2005 Comparison of 2014 LEAP Results for RSD-NO to Other Louisiana Public School Districts Charles J. Hatfield Co-Founder of Research on Reforms Email: [email protected] 8/15/2014 (Revised) 2014 This report analyzes the 2014 4th and 2014 8th LEAP test results for the Recovery District in New Orleans (RSD-NO). These 4th and 8th grade students have probably attended RSD-NO schools since the first grade1. Therefore, one would expect that they benefited much more from their instructional experiences in RSD-NO than their pre-Katrina counterparts. Research on Reforms (ROR) expected that, as a group, these students would not score at or near the bottom of the 2014 LEAP test in any of the subjects tested; but that did not happen. This report presents the 2014 percent proficient and equivalent percentile rank status for the RSDNO in English Language Arts (ELA), mathematics, science and social studies.2 It is important to emphasize that a percentile rank represents a type of measurement that should not be added or subtracted from one another. One can only state whether a percentile rank is higher or lower than another but not how much higher or lower. See Appendix A for descriptions the various statistical terms used in this report. The results for 4th grade are presented in Chart 1. Compared to other school districts in the state, the RSD-NO’s 4th graders have a percentile rank of 15 in ELA. Appendix B shows that a percentile rank of 15 is equivalent to a percent proficient Chart 1 RSD-NO's 4th Grade 2014 Percentile Proficient Ranks Relative to the Other Louisiana School Districts P e r c e n t i l e 99 R a n k In mathematics, the RSD-NO 4th 50 15 19 8 1 the school districts have a percent proficient score that is less than 62.3 75 25 score of 62. This means that only 15% of 13 1 ELA Math Science Social Study LEAP Subjects graders are performing at the 19th percentile. Appendix B shows that RSDNO percentile rank of 19 is equivalent to a percent proficient score of 66. This means that only 19% of the school districts have a percent proficiency score that is less than 66. Similar interpretations can be made for the results in science and social studies. It can also be observed that the performance of the RSD-NO in all of the subjects at the 4th grade level is not only below the 50th percentile, i.e. median, but also below the 25th percentile which represents the bottom part of the distribution of test scores. Chart 2 presents the results for 8th grade. It shows that compared to the other school districts in the state, the RSD-NO's 8th graders have a percentile rank of 23 in ELA. Its percent proficiency score is 56 (See Appendix C). This means that 23% of the other school districts in Louisiana have a percent proficient score that is less than 56. 1 In mathematics, the RSD-NO 8th graders have a percentile rank of 45 (See Appendix C). A percentile rank of 45 is equivalent to a percent proficient score of 65. This means that 45% of the other school districts have a percent proficient score less than 65. There is much variability among 8th grade results in the four subjects as compared to the consistency of results for the 4th grade. Its mathematics P e r c e n t i l e 99 100 Chart 2 RSD-NO 8th Grade 2014 Percentile Proficient Ranks Relative to the Other Louisiana School Districts the performance of the RSD-NO is 5050 2525 higher than those for ELA and science. It can also be observed that 7575 R a n k and social studies scores are much 45 38 23 below the 25th percentile in each subject except for mathematics and 18 social studies. 1 10 ELA Math Science LEAP Subjects Social Study The 8th grade performance in mathematics is particularly noteworthy since its percentile rank is approaching the 50 th percentile. What makes this performance interesting is that the 2014 transitional LEAP tests incorporated the new the Common Core State Standards (CCSS). These standards are supposed to be more rigorous than the old accountability standards. Therefore, one would have expected the performance in mathematics to be much worse than that reported. Whether these mathematics results are valid or questionable is beyond the scope of this report at this time. One has to trust the validity of the LDOE’s data until proven otherwise and give kudos to 8th grade teachers of mathematics. These results raise a simple question: Can the 2014 LEAP results presented in this paper be seriously considered as evidence that the RSD-NO is a success at the 4th and 8th grade levels? It is generally accepted that the Orleans parish schools taken over by the RSD-NO as a group were preforming the bottom achievement levels of LEAP and iLEAP. However, despite the achievement gains reported during the past nine years by the ardent supporters of this ”reform” movement, the RSD-NO is still performing below the vast majority of the other districts at the 4th and 8th grades in each subject. ROR believes that the results present here suggest otherwise. An excellent analysis of the aggregated 2014 LEAP/iLEAP proficient percentile rank results by school district that appears in the Louisiana Educator’s post on June 3rd gives credence to this conclusion. In 2002, the Louisiana State Department of Education (LDOE) established a new student goal of 100% percent proficient in ELA and mathematics by the spring of 2014. Yet, none of Louisiana school districts achieved this unrealistic No Child Left Behind Goal (NCLB)4 goal at the 4th and 8th grade levels. 2 Now, the pendulum has swung back and the LDOE is starting all over again by raising the achievement bar and pursuing an even more unrealistic goal for 2025, i.e., 100% achievement at the mastery level in ELA and mathematics by 2025. This new goal is predicated on the successful implementation of the recently introduced Common Core State Standards (CCSS) and their associated new assessments, i.e., Partnership for Assessment of Readiness for College and Careers (PARCC). According to a news release by the LDOE on May 27th, the new mastery goal and higher expectations are necessary since achievement at the basic level, “... does not correspond with community college or university success. While 69 percent of students hit this mark, for example, only 28 percent complete a university or community college degree…” This is an extremely important point. However, whether this is true or not is debatable since the LDOE did not present any empirical data or other references to the public to support this assertion. As of this writing, the implementation of these new standards and assessments is stalled in an educational/political/economic/power quagmire among the governor, BESE, and LDOE. BESE and the governor are suing each other over the implementation of CCSS and PARCC. What an imbroglio this is for the parents, students, educators and the general public of Louisiana. It is too early to determine the far reaching consequences of this controversy, except to state that ROR believes it will wreak havoc on the Louisiana public educational system unless settled quickly. This reform movement has degenerated into a “Louisiana Circus,” as acclaimed critic, Dianne Ravitch, has so aptly exclaimed. 3 Endnotes 1 th th To accurately determine how many of the2014 4 and 8 graders in the RSD-NO have been in the system since 1 grade, one would need to use student level data files to longitudinally tract these cohorts back to first grade. The LDOE has that data but has refused to provide it to ROR. st 2 ROR computed percent proficient scores for each school district by adding the percent of students that scored at or above basic in each district. When the data were suppressed by the LDOE in any of those achievement categories, the percent proficient was computed by adding the percent of students scoring in Approaching Basic and Unsatisfactory and then subtracting that sum from 100. Using these two scenarios, ROR was able to generate percent proficient scores for all of the districts reported. The percentile rank associated with each proficient score was then generated using 2010 Microsoft Excel’s Percentrank.exc function. Percent proficient and percentile ranks were not computed for the combined results of the RSD-NO, RSD-EBR, and the RSD-Louisiana. It should be emphasized that after the 2010 spring testing, the LDOE revised its reporting methods for reporting students scoring in each of the five LEAP achievement levels, i.e., Advanced, Mastery, Basic, Approaching Basic and Unsatisfactory. It now reports only percent of students scoring in each of the achievement category along with suppressed percentages and enrollment numbers. The LDOE suppresses percent and numbers by adding “≥” or “≤” in from of them. This tactic severely limits the scope of researchers or general public from re-configuring or analyzing the LDOE’s data to answer their own specific questions. The reader is again referred to the LEAP reports for 4th and 8th referenced earlier for examples of this. 3 The LDOE reports whole rounded numbers for percent proficient. This may result in rounding errors when computing percentile ranks. These rounded percent proficient scores are the best available data from the LDOE at this time. 4 No Child Left Behind Act of 2001, Public Law 107‐110, and Section 101 4 Appendix A Definitions of Major Statistical Terms Used in Report Number Proficient/Mastery: In LEAP and iLEAP, the proficient score represents the number of students scoring at Basic or above, i.e., Basic, Mastery or Advanced. Number Mastery is the number of students scoring at Mastery or above, i.e., Mastery or Advanced. Percent Proficient/Mastery: In LEAP and iLEAP, the proficient score represents the number of students scoring Basic or above, i.e., Basic, Mastery or Advanced, divided by the total number of students tested. Percent Mastery is the number of students scoring at Mastery or above, i.e., Mastery or Advanced, divided by the number of students tested. Percentile/Percentile Rank: A percentile rank indicates what percent of scores are lower than a given score in a distribution of scores. Percentile ranks and associated quartiles generally provide more information about district test scores in terms of how they compare to each other, than raw scores such as scaled scores, percent correct or percentages. It is important to emphasize that a percentile rank represents a type of measurement that should not be added or subtracted from one another. One can only assess whether a rank is higher or lower than another. Percentile rank definitions can vary. The definition of percentile rank used in this paper is that it represents the percentage of district proficient scores that fall below a given score. Quartile: Percentile distributions range from 1 to 99. A quartile is “…One of the three points that divide a range of data or population into four equal parts. The first quartile (also called the lower quartile) is the number below which 25 percent of the bottom data falls. The second quartile (the median) divides the range in the middle and has 50 percent of the data are below it and 50% are above. The third quartile (also called the upper quartile) has 75 percent of the data below it and the top 25 percent of the data above it... ” Mean/Median/Mode: “…Mean, median, and mode are three kinds of averages. There are many "averages" in statistics, but these are … the three most common… The mean is the average … where you add up all the numbers and then divide by the number of numbers. The median is the middle value in the list of numbers… The ‘mode’ is the value that occurs most often…” 5 Appendix B th 2014 Computed 4 Grade Percent Proficient and Equivalent Percentile Rank for LEAP Subjects Note: the ELA Percent Proficient scores or ranked from high to low RSD-NO scores are highlighted in green District Name ELA Percent Proficient LOUISIANA STATEWIDE CENTRAL COMMUNITY SCHOOL DISTRICT PLAQUEMINES PARISH ZACHARY COMMUNITY SCHOOL DISTRICT ST. CHARLES PARISH VERNON PARISH EVANGELINE PARISH OPSB ST. TAMMANY PARISH LIVINGSTON PARISH ASCENSION PARISH OUACHITA PARISH WEST FELICIANA PARISH BOSSIER PARISH CAMERON PARISH ST. JAMES PARISH ALLEN PARISH VERMILION PARISH WEST CARROLL PARISH JEFFERSON DAVIS PARISH LASALLE PARISH ST. BERNARD PARISH CALCASIEU PARISH TERREBONNE PARISH CITY OF MONROE SCHOOL DISTRICT BEAUREGARD PARISH LAFOURCHE PARISH GRANT PARISH CATAHOULA PARISH ST. MARY PARISH ST. MARTIN PARISH WASHINGTON PARISH IBERIA PARISH SABINE PARISH JEFFERSON PARISH ST. LANDRY PARISH RAPIDES PARISH JACKSON PARISH ACADIA PARISH DESOTO PARISH LAFAYETTE PARISH ST. JOHN THE BAPTIST PARISH BIENVILLE PARISH TENSAS PARISH WEBSTER PARISH CALDWELL PARISH IBERVILLE PARISH ASSUMPTION PARISH FRANKLIN PARISH EAST FELICIANA PARISH WINN PARISH EAST BATON ROUGE POINTE COUPEE PARISH WEST BATON ROUGE PARISH CADDO PARISH CLAIBORNE PARISH LINCOLN PARISH MOREHOUSE PARISH ST. HELENA PARISH NATCHITOCHES PARISH TANGIPAHOA PARISH RSD — NEW ORLEANS EAST CARROLL PARISH CITY OF BOGALUSA SCHOOL DISTRICT CONCORDIA PARISH RED RIVER PARISH CITY OF BAKER SCHOOL DISTRICT AVOYELLES PARISH UNION PARISH RICHLAND PARISH MADISON PARISH RSD — EAST BATON ROUGE 76 94 93 93 90 90 88 86 86 86 84 84 84 83 83 82 82 82 81 81 81 80 80 80 80 79 79 78 78 77 77 77 77 76 76 76 75 75 74 74 74 74 74 73 73 73 72 72 72 72 71 71 70 70 69 68 67 65 65 64 63 62 60 60 59 59 59 58 56 55 44 41 ELA Percentile Proficient Rank 99 96 96 93 93 92 88 88 88 83 83 83 81 81 76 76 76 72 72 72 67 67 67 67 64 64 61 61 56 56 56 56 51 51 51 49 49 42 42 42 42 42 38 38 38 32 32 32 32 29 29 26 26 25 24 22 19 19 18 17 15 13 13 8 8 8 7 6 4 3 1 Math Percent Proficient 76 90 94 94 91 88 90 89 88 84 84 82 80 84 82 87 82 74 86 77 72 86 81 75 73 79 75 80 70 81 79 79 78 79 75 66 78 73 82 73 72 72 70 80 73 69 80 73 71 69 77 69 69 66 66 62 67 67 36 59 57 66 65 63 67 57 56 63 59 56 50 54 Math Percentile Proficient Rank 93 97 97 96 89 93 92 89 81 81 75 67 81 75 88 75 50 85 56 39 85 72 51 43 61 51 67 35 72 61 61 58 61 51 19 58 43 75 43 39 39 35 67 43 29 67 43 38 29 56 29 29 19 19 14 25 25 1 11 8 19 18 15 25 8 6 15 11 6 3 4 Science Percent Proficient 68 89 89 86 82 86 79 82 83 83 76 78 76 76 70 80 83 76 84 77 75 75 72 72 69 74 74 80 67 67 68 64 66 72 67 63 67 60 67 67 68 60 68 53 63 72 63 63 65 64 63 60 61 59 59 47 57 54 47 59 56 49 43 49 54 59 49 57 57 51 33 23 Science Percentile Proficient Rank 97 97 94 86 94 82 86 89 89 74 81 74 74 61 83 89 74 93 79 71 71 63 63 60 68 68 83 47 47 56 42 46 63 47 35 47 29 47 47 56 29 56 14 35 63 35 35 44 42 35 29 33 24 24 6 19 15 6 24 18 8 4 8 15 24 8 19 19 13 3 1 Social Social Studies Studies Percentile Percent Proficient Rank Proficient 70 92 90 90 86 88 83 84 84 84 81 81 80 78 78 79 83 76 82 75 76 76 77 73 68 80 73 74 73 67 69 66 69 75 70 66 69 73 68 71 69 64 66 56 61 67 66 69 68 65 62 62 59 61 59 51 59 51 34 60 59 54 63 55 57 50 45 59 61 46 38 19 99 96 96 93 94 86 89 89 89 82 82 79 75 75 78 86 69 85 67 69 69 74 60 46 79 60 65 60 43 50 38 50 67 57 38 50 60 46 58 50 35 38 15 26 43 38 50 46 36 31 31 18 26 18 10 18 10 3 25 18 13 33 14 17 8 6 18 26 7 4 1 6 Appendix C 2014 Computed 8th Grade Percent Proficient and Equivalent Percentile Rank for LEAP Subjects Note: the ELA Percent Proficient scores or ranked from high to low RSD-NO scores are highlighted in green District Name LOUISIANA STATEWIDE ZACHARY COMMUNITY SCHOOL DISTRICT PLAQUEMINES PARISH CENTRAL COMMUNITY SCHOOL DISTRICT ST. CHARLES PARISH ST. TAMMANY PARISH ASCENSION PARISH OPSB LIVINGSTON PARISH VERNON PARISH OUACHITA PARISH WEST FELICIANA PARISH VERMILION PARISH SABINE PARISH LINCOLN PARISH WEST BATON ROUGE PARISH CAMERON PARISH LASALLE PARISH BOSSIER PARISH JEFFERSON DAVIS PARISH EVANGELINE PARISH EAST CARROLL PARISH CALCASIEU PARISH ALLEN PARISH CALDWELL PARISH ST. JOHN THE BAPTIST PARISH ASSUMPTION PARISH BIENVILLE PARISH ST. BERNARD PARISH ST. MARY PARISH DESOTO PARISH IBERIA PARISH LAFOURCHE PARISH WEST CARROLL PARISH ACADIA PARISH WINN PARISH TERREBONNE PARISH WEBSTER PARISH LAFAYETTE PARISH ST. LANDRY PARISH GRANT PARISH BEAUREGARD PARISH TANGIPAHOA PARISH JACKSON PARISH RAPIDES PARISH ST. JAMES PARISH WASHINGTON PARISH ST. MARTIN PARISH JEFFERSON PARISH NATCHITOCHES PARISH CATAHOULA PARISH CADDO PARISH FRANKLIN PARISH RSD — NEW ORLEANS EAST BATON ROUGE POINTE COUPEE PARISH UNION PARISH IBERVILLE PARISH EAST FELICIANA PARISH CITY OF MONROE SCHOOL DISTRICT RICHLAND PARISH MOREHOUSE PARISH CONCORDIA PARISH CITY OF BAKER SCHOOL DISTRICT CITY OF BOGALUSA SCHOOL DISTRICT CLAIBORNE PARISH TENSAS PARISH RED RIVER PARISH MADISON PARISH AVOYELLES PARISH RSD — EAST BATON ROUGE ELA Percent Proficient 66 88 84 83 81 80 78 78 77 77 77 76 76 76 75 74 74 73 72 71 71 70 69 69 69 68 68 68 67 67 67 67 67 66 66 66 66 65 65 65 63 63 63 62 61 61 61 60 59 59 58 58 58 56 56 56 54 54 54 52 50 49 48 46 45 41 41 40 38 38 33 ELA Percentile Proficient Rank 99 97 96 94 93 90 90 86 86 86 82 82 82 80 77 77 76 75 72 72 70 66 66 66 62 62 62 55 55 55 55 55 49 49 49 49 45 45 45 41 41 41 39 35 35 35 34 31 31 27 27 27 23 23 23 18 18 18 17 15 14 13 11 10 7 7 6 3 3 1 Math Percent Proficient 65 85 78 84 78 79 79 76 77 82 73 76 68 67 70 70 75 71 71 65 71 75 67 62 54 72 72 79 75 66 65 59 69 58 65 61 65 61 65 57 67 67 61 68 59 75 65 57 62 57 56 51 57 65 59 65 52 54 60 48 53 46 53 37 41 41 35 47 42 41 40 Math Percentile Proficient Rank 99 89 97 89 92 92 85 87 96 77 85 63 58 68 68 79 70 70 45 70 79 58 42 21 75 75 92 79 56 45 32 66 31 45 38 45 38 45 25 58 58 38 63 32 79 45 25 42 25 24 15 25 45 32 45 17 21 37 14 18 11 18 3 6 6 1 13 10 6 4 Science Percent Proficient 63 81 79 79 81 81 79 73 83 78 75 79 78 69 70 78 83 71 70 74 67 75 71 70 63 58 62 60 73 65 66 61 64 72 64 56 64 61 61 56 65 72 62 58 61 59 57 52 60 49 62 53 55 50 53 58 66 56 48 52 53 47 59 28 36 40 26 40 32 37 32 Science Percentile Proficient Rank Social Studies Percent Proficient Social Studies Percentile Proficient Rank 93 87 87 93 93 87 76 97 83 80 87 83 65 66 83 97 70 66 79 63 80 70 66 52 32 48 39 76 58 61 42 54 73 54 27 54 42 42 27 58 73 48 32 42 37 31 18 39 15 48 21 25 17 21 32 61 27 14 18 21 13 37 3 7 10 1 10 4 8 4 66 89 83 82 78 82 81 75 81 79 73 82 72 67 67 74 67 77 73 71 68 74 71 71 65 65 63 60 79 68 66 66 60 71 64 64 62 64 63 58 68 66 64 63 61 61 58 53 60 56 63 55 54 61 58 56 58 52 44 62 52 44 57 33 41 47 41 42 49 37 35 99 97 93 86 93 90 83 90 87 77 93 76 62 62 80 62 85 77 70 66 80 70 70 55 55 44 32 87 66 58 58 32 70 49 49 41 49 44 27 66 58 49 44 37 37 27 18 32 23 44 21 20 37 27 23 27 15 10 41 15 10 25 1 6 13 6 8 14 4 3 7
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