GrassrootsCoalition http://www.saveballona.org Community Health & Safety Full Disclosure Subsidence Caused by Fluid Withdrawal: The Need for a SystemsApproach Alexander E. Gurevich 1,0940MeadowglenLane,#371,Houston,TX 77042-3368; e-mail:[email protected] GeorgeV. Chilingarian Departmentof Cioil Engineering, Uniuersityof SouthernCalifurnia,UniaersityPark, LosAngeles,California90089-2531 Firyal Bou-Rabee Collegeof Science, GeologyDepartment, Kuwait Uniaersity,P.O.Box5969,Kuwait13060 GrassrootsCoalition http://www.saveballona.org ABSTRACT Community Health & Safety Full Disclosure Current understanding of the processesinduced by fluid withdrawal from a petroleum reservoir or aquifer is incomplete, partly becausesubsidence processesand related effects are viewed individually rather than as part of a single, complex system. Compaction due to pressure decreasein a reservoir or aquifer causessubsidenceof overlying formations and the land surface. This deformation also leads to fracturing. Additional fractures can be created by pressure increasescaused by fluid injection. Fracturing can result in upward migration of gas and other fluids, connection between adjacent reservoirs and aquifers, and changes in water composition due to the cross-flow of waters from different aquifers. Land subsidence can reduce the depth to the water table, causing seepageof water and light hydrocarbons floating on the water table into basements of buildings, and uplifting basementsresulting in structural damage.Usually these processesand phenomena are studied separately; however, because they are related, they should be jointly investigated. A conceptual outline of the causes and consequencesof fluid withdrawal is a preliminary step in developing a more comprehensive systems approach to the phenomena of land subsidence. A comprehensive systems approach requires that new techniques be developed for characterizing mechanical properties and deformation processesof large massesof heterogeneousrocks, monitoring changes in rock properties in the field, and developing hierarchical models of rock deformation. SusstogttcE CeuseoBv FlutoWrnonnwnl GrassrootsCoalition Pressuredecline http://www.saveballona.org Community Health & Safety Full Disclosure Gompactionof reservoir/aquifer Subsidence Loweringof surface, steepening of slopes , J Fracturing, increased permeability Ground lissures l I I ll erittr"deformation, ll p"t"rr","" t Inducedearthquakes ll,, t*,"r,"r tl "*""* structures I - E ! I Slippage on faults Flowbetween reservoirs/aquifers Firesandblastsat landsurface tn properties of soils Uplift& deformationof surfacestructures Seepageof water,oil, and gas intobasements Figure 1. Relation between Pressuredecline (emboldened box), compa"ction(single boxes) in reientoirs and aquifers, subsidence-related processesoccurring in earth materials overlying_reservoir-sand iquifers (double boies), and surfaceeffects of subsidence(shadowed boxes). SubsidenceCausedby Fluid Withdrawal: The Need for a SystemsApproach GrassrootsCoalition http://www.saveballona.org Alexander Gurevich Community Health &E. Safety Full Disclosure 1.0940 Meadowglen e-mail:[email protected] Lane,#3L7,Houston,TX 77042-3368; George V. Chilingarian Departmentof Cioil Engineering,Uniaersityof SouthernCalifurnia,UniaersityPark, LosAngeles,Califurnia90089-2531 Firyal Bou-Rabee Collegeof Science, GeologyDepartment, Kuwait Uniaersity,P.O.Box5959,Kuwait 13050 ABSTRACT Current understanding of the processesinduced by fluid withdrawal from a petroleum reservoir or aquifer is incomplete, partly becausesubsidence processesand related effectsare viewed individually rather than as part of a single, complex system.Compaction due to pressuredecreasein a reservoir or aquifer causessubsidenceof overlying formations and the land surface.This deformation also leads to fracturing. Additional fractures can be created by pressure increasescaused by fluid injection. Fracturing can result in upward migration of gas and other fluids, connection between adjacent reservoirs and aquifers, and changesin water composition due to the cross-flow of waters from different aquifers. Land subsidence can reduce the depth to the water table, causing seepageof water and light hydrocarbons floating on the water table into basements of buildings, and uplifting basementsresulting in structural damage.Usually these processesand phenomena are studied separately;however, because they are related, they should be jointly investigated.A conceptual outline of the causesand consequencesof fluid withdrawal is a preliminary step in developing a more comprehensivesystemsapproach to the phenomena of land subsidence.A comprehensivesystemsapproach requires that new techniques be developed for characterizing mechanical properties and deformation processesof large massesof heterogeneousrocks, monitoring changesin rock properties in the field, and developing hierarchical models of rock deformation. SuestoeNcE CAUSED Bv FluroWrrnoRRwRl: TnENeeoFon A SvsreusAppnoRcH 479 INTRODUCTION La n d subsidence over reserv o irs a n d aquifers from which fluids are withdrawn is a GrassrootsCoalition ph e n o menon known all over t h e wo rld , http://www.saveballona.org including such countries as the United States Community Health & Safety of America, Mexico, Venezuela,Italy, the forFull Disclosure mer Soviet Union, Italy, fapan, and Kuwait (Saxena,7979; Jol'rrson, 7997; Chilingarian and others, 1995).Fluid withdrawal causesa chain of interrelated consequences.The immediate result is a decreasein fluid pressurethat causes compaction of the aquifer or reseryoir and consequent subsidenceof overlying formations and the land surface.Bending of rock formations due to subsidenceresults in compression, extension, and sheat which lead to fracturing of rocks,damageto well bores,and, sometimes, to induced earthquakes.Land subsidence damages surface structures, such as buildings, pipelines, etc. Local subsidence su p e r p osed on an unchanged re g io n a l ground-water-flow system reduces the depth to the water table. This higher water table can cause water and oil floating on the water to seep into basements,especiallyif thesebasements were damaged by subsidence.Further damage can be causedby uplift of basement floors associatedwith rising water tables. Rock fracturing allows upward migration of fluids, especiallygas. Gas and oil from reservoirs can seep to the surface creating fire hazar d s. Saline water can contamin a t e f re s h drinking water of the overlying aquifers. Fissuresin the ground can very noticeably increase infiltration of surface water into subsurface aquifers and may contaminate ground water. In multireservoir oll/gas fields, fracturi ng ca n connect adjacent reser v o irs a n d aquifers and influence production. The processescausing subsidenceand the phenomena resulting from it should be considered parts of a single system. Information on rock properties, geologic structure, and fluid withdrawal parametersshould be consi de r e d in subsidence inves t ig a t io n s . Currently in the oil and gas industry, emphasis is placed on reservoir compaction and subsidence;other facetsof the processusually 480 are ignored.A systemsapproach(fig. 1) allows interrelations among all subsidence issues to be considered.This allows unknown components of the system to be estimated or predicted when information may exist for only some of the components.A systems approach may be crucial to plan fluid production safely,to remediate sites, and to evaluate lawsuits and other litigation. Key details of a legal casemay be revealedonly if the subsidenceprocessis analvzed in its entiretv. This paper emphajizes the importance of a multidisciplinary systems approach to planning fluid withdrawal and estimating and mitigating subsidence.It draws on our previous work (Gurevich, L969; Gurevich and others, 7972, 7987; Gurevich and Chilingarian, 1993),but is preliminary. In this paper we (1) present, as fully as possible, all subsidence phenomena/processes,consequencesrelated to fluid removal from aquifers and petroleum reservoirs,and the complete strucfure of their cause-and-effectrelations, and (2) outline media properties and methods of exploration that are necessaryto guarantee a successful systems approach to subsidenceand related processesand hazards. Not all statementsin this paper are substantiated by published information, empirical data, or calculations.However, while we continue to arralyzethe subject in more detail for later publication, we hope to initiate discussion of this very important topic among scientists in traditionally disparate fields. TYPESOF DEFORMATION CAUSED BY FLUID WITHDRAWAL Deformations of Rocks Pressuredecreasecauses compaction of rocks within and immediately above and below a reservoir or aquifer (Geertsma,1957, 7973).Becausepressure change is usually not transmitted a great distance acrossreservoir o r a q u if e r b o u n d a rie s , mo s t c o mp a c t i o n occurs within the reservoir or aquifer. As a result of compaction, the reservoir or aquifer bottom subsides only slightly, and overlying f o rma t io n s s u b s id e t o a g re a t e r d e g r e e . LnNoSuesrDENcE RESEARcH CnsESruoresANDCURRENT phic, and igneous rocks bonds are strong. De f o rma t io n b e g in s e la s t ic a lly a n d i s reversible, but soon its potential is exhausted and irreversible, rate- and stage-dependent deformation begins. Very slow deformation is almost plastic; grains have enough time to regroup, breaking and rebuilding bonds here and there. At higher deformation rates, microfracturing and brittle microdeformations becomeinevitable. At still higher rates, brittle deformation is predominant. The response of rock Compactionof to stress also is effected by Pressuredecline reservoir/aquifer in c re a s e s in c u m u l a t i v e deformation (deformation stage).Rocks with different Loueringof surtace, mechanical properties folsteepeningof slopes low the sequenceof deformation mechanismsdifferently. Deformation due to pressure decreasecaused b y f lu id wit h d ra w a l i s rapid comparedto geologic Brittle deformation, processes; therefore,brittle Inducedearthquakes fracturing deformation may constitute a very appreciablepart of the total process. Slippageon faults Compaction of a reservoir or aquifer is not limited to the rearrangement o f c o n s t it u e n t g r a i n s . I n consolidated sandstones, e s p e c ia lly in s a n d s t o n e s t h a t a re h e t e ro g e n e o u s , Firesand blastsat considerablecompaction land surface can create microfractures a n d ma c ro f ra c t u r e s t h a t might partially neutralize Seepageof water,oil, and gas into basements the decreasein permeability causedby compaction. From the onset of compaction, deformation of overlying formations cannot be considered purely elastic.As has been noted Figure 1. Relation between pressure decline (emboldenedbox), com(Gurevich and Chilingarian, paction (single boxes) in reservoirs and aquifers, subsidence-related processesoccurring in earth materials overlying reservoirs and 7993),data on well-bore aquifers (double boxes),and surface effects of subsidence(shadowed deformation presented by boxes). Poland and Davis (7969) Structural analysis indicates that in multireservoir oil or gas fields less permeable rocks (cap rocks) between compacting reserGrassrootsCoalition voirs can be damaged more than rocks in formations above the shallowest reservoir. http://www.saveballona.org Deformation causedby compaction and Community Health & Safety subsidence is a Full Disclosure complex process.Clastic rock is a medium built of grains. In poorly consolidated, terrigenous rocks, grains have weak bonds. In consolidated, carbonate,metamor- AppRoRcn 481 THENeeoFon A SvsrEHits SuesrorNcE Bv FluroWrrHoRRwnL: CAUSED suggested that subsidencebegins gradually in beds immediately overlying the reservoir or aquifer whereas land surface and shallow GrassrootsCoalition for m a ti ons are unaffected. D u rin g t h is http://www.saveballona.org process, different rock beds and thin strata Community Health & Safety can separate, opening existing bedding joints a n dDisclosure cr eating new ones (Gur e v ic h ' a n d Full Chilingarian, 1993).Gradually, the deformation processexpands upward. Therefore,from the very beginning of subsidence,deformation is not uniform in a vertical section and contains elastic, plastic, and brittle componentsin proportions that change with time and with the rate and total amount of deformation. Compaction and subsidencealso depend on the permeability of reservoir or aquifer rocks. In poorly permeable rocks, pressure decrease is uneven. Pressuredecreaseis greatestin the immediate vicinity of producing wells and lessensrapidly with distance from the well, especially early during fluid withdrawal. The bulk strength of rock formations overlying a compacting reservoir or aquifer provides lateral support (bridging effect) that prevents them from settling immediately. Land subsidence begins when horizontal extensionof the pressure depletion zone becomesapproximately five times greater than the thicknessof the above-lying formations (Kotov and others, 797I). Subsidence,therefore, does not take place in the initial stage of fluid production, but deformation due to the initial pressure d e cr e a se can still occur. Loca l p re s s u re decreasein the fluid changes compression of the rock grains in the depleted volume of reservoir or aquifer. The overburden weight is not yet active becauseof the bridging effect, bu t i ncrease in grain volume c a u s e d b y decreasedfluid pressure can produce additional stress at grain contacts (effectivestress) and causesome rearrangementand microfracturing. Pressure decreasesof more than 100 kg/ cmz are common during oil and gas production and consequent increasein effective stress may be substantial. Becausegrains of different minerals have different elastic moduli and becausegrain packing varies, differential stressesthat theoreticallycould develop at grain contacts might break bonds between 482 grains and create microfractures. This preliminary deformation could increase the amount of sand removed during initial production of the fluid and, thus, reduce rock stressaround the well bore and somewhat loosen the rock. Processesactive during the early stages of fluid production prepare the reservoir or aquifer rocks for compaction, which begins as soon as pressure depletion zones reach the size necessary to activate the overburden. This nonuniform deformation probably contributes to localization of fracturing during process. the full-scalecompaction-subsidence Bending of rock layers in addition to lateral displacements produces cross-bedding fractures, increasesthe aperture of faults, and causesslippage along faults. Earthquakes induced by fluid withdrawal or injection are a well-known phenomenon (McGarr, 1993). Lateral displacementdue to subsidencecauses earthquakes (Lee, 1979;Kosloff and others, 1980).Analyzing subsidence-inducedearthquakes at the Wilmington, California, oil f ie ld , Ric h t e r (1 9 5 8 ),Ma y u g a (1 9 6 5 ) a n d Kovach (1974) noted that slippage occurred along nearly horizontal planes. Fracturing increasescross-beddingpermeability and, thus, creates or enhancesvertical connectivity of adjacent reservoirs or aquifers. SurfaceDeformation De f o rma t io n d u e t o c o mp re s s i o n a n d extensionat and near the land surfacecauses fissuresin the soil and damages buildings, pipelines,and other structures.Subsidenceof 15 to 20 ft or more may cause swamping of subsurfacestructures. Regional water tables that approximately parallel the land surface can remain at nearly the same altitude after local subsidence lowers the land surface. The effect is to decreasethe depth to water. If the water table rises (relative to land surface) higher than the bottom of a building, the uplift pressure on the structure is noticeably increased.If a basement is in heterogeneous soils or rocks, uplift may not be uniform, causing a distorting stress (fig. 2) and consequent damage to the structure. This dam- RESEARoH LnNoSuasrDENcE CnsESruorrsANDCURRENT a g e ca n be combined with da ma g e f ro m d e for mation of the land surfa c e . Ra is e d water tables (relative to land surface) can GrassrootsCoalition saturate previously dry soils. In arid areas http://www.saveballona.org especially,this can lead to hydrocollapse, which can&be considerable in loessal soils, Community Health Safety and additional deformation of surface and Full Disclosure subsurfacestructures. Shallower water tables, especially during heavy rains when additional water table rise occurs, can cause water to leak into basements through damaged walls. If light oil, gasoline, or other hydrocarbons are floating on the water table, these contaminants can seep into the damaged basement creating serious hazards and fire danger. The authors observed domal deformation of floors of and seepageof crude oil into the underground garage of a multistory apartment building in the Fairfax area of Los Angeles. Deformation in the Caseof Heterogeneity in Rock Properties Lateral heterogeneity of a reservoir or aquifer can cause hydraulic compartmentalization that can significantly affect deformation associatedwith subsidencein the following way. Hydraulic compartmentalization is most often causedby heterogeneouslithology and sealing faults. In a reservoir or aquifer divided into hydraulically separatecompartments, fluid can be withdrawn from one compartment without affecting pressures in adjace n t compartments. B ecaus e p re s s u re decreaseoccurs only on one side of a seal, compaction and subsidenceoccur only on one side of the seal.This can creategreat stressin a fault zone and can cause a noticeable and sud d e n slip along sealing fau lt s . Mu c h greater surface damage can result from this kind of differential subsidencethan from uni- fo r m s ubsidence due to compa c t io n in a regionally uniform reservoiror aquifer. CROSS.BEDDING FLOW Seepageof oil and gas to the surface is a widespread and well known phenomenon Figure 2. Illustration showing the effect of water table rise in heterogeneous soil. The basement of the building is partly in sand, partly in clay. Uplift due to a shallower water table after subsidence initially affects the part of the basement that is surrounded by sand. Therefore, the buoyancy force provides a rotating/bending moment (M) (equal to the buoyancy force multiplied by the action radius, R) that can damagethe building. (Link, 1952;Hovland and Judd, 1988;Clarke and Cleverly, 7991).Cross-bedding fracturing enhancesold migration paths and createsnew paths that hydraulically connect reservoirs or aquifers in the vertical section and the surface. Oil and more particularly gas can leak upward from a reservoir. If such migration occurred naturally, prior to fluid extraction (such as in the area of the La Brea tar pits in Los Angeles), migration may intensify after p ro d u c t io n b e g in s . V e rt ic a l mig r a t i o n o f hydrocarbons and, sometimes,leakage though damaged wells frequently creates a series of smaller pools above the major reservoirs. F ra c t u rin g in d u c e d b y s u b s id e n c e m a y increaseleakagefrom these pools. Therefore, seepagecan increaseeven though pressurein major reservoirsdecreasesdramatically. Cas, due to its low density, can migrate upward through substantially opened fractures and damaged wells even from reservoirs containing gas at less than hydrostatic pressure (Gurevich, 1969;Gurevich and others, 7993). In areassubject to earthquakes,seeping hydrocarbon gases can affect mechanical properties of soil. Depending on the chemical and biochemical processesinitiated by gas, the soil may become mechanically stronger, or may become more easily liquefied during vibrations causedby an earthquake. THENero Fon A SvsreusAppnoRcn 483 SuesloeNcE CAUSED Bv Fr-uroWrruoRnwnL: Fractures can connect two or more reservoir s in an oil or gas field. The a u t h o rs observed a California field where adjacent GrassrootsCoalition reservoirs becameconnectedhydraulically as http://www.saveballona.org a result of deformation that occurred in the courseHealth of production. Community & Safety Full Disclosure FIELD EXPLORATION Lithology, degree of lithification, arrangement of rocks of different lithology (bedding r e la ti on s, etc.), and tectonic defo rma t io n determine the mechanicalproperties of rocks. Geologic analysis of a rock volume that contains a reservoir or aquifer from the viewpoint of deformational properties and the consequent translation of geologic data into mechanical data, are the basis for prediction of deformation due to fluid withdrawal or injection. Deformational behavior of rocks and formations should be examined and analyzed with respect to stress rates and deformation. Stressesthat changeslowly compared to the potential rate of grain rearrangement can produce plastic deformation of the rock. Faster stress change will cause brittle deformation and fracturing. Initial stressesin rock, caused by overburden weight and tectonic stress, will strongly affect distribution of stressesand the deformation produced by subsidence. Deformation within a homogenousgeologic stratum dependson the mechanicalproperties of that stratum and the adjacentstrata. For example, the presenceof a rock with very low shear strength (thin layer of a cIay,mudstone, a rock rich in mica, etc.) can causeslippage in this weak layer at much lower shear stressthan in the caseof a relatively uniform formation. Most deformation would occur in this thin weak layer and the rest of formation would suffer only minor shear deformation. Tlhepresenceof rocks with low shear strength should be investigatedthoroughly. Fr acture distribution and dime n s io n s (aperture, length, height) depend on tectonic structure, (anticline,flexure, fault zone),stress regime, secondarymineralization, and weathering, and, therefore, on geologic history. 484 A major part of subsidencedeformation can o c c u r o n e x is t in g ma c ro f ra c t u re s a n d microfracfures, leaving blocks of unfractured rock nearly intact. Geologic formations are complex, discrete bodies that can be represented only approximately as continuous media. To understand deformation of large volumes of rock with varying lithology, deformational models at multiple scalesmust be developed. Also, a "dictionary" should be developed to translate t h re e -d ime n s io n a l g e o lo g y in t o a t h r e e dimensional description of mechanicalproperties.This dictionary could be used as a basis for developing a hierarchical chain of deforma t io n a l b e h a v io r mo d e ls t h a t m i m i c s changes in deformational mechanisms as cumulative deformation increasesand as deformation rates vary. MONITORING The following characteristics should be monitored simultaneously with studv of their interrelations. .Surfacevertical and horizontal deformations b y le v e lin g s u rv e y s , s a t e llit e (G l o b a l Positioning System) techniques,and other similar techniques. oDeformationsin well bores by existing techniques (i.e.,logging the position of radioactive bullets). .Changes in the permeability of reservoir or aquifer rocks either indirectly through changesin productivity or directly by measuring permeability of cores obtained from new well bores. eMicroseismicactivity recorded at several a u t o ma t ic mic ro s t a t io n s f o r lo ca t i n g microearthquakes to monitor and predict deformation and also to use as a warning for effects on production. oGasseepageand gas composition by automa t ic d e t e c t o rs p o s it io n e d a t p rob a b l e seepagelocations (fault zones, flexures, zonesof extensiondue to subsidence). oPosition of the water table and other piezometric surfaces. LnNoSuesrDENcE RESEARcH CnseSruoresANDCURRENT oComposition of water from producing and observationwells. ferent in the laboratory than in nature. .Laboratory tests are conducted using uniform samples, whereas in-situ processes GrassrootsCoalition The set of monitoring techniquesand monio f t e n o c c u r in c o mp le x h e t e r o g e n e o u s http://www.saveballona.org tored parameters would be different for shalmedia where redistribution of pressure, Community & Safety lowHealth aquifers than for deep oil or gas reservoirs, stress,and deformation significantly affects can have great pressure decreases.The Fullwhich Disclosure material response (Gurevich , 7987). set of monitored parameters would vary on a Correlation of empirical statistics of in-situ case-by-case basis. deformation with geologic and physical characteristicsis necessaryto determine more realistic parameters for simulation TECHNIQUES TO BE DEVELOPED models. This will increasethe accuracy of So me new techniques are n e e d e d t o predictions of, for example, subsidence, improve understanding of subsidence-related fracturing, induced earthquakes, and gas processesto allow collectionof field data at seepage.Correlations between geologic monitoring locations and to improve prediccharacteristicsand deformation parameters tion capability. could be made on the basis of a complete cause-and-effect geological/physicalmodel oOften, reservoir pressuresare maintained bv of deformation processes.A set of geologic waterflooding or gas injection to reduce thl characteristicsselectedas analogs to physip o ssibility of subsidencein u rb a n a n d cal values of this model, together with industrial areas during oil and gas produchydrodynamic parametersof the fluid withtion. Beyond the protected areas,pressure drawal or injection can be used for correladecreaseand subsidencecan occur and can tion techniques.Data on many reservoirs or be substantial enough to causeearthquakes. aquifers should be used to provide reliable Pressure increase in underground gas storresults and develop geologic indices for ag e reservoirs (usually aban d o n e d o il accurateprediction of subsidenceand its fields) due to gas injection can lead to the consequences. same result. In seismicallv active zones .Improved models and sets of models for there is a danger that theie small earths imu la t in g a n d p re d ic t in g s ub s i d e n c e quakes could trigger a major earthquake; should be developed, continuing the curtherefore, it is necessaryto develop techrent trend of evolution of subsidencesimuniques for (1) indirect and direct measurelation models. ment of stressin heterogeneousrocks during subsidence, (2) evaluating tensile and Total relative deformation of rocks during shear strength of heterogeneousformations subsidenceis small. Therefore, it is difficult to ( as opposed to the method s u s e d in a reliably establish the mechanism responsible homogenous rock bodies), (3) measuring for deformation by mathematical modeling changes in rock strength during deforma- becauseadjusting numerical values of para-tion, and (4) maintaining and reducing meters and coefficientsis merely a data-fitting str e ss to a level below the f o rma t io n process that does not reveal incomplete or strength to avoid earthquakes. incorrect models of the mechanisms involved. media and their behaviors are very More attention should be paid to developing -rGeologic complex. Laboratory experimentsand tests a d e q u a t e u n d e rs t a n d in g o f d e f o r m a t i o n do not reproducein-situ compactionor sub- mechanisms and processesin huge massesof sidence processesand cannot simulate them ro c k wit h h e t e ro g e n e o u s g e o log i c a n d accurately. Deformation rates in the labora- mechanical properties. As a result, more realtory are much greater than in situ and, istic, complete,and accuratemodels of in-situ therefore, deformation mechanismsare dif- deformation will be developed. SueslorNlcE CAUSED Bv FluroWrnoRRwnL: THENreo Fon A Svsrevs Appnoncn 485 Deformation and mechanisms of deforma- REFERENCES CITED V tion are not uniform in time and space. Initi ally, pressure depletion oc c u rs o n ly Chilingarian, G. V., E. C. Donaldson, and T. F. yen, *, tggS, / GrassrootsCoalition Subsidencedue to fluid withdrawal: Amsterdam, Elsevier, around producing wells. Due to small lateral 498p. http://www.saveballona.org size of these zones (the lower the permeabili- Clarke, R. H., and R. W Cleverly, 1991, Petroleum seepage Community & Safety ty, theHealth smaller the lateral size), initially there and post-accumulationmigration, inW. A. England and A. J. Fleet, eds., Petroleum migration: Geological Society of is no subsidence,but deformation and predeFull Disclosure London Special Publication 59, p.265-271. formational changes in rock strength do Geertsma, 1957,The effect of fluid-pressure decline on vol1., occur. As depletion zones spread over the umetric changes of rocks: Transactions of AIME, v.210, p. 331-339. larger area of reservoir or aquifer, compaction Geertsma,J.,1973,A basic theory of subsidencedue to reserbecomesnoticeable and subsidencebegins, voir compaction: the homogeneous case: Verh. Kon. Ned. but due to rock strength changesaround proGeol.Mijnbouwk. Gen.,v.28, p.43-62. ducing wells during the initial period, later Gurevich, A. E., 1969,Processesof groundwater, oil, and gas migration: Leningrad,Nedra Publishers,112p. deformation is not uniform. As has been men- Gurevich, A. E., 1989, Tasks for further development of tioned, there is also evidence that deformageofluid dynamics: Yakutsk, Russia, Yakutsk University, 30 P. tion due to subsidence begins at depth and Gurevich, A. E., and G. V. Chilingarian,1993, Subsidenceover can cease to be elastic even before surface producing oil and gas fields, and gas leakage to the surdeformation occurs. face:Journal of Petroleum Scienceand Engineering, v.9, p. 239-250. The complete deformation model, therefore, Gurevich,A. E., L. N. Kapchenko,and N. M. Kruglikov, 1972, may be based on a "sliding" model of deforT h e o r e t i c a l p r i n c i p l e s o f p e t r o l e u m h y d r og e o l o g y: mation mechanisms such that at each particuLeningrad,Nedra Publishers,272 p. lar physicat point (i.e., a grid cell in a mathe- Gurevich, A. E., and others, 1987,Formation fluid pressure: Leningrad, Nedra Publishers,223 p. matical model), the deformation law (algoGurevich, A. E., B. L. Endres, J. O. Robertson, fr., and G. V. ,/ rithm in a mathematical model) should Chilingarian, 1993, Gas migration from oil and gas fields and associated hazards: Journal of Petroleum Scienceand change from linearly elastic to nonlinearly Engineering, v. 9, p. 223-238. elastic to plastic to brittle depending on the Hovland, M., and A. G. Judd, 1988,Seabedpockmarks and critical value of certain deformation parameseepages:London, Graham and Trotman,293p. ters. Such a model, although complex, should fohnson, A. L, ed., 1991,Land subsidence:IAHS Publication no.200,690p. describe real deformation processesmore Kosloff, D., R. F. Scott,and f. Scranton, 1980,Finite element accurately.If the distribution of types of deforsimulation of Wilmington oil field subsidence:1..Linear modeling: Tectonophysics,v. 65, p. 339-368. mation mechanisms acting concurrently is statistically uniform, another approach can be Kotov. I. G., V. A. Mironenko, and L. I. Serdyukov, 7977, On r/ the influence of rock layers overlying unl aquifer on the suggested. Integrating the effects of all deforelastic regime of water percolation: Jotirnal of Applied Mechanics and TechnicalPhysics,v.2, p.172-1.76. mational mechanisms involved could yield a for Wilmington oil composite model with a generalizedmecha- Kovach, R. L., 1974,Source mechanism field, California, subsidenceearthquakes:Bulletin of the nism. Parametersof this model may be made SeismologicalSocietyof America, v.64, p.699-711.. V dependent on the rate and total amount of Lee, L. L., 1979,Subsidenceearthquakeat a California oil tield,,in S. K. Saxena,ed., Evaluation and prediction of deformation to provide necessaryflexibility subsidence:New York, ASCE, p. 549-564. for this "bulk" model. Models of these two Link, W. K., 1952, Significance of oil and gas seeps in world oil exploration:AAPG Bulletin, v.36, p.1505-1539. types may bridge the gap between current models of deformations in a laboratory sam- Mayuga, M. N., 1970,Geology and development of California giant; the Wilmington oil field, in Geology of giant petroples and in huge volumes of rocks in situ. leum fields: AAPG Memoir 14, p. 158-184. To select an M c G a r r , A . , e d . , 1 9 9 3 , I n d u c e d s e i s m i c i t y : Ne w Yo r k, optimal simulation approach, Springer-Verlag, 460p. hierarchical systems of models can be develPoland, J. F., and G. H. Davis, 1969,Land subsidencedue to v oped (Gurevich, 1989).Partial simulations of withdrawal of fluids: Review of Engineering Geology II, separate elements of the total processmake it GeologicalSocietyof America,p.1'87-269. possible to select best approximations of the Richter, C. F., 1958, Elementary seismology: San Francisco, Freeman,768p. actual process and tb simplify simulation of Saxena,S. K., ed., 1979,Evaluation and prediction of subsithe total processwithout losing accuracy. dence: New York, ASCE,594 p. 486 LnNoSuesrDENcE RESEARcH CnseSruoresANDCURRENT GrassrootsCoalition http://www.saveballona.org Community Health & Safety Full Disclosure OFFPRINT from LANDSUBSIDENCE CASESTUDIES AND CURRENT RESEARCH Proceedlngsof the Dr.JosephF.PolandSymposium Edited by JamesW. Borchers StEr PUBLISHING COMPANY This offprint is from: I.ANDSUBSIDENCE CASESTUDIESAND CURRENTRESEARCH GrassrootsCoalition Proceedings of the Dr. Joseph F. PolandSymposium,edited by James W. http://www.saveballona.org Borchers. Community Health & Safety 576 pages. Hardcover, Full Disclosure SpecialPublicationNo. 8 Associationof Engineering Geologists SacramentoSectionand AEG SubsidenceCommittee Proceedings LANDSUBSIDENCE RESEARCH of CASESTUDIES ANDCURRENT maybe purchased the Dr.JosephF. 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