190 Business Intelligence Journal APPLICATION OF ANALYTICS IN BUSINESS STRATEGY January Koo Ping Shung Researcher, Singapore Management University 80 Stamford Road Singapore 178902 Murphy Choy Junyu Instructor, Singapore Management University 80 Stamford Road Singapore 178902 Abstract In the most well-known ancient treatise of war, Sun Tzu Art of War, the following quote was made by Sun Tzu, He who knows his enemy and himself well will not be defeated easily. He who knows himself but not his enemy will have an even chance of victory. He who does not know himself and his enemy is bound to suffer defeat in all battles. (Sun Tzu Art of War, Chapter 3) In most of the papers written on analytics, they are mostly focus on certain operations or functions of the business. The current literature lacks the discussion of analytics on the strategic planning and execution. As such in this paper we are going to discuss more about using analytics where possible to improve upon the strategy planning and execution. This paper will at times use quotes from Sun Tzu Art of War as support for analytics application in strategic planning and execution. Key Words: Strategic Planning, Strategic Execution, Sun Tzu Art of War, Management. Sun Tzu Art of War Sun Tzu Art of War is a well-known Chinese ancient treatise of war. Its popularity can be seen by the fact that it is translated into many languages even though it is an ancient text that is written more than three thousand years ago. The book has also gained much traction in business strategic planning due to the close nature between war and business, providing inspirations for business managers on how to succeed in the competitive business situations. In Sun Tzu Art of War, there is a well-known quote that goes. He who knows his enemy and himself well will not be defeated easily. He who knows himself but not his enemy will have an even chance of victory. He who does not know himself and his enemy is bound to suffer defeat in all battles. (Sun Tzu Art of War, Chapter 3 ) Thus in terms of strategic planning and execution, it is of utmost importance that the business manager knows the “enemy” and “himself” well. What is “Enemy”? In the context of war, the enemy is referred as someone you are up against or competing with. But in the context of business, it should be referred to as external sources of competition. With that in mind, the well-known Porter’s five forces would serve as a relevant framework to determine what the external forces that a company has to compete with are and they are potential competitors, substitutes, customers, suppliers and intensity of competitive rivalry. With Porter’s five forces being a permanent feature in many strategic management courses, it needs no further introduction so let us discuss how analytics can be used to assess these forces. Potential Competitors Markets that give high return will attract new firms to be set up to serve the market. But before the company starts to scurry to find out more about these potential competitors with intent to ‘squash’ them, a recommendation would be to first understand the markets that you are serving in, lookout for potential barriers of entry and exit in the market. Tactically, where possible, you would set up high barriers of entry and play up barriers of exit in the market. This is in line with Sun Tzu Art of War. In Sun Tzu Art of War it can be seen that the terrain, where two or more competing parties, fought out their battles can be seen as very important since a whole chapter (i.e. Chapter 10) is dedicated to it. And in the chapter, it discuss about the various terrains based on its characteristic of ease of entry and exit. We can easily Business Intelligence Journal - January, 2012 Vol.5 No.1 2012 Kamaladevi Baskaran find that the terrain is similar to the market that companies compete in. With that in mind, what is of most importance would then be the market’s barrier of entry and exit. Thus in terms of analytics there is a need to understand the macro environment of the market the company is working in. Know what are the barriers of entry for instance, first-mover advantage, high set-up costs, lack of skilled labor and so on. The next step would be to know where the barriers of exit are and play them up in the minds of competitors. Why do we work on the barriers of entry and exit first instead of working to ‘squash’ the enemy? Please look at the following quote from Sun Tzu Art of War. Thus to fight a hundred battles and win a hundred battles, is not a reflection of the most supreme strategy. The ability to subdue the enemy without battle is a reflection of the ultimate supreme strategy. (Sun Tzu Art of War, Chapter 3 ) As advocated by Sun Tzu, by working on the barriers of entry and exit, you are able to discourage potential competitors from entering the market avoiding ‘battle’ with them. Only after playing out the tactic, would company then seek to find out more about these potential competitors, discourage each of them where possible and proceed to compete with them when they turn into real competitors. Competitors Let us now look at competitors. It is always difficult to obtain data on competitors but that does not mean that companies cannot get data or information on their rivals. Public information such as advertisement that comes from rivals marketing effort are some source of information that companies can get. Companies can also seek out relevant information from the suppliers and customers too since they would most likely have in contact with the rivals. But one has to take note that getting information from customers might be difficult as customers tend to make rivals play against each other so as to reap the most benefit out of it. But this is only true for a B2B relationship. If it the company is B2C then it can be easier to scout out more information. Suppliers might be a good source of information but care must be taken that there are no detrimental effect on the suppliers’ benefits if they do divulge information. Substitutes In Porter’s five forces, substitutes are defined as products that would increase the propensity of customers 191 to switch to alternatives. As such, companies have to decrease the propensity to switch as such an understanding of the available substitutes and a deeper understanding of the customers is required. As the discussion on Customers would cover part of the using analytics on the latter, the focus of this discussion would be instead on the former, having a good understanding of the available substitutes. In order to gather better intelligence on the available substitutes and its standing in customers, companies should directly conduct surveys with the customers themselves. With customers being more astute consumers, always seeking out the best deal and with the Internet rapidly reducing the barriers that arise from information asymmetric, customers are the best data source to seek out the available substitutes. What companies need from customers would be the name of the substitutes and what customers are thinking about these substitutes. With such information, companies can go online to seek out more information on these substitutes, understand what their value proposition to the customers is and how customers are reacting to it. Companies can also purchase reports from industry researchers such as Gartner and IDC to understand more about the standing of existing substitutes or competitors. With such information, companies would be able to react better to changes in tactics by companies producing substitutes, thus retaining market share. Customers Analytics have definitely found its way into consumer industry, mostly the banks and telecoms. It has found its ways especially into marketing where there is a strong desire to reach the right people at the right place and at the right time. As such marketing analytics has entrenched itself firmly in helping companies to understand more about their customers, areas of opportunities, building brand loyalty and preventing attrition. Suppliers In many battles that are fought out in ancient China, there are some battles that are fought out by cutting the supply chain or eradicate the logistics of enemy’s army. The most famous of such war is Battle of Guandu fought during the Three Kingdom period of Ancient China (Wikipedia, 2011). It was a classic battle because although Yuan Shao has a obvious numerical advantage as compared to Cao Cao (110,000 vs 40,000), it was Cao Cao who emerged as Baskaran K. - The FDI Permit for Multi Brand Retail Trading in India - Green Signal or Red Signal 192 Business Intelligence Journal the victor of the battle. The battle was won when Cao Cao sent troops to attack a weakly defended Wuchao the supply depot of Yuan Shao’s troops. Such battles have shown the importance of logistics in any battle and this is especially true in the business arena. For a business to be able to meet its demand well, the management of suppliers is of utmost importance. As such, in recent years we have seen companies like Tesco and Wal-mart working together with their suppliers to ensure that they can meet demand when it happens in their retail stores. Companies can use analytics and work with their suppliers to ensure constant supply of goods and services. Another thing to take note of is the need to have a Business Continuity Plan that is worked together with suppliers. Such importance is seen in the Japan Earthquake of March 2011. Many electronic goods have parts that come mostly from Japan. As such, most of the electronic goods suppliers found out that they cannot meet the orders because of such supply chain disruption. Thus analytics could be used together with suppliers to better predict demand, manage delivery lags and ensure constant and just-in-time supply of materials. What is “Himself”? As can be judged from the quote, himself means the party himself that is planning to go into war. In the business context, it would refer to the company itself. Thus is also of utmost importance that the company understands itself well. The importance of such knowledge can be seen from the following quote by Sun Tzu. In ancient times, those who were skilful in warfare ensured that they would not be defeated and then waited for opportunities to defeat the enemy. The ability to prevent defeat lies on oneself while the opportunities of victory depend on the enemy. Thus those who are adept at warfare can ensure that they will not be defeated by the enemy, but will not be able to ensure victory over the enemy. Thus one is able to predict victory but not necessary be able to achieve it. (Sun Tzu Art of War, Chapter 4) Companies are responsible for putting themselves in a position that they would not lose whereas the opportunity for victory comes from the action of the rivals. Thus in order for companies to truly put themselves in a good position, they first have to know their companies well. Over here we recommend to follow the framework that is found in Sun Tzu Art of War. January Which Ruler has a higher Political Intelligence? Which general is more capable? Which side has the advantages created by the weather and terrain? Which side is capable of executing orders effectively and efficiently? Which army is better equipped, stronger and larger in numbers? Which side has better training? Which side is more enlightened in the administration of rewards and punishment? (Sun Tzu Art of War, Chapter 1) If you look at these seven areas they can be grouped into the following areas; Leadership, Human Resource Management, Process & Operations. Let us now discuss more about each area. Leadership Although the usage of analytics to improve leadership is far and few, there is a need for leadership to drive the analytics movement in the company. The need for that as mentioned is that for anything to be successfully implemented, the strong support from leadership is greatly needed. Without the strong support, it would be difficult to push through a motion in the company. This can be seen in literature that discuss about the implementation of analytics in companies. Besides giving the strong support, there also is a need to a culture where decisions are made based on facts, made up of available data in the companies, rather than decisions based on gut feel. Process & Operations Another area that analytics have found its way into has been in the Process & Operations area of businesses. Most of the common usage of analytics is to find areas for improvement, like cutting down unnecessary steps, reduction in requirements or materials, optimizing delivery process, optimizing manpower in service industries, optimizing the inventory to hold and so on. The usage of analytics brings to the management more clearly the areas of improvement in their operations and processes. But one has to take note of the customer experience implications when deciding to make changes to the operations or process. Human Resource Management In the areas quoted above by Sun Tzu, we can see that Human Resource Management is very important. The need Business Intelligence Journal - January, 2012 Vol.5 No.1 2012 Kamaladevi Baskaran for them to be well-equipped, well trained, stronger both physically and mentally and also carrying out the orders effectively and efficiently. In the Knowledge Economy that we are in, the need for an effective management of human resources has taken precedence over many other areas. The area of talent analytics has slowly been emerging in the business world with the focus on mainly retaining talents, improving staff engagement and optimizing the work schedule. For instance, using the behaviors such as making claims, taking both sick and annual leave and other forms of interaction between the employee and the employer to predict when a staff is likely to leave. If the staff is a talent that the company wants to retain, it can then start to take pre-emptive measures, to start engaging the talent so as to prevent turnover where possible. Or finding out more about the low performers and understand the reason for their performance. With reference to “Competing on Talent Analytics” from October 2010 Harvard Business Review (Davenport, 2010) and Sun Tzu’s quote above, analytics can now be used to determine whether employees are meeting key objectives and if they are not, what the reason could be. Is it a lack of equipment or skills? Analytics could also be used to identify and intervene so as to retain the good performing managers. 193 The world of talent analytics is still very new but as mentioned it would definitely be adopted in the arena of human resource management given the strong need for the ‘right’ employee in the Knowledge Economy. Conclusion In this paper, we have mentioned the several areas that companies can use analytics to improve upon their strategic planning and execution. It was broken down into external and internal factors. External factors would be, according to Porter’s five forces, potential and existing competitors, suppliers, customers and substitutes. For the internal factors where analytics can be used, they are Process & Operations and Human Resource Management, together with the strong support from leaders or top management. References Battle of Guandu, Wikipedia, http://en.wikipedia.org/ wiki/Battle_of_Guandu Davenport TH., Harris J., Shapiro J., 2010, <<Competing on Talent Analytics>>, Harvard Business Review, Oct 2010, Pages 52-58 Sun Tzu Art of War, http://www.chinese-wiki.com/ Sun_Tzu_Art_of_War Baskaran K. - The FDI Permit for Multi Brand Retail Trading in India - Green Signal or Red Signal
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