Economy & markets The evolution of the Spanish industry At Cevisama less than a year ago, Spain was celebrating its ceramic industry's return to growth, as Isidro Zarzoso, Chairman of ASCER (the Spanish tile manufacturers' association), announced that total revenues for the industry had grown by about 6%, to 3,075 million euros in 2015. Tile production rose by 3.5% in 2015 compared with the previous year, to a total of 440 million sq.m (table 1), making Spain the world's fourth largest tile manufacturer, equal with Vietnam and behind only China, Brazil and India (table 2). Although still a long way from pre-crisis levels (Spain's tile output in 2006 was 608 million sq.m), this is the country's best result in the past six years. On the export market, which is the source of fully 80% of Spanish tile manufacturers' total revenues, 2015 saw an increase of 124 million euros (+5.3%) on the previous year, to a total of 2,452 million (table 3). Export volumes, meanwhile, rose by 40 million sq.m to 378 million (table 1), marking a double-digit increase of 11.5%. This beats even precrisis levels, as Spanish tile exports in 2006 reached 336 million sq.m. Imports are now rising again too: having remained stable at 6 million sq.m for several years, they have now seen a 16.7% increase, to 7 million sq.m. Lastly, 2015 has confirmed the upturn in domestic sales TABLE 1 - MAIN INDICATORS (in millions of sq.m) 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Var % 14/13 Production 392 404 420 425 440 3.5% 1.2% Exports 263 296 318 339 378 11.5% 6.6% Imports 9 6 6 6 7 16.7% 0.0% 129 109 108 111 121 9.0% 2.8% Consumption Source: ASCER data processed by ACIMAC Research Department that got under way last year, by showing growth of 9% (as against 2.8% in 2014) to 121 million sq.m. By value, domestic demand rose by 10% to 630 million euros. According to ASCER's initial estimates for 2016, this positive trend on the GRAPH 1 - TREND IN KEY INDICATORS 2010-2015 (millions of sq.m) Source: ASCER data processed by ACIMAC Research Department Note: Values for exports and imports are on the right axis Tile International 3/2016 Var % 15/14 58 domestic market continued in the first six months of this year. Exports: the first nine months of 2016 Early figures released by ASCER show that ceramic industry exports are flourishing. In the first nine months of this year, export sales to a total of 189 countries grew by 4.8% year-on-year, to almost 2 billion euros (table 4). Europe remains the largest market for Spanish tiles, with market share of 46.4% and a value of 910 million euros, representing a rise of 66 million euros or almost 8% compared with the previous year. This is attributable to growth on markets within the European Union, which spent an extra 76.4 million euros on Spanish tiles than in 2015 (+ 11%), for a total of 766 million euros. The East European market, by contrast, is still shrinking, Economy & markets and saw sales fall by over 12 million euros, representing a downturn of 10%. At individual level, four European countries make it into the top 10 markets for Spanish tiles (table 5). France heads the league table, with almost 200 million euros worth of imports from Spain, up 10% on the previous year. The United Kingdom stays in third place, with the value of its tile imports from Spain rising by 10 million eu- ros (8.2%) on the same period in 2015. Germany and Italy, meanwhile, are both up one place, to 7th and 8th respectively: Germany's imports rose by 9.3%, from 66.1 to 72.3 million euros, while Italy's were up by almost 13%, from 61 to 69 million euros. Russia, however, which held 7th place until last year, has dropped out of the league table completely, in the wake of a decline in sales of over 20%. As table 4 shows, the Americas reported the biggest sales increase by value, with Spanish tile exports to the region rising by 47.7 million euros to 280 million, representing a year-on-year increase of 20.5%. On the strength of this growth, America has overtaken Africa in terms of market share, and now accounts for 14.3% of total Spanish tile exports. The United States is the main driv- er of this growth (table 5), accounting for almost 50% of Spanish tile exports to the continent as a whole. Valued at almost 140 million euros, US imports grew by 29% compared with the previous year (up 31.4 million euros). The USA is also the only country in the Americas to appear in the top 10 markets for Spanish tiles, and on the strength of performance in the first nine months of the ADVERTISING Economy & markets TABLE 2 - WORLD’S TOP 10 TILE PRODUCERS (million sq.m) Country 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 % of 2015 world production 2015 Var % 15/14 1 China 4,200 4,800 5,200 5,700 6,000 5,970 48.3% -0.5% 2 Brazil 754 844 866 871 903 899 7.3% -0.4% 3 India 550 617 691 750 825 850 6.9% 3.0% 4 Vietnam 375 380 290 300 360 440 3.6% 22.2% 5 Spain 366 392 404 420 425 440 3.6% 3.5% 6 Italy 387 400 367 363 382 395 3.2% 3.4% 7 Indonesia 287 320 360 390 420 370 3.0% -11.9% 8 Turkey 245 260 280 340 315 320 2.6% 1.6% 9 Iran 400 475 500 500 410 300 2.4% -26.8% 10 Mexico 210 221 231 230 230 242 2.0% 5.2% Source: "World production and consumption of ceramic tiles", ACIMAC Research Department - [email protected] MORE DATA? Click on cover! 4 th EDITION year 2016 WORLD PRO CONSUMPTION DUCTION AND OF CERAMIC TILES ACIMAC/MECS TABLE 5 - TOP 10 EXPORT MARKETS FOR SPANISH TILES (millions of €) - Machinery Econo mic Studies MECS Machinery Economic Studies Country ACIMAC Via Fossa Buracchi one 84 41126 Baggiov ara (MO) • ITALY T. +39 059 510 336 [email protected] • info@mec-studies www.acimac.it • www.mec-studies.it .it TABLE 3 - SPANISH EXPORTS 2014-2015 (millions of €) BY GEOGRAPHICAL AREA Area Var % 2015/2014 Jan-Sept 2015 Jan-Sept 2016 Var % Jan-Sept 2016/2015 1 France 181.4 199.5 10.0% 2 USA 108.4 139.8 28.9% 3 UK 120.4 130.2 8.2% 4 Saudi Arabia 134.5 117.0 -13.0% 2014 2015 1,078.38 1,092.06 1.3% 5 Algeria 95.2 91.5 -3.8% Asia 565.55 621.23 9.8% 6 Israel 74.0 75.7 2.3% Africa 420.99 402.14 -4.5% 7 Germany 66.1 72.3 9.3% America 246.04 312.86 27.2% 8 Italy 61.0 68.8 12.9% 9 Morocco 51.0 60.4 18.3% 10 Lebanon 47.6 56.4 18.4% Europe Oceania TOTAL 17.45 23.88 36.9% 2,328.41 2,452.17 5.3% Source: ASCER data Source: ASCER data Tile International 3/2016 60 Economy & markets TABLE 4 - SPANISH EXPORTS JANUARY-SEPTEMBER 2015 / JANUARY-SEPTEMBER 2016 (millions of €) BY GEOGRAPHICAL AREA Jan-Sept 2015 Jan-Sept 2016 Var % Jan-Sept 2016 / Jan-Sept 2015 Europe 844.1 910.0 7.8% 45.1% 46.4% - EU-28 690.1 766.5 11.1% 36.9% 39.1% - EU-15 569.0 634.2 11.5% 30.4% 32.4% - Eurozone 464.3 521.4 12.3% 24.8% 26.6% - EU new members 121.2 132.3 9.2% 6.5% 6.8% - Eastern Europe 129.7 117.3 -9.6% 6.9% 6.0% Asia 476.6 473.8 -0.6% 25.5% 24.2% - Middle East Area % of Total Jan-Sept 2015 % of Total Jan-Sept 2016 412.4 406.0 -1.6% 22.1% 20.7% - Far East 41.0 43.2 5.4% 2.2% 2.2% - South East Asia 19.9 19.3 -3.0% 1.1% 1.0% America 232.3 280.0 20.5% 12.4% 14.3% - NAFTA 145.8 188.5 29.3% 7.8% 9.6% - USA 108.4 139.8 28.9% 5.8% 7.1% - Central America 45.5 56.2 23.5% 2.4% 2.9% - South America 41.0 35.2 -14.0% 2.2% 1.8% Africa 299.1 277.2 -7.3% 16.0% 14.1% - North Africa 196.0 184.4 -5.9% 10.5% 9.4% 17.8 18.7 5.1% 1.0% 1.0% 1,869.9 1,959.6 4.8% 100.0% 100.0% Oceania TOTAL Source: ASCER data year, has become the world's second largest market for Spanish exports, up from fourth place, having leapfrogged the United Kingdom and Saudi Arabia. Exports to Central America have also risen (+23.5%), while those to South America have fallen from 41 to 35.2 million euros (-14.0%), mainly due to downturns in Brazil and Colombia. Although overall volumes re- main low, exports to Oceania have also increased, from 17.8 to 18.7 million euros (+5.1%). Sales to all other geographical areas, however, are down. Asia, the second-largest market for Spanish tiles (24.2%), saw a downturn of 0.6% in the first nine months of 2016, equating to a fall in value of 2.8 million euros. At regional level, only the Far East reported an increase in sales (5.4%), from 41 to 43.2 million euros, whereas exports fell slightly in South-East Asia (-3%, from 19.9 to 19.3 million euros). Exports to the Middle East also dipped, from 412.4 to 406 million euros (-1.6%). In this area, the value of imports to Saudi Arabia alone fell by 17.5 million euros (-13%), causing the country to drop 61 two places to 4th in the top 10 export markets (table 5). There was good news from Israel, however, which held onto 5th place thanks to an increase of 1.7 million euros (2.3%). And exports to Lebanon rose from 47.5 to 56.4 million euros, bringing the country into the league table at number 10. Africa, however, saw a large fall in exports in the first nine months of the year, amounting to a loss in value of 22 million euros (-7.3%). Part of this downturn is clearly attributable to the contraction of major North African markets such as Algeria, Libya, Egypt and Nigeria. The Maghreb as a whole saw a drop of 11.5 million euros, equating to 5.9%. At individual level, sales fell by almost 4 million euros (-3.8%) in Algeria, although the country still holds onto 5th place in the top 10 export destinations for Spanish tiles. Morocco bucked the trend and reported an 18.4% (9 million euro) increase in imports year-onyear, from 51 to 60.4 million euros, moving the country up one place in the top 10. 5 Next page: Mr. Zarzoso, Ascer's Chairman, talks about the Spanish ceramic tile industry »» Tile International 3/2016 Economy & markets Isidro Zarzoso We asked Ascer’s Chairman, Isidro Zarzoso, what he thinks of the performance of the ceramic industry in 2016 Isidro Zarzoso: The figures for the first nine months of the year show growth in exports of almost 5% compared to the same period of 2015. Following strong performance in the first quarter of the year, we saw a slowdown in the second quarter, followed by a new upturn. Exports to the European Union, our main foreign market, have remained basically stable (+11%), while negative performance in areas such as the Middle East (-1.5%) and the Maghreb (-6%) have reduced the average of total exports, as has also been the case for several years in Eastern European markets (-9.6%). As well as keeping an eye on these countries, we need to pay careful attention to the figures for the next few months to get an idea of how our industry might be affected by the slowdown in the European Union and the consequences of Brexit. On the plus side, direct sales to the United States are still growing at a good pace (+29%), and major markets like France (+10%), the United Kingdom (+8%), Germany (+9%), Italy (+9%) and Morocco and Lebanon (both +18%) have also reported strong performance. Tile International: What were the main problems faced by Spain’s ceramic industry? I. Zarzoso: The main difficulties for our manufacturers derive from the fiercely competitive climate in the market and an increase in world production, both of Tile International 3/2016 which put up high barriers to trade and make it difficult to operate on an even playing field. Other European manufacturers, like Italy, face similar difficulties, so we need to work together, even if that means applying customs duties to non-EU imports, so as to reestablish a situation of fair competition. Our domestic market is still struggling to shake off its stagnation, with annual growth limited to a few percentage points, although it's worth bearing in mind that we're starting from a very low baseline as a result of the crisis. To boost this recovery, consumers need direct aid, and other steps should be taken to encourage the renovation of homes. However, although the domestic market is still a long way from its pre-crisis values, it remains our main market and accounts for 20% of total revenues. Tile International: Which areas 62 have seen most growth? I. Zarzoso: As I mentioned earlier, the strongest growth has come from the United States in 2016, putting the US in second place in the league table of biggest importers of Spanish ceramics. But Europe is still our natural market, and accounts for 46% of exports. That's why we are urging the Spanish Government to improve rail links with all countries around the Mediterranean, in order to reduce the time and cost of getting our products to European markets. Tile International: What are your forecasts for the end of 2016? I. Zarzoso: On the basis of the data I have at the moment, 2016 should close with growth in exports of 5%. Sales on the domestic market are still rising, even though they still have a long way to go before they get back to pre-crisis levels. As for production, lastly, we're expecting growth of about 10%. 5 Economy & markets Winners of ASCER’s 15th Tile of Spain Awards The panel of judges for the Tile of Spain Awards of Architecture and Interior Design, chaired by architect Gonçalo Byrne, met on 24th November in Castellón to decide the winners of the 15th edition. The important recognition organised annually by ASCER, comes this year to its fifteenth edition, confirming itself as the major event on the Spanish and international architecture scene. Winner of the Architecture category is ‘Two Homes in Oropesa (Toledo) by Paredes Pedrosa Arquitectos. The use of ceramic tiles was not limited to a mere covering or finish, but instead, as a material capable of enveloping the project, adding a unique appearance. In this category, the panel also decided to give a Special Mention to ‘MM House, Palma de Mallorca’ by Ohlab, a home designed in accordance with the Passivhaus standard in order to guarantee optimum energy efficiency. First prize in the Interior Design cate- gory went to ‘TABA espazioa’ by Ibon Salaberria, a space that includes a coffee shop, pizza restaurant and wine bar situated on the ground floor of Tabakalera, San Sebastian’s new International Centre for Contemporary Culture. The jury decided to give a Mention to ‘Casa#77’ by Raúl Montero Martínez and Emilio Pardo Rivacoba, a project to renovate an apartment measuring just 51 m2 situated in the loft of a housing block in Pamplona’s historic quarter. Ibon Salaberria Paredes Pedrosa Arquitectos 63 Tile International 3/2016
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