Group Discussion Social Inequality and Poverty There are many winners and losers during the market transition. Who do you think are the winners, and who are the losers? Winners: Officials (political capital) Professionals (human capital) Entrepreneurs (market rewards + political connection) Losers: Migrants (new poor) Urban residents: laid-off workers, seniors/disabled/displaced (new poor) Farmers – rural areas (traditional poor) Inequality Gini index=41 in 2007 Mostly between urban and rural areas Much lower than other LDC Beijing: 22 HK: 53; Manila: 41; Sao Paulo 61; Mexico city 56; Johannesburg, 75 OECD: leveling off due to migration and government effort 1 The Maoist Era The Reform Era: Undo Maoism Egalitarianism Reduce spatial inequalities Urban vs. rural (e.g. migration control) Coastal vs. inland (e.g. “Third Front” ) Rural: HRS, de-collectivization Urban: privatization, marketization Open-door policy: spatially biased Dismantle “iron rice bowl” laid-off workers Reduce social inequalities Socialist Transformation Nationalization; collectivization Work-unit system 1978-2000: pro-urban development model 2000- present: pro-rural, pro-poor “Let some get rich first” Relative social and spatial equality The Reform Era Inequality Urban-rural inequality Intra-urban, intra-rural inequality Regional inequality Social: Gender Education Political status “Double Divide” Urban vs. rural Migrants vs. urban residents in cities Female Participation in Education Gender Equality and Women's Development in China, 2005 2 Women in the Political Process Women in the Political Process CCP set targets for minimum numbers of women in government positions “State Sponsored Feminism” Cycles of advancement and retreat in women’s gains depending on Party priorities In 2009, only 20% of CCP members were women Little participation by rural women in political leadership “Women’s Work” and Family Planning All-China Women’s Federation NGO or Party mouthpiece? Inequality Social: Gender Education Political status Gender/education/political status all connected Spatial: Different regions: urban vs. rural coastal vs. inland Residence: which city/county? Based on longevity, education and income Inequality Very complex inequality Social Spatial Categorical/ institutional Hukou remains the most important factor in defining status/opportunity Employment status/ work unit: some work units remain powerful/resourceful, and important in employees’ welfare Residence of city Rising over time 3 Group Discussion Inequality What do you think is the potential scenario in the future if inequality continues to rise ? Very complex inequality Social Spatial Categorical/institutional What are the social political implications? “Getting rich is glorious”; “Let some get rich first” (Deng, Jiang) building a “harmonious society”, “scientific development perspective”, “people-centered” reform (Hu) “Chinese Dream” (Xi) Poverty Not One Less Three main groups: Poor peasants (traditional poor group) Loadup.jpg 4 Poverty Three main groups: Poor peasants (traditional poor group) Rural-urban migrants (new) Urban residents (new) SOE reform laid-off workers Senior urban residents, disabled people Poverty The size of the poor? Which definition? Official estimation: 260M poor in 1978 to 42M in 1998, to 29 M in 2003 World Bank: 100M in 1998 65% in 1981 10% in 2004, more than 500 M China accounts for nearly all the world’s reduction in poverty China’s War on Poverty 1986: State Council’s Leading Group for Poverty Reduction was established Since 1990: set up a fund to assure the basic needs of people living in poverty-stricken minority areas, with 141 impoverished counties 1994: Seven-Year Poverty Alleviation Program Lift 80 M people out of absolute poverty during 1994-2000 Eradicate abject poverty by 2000 5 China’s War on Poverty China’s War on Poverty 2001, Outline for Poverty Alleviation and Development in China's Rural Areas (20012010) Restructuring of poverty alleviation investments (designated poor counties poor villages poor people) Establishing a social security system Eliminating poverty in 592 key poverty-stricken counties by 2010. $3.6B annual budget Net per-capita yearly income of farmers in the key poverty-stricken counties increased to 2,611 yuan ($382) from 303 yuan ($80.5) from 1989 to 2008. Spend more than 170 billion yuan ($25 billion) on a special fund for nationwide poverty elimination from 1978 to 2008. Urban area: Assistance of laid-off workers, unemployment insurance Di Bao (Minimum income support) program Social insurance programs: pension, medical… Rural areas: Eliminating agricultural taxes and fees; subsidies to agriculture and farmers Rural social assistance program in 2007 Basic health insurance system China’s War on Poverty The missing link Nine-year compulsory education Focuses only on the poor in rural areas, the urban poor with local registration Millions of migrants are not included yet Invest $1.2B since 1995 no fees for all students in primary and junior high since 2007 Western Development Strategy launched in 2000 12th Five-year plan: “Enrich country” -> “enrich people”, improve people’s livelihood Income reform, redistribution Social security, public services Re-cap Group Activity Rapid increase in inequality Unprecedented progress in poverty reduction Changing nature in poverty Shift in development philosophy may facilitate the decline in inequality and poverty What are your policy recommendations to the Chinese government to reduce social inequality and alleviate urban poverty? 6 Building A Harmonious Society China’s Agenda 21 Goals: providing adequate social services in rural areas, correcting regional development imbalances, addressing labor dislocation, expanding health services and education, and placing greater emphasis on environmental and sustainability concerns. Features democracy, rule of the law, fairness, justice, vitality, stability, orderliness and harmonious co-existence between the humankind and nature. White Paper on China's Population, Environment and Development in the 21st Century The first nation to have a national Agenda 21 Four principle strategies: A comprehensive strategy and policy of sustainable development Sustainable social development Sustainable economic development A strategy of rational resource utilization and environmental protection 7
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