POPULATION FLUCTUATIONS OF THE NEW HOLLAND MOUSE PSEUDOMYS NOVAEHOLLANDIAE AT WILSON’S PROMONTORY NATIONAL PARK, VICTORIA B.A. WILSON, N.M. WHITE, A. HANLEY AND D.L. TIDEY Wilson BA, White NM, Hanley A and Tidey DL, 2005. Population fluctuations of the New Holland mouse Pseudomys novaehollandiae at Wilson’s Promontory National Park, Victoria. Australian Mammalogy 27: 49-60. The New Holland mouse (Pseudomys novaehollandiae) was first recorded at Wilson’s Promontory in 1972 in heathland vegetation, but has not been located in this habitat subsequently. The species was not trapped again until 1993 when it was found in calcarenite dune woodland on the Yanakie Isthmus. The aims of this study were to assess the population dynamics and habitat use of the species in this dune habitat. Mark-recapture trapping was conducted at three sites from 1999 to 2002. One site was located on low (0 - 5 m), flat sand dunes and open swales, another on medium (5 – 10 m) vegetated dunes, and the third on high (20 m) steep vegetated dunes. The three sites had not been burnt for 30 to 50 years. The abundance of P. novaehollandiae was related to understorey vegetation density and differences in population densities on the sites are likely to be related to the primary succession stages on the sand dunes, rather than fire history. The maximum density (24 ha-1) recorded at one site was very high compared to other Victorian populations, however this was followed by a substantial decline in numbers within the year. At another site a small population declined to extinction. Populations on the isthmus are thus capable of achieving high densities but may decline quickly. Rainfall patterns may have affected the population fluctuations, but further research is required to elucidate fully the factors involved in the long-term dynamics of this species. Key words: Pseudomys novaehollandiae, mammals, Australian rodents, population fluctuations, succession. BA Wilson, NM White, A Hanley and DL Tidey, School of Ecology and Environment, Deakin University, Geelong, Victora 3217, Australia. Email: [email protected]. Manuscript received 23 March 2004; accepted 17 August 2004. THE New Holland mouse (Pseudomys novaehollandiae) occurs in New South Wales (NSW), Victoria and Tasmania, predominantly in coastal locations (Keith and Calaby 1968; Posamentier and Recher 1974; Hocking 1980; Wilson 1991, 1996). Recently however, it has also been found at sites up to 100 km inland in Queensland and NSW (Read 1988; Townley 1993; Van Dyck and Lawrie 1997). The species occurs in dry tall closed heath and open heathland, woodland, sclerophyll forest with a dense understorey and on vegetated sand dunes (Braithwaite and Gullan 1978; Fox and Fox 1978, 1984; Wilson 1991, 1994; Quin and Williamson 1996). It exhibits a preference for early successional vegetation (Posamentier and Recher 1974; Braithwaite and Gullan 1978; Fox and Fox 1978, 1984; Fox and McKay 1981; Wilson 1991; Haering and Fox 1997). The species also has a preference for floristically rich vegetation with a substantial understorey cover, but with less cover at lower strata (< 20 cm) (Fox and Fox 1984; Wilson 1991; Haering and Fox 1997; Lock and Wilson 1999). In Victoria, P. novaehollandiae is considered to be in a demonstrable state of decline and has been lost from up to six localities (Cranbourne, Hummock Island, Langwarrin, Reeves Beach, Tyabb and Mullundung) in the past 20 years (Quin 1996; Wilson 1996). The species remains extant at only four localities in Victoria: Providence Ponds, Loch Sport, Wilson’s Promontory and Anglesea, although animals from Anglesea are considered now to be limited to captive colonies (Seebeck et al. 1996; Wilson 1996; Lock and Wilson 1999). P. novaehollandiae has been listed under the Flora and Fauna Guarantee Act 1988, and is considered ‘Endangered’ (Seebeck et al. 1996; Wilson 1996; DSE 2003). At Wilson's Promontory the species was first recorded in heathland vegetation in 1972 and then not until 1993 when it was located in calcarenite dune 50 AUSTRALIAN MAMMALOGY woodland on the Yanakie Isthmus (Quin 1994). Since then it has been recorded at 21 sites on the Isthmus (Quin 1996; Quin and Williamson 1996; Atkin and Quin 1999). Surveys conducted at Wilson’s Promontory between 1991 and 1993 suggest that populations once found in heath vegetation are no longer extant (Quin 1996; Wilson 1996). As there is no information on population ecology or habitat use of P. novaehollandiae at Wilson’s Promontory the aims of this study were to investigate the population dynamics and habitat and burrow use of the species. METHODS Study area The study was undertaken on the Yanakie Isthmus, in the northern section of Wilson’s Promontory National Park in south Gippsland, Victoria (Fig. 1). The Yanakie Isthmus, an area of approximately 6500 ha, connects the mainland to a granitic promontory and consists of marine and non-marine sediments and dune deposits (Quin 1996). The vegetated parallel dunes are separated by swales (interdunes) and traverse east west across the Isthmus. The climate in the area is cool and mild with few extreme temperatures. The rainfall varies considerably across Wilson’s Promontory with the southern and mountainous areas being wetter than the Isthmus where there is a mean annual rainfall of 960 mm (Parks Victoria, pers. comm.). The vegetation of this sand dune system has been classified as Calcarenite Dune Woodland that occurs on alkaline sand dunes and swales, and Shrubinvaded Calcareous Swale Grassland that occurs on swales of sand dunes, and is considered to have previously been grasslands (Davies and Oates 1999). The woodland vegetation predominantly consists of an overstorey of Allocasuarina vercilliata (drooping she-oak), Acacia longifolia var. sophorae (coast wattle) and Leptospermum laevigatum (coast teatree). The understorey is dominated by Dianella revoluta (black-anther flax-lily), Lomandra longifolia (spiny-headed mat-rush) and Acrotriche affinis (ridged ground-berry) (Quin 1996; Quin and Williamson 1996; Atkin and Quin 1999). Large areas are covered by dense stands of L. laevigatum. The area has a long history of cattle grazing from the 1850s up until 1992 when grazing ceased (Chesterfield et al. 1995). Significant vegetation changes on the Isthmus have occurred. An assessment of vegetation using aerial photographs by Bennett (1994) found that between 1941 and 1987 areas of grassy woodland declined from 2391 to 815 ha due to the expansion of L. laevigatum. The Big Hummock sand dune changed from 1941 where it was predominantly sand with a very low vegetation cover to a dune dominated by L. laevigatum (20% cover) in 2001. Trapping procedures Preliminary trapping (15 - 30 traps for three nights) was undertaken in April 1999 at five sites where P. novaehollandiae had been captured previously (Fig. 1, Table 1). Three sites were selected for establishment of permanent study grids. Two were set up in May 1999 HD (High Dune) at DC9 and MD (Medium Dune) at EP, and one in December 1999 LD (Low Dune) at DC25 (Fig. 1). Trapping on grids LD and MD was undertaken regularly between May 1999 and December 2002 and from May 1999 until June 2001 for Grid HD (Table 2). Fig. 1. Map of Victoria showing locations of P. novaehollandiae populations (1 = Anglesea, 2 = Wilson’s Promontory, 3 = Loch Sport, 4 = Providence Ponds) and map of Wilson’s Promontory National Park (38o 52' 53', 146o 16' 17") showing locations of survey sites (EP, DC2, DC9, BH, DC25) and trapping grids HD, LD and MD at Yanakie Isthmus. 50 WILSON ET AL.: NEW HOLLAND MOUSE AT WILSON’S PROMONTORY Location Trap-nights EP DC2 DC9 BH DC25 45 45 90 90 90 Total captures P. nov M. dom R. fu 8 13 0 0 8 5 6 29 2 0 9 2 12 6 2 51 Captures / 100tn P. nov M. dom R. fu 17.8 28.9 0 0 17.8 11.1 6.7 32.2 2.2 0 10 2.2 13.3 6.7 2.2 Table 1. Capture data at preliminary trapping sites (April 6-8th 1999) Dates 1999 May 4 – 6 July 29 - Aug 1 Sept 28 – 29 Dec 15 - 17 2000 Feb 29 - Mar 2 April 4 - 6 May 9 - 11 June 13 - 15 Aug 8 - 10 Aug 29 - 31 Oct 3 - 5 Dec 19 - 21 2001 March 20 – 23 June 12 – 14 Dec 9 – 11 2002 May 31 - June 6 Sept 2 - 6 Dec 13 - 17 Location & trap-nights LD HD MD 180 180 120 180 180 180 120 39 175 300 300 300 300 300 300 300 177 180 180 300 300 300 180 180 180 300 312 300 60 153 180 180 90 180 180 174 180 Table 2. Summary of grid trapping at Yanakie Isthmus (1999-2002). Grid LD was established at DC25 east of the Wilson’s Promontory Road (Fig. 1) on relatively flat, low (0 – 5 m) sand dunes and open swales. L. laevigatum (3 – 4 m) formed most of the overstorey, with dense cover in some areas, and open canopy in other areas where the tea-tree had collapsed. Major understorey species include Acr. affinis, Hibbertia sericea (silky guinea-flower), Centaurium erythraea (common centaury) and Isolepis nodosa (knobby club-rush). The area was last burnt in 1967. The trapping grid consisted of 100 trap sites set in a 10 x 10 grid pattern with 10 m spacing, and encompassed the crest of the dunes, mid-dune and swale areas. Grid HD was established at DC9 west of the Wilson’s Promontory Road (Fig. 1) on high (20 m), steep vegetated sand dunes sloping into open swales. On the dunes the overstorey (8 – 10 m) was dominated by large All. verticillata), L. laevigatum and Bursaria spinosa (sweet bursaria) that provided a dense canopy. Major understorey species included D. revoluta, Acr. affinis and Geranium potentilloides (native carrot). The flat, open swales have little vegetation cover and an open canopy. Fire in the area was last recorded in 1951. A trapping grid consisting of 60 trap sites was established in a 6 x 10 grid pattern with 10 m spacing and included dune and swale habitat. Grid MD was established at site EP on medium height (5 – 10 m) sand dunes and included open grassy swales, and a grazing exclusion plot (for another study). The swales and exclusion plot lacked an overstorey. The dunes overstorey (1.5 – 2 m) was dominated by L. laevigatum and B. spinosa while the understorey was dominated by Correa alba (white correa), Acr. affinis and H. sericea. Acr. affinis with scattered L. laevigatum dominate the swales. Within the exclusion plot, Themeda triandra (kangaroo grass) and Poa poiformis (blue tussock grass) were dominant. The area was last burnt in 1951. The trapping grid consisted of 60 trap sites in a 6 x 10 grid pattern with 10 m spacing. Live trapping of small mammals was undertaken using collapsible aluminium Elliott traps (9 x 10 x 34 cm) (Elliott Scientific, Upwey, Victoria) baited with a mixture of rolled oats, honey and peanut butter. Shredded paper placed in the back of each trap provided nesting material. Each trap was covered with a plastic bag for protection from environmental conditions. The traps were normally set for three consecutive nights with some exceptions due to poor conditions (Table 2) and were checked at first light each morning. The identification of animals, site of capture, weight, sex and routine body measurements (pes, head, head-body, tail) were recorded. Capture rates and population estimates The capture rates of P. novaehollandiae and the other major mammal species on the grids were estimated as captures per 100 trap nights for each trapping session. Indices of population size of P. novaehollandiae were estimated as KTBA (known to be alive) (Krebs 1989), and population density (KTBA ha-1). Animals entering the trappable population for the first time were designated as gains. Individuals that were not recaptured subsequent to capture and marking were classed as losses. The 51 AUSTRALIAN MAMMALOGY 52 gains and losses of P. novaehollandiae at each site were calculated. The breeding season was assessed by recording pregnancies and the timing of juvenile recruitment. Survival rates of individuals were estimated as the length of time between first and last capture. Vegetation analysis Floristic and structural vegetation data was obtained from quadrats (5 x 5 m) established on the three grids in 2000. The percentage area of the major vegetation types present on each grid was determined by a visual assessment and the number of quadrats sampled in each area determined in proportion to the area (Table 3). The cover of all plant species was scored using the Braun-Blanquet scale (MuellerDombois and Ellenberg 1974). Species cover data were analysed using PATN, developed by CSIRO (Belbin 1994). The similarity between all pairs of quadrats was determined with the Bray-Curtis index, a robust measure of similarity (Faith et al. 1987). The data was neither transformed nor standardised. The flexible UPGMA (beta = -0.2) procedure was used to cluster sites that had similar species composition (Belbin 1991; Belbin and McDonald 1993). Vegetation structure was assessed with the vegetation contact method. Within each vegetation quadrat sampled, a structure pole with 10 cm graduations between 0 – 180 cm was randomly placed in ten positions. The number of times the vegetation made contact within each 10 cm graduation was recorded, with a maximum of five touches. The density of the vegetation for each height interval was calculated by averaging the number of contacts in each height class in each quadrat. Lower dune Mid dune Crest of dune Dense tea-tree Fallen tea-tree Exclusion plot Total LD 5 (20) 5 (20) 5 (20) 5 (20) 5 (20) 25 HD 4 (35) 4 (35) 4 (30) 0 0 12 MD 6 (30) 6 (30) 5 (20) 2 (5) 4 (15) 23 Table 3. Number of quadrats for vegetation communities located on grids. ( ) = estimated % area on grid. Habitat utilisation Habitat use was assessed for the 1999-2000 trapping data. Trap sites within each grid were allocated to each PATN vegetation group and the number of captures summed for each group. The mean number of captures per 100 trap nights of P. novaehollandiae for each PATN vegetation group was estimated and tested for significant differences (Kruskal-Wallis ANOVA). The relationship between vegetation structural parameters and the captures of P. novaehollandiae was assessed by stepwise logistic regression. The parameters investigated were: vegetation density at ten height classes from 0 10 cm up to 170 - 180 cm and the mean cover/abundance for total vegetation in the quadrats. A predictive equation for the likelihood of capturing P. novaehollandiae was generated. Selected individuals were coated with a fluorescent powder prior to being released. After dark, the powder trail left by the animal was followed using an ultraviolet light to illuminate the powder. When a burrow was located, it was marked with flagging tape and the location recorded. RESULTS Capture rates of small mammals Five small mammal species were captured during the study: P. novaehollandiae, Rattus fuscipes (bush rat), Mus musculus (house mouse), Sminthopsis leucopus (white-footed dunnart) and Antechinus agilis (agile antechinus). The latter two species were captured only infrequently. Capture rates at the five preliminary survey sites are shown in Table 1. There were no captures of P. novaehollandiae at two of the sites (DC2, BH). Capture rates at EP, DC9 and DC25 lead to the establishment of grids MD, HD and LD respectively at these three sites. The capture rates of the three major species on the three grids are shown in Fig. 2. Capture rates of P. novaehollandiae on LD exceeded that of other species from December 1999 until late August 2000 (Fig. 2a) and then decreased. R. fuscipes were captured consistently with peaks in April-May 2000, and very few M. musculus were present. Capture rates of P. novaehollandiae and M. musculus on grid MD were similar (Fig. 2b). The highest capture rates of P. novaehollandiae on this grid were in May 1999 and April 2000, and captures of R. fuscipes were very low until February 2000 and then increased to a peak in May 2002 (Fig. 2b). Capture rates of P. novaehollandiae on grid HD were low and the species was not captured after February 2000 (Fig. 2c). Captures of M. musculus were high on this grid, with only occasional captures of R. fuscipes. Population dynamics of P. novaehollandiae A total of 95 (40 male: 47 female and 8 unknown sex) individual P. novaehollandiae were captured 237 times. Of these 73 were captured at LD, 16 were captured at MD and 6 at HD. Individuals were captured between 1 and 14 times. Animals known to be alive (KTBA) peaked in April 2000 at LD (n = 30), May 1999 at MD (n = 9) and in April 1999 at HD (n = 4) (Fig. 3). At all sites, numbers were lowest over the summer months, increasing again as juveniles entered the populations during late summer and early autumn. At LD the population decreased 52 WILSON ET AL.: NEW HOLLAND MOUSE AT WILSON’S PROMONTORY 53 Ca pture /100 tn 14 12 10 8 6 Cap tu re /100 tn 20 18 16 20 18 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 P . nov M . dom R. fu S ept-02 Dec-01 M ar-01 Oc t-00 A ug-00 M ay -00 Feb-00 A pr-99 4 2 0 Da te P. nov M. dom 20 Dec-02 Sept-02 Dec-01 May-02 Jun-01 Mar-01 Aug-00 Apr-00 F eb-00 Dec-99 Sep-99 Jul-99 May-99 Apr-99 R. fu D a te 18 Ca pture /100 tn 16 14 12 P . nov 10 M . dom 8 R. fu 6 4 2 Dec -02 S ept-02 M ay -02 Dec -01 Jun-01 Oc t-00 Jun-00 M ay -00 Feb-00 Dec -99 S ept-99 Jul-99 M ay -99 A pr-99 0 Da te Fig. 2. Capture rates of the major small mammal species on the three grids a) LD, b) MD and c) HD. after a peak in April-May 2000, with KTBA being much lower in 2001 and 2002, than at similar times in 2000 (Fig. 3a). KTBA at MD also declined after the April 2000 peak with KTBA never exceeding four (Fig. 3b). At HD the population was low until February 2000, after which there were no further captures (Fig. 3c). The maximum density of P. novaehollandiae at LD was 24.3 animals per hectare (April 2000), at MD 20 ha-1 (May 1999), while the peak density at HD was much lower (4.4 ha-1), recorded in April 1999. Pregnant females were recorded from October until March and juveniles (classified as animals of 17 g and under) were captured from December until May. The maximum number of juveniles (n = 20) was captured between December 1999 and May 53 0 Apr-99 Jul-99 Aug-00 Aug-00 Jun-00 May-00 Apr-00 Feb-00 Dec-99 Sep-99 Dec-02 Dec-02 May-02 Sept-02 May-02 Sept-02 Jun-01 2 Dec-01 4 Jun-01 6 Dec-01 8 Mar-01 10 Dec-00 12 Mar-01 14 Dec-00 Month Oct-00 16 Oct-00 Aug-00 Aug-00 Jun-00 May-00 Apr-00 Feb-00 Dec-99 18 Jul-99 Dec-02 May-02 Jun Dec-00 Aug-00 Jun-00 Apr-00 Dec-99 Jul-99 Apr-99 0 Sep-99 Apr-99 0 May-99 Number of individuals KTBA 18 May-99 Number of individuals KTBA Number of individuals KTBA 54 AUSTRALIAN MAMMALOGY 18 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 16 Month 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 Month Fig. 3. Population estimates (KTBA) of P. novaehollandiae on the three grids a) LD b) MD and c) HD. * months when trapping was not undertaken. 54 WILSON ET AL.: NEW HOLLAND MOUSE AT WILSON’S PROMONTORY 2000, while only three were captured in 2000-2001 and one in 2001-2002 breeding seasons. Survival rates for adult males and females were similar (means = 4 ± 1.7 and 4.3 ± 2.8 months respectively). The highest monthly gain of 21 individuals was recorded in April 2000 at LD (Table 4) and was minimal at HD. Losses were highest in May and June 2000 at LD (12 and 17 respectively) (Table 4). There was little difference observed in the gains or losses of males and females. Month April 1999 May 1999 July 1999 Sept 1999 Dec 1999 Mar 2000 Apr 2000 May 2000 June 2000 Aug 2000 Aug 2000 Oct 2000 Dec 2000 Mar 2001 June 2001 Dec 2001 May 2002 Sep 2002 Dec 2002 MD HD LD Gain Loss Gain Loss Gain Loss 7 4 8 3 1 1 2 1 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 1 1 1 6 5 1 2 0 1 3 2 4 0 21 0 0 6 0 2 8 12 0 0 0 0 3 17 2 3 1 2 3 3 1 6 0 4 3 0 3 1 0 2 4 1 2 0 0 0 1 0 3 0 1 0 6 0 0 0 3 0 Table 4. Summary of gains and losses on each grid. - = not trapped. Vegetation analysis A total of 52 vascular plant species were located at the three sites. At LD 34 plant species were recorded along with a high amount of bryophyte cover and fungi. At MD there were 41 plant species, with little litter or bryophyte cover while at HD there were 24 plant species and a high litter layer. The frequency of fungi recorded at the sites varied from n = 40 at LD to n = 9 and n = 0 at MD and HD respectively. PATN analysis revealed two vegetation groups. Group 1 (23 quadrats) was dominated by Acr. affinis, L. laevigatum, B. spinosa, D. revoluta, Dichondra repens (kidney weed), G. potentilloides and H. sericea. Group 2 (37 quadrats) was dominated by A. serrulata, L. laevigatum, C. erythraea, G. potentilloides, and I. nodosa. Group 1 quadrats were predominantly located on lower to mid dunes, and group 2 mainly on mid dunes to dune crests. The upperstorey at the three sites varied. At LD the upperstorey was dominated by L. laevigatum (3 – 4 m), with dense cover in some areas, while in other areas the tea-tree had collapsed opening up the 55 canopy. At MD the canopy (1.5 – 2 m) was dominated by All. verticillata, L. laevigatum and B. spinosa providing high canopy cover. At HD the upperstorey of tall trees (All. verticillata) was 8 – 10 m in height. The vegetation density at Grid LD was higher than the other two sites in all height classes from 0 – 180 cm except for 160 – 170 cm where Grid MD was greater (p < 0.05). Habitat utilisation There was no significant difference in the captures of P. novaehollandiae in the two floristic groups determined by PATN, and there was no significant difference in the presence of P. novaehollandiae with relationship to the percentage frequency of individual plant species. The presence of P. novaehollandiae was significantly different (p < 0.05) between the understorey height categories except at the 70 – 90 cm level. Logistic regression analysis using backward stepwise entry of variables resulted in three structural variables as being significantly related to the presence of P. novaehollandiae. These were vegetation density at 20 – 30 cm and 60 – 70 cm, and the total cover of vegetation. The equation formed in this model was z = 0.619 + 1.69 (X1) + 1.16 (X2) + 1.25 (X3), where X1 = density at 60-70 cm, X2 = density at 20-30 cm and X3 = total vegetation cover. A total of 16 individual P. novaehollandiae were successfully traced to burrows and the entrances of 13 separate burrows were located. Distances from the site of capture to the burrow entrance varied from less than one metre to over 400 m. Animals would rarely follow a direct route to their burrow. One burrow was found to be used by five individuals over three trapping sessions. Burrow entrances were usually 30 – 60 mm in diameter. Some burrows were located in open areas while others were well hidden under fallen material, or partially hidden under leaf litter. On two occasions, multiple entrances were found for what was presumed to be one burrow system. Three separate entrances were found at LD all within 60 cm of each other, while two separate entrances were found at HD, 20 cm apart. All entrances were obvious due to the presence of fluorescent dye on the walls. DISCUSSION The small mammal communities at the three sites on the Yanakie Isthmus consisted of three dominant species P. novaehollandiae, R. fuscipes and M. musculus, with occasional captures of A. agilis and S. leucopus. These are similar in composition to those recorded at other sites where P. novaehollandiae has been trapped in Victoria: Anglesea (P. novaehollandiae, A. agilis, S. leucopus, R. lutreolus (swamp rat), R. fuscipes, M. musculus, R. norvegicus 55 AUSTRALIAN MAMMALOGY 56 (brown rat)) (Wilson 1991; Lock and Wilson 1999), Loch Sport, Providence Ponds (P. novaehollandiae, R. lutreolus, M. musculus) (Hollis, 1999; Wilson 1996; Vance 2001). In NSW the small mammal communities where P. novaehollandiae occurs are similar in species composition however two pseudomyine rodent species are often present (Fox and McKay 1981; Fox and Fox 1984; Kemper 1990). The relative abundance of the three major small mammal species differed between the study grids. At LD P. novaehollandiae was present in a higher abundance, than the other two species. At MD P. novaehollandiae and M. musculus were present in similar abundance, and at HD M. musculus was in higher abundance than P. novaehollandiae, which occurred in small numbers. Population dynamics of P. novaehollandiae Pseudomys novaehollandiae was most abundant at Grid LD where the highest density (24.3 ha-1) were recorded. Grid MD had a lower population density and the population at Grid HD was very low. The large differences in population densities at the three sites indicate that conditions at the sites differed. These may be related to factors such as food availability and habitat conditions (e.g., vegetation structure, floristics, soils). The maximum population densities recorded at LD (24.3 ha-1) and at MD (20 ha-1) are very high compared to other Victorian populations (Table 5) including those at Cranbourne, Anglesea and Langwarrin, which have all become extinct (Seebeck et al. 1996; Wilson 1996). Populations in NSW (e.g., Hawks Nest, Nelson Bay, Port Stephens) have also been recorded at high densities, however these populations also subsequently declined to very low levels (Table 5). The results at Wilson’s Promontory indicate that populations are capable of achieving Location Victoria *Anglesea *Anglesea *Anglesea *Anglesea *Cranbourne *Langwarrin Loch Sport Wilson’s Promontory New South Wales Hawks Nest Nelson Bay Nelson Bay Port Stephens Tasmania St. Helens high densities and may decline quickly to very low abundance. Also low-density populations may decline to extinction, as exemplified by the population at DC9. Similar results have been found for populations at Anglesea where small populations after wildfire in 1983 peaked four to eight years post fire (3.1 – 5.5 ha-1) and then declined to extinction (Wilson 1991). Further, the last known population at Anglesea increased to a high density in autumn 1995 (16 ha-1) before a sharp decline to < 4.5 ha-1 from June onwards and to extinction in 1998 (Lock and Wilson 2004). The species thus appears to exhibit a life-history pattern characteristic of r-selected species where population irruptions and declines are common. The breeding season at Wilson’s Promontory was from December to May. This is longer than the season recorded at Anglesea and in Tasmania where juveniles were captured from January to March (Norton 1987; Wilson 1991). At Loch Sport, Vance (2001) first recorded juveniles in the population in October, indicating earlier breeding than at Anglesea, Wilson’s Promontory or in Tasmania. In NSW breeding lasts typically for five months (September to January) but has been recorded to last up to 10 months from September to July (Fox et al. 1993). The longer breeding season means that in NSW females are capable of having up to six litters per season, while in Victoria and Tasmania populations may have only 1 – 2 litters. The longer breeding season also means that first year females can breed, but this is not the case at Anglesea or in Tasmania (Norton 1987; Wilson 1991). Due to the length of the breeding season at Wilson’s Promontory females are capable of having 2 – 3 litters per season, however no evidence of this was obtained for individual females in the current study. Density Reference (number per hectare) 0.5 - 1 0.5 - 3.1 0.9 - 5.5 0 - 16 0.2 - 1.5 0.6 - 1.3 0 - 12 0 - 24 Kentish 1982 Wilson 1991 Mills 1992 Lock 2004 Braithwaite and Gullan 1978 Opie, unpubl. data Vance 2001 current study 2 - 19 1.5 - 17 9.4 4 - 18 Fox and Fox 1978 Kemper 1980 Thomson 1980 Kemper 1990 1.1 - 11.3 Norton 1987 Table 5. Density of P. novaehollandiae populations. * currently considered extinct. 56 WILSON ET AL.: NEW HOLLAND MOUSE AT WILSON’S PROMONTORY Population size was lowest in summer and increased in late summer to autumn as juveniles were recruited after breeding. Recruitment was highest in April-May 2000, followed by very low recruitment in 2001 and 2002. All three populations declined in 2001 and the population at HD became extinct. A significant feature of the populations was the high loss of animals in May and June 2000. It is unclear if this was a result of dispersal or mortality. Declines in juvenile heath mice (Pseudomys shortridgei) associated with vegetation of older post-fire age were reported by Cockburn et al. (1981) who concluded that this was due to enforced dispersal as the habitat and resources deteriorated. Wilson (1991) proposed that a similar mechanism might occur for P. novaehollandiae, with juveniles dispersing in order to locate patches of habitat of suitable successional age and available resources. More recently, results from Anglesea found no evidence that high losses of juveniles were a result of dispersal, but more likely as a result of mortality (Lock and Wilson 2004). Such results indicate that resources may be limiting, but whether this is related to successional changes in vegetation structure or declining food resources has not been determined. In NSW there is evidence that extension of the breeding season of P. novaehollandiae is a response to above average rainfall during the breeding season (Fox et al. 1993). This would allow maximal breeding and population increases to occur. The population abundance of P. novaehollandiae at Anglesea has recently been found to have a strong positive relationship to cumulative monthly residual rainfall (CMRR) exhibiting a 0 - 9 month lag time (Lock and Wilson 2004). Maximum population densities were recorded following four years of above average rainfall and declines during below average rainfall and drought conditions. The population fluctuations at Wilson’s Promontory may also have been influenced by rainfall patterns. The cumulative annual rainfall experienced in 1999 (778 mm) was well below the long-term average (960 mm). Although it was above average (995 mm) for 2000, the monthly rainfall for June, when losses were high, was extremely low (54 mm) as compared to the 20-year average of 123 mm. Although populations of rodents in arid Australia have been shown to be strongly influenced by rainfall (Newsome and Corbett 1975; Masters 1993; Southgate and Masters 1996; Dickman et al. 1999; Letnic 2003) there is little evidence of rainfall affects on rodent populations in southern Australia. This needs to be explored further, but requires long-term data. Habitat characteristics The presence of P. novaehollandiae was not related to the two floristic groups identified but was related 57 to vegetation structure, in particular vegetation density at 20 – 30 cm and 60 – 70 cm, and the total cover of vegetation. The importance of understorey vegetation density and cover for P. novaehollandiae has been found in other studies (Posamentier and Recher 1974: Fox and Fox 1978, 1984; Wilson 1991; Lock and Wilson 1999). At LD there was an open canopy with dense vegetation cover < 150 cm in height, together with substantial cover of fallen and dead vegetation. These features may provide shelter from predators and sites for burrows. At HD the larger dunes were dominated by tall, mature Al. verticillata with low cover in the understorey, and at MD the habitat was open, flat dunes with an open canopy and a dense understorey. Differences in habitat features including understorey structure of the three grids are likely to be related to the succession ages of the vegetation. Previous studies have found that the species exhibits a preference for early (2 - 10 years) post-fire succession vegetation (Posamentier and Recher 1974; Braithwaite and Gullan 1978; Fox and Fox 1978, 1984; Fox and McKay 1981; Haering and Fox 1997) which is floristically rich, has a substantial cover of understorey vegetation but less cover at ground level (Fox and Fox 1984; Wilson 1991; Haering and Fox 1997; Lock and Wilson 1999). At Wilson’s Promontory however the succession changes are not likely to be due to fire, as all three sites have the same post-fire age of 30 - 50 years. Habitat differences here are more likely to be related to primary successional processes on the sand dunes (Walker et al. 1981). The sites at LD and MD are located on recently established-shifting sanddunes (Bennett 1994). A series of aerial photos show that the once bare dunes have been stabilised in the last 60 years (Bennett 1994), initially by L. laevigatum then followed by colonisation of other plant species. These sites are in a progressive stage with establishment of shrubs, mobilisation of nutrients, and increase in biomass (Walker et al. 1981). The site at HD occurs on high older sand dunes in an aging regressive stage with declines in understorey cover and possibly nutrient decline. The discovery of populations of P. novaehollandiae on the Yanakie Isthmus at Wilson’s Promontory in 1993 was both unexpected and significant (Quin 1994, 1996). In 1972 the species was originally recorded in heathlands to the south of the Isthmus. Subsequently surveys undertaken in the extensive diverse dry and wet heathlands close to this record failed to find the species (Wilson 1991; Quin 1994, 1996). Typically P. novaehollandiae occurs in heathlands (Fox 1982; Hollis 1999), heathy forests and woodlands (Fox and McKay 1981; Wilson 1991; Lock and Wilson 1999). The results of the current 57 58 AUSTRALIAN MAMMALOGY study support evidence that, in Victoria, P. novaehollandiae is not restricted to heathlands, but has a wider habitat niche. A study of the vegetation at Victorian localities where P. novaehollandiae has been recorded (Wilson and Laidlaw 2003) found that the species occurred in five structural vegetation groups: open-forest, woodlands, heathlands, shrublands and grasslands. Grassland and shrublands were restricted to coastal sand dunes in south Gippsland at Reeves Beach, Hummock Island and at Wilson’s Promontory. The results of this study indicate that further knowledge of the long-term fluctuations and dynamics of P. novaehollandiae, and the effects of resource availability and rainfall patterns are required. The role of ecological burning for habitat and population management at Wilson’s Promontory is unclear and also needs further attention. Burning of habitat when below average rainfall or drought conditions are present is not recommended due to the likelihood of low populations of P. novaehollandiae and the possibility of local or population extinctions. ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS We extend many thanks to Kylie Slattery, Sarah Gainey, Jill White for their assistance in the field. We appreciate greatly the support of Jim Whelan and Elaine Thomas (Parks Victoria). 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