NCSL National Redistricting Seminar Providence, Rhode Island September 26, 2010 “More than a Line in the Sand” Welcome Remarks by Senator Richard T. Moore President, National Conference of State Legislatures If, indeed, there are such phenomena as ghosts, the ghost of Elbridge Gerry must surely hang over these proceedings! Redistricting is one of the oldest continuous acts of democratic governance in the United States. For the last two hundred years, Elbridge Gerry’s ghost has hovered over legislative redistricting in America and in representative democracies around the world. Why would Gerry’s ghost be with us, here in Providence, today? Well, we’re meeting next door to the state where Gerry served as a Congressman and two-term Governor. His connections also extend to the greater Northeast region since his grandson – also named Elbridge – was a Congressman from Maine and his great grandson, Peter, was a Congressman and U. S. Senator from Rhode Island. There are even two small towns in New York State named in his honor. Of course, Gerry is most often remembered for the redistricting plan that he pushed through the Massachusetts Legislature that, critics claimed, took on a shape resembling a salamander – termed, “Gerrymandering.” The Governor's strategy was to encompass most of the state's Federalists in one district, allowing them to win in that district while his party, the Democratic-Republicans, took control of all the other districts in the state. Of course, while highly controversial, the practice of the party in power drawing legislative and congressional districts to favor their party and to protect majority party incumbents continues to this day. There is both good news and bad news to this story regarding the fate of Governor Gerry. He was defeated for re-election to a third term as Governor of Massachusetts largely, we’re told, because of the controversy that ensued following passage of the redistricting plan – that’s the bad news from Gerry’s perspective – in case there’s any confusion. The good news is that he was subsequently chosen to serve as Vice President of the United States in the Madison Administration! Gerry was the first U.S. Vice President who did not, later, seek the Presidency. That was, however, not through political calculation of his chances as one might expect from someone who so carefully calculated the electoral prospects of his party. The reason that he didn’t use the Vice Presidency as a springboard as simply that he died while serving as Vice President. Well, that’s enough history for today. As we all know – and the reason we’re here – every ten years, based on new population estimates from the decennial census, every state must redraw its electoral boundaries. We also know that these lines have a crucial impact on electoral outcomes. Control of the redistricting process often translates into gains on Election Day for the majority party. The methods by which states draw these lines are as varied as the states themselves. In most states, as state legislators, we are responsible for drawing the own district lines, and the plans that are often produced favor incumbents’ partisan or bipartisan self-interest. “Gerrymandering” can be viewed as both positive and negative. If the districts are drawn in ways that don’t favor your party, your party will accuse the other of “Gerrymandering.” In that case, it has a negative connotation with the public. However, if it’s used to draw districts to give minorities a chance at winning a legislative or Congressional seat, the media and public may consider it to be a positive outcome. Redistricting is, for the most part, about the future. The districts that are drawn – either by state legislators or the courts – will heavily influence the election results and, to some degree, public policy in state legislative and congressional districts for the next decade. Your work in redistricting is going to be closely watched by powerful interests well beyond the walls of your state capitol. “Organizing for America” is a group affiliated with President Obama and the National Democratic Party that is already involved in a number of this year’s state legislative races in states where the Democrats control or could take a majority in some key states. National Republicans are doing the same thing to produce Republican state legislatie majorities that could draw district maps more favorable to Republican candidates. At least, two new web applications are letting everyday citizens try their hand at the process. Longtime Swing State Project readers, a Democratic political web site, are already familiar with Dave’s Redistricting App. Basically, it’s a program that uses existing precinct and demographic data from 43 states to let anyone redistrict any state in any way, precinct-by-precinct, and it gives you a real-time demographic breakdown as you build your districts. As a bonus, you get to decide how many districts to draw, so the same program can be used to game out state legislative districts, too. Dave’s app is extremely addictive, and dozens of redistricting proposals have been popping up at Swing State for months. The program is probably more powerful than anything state legislators had at their disposal as late as the 1991 redistricting cycle, and it puts in sharp relief the enormous impact redistricting has on future elections. It’s so popular that Swing State Project is actually holding a redistricting contest, which we’d encourage anyone to enter. The second application is much newer, and it comes from Redistricting the Nation. It allows you to check the compactness of every congressional and state legislative district in the country, along with municipal districts in select major cities, according to four objective criteria. After checking different states and their districts, the application lets you draw your own district and check its compactness scores. Undoubtedly, there are other programs that may be useful. However, my primary point is that programs like these are helping to open up redistricting to a wider audience than ever before, and considering what’s at stake, we think that’s generally a good thing for the health of our democracy. It’s not only the opposition party that will look to challenge your work, but a variety of interest groups across the political spectrum. Why do we redistrict? In 1962,the Supreme Court ruled in Baker v. Carr that the redistricting process is subject to judicial review. Baker challenged state legislative districts in Tennessee, which had not been redrawn in sixty years. Due to population shifts, some districts had eight times more residents than others. In Baker, the Court rejected the argument that redistricting is a non-justiciable “political question,” and ruled that “malapportioned” districts are subject to judicial invalidation under the Fourteenth Amendment. In subsequent cases, such as Wesberry v. Sanders (1964) and Reynolds v. Sims (1965), the Court established the requirement that legislative districts (including congressional, state, local districts) must be drawn on an equal population basis, and may be redrawn by the courts to protect the principle of “one person, one vote.” In 1965, the Voting Rights Act outlawed racial gerrymandering, the process by which districts are drawn to dilute voting strength of racial minorities, and courts have overturned many districts on the grounds that they violate the Voting Rights Act. In Shaw v. Reno (1993) and a series of related cases, the Supreme Court held that districts can be challenged under the federal Equal Protection Clause on the basis that they excessively separate voters into districts based on race. Sometimes it can be difficult to strike a balance between the requirements of the Voting Rights Act and the restrictions of Shaw v. Reno. More recently, in Bartlett v. Strickland (2009) the Supreme Court said that the Legislature was not required by Section 2 of the Voting Rights Act to draw a Senate district that would have a 39% African-American population In Davis v. Bandemer (1986), the Supreme Court held that partisan gerrymanders are justiciable, but despite repeated lawsuits, the Court has yet to overturn a plan on the grounds that it disadvantages members of a political party. NCSL has been holding National Redistricting Seminars like this one for the past year and a half – San Francisco, June 2009; Chicago October, 2009; Austin TX March, 2010; as well as staff section meetings, presentation at the Fall and Spring Forums and the Louisville Summit and at least one webinar in May 2009. All of the papers from these meetings are on the NCSL Web Site – www.ncsl.org. There will be at least one more National Seminar next January 21 – 23 in Washington, DC. I’d encourage you and your staff to take full advantage of these meetings, the materials, and our NCSL Redistricting expertise led by Tim Storey. It’s a safe bet that, whatever you may do – even if it’s a perfectly balanced and fair plan – there’s a good chance that your work will end up in court. What’s most important is that you do your work in such a way, that there’s also a good chance that your plan will win! That’s the reason why NCSL wants you and your staff to learn as much as possible about the redistricting process and the potential pitfalls that any redistricting effort faces. It’s important to remember that when we start drawing those lines, our political “lines in the sand,” might actually be carved in stone for the next decade. Welcome to the NCSL Redistricting Seminar and get ready to start drawing those lines! Additional Resources: www.ncsl.org www.swingstateproject.com www.redistrictingfacts.com www.davesredistricting.blogspot.com www.redistrictingthenation.com
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