The Legacy of State-led Finance in France David Howarth, University of Edinburgh Paper presented to the University of Victoria workshop on ‘National Financial Systems and the Financial Crisis’, Victoria, British Columbia, 2 October 2010 Draft: please do not cite without the permission of the author. Abstract Despite the liberalization and financialization of the French banking system over the past quarter century, French banks have suffered proportionately less in the recent financial crisis than the banks in both liberalized systems like the UK and several less liberalized systems such as Germany. This paper explains the paradox of a liberalized but stable banking system in terms of State disengagement from the financial system and the softer forms of intervention that have persisted into 2000s. The specificities of this disengagement involved the creation of national banking champions, a highly consolidated, saturated and anti-competitive banking system – despite de jure liberalization – short-lived cross-shareholding networks centred around banks, a closed banking system with only limited foreign presence, a legislated bias towards retail for some of the mutual banks, and the encouragement of specific forms of securitization. The focus in this analysis parallels that of O’Sullivan (2007) who emphasises the French State’s role in directing financial market reform. O’Sullivan analyses the impact of these State-led changes upon company finance and the development French company bond markets. The focus of this paper is upon how State-led changes shaped banks and the banking system. The footprint of the State, through a directed and incomplete liberalization, has created a specific kind of financial system, the intended and unintended features of which have been revealed in the impact of the global financial crisis upon the system since 2008. Keywords: French economy, varieties of financialization, financial crisis; banking system. capitalism, interventionism, Introduction France is difficult to situate in the Varieties of Capitalism literature and is often placed in its own category (Hall and Soskice 2001; Hancké 2001). More recently, Hancké et al. (2007) have described France as a Mixed Market Economy (MME) along with Southern European forms of capitalism but this is a broad category containing considerable institutional variety. Nor can France’s financial system be easily categorised. It contains features of the liberalized / deregulated and more equity-based UK system but also features of more protected, regulated and less equity-based Southern European and German systems. Zysman (1983) describes the French financial system as State-led. Despite the relative importance of equity for external company finance even by the early 1980s (approximately a half in 1980), the French State directed finance through state owned banks in the Circuits de Tresor system (Loriaux 1991). Despite liberalization and privatization of most of the large French banks from the mid-1980s, studies from as late as the mid-1990s (Morin 1998; Story and Walter 1997; Underhill 1997) continued to assign a central importance to 1 the State in the context of a ‘financial network economy’. Yet this description had become largely invalid by the early 2000s. The source of non-financial firm external finance is one principal indicator of financial system type. Even in the early 1980s, French company liabilities were split pretty evenly between equity and bank-lending (often state-directed). By 2000 almost 80% of company liabilities were in equity (Cobham and Serre 2000; Byrne and Davis 2002, p. 89). The French financial system had, by this important measure, become more ‘Anglo-Saxon’ than the the UK (70% equity in 2000). Yet equity market capitalization remained comparatively low in real terms and as a percentage of GDP ($457bn versus $1152bn for bank assets in 1993 and 36% versus 140%): the lack of private sector pension funds forced large French companies to list shares in London and elsewhere. Thus, snap shots of the French financial system tell us very different stories if we look at equity market capitalization and if we look at company external finance – the latter being a typical measure used to categories financial systems. The French system might be best described as an ‘equity-dependent but still largely bank-based financial system’. By the 1990s, French companies relied far more on average than their UK and US counterparts on external finance on foreign-held equity finance (35% versus 9% and 5% respectively in 1997). From the mid-1980s both Socialist-led and conservative governments opted to improve the funding of heavily indebted French companies by making it easier for them to attract capital through internationally-oriented equity issues. Bank loans rose in relative importance as a source of finance for non financial companies (NFCs) in the 2000s in relation to equity and securities – contradicting previous expectations -reflecting low real interest rates in EMU as well as the impact of securitization (Table X). This development was similar to, yet far less pronounced than the UK financial system, and thus does not in itself contradict the development of a more liberalized system. Table X French non-financial firm debt raised in France (total) Funds by source* / Loans (Crédits) Equity and bonds Loans as a % of date (Titres de créance) total 2003 573.4 322.4 64.0 2004 601.9 319.8 65.3 2005 651.3 332.0 66.2 2006 (Dec) 712.4 334.0 68.1 2007 (Dec) 804.3 306.4 72.4 2008 (Dec) 882.4 320.7 73.3 2009 (June) 870.6 349.3 71.4 Source: Banque de France (2009) ‘Endettement des agents non financier resident France, 2e trimestre 2009, 20 October, p. 2. http://www.banquefrance.fr/fr/statistiques/telechar/titres/2009/agnfi2.pdf The persistence of the State-led description into the 1990s, owes to French conservative government attempts to retain an element of control in post-privatised banks through emulating the more long-standing German practice of crossshareholding networks centred around the then three large commercial banks (BNP, Société Générale and the now defunct Crédit Lyonnais) and insurance companies, with the state retaining, indirectly, part ownership through the CDC and other companies part-owned by the state. Yet, within a few years the cross-shareholding networks had begun to unravel and foreign control of the largest national banks 2 increased (Maclean et al. 2001). Despite government efforts in the 1980s and 90s to maintain national ownership of the largest commercial banks, the equity of BNP and Société Générale banks was largely foreign held by the end of the 1990s. Another feature of the UK system – securitization – was pronounced and French banks, both commercial and mutual, were allowed to engage in a full range of investment banking activities denied to Southern European banks. Thus, lumping France in regulatory terms with Spain and Italy (as does Quaglia 2010) is problematic. While the French financial system has become even more British than the British in terms of reliance on equity finance and foreigner-held equity, some features of the French banking system appear to align more with the protectionist Southern European systems. In spite of the extent to which French companies (and banks) are reliant on foreign-held equity, the French financial system remains largely closed to foreign banks except in niche markets – making the French system more similar to the Italian (prior to the mid-2000s) and the Spanish. The French financial system remains subject to implicit protectionism – it is unlikely that a French government would tolerate the takeover of one of the two commercial banks by a foreign rival – as well as explicit – for example, until 2009, two mutual banks and the Post Office benefited as providers of state-sponsored low-tax savings accounts. The legacy of post-privatization / liberalization protectionism has had direct implications for the financial system, contributing to a highly saturated and foreign-bank unfriendly domestic retail market which has, in turn, shaped the French banking model. French universal banks are different than their British competitors, retaining a heavy reliance on retail at home and in their internationalization – despite their growing, and in some areas very strong, presence in derivatives trading. The French banks themselves describe this as a ‘balanced business model’ which, they claim, demonstrates the comparative stability of the large universal French banks – both commercial and mutual – in the context of the international financial crisis. The impact of the crisis in France – both as a new and traditional form of financial crisis – was muted compared with many other European countries. However, the French banking system suffered the immediate consequences of the new kind of crisis far more than Spanish and Italian systems. As in Germany, some of the non-commercial banks seeking rapid expansion abroad in a saturated domestic context – in France mutual banks, in Germany the LB – were hit hard by the financial crisis. However, unlike Germany they were not hit hardest proportionately by the crisis. The credit crunch in France has been limited because French bank lending has depended less upon securitization. In this respect the French financial system is less British than even the Spanish system. The drop in bank lending in 2008-9 reflected the state of the French economy rather than a significant decline in the ability of banks to lend. This article seeks to explain this apparent paradox of a liberalized but comparatively stable banking system. The answer to this paradox provided by the French banks and their representative associations is regularly presented in terms of a ‘balanced business model’ of banking with a strong retail base. Despite this strong retail base, the largest French banks were engaged in a full range of investment banking activities. This article explains this ‘balanced business model’ as the product of French state disengagement from the financial sector since the mid-1980s. The specificities of this disengagement involved the creation of national banking champions, a highly consolidated, saturated and anti-competitive banking system, short-lived cross-shareholding networks centred around banks, a closed banking 3 system with only limited foreign presence due to both de facto protectionism (despite the encouragement of open equity markets) and a legislated bias towards retail for some of the mutual banks. Banks themselves were agents of change, notably through their efforts to expand in the context of sluggish domestic economic growth and a saturated domestic retail market. French banks engaged more in investment banking activities and expanded their retail operations abroad. However, the French State shaped this financialization. The focus in this analysis parallels that of O’Sullivan (2007) who emphasises the French State’s role in directing financial market reform. However, O’Sullivan analyses the impact of these State-led changes upon how NFCs finance themselves. The focus of this paper is upon how State-led changes shaped banks and the banking system. Zysman (1983) provides little guidance as to the French variety of financial capitalism today. However, the footprint of the State, through a directed and incomplete liberalization, has created a specific kind of financial system, the intended and unintended features of which have been revealed in the impact of the global financial crisis upon the system since 2008. The argument of this paper thus parallels the CPE literature that stresses the transformation of French capitalism away from a state-led model yet struggles to categorise France (Schmidt 2003; Culpepper 2008). The focus of this article is on the banking system. Although the French financial system contains a growing number of non-bank financial institutions, banks continue to dominate. There was a decline in this dominance over the two decades prior to 2004 but since then the dominance has risen again. In December 2003, depository institutions held 64 per cent of financial institution assets, down from 68 per cent in 1999 (IMF, 2004) but by 2008 this had risen again to almost 73 per cent (IMF, 2009b). This relative position of dominance is similar to Italy (Ciocca 2005) where the banks held 66.5 per cent of financial assets in 2005 (IMF 2006a). Banks are even more dominant in Germany (80.6 per cent of total assets in December 2006 (IMF, 2008)) with only a small decline since the late 1990s and in Spain (80.4 per cent in December 2005 (IMF, 2006b)). There has been no rapid rise in French private equity firms and hedge funds, although these do exist (non-bank credit institutions held 10.2 per cent of assets in late 2004) (IMF 2004). Furthermore, the largest hedge fund managers are subsidiaries of banks (EuroHedge, 2008). Mutual banks also have close relations with the other important element of the financial system, the insurance companies (and especially life insurance, which serves as a vehicle for retirement savings). A term used frequently in this paper is financialization which is defined here as the increased trading of, and exposure to, risk. The term is defined in a variety of ways in the IPE literature (see Engelen, 2008; Ertürk et al., 2008). The usage here is closest to Aglietta and Breton (2001, p.437), although financialization is not a term they employ. They link the change from a bank-based to a more market-based financial system to financial liberalization and financial innovation linked to technological advance. They also recognise how banks add a ‘new market portfolio’ to their ‘traditional credit portfolio’ (2001, p.441; see also Froud et al. 2007). Financialization almost always in practice involves internationalization and, always, the reverse, but the level of financialization involved in internationalization (i.e., the extent to which it involves the increased taking and trading of risk) is central to the distinction between different banks and financial systems. The financialization of banks involves a range of activities, from increasing retail activities internationally (a relatively low exposure 4 to risk, depending on the host country) to derivatives trading and investment in complex securities. The facts: the significant but limited impact of the financial crisis on France Recent record losses in complex financial instruments have seriously weakened many large European and American banks, bringing several to collapse or near to collapse. French bank losses have been lower than those in the United States, United Kingdom and Germany, and French government leaders have lauded the comparative stability of the French financial system. French bank losses have been on an unprecedented scale: as of August 2008, six French banks had write-downs of more than $1bn, totalling US$23.3bn (Bloomberg, 2008) and by August 2010 total write-downs for the five largest banks reached $69.7bn (Reuters 2010). Yet this was less in both total and relative terms to losses in the UK and Germany. In August 2008, six UK banks had writedowns of more than $1 billion with total losses of $64.9 billion and twelve German banks, with total losses of US$55.9 billion. German bank losses thus more than doubled French losses during the first year of the crisis even though the total assets of these German and French banks involved were roughly similar. By August 2010, the four largest British banks reported losses of $177.8bn and overall figures were much higher. Five German banks had lost more than $3bn by August 2010 and a combined total of $69.8bn, with much higher total figures given losses in the smaller public banks. The announcement of German write-downs thus reached a peak in 2008 and declined in 2009 and 2010, although the German refusal to mark to market disguises losses. French losses reached a peak in 2009, even though all the banks remained in profit that year. The write-downs at the two large Spanish banks increased markedly in 2009, reflecting the traditional banking crisis that affected that country. IMF figures from mid-2009 place French write-downs at only 3 per cent of the global total – much less than the share of French banks in the global banking assets (at approximately 10 per cent) – while Swiss write-downs were at 7 per cent, German at 9 per cent and British at 12 per cent (IMF 2009b, p. 7). In relative terms, the French banking system was also hit far less hard than the Belgian and Dutch systems. One international comparison (IMF 2009b, p. 15) on the direct cost of the crisis for large international banks shows that the direct cost for French banks was about 18 percent of Tier 1 capital, lower than that of Germany (about 33 percent), the U.K. (about 37 percent), the U.S. (about 86 percent), and Switzerland (about 87 percent). In contrast, to August 2008 no Italian or Spanish banks suffered losses greater than US$1 billion as a result of sub-prime. Several have suffered since because of losses connected to the recessions in those two countries and foreign exposure (Quaglia 2009; Pagoulatos and Quaglia 2010; Royo 2010). However, by mid-2009 Italy suffered only 1 per cent of global write-downs (IMF 2009b) and Spain even less. Table X sets out French bank losses until end August 2010 and the announced areas of those losses, sourced from banks’ reports and accounts. The data are possibly partial and can only be preliminary because they show what the banks deemed material enough to highlight. However, they are very likely to highlight the main areas of loss. French banks have continued to announce losses. Table X Bank Losses Total Write- Writed owns Total Write- Total Write- 5 CDO/ MBS LBOs Mono -line3 ABCP / SIVs 4 Other Tradin Iceland/ Lehma downs to 8/08 ($bn) BNP-P SocGen Credit Ag Credit Mutuel Caisse d’Ep Banque Pop 4 6.8 8 No figure 1.2 + impact of Natixis Impact of Natixis (to 8/09)/ Total Assets (at end 2007) % 0.16 0.43 0.38 owns at end of 2009 ($ US)1 downs end August 2010 ($ US)2 21.8 12.9 13.4 24.9 15.7 15.9 X X X X X X X g n/ Washin gton Mutual X X X X X X 0.14 (Natixis 6.5 (Natixis 6.6 X X X X X No figure (Natixis 6.5 (Natixis 6.6 X X X X X The data highlight the range of bank activities. The multiple sources of losses at the large commercial banks is unsurprising. At times, French banks appeared to be at the forefront of the crisis in Europe. In August 2007, BNP-Paribas froze three investment funds. In January 2008, Société Générale announced losses of €4.9 billion – the largest in banking history – through rogue trading in derivatives. Yet, in terms of total write-downs, the biggest French loser, BNP-Paribas, was in August 2010 in sixteenth place globally (and in a distant seventh place in Europe). French banks did not experience significant losses in ABCP and SIVs (although BNP-Paribas has a large exposure). The two mutual banks, Banque Populaire and the Caisse d’Epargne have been badly affected through the difficulties faced by their common investment banking arm, Natixis. To the autumn of 2008, Natixis’ share price lost 95 per cent of its value in two years and it announced a loss of €2.622 billion for 2008. By mid-2008, Banque Populaire and Caisse d’Epargne had advanced a total of €2.5bn. Natixis suffered losses from a range of sources, with losses in both CDOs, sub-prime mortgages, other See ‘FACTBOX-U.S., European bank writedowns, credit losses’, Reuters, 28 26 August 2010, http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSLDE67P14S20100826 Sources: Reuters/annual reports/company filings. Estimates based on writedowns and losses from subprime securities, mortgages, CDOs, derivatives and SIVs, and losses on bad loans, or non-performing loans. The definition of a bad loan is complex and can vary between countries and often includes a provision for future loan losses. Figures marked with an asterix only include writedowns for 2007 and 2008. The figures for 2009 are estimates. 2 See ‘FACTBOX-U.S., European bank writedowns, credit losses’, Reuters, 28 26 August 2010, http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSLDE67P14S20100826 Sources: Reuters/annual reports/company filings. Estimates based on writedowns and losses from subprime securities, mortgages, CDOs, derivatives and SIVs, and losses on bad loans, or non-performing loans. The definition of a bad loan is complex and can vary between countries and often includes a provision for future loan losses. Figures marked with an asterix only include writedowns for 2007 and 2008. The figures for 2009 are estimates. 3 Exposure to insurance companies that provided guarantees for various types of securities. 4 Asset Backed Commercial Paper Conduits. These vehicles, generally off balance sheet, bought longer term assets, frequently CDOs and MBS, and issued short term commercial paper. They were often backed by credit commitments from one or more sponsoring banks if the commercial paper could not be sold. 1 6 complex derivatives and on monoline insurers. Increased funding costs also increased losses, as did direct exposure to Lehman and Icelandic banks. Crédit Agricole suffered the second highest losses faced by a French bank, through its investment arm, Calyon, which was badly exposed to US subprime. Losses were also widely spread, including CDOs and ABS, monoline insurers, and trading of structured credit and ‘exotic equity derivatives’. These losses demonstrate further the shift in mutual bank operations. While many of these figures are already outdated and many losses have yet to be recorded, they are still indicative of significant differences between French bank operations and its banking system and those of these other European countries. However, the much greater exposure of French banks to the financial crisis than their Italian and Spanish competitors demonstrates significant differences in operations and systems. At the same time, despite over twenty years of far-reaching liberalization, French banks also appear to operate, on the whole, differently than British banks. Placing the French financial system in comparative context A matrix of seven features can be applied to distinguish national financial systems: underlying regulatory and supervisory frameworks, external finance for non-financial companies (NFCs), bank assets to equity market capitalization, relative importance of retail banking in bank activities, international penetration, concentration in the banking sector, state intervention. The British system is rooted in common law and is based on market trust: laissez-faire. Its focus is on market-making and is in favour of light-touch, principles-based, competition-friendly regulation, even when this implies a trade off with consumer protection. The legitimacy of the system resides in the assertion that, ceteris paribus, it is the most efficient in maximizing wealth. The British system is geared towards an internationalised free market approach. It is normally though of as an equity-market system: although banks provide short-term financing for firms, the major source of external financing is the capital market. The British system consists of wholesale markets, servicing business from all over the world. British banks are not focused principally upon domestic markets and the funding of national corporations. British companies have thus had to focus on share price because of the limited availability of patient capital. In the UK the international free market approach is also influenced by the strong presence of foreign owned companies (especially from the US but also EU countries) located in the City, which was reinforced by the 1980s ‘Big Bang’. The largest banks rely upon investment activities for a large part of their revenue. The British system upholds a belief in private sector governance (cf Knill and Lehmkuhl 2002), based on the involvement of industry through consultation, drafting and implementing soft law. In the UK there is traditionally an intense and constructive interaction between the public authorities and industry (Josselin 1997, Moran 1991). The ‘Southern European’ approach is rooted in the Napoleonic code, based on market distrust and focused upon market-shaping. It is rules-based and heavily regulated, with emphasis on consumer protection, even when this reduces competition. National ownership is important: while this does not necessitate state ownership, state intervention to maintain national ownership has been typical. The ‘Southern Europe’ classification includes what can be described as network forms of financial systems, in which cross-shareholding of national firms has limited foreign penetration. In the Southern group there is traditionally a strong steering action by the state with limited 7 consultation with the private sector (Josselin 1997, Grossman 2005). The German approach has been considered something of a hybrid. It is stability-oriented, with a traditional (although declining) emphasis placed upon patient capital. ‘Bank power’ in the German system is tolerated because family firms were loath to turn to public listing on the German stock exchange. There is a preference for national ownership. While there has been a traditional preference for national and state-ownership, and the publicly owned Landesbanken (LB) and Sparkassen have been a central part of the German system providing capital to the Mittelstand (small and medium sized enterprises, SMEs), the large internationally-oriented German commercial banks share the dominant policy preferences of the British system, in favour of light-touch, principles-based and competition-friendly regulation. Table X sums up the four systems according to the seven features. Table X National financial systems in 2000s British Southern Europe Light-touch, Tighter, focus Regulatory and industry led, on consumer supervisory competitionprotection. framework friendly, self- German French Increasingly light touch regulation and supervision Mid-range touch on regulation; rigorous supervision. Increasingly equity based but important banklending High and rising in 2000s Bank-based but in decline, rising import of equity. More equity based High High and rising in 2000s Decreasing. Investment banking increasingly important. Marginal Important Important but decreasing Important but less than Southern European Significant but declining Limited but important legacy International penetration High in equity and banking Concentration High and increasing Low in banking but increasing in 2000s. Network capitalism. Medium Considerable with LB and Sparkassen; less with large commercial banks High in equity. Very low in banking. Network capitalism (traditionally). Very low The provision of capital to firms Bank assets to equity market capitalization Importance of retail banking in bank activities State intervention regulation More equity based but growing importance of bank assets Low but rising Comparatively high in equity. Very low in banking. High and increasing The French financial system demonstrates features of both the British and Southern European systems. It shares some features of the German system but remains distinctive: the reliance on equity in the French system is much higher, the concentration of the banking system greater and the features of protectionism differ markedly. The analysis below will also indicate the marked difference between the four systems in terms of banking operations, the relative reliance on retail and securitization, which explains the different impact of the financial crisis. The analysis 8 of this paper relies on an eighth feature – the nature of securitization – itself partly related to the retail focus on banks – to explain the differing impact of financial crisis. There have been significant changes in all European financial systems over the past two decades due to liberalization and securitization. The ‘Southern Europe’ countries have, in particular the Italian, have undergone some liberalization. The German system has seen a rise in the importance of equity and there have been high levels of securitization (Hardie and Howarth 2009). Nonetheless, the systems remain distinctive. This paper argues that this characterization of the French system serves to highlight the reasons for the unique exposure of the French system to the crisis. The transformation of the French financial system The liberalization of the French financial system since the mid-1980s has been substantial. Prior to 1987, all the largest French banks were state-owned. With the privatizations of 1987 – 2002, four of the largest French banks – Société Générale, Banque Nationale de Paris (BNP), the now defunct Crédit Lyonnais and Crédit Commercial de France – became fully commercial operations, listed on the French stock exchange, the CAC-40, while several others, most importantly Crédit Agricole, opted to become non-listed mutual banks, owned by smaller regional cooperative banks. Mutual banks are majority-owned by their depositors and, at least in principle, operated for their benefit, rather than, as with the listed commercial banks, for the benefit of private shareholders. All French banks were subject to the same broad legal framework, adopted in 1984, which allowed them to become universal banks. There have been several regulatory changes since then but with a trend towards even greater legislative harmonization in the treatment of banking types. As a consequence of credit liberalization, all these institutions entered into competition in the domestic market, under equal terms, with practically no restrictions, and engaged in the broad range of retail, corporate and investment banking activity. The relationship of French banks with NFCs – never as close as in Germany – became more distant (Bertero, 1994; O’Sullivan, 2007) as France moved from a financial network to a financial market form of capitalism (Morin, 1998, 2000). The importance of bank finance for French companies – especially the largest CAC-40 listed companies – declined dramatically in the 1980s and 90s, and large French banks compensated by developing investment banking. However, the comparative strength of French banking was in domestic retail banking, and reduced profits there encouraged the largest French banks to expand retail activities abroad. This strong retail component to internationalization is in marked contrast to the response of German and British banks to similar competitive pressures. Their internationalization was almost exclusively in corporate lending and investment banking. The contrast is highly significant to the differential impact of the crisis in the three countries. The internationalization strategies of the large, especially the commercial, French banks once again sit between the ‘Southern European’ and British banks. Large French banks have developed their international trading activities significantly, but a large component of this internationalization, in contrast to the UK and Germany, remains in retail banking. For Italian and Spanish banks, meanwhile, internationalization has been even more about the expansion of international retail banking activities. The available data on internationalization support two observations. First, on the asset side of the balance sheet, internationalization has been very significant, and has accelerated in recent years. Second, the internationalization of French banking 9 activities conforms to the expected impact of European financial integration with, on average, an increased euro area exposure outside the home market. French banks have also increased their exposure outside Europe, particularly in North America, but this North American exposure has declined relative to the total over the past decade. 5 The available data is set out in Table X (and X appendix). This EU focus of French bank internationalization is also found with the largest Italian banks, while the internationalization of German banks has been more focused on North America (a reflection of the relative importance of investment banking to this internationalization) and Eastern Europe, while there is a strong Latin American dimension to the internationalization of Spanish banks, which reflects strong preexistent ties to that region. Table X French Bank Internationalization. BNP Paribas 57.2 per cent of assets in France in 2007, 20.9 per cent outside Europe. Société Commitments in France 50 per cent of total in 2007 (65 per cent in Générale 2003). Exposure outside Europe from 10 per cent in 2003 to 19 per cent of total in 2007. Crédit In 2007, 48 per cent of commercial lending exposure in France, 24 per Agricole cent outside Western Europe. In 2002, 84.8 per cent in France, and 10.1 per cent outside EU. Banque 83.6 per cent of assets in France in 2007. Populaire Caisse Over 90 per cent of customer risks in France in 2007. d’Epargne Crédit 95 per cent of customer risks in France in 2007. Mutuel French bank internationalization has included, in the cases of BNP-Paribas, Crédit Agricole and Société Générale, significant expansion in retail banking, particularly into the Italian market. BNP Paribas, which has 6000 branches outside France, owns BNL, the sixth largest Italian bank, and BancWest, a US retail bank. The proportion of BNP-Paribas’ North American exposure has fallen since 2002, although it remained 16 percent in 2008. Crédit Agricole has considered Greece and Italy to be ‘domestic’ markets since its takeover in 2006 of major retail banks there. As of end 2008, Société Générale’s international retail banking consisted of 40 different entities with 3700 branches. The overall level of financialization in this internationalization is lower than for German and British banks, but higher than the Italian and Spanish. French mutual banks remain overwhelmingly domestic institutions. The French banking system has been persistently protectionist in terms of foreign institutional presence – a feature of ‘Southern European’ financial systems prior to the 2000s – although not equity ownership. In the 1980s and 90s, French governments encouraged the emergence of a limited number of large, vertically integrated banking groups controlled by French corporate shareholders – in a complex network of crossshareholding with national firms, both to improve the stability of the system and to foster national champions. Morin (2000: 37) described the France of the 1980s and 1990s as a financial network economy. The ‘hard core’ concept reserved 25 per cent of privatised firms’ capital to major bank or corporate shareholders, selected by the 5 Note, however, that the data generally obscures the euro area by categorising only Western Europe. 10 state. The expectation was that the state would be able to manipulate this ‘hard core’ to block takeovers by foreign banks. Most of the largest banks were directed by former ministry of finance officials, advisers to the finance minister and, in several cases, members of the financial inspectorate, the elite network, grand corps, of financial sector administrators (Maclean et al. 2001). Thus while no explicit law blocked foreign ownership of banks, throughout the 1990s it was widely believed that no French government would sell a privatised bank to foreigners and that the state would also step in to block foreign firms from taking too large a shareholding of the listed banks. The decision by the Socialist-led Jospin Government to allow the London-based HSBC to take over the regional branches of Credit Commercial de France (CCF) in 2000 could be seen as a sign of changing government attitudes (see Le Monde, 04.04.2000). The CCF was France’s seventh largest bank and one of the country’s most profitable banks and the move could be seen as a sign of changing government attitudes However, no other French banks has since been taken over by a foreign bank. Legislation and government policy made foreign penetration into the French banking sector very difficult in the 1990s, despite broader liberalization and the absence of sector-wide anti-competitive practices. ‘Security and market transparency’ legislation adopted in 1989 strengthened the Commission des Operations du Bourse to protect companies against hostile takeovers by other companies by forcing owners of over 33 per cent of a listed company’s shares to make a bid for at least 66 per cent of shares. Despite increased competition among French banks, the government also encouraged the practice of ‘interbancarité’, with cooperation amongst the biggest banks through an electronic banking card system (Story and Walter 1998). The minitel information system, developed by the State-owned telecommunication monopoly, France Telecom, enabled French banks to access households directly, over fifteen years prior to the advent of internet banking in other countries (Le Monde, 22 October 1992). French governments continued to intervene in the financial sector though their manipulation of publicly owned financial institutions and, more importantly, the tax system. Two large financial institutions remained in government ownership: La Poste and the Caisse des Dépôts et Consignations (CDC). The former expanded its lending activities in the 2000s. In 2003, the latter merged its commercial activities with the Caisse d’Epargne mutual bank. The CDC is mainly engaged in managing certain specific funds, including a large part of the savings collected through governmentregulated savings schemes. It also holds stakes in a number of companies and financially supports government policies. Government legislation also strongly affected the composition and allocation of a large part of financial savings through numerous schemes to mobilize and direct savings and credit towards programs judged to be in the public interest. These schemes encompassed certain controls on interest rates and fees, the design by the government of various savings products (notably the Livret A), the centralization of about a quarter of bank deposits in a fund managed by the State-owned CDC, restrictions on the use of funds collected through some savings products, and significant differences in tax treatment between financial products. In 2003 (IMF 2004) about 80 percent of bank deposits (including checking accounts) were subject to significant product and/or price prescriptions, and differences in tax treatment have steered household savings towards life insurance products and saving for house 11 purchases. Amongst other effects, these policies have distorted competition in the banking sector by restricting the distribution of certain products with only certain institutions, notably the public sector or mutual banks, allowed to offer specific taxexempt or high rate savings products, thus placing commercial banks, both domestic and foreign, at a competitive disadvantage (Candida 2000). Until 1 January 2009, for example, the Postal Bank and two mutual banks, Crédit Mutuel and Caisse d’Epargne, were allowed to maintain the tax-exempt Livret A. Despite substantial liberalization and privatization, therefore, French government involvement in the banking system remained significant. In this sense, the French system conforms better to practice in ‘Southern European’ systems. The kind of protectionism that persisted in Germany was markedly different. German Lander governments continued to provide guarantees to the LB until 2005 and the LB and Sparkassen have continued to operate in what are in effect fiefdoms closed to other public sector banks. The comparison of French and German protectionism is potentially revealing. French protectionism encouraged domestic retail activities, the saturation of the domestic market and encouraged retail expansion abroad. German protectionism created a moral hazard for German public banks to engage in reckless trading activities. The far greater toxic assets held by German LB than French mutuals is one indication of the impact of different forms of protectionism. In response to increasing international and domestic competitive pressures, economic recession and sluggish growth from 1993, there was considerable concentration in the French banking sector, with a decline from 1556 institutions in 1984 to only 959 by 2003 and 450 by 2008 (Fédération bancaire française 2009), with eight of the largest banks created (or transformed) as the result of mergers from 1995 to 2004. The creation of very large banks also reflected deliberate government policy, part of a broader industrial strategy of creating national champions. The proportion of total banking assets held by the top twenty institutions rose from 65.1 per cent in 1988 to 78.4 per cent in 2002, on the basis of parent company balance sheets. On the basis of consolidated balance sheets, which record the assets of subsidiaries as well, the top five banking groups in France accounted for more than 64 per cent of lending and 75 per cent of deposits in 2006. The French banking system is one of the most concentrated in the EU. By the late 1990s, four French banks were in the top 15 European banks by asset size.6 More recent figures show that the five largest French banks have 52.3 per cent of total assets, compared to 22 per cent in Germany, 26 per cent in Italy, 36 per cent in the United Kingdom and 40 per cent in Spain (ECB, 2008). The dense provision of French retail banking services makes the entry of foreign banks very difficult. Foreign penetration into the French banking markets is amongst the lowest in the EU. Most depository institutions were French owned (85 per cent of commercial bank assets in December 2008 (up slightly from the 83 per cent in 2003) 6 BNP-Paribas and Société Générale, the two largest French commercial banks, and Crédit Agricole, the semi-commercial bank, are among the behemoths of European banking. In mid-2008, BNP-Paribas was the largest bank in the Euro area by total assets and second largest by market capitalization. Société Générale was the third largest corporate and investment bank in the Euro area by net banking income and the sixth largest French company by market capitalization. In 2008, Crédit Agricole was the largest retail bank in France, the second largest in the Europe Union (the largest by retail banking revenues), the eighth largest in the world by Tier 1 capital (Crédit Agricole Annual Report 2009). These three banks control the bulk of French bank assets: 83 per cent in 2008, up from 73 per cent in 2002. 12 and 87 per cent of all bank assets (only a slight decrease from the 88 per cent in 2003 (IMF, 2004, p.103; IMF, 2009, p. 44). Here, the French system is closer to the ‘Southern European’ grouping, but also to Germany, with Spain at 86 per cent and 92.8 (December 2005) (IMF 2006b) and Italy at 98.2 per cent and 99.4 (June 2005) (IMF 2006a)7. As in many industrialized economies, foreign-owned banks mostly operate in niche markets. By comparison, the foreign presence in the British banking sector is strong (54 per cent of assets in 2002 (IMF 2003)8). Although French banks dominate the system, the actual equity ownership of French commercial banks questions such a picture of bank nationality. Despite cross shareholdings and perceived government antipathy to foreign ownership, during the 1990s and 2000s, French commercial banks fell under increased foreign ownership, although domestic corporate shareholders maintained blocking power. In 2002, foreigners owned 67 percent of BNP-Paribas’ equity capital and 50.8 percent of Société Générale. However, the French (CDC and NFCs) owned hard-core had yet to breached. French commercials are similar to other EU commercial banks in this regard – whether they are based in British, German or ‘Southern European’ systems – with rapidly rising foreign ownership over the past two decades. For example, the second largest Spanish commercial bank, BBVA, was foreign-owned at 45 per cent in 2008. French mutual banks have mostly not opened their capital, but Crédit Agricole – one of the largest retail banks in Europe – was partially opened to private shareholding in 2001. The actual impact of foreign ownership on bank operations is hard to isolate. Nevertheless, this opening and the breakdown of cross-shareholding in French banks is a likely influence on the pursuit of increased profits through more aggressive strategies involving financialization. At the same time, the comparatively high exposure of at least one mutual bank to the financial crisis, demonstrates that that other factors have driven the increased focus on investment banking activities. Several developments since the late 1980s demonstrate the beginning of a shift in French banking culture, as banks previously seen as focused on the conservative, riskaverse domestic market looked to investment and international retail and commercial banking to increase profits. This was pushed very directly by the French State: the creation of the French futures market, the MATIF, in February 1986 was an early element of Treasury financial reforms. The MATIF served several purposes (Story and Walter 1998). It provided a market enabling institutional investors to hedge against the risk of volatile interest or exchange rates. It represented France’s response to the creation of LIFFE in 1982. It brought the Paris market into the world web of futures markets. Above all, the MATIF was a central element in modernising issuing of state paper. All its major derivative products originated with the Treasury. The State floated a long-term ECU contract in October 1990 with the specific aim of developing Paris as the centre for trade in ECUs, the euro’s predecessor. Paris rapidly became the second market for futures in Europe. The development is significant in terms of the subsequent securitization of French banking activities. French banks 7 These Italian figures have dropped with the increased French presence in the Italian market since 2005. 8 UK data from the World Bank (2007) includes all banks foreign owned at more than 50 per cent. World Bank (2007) http://siteresources.worldbank.org/INTRES/Resources/4692321107449512766/Banking_regulation_Survey_III_06 1008.xls The Netherlands fits more the ‘Southern European’ classification in terms of foreign penetration, with only 8.9 per cent of financial assets owned by foreign-owned banks (2006). 13 focused upon specific kinds of derivative trading: interest rate, exchange rate and equity derivatives. They engaged in, comparatively, less in the creation of off-balance sheet SIVs – even though they were not prohibited from doing so by government legislation. In 1987, Société Générale started derivatives trading within two months of being the first state-owned bank privatised. The French mutuals entered into investment banking relatively late, with Banque Populaire taking over Natexis in 1999, transforming it into an investment bank and, in 2006, merging it with the Caisse d’Epargne’s IXIS to form Natixis, one of France’s largest investment banks. In 2004, Crédit Agricole set up its corporate and investment banking arm, Calyon. Investment banking was thus developed and expanded both by those banks with (increasingly foreign) private shareholders and those without: it was not driven by the push to increase the share price alone. By the mid 2000s, the French mutual banks were largely indistinguishable in the range of their operations from the large commercial banks. Indeed in several years during the 2000s, the mutual banks relied more on the wholesale markets to finance lending than did the large commercial banks (Table X). This shift in banking culture is by no means unique to France. It also took place in Spain and Italy, but the financialization of the commercial banks in these systems owed more to the international expansion of the retail activities of the largest commercial banks. The shift away from the domestic market also took place in Germany where financialization owed more to the rapid expansion of investment banking (Hackethal 2004 p.77). The impact of this different financialization was to be very clear in the context of the international financial crisis since 2007. French banks became increasingly exposed to wholesale, market based funding, as with British and German banks, which can be indicated (with some caveats) by the loan to deposit ratio. In the decade prior to the financial crisis, French banks were, on average, less exposed than German and British banks, although some French banks (notably the mutual banks) were significantly exposed (see Table X). Table X Loans to Deposits Ratio of major French, British and German banks 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 BNP Paribas 119 128 132 122 109 105 115 109 134 SocGen 126 113 99 102 114 111 114 111 120 Banques 177 183 187 140 132 114 117 Populaires Caisse 151 151 112 93 88 72 d’Epargne Crédit 121 128 124 114 105 101 101 102 Agricole Crédit 151 151 141 127 110 108 110 Mutuel Barclays 138 117 110 113 128 121 118 110 102 HBOS 196 177 178 171 147 154 156 141 134 HSBC 84 90 97 100 97 92 71 69 68 Lloyds 142 134 135 134 126 116 116 113 114 Northern 351 855 323 296 271 229 191 162 146 14 Rock RBS Commerz Deutsche Dresdner Bayern LB Heleba HSH Nordbank LB Berlin LBBW LB Sachsen NordLB WestLB DZ Bank HRE IKB 137 167 68 88 222 217 224 121 178 43 102 191 211 207 122 209 41 103 168 162 218 122 149 40 105 164 164 188 121 129 41 107 182 164 169 107 138 47 111 197 164 165 102 155 51 109 216 96 189 70 140 222 95 209 78 148 145 145 159 152 276 186 346 137 786 502 179 128 228 155 142 111 668 694 174 133 200 160 160 118 757 1101 141 137 189 162 112 121 873 1225 161 143 157 156 160 165 162 121 131 1090 1082 162 139 147 1346 1229 155 151 150 155 1093 1007 181 378 151 1393 480 Regulation and supervision The French regulatory and supervisory model has been seen as very rigorous by international standards (IMF 2003, 2004) with a high degree of observance of international standards for financial policies. It relied less on self-regulation, which increasingly dominated the US and UK systems, although it allowed banks to stresstest on the basis of their own models. The regulatory and supervisory authorities – Bank of France employees who work on behalf of the Banking Commission – were better staffed than their British and German equivalents and had considerable inspection powers (interview Banking Commission official, 9 December 2009). French regulation was more permissive of financial innovation than regulation in the Southern European countries. The regulatory framework was effectively tolerant of off balance sheet vehicles, unlike in Spain, where rigorous consolidation rules have reduced incentives for these vehicles.9 In France, banks were able to avoid building capital reserves in line with assumed risks. Neither the Basle II capital adequacy requirement and the EU capital requirement directive nor domestic legislation addressed this issue (Bank of France official interviews 29 January 2008; Banking Commission interview, 9 December 2009). The French regulatory system also operated on the basis of non-obligatory golden rules, which applied in a less straightforward manner in the context of complicated investment vehicles. One of these was the assumption that a bank facing difficulties should immediately inform the regulator. Disclosure procedures were as a result left largely to the banks. The capitalization level of French banks was considered adequate both by Basle II standards and in international terms, at similar levels to Spanish and Italian banks (IMF 2004) and better than German and British banks (IMF 2003). Progressive integration across financial sectors and international borders has presented challenges, with implications for stability, but these developments have affected all national financial systems. French supervisory authorities, like those in several other countries, expressed concern with their inability to monitor the growing operations of national 9 Off-balance sheet refers to an accounting technique in which company debt does not appear on the company's balance sheet activities as an asset and contingent liability. Keeping debt off the balance sheet allows the company to appear more creditworthy but misrepresents its financial structure. 15 banks in other countries. The response has been the intensification of bilateral agreements with other national regulatory bodies, the creation of international colleges of supervisors for the main French banks and the push by French governments for the reinforcement of the EU-level regulatory and supervisory frameworks which would bolster French efforts to improve the cross-border supervision of French institutions. Overall, the regulatory framework places France between the more rigorous and constraining Spanish system and the self-regulation of the British system. French bank Securitization and the Credit Crisis This section explores the trading activities of French banks, the trading of derivatives in particular, and the losses made by banks in the crisis. It is necessary to concentrate in the pre-crisis period on those activities that are apparent from an analysis of the banks’ balance sheets. The losses announced as a result of the crisis reveal activities that were not visible in this way; most obviously, sizeable losses resulting from off balance sheet activities. Although these investments were not necessarily hidden previously, greater detail has been given with the publication of write-downs by the largest French banks. Three conclusions can be reached from the data. First, trading activity and, in particular, the use of derivatives in trading activities increased in the decade leading to the crisis. However, trading assets reached a peak of 51.8 and 31.9 percent of total assets in 2006 at BNP-Paribas and Société Générale respectively, comfortably below the peak for the large US, British and German banks. Derivatives are used to reduce the risks from credit but, in most French banks analysed, the volume of derivatives traded massively exceeded that required for balance sheet and financing risk hedging. All the French banks that distinguish classify derivatives transactions as mainly for trading purposes. Second, however, there is no correlation between the use of derivatives and the impact of announced losses. Some banks were engaged in activities that were not enormously profitable but were perceived as safe, notably investment in AAA-rated Asset Backed Securities. Third, French banks were engaged in many of the same activities as British and German banks but purchased far less junk (notably less mortgage-backed securities) and made smaller overall losses, however substantial. While those French banks that suffered less were perhaps ‘better traders’, the main difference is one of degree rather than different practices. Most obviously, French banks were far smaller investors in the assets that became toxic, less involved in setting up off-balance sheet vehicles, relative to their size. Only Natixis appears to have suffered major losses in ABCP and SIVs.10 Crucially, the large retail banking businesses of the French banks lessened the overall impact of the crisis. The banks’ reports do not give a single way to track increased trading activity, but the data all point in the same direction. The available data includes the percentage of total assets designated ‘trading assets’, or, more narrowly, the proportion of securities held for trading purposes. Table X summarises the available data for five of the six largest French banks. Table X Increased Bank Trading Activity BNP Trading assets 51.8 per cent of total assets in 2007 (14.2 per cent in 10 Both ABCP and SIVs are off-balance sheet entities that buy assets like mortgage-backed securities, and finance the purchases through issuing debt, mainly short term. Bank’s exposure comes from either holding the debt issued or through committing to provide financing if the debt cannot be sold. 16 Paribas Société Générale Crédit Agricole Caisse d’Epargne Crédit Mutuel 2002). Notional11 derivatives volume 17.4 times total assets in 2007 (23.4 times in 2003). Trading assets peaked at 31.9 per cent of total assets in 2006 (more than double 2002). Fall to 28.6 per cent in 2007. Notional derivatives volume 15.0 times total assets in 2007 (10.4 times in 2002). Trading assets 30.2 per cent of total assets in 2007. Notional derivatives volume 11.1 times total assets in 2007 (7.8 times in 2002). Trading assets 10.5 per cent of total assets in 2007. Notional derivatives volume 5.3 times total assets in 2007. Trading assets 13.8 per cent of total assets in 2008 (2007 not available). Notional derivatives volume 1.5 times total assets in 2007 (3.6 times in 2004). French banks overall were not as heavily involved in trading as the largest British and German banks, relative to total assets that included substantial retail operations; nor had they generally experienced the marked increase in this activity in British and German banks. The one exception was BNP-Paribas, but its notional derivatives volume fell between 2003 and 2007. Elsewhere, the picture is different. Société Générale and Crédit Agricole (which both made heavy losses in derivatives trading) had lower trading assets. The problems at Natixis were serious, but trading assets at Caisse d’Epargne were low (although derivatives activity was relatively high). Crédit Mutuel had similarly low trading assets, and derivatives activity fell well before the crisis, despite growing reliance on the wholesale markets to finance lending. While the French mutuals have become universal banks, the crisis has demonstrated the extent to which they remain more rooted in their retail and commercial banking activities than the French commercial banks. Preferential tax regimes encouraged this focus. French banks nevertheless play a leading role in certain derivatives trading, a direct legacy of the creation of the MATIF in 1986. They have over the past two decades consistently engaged in approximately a quarter of global equity derivatives trading (Fédération Bancaire de France, 2007). For several years (2003-2007) Société Générale was one of the world’s leading traders of equity derivatives and for five years running (2003-07) reported more profits from equity derivative trading than any other bank globally. When the recipients of collateral postings for credit default swaps by AIG (using US government support) were revealed, Société Générale headed the list, receiving US$11 billion, 22 percent of the total. Calyon, the Crédit Agricole subsidiary, received a further US$2.3 billion. Named UK and German banks received less than their French counterparts, respectively, US$12.7 billion and US$7.7 billion. On the list of named banks to receive payments of more than .2 billion, only one is Spanish (Santander to receive .3 billion) and none is Italian. Credit Agricole, through its investment bank Calyon, was the world’s sixth largest traders of CDO (BarnettHart 2009: 19; with figures from Credit Rating Agencies), more than any European bank apart from UBS and more than several of the largest US investment banks.12 Nevertheless, relative to the size of French banks, their volume of derivatives trading 11 Notional volumes indicate only the absolute volume of derivative transactions undertaken. They do not represent risk taken. The positive value of derivative contracts appears in the bank’s assets, and, where they have been entered into for trading purposes, this positive value will be included in trading assets (see Banking Commission 2007: 56). 12 Calyon issued more CDOs than Goldman, Lehman, Bear Stearns, Morgan Stanley or JP Morgan. 17 is lower. This was a period of rapid expansion for BNP Paribas and Société Générale, but the expansion was at least as much in the area of international retail banking as in trading activity. Apart from Natixis and Calyon and the losses at the two largest commercial banks, the impact of the financial crisis on the French financial sector has been surprisingly limited. French banks have, for the most part, proven more resilient than their German and British competitors. In 2008 and 2009, the two large commercials, BNP Paribas and Société Générale, and Crédit Agricole reported profits, with each suffering only one quarter loss during the two year period despite the rising write-downs in 2009. The FBF estimates that there was a net-creation of banking jobs in France in 2008 and 2009 (FBF 2009, 2010). The relatively high capital ratios (or low leverage) of French banks has enabled them to cope with the losses incurred. Not only is leverage lower than in Germany and the UK, but there is little evidence of increasing leverage in recent years at the major banks. Despite the pre-eminence of some French banks, notably Société Générale, in some derivative products, especially equity before the Kerviel trading scandal, the overall use of derivatives remains relatively low. The French cooperative model has proved its resilience – it is based principally on retail banking which generates recurring revenue through lending funded by deposits and is thus less prone to financial market pressures. In 2008, the Banque Populaire Groupe relied on the wholesale markets for only 15 per cent of its funding. Across the whole French banking system, the use of securitization to finance lending has been amongst the lowest in Europe, relative to GDP. Outstanding collateral in securitizations at the end of 2008 was only 1.4 per cent of GDP, compared to 3.5 in Germany, over 10 per cent in Italy, over 20 per cent in Spain and over 30 per cent in the UK.13 These figures demonstrate further the difficulties of making generalizations about financial system types. The credit crunch has been a marginal phenomenon in France. Some of the largest French banks have taken the opportunity to expand their operations at home and abroad during the financial crisis. Banque Populaire, the fourth largest retail bank in France, acquired HSBC France’s seven regional banks and 400 additional branches, those which HSBC had taken over following its purchase of Credit Commercial de France in 2000. This represents a significant backwards step in the presence of foreign operators in French retail banking. By way of example of internationalization, Crédit Mutuel, France’s second largest retail bank, purchased the troubled Citibank Deutschland for €4.9 billion, a significant expansion of its international operations. BNP Paribas expanded its presence in Belgium with the takeover of Belgian part of Fortis, the Dutch-Belgian-Luxembourg bank. While the financial crisis has resulted in a retreat in the international activities of British and German banking activities, it appears that – on balance – the internationalization of French banking has proceeded apace. Conclusion If French banks have been less badly hit by the present financial crisis than German and British banks, this is due to the relative importance of retail banking activities to their overall operations and the comparatively limited exposure to toxic assets. These features of French banking reflect in large part the legacy of deliberate government policy – a range of policies including capital tax and special interest rate regimes that 13 Author’s calculations from European Securitization Forum figures. Thanks to Iain Hardie for this information. 18 worked to the advantage of mutual banks in domestic retail banking, stateencouraged-saturation of the retail sector and consolidation of the banking system. The French financial system remains comparatively closed due to the legacy of these anti-competitive policies. At the same time, French banks have rapidly expanded their foreign operations. The financialization of French banks rather than increasing activity by other financial market actors, is the more important change in the country’s financial system over the past two decades. Trading activities increased in the 2003-7 period but the financialization of the French system owes a great deal to the rapid rise in the presence of French retail and commercial banking activities in foreign markets. Spanish and Italian banks and financial systems more broadly are considerably less financialized (IMF, 2006a&b; Quaglia, 2009; Royo, 2009). The scaling down of some trading activities amidst the rhetoric of governments and many banks themselves for a necessary ‘return’ to traditional banking activities represents a time-honoured, and most likely time-limited, response to business problems. The mea culpa of Calyon is typical: the investment bank announced to its 39 regional bank shareholders in the Crédit Agricole group that it would reduce its risk exposure by pulling out of structured credit markets and cutting back on equity and interest rate derivatives (Financial Times 10.9.2008). The chief executive of Calyon, Marc Litzler, resigned in May 2008. Litzler, a former derivatives specialist at Société Générale was hired specifically to expand Calyon’s capital markets business. However, a retreat to the more cautious nationally-oriented banking of the past is highly unlikely in all but the very short term: the opportunities in domestic markets are limited and the lure of profits in risk-taking remains. French banks – commercial and mutual – sought to expand their foreign and trading operations in order to increase profitability after the lean years of the mid-1990s. The result was record levels of profits for all six of the largest banks in the 2003-7 period. The crisis has not brought substantial changes to the French banking / financial system and has encouraged certain trends. The state emerged as a substantial shareholder, in the case of BNP Paribas the largest, but without voting rights. These shares bought back by the banks in 2009 / 2010. The merger of Caisse d’Epargne et Banque Populaire appears something of a throw-back to state interventionism. However, despite government rhetoric to the contrary, micromanagement of the bank appears unlikely. Rather the merger should be seen as an opportunistic move to further concentrate the banking system – by 2008 only 415 banks (715 credit institutions) continued to operate in the country down from 481 (975) in 2002 (Fédération Bancaire de France, 2009; IMF 2009b). The expressed concerns of government about ‘Too big to fail’ banks clearly do not direct government policy. Any impact of government intervention on financialization is likely to be short-term with a scaling back of trading activities across the system, most obviously with the withdrawal from certain activities of Natixis and Calyon. However, the more broadbased French business model has been vindicated, and while banks such as BNPParibas and Crédit Mutuel have taken advantage of the crisis to internationalise further, there has been a heavy retail element to this expansion. Clearly, a crucial transformation in French political economy remains the move to a ‘financial market’ form of capitalism, as large and many medium-sized NFCs turned increasingly to the equity markets (often foreign) for finance and French banks looked abroad and to other activities to compensate (Morin, 1998, 2000). Nonetheless, the 19 importance of bank assets over equity market capitalization domestically remains and increased in the years leading to the crisis. Thus, despite the importance of equity for NFC financing, to understand France’s financial system it remains crucial to understand its banking system. This article has studied the manner in which State disengagement from and interference in the financial sector determined the extent to which the French financial system (and specifically banking system) was affected during the international financial crisis. Securitization has reshaped French banking since the 1980s. However, a strong retail element remains. The French regulatory and supervisory regime has tolerated and even supported securitization, allowing offbalance sheet activities and other financial innovations made difficult in ‘Southern European’ financial systems. Moreover, the domestic regulatory response to the worst financial crisis affecting French banks since the Second World War has been negligible, was driven by the Bank of France rather than the government, and focused upon rogue trading. There remains state intervention and ownership, although the recent upswing has been temporary. Protectionism and limited foreign penetration remain features. HSBC’s purchase of CCF and its retail operations in 2000 has, to date, proven exceptional rather than the start of a new trend. Banque Populaire’s purchase of HSBC’s French retail operations in 2008 moves the country in the opposite direction. The drive of French banks to expand, with foreign equity issues and financialization contributed to the unravelling of the cross-shareholding groups created in the 1990s and centred around the then three largest commercial banks – then BNP, Société Générale and Crédit Lyonnais. This article does not deny the importance of bank or NFC agency in reshaping the French financial system (Culpepper 2005). However, the French bank business model, securitization and internationalization have been shaped by government action. References Allen, F. and Gale, D. (2000) Comparing Financial Systems, Cambridge, MA, MIT Press. Aglietta, M. and Régis B. (2001) ‘Financial Systems, Corporate Control and Capital Accumulation’, in Economy and Society, Vol. 30, No. 4, pp.433-66. Banking Commission (2007, 2008) Annual Report, Paris: Banque de France. Banque de France (2008) The European rescue plan, October, available at http://www.banque-france.fr/gb/publications/telechar/debats/anticrise_gb.pdf Bertero, E. (1994) ‘The Banking System, Financial Markets, and Capital Structure: Some New Evidence from France’, in Oxford Review of Economic Policy, Vol. 10, No. 4, pp. 68-78. Bloomberg (2008) Available at www.bloomberg.com/apps/news? pid=20601087&sid=a8sW0n1Cs1tY&refer=home, accessed 17 June 2009. Candida, D. (2000) The Future of European Retail Banking, Reuters Business Insight, http://reutersbusinessinsight.com/allreports.asp?pa=FS&page_no=8, accessed 20 May 2009. 20 Ciocca, P. (2005) The Italian Financial System Remodelled, Palgrave Macmillan, Basingstoke. 'Crise financière : analyses et propositions’ (2008) special edition of, Revue d'économie financière Hors série 2008. Crotty, J. (2008) ‘If Financial Market Competition is Intense, Why are Financial Firm Profits so High? Reflections on the Current ‘Golden Age’ of Finance’ Competition & Change 12: 2, pp.167-83. Culpepper, P. (2005) ‘Institutional Change in Contemporary Capitalism: Coordinated Financial Systems since 1990’, World Politics, 57:2, January, pp. 173-199. Culpepper, P. (2008) ‘Capitalism, Coordination, and Economic Change: the French Political Economy since 1985’, in Culpepper, P. et al., eds., Changing France: The Politics that Markets Make, Basingstoke: Palgrave, pp. 29-49. Deeg, R. (1999), Finance Capital Unveiled, Ann Arbor: The University of Michigan Press. ECB (European Central Bank) (2008) Annual Report, Frankfurt. Engelen, Ewald (2008) ‘The Case for Financialization’ Competition & Change, 12:2, pp.111-9. Ertürk, Ismail, Julie Froud, Sukhdev Johal, Adam Leaver and Karel Williams (eds.) Financialization at Work, London and New York: Routledge. Ertürk, Ismail and Stafano Solari (2007) ‘Banks as Continuous Reinvention’ New Political Economy 12: 3, pp.369-88. EuroHedge (2008) ‘Hedge Funds in France: A new esprit de corps’, HedgeFund Intelligence, http://www.hedgefundintelligence.com/eh/Article.aspx? Task=Report&IssueID=66649&ArticleID=1904086, accessed 5 May 2009. Fédération Bancaire de France (2007) Rapport d’Activité, Paris. -- (2009) Rapport d’Activité 2008, Paris. French, Shaun, Andrew Leyshon and Thomas Wainwright (2008) Financializing Space, Spacing Financialization, Paper presented at the ESRC Financialization of Comeptitiveness Seminar, April, University of Nortumbria. Grossman, E. (2005), ‘European banking policy: between multi-level governance and Europeanization’ in A. Baker, D. Hudson, R. Woodward (eds) Governing Financial Globalization, Routledge, London, pp. 130-146. 21 Hackethal, Andreas (2004) ‘German Banks and Banking Structure’ in Jan P. Krahnen and Richard H. Schmidt (eds.) The German Financial System, 2nd edition, Oxford: Oxford University Press, pp.71-105. Hall, Peter A., and Soskice, D. (eds.) (2001) Varieties of capitalism: the institutional foundations of comparative advantage, Oxford University Press, Oxford, UK Hancké, Bob (2001) ‘Revisiting the French model: coordination and restructuring in French industry’, in Hall, Peter A., and Soskice, D. (eds.) Varieties of capitalism: the institutional foundations of comparative advantage, Oxford University Press, Oxford, UK, pp. 307-337. Hancke, Bob et al. (2007) Beyond varieties of capitalism: conflict, contradictions, and complementarities in the European economy, Oxford University Press, Oxford, UK. IMF (2003) ‘Germany: Financial System Stability Assessment’, IMF Country Report No. 03/343, November, Washington: IMF. -- (2004) ‘France: Financial System Stability Assessment’, IMF Country Report No. 04/344, November, Washington: IMF. -- (2006a) ‘Italy: Financial System Stability Assessment’, IMF Country Report, No. 06/112, March, Washington: IMF -- (2006b) ‘Spain: Financial System Stability Assessment’, IMF Country Report, No. 06/212, June, Washington: IMF. --(2008) ‘Germany: 2007 Article IV Consultation—Staff Report; Staff Supplement; Public Information Notice; and Statement by the Executive Director for Germany. IMF Country Report No. 08/80, February, Washington: IMF> -- (2009a) ‘Germany: 2008 Article IV Consultation – Staff Report; Staff Supplement; Public Information Notice on the Executive Board Discussion; and Statement by the Executive Director for Germany’, IMF Country Report No.09/15, January. --(2009b) ‘France: 2009 Article IV Consultation—Staff Report; Public Information Notice on the Executive Board Discussion; and Statement by the Executive Director for France’, IMF Country Report No. 09/232, July, Washington: IMF. Josselin, D. (1997) Money politics in the new Europe: Britain, France and the single financial market, Basingstoke: MacMillan. Knill, C. and Lehmkuhl D. (2002), ‘Private Actors and the State: Internationalization and Changing Patterns of Governance’, Governance, 15, 1: 41–63. Loriaux, M. (1991) After Hegemony: International Change and Financial Reform (Cornell, 1991), 22 Krahnen, J. P. and Schmidt, R. H. eds. (2004) The German Financial System, 2nd Edition, Oxford: OUP. Krahnen, J. P. and Schmidt, R. H. (2004) ‘Taking Stock and Looking Ahead: The German System at the Crossroads?’ in J. P. Krahnen and R. H. Schmidt (eds.), The German Financial System, 2nd Edition. Oxford: OUP, pp.483-516. Maclean, M. et al. (2001) ‘Elites, ownership and the internationalization of French business, Modern & Contemporary France, 9(3), 313–325. Memmel, Ch. and Schertler, A. (2009) The Dependency of the Banks’ Assets and Liabilities: Evidence from Germany, available at http://ssrn.com/abstract=1353927. Ministère des finances (2008) France's plan for ensuring the financing of the economy and restoring confidence, 13 October, available at http://www.minefe.gouv.fr/presse/dossiers_de_presse/081013plan_economie_version _anglaise.pdf Moran, M. (1991) The Politics of the Financial Services Revolution: The USA, UK and Japan, Basingstoke: Macmillan. Morin, F. (1998) Le Modele Francais de Detention et Gestion du Capital Paris: Les Editions de Bercy, 1998. -- (2000) ‘A Transformation in the French Model of Shareholding and Management’, Economy and Society, Vol. 29, No. 1, pp. 36-53. O’Sullivan, M. (2007) ‘Acting out institutional change: understanding the recent transformation of the French financial system’, Socio-Economic Review, Vol. 5, No. 3, pp. 389-436. Quaglia, L. (2009) ‘The Response to the Global Financial Turmoil in Italy: ‘A Financial System that Does Not Speak English’ in South European Society and Politics, Vol. 14, No. 1, March 2009, pp. 7–18. -- (2009) ‘The ‘British plan’ as a pace-setter: the Europeanization of banking rescue plans in the EU?’, JCMS, -- Quaglia, L. (2010 forthcoming) ‘Completing the Single Market in financial services: the politics of competing advocacy coalitions, Journal of European Public Policy, special edition, Political Economy of European Market Integration, 17.7 Royo, Sebastián(2009) 'After the Fiesta: The Spanish Economy Meets the Global Financial Crisis', South European Society and Politics,14:1,19 — 34. Schmidt, V. (2003) ‘French capitalism transformed, yet still a third variety of capitalism’ Economy and Society, vol. 32, no. 4: 526-554. Story, J. and I. Walter (1997), Political Economy of Financial Integration in Europe: The Battle of the System, Manchester: Manchester University Press. 23 Story, J. (2000) ‘The Political Economy of European Union Financial Integration: The Battle of the Systems’, Crouch, C., ed. After the euro, Oxford: OUP, pp. 89-108. Underhill, G. (1997), ‘The making of the European financial area: global market integration and the EU single market for financial service’, in G. Underhill (ed.) The New World Order in International Finance, Macmillan: London, pp. 101-123. Zysman, John. 1983. Governments, Markets and Growth, Cornell University Press. Table X. Bank Internationalization. Credit Exposure by Region (by %): Gross concentration of lending business by geographical area BNP-Paribas (%) 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 France 31 35 36 41 43 43 39 39 EEA 35* 30 29** 18 18 18 17 18 Other 2 6 5 5 5 5 6 7 Europe North 16 12 19 23 22 22 25 23 America Total 2,075,551 Commercial loans and commitments breakdown (2001-07) Geographical Breakdown of Credit Risk by Counterparty’s country of business for 2008. *In 2008, this figure includes Switzerland which moved from other European. **A significant increase principally because of the integration of the Italian bank BNL. In 2006, 15% of BNP commercial loans were in Italy. Crédit Agricole 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004* 2003* 2002* 2001** Total gross 436,912 397257 336,267 261,422 235575 200616 220890 278,187 value (million euros) France (incl. 38.72 43.72 45.40 50.6 55.42 52.06 48.27 81.57 DOM-TOM) Other EU 36.34 33.87 31.98 22.93 24.41 23.34 22.55 4.92 countries Rest of World 24.94 22.41 22.62 26.47 21.17 24.60 29.17 14.51 Rest of 3.69 3.43 3.01 3.14 4.20 3.45 3.30 1.87 Europe North 8.38 6.30 7.58 5.91 4.59 6.66 9.98 1.69 America Central and 2.55 3.3 2.5 3.47 2.85 2.66 2.80 2.27 South America Asia 6.49 5.74 5.50 9.08 4.4 6.72 8.75 5.17 Africa-M.E. 3.53 3.67 4.03 4.88 3.76 5.11 4.37 2.11 Other 0.30 (supranational organizations) *The figures for 2002-4 exclude other aggregates (including the delivered securities bought under repurchase agreements from Crédit Lyonnais) and leasing and factoring (including accrued interest). 24 **Other European Economic Area (EEA) countries are included instead of other EU countries. Thus, e.g., Norway is included. Société Générale (On and of balance sheet commitments) 2008 2007 2006 2004 France 41 50 51 52 W. Europe* 32 21 19 20 E. Europe** 4 10 9 6 N.America 13 10 12 13 Other 10 9 9 9 *In 2008, includes East European EU Member States **In 2008, excludes East European EU Member States Caisse d’Epargne 2008 France 2 565 Other EU 306 North 270 America Asia / 106 Pacific Rest of 227 World Total 3 474 2003 65 20 5 2 8 2007 3 544 355 - 274 06 3671 176 1426 05 3009 117 1158 04 40,2 42,3 10,3 03 50,5 % 37.6 8 02 69,6 26,0 3,1 48 97 86 1.8 0.6 (just Asia) .2 (excl. Japan) 321 15 3 3 974 5385 4373 100 100 Banques Populaires Groupe 2008 07 France 217 753 / 170404 / 82.73 83.55 EU 24 132 / 22964 9.17 Other 154 25 OECD North 26 019 / 28571 America 9.89 Total 263 206 203957 06 229 084 / 75.03 31 926 05 268195 / 92.90 11 021 1 542 23 51 329 27218 305 307 288711 25
© Copyright 2025 Paperzz