenvisited Tokyo international dialogue may also have much to do Bay in November 2007, with a Japanese return with outcomes.[24] journalists, historians, and visit scheduled for sometime later.[21] Fourth, the first China-Japan High-Level Economic Reconciling: Dialogue was held in December 2007. China’s Resources [25] Potential Avenues and delegation leader spoke of how trade with Japan was of mutual benefit: “China’s development is Tracks I, II, III Options at Three Levels not a threat to Japan but an opportunity, and Japan’s development is advantageous for China’s Below I consider just a few possible steps on uninterrupted economic progress.”[22] three tracks—governmental, mixed governmental and nongovernmental, and The restoration of high-level diplomacy was in popular (civil society)—and at three levels: itself an important act, and the promises made as unilateral, bilateral, and multilateral. Track I the result of Abe’s visit were all to the good. consists of official declarations, confidence8 6|1|0 APJ | JF building measures (CBMs), and negotiations. coincide—the well-known win-win approach.[26] Track II includes activities such as workshops, conferences, and other gatherings that bring • Regularization of High-Level together NGOs, business, parliamentary, and Diplomacy (Track I, Bilateral) other officials speaking in their private capacity. Now that direct dialogue has Track III activities are entirely in the public (civil- resumed, Chinese and Japanese society) domain—e.g., professional and popular leaders should pledge to make it a associations, media and labor groups, and regular occurrence. In addition, they businesses. should issue a new joint statement of friendship and cooperation to Unilateral Stepsare those that either of the parties, upgrade both the sentiment and the or an important outside party such as the United functionality of the 1998 joint States, might take to reduce tensions. These declaration. A counterpart of such include policy initiatives such as statements of diplomacy might be creation of a noninterference, arms reductions, and apologies prevention-focused bilateral group for past conduct. Bilateral Stepsare those the to provide advance notification (for parties take together, such as joint research, instance) of troop or ship environmental cooperation, and energy movements, somewhat like the development, as well as pledges and statements Organization for Security and of principle. Multilateral Stepsbring the parties Cooperation in Europe (OSCE). together in larger cooperative networks, such as regional and global organizations devoted to security dialogue, energy, arms transparency, • Mutual Appreciation (Track labor, health epidemics, and other transnational I/Unilateral and Track II) Chinese government, media and issues. other institutions (including schools) The steps I have chosen may not stand much can contribute to a positive chance of being implemented any time soon, but atmosphere each one may generate the kind of goodwill and appreciation trust that will lead to other positive steps. Thus, I contributions to China’s economic have stepped around issues of historical rise. Some Chinese commentators grievance, which are the most difficult to agree that China has been lax in this address, in favor of those where mutual interests regard.[27] Japan has been very 9 by expressing for Japan’s 6|1|0 APJ | JF generous with yen loans, for Jiang Zemin, because the Japanese example—over $14 billion from 1990 side failed to provide an apology for to 2005 alone—and has directly the past, unlike in the Japan-ROK invested over $51 billion in the same joint declaration that had been period.[28] Although expressions of concluded the previous month; and appreciation have been made from Obuchi Keizo, because of Jiang’s time to time, they have often been immoderate criticisms of Japan. The diluted by bitter reminders of the China-ROK agreement, and the past and suggestions that Japanese Sino-Indian joint declaration of business has also benefited from the November 2006, are models of aid and investments.[29] The forward-looking statements: They Japanese side therefore has an specify areas of actual and potential obligation too: to acknowledge the cooperation, as well as the agencies benefits it has received, and to that will undertake it; they assign consider new ways to contribute to roles for specialists; and they stress China’s development, such as an mutual involvement in regional and extension environmental global activities. These functional protection programs when ODA areas are framed with rhetoric ends in 2008.[30] suggesting positive intentions of toward the other party: India and • Affirmations of Good Intentions China “are not (Track I, Bilateral) competitors” but rather have a Although words can never replace “strategic deeds, professions of friendly partnership,” says the joint intentions and mutual respect, declaration.[31] It therefore might be apologies for past conduct, and a time for China and Japan to positive common vision of future renegotiate or update the 1998 relations do serve good purposes. A agreement, with a new spirit of negative example to demonstrate cooperation and attentiveness to the point is the November 1998 specific areas of cooperation. and rivals or cooperative China-Japan joint declaration of friendship and cooperation, which • Creating a Northeast Asia Security left both leaderships very upset: Dialogue Mechanism (Track I, 10 6|1|0 APJ | JF Multilateral) bilateral “security consultations” All the recent agreements reached since 1994, provide positive during Six Party Talks on North reference points and building blocks Korea—the September 2005 joint for statement of principles and the mechanism.[34] a regional dialogue agreements of February and October 2007—held out the prospect of a • Putting Balance into U.S. Policy [35] multiparty security forum that As two knowledgeable experts have might evolve from the Talks and the argued, the United States has a large establishment of a “permanent stake in a moderation of China- peace regime” on the Korean Japan relations. If U.S. policy peninsula. Although continues to promote “normal implementation of each party’s nation” status for Japan in ways that commitments remains to be seen, seem to China to amount to preliminary discussion of the scope containment, a new cold war in Asia and organizing principles for a might result, with the two countries dialogue mechanism could begin engaged in arms racing, forcing now. A dialogue mechanism would other countries (notably in ASEAN) provide China and Japan with an to take sides. Rather than promote opportunity to work together on an any number of common security international security role and issues, such as their long-running sound alarm bells about China’s dispute in the East China Sea,[32] military modernization, the United security guarantees for the Korean States peninsula, and a Northeast Asia unambiguous nuclear-weapon-free zone.[33] The worsening Sino-Japanese relations common forum would also provide and exert its considerable influence an institutional basis for greater with both Tokyo and Beijing to transparency in military affairs, such establish a cooling-off period.”[36] as and One major Japanese newspaper, deployments. The Japan-China worried about a new cold war in Fisheries Agreement that went into Asia, offered several concrete force in June 2002, and ongoing suggestions, all of which require arms acquisitions 11 expansion “should of Japan’s declare its opposition to 6|1|0 APJ | JF U.S. support in multilateral settings: have feared in the past but that creating a Northeast Asia security Chinese analysts themselves do not “entity” (such as the security demand.[38] What they want, and dialogue mechanism discussed what is surely in Japan’s interest as above), convening regular U.S.- well, is cooperativeness in U.S.-China Japan-PRC summits, and obtaining relations, which is vital to East Asia’s U.S. and Chinese signatures on a future. For history shows that when protocol to the Treaty on the their relations are cooperative, Southeast Asia Nuclear Weapon- difficult regional issues can be dealt with effectively, as the Six Party Free Zone (the Treaty of Bangkok) Talks on North Korea have that bans the use of nuclear abundantly demonstrated.[39] Japan weapons.[37] Other ways the United may well need to hedge against a States can help improve Japan- rising China, but it should not be China relations are by moderating perceived as seeking to contain it. Japanese expressions of a security U.S. and Japanese policies would do interest in Taiwan (contained in the better to focus on seeing that “2+2” joint U.S.-Japan statement of China’s modernization proceeds February 2005), not supporting along environmentally sustainable constitutional revision of Article 9, lines.[40] and not calling upon Japan’s military in support of U.S. • Track II Gatherings collective-security missions far from Apart from high-level diplomacy, Japan, and inviting China to take Chinese and Japanese media, part in the trilateral security talks business, academic, and scientific that take place between Japan, the circles have much that they could United States, and South Korea. explore with each other. A gathering All these policy changes can be of such specialists, drawn from taken with assurances to Japan that private and public institutions, the security alliance remains strong might promote mutual and that the United States is not understanding, reduce stereotyping, moving to a “pro-China” and change popular opinion in both policy—shifts that Japanese leaders countries. For example, a scientific 12 6|1|0 APJ | JF meeting might be arranged to come sometimes said to have been a target up with initiatives on global of the April 2005 demonstrations warming and energy cooperation, or against a permanent Japanese seat a joint plan for dealing with on the UN Security Council for not transboundary pollution.[41] A joint being as tough with Japan as Jiang East Asia television history project is Zemin had been; and the China a second example, following on hands in Japan’s foreign ministry publication in 2006 of a joint have often been criticized in the Chinese-Japanese-Korean history Japanese press for being too “pro- text. Track II gatherings might also China.” At the popular level, the encourage particular groups to problem is more complex. In lobby their governments for China’s case, anti-Japanese improvements in China-Japan nationalism clearly has grassroots relations—as Japanese business dimensions; the fact that the 2005 groups have already done on the protests were driven by the Internet Yasukuni issue. The two showed that new reality very governments might convene an plainly. But official approval of anti- eminent persons group to advise on Japanese feelings (so long as they do solutions to specific issues in not get out of control) is just as dispute.[42] clearly involved, not only in popular demonstrations but also in the • Track III – Civil Society and People- “patriotic education campaigns” to-People Exchanges carried on numerous television Improving mutual perceptions and stations. Japan has its counterparts counteracting distorted imagery when it comes to playing to or require remedies at the grassroots promoting anti-Chinese feelings. level as well as among political Japanese courts consistently reject leaders. For policy makers, suits that challenge officially nationalism is a two-edged sword; if sanctioned history textbooks and they appear to be going against it, ask for compensation for Chinese they face domestic opposition to (and all other) war victims; “softness” when dealing with the revisionist historiography still has enemy. Thus, Hu Jintao is an audience (and is rarely criticized 13 6|1|0 APJ | JF by public officials); the arch- scholarly panels to reevaluate conservative Sankei Newsand historical sources of grievance has popular comic books often depict already occurred twice, in the first China in the most evil terms.[43] instance (in 2005) ending with the production of a joint textbook in Civil society, though nascent in Chinese, Japanese, and Korean. Such China and still rather weak in Japan, scholarly gatherings should be needs to be encouraged to explore, regularized. systematically and practically, how Chinese and Japanese can learn at If some of the above ideas are implemented, they least to be more accepting of one may lead to other positive developments.[48] For another. At least one study of example, China might support a Japanese seat on Japanese NGOs in China—which the UN Security Council. The two countries are far more numerous there than in might find agreement on the purposes and any other country—suggests that membership of the East Asian Community. they can be very effective people-to- Suspicions about the force modernizations of people diplomats, particularly in the their militaries might abate as new CBMs are environmental field.[44] Yomiuri’s devised. They might establish a standing crisis- reevaluation of Japan’s war management body. Private groups might be responsibility exemplifies what the mass media can do to dispose of prevented by their governments from interfering historical myths.[45] Yomiuriand its in territorial disputes. In the end, China and liberal newspaper counterpart, Asahi Japan must reach the point of recognizing that Shimbun, might co-sponsor a media security for one is really security for the summit with their Chinese other—just as happened between the United counterparts on ways to avoid States and the Soviet Union during the Cold War, stereotyping and report objectively and as the previous two South Korean on events in the other country.[46] governments decided in seeking to engage the The editors of these two newspapers North. have already joined in calling for building a secular war memorial to replace the Yasukuni Shrine.[47] In Mel Gurtov is Professor of Political Science and academia, the appointment of International Studies in the Hatfield School of 14 6|1|0 APJ | JF Government, Portland State University, and Editor-comfort women. Instead of simply indicating that in-Chief of Asian Perspective. His most recent books he had no intention to change the Japanese are Superpower on Crusade: The Bush Doctrine in USstatement of 1993, issued in the name of the chief Foreign P o l i c y cabinet secretary, that blamed the army for the (http://www.amazon.com/Superpower-Crusade-Doctr forcible seizure of women in occupied lands to ine-Foreign- serve as sex slaves, Abe, while expressing Policy/dp/1588264076/ref=pd_bbs_sr_1?ie=UTF8&s sympathy for the women, said that in his opinion =books&qid=1199582615&sr=8-1) and Global Politics the army’s role was unproven. He thus found in the Human I n t e r e s t himself in the same bed with the former (http://www.amazon.com/Global-Politics-Human-Inte education minister, Nakayama Nariaki, who rest-5th/dp/158826484X/ref=sr_1_1?ie=UTF8&s=boboasted about how he and other LDP members oks&qid=1199582665&sr=1-1), both available from had kept mention of the comfort women and the Lynne Rienner Publishers (www.rienner.com). He army’s role in their recruitment out of school may be reached at [email protected]. texts. These unfortunate words lend legitimacy to the Chinese view, expressed by one prominent Written for Japan Focus and posted on January 5,Chinese scholar, that historical issues (in this 2008. case, the Yasukuni Shrine) have “become a main or perhaps even the only obstacle to Sino- Notes Japanese engagement and cooperation at the moment, like a fish bone stuck in the throat. Only * Prepared for presentation at the International if this problem is appropriately resolved will Studies Association Annual Convention, San China further discuss po¬tential cooperation Francisco, California, March 28, 2008. programs with Japan and specify its policy on [1] David Crocker, “Reckoning with Past Japan’s role in international and regional Wrongs: A Normative Framework,” Ethics and security.” Yang Bojiang, “Redefining Sino- International Affairs, vol. 13 (1999), pp. 43-64. Japanese Relations After Koizumi,” Washington [2] On transforming the relationship between Quarterly, vol. 29, No. 4 (Autumn, 2006), p. 131. disputing parties, see Louis Kriesberg, [4] Of course there are exceptions. See, e.g., Kent Constructive Conflicts: From Escalation to E. Calder, “China and Japan’s Simmering Resolution, 2d ed. (Lanham, Md.: Rowman & Rivalry,” Foreign Affairs, vol. 85, No. 2 (March- Littlefield, 2003). April, 2006), pp. 129-39. [3] A recent example occurred in 2007 when [5] On the political uses of Japan’s ODA, see Prime Minister Abe reopened the issue of the Tsukasa Takamine, “A New Dynamism in Sino15 6|1|0 APJ | JF Japanese Security Relations: Japan’s Strategic Use declaration should be seen in the context of of Foreign Aid,” The Pacific Review, vol. 18, no. 4 Japan’s “values diplomacy,” the brainchild of (December, 2005), pp. 439-61. Foreign Minister Aso Taro in a speech in late [6] Kriesberg, Constructive Conflicts, p. 329. 2006 on a democratic alliance of Japan with other [7] See Reinhard Drifte, “Engagement Japanese states—though not South Korea, interestingly. Style,” Chinese-Japanese Relations in the When Abe visited India the following August, he Twenty-first Century: Complementarity and referred to an “expanded Asia”—Japan, the conflict. (Routledge: New York, 2002), p. 53. See United States, Australia, and India—marked by also Murata Koji, “Domestic Sources of Japanese shared democratic values and strategic interests. Policy towards China,” in Lam Peng Er, ed., “Abe: Japan, India United by Values,” Asahi Japan’s Relations with China: Facing a Rising Shimbun (http://www.asahi.com), August 23, Power (Routledge: London, 2006), p. 39. 2007. [8] See Tok Sow Keat, “Neither Friends Nor Foes: [11] See also Wang Jisi, “China’s Search for China’s Dilemmas in Managing Its Japan Policy,” Stability with America,” Foreign Affairs, vol. 84, China: An International Journal, vol. 3, No. 2 No. 5 (September-October, 2005), p. 44. (September, 2005), pp. 297-98. [12] Yang Bojiang, “Redefining Sino-Japanese [9] Reuters, "China Defense Minister Visits Japan, Relations,” p. 133. Ties on Mend," August 29, 2007; NAPSNet, same [13] See Bates Gill and Martin Kleiber, “China’s date. Space Odyssey,” Foreign Affairs, vol. 86, No. 3 [10] The U.S. commander in the maneuvers (May-June, 2007), pp. 2-6. The authors contend denied they were directed at China (Reuters, that the test, in which a ballistic missile shot "Bay of Bengal War Games Not Aimed at China: down a weather satellite, was undertaken by the U.S.," August 23, 2007, at NAPSNet, same date); Chinese military without consulting the ministry but it is highly unlikely that Chinese leaders saw of foreign affairs. it that way. The new Japan-Australia declaration [14] Sueo Sudo, “It Takes Two to Tango: The on defense, signed in March 2007, “will Conflict as Japan Sees It,” in James C. Hsiung, mean”—in the words of then-Prime Minister ed., China and Japan At Odds: Deciphering the John Howard—“that our security relationship Perpetual Conflict for the Future (New York: with Japan will be closer than with any other Palgrave, 2007), pp. 43-57. ASEAN+3 refers to the country with the exception of the United States,” ten ASEAN states plus Japan, China, and South even though the agreement reportedly only Korea, with “the three” now meeting regularly. concerns cooperation on terrorism and disaster [15] This was one element of the Joint Statement relief. (Japan Times, March 11, 2007.) This of Principles of the Six Party Talks in September 16 6|1|0 APJ | JF 2005, and it has been repeated in subsequent Institute of Peace, 1997). meetings of the six parties. Text in Northeast [24] See Harold Saunders, A Public Peace Asia Peace and Security Network (NAPSNet) Process: Sustained Dialogue to Transform Racial Special Report, September 20, 2005, online from and Ethnic Conflicts (London: Palgrave nautilus.org. Macmillan, 2001), and Herbert C. Kelman, “The [16] I am indebted for this point to Prof. Peter Problem-Solving Workshop in Conflict Van Ness of the Australian National University. Resolution,” in Richard L. Merritt, ed., [17] “Japan-China Joint Press Statement Communication in International Politics (Urbana, (http://www.mofa.go.jp/region/asia-paci/chin Ill.: University of Illinois Press, 1972). a/joint0610.html),” October 8, 2006. [25] A version of this section was originally [18] Chinese text in Renmin gang presented in a paper, “Reconciling China and (http://politics.people.com.cn/GB/1024/560834 Japan: A Menu of Alternatives,” for the 6.html) (People.com), April 13, 2007. Conference on the Need for Conflict Prevention [19] Fukuda cited three areas: promoting mutual and Conflict Management in Sino-Japanese benefit (such as energy), mutual understanding Relations,” Tokyo, March 8-9, 2007, sponsored by (such as security), and international society (such Uppsala University and Keio University. The as terrorism and North Korea). See Kazuyo Kato, paper owes much to a workshop on China-Japan “China-Japan Rapprochement in Perspective reconciliation that was held at the Australian (http://www.jamestown.org/china_brief/article National University in August 2006, the results of .php?articleid=2373877),” China Brief, vol. 8, No. which I summarized in “Options for Reconciling 1 (January 4, 2008). China and Japan,” Asian Perspective, vol. 31, No. [20] Yomiuri Shimbun, "Japan, China Reach Deal 1 (2007), pp. 169-75. on Anti-Global Warming Project," November 30, [26] This focus on interests draws inspiration 2007, in NAPSNet, same date. from Roger Fisher, Elizabeth Kopelman, and [21] New York Times, November 28, 2007, p. Andrea Kupfer Schneider, Beyond Machiavelli: A16. Tools for Coping with Conflict (Cambridge, [22] Statement of Vice-premier Zeng Peiyan Mass.: Harvard University Press, 1994). (http://world.people.com.cn/GB/1029/42354/6 [27] See Shi Yinhong, “Sino-Japanese 600621.html), as reported in Renmin gang Rapprochement as a ‘Diplomatic Revolution (People.com), December 1, 2007. (http://www.uscc.gov/hearings/2003hearings/ [23] See Raymond Cohen, Negotiating Across written_testimonies/031030bios/sing- Cultures: International Communication in an japprochement.htm).'” Shi urges (p. 4) that “the Interdependent World (Washington, D.C.: U.S. Chinese government, represented by our top 17 6|1|0 APJ | JF leader, should frequently use appropriately the strong language to express gratitude to Japan for (http://pib.nic.in/release/release.asp?relid=2216 its large scale economic assistance to China since 8),” November 21, 2006. the beginning of our ‘Reform and Opening’ in the [32] For specific proposals to resolve the East late 1970s.” China Sea dispute, see Mark J. Valencia, “The [28] See Chu-yuan Cheng, “Sino-Japanese East China Sea Dispute: Context, Claims, Issues, Economic Relations: Interdependence and and Possible Solutions,” Asian Perspective, vol. Conflict,” in James C. Hsiung, ed., China and 31, No. 1 (2007), pp. 127-67. Each side has Japan At Odds: Deciphering the Perpetual presented proposals for joint development of Conflict (New York: Palgrave Macmillan, 2007), undersea resources (Japan in September 2005, table 5.2, p. 84. China in June 2004 and March 2006), but basic [29] Ralph Jennings, “Japanese Aid Message Lost issues of territorial control and jurisdiction stand on in the way. Deaf Chinese Ears People’s Republic of China (http://www.asiamedia.ucla.edu/article.asp?par [33] See Peter Van Ness, “Why the Six Party entid=19388),” Japan Times, January 11, 2005; Talks Should Succeed,” Asian Perspective, vol. China Daily (Beijing), December 14, 2004; 29, No. 2 (2005), pp. 231-46 and Van Ness, “The “Japan's Aid to China is Not Unilateral North Korean Nuclear Crisis: Four-Plus- Benefaction: FM Spokeswoman,” People’s Daily Two—An Idea Whose Time Has Come,” in Mel Online (Beijing), December 2, 2004. Moreover, Gurtov and Peter Van Ness, eds., Confronting the PRC repayments of Japanese loans have Bush Doctrine: Critical Views From the Asia- regularly surpassed loan amounts since 2003. Pacific (London: Routledge-Curzon, 2005), pp. [30] Ever since 2001, when Japan began to cut 242-59. back ODA to China, most aid has gone into [34] The fisheries agreement established a joint environmental programs. One reason may have commission to manage overlapping fishing areas. been political: to answer critics in Japan who The security dialogues, of which there have been variously argued that China no longer needed seven (through 2006), also include exchanges of foreign aid and was diverting ODA to military visits by military personnel. On the latter, see programs. See Glen Hook et al., Japan’s Christopher W. Hughes, Japan’s Security International Relations: Politics, Economics and Agenda: Military, Economic, and Environmental Security, 2d ed. (London: Routledge, 2005), p. Dimensions (Boulder, Colo.: Rienner, 2004), box 201. 5.3, p. 196. [31] Press release of the prime minister’s office, [35] For an extensive treatment of this issue, see “Joint Declaration by the Republic of India and my “U.S. Policy and Sino-Japanese Rivalry,” in 18 6|1|0 APJ | JF Hsiung, ed., China and Japan At Odds, pp. forward, the only way to resolve the regional 113-31. security dilemma in East Asia completely is to [36] Minxin Pei and Michael Swaine, “Simmering promote multilateral security structures.” Fire in Asia: Averting Sino-Japanese Strategic [39] As Wu Xinbo writes: “If China has normal Conflict,” Policy Brief (Carnegie Endowment for relations with the United States as well as Japan International Peace), No. 44 (November, 2005), p. and trilateral relations are largely stable, Beijing 7. will be less suspicious of a Washington-Tokyo [37] “Japan’s New Strategies axis . . . ” Wu, “The End of the Silver Lining,” pp. (http://www.asahi.com),” Asahi Shimbun, May 128-29. 23, 2007. The commentary said: “The important [40] See Kenneth B. Pyle, Japan Rising: The thing is that none of these moves should be Resurgence of Japanese Power and Purpose confrontational—that is to say, they must not aim (New York: PublicAffairs, 2007), pp. 337-38, 348. to isolate, antagonize or keep anyone in check. [41] Kent Calder (“China and Japan’s Simmering Otherwise, they will kill the dynamism of Rivalry,” p. 136) suggests that energy regional development. And this is where holding cooperation provides an especially fruitful regular Japan-U.S.-China summits will be of avenue for promoting Track II cooperation great help.” between China and Japan. [38] Japanese concerns about Washington’s [42] Valencia, “The East China Sea Dispute.” China policy were rife in the Nixon years, at the [43]Cohen and Pei, “A Vicious Sino-Japanese time of the visit to China, and when the Clinton Cycle of Rhetoric.” On Sankei Shimbun’s ability administration to silence critics of Japan’s policies toward China, established a “strategic partnership” with China. See Gerald L. Curtis, see “U.S. Policy toward Japan from Nixon to Clinton: (http://www.japanfocus.org/products/topdf/2 An Assessment,” in Curtis, ed., New Perspectives 466),” Japan Focus, July 18, 2007. on U.S.-Japan Relations (Tokyo: Japan Center for [44] Akio Takahara, “Japanese NGOs in China,” International Exchange, 2000), pp. 9-19. On in Lam, ed., Japan’s Relations with China, pp. China’s perspective, Yang Bojiang (“Redefining 166-79. Sino-Japanese Relations,” p. 135) writes that “the [45] James Auer, ed., From Marco Polo Bridge to best choice for the United States would be to Pearl Harbor: Who was Responsible? Tokyo: The continue its alliance with Japan and South Korea Yomiuri Shimbun, 2006. and keep be¬nign relations with China but also [46] China’s official newspaper, the Beijing to transition to active promotion of multi¬lateral People’s Daily, has certainly published its share cooperation throughout the region. Looking of anti-Japanese articles; but it has also published 19 David McNeill, “Softly, Softly 6|1|0 APJ | JF positive commentaries, such as one endorsing [48] Two other groups that have made proposals “rational” and “moderate” nationalism in the concerning China-Japan reconciliation are: two countries. See “Role of Nationalism in Sino- International Crisis Group, “North East Asia’s Japanese Relations,” People’s Daily Online, Undercurrents February 16, 2007. (http://www.crisisgroup.org/home/index.cfm?l [47] Wakamiya Yoshibumi and Watanabe +1&id=3834)),” Report No. 108 (December 15, Tsuneo, “Yomiuri and Asahi Editors Call for a 2005); and Japan Forum on International National Memorial to Replace Yasukuni Relations, Policy Council, “Japan and China in (http://www.japanfocus.org/article.asp?id=524) the Changing Asia” (Tokyo, October 2006). ,” Japan Focus, February 28, 2006. 20 of Conflict
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