Risk Factors for Intracranial Hemorrhage in Acute Ischemic Stroke Patients Treated With Recombinant Tissue Plasminogen Activator A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of 55 Studies William N. Whiteley, PhD; Karsten B ruins Slot, MD; Peter Fernandes, BM, BCh; Peter Sandercock, MD; Joanna Wardlaw, MD Downloaded from http://stroke.ahajournals.org/ by guest on June 18, 2017 Background and Purpose—Recombinant tissue plasminogen activator (rtPA) is an effective treatment for acute ischemic stroke but is associated with an increased risk of intracranial hemorrhage (ICH). We sought to identify the risk factors for ICH with a systematic review of the published literature. Methods—We searched for studies of r tPA-treated stroke patients that reported an association between a variable measured before rtPA infusion and clinically important ICH (parenchymal ICH or ICH associated with clinical deterioration). We calculated associations between baseline variables and ICH with random-effect meta-analyses. Results—We identified 55 studies that measured 43 baseline variables in 65 264 acute ischemic stroke patients. Post-rtPA ICH was associated with higher age (odds ratio, 1.03 per year; 95% confidence interval, 1.01–1.04), higher stroke severity (odds ratio, 1.08 per National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale point; 95% confidence interval, 1.06–1.11), and higher glucose (odds ratio, 1.10 per mmol/L; 95% confidence interval, 1.05–1.14). There was approximately a doubling of the odds of ICH with the presence of atrial fibrillation, congestive heart failure, renal impairment, previous antiplatelet agents, leukoaraiosis, and a visible acute cerebral ischemic lesion on pretreatment brain imaging. Little of the variation in the sizes of the associations among different studies was explained by the source of the cohort, definition of ICH, or degree of adjustment for confounding variables. Conclusions—Individual baseline variables were modestly associated with p ost-rtPA ICH. Prediction of p ost-rtPA ICH therefore is likely to be difficult if based on single clinical or imaging factors alone. These observational data do not provide a reliable method for the individualization of treatment according to predicted ICH risk. (Stroke. 2012;43:2904-2909.) Key Words: acute stroke ◼ meta-analysis ◼ systematic review ◼ thrombolysis T mmHg because of concerns that the risk of ICH is higher in patients outside these criteria. However, there is no convincing evidence that those at highest risk for p ost-rtPA ICH do not benefit from treatment. The risk factors for post-rtPA ICH and the strength of any association therefore are of great relevance, particularly to the currently defined thresholds for the use of rtPA defined in acute stroke guidelines.5,6 We therefore aimed to review systematically the published literature reporting the associations between variables available before treatment with post-rtPA ICH, to quantify the direction and magnitude of the effects, and to determine whether any important study-level variables modified the size of the associations and so provide best evidence to predict ICH after rtPA. hrombolytic treatment with intravenous recombinant tissue plasminogen activator (rtPA) is an effective treatment for acute ischemic stroke. However, it increases the risk of intracranial hemorrhage (ICH), which is otherwise uncommon in ischemic stroke.1 Thrombolysis with rtPA increases the odds of ICH by ≈4-fold; ≈27 extra fatal ICH occur for every 1000 patients treated.2 Large or symptomatic ICH that are not immediately fatal are associated with an increased risk of subsequent death or disability.3 Clinicians may overestimate the risk of ICH when they treat patients with rtPA, and so they inappropriately avoid treatment.4 The current European license restricts the use of rtPA to stroke patients younger than age 80 years, patients without severe strokes, and those with systolic blood pressure <180 Received May 21, 2012; accepted August 20, 2012. From the Division of Clinical Neurosciences, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK (W.N.W., P.F., P.S., J.W.); Oslo University Hospital-Ullevål, Oslo, Norway (K.B.S.); Scottish Imaging Network, A Platform for Scientific Excellence (SINAPSE) Collaboration, Edinburgh, UK (J.W.). Bo Norrving, MD, PhD, was the guest editor for this article. The online-only Data Supplement is available with this article at http://stroke.ahajournals.org/lookup/suppl/doi:10.1161/STROKEAHA.112. 665331/-/DC1. Correspondence to Dr William Whiteley, Division of Clinical Neurosciences, University of Edinburgh, Western General Hospital, Edinburgh, EH4 2XU. E-mail [email protected] © 2012 American Heart Association, Inc. Stroke is available at http://stroke.ahajournals.org DOI:10.1161/STROKEAHA.112.665331 2904 Whiteley et al Risk Factors for Intracranial Hemorrhage After rtPA 2905 Materials and Methods We systematically searched for published cohort studies of patients with acute ischemic stroke treated with intravenous rtPA that reported the associations between pretreatment variables with posttreatment ICH. We applied the methods recommended in the M eta-analysis of Observational Studies in Epidemiology (MOOSE) guidelines.7 The study protocol is available on the web site of the Division of Clinical Neurosciences, University of Edinburgh (tinyurl.com/7czs5oe). Study Inclusion Criteria Studies were eligible if they: (1) enrolled ischemic stroke patients treated with intravenous rtPA, (either into observational cohorts or the treatment arms of trials of rtPA); (2) measured variables available to a clinician before the infusion of rtPA; (3) were primary studies rather than pooling projects (to prevent double counting of the individual cohorts); and (4) recorded at least 10 ICH within the first 10 days after treatment, because this is the minimum number needed to measure an association reliably.8 Downloaded from http://stroke.ahajournals.org/ by guest on June 18, 2017 Search Strategy We searched Medline and EMBASE from inception to August 2011 (Supplementary Materials I), and we supplemented this by searching our personal files and citations of relevant studies. We did not limit our search by language. Data Extraction Three authors (W.W., K.B.S., and P.F.) read the abstracts of retrieved studies and reviewed the full text of those that appeared relevant. Two authors read each abstract and resolved differences by discussion with a third author if necessary. We extracted data into an electronic database. We recorded study-level characteristics that might bias the estimates of associations within each study: the nature of the study (randomized controlled trial or observational cohort); losses to f ollow-up; and statistical methods. We then recorded (or calculated from figure presented) the odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) between baseline variables and ICH. For each OR, we recorded the degree of adjustment for confounding (for age, stroke severity, or other factors), the method of measurement of the baseline variables, the number of ICH, the number of patients with the baseline variables measured, and the definition of ICH used by the investigators. When a study gave both unadjusted and adjusted OR, we recorded the adjusted OR. Where a continuous variable was not examined continuously but was dichotomized or a dichotomy could be calculated, we recorded the cut-off point; when a variable had more divisions and a dichotomy could not be calculated, we recorded the comparison of the extreme thirds. When a study defined ICH in several ways we used the definition of symptomatic ICH, which gave the greatest number of ICH, unless it was clear that the focus of the study was to record a particular hemorrhage definition. Data were extracted twice for each study to reduce transcription errors. We tried to avoid double counting of cohorts, which would have artificially increased the precision of the effect sizes. Definition of ICH We defined clinically important p ost-rtPA ICH as “any visible hemorrhage associated with any neurological deterioration,”9 “any visible hemorrhage with significant neurological deterioration,”10,11 “parenchymal hemorrhage with or without neurological deterioration,”12 and “parenchymal hemorrhage with significant neurological deterioration”13 (Supplementary Materials II). Analysis We calculated a weighted estimate of the proportions of patients with each definition of ICH by m eta-analyzing the inverse v ariance- weighted proportions from each study. For each association, we calculated the natural log of the OR and the standard error of the log ratio. We used random-effects meta-analysis, which assumes that the true underlying effect size varies between studies, to calculate summary OR and 95% CI. We used random-effects m eta-regression to explore the extent to which study design, degree of adjustment for confounding factors, and definition of ICH explained b etween-study heterogeneity for those associations with >10 studies. We assessed heterogeneity between study estimates using the I2 statistic,14 with thresholds for low, moderate, and high degrees of heterogeneity and very high heterogeneity at 25%, 50%, and 75%, respectively. We inspected funnel plots and used Egger test to examine for evidence of publication bias15 for those associations described in >10 studies. We used Stata 11 for the analysis. Results Included Studies We identified 55 studies that met our inclusion criteria (Figure 1) that measured associations between baseline variables and post-rtPA ICH (median 2 associations per study; interquartile range, 1–6), a total of 3953 ICH in 65 264 acute ischemic stroke patients. Studies were based in Europe (24), North America (14), or East Asia (4), or they were multiregional (13). Almost all studies used rtPA at the currently recommended dose of 0.9 mg/kg; 54 papers were written in English and 1 was w ritten in Japanese. Eleven studies were of rtPA- treated patients from randomized controlled trials of rtPA and other acute stroke treatments, and 44 were prospective cohort studies. No study reported losses to follow-up before the occurrence of post-rtPA ICH. The analysis examined 43 baseline variables, each of which was examined in between 1 and 22 studies. For each variable there were a median of 136 hemorrhages (interquartile range, 33–347) and a median of 3215 stroke patients treated with rtPA (interquartile range, 640–10 707). The characteristics of the included studies are summarized in Supplementary Tables III and IV. Definition of Post-rtPA ICH Most studies used a definition of “any visible hemorrhage with any neurological deterioration” (26/55), fewer used the definition “any visible hemorrhage with significant neurological deterioration” (12/55) and “parenchymal hemorrhage with or without neurological deterioration” (9/55), and fewest used the definition “parenchymal hemorrhage with significant neurological deterioration” (8/55). There was variation in the timing of the measurement of hemorrhage for each hemorrhage definition. (Table) There was ≈3-fold difference in the proportion of patients with a reported post-rtPA ICH between studies that reported hemorrhage as “parenchymal hemorrhage with significant neurological deterioration” (4.1%) and those that reported hemorrhage as “parenchymal hemorrhage with or without neurological deterioration” (12.2%; Table). The definition “any hemorrhage with significant deterioration” was the only definition for which the proportion of patients with post-rtPA ICH varied little between studies (ie, low statistical heterogeneity; I2=0%). Associations Between Baseline Variables With Post-rtPA Hemorrhage Figure 2 shows the results of a m eta-analysis for each of the 43 baseline variables. Older age was associated with a significantly increased risk of post- rtPA ICH across all studies with moderate to low heterogeneity in the size of estimates, when modeled as a continuous variable (OR, 1.03 2906 Stroke November 2012 Figure 1. PRISMA diagram and study identification. Downloaded from http://stroke.ahajournals.org/ by guest on June 18, 2017 per year), or when dichotomized at 65 years (1 study; OR, 2.63; 95% CI, 1.16–6.90), 70 years (1 study; OR, 4.12; 95% CI, 1.10–15.4), 80 years (5 studies; pooled OR, 1.25; 95% CI, 0.82–1.90; P=0.31; I2=0%), or 90 years (1 study; OR, 1.78; 95% CI, 0.39–8.59). The associations between post-rtPA ICH with the following variables were all statistically significant: renal impairment (OR, 2.79), congestive heart failure (OR, 1.96), atrial fibrillation (OR, 1.86), a previous diagnosis of hypertension (OR, 1.50), ischemic heart disease (OR, 1.54), and prescription of a statin before stroke (OR, 1.72). Smoking was associated with a lower risk of post-rtPA ICH (OR, 0.70). Furthermore, for each of these estimates there was no significant Table. Definitions of Intracranial Hemorrhage in the Included Studies Components of Hemorrhage Definition Any hemorrhage with any neurological deterioration Any hemorrhage with significant neurological deterioration Any parenchymal hemorrhage, with or without neurological deterioration Parenchymal hemorrhage with significant neurological deterioration Clinical Deterioration (N of Studies) Radiological Change (N of Studies) Follow-Up Scan (N of Studies) N of Studies (%) % Hemorrhage (CI) Any (23) Any hemorrhage (25) <36 h (21) 26 (47) 5.3% (4.6%–6.0%) NIHSS score >1 (3) Parenchymal (1) NIHSS score >4 (12) Any hemorrhage (12) <48 h (22) <7 d (23) Not recorded (3) <36 h (3) NA NIHSS score >4 (8) Any parenchymal hemorrhage (9) Any parenchymal hemorrhage (3) Type 2 parenchymal hemorrhage (5) <72 h (5) <7 d (9) Not recorded (3) <36 h (3) <48 h (4) <72 h (5) <7 d (6) <30 d (7) Not recorded (2) <36 h (7) <10 d (8) CI indicates 95% confidence interval; NA, not available; NIHSS, National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale. The proportion of patients with each hemorrhage definition was calculated by a r andom-effects meta-analysis. I2=82% 12 (23) 6.5% (5.8%–7.2%) I2=0% 9 (18) 12.2% (8.6–15.7%) I2=79% 8 (16) 4.1% (2.7%–5.5%) I2=88% Whiteley et al Risk Factors for Intracranial Hemorrhage After rtPA 2907 Variable OR (95% CI) Number of studies p I2 Downloaded from http://stroke.ahajournals.org/ by guest on June 18, 2017 Figure 2. Summary odds ratios for the associations between baseline variables measured in stroke patients treated with recombinant tissue plasminogen activator (rtPA) and subsequent intracranial hemorrhage. The size of each square is proportional to the number of contributing studies and the horizontal line indicates the 95% CI. aPTT, activated partial throm boplastin time; ASPECTS, Alberta Stroke Program Early CT Score; cFn, cellular fibronectin; MCA, middle cerebral artery; MMP-9, matrix metalloproteinase 9; NIHSS, National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale score; VAP-1/SSAO, vascular adhesion protein-1/semicarbazide- sensitive amine oxidase. haemorrhage OR (95% CI) haemorrhage b etween-studyvariationinthesizeoftheestimates(Supplementary Materials and Supplementary Figures I–XI). Higher stroke severity, measured by the National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale score, was associated with a higher risk of p ost-rtPA ICH with low heterogeneity, when modeled as a continuous variable (OR, 1.08 per point increase), or as a dichotomized measure (3 studies, National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale score thresholds 5, 15, and 20, 1 study each) or trichotomized measure (2 studies at 5 and 20 and at 18 and 7). Patients using antiplatelet agents at the time of treatment with rtPA had a higher risk of ICH (OR, 2.08; 95% CI, 1.46– 2.97), although this summary estimate had high heterogeneity (I2=74%) that was not explained by the number or type of antiplatelets prescribed (when reported). Higher blood glucose levels were associated with a significantly higher risk of post-rtPA ICH, with a moderate degree of heterogeneity (I2=26%) when modeled as a continuous variable (OR, 1.10 per mmol/L), and when divided at 8 or 10 mmol/L (I2=39%). We found surprisingly few associations between systolic blood pressure with p ost-rtPA ICH (6 studies) with a high degree of heterogeneity in the size of the estimates from different studies, whether examined as a continuous variable (I2=67%) or dichotomous variable (I2=35%). The overall estimate was consistent with a small decrease and a larger increase in the risk of ICH with higher blood pressure. Later timing of thrombolysis did not increase the risk of ICH significantly, although the studies reported time as a dichotomous rather than continuous variable. The presence of a visible brain imaging lesion was associated with a higher risk of ICH, whether recorded as the “presence of any lesion” vs “no visible lesion” (OR, 2.39; I2=49%; 14 studies) or by larger vs smaller lesion extent as a dichotomized ASPECTS score (OR, 3.46; I2=14% split at 5 [2 studies], 7 [3 studies], or 8 [1 study]). A random-effects m eta-regression analysis showed no significant effect of the definition of the lesion size on the strength of the association (>33% of middle cerebral artery territory vs any visible lesion: OR, 2.07; 95% CI, 0.81–5.27; P=0·12). The presence vs absence of leukoaraiosis on baseline imaging was associated with an increased risk of p ost-rtPA hemorrhage (OR, 2·45) with low heterogeneity. Assessment of Heterogeneity We were unable to demonstrate that the definition of ICH, study design (randomized trial vs observational cohort), or degree of adjustment for confounding factors in the original studies explained a statistically significant proportion of 2908 Stroke November 2012 b etween-study heterogeneity in the strength of the association between post-rtPA ICH with any of: age; smoking; any computed tomography low density; National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale score; gender; diabetes; previous hypertension; glucose; visible brain lesion; use of previous antiplatelets; and atrial fibrillation (baseline variables with >10 measured associations). Two studies16,17 compared the association between baseline variables with different ways of defining p ost-rtPA ICH within the study population; there was no evidence in these studies that hemorrhage definition explained heterogeneity in the strength of the associations between p ost-rtPA ICH with antiplatelet agents, National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale, age, systolic blood pressure, or glucose level. Assessment of Publication Bias Downloaded from http://stroke.ahajournals.org/ by guest on June 18, 2017 We found no evidence for publication bias for any of the associations of p ost-rtPA ICH with age, smoking, any computed tomography low density, National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale score, gender, diabetes, previous hypertension, glucose, visible brain lesion, and atrial fibrillation. There was, however, evidence of significant small study bias for the association between post-rtPA ICH with the prescription of antiplatelets (P<0.001; Egger bias coefficient 1.92; 95% CI, 1.15–2.69), although 1 study had a significant influence on this statistic. Discussion We found moderate and positive associations between post-rtPA ICH with older age, higher neurological impairment, higher plasma glucose, antiplatelets, statins, computed tomography changes of acute ischemic stroke, leukoarioisis, and the presence of atrial fibrillation, diabetes, previous ischemic heart or cerebral vascular diseases, and congestive cardiac failure. The associations of these factors with p ost-rtPA hemorrhage were modest and they are unlikely–at least when measured individually–to predict whether an individual patient will experience a post-rtPA ICH. The presence or absence of any of these variables does not appear to be a reliable way to decide whether to treat an acute stroke patient with intravenous rtPA. The definition of ICH used by each study had an effect on the prevalence of ICH but did not materially alter the relative measures of association of baseline variables with the occurrence of ICH. The apparently protective effect of smoking on post-rtPA ICH is probably analogous to the “smoker’s paradox” first observed in large trials of thrombolysis for myocardial infarction. There is a similar apparent improvement in survival of smokers after ischemic stroke.18 The improved survival compared with that of nonsmokers after myocardial infarction is largely accounted for by the younger age and less advanced atherosclerosis at the time of presentation. Because we only had access to group data, we have not been able to examine whether this association in stroke patients attenuated after adjusting for age and degree of neurological impairment. Antiplatelet agents were associated with an increased risk of post-rtPA ICH. We did not observe a significant dose– response with the number of antiplatelet agents prescribed across studies. The recent ARTIS trial tested the addition of aspirin to rtPA, and demonstrated an increased risk of postrtPA ICH in patients treated with aspirin (risk ratio 2.78, 95% CI:1.01 to 7.63). This is similar to the association we observed in our systematic review (OR 2.08 95% CI: 1.46 to 2.97), and strongly suggests a causal relationship between antiplatelets and the risk of intracranial haemorrhage.19 Most of the clinical risk factors for ICH after rtPA also have been associated with poor prognosis after stroke.20 The extent to which confounding by other risk factors explains each association is difficult to judge from this systematic review, because even though we could not demonstrate a significant attenuation in the size of the associations with increasing adjustment for age, stroke severity, or other factors, these analyses lacked statistical power because the comparisons were made between studies rather than within study. Systematic reviews of prognostic variables are methodologically challenging, and methods for such reviews are developing and improving. We did not search the gray literature, and so we may have missed some studies, although we did not find much evidence of publication or other small study biases in the associations we measured (other than for antiplatelet medication). Despite our efforts to prevent it, it is possible that some cohorts were d ouble-counted, which may have led to inappropriately overstated precision of the reported effect sizes. We did not find a sufficient number of studies that examined either systolic blood pressure or timing of thrombolysis as continuous variables to draw strong conclusions. Where we were able to examine time to treatment, it was simply dichotomized into later vs earlier treatment, and the pooled estimate for association between later time of treatment and ICH was not statistically significant. This was consistent with the results of an analysis of pooled data from the ATLANTIS, ECASS, and NINDS trials, which did not show any clear gradient in the risk of ICH with increasing delay to treatment.21 This may reflect confounding by the degree of neurological impairment (because patients with more severe strokes tend to arrive in hospital earlier). ICH after treatment of acute stroke patients with rtPA might be avoided by not treating patients at high predicted risk for ICH. At least 7 multivariate models have been constructed to predict the risk of ICH after treatments with rtPA.22–28 Each model had modest predictive power in validation datasets, although none of these studies reported the raw associations between factors and p ost-rtPA ICH. However, none of these studies establishes whether treatment with rtPA was of less benefit to those with a higher predicted risk of post-rtPA ICH. There are 2 potentially modifiable baseline clinical variables associated with p ost-rtPA hemorrhage, increased blood glucose, and increased blood pressure. Neither the lowering of blood glucose29 nor the lowering of blood pressure30 is associated with less death or disability after acute stroke in completed randomized trials, but it is possible that correction of increased blood pressure or glucose might mitigate the increased risk of ICH with rtPA treatment. The findings of this review may help clinicians to make modest predictions about the risk of ICH in individual patients. ICH after rtPA is more likely to be seen in patients who are older, with substantial comorbidities and more severe strokes, and in those using antiplatelet agents and with visible abnormalities on baseline computed tomography imaging. This might aid communication with patients and their relatives, Whiteley et al Risk Factors for Intracranial Hemorrhage After rtPA 2909 although this probably should not influence the decision whether to administer rtPA, because no variable measured at baseline–other than time to treatment–has shown a significant interaction with the net benefit of treatment on subsequent death or disability. Conclusions Factors that predict ICH after treatment with rtPA are similar to the factors that predict poor outcome after stroke. The modest association between these factors and p ost-rtPA ICH means accurate identification of those patients most likely to experience an ICH with treatment is difficult. Without clear evidence that ischemic stroke patients with higher predicted risk of post-rtPA ICH experience net harm or have no worthwhile benefit from treatment, these data do not provide a reliable means to select the patients least likely to be harmed and most likely to gain net benefit from intravenous rtPA. Downloaded from http://stroke.ahajournals.org/ by guest on June 18, 2017 Disclosures Dr Whiteley is supported by a Clinician Scientist Fellowship from the UK Medical Research Council (G0902303). Dr Bruins Slot is a member of the European Medicine Agency Committee for Medicinal Products for Human Use and Cardiovascular Working Party. The views expressed in this article are the personal views of the author and may not be understood or quoted as being made on behalf of or reflecting the position of the European Medicines Agency or one of its committees or working parties. 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The angiotensin-receptor blocker candesartan for treatment of acute stroke (SCAST): a randomised, placebo-controlled, double-blind trial. Lancet. 2011;377:741–750. Risk Factors for Intracranial Hemorrhage in Acute Ischemic Stroke Patients Treated With Recombinant Tissue Plasminogen Activator: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of 55 Studies William N. Whiteley, Karsten Bruins Slot, Peter Fernandes, Peter Sandercock and Joanna Wardlaw Downloaded from http://stroke.ahajournals.org/ by guest on June 18, 2017 Stroke. 2012;43:2904-2909; originally published online September 20, 2012; doi: 10.1161/STROKEAHA.112.665331 Stroke is published by the American Heart Association, 7272 Greenville Avenue, Dallas, TX 75231 Copyright © 2012 American Heart Association, Inc. All rights reserved. Print ISSN: 0039-2499. 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Reprints: Information about reprints can be found online at: http://www.lww.com/reprints Subscriptions: Information about subscribing to Stroke is online at: http://stroke.ahajournals.org//subscriptions/ SUPPLEMENTAL MATERIAL Webtable 1 Electronic search strategy (Medline) 1 Cerebrovascular disorders/ 2 exp Brain ischemia/ 3 Carotid artery diseases/ or Carotid artery thrombosis/ 4 stroke/ or exp brain infarction/ 5 exp Hypoxia-ischemia, brain/ 6 Cerebral arterial diseases/ or Intracranial arterial diseases/ 7 exp "Intracranial embolism and thrombosis"/ 8 (stroke$ or apoplex$ or cerebral vasc$ or cerebrovasc$ or cva or transient isch?emic attack$ or tia$).tw. 9 (brain or cerebr$ or cerebell$ or vertebrobasil$ or hemispher$ or intracran$ or intracerebral or infratentorial or supratentorial or middle cerebr$ or mca$ or anterior circulation).tw. 10 (isch?emi$ or infarct$ or thrombo$ or emboli$ or occlus$ or hypoxi$).tw. 11 9 and 10 12 1 or 2 or 3 or 4 or 5 or 6 or 7 or 8 or 11 13 Thrombolytic therapy/ 14 Fibrinolysis/ 15 exp plasminogen activators/ 16 Fibrinolytic agents/ or Plasmin/ or Plasminogen/ 17 (thromboly$ or fibrinoly$ or clot lysis).tw. 18 (plasminogen or plasmin or tPA or t-PA or rtPA or rt-PA).tw. 19 (alteplase).tw. 20 exp "intracranial embolism and thrombosis"/dt or Thromboembolism/dt 21 Thrombosis/dt [Drug Therapy] 22 or/13-21 23 12 and 22 24 randomized controlled trial.pt. 25 randomized controlled trials/ 26 controlled clinical trial.pt. 27 controlled clinical trials/ 28 random allocation/ 29 double-blind method/ 30 single-blind method/ 31 single-blind method/ 32 ((singl$ or doubl$ or tripl$ or trebl$) adj25 (blind$ or mask$)).tw. 33 placebos/ 34 placebo$.tw. 35 random$.tw. 36 research design/ 37 clinical trial phase ii.pt. 38 clinical trial phase iii.pt. 39 clinical trial phase iv.pt. 40 multicenter study.pt. 41 intervention studies/ 42 control$.tw. 43 latin square.tw. 44 "comparative study"/ 45 exp evaluation studies/ 46 Follow-up studies/ 47 Prospective studies/ 48 prospective.tw. 49 (versus or allocat$).tw. 50 experimental group$.tw. 51 or/24-50 52 23 and 51 53 limit 52 to human Web table 2 Post rtPA haemorrhage as defined in important clinical trials of rtPA in stroke and the SITS-MOST register. ECASS 1 hemorrhagic events were classified as HI types I and II and PH types I and II. HI I is defined as small petechiae along the margins of the infarct, while HI II represents more confluent petechiae within the infracted area, but without space-occupying effect. PH I is defined as blood clot not exceeding 30% ofthe infarcted area with some mild space-occupying effect, and PH II represents dense blood clot(s) exceeding 30% of the infarct volume with significant space-occupying effect. CT at 24 hrs and 6-8 days and discretion of investigator.(16) NINDS symptomatic: Symptomatic ICH was defined as a CT-documented hemorrhage that was temporally related to deterioration in the patient's clinical condition in the judgment of the clinical investigator. Symptomatic ICH attributable to study medication was defined, before completion of the randomized study, as symptomatic hemorrhage that occurred within 36 hours from treatment onset. Scans at 24h 7-10 days and discretion of investigator. (13) NINDS asymptomatic: Asymptomatic ICH was defined as CT-documented hemorrhage that was not associated with deterioration in the patient's neurological condition in the judgment of the clinical investigator. Scans at 24h 7-10 days and discretion of investigator.(13) ECASS 2: symptomatic: Symptomatic intracranial haemorrhage was defined as blood at any site in the brain on the CT scan (as assessed by the CT reading panel, independently of the assessment by the investigator), documentation by the investigator of clinical deterioration, or adverse events indicating clinical worsening (eg, drowsiness, increase of hemiparesis) or causing a decrease in the NIHSS score of 4 or more points. Scans at 2236 hr and day 7. (14) ECASS 3: symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage was defined as any apparently extravascular blood in the brain or within the cranium that was associated with clinical deterioration, as defined by an increase of 4 points or more in the score on the NIHSS, or that led to death and that was identified as the predominant cause of the neurologic deterioration. Scans at 22-36 hr and at discretion of investigator. (15) SIST MOST: symptomatic intracerebral haemorrhage and death within 3 months. Symptomatic intracerebral haemorrhage, per the SITS-MOST protocol, was defined as local or remote parenchymal haemorrhage type 2 on the 22–36 h post-treatment imaging scan, combined with a neurological deterioration of 4 points or more on the NIHSS from baseline, or from the lowest NIHSS value between baseline and 24 h, or leading to death. Scan at 22-36 Hr. (17) Webtable 3 Characteristics of included studies First author Year NINDS (1) 1997 Larrue (2) Number of haemorrhages Number of patients Randomised trial Study definition of haemorrhage 22 311 Yes NINDS 1997 62 307 No ECASS-2 PH Demchuk (3) 1999 13 138 Yes Barber (4) 2000 10 156 Patel (5) 2001 20 Larrue (6) 2001 Bruno (7) Imaging definition of haemorrhage Timing of haemorrhage measurement (hours/days) Clinical definition of haemorrhage Number of associations Any 36 hrs Any 3 PH1/2 7 days Not necessary 2 NINDS Any 36 hrs Any 6 No NINDS Any 24 hrs Any 4 312 Yes NINDS Any 36 hrs Any 1 26 407 Yes ECASS-2 Any 7 days >4 4 2002 . . Yes NINDS Any 36 hrs Any 1 Tanne (8) 2002 . 826 No NINDS Any 36 hrs Any 13 Schmulling (9) 2003 13 206 No NINDS PH1/2 7 days NR 2 Trouillas (10) 2004 11 157 No ECASS-2 PH PH1/2 24 hrs Not necessary 9 Hill (11) 2005 52 1100 No NINDS Any 24 hrs Any 2 Chen (12) 2005 12 183 No ECASS-2 Any 7 days >4 1 Kakuda (13) 2005 12 70 Yes ECASS-2 PH PH1/2 30 days Not necessary 1 Engelter (14) 2005 29 325 No NINDS Any 36 hrs Any 1 Demchuk (15) 2005 16 300 Yes NINDS Any 36 hrs Any 1 Berrouschot (16) 2005 14 228 No ECASS-2 PH PH1/2 NR Not necessary 1 Sylaja (17) 2006 52 1135 No NINDS Any 24 hrs Any 1 Kohrmann (18) 2006 24 382 No NINDS Any 36 hrs Any 2 Neumann-Haefelin (19) 2006 14 363 No NINDS Any 36 hrs Any 1 Meseguer (20) 2007 11 129 No ECASS-2 Any 24 hrs >4 1 Thomalla (21) 2007 15 152 No ECASS-2 PH PH1/2 NR Not necessary 6 First author Year Palumbo (22) 2007 Castellanos (23) Number of haemorrhages Number of patients Randomised trial Study definition of haemorrhage 28 820 No NINDS 2007 12 134 No ECASS-2 PH Tsivgoulis (24) 2007 12 192 No Schellinger (25) 2007 54 1210 Fiehler (26) 2007 18 Uyttenboogaart (27) 2008 Singer (28) Imaging definition of haemorrhage Timing of haemorrhage measurement (hours/days) Clinical definition of haemorrhage Number of associations Any 24 hrs Any 2 PH1/2 36 hrs Not necessary 4 ECASS-2 Any 72 hrs >4 1 No NINDS Any 36 hrs Any 2 570 No SITS-MOST PH2 10 days >4 1 13 252 No NINDS Any 48 hrs Any 17 2008 28 536 No NINDS Any 36 hrs >1 1 Bravo (29) 2008 26 605 No SITS-MOST PH1/2 36 hrs >4 15 Saqqur (30) 2008 26 349 Yes ECASS-2 Any 72 hrs >4 5 Lyrer (31) 2008 12 196 No NINDS Any 36v Any 1 Wahlgren (32) 2008 107 6483 No SITS-MOST PH2 36 hrs >4 17 Uyttenboogaart (33) 2008 11 301 No SITS-MOST PH1/2 36 hrs >4 3 Demchuk (34) 2008 16 299 Yes NINDS Any 24 hrs Any 1 Butcher (35) 2009 11 49 Yes ECASS-2 PH PH1/2 72 hrs Not necessary 1 Diedler (36) 2009 832 11736 No NINDS Any NR Any 6 Bluhmki (37) 2009 33 418 No ECASS-3 Any NR >4 10 Tsivgoulis (38) 2009 31 510 No ECASS-2 Any 36 hrs >4 10 Poppe (39) 2009 49 1098 No NINDS Any 24 hrs Any 1 Cucchiara (40) 2009 54 965 Yes ECASS-2 Any 36v >4 18 Aries (41) 2009 24 384 No SITS-MOST PH2 36 hrs >4 1 Nezu (42) 2010 15 477 No SITS-MOST PH1/2 36 hrs >4 1 Mateen (43) 2010 12 270 No NINDS Any NR Any 1 Miedema (44) 2010 29 476 No SITS-MOST PH2 36 >4 1 First author Year Meretoja (45) 2010 Hernandez-Guillamon (46) Number of haemorrhages Number of patients Randomised trial Study definition of haemorrhage 69 985 No ECASS-2 2010 16 140 No ECASS-2 PH Chao (47) 2010 13 241 No Ahmed (48) 2010 1686 23942 Dorado (49) 2010 33 Aries (50) 2010 Makihara (51) Imaging definition of haemorrhage Timing of haemorrhage measurement (hours/days) Clinical definition of haemorrhage Number of associations Any 7 days >4 9 PH1/2 48 hrs Not necessary 7 ECASS-2 Any 7 days >4 3 No NINDS Any NR Any 1 235 No ECASS-2 PH PH1/2 36 hrs Not necessary 10 24 400 No SITS-MOST PH2 36 hrs >4 4 2010 23 600 No NINDS Any 36 hrs >1 3 Seet (52) 2011 16 212 No ECASS-2 Any NR >4 1 Kellert (53) 2011 10 427 No ECASS-2 Any 36 hrs >4 11 Naganuma (54) 2011 25 578 No NINDS Any 36 hrs >1 5 Vergouwen (55) 2011 102 1739 No NINDS Any 36 hrs Any 1 Webtable 4 Included studies (1) NINDS rt-PA Stroke Study Group. 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Supplementary figure 1: A meta-analysis of 13 studies of the associations between age (per year) and post-rtPA intracranial haemorrhage. ES=odds ratio per year increase in age. I 2 (a measure of between study heterogeneity)=28%. Ordered by strength of association. % Study Year ES (95% CI) Weight Castellanos 2007 0.94 (0.88, 1.00) 3.06 Saqqur 2008 0.98 (0.93, 1.03) 4.29 Naganuma 2011 1.00 (0.96, 1.04) 6.70 Demchuk 1999 1.01 (0.97, 1.06) 6.09 Larrue 1997 1.03 (1.00, 1.05) 11.74 Tanne 2002 1.03 (1.00, 1.05) 12.70 Uyttenboogaart 2008 1.03 (0.96, 1.10) 2.74 Schellinger 2007 1.03 (1.01, 1.06) 13.05 Cucchiara 2009 1.04 (1.01, 1.07) 10.60 Larrue 2001 1.04 (1.01, 1.08) 8.69 Thomalla 2007 1.04 (0.99, 1.10) 4.64 Wahlgreen 2008 1.05 (1.02, 1.08) 10.61 Kohrmann 2006 1.05 (1.00, 1.10) 5.08 1.03 (1.01, 1.04) 100.00 Overall .8 1 older lower risk of ICH 1.2 older higher risk of ICH Supplementary figure 2: A meta-analysis of 13 studies of the associations between smokers (versus nonsmokers) and post-rtPA intracranial haemorrhage. ES=odds ratio smokers versus non-smokers. I2 (a measure of between study heterogeneity)=0.4%. Ordered by strength of association. % Study Year ES (95% CI) Weight NINDS 1997 0.25 (0.08, 0.78) 4.63 Cucchiara 2009 0.36 (0.14, 0.92) 6.78 Demchuk 1999 0.40 (0.09, 1.84) 2.56 Bluhmki 2009 0.47 (0.19, 1.17) 7.12 Kellert 2011 0.52 (0.03, 10.26) 0.67 Tanne 2002 0.58 (0.31, 1.09) 14.95 Tsivgoulis 2009 0.59 (0.17, 2.03) 3.88 Uyttenboogaart 2008 0.64 (0.17, 2.40) 3.39 Wahlgreen 2008 0.82 (0.50, 1.35) 23.51 Bluhmki 2009 0.82 (0.40, 1.69) 11.31 Dorado 2010 1.04 (0.50, 2.15) 11.30 Bravo 2008 1.41 (0.57, 3.46) 7.37 Trouillas 2004 1.62 (0.35, 7.51) 2.53 0.70 (0.55, 0.89) 100.00 Overall .1 smokers less ICH 1 10 smokers more ICH Supplementary figure 3: A meta-analysis of 13 studies of the associations between CT low density with postrtPA intracranial haemorrhage. ES=odds ratio presence versus absence of visible CT lesion. Ordered by strength of association. % Study Year ES (95% CI) Weight Hernandez-Guillamon 2010 0.29 (0.04, 2.11) 3.40 Uyttenboogaart 2008 0.81 (0.14, 4.67) 4.13 Wahlgreen 2008 1.28 (0.82, 2.01) 14.63 Meretoja 2010 2.00 (1.06, 3.78) 12.39 Larrue 2001 2.03 (1.18, 3.51) 13.48 Patel 2001 2.19 (0.78, 6.15) 8.29 Kellert 2011 3.84 (0.84, 17.65) 5.08 NINDS 1997 7.80 (2.22, 27.38) 6.60 1.88 (1.22, 2.90) 67.99 Any CT low density Subtotal >33% of MCA territory low density Trouillas 2004 0.30 (0.02, 4.52) 1.99 Bravo 2008 2.52 (1.04, 6.09) 9.68 Demchuk 1999 3.22 (0.78, 13.30) 5.62 Tanne 2002 6.70 (2.14, 20.99) 7.40 Dorado 2010 6.79 (1.19, 38.58) 4.19 Barber 2000 14.00 (1.74, 112.87) 3.13 Subtotal 3.89 (1.91, 7.91) 32.01 Overall 2.39 (1.59, 3.58) 100.00 .1 CT low density reduces ICH 1 10 CT low density increases ICH Supplementary figure 4: A meta-analysis of 11 studies of the associations between NIHSS (a 1 point increase) and post-rtPA intracranial haemorrhage. ES=odds ratio per unit increase in NIHSS. Ordered by strength of association. % Study Year ES (95% CI) Weight Thomalla 2007 1.02 (0.93, 1.12) 6.06 Demchuk 1999 1.04 (0.93, 1.16) 4.29 Saqqur 2008 1.06 (0.96, 1.17) 5.10 Schellinger 2007 1.06 (1.01, 1.11) 23.48 Kohrmann 2006 1.08 (0.99, 1.17) 7.50 Aries 2010 1.09 (1.02, 1.17) 11.12 Cucchiara 2009 1.09 (1.03, 1.15) 17.23 Tsivgoulis 2009 1.11 (1.05, 1.18) 15.36 Castellanos 2007 1.12 (0.95, 1.33) 1.82 Uyttenboogaart 2008 1.12 (1.02, 1.22) 6.53 Uyttenboogaart 2008 1.23 (1.02, 1.48) 1.51 1.08 (1.06, 1.11) 100.00 Overall .8 high NIHSS less ICH 1 1.2 high NIHSS more ICH Supplementary figure 5: A meta-analysis of 14 studies of the associations between gender and post-rtPA intracranial haemorrhage. ES=odds ratio women versus men. Ordered by strength of association. % Study Year ES (95% CI) Weight Bravo 2008 0.44 (0.15, 1.26) 3.81 Naganuma 2011 0.50 (0.17, 1.45) 3.72 Trouillas 2004 0.52 (0.10, 2.65) 1.59 Bluhmki 2009 0.52 (0.21, 1.29) 5.13 Makihara 2010 0.59 (0.20, 1.71) 3.75 Uyttenboogaart 2008 0.64 (0.21, 1.99) 3.27 Tanne 2002 0.74 (0.45, 1.22) 17.01 Saqqur 2008 0.74 (0.29, 1.86) 4.97 Cucchiara 2009 1.04 (0.60, 1.81) 13.74 Tsivgoulis 2009 1.05 (0.47, 2.33) 6.67 Thomalla 2007 1.06 (0.36, 3.13) 3.61 Wahlgreen 2008 1.10 (0.75, 1.62) 28.53 Hernandez-Guillamon 2010 1.85 (0.57, 5.95) 3.10 Kellert 2011 3.87 (0.55, 27.26) 1.11 0.88 (0.72, 1.08) 100.00 Overall .1 Men higher risk of ICH 1 10 Women higher risk of ICH Supplementary figure 6: A meta-analysis of 12 studies of the associations between diabetes and post-rtPA intracranial haemorrhage. ES=odds ratio patients with diabetes versus patient without diabetes. Ordered by strength of association. % Study Year ES (95% CI) Weight Hernandez-Guillamon 2010 0.25 (0.02, 3.35) 1.07 Uyttenboogaart 2008 0.37 (0.05, 2.74) 1.78 Cucchiara 2009 1.00 (0.49, 2.04) 12.41 Bluhmki 2009 1.03 (0.46, 2.30) 10.03 Kellert 2011 1.40 (0.27, 7.30) 2.59 Dorado 2010 1.42 (0.58, 3.49) 8.19 Wahlgreen 2008 1.54 (0.96, 2.47) 24.04 Tsivgoulis 2009 1.61 (0.56, 4.59) 6.17 Trouillas 2004 1.89 (0.35, 10.24) 2.48 Tanne 2002 2.03 (1.21, 3.41) 20.72 Bravo 2008 2.81 (1.15, 6.85) 8.32 Demchuk 1999 7.46 (1.24, 44.74) 2.21 1.54 (1.18, 2.02) 100.00 Overall .1 Diabetes lower risk of ICH 1 10 Diabetes higher risk of ICH Supplementary figure 7: A meta-analysis of 11 studies of the associations between blood glucose and post-rtPA intracranial haemorrhage. ES=odds ratio per mmol/L increase in glucose. Ordered by strength of association. % Study Year ES (95% CI) Weight Saqqur 2008 0.96 (0.88, 1.06) 11.16 Cucchiara 2009 1.04 (0.93, 1.15) 9.49 Wahlgreen 2008 1.09 (1.02, 1.17) 16.81 Hill 2005 1.10 (1.03, 1.17) 18.39 Bruno 2002 1.11 (1.02, 1.20) 13.44 Naganuma 2011 1.11 (0.97, 1.27) 6.41 Meretoja 2010 1.13 (1.02, 1.25) 10.11 Demchuk 1999 1.16 (1.01, 1.33) 6.28 Aries 2010 1.19 (0.99, 1.44) 3.67 Uyttenboogaart 2008 1.25 (1.02, 1.54) 3.09 Uyttenboogaart 2008 1.41 (1.00, 1.99) 1.15 1.10 (1.05, 1.14) 100.00 Overall .5 1 high glucose less ICH 2 high glucose more ICH Supplementary figure 8: A meta-analysis of 11 studies of the associations between prior hypertension and postrtPA intracranial haemorrhage. ES=odds ratio prior hypertension versus no prior hypertension. Ordered by strength of association. % Study Year ES (95% CI) Weight Uyttenboogaart 2008 0.44 (0.00, 1866.47) 0.08 Cucchiara 2009 0.95 (0.52, 1.74) 14.81 Bluhmki 2009 1.06 (0.51, 2.21) 10.05 Dorado 2010 1.08 (0.47, 2.47) 7.90 Trouillas 2004 1.40 (0.35, 5.58) 2.83 Bravo 2008 1.49 (0.59, 3.74) 6.38 Hernandez-Guillamon 2010 1.51 (0.44, 5.16) 3.57 Tanne 2002 1.61 (0.95, 2.72) 19.53 Tsivgoulis 2009 1.72 (0.75, 3.94) 7.88 Wahlgreen 2008 2.22 (1.41, 3.49) 26.31 Kellert 2011 2.75 (0.16, 48.24) 0.66 1.50 (1.19, 1.89) 100.00 Overall .1 Prior hypertension less ICH 1 10 Prior higher more ICH Supplementary figure 9: A meta-analysis of 11 studies of the associations between atrial fibrillation (AF) and post-rtPA intracranial haemorrhage. ES=odds ratio presence versus absence of AF. Ordered by strength of association. % Study Year ES (95% CI) Weight Kellert 2011 0.89 (0.17, 4.58) 1.75 Uyttenboogaart 2008 1.33 (0.39, 4.50) 3.17 Cucchiara 2009 1.57 (0.88, 2.80) 14.14 Larrue 1997 1.60 (0.91, 2.82) 14.61 Trouillas 2004 1.78 (0.33, 9.66) 1.64 Wahlgreen 2008 1.84 (1.23, 2.75) 29.35 Tanne 2002 1.92 (1.14, 3.23) 17.36 Bravo 2008 1.97 (0.82, 4.72) 6.16 Tsivgoulis 2009 2.39 (0.88, 6.51) 4.69 Bluhmki 2009 2.90 (1.16, 7.27) 5.58 Butcher 2009 10.13 (1.77, 57.94) 1.55 1.86 (1.49, 2.31) 100.00 Overall .1 AF lower risk of ICH 1 10 AF higher risk of ICH Supplementary figure 10: A meta-analysis of 15 studies of the associations between the prescription of any antiplatelet and post-rtPA intracranial haemorrhage. ES=odds ratio antiplatelet versus no antiplatelet. Ordered by strength of association. % Study Year ES (95% CI) Weight Diedler 2009 1.05 (0.96, 1.14) 11.61 Bluhmki 2009 1.12 (0.52, 2.40) 7.60 Larrue 2001 1.26 (0.55, 2.90) 7.09 Kellert 2011 1.29 (0.29, 5.72) 3.81 Tsivgoulis 2009 1.35 (0.59, 3.11) 7.09 Tanne 2002 1.69 (1.03, 2.78) 9.48 Wahlgreen 2008 1.72 (0.92, 3.23) 8.54 Dorado 2010 1.90 (0.65, 5.52) 5.68 Schmulling 2003 2.15 (0.48, 9.59) 3.79 Bravo 2008 2.28 (0.90, 5.76) 6.50 Cucchiara 2009 2.69 (1.54, 4.70) 9.06 Aries 2010 3.98 (1.64, 9.65) 6.75 Uyttenboogaart 2008 5.96 (2.04, 17.39) 5.65 Uyttenboogaart 2008 8.92 (1.63, 48.91) 3.16 Chao 2010 12.56 (3.13, 50.39) 4.18 2.09 (1.46, 2.97) 100.00 Overall .1 1 10 Antiplatelets lower risk of ICHAntiplatelets higher risk of ICH Supplementary figure 11: A meta-analysis of 4 studies of the associations between systolic blood pressure (per mmHg) and post-rtPA intracranial haemorrhage. ES=odds ratio antiplatelet versus no antiplatelet. Ordered by strength of association. % Study Year ES (95% CI) Weight Saqqur 2008 0.99 (0.98, 1.01) 21.89 Cucchiara 2009 1.01 (1.00, 1.02) 27.34 Wahlgreen 2008 1.01 (1.00, 1.03) 27.70 Tsivgoulis 2009 1.02 (1.01, 1.03) 23.08 1.01 (1.00, 1.02) 100.00 Overall .9 higher BP less ICH 1 1.2 higher BP more ICH
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