Free Trade Optimism: Lessons from the Battle in Seattle A World without Walls: Freedom, Development, Free Trade and Global Governance by Mike Moore Review by: Dani Rodrik Foreign Affairs, Vol. 82, No. 3 (May - Jun., 2003), pp. 135-140 Published by: Council on Foreign Relations Stable URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable/20033584 . Accessed: 17/07/2013 15:44 Your use of the JSTOR archive indicates your acceptance of the Terms & Conditions of Use, available at . http://www.jstor.org/page/info/about/policies/terms.jsp . JSTOR is a not-for-profit service that helps scholars, researchers, and students discover, use, and build upon a wide range of content in a trusted digital archive. We use information technology and tools to increase productivity and facilitate new forms of scholarship. For more information about JSTOR, please contact [email protected]. . Council on Foreign Relations is collaborating with JSTOR to digitize, preserve and extend access to Foreign Affairs. http://www.jstor.org This content downloaded from 128.112.203.62 on Wed, 17 Jul 2013 15:44:28 PM All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions Review Essay Free Trade Optimism Lessons From theBattle inSeattle Dani Rodrik A World Without Walls: Freedom, Development, Free Trade and Global BY MIKE MOORE. Governance. New York:CambridgeUniversityPress, 2003, Within 302 pp. $28.00. twomonths of taking office as thenew director-general of theWorld TradeOrganization(WTO), Mike Moore Even to its supporters, it appeared that theWTO had suffered a near-fatal blow, fromwhich itwould recover only very gradually, if at all. Yet two years later,when trademinis tersmet again in themore secluded envi ronment of Doha, Qatar, theywere able towalk out with an agreed framework in hand. The Doha meeting launched a "De velopmentRound"of tradenegotiations famous"tear-gas ministerial"conference (which is still stumbling along) and inau was handed amajor setback at the now of November 1999 in Seattle. With pro testerswreaking havoc outside, Moore, a formerprimeministerofNew Zealand, was unable to prevail on the assembled gurated China as amember of theWTO. The death knells forMike Moore's WTO, it turns out, had sounded prematurely. Moore's determinationtobridge the governmentofficials to conclude an gaps that separated theUnited States agreement thatwould launch a new round from the European Union (EU)and the of trade negotiations. To the WTO'S rich countries from the poor ones was opponents,thecollapseof themeeting not the only reason forDoha's success. represented the high point of their crusade Doha took place scarcely twomonths against"corporate-led globalization." after the September 1i terrorist attacks, DANI RODRIK isProfessor of International Political Economy atHarvard's John F. Kennedy School of Government and the author ofMaking Openness Work:TheNew Global Economy and theDeveloping Countries. [135] This content downloaded from 128.112.203.62 on Wed, 17 Jul 2013 15:44:28 PM All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions Dani Rodrik and the pressure was high, particularly on the advancedcountries,toprevent another failure thatwould have sapped confidencein theglobaleconomy'sability toweather the shock. Of critical impor tancewas thewillingness of theUnited and grudg States to accede-eventually leadership teamwas barely in place and he had had little time to put his own stamp on the process and on the negoti ating draft. Doha, he writes, was the "mirror opposite." He describeshisgrueling schedule ("traveled over 62S,ooo km, visiting 182citiesandmeetingwith more ingly-to developing-countrydemands than300ministers"),his difficulttime in the area of intellectual property rights with his opponents innongovernmental by signing on to a statement that existing organizations,thepettypoliticsof the WTo agreements do not and should not WTO, and his uneasy relationship with preventmembers fromtakingmeasuresto his staff. And yet although Moore can protectpublichealth.Nonetheless,Moore be quite frank and revealing about such will be remembered by friends and foes of theWTo alike as theman who put the in ternational trade regime back on track. FROM DISASTER TO DOHA The middle (andmost interesting)part ofA World Without Walls is devoted to Moore's account of how he engineered this remarkable turnaround.He is remark ably candid about many aspects of his tenure,especiallyabout the inauspicious start he had, which followed a bitterly fought contest between him and Supachai Panitchpakdi of Thailand for the position member of director-general. The WTO's ship, unable to reach consensus on a single name, eventually awarded the first three years of the term toMoore and the second three years to Supachai, who took over fromMoore as director-general in September2002.Moore thinkshe had majority support among themember ship, and it is clear that he feels cheated. He describes the arrangement to split his term as "a slightly sordid deal" and relates matter-of-factly, and with no regrets, his refusal to be photographed with Supachai onMoore's first day in office. Moore attributes the debacle at Seattle to the lack of adequate preparation: his [136] FOREIGN AFFAIRS issues, he does not offer a systematic behind-the-scenesaccountof how the Seattle disaster was transformed into the Doha consensus. One wishes he had written more about the cajoling, arm-twisting, and horse-trading thatwas required to get key governments to fall into line. Except for an occasional nod in their direction, Moore says little about the roles played by Robert Zoellick and Pascal Lamy, the point persons on trade for theUnited States and the EU, respec tively, or about his relationship with them. Strategically, Moore's key accomplish ment was to recast the failed Seattle agenda around the theme of development and to promote a new development round with agricultural liberalization as its cen terpiece.Moore was neither the first nor the only voice arguing that the new round should focus on the needs of developing countries. The World Bank's president, and the British JamesWolfensohn, minister for development, Clare Short, among others, had called for a develop ment round before Seattle. But itwas Moore who tookwhat most observers had come to call the "Millennium Round" and transformed it in the global consciousness into a development round. Volume82No.3 This content downloaded from 128.112.203.62 on Wed, 17 Jul 2013 15:44:28 PM All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions REUTERS Thedealmaker: MikeMoore,CostaRica,August28,2001 countrieshad failedto liveup to their commitments(withrespectto,forexmple, liberalization of textilestradeand in creasedfinancialassistance). The devel with thedemonstrationsoutside thecon oping countrieswere opposed to thepush ferencecenterthanwith the intransigenceby advancedcountriesto expandthene of thegovernmentsinside.Their clashes gotiatingagendato indudenew issuessuch revolvedaroundtwomain axesof conflict. as investment,governmentprocurement, First, theUnited States-backed by the competitionpolicy,environment,and CairnsGroup of 17agricultural which thedeveloping exporters, laborstandards, which it leads-locked hornswith theEU countriesfeltwould imposecostsand andJapanoveragriculturalliberalization. obligationspredominantlyon them. The United Statesdemandedsignificant Agriculturethusbecame, inMoore's improvementsinmarket accessand a or deal-breaker," words, the "deal-maker phasingout of exportsubsidiesfor farm sincewithout enthusiastic U.S. support products,which the EUrejected.Second, thenew roundwould havegone nowhere. developingcountriesfelt thattheprevious Much ofMoore's hardwork between UruguayRound of tradenegotiationshad SeattleandDoha was directedatputting left themsaddledwith costlyobligations, agriculture at thecenterof a "development" thattheTRIPS(trade-related aspectsof agenda thatwould not only capture intellectualpropertyrights)agreement themoral high ground but alsomake the worked against them, and that the rich momentum foragriculturalliberalization To seewhy thiswas important and what problems it solved, we need to go back to Seattle. Moore knew that the collapse of the talks there had less to do FOREIGN AFFAIRS- May/June2003 This content downloaded from 128.112.203.62 on Wed, 17 Jul 2013 15:44:28 PM All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions [137] unstoppableby enlistingdeveloping country support on the issue. "Bymaking Moore agriculturea developmentissue," writes in a revealing passage, "we brought Africa, most of Asia and Latin America together on a common agenda." This brilliant tactic bridged both of the divides that had led to the collapse of the Seattle ministerialmeeting.The EUcouldnot have blocked an agreement atDoha without appearing to undermine devel opment,anddevelopingcountriescould walk awaywith a document that claimed to put their interests at the center. Unfortunately, Moore does not tell us how he managed to convince developing countries that an agenda little changed from Seattle could now serve as the blue print for a development round. As the locution of the quote above suggests, it was hardly evident that an agenda centered on agriculture would amount to a devel opmentround.The developingcountries' interest in agricultural liberalization had always been ambiguous. Aside from a few middle-income members of the Cairns Group such asArgentina, Brazil, Chile, and Thailand, which are important agricultural exporters,fewdeveloping countries looked at this area as amajor source of gain. Research done at theWorld Bank during theUruguay Round had highlightedthepossibilitythatmost sub Saharan African nations could actually end up worse off as a result of a rise in world food prices produced by a reduction in European export subsidies. As Arvind Panagariya, an economist at theUniversity ofMaryland and a strong supporter of trade liberalization, has noted, the vast majority of theworld's poorest nations are net importers of agricultural products and will end up paying higher prices for their FOREIGN AFFAIRS POSMONANNOUNCEMENT ANDSPONSORSHIPS MANAGER, ADVERISING To 40K BASESALARY PLUS GENEROUS COMMISSION a paid, With circulation of ABC-audited, 125,000, Foreign Affairs is the international forum of choice for the most important new ideas, analysis, and debate. Its website, www.foreignaffairs.org, attracts over 200,000 visitors each month, and three language versions (Spanish, Japanese, and Russian) serve an expanding international read ership. As the leader of the Foreign Affairs advertising sales team, the Manager will focus on building profitable business relationships between Foreign Affairs and corporate sponsors and advertisers and other strategic partners. 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[138] This content downloaded from 128.112.203.62 on Wed, 17 Jul 2013 15:44:28 PM All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions Free TradeOptimism importsif agricultural exportsubsidiesin very convincing, and ultimately one gets the rich countries are phased out. For the the feeling that his heart is not quite in it. most part,developingcountries'interests lie not in deep liberalization in agriculture, IDEALS VS. BUREAUCRACIES but in restricting the agenda to a narrow Moore's strategy did pay off, and the world's tradeofficialdomwas spared set of issues and in fixing the perceived shortcomingsof theUruguayRound. another embarrassment inDoha. But the There were ways inwhich the negoti eventual outcome remains very much in ating agenda could have been broadened doubt. Negotiations are practically dead in a trulydevelopment-oriented way.To locked over agriculture, as they are over TRIPS.Few knowledgeableobservers take themost glaring omission, develop ing nations would have benefited most believe that much progress will be made from reform in an area inwhich theDoha before tradeministers next meet inCan framework makes no commitments at all: cun,Mexico, in September of this year. And even if there is progress, itwill be the liberalization of temporary interna tional labor flows. It is hard to identify difficult to hail it as a great success for development,nomatterwhat theofficial any other issue in the global economy with comparable potential for raising appellation of the round. income levelsinpoor countrieswhile Moore's fascinating account of the enhancing the efficiency of global resource road from Seattle toDoha is sandwiched allocation. Even a relatively small program between two long sections devoted to ru of temporary work visas in rich countries minations about the state of theworld could generate greater income gains for and global governance. He takes on awide workers from poor countries than all of rangeof issues, from themoral basis for theDoha proposals put together. freetradeto thedemographic challenge Instead,developingnationswere awaiting advanced countries. These parts saddledwith negotiationson ill-fitting read lesswell than themiddle section of the issues such as the environment, investment, book, as they contain few new ideas and governmentprocurement,competition seem to have been put together in a rush. His arguments are typically presented by policy, and trade facilitation. This was the price of leaning so heavily on agricul weaving a string of declaratory statements ture.These new areaswere of particular around supporting quotations from various interest to the EU (and, in some cases, to authors.What shines through all this is Japan), and their inclusion on the agenda Moore's unshakable faith in globalization was the quid pro quo for the EU'sacquies and his contagious confidence in the com cence on agriculture. The irony is that bined ability of markets and democracies the costs of this particular tradeoff will tomake theworld a better place for the be bornealmostexclusivelyby developing vast majority of its inhabitants. countries, in effect adding injury to insult. The world of ideas and action, as Moore devotes a chapter to these new is Moore presentsit, isdividedbetween sues, making the case that the developing those who favor free trade, freedom, nations will eventually benefit by under transparency, goodgovernance,tolerance, taking reforms in these areas.But he is not and competition, and those who stand FOREIGNAFFAIRSMay/June2003 This content downloaded from 128.112.203.62 on Wed, 17 Jul 2013 15:44:28 PM All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions [139] Dani Rodrik corruption, versus isolation-they lose the ability to forprotectionism,repression, This stark, monopoly,and isolationism. handlethechallengesposedby thesecritics. good-versus-evil dichotomykeepsrecurring One of the paradoxes of this book is that Moore's throughoutthebook and lends Mike Moore isno fan of international bu reaucracies. Indeed,someof his criticisms arguments a strongmoral undertone. But is it a good guide to the realworld? The troublewith equating free tradewith all that other good stuff and protection with its opposite is that it evades the hard ques tions. The choices the realworld presents are rarely as clear-cut as that between out ward orientation a laHong Kong and iso lation "alaMyanmar. They typically have to do with selecting an appropriate mix of regulations,incentives,andmarketdis ciplinethatstimulateseconomicactivity while safeguarding publicwelfare. What shouldwe make, for example, of South Korea's and Taiwan's trade and in dustrial policies in the 196os and 1970s policies thatwould have run afoul ofWTO rulesmany times over if those ruleshad been in effect at the time?How could China (orVietnam) have grown so rapidly in recent decades even though they lacked the benefit of WTOmembership? How do we interpret theUnited States' own protec tionist history during the critical period of the late nineteenth centurywhen the for mer colony caught upwith and surpassed theUnited Kingdom's economic prowess? All thesecountries were outwardoriented of theWTO read like they could have come outof leafletsdistributed by theprotesters in Seattle. "Therewas a great difference between the promise of theWTO and the practice,"hewrites midway through the book as he reminisces about his first few days inGeneva. "Inmy experience," he writes toward the end, "it'sall too seldom about the customers or countries, it'sabout the expansion and power of the various in stitutions, whether inGeneva,Wellington orWashingtonDC." (TheInternational Monetary Fund and theWorld Bank come in forconsiderable criticismtoo.)Moore's answer to the "recalcitranceand self-interest of many of our bureaucrats"and "the ex cesses and ignorance of themore extreme protestors" is a "voluntaryglobal democratic caucus-a grouping of senior parliamen tarians,drawn from national legislatures, to provideoversightof international organiza tions.Yet although he thinks the solutions liewith greater democracy, transparency, and openness, he isoften quite cynical about theway the political processworks. Nevertheless, Moore remains an ardent optimist. The world's national and interna tional institutionsmay not be ideal, but they arebetter than any of the alternatives that have been tried.When all is said and done, he believes democratically elected governments andmarkets wili respond ap propriately to the challenges they face.The in their own fashion. But anyonewho tries to understand their success in terms of sim ple categories such as free trade versus protection runs out of useful things to say pretty quickly.Many of the critics of the WTO take issue not with trade itself but with the perceived defects and asymmetries forcesof openness,freedom,competition, of the rules that govern trade.When de and, of course, free tradewill prevail. fenders of thewTo retreatbehind simplistic Moore is toomodest to say so himself, but having able politicians at the helm of inter categories-freetradeversusprotection, national institutions does not hurt either.@ competitionversusmonopoly,openness [140] FOREIGN AFFAIRS* Volume82No.3 This content downloaded from 128.112.203.62 on Wed, 17 Jul 2013 15:44:28 PM All use subject to JSTOR Terms and Conditions
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