Geophys. J. Int. (1998) 133, 390–406 Faulting associated with historical and recent earthquakes in the Eastern Mediterranean region N. N. Ambraseys1 and J. A. Jackson2 1Department of Civil Engineering, Imperial College of Science, T echnology and Medicine, L ondon, SW7 2BU, UK. E-mail: [email protected] 2 Bullard L aboratories, University of Cambridge, Cambridge CB3 0EZ, UK Accepted 1997 November 17. Received in original form 1997 June 4 SU MM A RY This paper summarizes evidence for surface faulting in historical and recent earthquakes in the Eastern Mediterranean region and in the Middle East. Such information is particularly important for studies of active tectonics and for palaeoseismology. We have found 78 cases of faulting pre-1900 and 72 post-1900, some of which show that faults that have apparently been inactive this century had already ruptured before 1900. For some cases faulting could not have been predicted from 20th century activity, and in others it could have been expected, but has not been observed during the instrumental period. The data are sufficient to allow the derivation of relationships between magnitude and rupture length. 1 I NTR O D UC TIO N Evidence for surface faulting in historical earthquakes in the Eastern Mediterranean and the Middle East is of importance to all modern studies of tectonics and seismicity. Such evidence not only confirms that known tectonic structures are active, but can also identify new ones. Despite shortcomings in the documentary evidence, information about surface faulting can be found in contemporary accounts and this provides a valuable reference point in the palaeoseismological record of faults. Such knowledge is particularly important when, for example, the activity of a fault is to be researched by trenching methods, as it allows the completeness of the palaeoseismological investigation to be assessed. Obviously, the most interesting cases are those which have happened where their occurrence could not be predicted from 20th century seismicity alone or, alternatively, where surface faulting could be expected from the 20th century seismicity but until now is not known to have happened. Since surface faulting is associated with large earthquakes, evidence of faulting can also be used to assess their size, even when historical macroseismic sources do not provide enough direct evidence for magnitude estimates. The area of our investigations, shown in Fig. 1(a), is within latitude 25° and 45° north and longitude 18° and 70° east. It comprises the Balkans, Turkey, the Caucasus and the Middle East up to west Pakistan, a region of active tectonics and with a history which is amply, but not uniformly, documented throughout the period of our interest of the past two millennia. Fig. 1(b) shows the distribution of medium and large earthquakes during this century, and Fig. 1(c) is a location map showing some of the major fault zones referred to in the text. 390 The purpose of this paper is to present the cases of coseismic surface faulting known to us at present, both historical and modern, to show that faults in the region which appear to be quiescent today have been active in historical times, sometimes more than once, and to identify hitherto unknown active faults. This compilation thus updates the last attempt to document coseismic surface ruptures in the region by Ambraseys (1975), with almost double the number of cases in this new study. DATA The data used have been culled from a variety of published and unpublished sources and field investigations, in a number of cases carried out by the first author. Because of space limitation for events before this century, only a few references are given, and these are chiefly collections of literary sources. For the later period we have selected references which cover both field data and seismological or engineering studies. It is somewhat embarrassing but also unavoidable that one-quarter of the works quoted are by the first author, which stems from necessity rather than from other motives. Pre-instrumental period Historical sources record large surface fault ruptures, small ruptures not being spectacular enough to attract attention. Descriptions from which one can deduce faulting are relatively few and hard to verify, particularly when the sources are secondary and the recorded ground deformation is not well described. It follows, therefore, that for the early historical period the information presented here is incomplete, but it is © 1998 RAS Faulting in the Eastern Mediterranean Figure 1. (a) Area of our investigations, showing earthquakes of m >4 b during the period 1964–1990. ( b) Distribution of significant shallow earthquakes during this century: open circles, M between 6 and 6.9; s solid circles, M ≥7.0. The largest symbols are M ≥8. (c) Location s s map of the main fault area referred to in the text: NAF North Anatolian Fault, EAF East Anatolian Fault, DSF Dead Sea Fault, CF Chaman Fault. put on record so that others can improve upon it by refining it and adding new case histories. One of the problems in these early and later descriptions of surface faulting is that one cannot always be certain whether ground deformation associated with an earthquake was of tectonic origin or due to landslides, liquefaction or slumping of the ground. In some cases ground deformation genuinely of tectonic origin can be identified from descriptions of ground ruptures which extended continuously or discontinuously along considerable distances, but relative displacements are seldom given for vertical, and never for horizontal, slip. The information which is usually available for this period may therefore be classified into three broad categories according to the following criteria. (A) or (a) Strong evidence for surface faulting explicitly (A) or implicitly (a) described in the sources. The length of the rupture is rarely given, and only in few cases can it be reckoned from the distances between the localities which it traversed. To avoid any misinterpretation of the source material we have indicated in Tables 1 and 2 by small (a) cases for which © 1998 RAS, GJI 133, 390–406 391 information about faulting is implicit as, for instance, in the case of the #280 BC earthquake in Iran. Some examples of the descriptions found for this category are given in Appendix A. Other accounts of faulting are more explicit but quite a few are only very brief, and yield no further reliable information by being read into. (B) Cases for which surface faulting is not supported by clear evidence but can be inferred from the association of a narrow and long epicentral region of a large-magnitude earthquake aligning with, or close to, a known fault. Occasionally the length of a break can be reckoned from the length of the long axis of the epicentral region which contains an assumed rupture. Clearly this would not tell us exactly how far the fault rupture extended, as it may have continued for a greater distance into sparsely populated areas, which we are unlikely to find reported in historical sources, but it will tell us that the shock was probably associated with a surface rupture that can be investigated today in the field. In these cases historical information will not reveal the exact location and rupture length, but it can help to define the time and the segment of the zone that was probably ruptured. (C) Faulting assumed because of the large size (M ≥7.0) of s the associated earthquake and its proximity to a known active fault zone. This category is more tenuous than category B, but it was included to guide further studies. There are many events of M ≥7.0 that might have been associated with faulting, such s as those in and around the Marmara Sea area, in Eastern Anatolia and Iran, but these are omitted as their epicentral area is ill defined. Of these three categories (A) and (a) involve some ruptures which may not previously have been associated with known active or Quaternary faults. Categories (B) and (C) merely date probable breaks of segments of known faults, and help assign size to these events. All these cases indicate recent fault activity because the proximity of these earthquakes to known faults was part of the evidence assigning them to these categories. Figs 2, 4 and 5 show the distribution of the epicentres in Table 1 for the whole period of observation, before 1894 and after 1893. Instrumental period During the instrumental period information about both the faulting and the seismological parameters of the associated earthquake improves: there are more detailed field observations and better instrumental data allowing the uniform re-assessment of instrumental M magnitudes. s However, during the first half of this century this improvement was very slow and surface faulting continued to be imperfectly reported. For example, the fault ruptures associated with the Locris earthquakes of 1894 in Greece were not properly mapped and their tectonic origin was not generally accepted by geologists, who until relatively recently considered this feature to have been a superficial effect of sliding. Also, of the 360 km long fault break associated with the 1939 Erzincan earthquake in Turkey, only its western half was visited after the event, only part of the break was sketched rather than mapped on a one-to-one-million scale, and measurements of fault displacement were made at a single location. The same applies to other major surface fault ruptures during that period in Anatolia, Iran, and Greece. 392 N. N. Ambraseys and J. A. Jackson Table 1. List of earthquakes associated with surface fault break. Date 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58a 58b 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 −464 −426 −280 17 32 37 110 115 155 181 236 368 460 499 518 551 554 601 750 856 926 967 995 1033 1035 1045 1050 1068 1114 1157 1170 1202 1254 1296 1336 1408 1419 1493 1505 1544 1595 1646 1651 1653 1661 1666 1668 1721 1740 1752 1759 1780 1784 1789 1796 1822 1825 1829 1837 1838 1840 1855 1855 1861 1864 – – – – – – – – Dec – May – Oct Apr Sep – – Aug Apr – Dec Aug Sep – Dec May Apr Aug Mar Nov Aug Jun May Oct Jul Oct Dec Mar Jan Jul Jan Sep Apr Jun Feb Mar Sep Aug Apr Oct Jul Nov Jan Jul May Apr Aug – May Jan – Jul Feb Apr Dec Dec – – – – – – – – 13 – 3 – 11 7 – – – 15 – – 22 – – – 5 – 5 5 18 29 12 29 20 11 17 21 29 15 10 6 22 22 7 7 22 15 23 17 26 5 29 25 8 18 28 26 13 – 5 1 – 2 28 11 26 7 Epicentre N E M s Az deg. Mec L km H cm V cm Q Location Ref 37.0–22.4 38.9–22.7 35.6–51.4 38.5–27.8 40.5–31.5 36.0–36.0 37.3–36.5 39.5–33.5 35.8–36.3 40.1–27.5 40.5–31.0 40.9–36.0 40.5–29.5 40.3–27.8 40.5–37.0 42.0–21.0 38.5–22.7 40.8–29.5 37.0–36.5 37.0–38.0 36.0–54.3 38.5–27.5 40.8–32.0 38.7–40.0 32.5–35.5 40.8–33.0 40.0–38.0 41.0–33.5 28.5–36.7 37.5–37.5 35.0–36.5 35.5–36.5 33.7–35.9 40.0–39.0 39.2–27.4 34.7–59.7 36.0–36.4 40.5–30.5 33.0–59.8 34.8–69.1 38.0–37.0 38.5–27.9 38.3–43.7 37.8–29.3 37.9–28.5 42.2–24.0 36.7–43.5 40.5–36.0 37.9–46.7 38.7–22.4 41.3–26.5 33.7–35.9 38.2–46.0 39.5–40.2 38.8–39.5 35.5–36.0 36.7–36.5 36.1–52.6 41.2–25.1 33.2–35.5 29.6–59.9 39.5–43.8 40.0–28.5 40.3–29.1 38.2–22.2 33.2–45.9 m m L L L m m m L m L m L m m m m L L m L L L m L L L V V L L L m 7.6* m L 7.0* 7.4* m m L m 7.1* L L 7.9* 7.7* 6.6* L 7.4* 7.7* 7.6* L 6.6* 7.5* 6.7* 7.2* 7.4* 7.0* 7.3* 7.4* 6.6* 6.6* 6.4* 340 – – 270 080 030 – – 010 100 – 110 – 060 110 – 290 – – – 250 270 080 060 000 070 120 080 – 040 000 000 020 110 050 155 010 – 120 010 090 270 070 120 090 – – 090 125 – – 020 120 110 – – 020 – – 000 170 140 270 – 280 – N – – N R L – – L R – R – R R – N – – – T N R L L R R L – L L L L R N – L – T – L N – N N – – – – – – L RN R – – L – – – – R – – N – 20 – – – – – – – – – – – – – – 43 – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – 150 – 100 20 – 30 56 – – – – 70 – – 400 50+ 20 – 100 60+ 150 – – 200 – 50 80 70 80 70 – 13 2+ – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – 350 – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – 300 – – – – 300 – – – – – – – 600 – – – – – – – – – – – 220 50 Cf AAm aA APf Cf Cf C C aAf aAf Bf aPf Cf aAf APf AP APfm Bf aA aA aAf aAf Bf Cf Cmf aAf aAmf aAf aA af af Cf Bfm APf aAf BPf APf Cf APf AP BAf aP aP Bf APd aA C APf AP aP aA Sparta Maliac G. Sh. Rey Gediz R. Gerede Antioch E.Anatol. Galatia Oront. R. Manyas Mudurnu Amasya Iznik Manyas Niksar Macedonia Chaeron Izmit E.Anatol. Mesopot. Qumis Manisa Gerede Palu Jordan Cerkes Erzinc. Cankiri Hejaz Maras Hama Afamiya Bekaa Susehri Soma Kwaf Orontes Mudurnu? Birjand Kabul Elbistan Ahmetli Van Honaz Menderes Maritza N.Mosul Amasya Tabriz Lamia Evros Bekaa Tabriz Elmali Elazig Latakia Antakya Harhaz Xanthi Bshara Nasratab Kazlgöl Ulubat Gemlik Vostiza Zorbatia GR GR IR TR TR TR TR TR SY TR TR TR TR TR TR MC GR TR TR SY IR TR TR TR IS TR TR TR SA TR SY SY LE TR TR IR SY TR IR AF TR TR TR TR TR BU IQ TR IR GR TR LE IR TR TR SY TR IR GR LE IR TR TR TR GR IQ AP Bfm BP aA APd aPd aPk BPkm APf BPf APm aA APk aPk © 1998 RAS, GJI 133, 390–406 Faulting in the Eastern Mediterranean 393 Table 1. (Continued.) Date 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 100 101 102 103 104 105 106 107 108 109 110 111 112 113 114 115 116 117 118 119 120 121 122 123 124 125 126 127 128 129 130 131 1866 1870 1872 1874 1875 1875 1880 1887 1889 1892 1893 1894 1899 1904 1905 1905 1909 1909 1909 1912 1914 1916 1917 1928 1928 1929 1930 1932 1933 1935 1938 1939 1941 1942 1943 1944 1944 1946 1946 1947 1948 1949 1951 1953 1953 1954 1957 1957 1958 1962 1964 1966 1966 1966 1966 1967 1967 1967 1967 1968 1968 1969 1970 1971 1971 1975 May Aug Apr May Mar May Jul Sep Jan Dec Mar Apr Sep Apr Jun Dec Jan Oct Feb Aug Oct Jan Jul Apr Apr May May Sep Nov May Apr Dec Feb Dec Nov Feb Jun May Jul Sep Oct Aug Aug Feb Mar Apr Mar May Aug Sep Oct Aug Aug Sep Oct Jul Jul Jul Nov Feb Aug Mar Mar May May Sep 12 1 3 3 27 3 29 30 17 19 2 27 20 4 1 4 23 20 9 9 3 24 15 14 18 1 6 26 28 30 19 26 16 20 26 1 25 31 27 23 5 17 13 12 18 30 8 26 16 1 6 19 20 1 29 22 26 30 30 19 31 28 28 12 22 6 © 1998 RAS, GJI 133, 390–406 Epicentre N E M s Az deg. Mec L km H cm V cm Q Location Ref 39.2–41.0 38.5–22.6 36.4–36.4 38.5–39.5 38.5–39.5 38.3–29.9 38.6–27.2 38.7–29.8 37.7–30.5 30.9–66.5 38.0–38.3 38.6–23.2 37.9–28.8 41.8–23.1 42.0–19.5 38.1–38.6 33.4–49.3 28.9–68.3 40.2–37.8 40.7–27.2 37.6–30.1 40.8–37.5 33.5–45.8 42.1–25.2 42.2–24.9 37.7–57.8 38.2–44.6 40.5–23.9 32.0–55.9 29.8–66.8 39.5–34.0 39.7–39.7 33.4–58.9 40.7–36.5 41.0–35.5 40.9–32.6 39.0–29.4 39.3–41.2 35.6–45.8 33.7–58.7 37.9–58.5 39.4–40.8 40.7–33.3 35.4–54.9 39.9–27.4 39.2–22.2 39.3–22.7 40.6–31.0 34.3–48.2 35.7–49.8 40.0–28.0 39.2–41.4 39.3–41.2 37.4–22.1 38.8–21.1 40.7–30.7 39.5–40.3 40.7–30.4 41.4–20.4 39.5–24.9 34.0–58.9 38.3–28.5 39.1–29.4 37.6–30.1 39.0–40.7 38.5–40.7 7.2* 6.7* 7.2* 7.1* 6.7* 6.5* 6.5* 6.3* 6.9* 7.1* 6.9* 6.9 7.2 6.3 6.8 7.4 7.1 6.4 7.4 7.0 7.2 5.6 6.8 7.0 7.3 7.2 6.9 6.2 7.6 6.8 7.8 6.1 7.1 7.4 7.3 6.0 5.7 5.5 6.8 7.2 6.9 6.9 6.5 7.3 6.7 6.6 7.0 6.6 7.2 6.8 6.8 6.2 5.6 5.8 7.1 6.0 5.5 6.6 7.3 7.4 6.5 7.1 6.2 6.8 6.6 230 010 030 250 250 040 120 290 – 020 270 300 090 230 040 240 315 130 280 065 230 110 140 290 300 330 305 090 140 015 120 110 005 300 275 255 140 300 145 180 260 100 260 070 240 300 100 260 300 105 100 120 110 155 150 280 120 300 030 040 275 290 310 230 050 270 L N – L – N N N – L L N N N N L R L* R* NR NR RL T* N N T RN N T T R R RT R R R NR R T* RT T R R T R N NL R T L NR RN RN N* N R R R NL RN L NL NL N L T 45 6+ 20 45 20 10 10 10 – 30 – 40 40 25 10 – 45 50 15 50 23 – 2 64 50 70 30 15 5 – 14 340 12 47 270 160 18 10 2 20 – 38 32 8 58 30 1 40 28 85 40 34 7 2 4 80 4 3 10 3 80 35 45 4 38 28 – – – – – – – – – 80 – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – – 400 25 – – 100 650 – 180 200 370 – 30 – 100 – 150 60 – 430 20 20 160 – 60 – 30 5 – – 190 20 20 – – 450 20 30 – 60 – – 200 – 200 200 110 40 50 – 30 – 100 100 200 100 – 250 – – 300 150 – – 50 350 210 500 180 50 – 60 250 50 AMk 100 100 30 30 – 80 – 30 30 140 50 90 20 45 50 80 10 25 20 5 40 130 10 40 50 50 250 80 230 30 10 60 APm aPm APk AM aP aP aPk aPd aPk AMi Bf AMdm AMd aMim aPk aPkf AMd B APdm AMd aPk Cf APk AMU AM AG AMU AMdi AMk Bdk AMd AM AGd Erba-Niks AMd AM APdU APkd aPk AG Bdk AMd APd APdi AMd AMd APi AP AMdk AGd AMkU AGdU AMdm aMk AMd AGd APk AGd AMd AMi AG AMd AGUm AMim AGd AGd Gönek Fokis Amik Gol Gölcuk 1 Gölcuk 2 Civril Emiralan Banaz Isparta Chaman Malatya Martin Mender Struma Scutari Malat. Silakhor Baluch Ender. Marmara Burdur Samsun Tursaq Plovdiv Plovdiv Kop. Dagh Salmas Ieriss Buhabad Quetta Kirsehir Erzincan Muham/ad *TR Ladik Ger-Bolu Saphane Ustukr. Penjwin Dustab. Ashkhab. Elmalid. Kursunlu Turud Gonen Sofades Velestin Abant Firuz. B. Zahra Manyas Varto Varto Megalop. Acarnan. Mudurnu Tunceli Mudurnu Debar Ag. Efstr D. Bayaz Alasehir Gediz Burdur Bingol Lice TR GR TR TR TR TR TR TR TR PK TR #GR #TR #BU #AL TR #IR #PK #TR* #TR #TR TR IQ #BU *BU #TU #IR #GR #IR PK *TR *TR #IR *TR *TR #TR *TR IQ #IR TU *TR #TR #IR *TR #GR GR *TR *IR *IR #TR *TR TR GR #GR *TR #TR TR *AL *GR *IR *TR *TR #TR *TR *TR 394 N. N. Ambraseys and J. A. Jackson Table 1. (Continued.) Date 132 133 134 135 136 137 138 139 140 141 142 143 144 145 146 147 148 149 150 1975 1976 1977 1978 1978 1979 1979 1980 1981 +1981 1981 1981 1983 1986 1988 1990 1994 1995 1995 Oct Nov Dec Jun Sep Nov Nov Jul Feb Mar Jun Jul Oct Sep Dec Jun Feb May Oct 3 24 19 20 16 14 27 9 25 4 11 28 30 13 7 20 23 13 1 Epicentre N E M s Az deg. Mec L km H cm V cm Q Location Ref 30.3–66.1 39.1–43.9 30.9–56.6 40.6–23.2 33.4–57.1 33.9–59.8 34.0–59.6 39.3–22.8 38.1–23.1 38.2–23.2 29.8–57.8 30.2–57.6 40.4–42.2 37.0–22.0 40.8–44.2 36.8–49.4 30.9–60.6 40.0–21.7 38.2–30.3 6.5 7.3 5.8 6.4 7.4 6.6 7.1 6.4 6.4 6.3 6.7 7.1 6.7 5.7 6.7 7.3 6.0 6.5 6.2 025 110 320 300 330 345 080 090 250 070 340 340 050 190 290 110 320 240 330 L R RT N T RT LT N N N RT RT L N RT LT TL N NR 5 48 7 32 80 18 68 8 15 12 15 65 12 6 33 80 4 15 10 4 350 15 2 260 90 260 5 – 50 7 20 180 60 250 20 80 50 5 40 60 15 50 90 30 5 30 AMi AG AGd AGdU AMdU AMdU AMd AGd AGdm AGd AGU AGdU AGdU AG AGdm AMdk AMm AMdk AMk Baluch Chaldiran Gisk Volvi Tabas Karizan Khuli Almyros Alkyon Alkyon Golbaf Sirch Panisler Kalamata Spitak Manjil Lut Kozani Dinar PK *TR *IR *GR IR *IR *IR *GR *GR *GR *IR *IR *TR *GR *AR *IR IR GR TR 3 43 100 150 60 0 10 References (see Appendix B): [1] 39, 71; [2] 31, 71; [3] 21, 31; [4] 4, 32, 71; [5] 4, 32, 71; [6] 4, 32, 71; [7–9] 4, 32, 71; [10] 4, 32; [11–13] 4, 32, 71; [14–15] 4, 32; [16–17] 4, 5, 32, 71; [18] 4, 32; [19–24] 4, 32, 71; [25–28] 4; [29] 4, 23; [30–32] 4; [33] 4, 22; [34] 4,24; [35] 4; [36] 21; [37] 24; [38] 4; [39] 21; [40] 20, 37; [41] 10; [42] 17; [43] 21; [44] 4; [45] 8, 17; [46–47] 4; [48] 16; [49] 21; [50] 10; [51] 17; [52] 13; [53] 21; [54–55] 17; [56–57] 9; [58] 21; [59] 12; [60–61] 21; [62–63] 4; [64] 19b, 123; [65–66] 4; [67] 28; [68–70] 9; [71–73] 4; [74] 9; [75] 70; [76] 9; [77] 19; [78] 8, 14; [79] 147; [80] 89; [81] 14; [82] 21; [83] 76; [84] 8; [85] 15; [86] 8; [87] 4; [88] 21; [89] 88, 97; [90] 6, 88, 97, 119, 150; [91] 21; [92] 136; [93] 114; [94] 21; [95] 146; [96] 8, 62, 113, 116, 122; [97] 8, 46, 48, 62, 80; [98] 21; [99] 8, 48, 59, 60, 62, 84, 108; [100] 8, 48, 60, 62, 80, 84, 90; [101] 8, 62, 84, 132; [102] 8; [103] 8, 62, 133; [104–105] 21; [106] 121; [107] 8, 48, 80; [108] 8, 118; [109] 27; [110] 48, 62, 65, 80, 85; [111] 109; [112] 19; [113] 8, 34, 48, 65, 106; [114] 26; [115] 1, 21, 98, 117; [116] 64, 83; [117] 8, 33, 48, 91, 104, 144; [118] 33; [119–120] 2; [121] 34, 48, 65, 80, 104; [122–123] 4; [124] 4, 45, 104, 130; [125] 114, 134; [126] 22, 29, 74, 77, 94, 100, 101, 135, 137; [127] 8, 30, 42, 66, 77; [128] 8, 30, 66, 77, 131, [129] 8; [130] 8, 40, 43, 82, 124; [131] 8, 41, 79, 138; [132] 68; [133] 8, 44, 48, 72, 138, 139; [134] 22, 38, 55; [135] 92, 95, 96, 110, 126, 127; [136] 50, 51, 54, 102; [137] 22, 73, 102; [138] 73, 102; [139] 19, 112; [140] 58, 78, 86, 87, 129, [141] 58, 78, 86, 87, 129; [142] 56, 141; [143] 56, 105; [144] 8, 48; [145] 93, 128; [146] 61, 81; [147] 57, 99, 103, 148; [148] 149; [149] 75, 115; [150] 63, 67. Notes All events are assumed to have focal depths in the crust. Magnitude: magnitudes for the instrumental period are recalculated M values derived from the Prague formula. For early events of the pres instrumental period, magnitudes (starred) have been derived from macroseismic information calibrated against instrumental M values. The size of s historical events under investigation has been classified under three broad categories: V, very large event M≥7.8; L, large event 7.0≤M <7.8; M, s medium event 6.0≤M <7.0. s Fault attitude and mechanism: T=thrust; L=left-lateral strike-slip; R=right-lateral strike-slip; N=normal, with a combination of these symbols for oblique motion. *=Assumed from regional fault pattern. Length of faulting: L =total length of surface rupture, including intermediate unfractured segments in km. Relative displacements: H=maximum observed lateral offset in cm; V =maximum observed vertical offset in cm; s=small displacements of imperceptible sense of motion; –=no data. Quality of evidence of faulting, Q (first column of Q): (A) surface faulting explicitly or (a) implicitly, deduced from the sources or field investigations; (B) no evidence for faulting in the sources; surface faulting inferred from the elongated shape of the epicentral region; and (C) faulting assumed because of the large size of the earthquake and its proximity to a known active fault zone. Location evidence (second column of Q) for quality categories A and a is subdivided into: G=good, derived from detailed field studies; M= moderate, based on cursory field survey of the fracture zone; P=poor, deduced from historical data or, for more recent events, from field evidence in need of authentication; A=very poor, exact location of fault break unknown. Nature of fault zone (third column of Q): d=Trace discontinuous or eroded; total length of rupture deduced from few and widely spaced reported observations; U=arcuate trace, graben, or complex fault zone; k=some of the observed or reported ground deformations probably not of tectonic origin; i=only part of the break was accessible or mapped; actual rupture length is probably longer than reported; n=reported ground effects, to the best of our judgement, not of tectonic origin or associated with a known earthquake; m=multiple shock; observed deformations and rupture length probably enhanced by more than one earthquake. For quality A, B and C (in any column of Q): f=assumed association of historical event with known Quaternary or recent fault-break. The name of the location where the event took place is given in the penultimate column, and the last column gives the country. AF: Afghanistan; AL: Albania; BU: Bulgaria; GR: Greece; IQ: Iraq; IR: Iran; IS: Israel; LE: Lebanon; MC: Macedonia; PK: Pakistan; SA: Saudi Arabia; SY: Syria; TR: Turkey; TU: Turkmenistan. * or # before the country designation indicates that the event was used/not used by Wells & Coppersmith (1994) in the derivation of their calibration formulae. © 1998 RAS, GJI 133, 390–406 Faulting in the Eastern Mediterranean 395 Table 2. Uncertain and spurious cases of surface faulting. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 1862 1870 1879 1890 1911 1927 1929 1943 1957 1957 1963 1966 1968 1968 1969 1972 1972 1975 1976 1977 1977 1977 1983 1992 1995 Nov Feb Mar Jul Apr Jul Jul Jun Jul Dec Jul Feb Sep Sep Mar Apr Jul Mar Nov Apr Apr Jun Aug Mar Jun 3 22 22 11 18 11 15 20 2 13 26 5 3 24 25 10 2 7 7 1 6 5 6 13 15 FaultLoc M s Az Mec L H V Q Location 38.5–30.3 36.6–29.0 37.8–47.9 36.5–54.6 31.2–57.0 32.0–35.5 32.1–49.5 40.7–30.5 36.1–52.4 34.6–47.8 42.1–21.4 39.1–21.6 41.8–32.3 39.2–40.2 39.2–28.5 28.4–53.0 30.0–50.9 27.5–56.4 33.8–59.2 27.6–56.3 31.9–50.8 32.6–48.1 40.1–24.7 39.6–39.5 38.4–22.3 6.5* – 6.6* 7.2* 6.2 6.0 6.0 6.4 6.8 6.7 6.1 6.2 6.5 5.1 6.1 6.9 5.3 6.1 6.4 6.3 6.1 5.7 6.8 6.8 6.5 – – 170 060 155 – 150 – – T – – – – 3 2 2+ 10 15 – 1 – – – – – – – 50 30 – – 50 200 100 aAn aPn Bn aPn aPn an Bkn 120 315 115 230 160 150 100 120 290 – T – N – – N – N 3 10 6 2 2 6 5 20 10 – – – – 20 – 10 5 – 10 100 10 30 30 25 10 25 400 akn akn akn kn akn akn akn akn AGn 140 – 9 s s – 280 R – N 30 7 20 – – akn n n n n akn adn Suhut Fethiye Buzqush Tash Ravar Jordan Londeh Hendek Elburz Farsinaj Skopje Kremas Bartim Kigi Demirci Qir Mishan Sarkhun Vandik Khurgu Naghan Dizful N. Aegean Erzincan Egio 3 TR TR IR IR #IR IS IR TR IR #IR *MC GR #TR #TR TR *IR #IR IR IR #IR #IR #IR #GR *TR GR References (see Appendix B): [1–2] 6; [3–5] 21; [4–5] 21; [6] 4; [7] 21; [8] 140; [9] 21; [10] 36; [11] 3, 6; [12] 19; [13–14] 6; [15] 42; [16] 6, 21, 35; [17] 52; [18] 145; [19] 69; [20] 53; [21] 7; [22] 145; [23] 145; [24] 47, 49, 142; [25] 120. A S S ES S ME NT OF MA G N ITU D ES Figure 2. Locations of earthquakes associated with surface faulting for the whole period of observation. Occasionally, surface fault ruptures were wrongly attributed to landslides and slumping of the ground, and pre-existing Quaternary fault scarps were often associated with recent earthquakes. An example is a 10 km long Quaternary normal fault showing a throw of 4 m, which was attributed to the earthquake of 1972 July 2 (M =5.3) in southwestern Iran s (Berberian & Tchalenko 1976). A site visit in 1976 confirmed that this scarp, averaging about 2 m, was clearly an old feature, certainly pre-dating the 1972 earthquake and controlling the course of the seasonal streams and various old tracks across it which were not dislocated by the 1972 earthquake. Old local farmers remembered the scarp from their early days, and 1955 aerial photos show it clearly. There is no doubt that in the last two decades the situation has improved: sites of historical faulting have been revisited, trenched and mapped, and faulting due to recent earthquakes properly recorded. © 1998 RAS, GJI 133, 390–406 It is important to know the magnitude of the causative earthquake, not only for the development of predictive moment–magnitude relations as a function of the length, slip and attitude of a surface break, but also for hazard analysis. For the pre-instrumental period, surface-wave magnitudes, M , s can be assessed using a calibration formula which can be derived from regional, shallow, 20th century earthquakes in terms of their radii of isoseismals, r, and corresponding intensities, I, in the MSK (Medvedev–Sponheuer–Karnik) scale. In the present case the calibration formula we used was derived from intensity data and isoseismals culled from a variety of published sources, including Shebalin et al. (1974), Papazachos et al. (1982) and Ambraseys & Jackson (1990), variables which were correlated with uniformly recalculated M (Ambraseys & s Free 1997). From 488 isoseismals coming from about 9000 intensity points which were associated with 123 shallow (h<26 km) earthquakes of the period 1905–1990 and from their corresponding M values, which have been recalculated s in this study, the predictive relationship is M =−1.54+0.65 (I )+0.0029 (R )+2.14 log(R )+0.32p , s i i i (1) where R =(r 2+9.72)0.5 and r, in kilometres, is the mean i i isoseismal radius of intensity I, and p is zero for mean values and one for 84 percentile values (Ambraseys 1992). With few exceptions, macroseismic data for the historical period are scanty and the magnitudes that can be calculated from eq. (1) are rather uncertain. In such cases we group earthquakes into three broad categories: V, very large events 396 N. N. Ambraseys and J. A. Jackson with M values probably exceeding 8.0; L, large shocks of s magnitude between 7.0 and 8.0; and M, medium events with M ranging between 6.0 and 7.0. s For the late pre-instrumental period, starting with the 18th century, macroseismic data improve in quality and quantity and this allows the use of eq. (1) for the assessment of magnitudes. R E S ULTS Table 1 summarizes all the events, 150 in all, that we know, or suspect, to have been associated with coseismic surface faulting, and Fig. 2 shows their location. Table 2 lists another 25 cases of faulting which we believe to be uncertain or spurious. The values of the various parameters listed for each event have been culled from a variety of sources, and the sources of information given for each entry have been chosen chiefly because they give up-to-date cross-references for the event. The values for the various parameters in these Tables supercede and correct previous estimates made by the authors and by other writers. Each entry in these tables gives the date and time of the event in the New Style (Gregorian calendar), the geographical coordinates of the location of the middle point of the rupture, and the size of the associated event in terms of its surfacewave magnitude M . For the instrumental period, M values s s have been recalculated uniformly using surface-wave amplitudes and periods and the original Prague formula, which does not restrict the period to the specific range 18–22 s, and allows the use of data in the range 3–25 s ( Vanek et al. 1962; Ambraseys & Free 1997). Next, the azimuth of the strike of the break (Az), measured from north to east, is given, when known, from field observations, or marked by (f ) in the quality column Q, if its value has been assumed from regional tectonics. Slip type is designated by (S) for strike-slip, (N) for normal, (T) for thrust and by a combination of these notations for oblique slip. The observed length of surface rupture (L), in kilometres, is given as deduced from the sources or as obtained from field studies. A plus sign indicates that the actual length was probably greater than shown. The horizontal relative displacement (H ), in centimetres, is the maximum value observed on the fault break or across principal displacement zones. The vertical relative displacement (V ), in centimetres, represents the maximum throw across principal displacement zones, excluding measurements affected by ground deformations, which are probably superficial, due to slumping or liquefaction. A factor (Q) adds more coded information regarding the nature of the fault and quality of measurements (see note at the end of Table 1). The location of the earthquake is given by the modern name of the area affected. The last column identifies the country in which the event took place. Of the 150 entries in Table 1, 52 per cent are for the period before, and 48 per cent for after 1900. For the first period 31 per cent of the entries are of category A, 40 per cent of ‘a’, 15 per cent of B and 14 per cent of C. For the present century, 86 per cent of the entries are of category A, only 8 per cent of ‘a’, and the remaining 6 per cent of B and C. R E LAT IO N S B ET WE EN M A G NI TU DE A ND R U P TU RE LEN GT H A considerable number of relationships between magnitude, rupture length, surface displacements and mechanism, using a variety of data sets, have been derived for different parts of the world, and reviews of these relationships are available (Wells & Coppersmith 1994). For 62 of the 150 earthquakes in Table 1, we have both well-determined surface-wave magnitudes (M ) from instrumens tal data, and reasonably reliable rupture lengths from field observations. These events are all in the instrumental period, with 55 per cent of the data coming from strike-slip, 30 per cent from normal and 15 per cent from thrust faults, excluding cases of quality (B) and others for which the rupture length is imperfectly known [marked (i) in column (Q)]. A straightforward orthogonal regression between M and log (L) gives s M =5.13+1.14 log(L ) , (2) s with L in kilometres, with a standard deviation of 0.15 in M . s Alternatively, regressions of M on log (L ) and of log (L ) on s M give s M =5.27+1.04 log(L ) (3) s and log(L )=−4.09+0.82M , (4) s respectively, with almost the same standard deviation of 0.22 in M for both cases, while a non-linear fit results in s M =5.06+1.42 log(L ) −0.14[log(L )]2 , (5) s with a slightly larger standard deviation. Fig. 3 shows eqs (2), (3) and (4) together with the data points. For 58 of the 62 earthquakes used to derive eqs (2) to (5) we also have horizontal (H ) and vertical (V ) maximum surface displacements, but the fit improves little, given by M =5.11+0.86 log(L )+0.21 log(R) , (6) s with a standard deviation of 0.20 in M , in which R is the s resultant displacement from H and V in centimetres. In terms of resultant displacement R alone, M may be s approximated by M =5.21+0.78 log(R) , (7) s with a rather large standard deviation of 0.36 in M . s We find that the resultant displacement R is about 5.0 (±4.0)×10−5L , regardless of mechanism, and a number close to compilations by Scholz 1982) and Scholz et al. 1986). However, the size of the sample is insufficient and the scatter too large to allow a better estimate of eqs (2)–(5) and R as a function of mechanism. The predictive relationship between magnitude and fault length for the instrumental period, eq. (3), is almost identical to that derived by Wells & Coppersmith (1994) from a global data set, their Fig. 8, in which their magnitude is moment magnitude, M . Their data set consists of 244 earthquakes w worldwide, of which 127 are associated with surface ruptures, and 117 with calculated subsurface ruptures. Of the 127 cases in their first data set only 35 are included in our Table 1, which in addition contains another 115 cases not used by Wells & Coppersmith (1994). It is interesting to compare magnitudes of the preinstrumental period, estimated from macroseismic data from eq. (1) (marked with an asterisk in Table 1) with magnitudes predicted from observed rupture lengths from eq. (3). The comparison of these two methods for 26 events shows that magnitudes derived from rupture length are on average smaller © 1998 RAS, GJI 133, 390–406 Faulting in the Eastern Mediterranean 397 Figure 3. Results of regression between M and log (L ). Curve 1 is eq. (2); curve 2 is eq. (3); curve 3 is eq. (4); curve 4 is eq. (11). L is the length s of faulting in kilometres. Note the effect of the sample distribution on the dependent variable for orthogonal and non-orthogonal regression. by 0.2 (±0.3) in M than macroseismic magnitudes, probably s because rupture lengths were actually longer than reported, which is reasonable. Indeed, it is important, particularly for palaeoseismological investigations, to have some indication of whether the rupture length and offset estimated from historical sources are likely to be seriously under- or overestimated, given the magnitude of the event. This is a principal use of magnitude–length relationships. For an assessment of individual events or particular regions, it may be more informative to make such estimates from a combination of first principles and more closely constrained empirical relationships, along the following lines: (1) for earthquakes that rupture the entire thickness (d) of the seismogenic upper crust, the downdip width of the fault is d/sinh, where h is the fault dip, and the moment is then M =(mcd/sin h)L2 , (8) o where m is the rigidity modulus and c is the ratio of average displacement (u) to fault length (L ), which is observed to be close to 5×10−5 for intracontinental earthquakes (Scholz 1982; Scholz et al. 1986); (2) both observationally and theoretically it is known that for such earthquakes the relationship between moment and magnitude (M, whether M or M ) is of the form s w log(M )=A+BM , (9) o where A and B are constants, with B #1.5 (e.g. Kanamori & Anderson 1975; Ekström & Dziewonski 1988); (3) combining these expressions gives a relationship between moment and fault length of the form M=(1/B) log(mcd/sin h)−A/B+(2/B) (log L ) . (10) For illustration, if we take m=3×1010 N m−2, c=5×10−5, A=9.0 (for M in units of N m, see Ekström & Dziewonski o 1988), and B=1.5, then for a seismogenic layer of thickness d=15 km and a vertical strike-slip fault (h=90°), the relationship is M =4.9+1.33L , w © 1998 RAS, GJI 133, 390–406 (11) with L in kilometres, which is similar to the empirical relationships given above and in Wells & Coppersmith (1994) and is a reasonable fit to the earthquakes of M≥6.0 in Fig. 3. The advantage of this approach over some global empirical relationship is that it is more explicit where the assumptions are: A is known to vary regionally (Ekström & Dziewonski 1988) and so is d. Moreover, for earthquakes in which the fault length is small compared with the seismogenic thickness, the relationships between moment and magnitude and between moment and fault length are both known to be different from those given above, such that B#1.0 (Ekström & Dziewonski 1988) and M 3L3. Thus a single relationship over the whole o magnitude range of Fig. 3 (and over the magnitude ranges discussed by Wells & Coppersmith 1994) is not likely to be valid anyway. The explicit approach illustrated here is therefore more likely to be useful for detailed palaeoseismological investigation of specific events. GE NE R A L O BS ER VATI O N S We have attempted to associate the earthquakes in Table 1 with a probable style (strike-slip, normal or thrust/reverse) of faulting. This is often a judgement based on knowledge of the known style of faulting in the epicentral region, as the historical sources are rarely explicit enough to be unequivocal, especially with horizontal displacements on strike-slip faults. As an illustration, the earthquake of 1780 in Tabriz (No. 53) was reported with only a vertical displacement, though it almost certainly occurred on a right-lateral strike-slip fault, a style which dominates that part of NW Iran (see e.g. Jackson & Ambraseys 1997). Of the events listed in Table 1, 35 per cent are associated with strike-slip faulting, 28 per cent with normal faulting, and only 14 per cent with thrust or reverse faulting (22 per cent are of unknown type). The relatively low number of thrust/ reverse faults is at variance with compilations of modern faultplane solutions in the region, which show many thrust and reverse mechanisms in western Greece, eastern Turkey, the Caucasus and Iran. The reasons for their under-representation 398 N. N. Ambraseys and J. A. Jackson here are probably that: (1) even steep reverse faults may fail to break the surface, where they produce folding instead; (2) thrust faults with a shallow dip rarely break the surface anyway, even in large events. Both effects are known in this region, for example in the Zagros (e.g. Jackson & McKenzie 1984) and the Caucasus (Triep et al. 1995), and are probably responsible for some of the large historical events for which there is no reported evidence of surface faulting. From the preceding paragraphs it will be seen that not only is historical information regarding surface faulting not always clear, and is in many cases inconclusive, but also even for a number of earthquakes in the first half of this century evidence for surface faulting is poor and occasionally insufficient. In almost none of the historical cases do documentary sources, even up to the end of the 19th century, provide more than a minimum of information about faulting, and neither the length nor the attitude of the break can be deduced with certainty. The benefit of being able to have observations over a period of almost 20 times longer than this century, however, is obvious. The locations of coseismic ruptures in Table 1 are shown in Fig. 2. Most are in categories (A) and (a), and are associated with well-known major fault zones such as the North and Eastern Anatolian fault zones, the Dead Sea fault system, the Northern and Eastern deformation belts of Iran and the Chaman zone in Pakistan, confirming the long-term and almost continuous activity of these zones. Figs 4 and 5 show the data for all categories A to C plotted separately for the historical, pre-1894, and modern, post-1893, periods, respectively. The most interesting historical faulting is that which has happened where its occurrence could not be predicted from 20th century activity or, alternatively, where it could be expected from 20th century seismicity but has not been observed this century. The importance of Figs 2, 4 and 5 lies therefore not so much in the similarities but rather in the differences between the distribution of cases depicted in these figures. For instance, in Fig. 5 the faulting pattern in the modern period shows no ruptures along much of the East Anatolian fault zone, the Dead Sea fault zone and Northern Iran. In contrast, for the historical period, Fig. 4 shows that these zones had already been ruptured in places before this century, and that the two sets of figures complement each other, with historical cases often forming a negative or mirror image of the distribution of modern cases, and apparent gaps in the 20th century being filled in by historical cases. Like the North Anatolian fault zone, which was delineated by a series of surface fault ruptures during this century from east to west, in the last century the conjugate eastern Anatolian fault and its Levantine extension into the Dead Sea fault zone were also delineated by a succession of fault breaks. Truly great earthquakes of M>8.0+ are not easy to identify from historical evidence. The chief difficulty is that it is not always possible to establish reliably the simultaneity of their destructive effects at distances of hundreds of kilometres without running the risk of amalgamating two or more separate events into a great earthquake. A glaring example of such an amalgamation is the earthquake of 365 July 21 in the Eastern Mediterranean (Guidoboni et al. 1989; Ambraseys 1994), the misassociation of which with other earthquakes stretched its size to 8.3 (e.g. Papazachos & Papazachou 1997) and has lead to speculation and to the development of ‘catastrophe’ theories (e.g. Jacques & Bousquet 1984). Where good evidence exists, as for instance for Nos. 30, 31, and possibly 19 in Table 1, as well as for a few other not yet fully studied events not listed in Table 1, the historical record does in only very few cases suggest magnitudes reaching or exceeding M 8.0. The data in Table 1 are only a fraction of the total number of events (M ≥6.0) identified so far for the study area and s they are listed in this table only because there is some evidence of their association with surface faulting. However, although Table 1 presents a regionally limited and most certainly incomplete set of data that cannot, and should not, be used alone to assess long-term seismicity, these data demonstrate an interesting pattern in the gross time sequence of surface faulting of principal fault zones in the region. S PE CIF IC O B SE R VATI ON S Some specific observations from this compilation that are worth highlighting include the following. Figure 4. Locations of earthquakes associated with surface faulting for the historical pre-instrumental period before 1894. Figure 5. Locations of earthquakes associated with surface faulting for the modern instrumental period 1893–1996. (1) The destructive earthquake of 518 AD in Macedonia, which allegedly caused a surface rupture about 40 km long. Exactly where this happened is difficult to ascertain. Although the location of the sites affected cannot be identified today, the most likely site is the valley of the upper reaches of the Vardar river, north-northeast of Gostivar (Ambraseys 1970). (For the locations of place-names given here and in the following, see the references cited.) (2) The earthquake of 551 AD in central Greece, one of a series that year, ruptured, in all probability, the eastward extension of the Delphi fault, which has been quiescent for hundreds of years. (3) Also in central Greece, the earthquake of 1740 October 5 that ruined Regini, Lamia and Ypati produced small ground deformations which run south of Lamia towards Regini but neither their exact location nor their nature are known. © 1998 RAS, GJI 133, 390–406 Faulting in the Eastern Mediterranean (4) The case of faulting in Thrace on 29 July 1752 is interesting because it is located in an area which is considered to be relatively inactive. Equally interesting, for the same reason, is the location of the large earthquake of 1829 May 5 in the region of Drama–Xanthi in Thrace. (5) We find that many segments of the North Anatolian fault zone, including the coastal area of the Sea of Marmara, which today show only minor activity, were ruptured before this century, and that some of the events in central northern Anatolia were truly large and probably multiple events. (6) An earthquake of 110 AD in central Anatolia seems to have been associated with the Tuzgulu fault, south of the North Anatolian zone, and that of 1544 with the Surgu fault, west of the East Anatolian zone, but details are lacking. (7) In spite of the large number of relatively small earthquakes (M <6.0), surface faulting in Asia Minor and on s mainland Greece is often poorly expressed and is not often reported in the literature. (8) Much of the Eastern Anatolian fault and its southward extension into the Ghab, Yammouneh and Roum faults of the Levantine system, which have been inactive during this century, Figure 6. Locations of very large (M ≥7.9, solid) and large s (7.0≤M ≤7.8) earthquakes in Table 1. s were ruptured by the earthquakes of 115 December 13, 1408 December 29, 1759 November 25, 1796 April 26, 1822 August 13 and possibly of 1837 January 1. Other largemagnitude events, for which we have no literary evidence for faulting, confirm the high seismic potential of that region. (9) A major event in 1068 in the Hejaz in northwestern Arabia is unusual not only because of its location but also because of the evidence, admittedly slight, suggesting a surface rupture, the location of which must be sought in the region of Tabuk. (10) There are a few cases of faulting in northern Syria in 601, 750 and later, but their location is very uncertain. (11) For the Zagros suture zone in western Iran evidence for surface faulting is lacking. This may be due to a lack of information, or to a lack of large-magnitude earthquakes, which is typical of the zone, or to both. However, even moderately large earthquakes of modern times, such as the 1972 April 10 Ghir earthquake of M 6.9, have failed to s produce surface faulting in the Zagros, whereas events of the same size often produce coseismic surface ruptures in NE Iran. This may be related to the large thickness of salt above the basement in the Zagros, preventing ruptures reaching the surface (see Jackson & McKenzie 1984). (12) In contrast, in northern and eastern Iran, where 20th century earthquake faulting is well known, there is literary evidence for major ruptures, such as that of #280 BC. Further east, historical information for faulting becomes scarce and the few cases identified, such as that of the earthquake of 1505 July 6 north of Kabul in Afghanistan, are probably a small sample of the number of cases that actually involved surface faulting. Most of the very large ( V) and large (L) earthquakes in Table 1 are associated with large strike-slip faults, such as the Figure 7. Location of Nauzad and Mask on the fault trace associated with the 1493 earthquake, Table 1 no. 39. © 1998 RAS, GJI 133, 390–406 399 400 N. N. Ambraseys and J. A. Jackson Figure 8. The 50 km long surface fault break associated with the earthquake of 1912 August 9 between the Gulf of Saros and the Sea of Marmara (Table 1, no. 85) remained, until recently, imperfectly known. Arrows indicate the fault break; distance between arrows is 50 km. G: the site of Ganos (modern Gaziköy) on the Marmara coast; white square: the location of Miseli (modern Mürselli) near which a strand of the rupture is shown in the accompanying photographs. © 1998 RAS, GJI 133, 390–406 Faulting in the Eastern Mediterranean 401 Figure 9. Fault zone of interconnected en echelon fractures with offset stream-beds associated with the Dasht-i Bayaz earthquake in eastern Iran (Table 1, no. 126). Two lines of qanats (underground tunnels, indicated by their access shafts) cross the zone, another abandoned line runs parallel to the east, part of which follows the 1968 fault break. Numerous abandoned shaft lineaments are evidence that previous ground movements damaged the underground aqueduct system in the vicinity of the fault zone. North and East Anatolian, the Dead Sea and the Chaman faults, shown in Figs 1(c) and 6, a feature that was expected since large earthquakes are generated by long faults. CON CLU SION S In conclusion, we may observe that any seismologist at the turn of this century, or any scholar much earlier, could have accessed the historical data before his time that we used in this paper. Had it occurred to him to do so he would have discovered almost all the main deforming belts in the region we know today as well as the overall distribution of seismic hazard. A CK NO W L ED GM EN TS This research was supported by the Climatology Programme of CEC (DGXII) and is currently supported by a Natural Environment Research Council grant for the study of longterm seismicity and continental tectonics in the Eastern Mediterranean region and the Middle East. It is Imperial College ESEE contribution no. 97/30, and Cambridge Earth Sciences contribution no. 5121. R E FER E NCE S Ambraseys, N., 1970. A note on an early earthquake in Macedonia, Proc. 3rd Europ. Conf. Earthq. Eng., Sofia, 73–78. © 1998 RAS, GJI 133, 390–406 Ambraseys, N., 1975. Studies in historical seismicity and tectonics, Geodyn. T oday, 7–16, Pub. R. Soc. London. Ambraseys, N., 1992. Soil mechanics and engineering seismology, Invited Lecture, Proc. 2nd Natl. Conf. Geotechn. Eng., pp. xxi–xlii, Thessaloniki. Ambraseys, N., 1994. Material for the investigation of the seismicity of Libya, L ibyan Studies, 25, 7–22. Ambraseys, N. & Free, M., 1997. Surface wave magnitude calibration for European region earthquakes, J. Earthq. Eng., 1, 1–22. Ambraseys, N. & Jackson, J., 1990. Seismicity and associated strain in central Greece between 1890 and 1988, Geophys J. Int., 101, 663–708. Berberian, M. & Tchalenko, J., 1976. Earthquakes of southern Zagros (Iran): Bushehr region, in Contribution to the Seismotectonics of Iran, Part II, ed. Berberian, M., Geol. Surv. Iran Rept, 39, 346–358. Ekström, G. & Dziewonski, A., 1988. Evidence of bias in estimation of earthquake size, Nature, 332, 319–323. Guidoboni, E., Ferrari, G. & Margottini, C., 1989. Una chiave di lettura per la sismicita antica: la ricerca dei gemelli frl terremoto del 365 d.C., in I T erremoti Prima del Mille, pp. 552–73, ed. E. Guidoboni, Ist. Naz. Geof., Rome. Jackson, J.A. & Ambraseys, N.N., 1997. Convergence between Eurasia and Arabia in Eastern Turkey and the Caucasus, in Historical and Prehistorical Earthquakes in the Caucasus, eds Giardini, D. & Balassanian, S., NAT O ASI series 2, 28, 79–90. Jackson, J. & McKenzie, D., 1984. Active tectonics of the Alpine – Himalayan Belt between western Turkey and Pakistan, Geophys. J. R. astr. Soc., 77, 185–264. Jacques, F. & Bousquet, B., 1984. La raz de maree du 21 juillet 365 du cataclysme local et la catastrophe consmique, Melanges Ecole Franc. de Rome, 96, 423–461. 402 N. N. Ambraseys and J. A. Jackson Kanamori, H. & Anderson, D., 1975. Theoretical basis of some empirical relations in seismology, Bull. seism. Soc. Am., 65, 1073–1095. Papazachos, B., Comninakis, P., Hatzidimitriou, P., Kiriakidis, E., Kyratzi, A., Panagiotopoulos, D., Papadimitriou, E., Papaioannou, C. & Pavlides, S., 1982. Atlas of isoseismal maps for earthquakes in Greece 1902–81, Publ. Geoph. L ab. Univ. T hessaloniki, no. 4, Thessaloniki. Papazachos, B. & Papazachou, C., 1997. I Seismoi T is Elladas, p. 182, Ziti, Thessaloniki. Scholz, C.H., 1982. Scaling laws for large earthquakes: consequences for physical models, Bull. seism. Soc. Am., 72, 1–14. Scholz, C.H., Aviles, C.A. & Wesnousky, S.G., 1986. Scaling differences between large interplate and intraplate earthquakes, Bull. seism Soc. Am., 76, 65–70. Shebalin, N., Karnik, V. & Hadzijevski, D., 1974. Catalogue of earthquakes Part I, 1901–70; Part II, prior to 1901; Part III, Atlas of isoseismal maps, UNDP/UNESCO Survey Seismicity of the Balkan Region, Skopje. Triep, R.G., Abers, G.A., Lerner-Lam, A.L., Mishatkin, V., Zacharchenko, N. & Starovit O., 1995. Active thrust front of the Greater Caucasus: the April 29, 1991, Racha earthquake sequence and its tectonic implications, J. Geophys. Res., 100, 4011–4033. Vanek, J., Zatopek, A., Karnik, V., Kondorskaya, N., Riznichenko, Y., Savarenski, E., Soloviev, S. & Shebalin, N., 1962. Standardization of magnitude scales, Izvest. Akad. Nauk., Ser. Geofiz., no. 2, pp. 153–158, Moscow. Wells, D. & Coppersmith, K., 1994. New empirical relationships among magnitude, rupture length, rupture width, rupture area and surface displacement, Bull. seism. Soc. Am., 84, 974–1002. $ $ $ $ $ A P P EN DI X A: In order to give the reader some idea of the substance of information that can be found in historical documents that may refer to surface faulting, we present in this appendix the translation of pertinent parts, taken at random and out of context, from original sources. Numbers in brackets refer to entries in Table 1. $ $ $ The earthquake of #280 in Rhagae (modern Shahr-e Rey in north central Iran) is described by a nearcontemporary sources as follows: ‘... Rhagae, in Media, has received its name because the earth about the Caspian Gates had been rent by earthquakes to such an extent that many cities and villages were destroyed and the rivers underwent changes of various kinds...’ [3]. For the earthquake of 518 AD in Macedonia, a contemporary account about the effects of the earthquake includes the following information: ‘... Many mountains throughout the province (of Dardania) were rent asunder; rocks and forest trees were torn from their sockets and a yawning chasm 12 feet in breadth and 30 000 Roman feet (43 km) in extent intercepted and entombed many of the fugitive citizens...’ [16]. The evidence for the earthquake of 551 AD in Greece comes from a contemporary source which, in the long narrative adds that: ‘... In that locality where the so-called Schisma (Cleft) is located there was a tremendous earthquake ... And the earth was rent asunder in many places and formed chasms. Now some of these openings came together again ..., but in other places they remained open, with the consequence that the people in such places are not able to intermingle with each other except by making use of many detours ...’ [17]; $ An eyewitness, describing the effects of the earthquake of 1254 in central northern Anatolia, informs us that: ‘... As we rode along for three days ( between Susehri and Erzincan) we saw a fault in the earth, exactly as it had been split open in the earthquake, and piles of earth that slid down from the mountains and filled the valleys ... We passed through the valley where ... a great lake had welled up in the course of the earthquake ...’ [34]. From a contemporary history we learn that in the earthquake of 1408 in the Orontes valley in Syria: ‘... The ground fissured and was thrown down over the distance of one barid (20 km), from the town of Qusair to Saltuham...’ [37]. In the earthquake of 1493 near Birjand, in Iran: ‘... For two farsakhs (12 km) between Nauzad and Mask the ground was fissured to such a depth that the bottom of the crack was invisible...’ [39]. A traveller describing the effects of the earthquake of 1825 in western Mazanderan in Iran, not far from the site of the recent Manjil earthquake of 1990 June 20, says: ‘... Between Kuhrud and Bul Qalam there is some evidence that in this locality the shock was associated with permanent ground deformations. The piers of a masonry bridge built on solid rock and destroyed by the earthquake seemed as if they could never have been intended to support the same arch, so different was their parallel ... and the opposite sides of the ravine had no doubt suffered displacement.’ [58]. Another eyewitness account about the earthquake of 1866 May 12 in eastern Anatolia in Turkey says that: ‘... As a result of the earthquake the ground was rent; the earthquake fracture led from the village of Halipan in the south, to the border of the district of Varto, running uninterrupted for a distance of eight hours’ journey (#30 km) ...’[66]. A more explicit account about the earthquake of 1874 May 3 in eastern Anatolia, written by a mining engineer, says that in this earthquake, ‘... The south side of lake Gölcük was uplifted by a metre or two. The valley at the southeast end of the lake, near Kizin and Burnus Han, through which the lake empties itself by a stream running into the Tigris river, was upheaved. Because of this, the stream ceased to flow and the lake began to rise. Roads and tracks that ran along its shore were submerged and villages on its margins were swamped and had to be abandoned. By the end of the year the water had almost reached the level of the uplifted valley. ‘The valley southeast of Şarikamiş was ‘‘rent’’ all the way to Haraba with the southeast of Lake Gölcük uplifted by one to two metres along a length of about 45 km ...’ [69,70]. A P PE ND IX B: R E FER E NCE S T O TA B LES 1 Ambraseys, N., 1963. The Buyin-Zara earthquake of September 1962, Bull. seism. Soc. Am., 53, 705–740. 2 Ambraseys, N., 1967. The earthquakes of 1965–66 in the Peloponnesus, Greece, Bull. seism. Soc. Am., 57, 1025–1046. 3 Ambraseys, N., 1968. An engineering seismology study of the Skopje earthquake of 26 July 1963, in T he Skopje Earthquake, pp. 35–88, UNESCO, Paris. 4 Ambraseys, N., 1970a. 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Etudes Sud-est Europ., 2, 75–82, Athens. 11 Ambraseys, N., 1992. Soil mechanics and engineering seismology Invited Lecture, Proc. 2nd Natl. Conf. Geotechn. Eng., Thessaloniki, pp. xxi–xlii. 12 Ambraseys, N., 1997. The earthquake of 1 January 1837 in southern Lebanon and northern Israel, Ann. Geofis., 40, 923–936. 13 Ambraseys, N. & Barazangi, M., 1989. The 1759 earthquake in the Bekaa Valley, J. geophys. Res., 94, 4007–4013. 14 Ambraseys, N. & Finkel C., 1987. Seismicity of Turkey and neighbouring regions 1899–1915, Ann. Geophys., 5B, 701–726. 15 Ambraseys, N. & Finkel, C., 1987. The Saros-Marmara earthquake of 9 August 1912, J. Earthq. Eng. Struct. Dyn., 15, 189–211. 16 Ambraseys, N. & Finkel, C., 1988. The Anatolian earthquake of 17 August 1668, in Historical Seismograms and Earthquakes of the World, pp. 173–180, ed. Lee, W., Academic Press, San Diego. 17 Ambraseys, N. & Finkel, C., 1995. 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