Aquaculture 246 (2005) 209 – 225 www.elsevier.com/locate/aqua-online Incompleteness and statistical uncertainty in competition/stocking experiments Marcel Fréchettea,T, Marianne Alunno-Brusciab, Jean-François Dumaisc, Renée Siroisd, Gaétan Daiglee a Institut Maurice-Lamontagne, Ministère des Pêches et des Océans, C.P. 1000, Mont-Joli, QC, Canada G5H 3Z4 b CREMA, IFREMER, Place du séminaire, B.P. 5, F-17137 L’HOUMEAU, France c ISMER, Université du Québec à Rimouski, 310 allée des Ursulines, Rimouski, QC, Canada G5L 3A1 d Département de mathématiques, dTinformatique et de génie, Université du Québec à Rimouski, 300 allée des Ursulines, Rimouski, QC, Canada G5L 3A1 e Département de Mathématiques et de Statistique, Faculté des sciences et de génie, Pavillon Alexandre-Vachon, Université Laval, Québec, QC, Canada G1K 7P4 Received 28 October 2004; received in revised form 5 January 2005; accepted 11 January 2005 Abstract In competition experiments, decisions are made not only about experimental conditions such as initial population densities, of course, but also about population size structure, for instance. Here we use an individual-based simulation model to study the effect of size-grading of mussels. With low individual variability, predicted yield was lower and less variable, there was no density-dependent mortality, and optimal stocking density for aquaculture was lower than with high individual variability, whereby self-thinning occurred and yield was quite variable. Thus, individual variability was a critical factor for estimating survival effects of overstocking, at the expense of precision of growth estimates. Therefore, competition experiments are inherently incomplete. We argue that in practice, incompleteness cannot be overcome by using genetic information as a covariate because evidence from the literature shows that the effect of genetic makeup in competition situations is frequencydependent. Apparently, the only approach presently available to obtain unbiased estimates is to use a size structure similar to that of the population under study. This contrasts with a literature review of bivalve stocking experiments published in Aquaculture through the last 30 years which clearly shows that the issue of size structure of test populations has been largely overlooked. The same principles hold for competition studies in natural settings. D 2005 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved. Keywords: Incompleteness; Intraspecific competition; Self-thinning; Stocking experiments T Corresponding author. Tel.: +418 775 0625; fax: +418 775 0740. E-mail address: [email protected] (M. Fréchette). 0044-8486/$ - see front matter D 2005 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved. doi:10.1016/j.aquaculture.2005.01.015 210 M. Fréchette et al. / Aquaculture 246 (2005) 209–225 1. Introduction Overstocking has resulted in severe losses of productivity due to mortality and to growth reductions in many bivalve aquaculture sites, even among the most successful (Aoyama, 1989; Héral, 1991). As a result, assessing the effect of stocking density on yield has become a central issue in aquaculture management, as well as in agriculture and forestry (Westoby, 1984). In organisms such as suspension feeders whose food supply depends on natural transport processes, growth-controlling processes may act at various scales. At the scale of a site or a whole basin, for instance, feeding by bivalves and drag exerted on flow by culture gear may lead to phytoplankton depletion, with associated spatial gradients in food availability (Dowd, 1997; Bacher et al., 1998; Grant and Bacher, 2001; Pilditch et al., 2001). The effect of stocking density at the scale of whole basins is usually studied using numerical models (Dowd, 1997; Bacher et al., 1998; Pilditch et al., 2001). At a smaller scale, there may be food depletion within culture units such as pearl nets, for instance (Parsons and Dadswell, 1992; Claereboudt et al., 1994a,b). In contrast to wholebasin situations, stocking effects at the scale of individual culture units such as ponds, fish pens, bottom plots, pearl nets or other unit structures are studied in competition/stocking experiments (e.g., Mallet and Carver, 1991; Parsons and Dadswell, 1992; Côté et al., 1993; Hossain et al., 1998; Verhoef and Austin, 1999; Beal and Kraus, 2002). In addition to population density itself, however, size structure within the groups assayed may be a strong determinant of the outcome of stocking experiments. Size hierarchies are thought to develop initially because of intrinsic individual variability, but rapidly may become exacerbated by interindividual interactions. Asymmetric competition (see Weiner, 1990), whereby smaller individuals suffer disproportionately more from resource shortage or from agonistic interactions than larger individuals do, acts to increase such differences (Schmitt et al., 1987; but see Baardvik and Jobling, 1990; Adams et al., 2000), although in many benthic situations spatial effects may predominate over intrinsic individual variability as a cause of variability in growth rate (Pfister and Stevens, 2002). In organisms with well-developed behavioural interactions, larger individuals are gen- erally more aggressive and monopolise larger amounts of resources (usually food) than smaller individuals (but see Jbrgensen et al., 1993; Jbrgensen and Jobling, 1993; Ruzzante, 1994 and references therein; Gardeur et al., 2001). In larval fish, size hierarchies usually lead to increased cannibalism, the larger the size differences the stronger the interaction (Folkvord, 1991; Qin and Fast, 1996; Baras and d’Almeida, 2001). In an effort to minimise effects of size variability, it is customary in some types of cultures to grade individuals according to size (Bardach et al., 1972; McVey, 1983a,b; Pillay, 1990). Individual variability in initial size and growth rate has been a source of concern also in designing growth and stocking experiments (e.g., Beal et al., 2001; Gardeur et al., 2001). To minimise statistical uncertainty in comparisons among densities, it has been attempted to minimise individual variability by grading individuals at the beginning of experiments (e.g., Parsons and Dadswell, 1992; Freites et al., 1995; Román et al., 1999; Verhoef and Austin, 1999; Alunno-Bruscia et al., 2000). Consequently, there has been growing experimental work to assess the effect of size-grading on yield. The general pattern drawn from these results appears ambiguous. Some experiments have found asymmetric competition (e.g., in abalone Haliotis tuberculata: Mgaya and Mercer, 1995), which supports the usefulness of grading procedures. Lambert and Dutil (2001) reported lower growth rates in graded cod (Gadus morhua) groups at low and intermediate stocking biomass. This is consistent with expectations based on the allometry of metabolic requirements. The negative effect of grading decreased with increasing stocking biomass and disappeared at the highest biomass tested. Sowka and Brunkow (1999) reported slower growth in graded bonytail (Gila elegans) and also found higher density-dependent mortality in groups with higher interindividual variability. Other studies, however, failed to find asymmetric competition and have led to questioning the usefulness of size-grading (Karplus et al., 1986; Jobling and Reinsnes, 1987; Kamstra, 1993; Qin et al., 2001). It should be noted, however, that many of these studies were done only at optimal stocking density or at biomass-density levels not conducive to competition. In absence of competition, it is of course not possible to test whether competition M. Fréchette et al. / Aquaculture 246 (2005) 209–225 density (N) in what is called a B–N diagram (see Westoby, 1984). The B–N diagram and related concepts were developed in plant studies. There is growing evidence that the B–N diagram may be useful in animal ecology as well (Latto, 1994; Petraitis, 1995b; Guiñez and Castilla, 1999). Indeed, B–N diagrams may provide a more powerful approach to the analysis of stocking experiments than separate analyses of growth and mortality (Fréchette et al., 1996). B–N diagrams may be studied in terms of B–N time trajectories and B–N curves. A B–N time trajectory is a curve (N(t), B(t)), t 0VtVt f, representing the time evolution of the biomass and number of individuals, starting at an initial point (N(t 0), B(t 0))=(N 0, B 0). Using different values of N 0 will generate a family of B–N time trajectories. B–N curves are then obtained by keeping the time parameter constant: for any given fixed time tV, a B–N curve is defined by joining those points from the various time trajectories that correspond to the time value tV, that is all points (N(tV), B(tV)). The B–N diagram consists of the family of B–N time trajectories and B–N curves (Fig. 1; alternatively, one may study m–N curves; m is individual mass; Petraitis, 1995a). In competition-free situations, individual growth rate is constrained by individual bioenergetics and background environmental conditions only, with no density-dependent mortality. t2 Biomass (B) is asymmetric or symmetric and consequently whether size-grading might be useful. Modelling studies of the effect of size variability on population dynamics suggest that variability in size promotes long-term stability of populations (Begon and Wall, 1987; Pacala and Weiner, 1991; Uchmanski, 1999, 2000). Aquaculture populations are generally in a different setting than natural populations. Aquaculture is generally concerned with short-term, intra-generation productivity. Here we present a discussion of likely consequences of grading individuals in bivalve stocking experiments. To support these speculations and explore some of their implications, we model the effect of stocking density (i.e., the effect of initial population density of groups) and of individual variability on growth and survival of mussels under the hypothesis of exploitation competition only (i.e., no direct interference as in some fish, for instance), using an individual-based model (DeAngelis and Gross, 1992). We also examine the effect of individual variability on estimates of optimal stocking density (OSD) in bivalve aquaculture and on competition mode (i.e., symmetric vs. asymmetric). Our simulations are based on a realistic model of the bioenergetics of densitydependent growth of blue mussels Mytilus edulis (Fréchette and Bacher, 1998) which has been found to provide acceptable predictions of individual mussel growth for the conditions prevailing near the Maurice-Lamontagne Institute, Lower St. Lawrence Estuary (Alunno-Bruscia et al., 2000). The original model has been modified to further include (1) the effect of individual variability and (2) criteria for self-thinning of the mussels. Finally, we review the methodology of all bivalve stocking experiments published from Volume 1 through Volume 224 of Aquaculture to assess experimental practices with respect to size selection in bivalve stocking experiments. 211 ST t1 t0 2. The nature and analysis of stocking experiments Stocking experiments are competition experiments. In sessile or confined organisms, growth and mortality are two basic variables from which the effect of competition is inferred. The case arising, both effects must be potentially estimated. Competition is best studied in joint analyses of biomass (B) and population Population density (N) Fig. 1. Hypothetical B–N diagram, where yield of groups stocked at various populations densities is monitored at times t 0, t 1 and t 2. The plot shows how B–N curves (solid lines) are obtained from B–N trajectories (dotted lines). Arrows indicate time. ST is the upper limit to biomass–density combinations set by self-thinning. Densityindependent mortality is assumed to be negligible. 212 M. Fréchette et al. / Aquaculture 246 (2005) 209–225 Assuming negligible natural mortality, time trajectories of the individual groups are vertical (broken lines in Fig. 1). Since body size does not change with population density, B–N curves at small t are straight oblique lines (it is assumed that individual properties are distributed the same way among the various density groups). This is the density-independent region of B–N curves. If population density is sufficiently high, however, competition may occur as individual size increases, with its slowing down of individual growth rate. For those density groups where growth is retarded by competition with no mortality, this results in curvilinearity of the B–N curve, as slope decreases towards 0, exhibiting what has been called the competition–density (C–D) effect by Shinozaki and Kira (1956). In extreme situations, the joint effect of individual size and high population density may result in mortality as growth proceeds further. In other words, self-thinning (ST) may occur (Yoda et al., 1963). The onset of ST is reflected in Fig. 1 by a bending of B–N time trajectories to the left. As ST becomes fully developed, however, B–N trajectories exhibit upward concavity. In summary, B–N diagrams reveal two patterns: the C–D effect and ST, which reflect the effects of competition on growth and mortality, respectively. physiological characteristics of the mussels are taken into account as follows. The volume of water filtered by a mussel per unit time is assumed to follow a power law (i.e.: allometry) written as a f m a , where a f (l day1), is the filtration coefficient. By means of the energy to mass conversion factor C em (5.1105 g/J) and the assimilation efficiency e a, this translates into a rate of mass increase due to phytoplankton consumption of the form C eme aa f m a q=c f qm a where c f =C em e aa f. The rate of mass decrease due to respiratory losses of a mussel is taken to be c r m b where c r=C ema rT c (J day1), with a r (J day1) denoting the respiration coefficient and T denoting temperature (8C). We start with a population of N mussels, all with the same size and same physiological characteristics except for a r (Koehn and Shumway, 1982; Toro et al., 1996; Bayne et al., 1999). The value for the ith mussel is denoted a ri , with corresponding c ri . The a ri are assumed to be normally distributed. From the above assumptions, it follows that the evolution equations of the system are 3. Simulation of the effect of restricted individual variability Mortality arises under insufficient nutrition. A criterion to this effect is obtained as follows. The shell size L of each mussel is made to grow with the flesh mass at a rate corresponding to the nominal allometric length–mass relation m=aL b , whenever dm/dtN0 (a=0.003, b=3, based on suspension-cultured mussels in Îles-de-la-Madeleine, Quebec, between July 1995 and October 1995; unpublished). But when dm/dt=0, dL/dt is set to 0. During a thinning period, L remains constant while m becomes naL b , with nb1. We consider that death occurs when n falls below some critical value (de Roos and Persson, 2001). The period over which the system is followed is divided into a number of short subintervals over each of which the number of live individuals is considered constant. Within each such subinterval, the above differential system is solved with a standard ode solver (in our case the CVODE package; Cohen and Hindmarsh, 1994). At the end of each subinterval, the mortality criterion is applied so 3.1. Yield and mortality The mathematical model we used to illustrate the effects of size-grading is as follows (see Appendix A for parameter values and units). A group of N mussels resides in a perfectly mixed water reservoir of volume V, renewed at a rate m (l day1) with incoming water containing phytoplankton at constant energy density q in, waste water exiting at the same rate, but with the ambient phytoplankton density q. In the steady state and in the absence of mussels, the reservoir is at constant phytoplankton density q in. Note that if the mussel-free reservoir originally contained no phytoplankton, the density of phytoplankton (always assuming mixing in a negligible time) would build up to q in according to q(t)=q in(1et/s ) where s, the relaxation time of the reservoir is given by s=V/m. The dmi =dt ¼ cf qmai cri mbi dq=dt ¼ ðqin qÞ s i ¼ 1; . . . ; N N af X q ma V i¼1 i M. Fréchette et al. / Aquaculture 246 (2005) 209–225 that in the next subinterval the number of live individuals (and hence the dimension of the differential system) is possibly reduced. We assume that other sources of mortality are negligible. Therefore only one competitive mechanism–exploitation competition–is included in the model, although experimental evidence suggests that more than one mechanism may be acting simultaneously in groups of competing mussels Mytilus galloprovincialis (Brichette et al., 2001). To study the effect of individual variability on average yield, the model was run with different values of initial N (10, 20, 40, 60, 80 mussels reservoir1) until t=365 days. This was repeated for 100 different sets of a r values (by using different seeds for the numerically generated a r distribution), both with low (r=2) and high (r=10) variability. To study the effect of individual variability on B–N diagrams, the model was run with different values of initial N (10, 20, 40, 60, 80 mussels/reservoir) with low (r=2) and high (r=10) variability in a r. We obtained the sets of (N(t), B(t)) points for the B–N curve at t=365 days and at time t={1, 2, . . ., 365} days for the ST curve. We further explored the effect of increasing individual variability by running the model with increasing variability (r={1, 2, 3,. . ., 15, 20, 30}. Initial stocking densities were N 0={2, 5, 10, 15, 20, 25, 40, 60, 80} individuals per reservoir. To study the C–D effect we obtained the set of (N(t), B(t)) points (i.e. the B–N curve) at t=365 days. To study ST we modelled B(t) and N(t) for the group with initial density N 0=80 individuals at time t={10, 20, 30, 40, 60, 100, 180, 365} days. Individuals with a rb5.0 J day1 were removed to avoid mussels growing to unrealistic large size. 3.2. Optimal stocking density In many situations, OSD has been defined as the maximum population density stocked without affecting individual growth negatively (e.g., Carver and Mallet, 1990; Grant et al., 1993; Dowd, 1997). However, aquaculture must be profitable. Therefore a definition of OSD should incorporate economic considerations. This cannot be done in the present situation because the technology and other financial aspects of operations are not specified. So in order to reflect the effect of increased investment incurred by increasing stocking density, we define OSD as the 213 lowest stocking density for which the rate of increase in yield (with respect to population density) at harvest time is no longer larger than its value at initial time. More precisely, this is estimated by computing the population density at which the derivative of yield (B) with respect to population density (N) equals the derivative of initial biomass with respect to initial population density, i.e. (BB/ BN)z =(BB/BN)0, where the subscripts 0 and z stand for initial time and harvest time, respectively. We ran the model to generate B–N time trajectories with all possible initial population densities (from 1 through 80), and then obtained the B–N curve at t=365. We repeated the procedure for 100 different seeds generating 100 different sets of a r values. This was done with low (r=2) and high (r=10) variability. To estimate OSD in both cases, we fitted the model B=gN/(1+N k ), where g and k are parameters) to the B–N curves, then estimated the initial population density for which the two derivatives above were equal (see Appendix B) and tested the estimate of OSD using a paired t-test. 3.3. Symmetric vs. asymmetric competition ST is usually attributed to asymmetric competition, with smaller individuals being suppressed to the point of dying (White and Harper, 1970). Skewness in size distribution provides an indication that competition is asymmetric (Xue and Hagihara, 1999). In cases where group size is small, an alternative method for examining whether competition is asymmetric is to plot the difference between growth without competition ( G T) and growth with competition ( G C), both expressed as a function of a variable governing competitive ability (in the present case, it is the respiration parameter a r). Therefore G T=f(a r). Under the effect of competition, growth is reduced by a factor u, such that G C=(1u)d f(a r). Therefore growth retardation attributable to competition may be written as G TG C=f(a r)(1u)d f(a r) (Fréchette and Despland, 1999). By further dividing by G T and substituting f(a r) for G T on the right-hand side, one obtains ( G TG C)/G T=u. Therefore u is an index of competition strength. The larger the u values, the stronger the effect of competition on growth are. Constant values of u are indicative of symmetrical competition. The relationship between 214 M. Fréchette et al. / Aquaculture 246 (2005) 209–225 individual properties and competition strength can be assessed by plotting u as a function of a r. In such a plot, non-zero derivatives are indicative of asymmetric competition. To study the mode of competition, we ran the model for each individual variability level with flow rate m=432 l day1 and m=432,000 l day1 for mussels with and without competition, respectively. Table 1 Effect of population density and of individual variability on total yield (A) Model Source Num df Den df Population density Individual variability Interaction 4 990 326.55 b0.0001 1 990 1233.19 b0.0001 4 990 51.58 b0.0001 1 1 1 1 1 4 4 990 990 990 990 990 990 990 20.32 99.24 334.48 668.32 1124.59 534.94 167.31 b0.0001 b0.0001 b0.0001 b0.0001 b0.0001 b0.0001 b0.0001 4. Results (B) Effect of slices 4.1. Yield and mortality Population density The effect of population density and individual variability on yield is shown in Fig. 2 (A: total A 10 20 40 60 80 (A) Two-way heterogeneous-variance ANOVA model with Type 3 tests of fixed effects (SAS, PROC MIXED). (B) Tests of treatment levels (population density*individual variability; effect of slices). Total biomass 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 0 20 40 60 80 Initial population density 7 Commercial biomass P Individual variability 2 10 7 F value B 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 0 20 40 60 80 Initial population density Fig. 2. Biomass yield (flesh dry mass) for high individual variability (empty diamonds) and low variability (solid diamonds) groups, as a function of initial population density (10, 20, 40, 60 and 80 individuals per chamber). (A) Total yield; (B) yield of commercialsize animals. biomass; B: biomass of commercial-size individuals; commercial-size individuals are defined as those with Lz5 cm). Total yield was more variable in high variability groups than in low variability groups, irrespective of population density. At low population density, yield appeared somewhat similar for high and low interindividual variability groups. At high population density, however, yield was higher for high interindividual groups. These trends were tested using a heterogeneous-variance two-way ANOVA model (SAS, PROC MIXED; two-way heterogeneous-variance ANOVA model with Type 3 tests of fixed effects). Differences of least squares means for high and low variability varied among groups, as shown by the significant interaction in Table 1A. The differences between high and low variability groups, however, were significant for all densities tested (Table 1B; effect of slices; pb0.0001), yield being systematically higher in high-variability groups than in low-variability groups. Commercial yield was lower than total yield (Fig. 2). The effect of density and variability treatments, however, was qualitatively the same for commercial yield as for total yield (Table 2A,B). In both high and low interindividual M. Fréchette et al. / Aquaculture 246 (2005) 209–225 (A) Model Source Num df Den df Population density Individual variability Interaction 4 990 F value 226.94 P b0.0001 1 990 1207.43 b0.0001 4 990 154.02 b0.0001 1 1 1 1 1 4 4 990 990 990 990 990 990 990 170.56 536.33 376.54 234.89 41.87 52.71 192.39 b0.0001 b0.0001 b0.0001 b0.0001 b0.0001 b0.0001 b0.0001 (B) Effect of slices Population density Individual variability 10 20 40 60 80 2 10 (A) Two-way heterogeneous-variance ANOVA model with Type 3 tests of fixed effects (SAS, PROC MIXED). (B) Tests of treatment levels (population density*individual variability; effect of slices). variability cases, commercial yield decreased with increasing stocking density and the differences between high and low variability groups were significant for all densities tested (Table 2B; effect of slices; pb0.0001), commercial yield being systematically higher in high-variability groups than in lowvariability groups. To assess the effect of interindividual variability on mortality, we plotted the B–N trajectories and B– N curves generated by a single run of the model (Fig. 3). In the low variability groups, growth proceeded without mortality in all density groups, as judged from the vertical patterns of the B–N time trajectories. At the end of the runs, total biomass increased with population density to a maximum of about 3.2 g (flesh dry mass) per chamber at N=20 mussels per chamber and increased slightly at higher population density, as shown by the B–N curve. In contrast, the B–N trajectories in the high variability groups were vertical only in the N=10 mussels per chamber group. At higher initial population density, mortality occurred and the B–N trajectories were bent toward the left as growth proceeded. The strength of this pattern increased with initial population density. As in Fig. 2, maximum final biomass was higher and more variable in the high variability group than in the low variability group, except at low population density (i.e., about 10 mussels/ chamber and less). Fig. 4 shows the effect of individual variability on the envelope of the B–N diagram (bounded by the B–N curve and the ST curve) for a selected subset of the r values tested, using the same a r values as in Fig. 3. With low variability, maximum biomass was about 3.8 g dry flesh mass at N=60. The C–D region is smooth and the ST region is non existent because of the absence of mortality. As individual variability increases, so do maximum biomass and roughness of the C–D region. In addition, ST appears. At variability above r=10, maximum biomass tends to decrease and the C–D region is increasingly rough. With high individual variability (e.g., r=30), maximum biomass is low, the C–D region gets smoother and the ST region is restricted to a limited part of the range of population densities as nearly half the animals died before the first sampling date. 4.2. Optimal stocking density Mean OSD for total yield was 19.7 mussels per chamber and 42.5 mussels per chamber for the low (r=2) and high (r=10) individual variability groups, respectively (Fig. 5). Variances were heterogeneous (folded F method, s 2=0.2376, s 10=1.8961; F=63.68; 6 5 Total biomass Table 2 Effect of population density and of individual variability on commercial yield 215 4 3 2 1 0 0 20 40 60 80 Population density Fig. 3. B–N time trajectories for mussel groups with low (triangles) and high (squares) interindividual variability. Dotted lines indicate B–N curves obtained for the various groups at the end of the simulations. 216 M. Fréchette et al. / Aquaculture 246 (2005) 209–225 s=2 Biomass 7 6 6 5 5 4 4 3 3 2 2 1 1 0 0 0 Biomass 40 60 80 0 20 40 6 5 5 4 4 3 3 2 2 1 1 60 80 s=20 7 6 0 0 20 40 60 80 s=10 7 Biomass 20 s=5 7 0 s=15 7 0 20 40 6 5 5 4 4 3 3 2 2 1 1 80 s=30 7 6 60 0 0 0 20 40 60 80 Population density 0 20 40 60 80 Population density Fig. 4. Envelopes of the B–N curves as a function of interindividual variability, as measured by the standard error of the respiration parameter a r. df=99, 99; pb0.0001), therefore the test was made using Satterthwaite’s method. The estimates of OSD for low and high variability were significantly different (t=11.95; df=102; pb0.0001). Mean OSD for commercial yield was 1.0 mussel per chamber and 2.8 mussels per chamber for the low (r=2) and high (r=10) individual variability groups, respectively. Variances were heterogeneous (folded F method, s 2=0.0058, s 10=0.1590; F=752.35; df=99, 99; pb0.0001), therefore the test was made using Satterthwaite’s method. The estimates of OSD for low and high variability were significantly different (t=10.81; df=99.3; pb0.0001). 4.3. Symmetric versus asymmetric competition Variations of parameter u are shown in Fig. 6 (model parameters were the same as in Fig. 3). Two patterns emerged. First, for a given a r, u values increased with group size, indicating without surprise that competition increased with population density. Second, u values increased with increasing a r in all M. Fréchette et al. / Aquaculture 246 (2005) 209–225 Biomass 5 total 4 3 t0 2 comm 1 0 0 20 40 60 80 Initial population density Fig. 5. Mussel yield (B–N curves) as a function of initial population density. The curves are the mean of 100 runs of the model with different sets of a r values. Solid curves and dashed curves stand for the low and high variability groups, respectively. The oblique straight line labelled t 0 is the B–N curve (total biomass) at the beginning of the simulation. Total biomass and commercial biomass are the two upper and lower curves, respectively. In the present case, OSD for total yield is roughly N=19.7 for low variability groups and N=42.5 for high variability groups. For commercial yield, OSD is N=1.0 and N=2.8 for the low and high variability groups, respectively. groups. Therefore competition was asymmetric in all cases. The absence of high a r values in the N=80, high-variability group, indicates that slow-growing animals had been removed by competition. Therefore asymmetric competition affected both growth and survivorship. 5. Literature review To ascertain the extent to which size structurerelated biases are widespread in experimental procedures, we reviewed the methodology of all bivalve stocking experiments published from Vol. 1 through Vol. 224 of Aquaculture. Two of us made the review independently. We examined all experiments that included some form of study of stocking or densitydependent effects with individual size, individual mass, biomass, population density or production as response variables. We examined first, whether the papers indicated that there had been size grading, second, whether the spat used in the experiments actually had been obtained by size-grading a larger set of available spat, and third, whether size structure at the beginning of stocking experiments was the same as commercial size structure at the onset of culture, as judged either from explicit information or from unambiguous implicit considerations. Therefore, personal knowledge was left out. As some papers report more than one experiment, we report the results in terms of number of experiments, not number of papers. We found 31 studies of OSD of cultured bivalves (Table 3). These include sessile epifauna (e.g., mussels), mobile epifauna (e.g., scallops) and endofauna (e.g., clams). A total of 41 experiments were reported. Out of these 41 experiments, 17 gave explicit information about size selection of the spat. The spat was size-graded in 15 of these 17 experiments. None of the 17 accounts reported whether experimental and commercial spat populations had similar size structure. Regarding the 24 experiments where information about spat selection was not given, 3 experiments were reported with sufficient methodological detail to conclude that there was no sizerelated bias in the experiment. It could not be judged whether experimental and commercial size structures were similar in the remaining 21 experiments. Overall, commercial and experimental size structures were deemed as similar in 3 of the 41 experiments found. In the remaining studies, initial size structures were deemed as different, either because it was indicated so or because no information showed that similarity was 1.05 Competition strength 6 217 1.00 0.95 0.90 0.85 0.80 0.75 0 10 20 30 Respiration parameter (ar) Fig. 6. Plot of the index of competition strength (u) as a function of the respiration coefficient of individual mussels (a r). Empty symbols and solid symbols are for the low variability and high variability groups, respectively. Diamonds, squares and triangles are for the low (N=20), intermediate (N=40) and high (N=80) population density groups, respectively. 218 M. Fréchette et al. / Aquaculture 246 (2005) 209–225 Table 3 Criteria for rating the papers listed in Appendix C and number of experiments of each category 1) Information given? 2) Size selection? 3) Science and industry size structures similar? Y=17 Y=15 Y=0 N=15 N=24 N=2 Y=0 N=2 Y=3 N=21 The papers were published in Vol. 1 through Vol. 224 of Aquaculture. All papers which tested density effects either on individual size, individual mass, total biomass, production or population density were included in the analysis. Because some papers report more than one experiment, the numbers account for the various experiments, not the number of papers. The papers were examined according to the following criteria: first, whether the papers indicated that there had been size grading (Y=yes, N=no), second, whether the spat used in the experiments actually had been obtained by size-grading available spat, and third, whether size structure at the beginning of stocking experiments was similar to commercial size structure at the onset of culture, as judged either from explicit information or from unambiguous implicit considerations; in cases where indications were insufficient to allow firm conclusions, the answer was negative. Only bivalve papers are presented here. Other groups will be considered elsewhere. intended. There were some discrepancies in our initial ratings of a few experiments, which were overcome easily after discussing the grey zones in the accounts of experimental methodology. Nonetheless, even after discussion, two experiments (from a single paper) got different ratings. We rallied to a common standpoint about these experiments and present only a single set of results. The references of these studies are given in Appendix C. 6. Discussion Reduced growth and increased mortality are two basic consequences of competition. Therefore both should be adequately measured in competition experiments. In B–N diagrams, reduced growth and mortality are ascertained from the C–D effect and ST, respectively. In ideal situations, assuming negligible measurement error, both patterns should potentially be estimated with high accuracy. Our analysis, however, shows that this was not the case. Estimates of the C–D effect and of ST varied with the amount of individual variability in bioenergetic efficiency (Figs. 2 and 3; Sowka and Brunkow, 1999 found quite similar results in cage-cultured bonytail G. elegans which were not provided supplemental particulate food). Furthermore, the ability to estimate competition effects on growth on the one hand, and the ability to estimate effects on mortality on the other hand were mutually exclusive. Individual variability was required for estimating survival effects, at the expense of precision on growth effects (Figs. 2 and 4). Therefore B–N diagrams as depicted in Fig. 1 are incomplete accounts of competition/stocking experiments. The concept of incompleteness refers to the impossibility of specifying all aspects of a system without invoking additional axioms or variables (see Barrow, 1998). Including properties of individuals in B–N diagrams should allow better accounts of stocking experiments. This may be achieved by using variables XV, XU. . . as covariates to remove the uncertainty on individual growth performance. An obvious candidate for variables XV, XU. . . is the genetic makeup of individuals. Interindividual variability in metabolic efficiency has been related to genetic variability (Koehn and Shumway, 1982; Toro et al., 1996; Bayne et al., 1999). Here we assume that epigenetic variability has negligible effects, although it is not always the case, as found in studies of developmental stability (see Polak, 2003) and of variability of clonal animals (e.g., Archer et al., 2003a,b). The use of covariates, however, implies assumptions about the relationship between the variables involved. In the present case, removing incompleteness by using the genetic makeup of the individuals as a covariate of a r would require that the relationship between genetic makeup and a r be known not only for density-independent situations, but also for competing individuals possibly undergoing ST. Therefore all interactions between more or less genetically different individuals, some of them M. Fréchette et al. / Aquaculture 246 (2005) 209–225 dying in the process, would have to be specified. Between-genotype interactions do occur in ST, as shown by the switch from spatially autocorrelated to spatially random genetic structure in plants undergoing ST (Chung et al., 2003 and references therein). A similar situation was found in a mussel experiment where various family genotypes were grown in different combinations (Brichette et al., 2001). Growth of the various combinations of families could not be predicted from their average performance (but see Blanc and Poisson, 2003 for a counter example). Such results imply that the genetic outcome of ST is frequency-dependent. It is dependent on initial proportions of the n genotypes present in an experiment. Therefore, the use of genetic properties as a covariate would require that not only main effects be known, but also that all their possible interactions, which amounts to 2n 1 possibilities, be tested at all possible population density combinations. It may be attempted to move away from incompleteness by actually running such multi-group experiments. Considering the effect of two groups only, a full-factorial design implies an experiment three times as large as a single-group experiment. For three-group or four-group populations, the experiment becomes respectively 7-fold and 15-fold larger. In addition, with variations in the relative proportions of groups, the experiment would be inflated even more. This may be quite manageable for small n and small-sized species not requiring complex culture equipment. For fish and other species requiring large or complex culture gear, however, such a task is clearly out of practical range. The present problem of initial size variability is in some way analogous to that of comparing production of multi-species groups to that of monospecific cultures. Experimental strategies such as the replacement series or surface analysis may alleviate the burden of work in such experiments, as compared to the full-factorial design discussed above (Jolliffe, 2000). Indices are also available for such studies (Garnier et al., 1997). The problem of multispecific production may be seen as even simpler than that of initial variability because individuals from different species presumably can be assigned to their group without error. The situation is different in the problem of initial variability, where presumably assessing individual differences usually can be achieved only 219 at the expense of intrusive or destructive genetic analyses (note that in some cases, however, genetic information may be gained using non-destructive methods such as hemolymph sampling, Yanick and Heath, 2000; ecogenomics may be a useful approach, but then it would be limited to hatchery-produced spat, Dicke et al., 2004). Based on the foregoing arguments, we believe that incompleteness is pervasive in competition experiments. In the present state of (our) knowledge, it further seems that it is inescapable since it is a property of the experiment itself. In addition, it should be pointed out that results of model runs (not shown) using isometric (as opposed to allometric) relationships between bioenergetic rates and body mass were similar to those in Fig. 3, although in this case mortality did occur in both groups. The practical consequences of incompleteness vary depending on experimenters’ decisions. It is clear that maximum yield varies with interindividual variability (Fig. 2). If interindividual variability is too low, experiments will fail to reveal actual mortality patterns (Fig. 3). Furthermore, the level of interindividual variability affects OSD estimates, which were lower with low (r=2) interindividual variability, compared with those with high (r=10) individual variability (Fig. 5). Maximum yield and OSD estimates are basic aspects of biological advice to aquaculturists. According to our literature review, the issue of size structure has been overlooked in a large proportion (nearly 3/5) of bivalve stocking experiments (Table 1). Furthermore, inadequate population size structure is possibly a serious concern in roughly 9 out of 10 experiments. The data in Table 1 were obtained from a rather rigid analysis. For instance, based on a strict application of the questionnaire summarised in Table 1, Experiment A in Fréchette et al. (1996) was attributed the ratings Yes, Yes and No to the first, second and third questions, respectively, because the paper stated that the spat was obtained using a declumper/grader, but there was no mention that experimental and commercial spat size structures had actually been tested and no differences found. Based on personal knowledge, however, the paper should have earned the ratings Yes, Yes and Yes. Other cases of this sort probably occurred. Therefore our analysis of the literature may be biased toward the rating bNoQ to 220 M. Fréchette et al. / Aquaculture 246 (2005) 209–225 the third question to some extent, although the issue of failing to provide information about initial size structure unquestionably remains. A further aspect related to the question of spat-size selection is that given unlimited spat supply, aquaculturists would of course select high performers, in an attempt to boost maximum production. Simulations not shown here suggest that maximum yield would indeed increase accordingly. Therefore we are not suggesting that variability in spat be increased with the purpose of increasing yield. Maximum biomass was higher at r=10 than at r=2 only because higher variability allowed to include better performers than the baverageQ individual obtained with low variability. Increasing interindividual variability to higher levels (e.g., r=30) resulted in depressed yield because of high mortality which caused total production to be limited by the reduced number of survivors. In addition, our analysis shows that for the time being, the consequences of incompleteness of competition/ stocking experiments cannot be alleviated by the use of covariates. It appears, therefore, that the only practical way to avoid biased advice is to use experimental sizes similar to those of cultured populations. A related point is the necessity to repeat stocking experiments if actual size structure of spat changes through time. This would occur if spat availability varied from year to year and growers adjusted the size structure of commercial spat to take advantage of the abundance of preferred sizes. Although these considerations may sound as truisms, they were overlooked in a large proportion of the studies we reviewed (Table 1). A similar situation is encountered in studies of competition in non-cultured bivalve populations. In some cases, experimenters maintained size structure in their plots as similar as possible to that of the natural population (e.g., Peterson, 1982). In other cases, however, it was preferred to select sizes in order to limit individual variability in an effort to reduce measurement error on growth (Alunno-Bruscia et al., 2000; Beal et al., 2001; Petraitis, 2002). Therefore the issue of incompleteness and its practical consequences is not restricted to aquaculture research. Intraspecific competition in bivalves has been reported to be asymmetric in many instances (Bertness and Grosholz, 1985; Montaudouin and Bachelet, 1996; Fréchette et al., 2000; Brichette et al., 2001). Asymmetric competition in bivalves has been thought to require some form of interference (Peterson, 1982; Fréchette and Bourget, 1985). Brichette et al. (2001) performed an extensive study of mussel growth in a design that allowed quantifying the relative importance of symmetric and asymmetric modes of competition. They found a mixture of both effects, which might be attributed to the presence of more than one competition mechanism (in mussels, possibly impaired shell gaping and food regulation: Fréchette and Despland, 1999). Joint asymmetric and symmetric components of competition have also been found in plants and interpreted as reflecting the action of more than one competition mechanism (Thomas and Weiner, 1989). Our simulations, however, suggest that competition may have both asymmetric and symmetric components, although only a single competition mechanism is present, i.e., food regulation. Apparently symmetric effects were brought about by differences in group size while asymmetric effects were caused by variability in bioenergetic efficiency. Other simulation results (not shown here) predict that B–N trajectories of identical plants or animals would behave in an all-or-nothing fashion, with all individuals surviving or all dying simultaneously. These results are quite similar to those obtained experimentally by Puntieri (1993, Fig. 6) with populations of the plant Galium aparine which did not exhibit size hierarchy. In these G. aparine populations, B–N time trajectories increased vertically to a point where they bifurcated abruptly toward the origin of the B–N space instead of moving toward a classical ST curve. This reveals that large proportions of the populations died at once, instead of progressively as found in classical ST. Therefore, our model results were consistent with both typical and atypical ST patterns. This suggests that the concept of incompleteness of competition experiments is amenable to experimental testing. Acknowledgements We thank P. Petraitis, F. Guichard and J.-M. Sévigny for critical discussions. This study was supported by the authors’ institutions and Région Poitou-Charente, France, and IFREMER. M. Fréchette et al. / Aquaculture 246 (2005) 209–225 Appendix A. List of model parameters and variables Parameter Symbol Value Units Volume of reservoirs Water flow rate Water temperature Phytoplankton energy density V 10 l r T 432 14.0 Initial mussel soft tissue mass Filtering coefficient Filtering exponent Assimilation efficiency Respiration exponent for mass Respiration exponent for temperature Average respiration coefficient Critical thinning factor Coefficient of length–mass relationship Exponent of length–mass relationship Population density Individual size (shell length) Individual mussel soft tissue mass m0 q af 10.4 Jl 1 50.88 0.408 ea 0.85 b 0.844 c 1.358 N0 ¼ ð g ð1 k Þ 0:058 þ qffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffi ½ gð1 k Þ 0:0582 þ 0:116ðg 0:029Þ 0:058 Þ ð1=kÞ ð2AÞ (Alunno-Bruscia et al., 2000) (Bayne and Widdows, 1978; in Thompson, 1984) l day1 (Fréchette and Bacher, 1998) (Fréchette and Bacher, 1998) (Fréchette and Bacher, 1998) (Fréchette and Bacher, 1998) (Fréchette and Bacher, 1998) 13.584 J day1 (Fréchette and Bacher, 1998) n 0.66 a 0.003 Alunno-Bruscia, unpublished b 3 Alunno-Bruscia, unpublished N and solve Eq. (1A) for N 0 with the condition BB/ BN=0.029. The solution is N 0 is an estimate of OSD. Appendix C. List of papers used for the analysis of published bivalve stocking experiments 0.029 g a ar l day1 8C Source 221 L mussels reservoir1 cm m g Appendix B. Estimation of OSD To estimate OSD, we use the derivative of B=gN/ (1+N k ), which is g 1 þ ð1 k ÞN k BB=BN ¼ ð1AÞ 2 ð1 þ N k Þ Beal, B.F., Kraus, M.G., 2002. Interactive effects of initial size, stocking density, and type of predator deterrent netting on survival and growth of cultured juveniles of the soft-shell clam, Mya arenaria L., in eastern Maine. Aquaculture 208, 81–111. Beal, B.F., Lithgow, C.D., Shaw, D.P., Renshaw, S., Ouellette, D., 1995. Overwintering hatchery-reared individuals of the soft-shell clam, Mya arenaria L.: a field test of site, clam size and intraspecific density. Aquaculture 130, 145–158. Dare, P.J., Davies, G., 1975. 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