THE USE OF THE EDUCATIONAL VOUCHER PROGRAM IN BRAZIL: A SOCIO-ECONOMIC STUDY OF AN ALTERNATIVE EDUCATIONAL FUNDING SYSTEM IN BRAZIL a thesis presented to the faculty of the Center of International Studies of Ohio University in partial fulfillment of requirements for the degree Master of Arts Thiérs Hofman do Bom Conselho June 2005 This thesis entitled THE USE OF THE EDUCATIONAL VOUCHER PROGRAM IN BRAZIL: A SOCIO-ECONOMIC STUDY OF AN ALTERNATIVE EDUCATIONAL FUNDING SYSTEM IN BRAZIL BY THIÉRS HOFMAN DO BOM CONSELHO has been approved for the Department of Latin America Studies and the Center for International Studies by Ariaster Chimeli Professor of Economics Josep Rota Director, Center for International Studies Abstract BOM CONSELHO, THIÉRS H. M.A. June 2005. Center for International Studies. The Use of the Educational Voucher Program in Brazil: A Socio-Economic Study of an Alternative Educational Funding System in Brazil (113 pp.) Director of Thesis: Ariaster Chimeli This study analyzes the potential probability of an implementation of a voucher program in Brazil and its states. By comparing 31 experiences of educational voucher system around the world, a success/failure index was created to estimate the variables which are determinants for the success or failure of those existing voucher programs. The central question asked is whether an educational voucher system is likely to be successful in improving Brazilian education. The research hypothesis is that Brazil fulfills the conditions for a successful voucher system. Probit regression analysis was used to estimate a regression model. Using the estimated model and the corresponding socioeconomic variable for Brazil, the present study estimates the probability of success of a voucher system in the country and its states. The results indicate that Brazil seems to fulfill the requirements for the successful implementation of a voucher program. Approved: Ariaster Chimeli Professor of Economics Table of Contents 4 List of Tables ...................................................................................................................... 6 List of Figures ..................................................................................................................... 7 Introduction......................................................................................................................... 8 1. Educational Voucher Programs and their effects on Education ............................... 11 1.1 Public Education............................................................................................... 11 1.2 Educational Vo uchers ....................................................................................... 12 1.3 Voucher Objectives and Principles................................................................... 14 1.4 Kinds of voucher ............................................................................................... 15 1.5 The Effects of Vouchers ................................................................................... 16 1.6 Supporters of Voucher System ......................................................................... 18 1.7 Arguments against Vouchers ............................................................................ 19 1.8 Designing vouchers........................................................................................... 21 1.9 Financing, Regulating and Implementing vouchers ......................................... 22 2. Evaluating experience around the world ................................................................... 25 2.1 Experiences from Developed Countries ........................................................... 28 2.1.1 Milwaukee, Wisconsin, United States ....................................................... 28 2.1.2 Cleveland, Ohio, United States................................................................. 30 2.1.3 New York City, New York, United States.................................................. 31 2.1.4 Sweden ...................................................................................................... 33 2.1.5 Canada...................................................................................................... 34 2.1.6 United Kingdom........................................................................................ 36 2.1.7 Netherlands ............................................................................................... 36 2.2 Experiences from Developing Countries .......................................................... 37 3. 2.2.1 Chile .......................................................................................................... 37 2.2.2 Colombia................................................................................................... 39 2.2.3 Bangladesh................................................................................................ 40 Institutional and Educational Environment in Brazil................................................ 42 3.1 Historical Background ...................................................................................... 43 3.2 Organization and Hierarchy.............................................................................. 45 3.3 The Context of Brazilian Educational System.................................................. 47 3.4 Educational Funding and Finance Assistance Programs .................................. 51 3.5 Quality versus quantity ..................................................................................... 54 3.6 Evaluations for the Educational system............................................................ 56 4. Educational Voucher in Brazil .................................................................................. 58 4.1 4.2 4.3 4.4 Research Question and Scope ........................................................................... 58 Data ................................................................................................................... 59 Method .............................................................................................................. 65 Estimation ......................................................................................................... 67 5 4.5 Results and Implications ................................................................................... 71 4.6 Educational vouchers in Brazil ......................................................................... 74 4.7 Assumptions and Limitations ........................................................................... 78 Conclusion ........................................................................................................................ 80 References ......................................................................................................................... 83 Appendix........................................................................................................................... 95 Appendix A................................................................................................................... 96 Appendix B................................................................................................................... 98 Appendix C ................................................................................................................... 99 Appendix D................................................................................................................. 109 Appendix E ................................................................................................................. 112 6 List of Tables Table 1: Vouchers and Voucher- like Programs in European and OECD Countries ........ 26 Table 2: Vouchers and Voucher- like Programs in Deve loping Countries ....................... 27 Table 3: Brazilian Educational System............................................................................. 46 Table 4: Success/Failure index for voucher programs around the world (Failure=0 and Success=1) ................................................................................................................ 63 Table 5: Output Results from Probit regression ............................................................... 70 Table 6: Marginal effects of each explanatory variable.................................................... 71 Table 7: Probability of success of voucher programs by state.......................................... 76 7 List of Figures Figure 1: Probability of Success of Voucher Programs by Brazilian States..................... 78 8 Introduction In this thesis, I study whether an educational voucher system is likely to be successful in improving Brazilian education. The present study aims primarily at investigating the determinants of success and failure of educational voucher programs. In order to answer my central question, this thesis attempts to develop a benchmark model for success or failure of voucher programs, us ing information from 31 educational voucher experiences around the world. Alternatives for education are a very interesting subject to discuss. Education has been acknowledged as a fundamental success factor for individuals as well as for entire nations. Education has played an important role in most countries around the current globalized world. It is also well known that investment in human capital pays considerable returns even in the short term (Becker, 1993). The demand for education has increased sharply for nations and individuals. The interest in education has also attracted the attention of governments and societies. Governments have been the main responsible for deliveries education to the population. Since governments have often not been able to fully provide and manage the educational system to attend society’s demand, discussions about alternatives to finance education have gained much importance around the world. Furthermore, for most countries, education has been mainly managed and financed by the public sector. As educational public institutions have a large share of the educational market, government actions toward education have a significant impact in society. Therefore, national educational reforms have been implemented in several countrie s in order to address society’s needs. A recent alternative method to manage and finance education has spurred substantial debate around the world: the educational 9 voucher. Education in Brazil relies on a centralized and highly complex system of educationa l institutions. Brazil is an economically emergent country, and because of its continental dimensions, the problem of providing quality education for the entire population has concerned politicians and society. In addition, the country is known by its significant large income distribution disparities. Thus, in order to have a more egalitarian society, Brazil has tried several programs to improve its educational system. As the problem seems to persist, alternative proposals for public education have again been debated in the country. In this debate, vouchers have gained ground among Brazilian politicians, academics and the population as well (Barros et al., 2000; Zinder, 1998). To define an ideal educational program, policymakers must address both financial and quality aspects correctly and carefully. As Brazilian education faces difficulties in both financing and providing quality education, voucher has been considered among politicians and academics as a possible alternative. Educational reforms through vouchers need to consider and adapt to each country’s characteristics (e.g.: culture, legislation, economy, etc). The design of a model for a voucher system must take all these different factors into consideration. Therefore, the development of a universal model is perhaps highly improbable and undesirable. On one hand, vouchers are said to efficiently allocate public resources for education. Vouchers increase market competition for educational institutions, which may improve the quality of the services provided for the population. On the other hand, equivocated implementation of educational reforms might reinforce segregation. In order to investigate the potential of educational vouches to be successful in 10 Brazil, the present study intends to draw a ‘big picture’ of how successfully vouchers have been implemented around the world. By analyzing a recent literature, I aim at understanding the determinants for success and failure of 31 voucher programs implemented around the world. The present study estimates a probit model to measure the probability of successful implementation of vouchers. Based on this model, I assess the probability of success of a voucher program in Brazil, as well in each of its states. This thesis is divided into four mains sections. In Chapter 1, I review the complexity of the issues involving educational vouchers by explaining their history, their characteristics and their implications to education. This section aims at discussing the main reasons why vouchers have been a hotly debatable subject around the world. In Chapter 2, I assess the educational voucher experiences around the world by discussing some important cases of educational vouchers implemented in recent years in developed and developing countries. In Chapter 3, the Brazilian institutional and educational systems are presented. This chapter provides a historical background of the educational system in Brazil, and discusses its main characteristics and current problems. In Chapter 4, the model, and the analysis of the data and the results are shown in the light of my research question. This section presents my findings and interprets them in light of the literature. Finally, the last chapter is the conclusion, where I discuss the results and problems encountered, and indicate how this work may contribute to policymaking to the extent that future implementation of a voucher system in Brazil might be considered. 11 1. 1.1 Educational Voucher Programs and their effects on Education Public Education Public education is one of the main government responsibilities in most of the countries around the world. Like free public health care and habitation, public education with quality is a common good that nations want to provide for their population. For centuries, governments have tried several ways to finance education for the population, and several alternatives to do so have emerged. However, financing common public goods has proved to be complex for it is difficult to find a consensus point among social, economic and political interests. Conflicts of interests in addition to the increase of population number and income inequalities permeate the problem of financing education (Gradstein, 2003). Governments have provided public education by allocating tax revenues paid by the population to the educational system. Gauri and Vawda (2003) argue that public education is usually centralized, has a national curriculum, and the government finances the system paying costs of operation, maintenance, and capital structure. This formula has proved not to be efficient, leading some citizens to find alternative ways to finance a better education for their children. Since taxpayers have become more conscientious about their rights along the years, the population has claimed their rights, pressuring representatives and legislators to find a solution and provide free education with quality. In some countries, public education is still not available for the entire population. For these countries, the problem of education is lager and aggravates along the years 12 (Gradstein, 2003). In this thesis I will investigate a relatively unexplored and often controversial means of financing education, namely the educational voucher system. I will investigate the determinants of success of the voucher system using experiences around the world and explore its potential in Brazil. However, before doing so, it is instructive to describe this system in more details. 1.2 Educational Vouchers In general terms, vouchers for education can be any kind of governmental subsidy given to students, who in turn, will be able to choose their school in accordance to their preferences (Friedman, 1962). The term “voucher” originated from real physical vouchers given directly to families, which could be used to pay for food, education or health services. The term “educational voucher” was associated with the use of physical coupons given to parents to fully or partially compensate them for the cost of their children’s education at public or private schools (King et al, 1997). Governments regulate, manage and distribute vouchers for the population through educational voucher programs. In fact, most voucher programs do not use physical coupons. Nevertheless, the idea of portability and freedom of choice gave this name for programs with a similar concept. Consequently, some voucher programs are usually categorized as a kind of portable scholarship. Vouchers represent a direct transference from public funds to educate a child. 13 Each country has adopted techniques which best fit its cultural, social, economic and political structure. For that reason, modern vouchers use different ways to transfer funds to parents. In reference to different authors (Patrinos, 2001; West, 1997; Weidrich, 2003; and King et al, 1997), this funding system can be classified in different categories such as voucher, quasi- voucher or subsidy programs. The fine line of distinction of each category depends on the definition for voucher program used by the author. Thus, educational vouchers could be broadly defined as direct transference of educational funds to the parents of the child being educated as opposed to public schools (Weidrich, 2003). According to King et al (1997), the main purpose of educational vouchers is to increase parents’ freedom to choose the school they prefer for their children, where the government transfers its autonomy to parents and students by allowing them to choose among schools. Most educational voucher programs are government subsidies designed to provide education for low- income students. The use of taxpayer money to finance education in private institutions is highly controversial and creates hot socio-economic and political debates. There are several kinds of voucher programs, and consequently many ways to use public money for financing public education. Many scholars qualify the existing programs in different categories according to their own features and specifications. Even though the idea emerged in the 1960s, the educational voucher programs are relative new, and most of them started in the 1990s. For that reason, considerable research and academic work on the subject is still in progress and with inconclusive information, leaving space for questions and debates about the advantages and disadvantages of voucher schemes. There is also no specific formula or design for a voucher program 14 because each country has adapted the initial voucher idea of Friedman (1962) to their reality, structure and culture of that population. 1.3 Voucher Objectives and Principles Despite of the number of different voucher schemes around the world, the main goal of all voucher systems is to provide an efficient, high quality and competitive system of education with a higher level of freedom of choice. According to King et al (1997) and West (1997), voucher programs are designed to provide parental choice, reinforcing the parental authority over their children’s education. Based on the idea that public schools are monopolies, voucher programs instigate and stimulate competition among educational institutions, pressuring public schools to compete with each other, and also with private schools. The pressure of market competition challenges schools to increase quality, to reduce costs, and to produce innovation in teaching and management. Moreover, human beings usually aspire for shaping their own fate. They want to have opportunities to achieve personal objectives of which education is one of them. Thus, voucher schemes may help promote equality of opportunity, providing the marginalized population access to better schools. 1.4 Kinds of voucher 15 Vouchers are flexible instruments and can assume different forms adapting to each country, state or city. As specified by Milton & Rose D. Friedman Foundation (2005), vouchers can be divided into groups in accordance to the way that funds are dealt with. Most common kinds of vouchers are universal, targeted, tax-funded, and independent schools. Universal vouchers allow parents to directly use the educational fund per student provided by the government in schools of their choice. All students receive an amount corresponding to their age group and the cost of education. Parents may choose any educational institution including public, private, independent or religious. In this modality, government assumes the responsibility of financing education rather tha n operating schools. Targeted vouchers are widely used around the world. They have the same characteristics of universal vouchers but targeted vouchers are applicable only to a minority group or a small part of the population. Targeted vouchers have been created to correct inequalities of the educational system or other disparities found in that particular country, state, or city. The government transfers funds to minority groups such as lowincome families, allowing them to have access to the same education of privileged groups. Tax- funded schemes are used when the government subsidizes education by repaying parents through income tax, deduction or credit. Parents are allowed to claim a deduction, credit or refund for educational expenses including those with tuition, books, supplies and transportation. These schemes allow claiming for a full or partial refund 16 for approved expenses. Independent and charter schools represent another type of voucher program. These schools receive a certain amount of money from the government according to the number of students enrolled. “Failing school” programs allow parents to use vouchers transferring their children to better schools when public schools are identified as failing schools. Finally, there are also privately funded vouchers, which are common (for example, the Florida’s McKay voucher program). 1.5 The Effects of Vouchers According to Guari and Vawda (2003), public educational systems are structured to be centralized under the education ministry department, which formulates and regulates a standardized national curriculum. Such systems pay high costs for constructing, maintaining and operating public schools, as well managing teachers and other staff. The government has to evaluate the performance of those schools and students. It has to control the attendance of the students and participation of the parents and family into the learning process. In general, public education represents a monopoly and is plagued with several inefficiencies. Oftentimes, public schools have problems with teachers and staff without motivation to improve, administrators not interacting with students’ families, excessive costs and parents not participating in their children’s education. One idea behind the introduction of voucher programs is the simple fact that 17 public schools enjoy a monopoly status in terms of enrollments in the educational sector. In reference to Becker (1993) and some microeconomic principles, monopolies institutions are not efficient because they do not allocate resources so as to minimize social costs and do not provide high quality services. Voucher programs allow students to choose their educational services, thus introducing competition into the educational market. Consequently, the family’s choice of schools is expected to lead to improved quality in both public and private schools. Furthermore, with the voucher program, parents have the opportunity to choose the kind of education provided for their children. The discussion about vouchers involves the management of public money coming from income taxes and allocated to education. Parents receive one voucher with a specific amount and give this voucher directly to the school they choose to enroll their children. This school will receive the money from the government through this voucher. The proper management and disbursement of this fund gives the incentives for schools in both sectors to invest in quality education in order to compete for more students and more vouchers. Levin (2000) argues that the advent of educational vouchers has generated considerable controversy. Advocates argue that citizens need the right of choice. This right can be given by educational vouchers, which would stimulate the educational market to compete, and consequently, improve school’s efficiency in spending public money. Detractors claim that educational vouchers would be primarily used to generate business profits for private institutions. Since the government has the obligation to fund public schools, government expenditures on education would also increase because of 18 an extra cost to maintain the voucher for private institutions would result. This additional cost represents a reduction of the amount that could be used to provide better public educational services, increasing the inequities of educational outcomes. 1.6 Supporters of Voucher System Friedman (1962) presented the idea that vouchers would bring efficiency to the educational market because voucher programs would create competition among schools. Educational voucher programs are one of the most controversial school-choice alternatives. However, public support has increased along the years. Parental choice is a strong argument toward this alternative, especially when vouchers allow their children to enroll into private or religious schools. Supporters of voucher systems argue that voucher programs will allow poor families to have access to better education. Such right of choice is enjoyed only for families with higher income levels. Voucher programs allow poor families to send their children to better schools escaping from low-quality schools. Advocates claim that an increase in competition caused by voucher schools would lead public institutions to improve their quality of education or they would leave the education market when they fail to do so. Other believers in voucher plans argue that private school are more efficient, and aggregate other values not found in public institutions, such as family or religious orientation. As a consequence, they claim that private institutions would teach appropriate values and improve academic achievement. Advocates claim that vouchers can contribute to personal development. 19 According to West (1997), this principle is based on the conviction of people aspiring to control their own destiny. The possib ility of choice stimulates their interest, participation, motivation and commitment. The right of choice challenges the schools pressuring them to innovate, reduce costs, increase quality of education and improve the dynamics of professional innovation. They believe that public and private schools have the same potential to grow with the introduction of vouchers. Moreover, advocates also highlight the potential to equalize opportunities, which are very restricted for the poor population in developing countries. Equality in opportunities is a logical consequence of all other arguments presented before. Usually, supporters are referring to opportunities in accessing private education. They assert poor students in private schools tend to achieve better results and demonstrate more motivation in learning. 1.7 Arguments against Vouchers One of the arguments against vouchers is the assumption that money drained from public schools increases the inequalities between public and private. As a consequence, higher cost students, such as those who are less able, disruptive or with mental or physical disabilities will be relegated to public schools, which in turn, will have fewer resources to deal with such students. They argue that voucher programs will be selective in favor of most highly motivated students, and will avoid high cost students. Other critics claim that vouchers violate church-state separation. However, some of the biggest concerns are the capacity of private institutions, their selective admission policies and 20 government influence in institution’s issues. According to Barros et al. (2000), vouchers can eliminate the autonomy of the government. They also eliminate the government’s responsibility in redistributing public goods, and create a more complex system with multiple people in the process of decision. The parental choice will increase the rivalry between public and private sector. Some suspect that parental choice is not a rational process and usually is made based on emotions. For that reason, parental choice could be inefficient, allocating resources to schools with dubious quality. Asymmetric information about school services may also cause distortions in the choice process. Other assumption is the flexibility of time and financial resources of parents to take their children to schools at distant places. Most poor families do not have available time and money to take them to school or to distant neighborhoods. Thus, they tend to choose schools near their houses, even though these schools are inefficient and provide bad quality education. A related argument by opponents of vouchers is that a free market would lead to discrimination on grounds of race or disability. West (1997) argues that voucher programs would lead to racial or social segregation because of the selective entering exams of private schools. Such exams will select only the good students, and will exclude high cost students, or those with real problems of learning. 1.8 Designing vouchers 21 Policymakers should design and evaluate voucher programs taking into consideration aspects such as equity, productive efficiency, social cohesion and freedom to choose. Government and society should also be able to finance, regulate and support voucher programs (Belfield & Levin, 2002). Policy issues around educational voucher plans are complex and should reflect the balance of all those criteria, especially when they are intended to be implemented in developing countries where economic resources are not abundant. According to Belfield and Levin (2002), policymakers must design voucher programs aiming to achieve maximum efficiency in the educational system in order to improve student academic results. An educational system is efficient when the government can provide education with the best quality possible given the available resources. This assumption implies increasing educational productivity through market competition among schools created by the use of vouchers. As public common goods, educational systems must be an egalitarian and uniform system (Gradstein, 2003). However, it is not the reality faced among public schools around the world. Voucher opponents claim that such a program will reinforce inequalities and segregation because most private schools are selective in terms of new students’ admission. Voucher proponents suggest that voucher flexibility should help families to transfer their child from bad or failing schools to better institutions with qualified education. The ability to choose will help more students to access some opportunities and resources available for only part of the society. Voucher design and policy must be careful creating an instrument to bring equitable education instead of 22 increasing inequalities in society (Belfield and Levin 2002). Das (2004) reinforce the necessity of achieving an egalitarian system to lead education to a better level by efficiently allocating available resources. Equity on education should be a democratic process incorporating social, economic and political participation of society. Voucher policies must be democratic where every student has the right to have access to the same education, without discriminatory regulations or limited alternatives. Social unity and public support is an important factor to increase success of any educational reform. One of the main issues surrounding voucher policies is the degree of freedom created by this instrument. Voucher proponents emphasize the freedom of choice as the main idea of vouchers, and educational choice will bring equilibrium to an unbalanced and inequitable educational system introducing competition among schools. Another argument is that vouchers allow parents to choose education according to their values, culture, race or ideology. Furthermore, Guari and Vawda (2003) alert policymakers about the implementation of other important issues about vouchers, such as student performance evaluation, regulation a curriculum, establishment of a financial strategy, and management and control of the system. 1.9 Financing, Regulating and Implementing vouchers Belfield and Levin (2002) list several questions that policymakers should ask before creating voucher programs. Policymakers should weigh each criterion above according to the real purpose of such educational reform and the characteristics, 23 structure and culture of the country, region, state or city. As to the financing of vouchers, policymakers must determine the correct amount of money which can maximize the results of the program. The amount should be in accordance with the desired objective. The financial support provided to families should ensure enough money to address equity and to stimulate schools and families participation. Also, the value of the voucher should not be excessive because it would be costly to administer, monitor and evaluate. Increase in costs wo uld not be efficient. Vouchers could finance tuition partly or fully, with standard values per student or special amount according to child necessities such as disabilities. Governments should also decide whether it will allow schools to charge parents additional fees for special services. Successful voucher programs should be well regulated. Regulation must address financing in detail, specifying the main issues such as the value of voucher, who is eligible to receive it, admission rules, and participating schools. Policymakers must also regulate the basis of a common or flexible curriculum, selective or lottery admission procedures, and the rights of families, students and schools. Regulation must define the administrative processes, as well as performance evaluations of students and schools. To complete regulation, government should ensure the existence of support services in order to promote effective of voucher programs. Services of transportation, administration, evaluation and inspection of schools are very important to create conditions for fair market competition. According to Belfield and Levin (2002), the design of a program is a crucial factor of success, but does not guarantee continued success. After implementation of the program, control and evaluation must be done. However, voucher schemes must be evaluated not only by student performance, but also by the public support, the degree of freedom, the social integration and the egalitarian opportunities provided during the use of the program. 24 25 2. Evaluating experience around the world In this chapter, I summarize several experiences with voucher programs around the world in order to gain knowledge about the implementation and operation of these programs. Most of these experiences started to be impleme nted in the 1990s. My research focuses on voucher programs for primary and secondary education. I collected data for 31 different experiences around the world. In this chapter I describe some of the most remarkable experiences in some detail to give to the reader the opportunity to understand how voucher programs have been used in different situations 1 . According to Patrinos (2000), an increased demand for alternatives in funding of educational systems (e.g.: demand for private schools) has indicated that market for education is not considerable large relative to what is socially desirable especially because of education regulations and national policies. In fact, Sheehan (1974) observed that most countries have the government as the main provider of education funds, leaving a small portion of the market to private institutions, churches, NGOs, and even parents. Such market for education is easy to be identified in developing countries, where the government cannot supply education for all, and private institutions step in to fill the demand gap. A market for education also exists in developed countries, where the population demands more sophisticated services such as quality of the institution (Sheehan, 1974). Demand for education is also pushed by both global businesses and modern markets, which require increasingly more qualified employees. Therefore, the private 1 Appendix C contains a summary about what explains success or failure in each of the 31 cases of voucher programs investigated in this thesis. sector has become an important player in the education market, especially in 26 developing countries. As stated by UNESCO (2002), the relationship between the educational level of the labor force and national economic growth is very significant in developing countries. Investment in human capital could represent a return of more than a half point percent increase in the annual GDP 2 growth rates of those countries. Impressive results can be achieved by investment in education as the 1980 Chilean experience shows. Table 1: Vouchers and Voucher-like Programs in European and OECD Countries Country Australia Belgium Mechanism Assistance to private schools Students choose among public schools and "free" schools (Catholic) Canada Capitation grants and assistance to private schools Czech Republic Assistance to private schools England Assistance to private schools France Private schools (Catholic) receive subsidies from government Holland National, universal voucher Hungary Parental financing to their choice of public and private schools Japan Assistance to private schools Netherlands Capitation grants New Zealand Higher unit level of funding for poorer students Poland Assistance to private schools Scotland Students choose among public schools Spain Pre-school voucher experiment Sweden Capitation grants, school choice in some municipalities United States Voucher experiments: public, private, charter schools Source: PATRINOS (2000) Patrinos (2000) states that several countries have used demand-side financing mechanisms to minimize the potential for thin market for education, or markets that are 2 Gross Domestic Product too small relative to what is socially desirable. According to him, the use of these 27 mechanisms in the education sector is common in developed and developing countries. The voucher system is one of these mechanisms, which has an important characteristic for efficiency in a competitive market: the ability of the consumer to choose. In reference to Table 1 and 2, the list of countries using voucher or voucher- like programs shows us that such demand-side financing mechanism has been used in different ways in several countries including members of the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) as well as some developing countries. Table 2: Vouchers and Voucher-like Programs in Developing Countries Country Bangladesh Belize Chad Chile Mechanism Stipends for girls, public or private schools Government partnerships with churches Community financing Voucher system for poor students, capitation for grants for all students China Matching- grant schemes, and target bursary for poor and minority children, free textbooks. Colombia Targeted bursary, voucher system Côte d’Ivorie Government sponsorship of students at private institutions El Salvador School choice for the poor Guatemala Targeted stipends for girls in thirteen communities Ghana Matching- grant schemes India Matching- grant schemes and numerous incentives Lesotho Government partnership with churches Mexico Targeted bursary for poor and indigenous populations Mozambique Scholarship for rural girls Senegal Scholarship for students to attend private and public schools in Dakar Source: PATRINOS (2000) 2.1 Experiences from Developed Countries 28 Experiences with the voucher system in developed countries are not rare. Several experiences have been made in a small scale by governments or by private parties. Since information about some voucher programs is scarce, I have selected some experiences from developed countries using vouchers according to their degree of importance and with relevant impacts on the country, region, state or municipality. These programs are described below: 2.1.1 Milwaukee, Wisconsin, United States Considered as one of the most important experiences involving a voucher system, the Milwaukee Parental Choice Program (MPCP) is an example of successful voucher implementation in the United States often found in the literature. According to Rouse (1998), the voucher scheme implemented in Milwaukee in 1990 was one of the first publicly funded programs. The Milwaukee Parental Choice Program is a targeted voucher system focused on low- income families. The Wiscons in Department of Public Instruction (2005) reports that the Milwaukee Parental Choice Program began its operation providing vouchers to a limited number of low- income families with 300 children using vouchers worth $2,446 per year each at six private non-sectarian schools. In the 2003-2004 academic year, the voucher amount increased to $5,882 supporting 12,950 low- income families paying for tuition in participating schools. The low- income families aided by voucher are randomly selected. Families with vouchers can use them in any school regardless whether the chosen 29 school has a religious orientation. According to Rouse (1998), and Greene, Peterson and Du (1999), the academic results achieved by students using the Milwaukee voucher program are significantly better than those for students attending public schools. In contrast, Witte (1999) highlights that the Milwaukee Choice Program score test has not shown neither an improvement nor a setback, but the freedom of choice can present better results in inner cities or poor communities. When academic achievement in reading and math tests is measured, voucher users have presented statistically superior results, supporting voucher proponents such as Friedman (1962) and West (1997), who claim that market competition in education could increase the quality of the educational system. As to the cost per pupil, Greene et al. (1999) claim that the difference between cost per pupil in public schools and cost per pupil for students using a voucher has declined since the beginning of the program. However, the cost per pupil of the Milwaukee Choice Program is still lower than the cost of students attending public institutions, even including costs of transportation. This contradicts the argument by voucher opponents, who claim that vouchers would increase the costs of public education. In fact, according to the Wisconsin Department of Public Instruction (2005), the advent of the voucher has reduced public expenditures along the years. Even though voucher opponents claimed in 1997 the unconstitutionality of these programs for violating the First Amendment's separation of church and state, Witte (1999) points out that surveys have shown that besides academic performance, students acquired more discipline and moral values when they chose their schools. He also found high parental involvement in their children’s education process and high parental 30 satisfaction with the institution chosen. On the other hand, he found out that there is high dissatisfaction among parents of children in Wisconsin public schools. Finally, Witte (1999) and West (1997) analyze the overall Milwaukee experience as successful because it was able to contest the main concerns about implementation of a voucher program. Their findings show that vouchers were used by poor families, contradicting the concern that vouchers would not be provided for poor families. Other concerns have been the increase of social segregation and selective admission. According to their studies, voucher users have diversified the predominance of white students in some schools and students facing academic difficulties were aided by the opportunity of attending private institutions with better quality of education. 2.1.2 Cleveland, Ohio, United States The Cleveland Scholarship and Tutoring Program (CSTP) began in 1996 and is a targeted voucher program provided to low-income families. The recipient families are selected through a lottery selection process giving priority to poor families and supporting their freedom to choose where to enroll their children at private schools. The amount provided by the voucher corresponds to 90 percent of student tuition up to a maximum of $2,250 per year. According to Greene, Howell and Peterson (1998), student achievement has improved for those using voucher programs. Like in the Milwaukee experience, the poor student participating in the Cleveland voucher program tends to take advantage of the better conditions offered by the schools that they choose. The Cleveland voucher 31 program registered high levels of parent al satisfaction with respect to the program, safety, discipline and moral values of private schools. For Metcalf (1999), the level of satisfaction for a student using the Cleveland voucher program is greater than that for students in public schools. Furthermore, Weidrich (2003), and Greene, Howell and Peterson (1998) observe that the Cleveland program faced strong opposition to its operation since the beginning, especially from the American Federation of Teachers. The Cleveland voucher program was considered by the Ohio Supreme Court as unconstitutional because of the violation of the First Amendment's separation of church and state. Later the program was reauthorized legally to provide educational assistance through vouchers. These events, according to Witte (1999), weakened the initial parental support and caused some confusion among the population. Finally, on June 27, 2002, the U.S. Supreme Court ruled that the voucher program in Cleveland is constitutional and does not infringe the separation of church and state. 2.1.3 New York City, New York, United States The School Choice Scholarship Foundation (SCSF) in New York City entered in operation in 1997 providing 1,300 scholarships to low- income families who came from New York City public schools. The dollar amount given by the voucher was worth up to $1,400 annually covering tuition expenses at private educational institutions. This voucher program has also been targeted and its selection criteria has been based on a lottery and once selected, the voucher recipients could use it up to three years choosing 32 any kind of private school including those with a religious orientation. Peterson and Howell (2003) present the New York experience with a voucher program as an interesting case, where the poor African American students have achieved higher academic results as they have used the voucher more than other minorities under the same process. According to them, score tests of other minorities, such as Latinos, showed no statistically significant improvement when they were using the voucher and attending private schools. Peterson, Myers and Howell (1998) affirm that the overall New York voucher program performance registered academic improvement for student participants in both math and reading tests. Another important outcome from their studies was the high level of satisfaction of students and their families with the academic program, location, safety, religious traditions, parental support, discipline, staff, sports and content provided by the schools they had chosen. Furthermore, Daniel P. Mayer et al (2002) and Mathematica Policy Research, Inc. (MPR, 2004) found that the New York voucher program is a unique experience because of the racial and ethnical variety as well the size of the school system, the largest in the United States. The high level of parental satisfaction using the vouchers contrasting to the high level dissatisfaction for those using public system is strong evidence that this program had a positive impact even though such an impact was more relevant for African American students. 33 2.1.4 Sweden According to Patrinos (2001), the Swedish educational system was predominantly centralized in the 1980s, offering public schools for more than 99 percent of the students. The private sector was inexpressive, but the population was not satisfied with the educational services provided by the state. Such dissatisfaction pressured the government to implement a series of educational reforms in the 1990s allowing more parental influence over funding and management decisio ns. The educational reform allowed public funds to follow students to the schools they chose through the Swedish voucher, which pays 90% of the public cost per student. The Swedish system is one of the few experiences on education that really uses physical vouchers. The main example in Sweden is the Nacka municipality voucher system. Weidrich (2003) points out that the Swedish voucher system has helped to decentralize the highly centralized educational system, regulating independent schools which give freedom for citizens to choose the education of their children. The first independent schools started their operations providing free schooling to low-income families and now they have accepted other students. Although free choice is given to all Swedish children at compulsory education, only a percentage of the population exercises that freedom. According to West (1997), the use of the voucher has increased sharply in the country. Moreover, evaluations about the success of the program are confirmed by high parental satisfaction and better student performance on standardized tests compared to parental satisfaction and academic performance of those students in public schools. Patrinos (2001) evaluated the Swedish 34 voucher program and concluded that vouchers improved the freedom of school choice and the efficiency of allocation of the available resources. He also found that the introduction of competition for available resources improved the quality of the public educational system, as well as the participation of parents on the education of their children. 2.1.5 Canada The Canadian experience has showed important progress towards educational freedom of choice including religious oriented schools. This voucher system is based on independent schools, for which the government provides enough funds according to enrollment, on other alternative systems for education provided by charter schools, and on direct provision by parents through home schooling. Since the Canadian educational system is extended to the entire population and there are no specific studies about academic achievement under the voucher program, I measure success of each program in a given province by comparing its performance to those of other provinces in the country. Robson and Hepburn (2002),and Hepburn and Belle (2003) claim that Alberta, British Columbia and Quebec have been successful in using educational vouchers with respect to educational freedom and academic improvement. The province of Alberta is the most successful example of a voucher system in the country. The level of educational freedom3 in Alberta measured in 2002 was 64%. This experience produces better student 3 The Canadian Education Freedom index measures the freedom that parents in different provinces have to educate their children using home, independent or charter schools (Hepburn and Belle, 2003 p. 3) performance in Canada, with more than 60% of student tuition costs financed by the 35 state. According to Hepburn and Belle (2003), British Columbia ranks second in the education freedom index, with 46% of freedom for school choice. The results achieved in this province have demonstrated that educational freedom and the educational voucher impacted positively on student performance compared to Canadian and OECD standards. Following the same pattern, the province of Quebec has produced similar levels of educational freedom to those of the province of British Columbia: 42%. Student performance improved dramatically in this French-speaking province, surpassing Canadian and OECD standards. In the last few years, the increasing enrollment in schools using the voucher system is also considered an important indicator of success the program. Hepburn and Belle (2003) expected that the province of Manitoba would achieve results similar to those of Alberta, British Columbia, and Quebec because they had similar levels of freedom on education. However, the impact of the voucher system in Manitoba was not as remarkable as the impact in the comparable provinces. Nevertheless, it is still a reasonable system, providing the entire population with higher quality education than many countries in the world. According to Robson and Hepburn’s (2002) and Hepburn and Belle’s (2003) findings, the province of Saskatchewan was not as successful as the other provinces in the implementation of the voucher program. This was so because they did not provide as much educational freedom for parents as the other provinces. As a consequence, the Saskatchewan students’ performance was below the Canadian average and OECD 36 standards. 2.1.6 United Kingdom The United Kingdom has provided vouchers to poor student, through subsidize enrollment in independent schools since 1981. This voucher program has increased the number of students supported by those selective vouchers since the beginning of the program. Nevertheless, the number of students in the program still represents a small percentage of the student population (7%). According to West (1997) and Weidrich (2003) the United Kingdom vo ucher program differs from other selective vouchers such as the Milwaukee program, because the selection is based on the student potential for high academic achievement. This program can also be extended to higher education. The new voucher system incorporated with the “learning agreements” between college and students allows government funding to follow the student to college. 2.1.7 Netherlands According to the recent literature (Patrinos (2001); Weidrich, 2003), the Netherlands has a complete free choice educational system, and it is a reference school choice system. Although students attending public or private schools have had a similar academic performance, the level of parental satisfaction is higher among those who 37 used the voucher to finance private education. According to Patrinos (2001) and Weidrich (2003), the Dutch educational system has a long time tradition of decentralization and demand driven management: administration and governance of approximately 70% of the schools in this country are run by private school boards. Parental intervention has pressured schools to improve their services, especially because the government equally funds private and public schools and allows parents to choose their children’s schools. 2.2 Experiences from Developing Countries Some authors suggest (Patrinos, 2001; Belfield & Levin, 2002) that, developed countries have struggled to implement voucher systems because the quality differences among private and public schools are not extremely high. Most of the discussion ove r vouchers in developed countries is about choice and the autonomy of the state on educational issues, and their educational systems are characterized by significant differences between private and public institutions with respect to their quality, especia lly where wealth unequally distributed (Belfield & Levin, 2002). 2.2.1 Chile The Chilean voucher system is one of the most successful voucher systems in the developing world, and it is the only one providing universal vouchers. The universal voucher system first introduced in the 1980s helped to equalize the huge differences 38 between public and private schools in the country. The Chilean educational system is highly democratic and has produced similar results in student academic performance in both private and public schools. Schools registered to receive vouchers are called subsidized private schools, and voucher systems pay these schools according to the number of enrollments. Patrinos (2001), Weidrich (2003), and West (1997) report that since the beginning of the Chilean voucher program in 1980, the demand for this service has increased and in 2002 the number of enrollments in subsidized private schools represented more than 40% of all Chilean students. Since 1988, national standard tests, called Sistema de Medición de la Calidad de la Educacion (SIMCE), are taken to evaluate the quality of these subsidized schools. Mizala and Romaguera (2000), Quiroz and Chumacero (1997), and Aedo and Sapelli (2001) found out that the results from subsidized private schools are higher but not significantly enough to endorse a clear advantage of one over the other. However, their studies have found that the cost effectiveness of subsidized private schools is higher than public schools. Moreover, Weidrich (2003) argues that municipal public schools are less efficient than subsidized- private schools because the latter have more flexibility to manage teachers and employees, thus better allocating the available resources and minimizing costs. According to West (1997), Chile faced some setbacks due to an economic recession which pushed down the real value of vouchers. For that reason, government allowed subsidized schools to charge fees for their services, while municipal public 39 schools are still not allowed to charge such fees. 2.2.2 Colombia The Colombian voucher system, Plan de Ampliación de Cobertura de la Educación Secundaria (PACES), is a targeted program for low- income secondary education students. According to King et al. (1997), Colombian vouchers were introduced to increase the transition rate from primary to secondary education. The main problem detected was the shortage of secondary education public schools, and consequently, the difficulty of poor students to have access to this level of education. At the same time, private schools operated with excess capacity in the country. This shortage of vacancies in public secondary schools pressured the government to present an alternative solution for providing education to the population. West (1997) and Weidrich (2003) state that 40% of the secondary schools are privately owned and the Colombian voucher system helped poor families to enroll their children in private schools. According to him, the use of vouchers allowed students to access better education, and simultaneously, the reduction of students in public secondary schools improved the quality of the educational service provided by these institutions. Furthermore, King et al (1997) observed that after five years of implementation, the voucher program was implemented in more than 20 percent of the country’s municipalities, aiding more than 100,000 poor secondary students at over 2,000 private schools. The government has provided vouchers to low- income families selected 40 through a lottery system. Such numbers give this program the status of the largest targeted voucher program for education in the world. According to Calderón (1995), the use of a targeted voucher system in Colombia successfully fulfilled the demand for secondary education with lower costs than those costs incurred into construction of new schools. Besides the cost effectiveness of this program, his studies also show higher academic achievement, lower grade repetition, higher test scores and higher satisfaction among those parents and students using vouchers. 2.2.3 Bangladesh Seeking to address gender disparity in secondary education in Bangladesh, the Female Secondary School Assistance Project (FSSAP) started in 1993 aiming at increasing the number of women with education and capable of fully participate in the economic and social development of the country. This voucher program provides enough resources to cover direct costs of girls’ secondary education. The project also gets involved into school infrastructure by providing conditions for women to teach and offering professional training to girls leaving schools. According to West (1997) and Weidrich (2003), the Bangladesh voucher system is a remarkable effort to reduce differences among male and female schooling, and it is a pioneer program in supporting female secondary education. The voucher project succeeds in its main objective of increasing girls’ enrollment at secondary education. Even though girls' enrollment increased, the failing rate is still high among girls, raising questions of 41 quality of education. The problems of quality of education provided were not addressed in the first phase of the project. The second phase has not been evaluated yet, and it will be completed with a series of four phases. Since education is a long term process, it will take time to eva luate the real impacts of the entire Bangladesh voucher program. 42 3. Institutional and Educational Environment in Brazil Since colonial times, the educational system in Brazil has failed to achieve the basic goal of providing the right of a free education to every citizen, a goal explicitly included in the current Federal Constitution (Brasil, 1988). On December 20, 1996, the Brazilian government passed a new law to regulate the educational system. This law on the Guidelines and Bases for National Education (Lei de Diretrizes e Bases da Educação - LDB) marks an important period to promote better education in the country and reduce social inequalities, trying to make up for the years of education when the education was not a government priority (Souza, 2001). Although LDB has made significant changes in the Brazilian educational system, the government has failed to provide free education with quality. One of the main reasons for this failure is the current legal structure which is still a complex system. The Brazilian educational system is complex for several reasons. First, it is divided into two important sectors: private and public. According to the Brazilian federal constitution (Brasil, 1988), it is the government’s priority to provide high quality educatio n for the entire population. However, the government has not been able to provide such level of quality education for the population through public schools. Thus, private schools came to fulfill this market demand. In general, the private sector has presented better numbers in terms of quality and professional achievements. In contrast to the qualitative aspect where the quality of the private sector has been well known to be better than that of public schools, around seventy percent (70%) of Brazilian students have been attending public institutions (IBGE, 2004). Second, the Federal, State and Municipal governments regulate all educational 43 services provided by both public and private institutions. The quality of these institutions may vary from higher to lower levels depending on the sphere of responsibility. According to Souza (2001), the educational system of Brazil is diversified, decentralized, and predominantly public, with the exception of the higher level. The entire system has approximately 58 million students enrolled in different levels of education, around one third of the entire population of Brazil. These numbers stress the challenge and responsibility of political leaders. Wrong decisions would probably increase the social inequality already exiting in Brazilian society. 3.1 Historical Background Ferreira and Litchfield (2001) observed that from 1981 to 1995, Brazil showed significant political, social and economic improvement. The educational system in Brazil went through serious problems in the early 1980s, and structural reforms have reduced inequalities, economic stagnation, the debt crisis and poverty, especially in the period of 1990 to 1995 (Blom, Holm-Nielsen & Verner, 2001). After the military regime stepped down from the government and the reformulation and promulgation of the new Brazilian federal constitution in October of 1988, as well as popular movements, new national laws, policies and regulations have allowed Brazil to implement considerable structural changes in the country (Lucas & Leher, 2001). In the 1990s, three administrations, elected by popular vote, took over the maximum authority command in the country (Castro & Menezes, 2003). According to Ferreira and Litchfield (2001), Brazil also went through considerable economic changes 44 along with political transformation in the period, reducing levels of inflation, stabilizing the national currency and opening the national economy to international market. These, changes had a direct impact on the educational system. Castro and Menezes (2003) pointed out that the Brazilian educational system went through a series of transformations during the 1990s. During each administration in the last decade, educational policies were carefully restructured in favor of better public education, allowing the country to proceed into qualification and expansion of its educational system. As pointed out by Castro and Menezes (2003), in the early 1990s, the incapability of the government to address the social demand for quality educational services has been diagnosed by the Brazilian population as the failure of educational system. Castro and Menezes (2003) argue that the administration of Fernando Collor (1990-1992) implemented complementary programs to assist students, regionalizing and decentralizing resources and the production of didactic material. Even though Collor’s educational programs had visibility on the media, the effectiveness of these programs did not achieve their proposed objectives (Castro & Menezes, 2003). Furthermore, during the 1992 – 1994 period, Itamar Franco assumed the Brazilian presidency with an urgency to improve the supply of educational services. Castro and Menezes (2003) observed that Franco followed similar actions toward education, focusing on management decentralization of complementary programs but taking regional differences into consideration. Such programs resulted in important improvements on education by allowing more entities to participate in the educational system. The administration of Fernando H. Cardoso (1995-2002) elevated national 45 education to be one of the top fives priority goals of governmental actions (Castro & Menezes, 2003l; Lucas & Leher, 2001; Souza, 2001). In relation to Cardoso’s educational policies, Castro and Menezes (2003) emphasized positive results in improving the process of educational decentralization with respect to financing and execution. 3.2 Organization and Hierarchy The present educational system in Brazil is divided into three spheres of responsibility according to the Federal constitution and LDB: Federal, State, and Municipal (Brasil, 1988; 1996). As presented by Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE, 2004), the Brazilian government is responsible for the coordination of all levels of education and also for the regulation and allocation of funds for a high quality education for the entire population. The educational system in Brazil is divided in two large groups: Basic education and Higher education. As is shown in Table 3, the Brazilian Basic education is comprised of elementary, primary and secondary education. At the federal level, the federal government maintains public universities, and some public secondary technoprofessional schools. The states are in charge of public education at the state level. The states provide basic education and in some states they also provide higher education. The municipal administrators are responsible for guaranteeing public elementary and primary education of the population. Table 3: Brazilian Educational System Brazilian Structure Terminology Grade 46 Legal Responsibility Ensino Elementar Elementary Education K-pre Shared between (Basic Education) school Municipality and State Ensino Fundamental Primary Education 1-8 Shared between (Basic Education) Municipality and State Ensino Médio Secondary Education 9-11 State (Basic Education) Ensino Superior Tertiary Education 12-17 Federal (Higher Education) Source: Brazilian Federal Constitution (Brasil, 1988) and LDB (Brasil, 1996) According to article 212 of the current Federal Constitution (1988), a national educational plan determines the percent amount of municipal, state, and federal budget which will be allocated to education. Thus, the Federal government must spend 18% of the amount collected from federal taxes on education in addition to the amount colleted from complementary programs. Likewise, municipality and state administrators must also apply 25% of their amount collected from municipal and state taxes to education (Brasil, 1988; Castro & Sadeck, 2003). However, each entity is responsible for separate levels of education. The education from kindergarten to 4th grade (10 year-old children) is under municipal and state jurisdiction. The municipalities and states are also responsible for education from 5th grade (11 year-old children) to 8th grade (14 year-old children). The states are also responsible for the entire high school period. Finally, the federal government is in charge of tertiary education. The entity that is responsible for the educational system is the Ministry of Education and Culture (MEC – Ministério da Educação e Cultura) 4 , which delegates 4 MEC is the highest entity in the Brazilian educational system, and all educational institutions must be regulated and supervised by it. (Brasil, 1988) power to states and municipal units and regulates national education. If any state fails to 47 provide public education according to their responsibilities, MEC has to intervene and fill that gap. Likewise, if municipal units fail, the state or federal government may act to remedy the situation. In this situation, secondary education may be provided by all three entities. Such structural aspects create barriers to efficient resource allocation, especially in a country where such resources are limited and not well-distributed. According to IBGE (2004), the current educational system is complex because it includes educational institutions providing the same level of education with different sources of funding. 3.3 The Context of Brazilian Educational System According to Pinto (2002), on December 20, 1996, the Brazilian government under the presidency of former president Fernando Henrique Cardoso approved the new LDB, which can also be called the new “Constitution of Education”. Such law was meant to improve the educational system in Brazil which seemed to have been forgotten for several decades by many politicians. Pinto (2002) pointed out that the LDB took eight years to pass into congress due to the excess of bureaucracy in the national judicial system and the complexity involved. At that time, the expectations around the potential law’s outcome were considerably high among educators, government and all professionals of the sector. The implementation of the LDB law is a ten year process which will be evaluated at the end of 2006, when the LDB should be in full operation. According to the LDB, all institutions, including the government, have a maximum of ten years from the announcement date of the law to adjust to all requirements designated by it. Most 48 requirements are already in use, and some have short term applications. Up to now, the results are impressive, such as the decline of illiteracy rate and the increase of children at school (IBGE, 2004; Souza, 2001). Although the LDB has changed some paradigms of national education, it seemed to bring to light some concerns about itself. One apparent concern is the observation of the law by all participants of the system. The demand for education in Brazil is enormous, and the population is eager to have access to quality education. To assure proper operation of the LDB law, the government created organizations responsible for the implementation of the law on different levels of jurisdiction, such as the Municipal Councils for Education (Conselhos Municipais de Educação). In the current Brazilian Federal Constitution, article 4, paragraph 5, it is stated that if any entity responsible for providing compulsory education fails; to do so, the entity may be charged for this criminous act before court5 . According to this and the LDB law (Brasil, 1996), the government is responsible to provide free quality education. Failing to do so would result in punishment. In addition, parents may also receive the same punishment if they do not send their children to school. However, such rigor has not been put into practice frequently. According to Zinder (1998), the Brazilian educational system is socially unfair and is becoming economically unviable. Without education, Brazilians will never have real opportunities to achieve a fair income. Consequently, citizens are led to the exclusion of society, consuming only the basic needs, paying no taxes, and without good 5 “comprovada a negligência da autoridade competente para garantir o ferecimento do ensino obrigatório, poderá ela ser imputada por crime de responsabilidade" (Brasil, 1988 Article 4 Parag. 5). employment opportunities. That means individua ls will not have future prospects in 49 society. One visible consequence of this distorted situation is the difficulty of access to public federal universities by the poor. All universities in Brazil, public and private, must conduct an entrance admission test called vestibular. Students are admitted according to their performance on this test. Since the quality of public federal universities is recognized by the Brazilian population, there is a significant competition to be admitted in federal institutions. However, most of the students enjoying the privilege of public federal universities come from private high school institutions. Thus, poor students have to quit schooling or have to try private universities because their education level is not good enough to pass in public university’s entrance exams (vestibular). Furthermore, it might be unrealistic to believe in free education. Any kind of educational institution must be paid to provide their services. Just as private institutions, public schools have to be paid for. These educational institutions are paid for by the population through taxes. Castro and Sadeck (2003) observed that the burden of these taxes represents more than 20% of individual’s income, which is given to the government with the objective of providing public services to the community. However, the same citizens who pay all their taxes are penalized with the absence of good public schools, having to pay private institutions for quality. Zinder (1998) argues that it is not fair to pay for something which should be provided for free according to the federal constitution. According to Becker (1993), Brazil has a tremendous potential to provide better health and education to the poor population, and thus, become a more equitable country. For Becker (1993), education is considered one of the bases for economic growth and social development, being one powerful tool to reduce inequalities. Education is not 50 only an important human ideal, but a necessary condition for the development of the country. It requires the government to use a more efficient approach toward education. One of the alternatives is to use the current capacity of the private sector to provide quality education to poor communities. One of the tools able to help to achieve such aims is the voucher system. According to UNESCO (2002), investing in secondary and higher education – and not just primary education - pays rich dividends, and by raising the level of postsecondary educational attainment, increased human capital can translate into steady economic growth. This statement reinforces the need for financing education at all levels, which will lead to an improvement of the country. Though this perspective was put forth several decades ago, Brazil has been slow to implement it. Moreover, the private sector has become an important contributor to financing education, especially in developing countries such as Brazil. As stated by UNESCO (2002), the positive relationship between the educational level of the labor force and economic growth is very significant in developing countries. This investment in human capital could represent a return of more than a half point percent (0.5%) increase in the annual Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth rates of countries. Investment in secondary or higher education creates impressive results, such as the 1980 Chilean experience. During the 1960s, Chileans spent an average of 6.19 years at school, and GDP per capita was $4,000.00. In 2000, these numbers increased considerably through important investments in education: The average time at school rose to 10 years and GDP per capita to about $7,000.00. Education from the private sector has also achieved a substantial acceptance 51 level in emerging countries. According to UNESCO (2002), in Chile, China and Paraguay more than 40 percent of the total amount comes from private sources, while the average in the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) countries6 is 12 percent. Private enrollment rates increased at higher levels in these three countries as well as in Brazil, where the independent private institutions account for 63 percent of college students. In contrast, in other OECD countries this figure is ten percent of the total. UNESCO also states that education has become a key factor for economic growth in these countries. Thus, UNESCO (2002) asserts that without effective and continuous investment in human capital, all efforts for sustained development will be in vain or will result in small returns. 3.4 Educational Funding and Finance Assistance Programs There are considerable financial disparities among each level of education in Brazil, and they are reinforced by the lack of political efforts to consolidate the educational system so that all levels of education are equally funded and supported by programs and governmental actions. Governmental actions and assistance programs should be implemented providing support to guarantee free access to education and to improve the status and qualification of the teachers and assure a continuous improvement of educational quality at all levels, but especially at the primary and secondary levels, 6 The OECD countries are: Australia, Austria, Belgium, Canada, the Czech Republic, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Ireland, Italy, Japan, Korea, Luxembourg, Mexico, the Netherlands, New Zealand, Norway, Poland, Portugal, the Slovak Republic, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, Turkey, the United Kingdom, the United States. (UNESCO, 2002) which are considered a key factor for a successful educational system (Becker, 1993; 52 UNESCO, 2002). The government program called National Fund for the Development of Primary Education (FUNDEF- Fundo Nacional de Desenvolvimento da Educação Fundamental), is responsible for distributing resources linked to basic education. Created in September of 1996, FUNDEF is considered an important financial source among the educational programs in Brazil (Brasil, 1996; Pinto 2002; Souza, 2001). However, most of this fund is applied to primary education, where FUNDEF has been successful in the promotion of better education. The remaining small amount goes to secondary education, whose demand FUNDEF has not been able to successfully meet (Pinto, 2002). For that reason, funding the secondary education level, or high school level, is considered one of the greatest challenges confronting the Brazilian educational system. According to the National Institute for Educational Studies and Research (Instituto Nacional de Estudos e Pesquisas Educacionais – INEP, 2004), elementary schools only have 16% of children between the ages of 1 and 6, which represents 4.4 million of the Brazilian population. Moreover, 97% of children between the age of 7 and 14 are enrolled in primary education in accordance to their age level. This amount represents 32 million individuals. Although the number of children attending high school is 8.3 million, which means that 40% of these students are not in the appropriate ages group of 15 to 17 years of age, the overall statistics about education in Brazil had shown significant improvements, such as illiteracy rate. According to Pinto (2002), Lucas and Leher (2001), Souza (2001), Castro and Menezes (2003), it was the Cardoso administration (1994-2002) that made great strides toward improving the Brazilian educational system. Pinto (2002) argues the Cardoso 53 policies will be remembered for a long time as the starting point of improvement in the educational system. He also argues that it was the minister of education’s free access to former president Cardoso, international institutions, and the national communication media that allowed an easy passing of the new set of education laws and policies by the congress and by the population. Such governmental actions allowed the minimization of differences of funding and quality of school at the state, federal, and municipal levels in the country (Castro & Menezes, 2003; Ferreira & Litchfield, 2001). In contrast to the Collor and Franco administrations, Cardoso’s regime implemented a set of actions toward education which had a strong impact on national educational funds as Castro and Menezes (2003) observed. The main actions were the approbation of LDB law in 1996, the introduction of FUNDEF, and definition of the National Education Plan (Plano Nacional de Educação – PNE). These projects created a pathway to insert Brazilian education into the dynamics of globalization, responding to the increased demand for qualified education (MEC, 2004). Despite the creation and implementation of these programs, the bulk of the government’s attention has been and still is placed on primary and higher education (Pinto, 2002). Recognizing this, the Ministry of Education and Culture is developing a new program to improve secondary education (MEC, 2004). The program is called Fund for Development of Basic Education (Fundo de Desenvolvimento da Educação Básica – FUNDEB), which presents a more effective distribution of funds among the three levels of basic education and provides mechanisms to improve the quality of education, the quality of the professionals of the sector, and to guarantee access to this level of 54 education for the people. Another main concern is the reliability of this new program and its impact on the educational system. However, it is important to note that FUNDEB is still a project in congress and needs to be approved to become effective. In the political sphere, it depends on the federal government to coordinate the national educational policy, by managing and interconnecting all levels and systems through regulations and redistribution of funds and activities, in addition to providing technical and financial support to the Brazilian states (Brasil, 1988; 1996). In recent years, the lack of financial assistance for secondary institutions pushed the Ministry of Education to get assistance from the Inter-American Bank of Development (MEC, 2004). This financial assistance, which ha s been redistributed among federal units, has become another program called Program to Expand and Promote Secondary Education (Programa de Expansão e Melhoria do Ensino Médio PROMED) (Souza, 2001). However, the distribution of funds among the states and municipalities is still considerably centralized and the use of this money has not been efficient. The problem here relies in the structural constitution of the Brazilian public sector, which it is well know for its inflexibility and considerable bureaucracy. 3.5 Quality versus quantity The organizational situation of the public educational system in Brazil has prevented the improvement of quality in several levels of education. The expenditures in the educational sector are diffuse and correspond mostly to payroll expenditures. Some 55 states such as Minas Gerais have more than 70% of the educational budget comprised by payroll. However, the individual average salary of teachers in the public sector is low, reducing incentives for continuous specialization of teachers (IBGE, 2004). In addition to that, the absence of reinvestment in infrastructure and equipment is very common in public schools. All this directly affects the quality of education provided by public schools. Therefore, the public system has found it difficult to keep up with the dynamics of the private sector. This dynamic factor is perhaps more evident at the high school level and especially in techno-professional education (Souza, 2001; UNESCO, 2002). Despite the fact that public institutions enjoy a relative monopoly in the educational system with more than 70% of all enrollments, the private sector apparently has the lead in the quality race mainly because of its flexibility toward the labor force. Brazilian laws are protectionist and considerably inflexible for public employees, who enjoy relative stability. This stability seemed to create a sense of accommodation among public employees, reducing the amount of professional turnover due to the lack of competition. On the other hand, there is evidence that the private sector may act more dynamically in the educational business and has flexibility to hire. Perhaps, this flexibility in private schools is in part a consequence of the high rate of unemployment in the country, which pushes employees to work hard to keep their job (IBGE, 2004; UNESCO, 2002). According to Barros et al. (2000), the new policies adopted during Cardoso’s regime and the current conditions of the public system generated merely quantitative improvements without appreciable improvements in quality. As presented by IBGE (2004), the numbers of enrolled students in public education rose incredibly after 56 stabilization of the national currency and the implementation of the new law of education. The level of illiteracy went down sharply and more children are attending school – an evidence of quantitative improvements on the educational system. However students’ academic attainment in public institutions has not improved significantly in secondary and higher education relative to previous years (Barros et al., 2000). 3.6 Evaluations for the Educational system According to the Brazilian Federal Constitution, article 206, item VI (Brasil, 1988), the government must provide education with quality to the population, and assure that quality is maintained. Castro and Menezes (2003) emphasize the importance of an efficient evaluation system for Brazilian education, and in the 1990s the government implemented important programs in order to guarantee the level of quality of national education. In addition to that, Souza (2001) highlights the necessity of a reliable and autonomous instrument to measure efficiency of public policies. According to Abicalil (2002), the evaluation of Brazilian national education needs considerable efforts due to the size and complexity of the subject. In order to evaluate the educational system, the Brazilian government counts on the National Institute for Educational Studies and Research (Instituto Nacional de Estudos e Pesquisas Educacionais - INEP), which is responsible to collect and evaluate information in respect to all aspects of Brazilian education (Souza, 2001). For student performance evaluation Souza (2001) and Abicalil (2002) observed that Brazil has the System for the Evaluation of Basic Education (Sistema de Avaliação da Educação Básica - SAEB), the National 57 Secondary Education Examination (Exame Nacional do Ensino Médio - ENEM), and the National Degree Course Examination (Exame Nacional de Cursos Superiores “Provão”). In addition, international instruments are used to evaluate the educational system such as World Educational Indicators (WEI) prepared by UNESCO in combination with the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD). The SAEB evaluates performance of students attending primary and secondary education. The ENEM evaluates the students’ performance of secondary education. The students who take the ENEM may use their results on this exam either alone or in conjunction to traditional entrance examination to enter higher education institut ions (Souza, 2001). Finally, “Provão” evaluates students after higher education graduation in order to evaluate the quality of tertiary education. Controversially, Abicalil (2002) observed that the autonomy of INEP and the standard exams is not clear, whic h may result in biased results. He also pointed out that evaluation based on comparison between students’ academic performances may not be the best instrument because students are, by human nature, different from one another. 58 4. Educational Voucher in Brazi l 4.1 Research Question and Scope This study attempts to answer the question of whether a voucher system is likely to improve education in Brazil. The research hypothesis is that Brazil fulfills the conditions for a successful voucher system. By answering this research question, I hope to contribute to policy making by identifying socio-economic attributes of the states that may contribute to or hamper the successful implementation of a voucher system for education in Brazil. In order to answer the question I investigated the socio-economic characteristics of voucher programs around the world and explored their potential in Brazil. I studied 31 voucher programs around the world and investigated the causes for their success or failure. This analysis was used to create a benchmark for the determinants of successes and failures of the voucher system. Comparing this benchmark to Brazilian characteristics, I estimated the potential for a voucher system in Brazil. At first, the scope of the present study was restricted to voucher programs for secondary education only. Since this scope was considerably limited in terms of data, I extended the scope of this research for voucher programs for primary and tertiary7 education. Thus, the scope of the study is comprised of the Brazilian educational system and the educational voucher experiences in Australia, Bangladesh, Belize, Canada, Chile, 7 The Australian voucher program is only one voucher program for tertiary education included in this study’s scope. Colombia, Denmark, France, Guatemala, Japan, Lesotho, Netherlands, New Zealand, 59 Poland, Puerto Rico, Spain, Sweden, United Kingdom and the United States. 4.2 Data One of the greatest challenges was to elaborate a data set comprising information from those 31 different localities into a standardized and comparable information set. The availability of information was one significant obstacle to construct a standardized information table. The lack of undisclosed information for some countries impeded this research to have a wider scope of study. The main sources of data for this research were the World Bank database, OECD database, the national statistical office and the education department of each country. Based on current studies about each voucher program, I tried to point out the main variables used by these studies to estimate, measure, and analyze the use of voucher systems. I found a number of important variables for my research. One set of variables was defined in accordance with the variables that authors have used to explain success and failure of each program. The other set of variables comprehends those that describe the socio-economic characteristics of the countries in which voucher programs have been implemented. The first set is comprised of the variables used by the literature and selected to explain success or failure of each program. These variables are: overall academic performance in standardized tests for students using vouchers and for those using public schools; student performance in math, reading and science standardized tests; the level of parental satisfaction for those parents with children using vouchers and for those using 60 the public system; the qualification of the population for the use of voucher; voucher coverage; regulations and practices of voucher programs; restrictions of voucher use in religious oriented schools; scope of vouchers’ operation; initial enrollment rate; current enrollment rate; number of participating schools; admission and selection method; number of schools and their capacity available for students; age and ethnic compositing of the population and of the students in the program. The second set is the comprised of variables selected to characterize the country where the voucher program was implemented. These variables are: total public expenditures on education; percentage of GDP spent in education; governmental public expenditures per student; cost of voucher per student in dollars; per capita income; Gini coefficient for income; age and ethnic composition of the population; percentage of majority and minority groups in relation to the population; level of education attainment for adult population (25 years and above); average number of years of schooling; number of student per teacher (student/teacher ratio); democracy index (economic freedom); and index of transparency level (corruption level) 8 . Based on the authors’ evaluation about each program and using the first set of variables as complementary information, I constructed a binary variable indicating failure (0) and success (1) of each voucher experience. This index is the dorsal spine of this research. In order to ensure analysis reliability, this index was elaborated carefully and in complete accordance to the studies that provide an in depth evaluation of each voucher program separately. 8 Appendix B shows the description and sources of the explanatory variables. Furthermore, I evaluated each voucher program in relation to its respective 61 literature, trying to use similar factors that authors had used to evaluate the success or failure of each program. Since there were different outcomes for the same program, I looked at the main explanatory variables considered by the recent literature to estimate the success or fa ilure of each voucher system. Afterwards, I compared and contrasted the studies and these variables in order to determine only one outcome for each voucher scheme: success or failure. Hoping to construct a comparable index, I considered variables used in each program to examine the success of other programs. Nevertheless, voucher programs around the world have been implemented with different methods, such as through the definition of goals, structure, and scope. Consider, for example, the method of voucher program in Bangladesh. Differently from other programs, vouchers in Bangladesh were established to reduce significant gender differences among the population. The women’s access to education in Bangladesh had been substantially restrictive, and women were excluded from socio-economic participation in that society. The failure of this voucher scheme was attributed to the fact that the first phase of the program increased women participation in schools but did not increase their participation in society. In addition to that, success and failure is often attributed to one voucher program in relation to a referential point. For instance, the success or failure of the voucher program used in each Canadian province was measured in relation to the other Canadian provinces and to the entire country. Even though the Canadian educational system has been highly efficient and qualified in comparison to most systems in the world, my research in accordance to the studies identified failure in using voucher programs in some Canadian provinces (e.g.: achievements in the province of Saskatchewan compared to 62 those in other provinces in terms of student academic performance and degrees of freedom of school choice). Furthermore, I found that most voucher programs share similar explanatory variables for success and failure. One of the most commonly used variables to explain success of voucher programs is the student academic performance under voucher schemes compared to that under the public educational system. I pointed out that in most cases, academic performance of students using vouchers has been higher than the performance of students in public schools, especially taking into account long term results (even when this superiority was not statistically significant in the short term). This result can be explained because students in disadvantage tend to give more importance for the opportunity given to them. Thus, they usually concentrate more efforts in order to take advantage of opportunities which are not often offered for them. Moreover, student and parental satisfaction played another significant role in the evaluation of educational vouchers. As has been pointed out earlier, parental dissatisfaction about public schools has been one of the common findings about the educationa l system in each country. Parental dissatisfaction has been mainly related to the poor quality of education provided in public schools. Parental dissatisfaction also refers to the lack of security, the absence or limited pedagogical innovation, the low level of teachers’ motivation, the low quality of the classroom environment, and socioeconomic segregation. In addition to that, parental satisfaction about the voucher program helped to measure the success of the program. In relation to the other explanatory variables for success and failure of voucher 63 programs, I found that authors attach different levels of significance to each of them. In places where the scarcity of vacancies in public education at a certain educational level is a problem, as in the Colombian experience, the number of spots available in private schools was considered an important factor of success or failure. In places where social segregation played a relevant role in the educational system, such as in Bangladesh and in Guatemala, the rate of enrollment, the range of coverage, and participating minority group were examined as determinants of success or failure. By looking at the studies for each voucher program, I came up with the success/failure index presented on the Table 4, where success is represented by ones (1) and failure is represented by zeros (0). Table 4: Success/Failure index for voucher programs around the world (Failure=0 and Success=1) Voucher Program Success/ Failure index Australia 0 Bangladesh 0 Belize 1 Canada: Province of British Columbia Canada: Province of Quebec Canada: Province of Manitoba Canada: Province of Saskatchewan Canada: Province of Alberta 1 1 0 0 1 Source Albrecht and Ziderman (1992); Boyd (1989); Dohmen (2000); West (1997) Bhatnagar et al. (2002); Weidrich (2003); West (1997) Perroitt (2003); West (1997); Wolff and Castro (2001) Center for Education Reform (2003); Hepburn and Belle (2003); Robson and Hepburn (2002); West (1997) Table 4: Continued Voucher Program 64 Success/ Failure index Chile 1 Colombia 1 Denmark 1 France 0 Guatemala 0 Japan 0 Lesotho 1 Netherlands 1 New Zealand 1 Poland Puerto Rico 0 0 Spain 0 Sweden 1 United Kingdom 1 Source Aedo and Sapelli (2001); Belfield and Levin (2002); Cosse (2003); Hoxby (2003); Mizala and Romaguera (2000); Quiroz and Chumacero (1997); Patrinos (2001); Weidrich (2003); West (1997) Angrist et al. (200); Calderón (1995); King et al (1997); Weidrich (2003); West (1997) Danish Ministry of Education (2000); Doyle (1997); Patrinos (2001) EURYDICE (1997); Fowler (1991); Fowler (1992); Mason (1992); Montenegro (1998); Parker (1999); Santiso (2001); West (1997) Coulson (2002); West (1997) Mokitimi and Nieuwoudt (1995); West (1997) EURYDICE (1997); Justesen (2002); Patrinos (2001); Mason (1992); Weidrich (2003); West (1997) Hirsch (1994); Ladner (2001); Patrinos (2001); West (1997) Glenn (1994); West (1997) West (1997) EURYDICE (1997); Granell (2002); Mason (1992) Anggard (1994); Patrinos (2001); Weidrich (2003); West (1997) Lambert (2002); Mason (1992); Weidrich (2003); West (1992, 1997) Table 4: Continued Voucher Program 65 Success/ Failure index United States: Milwaukee, Wisconsin 1 United States: Cleveland, Ohio 1 United States: New York, New York 1 United States: Washington D.C. 1 United States: Dayton, Ohio 1 United States: Indianapolis, Indiana 0 United States: Florida 0 United States: Vermont 1 United States: San Francisco, California 1 Source Cosse (2003); Greene, Peterson and Du (1999); Hoxby (2003); Greene (2000); Rouse (1998); West (1997); Witte (1999) Greene, Howell and Peterson (1998); Hoxby (2003); Metcalf (1999); Weidrich (2003); West (1997) Cosse (2003); Hoxby (2003); Mayer et al (2002); Peterson, Myers and Howell (1998); Peterson and Howell (2003) Greene (2000); Hoxby (2003); Wolf (2000); Wolf, Howell, Peterson (2000) Greene (2000); Hoxby (2003); Howell (2000) Boaz and Barrett (1996); Dougherty and Becker (1995); Hudson Institute (1992); Molnar (1999) Center on Education Policy (2000); Greene and Winters (2004) Sternberg (2001) Boaz and Barrett (1996); Brunner, Sonstelie and Thayer (2001) Source: Prepared by the author 4.3 Method I used probit regression analysis to determine how many different socio-economic characteristics contribute to the success of a voucher system. Once I constructed the success/failure index, the next step was to investigate the 66 socio-economic variables which determined the success or failure of each voucher implementation. Since the variable to be explained in this model is a binary variable (ones and zeros), a simple linear regression analysis by OLS estimation would not be appropriated. Thus, in my research, I used probit regression analysis in order to achieve more reliable results. Probit analysis is an algorithm to estimate the probability of the outcome of interest being equal to 1 (y=1), given a set of explanatory variables (x, x1, x2 … xn): P( y = 1 | x) = P( y = 1 | x1 , x 2 , x 3 ,..., x n ) . In the context of this study, the probability investigated was the probability of success (e.g.: success/failure index = 1) given a set of socio-economic independent variables, such as per capita income, gini coefficient, and percentage of minority group in relation to the entire population. P( success = 1 | socioecon ) = P ( success = 1 | x icome , x gini , xmin ority ,..., x n ) or P( success = 1 | x ) = F ( β 0 + β icome xicome + β gini x gini + β min ority xmin ority + ... + β n x n ) , Where F is the standard cumulative normal distribution function. Therefore, applying probit analysis in the data set collected from the 31 different voucher programs, I estimated a regression model. Using the estimated model and the corresponding socio-economic variable for Brazil, I aim to estimate the probability of success of a voucher system in the country and its states. 4.4 Estimation 67 In my primary estimations, I conducted probit regression including the maximum number of explanatory variables for success or failure. This attempt was made in order to find whether all variables fitted in the equation model. Thus, I derived the following equation for success: Success = f (per capita income, income distribution, corruption level, economic freedom index, public cost per student, total expenditure on education, percentage of GDP spent on education, education level of adult population, average of schooling years, age composition of the population, ethnic composition of the population, available capacity of schools, cost of voucher per student) Estimating this equation, I found multicollinearity9 problem in the data, which means that some variables were highly correlated. I also found indication of heteroskedasticity10 , which violates the assumption that the variance of the error terms must be constant. Variables for corruption level, income distribution, and average school years were highly correlated with several other variables (appendix A). In order to avoid multicollinearity, I purged common variation among those variables by regressing them 9 One the assumptions of the regression analysis is that there is no exact linear relationship between explanatory variables. Multicollinearity is a violation of that assumption, where there is some degree of collinearity among some or all explanatory variables in the regression equation. Thus, the presence of Multicollinearity makes the interpretation of estimated coefficients difficult (Gerald et al., 2004; Gujarati, 2002). 10 Another assumption of classical regression analysis is that the probability distributions for the residuals have same variance for all values of the explanatory variables, which means I am equally uncertain about how disperse values of the explained variable deviate from their mean values. The violation of this assumption is known as heteroskedasticity. In the presence of heteroskedasticity, the regression outputs may mislead the interpretation (Gerald et al., 2004; Gujarati, 2002). on common determinants and using the residuals of these auxiliary regressions in my 68 final model. Since income distribution, corruption, transparency and expenditures on education are all correlated with income per capita, the effect of the latter was eliminated from these variables through an auxiliary regression. For example, in the case of income distribution, I adopted the following procedure: Income Distribution or Gini coefficient = f (per capita income) The linear regression equation for income distribution (Gini coefficient) is: Gini coefficient = ß0 + ßincomepercapita .Xincomepercapita + residual Estimating the above equation regression, I get the following output, where “incomecap” stands for per capita income: Gini coefficient = 0.4980017 + (-0.00000567)*incomecap Thus, the residual term to be used in the final regression is: Gini Residual = Gini coefficient – (ß0 + ßincomepercapita .Xincomepercapita ) Using the estimated coefficients into the above equation I obtain: Gini Residual = Gini coefficient - (0.4980017 + (-0.00000567)*incomecap) A similar procedure was used for average school years, since this variable is correlated with the age composition of the population: Average of schooling years = f (population between 5 and 19 years old) The estimated residuals were given by: Avg Residual = Avgschyr – (16.33343 + (-29.00326)*age0519) Finally, the estimated residuals for corruption or transparency index were: Transp Residual = Transplev – ((-5.470393) + 0.0000755*incomecap + 69 1.486813*democindx) Using the residual variables, I selected other relevant explanatory variables 11 for success or failure of voucher programs and elaborated the model function. The following equation represents the regression model to explain success of voucher programs. Success = f (per capita income, income distribution residual, corruption level residual, economic freedom index, public cost per student, total expenditure on education, percentage of GDP spent on education, education level of adult population, average of schooling years residual, aging composition of the population, ethnic composition of the population, available capacity of schools, cost of voucher per student) To avoid the heteroskedasticity problem, I estimated robust standard errors with the Hub ler-White weight matrix. Running a probit regression according to the last equation, I got the results displayed in Table 5. According to the estimation outputs, total public expenditure on education (totpubexp) and the cost of voucher (costvouc) have small explanatory power in the model. In contrast, Democracy (democindx), Corruption (tres), Average number of years of schooling (avgres), and Income distribution (gres) were estimated to have significant explanatory power. 11 Appendix B shows the description of all explanatory variables used in my model regression in addition to the terminology adopted in all equations and estimations in this research. Appendix B also shows the source of these variables. Table 5: Output Results from Probit regression Explanatory Variable 70 Coefficient of estimation (P_values are in parenthesis) Totpubexp Pubexpgdp Gres Tres Age0519 Minority Avgres Democindx Teacstud Costvouc _constant 0.0000000232 (0.990) 30.8062900000 (0.330) 15.5341200000 (0.061) 0.9747546000 (0.064) 8.2316610000 (0.121) 2.3477440000 (0.249) -0.5883461000 (0.022) 1.0197900000 (0.074) -0.1127698000 (0.293) 0.0000117000 (0.960) -9.4494580000 (0.072) Source: prepared by the author As a result, replacing the estimated coefficient s from the regression estimation output into the regression equation model for success or failure, I found the following equation for educational voucher programs: P (Success) = F (-9.449458 + 0.0000000232*totpubexp + 30.80629*pubexpgdp + 15.53412*gres + 0.9747546*tres + 8.231661*age0519 + 2.347744*minority 0.5883461*avgres + 1.01979*democindx - 0.1127698*teacstud + 0.0000117*costvouc) As stated earlier, the probability of voucher programs to achieve success or failure is given by a standard normal cumulative distribution function. 4.5 Results and Implications 71 Although I have estimated the equation with information about the 31 voucher programs and extracted the regression output provided in Table 5, the analysis of the coefficients from probit regression is not simple and requires some extra calculations. In order to estimate the impact of the explanatory variables on the probability of success of the voucher program, I calculated the marginal effects of each independent explanatory variable. Marginal effects measure the change in the probability of success for an infinitesimal change in each independent continuous variable. Table 6 contains these marginal effects: Table 6: Marginal effects of each explanatory variable Explanatory Variable Marginal Effect (dF/dX) (P_values are in parenthesis) Totpubexp Pubexpgdp Gres Tres Age0519 Minority Avgres Democindx Teacstud Costvouc Source: Prepared by the author 0.00000000826 (0.990) 10.97869 (0.330) 5.536021 (0.061) 0.3473813 (0.064) 2.933584 (0.121) 0.8366847 (0.249) -0. 2096737 (0.022) 0.363431 (0.074) -0. 0401887 (0.293) 0.00000418 (0.960) According to the marginal effects form Table 6, I can investigate the effect of 72 each explanatory variable in the probability of success of an educational voucher system. First, I observed that Total public expenditure on education (totpubexp) and cost of voucher (costvouc) have positive relationship with the probability of success. However, this relationship is not statistically significant, implicating that these variables have no sufficient explanatory power in my model. The second variable, the percentage of GDP spent on education, has the expected positive impact on voucher success (UNESCO, 2002; Becker, 1993). An intuitive reason it that as government increases the share of GDP on education, more resources are available for the educational system. However, the coefficient for this variable is not statistically significant. The percentage of population at the school age (between 5 and 19 years old) (age0519) has a strong positive impact on the success of the voucher program. An intuitive reason is that the larger the percentage of the population between 5 and 19 years of age, the higher the number of students who would benefit from the vouche r program. Another variable is the percentage of the population which represents the minority group in the country (minority). As shown in Table 6, the coefficient for minority groups has the expected positive sign, but is not statistically significant. Additionally, the democracy index (democindx) has a significant explanatory power and positively affects the probability of success of the voucher programs. This result indicates a small increase in the democracy index causes the probability of success of voucher programs to increase by 0.36. An intuitive reason is that more democratic countries may better allocate resources toward educational sectors. In addition to that, 73 freedom of school choice through vouchers reinforces the conditions for democracy. On the other hand, the student per teacher ratio (teacstud) negatively affects the probability of success of voucher programs, but the coefficient for this variable is not statistically significant. As the number of students per teacher increases in schools, the probability of success decreases in 0.04 percent. Accordingly, fewer students per teacher may increase the quality of education services, and vouchers used in places where teachers already have several students seem less likely to succeed. The three residual explanatory variables seem to be highly significant in explaining the success of voucher programs. The Gini coefficient residual (gres) is positively related to the probability of success. This important outcome suggests that the bigger the inequality in income distribution of the country, the larger the probability of success of the voucher program. This evidence can be confirmed by recent literature about Colombian and Chilean voucher experiences and highlights the potential of the voucher system to contribute to a more egalitarian society. According to Table 6, transparency has a positive impact on the probability of success of voucher programs. As the transparency level of the country increases, the probability of success increases by 0.35. Alternatively, as corruption level increases, the probability of success of voucher programs decreases. A possible explanation for this result is that high levels of corruption might contribute to inefficient allocation of resources for education. Thus, voucher programs may fail due to corruption, which does not allow proper assistance to the needed population. Finally, the average number of years of schooling (avgres) negatively affects the 74 probability of success of voucher programs. This output result indicates that as the average number of years of schooling of the population increases, the probability of success decreases by 0.2. An intuitive reason is that as the population becomes more educated, there is less of a need for alternative methods to address education to the excluded population. 4.6 Educational vouchers in Brazil The previous section helped us to identify the impact of different variables on the success or failure of voucher programs. By using the estimated impact from the previous section and the socio-economic information for a specific country, I can estimate the probability of success of the voucher program in that country. In order to analyze the case for voucher in Brazil, I used the estimated equation with socio-economic data from the country12 . In addition, I repeated this process for each Brazilian state 13 . In the Brazilian case, I found that there is a 97.57 percent probability of success in the implementation of voucher programs. This is an impressive result, which should nevertheless be taken with caution, because of the existence of other significant factors not covered by my model (e.g.: single parent household, crime rate and religion). Based on the results, there is significant a probability of success of voucher program in Brazil because of its high inequality of income distribution (high Gini coefficient), low levels of 12 The cost of voucher for Brazil used in the regression was the amount per student that government spent on public education. 13 The cost of voucher for Brazilian states used in the regression was the amount per student that each state government spent on public education. schooling for population (aveschyr), large portion of young population (age0519), and 75 high variety and mixture of population ethnicity (minority). After all, voucher programs were designed to address such types of problems in education. The drawbacks for the Brazilian case may be the high level of corruption (transplev), the low democracy index (democindx) and the high student-teacher ratio (teacstud). Since Brazil is a considerably large country in terms of population, economy and area, a more precise analysis should take regional differences into account. For that reason, I investigated the case for a voucher system in each Brazilian state. I assume the cost of a potent ial voucher equals to the amount spent by the government per student. Table 7 shows the probability of success of a voucher program in each state. Table 7: Probability of success of voucher programs by state State Piauí Tocantins Roraima Acre Alagoas Rio Grande do Norte Paraíba Sergipe Ceará Maranhão Mato Grosso Pernambuco Espírito Santo Mato Grosso do Sul Rondônia Amapá Bahia Minas Gerais Paraná Goiás Distrito Federal Rio Grande do Sul Pará Rio de Janeiro Santa Catarina Amazonas São Paulo Source: prepared by the author Abbreviation of State PI TO RR AC AL RN PB SE CE MA MT PE ES MS RO AP BA MG PN GO DF RS PA RJ SC AM SP 76 Probability of success of voucher program (in percentage) 0.9999998 0.9999994 0.9999982 0.9999972 0.9999927 0.9999917 0.9999811 0.9999714 0.9999567 0.9999548 0.9996185 0.9992433 0.9991845 0.9988793 0.9988664 0.9982945 0.9977262 0.9956059 0.9948487 0.9883428 0.9863696 0.9553327 0.9117926 0.8703273 0.8173925 0.8088760 0.6231219 As observed in Table 7, I found that the Brazilian states with the highest probability of success of voucher program are Piauí, Tocantins, Roraima, Acre, Alagoas, Rio Grande do Norte and Paraíba. An intuitive reason for this is that these states have a considerably high number of individuals at student age, high inequality in income distribution and low average number of years of schooling of the population. Four of these states are located in the northeast region, one of the poorest regions in the 77 country. Hence, governmental aid such as vo uchers is more likely to improve the needed education in these locations. In contrast, the Brazilian states with the lowest probability of success are São Paulo, Amazonas, Santa Catarina, Rio de Janeiro, Pará and Rio Grande do Sul. This result can be explained by the low percentage of GDP spent on education in these states, relative low inequality in income distribution, low percentage of population considered as minority group, high average number of years of schooling of the population, and high level of corruption (except Santa Catarina and Rio Grande do Sul). Four of these states are located in the South or Southeast regions, one of the wealthiest regions in the country. Thus, fewer efforts are necessary to address the problems of education in these locations. Interestingly, the state of Amazonas produced the second lowest probability of voucher success, which can be explained by the low level of public expenditure on education, low level of GDP spent on education, and the low public expenditure per student. All results combined highlight the significant differences among the Brazilian states and the importance of a careful analysis of the characteristics of each state. As Brazil has continental dimensions, the differences among states are observed by the diversity in levels of corruption, income distribution, per capita income, ethnicity of the population and level of schooling for each region. In order to make better decisions about possible voucher programs, policymakers must carefully look the main determinates of success or failure of the program in each region. 105% 100% 95% 90% 85% 80% 75% 70% 65% 60% 55% 50% 45% 40% 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% 78 Brazil Probability PI TO RR AC AL RN PB SE CE MA MT PE ES MS RO AP BA MG PN GO DF RS PA RJ SC AM SP Probability of Success of the Voucher Programs Figure 1: Probability of Success of Voucher Programs by Brazilian States Brazilian States Source: prepared by the author As a final point, I highlight that Brazil seems to fulfill the requirements for the successful implementation of a voucher program. As mentioned earlier, the implementation of voucher programs in some regions would perhaps present better results. Thus, policymakers should take into consideration regional differences in order to implement a successful voucher program in Brazil. 4.7 Assumptions and Limitations Like any econometric model, my model made use of various assumptions. Consequently, violation of these assumptions implicate in limitations of the model conclusions. First, because of limited information in some countries and the relatively small number of existing programs, I included different kinds of vouchers for different 79 levels of education, and with different goals and objectives in my data set. Thus, the results for programs targeted to secondary education are probably different from primary and tertiary education. Second, the assumption that the cost of a voucher program in Brazil and its states must be equal to the value spent by the government for each student restricts the application of vouchers which cover partial tuition. As I observed in the literature, several countries applied partial vouchers in order to promptly address the emerging problems with the educational system. Finally, I did not consider the legal aspects involved in a possible educational reform in Brazil. The bureaucracy and the conflicts of political interests are perhaps the two main relevant factors that would most certainly affect such reforms. 80 Conclusion The present study aimed to investigate a relatively unexplored and often controversial means of financing education, namely the educational voucher system. I investigated the determinants of success of the voucher system using experiences around the world and explored its potential in Brazil. In this context, the central question asked was whether a voucher system is likely to improve education in Brazil. In light of this question, I stated a research hypothesis that Brazil fulfills the conditions for a successful voucher system. This is an interesting point to be examined because problems of government provision of equally asserting quality public education for the entire population are often central features of economic and political debates, but, most importantly, because Brazil is one of the most unequal countries in the world. For that reason, it is necessary to promote equity and quality in the Brazilian educational system, both at national and regional levels. In the first chapter, we discussed the characteristics of a voucher system and its implications for education. By doing so, we expected to describe how voucher system are designed and implemented in order to better explain educational voucher programs. In the following chapter, in order to understand how voucher programs have been used, we discussed some remarkable cases of the voucher system in the world in more detail. With this information, I focused on the main determinants of success or failure of these experiences. In the third chapter, I contextualized the Brazilian educational system and pointed out its main concerns and problems. Next, based on the existing literature, I constructed a benchmark index for 81 success and failure for 31 voucher experiences around the world. Along with this index, I selected the determinants of success or failure for voucher programs, based on all the factors considered by authors in their evaluation of educational vouchers. With this information, in chapter four, I elaborated an econometric model to estimate the probability of success of a voucher program in Brazil conditional on its socio-economic characteristics. In light of the central question, I found significant evidence that Brazil fulfills the conditions for a successful educational voucher system. For instance, developing countries like Brazil had produced better results with the implementation of a voucher program. In other words, educational vouchers have a great potential both for improving institutional educational quality and for reducing social inequalities. Thus, I conclude that there are considerable evidences that an educational voucher system may improve education in Brazil. Based on those results, some considerations could be done about the Brazilian case for vouchers. First, the Brazilian government should carefully analyze regional differences in order to efficiently implement voucher programs, especially because of significant inequality in income distribution across regions of the country. Another important aspect to be considered is the corruption level of the country, which is considerably high in relation to other developing countries. Legislation and government regulation should also be considered since the law, and bureaucracy can render voucher programs unviable. The present study helps to pose interesting questions for further investigation. 82 Further research includes the investigation of the potential for voucher programs in Latin American countries and in the most important metropolitan areas of each Brazilian state. I would also investigate other important determinants for success of voucher programs such as single parent household, crime rate, religion and social violence. I consider these determinants to be as relevant as the explanatory variables used in this study and would be interesting to investigate in future models. 83 References Aedo, C. and Sapelli, C. (2001). El sistema de vouchers en educación: Una revisión de la teoría y evidencia empírica para Chile. Estudios Públicos, Fall 2001. Albrecht, D., Ziderman, A. (1992). Funding mechanisms for higher education: Financing for stability, efficiency and responsiveness. World Bank Discussion Papers 153, The World Bank, Washington D.C. Ammermüller, A., Heijke, H., Wößmann L. (2003). 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Values ranges between 1 (perfect positive correlation) and -1 (perfect negative correlation) totpubexp pubexpgdp expstud incomecap gini ageun05 age0519 age2024 age25ov transplev totpubexp 1 pubexpgdp -0.0453 1 expstud 0.23956 0.25987 1 incomecap 0.123 0.10681 0.64655 1 gini 0.00958 -0.1106 -0.4566 -0.6698 1 ageun05 -0.1475 -0.1092 -0.6377 -0.7567 0.56785 1 age0519 -0.153 -0.1298 -0.7223 -0.762 0.57374 0.91983 1 age2024 0.1363 0.22581 0.0181 -0.1291 0.40864 0.18052 0.28226 1 age25ov 0.12565 0.08516 0.67053 0.75498 -0.6151 -0.9411 -0.986 -0.3942 1 transplev 0.10275 0.18045 0.6323 0.76231 -0.4827 -0.8048 -0.7292 -0.1674 0.75336 1 majority 0.2098 -0.0948 -0.0916 -0.0555 -0.2121 -0.04 0.00555 -0.3958 0.06831 -0.0435 minority -0.2098 0.09475 0.0916 0.05551 0.21207 0.03999 -0.0055 0.39585 -0.0683 0.04355 eduprima -0.2287 -0.3206 -0.7029 -0.6517 0.5326 0.77319 0.76634 0.13923 -0.7644 -0.7041 edusecond 0.23374 0.22743 0.46285 0.37503 -0.3975 -0.5723 -0.588 -0.2432 0.60092 0.44081 eduhigher 0.11978 0.31608 0.74568 0.77127 -0.4959 -0.7269 -0.6898 0.076 0.66677 0.78068 avgschyr 0.20388 0.21396 0.69445 0.61514 -0.3372 -0.862 -0.8202 -0.0802 0.81802 0.80158 democindx 0.22139 0.23511 0.70924 0.5905 -0.228 -0.6394 -0.6508 0.08679 0.61288 0.81715 teacstud -0.1957 -0.1439 -0.5154 -0.4522 0.42043 0.61988 0.55719 0.17226 -0.5838 -0.5772 costvouc -0.1774 0.23227 0.64205 0.59675 -0.604 -0.5264 -0.5468 -0.3828 0.58083 0.60829 97 Continued Appendix A majority minority eduprima edusecond eduhigher avgschyr democindx teacstud costvouc totpubexp pubexpgdp expstud incomecap gini ageun05 age0519 age2024 age25ov transplev majority minority eduprima edusecond eduhigher avgschyr democindx teacstud costvouc 1 -1 0.133 0.01666 -0.2951 -0.1135 -0.0849 0.00313 0.03927 1 -0.133 -0.0167 0.29506 0.11352 0.08492 -0.0031 -0.0393 1 -0.8851 -0.7261 -0.7518 -0.6341 0.73698 -0.5697 1 0.32265 0.53215 0.41313 -0.6552 0.447 1 0.74275 0.67918 -0.5309 0.49828 1 0.77308 -0.5143 0.51722 1 -0.3082 0.44313 1 -0.4825 1 98 Appendix B Description of Explanatory Variables Variable Description Totpubexp Total Public Expenditure on Education in Millions of Dollars. Pubexpgdp Total public expenditure on education as percentage of GDP per year. Gini Gini coefficient. Level of Income Distribution. Value ranges between 0 and 1. The higher the coefficient, the large the inequality of income distribution. Political transparenc y level. The corruption level perceived by the population. The lower the transparency level, the higher the level of corruption. Percentage of the population between 05 and 19 years old. Young population. Potential student population. Percentage of the population representing the minority groups. Transplev Age0519 Source National Education Departments. OECD. World Bank. IBGE. National Education Departments. OECD. World Bank. IBGE. World Bank. World Development Indicators. IBGE. Transparency International. Lima (2004) Avgschyr National census. OECD. World Bank. IBGE. National census. OECD. World Bank. IBGE. UNESCO. IBGE. Teacstud The Heritage Foundation UNESCO. INEP. MEC Minority Average number of schooling years of the population. Democindx Democracy index. Economic freedom. Costvouc Students-teacher ration. Average number of students per teacher. Cost of the voucher per student. Nominal value of voucher per student. Source: prepared by the author World Bank. National Education Departments. 99 Appendix C Brief Explanation for Success or Failure of Each Program based on the literature Program Australia Brief Explanation This failure is given by the resistance of the Australian population in implementing the voucher system. In addition to that, the Australian government fears to lose private contributions due to competition, and consequently has the administrative costs increased. Bangladesh The Bangladesh voucher system is a remarkable effort to reduce differences among male and female schooling, and it is a pioneer program in supporting female secondary education. The voucher project succeeds in its main objective of increasing girls’ enrollment at secondary education. Even though girls' enrollment increased, the failing rate is still high among girls, raising questions of quality of education. Belize Belize provides vouchers for primary and secondary education. The strong government partnership with churches has compromised the consolidation of voucher programs in the country. Canada: British Columbia ranks second in the education freedom index, with Province of 46% of freedom for school choice. The results achieved in this British province have demonstrated that educational freedom and the Columbia educational voucher impacted positively on student performance compared to Canadian and OECD standards. Appendix C: Continued Program 100 Brief Explanation Canada: The province of Quebec has produced similar levels of educational Province of freedom to those of the province of British Columbia: 42%. Student Quebec performance improved dramatically in this French-speaking province, surpassing Canadian and OECD standards. In the last few years, the increasing enrollment in schools us ing the voucher system is also considered an important indicator of success the program. Canada: One might expect that the province of Manitoba would achieve Province of results similar to those of Alberta, British Columbia, and Quebec Manitoba because they had similar levels of freedom on education. However, the impact of the voucher system in Manitoba was not as remarkable as the impact in the comparable provinces. Canada: The province of Saskatchewan was not as successful as the other Province of provinces in the implementation of the voucher program. This was Saskatchewan so because they did not provide as much educational freedom for parents as the other provinces. As a consequence, the Saskatchewan students’ performance was below the Canadian average and OECD standards. Appendix C: Continued Program 101 Brief Explanation Canada: The province of Alberta is the most successful example of a voucher Province of system in the country. The level of educational freedom in Alberta Alberta measured in 2002 was 64%. This experience produces better student performance in Canada, with more than 60% of student tuition costs financed by the state. Chile The Chilean voucher system is one of the most successful voucher systems in the developing world, and it is the only one providing universal vouchers. The universal voucher system first introduced in the 1980s helped to equalize the huge differences between public and private schools in the country. The Chilean educational system is highly democratic and has produced similar results in student academic performance in both private and public schools. Colombia This shortage of vacancies in public secondary schools pressured the government to present an alternative solution for providing education to the population. The use of a targeted voucher system in Colombia successfully fulfilled the demand for secondary education with lower costs than those costs incurred into construction of new schools. Besides the cost effectiveness of this program, his studies also show higher academic achievement, lower grade repetition, higher test scores and higher satisfaction among those parents and students using vouchers. Appendix C: Continued Program Denmark 102 Brief Explanation Denmark has a long tradition (since 1814) in providing free private education by government subsidies. The freedom of school choice is given to every student in Denmark. Teachers' unions are not opposed to this system of free choice. In addition to that, the students performances on standardized test has been greater than the OECD average and the performance of the other countries. France The public education system is heavily funded by the government, which imposes several restrictive regulations to voucher programs. The government subsidy is considerable linked to religious institutions in this country. Thus, educational regulation is not sufficient flexible to consolidate a voucher program. Guatemala The allocation and distribution of financial resources and materials perhaps have not been timely. In addition to that, the program has not received sufficient parental support. High level turnover and bureaucratic intransigence have reduced impact of organizational changes. Appendix C: Continued Program Japan 103 Brief Explanation Japan has a very well organized and quality educational system. The government finances compulsory school up to 15 years old. The voucher system is used to give opportunities to poor students to continue their education after that point. Vouchers represented only 40% of the tuition, whic h creates restriction for their use by poor population. Lesotho This program has a strong partnership with the churches and covers most schools in the country. The government provides training for teachers, and appoints them for the position in the schools. High corruption level and bureaucratic intransigence have reduced the impact of educational reforms, compromising the allocation and distribution of financial resources and materials. Netherlands The Netherlands has a complete free choice educational system, and it is a reference school choice system. Although students attending public or private schools have had a similar academic performance, the level of parental satisfaction is higher among those who used the voucher to finance private education. Appendix C: Continued Program New Zealand 104 Brief Explanation Although New Zealand provides free education to children at compulsory age at secondary education, the level of satisfaction and academic performance in public school is considerable low. In addition to that, parents’ satisfaction with government subsidy for private institutions is considerable high, over 97%. Poland Only 50% of the educational cost is covered by the government through vouchers. Thus, the amount subsidized by government was not enough to consolidate the voucher program. Puerto Rico The voucher program for low- income families provided subsidy for public and private school. The voucher program was terminated in 1995 by court decision supporting the idea of unconstitutionality. Sweden The educational reform allowed public funds to follow students to the schools they chose through the Swedish voucher, which pays 90% of the public cost per student. The Swedish system is one of the few experiences on education that really uses physical vouchers. The use of the voucher has increased sharply in the country. Moreover, evaluations about the success of the program are confirmed by high parental satisfaction and better student performance on standardized tests compared to parental satisfaction and academic performance of those students in public schools. Appendix C: Continued Program Spain 105 Brief Explanation There are no considerable differences between public and private schools. Thus, government is responsible for controlling and financ ing the larger portion of the educational system in the country. United This voucher program has increased the number of students Kingdom supported by those selective vouchers since the beginning of the program. Nevertheless, the number of students in the program still represents a small percentage of the student population (7%). United States: Considered as one of the most important experiences involving a Milwaukee, voucher system, the Milwaukee Parental Choice Program (MPCP) is Wisconsin an example of successful voucher implementation in the United States often found in the literature. When academic achievement in reading and math tests is measured, voucher users have presented statistically superior results. MPCP achieved high parental involvement in their children’s education process and high parental satisfaction with the institution chosen. In addition to that, students acquired more discipline and moral values when they chose their schools. Appendix C: Continued Program 106 Brief Explanation United States: The poor student participating in the Cleveland voucher program Cleveland, tends to take advantage of the better conditions offered by the Ohio schools that they choose. The Cleveland voucher program registered high levels of parental satisfaction with respect to the program, safety, discipline and moral values of private schools. In addition to that, student achievement has improved for those using voucher programs. United States: The New York experience with a voucher program is an interesting New York case, where the poor African American students have achieved City, New higher academic results as they have used the voucher more than York other minorities under the same process. The overall New York voucher program performance registered academic improvement for student participants in both math and reading tests. Another important outcome from their studies was the high level of satisfaction of students and their families with the academic program, location, safety, religious traditions, parental support, discipline, staff, sports and content provided by the schools they had chosen. Appendix C: Continued Program 107 Brief Explanation United States: Similarly to the New York voucher program, the poor African Washington American students ha ve achieved higher academic results as they D.C. have used the voucher more than other minorities under the same process. Even though math performance had no significant change, the satisfaction is considerable higher for parents with children under voucher program than those under public education. United States: The success of this program is given by the high parental Dayton, Ohio satisfaction and the academic results of African American students. The parental dissatisfaction about public school considerable high, and reflects directly in the increasing demand for vouchers in this region. United States: The population reported 63% frustration with public educational Indianapolis, system. Educational Choice Charitable Trust Program has achieved Indiana no significant differences in student’s performance. United States: In this state, there are two major programs of educational vouchers. Florida However, the voucher provided by the state is highly controversial because students attending failing schools (which have grade F) receive a vo ucher. The overall voucher program was not successful because the opposition of teachers’ unions, public opinion and some legal aspects regards to constitutionality of the program. Appendix C: Continued Program 108 Brief Explanation United States: The Vermont experience recalls that of Colombia, where the Vermont voucher system was introduced first and foremost to respond to the shortage of places in public secondary schools. 95% of the state has no public secondary school. Vermont’s experience with vouchers indicates that towns, parents, and private schools can creatively work together, providing access to high school education for students without causing the expense of building their own public schools. There is no data for satisfaction or voucher results, but success is given by the long duration of this program (132 yearsold). United States: Covering only 50% of tuition of a private institution, the voucher San Francisco, program opened new options even for parents and students unable to California contribute additional funds. 109 Appendix D Voucher programs around the world – Data Set Country / City Australia Bangladesh Belize Canada: Province of British Columbia Canada: Province of Quebec Canada: Province of Manitoba Canada: Province of Saskatchewan Canada: Province of Alberta Chile Colombia Denmark France Guatemala Japan Lesotho Netherlands New Zealand Poland Puerto Rico Spain Sweden United Kingdom United States: Milwaukee, Wisconsin United States: Cleveland, Ohio United States: New York, New York United States: Washington D.C., Maryland United States: Dayton, Ohio United States: Indianapolis, Indiana United States: Florida United States: Vermont United States: San Francisco, California ID 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 Y Success(1) Failure(0) 0 0 1 1 1 0 0 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 1 1 1 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 1 1 Total Public Expenditure in Education US$ Millions 27,327.04 1,246.00 61.44 59,782.40 59,782.40 59,782.40 59,782.40 59,782.40 1,252.00 8,051.20 12,889.90 87,248.00 851.20 127,785.00 326.78 21,452.20 5,409.60 19,033.20 1,500.44 39,132.20 16,379.70 76,400.00 2,735.80 670.00 11,217.53 7,334.49 14,927.11 491,150.00 15,535.00 975,884.00 47,408.87 Total % Public Expenditure of GDP in Education 0.052 0.013 0.048 0.064 0.064 0.064 0.064 0.064 0.039 0.032 0.083 0.056 0.016 0.035 0.064 0.049 0.069 0.051 0.033 0.046 0.071 0.050 0.458 0.047 0.047 0.047 0.047 0.047 0.047 0.060 0.047 Government Spending per Student 5,830.00 62.50 676.28 6,985.00 7,097.00 7,432.00 6,277.00 6,871.00 667.28 350.00 7,200.00 6,605.00 231.11 6,266.00 450.17 5,304.00 3,539.01 642.94 2,376.00 4,274.00 5,648.00 5,230.00 8,718.00 11,121.00 11,640.00 11,489.00 7,977.00 4,678.00 6,116.65 9,798.00 4,489.00 income per capita 21,650.00 400.00 3,190.00 27,967.00 30,290.00 29,500.00 32,790.00 47,530.00 4,390.00 1,800.00 33,750.00 24,770.00 1,910.00 34,510.00 590.00 26,310.00 15,870.00 5,270.00 10,950.00 16,990.00 28,840.00 28,350.00 19,939.00 14,291.00 22,402.00 28,659.00 15,547.00 21,640.00 21,557.00 20,625.00 34,556.00 GINI Coefficient 0.352 0.340 0.510 0.302 0.302 0.302 0.302 0.302 0.580 0.560 0.236 0.327 0.560 0.249 0.563 0.248 0.362 0.316 0.526 0.325 0.252 0.345 0.375 0.396 0.427 0.361 0.374 0.424 0.470 0.423 0.475 Corruption Level (10=clean 0=corrupt) 8.600 1.200 4.500 9.000 9.000 9.000 9.000 9.000 7.500 3.600 9.500 6.300 2.500 7.100 4.800 9.000 9.500 4.000 7.700 7.100 9.300 8.700 7.700 7.700 7.700 7.700 7.700 7.700 7.700 7.700 7.700 Democracy Index 2002 7.9 5.9 6.3 7.9 7.9 7.9 7.9 7.9 7.3 5.3 7.6 6.8 6.4 7.0 6.8 7.7 8.2 6.4 8.2 7.1 7.3 8.2 8.2 8.2 8.2 8.2 8.2 8.2 8.2 8.2 8.2 110 Appendix D: Continued Country / City Australia Bangladesh Belize Canada: Province of British Columbia Canada: Province of Quebec Canada: Province of Manitoba Canada: Province of Saskatchewan Canada: Province of Alberta Chile Colombia Denmark France Guatemala Japan Lesotho Netherlands New Zealand Poland Puerto Rico Spain Sweden United Kingdom United States: Milwaukee, Wisconsin United States: Cleveland, Ohio United States: New York, New York United States: Washington D.C., Maryland United States: Dayton, Ohio United States: Indianapolis, Indiana United States: Florida United States: Vermont United States: San Francisco, California Under 5 years 0.064 0.159 0.143 0.039 0.039 0.048 0.049 0.049 0.082 0.102 0.059 0.061 0.162 0.046 0.127 0.056 0.070 0.049 0.072 0.048 0.052 0.055 0.071 0.065 0.049 0.061 0.066 0.074 0.059 0.056 0.041 05 - 19 years 0.205 0.357 0.376 0.170 0.168 0.197 0.202 0.193 0.273 0.286 0.120 0.173 0.379 0.157 0.384 0.168 0.223 0.203 0.232 0.153 0.191 0.185 0.192 0.184 0.118 0.173 0.181 0.184 0.169 0.186 0.105 20 - 24 years 0.066 0.079 0.094 0.097 0.094 0.098 0.104 0.107 0.084 0.083 0.056 0.066 0.091 0.066 0.124 0.055 0.072 0.084 0.076 0.071 0.058 0.063 0.105 0.080 0.102 0.081 0.097 0.100 0.083 0.093 0.091 25 years and over 0.664 0.405 0.387 0.694 0.699 0.657 0.645 0.651 0.561 0.530 0.765 0.700 0.368 0.730 0.365 0.721 0.636 0.663 0.620 0.728 0.699 0.697 0.632 0.671 0.731 0.685 0.656 0.642 0.689 0.665 0.763 Majority 0.920 0.980 0.487 0.662 0.662 0.662 0.662 0.662 0.950 0.580 0.970 0.932 0.550 0.990 0.997 0.830 0.791 0.989 0.805 0.744 0.700 0.921 0.671 0.685 0.567 0.907 0.526 0.717 0.799 0.980 0.519 Minority 0.080 0.020 0.513 0.338 0.338 0.338 0.338 0.338 0.050 0.420 0.030 0.068 0.450 0.010 0.003 0.170 0.209 0.011 0.195 0.256 0.300 0.079 0.329 0.315 0.433 0.093 0.474 0.283 0.201 0.020 0.481 White 0.920 0.020 0.000 0.662 0.662 0.662 0.662 0.662 0.950 0.200 0.970 0.932 0.020 0.000 0.001 0.830 0.791 0.989 0.805 0.249 0.700 0.921 0.671 0.685 0.567 0.907 0.526 0.717 0.799 0.980 0.519 AfroAmerican 0.000 0.000 0.487 0.022 0.022 0.022 0.022 0.022 0.020 0.210 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.997 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.080 0.000 0.000 0.020 0.251 0.279 0.181 0.078 0.432 0.246 0.150 0.005 0.081 Hispanic Latinos 0.000 0.000 0.249 0.024 0.024 0.024 0.024 0.024 0.000 0.580 0.000 0.004 0.550 0.002 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.004 0.744 0.000 0.012 0.043 0.015 0.148 0.005 0.016 0.020 0.031 0.002 0.068 Asian 0.070 0.000 0.000 0.032 0.032 0.032 0.032 0.032 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.025 0.000 0.990 0.001 0.090 0.074 0.000 0.002 0.000 0.000 0.040 0.026 0.018 0.098 0.008 0.013 0.015 0.017 0.009 0.322 Other 0.010 0.980 0.106 0.260 0.260 0.260 0.260 0.260 0.030 0.010 0.030 0.039 0.430 0.008 0.001 0.080 0.135 0.011 0.109 0.007 0.300 0.007 0.008 0.002 0.006 0.002 0.013 0.003 0.004 0.004 0.010 StudentTeacher ratio 17.00 42.60 15.50 16.59 14.98 15.78 16.20 18.43 20.00 22.00 9.60 12.00 25.73 14.20 23.10 17.10 15.70 15.40 29.67 8.50 15.30 17.20 17.60 17.30 16.80 14.90 14.40 20.00 18.90 11.70 24.00 111 Appendix D: Continued Country / City Australia Bangladesh Belize Canada: Province of British Columbia Canada: Province of Quebec Canada: Province of Manitoba Canada: Province of Saskatchewan Canada: Province of Alberta Chile Colombia Denmark France Guatemala Japan Lesotho Netherlands New Zealand Poland Puerto Rico Spain Sweden United Kingdom United States: Milwaukee, Wisconsin United States: Cleveland, Ohio United States: New York, New York United States: Washington D.C., Maryland United States: Dayton, Ohio United States: Indianapolis, Indiana United States: Florida United States: Vermont United States: San Francisco, California Primary/un der H.school 0.390 0.987 0.360 0.194 0.244 0.284 0.283 0.219 0.510 0.711 0.323 0.180 0.720 0.267 0.810 0.120 0.240 0.180 0.636 0.320 0.080 0.160 0.050 0.170 0.214 0.162 0.170 0.196 0.201 0.136 0.232 Secondary/ High school 0.300 0.010 0.420 0.380 0.381 0.356 0.378 0.380 0.353 0.204 0.427 0.580 0.210 0.465 0.160 0.640 0.470 0.700 0.147 0.430 0.590 0.565 0.570 0.619 0.313 0.524 0.619 0.560 0.575 0.570 0.502 Higher/ College / BA 0.310 0.003 0.220 0.426 0.375 0.360 0.339 0.401 0.137 0.085 0.250 0.240 0.070 0.269 0.030 0.240 0.290 0.120 0.216 0.250 0.330 0.275 0.380 0.211 0.474 0.315 0.211 0.244 0.224 0.295 0.266 Average Number of years of Schooling 13.10 3.30 6.00 11.60 11.60 11.60 11.60 11.60 10.00 8.00 9.70 10.90 3.50 9.50 4.20 9.40 11.70 9.80 12.00 10.30 11.40 9.40 12.00 12.00 12.00 12.00 12.00 12.00 12.00 12.00 12.00 Cost of voucher per student in Dollar 4,664.00 36.00 500.00 2,095.50 4,258.20 7,432.00 3,452.35 3,435.50 22.32 143.00 5,400.00 6,605.00 4.00 2,369.32 450.00 5,304.00 3,539.01 321.47 1,500.00 4,274.00 6,676.00 3,500.00 4,894.00 6,507.00 1,400.00 7,500.00 2,600.00 800.00 4,100.00 1,204.00 2,600.00 112 Appendix E Brazil and its states – Data Set Country / City Brazil Acre Alagoas Amazonas Amapa Bahia Ceara Distrito Federal Espirito Santo Goias Maranhao Mato Grosso Mato Grosso do Sul Minas Gerais Para Paraiba Parana Pernambuco Piaui Rio de Janeiro Rio Grande do Norte Rio Grande do Sul Rondonia Roraima Santa Catarina Sao Paulo Sergipe Tocantins Total Public Expenditure on Education US$ Millions 22,852.33 126.64 295.77 349.41 89.22 1,369.64 755.14 608.22 424.55 508.36 541.80 425.05 338.52 2,347.94 631.18 421.71 1,329.80 729.68 334.49 2,187.17 438.49 1,433.31 173.26 74.21 646.71 5,530.19 238.17 158.19 Total % Public Expenditure of GDP on Education 0.047 0.149 0.084 0.041 0.103 0.060 0.071 0.050 0.041 0.052 0.125 0.067 0.057 0.046 0.069 0.097 0.040 0.051 0.130 0.035 0.105 0.035 0.063 0.166 0.033 0.030 0.080 0.138 Government Spending per Student 484.12 620.20 366.01 404.25 455.05 320.17 326.82 1,054.41 491.81 349.00 271.39 566.45 580.80 485.75 286.37 383.82 509.13 327.56 356.81 741.03 503.56 628.80 417.49 602.73 452.39 594.67 408.54 350.94 income per capita 2,710.00 1,844.31 889.45 1,276.40 1,361.53 1,228.16 1,178.65 3,579.26 1,834.82 1,708.97 843.33 1,828.81 1,867.47 1,734.20 1,434.95 1,092.72 2,114.38 1,336.05 982.35 2,435.88 1,150.34 2,444.26 1,682.37 1,242.34 2,163.99 2,611.94 1,126.07 1,113.20 GINI Coefficient 0.611 0.580 0.605 0.592 0.583 0.602 0.614 0.630 0.598 0.611 0.593 0.611 0.616 0.599 0.601 0.586 0.599 0.611 0.603 0.590 0.597 0.581 0.588 0.569 0.568 0.578 0.607 0.608 Under 5 years 0.107 0.138 0.119 0.138 0.142 0.101 0.108 0.098 0.092 0.096 0.123 0.102 0.098 0.090 0.126 0.098 0.093 0.101 0.106 0.085 0.100 0.084 0.112 0.137 0.089 0.086 0.110 0.116 05 - 19 years 0.327 0.370 0.350 0.371 0.372 0.341 0.338 0.296 0.302 0.301 0.376 0.325 0.313 0.298 0.365 0.329 0.294 0.322 0.351 0.258 0.327 0.271 0.347 0.364 0.293 0.275 0.339 0.353 20 - 24 years 0.097 0.101 0.098 0.103 0.104 0.100 0.092 0.114 0.098 0.101 0.097 0.100 0.094 0.094 0.100 0.094 0.091 0.097 0.097 0.090 0.094 0.084 0.099 0.100 0.089 0.095 0.099 0.099 25 years and over 0.468 0.391 0.434 0.389 0.382 0.458 0.462 0.492 0.508 0.502 0.405 0.473 0.495 0.518 0.410 0.479 0.522 0.480 0.446 0.567 0.479 0.560 0.442 0.399 0.529 0.543 0.452 0.432 Corruption Level (10=clean 0=corrupt) 4.000 3.440 4.871 3.395 5.009 3.991 4.485 4.507 4.653 3.480 2.991 4.218 4.031 3.782 3.409 3.587 4.858 4.453 3.338 3.355 3.813 4.355 4.662 3.418 4.395 3.627 4.525 3.631 113 Appendix E: Continued Country / City Brazil Acre Alagoas Amazonas Amapa Bahia Ceara Distrito Federal Espirito Santo Goias Maranhao Mato Grosso Mato Grosso do Sul Minas Gerais Para Paraiba Parana Pernambuco Piaui Rio de Janeiro Rio Grande do Norte Rio Grande do Sul Rondonia Roraima Santa Catarina Sao Paulo Sergipe Tocantins Majority 0.550 0.622 0.595 0.669 0.657 0.601 0.575 0.492 0.488 0.507 0.623 0.479 0.547 0.536 0.664 0.523 0.772 0.529 0.646 0.547 0.524 0.866 0.506 0.615 0.893 0.707 0.608 0.606 Minority 0.450 0.378 0.405 0.331 0.343 0.399 0.425 0.508 0.512 0.493 0.377 0.521 0.453 0.464 0.336 0.477 0.228 0.471 0.354 0.453 0.476 0.134 0.494 0.385 0.107 0.293 0.392 0.394 Primary/under H.school 0.769 0.831 0.845 0.769 0.749 0.822 0.839 0.589 0.769 0.795 0.852 0.805 0.785 0.794 0.826 0.835 0.769 0.799 0.859 0.685 0.803 0.768 0.843 0.791 0.785 0.717 0.824 0.834 Secondary/ High school 0.163 0.131 0.116 0.197 0.210 0.148 0.124 0.258 0.174 0.157 0.129 0.144 0.147 0.145 0.141 0.112 0.161 0.146 0.117 0.215 0.150 0.160 0.127 0.168 0.154 0.184 0.138 0.136 Higher/ College / BA 0.068 0.038 0.039 0.034 0.040 0.031 0.036 0.153 0.056 0.048 0.019 0.051 0.068 0.061 0.033 0.053 0.070 0.055 0.025 0.101 0.046 0.072 0.030 0.041 0.061 0.098 0.038 0.030 Average Number of years of Schooling 6.2 4.4 3.7 5.5 6.0 4.1 4.0 8.1 5.7 5.5 3.6 5.4 5.7 5.4 4.7 3.8 6.0 4.6 3.5 7.1 4.4 6.3 4.9 5.7 6.3 6.7 4.3 4.4 Democracy Index 2002 6.2 6.2 6.2 6.2 6.2 6.2 6.2 6.2 6.2 6.2 6.2 6.2 6.2 6.2 6.2 6.2 6.2 6.2 6.2 6.2 6.2 6.2 6.2 6.2 6.2 6.2 6.2 6.2 StudentTeacher ratio 22.4 22.9 28.5 20.3 29.3 25.5 26.1 22.1 20.0 23.1 23.4 23.0 20.1 19.4 29.8 22.8 19.8 25.9 20.5 18.9 23.8 17.7 25.8 18.8 20.5 22.8 24.9 23.9
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