A ero s pA c e • spA ce • G r ou nd Tr Ans por T • d efence • sec uriTy “We are currently observing the beginnings of a new arms race, to develop a cyber arsenal” Daniel Ventre of France’s Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique 06 SomerSet SubmarineS Uncovering the secrets of some of the world’s best sonar systems 16 maritime Piracy How technology is helping to take down the pirates on the high seas 22 on the railS Changing the Danish national railway from the ground up A u t u m n 2 01 3 CONTENTS 6 »02 Fighting the invisible enemy »20 Taking the right path The nature of cybersecurity has changed in recent years. It has been elevated to a political level and that the security required to combat these kinds of attacks is more than firewalls and software. Big data may be the next big thing but it requires smarter and safer information systems if it is going to have real impact. »06 Submarines in Somerset Sonar systems do more than simply spot the next possible threat. On a submarine, they can mean the difference between life and death. » 1 0 Chain reaction How rare earth elements and other critical materials promoting new and innovative thinking in industries across the EU. »14Just above your head There are currently over 3,000 man-made satellites orbiting the Earth – who owns them and what are they doing up there? »16 Trouble on the high seas While maritime piracy remains a threat, there are increasing initiatives to bring the situation under greater control, from protected sea routes to improved methods for monitoring and controling transport at sea, especially in high risk areas. 16 »22 All change: Denmark How can a national rail system become more productive? In the case of Denmark, building a unified, standardised signalling system was the first step. »26 Preparing for take-off 26 How has air traffic management moved from manual to digital and what will the future look like? »30 Laser power The Berkeley Lab Laser Accelerator (BELLA) is making major waves in the US and in future tech. »32 Driving change 32 Technology could make a difference for road charging, but what will help to steer things in the right direction? »36 Innovation among apes and humans Pascal Picq explains the concept of “Anthroprise” where evolution and management meet. Editorial director Keith Ryan Creative director Nick Dixon Publishing director Ian Gerrard Head of production Karen Gardner Founder and editorial director Stuart Rock Finance director Rachel Stanhope Founder and communications director Matthew Rock Published by Caspian Media Ltd for Thales. Opinions expressed do not necessarily reflect the policies of Thales. Caspian Media Ltd and Thales accept no responsibility for views expressed by contributors. Caspian M edia Telephone 020 7045 7500 Email [email protected] Web www.caspianmedia.com 36 The world in which we live and work is changing so quickly that it’s difficult to keep the pace. Estimates suggest the world’s population could reach 8.3 billion by 2030. More than half of that population (4.9 billion) will qualify as middle class, bringing with it raised expectations and demands. We’re also living with a proliferation of interconnected, interdependent systems and devices, generating a flood of information. In 2011 it was estimated that 90 per cent of the data circulating around the world had been generated in the preceding two years alone. The scale of that data is estimated to be in the region of 2.5 quintillion bytes of data each day and it could grow by as much as 40 per cent per year with the spread of mobile devices. Over 30 per cent of the world population already has access to the Internet – it’s anticipated this will rise to 99 per cent by 2030 and that computers and handheld devices will be affordable to all. All of these changes will only add to the pressure already being felt by our existing systems and resources, as well as introducing a raft of new and unexpected security vulnerabilities. How can we possibly understand and master such delicate and intricate complexity? More specifically, how can we help those making the big decisions about this world create 01 “Intelligent innovation is our greatest asset and the successful execution of ideas is our strongest weapon. We are driven by a desire to improve, whether we’re talking about technology or better environmental performance, or even new ways to finance innovation.” order in such chaotic systems and tap into the data that flows through them? The answer lies in intelligent innovation. Instead of a threat, intelligent innovation sees opportunity. This global “internet of things” becomes a landscape on which new social and commercial models can be built. Unprecedented, unfettered access to global communication, education and empowerment, more channels for commerce and sociopolitical influence, underpinned by a seamless network of technology. Imagine what this means for the world in which we live. It has the potential to change everything. Intelligent innovation is our greatest asset and the successful execution of ideas is our strongest weapon. We are driven by a desire to improve, whether we’re talking about technology or better environmental performance, or even new ways to finance innovation. New applications are being developed around the mobile internet, from mHealth extending the reach of the medical community to mobile finance becoming the norm from Japan to Kenya. Advanced analytics are being applied to road systems that aim to make traffic jams – if not accidents – a thing of the past. Even the military is tapping into this new technology to improve operational speed of deployment of the command centre in a military environment. New interfaces between man and machine are being developed that are so sophisticated, they can even take into account the mental state of the operator. Cloud computing and service-oriented software architectures are offering new ways for both the public and private sector to turn the flood of data into opportunities that were hitherto unimaginable. The list goes on. In this world of fast-paced change, intelligence and innovative thinking may decide who will grow and evolve, and who will falter and fail. For Thales, this is a guiding principle for the business, reflected in the fact that we invest the equivalent of 20 per cent of our revenues in R&D turning innovative concepts into real-life applications. From economics to politics to technology, from the world’s population to its climate, we are faced with the challenge of living in a world that is increasingly in flux. For businesses and public sector organisations looking to their future, it’s time to take action. We must keep pushing our own boundaries, from the traditional (air, land, sea) to the new (space, cyberspace, nanospace and beyond), from the very depths of the human brain to the most sophisticated machines. The time has come to take on this interconnected and interdependent world, and to do so with intelligence. Marko Erman Chief technical officer, Thales Innovation by the numbers #1 worldwide in telecoms satellites, air traffic management and more. 20% of Thales’ revenues are invested in R&D to develop innovative concepts into real-life applications. 50% of the International Space Station’s pressurised volume was developed by Thales. 02 Defence: cybersecuriTy “The spectrum of cyber attackers has extended... motivations have evolved, with more structured organisations producing more sophisticated attacks” Vincent Marfaing, vice-president of IT security and cybersecurity at Thales 03 The invisible enemy In Brief 1 Cybersecurity is becoming an essential ingredient for government planning around the world. 2 Security for IT systems must now cover both internal and external threats. 3 The key to effective cybersecurity is to both stay ahead of the curve where possible and, if that’s not possible, be prepared to react swiftly in order to shut down any threat. some of the most aggressive and invasive battles being fought today are not taking place on the ground in some distant country but behind the scenes in the circuitry of our iT systems. This isn’t merely kids in basements trying to score points with their friends – cyber attacks are now being launched by governments across borders. How can you defend yourself when you can’t even be sure you’re standing on the frontlines? Trefor Moss T his is the war of the invisible enemy,” explained a former UK Defence Minister in 2011, as he attempted to justify why he was ramping up cybersecurity spending even as he was slashing the national defence budget as a whole. The minister correctly identified what is a key challenge for corporations and governments: making the case to sceptical shareholders and taxpayers that this intangible threat posed by faceless enemies and criminals somewhere in the realm of cyberspace can have devastating real-world consequences: bank records wiped; power grids shut down; public utilities crippled, if not physically destroyed; government systems scrambled; key military systems disabled. Cyber attacks come in a variety of forms and can have a range of objectives. “Most cyber attacks are designed to steal information – primarily intellectual property and trade secrets. Data theft and business disruption are the most expensive cyber threats,” explains Cynthia Provin, president of Thales e-Security, Inc. Corporations may be targeted by “hacktivists” or by malicious actors whose aim is to deface or bring down websites; criminals will attack financial institutions in order to extract sensitive data, such as credit card details; and at a more sophisticated level, corporations may find themselves targeted by business rivals or foreign governments in a campaign of industrial espionage. In perhaps the most serious cyber attack against a corporation to date, Saudi Arabia’s state oil company ARAMCO had most of its computer systems, including critical files, destroyed by the Shamoon virus in what appeared to be a politically motivated attack. 04 Defence: cybersecuriTy “The spectrum of cyber attackers has suggests Ross Parsell, key account extended over time,” says Vincent director, Government and Commercial Marfaing, vice-president and head of and cyber specialist for Thales. Some information technology security at Thales. businesses spend relatively large sums on “Their motivations have evolved, with more cybersecurity, but focus too much of their structured organisations producing more budget on preventing hackers from sophisticated attacks.” penetrating their systems, says Parsell. Indeed, cyber threats are targeting ever “The first thing you should assume is bigger entities, not just corporations but also that the bad guys are already in or will be in governments and militaries. The evolution very rapidly,” he explains. “Hackers are very of this threat has gone “from cyber-crime fast at finding vulnerabilities and sharing to cyber-espionage to cyber-sabotage them online, and they work in a very to cyber-war”, argues Daniel Ventre dynamic manner.” To counter this agile of France’s Centre National de adversary, businesses need to la Recherche Scientifique. adopt more comprehensive “It seems that the cyber solutions to protect capabilities of the their sensitive data. actors who make up “In effect, there are the cyber conflict four premises,” Parsell ecosystem are continues. “There’s the increasing and that protection end, high impacts cyber threats walls and encryption; both in terms of detection, to be proactive Ross Parsell, Thales violence and volume.” and to look at who’s coming, Most individuals and having your outer ring of businesses are aware of the need defence looking outwards; to protect their systems from malicious a response mechanism that asks, when software, even if the security systems I find an anomaly, what am I going to deployed are nothing more complex than respond with; and then there’s residual risk, firewalls and virus checkers. And according which you have to think about because the to Ventre, most attacks can be forestalled by bad guys are moving faster than we are.” using relatively basic forms of security. Businesses have to accept the notion “Eighty per cent of incidents could be that cybersecurity “is not about never being avoided through the application of simple attacked”,explains Marfaing. “It’s about how rules of security: data encryption, not storing you mitigate the consequences of an attack sensitive, professional and private data on on your system.” He describes this approach the same storage device,” he says. However, as an active defence posture, as opposed to businesses must take decisions about the the static approach of merely erecting level of protection they feel they require in firewalls. “You’re in a monitoring posture, the context of the funds that are available. with sensors in your network elements Building a virtual wall to prevent attackers generating a lot of data and correlating it. from getting in is only the first line of That entails significant domain knowledge. defence and one that is unlikely to keep You’re leaving generic IT and talking about sophisticated attackers at bay for long, professional cyber reaction people.” “There needs to be a cultural shift as to what you’re guarding within your network” This is becoming such a specialised area that many corporations lack the requisite capacity in-house and contract cyber reaction teams from providers like Thales to deliver a sufficiently robust cyber-defence. Another service is the provision of what Marfaing describes as “ethical attacker teams”.“It’s necessary to be aware of attack techniques,” he says, “so we have ethical attacker teams for penetration testing. We test the robustness of your system by attacking it.” Providing an advanced level of protection is expensive and requires a lot of manpower: the monitoring process cannot be automated because it takes highly trained human analysts to interpret the tactics and intentions of human attackers. This forces further choices about defence strategies, says Parsell, who advocates an approach whereby different parts of the network are afforded different levels of protection. “There needs to be a cultural shift as to what you’re guarding within your network. Some of your information is critical, some isn’t. What you need to protect is your next big invention, say, and its intellectual property.” For private-sector companies, investing in cybersecurity can be a problematic enterprise, however. “Security doesn’t come for free,” observes Marfaing, “and there is a trade-off between security and efficiency. Security comes often at the expense of efficiency and speed: it’s not intrinsically a productivity investment and these days only mature organisations are able to gauge this balance.” This trade-off becomes particularly serious when private companies run utilities on which society depends, especially since 05 “We are currently observing the beginnings of a new arms race, to develop a cyber arsenal” Daniel Ventre of France’s Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique attackers can cause major loss of life, as well as economic damage, by hacking into the networked infrastructure that regulates city-wide water or power systems, for example. Some governments may come to feel that legislation is necessary to force utility companies to protect themselves with advanced cybersecurity systems, though government support may be sufficient to help these companies to counter the threat on their own initiative. Most cybersecurity experts agree, however, that Western governments are ahead of the private sector in treating the threat of cyber attacks with the seriousness that it deserves. “Cyber crimes are increasing against governments around the world,” notes Provin. “Although most government spending around defence is declining, investment in cybersecurity continues to grow. In the United States, the government is expected to spend $10.5bn a year on information security by 2015.” Some of the possible implications of a mass attack on government networks were made abundantly clear in 2007, when Estonia was subjected to a barrage of cyber attacks. As well as convincing governments that they needed to invest in cyber protection to prevent the kind of shutdown suffered by the Estonians, militaries also began to appreciate the importance of improving their cyber capabilities. Initially, these efforts were defensive: most modern military systems are networked and could therefore potentially be disabled or degraded by hackers. However, there is an increasing shift towards acquiring offensive capabilities. “For military communication infrastructures, the challenge [of cyber defence] remains complex, since the impact of cyber attacks can have lethal consequences,” explains what constitutes an act of war in cyberspace Ventre. “This is one of the reasons why and difficult questions such as when and governments think about deterrent where cyber weapons can legally be used. strategies. The conclusion that a really These problems will take a long time to work robust cybersecurity is a non-reachable through, especially when cyber attacks are objective justifies the new policies: so difficult to trace and may not even offensive strategies are seen as a originate in the country that instigated them. deterrent to international cyber violence.” For some countries – especially those The US Army only set up its Cyber that are under fiscal pressure even as they Command in October 2010, but already recognise the need to ramp up cyber cyber is becoming central to US military security spending – the priority now is to strategy. The US used the Stuxnet virus make civil and military cyber defence against Iran’s nuclear programme and the systems as complementary as possible, more advanced Flame virus, which also and to implement a cross-government targeted Iran, is believed by some cybersecurity strategy, rather than a more analysts to be an American cyber expensive, piecemeal approach. weapon. In October 2012, US Defense “People [in government] are seeing the Secretary Leon Panetta said that, in his effect that a cyber attack could have,” says view, the US was ahead of the field Parsell, “and they’re trying to build a in terms of its cyber warfare co-ordinated approach”. Marfaing agrees that capabilities, though he identified “countries are recognising the need to China, Iran and Russia as the US integrate government and military critical military’s closest rivals in the systems”. Terrorists or foreign states are cyber domain. This intensifying likely to target critical infrastructure, he competition in cyber warfare is points out, and guarding against that is a inevitably leading to fears that a virtual arms matter for civilian and military leaders alike. race is now underway. “This is part of the reason we want to “We are observing the beginnings of a embed cybersecurity in everything we do new arms race, to develop a cyber arsenal,” at Thales. It’s a natural evolution in the way Ventre believes. “States are competing to we work,” says Marfaing. “It’s also why we get the best ‘cyberwarriors’. ” However, have been involved in the creation of the Ventre adds that acquiring an Cyberdefence and Cybersecurity chair with effective capability in this the research centre of Ecoles de new sphere of warfare Saint-Cyr Coëtquidan and Sogeti. will be a complex Such initiatives are a vital part process. Militaries of the efforts to combat this are only now threat at the highest beginning to write possible level.” their doctrines for Cyber-attackers may cyber operations. remain an invisible enemy, Internationally, but for militaries and countries are still governments around the Cynthia Provin, feeling their way world, they are very much on Thales e-Security, Inc through such issues as the radar. “The us... is expected to spend $10.5bn a year on information security by 2015” 06 defence : Sonar Welcome to Templecombe, the modest village that houses one of Thales’ five principal sites around the UK, France and Australia for the design, development and manufacture of sonar and associated systems, a technology at which it is a global leader. For more than 50 years, Templecombe has been at the centre of expertise in designing and building arrays, the integrated arrangements of hydrophones that are mounted on the flanks and bows of submarines as well as being towed. Over the course of those five decades, Thales UK has fitted sonar systems to all of the UK’s nuclear submarines. “Templecombe has a deserved reputation as a centre of excellence for sonar and it is also an integral part of Thales’ global Under Water Systems business line, which is the world leader in sonar systems solutions,” says Kevin Whitfield, director of the Meta Centre of Competence – Sonar Hardware Products with Thales. “Spread across France, the UK and Australia, the Under Water Systems business offers integrated, common strategic, technical and product-based organisation.” The Sonar domain designs, manufactures and maintains a wide range of products and systems for submarines, surface vessels, mine-countermeasures vessels and aircraft, including hull-mounted, variable depth, towed and dipping sonar systems, sonobuoys and sonobuoy processing systems, specialist communication products and antennas with a worldwide capability to provide comprehensive sonar support solutions. During the Second World War, its discreet setting was an advantage but it was also situated at a railway junction connecting it to British naval and research bases in Portland, Portsmouth, Plymouth and London. Then, in the 1960s, swathes of Britain’s rail network were shut down. As well as being low-key Submarine hunting in Somerset For an undemonstrative part of Britain, the fields of southern Somerset have their fair share of mysteries. It’s here that the fabled site of King Arthur’s Camelot lies and where the Holy Grail is reputedly buried. And there’s another more recent puzzle: how and why is this rolling, apple-rich countryside home to some of the world’s foremost submarine detecting technology? Stuart rock Liam Sharp Sight and sound Sonar and optronic masts Thales supplies Sonar 2076, the search and attack submarine sonar system, to the UK Royal Navy’s sixth and seventh Astute Class submarines, as well as two non-hull penetrating CM010 optronic masts. Together, these systems give the submarine its “eyes and ears”. Thales also supplies the electronic support measures system, which has two multifunction antenna arrays mounted on the masts and can identify other platforms equipped with radar systems operating in the area. 07 In Brief 1 Sonar and underwater systems are redefining the frontlines of naval defence. 2 The challenge is ensuring lines of detection are accurate and immediate in order to offer support in the critical decisionmaking process. 3 The towed array sonar system enables frigates to locate the latest submarines at considerable distances beyond the range from which they can launch an attack. 08 defence : Sonar “While many navies own submarines, few can – or wish to – use them across the full spectrum of their capabilities” Steve Ramm, submarine business development, Thales and unobtrusive, Templecombe became just a touch more isolated. And yet the location is totally appropriate for the work that goes on within: after all, the stealth of a submarine remains its primary asset for navies around the world. The SSBN deterrent nuclear powered submarines, armed with strategic nuclear missiles, have to be invulnerable to detection. The British Vanguard class and the French Triomphant class submarines are the principal carriers of each nation’s nuclear deterrent; the American deterrent is shifting towards greater use of submarines. SSNs, the so-called nuclear powered hunter-killer or attack submarines, meanwhile, perform a variety of roles. Stealth is central to all of them. They protect the SSBN deterrent subs. They counter other submarines and surface ships; increasingly, they operate in a surveillance role close to hostile shores. “Submarines can move in quietly without raising the stakes,” says Steve Ramm, who looks after submarine business development at Thales in the UK. “A submarine doesn’t need to be supported. It doesn’t need refuelling or replenishment. It doesn’t require diplomatic clearance.” Their flexibility is another prime asset. They can operate independently or in concert with other battle groups. “They can change mission without having to return to port,” says Ramm. “When they sail, they are prepared for all their roles.” It’s not surprising that more navies are operating submarines than ever before, although only six have nuclear submarines. Conventional or nuclear, though, they are difficult to build and require substantial technical and engineering infrastructure to maintain them through their 30-year life. “They require a great deal of experience and training support to operate,” says Ramm, “so while many navies own submarines, few can – or wish to – use them across the full spectrum of their capabilities.” All navies do use their submarines to monitor and protect their territorial waters, which creates an interesting cycle. Submarines need better sonar systems to perform their roles. This means that submarines and surface ships need better sonar systems to detect other submarines. This leads to the development of quieter propulsion systems, so as not to give away acoustic clues. And so the stealth race continues. Sonar is a relatively young science. In the Second World War, the UK began using “active sonar” – sending out a signal and having it ping back from other craft. The trouble is that active sonar gives away the presence of the transmitting platform while the signal quality, having travelled out and back, erodes. It became clear that it was much more effective to listen to sounds coming towards a submarine – it was a clearer, stronger signal and the submarine didn’t give its presence away. The race was on to build the best acoustic sensors. The sensors have to gather signals through the sea and back through the wall of the submarine. This data then has to be processed and displayed in a useful fashion to the submarine’s commander and sonar operators. In other words, the eyes and ears have to detect, transmit, interpret and communicate to the brain. To do so, submarines carry huge arrays on their flanks and bow; the larger the “window”, the more information the array can receive. And they also tow arrays – 100m-long hydrophone-packed reinforced 09 A submarine commander needs a 360-degree view, which requires sonar operators listening and discriminating between visual and aural signatures. hose tied to even longer cables and a giant underwater microphone let out from a fishing reel. These arrays and their associated telemetry are made by Thales in Templecombe and at the sister facility in Brest. The ability to increase the size of the arrays is limited. Once fitted, the signal extraction capability of the sensors in the arrays – and the submarine’s systems for processing this information – are the main ways to enhance performance. The largest and most capable sonar sensors are contained in Thales’ 2076 system. Fitted to the Royal Navy’s new Astute class vessels as well as to the existing Trafalgar class, and based on an open architecture system, the 2076 system can be regularly and affordably upgraded. The old way of expensively ripping out and rebuilding the entire acoustic system half-way through the submarine’s life is now history. understand their environment and it’s our job to give them the tools both to interpret and exploit that.” Then there is the other side of the equation – the art of anti-submarine warfare (ASW). This is an all-arms affair. It requires The people factor For all their sophistication, it’s not just about the systems. The human element remains crucial. “You still need intelligent people in the loop,” Ramm observes. A submarine commander’s first concern is to have a 360-degree view; unless he knows that the ship is safe, he can’t use it for tactical and strategic advantage. For the commander to have that allround look requires his sonar operators to be listening and discriminating between visual and aural signatures. “It’s one thing to hear a ship,” says Ramm, “it’s another thing to classify it and tell what it’s doing.” This ability to discriminate applies to conditions just as much as to ships. For example, there is a lot more noise when close to the shore. “Shallow waters can do horrendous things to noise,” Ramm observes. “It can be land-based interference or fishing boats or sea life – dolphins and snapping shrimp can blank out everything else. A really good operator helps the commander surface ships, maritime aircraft, helicopters and submarines all working together to mark and deter, to track and attack. “It’s an expensive game,” says Ramm, “and the command-and-control and training skills are hard won. They need to be exercised continuously to remain viable.” Here, too, Thales is a world leader. Its FLASH active dipping sonar (a system that is dipped into the sea by a helicopter) is the primary ASW sensor system for installation on maritime surveillance helicopters. Built in Brest, close to 150 FLASH units have been installed on naval helicopters operated by the French, British, Norwegian, American, Swedish and UAE navies. The helicopters work in tandem with surface ships, giving a naval force the capability to locate submarines beyond the range from which they can launch an attack. Britain’s Royal Navy recently described the combination of Thales’ sonar systems on its Type 23 frigate and Merlin helicopter as “the world’s best.” It all goes to show the truth of the old adage: if you want the best gamekeeper, hire the smartest poacher. 10 ReseaRch: cRitical MateRials certain critical materials are essential to industries across the eU and spurring innovation along the way. Chain reaction John coutts From advanced radar systems to high-efficiency LED lighting, wind turbines, hybrid cars and smart phones, many of today’s innovative technologies depend upon critical materials – elements and compounds prized for their remarkable electronic, chemical and mechanical properties. The European Commission lists more than 30 non-energy raw materials it considers to be critical. Among these are the rare earth elements (REEs), a group of 17 chemically similar metallic elements, such as neodymium, lanthanum and dysprosium. The EC’s critical list also includes better known metals such as magnesium, tungsten and platinum. What makes these materials critical is not so much their geological scarcity – although that is a factor – but a complex array of geopolitical and macroeconomic constraints. These include the absence or shortage of substitutes, the political and economic stability of suppliers and low recycling rates. Currently, mining and production of critical raw materials is concentrated in just a handful of locations around the world. China, for example, accounts for more than 90 per cent of the current output of REEs. Because critical materials generally occur in very low concentrations, the cost of recovery is high. “It’s a very capital intensive industry with long lead times and a lot of permitting required and financing to put in place,” mining industry consultant Dr David Humphreys told the BBC World Service recently. “It can take a long time for new capacity to come into the market.” Resources under pressure Industrial consumers of critical materials face two key challenges. The first and most important of these is availability. The second is price. Both are determined by a range of economic, regulatory and technological factors, all of which are interconnected and any one of which can trigger disruption that cascades through the supply chain. Risks are compounded by the length and complexity of those supply chains: typically, participants include mining businesses, mineral traders, concentrate processors and smelters, specialist ingot, wafer and crystal producers, semiconductor makers and end-product manufacturers. Supply chains are only as strong as their weakest link, so constant monitoring is essential. “It’s a complex economic system where instability can have unpredictable consequences,” says Bertrand Demotes-Mainard, PtAs2 “it’s a very capital intensive industry with long lead times and a lot of permitting required and financing to put in place” Dr David Humphreys, mining industry consultant 11 “it’s a complex economic system where instability can have unpredictable consequences. the real dangers come when two or three of those risks combine to create major disruption” Bertrand Demotes-Mainard, vice-president of Hardware Technologies at Thales In Brief 1 Scarcity is not the only thing that makes materials critical – lack of suitable substitutes and political and economic factors play a part as well. 2 Availability and price are the key challenges facing industrial consumers of critical materials. 3 An integrated supply chain for critical materials can help maintain stability and spur on innovation. 12 ReseaRch: cRitical MateRials “to dilute the risk and optimise the opportunities... thales builds strategic partnerships that maximise synergies with other participants” Bertrand Demotes-Mainard, vice-president of Hardware Technologies at Thales vice-president of Hardware Technologies at Thales. “The real dangers come when two or three of those risks combine to create major disruption.” Criticality issues can develop quickly. For example, exporting states can decide to reduce or cut off supplies, speculation can lead to price spikes and technology shifts can result in rapid market tightening. Because only small volumes of critical materials are produced, and because producers are few in number, the market is vulnerable to rapid distortions. Critical thinking The ability of an individual company to exert significant influence over long and complex supply chains on its own is limited. But closer integration between key downstream stakeholders promotes stability and spurs innovation. “To dilute the risk and optimise the opportunities inherent in critical materials, Thales builds strategic partnerships that maximise synergies with other participants not only in aerospace and defence, but also across academia and industry as a whole,” says Demotes-Mainard. “These include joint research and development activities that pave the way for the industrialisation of new technologies.” For example, the III-V Lab is a joint venture that brings together Thales, Alcatel-Lucent and the French research and technology organisation CEA-Leti. Established in 2004, the III-V Lab underlines how collaborative approaches are transforming the way research and development is carried out. As its name suggests, the role of the lab is to carry out research and development on III-V semiconductor components. These are made from compounds that contain critical elements found in groups III and V of the periodic table, such as gallium arsenide (GaAs), gallium nitride (GaN) and indium phosphide (InP). With a staff of around 130 and headquarters at Marcoussis 25km south of Paris, the III-V Lab carries out basic research and development that builds on the common ground between the technologies developed for the various markets served by Thales and Alcatel-Lucent. These include defence, security, space and telecoms. In addition to its research activities, the III-V Lab produces and sells components such as modules and epitaxial wafers, which are used for complex integrated circuit fabrication. Components are typically sold in small batches. This small production run capability is valuable in today’s fast moving market because it allows partners to get early access to components without the time penalty and costs associated with tooling up for mass production. the european commission lists more than 30 non-energy raw materials it considers to be critical Intelligent manufacturing The ability to industrialise innovation at a larger scale is equally important. To make this a reality, Thales worked with EADS Deutschland GmbH to establish a joint venture company – United Monolithic Semiconductors (UMS) – in 1996. Today, UMS is one of Europe’s leading providers of gallium arsenide (GaAs) and gallium nitride (GaN) foundry (semiconductor manufacturing) services. The company has production facilities in France and Germany with sales offices in the US and China. UMS shipped some eight million products in 2011 and employs more than 250 people. As well as providing critical parts for Thales and EADS – components that would otherwise have to be sourced from outside Europe – UMS manufactures and markets state-of-the art radio frequency, microwave and millimetre wave components and integrated circuits to meet the need of customers across industry as a whole. The market segments served by UMS embrace the entire technology spectrum and include telecoms, space, defence and security, automotive and ISM – the industrial, scientific and medical markets. The company’s manufacturing portfolio includes gallium arsenide chips used to perform digital processing and frequency management in France’s Rafale fighter plane. UMS is also a leader in automotive short range radar (SRR) – the technology that allows cars to detect obstacles. This technology is at the heart of collision avoidance systems and paves the way for tomorrow’s intelligent transport networks. Knowledge is power The risks and complexity surrounding critical materials can be further reduced – and new opportunities created – by providing stakeholders with better information. Thales does this through its Component Information System (TCIS). This is a repository of all the technical and regulatory data relating to the electronic components used in the research, design and manufacturing of products throughout the enterprise. The database currently contains some 1.5 million references and includes information concerning both externally procured and Thales-built components, as well as lists of preferred parts and manufacturers. “The list is constantly reviewed to evaluate the status of components,” says Demotes-Mainard. “Even commodity parts have an end of life, so it is essential that designers are kept informed well in advance of any changes.” TCIS is important because the products and systems built by Thales contain huge 13 Thales innovations: putting safety first In the defence arena, components containing critical materials such as gallium are vital in the production of advanced sensing and processing technologies that support the armed forces. Gallium arsenide (GaAs) and, increasingly, gallium nitride (GaN) are used in vital electronic applications. Thermal imaging technology is an example. Critical materials are integral to Thales’ high-resolution cameras which use quantum well infrared photodetector (QWIP) technology to provide enhanced long-distance surveillance in harsh environments. These cameras allow personnel to acquire images not only in darkness, but also to “see” through obscurants such as smoke, vegetation and camouflage. Thales’ sonar systems also depend on parts containing critical raw materials. These are capable of generating the wide range of frequencies needed to detect threats – such as mines and submarines – with speed and certainty. numbers of electronic components. In addition to technical data, TCIS lists regulatory, commercial, health and environmental detail for each component. As well providing compliance tools, TCIS assists in the creation of greener products. Because the system contains data on the constituents of each component, including rare earths and other critical materials, Thales’ designers are able to optimise the In the air, Thales provides a complete package of integrated electronics for France’s Rafale fighter aircraft, including the plane’s state-of-the-art RBE2 radar system. This uses active electronically scanned array (AESA) technology, improving effectiveness and eliminating the need for energy-hungry moving parts – a solution made possible by critical raw materials. Critical materials are equally important in space, where temperature extremes and high levels of radiation potential for end-of-life recycling at the drawing board stage. This is an increasingly important customer requirement. And by retaining lifelong data about all the components in use, TCIS also helps customers with existing systems to make more informed judgements about how materials can be reclaimed as those systems approach obsolescence. This ensures a greater proportion of potentially demand electronic and optical components with proven resilience. The Pléiades earth observation satellites are a case in point. Orbiting nearly 700km above the earth, the two Pléiades satellites incorporate veryhigh resolution (VHR) imaging instruments built by Thales Alenia Space. On board, critical or near-critical elements are found in everything from the high-precision mirrors used in the optical equipment to the solar arrays and batteries that provide power for the satellite. useful material can be easily identified and recovered for recycling. Thales’ collaborative research activities, manufacturing joint ventures and innovations such as TCIS underline the ways in which smarter management boosts resilience in the downstream supply chain. This reduces risk for Thales and its partners. But more importantly, it provides customers with higher levels of assurance and better products. 14 Space : SatelliteS Just above your head at this point, there are several thousand man-made satellites oribiting the earth, supporting everything from telecoms to space science, navigation, meteorology and military surveillance. the global satellite industry continues to grow at a steady rate of five per cent, nearly double the worldwide economic growth rate. The US leads the way in new launches, followed by europe (with 25 per cent of 2011 launch revenues). Russia (19 per cent) and asia (17 per cent) are the other main players in the global launch market. Russia 1,437 USA 1,099 Who owns what More than 50 countries currently operate at least one satellite (some with assistance from other nations or entities). Japan 127 China 120 France 120 India 45 Canada 32 UK 29 63,023 Satellites: put into orbit since Sputnik Satellites: what are they used for? Of the 994 currently operational satellites, the bulk are used for commercial, civil government and military communications. Commercial communications 381 (38%) 15 Climatology Oceanography 3,000 according to NaSa, there are now an estimated 3,000 satellites currently orbiting the earth, though many are now obsolete. Thales in space Thales’ satellites serve specific functions including meteorological, telecoms, navigation, scientific research as well as tracking a wide range of changes in climate and their potential impact. thales continues to set the global standard in each of these areas through two joint ventures with Finmeccanica of italy: thales alenia Space and telespazio. Agriculture Out of this world... orbit as of May 2012, 42% geosynchronous orbit 47% in low orbit 7% in medium orbit 4% in elliptical orbit Civil government communications 113 (13%) Military communications 86 (9%) 16 Defence: MaritiMe piracy The tanker MV Smyrni, laden with $130 million worth of crude oil from Azerbaijan and with 26 crew members, was passing through the Gulf of Aden on 10 May 2012 when pirates struck, seizing control of the ship in a hail of machine gun and RPG fire. While it was a routine that had become familiar in the waters off Somalia, the taking of MV Smyrni had one important difference – it was the last hijacking to have been carried out successfully by Somalia’s once-prolific pirate crews. Today, the tide appears to have turned decisively against the pirates off Somalia. According to statistics from the EU Naval Force (EU NAVFOR) at the time of writing, there are only two vessels currently being held by pirates and they were taken in 2010 and 2012. Thus far in 2013, there have been two attacks on vessels but both came through the incidents safely. However, global piracy is a hydra that is not easily defeated: whenever the international community concentrates its efforts on one piracy hotspot, others tend to emerge. So it was that concern over the Malacca Straits a decade ago shifted gradually to the waters off Somalia. Now, even before that threat has been eliminated, the Gulf of Guinea has emerged as piracy’s latest epicentre. The experience of restoring order to the Malacca Straits and, increasingly, the seas off Somalia has nonetheless given governments, militaries and shipping companies valuable insights into the best ways to reduce the likelihood of pirate attacks and minimise the pirates’ chances of success when they do strike. Ultimately, the root causes are political and economic: Somali pirates won’t disappear entirely until Somalia has a functioning government and its people have jobs. “You’ll never eradicate piracy through action at sea,” explains Chris Trelawny, senior deputy director responsible for maritime security at the International Maritime Organization (IMO). “It’s mainly a shore- based law enforcement issue – breaking the piracy criminal model.” 17 Trouble on the high seas Piracy on the world’s seas reached a five-year low in 2012 as the impact of intelligence-led operations, such as the european Union Naval Force Somalia – Operation Atalanta began to be felt. Has time finally run out for maritime pirates? trefor Moss In Brief 1 Maritime piracy remains a concern, particularly in hotspots like Somalia. 2 Collaborative maritime security measures are being implemented by governments and corporations. 3 The key to reducing maritime piracy, if not stopping it altogether, is in sharing of realtime information so that everyone involved can make the right decision at critical moments. 18 Defence: MaritiMe piracy Civil war, lack of governmental controls and economic collapse have all been key factors in the rise of maritime piracy, especially in regions such as the Gulf of Aden off the Somali coast. However, until such time as these problems are addressed at their source on land, there is much that can be done at sea to minimise the damage. According to Trelawny, this drop in piracy, aside from governance and law enforcement factors, can be explained by three main developments. “First is the development of IMO guidance and shipping industrydeveloped best management practice [BMP] – that’s a range of self-defence measures,” he explains. These cover basic practices such as maintaining a good lookout, travelling at high speed through danger zones, fitting razor wire and high-pressure hoses to ships, and even to hiring private on-board security teams – an effective, but controversial, measure. “Pirates essentially come in probing,” he says. “If they see a vulnerable target, they’ll attack that; if it’s a ship that’s well prepared, they will look for a different target.” Previously, one in three piracy attacks succeeded; implementation of BMP has reduced the success rate to just one in eight. Secondly, Trelawny cites more effective efforts by navies. Off Somalia, for example, the presence of naval task forces has facilitated the establishment of an Internationally Recognised Transit Corridor (IRTC), which is easier to police than a much wider expanse of ocean. Three multinational forces – NATO, EU NAVFOR and Combined Task Force-151 (CTF-151), an international effort run by the Combined Maritime Forces (CMF), itself a multi-national naval partnership attached to the United States Naval Forces Central Command – conduct counter-piracy operations in and around the IRTC, while other countries, including China and the Russian Federation, also send warships to escort convoys through the transit corridor. “The third factor is that situational awareness is getting a lot better,” Trelawny continues. With ships of over 300 tonnes now required to carry long- range identification and tracking equipment, navies can monitor shipping traffic and pay close attention to unregistered vessels. Information is shared between countries, militaries and commercial vessels, with UKMTO Dubai, the NATO Shipping Centre and EU NAVFOR websites providing real-time threat information that crews can access. “This enables them to alter course and get out of the way” if a pirate vessel is identified, observes Trelawny. “Ninety-nine percent of it is common sense. Most big operators are doing the right things now, but there’s a danger of complacency among some.” Pirates thrive in an information vacuum, such as the once poorly monitored seas around Somalia. Setting up a distribution network of real-time information has therefore been at least as important in reducing the pirates’ effectiveness as the deterrent of heavily armed warships. “The key is situational awareness,” explains Jean-Marie Lhuissier, maritime safety and security co-ordinator at Thales and a rear admiral (retired) in the French Navy. “That’s the reason why ships’ masters are strongly recommended to register and report their position in order to help those who are running the security operation.” Lieutenant Commander Jacqueline Sherriff (UK Royal Navy), spokesperson for EU NAVFOR, explains that registration and tracking really assist the EU Naval Task Force to do its job. “Our approach is very much intelligence led. The Maritime Security Centre – Horn of Africa [MSCHOA] has a registration system that enables us to track a vessel on our screen. If a vessel’s course suddenly alters and heads into Somali waters, this will alert us that a vessel may have been attacked.” According to Lt Cdr Sherriff, around 70 per cent of ships passing through Somali waters now register in advance with MSCHOA. With most ships choosing to register, the real-time information gathered by MSCHOA can be distributed among the military ships in the area. This enables the different task forces to co-operate effectively. “At sea, we have real-time information-sharing and co-operation 19 “If they see a vulnerable target, they’ll attack that; if it’s a ship that’s well defended, they will look for a different target” Chris Trelawny, International Maritime Organisation between counter-piracy forces,” Lt Cdr Sherriff explains. “For example, in January 2012, a NATO warship and EU Naval Force warship worked together to successfully apprehend 12 armed suspect pirates at sea.” In September 2012, the command of CTF-151 passed to Rear Admiral Oguz Karaman of the Turkish Navy. The task force’s situational awareness is now excellent, according to Adm Karaman, with much better communication between all the military and civilian shipping in pirate-affected areas. “We have a very clear picture of what is going on in and around the IRTC thanks to the information sharing,” Adm Karaman explains. “The information is real time and it’s much better than Google maps or Wikipedia because we have access to people on scene who provide the information directly to us. On the high seas, when someone sees something in the region, everyone sees it.” The problem that Somalia faces, as well as other regions that have not benefited from Somalia’s international profile, is that multinational task forces will not always be there to keep the pirates at bay. For this reason, as well as building up governance, the international community is working with littoral states in pirate-affected regions to help build up the kind of knowledge systems that have proven themselves in areas like the Gulf of Aden. “The most important thing is to develop a maritime information system,” argues Lhuissier. “The question of governance is sometimes seen as an obstacle, but to me it’s not an issue. The political issues should be put aside. The goal must be to initiate capabilities that enable countries to control their own areas. Thales can contribute to these developments: we cover the whole range of systems and sensors that are needed to address maritime awareness at national and regional levels.” Similarly, in the Gulf of Guinea, governments are seeking new ways to counter a different form of pirate threat. Whereas Somali pirates commonly hijack ships in order to demand a ransom, West African pirates have a different modus operandi: they have closer links to organised crime and hijack ships in order to steal oil or other cargoes, or even to steal the ships themselves. “In West Africa, we’re looking at developing maritime law enforcement capabilities – piracy is just one issue,” explains Trelawny. However, countries there are already making progress, he says, with Nigeria and Benin conducting joint patrols, and Cameroon having stepped up patrols in its territorial waters. International frameworks are also in place to make it easier for developing countries to build counter-piracy capabilities. The Djibouti Code of Conduct, which came into effect in 2009 under the auspices of the IMO, commits signatories to a universal set of counter-piracy standards. Meanwhile, CMF has hosted regular Shared Awareness and Deconfliction (SHADE) conferences since 2008, attended by all international counter piracy forces operating in the Indian Ocean, together with representatives from the shipping industry and regional states. These exchanges, which promote counter-piracy information-sharing and offer BMP updates, have been a “tactical success story in helping us to co-ordinate our efforts”, explains Lt Cdr Sherriff. While warships are a powerful deterrent, information technology and situational awareness are the counter-piracy tools that the pirates fear most of all. In the end, the people who finance the pirates regard hijacking as a business opportunity. When task forces, governments and shipping companies share, collaborate and exchange information, the pirates and their backers will find another line of work. 20 SeCurity: Big Data Big data takes critical information systems to the next level. Taking the right path I John Coutts t’s early afternoon at Paray-leMonial in the Burgundy region of France. The N79 trunk road that skirts the town should be humming with traffic, but there isn't a car or truck in sight. Instead, a construction team is preparing to winch a high-tech traffic monitoring gantry into position. Chains clank in the autumn sunshine as the 25m-wide structure is coaxed into place over the four-lane highway. The traffic sensors that are being installed at Paray-leMonial – and at more than 170 other checkpoints across the country – are vital components in a critical information system that is helping to turn the government’s ranging from air-traffic management to defence, banking and in-flight entertainment. “Smarter systems mean better performance and the ability to transform large amounts of data – big data – into usable information,” says Laurent Maury, vicepresident for critical information systems at Thales. Big data is here to stay: technology analyst Gartner forecasts that IT organisations will spend more than ¤170bn on hardware, software and services relating to big data over the next five years. According to some estimates, the world generates enough data every day to fill a shelf of DVDs stretching over 5,000km. The ability to make sense of it all – to gain insights and then act on these – confers an advantage to both public- and private-sector organisations. “Smarter systems mean better performance and the ability to transform large amounts of data – big data – into usable information” Laurent Maury, vice-president for critical information systems at Thales. vision for a new "eco-tax" into a reality. When it goes live in October, 800,000 heavy goods vehicles will be subject to a distancebased levy on 15,000km of key roads nationwide. Electronic enforcement is central to the success of the programme. Such large and complex projects depend increasingly on critical information systems. Built to higher standards than conventional IT, these are ultra-reliable, secure and resistant to attack. Critical systems play a pivotal role in delivering smarter, safer operations in applications Capitalising on big data presents a number of practical challenges – particularly for organisations with stringent security requirements. First, there’s the question of volume. Every enterprise produces data on a scale that would have been unimaginable even a decade ago. A single oil rig, for example, is capable of generating about 1,000GB every day. Second, big data needs to be delivered and processed at high speed. In the case of the eco-tax system, data from roadside sensors – video, laser and radio detectors – is handled in real time. Then there’s the question of variety. Data is everywhere, so the ability to evaluate sources is becoming ever more important. In some critical applications – weapon control systems, for example – only outputs from dedicated sensor networks are needed. But, for a growing number of businesses and government agencies, there’s a need to integrate unstructured data from a wide range of sources, including social networks. Critical information systems help organisations to get the most out of big data in a number of ways. Advanced analytics and stream computing make it possible to 21 The develoment of safer and more reliable critical information systems is having a major impact on everything from air traffic management to automated road tolling. sift through mountains of raw data to produce small amounts of actionable, high-value information. Data fusion techniques, meanwhile, marry together different strands of data on the same object, event or person. This makes it possible to build a clearer picture and solve complex problems more easily. Above all, though, critical information systems are designed with security front and centre. “The word ‘critical’ has a number of implications,” Maury says. “It can mean robustness, resilience or integrity of software – but most of all, it’s information security.” To meet this need, critical systems are monitored by security operation centres that work round the clock to detect and counter cyber threats. Data that’s held by critical systems is subject to rigorous electronic and procedural safeguards. As well as being resilient, it’s essential that critical systems are easy to use – and that means embracing innovations from the consumer market. In-flight entertainment is one area where this trend is already apparent: the latest systems apply the Android operating system used in many smartphones, with touch-screen technology to give passengers easy access to a huge array of entertainment material. With technology – and users’ expectations – developing at a breakneck pace, innovations of this sort are quickly finding their way into professional solutions. “IT is increasingly driven by consumer electronics, for example through the growing use of tablets, smartphones, social networks, etc,” notes Maury. “So it’s important for us to have access to these breakthrough technologies through B2B markets, so as to be able to inject that innovation into the systems we manufacture.” 22 GrounD transport: BaneDanmark It’s not every day that a country gets to start from scratch with its railway network, but that’s exactly what’s happening in Denmark. Banedanmark, the Danish railway network operator, is investing more than €3bn in a ground breaking signalling programme that will transform the country’s entire rail system. All change: Denmark John Couts Banedanmark is responsible for the infrastructure and maintenance of most of the Danish railway network. In 2008, the company announced that the signalling across the entire network was going to be upgraded from the ground up. 23 In Brief 1 Ageing infrastructure on the national Danish railway system has prompted an initiative to replace all of its existing equipment. 2 Such a major project allows for the latest technology to be introduced, including ERTMS. 3 Thales is leading a consortium along with Balfour Beatty Rail that will handle the work being rolled out on 60 per cent of the network. Over the next eight years, the national Danish railway will replace every signal, level crossing, point machine, interlocking and signal box on its main line and regional network, the Fjernbanen. It is also replacing all signalling on the S-banen, Copenhagen’s mass transit system “Total replacement means total replacement,” says programme director Morten Søndergaard of Banedanmark, the infrastructure owner managing the country’s rail transformation. “We’re changing all of the equipment, no matter how old or what the level of technology.” Ageing infrastructure on Fjernbanen will be swept away and replaced by a suite of advanced rail technologies. These include ERTMS – the European Rail Traffic Management System. The solution chosen by Banedanmark uses cab signalling (ERTMS Level 2) which eliminates the need for lineside signals. The re-signalling includes new electronic interlocking technology – the safety-critical “brains” of the railway – as well as new trackside hardware for controlling points and level crossings. The result: improved safety, extra capacity, more reliability and lower operating costs. Projects of this magnitude are more usually associated with the booming greenfield markets of the Middle East and China – so it’s no surprise that Banedanmark’s scheme is attracting international attention. What prompted the decision to opt for total replacement? “The systems we have in Denmark are generally old and a lot of them were very near end-of-life,” explains Søndergaard. “Eighty per cent of our signalling equipment is technology that dates back to the 1950s and 60s.” Conventional wisdom has it that you only renew a signalling system when it becomes life expired. The problem is that different systems accumulate over the decades and they age at different rates. The result is that signalling replacements are always out of sync, with operators trapped in a never-ending cycle of renewals. Then there’s the question of managing legacy systems. Traditional signalling is based on a mixture of mechanical, electro-mechanical and relay technologies. These systems are highly durable. But maintenance is expensive, with spares and expertise increasingly scarce. “The existing signalling is so old in some places that spare parts are no longer available,” notes Søndergaard. “So whenever there’s a problem, we have to find components from other old installations – we just have to hope they work better than the one that has actually failed.” Breaking the mould Patching up old signalling systems and the piecemeal introduction of new technology is an expensive and time-consuming reality for railway operators everywhere. Most operators shrug and accept this as a fact of life, but Søndergaard and his team had other ideas. “When we started looking at this back in 2006, somebody came up with a crazy idea: ‘Why don’t we change everything?’. The idea was that if you change everything at the same time, you would get economies of scale, you would have the possibility of repeatability and you would save a fortune on interface costs.” Nobody had ever tried doing this before in the signalling business – at least, not on this scale – whereas economies of scale are common in other industries. Could it work? Analysis revealed that the cost, risk and benefits 24 GrounD transport: BaneDanmark “When we started looking at this back in 2006, somebody came up with a crazy idea: why don’t we change everything?” Morten Søndergaard, Banedanmark of a total replacement would be preferable to a traditional renewal strategy. “It was a better business case,” recalls Søndergaard. “Complete replacement gives us greater benefits, but it’s actually cheaper.” The Danish parliament agreed. In January 2009, it agreed to fund a €3.2bn programme for a total replacement of signalling in Denmark. Big data signalling The technology being deployed yields major operational benefits. By using a single system for the entire nation, interface costs are nearly eliminated. And unlike bespoke national standards, ERTMS is a globally-supported solution. That helps to create an open market and boosts competition. Data generated by the new system will improve efficiency and pave the way for further innovation. Benefits include conflict resolution – the ability to predict, prevent and manage disruption – and energy savings achieved through smarter real-time scheduling. “We are also studying the idea of using automatic train operation on the main line network,” says Søndergaard. New modes of operation also offer improved transparency. “We expect operating costs will be a lot lower going forward,” says Søndergaard. “We tendered out the maintenance for the new system and we can see that the contracts we’ve got have lower costs than today’s solution. In return, a lot more line is signalled, so that generates more cost.” Condition monitoring – the ability to visualise the performance and health of assets such as point motors – will also keep a lid on costs. “Conventional maintenance approaches mean serviceable assets are often needlessly replaced,” says Georg Köpfler, CEO of Thales Denmark and project manager for the Banedanmark programme. “Using an integrated maintenance management system means we will be able to focus maintenance resources based on need rather than guesswork.” Smarter signalling is a vital part of Banedanmark’s strategy to build a network that is not only more efficient, but more attractive too. Railways are already popular in Denmark: at a shade under 10 per cent, the proportion of passenger kilometres travelled by rail compared to other means of transport (the modal share) is the second highest in Europe and nearly twice the EU average. New signalling will help to build on that success with significant punctuality improvements. Today, around 50 per cent of infrastructure-related train delays are caused by signal problems, resulting in delays to some 39,000 trains every year. New technology is expected to reduce signalling-related delays by 80 per cent on the main line network. The signalling upgrade will also allow speeds to be increased on selected lines, so journeys should be quicker. And passengers will be better informed: big data generated by new signalling makes it possible to provide comprehensive passenger information. Interoperable signalling has important strategic benefits too, including easier cross-border operations. Historically, the existence of different national signalling and train control systems hampered international rail operations: locomotive and crew changes were needed for trains to cross frontiers. But with ERTMS, signalling incompatibility will no longer be a barrier. The potential for easier cross-border operations has important implications for Denmark, which already has rail links with neighbouring Germany and with Sweden via the 16km Øresund link which opened in 2000. Plans for a new rail link with Germany – via the proposed Fehmarn belt crossing – would reduce the journey time between Denmark’s capital Copenhagen and Hamburg in Germany by one-and-a-half hours. Better signalling holds the key to cost-effective international operations and will help to strengthen Denmark’s position as a Baltic transport hub. Building a smarter railway Implementation of the new signalling is proceeding to a meticulously-planned timetable, with an emphasis on planning and testing: a three-year design phase (work on this commenced at the beginning of 2012) will be followed by three years of rigorous testing. To minimise disruption, the actual implementation will be carried out to a fairly 25 By using ERTMS, signalling incompatibility is no longer an issue and opens the door for easier cross-border operations, which is vital for Denmark and its commercial links in Europe. “using an asset management system means we will be able to focus maintenance resources based on need rather than guesswork” Georg Köpfler, Thales aggressive schedule, with final roll-out taking place between 2018 and 2021. Delivery is divided by region. A Thales-led consortium with Balfour Beatty Rail is handling re-signalling across Jutland in the west of the country, with competitors Alstom responsible for signalling in the east. Thales’ portion represents around 60 per cent of the network. Thales has already deployed ERTMS across Algeria, Austria, Bulgaria, Germany, Hungary, Mexico, Poland, Romania, Saudi Arabia, South Korea, Spain, Switzerland and Turkey, among others. Thales is involved in all the major ongoing projects worldwide, including Saudi Arabia’s 2,400km North South Railway, the world’s longest rail line to be equipped with ETCS Level 2. To iron out snags and ensure final roll out is smooth, new signalling in Denmark will first be implemented on the so-called “early deployment” line. The railway from Langå to Frederikshavn in the north of Jutland is scheduled for re-signalling in 2016. This line is currently controlled by some of Banedanmark’s oldest interlockings systems which are based on century-old technology. Minimising the impact on normal passenger and freight operations is a primary consideration. “First of all, we want to have as few possessions – engineering takeovers – as possible,” says Köpfler. “So we have to be able to test everything. To do this, we use our interoperability lab in Switzerland as our local lab here in Denmark. We also have a joint test lab together with Banedanmark and Alstom near Copenhagen.” Teamwork is critical on a scheme of this size. To this end, an entire floor of Banedanmark’s HQ in Copenhagen has been devoted to the signalling programme. “We sit at one table,” says Köpfler. “On Mondays and Fridays, we work out of our own premises. But for the rest of the week, we all work together at the customer’s building – not only Thales, but also the customer, competitors and consultants. This is a very new co-operation model and of course we are talking to our competitors to find good ways for both parties to find win-win situations.” Projects on the scale of the Banedanmark signalling programme are new to Europe. But the trend towards harmonised nationwide signalling is clear, with Luxembourg leading the way back in 2008 with the first countrywide scheme. The technology is proven, the know-how is there. What’s needed are new ways of thinking. “The trouble with railways is that everybody thinks like an engineer: if a piece of equipment can be made to last another five years, then you build the new system around it,” says Søndergaard, himself an engineer. “But you need to think like an economist instead and look at it from a total cost and benefit perspective. Yes, there is a short-term cost attached to getting rid of things that might have useful service life left in them. In the long run, though, you get lower costs and better results if you replace everything.” 26 aerospace: air traffic MaNaGeMeNt Preparing for take-off With air traffic forecast to double by 2030, pilots and air traffic controllers need new ways to automate and streamline what they do or else we face growing delays and rising costs. Matthew Stibbe “N147GT climb flight level 120, turn right heading 110 and contact London on 118.575.” It’s a typical set of instructions for an aircraft climbing out of a London airport heading east towards the continent. Each climb, descent, hold, heading change and handover to a new controller requires a similar radio call which the pilot must repeat back to the air traffic controller. Flying from London to Holland, a pilot might receive 40 or 50 such calls and talk to eight or more different controllers as the airplane travels through different geographical sectors over the course of an hour-long flight. It’s the same for the 28,000 flights that take place in Europe every day. Just getting from the ramp to the runway at a big airport like Schiphol involves a dozen calls and two different controllers. Only one person at a time can talk on a given radio frequency, so, in a busy sector at a busy time, the flow of instructions is almost constant. Controllers are often working at maximum capacity directing dozens of aircraft at once. To understand the changes in air traffic management over the last two decades and the changes that are in the pipeline for the next decade, you need to tune your imagination into these channels of constant radio instructions. The evolution of air traffic control In the early days of European aviation, pilots flew using primitive charts and “dead reckoning” (judging their current position by using a known earlier position and their estimated speeds over time). The run up to the Second World War saw the birth of radio navigation (using radio beacons to find your way), blind flying in clouds (using electromechanical instruments such as the artificial horizon), radar and transponders (so controllers on the ground knew where you were) and radio control (so they could tell you where to go). After the war, this technology became commonplace in commercial aviation. During the 1960s and 70s, air traffic management evolved and became increasingly (but not completely) automated. Controllers moved from hand-written flight progress strips to computer-printed ones. Transponders became more advanced so controllers could see data blocks alongside aircraft radar returns that showed information such as altitude and call sign. In Brief 1 Air traffic “control” is now focused on air traffic “management”. 2 Increases in air traffic around the world are necessitating a paradigm shift in the way air traffic is managed overall. 3 Decision making in air traffic management requires both better systems as well as streamlined technology in order to keep the pace. 27 A new ATC system for France A new air traffic management system being introduced in France integrates advanced flight data processing systems with sophisticated controller displays and management software. The system, being implemented by Thales, will replace traditional hand-written flight strips completely with a new electronic system. By using data links and other new technology, it will reduce controllers’ workloads and deliver a future-proof SESAR-compliant system. “Flying from London to Holland, a pilot might receive 40 or 50 such calls and talk to eight or more different controllers as the airplane travels through different geographical sectors over the course of an hour-long flight.” 28 aerospace: air traffic MaNaGeMeNt Satellite navigation became common in the 1980s and 1990s, and supplemented ground-based beacons and inertial navigation systems. In the 1980s and into the 1990s, automation increased as did navigational accuracy. Satellite navigation became common and supplemented ground-based beacons and inertial navigation systems. Centralised air traffic management, typified by Eurocontrol, ensured that aircraft didn’t take off unless en-route controllers had the capacity to manage them – if you’ve ever sat on the ground in a plane and heard the word “slot” or “air traffic control delays”, this is Eurocontrol’s flow control at work. Avionics systems in the cockpit have also evolved to add terrain avoidance and collision avoidance tools that don’t rely on ground controllers. New problems, new technology As the number of flights has grown, air traffic management has (more or less) kept pace, making flights more predictable, safer and efficient. But this evolution has taken place with the constraints of a system that hasn’t changed on a fundamental level for decades. For example, a visit to the UK’s London Air Traffic Control Centre (LATCC) in the early 1990s showed both the state of the art of the time as well as the limitations of the status quo. It was the home of some of the busiest air traffic controllers in the world, handling all the flights to and from London’s main airports. Despite this heavy responsibility, they were using vintage PDP-11 computers and the site had the feel of a Connery-era Bond film – in fact, the main hall could have passed for a villain’s lair. There was no doubting the supreme professionalism of the controllers but the technology they used was distinctly retro. Their move to new premises in Swanwick in the late 1990s anticipated big changes in the world of air traffic management. Today, air traffic is expected to double and then triple in Europe and the US. Other parts of the world are growing much more rapidly Thales innovations: putting safety first. Precision 4D trajectories: Automatic airborne separation: Imagine a plane that can fly a complex flight path and arrive at a given waypoint at a given altitude within 10 seconds of a pre-determined schedule. In 2012, Thales ran flight trials for its I4D concept to demonstrate this level of accuracy using an Airbus flying from Toulouse to Malmo. It’s one of 100 SESAR projects under development by Thales and this new capability will eventually allow aircraft to fly more efficiently while reducing the workload of controllers and pilots alike. Using ADS-B technology, Thales has demonstrated the ability for two aircraft to merge their trajectories while keeping a safe distance from one another without intervention from a ground-based air traffic controller. Normally, controllers are responsible for separation in the air. But if new avionics systems can do the same job, especially in remote areas without radar coverage, then flight safety improves, along with efficiency. and in two decades parts of Asia may have higher traffic densities than congested Europe – China alone is planning 70 new airports by 2015. Existing systems can’t cope with the predicted expansion of traffic. Controllers can’t manage more aircraft than they already do in busy sectors and sectors can’t shrink without increasing radio traffic due to handovers to and from other sectors. Something has to give. It’s not just the number of flights that presents challenges. Airlines and customers alike want to pay less for air traffic control services, which are an additional operating cost on each flight. Environmental pressure also plays a role – airlines want to reduce fuel costs by using more direct, fuel-efficient routes, which would reduce CO2 emissions and could reduce aircraft noise at airports. Last, as the number of flights increases, airlines (and their passengers) want to see continuous improvements to safety: three times the air traffic simply can’t mean three times as many accidents. LATCC’s new facilities in Swanwick are as forward-looking as its old facilities were retro. Controllers sit at state of the art terminals with advanced high-resolution radar displays and sophisticated software to help spot potential problems in advance. It looks as you would expect one of the world’s busiest air traffic control facilities to look – modern and efficient. The new facilities are representative of the kind of progress that has to take place across the whole system to keep up with traffic growth. SESAR and NextGen SESAR (the Single European Sky ATM Research Programme) in Europe and NextGen in the US are designed to transform air traffic management and achieve on a continental scale the same technology-driven efficiencies achieved on a local scale at LATCC. SESAR is expected to cut air-traffic management costs to airlines by 50 per cent and environmental impact by 10 per cent while maintaining the same absolute safety 29 In two decades, parts of Asia may have higher traffic densities than congested Europe – China alone is planning 70 new airports by 2015 Digital taxi guidance: On the ground, Thales is implementing a function called Digital Taxi. This gives pilots a clear idea of where they are on the airport and provides taxi instructions from the ramp to the runway (or vice versa), just like the satnav in a car. This is a high-risk phase of any flight with a danger of collisions, wrong turns and runway incursions. Replacing radio instructions and paper charts with digital maps and error-free instructions can only improve safety. levels (ie no more accidents even if traffic itself doubles or trebles). Three technological innovations are central to achieving these ambitious goals. First, a new type of transponder technology called ADS-B (Automatic Dependent Surveillance – Broadcast) allows aircraft to transmit their position and trajectory to the ground and other aircraft, even outside conventional radar coverage. In Australia, ADS-B is already providing controllers more options for routing aircraft coming in from Asia because planes don’t need to follow rigid airways from one radio beacon to another. In the US, a thousand ADS-B base stations will provide continentwide surveillance. It also lets aircraft communicate their position to one another, allowing for automatic separation in areas where air traffic controllers can’t normally see planes, eg in mid-ocean. The second innovation – improved data links between ground controllers and pilots – will be essential too. Instead of timeconsuming, error-prone radio exchanges about frequency changes, routings and so on, controllers and pilots will be able to exchange clearances using CPDLC (Controller Pilot Data Link Communications). The cockpit itself is host to the third group of changes. Satellite navigation lets planes fly with ever-greater precision. For example, at some airports, planes fly down approach corridors, to avoid mountains or reduce noise pollution, that are just 0.1 miles wide. In conjunction with advanced autopilots and flight management systems, planes can also fly sophisticated 4D profiles with great accuracy – meaning that they can fly a specific path in three dimensions and arrive over waypoints at specific times. From the hushed consoles in centres around the world, air traffic controllers will issue fewer radio instructions. Today’s stream of routine instructions will be replaced by planning conversations and data links. Taken together, extended surveillance cover, streamlined communications and advanced navigation will give controllers more time for planning and enable them to handle more aircraft. Air traffic management will increasingly move from a control model to an optimisation model. Better for passengers All these changes will make life better for the travelling public. Flying will become safer, cheaper and more efficient even as the number of flights increases. Planes will be more likely to arrive on time and less likely to be held on the ground or stuck in a holding pattern. More efficient routing and accurate flight paths will cut flight time, reduce cost and cut pollution. In any other industry, meeting a threefold increase in demand with a dramatic reduction in cost and a significant increase in safety would be considered a huge triumph. Aviation has already made major progress and the next 20 years will see even more. The sandwiches may be soggy and the coffee tepid but the unsung technology that keeps planes moving is leading edge. 30 Big PicTUrE: ThE BELLA LASEr The BELLA laser system: a new dawn in high energy particle physics research. Laser power François Lureau, project manager in the Laser Solution Unit of Thales P article accelerators are used for fundamental research in laboratories around the world, from the Large Hadron Collider at CERN to the Stanford Linear Accelerator Center at Stanford, as well as for medical applications, such as proton therapy for cancer treatment. However facilities that are capable of delivering huge amounts of energy using conventional acceleration have become prohibitive due to their size and cost. As a result, several laboratories and research teams have been looking for other ways to generate high energy particles. Laser Plasma Acceleration offers real promise as a new concept for compact particle accelerators based on a laser system providing high peak power in a very short time measured in femtoseconds (10-15 seconds). The BELLA (BErkeley Laboratory Laser Accelerator) project is one such initiative. Installed at the prestigious Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory (LBNL) in California, BELLA is a giant 1.3 PetaWatt (1015 watts) laser with a repetition rate of 1Hz, designed and built by Thales. After fewer than three years of development and integration, the BELLA laser system is now fully operational at LBNL and is capable of producing pulses at a higher power rate than was ever thought possible: 1.3 x 1015 watts per pulse every second. LBNL hopes to construct a miniature particle accelerator comparable to conventional particles accelerators. Through this project, Thales has demonstrated its capability to provide scientists with a full “turn-key” laser system developed by an industry player with a real understanding of all of the elements from end-to-end. This new way of sharing responsibilities between industry and laboratories will allow research teams to focus on integrating the system supplied by industry into the experimentation chain and to concentrate on scientific applications. 31 “in addition to its outstanding performance and results, this project was a world premiere in terms of the relationship between laboratory and industry” François Lureau, project manager in the Laser Solution Unit of Thales 32 GROUND TRaNspORT: ECO-Tax In brief 1 The French Parliament approved the eco-tax law for heavy goods vehicles on 16 October 2008. The German route: LKW-Maut Germany operates a scheme called LKW-Maut, charging for autobahn use based on number of axles, the emissions category of the vehicle and the distance it travels. This was the first scheme to use GPS technology. It was introduced in January 2005 for all trucks with gross weights of over 12 tonnes, because of growing demands on the road network: estimates suggest that one in three trucks on the autobahn is foreign. The collection of tolls is done by Toll Collect on behalf of the Federal Republic of Germany. There are two systems: automatic and manual. The automatic system works with on-board diagnostics that use the GSM cellular network and GPS to calculate the distance travelled by a lorry and requires no input from the driver after installation. The manual system uses 3,500 toll stations located near motorway access ramps. More than 90 per cent of lorries in Germany use the automated system. LKW-Maut (“truck toll” in English) is enforced by 300 gantries using a combination of an infra-red detection system and high-resolution cameras. There are also about 300 mobile enforcement vehicles operating. It’s estimated that the collection costs account for 20 per cent of the gross revenue. The results of the scheme since its introduction have generally been positive. Observers note that hauliers are choosing lower-emission vehicles and there’s been both a decrease in empty runs and a shift from road to rail freight. One negative has been a shift from trucks using the autobahn to more local connecting roads – and that’s something that the Ecomouv' scheme has been specifically designed to counter. 2 The objective of the government is, in part, to rebalance demand between tolled and untolled roads. 3 The annual revenue from the eco-tax is forecast to be about ¤1.2bn. 33 Getting on board: Ecomouv' France’s Ecomouv' scheme is based on a GPS-enabled on-board device that’s designed to measure a vehicle’s location and the distance it has travelled. The device calculates all the data required before transmitting it via SFR’s cellular network to a central system for charge calculation and invoicing. Partners in the scheme include Thales, state railway SNCF and IT services company Steria. The scheme covers 15,000km of non-toll French autoroute and national roads, with lorries weighing over 3.5 tons paying on average ¤0.12 per km. When it launches, it will become the world’s most advanced automated road charging system, and 800,000 French and foreign trucks will be taking it on board. It’s expected to raise about ¤1.2bn a year. Ecomouv' differs from other systems because it incorporates 5,000km of non-motorway local roads, calculating tolls via GPS, with gantries monitoring enforcement. The government is confident that its system, with 173 fixed and 500 mobile checkpoints, will be effective. The key to the system is its automation. Whenever a driver uses a toll road, the mandatory on-board device automatically calculates a charge. When they turn off, it stops calculating. No user input is required and there are no gates or tollbooths – which means no delays. Driving change Road charging has been around for almost as long as roads themselves. although toll routes are used throughout Europe, methods of payment and collection remain old-fashioned, intrusive and not at all standardised. Technology could make a difference, but what will help to steer things in the right direction? Richard aucock Road tolls remain a challenge for agencies around Europe. Toll gates can disrupt the flow of traffic, with payment collected by operators using methods that are open to error and inefficiency. With the ongoing need to balance vehicle use and control congestion while keeping roads open to all, a better option is needed. Electronic toll collection offers an intelligent solution. Vehicles equipped with an on-board tag can pass through gates without stopping, with various methods, including GPS and short-range data transfer, used to collect tolls automatically. The Telepeage system, for example, is a form of electronic collection used on French autoroutes. The same booths are used as in traditional systems, but without the need for motorists to stop – the dedicated short-range communication (DSRC) network is so fast that slowing down for the booth is technically unnecessary. Over the past decade several more advanced systems of electronic toll collection have been 34 GROUND TRaNspORT: ECO-Tax “It’s the first time that a tax has been collected by a Antoine Caput, director of the road tolling sector in the Revenue Collection Systems domain at Thales. Electronic tolls: a history introduced in France with a focus on The first country to introduce HGVs. The intent has been to reduce electronic tolls was Norway in congestion and encourage freight to 1986. By 1991, traditional toll use other means, such as rail transport. booths had, under the AutoPass Until now, these schemes have been initiative, been replaced by fullspeed electronic tolling. restricted to the highly regulated routes Portugal hinted at interoperability nationales network, which in some with its 1995 Via Verde system. This cases has caused displaced traffic to not only applied to all tolls in the clog up local roads. As the network country; it could also be used in car must remain open to all, there have parks and filling stations. The US also has a history of been limited ways to control its use. electronic toll interoperability. The Ecomouv’ initiative, backed by The E-ZPass was created in 1991 a consortium consisting of Autostrade, by the seven New York, New Jersey Thales, Steria, SFR and SNCF, aims to and Pennsylvania tolling agencies. solve this problem. Due to launch in This was introduced gradually across the length of the Thruway October 2013, Ecomouv’ will monitor corridor. In 1998 a US patent for a non-toll motorway and national roads transponder-based “automated toll in continental France to collect taxes collection system” was issued. for road use per kilometre. In the In Europe there are three general process it will become the world’s methods for collecting road taxes, based on time or distance. Distancemost ambitious electronic toll based solutions provide the most programme to date. detailed information and necessitate “It is unique in France,” explains some form of on-board electronic toll Antoine Caput, director of the road device for greatest effect and tolling sector in the Revenue Collection accuracy. Manual tolling is a more restrictive and costly form of Systems domain at Thales. “It’s the first distance-based toll to operate. time that a tax will be collected by Time-based solutions, which feature private operators since the revolution. windscreen stickers called vignettes, The enforcement system itself is not also tend to be less sophisticated. only operated by the Ecomouv' consortium or Thales; it’s a functional and legal system, duly certified and homologated, and also operated by the state. Any service company can thus develop an agreement with Ecomouv’ to be allowed to collect the resultant pollution providing an additional ecological imperative.” tax. It is a new, open market – a completely new business model.” Ecomouv’, he explains, is the first fully open scheme in Europe to The initiative began several years ago when the government comply with EU standards. The German system is not fully compliant proposed to tax HGVs using the free public routes nationales. This and is not open to other operators to collect. This interoperability may wasn’t a popular proposal with hauliers and truck unions, so several be Ecomouv’s most significant achievement. concessions had to be made, but the “huge need for new It is built around a mandatory GPS-enabled on-board device, infrastructure – not necessarily roads – made the case for collecting which measures a vehicle’s location and the distance it has travelled such a toll”, according to Caput. The toll could be used to finance new (see panel, previous page). The fact that it’s mandatory means that an high-speed rail links, airports – even the new Seine-Nord Europe Canal. extensive distribution network needs to be in place to support it. “Strong arguments in favour of the change were presented during “In the contract there is an obligation to build a dense distribution the discussions,” Caput says. “The fact that trucks were avoiding network, so that foreign trucks can find and install the on-board device Germany and rat-running through France was a factor, with the easily and without spending too much time,” Caput says. 35 private concession in France since the revolution” transportable units, a pioneering solution in terms of flexibility and cost efficiency. There is a mobile system that can be mounted on the roof of a police car or other customised vehicle, allowing officers to carry out enforcement while on the move. There is also a hand-held system that works in real time: police can simply stand in front of a parked truck and check it. No other system in Europe offers such a complete portfolio of enforcement solutions” Caput stresses the importance of the system’s real-time operation, with no manual alternatives available. “In Germany there’s a choice of having an on-board device or paying up front for a ticket. In France any truck over 3.5 tons must have a device, even foreign trucks. If they don’t yet have one, they must go to a distribution office to register and pay a deposit for the device. Installation is simple: plug it into the cigarette lighter and set a few parameters.” So far, Ecomouv' has been a triumph of multi-partner project management and architectural control, producing a technical and business model for electronic road toll interoperability. As its launch approaches, many governments are certain to be watching it closely – it could herald a new beginning for electronic road charging. Pan-European interoperability The scheme is designed to be future-proof. To accommodate any extension of the toll network, there is no ground-based tax system – all routes are followed by GPS. Installing a new route is therefore a matter of updating software and databases and installing the new map via an update to the on-board devices. And, because the complete map is not stored on a device, this can all be done at a system level without the need to change a unit or reinstall software. Enforcement has been considered carefully. “There are a number of measures and solutions that take advantage of the fact that the system is working in real time,” Caput says. “Enforcement officers have access to a fully automated and easily manageable system. There are automatic free-flow fixed gantries plus automatic The European Commission has long stressed the need for interoperability in electronic toll collection schemes. Schemes must work across national boundaries such that users needn’t worry about different charging procedures and equipment. It’s particularly important for HGVs, which tend cross borders the most. The system doesn’t have to sit with a single service provider, but charges between different operators should be seamless. Directive 2004/52/EC defines conditions for the interoperability of electronic road toll systems, stating that they should use technologies including GPS, GSM mobile communications and DSRC microwave technology. Microwave free-flow systems have long been in place, Germany’s LKW-Maut was the first to use GPS and GSM, while the Ecomouv' scheme is the first to combine the three technologies allowed under the directive. The European Electronic Toll Service (EETS) went a step further, stating that users should only need to subscribe to one provider in order to pay charges related to any scheme that requires an on-board device. A later EC decision laid down the key requirements applying to the EETS for all member states. This came into force in 2009, requiring that lorries be allowed through all EU countries with one on-board device and one contract from October 2012. The EC has even suggested a business model. This takes the existing two-party collection system – which involves a toll charger and associated subcontractors – and adds a third EETS provider. The provider supplies users with one on-board device and one contract, applicable across the EU. 36 IntellIgence Innovation among apes and humans Pascal Picq tim Flach Human societies have been continuously innovating for over two million years, but we have only recently discovered that the same is true of great ape societies. These innovations happen as a result of new behaviours that spread, are shared and become part of the culture within a group. The question is less one of the ability of individuals to invent and find solutions but rather one of how the group adopts and develops these ideas. These are the three stages of Darwinian innovation: variation, selection and development. The South American capuchin monkey is one of the most intelligent apes, with an encephalisation quotient (ratio of brain to body size) comparable to that of humans. Capuchin monkeys are very inventive when it comes to using tools and carrying out complex tasks like hunting. This type of individual intelligence is present in social groups that have a large number of individuals with strong social interactions, but the monkeys are less gifted when it comes to sharing their experiences and achievements. So even though individual intelligence is above all correlated to the strength of social relations, that does not mean that individual innovations will necessarily spread to the benefit of the group. The quality of social relations and the way in which heirarchical relationships are expressed have a direct impact on the adoption and spread of innovations. In the 1950s, Japanese ethologists observed a female macaque from the island of Koshima who had the idea of taking sweet potatoes and washing them first in the river and then in sea water, giving them a salty taste. Fifty years later, all of the other macaques now do the same thing. There was a dynamic of innovation, sharing, tradition and culture. However, the process took several generations, due to extremely rigid heirarchical relationships in which individuals of a higher social status look down on those of a lower status. Innovations are passed on through the children, who are less aware of notions of status. Therefore, in the innovation process, a distinction should be made between the conditions that lead individuals to find new ideas or solutions and those that lead the group to adopt and benefit from them – which is what constitutes an innovation in the strictest sense of the term. Our culture embraces the cult of the individual genius – an engineer or researcher – who is seen as driving innovation all alone. Such men and women do exist, but they never work in isolation. The primary sources of innovation are products of both individual and collective intelligence. Chimpanzees use dozens of tools and related behaviors. However, certain groups appear to be more innovative than others thanks to their ability to work together and delegate tasks. This is the case of the great apes in the Tai Forest in Côte d’Ivoire. The females use rocks as hammers and anvils to break open nuts; certain males lead the hunt, while others are more familiar with food sources or certain medicinal herbs, etc. When a male wants a nut, he asks a female. During the hunt, the male who is recognised as the most skilled hunter becomes the leader, and even 37 “chimpanzees use dozens of tools and related behaviors. However, certain groups appear to be more innovative than others thanks to their ability to work together and delegate tasks” individuals with a higher social status than him follow his lead. Depending on the type of activity, chimpanzees know how to change the group’s organisation and leadership. But let us get back to the mechanisms of innovation. From a Darwinian point of view, it is not because a trait or behavior exists in a group that it has the status of an innovation. If it contributes to a variation but has no adaptive purpose, it is not an innovation. From the point of view of evolution, an innovation provides an adaptive advantage to a population in its environment; similarly, according to Joseph Schumpeter, an innovation only becomes one when it allows a company to win market share. Among chimpanzees, hunting is not essential, because meat is only a small part of their diet. It is above all a leisure and social activity and a source of stimulation for the group. Now, however, with their environment deteriorating due to deforestation, there are fewer plant food sources during the dry season. Chimpanzees have therefore been forced to do more hunting, which has gone from being a leisure activity to an adaptation. Not all groups are as successful as chimpanzees in making such a transition. Why? Because they fail to recognise the diversity of skills within the group. If, as is the case in other groups, the hunting leader does not share the rewards of the hunt or is overtaken by a more dominant individual, there is little chance that the hunting and sharing behaviors will become an adaptation. The quality of relationships among individuals is an essential condition for innovation in a group with diverse skills, as is its ability to change leaders. There is no one path to innovation any more than there is one path to evolution; there are mechanisms. Innovation management involves making the right choices during the three stages mentioned above: variation, selection and development. This same pattern is found, for example, in the study of complex adaptive systems1 and in robotics, with the notion of new artificial intelligence, which, instead of building one highly intelligent machine, brings together more basic machines through a process of trial and error2. The evolutionary anthropologist brings up an often neglected yet crucial element: the organization itself – in other words, the quality of relationships between individuals. Encouraging variation requires a different type of management in project mode or in the development phase of a programme. The same people may still be involved but organised differently, or other people may be brought in. But the key point to remember here is the importance of diversity. The urge to recruit employees from the same schools or educational backgrounds, combined with a disregard for other sources of innovation – employees from other parts of the company, other companies, societies or regions, and new perceptions of what happens in nature – are obstacles to innovation in these first two stages, while probably less of a constraint on incremental innovation. Innovation is above all a question of openness, culture and evolution. 1. Robert Axelrod and Michael Cohen. Réussir dans un monde complexe. Odile Jacob, 2001. 2. Pascal Picq. Un Paléoanthropologue dans l’Entreprise. Eyrolles, 2011. Pascal Picq has brought anthropology into the enterprise as a paleoanthropologist at the Collège de France. His concept of the “anthroprise” is based on research into human evolution and its impact on innovation processes and management practices in industry today, and combines multiple perspectives – palaeoanthropology, prehistory and ethology. A physicist, archaeologist and author of numerous books (including Un paléoanthropologue dans l’entreprise), he also contributes to projects that protect the great apes and safeguard human cultural diversity. Find us online here: www.thalesgroup.com www.facebook.com/thalesgroup twitter.com/thalesgroup plus.google.com/+thales
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