Q. J. R. Mereorol. SOC. (2001), 127, pp. 2663-2682 Radiative influences on the structure and lifetime of cirrus clouds By STEVEN DOBBJE* and PETER JONAS UMiSC UK (Received 22 January 2001; revised 26 June 2001) SUMMARY Our goal in this work is to determine the role of radiation in cirrus clouds. How it impacts the formation and evolution of cloud structure, whether or not it initiates convective instability, and what effect it has on the lifetime of these clouds. In this study, we simulate cirrus clouds using the Met Office large-eddy simulation model with a broad-band solar and infrared ice-specificradiation scheme. We find that radiation can have quite an effect on cirrus clouds. Results for runs with and without radiation show many dramatic differences. In general, radiatively influenced clouds are observed to be much more dynamic and inhomogeneous. The radiation is observed to strongly enhance cellular structure within the cloud layer, and a Fourier analysis of the horizontal ice-water path (IWP) shows that this cellular enhancement gives rise to inhomogeneity length-scales roughly related to the thickness of the layer. The Fourier amplitudes for the radiative cases are usually two or three times larger in magnitude than the non-radiative cases. The inhomogeneity length-scales do appear in the non-radiative cases but they are very weak. The radiatively driven clouds in these simulations often had horizontally averaged IWPs larger in magnitude by more than double compared to the nonradiative cases once the radiation had taken effect, and the cloud lifetime was increased by between 30 minutes and 2 hours. To evaluate if radiation is causing convective instability, we derive and implement a radiation stability number, Rsn. For radiative instability to occur, R,, must satisfy the condition 0 c R,, < 1. We also present similar stability numbers for latent, and the combined radiation and latent processes. By evaluating these numbers throughout the domain during the simulation, we can determine when these diabatic processes will overcome the thermal stratificationof the layer and induce convective instability.These processes are found frequently to induce instability for the radiative inclusive case. We find that radiative and latent instability usually occurs in updraught regions, and that latent heating initially enhances the development of the plumes prior to the radiation. We also find that the magnitude of the latent heating is also strongly coupled to the effects of radiation, since stronger cell structure induced by radiation results in stronger latent heating at cloud top and less precipitation at cloud base. KEYWORDS: Cirrus clouds Large-eddy simulation Radiative and latent instability 1. INTRODUCTION Cirrus clouds are a major uncertainty in climate modelling (Liou 1986a; Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change 1996). It is well known that, depending on their optical thickness, height and microphysical properties, they can either exhibit a warming (greenhouse effect) or a cooling (thermostatic effect) contribution to the global budget. In addition to climate modelling, cirrus clouds are also not well treated in forecast models despite their effect on the spatial distribution of water and influence on the available potential energy (Stuhlmann 1988). The reason that cirrus clouds are not well understood is that many atmospheric processes affect their development, structure and evolution. To name a few: cirrus clouds on the local scale are affected by processes such as radiation, aerosol distributions, gravity waves, shear instability, latent heating, microphysical changes, atmospheric chemistry, and local meteorological effects such as orography, fronts, or various couplings between cloud layers at different altitudes or the surface. On a larger scale, cirrus can be affected by Coriolis effects, interaction with jet streams, interaction with planetary-scale waves, volcanic eruptions which introduce high levels of aerosol loadings, and by meteorological processes such as passing pressure systems and large-scale lifting or descent. Successful parametrization of cirrus clouds needs to be based on an understanding of these interactions. This is clearly a formidable task. These processes will affect * Corresponding author: Department of Physics, UMIST,PO Box 88, Manchester M60 lQD, UK. e-mail: [email protected] @ Royal Meteorological Society, 200 I. 2663 2664 J. S.DOBBIE and P. R. JONAS cirrus clouds on different time and spatial scales, and some processes are also strongly coupled together. To date, not enough is known about these processes or about which mechanisms contribute to the structure of cirrus clouds (Chflek and Dobbie 1995;Smith and Jonas 1996,1997;Boehm et al. 1999; Gu and Liou 2000). In this work, we seek to understand the role that radiation takes in the local-scale development and evolution of the structure and lifetime of cirrus clouds in the absence of other external cloud forcing processes. In this study, a high-resolution cloud-resolving model (CRM)is used-the Met Office large-eddy simulation (LES) model. This version of the model includes an ice microphysics package and a broad-band thermal infrared (IR) and solar radiation routine (Fu and Liou 1992,1993).We use the LES model in two-dimensionalmode and generate cirrus clouds in a similar way to the GEWEX* Cloud Systems Study (GCSS) cirrus cloud intercomparison (Starr et al. 2000). The simulations are run with and without radiation and a comparison of the cloud evolution is performed. Sensitivity of the results to the spectral dependence of the radiation, cloud-layer thickness, and initial layer stability are presented. After this, we investigate the role radiation and latent heating takes in the generation of instability in the cirrus cloud layer, and we develop simple stability numbers to determine when these processes lead to instability. 2. LARGE-EDDY SIMULATION MODEL The base version 2.1 of the Met Office LES model (Derbyshire et al. 1999) is used in this work with the addition of an ice microphysics routine which is outlined below. This model is based on an original code developed by !F Mason which was used to study the convective boundary layer (Mason and Thomson 1987; Mason 1989; Mason and Derbyshire 1990). Since the original version, the LES model has been developed to handle a wider variety of atmosphericproblems (see MacVean 1993;Ghosh et al. 2000). The LES model is described by the basic equations for momentum, thermodynamics, and continuity. The model is non-hydrostatic; we make use of the deep anelastic approximation (quasi-Boussinesq) which allows for small pressure and density deviations from a reference hydrostatic state (sound waves are filtered). The sideboundary conditions are essentially periodic, but allow for non-periodic temperature and pressure gradients on scales large compared to the horizontal domain (on synoptic scales). The moist thermodynamics is treated using two variables, the total-water mixing and the liquid-water temperature ratio, q-, where T is the temperature, L , is the latent heat of vaporization, rr, is the liquid-water mixing ratio, g is the acceleration due to gravity, z is the height, and c p is the specific heat capacity of air at constant pressure. In addition, ice microphysics is handled by the LES (see Swam 1998) in a two-moment scheme using the prognostic variables: ice mass mixing ratio qi, and ice number concentration nj. In this work the main source of ice particles is through homogeneous ice nucleation (see Brown and Heymsfield 2001). The prognostic equations for both are of the form * Global Energy and Water Cycle Experiment. RADIATIVE INFLUENCE ON CIRRUS CLOUD STRUCTURE 2665 where p is the density, and Vqi and Vni are the mass-weighted and number-weighted mean fall velocities of the ice particles, respectively. There are similar equations for snow particles (ice aggregates). Source terms represent the generation of ice through nucleation processes and also conversions from other hydrometers (through aggregation or break-up). In the LES model, ice begins to convert to snow once the mass-mean diameter of the ice exceeds a size of 500 pm.In these simulations, snow is essentially a category describing large ice particles, and we will refer to ice and snow as just ice. Sink terms include sublimation, melting and losses associated with conversion to other hydrometer types. In this work, the main source of ice particles is through homogeneous ice nucleation, which occurs in the model at temperatures below -38 "C. It occurs when there is excess water above the saturation mixing ratio with respect to water at the ambient temperature and pressure. The excess saturation is formed into ice in one time step so long as the ice number concentration is below a fixed parameter of 100 ~ m - ~ . A typical time step for the microphysics is between 4 and 5 s. Khvorostyanov and Sassen (1998) suggest that converting the excess water to ice in one time step results in increased instability and heating rates, so we plan to account for this in a future version of the Met Office LES. Primary ice nucleation is specified by the Meyers formulation (Meyers et al. 1992). The version of the LES used in this work is somewhat similar to the one used in the GCSS Working Group 2 (WG2) intercomparison. Preliminary results from the GCSS WG2 study show that there is still a large variance in the results obtained from various bin and bulk cirrus CRMs (Starr et al. 2000). Results are sensitive to the prescripton of the fall speeds in the models. The results using this model were found to be well within the spread of results of the different models. There is much need for a comprehensive observational test case against which the results of the models can be compared; cases are now being considered as part of the GCSS WG2 intercomparison. The LES simulations were performed in two dimensions for a domain extending 10 km in the horizontal and 20 km in the vertical. A horizontal grid resolution of 100 m was used throughout, whereas the vertical grid resolution was varied. Between 6 and 11 km, which is where the cirrus clouds develop, the grid resolution is 125 m. Outside this region the resolution is more coarse. The model simulations were run on a Linuxbased 500 MHz processor personal computer. (a) Radiation model The differences between this LES version and the one used in the GCSS intercomparison are that (i) a new radiation scheme has been installed and (ii) the generation of the cirrus cloud layer has been altered slightly to produce different initial cloud shapes. The latter difference will be discussed later. For the results presented in this work, we used the well-tested radiation model by Fu and Liou (1992, 1993). Very recently this was updated to the most current ice radiation package (Fu 1996; Fu et al. 1998), but selected comparison cases show little difference in the evolution of the cloud ice-water content and structure in this work. The radiation moduIe solves the basic radiative-transfer equation which is discussed at length in books by Liou (1986b) and Goody and Yung (1989). The four-stream solution is used assuming all atmospheric columns are independent. The radiation model is broad-band with six bands in the solar region and twelve in the thermal infrared region. The radiation routine uses single-scattering optical properties based on the ice crystals being hexagonal columns and plates with an effective size of 50 pm. This effectivesize is a typical value often found in in situ observations (Heymsfield and Platt 1984; Takano and Liou 1989; Francis 1995). The authors also note that there is a wide 2666 J. S. DOBBIE and P. R. JONAS 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Horizontal Extent (km) 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Horizontal Extent (km) Figure 1. Ice-water path for (a) the inhomogeneousbase cloud and (b)the homogeneous base cloud, at 7200 s. variability of observed values. Gaseous absorption by 0 3 , C02, C&, N20, and H20 are treated using the correlated kdistribution method. Rayleigh scattering of the gases is also included. C02, C&, and N2O are taken to be uniformly mixed, with volume mixing ratios of 330, 1.6 and 0.28 ppmv, respectively. The profile of ozone is taken to be a typical midlatitude autumn vertical distribution and the surface albedo is chosen to be 20%. The simulations begin at a simulation time of 1000 h and continue until 1600 h. The radiative heating contributes every time step to the dynamics in the LES, but the radiative heating and cooling distributions are only updated every five minutes, which is short enough so that the cloud geometry is not appreciably changed between updates. The radiative effect on the diffusional growth of ice crystals is not treated in this present LES version. Recent works suggest it is an important effect (Gu and Liou 2000; Wu et al. 2000), and so we plan to include it in the next version. 3 . CIRRUS CLOUD GENERATION: BASE RUNS We generated our cirrus clouds in a very similar way to that of the GCSS WG2 case. We impose a cooling equivalent to ascent at 0.03 m s-l to the layer between 7 and 10 km. Between 8 and 9 km, the layer was initially saturated with respect to ice but not with respect to water (70 to 80%).Below 8 km, the relative humidity is between 30 and 40%, and above 9 km it decreases to 25% at 10 km and to a couple of percent above this region. The maximum relative humidity is between 8 and 9 km, where the potential temperature is only very slightly increasing with height (about 1 K km-I), the layer is initially stably stratified with respect to ice-saturated ascent. The potentialtemperature profile is set approximately equal to the reference potential temperature for our atmosphere. The layers are initialized with zero wind shear. Then, artificial heat perturbations of f O . O 1 K s-l are superimposed to give the layer turbulent structure. These perturbations are imposed across the layers between the heights 8 and 9 km and during the first time step of the simulation. After a little over ninety minutes, a very inhomogeneous cirrus cloud develops by homogeneous nucleation (cloud base is colder than -38 "C). Figure l(a) shows the ice-water path (W)of the cloud after the base two-hour run. The cloud exists between about 7.5 and 9.3 km in the vertical. As a second base run, we wanted a cirrus cloud with a completely different horizontal scale of inhomogeneity to that shown in Fig. l(a). We chose the extreme case of a nearly homogeneous layer. This was achieved by keeping everything the same as for the inhomogeneous layer, except now only very small artificial heat perturbations RADIATIVE INFLUENCE ON CIRRUS CLOUD STRUCTURE 2667 were imposed within the layer between 4.6 and 5.4 km in the horizontal. Within the horizontal regions 4.8-5.2 km and vertical heights of 8.5-9 km, the perturbations were 2.5 x K s-', while, at the bordering regions, the perturbations were weaker at 2.5 x K s-'. The resulting IWP at the end of the two-hour base run is shown in Fig. l(b). The optical depths of the cloud layers at the end of the base run are approximately 1.25. So, in summarizing the base runs, two very different cirrus cloud morphologies have been generated. One is a very inhomogeneous layer and the other is a very homogeneous layer. No radiation is imposed in any of the base runs. The base runs are only used to generate the cirrus clouds ready for evolution and analysis. 4. CIRRUS CLOUD EVOLUTION The evolution of the cirrus clouds from the base state allowing for radiative effects is now considered. During this second stage, the generated c h s clouds are allowed to evolve for a further four hours. During this period, the large-scale ascent and artificially imposed heat perturbations are stopped and so the cloud is allowed to freely evolve and eventually decay in time. Since we are interested in looking at the radiative effects on cloud evolution, we run two different cases, both starting from the same base-run cirrus cloud. One run allows radiative-heating effects to be included and the other omits them. (a) Inhomogeneous-layer results From the base runs, we now use the inhomogeneous base cloud layer (Fig. l(a)) and let it evolve for an additional four hours with and without radiative effects included. After a period of half an hour (after the base run), the differences between the radiative case (RC) and the non-radiative case (NRC) are evident. Figure 2 shows the ice-water content (IWC) for these cases at two different times in the simulation. We are most interested in the distribution of ice rather than the magnitude in this section. From these plots, we can see that the NRC layer tends to become more homogeneous, whereas, the RC tends to maintain and further generate inhomogeneous structure. From this, it is evident that latent-heat exchanges occurring in the NRC are not strong enough alone to maintain the present degree of inhomogeneity, nor generate any further inhomogeneity. Whereas, in the RC, radiative heating in conjunction with latent heating is able to drive enough of a circulation to maintain an inhomogeneous structure as the cloud decays. In order to quantify the degree of inhomogeneity within the layer at any time, a Fourier series expansion of the horizontal distribution of the ice-water path, IWP(x), is performed. Shown in Fig. 3 are the Fourier amplitudes as functions of the wavelength for the same times as shown in Fig. 2 and also a later time. The range in wavelength is dictated by the domain size and resolution. Peaks at 10 km and a couple of hundred metres are not significant. In Fig. 3, the NRC is shown to be losing its inhomogeneous structure as the cloud dissipates. For the RC, not only can we see that the inhomogeneous structure is being maintained, but it tells us something about the way new inhomogeneities are being generated. The Fourier analysis shows that there is a disappearance of the highfrequency modes resulting from the random perturbations in the base run, and that there is a progression of the scale of inhomogeneity to certain scales. For the RC, the dominant length-scales of inhomogeneity are approximately 1-2 km and later in the simulation length-scales of 2-5 km also develop. Inhomogeneity on the 1-2 km lengthscale were also noted in the two-dimensional night-time cirrus simulations of Boehm et al. (1999). Horizontal inhomogeneity on the scales are also, in general, observed in 2668 J. S. DOBBIE and P. R. JONAS "r-- Figure 2. Ice-water content for the inhomogeneous base cloud at 9300 and 10 200 s, respectively, for (a) and (b) the radiative case (RC),and (c) and (d) the non-radiative case (NRC). The contours lines are 0.001,0.005,0.02, and 0.05 g m-3. (Note:sometimes the higher-valuecontours rue not needed.) RC, t=9300 RC, t=10200 RC, t=ll400 1 i r . j 12 9 6 3 0 lo-' 1 lo1 lo-' 1 lo1 NRC, t=10200 lo-' 1 lo1 NRC, t=ll400 .- E 3 a 10-1 1 lo1 10-1 1 lo1 10-1 1 10' Wavelength (km) Figure 3. Fourier series amplitudes of ice-water path for the inhomogeneous cloud at times 9300, 10200 and 11 400 s. (a)-@) are radiative inclusive cases (RC). and (d)-(f) arc non-radiativecases (NRC). the spectral analysis of data from observational campaigns (Heymsfield 1975; Sassen et al. 1989; Smith and Jonas 1996, 1997). This comparison with observations is just to give confidence in the model results, it is not meant to be a comprehensive comparison with observations.We are now involved in a comprehensive comparison as part of the GCSS WG2 intercomparison study. RADIATIVE INFLUENCE ON CIRRUS CLOUD STRUCTURE 2669 Figure 4. As in Fig. 2 except for the homogeneous base cloud layer. The same contours are also used. It is of interest now to determine if the length-scales are dependent on the initial morphology of the base cloud. In the next section we will begin with a homogeneous layer and see if the same inhomogeneity length-scdes develop in the RC again. (b) Homogeneous-layer results In this section, we show the evolution of a cloud layer that is initially almost perfectly homogeneous (Fig. l(b)). In Fig. 4,we see the time evolution of the homogeneous layer for both the RC and NRC. Even though we are beginning with a layer almost devoid of inhomogeneity,we see differences in the inhomogeneity between the NRC and RC appear within about forty minutes. The NRC tends to stay relatively homogeneous as the layer dissipates. Some inhomogeneity is caused by the slight initial perturbation and consequent latent-heat and dynamical exchanges, but for the most part the layer remains homogeneous. For the RC, however, once again we see that intense plumes develop within the layer and the layer progressively becomes more inhomogeneous as it dissipates. The Fourier analysis of the IWP for the same times and a later time, as in Fig. 3, are shown in Fig. 5 . It shows that initially both the NRC and RC are largely homogeneous. However, as time progresses, we see that two or more modes are discernable in the NRC around the 1-2 and 2-3 km wavelength regions. These modes are not strong but they are present. In the RC, the same modes appear but in this case the amplitude of the inhomogeneity grows to substantially higher values because of the radiative influences. Simulations for a larger domain of 50 km (same resolution) were also performed. By comparing these runs with the previous results, we find that the Fourier amplitudes of IWP,shown in Fig. 5 , at scales of 10 km and a couple hundred metres are affected by the domain length and therefore are not significant. (c) Development of cloud structure For the homogeneous base cloud, how do the secondary plumes (secondary plumes are those not manually initiated in the base run) develop in the horizontal when the primary plumes (artificially initiated in the base run) are only located near 5 km?Also, 2670 J. S. DOBBIE and P.R.JONAS ;:a RC, t=9300 6 3 0lo-' 1 10' 6 3 0 lo-' 1 10' NRC, t=10200 a 1 10' Wavelength (km) lo-' ;:D 6 3 0lo-' lo-' RC, t=ll400 1 1 10' NRC, t=ll400 10' lo-' 1 10' Figure 5 . As in Fig. 3 except for the homogeneous base cloud layer. why are the secondary plumes distributed at roughly regular intervals along the horizontal,roughly corresponding to the depth of the cloud? Understanding the development of the secondary plumes is certainly important because they largely characterize the cloud structure in the horizontal and are responsible for important modes that appear in the Fourier analysis. We find that secondary plumes first develop in our runs nearby, and as a consequence of, the cellular structure established by the primary plumes. In addition to columns of rising air in the plume regions, there are also columns of descending air established to the sides of the primary plume. These regions of descending motion have air converging at the cloud top and air diverging at the cloud base. In time, the regions of convergence and divergencebegin to dynamically affect the cloud region to the side of the decending region away from the primary-plume region. The air in this neighbouring region (named the secondary region) is being drawn away towards the region of descending air at cloud top while air is pushing in from the descending region at cloud base. The result is that air in the columns of the secondary region begins to ascend and a secondary-plume region is established. As we will see in a later section, this secondary-plume region is greatly intensified by latent and radiative processes. Shown in Fig. 6 are the vector velocity distributions for the homogeneous base cloud layer at 9000 and 9300 s. The maximum velocities are of the order of a metre per second (in keeping with observations, see Smith and Jonas (1997)), but the magnitude of the velocity is not important for this discussion). These times correspond to 25 and 30 min after the base (no-radiation) run is completed. These plots are for an extended horizontal domain (50 km) and we are viewing the velocity distributions just to the right of the primary plume located at 5 km in the horizontal (you can see the downwelling region at 6 km resulting from the primary plume located at 5 km). In both parts of Fig. 6, we see that there are regions of upwelling and downwelling generated within the cloud layer to RADIATIVE INFLUENCE ON CIRRUS CLOUD STRUCTURE t=9000s 3;7,r,&,,..s ,, 8700 I t=9300~ 267 1 8700 - ........................... (a) 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 Horizontal Dimension (km) 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 Horizontal Dimension (km) Figure 6. Air velocity distributions for two time periods: (a) 9000 s and (b) 9300 s, showing the development of secondary plumes. Arrow length is proportional to the velocity with a maximum of about 1 m s-' . the right (and left, not shown) of the main plume and the beginning of secondary-plume regions. Comparison of the plots shows that the locations of strong upwelling and downwelling do not vary much in time. We also note that with time the upwelling and downwelling regions within the cloud intensify as the secondary plumes develop. The cellular structure that is developing in these plots is what gives rise to the structure observed in the IWP plots and the peaks observed in the Fourier analysis of the last section. By comparing Figs. 6(a) and (b) we see the development in time of the secondary plumes further and further away from the main plume region. For example, the beginning of a plume region near 12.5 km in the horizontal is noted at a time of 9300 s which is not really evident at 9000 s. A rough order-of-magnitude speed for the propagation of the cellular structure in the horizontal is about a metre per second. Although we have only discussed the generation of the secondary plumes for the homogeneous base cloud, the same occurs for the inhomogeneous base cloud; it is just more difficult to observe because of all of the primary plumes present. In that case, there is competition amongst neighbouring primary plumes once the base-run perturbations are stopped. Since primary plumes are randomly located, primary plumes can be initiated very closely together, as indicated by the high-frequency modes in the Fourier analysis during the development of the cloud in the base run. The strength of the primary-plume circulations determines which plumes remain and which ones diminish in time. ( d ) Dependence on cloud thickness Is the scale of inhomogeneity that develops in the previous cases dependent on the thickness of the layer? Our calculations show that it is. We performed runs for the homogeneous layer in which we generated base clouds with thicknesses of roughly 3 and 0.5 km. The optical depths are 2.5 and 0.25 for the thick and thin layers, respectively. The cloud-top heights (9.2 km) for these two cases agree with the previous calculations involving the intermediate thickness (optical depth 1.25). As before, both of these layers evolved with and without radiation. The scale of inhomogeneity that develops is a function of the thickness of the cloud layer. Figure 7 shows the Fourier amplitudes as a function of wavelength 40 min after the base run for both the 3 and 0.5 km layers for 2612 J. S. DOBBIE and P. R. JONAS 0.8 l i - 0.6 Y 3 0.4 -w .a lo-’ 1 10’ Fourier Wavelength (km) 0.2 0 10-’ 1 10’ Fourier Wavelength (km) Figure 7. Fourier amplitudesof WP corresponding to layers with (a) larger or (b) smaller initial thickness. RC and NRC are shown in each of the plots. Both plots are for the homogeneous base layer at a time of 10 200 s. the RC and NRC. It is observed that the dominant modes are now shifted towards the wavelengths which are roughly in keeping with the thicknesses of the layers. In Fig. 7(a) (3 km thick case) there are prominent amplitudes at 1, 2 and 5 km wavelengths. These wavelength scales are very prominent in the radiative case, whereas they are only one quarter of the magnitude in the non-radiative case. The velocity field for this thick layer shows that there is substantial turbulence generated in the lower and upper levels of the cirrus cloud. The turbulent cellular structure is on the scale of about 1 km or a little less. There are a few modes in Fig. 7(a) at or just below the 1 km scale. These are due to radiative (and latent) induced instability occurring locally near the upper cloud levels due to the combination of solar heating and cloud-top thermal IR cooling, and locally at cloud base by the combination of solar heating and thermal IR heating upwelling from below. The 2 km mode is due to there being some degree of cellular motions linking the full depth of the cloud. The 5 km mode arises because of the way the plumes ascend to the upper layer and combine. We note that the magnitude of the 5 km mode may be exaggeratedbecause of the domain size. For the NRC shown in Fig. 7, the Fourier modes are much suppressed compared to the RC, and the velocity distributions show very little activity by comparison to the RC. For the thin layer of 0.5 km, the Fourier analysis (Fig. 7(b)) shows that indeed the dominant scale of inhomogeneity is about 0.4 km, which is approximately the characteristic thickness of the layer at this time when the Fourier analysis is performed. In addition, there are three other scales with appreciable amplitudes, specifically, 0.25, 0.6 and 0.8 km. The Fourier amplitudes for the RC are larger than for the NRC (Fig. 7), most prominently the 0.4 km length-scale which is a factor of two greater. This mode is most important when analysing the IWP as a function of the horizontal dimension. Inhomogeneity on the 0.4 km scale is clearly evident and is significantly deeper than for the M C . The differences between the NRC and RC are much smaller for this thin layer as compared to the thicker layers. The velocity-vectordistributions show little activity in the NRC (max of 0.05 m s-l) and still only relatively small values for the RC (maximum of 0.15 m s-l) as compared to other cases. The reason why there are small differences between the NRC and the RC is that the layer is too thin for the radiative heating and cooling to have a substantial effect, The typical combined solar and thermal IR heating within the layer is only of the order of 1-2 K d-’ . RADIATIVE INFLUENCE ON CIRRUS CLOUD STRUCTURE 12 I I I I IIIII I I I 1 IIIL- 1 10’ Fourier Wavelength (km) lo-’ 2673 lo-’ 1 10’ Fourier Wavelength (km) Figure 8. Fourier amplitudes of IWP corresponding to layers simulated with either solar or IR radiation but not both. (a) Thick (3 km) and (b) intermediate (1.5 km) homogeneous base layer (t = 10 200 s). (e) Dependence on radiative spectrum It is of interest to determine whether solar and thermal infrared radiation are together both responsible for the observed cloud inhomogeneity or if one spectral region dominates. To investigate, we performed simulations allowing either thermal IR or solar radiation alone to contribute. Shown in Fig. 8 are the Fourier amplitudes corresponding to cases for clouds with intermediate (1.5 km) and thick (3 km) depths at a time of 10200 seconds. For the intermediate thickness layer shown in Fig. 8, we see that solar heating is most important in terms of initiating the inhomogeneity on the 1-2 and 2-3 km lengthscales. This is characteristic of the effects noted throughout the simulation for this cloud thickness. The thermal IR case shows some structure at shorter wavelengths which is due to the local instability associated with cloud-top cooling and cloud-base heating. The thermal IR case shows more inhomogeneity than the no-radiation case (see Fig. 5), but less than the solar-inclusive cases. The longer inhomogeneity length-scales, associated with the solar-inclusivecases, result from the deeper convection which is on the scale of the depth of the layer. In the W C distributions corresponding to the intermediate thickness case in Fig. 8, we note that the case with only solar heating has plumes ascending to higher levels as compared to any of the other cases. The lack of cloud-top thermal IR cooling allows the plumes to penetrate further into the stable cloud-top layer. The solar radiation causes the plumes to attain higher vertical velocities which in turn result in the cloud layers tending to spread more in the vertical for the cases in which solar heating is included. So solar radiation is responsible for transport of water to higher altitudes in these cases. When the same evaluation was performed for the thick layer, we found that the results were largely reversed for the solar-only and thermal-IR-only cases (see the thick case in Fig. 8). The combined solar and thermal IR case produced the most inhomogeneity again and the no-radiation case produced the least, but now the second most important case for generating inhomogeneity was the thermal IR radiation case. The solar-only case had much suppressed inhomogeneity as compared to the thermalIR-inclusive cases. For the thick layer, even the non-radiative case had some structure in the IWC distribution due to latent-heat exchanges from sublimation and deposition. The structure for the non-radiative case is present because almost any heat perturbations 2614 J. S. DOBBIE and P.R. JONAS in the thick layer can grow as the layer initially has a thick layer of moisture and ice at near-neutral stability. This is why the thermal IR case was more dominant for the thick layer. The IR radiative heating at the cloud base is strong enough (because of the larger optical depth, >2) to initiate plumes that rise through the depth of the layer. This is further enhanced by cloud-top thermal IR radiative cooling which enhances the instability. For the solar case the solar heating is distributed throughout the layer. The profile of radiative heating, however, does not give rise to instability in the layer. This is because the heating profile varies too smoothly with height in the cloud to generate instability. (f) Dependence on initial cloud-layer stabilitj If the initial stability of the layer in the base run is varied then how does this affect the scales of inhomogeneity that form? We investigated this by varying the potentialtemperature profile with height for the base runs. We'll discuss two cases, one with a profile which has an unstable region and another with a more thermally stratified profile than in the base runs discussed earlier. The potential-temperature profiles are again set roughly equal to the reference potential-temperature profiles. We will discuss the thicklayer runs because they show the largest effects due to instability. The unstable profile has a decreasing potential temperature with height between 7 and 9 km, decreasing at a rate of about 5 K km-l; elsewhere it increases with height. The more stable layer has an increasing potential temperature with height throughout, increasing at a rate of 3 K km-' within the cloud region as opposed to the previous 1.5 K km-l. For the unstable layer, results show that the layer quickly generates plumes of strong magnitude. The ice-water contents reach values much larger than previously found (0.2 g m-3). Plume ascent is enhanced by latent heating in the upper cloud levels. For both the RC and the NRC,a thick layer is generated which spreads throughout the layer from the heights 6.5 km to almost 10 km. The cloud top is formed in this case at much higher levels than in previous runs because the strong instability is causing stronger plumes to form. It is after this initial instability that we begin to see the differences between the RC and NRC. This occurs about one hour after the base run. At this point, plumes develop which are enhanced by radiative (and latent) heating and ascend towards the cloud top. These plumes continue to develop throughout the rest of the simulation for the RC and give rise to a more inhomogeneous structure in the IWC as compared to the NRC.For the NRC, the pervasive region of high IWC that resulted from the initial instability largely stays intact and decays with time. It is not until the NRC reaches later stages of decay that the inhomogeneity in the layer begins to show as the cloud dissipates. For the more stable profile, the clouds for the RC and NRC are very similar at least for the first two hours after base run. Various length-scales appear during this time, but there is no consistent dominant length-scale of inhomogeneity. The initial perturbations are damped by the thermal stratificationof the layer for both cases. For the RC, radiative and latent processes acting on the initially inhomogeneous IWC distribution is not energetic enough to overcome the stratification of the layer. The NRC and RC layers decay steadily in time. After 1.2 hours (after the base run), the RC becomes distinct from the NRC when some IWP inhomogeneity length-scales appear in the Fourier analysis. This is when the cloud is dissipating and beginning to break up. The thermal IR heating at the cloud base is the source of this break-up. The Fourier analysis shows that during break-up the inhomogeneity length-scales are often 1 km and 2-3 km, but they do not persist. The break-up for the NRC occurs at about 1.7 hours (after the base run). Shorter RADIATIVE INFLUENCE ON CIRRUS CLOUD STRUCTURE cu- :: 100 80 Y 10 8 6 30 20 10 --, 8 12 16 20 Time (1000 s) O - 2675 ! Y \ r L- 8 12 16 20 Time (1000 s) 4 2 0 8 12 16 20 Time (1000 s) Figure 9. Horizontally averaged IWP over the Lifetime of the cloud. (a) Thick, (b) normal, and (c) thin clouds for the homogeneous base run. wavelength modes are present in the Fourier analysis on average but no modes persist for long time periods. We find that the rate of change of potential temperature with height has to be about 1.5 K km-' or less in these simulations for radiation to initiate inhomogeneity. A more general criterion will be presented later. (g) Cloud lifetime By plotting the horizontally averaged IWP in time for the RC and NRC, we can determine whether radiatively driven clouds last for longer or shorter times than nonradiatively driven clouds. Shown in Figs. 9(a)-(c) are the plots of the time average of the IWP for the homogeneous base cloud case for three cloud thicknesses (3, 1.5 and 0.5 km). In each plot, both the NRC and RC curves are shown beginning at 7500 s of simulation time. Previous to this was just the base run used to generate the cloud. It is observed that the radiative effects take about 40 min (at 10 000 s) to create differences in the average IWP compared to the non-radiative case. After that time, the differences between the cases (RC and NRC) are usually significant. From the graphs, we observe an e-folding time of about 4 to 5 hours, which is in agreement with Boehm et al. (1999). For the thick base layer (3 km thick initially) (Fig. 9(a)), the cloud has a deep layer of moisture to begin with, which results in a large initial average IWP (90 g m-2) when the cloud forms after about 1.5 hours (in the base run). Once into the second stage (after 2 hours) the ascent (imposed cooling) of the layer and the artificial temperature perturbations cease and so the cloud layer decays. During the second stage, radiation begins acting on the layer. Radiation enhances the strength of plumes resulting in increased updraughts and increased latent-heat release. In turn, the latent-heat release also enhances the strength of the plumes. The same trend with time is observed for the intermediate thickness layer (1.5 km) as well. It is found that the RC cloud has substantially larger mean IWP for about two hours longer than the non-radiative case. If we consider any time beyond 10000 s, then the average IWP is a factor of two to three greater for the RC as compared to the NRC. For the thin layer case (0.5 km thick), the layer is optically very thin (optical depth is 0.25) and so there is weak radiative heating which, in turn, is unable to initiate development of strong plumes. Without strong plumes, there is less latent-heating release and so the IWC does not grow quickly in these regions. This, in turn, impacts the radiative heating. The result is that radiation has only a mild enhancement of the convective and turbulent activity which gives rise to the average IWP shown in Fig. 9(c). J. S. DOBBIE and P. R.JONAS 2676 The same trends, but with reduced intensity are observed for the inhomogeneous base-layer case. The thick and intermediate-thickness layers persist longer for the RC than the NRC by about 30 min and have higher average IWPs by a factor of two once the radiation has taken effect (again about 40 min after the base run is complete). These effects are not as dramatic as for the homogeneous base cloud, but they are still significant.The reason why they are not as dramatic is because the inhomogeneousbase layer has a significant number of primary plumes already present in the layer for both the RC and NRC, and so both cases obtain some cellular structure (which acts to retain ice) by latent heating in regions of updraughts. Conversely,the homogeneous base layer has few primary plumes, and it is only the cases with radiation that are able to generate substantial numbers of secondary plumes and thus take advantage of the cell structure that develops. 5 . GENERATION OF INSTABILITY In this section, we evaluate whether radiation is able to initiate instability in cirrus cloud and we look at the role that latent heating takes in this process. (a) Radiative-heating and latent-heatingstability numbers To avoid limiting our discussion of radiative instability to the specific modelled cases studied here, we derive stability numbers which can be used to identify the onset of radiative and latent instability for a general cloud layer. The change in virtual potential temperature, O,, from a time t to t 6t can be obtained from a Taylor expansion of 6, + ev(z,t + s t ) = ev(z, t ) + (ae,/at)st, (3) where a&/at is the rate of increase of virtual potential temperature with time evaluated at a time t. The derivative may be expanded as follows where the terms on the right-hand side are the rate of change of virtual potential temperature due to various diabatic processes. For now, consider only the effect of radiation on the stability-latent process will be added afterwards. The rate of change of temperature due to radiative heating and cooling is given by aT at (radiation) pcp where F is the net radiative flux and His the heating or cooling rate. Therefore, the rate of change of virtual potential temperature due to radiative heating and cooling is given by a& = -0,R . at T, So now the contribution to the virtual potential temperature at t processes can be written as ev(z, + 6t by radiative 2677 RADIATIVE INFLUENCE ON CIRRUS CLOUD STRUCTURE + Instability occurs when Ov(z, t St) decreases with increasing height. From Eq. (7), this region is determined by requiring aev(z, t + s t ) < az Using Eq. (7) in Eq. (8), we get The third term on the left can be rewritten as aTv-' mvaTv Rev-S t = ---St. az T? az Using this in Eq. (9) and by rearranging we get - We find that 1 + (3tSt/Tv) 1 and that the second term in Eq. (1 1) is negligible compared with the other terms. An order of magnitude calculation confirms these statements: take 6r 500 s (discussed later), 6, and Tv 300 K, R 30 K d-' = 30186 400 K s-', Iax/azl- 0.1 K km-l, and (aev/az) I(aTv/az)l- 10 K km-l. We are left with - -- - The first term on the left-hand side is positive because we are interested in layers which are initially stable at time t. The second term, however, can be either positive or negative depending on the radiative heating or cooling profile with height. Equation (12) is satisfied if We can now define the 'radiationstability number' as For radiative instability we require 0 < Rsn < 1. (14) This derivation is also satisfied if we replace the radiative heating with latent heating. The resulting latent-heating stability number Lsn, has to satisfy the same criterion as in Eq. (14) with Rsn replaced by Lsn. By virtue of Eq. (4), we can define a radiative and latent stability number Csn as (aeV(z, t)/az) (15) -(ev(t, t)iTv){(a%3elaz) (ad:c/az)W where d: is the latent-heating rate. For instability to be initiated by combined radiative and latent processes then Csn must satisfy the condition 0 < C,, < 1. Csn = + 2678 J. S. DOBBIE and P.R. JONAS (b) Instability: model results We now evaluate the stability numbers, Rsn, LSn, and e,,, using the model runs discussed earlier. In order to proceed, we need to assign the time interval St in Eqs. (13) and (15). We define St as the time-scale over which radiation is able to heat or cool the layer before the layer appreciably (dynamically) adjusts. One way to estimate this is from the plots of IWC distributions; they do not vary much on the time scale of 5 or 10 min. As another estimate, we can consider a typical vertical velocity of 0.5 m s-l of a parcel that is travelling from the base of one model layer to the top of the next, a distance of 250 m. Then the time-scale for readjustment between layers would be roughly 500 s. We will use this time interval in our evaluations that follow. We have two main cases to consider. The first case includes radiation, so both latent and radiative effects are considered in determining instability, and the second case excludes radiation and so only latent heating will be considered for initiating instability. (i) Radiative case. Our calculations show that the radiation stability number satisfies its instability criterion, given by Eq.(14), at many times and locations for the simulated cirrus clouds. So radiation appears to be trying to incite instability; however, instability does not always occur. This is because latent heating (depending on its profile) can counteract the radiative effects on the layer's stability. We find that early on in the simulation (7200 to 8400 s) instability is typically caused by latent heating in the primary-plume region as the air ascends and cools. It is not until after this time that radiation causes instability. At 8700 s we see the first occurrence where both Rsn and C,, satisfy their instability criteria. Interestingly enough Lsn does not. At this location, radiation is generating instability in spite of the latent-heating profile acting against it. As the simulation proceeds, instability is always noted to occur, as expected, in plume regions where the IWC is large. Instability is typically generated by the combined effects of radiative and latent heating, although, there are frequent locations in which one or more satisfy their instability criterion. When the secondary-plume regions are forming, instability at these locations is first noted to be caused by latent heating. Once the updraughts begin then instability is caused by both or either of latent and radiative heating. In Fig. 10, we focus on one column in the model at a time of 10 200 s, and look at various profiles. We have chosen the column at 4.6 km (in the horizontal) because it is the location of a very strong plume. From Fig. 10, we see that the radiative heating is a maximum of about 28 K d-' at a height of 8.5 km. This is due to the combined effects of solar (from above) and infrared heating (upwelling from the surface and below-cloud atmosphere). Thermal infrared cooling occurs above 9 km for this column. Latent heating reaches a maximum of 48 K d-' at 8.75 km and decreases above and below this height. Note, the horizontally averaged values of latent and radiative heating would be significantly lower. The region that is most important in terms of initiating instability is where the profiles of diabatic heating decrease with height, as explained in the development of the stability numbers. This region occurs between 8.5 and 9.2 km for radiation and between 8.75 and 9.3 km for latent heating. We see that instability is initiated by both radiative and latent heating at the levels 8.8 and 8.9 km and that radiation on its own initiates instability at 9.0 km, since it is such a strongly decreasing profile at that level. To complement the above work, we performed a simulation with an effective size which varied linearly from 20 pm at cloud top to 100 p m at cloud base, based loosely on observations contained in Francis et al. (1998). The following general points were noted from the simulations. Although similar Fourier modes of the IWP were present, 2679 RADIATIVE INFLUENCE ON CIRRUS CLOUD STRUCTURE 10000 10000 9500 0 9000 Y .- 2 D 7000 r I I I I O 8000 - 1 (b) , 7000 I 0 ~ 8500 7500 I :o I I r Figure 10. Values represent a slice taken at 4.6 km through the radiative inclusive simulation at 10200 s. (a) Profiles of latent and radiative heating (bottom scale) and vertical air velocity (top scale). (b) Values of the stability numbers R,, (circles), L,, (boxes), and esn(crosses) (see text). 10000 I I 9500 - -- 2 9000 W --_ _ _ Ea 8500 --.4 8000 - \ \ \ 7500 7000 \ 1 -50 I -25 I ,/ 0 / I I 25 I 50 Radiative and latent (Wday) Figure 11. Values represent a slice taken at 4.6km through the non-radiative simulation at 10 200 s. Profiles of latent and radiative heating (bottom scale) and vertical air velocity (top scale). (The radiation is computed off-line.) they were reduced in magnitude because of a reduction in the instability within the layer. This reduced instability was caused by reduced vertical gradients and magnitudes of the radiative heating. A reduction in the latent-heating release was also noted due to weaker updraught regions because of weaker radiative effects. These effects all resulted in a reduced strength of the cellular structure. This is in keeping with the findings of Khvorostyanov and Sassen (1998) and Boehm et al. (1999). A comprehensive study based in observations of this is now planned. 2680 J. S. DOBBIE and P. R. JONAS (ii) Non-radiative case. Shown in Fig. 11 are the same plots as in Fig. 10(a) except in this case for cirrus cloud evolving without radiation. The radiation is still computed in this simulation and plotted, but it is not allowed to contribute to the evolution of the cloud (essentially an off-line calculation). In this case, the column is located at 4.9 km in the horizontal since this is where the maximum updraught was found (less dramatic values were found at 4.6km). By comparing Figs. 10 and 11, we find that the non-radiative case has much reduced magnitudes for almost all of the parameters plotted. Only the latent cooling at the cloud base is increased since more crystals are sublimating to the vapour phase as they leave the cloud. The stability numbers are not plotted for this case since none came close to satisfying their instability criterion. Kelvin-Helmholtz instability was minimized in all runs by initializing the runs with zero shear. It was monitored throughout runs for both radiative and non-radiative cases by evaluating the local flux Richardson number. Kelvin-Helmholtz instability in the runs was rare and was observed only to occur near updraught regions ufer they were established by radiative and latent processes. 6 . CONCLUSIONS Our work shows that radiation can have a dramatic effect on cirrus clouds, causing substantial differences in the cloud inhomogeneity and lifetime compared to simulations run without it. We find that radiation not only enhances the development of structure and lifetime, it is instrumental in most cases. Radiation directly or indirectly has effect on many aspects of cirrus clouds. The simulations including radiation showed stronger cellular structure, more turbulent activity within the cloud, greater IWC inhomogeneity, the cloud layers lasted between 30 min and 2 hours longer, there was less sublimation to vapour at cloud base and more sublimation from vapour within the layer, and the IWC was usually a factor of 2 greater than the non-radiative cases once the radiation had taken effect. We found that, in general, solar radiation was more important in the layers of 1-2 km thickness (1 -= optical depth < 2) whereas IR was more important in the thicker layers (optical depth > 2). Thin layers (optical depth < 1) showed only marginal effects from radiation on their structure. We have derived stability numbers for radiative and latent-heating processes to determine if these processes incite instability within the layer. Our results show that radiation is causing convective instability within the layer at numerous locations and times during the simulations. In some cases, radiation acts alone in causing instability (as does latent heating), while at other times and locations it acts in conjunction with latent heating. Sometimes neither can cause instabilility independently but together they do. Latent heating is usually observed to be causing instability prior to radiation in regions where plumes are developing. Radiatively induced convectiveinstability in these regions is noted to follow once the IWC is large enough. In the evolution of cirrus cloud structure, there is an interesting interplay between dynamics, radiation, and latent heating as noted in the simulations. Initial turbulent activity in the layer causes slight updraughts. In these updraughts, cooling occurs and latent heat is released, As the IWC increases, radiation becomes important. Radiation enhances the plume region and drives a much stronger circulation than is present in the non-radiative case. This strong cellular circulation dynamically initiates secondary circulations which are driven first by latent then radiative processes. In time, this generation of neighbouring cellular activity leads to a largely turbulent and inhomogeneous cirrus cloud throughout. The enhancement by radiation should not be overlooked; we find it is a crucial step in the process (as are the other processes). Fourier analysis of RADIATIVE INFLUENCE ON CIRRUS CLOUD STRUCTURE 2681 the IWP from the simulations shows us that the inhomogeneity develops in both the RC and the NRC at certain length-scales, but in the RC the modes are much stronger. It is the strong radiative enhancement of the cellular structure in the layer which gives rise to these differences.Without radiation the cellular structure is weak and the layer tends towards a more homogeneous state. 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