------- THE INDEPENDENT AND IMPARTIAL STATEWIDE SURVEY OF PUBLIC OPINION ESTABLISHED AND OPERATED BY FIELD RESEARCH CORPORATION SINCE 1946 San Francisco Headquarters Los Angeles Office 234 Front Street 3142 Wilshire Boulevard San Francisco 94111 (415) 392-5763 Mervin D. Field, Director Robert Heyer, Editor t Survey RLibrary U . esecn' h nlversity . C Cente!' Berke] ey C of !;<j] j fornia , all f~>,p_' '1 1 Los Angeles 90005 (213) 385-7474 94720 Release 11809 For release FRIDAY, MARCH 1, 1974 MAJORITY OF PUBLIC WANTS NIXON TO RESIGN OR HAVE CONGRESS BRING CHARGES AND TAKE IMPEACHMENT VOTE IMPORTANT: Contract for this service is subject to re vocation if publication or broadcast takes place before release date or if contents of report are divulged to persons outside of subscriber staff prior to release datE by Mervin D. Field Many people in California today -- almost half -- believe that President Nixon should face impeachment charges as a result of Watergate and its aftermath. he should resign. Another one in four believE Fewer than one in four persons thinks the investigations should be dropped. A large majority of the people feel President Nixon is obstructing the Watergate inves tigation, and the prevailing belief now is that the President had at least some idea of what his subordinates were doing. A substantial number are ready to believe that he approved of, or even took an active part in planning, what was done. These are the findings of a recent public opinion survey made by The California Poll among a cross-section of the adult population of California. Interviews with 1179 people were conducted during February 2 through February 11. ~ The California public as a whole takes a rather stern view of the President's role in Watergate and other matters involving White House staff wrongdoing. Just 9% of the public endol Nixon's statement that he knew nothing about the Watergate activities while they were being plat ned, carried out, and subsequently covered up. Rather, the public sees Nixon having some definj involvement in the affair, including belief that he took an active part in planning it (15%), tl he knew about it and approved it (35%), or that he had some idea of what was going on (39%). amounts to 89% who do not believe Nixon's statements that he was innocent of any knowledge abou~ what was happening. Statewide Nixon's He He He He No involvement in Watergate - took active part in planning knew and approved, but no personal part had some idea of what was going on knew nothing at all about it opinion 15% 35 39 9 2 The President has also said that he is cooperating with the various investigative bodies, but today most people (69%) believe the opposite, namely that he is obstructing the investigation. Just 16% think he is helping all he can. Statewide Nixon's role in the investigation Helping all he can Obstructing investigation Neither, staying neutral No opinion 16% 69 11 4 (MORE) The California Poll was founded in 1946 as a medium for promoting public opinion research. The California Poll is completely independent of all political parties and candidates. It is operated by field Research Corporation_ Its sole purpose is to report public opinion accurately and objectively. financial support for the Poll comes from newspapers and television stations that have exclusive rights within the city of publication. The Poll utilizes accepted scientific sampling and Questioning procedures in obtaining the data reported in its releases_ Representative samples of adults are interviewed at periodic intervals on socially important Questions of the day and election issues. Proportionate numbers of people of both sexes, from all parts of the state, from different sized communities, and of all age, economic, political, and occupation groups are included in the samples. TI -.-- - - - - - - - - - • The C~fornia Poll - page 2 On the crucial matter of the President's tenure, most of the public thinks either th Nixon should resign outright (24%) or that Congress should bring charges against him and take a vote of impeachment (46%). Just about one person in five (23%) thinks Congress should drop fur investigations of Nixon. Statewide What Nixon/Congress should do: Nixon should resign 24% Congress should bring charges and take an impeachment vote 46 Congress should drop further investigations 23 Q,ther, don't know 7 There are marked differences of opinion by political party affiliation about the deB of President Nixon's involvement and what should be done about it. A large majority of Cali fornia rank-and-file Democrats (67%) feel he took an active part or at least approved the plans while only a few Republicans (21%) feel he was this much implicated. A majority of Republicans however, concede that he probably had some idea of what was going on. On the question of impeachment, Democrats and Republicans are more nearly in agreemE that charges should be brought and the matter settled. ever, would like to see the investigations dropped. The largest number of Republicans, how One in three California Democrats wants t( see the President resign. Democrats Nixon's involvement: Active part in planning Knew and approved but no personal part Had some idea of what was going on Knew nothing about it No opinion Republicans 24% 43 28 55 3 20 2 4 34% 10% 3% 18 What Nixon/Congress should do: Nixon resign Congress bring impeachment charges and take a vote Congress drop further investigations Other, don't know 49 38 11 6 42 10 In addition to his Watergate troubles, Nixon has suffered a marked loss in public support for the job he is doing as President. (An earlier article by The California Poll repo that the President's "good job" rating index had slipped to an unprecedented low of 18%. "poor job" rating had soared from 16% in 1970 to 47% today.) His While this negative trend can be traced in large part to public concerns about rampant inflation and effects of the current oil shortage, there is no question that there is also an underlying loss of confidence in the President's credibility and leadership capabilities as a result of Watergate. (MORE) - • - - - - -- - - - - - - • The California Poll - page 3 Another factor which may be responsible for increased public receptivity to the idea of Nixon's leaving the Presidency before his term expires is the presence in office of a more acceptable alternative in the person of Gerald Ford, the new Vice President. When Spiro Agnew was Vice President, many people were uneasy or negative about his ability to be President even before his involvement in the Maryland bribery scandal came to light. ~igher esteem than Agnew was by voters of all persuasions. Ford is held in muc Today, even a majority of Democrats in California concede that Ford would do at least a "fair job" and relatively few feel he would be a "po()r" presidenL All voters Believe as President Ford would do: - Democrats Republicans Good job 21% 16% 30% Fair job 37 39 34 Poor job 12 16 6 No opinion 30 29 30 -30 COPYRIGHT 1974 BY FIELD RESEARCH CORPORATION. FOR PUBLICATION BY SUBSCRIBERS ONLY - - - - - - - - • THE INDEPENDENT AND IMPARTIAL STATEWIDE SURVEY OF PUBLIC OPINION ESTABLISHED AND OPERATED BY FIELD RESEARCH CDRPORATION SINCE 1946 San FranCiSCO Headquarters 145 Montgomery Street San Francisco 94104 392-5766 LOS Angeles Office 3142 Wilshire Boulevard Los Angeles 90005 385-5259 Mervin D. Field. Director Robert Heyer. Editor INFORMATION ABOUT THIS SURVEY Release 11809 DATES AND TIME OF INTERVIEWING February 2 through February 11, 1974. Saturday and Sunday. Late afternoop. .and evenings. all day POPULATION COVERED Represenative cross-section of California adult public' OVERALL SIZE OF SAMPLE Total interviews: 1179 Democrats Republicans Others 630 380 169 Southern California Northern California 693 486 THE QUESTIONS ASKED "As you know. there has been a lot of news about Watergate and other charges of wrongdoing by members of Nixon's staff. Which of the statements on this card best describes what you believe President Nixon's own personal involvement has been - . He took an active part in planning it all He knew and approved. but didn't take a personal part in it He had some idea of what was going on. but didn't know any of the details He knew nothing at all about it" "Do you think President Nixon is doing everything he should be doing tp help the investigators bring out the truth. or do you feel he is obstructing the investigation?" "Some people have said they think President Nixon should resign because of the con troversy about his involvement in Watergate and other matters. Other people say he should not resign. and that it is up to Congress to bring charges against him and take a vote on impeachment if they believe he has done wrong. Which one of· the statements on this card beat describes what you think should be done == President Nixon should resign Congress should bring charges against Nixon and take a vote of impeachment Congress should drop further investigations of Nixon Other " "If it came about that Vice President Gerald Ford became President. what kind of a job do you believe he would do as President -- a good job. a fair job. or a poor job?" The California Poll was founded in 1946 as a medium for promoting public opinion research. The California Poll is completely Independent of all political parties and candidates. Its sole purpose is to report public opinion accurately and objectively. Financial support for the Poll comes from newspapers and television stations that have exclusive rights within the city of pUblication. The Poll utilizes accepted scientific sampling and questioning procedures in obtaining the data reported in its releases. Representative samples of adults are interviewed at perIOdic intervals on election issues and other socially important questions of the day. Proportionate numbers of people of both sexes, from all parts of the state, from different sized communities, and of all age, economic, political. and occupation groups are included in the samples. Major surveys are made with samples of 1,000 or more respondents. Interim surveys sometimes are made with smaller samples of not less than 600 interviews. • SURVEY METHOD Interviews are made face-to-face with respondents in their homes. Sampl ed homes are drawn in accordance with a probability sample design that gives all areas of the state and all neigh borhoods properly proportionate chance to be included. More than 200 sampl ing points are used. A randomly selected address designates the starting point of a cluster of six to ten interviews. Up to three calls are made on each sampled oddress. One adult per household is interviewed, selected by a systematic procedure to provide a proper balance by age and sex. SAMPLING RELIABILITY The sample is designed to be self-weighted with respect to population factors, i.e., sampling points are selected with probabil ity in proportion to population. Socio-economic and demo graphic characteristics and political and social opinions are also therefore assumed to be represented proportionately. Standard weighting procedures are used to adjust the final sample to population parameters whenever key variables deviate because of sampling variability or other factors. The samplir,lg reliability of data from this sample is shown below. These figures represent an estimate of average sampling tolerances at the 95% confidence level; that is, the chances are about 19 out of 20 that iF the whole populatio·n of the state had been surveyed with the same questionnaire, the results of the complete census would not be found to deviate from the obtairled survey findings by more than plus or minus the amount shown below. Sample size PI us/minus sampl ingtolerance (i n percentage poi nts) 1300 3.0 1000 3.5 3.9 800 600 4.5 400 200 5.5 100 50 7.7 11.0 16.0 POLL OPERATION AND SPONSORSHIP The California Poll is owned and operated by Field Research Corporation, an independent national pub Iic opinion and marketing research agency with headquarters .in San Francisco. The Poll was founded in 1946 and has been published continuously since that time. The Poll is non-partisan. The cost of operating The California Poll is Linderwritten by a syndicate of 10 newspapers and three television stations in California. Each one pays an annual fee for exclusive publication or broadcast rights in its area. The Poll does not accept fees from any candidates, pol itical parties, or individuals who have any interest in the data being publ ished.
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