The Islamic Republic of Iran’s Perception of National Security: A Multi-theoretical investigation of how and why Iran’s Supreme Leader Securitizes the Others as Enemies Fall Master Thesis Supervisor: Prof. Per Jansson Submitted by: Morteza Eslahchi ID: 19840123-8350 August. 25, 2014 08 Acknowledgment: This thesis is dedicated to my beloved wife whose love and backing has always been the main driver of progress and improvement in my life and to my dear parents because of their long-life love and support. I should also thank professor Per Jansson because of his time, patience, advices and guidance. This thesis was an intellectual journey through which I faced the bitterness and joy of academia and the result was the improvement of my analytical skills. Abstract: This thesis is an endeavor to analyze the Islamic Republic of Iran’s (IRI) perception of national security using a multitheoretical approach, with a particular focus on the ideas of Copenhagen School of security studies. In this research, the factors that form the IRI’s perception of national security will be explained and it will be argued how this perception leads Iran’s leaders to perceive the others as enemies. Furthermore, based on the enemy conception, the process of securitization by Iran’s supreme leader and its domestic usage will be explored. Key Words: Islamic Republic of Iran, Realism, Constructivism, Copenhagen school of security studies, national security, Regional security complexes, securitization, trauma, Shiism, nationalism, the Middle East, Israel, the U.S. Word count excluding table of contents, footnotes, bibliography and appendix: 23602 1 Table of Contents Acknowledgment: .............................................................................................................................................. 1 Abstract: ................................................................................................................................................................ 1 Key Words: ............................................................................................................................................................ 1 Chapter one: Introduction ................................................................................... 4 1.1. Background and the importance of the study .............................................................................. 4 1.2. Purpose of the study and research questions .............................................................................. 6 Chapter Two: Methodology ................................................................................. 8 2.1. Inductive Reasoning ................................................................................................................................ 8 2.2. Discourse Analysis ................................................................................................................................... 9 2.2.1 Speech Acts ............................................................................................................................................. 11 2.3. Document analysis ................................................................................................................................. 13 2.4. In-‐depth Interviews ............................................................................................................................... 13 Chapter Three: Theoretical Framework and Literature Review ...................... 15 3.1. Introduction: analyzing national security ................................................................................... 15 3.2. Realism ........................................................................................................................................................ 17 3.2.1. Basic theoretical foundation .......................................................................................................... 17 3.2.2. Balance of Power ................................................................................................................................ 18 3.2.3. Religion as Instrument ...................................................................................................................... 20 3.3. Constructivism ......................................................................................................................................... 21 3.3.1. Basic Theoretical Foundation ....................................................................................................... 21 3.3.2. Anarchy is what states make of it ................................................................................................. 23 3.3.3. Islamic Republic Of Iran; a mission oriented actor .............................................................. 24 3.4. Copenhagen School of Security Studies ........................................................................................ 25 3.4.1. Regional Security Complexes ......................................................................................................... 27 3.4.2. Securitization ........................................................................................................................................ 30 3.5. Conclusion ................................................................................................................................................. 32 Chapter Four: Understanding the IRI’s Nature ................................................ 35 4.1. Iran’s political structure: the importance of the Supreme Leader .................................... 35 4.2. The Constant Conflict Over Power .................................................................................................. 40 4.3. Conclusion ................................................................................................................................................. 43 Chapter Five: Analyzing the Factors Forming Iranian Perception of National Security .............................................................................................................. 44 5.1. Introduction .............................................................................................................................................. 44 5.2. Historical Trauma .................................................................................................................................. 45 5.3. Shiism: Revolutionary Islam .............................................................................................................. 47 5.4. Persian Nationalism .............................................................................................................................. 50 5.5. Conclusion ................................................................................................................................................. 52 Chapter Six: Regional security complexes; the Middle East dilemma .............. 53 6.1. Surrounded by foes: Iran and its neighbors ............................................................................... 53 2 6.2. The Russian Roulette: Iran versus Israel ..................................................................................... 55 6.3. Enemy at the gates: the U.S presence in the region ................................................................. 58 6.4. Conclusion ................................................................................................................................................. 61 Chapter Seven: Securitizing the others as enemies ............................................ 62 7.1. The Enemy Conception ........................................................................................................................ 62 7.2. The Need To Have Enemies ............................................................................................................... 67 7.3. Conclusion ................................................................................................................................................. 70 Conclusion: Making National Security In a Complex Web of Uncertainty ....... 72 Theoretical Conclusion ................................................................................................................................. 72 Main Findings ................................................................................................................................................... 73 Suggestions for further studies ................................................................................................................. 74 Bibliography ...................................................................................................... 75 Appendix I ......................................................................................................... 82 Appendix II ........................................................................................................ 86 Appendix III ...................................................................................................... 90 3 Chapter one: Introduction 1.1. Background and the importance of the study In the history of International Relations, maintaining security has been thought of as the primary aim of every state. 1 Nevertheless, states do not have a shared understanding and perception about national security and the way in which they interpret the concept of security differs from state to state. 2 Accordingly, it is probably right to profess that national security may not mean the same thing to different states.34 That is why a country’s security policy, which seems rational and logical to its policymakers, can seem totally irrational in the view of others and that is because rationality itself may have different meanings in different cultures.5 A significant instance of this issue, however, is Iran’s security policy after the Islamic revolution. Iran’s unexpected Islamic revolution shocked the world because during the Cold War era whilst all the attention was focused on the capitalism-socialism rivalry, an Islamic regime with an uncompromising attitude towards both the West and the East was not something that anyone had desired. In the age of bipolarity, when most of the countries tried to modulate their national security by bandwagoning with one of the blocks, Iranian cleric regime appeared to rely on the principle of “neither east, nor west”, a famous quote by Ayatollah Rouhollah Khomeini, the founder of the Islamic Republic of Iran (IRI). Since 1979’s Islamic revolution, Iran has been categorized as a rogue state whose foreign and security policy is a threat to international community. Its support of terrorist groups (Hezbollah, Hamas, Islamic Jihad), its harsh rhetoric against the U.S. and especially Israel and eventually its alleged pursuit of Weapons of Mass Destruction (WMD) are common measures by which politicians, journalists and scholars analyze the country’s behavior. Moreover, the overthrow of the Shah and the 1 Baldwin, David A. "The Concept of Security." Review of International Studies 23, no. 1 (1997). 2 Fitz-‐Gerald, Ann M. "A UK National Security Strategy: Institutions and Cultural Challenges." Defence Studies 8, no. 1 2 Fitz-‐Gerald, Ann M. "A UK National Security Strategy: Institutions and Cultural Challenges." Defence Studies 8, no. 1 (March 2008). 3 Stolberg, Alan G. How Nation-‐States Craft National Security Strategy Documents. Strategic Studies Institute, 2012. 4 Wolfers, Arnold. "National Security as an Ambiguous Symbol." Political Science Quarterly 67, no. 4 (1952). 5 Johnson, Jeannie L, Kerry M Kartchner, and Jeffrey A Larsen. Strategic Cultures and Weapons of Mass Destruction. New York: Palgrave MacMillan, 2009. 4 emergence of the Islamic republic of Iran had an enormous effect on the geopolitics of the Middle East. Iran’s amity with Israel turned to an enmity6, whilst Iran appeared to be a strong rival for Saudi Arabia and Egypt, seeking for Islamic hegemony in the region.7 Eventually Iranian’s ambition for distributing their revolution in the region was used as an excuse by Iraq to attack Iran.8 In the last decade, however, Iranian nuclear program has become a hotspot of political and security concerns, due to it being in one of the most turbulence regions of the world with already existing bloody conflicts, driven by traditional agenda of territorial disputes, ideological competitions, power and status rivalries, and ethnic and cultural divisions9. Thus, another Middle Eastern country empowered by nuclear weapons is not favorable. Due to the ideological aspects of the Iranian state, many scholars believe that a troublemaker country as such, with an aggressive security and foreign policy and empowered by nuclear weapons would be uncontrollable if not disastrous. Although Iran and five permanent members of the UN Security Council plus Germany (P5+1) did achieve a significant nuclear deal in November 2013, this deal was too fragile to pour oil on troubled waters, chiefly when the previous deal between Iran and E3 in 2003 failed. In this regard, if one believes that possessing nuclear weapons is a part of Iranian security calculation then these kinds of deals and negotiations can be considered as deception used by Iranians in order to buy time for concluding their facilities.10 Considering the importance of Iran in the Middle East, the country has always been interesting for scholars; therefore there is a growing body of literature trying to analyze and describe its security and foreign policy. In the last decade enormous numbers of scholarly articles and books were published in order to understand and describe why Iran is seeking nuclear weapons and what will happen if Iran achieves to do so. 6 Entesar, Nader. "Iran's Nuclear Decision-‐Making Calculus." Middle East Policy XVI, no. 2 (2009). 7 Knepper, Jennifer. "Nuclear Weapons and Iranian Strategic Culture." Comparative Strategy 27, no. 5 (2008). 8 Tarzi, Amin. "The Role of WMD in Iranian Security Calculations: Dangers to Europe." Middle East Review of International Affairs 8, no. 3 (2004). 9 Buzan, Barry, and Ole Waever. Regions and Powers. New York: Cambridge University Press, 2003: 193. 10 Landsberg, Carel M., and Hussein Solomon. "How Do Iranian Diplomats Negotiate?" American Foreign Policy Interests 32, no. 1 (2010): 19. 5 1.2. Purpose of the study and research questions At least for a decade, debates over Iran have been making headlines, thus making contributions to such a contested issue seem hard if not impossible. Nevertheless, when reading the available literature on the topic, Mevlana Rumi’s elephant metaphor comes to one’s mind. This is when each scholar touches a part of an elephant in a dark room and based on that tries to explain what an elephant actually looks like. Of course ideology is an inseparable part of Iran’s current regime but it is not correct to dismiss other aspects such as geopolitics. On the other hand it is obvious that Iran, like many other states, is seeking survival, however, how it is possible to forget its Islamic ideas and values which during the last three decades has caused a lot of ups and downs in its security and foreign policy. Many scholars believe that understanding Iran’s security and foreign policy is not an easy task. For instance, Robert Jervis, a prominent scholar of International relations, in an interview with Gideon Rose, editor of Foreign Affairs, which was published on YouTube, stated that ‘we don’t understand Iran very well’. 11 The reason behind Jervis expression could be because two Irans actually exist, with two contradictory interpretations of security and two different security narratives—‘Iran from outside’ and ‘Iran from within’12 or for the reason that ‘Information about Iranian security policies is often more in the nature of propaganda than objective reporting’.13 Therefore, the author of this thesis believes that for observing the whole elephant (Iran) it is necessary to consider all the related aspects involved in making national security of Iran. In so doing, both subjective and objective elements will be investigated. The subjective elements are historical trauma, Shiism and Persian nationalism and from the objective angle, Iran’s geopolitical situation from regional perspective will be inspected. Moreover as it is obvious from the title this thesis is aimed to analyze the process of securitization, therefore the enemy conception finds a vital role in this research. The ultimate aim of this thesis, however, will be finding an answer to the question: 11 Rose, Gideon. Robert Gervis on Nuclear Diplomacy. Foreign Affairs. 03 13, 2014. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=g500L_a3ZfA#t=78 (accessed 03 15, 2014). 12 Sajjadpour, Seyed Kazem. "The evolution of Irans's national security doctrine." In Europe and Iran: Perspectives on Non-‐proliferation, by Shannon N. Kile. New York: Oxford University Press, 2005: 22. 13 Jones, Peter. "Iran's Threat Perceptions And Arms Control Policies." The Nonproliferation Review, Fall 1998: 39. 6 • Why and how does Iran’s Supreme Leader securitize the others as enemies? A clear answer to this question is important for understanding Iran’s perception of national security because as it will be discussed later, the enemy conception occupies a significant place in Iran’s calculation of national security. However, before analyzing this issue it is essential to understand why is the conception of enemy important in the context of Iranian perception of national security? Therefore the thesis will try to explain: • The factors (geopolitical, cultural, historical, etc.) forming Iranian perception of national security And finally, since this research will, to a great extent, rely on analyzing the speeches of Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, the current supreme leader of Iran, therefore, it is really useful to offer a short overview of Iran’s political structure to clarify: • What is the role of Iran’s Supreme Leader in making the country’s national security? The answers of these three questions altogether are an endeavor to fill the aforementioned gap between Iran from outside and Iran from within. The writer cannot claim that this research is a unique work that is able to solve the Iran’s puzzle of national security, however, the prominent aim will be shedding light to the dark inside of Iran, which is the perception of the country’s leaders about national security. 7 Chapter Two: Methodology 2.1. Inductive Reasoning As it was showed, the thesis is based on a complicated intertwined design, thus, a careful usage of methods is required and therefore a collection of approaches and methods will be engaged. In order to respond to the thesis questions, the research will choose to proceed inductively. Inductive reasoning makes broad generalizations from specific observations. Being inductive means to start ‘from an empirical investigation of the phenomenon of interest. In a further step, the empirical information is interpreted conceptually’. 14 Moreover, based on different ontologies and epistemologies, scholars use different methods from positivist to humanistic. However, this thesis will use post-positivist and interpretivist approaches. Postpositivism accepts a degree of uncertainty thus in this approach positivist assumptions are relaxed.15 Interpretivist approach, in turn, believes that objective and subjective meanings are deeply intertwined. According to this approach; ‘since human beings are meaningful actors, scholars must aim at discovering the meanings that motivate their actions rather than relying on universal laws external to the actors’16. As post-positivist and interpretivist approaches will be used in this thesis the most compatible method seems to be qualitative. As this thesis tries to discover Iranian “perception” of national security and the importance of enemy conception in their perception, then qualitative method is suitable because its aim is to understand people’s interpretation and it assumes that reality changes with changes in people’s perceptions. 17 Qualitative research includes mostly archival research, textual criticism, in-depth interviews, and discourse and context analysis. Being a native Persian speaker gives the author of this thesis an advantage to access documents, statements and speeches of Iran’s leaders without the proxy of translation, therefore the author is able to explore primary sources. Accordingly, discourse and context 14 Heritier, Adrienne. "Causal Explanation." In Approaches and Methodologies in the Social Sciences, by Donatella Della Porta and Michael Keating. Cambridge University Press, 2008: 64. 15 Della Porta, Donatella, and Michael Keating. "How Many Approaches in the Social Sciences? An Epistemological Introduction." In Approaches and Methodologies in the Social Sciences, by Donatella Della Porta and Michael Keating. Cambridge University Press, 2008. 16 Ibid: 24. 17 Key, James P. Research Design in Occupational Education. 1997. http://www.go.okstate.edu (accessed December 4, 2013). 8 analysis, archival research and interview with experts will be used in this thesis. Needless to say that a huge numbers of scholarly books and articles written by experts in the field will be used as a measure in order to avoid the thesis being written subjectively. 2.2. Discourse Analysis One of the main aspects of this research is dedicated to exploring the methods applied by Iranian state’s supreme leader in order to do securitization. As it will be discussed in the next chapter, securitization is about the “how” matter, which means its main aim, is not to find the reasons that lead states to do securitization but to analyze the process in which states apply securitization. Needless to say that the “why” matter will be discussed too in this thesis because it is impossible to skip the reasons behind the process of securitization. Moreover, securitization, as the founders of Copenhagen school of security studies express it, is hugely based on speech act, which is a specific branch of discourse analysis. Accordingly, using discourse analysis in this research is a necessity embedded in the theory that the research takes advantage of. On the other hand, as the thesis aims to understand the mindset of Iran’s decision makers, using discourse analysis seems inevitable because the manner, in which people talk and use language, to a large extent, exposes how they think. Therefore; ‘discourse can be defined here as a system of interrelated statements, including concepts, classifications, and analogies that make the world meaningful or in a way construct the world. Foreign policy-related discourses give meaning to the outside world and the positions, interests, and interactions of the self and the other in the international system’.18 Moreover, an accurate discourse analysis accompanied by explaining the historical and cultural grounds which shape the mindset of a state’s leaders can help us to understand the given state rationality and reality as well as its way of perceiving the world and interacting with others. Understanding the cultural and historical background plays a significant role here because every discourse occurs in a culturalhistorical context.19 18 Moshirzadeh, Homeira. "Discursive Foundations of Iran's Nuclear Policy." Security Dialogue 38, no. 4 (2007): 522. 19 Wodak, Ruth, and Michal Krzyzanowski. Qualitative Discourse Analysis In The Social Scinces. London: Palgrave McMillan, 2008. 9 In so doing, the speeches of Iran’s supreme leader will be analyzed here. Although there are numerous actors in Iran’s political sphere and compared to the supreme leader some of them seem even more relevant regarding the security issues such as the president, the minister of foreign affairs and the minister of intelligence and security. However, as it will be discussed in chapter four, due to the supreme leader’s constitutional and actual power he seems to be the most-fit figure to be discourse analyzed for reaching the task of understanding Iranians’ perception of national security. Given the fact that he has been in charge for many years (eight years as president and twenty five years as the supreme leader) there are enormous numbers of speeches available of him and obviously it is impossible to analyze all of them. Therefore, this research will only focus on the period that he has been the supreme leader. Nevertheless, there are still speeches of twenty-five years to be analyzed and because he holds usually approximately sixty speeches every year, it is still unrealistic wishing to read and analyze all the speeches of this period. Therefore, to solve this problem four kinds of speeches have been targeted. First, speeches held for the staff of the ministry of intelligence and security. Secondly, the speeches held for the staff of the ministry of foreign affairs. Thirdly, speeches held for military commanders and fourthly, speeches held on the first day of every year. The reason for choosing the first three is obvious, however, the forth one was chosen because on the first day every year the supreme leader announces the country’s yearly strategies and aims. However, apart from these four some others speeches are analyzed in this research due to their importance and the specific effects that they had on Iran’s political situation. Unfortunately Iranian officials do not usually publish their memoirs especially when they serve the country in issues like security and foreign affairs. Nonetheless, two newly published memoirs of Iran’s officials, namely; the current president- Hassan Rouhani and the current minister of foreign affairs- Mohammadjavad Zarif will be used as well. These two figures are important because of their positions in Iran’s foreign and security apparatus. Before being elected as president in June 2013, for many years, Rouhani served the country as the secretary of the Supreme National 10 Security Council and the head of the Center for Strategic Research. He also led Iran’s delegation during the negotiations over Iran’s nuclear program with E3 in 2003-2004. Zarif, in turn, before being announced as the minister of foreign affairs in 2013 was the Permanent Representative of Iran to the United Nations from 2002 to 2007. He has held positions such as Deputy Foreign Minister in Legal and International affairs and senior adviser to the Foreign Minister. During the 2003-2004 talks he was a high ranked member of Iran’s delegation as well. 2.2.1 Speech Acts Previously it was discussed that exploring speech acts, as a specific way of discourse analysis will be used in this research. Speech act as John Austin expresses it is the process of doing something by saying something or making somebody to do something by saying something.20 Nevertheless it is not as simple as it seems and as Austin states ‘there must exist an accepted conventional procedure having a certain conventional effect, that procedure to include the uttering of certain words by certain persons in certain circumstances’.21 John Searle, another prominent scholar in speech act theory explains the necessary conditions of the speech act more explicitly. In his view for giving an order; ‘the preparatory conditions include that the speaker should be in a position of authority over the hearer, the sincerity condition is that the speaker wants the ordered act done, and the essential condition has to do with the fact that the speaker intends the utterance as an attempt to get the hearer to do the fact’.22 Austin, as the pioneer of speech act theory, distinguishes between two different kinds of illocutionary act (constative and performative) in order to answer the question; what people do when they use language. In constative something is stated about reality but in performative an act is performed by the utterance itself.23 In the view of Searle, however, Austin’s categorization does not seem satisfying, therefore, he makes his own categorization that includes five different illocutionary acts, which are: 20 Austin, John L. How to DomThings With Words. 2nd Edition. Edited by J. O. Urmson and Marina Sbisa. 1962. 21 Ibid: 14. 22 Searle, John R. Speech Acts: AN Essay In The PhilosoPhy oF Language. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1969: 69. 23 Renkema, Jan. Introduction to Discourse Studies. Amsterdam: John Benjamin Publishing Company, 2004: 13. 11 • ‘Assertives: telling how things are • Directives: trying to get people to do things • Commissives: committing ourselves to do things • Expressives: expressing feeling and attitudes • Declarations: trying to make change in the world through utterances’24 Moreover, Searle points out that using illocutionary verbs does not necessarily result illocutionary act and understanding when a speaker is doing illocutionary act by using illocutionary verbs depends heavily on the context, background and also the specific situation of the speaking. Therefore, conducting discourse analysis means going beyond the barriers of the formal aspects of language (semantic and syntactic) by investigating the language within social, cultural and political contexts and even the institutional relationship between the speaker and the hearer.25 All of these issues aside, however, when analyzing a speech it is important to work based on some criteria. The criteria that will be used here for analyzing the speeches are mainly mood, modality, forms of address and cohesion:26 • Mood: there are three moods, which are declaration, interrogative and imperative. • Modality: ‘modality concerns the expression of speaker’s attitude towards the propositions that they render in their utterance’27. In fact, modality includes expressions of probability, necessity and permissibility which means in a modalized sentence with use of different words such as must, should, might, may, could, speaker expresses her/his stance regarding the necessity or possibility of the proposition. • Forms of address: the way that people address each other is strictly significant for understanding the interpersonal relationship and social status between them. With forms of address one is able to simply convey ones politeness, amity, enmity, social distance, formality, respect, difference, etc. toward others. 24 Searle, John R. Expression and Meaning. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1979: VIII. 25 Barker, Chris, and Dariusz Galasinski. Cultural Studies and Discourse Analysis. London: SAGE Publications, 2001: 63. 26 Ibid: 75-‐80. 27 Ibid: 77. 12 • Cohesion: this is about various components that make a text to stick together. In the case of speeches it is not only about the cohesion in one speech but all the speeches that the speaker holds on a same topic. For example, when talking for a same audience in different periods of time, if the speaker changes the form of address that means that either the speaker changes her/his attitude towards the audience or s/he is not sure about her/his attitude regarding the audience. This is true about mood, and modality as well and when there is a change, it is vital to find out what reasons make these differences in order to reach a correct analysis. 2.3. Document analysis Document analysis is one of the most common methods in a qualitative research. It can be defined as a ‘systematic procedure for reviewing or evaluating documents. Like other analytical methods in qualitative research, document analysis requires that data be examined and interpreted in order to elicit meaning, gain understanding, and develop empirical knowledge’.28 Although the main method of the thesis is discourse analysis it is useful for a qualitative research project to benefit from multiple sources of evidence in order to make the analysis more coherence and accurate and to circumvent the pitfall of intellectual failure. The problem here is that the Islamic Republic of Iran does not usually publicly publish important documents because in their view everything related to foreign policy and security is highly confidential. Nevertheless, there are some upstream documents like the country’s constitution and “twenty-years outlook document” that can be used as the touchstones to see to what extent the country’s actual security and foreign policy is coincident to them. 2.4. In-depth Interviews Understanding Iran’s political system and its leaders’ mindset is complicated. Hence, having the views of people who have either first-hand experience in the political system of the country or academic knowledge is highly useful to capture a correct comprehension about Iran’s complexities. These interviews can be seen as 28 Bowen, Glenn. "Document Analysis as a Qualitative Research Method." Qualitative Research Journal 9,no. 2 (2009): 27. 13 supplementary data that enhance the findings of the other methods.29 In doing so, three persons with different background and expertise will be interviewed. Regarding the importance of the supreme leader in this research there will be one interview with Dr. Mohsen Kadivar, who is currently a visiting professor at Duke University. Kadivar is an Iranian researcher and political activist who has been in prison due to his research and publications about the current supreme leader, political Islam and Iran’s political system. Another interview will be with Hossein Alizadeh, the former deputy head of mission in Iran’s embassy in Finland who, after more than twenty years in service, resigned his post in 2010 in order to support the opposition; the Green Movement. Alizadeh is currently a researcher at Peace Research Institute of Tampere University. It is necessary to mention that Kadivar and Alizadeh both live in exile now because of their problems with the political system of the country. Finally, there will be another interview with Meir Javedanfar, an Israeli Tel Aviv based scholar who was born in Iran in an Iranian-Jewish family and moved to Israel when he was a teenager. He currently teaches contemporary Iranian politics at Interdisciplinary Center (IDC) in Herzliya University. The interviews were conducted in a semi-structured format in order to take the most advantage of interviewees’ knowledge. Hence, there were some main questions and whenever necessary the interviewer asked subsequently questions. The full texts of interviews are attached to the thesis in the appendix but whenever necessary some quotes have been used in the text. It is also necessary to mention that the interviews with Kadivar and Alizadeh were conducted in Persian and have been translated to English by the writer of the thesis. 29 Fairclough, Norman. Discourse and Social Change. Cambridge: Polity Press, 1992. 14 Chapter Three: Theoretical Framework and Literature Review 3.1. Introduction: analyzing national security Arnold Wolfers’ classic piece; “National Security as an Ambiguous Symbol” has long been considered as the point of departure of security studies. In his article he utters that ‘security, in an objective sense, measures the absence of threats to acquired values, in a subjective sense, the absence of fear that such values will be attacked’.30 Although Wolfers’ explanation of security seems comprehensive, nevertheless, Baldwin31 believes that there is some ambiguity in the phrase “absence of threat” thus he prefers to reformulate Wolfers’ phrase as “a low probability of damage to acquired values”. Nonetheless, there is a significant point in Wolfers formulation. He ‘has noted that security can be approached both objectively (there is a real threat) and subjectively (there is a perceived threat) and that nothing ensures that these two approaches will line up.’32 This issue, however, causes different questions for the analysis of security concept such as: security for whom? Security for which values? How much security? From what threats? By what means? At what cost? In what period of time?.33 Moreover, there are too many definitions of security studies. For instance, Stephen Walt defines security studies as ‘the study of the threat, use, and control of military force ... [that is] the conditions that make the use of force more likely, the ways that the use of force affects individuals, states and societies, and the specific policies that states adopt in order to prepare for, prevent, or engage in war’.34 Nevertheless, there seems to be no complete agreement about this definition because some scholars argue that threats are hard to be totally perceived because of subjective/objective problem. In this regard Barry Buzan argues ‘actual threats, as well as being impossible to measure, may not be perceived. The threats that dominate perception may not have much substantive reality’.35 It is, therefore, a complicated task to make a solid difference between real threats and perceived threats and even 30 Wolfers, Arnold. "National Security as an Ambiguous Symbol." Political Science Quarterly 67, no. 4 (1952): 485. 31 Baldwin, David A. "The Concept of Security." Review of International Studies 23, no. 1 (1997). 32 Buzan, Barry, Ole Waever, and Jaap de Wilde. Security: A New Framework For Analysis. Lynne Rienner Publishers, 1998: 30. 33 Stolberg, Alan G. How Nation-‐States Craft National Security Strategy Documents. Strategic Studies Institute, 2012: 9. 34 Walt, Stephen M. "The Renaissance of Security Studies." International Studies Quarterly 35, no. 2 (June 1991): 212. 35 Buzan, Barry. People, States and fear: an agenda for international security studies in the post-‐Cold War era. Havester Wheatsheaf, 1991: 114-‐115. 15 sometimes the best analysts fail to achieve this task. For instance, Israelis believe that Iran’s nuclear program is an existential threat to them and the moment Iran acquires nuclear weapons is the doomsday of Israel because they perceive that Iran is pursuing nuclear weapons to attack Israel. However, Robert Jervis believes that in the case that Iran seeks nuclear weapons it is for defensive aims and even not to defend against Israel but America.36 Which one of these two narratives is the closest to the verity? Apart from the discussion about different interpretations of security, to put it simply, it can be contended that national security is actualizing national interest and national interest is that which is deemed by a particular state to be a desirable goal.37 Hence, probably the first and most important task of any student of security studies can be observed as defining national interests that shape the bedrock of national security process, because if the interests are ill defined and erratic then any kind of description and analysis would fail.38 Thus, national security strategy can be defined as ‘a nation’s plan for the coordinated use of all the instruments of state power—nonmilitary as well as military—to pursue objectives that defend and advance the national interest.’39 This definition perfectly demonstrates the traditional materialist understanding of security. However, security studies is a spectrum, which ranges from very constructivist to very objectivist. Further discussion regarding these different approaches towards security studies will be presented in separate sections based on different schools of security studies. This discussion is necessary because these theories will flow through this research in a comparative manner. 36 Rose, Gideon. Robert Gervis on Nuclear Diplomacy. Foreign Affairs. 03 13, 2014. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=g500L_a3ZfA#t=78 (accessed 03 15, 2014). 37 Stolberg, Alan G. How Nation-‐States Craft National Security Strategy Documents. Strategic Studies Institute, 2012. 38 Drew, Dennis M, and Donald M Snow. Making Twenty-‐First-‐Century Strategy: an introduction to modern national security processes. Alabama: Air University Press, 2006. 39 Doyle, Richard B. "The U.S. National Security Strategy: policy, process, problems." Public Sminstration Review 67, no. 4 (July/August 2007): 624. 16 3.2. Realism 3.2.1. Basic theoretical foundation It has always been evident to many, if not all, that no other theory of international relations emphasizes security more than realism.40 As Kenneth Waltz explains: ‘in anarchy, security is the highest end. Only if survival is assured can states safely seek such other goals as tranquility, profit and power. Because power is means and not end, states prefer to join the weaker of two coalitions. They cannot let power; a possibly useful means, become the end they pursue. The goal the system encourages them to seek is security.’41 Waltz states that his theory is based on two presumptions. First, he presumes that states are the key actors in international politics and they operate in an anarchic system, which means that no higher authority dominates them. Secondly, he presumes that the primary goal of every state is survival, which means that they seek to guard their sovereignty.42 Yet, in order to gain a full and accurate grasp of Waltz’s meaning behind these words it is incumbent to understand some of the implications that he uses, above all, terms such as ANARCHY and SYSTEM require to be expounded. As Waltz43 alleges systems comprise structure and their interacting units. He believes that political structures have three essential elements; ordering principle (anarchic or hierarchical), the character of the units (functionally alike or differentiated) and the distribution of capabilities. 44 In his view ordering principle and the character of the units are permanent because the lack of an overarching authority makes the structure’s ordering principle as anarchy and the principle of self-help makes all the units act functionally alike. Accordingly, the only structural variable is the distribution of capabilities.45 40 Baldwin, David A. "The Concept of Security." Review of International Studies 23, no. 1 (1997). 41 Waltz, Kenneth. Theory of International Politics. Berkeley: McGraw-‐Hill, 1979: 126. 42 Mearsheimer, John J. "Reckless States and Realism." International Relations 23, no. 2 (2009): 242. 43 Waltz, Kenneth.Theory of International Politics. Berkeley: McGraw-‐Hill, 1979: 77. 44 Ibid: 88-‐99. 45 Elman, Colin. "Realism." In Security Studies: an introduction, by Paul D. Williams. New York: Routledge, 2008: 18. 17 By anarchy Waltz means that all states are under determined restrictions because ‘among states, the state of nature is a state of war’.46 As a result, states have to protect themselves in a world in which there is no one who can do this task on behalf of them. This simply means that all states wants to survive by using self-help. According to self-help, states need to increase their power to reach their primary goal, which is survival. When a state increases its power in order to make itself secure it causes other states to feel less secure and increase their power to balance the first one. This process, however, leads states to an unending rivalry, which is called securitydilemma. From this point of view, it does not matter what kind of regime rules a state because all states should follow the same logic. This is because states are functionally undifferentiated and perform alike attitude due to anarchy demanding actors to pursue particular rules, which force them to behave similarly.47 Therefore it can be said that during the Cold War, Soviets were security seekers like the Americans.48 3.2.2. Balance of Power It goes without saying that the most significant contribution of realism to international relations is the proposition of balance of power. Balance of power is based on the notion that under the condition of anarchy, states seek to survive as independent entities. In so doing, they maximize their capabilities against ‘the possibility that one state might amass the wherewithal to compel all the others to do its will and even possibly eliminate them.’49 According to this view, contrary to the liberals’ idea of democratic peace, democracy is not a guarantor of peace. Rather, peace is generally preserved when equilibrium of power exists amongst great powers. 50 Realists argue that balance of power occurs either through internal balancing or external balancing. By internal balancing they mean: efforts to increasing economic condition, strengthening military capabilities and developing clever strategies and by external balancing they mean enlarging alliances or 46 Waltz, Kenneth.Theory of International Politics. Berkeley: McGraw-‐Hill, 1979: 112. 47 Mohammad Nia, Mahdi. "Understanding Iran's Foreign Plicy: An application of Holistic Constructivism." Alternatives: Turkish Journal of International Relations 9, no. 1 (2010). 48 Jervis, Robert. Perception and Misperception in International Politics. New Jersey: Princeton University Press, 1976. 49 Wohlforth, William C. "Realism and Security Studies." In The Routledge Handbook of Security Studies, by Myriam Dunn Cavelty and Victor Mauer. London: Routledge, 2010: 15. 50 Paul, T. V. "Introduction: the enduring axioms of balance of power theory and their contemporary relevance." In Balance of Power: theory and practice in the 21st century, by T. V. Paul, Jamaes J. Wirtz and Michel Fortmann. California: Standford University Press, 2004: 5. 18 weakening the enemy status.51 This materialist explanation of states’ behavior has a tendency to see all the states as rational actors (besides their domestic political structure) thus; its main focus is on analyzing distribution of power. Regarding Iranian perception of national security, realists consider Iran’s security policy as seeking for survival. In their view, being in a region with three nuclear states (Pakistan as Iran’s neighbor, Israel as its enemy and India) gives Iran sufficient security uncertainty to seek nuclear weapons. 52 Hence, according to balance of power, it is a necessity for Iran to obtain nuclear bomb. Waltz stated that this effort is not for offensive purposes rather defensive. ‘Although it is impossible to be certain of Iranian intentions, it is far more likely that if Iran desires nuclear weapons, it is for the purpose of providing for its own security, not to improve its offensive capabilities (or destroy itself). Iran may be intransigent at the negotiating table and defiant in the face of sanctions, but it still acts to secure its own preservation’. 53 Generally speaking, proponents of this view believe that Iran has made deterrence, preparedness, and self-reliance the foundation of its long-term security goals.54 Given the international isolation of Iran, the country does not have much opportunity for external balancing by making alliances thus its leaders should rely on internal balancing based on deterrence. Moreover, the bitter experience of war with Iraq taught Iranians that their deterrence policy must be self-generated and self-reliant. During the long-standing war, Iran was struggling with a fatal and determinant equipment deficit while Iraqis were enjoying received weapons from the west, which to some extent, have been bought by granted money from their Arabs allies. In addition, another issue that is mentioned by realists is the military presence of the U.S. in the region. After the first gulf war in early 90th America has had a constant presence in the Persian Gulf, which is a threat against Iranians. Some argue that the U.S-led occupations of Afghanistan and Iraq, have affected Iran’s thinking about the role of deterrence in the country’s defense doctrine55 and regarding the U.S. military absolute superiority compared to Iran, the only option of deterrence against the U.S. 51 Waltz, Kenneth.Theory of International Politics. Berkeley: McGraw-‐Hill, 1979: 118. 52 Entesar, Nader. "Iran's Nuclear Decision-‐Making Calculus." Middle East Policy XVI, no. 2 (2009). 53 Waltz, Kenneth N. "Why Iran Should Get the Bomb." Foreign Affairs, 2012. 54 Knepper, Jennifer. "Nuclear Weapons and Iranian Strategic Culture." Comparative Strategy 27, no. 5 (2008): 456. 55 Roshandel , Jalil. "the Nuclear Controversy in the Context of Iran's evolving Defence Strategy." In Europe and Iran: perspectives on Non-‐Proliferation, by Shannon N. Kile. SIPRI, 2005: 47. 19 would be nuclear weapons because ‘a conventional force based on domestic resources, technology and industrial capacity, could not overcome the above security challenge. A credible nuclear deterrence with a reliable missile technology could, and is relatively inexpensive and probably within reach. A nuclear deterrence, would therefore afford Iran not supremacy of power, but a balance of power that it could not otherwise have’.56 3.2.3. Religion as Instrument Due to Iran’s astringent Islamic rhetoric there are tendencies to declare that the country’s security and foreign policy has been established from the support of Islamic forces over non-Islamic ones and its support of Hezbollah and Palestinian Islamic Jihad and Hamas, which has been considered as the explicit instance of this assertion. This claim could be true if Iran had conducted all the Islamic movement in a same way but there are counterexamples that challenge this claim, hence realists believe that the selective support of Islamists demonstrate that Iran uses religion as an instrument in order to enhance its interests. For instance, after analyzing four cases of Iranian stance towards the Caspian Sea countries, Brenda Shaffer concludes that ‘Iran often uses Islam instrumentally to pursue material state interests. It promotes Islamic radicals and anti-regime movements when its state-level relations with a country are poor, such as with Uzbekistan or Azerbaijan. Tehran refrains from activities aimed at undermining very secular Muslim regimes, such as Turkmenistan and Kazakhstan, where Iran enjoys favorable state-to-state relations. Iran promoted and supported the Islamic element in Tajikistan until this activity clashed with its material interests, which were served by the improvement of cooperation with Moscow’.57 Moreover, two cases that Shaffer analyzes that are very important are ChechnyaRussia and Armenia-Azerbaijan conflicts. Since the downfall of the Soviet Union, the Muslim population of Chechnya started a longstanding bloody conflict with Moscow over the independence of Chechnya. Although many fighters tended to identify themselves as the soldiers of Islam and even the local government adopted Shari’a (Islamic law) in Chechnya, however, from the very beginning Iranians sided with 56 Mokhtari, Fariborz. "No One Will Scratch My Back: Iranian Security Perceptions in Historical Context." The Middle East Journal 59, no. 2 (2005): 211. 57 Shaffer, Brenda. "The Islamic Republic of Iran: Is It Really?" In The Limits of Culture: Islam and Foreign Policy, by Brenda Shaffer. Cambridge: the Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs, 2006: 235. 20 Russia. For example, ‘Iran was active in various forums of Muslim states in ensuring that no harsh condemnations of Russia were issued and in constraining any potential mass Muslim mobilization against Russia in response to its massive transgressions in Chechnya’.58 The other case, however, is the conflict between Christian-populated Armenia and Shia-Muslim-populated Azerbaijan. If one accepts that Shia Islam is the main core of Iran’s security and foreign policy then Azerbaijan automatically should be considered as a strong ally to Iran because it, with around 95% of Muslims which 85% of them are Shia Muslims, has the second highest Shia population percentage after Iran. However, during the conflict over Nagorno-Karabakh between Armenia and Azerbaijan, Iran supported Armenia.59 Iran’s support of Hezbollah and Palestinians aside, from realism perspective Iran’s ideology is a mask for realpolitik. Although Iran supports some Islamist groups its motives and its priorities are increasingly dictated by national interest concerns.60 3.3. Constructivism 3.3.1. Basic Theoretical Foundation After some decades of the domination of realism in international relations and security studies in the mid 80s it faced a strong rival in the field, so called constructivism. As it was discussed above, for realists security is about survival and securing state’s interests, however, constructivists do not share the same idea because in their view ‘identities are the basis of interests. Actors do not have a "portfolio" of interests that they carry around independent of social context; instead, they define their interests in the process of defining situations’. 61 Realists believe that international system forces states to act in a particular way but in constructivism point of view, the system can possibly impress states’ general layout of polices but not their specific reactions. Considering the international system as the determiners of states’ behavior requires accepting the idea that all states respond in a same way to 58 Ibid: 228. 59 Rieffer-‐Flanagan, Barbara Ann. "Islamic Realpolitik: two-‐level Iranian foreign policy." International Journal on World Peace XXVI, no. 4 (December 2009): 20-‐21. 60 Byman, Daniel, Shahram Chubin, Anoushirvan Ehteshami, and Jerrold Green. Iran's Security Policy in the Post-‐ Revolutionary Era. RAND, 2001. 61 Wendt, Alexander. "Anarchy is hat States Make of it: The Social Construction of Power Politics." International Organization 46, no. 2 (Spring 1992): 398. 21 the same objective external situation. Consequently, this means that ‘changes in a state’s domestic regime, its bureaucratic structure and the personalities and opinions of its leaders do not lead to changes of policies. Changes in the external situation, however, do alter behavior, even when variables on the other levels remain constant’. 62 Contrary to this belief, constructivists strongly argue that material structures are given meaning only by social and normative context in which they are interpreted.63 Thus, any kind of transformation in the identity, values, beliefs and political structure of a state will affect the way they act and react in international arena and the way they define their national security,64 because the material world shapes and is shaped by human action and interaction depending on dynamic normative and epistemic interpretations of the material world.65 To summarize, it can be claimed that for constructivism, according to this school, the fundamental structures of international politics are social rather than strictly material and that these structures shape actors’ identities and interests, rather than just their behavior.66 Moreover, constructivism tends to shift the question from “what states can do because of their position in a structure” to “what they want to do because of how they see themselves in relations to others”.67 As a result of this shift, constructivism includes beliefs and assumptions that frame choices about foreign and security policy behavior.68 When talking about ideas, beliefs and values an individual is considered as a member of a society whose mindset is socially constructed by models of nation-state identity. In a broad sense this shared identity is called strategic culture, which ‘refers to both a set of evaluative standards (such as norms and values) and a set of cognitive standards (such as rules 62 Jervis, Robert. Perception and Misperception in International Politics. New Jersey: Princeton University Press, 1976: 18 63 Jupille, Joseph, James A Caporaso, and Jeffrey T Checkel. "Integrating Institutions, Rationalism, Constructivism and the Study of the European Union." Co-‐operative Political Studies 36, no. 2 (February/March 2003): 14. 64 Bozdaglioglu, Yucel. "Constructivism and Identity Formation: An Interactive Approach." Review of International Law and Politics 3, no. 11 (2007). 65 Adler, Emanuel. "Seizing the Middle Ground: Constructivism in World Politics." European Journal of International Relations 3, no. 3 (1997): 322. 66 Wendt, Alexander. "Constructing International Politics." International Security 20, no. 1 (summer 1995): 71-‐72. 67 Kubalkova, Vendulka. "Foreign Policy, International Politics and Constructivism." In Foreign Policy in a Constructed World, by Vendulka Kubalkova, 15-‐37. M. E. Sharpe, 2001: 33. 68 Rosen, Stephen Peter. Societies and Military Power: India and its Armies. New York: Cornell University Press, 1996: 12. 22 and models) that define what social actors exist in a system, how they operate, and how they relate to one another’.69 3.3.2. Anarchy is what states make of it Undoubtedly Alexander Wendt is one of the most prominent scholars within constructivism in international relations. Like other scholars of this school, Wendt emphasizes the role of shared ideas and norms in shaping state behavior.70 In his book; “Social Theory of International Politics” he criticizes both realism and liberalism arguing that they are extremely focused on power politics and interest while downplaying the role of ideas.71 Nevertheless, he does not try to underestimate power and interest, rather he wants to show how ideas affect and give meaning to power and interest. As he states: ‘the claim is not that ideas are more important than power and interest, or that they are autonomous from power and interest. Power and interest are just as important and determining as before. The claim is rather that power and interest have the effects they do in virtue of the ideas that make them up’.72 Moreover, he owes some of his reputation to his critiques of Kenneth Waltz. As it was discussed in the section on realism, Waltz believes that the structure of system is anarchical, however, Wendt argues that anarchy is a result of the distribution of ideas not the distribution of capacities. Accordingly, contrary to Waltz argument, Wendt says that ‘self-help and power politics do not follow either logically or causally from anarchy and that if today we find ourselves in a self-help world, this is due to process, not structure. There is no “logic" of anarchy apart from the practices that create and instantiate one structure of identities and interests rather than another; structure has no existence or causal powers apart from process. Self-help and power politics are institutions, not essential features of anarchy. Anarchy is what states make of it’.73 Considering the structure of international arena in this way will result in another interpretation of security dilemma. If self-help system is because of the process, then, 69 Katzenstein, Peter J. "Introduction: Alternative Perspectives of National Security." In The Culture of National Security: Norms and Identity in World Politics, by Peter J. Katzenestein. New York: Colombia University Press, 1996: 6. 70 Ikenberry, John. "Political and Legal." Foreign Affairs 78, no. 6 (November/December 1999): 142. 71 Wendt, Alexander. Social Theory of International Politics. New York: Cambridge University Press, 1999. 72 Ibid: 135. 73 Wendt, Alexander. "Anarchy is hat States Make of it: The Social Construction of Power Politics." International Organization 46, no. 2 (Spring 1992): 394-‐395. 23 security dilemma is socially constructed comprised of ‘intersubjective understandings in which states are so distrustful that they make worst-case assumptions about each other’s intentions and as a result define their interests in self-help terms’.74 Given this interpretation of security dilemma, security cannot be considered as an objective condition because the referent objects of security and threats are not stable or unchanging therefore; ‘security (especially, “national security”) is understood as a particular set of historical discourses and practices that rest upon institutionally shared understandings’.75 3.3.3. Islamic Republic Of Iran; a mission oriented actor Constructivist scholars support the idea, which asserts that during the past three decades, Iran’s foreign and security policy has been based on its ideology rather than its objective interests. A short overview of Iranian leaders’ speeches will present sufficient materials that characterize Iran’s regime as mission-oriented. For instance, Ayatollah Khomeini as the founder of the Islamic regime explained repeatedly this issue in his speeches that: ‘we have to support all oppressed people around the world because Islam is supporter of all oppressed people’.76 This attitude even found its way to the constitution of the Islamic Republic of Iran. Chapter Ten of the constitution, composed of four articles (article 152 to 155), is about Foreign Policy. Interestingly none of these articles are about foreign policy decision-making process or its objectives and they only describe vaguely some general aspects of foreign policy approach, however, “the defense of the rights of all the Muslims” has been asserted in article 152.77 Consequently, it seems justifiable to constructivists to utter that Islamic Republic of Iran comes into systemic interaction with an already constructed identity78 or by highlighting anti-Zionist rhetoric of Iranian leaders one can claim that ‘killing Jews by obliterating the State of Israel is a ‘‘rational’’ goal of the regime, noting that followers of the Mahdavite cleric Ayatollah Mohammed Taqi 74 Wendt, Alexander. "Constructing International Politics." International Security 20, no. 1 (summer 1995): 73. 75 Krause, Keith, and Michael C. Williams. "Broadening the Agenda of Security Studies: Politics and Methods." Mershon International Studies Reviews 40, no. 2 (1996): 242. 76 Khomeini, Ruhollah. Sahife' Noor: Letters and Lectures of Ayatollah Khomeini. Vol. 3. 22 vols. Tehran, 1982: 3. 77 The Constitution of The Islamic Republic of Iran: http://www.iranonline.com/iran/iran-‐info/government/constitution.html 78 Mohammad Nia, Mahdi. "Understanding Iran's Foreign Plicy: An application of Holistic Constructivism." Alternatives: Turkish Journal of International Relations 9, no. 1 (2010). 24 Mesbah Yazdi (including Ahmadinejad) believe that Iran’s possession of nuclear weapons constitutes a preparation for the Mahdi’s return’.79 By using the same logic but with different approach some scholars argue that Iran will not go after acquiring WMD. For instance, Hossein Mousavian argues that due to Khamenei’s fatwa80 against acquisition, production and use of nuclear weapons, it is impossible that Iran tries to acquire WMD because ‘once a fatwa is issued by a marja-i taqlid or Grand Ayatollah, it is considered a religious obligation by his followers and disregarding it constitutes a sin’.81 However, with the use of one other principle of the Shia Islam it is easy to invalidate Mousavian argument. Although fatwa is a shared principle for both Shia and Sunni Muslims, however, “taqiyyah” is a unique principle belongs to Shia, which means to shield or guard oneself by lying.82 In this regard, Michael Eisenstadt and Mehdi Khalaji believe that this fatwa is a response to specific circumstances and can be possibly replaced by another fatwa according to other circumstances; therefore Khamenei’s fatwa against WMD is nothing more than a taqiyyah.83 3.4. Copenhagen School of Security Studies Although Copenhagen school is a newly emerged approach in security studies it has captured scholars’ attention to itself and has been growing fast. There has been two main books published by founders of this school explaining their ideas, which are; “Security: A New Framework For Analysis” and “Regions and Power: The Structure of International Security”. However, Buzan’s “People, State and Fear” is considered 79 Seliktar, Ofira. "Assessing Iran's Nuclear Rationality: The Eyes of the Beholder Problem." The Journal of The Middle East and Africa 2, no. 2 (2011): 200. 80 “A fatwa is an Islamic legal pronouncement, issued by an expert in religious law, pertaining to a specific issue, usually at the request of an individual or judge to resolve an issue where Islamic jurisprudence (fiqh), is unclear. Typically, such uncertainty arises as Muslim society works to address new issues – issues that develop as technology and society advance.” The above definition has been taken from the webpage of The Islamic Supreme Council of America: http://www.islamicsupremecouncil.org/understanding-‐islam/legal-‐rulings/44-‐what-‐is-‐a-‐fatwa.html 81 Mousavian, Seyed Hossein. "Globalising Iran's Fatwa Against Nuclear Weapons." Survival: Global Politics and Strategy 55, no. 2 (2013): 148. 82 Landsberg, Carel M., and Hussein Solomon. "How Do Iranian Diplomats Negotiate?" American Foreign Policy Interests 32, no. 1 (2010). 83 Eisenstadt, Michael, and Mehdi Khalaji. Nuclear Fatwa: Religion and politics in Iran's proliferation Strategy. Washngton, D.C: The Washington Institute for Near East Policy, 2011. 25 as the cornerstone of this school. This school is based on two pillars, which are Regional Security Complex Theory (RSCT) and Securitization. While the first book is mostly dedicated to Securitization, in the second book, RSCT is discussed in detail.84 This school differs from the traditional approach of security studies in the sense that they widen the scope of security by including other sectors alongside military sector. Thus their works are an effort to analyze threats to referent objects and the way that politicians securitize these threats. In their view it does not matter that threat is military or non-military, real or imagined. They analyze the dynamics of sectors, which are military, political, societal and environmental. They believe that regional security complexes dominate military, political and societal sectors, whilst the global security complexes dominate the economic sector.85 Specifying referent object is a significant issue and a simple specification like the state or the individual is not adequate enough because there are many states and individuals with interdependent security86, thus, Buzan argues that the ‘search for a referent object of security’ must go ‘hand-in-hand with that for its necessary conditions’. 87 If security is about survival in an interdependent situation, then, whatever that presents (or be considered as presenting) an existential threat to a designated referent object should be confronted.88 In the analyzing of referent object they argue that in the military sector, the referent object is usually the state while in the political sector the referent object is the constituting principle (sovereignty) or the ideology of the state.89 Articulating referent object in the economic sector, however, is not an easy task because finding the existential threats are not easy but ‘unless the survival of the population is the question, the huge range of the national economy doing better or doing worse cannot be seen as existentially threatening’90 and finally 84 Buzan, Barry, and Ole Waever. Regions and Powers. New York: Cambridge University Press, 2003. 85 Buzan, Barry, Ole Waever, and Jaap de Wilde. Security: A New Framework For Analysis. Lynne Rienner Publishers, 1998: 166. 86 Baldwin, David A. "The Concept of Security." Review of International Studies 23, no. 1 (1997): 13. 87 Buzan, Barry. People, States and fear: an agenda for international security studies in the post-‐Cold War era. Havester Wheatsheaf, 1991: 26. 88 Buzan, Barry, Ole Waever, and Jaap de Wilde. Security: A New Framework For Analysis. Lynne Rienner Publishers, 1998: 21. 89 Buzan, Barry, Ole Waever, and Jaap de Wilde. Security: A New Framework For Analysis. Lynne Rienner Publishers, 1998: 22. 90 Ibid. 26 the referent object of the societal sector can be considered as large-scale collective identities such as nations and religions.91 3.4.1. Regional Security Complexes Level of analysis is an old issue existing from the very beginning of international relations and security studies. Probably it is right to say that one of the best scholarly pieces dedicated to analyzing level of analysis is the classic work of Kenneth Waltz, “Man, the State and War”. In this book, Waltz distinguishes between three different levels or as he prefers to call them three images which are; human behavior, the internal structure of states and international anarchy.92 In the section on realism in this research it has been discussed that in Waltz’s viewpoint human behavior and structure of states (first and second images) do not matter in international politics and it is the third image (the anarchical nature of the system) which forces states to follow specific paths and determines their actions. In their writings, members of Copenhagen school accept a wider categorization of levels consist of international system, international subsystems, units, subunits and individuals. However, in their view, levels provide a framework within which one can theorize and they are not theories themselves.93 Although their approach is a go away from Waltz’s view, they do not discredit completely Waltzian explanation of the system but they argue that the character of the unit is excluded from the structure but this is not true about the system because system is composed of units + interaction + structure.94 Accordingly, Buzan argues that ‘the basic character of the units (sovereignty) and of the system (anarchy) are closely linked. Unit-level explanations for state behavior are selfevidently important to security analysis. They are part of the system level inasmuch as the general character of the states in the system makes a difference to the quality of the security relations.95 91 ibid: 23. 92 Waltz, Kenneth N. Man, the State and War: a theoretical analysis. 2001 Edition. New York: Colombia University Press, 1983. 93 Buzan, Barry, Ole Waever, and Jaap de Wilde. Security: A New Framework For Analysis. Lynne Rienner Publishers, 1998: 6. 94 Buzan, Barry. People, States and fear: an agenda for international security studies in the post-‐Cold War era. Havester Wheatsheaf, 1991. 95 Ibid: 153. 27 Given this explanation of the system (units + interactions + structure) if one accepts that units matter through their interactions then it is to say that security is a relational issue dependent on different interactions, which are made by various units. 96 Following this explanation they argue that as military and political threats extend usually in short distances rather than long distances meaning proximity is a significant factor in security studies.97 Based on this argument their level of analysis would be subsystems or regions. They define subsystems as ‘groups of units within the international system that can be distinguished from the entire system by the particular nature or intensity of their interactions with or interdependence on each other’.98 In respect to subsystems, however, there is an enormous difference with system level. The structure of system (anarchy) is permanent while the structures of subsystems are durable. Therefore the structure of a security complex can be possibly changed by a significant shift in essential components of the security complex, which are: • The arrangement of the units and the differentiation among them, • The patterns of amity and enmity, • The distribution of power among the principal units.99 The reason for highlighting regional security complexes is that after the end of the cold war, international politics faced a liberation of regional security concerns, which had been suppressed by the global-level rivalry between superpowers.100 That is why after the end of the cold war powers other than the superpowers found opportunities to come out from the shadows of the two superpowers and they found opportunities to act more freely and more actively. According to Copenhagen School there are three different types of powers namely superpowers, great powers and regional powers. Being superpowers requires acting across the whole of the international system. They should be able to securitize and desecuritize in all the regions of the system and they are needed to possess first-class military-political capabilities. After 96 Buzan, Barry, Ole Waever, and Jaap de Wilde. Security: A New Framework For Analysis. Lynne Rienner Publishers, 1998: 10. 97 Buzan, Barry, and Ole Waever. Regions and Powers. New York: Cambridge University Press, 2003: 4. 98 Buzan, Barry, Ole Waever, and Jaap de Wilde. Security: A New Framework For Analysis. Lynne Rienner Publishers, 1998: 6. 99 Buzan, Barry, Ole Waever, and Jaap de Wilde. Security: A New Framework For Analysis. Lynne Rienner Publishers, 1998: 13. 100 Ibid: 61-‐62. 28 the Cold War the sole superpower is the USA. A great power should, however, possess sufficient capabilities in all sectors because others put them in their calculations. The major difference between superpowers and great powers is that great powers are not active in the whole spectrum of the system. Currently, the EU, Russia, China and Japan hold this status. Regional powers are not so active and important in a broad-spectrum way at the system level but in their own regions.101 It is obvious that regional powers actions are reduced to regions but even in the case of super- and great powers that have grand strategies to dominate the system, however, their actions and tactics differ in different regions because of specific characteristics and conditions of each region because ‘the regional level is where the extremes of national and global security interplay, and where most of the action occurs. The general picture is about the conjunction of two levels: the interplay of the global powers at the system level, and clusters of close security interdependence at the regional level. Each RSC is made up of the fears and aspirations of the separate units (which in turn partly derive from domestic features and fractures). Both the security of the separate units and the process of global power intervention can be grasped only through understanding the regional security dynamics’.102 Either during the Shah era or during the Islamic Republic of Iran, the country has been considered as a regional power. In the words of Hossein Mousavian, the former Iranian Ambassador to Germany, Iran ‘is a powerful country in the region and has the final say in the world of Islam at present, and is a cultural and political superpower . . . such a country cannot be ostracized’.103 Iranians have always believed that due to their rich history, unique geographical location and abundant of natural and human resources they deserve an important position in the Middle East.104 According to Ray Takeyh, senior fellow for Middle Eastern studies at the Council on Foreign Relations, ‘more than any other nation, Iran has always perceived itself as a natural hegemon of its neighborhood… By dint of its history and the power of its civilization, Iranians believe that their nation should establish its regional 101 Buzan, Barry, and Ole Waever. Regions and Powers. New York: Cambridge University Press, 2003: 34-‐37. 102 Buzan, Barry, and Ole Waever. Regions and Powers. New York: Cambridge University Press, 2003: 43. 103 Strain, Frederick R. "Discerning Iran's Nuclear Strategy: An Examination of Motivations, Strategic Culture and Rationality." Air War College, Maxwell Air Force Base, 1996: 22. 104 Taheri, Amir. "The World and Iran's second Revolution." American Foreign Policy Interests 28 (2006): 103. 29 preeminence’.105 Iranians own perception of their power aside, however, it is a fact that throughout the history Iran has affected remarkably the wider regional or even global policies of the international community.106 As chapter six is dedicated to the Middle East’s regional security complex, therefore the discussion about this issue will be continued there. 3.4.2. Securitization As it was mentioned above, “the pattern of amity and enmity” is one of the three components of a security complex among with “the arrangement of the units and the differentiation among them” and “the distribution of power among the principal units”. Although having the pattern of amity and enmity included in a security complex entails some constructivist manner by trying to understand the process by which issues become securitized. As an explicitly social constructivist approach, Copenhagen School moves beyond the classical security complex theories.107 In this regard securitization makes effort to examine how security problems emerge, evolve and dissolve. In so doing, this theory ratiocinate that ‘language is not only concerned with what is “out there”, as realists and neorealist assume, but is also constitutive of that very social reality’.108 By accepting that ‘security is the move that take politics beyond the established rules of the game and frames the issue either as a special kind of politics or as above politics’109, then, it is right to profess that politicians do that by securitizing issues through speech acts, therefore, security can be seen as a ‘selfreferential practice, because it is in this practice that the issue becomes a security issue, not necessarily because a real existential threat exists but because the issue is presented as such a threat.110 Moreover, Copenhagen School frames securitization within the regional security complex through a constructivist theme by a redefinition of both objectivist and 105 Takeyh, Ray. Hidden Iran: Paradox and Power in Islamic Republic. New York: Holt Paperbacks, 2006: 61. 106 Jones, Peter. "Iran's Threat Perceptions And Arms Control Policies." The Nonproliferation Review, Fall 1998: 39. 107 Buzan, Barry, Ole Waever, and Jaap de Wilde. Security: A New Framework For Analysis. Lynne Rienner Publishers, 1998: 19. 108 Balzacq, Thierry. "The Three Faces of Securitization: Political Agency, Audience and context." European Journal of International Relations 11, no. 2 (2005): 56. 109 Buzan, Barry, Ole Waever, and Jaap de Wilde. Security: A New Framework For Analysis. Lynne Rienner Publishers, 1998: 23. 110 Buzan, Barry, Ole Waever, and Jaap de Wilde. Security: A New Framework For Analysis. Lynne Rienner Publishers, 1998: 24. 30 subjectivist concepts of security. That is to say that they start from geopolitics (regions) but they argue that security is not simply given by geopolitical realities rather politicians shape security issues by ‘securitization processes and their aggregation – that is, the ways in which national security discourses, intersubjectively shared and with a repertoire of common historical lessons, make sense of geopolitical realities. The constructivist horse has been put before the geopolitical cart: regions are what ‘they’ (mainly regional actors) make of them. Hence, it would be mistaken to assume a given geopolitical reality’.111 Nevertheless, Copenhagen School eschews the viewpoint in which security is considered as given fully objectively in the sense that it is totally determined by actors because in their view security is not something that is settled by individuals but security is intersubjective and socially constructed.112 Hence, in the process of securitization, the key issue is that for whom security becomes a consideration in relation to whom therefore ‘a discourse that takes the form of presenting something as an existential threat to a referent object does not by itself create securitization (this is a securitization move), but the issue is securitized only if and when the audience accepts it as such’.113 In this regard, when an actor can do securitization it happens as a part of a configuration of circumstances, including the context, the psycho-cultural disposition of the audience, and the power that both speaker and listener bring to the interaction.114 Regarding the Islamic Republic of Iran there has always been a mutual securitization between the country and the West, Israel and some Arab countries. For instance Iranian officials (through their speeches, interviews, statements) have always accused the West of covert regime change intentions and actions. According to them, Western countries, especially the U.S, want to see the collapse of the Islamic regime and for achieving this end they use all the necessary means. That is why Iran securitizes sectors such as military, political, societal and economic. On the other hand, Western officials accuse Iran of having non-peaceful intentions in the case of its nuclear program. For example, President George W. Bush in a press conference in 2007 expressed the idea that a nuclear weapon-armed Iran would be a dangerous threat to 111 Guzzini, Stefano. "Securitization as a causal mechanism." Security Dialogue 42, no. 4-‐5 (2011): 331. 112 Buzan, Barry, Ole Waever, and Jaap de Wilde. Security: A New Framework For Analysis. Lynne Rienner Publishers, 1998: 31. 113 Ibid: 25. 114 Balzacq, Thierry. "The Three Faces of Securitization: Political Agency, Audience and context." European Journal of International Relations 11, no. 2 (2005): 172. 31 world peace. He said: ‘we got a leader in Iran who has announced that he wants to destroy Israel. So I have told people that if you are interested in avoiding World War III, it seems like you ought to be interested in preventing them from having the knowledge necessary to make a nuclear weapon’.115116 It seems, however, that it was a successful securitization because public surveys showed that most of Americans had believed that Iran’s nuclear program was a threat to the U.S. According to a public survey conducted by Gallup in December 2007, more than 6 in 10 Americans said that Iran posed a serious threat to the U.S and one- third believed it Iran’s nuclear program posed a very serious threat. The vast majority of Americans also believed the true purpose of Iran's nuclear program was to produce nuclear weapons rather than nuclear power. 117 Although there have been lots of studies about the way that the West securitizes Iran (which is not the topic of this research), there seems that scholars paid less attention to analyze the way Iranians securitize the others and this is one of the main tasks of this research. 3.5. Conclusion To conclude this chapter, it worth mentioning that studying security in the post-Cold War era is far more problematic than the bipolar world of the Cold War because during the Cold War the world was divided between two hostile superpowers that were trying to balance each other mostly within traditional means, but the contemporary world is not that neatly divided and there are too many separate actors which try to establish and save themselves in the anarchic world. The end of the Cold War and collapse of one of the superpowers, however, caused too much security concern especially in regional levels, thus, security studies has been witnessing a major shift from global-level security concerns toward regional and local-level118 ones and as a result, this shift opened the field to other approaches. There is no doubt that Kenneth Waltz version of realism was the dominant approach of security studies during the Cold War, however, the downfall of the Berlin Wall and the end of 115 Knepper, Jennifer. "Nuclear Weapons and Iranian Strategic Culture." Comparative Strategy 27, no. 5 (2008). 116 President George W. Bush, “White House Press Briefing,” Washington, DC, 17 October 2007; available from http://www.whitehouse.gov/news/releases/2007/10/20071017.html. 117 Carrol, Joseph. ‘Public: Iran’s Nuclear Program Poses Threat to U.S.’, Gallup, December 20, 2007, viewed in April 2, 2014 http://www.gallup.com/poll/103402/Public-Irans-Nuclear-Program-Poses-Threat-US.aspx 118 Buzan, Barry, Ole Waever, and Jaap de Wilde. Security: A New Framework For Analysis. Lynne Rienner Publishers, 1998. 32 bipolarity can be rightly considered as a breach in the Waltzian fortress of realism. Realism and constructivism are two prominent theories of security studies; nevertheless, both theories face momentous critiques. Realism school of security studies has been the most prominent school during the Cold War era, nonetheless, after the demise of bipolarity it confronted strong critiques. For instance, some argue that realism cannot grip the effects of domestic institutions on international conflicts.119 On the other hand, Constructivism has become an increasingly prominent theoretical approach to security studies since its emergence in the 1980s. Some argue that constructivism; compared to realism, offer a deeper insight into how security works120 but it, in turn, underestimates the importance of the systemic effects of international anarchy on the behavior of states. Regarding the high weight of these two theories it is inconceivable to do a research on security issues without applying them, thus, these theories will be present in this thesis in a comparative manner as backdrop, however, the main theory of this study will be ideas of Copenhagen School of security studies. The reason for choosing this theory is that this school, in some sense, can be considered as synthesis between realism and constructivism or in the words of Buzan and Waever ‘it uses a blend of materialist and constructivist approaches’. This theory consists of two pillars, which are Regional Security Complex Theory (RSCT) and Securitization. While the first has realistic manner, the second is more constructivist. RSCT exerts ideas of bounded territoriality and distribution of power that are adjacent to those in neorealism, however unlike neorealism, it emphasis on regional level rather than the global level structure. Regionalism is significant here because in a region, security processes and dynamics of states ‘are so interlinked that their security problems cannot reasonably be analyzed or resolved apart from one another’.121 Given the complexity of security situation in the Middle East it seems that regional level of analysis is more appropriate than system level. On the constructivist side, the theory relies on securitization, which concentrate on the political processes that form security themes. Accordingly, patterns of amity and enmity are significant as essentially independent 119 Wohlforth, William C. "Realism and Security Studies." In The Routledge Handbook of Security Studies, by Myriam Dunn Cavelty and Victor Mauer. London: Routledge, 2010. 120 McDonald , Matt. "Constructivism." In Security Studies: An Introduction, by Paul D. Williams. London: Routledge, 2008. 121 Buzan, Barry, and Ole Waever. Regions and Powers. New York: Cambridge University Press, 2003: 44. 33 variables. Moreover, securitization studies desires to obtain ‘an increasingly precise understanding of who securitizes, on what issues (threats), for whom (referent objects), why, with what results, and, not least, under what conditions’.122 122 Buzan, Barry, Ole Waever, and Jaap de Wilde. Security: A New Framework For Analysis. Lynne Rienner Publishers, 1998: 32. 34 Chapter Four: Understanding the IRI’s Nature 4.1. Iran’s political structure: the importance of the Supreme Leader The previous chapter has provided a level of insight into the units of analysis in international relations. Realists like Waltz believe it does not matter what kind of a regime rules a state and what the nature of its political structure is, but on the other hand there are other points of view, which hold the idea that the manner in which states act in the international arena, to a great extent, depends on their domestic situation. Now, there will not be any further argument regarding this issue in order to find out which idea is more appropriate, since it has already been discussed and due to the nature of the approach that this research will be based on, it is necessary to take a look at the IRI’s political structure. Before the 1979 revolution, Iran’s political system was a constitutional monarchy, meaning the king was not supposed to have any kind of political power but in reality the last king, Mohammad Reza Pahlavi, was the sole decision-maker in the country; controlling the army, the political parties, the parliament, the government, etc. His personal tyranny is considered as one of the main reasons behind the revolution. The title of the revolutionary regime of Iran (Islamic Republic) claims that it is a republic, however, after analyzing the constitution of the IRI it can be said that the de facto power of the last king of Iran has been established as de jure in the new regime but this time a Shia cleric so called the Supreme Leader or in Islamic term Vali-e-Faqih holds the absolute power. The question that whether the Islamic Republic of Iran is really a republic or not goes beyond the scope of this research, however, there are views argue that the IRI is a theocratic republic exist. Mohsen Milani, the Executive Director of the Center for Strategic & Diplomatic Studies and Professor of Politics at the University of South Florida writes, ‘is “Islamic republic” a misnomer? The framers of the Islamic constitution certainly did not think so.’123 So there is doubt that Islamic republic is misnomer but there can not be any doubt that this is a selfcontradiction by nature since Islamic theocracy is about the sovereignty of Allah and republic is about the sovereignty of the people and it seems that in the IRI, sovereignty of the people has been bypassed in favor of sovereignty of Allah. 123 Milani, Mohsen. "Power Shifts in Revolutionary Iran." Iranian Studies 6, no. 3/4 (1993): 359.360. 35 Hossein Alizadeh in the interview conducted for this thesis explained that the IRI is self-contradictory because it is impossible to have the wish of people and the wish of Allah at the same time and this can be the reason behind the conflict between the elective organs, the president for example, and the supreme leader which often occur. Velayat-e-Faqih (Guardianship of the Islamic Jurist) is based on the doctrine of the leader of revolution, Ayatollah Khomeini. This idea is based on the Shia Muslims’ belief about the absent Imam. The twelve Imam Shia believes that after the prophet of Islam, Mohammad, there are twelve Imams who are the leaders of Muslim whose political authority is unquestionable. In their view, the last Imam (Mahdi) has become absent to be safe from the threats and he will return someday.124 There has always been a clash between two different views regarding the political leadership of the Shia. Some Shia clerics believe that until the return of Mahdi any kind of political status is illegitimate, therefore Shias should not directly get involved in politics or try to rule through a government. Nevertheless, during the modern era the supporters of this view have been in minority. On the other hand, based on a revolutionary interpretation of the history of Shia-Islam many believe that Shiism can be an emancipatory movement. The founder of the Islamic republic of Iran (Ayatollah Khomeini) belongs to the later group, however, his ideas are very extreme in the sense that in his view, Shiism cannot only be a political doctrine but also Shia clerics should be the rulers of the society.125 After the revolution supporters of Ayatollah Khomeini argued that when people voted for the Islamic republic they also voted for Islam’s rules and regulations, therefore, everything would be limited within the boundaries of Islam, thus, the Faqih must become the ultimate source of political and religious power.126 After a long controversy between Khomeini and other revolutionary figures that did not share the same idea as Khomeini, eventually Ayatollah Khomeini’s viewpoint found its way through the country’s constitution and Velayat-e-Faqih became the main pillar of the revolutionary regime. The principal characteristic of Velayat-e-Faqih is that the 124 Sachednia, Abdulaziz Abdulhussein. The Just Ruler in Shiite Islam: the Comprehensive Authority of the Jurist in Imamite Jurisprudence. Oxford: Oxford University Press, 1988. 125 Dabashi, Hamid. Shiism: A Religion of Protest. Harvard University Press, 2012. 126 Milani, Mohsen. "Power Shifts in Revolutionary Iran." Iranian Studies 6, no. 3/4 (1993). 36 Supreme leader (Vali-e-Faqih) has the absolute power but there is no higher authority he has to answer to. According to article 57 of the constitution, ‘the powers of government in the Islamic Republic are vested in the legislature, the judiciary, and the executive powers, functioning under the supervision of the absolute Vali-eFaqih and the leadership of the Umma127128, in accordance with the forthcoming articles of this Constitution. These powers are independent of each other.’129 In a republic it is the president who is considered the first person of the country, however, article 113 of the constitution of the Islamic republic explicitly says, ‘After the office of Leadership (meaning the supreme leader), the President is the highest official in the country', which means that the president is the second person in the country not the first one. Moreover, according to article 60 of the constitution, the president is responsible for the function of the executive “except in the matters that are directly placed under the jurisdiction of the Leadership by the Constitution130”. It helps to understand better the political structure of the country by taking a look at these exceptions that are under the jurisdiction of the supreme Leader. Article 110 of the constitution specifies the power of the Supreme Leader as: • 1.Delineation of the general policies of the Islamic Republic of Iran after consultation with the Nation’s Exigency Council. • 2.Supervision over the proper execution of the general policies of the system. • 3.Issuing decrees for national referenda. • 4.Assuming supreme command of the armed forces. • 5.Declaration of war and peace, and the mobilization of the armed forces. • 6.Appointment, dismissal, and acceptance of resignation of: -The fuqaha (clerics) on the Guardian Council. -The supreme judicial authority of the country. -The head of the radio and television network of the Islamic Republic of Iran. 127 Umma is an Islamic term, which means Muslims Community. 128 The emphasis is mine. 129 The Constitution of Islamic Republic of Iran: http://www.iranonline.com/iran/iran-‐info/government/constitution.html 130 The emphasis is mine. 37 -The chief of the joint staff. -The chief commander of the Islamic Revolution Guards Corps. -The supreme commanders of the armed forces. • 7.Resolving differences between the three wings of the armed forces and regulation of their relations. • 8.Resolving the problems, which cannot be solved by conventional methods, through the Nation's Exigency Council. • 9.Signing the decree formalizing the election of the President of the Republic by the people. The suitability of candidates for the Presidency of the Republic, with respect to the qualifications specified in the Constitution, must be confirmed before elections take place by the Guardian Council, and in the case of the first term [of the Presidency], by the Leadership; • 10.Dismissal of the President of the Republic, with due regard for the interests of the country, after the Supreme Court holds him guilty of the violation of his constitutional duties, or after a vote of the Islamic Consultative Assembly testifying to his incompetence on the basis of Article 89 of the Constitution. • 11.Pardoning or reducing the sentences of convicts, within the framework of Islamic criteria, on a recommendation [to that effect] from the Head of judicial power. The Leader may delegate part of his duties and powers to another person. These 11 clauses explicitly mean that the supreme leader rules the country. He decides the most crucial policies such as foreign policy, national security, grand economical strategies, cultural and social directions etc. For instance, regarding the issue of the nuclear program, Javad Zarif, the current minister of foreign affairs, in his biography in format of a long interview with a journalist, when he was asked about the differences between Ahmadinejad and the previous reformist president Khatami regarding the nuclear program, said: ‘decision making regarding the nuclear issue was not within the authority of Khatami’s government nor Ahmadinejad. It is the supreme leader who is in charge and governments of both Khatami and 38 Ahmadinejad just executed the decision of the leader’. 131 The presence of the supreme leader in security issues and foreign policy is not only limited to the making of the grand strategies or his constitutional powers. For example, according to the constitution, choosing the ministers of foreign affairs and intelligence and security, like other ministers, is in the hands of the president but in reality it is the supreme leader who chooses them132 or ‘while the President is responsible for the day-today decision making. Informally however, the Supreme Leader exercises considerable control over the daily implementation of policy’.133 Hossein Alizadeh says that during his time as an Iranian diplomat, foreign diplomats repeatedly asked him who was really in charge in regard of foreign policy and national security. He answers this question in the interview with the writer of this thesis: ‘When I review my years as an Iranian diplomat I can mention lots of instances where an issue had been decided without the ministry of foreign affairs even knowing about it. One example that I can mention now is Khomeini’s fatwa against Salman Rushdie. The ministry of foreign affairs was totally unaware of that and everybody was shocked when they heard the fatwa. The thing is that although the ministry of foreign affairs is not involved in many issues, however, it still holds all the responsibilities for the consequences. When Khomeini issued a death fatwa against a British citizen it damaged the relations between the two countries harshly and it was considered the ministry’s fault not Khomeini’s.’ Based on his two decades of experience as an Iranian diplomat he concludes that unlike many other states, the Iranian ministry of foreign affairs is not involved in the process of decision-making. After his explanation, Alizadeh was asked a further question: “Is it because of the lack of trust?” however, he did not believe that it is because of the lack of trust. In his view ‘the IRI is a post-revolutionary regime and one of the consequences of every revolution is the deconstruction of the former structures and replacing them with new structures and the problem is that the revolutionary structures are immature and it takes time for them to learn how to 131 Raji, Mohammad. Mr. Ambassador: Interview with MohammadJavad Zarif. Edited by Nei Publisher. Tehran, 2013: 426. 132 Javedanfar, Meir. Islamic Republic of Iran. Vol. II, in PSI Handbook of Global Security and Intelligence: National Approaches, by Stewart Farson, Peter Gill, Mark Phythian and Shilomo Shpiro. PRAEGER, 2008. 133 Byman, Daniel, Shahram Chubin, Anoushirvan Ehteshami, and Jerrold Green. Iran's Security Policy in the Post-‐ Revolutionary Era. RAND, 2001. 39 adjust themselves to international standards of foreign policy. After three decades, however, the IRI still has not learned that every institution and organization has its own functions therefore I do not think it is because they do not trust the foreign ministry.’ In his long interview-biography, Zarif, Iran’s current minister of foreign affairs also explains how after the revolution the staff of the ministry was replaced by young revolutionaries most of whom did not even have an academic education in a related field and knew no foreign languages.134 As formerly discussed, in the post-revolutionary Iran the supreme leader is very powerful. Akbar Ganji a leading researcher on Iran’s politics who is a well-known opposition to the current supreme leader also believes that Ayatollah Khamenei as the current supreme leader is Iran’s head of state. In a long article published in Foreign Affairs, analyzing Khamenei’s life he writes: ‘the dominant figure in Iranian politics is not the president but rather the supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. The Iranian constitution endows the supreme leader with tremendous authority over all major state institutions, and Khamenei, who has held the post since 1989, has found many other ways to further increase his influence. Formally or not, the executive, legislative, and judicial branches of the government all operate under his absolute sovereignty; Khamenei is Iran's head of state, commander in chief, and top ideologue. His views are what will ultimately shape Iranian policy’.135 4.2. The Constant Conflict Over Power The constitution has granted an unlimited power to the supreme leader but the history of the IRI shows that the two supreme leaders have never had an easy way to implement their constitutional powers and that is because there are different factions inside the political system that try to consolidate their position. Although after more than two decades of being in charge, the current supreme leader, Khamenei, seems to have the absolute power and the final word, during his time as the supreme leader he has fought with other figures in order to save his position as the first person inside the regime. Compared to his precursor (Ayatollah Khomeini), Khamenei has had a more difficult time and that is because of their different personal characters. The Islamic 134 Raji, Mohammad. Mr. Ambassador: Interview with MohammadJavad Zarif. Edited by Nei Publisher. Tehran, 2013. 135 Ganji, Akbar. "Who is Ali Khamene?" Foreign Affairs 92, no. 5 (2013). 40 revolution is tied with the name of its founder, Khomeini. He was not only a political leader but also one of the highest rank clerics of his time. The situation is totally different about Khamenei. Many believe that his differences with Khomeini strongly affected the way he acted as the supreme leader because he has always been compared to Khomeini, therefore, he needed to stand at the same level as Khomeini. When announced as the supreme leader, Khamenei did not have the required clerical rank for being the supreme leader. At the time he was only a mid-level cleric inside the Shia hierarchy. Mohsen Kadivar has done an excellent research about the path Khamenei went through after he was chosen as the supreme leader to become a high-rank cleric by manipulation. In his book “The Trivialization of Shia Marjaiyyat” he argues that Khamenei bought his title of the Grand Ayatollah by threatening or bribery of other grand ayatollahs in order to recognize him as a Grand Ayatollah. He writes, ‘Ayatollah Khomeini became the supreme leader with the help of his religious authority but Khamenei found his religious authority with the help of his position as the supreme leader’. 136 That is why he is generally dismissed by other grand ayatollahs as a lightweight cleric137 and this issue has always bothered him. In the interview with the writer of this research when asked about the differences between the founder of the revolution and Khamenei regarding foreign policy, Kadivar answered: ‘considering the foreign policy, I believe that Khamenei followed in the footsteps of Khomeini. But the difference is that Khomeini conducted his extreme foreign policy when people were affected by revolutionary emotions and most of them were supporting him. However, Khamenei is repeating Khomeini’s rhetoric in a situation in which people are not affected by revolutionary emotions anymore because they have become realists and the most important point is that the Islamic Republic and Khamenei himself do not have the support of at least half of the people.’ Like many other scholars Kadivar also mentioned that Khamenei did not have the same political and religious authority as Ayatollah Khomeini and because of that he 136 Kadivar, Mohsen. The Trivialization of Shiia Marjaiyyat: Impeaching Iran's Supreme Leader on his Marjaiyyat. Kadivar.com, 2014: 23. 137 Amuzegar, Jahangir. "The Islamic Republic of Iran: Facts and Fiction." Middle East Policy XIX, no. 01 (2012). 41 framed a close circle of his allegiants who were mainly commanders of the revolutionary guards and radical conservatives. The most important ally to Khamenei, however, is the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC). ‘The IRGC was formed in the immediate post-Revolutionary period from the militias that helped Ayatollah Khomeini seize and consolidate power. Born in part from distrust of the Shah’s military, the IRGC has historically emphasized ideological fervor over military professionalism. President Ahmadinejad and many of those he has brought into the government are former IRGC officials’.138 The lack of personal authority in Ayatollah Khamenei has created a constant situation of conflict between him and his opponents inside the regime from the very beginning of his leadership until now. Nevertheless, Khamenei’s strategy during this time was not only to strengthen his allies but also debilitate his opponents. For example, during the first parliamentary election after being appointed as supreme leader, with the help of clerics on the Guardian Council whose responsibility is to confirm the credibility of parliament candidates, candidates who did not share Ayatollah Khamenei’s views were disqualified and could not run in the election. However, most of these people came back to power later as reformists and marked eight painful years for Khamenei under the presidency of the reformist president Mohammad Khatami. Another example is the former president Hashemi Rafsanjani. It is interesting to point out that actually Ayatollah Khamenei owes his leadership to Rafsanjani. It was because of his strong political maneuver that Khamenei became the supreme leader. At that time these two were close friends regardless of their intellectual differences, and during Rafsanjani’s two terms presidency, Khamenei did not block his efforts mainly because he did not have enough power at the time and he did not want his old friend who was then the strongest person inside the regime to become his enemy. But soon after Rafsanjani’s presidency was over he became marginalized and now he is considered as the most significant opponent of Khamenei’s policies inside the regime.139 Comparing two different comments of Khamenei about Rafsanjani in two different time periods shows well his attitude toward Rafsanjani. In a speech in early 138 Stanley, Willis. "Iranian Strategic Culture and Its Persian Origins." In Strategic Culture And Weapons of Mass Destruction, by Jeannie L Johnson, Kerry M Kartchner and Jeffrey A Larsen. PALGRAVE macmillan, 2009: 149. 139 Sadjadpour, Karim. Reading Khamenei: The World View of Iran's Most Powerful Leader. Washington: Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, 2009. 42 days of his leadership when Rafsanjani was elected as president, Khamenei said: ‘thank god a strong government is in charge and this is god’s blessing that an erudite, a Faqih, a senior revolutionary, a well-known and popular figure who is trustworthy is on the top of the government.’140 Years later during the people’s uprising against manipulation of the presidential election in 2009, known as the Green Movement, Rafsanjani sided with demonstrators, Khamenei in favor of Ahmadinejad and criticizing Rafsanjani said: ‘I and Mr. Rafsanjani have different points of view regarding various issues. He and Mr. president (Ahmadinejad) also have had disagreement since the previous election in 2005 until now regarding issues like foreign policy, implementing of the justice, culture etc. and of course Mr. president’s (Ahmadinejad) views are closer to me.’141 In this speech he also called Rafsanjani as one of the “blind elites” who cannot see the realities. 4.3. Conclusion This chapter did not mean to propose a deep study of Iranian political structure, which demands a separate study itself. Nonetheless it was a necessity to familiarize the reader with the way things work inside the regime. After the revolution Iran turned into an Islamic Republic. The constitution makes the supreme leader the most powerful person of the country. However the supreme leader has absolute power in a situation that no higher authority exists above him. That causes him to talk and act carelessly. Moreover, when one explores beyond the surface of the regime’s rhetoric one sees that because of the presence of different factions the path is not completely smooth and the supreme leader sometimes has difficulties to implement his power. In the last chapter it will be explained how this conflict over power between different political sides affects Iran foreign and security policies and how the supreme leader manipulates security issues for taking down his oppositions. However, before we further discuss this issue it is necessary to explain and analyze the factors that form the IRI’s perception of national security, which is the task of the next chapter. 140 Khamenei, Ali. “Speech for Iran’s Officials”. 1990. http://farsi.khamenei.ir/speech-‐content?id=2282 141 Khamenei, Ali. “speech at Friday pray”. 2009. http://farsi.khamenei.ir/speech-‐content?id=7190 43 Chapter Five: Analyzing the Factors Forming Iranian Perception of National Security 5.1. Introduction Understanding the intentions of “others” in international relations is not an easy task. It is not only because their mindset is relatively impenetrable but also it is difficult to find a way to understand why they act in the way they act, not the other but also because professional analysts can misinterpret even the correct data. The lack of data or misunderstanding based on misinterpretation brings up the issue of perception and misperception in international relations. According to Carl Von Clausewitz the situation where two sides in a conflict cannot understand or misunderstand each other is “the fog of war”.142 In his outstanding book “On War”, Clausewitz explains that this ambiguity comes from four different levels, which are grand strategies, military strategies, operational and tactical. Ambiguity in grand strategies is because of inability of one side to understand intentions, motivations and political agenda of the other side. We can take Iran’s conservative leaders’ saying, “Israel should be wiped off the map” as an example. Did they really mean it? Who knows? How is it possible to understand how the other side thinks or to understand if they really believe in what they say or is it just part of the rhetoric? One cannot claim that one totally understands people, however, understanding the factors that form people’s mindset is a huge guidance to understand their actions and speech acts. Robert Jervis in his book; “Perception and Misperception in International Politics”, argues that ‘there is no easy way to determine the accuracy of perceptions. It is hard to know what a person’s perceptions were and even harder to know whether they were correct’.143 People’s perceptions can be of course influenced by their personal characters which is the subject of political psychology studies, however this chapter will try to capture an understanding about Iranian leaders’ perception of national security by analyzing the patterns of perceptions and misperceptions that occur within a shared culture and that are not strongly influenced by personality 142 Clausewitz, Carl Von. On Wr. Edited by Michael Howard and Peter Paret. Princeton University Press, 1989. 143 Jervis, Robert. Perception and Misperception in International Politics. New Jersey: Princeton University Press, 1976: 7. 44 characteristics.144 In so doing, this chapter explores three important factors that are involved in making Iran’s leaders’ perceptions of national security, which are Historical Trauma, Revolutionary Islam (Shiism) and Persian Nationalism. As it was discussed in the theory chapter, Realists do not agree that such subjective factors can affect or make a country’s national security doctrine, however, from a constructivist point of view, that is accepted by the Copenhagen school of security studies, these are important because these factors make people’s perceptions and people act according their perceptions of objects. 5.2. Historical Trauma Historical trauma is not only limited to the IRI leaders but there is a pandemic fear between most of Iranians caused by historical events from previous centuries to recent era. Iranians have not yet forgotten Mongolians’ attack or Arabs’ invasion either. Considering the 20th century the wounds of eight-year war with Iraq have not completely healed yet and people remember how they were left alone and received no international support when there was a serious shortage of goods and supplies caused by sanctions while Iraq had the full support of the West. Many still blame the U.S’s role in the coup against the democratic elected government of Dr. Mohammad Mossadeq’s in 1953. There are people who believe that Islamic Revolution was the result of this coup. For instance, Mohsen Kadivar in his interview with the writer of this thesis argues: ‘the main reason of the revolution is 1953 coup conducted by CIA when they overthrew Mossadeq’s democratic elected government. This coup caused strong anti American emotions between people.’ In his view some of the radical actions of the IRI are actually reactions to U.S’s inappropriate policy in the Middle East and to a large extent because they ask themselves if Americans overthrew a democratic government once what insures they do not again. Historical events can be a source of identity and pride for a nation but they can also be ‘psychological tint that colors the entire universe of perception’.145 Vamik Volkan calls this Chosen Trauma. In his view chosen trauma is ‘the mental representation of an event that causes a large group to feel helpless and victimized by another group, 144 Ibid: 8. 145 Mokhtari, Fariborz. "No One Will Scratch My Back: Iranian Security Perceptions in Historical Context." The Middle East Journal 59, no. 2 (2005): 210. 45 and thus assume shared humiliating injury’.146 If one reviews speeches or writings of Iran’s leaders one can find lots of examples that they directly express their fear of recurring the bitter past experiences. Hassan Rouhani, the current president of Iran, in his book when he explains Iran’s attitude towards west during the negotiation over Iran’s nuclear program in 2003-2004, he clearly mentions to historical trauma as an significant point which affects their perception about the West. He writes: ‘another significant point worth mentioning is that our understanding and experiences of the past historical events are naturally parts of our perception by which we make decisions and strategies’.147 The speeches of Iran’s supreme leader are considerably full of expressions about trauma. In his speeches he relevantly or irrelevantly mentions the past experiences and above all he talks about the coup in 1953 and the eight-year war with Iraq. These parts of his speeches are, according to Searle’s categorization of speech acts expressive. Since these examples are indeed enormous it can be said that regarding the trauma, his speeches are coherent and his attitude towards people who he holds responsible for those events (U.S and England) has never changed. For instance, in a speech, held in November 2013, he talked about the 1953 coup. He said: ‘all nations who trusted the U.S, lost, even those who were U.S’s friends. In our country, Dr. Mossadeq trusted the U.S in order to get away from England’s pressure. Instead of helping him, the Americans sent their agents here to launch the coup.’148 The memory of eight-year war has even more presence in his speeches. Here is one example of his expressions on the Iran-Iraq war in a speech, which was uttered for the commanders of the revolutionary guards: ‘all the powers of the world cooperated against Iran. It seemed as if Iraq was alone against us but actually all the experts, spies, satellites and weapons of Americans, Europeans and Soviet and also the money of Arabs were assisting Iraq.’149 146 Volkan, Vamik D. The Need to Have Enemies and Allies. Jason Aronson Inc., 1994: XXV. 147 Rouhani, Hassan. National Security and Nuclear Diplomacy. Tehran: Center of Strategic Studies, 2012: 683. 148 Khamenei, Ali. “Speech for students”. 2013. http://farsi.khamenei.ir/speech-‐content?id=24378 149 Khamenei, Ali. “Speech for military commanders”. 1995. http://farsi.khamenei.ir/speech-‐content?id=2767 46 His repetitive reference to these two events can be seen as a sign of vulnerability and victimization. If we accept that due to the past experiences he is afraid of the foreign countries then historical trauma can be seen as one of the factors that form his perception of national security. When you believe that others are about to attack you thus you should prepare yourself. This situation can be explained with an old Iranian proverb, which says: “once bitten by a snake, one will be frightened at the sight of a coiled rope.” Later it will be explored that how based on this image of foreign countries he securitizes the others as enemies. 5.3. Shiism: Revolutionary Islam The majority of Iran’s population is Shia Muslim. Shiism has been Iran’s official religion since the establishment of Safavid dynasty in 1501. Shiism is not only a religion for Iranians; but also one of their distinct national characters that distinguishes them from Arabs who are Sunni by majority.150 Shiism is also the most significant feature of the IRI’s strategic culture. As a theocracy, the identity of Iran’s current regime is highly dependent on Shiism and the main reason behind the existence of a Shia cleric as the supreme leader is to protect Shiism. Many scholars believe Shia Islam shapes the worldview of Iran’s decision-makers and justifies its structure and foreign policy and national security doctrine.151152 153 Hossein Alizadeh shares the same view. After two decades of service at Iran’s ministry of foreign affairs, he thinks Iran’s decision-making is affected by their Shiism worldview. In the interview conducted for this thesis he makes an example: ‘When Mr. Jalili writes his dissertation about prophet of Islam’s diplomacy we can see that they have a specific understanding of international relations. They divide the world to Islamic world and the world of blasphemy and in their view even Saudi Arabia and Egypt are not a part of the Islamic world. As long as they have this mentality nothing changes.’ Mohsen Kadivar, however, seems to have an idea similar to realists. In his view Iran is a rational actor. In the interview conducted for this thesis he said: ‘although the IRI was created as a theocratic regime but in practice the leaders of the IRI acted in a 150 Tarzi, Amin. "The Role of WMD in Iranian Security Calculations: Dangers to Europe." Middle East Review of International Affairs 8, no. 3 (2004). 151 Knepper, Jennifer. "Nuclear Weapons and Iranian Strategic Culture." Comparative Strategy 27, no. 5 (2008). 152 Cain, Anthony. "Iran's Strategic Culture and Weapons of Mass Destruction." Maxwell Paper (Air War Colege) 26 (August 2002). 153 Mirbagheri, Farid. "Shiism and Iran's Foreign Policy." The Muslim World 94, no. 4 (2004). 47 pragmatist manner and appeared as a rational actor. However, from the very beginning ideology was one of important factors of the IRI in foreign policy but it has never been the only one and has always perched alongside the other factors. If we take a look to the history of the IRI we see that they follow national interests as the first factor and ideology is the second factor as long as it is not in contradiction with national interest.’ He mentioned to Iran’s attitude toward Muslims of Chechnya and China as examples that prove his idea. Although Kadivar names some examples that can expose realistic manner of the IRI, comparing Iran’s post-revolution foreign policy to its pre-revolution shows how domestic transformation from a monarchy to an Islamic republic has profoundly constructed a new identity for the country and affected its structure of foreign policy and national security.154 Therefore, contrary to realist understanding of international relations if one accepts the proposition about the significant role of Shiism in the Iranian foreign policy and national security decision-making it is right to say that ‘systemic factors have a secondary effect on construction of the state’s foreign policy. It means that Iran’s identity and interests are more exogenous to the international system than endogenous one’. 155 There was a discussion in the theory chapter that Iran is actually using its ideology as a tool in order to follow its interests. There are many cases that can support this idea and Kadivar mentioned some of them, however, the point is that the ideology has caused the country a transition from pro-west to anti-west. Therefore, the ideology cannot be considered as only a tool156157 because it already had a strong impact on the country’s foreign policy and national security. There is an important document published by the office of supreme leader called the “twenty-years outlook” that maps the situation Iran should reach by the year 2025. In this document it has been asserted that by the year 2025 Iran should be a ‘developed country with the first economical and technological place in the region, with Islamic and revolutionary identity which is a source of 154 Byman, Daniel, Shahram Chubin, Anoushirvan Ehteshami, and Jerrold Green. Iran's Security Policy in the Post-‐ Revolutionary Era. RAND, 2001. 155 Mohammad Nia, Mahdi. "Understanding Iran's Foreign Plicy: An application of Holistic Constructivism." Alternatives: Turkish Journal of International Relations 9, no. 1 (2010): 154. 156 Hunter, Shireen T. "Iran and the Spread of Revolutionary Islam." Third World Quarterly 10, no. 2 (1998). 157 Salamey, Iman, and Zanoubia Othman. "Shia Revival and Welayat Al-‐Faqih in the Making of Iranian Foreign Policy." Politics, Religion and Ideology 12, no. 2 (2011). 48 inspiration for Islamic world.’158159 This shows that after more than three decades Iran’s leaders still think about spreading their ideology. The speeches of Iran’s leader are full of words about Shia education. Without any exception in all of speeches that have been read for this thesis, he has mentioned Shiism in one way or another. However, two methods of mentioning were more distinguished than others; assertive and directive. On one hand he asserts that the main reason of U.S enmity to Iran is its revolutionary idea of Islam and on the other hand he directs people to stick to the ideology if they want to save the regime and the country. There is lots of similar paragraphs in his speeches like: ‘the enemy with its entire means is aiming our thoughts, ideological infrastructure and rules in order to destroy the Islamic Republic.’160 Moreover, in his view the only way of opposing the enemy is more involvement with ideology. For example, in a meeting with staff of ministry of foreign affairs he says: ‘this is wrong if we think for developing our foreign policy we should leave our values and principles. It is good to be internationally accepted but not at the price of abandoning the Islamic Republic values. These values are our identity, we cannot lose them’.161 In his view, the west is afraid of Iran’s Islamic principles to be deployed in other Islamic countries. For examples, after the Arab Spring he claimed that these nations arose because they finally received Iranian revolution’s message. In a speech during the peak of the Arab Spring in early 2011 he said: ‘the events in Egypt, Libya, Tunisia and Bahrain are important. A fundamental change is going on in the region. Now we can see our values and slogans finally reached these countries.’162 In his view Shiism is the most significant characteristic of the IRI and later it will be explained that how important is Iran’s revolutionary understanding of Shiism in the process of securitization. 158 “twenty-‐years outlook of Islamic Republic of Iran”. http://rc.majlis.ir/fa/law/show/132295 159 The emphasis is mine. 160 Khamenei, Ali. “Speech for military commanders”. 1993. http://farsi.khamenei.ir/speech-‐content?id=2651 161 Khamenei, Ali. Foreign Policy Strategies: the supreme leader speeches for the staff of ministry of foreign affairs. Tehran: The Institute of Islamic Revolution, 2011: 30. 162 Khamenei, Ali. “speech at the new year ceremony”. 2011. http://farsi.khamenei.ir/speech-‐content?id=11804 49 5.4. Persian Nationalism The glory of the past is an inseparable part of Iranians collective memory. The country’s rich ancient civilization is a source of national honor for all Iranians.163 During the modern time Iranians and especially the elites of the country have believed that Iran, because of its human and natural resources, its geopolitical status and also its culture and history deserves to be the dominant power in the region. For many, this sense of superiority has been considered as one of the determining factors in Iran’s political adventurism in the international sphere.164 Although during the first decade of revolution the conservatives tried to dismiss Iran’s connection to its preIslamic history when they realized that Iranians, even the religious ones, are not about to leave their sense of nationalism, they instead started to take advantage of nationalism. Therefore during the recent years Iran’s leaders are using nationalism more clearly and explicitly. This is also a political option for Iran’s leaders. They have realized that the young generation is not really a fan of their radical ideology so in order not to lose them; they have tried applying a nationalist approach to justify their political decisions. For instance, considering the nuclear program, which has caused lots of economical difficulties for people, Iran’s leaders tried to demonstrate it as a matter of national pride to unite the people behind themselves.165 One earlier example of this application of nationalist approach was during the last years of war with Iraq. In that time they realized that people had not reacted to ideological propaganda as they had before and recruitment of volunteer soldiers faced difficulties, therefore, they decided to increase the dose of national stimulus in their propaganda. In their current political rhetoric nuclear program is a sign by which country can show its national independence. The discourse of independence is considerably important for the regime because before the revolution Ayatollah Khomeini used Shah’s dependency to the west as an excuse against him and it even found its way to the main slogan of the revolution “independence, freedom, Islamic Republic”, thus, 163 Abrahamian, Ervand. A History of Modern Iran. Cambridge University Press, 2008. 164 Byman, Daniel, Shahram Chubin, Anoushirvan Ehteshami, and Jerrold Green. Iran's Security Policy in the Post-‐ Revolutionary Era. RAND, 2001. 165 Bahgat, Gawdat. "Nuclear proliferation: the Islamic Republic of Iran." Iranian Studies 39, no. 3 (2006). 50 the revolutionary regime needs to show that the revolution has reached its aim. However, the regime’s oppositions believe that Iran is still dependent and the west has been replaced by China and Russia. The point is that whether one considers Iran as independent or not, however, Iranians have always had a tendency to see themselves as independent. Even Shah who was strongly dependent to the West believed that Iran was independent.166 Therefore, this shows that the concept of independence is occupying an important place in Iran’s political culture regardless of its political structure.167 In his speeches, Khamenei, talks about the “greatness of Iranian nation”, however almost always when he refers to it he mentions that this greatness is a result of Islamic revolution because the revolution made Iran independent and free. In one of his earliest speechs as supreme leader he drew attention to this issue. This speech was held just a few months after the peace agreement between Iran and Iraq. He said: ‘the world eyes are watching us today. Millions of hearts are beating for this nation and its goals. You are a template for the world. You are the guide of freedom and resistance against ruthless powers. If nations dare to express that they do not want to be under oppression that is because you have opened the way.’ 168 As it is clear in this paragraph he believes Iran’s greatness is because of its resistance against the world power and this resistance comes from revolutionary inspiration. In another speech, which was held for the army commanders, an explicit utterance about independence is traceable. He said: ‘today, we, the Iranian nation, deserve to have a truly efficient army and the reason is that we are the only nation in the world that relies on itself. We are not dependent on anybody. We rely on our natural powers and abilities. Without that our sovereignty and national existence would be threatened.’169 As it was mentioned earlier, Iran’s religious leaders are not adherents of the country pre-Islamic history and during the first decade after the 1979 revolution they wanted to downplay its importance role. Even during the chaos of first months of the revolution some of radical clerics wanted to destroy the pre-Islamic historical 166 Pollack, Kenneth M. The Persian Puzzle: the conflict between Iran and America. New York: Random House, 2004. 167 Moshirzadeh, Homeira. "Discursive Foundations of Iran's Nuclear Policy." Security Dialogue 38, no. 4 (2007). 168 Khamenei, Ali. “Speech for Iran’s official at New Year Ceremony”. 1990. http://farsi.khamenei.ir/speech-‐content?id=2282 169 Khamenei, Ali. “Speech for military commanders”. 1991. http://farsi.khamenei.ir/speech-‐content?id=2410 51 remains. In one event a cleric even organized a caravan of tractors in order to destroy Persepolis, however, some moderate revolutionary asked Khomeini to stop them and he did it. In some speeches, Khamenei expressed that Iran’s ancient history is sign of arrogant kings and therefore it should not be so emphasized. For example, the Iranian New Year ceremony, which is the country’s most important national holiday was once explained by Khamenei like this: ‘the new year was a celebration used by preIslamic tyrant. The New Year is of course a good thing but when it is called ancient New Year, then, it is not favorable because ancient time was the era of corrupt monarchies of Iran’s idiotism.’170 It is interesting to know that this speech itself was held on New Year’s Day. 5.5. Conclusion This chapter was aimed to explore the important factors that pattern Iranian perception of national security. By analyzing these factor the chapter wanted to shed a light into Iran’s leaders mindset. Historical trauma, Shiism and Persian nationalism (as independence in the discourse of Iran’s leaders) are important. Trauma leads them into living in a constant state of fear and vulnerability. Shiism can be seen as the most important of the three because the IRI’s nature is completely based on Shiism. Moreover, Khomeini offered a revolutionary interpretation of Shiism that tries to oppose against the world powers. In the view of Iran’s leaders, the enemy too sees Iran’s ideology as the main source of inspiration of the regime; therefore, they try to weaken the ideology by cultural invasion. Finally, Persian nationalism and the belief that Iran is one of the greatest countries in the world affects the country’s foreign policy and national security and forms a sort of political adventurism. In the last chapter it will be explained how these factors are effective during the process of securitization. To mention it briefly, it has to be said that these factors are indirectly effective since they affect patterns of the country’s leaders thinking. And they are used directly as an excuse to justify the securitization of all sectors. 170 Khamenei, Ali. “speech at new year ceremony”. 1998. http://farsi.khamenei.ir/speech-‐content?id=2879 52 Chapter Six: Regional security complexes; the Middle East dilemma Copenhagen school emphasizes the regional security complexes more than classical systemic security concerns. As it has been discussed in the theory chapter, according to Copenhagen school proximity has a determinant effect on security complexes because only superpowers (mainly the U.S.A currently) can afford engaging the whole system. During 20th century, especially after the Second World War the Middle East had witnessed lots of bloody conflicts between different states some of which were created after World War I when the Ottoman Empire fell. Moreover, one of the main characteristics of this region is that most of its states are undemocratic or phony democracies with ambiguous understanding of independence.171 This situation, however, makes it hard for the Middle Eastern leaders to plan their national security doctrine because any direction they choose is going to contradict with that of a neighbor country. The issue is, it takes time for these countries to get used to solveing their problems peacefully and that is why interstates conflicts happen regularly. One distinctive example in this regard is the issue of Palestine where after more than six decades there seems no solution for this devastating clash. 6.1. Surrounded by foes: Iran and its neighbors The Middle East is a region in which ethnicity and religion are dominant factors in making friends and enemies.172173 Given this fact Iran has been perceived as enemy for most of the Middle Eastern states because Iranians are Shia-Muslims while the others are mostly Sunni-Muslims and Iranians are Persians while the others are mostly Arabs. Regardless of these two fundamental factors, Iran has some territorial conflicts with Iraq and the UAE as well. This situation, therefore, makes Iran feel alone and surrounded by hostile neighbors and as the case of the eight-year war with Iraq proved, a conflict with one Arab country for Iran means a conflict with all of 171 Goldschmidt, Arthur Jr, and Lawrence Davidson. A Concise History of the Middle East. 9nd Edition. Westview Press, 2010. 172 Khater, Akram Fuad. Sources In The History of The Modern Middle East. 2nd Edition. Wadsworth, 2011. 173 Rubin , Barry. The Tragedy of The Middle East. Cambridge University Press, 2002. 53 them because in such a situation everybody will stand by their fellow Arab country and nobody will support Iran.174 Moreover, the Islamic Revolution complicated the situation even more. After the revolution Iran tried to spread its ideology to other Islamic countries. This was a danger for those states most of which were pro-U.S. and had close militaryeconomical relations with it. In the view of Iran’s revolutionary leaders those states were betrayers to the Islamic cause. Due to this fact Iran claim leadership of the Islamic world, which was previously claimed by Saudi Arabia. All these elements together led into a situation that both sides felt unsafe and feared one another. In the words of Mei Dagan, the former director of Mossad, ‘Jordan, Saudi Arabia and the Gulf states all fear Iran, but want someone else to do the job for them’.175 It seems that Iran’s supreme leader and the former director of Mossad share the same view about this issue because in various speeches Khamenei claimed that Arab states are dependent on the West. He usually downplays the technological achievements of the Arab countries and emphasizes that all their achievements are funded and bought with the capital they gain from their oil supplies and they have no independent achievements. Here is one example of his attitudes towards the Arab world: ‘look at the Persian Gulf States. They have all the modern tools but it means nothing because they are not able to defend themselves, that is why they need others to embrace them and save them.’176 Aside from the issue of independence, he also criticizes Arab states based on their domestic political system. Interestingly, while the political system of the country he rules is under question for not being democratic, he claims that the leaders of Arab states are not democratically elected; ‘In our neighbor countries people do not have any role in choosing their leaders. Even in those countries that seem democratic but in reality foreign powers are the ones who rule the country not the people. Contrary to them we have an exceptional reality in our country, which is special in this region. 174 Chubin, Shahram, and Charles Tripp. "Iran-‐Saudi Arabia Relations and Regional Order." Adelphi (International Institute for Security Studies) 36, no. 304 (1996). 175 Mousavian, Hossein. Iranian Nuclear Crisis: A Memoir. Washington: Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, 2012: 7. 176 Khamenei, Ali. “Speech for military commanders”. 1991. http://farsi.khamenei.ir/speech-‐content?id=2410 54 People choose governments and parliament members with their own wish, will and recognition.’177 The quoted words suggest that there is a potential conflict between Iran and Arab states, which seems to become challenging after the recent events in the region. During the civil war in Syria Iran sends its revolutionary guards to Syria in order to help Assad’s regime for suppressing the opposition.178 Or even recently when the Iraqi government was unable to fight against the Islamic rebels, the ISIS, Iran sent some of its fighter aircrafts and best of its trained troops to Iraq.179 For Arab people and states it is humiliating that non-Arabs operates in two Arabic countries. A study conducted in September 2013, shows that Iran’s favorability among Arabs has declined sharply. This study polled 20000 citizens of 17 Arab-Muslim countries and the favorability rate was 25% while in 2006 the favorability of Iran among Arabs was 75%.180 Nevertheless, the governments of Syria and Iraq are still in charge but if they fall and Arab-Sunni extremists (ISIS for example) capture the power that could mean some real trouble for Iran. In the Interviews conducted for this thesis Meir Javedanfar mentioned this issue as well, in his view sending troops to Iraq and Syria will deepen Iran’s problems with Arabs and will cost a lot both financially and politically for Iran. 6.2. The Russian Roulette: Iran versus Israel The history of Iran and Israel relations is a good example to show how, contrary to realist’s systemic idea, a domestic change in a unit can cause a massive effect on regional situation. Before the revolution the Shah’s regime had strong security, political and economic relations with Israel. 181 As it was discussed previously Ayatollah Khomeini used this relation as an excuse to provoke people against the Shah and when Islamists seized power, they started an ongoing enmity with Israel. Khomeini announced Israel as sworn enemy and since its creation until now; the IRI 177 Khamenei, Ali. “Speech for youth”. 2000. http://farsi.khamenei.ir/speech-‐content?id=3003 178 Saul, Jonathan and Hafezi Parisa. Iran boosts military support in Syria to bolster Assad. Reuters. 2014. http://www.reuters.com/article/2014/02/21/us-‐syria-‐crisis-‐iran-‐idUSBREA1K09U20140221 179 Chulov, Martin. Iran sends troops into Iraq to aid fight against Isis militants. Reuters. 2014. http://www.theguardian.com/world/2014/jun/14/iran-‐iraq-‐isis-‐fight-‐militants-‐nouri-‐maliki 180 Fossett, Katelyn. Poll Finds Mounting Hostility Among Arabs towards Iran. Inter Press Service. 2013. http://www.ipsnews.net/2013/03/poll-‐finds-‐mounting-‐hostility-‐among-‐arabs-‐towards-‐iran/ 181 Entesar, Nader. "Israel and Iran's National Security." Journal of South Asian and Middle Eastern Studies 27 (2004). 55 has not recognized Israel as a nation-state. Iran supports and arms Hezbollah and Hamas and on the other hand Israel tries to persuade U.S and Europeans for more sanctions and harsher solutions against Iran. Iran has always claimed that Israel is responsible for assassination of its nuclear scientists; however, Israel has always either denied or made no comments on this accusation. Nevertheless, considering this situation and given the fact that Israel has nuclear weapon arsenal, this country is a major security concern for Iran’s leaders.182 On the other hand Israel is concerned about Iran’s alleged nuclear program because in their view the only reason Iran is seeking the nuclear program is to end the process with a nuclear bomb. Nevertheless, if Iran processes nuclear weapon the situation will be even worse. In the book “Iran: the nuclear challenge” published by Council on Foreign Relations, Robert M. Danin draws a possible scenario: ‘Iran with the bomb would also have a difficult set of calculations to make with respect to Israel. Even if its intentions in developing the bomb were not primarily offensive but instead were largely aimed at regime preservation, Iran’s new strategic situation could lead its leadership to act before being acted upon. Tehran might calculate, rightly or wrongly, that in a crisis Israel would like strike Iran’s newly developed nuclear arsenal, and might therefore use its own weapon first. Meanwhile feeling vulnerable with a small nuclear arsenal, Iran would likely seek to expand its stockpile and thereby increase its ability to survive an outside effort to destroy it’.183 Nonetheless, the question is whether these two countries can start a normal relationship? Mohsen Kadivar in the interview conducted for this thesis argued that as long as the IRI rules Iran, this country would never find a normal relationship with Israel. He said: ‘opposing Israel is embedded in the IRI’s nature but for example Iran’s problem with the U.S is not of the same nature. Therefore, it is possible for Iran and the U.S to have good relations one day and we are witnessing now that they have started to solve some of their problems through negotiations but a similar process can never happen regarding Iran’s relation with Israel and since the IRI doesn’t substantively change its nature they may never go toward the normalization of their relationships with Israel.’ Contrary to Kadivar, however, Javedanfar 182 Entesar, Nader. "Iran's Nuclear Decision-‐Making Calculus." Middle East Policy XVI, no. 2 (2009). 183 Danin, Robert M. "Iran with the bomb." In IRan: The Nuclear Challenge, edited by Robert D Blackwill. Council on Foreign Relations, 2012: 55. 56 observing Iran’s different political potentials has a more optimistic view. In his view the problem is conservatives and Khamenei himself. In the interview conducted for this thesis he said, ‘different sides of the regime have different views about Israel. For example, Khatami did not hold a hostile attitude towards Israel or even Rafsanjani who used to hold a hostile attitude towards Israel in the past, has lately stated that Israel is not the enemy. But on the other hand Ahmadinejad was such an extremist. However, the problem is that, Khamenei as the supreme leader still has an extremist point of view about Israel and as long as he holds this view there is no perspective of change.’ Although Kadivar mentioned the recent negotiations between Iran and the U.S, many believe Iran and the U.S cannot achieve a breakthrough before solving Iran’s problems with Israel. For instance, Mahmood Sariolghalam, who is one of president Rouhani’s senior advisors in the field of foreign affairs believes: ‘Iran fails to understand and refuses to accept the fundamental issue that a basic improvement in U.S.-Iranian relations cannot be achieved without Tehran's acknowledgment of the strategic alliance between the United States and Israel; since the 1991 Persian Gulf War, Iran's attempts to separate the issue of Israel from a potential improvement in U.S.-Iranian relations have consistently failed’.184 In his speeches, Iran’s leader always utter that Israel is illegitimate and Iran is opposing it because of the Palestine cause. It was mentioned that Iran has not recognized Israel as a state; therefore, not a single time in the speeches, analyzed for this thesis, has Ayatollah Khamenei used the term Israel, which is the official name of the country. In the method chapter it has been explained that “the form of addressing” in speeches is important because it shows people’s attitude towards one another. This short quote of Khamenei is maybe one of the best examples that can expose this important; ‘the Zionist regime is more filthy than the U.S because America is a state based on a nation but the Zionist occupying regime is not based on a nation because the real nation of that land is displaced.’ 185 In his view, the occupation of Palestine by Israel is the source of justification for fighting against 184 Sariolghalam, Mahmood. "Understanding Iran: Getting past stereotypes and mythology." The Washington Quarterly 26, no. 4 (2003): 71. 185 Khamenei, Ali. “speech at new year ceremony”. 1996. http://farsi.khamenei.ir/speech-‐content?id=2791 57 Israel. In another speech he explains his view about this issue in more details. He says: ‘the truth is they displaced a nation form its home and it is the right of this people to recapture their homes. This fight is a legitimate fight. The U.S calls it terrorism but they do not consider Zionists atrocity against Palestinians as terrorism. You see how far is the pretender of human rights from truth, how they show the truth upside down, how far they are from humanity. This policy is inhuman.’186 In his book “National Security and Nuclear Diplomacy”, Iran’s current president, Hassan Rouhani, draws the outlines of Iran’s policy towards Israel. He argues that Iran is like any other states and seeks its own interests but Palestine is an exception. He writes: ‘the first rule in international relations is seeking survival. Survival is the fundamental base of states’ foreign policy and we seek survival as well. Thus, there is no substantial difference between our foreign policy and others. However, those countries that are not Islamic do not accept any difficulties because of Palestine but we do. We know it is possible that because of our policies we face political and economical problems, which are able to decelerate our development rate but we accept that. Our difference with others is that their values follow their interests and in the case of contradiction they leave their values but we sometimes leave our interests in favor of our values’.187 This view is similar to Kadivar’s viewpoint about Iran’s foreign policy. In the interview conducted for this thesis he said that Iran is a rational actor who seeks its interests. Kadivar, however, argued that in the case of contradiction Iran usually leaves its values and follow its interests but the main point is that he said that Palestine is the only exception, therefore it seems like Kadivar shares Rouhani’s view in this case. 6.3. Enemy at the gates: the U.S presence in the region The U.S is not of course a Middle Eastern country. Nevertheless, it has been discussed in the theory chapter that according to Copenhagen school the U.S is a superpower and one of the characteristic of being superpower is acting in the whole system and having presence in all regions of the world. Since its advent as a 186 Khamenei, Ali. “speech at Friday pray”. 1992. http://farsi.khamenei.ir/speech-‐content?id=2608 187 Rouhani, Hassan. National Security and Nuclear Diplomacy. Tehran: Center of Strategic Studies, 2012: 81. 58 superpower, the U.S has always had a huge stake in the Middle East and all the happenings of this region were matters of concern for it. Regarding Iran, similar to Israel, the U.S was a close ally to the Shah, however, after the revolution it was no longer an ally and was referred to as the “Great Satan”.188 It was explained in the previous section that the IRI’s commitment to Shiism was the main drive of Iran’s enmity with Israel but the difference between Iran’s attitude towards the U.S and Israel seems to be the assumption that the trauma and historical involvement of the U.S in Iran’s domestic affairs was the main reason for the revolutionary regime’s anger.189 Although in the very first days of the revolution the U.S announced that it recognized the new regime of Iran but it was not enough for revolutionaries to forget the past. Nevertheless, when it became public that the U.S allowed the former Shah to enter its territory for medical care, the young revolutionaries attacked the U.S embassy and occupied it and held its staff hostage and since then the two countries have not had any official relations.190 The nature of their situation became even worse when the U.S managed an unsuccessful clandestine military operation so called “Operation Eagle Claw” for releasing its hostages.191 Moreover, the hostage crisis resulted into the U.S led sanctions on Iran. The sanctions continued during the eight-year war when America included weapon prohibition into the sanctions. Violation of human rights, supporting terrorist groups and Iran’s alleged nuclear program are the reasons behind the current sanctions.192 These sanctions alongside the U.S support of the IRI’s opposition have made it clear in Iran’s leaders mind that the U.S wants to overthrow the regime. Given the fact that the U.S has military bases in almost all of Iran’s neighbors, makes Iranians feel surrounded by enemy. After 9/11 when U.S attacked both Iraq and Afghanistan a joke was popular in Iran which shows explicitly this fear: ‘there are just two countries in the world that have only the United States as their neighbor: the other one is Canada’.193 Although the U.S has long had military bases in the Middle East, 188 Khomeini as the founder of the IRI used this tem for addressing the U.S. 189 Abrahamian, Ervand. The Coup. New York: The New Press, 2013. 190 Houghton, David Patrick. U.S Foreign Policy and the Iran Hostage Crisis. Cambridge: Cambridge Univercity Press, 2001. 191 Fong, Chua Lu. "Operation Eagle Claw, 1980: A Case Study In Crisis Management and Millitary Planning." Journal of The Singapore Armed Forces 28, no. 2 (2002). 192 Katzman, Kenneth. Iran Sanctions. Congressional Research Service, www.crs.gov, 2014. 193 Everts, Steven. "Iran: the next big crisis." Prospect 93 (December 2003): 47. 59 however, occupying Iraq and Afghanistan and deploying thousands of troops to these countries had a massive effect in Iran’s national security calculus because in their view the enemy was at the gates. Many believe that the U.S military presence in the region after 9/11 was one of the main reasons of Iran following its nuclear program seriously especially when Bush addressed Iran as one of “Axis of Evil”.194195196 Like the founder of the IRI, the current supreme leader, Ayatollah Khamenei, sees the U.S as the biggest enemy who hopes and peruses for regime change in Iran. He ‘holds strongly that Tehran must not compromise in the face of U.S. pressure or intimidation, for it would project weakness and encourage even greater pressure’.197 The current dialogues between the U.S and Iran’s moderate government of Rouhani over Iran’s nuclear program is a good example of this issue. It seems that Rouhani’s administration has the permission of Khamenei for the negotiations and operates under the direct surveillance of his office; however, conservatives strongly criticize any kind of talks with the U.S and Khamenei himself said: ‘I do not oppose the negotiations, but I am not optimistic about them.’198 Hossein Alizadeh believes that Khamenei’s strategy is to not openly express his disagreement with the governments but he pushes his will behind the close doors through the institutions and organizations that he directly controls and sometimes contrary to his public attitude he tries to block the administration. In the interview conducted for this thesis Alizadeh argues: ‘the thing is that he always tries to express the same discourse as the administration and we have seen that during the presidency of Hashemi, Khatami, Ahmadinejad and now Rouhani. The moderation is the main slogan of Rouhani and interestingly since last year Khamenei used this slogan as well. However, he always acted in a same way during the past 25 years but he wanted to show publicly that he is not against the administration in order to express that he stands aside the different sides but he always took sides with radicals because he is the most radical himself.’ 194 Tarzi, Amin. "The Role of WMD in Iranian Security Calculations: Dangers to Europe." Middle East Review of International Affairs 8, no. 3 (2004). 195 Bahgat, Gawdat. "Nuclear proliferation: the Islamic Republic of Iran." Iranian Studies 39, no. 3 (2006). 196 Drew, Dennis M, and Donald M Snow. Making Twenty-‐First-‐Century Strategy: an introduction to modern national security processes. Alabama: Air University Press, 2006. 197 Sadjadpour, Karim. Reading Khamenei: The World View of Iran's Most Powerful Leader. Washington: Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, 2009: 19. 198 Khamenei, Ali. “speech at new year ceremony”. 2013. http://farsi.khamenei.ir/speech-‐content?id=22233 60 An older speech of Khamenei is a better example of his view about negotiations with the U.S. During the presidency of the reformist Khatami, enjoying the relative freedom of speech and press everybody was talking about solving the problems through direct negotiation and Khamenei uttered his view as well: ‘the discussion that they say we are ready to talk with Iran is the preparatory stage of further enmity with us. This is a deception. America’s enmity with us does not disappear because they seek their interests in our country.’199 In another speech some years later he repeated his position again: ‘we have said from the beginning and say it again that we do not negotiate with the U.S about none of our problems. We do not negotiate with America because it is obvious that for them negotiation is a tool to impose their will. Negotiation loses its true meaning when you negotiate with the U.S.’200 6.4. Conclusion Looking at Iran from a regional aspect shows too many reasons for Iran to not feeling safe. Due to ideological, ethnical and geopolitical concerns Iran has deep problems with most of its neighbors and because of the importance of ideological and ethnical issues in this region of the world, having a permanent friendly relationship with its neighbors seems to be a hard task. Iran’s problems with Israel have become a deadlock because of Iran’s persistence on the Palestine cause. And there are major differences between Iran and the U.S policies about the future of the Middle East and given the fact that the U.S has military bases all over around Iran, this country has a legitimate concern about its existence. This situation makes Iran’s leaders feel alone and surrendered and in their view all the others are enemies. Logically, when leaders of a country consider everybody as enemy then their national security decisionmaking will have specific characteristics. In the next chapter, therefore, the concept of enemy and the way that Iran’s leaders securitize the others as enemy will be analyzed. 199 Khamenei, Ali. “speech at new year ceremony”. 2000. http://farsi.khamenei.ir/speech-‐content?id=3001 200 Khamenei, Ali. “speech at new year ceremony”. 2006. http://farsi.khamenei.ir/speech-‐content?id=3332 61 Chapter Seven: Securitizing the others as enemies In the last three chapters endogenous and exogenous factors involved in shaping of Iran’s leaders’ perception of national security were discussed. It was argued that due to these considerable factors, the enemy conception has occupied a significant place in their perception because subjective and objective components have led them to think of others as enemies who are about to harm them. In this chapter the enemy conception and the way Iran’s leader securitizes the others, as enemies will be analyzed. 7.1. The Enemy Conception For Copenhagen school of security studies, like constructivists, patterns of amity and enmity are important for understanding the actions and reactions of units inside the regional system because a mechanical reflection of the distribution of power does not seem appropriate enough to offer a comprehensive explanation of what happens and why it happens. 201 In this regard, in international relations when the nature of relations is defined by the logic of threats and vulnerabilities (whether real or imagined), then, enmity will be the framework of relations.202 Moreover, Vamik Volkan, who is a scholar in political psychology, argues that identity, ethnicity and ideology are creation of people’s mind through social construction; therefore they will define a nation’s relationship with the other to be either amity or enmity, thus the concept of enemy, to a great extent, is created by people’s mind.203 Given this idea, as it was discussed previously, the IRI leaders feel threatened and isolated; therefore, they have a tendency of seeing everybody as an enemy. Nevertheless, Robert Jervis believes that consistency is an important feature of people’s perceptions. He argues: ‘we tend to believe that countries we like do things we like, support goals we favor, and oppose countries that we oppose. We tend to think that countries that are our 201 Buzan, Barry, and Ole Waever. Regions and Powers. New York: Cambridge University Press, 2003. 202 Buzan, Barry, Ole Waever, and Jaap de Wilde. Security: A New Framework For Analysis. Lynne Rienner Publishers, 1998. 203 Volkan, Vamik D. "The Need To Have Enemies And Allies: A Developemental Approach." Political Psychology 6, no. 2 (1985). 62 enemies make proposals that would harm us, work against the interests of our friends, and aid our opponents’204 Khamenei’s reaction to Obama’s video message, congratulating Persian New Year is a clear example of exposing this consistency in Iran’s supreme leader’s belief about the harmful proposals of the enemy. Some months after his presidency, in a video message in March 2009, Barack Obama spoke to Iran’s people and leaders. In his message, he offered a “new beginning” of engagement and declared that his administration was committed to diplomacy without any threats. 205 His unprecedented message could be the beginning of a new chapter in the unpleasant book of Iran-U.S relationships; however, Iran’s supreme leader’s reply to Obama’s initiative killed all the hopes. In his annual speech on the New Year day, he expressed how strong his perception about the U.S enmity towards Iran was. In response to Obama, he said: ‘they say that they extended a hand toward Iran. Well, what kind of hand is it? This is a cast iron hand covered by velvet glove. They congratulated the New Year to Iranians but in that congratulation message they accused Iranians of terrorism and seeking nuclear weapons.’206 Khamenei’s rapid reply to Obama, however, can be interpreted as a habitual pattern of response that usually occurs in long-standing hostilities.207 In this pattern of enmity one tends to search for negative matters and neglects the positive ones. For instance, here, Khamenei simply turned a blind eye on the parts of Obama messages when he talked about his administration commitment to diplomacy and his wish for solving mutual problems, and instead he emphasized the part that Obama talked about terrorism and nuclear program. This, in turn, shows the weight of decision-maker’s belief about the world and their images of others, because ‘these cognitions are part of the proximate cause of the relevant behavior’.208 However, the recent breakthrough between the U.S and Rouhani’s administration proves that Khamenei was wrong about Obama’s 204 Jervis, Robert. Perception and Misperception in International Politics. New Jersey: Princeton University Press, 1976: 117-‐118. 205 Borger, Julian. Obama's Nowruz message to Iran: What is he trying to achieve?. The Guardian. 2009. http://www.theguardian.com/world/2009/mar/20/obama-‐video-‐iran-‐julian-‐borger 206 Khamenei, Ali. “speech at new year ceremony”. 2009. http://farsi.khamenei.ir/speech-‐content?id=6082 207 Heo, Seunghoon Emilia. Reconciling Enemy States In Europe And Asia. LONDON: PALGRAVE MACMILLAN, 2012. 208 Jervis, Robert. Perception and Misperception in International Politics. New Jersey: Princeton University Press, 1976: 28. 63 motivation and Obama’s government was really committed to diplomacy. It shows that Khamenei’s belief about Obama’s motivation was a misperception rather than perception. This misperception and his resistance on his non-negotiation attitude towards the U.S however resulted more years of unnecessary sanctions against Iran. Moreover it can be said that one can see this issue from other angle and argue that Khamenei denied Obama’s initiative in favor of domestic concerns. This will be discussed later. Regardless of this special case, Khamenei’s general view about diplomacy can expose his perception of the world and enemy conception. In several occasions he said, “Diplomacy is a war”. For instance, just some months after his leadership in his first speech for the staff of the ministry of foreign affairs he said: ‘diplomacy is a war and you know it well and have felt it like military wars. All the diplomats of the world are fighting. The value and effectiveness of this war is not less that military wars rather more sometimes.’209 Ten years later, in another speech again held for the staff of ministry of foreign affairs he expressed this view without any change and this shows that during all these years, in his eyes, the others were enemies and diplomacy, which is the ordinary ways of communication and interaction in international affairs, is still war. This time he said: ‘diplomacy is a war in another field. There is no concern in diplomacy because no other state would forget its interests in favor of your state and your beloved nation rather they will try to reach their own interests and even capture yours. This is war, namely, you fight for your interests and do not mind if you endanger others’ interests, do not bother yourself for the others.’210 This same attitude in a ten years period shows cohesion in his speech act. When discussing technical issues of Iran’s nuclear program in his book, president Rouhani, explains the way that Iran’s conservatives look to the West. He writes: ‘the mentality of some officials was that it was impossible to solve our problems with IAEA; therefore, it was wasteful to negotiate with it. They also believed that negotiation with the EU could not reach any result because the EU wanted us to halt uranium enrichment. Regarding the U.S they had more pessimistic view because in 209 Khamenei, Ali. “speech for the staff of ministry of foreign affairs”. 1989. http://farsi.khamenei.ir/speech-‐content?id=2167 210 Khamenei, Ali. Foreign Policy Strategies: the supreme leader speeches for the staff of ministry of foreign affairs. Tehran: The Institute of Islamic Revolution, 2011: 37-‐38. 64 their view the U.S was following more sanctions or even military invasion and the nuclear program was just an excuse’.211 Elsewhere in his book Rouhani theorizes Iran’s officials perception and writes: ‘in Iran, we encounter some kind of prejudice in analysis. In social sciences there is a term so called Self Fulfilling Prophecy, meaning prejudices that cause their own realization. Namely, if you believed a process fails your behavior would be in a way that would result the fail of the process and then you would say: you see? I was right’.212 Khamenei believes that the world powers are the subsequent of colonial powers. In his speeches he utters that they always try to harm the third world specially the Islamic world, therefore, the IRI as the true leader of the Islamic world should always oppose the world powers. Here is one example of his attitude: ‘some believe that we should not antagonize the world powers and provoke them against us, but they neglect the fact that those powers are exploiters by nature and the global arrogance (the U.S.) tries to terminate every nation who does not want to placate them.’213 In the theory chapter it was discussed that ‘securitization studies aims to gain an increasingly precise understanding of who securitizes, on what issues (threats), for whom (referent objects), why, with what results, and, not least, under what conditions’.214 Until now all these matter were implicitly explained. The securitizing actor is mainly the supreme leader and whenever other officials do the securitization they refer to the supreme leader’s speeches as the cornerstone. The referent object, however, is the Islamic Republic itself. For them the regime is much more important than the country and they repeatedly express that without the IRI the country means nothing. Moreover, The IRI has a tendency to securitize all the sectors (political, economical, social). In their view the enemy uses all means to harm Iran. This part of one of Khamenei speeches shows how he securitizes all the sectors: ‘national security is very important. It includes both external and internal security. As stated previously 211 Rouhani, Hassan. National Security and Nuclear Diplomacy. Tehran: Center of Strategic Studies, 2012: 153-‐154. 212 Rouhani, Hassan. National Security and Nuclear Diplomacy. Tehran: Center of Strategic Studies, 2012: 565. 213 Khamenei, Ali. “speech for the staff of ministry of intelligence and security”. 1989. http://farsi.khamenei.ir/speech-‐content?id=2103 214 Buzan, Barry, Ole Waever, and Jaap de Wilde. Security: A New Framework For Analysis. Lynne Rienner Publishers, 1998: 32. 65 without security there is no economic activity. Without security there is no social justice. Without security there is no scientific development. Without security the country falls apart, therefore national security is the base.’215 In his speeches Iran’s supreme leader constantly emphasizes that Iran is in the way of development and the enemy cannot stand Iran as a developed country, thus, they try to stop it. Sometimes his speeches have characteristics of conspiracy and he asserts that the entire world is against Iran. Here is one example: ‘the leaders of global arrogance, who are dependent on gold and force and their trinkets in our region, with all of their propaganda, financial and political power try to terrify our nation. Everybody who follows political propaganda of the malevolent enemies of our nation understands the fact that all of their scientific, economical, political, security and military threats are in order to frustrate an alive, lively and mighty nation, namely the great Iranian nation who is standing with courage in the middle of the field.’216 The social and cultural issues are matters of securitization as well. The IRI, from the very early days of the revolution tried to force people to accept a specific way of life style, the one that is accepted by their understanding of Islam. For example, according to the country’s law women should cover their hair and wear long dresses. Of course, people have always resisted that and tried to challenge the official life style of the regime, which is not easy and sometimes dangerous. In reaction to people resistance, Khamenei brought up the notion of “cultural invasion”, because in his view this is because of the enemy stimulations that people challenge the official culture and the IRI’s social order. In this regard, in a speech that was held for military commanders he said: ‘some years ago I realized that a cultural movement like a creeper was going on inside the country. What for? That is for aiming the main point. What is the main point? Obviously the main point is people’s faith. They cannot change people’s faith by force therefore, they started a cultural invasion against us.’217 215 Khamenei, Ali. “speech at new year ceremony”. 2000. http://farsi.khamenei.ir/speech-‐content?id=3001 216 Khamenei, Ali. “speech at new year ceremony”. 2012. http://farsi.khamenei.ir/speech-‐content?id=19301 217 Khamenei, Ali. “speech for military commanders”. 1998. http://farsi.khamenei.ir/speech-‐content?id=2904 66 Generally speaking, in his view all the problems of the country come from the enemies and he never accepts and confesses that the regime is responsible for the country’s problems. Regarding the form of address of his speeches, however, he uses the word “enemy” in general. His pronunciation of the word, enemy, is in a specificstrange way therefore, this is an issue that Iranians make fun of it. Nevertheless when he talks specifically about the U.S he uses “the world arrogance” and instead of Israel he uses “Zionists”. By using these terms instead of the official names of those countries he tends to show his enmity with them. 7.2. The Need To Have Enemies In the situation of total war usually all states securitize all sectors, but in weak and unstable states the process of securitization goes on in all the sectors permanently and there is no difference between normal political life and national security concerns because much of regular politics is pushed under security realm.218 Respectively, securitization and politicization follow two opposite directions. If politicization means ‘to make an issue appear to be open, a matter of choice, something that is decided upon and that therefore entails responsibility’219, then securitization means ‘to present an issue as urgent and existential, as so important that it should not be exposed to the normal haggling of politics but should be dealt with decisively by top leaders prior to other issues’.220 If one follows Iran’s news and country’s officials’ discourse one sees that they always repeat “in the crucial current situation” and after that they usually wants people and mostly other political figures, especially reformists, to stop discussion about issues and trust the supreme leader because the time being is a crucial situation. Above all the supreme leader Ayatollah Khamenei uses this tactic and methodologically speaking his way of speech act is directive; he wants everybody to follow him because the situation is crucial. The constant conflict over power in Iran’s political life was explained in chapter four. Having said that, Iran’s leaders have two different kinds of problem. Ones are external opponents who are mainly outside the country and somehow have support of 218 Buzan, Barry, Ole Waever, and Jaap de Wilde. Security: A New Framework For Analysis. Lynne Rienner Publishers, 1998: 28. 219 Ibid: 29. 220 Buzan, Barry, Ole Waever, and Jaap de Wilde. Security: A New Framework For Analysis. Lynne Rienner Publishers, 1998: 29. 67 the U.S (mainly financial support). These are two different groups; Mojahedin-eKhalgh, MEK, which is kind of an Islamic Marxist group that during Saddam era had military base inside Iraq and was fighting against the IRI.221 Although the U.S lists this group as a terrorist organization, yet, they had support of America for some periods of time. The other ones of external opponents are the supporters of the former monarchy who desire the son of the former Shah to be Iran’s king after the fall of the IRI. These two groups do not create an urgent threat but in the case that the IRI loses its control over the country they can make some troubles. Anyhow, in the eyes of Iran’s conservatives and the supreme leader himself, the internal opposition, namely reformists, is more dangerous. Reformists are former revolutionaries whose ideas of how to rule the country have been changed over time. They seek more political and social freedom inside the country and a better set of relations with outside world. Iran’s leader considers them dangerous because they are massively popular between people and reformist leaders are beloved by many people especially young population who are the majority of the country. The past experiences show that if conservatives do not manipulate the elections, the reformists will be the winners. The conservatives have not forgotten the era of the reformist president Khatami and almost one decade later after his presidency they still maledict Khatami’s administration because of its actions, which were against the IRI ideology and values in the eyes of conservatives. Khamenei’s strategy against its opposition (internal-external) has always been to relate them to the enemy (the U.S and Israel). In his view, the internal opponents are the hidden hands of the enemy who operate from within. It was discussed before that when Khamenei was selected as the supreme leader he had not enough political and religious authority; therefore his leadership’s legitimacy was always questioned by other political and religious figures. In response, Khamenei tried to say that the ones who had questioned his leadership were the enemy agents. From the early days of his leadership some of high rank Shia clerics started criticizing him because they believed he was not at the level to occupy the leadership position. Here is an example of Khamenei’s response to two of high ranked clerics who had more involvement and role in the revolution than him and were former friends of Khamenei. He said that 221 Varasteh, Manshour. Understanding Iran's National Security Doctrine. Matador, 2013. 68 they were ‘traitors, naïve, manipulated by Zionists, disruptive of national security, ignorant, stupid and jealous.’222 It is worth mentioning that these two were under house arrest until their death. During the reformist era, Khamenei’s attitude against reformists was extremely harsh. Almost in all of his speeches he criticized their actions and always expressed that their actions were what the enemy wanted, therefore they were the enemy agents (it should be mentioned that he never publicly opposed president Khatami because as it was explained before his strategy is to not disagreeing the presidents openly). In one famous example, in a speech he criticized the reformist newspapers and the day after that more than twenty reformist newspapers were shut down by revolutionary court. In that speech he said: ‘unfortunately we see today that the enemy instead of broadcasting its own radios is acting inside the country. These media are the bases of the enemy. I am not against freedom of the press and variety of media. I would be happier if we had two hundreds newspaper instead of twenty but these newspapers are disturbing the public by making people pessimist about the regime. Fifteen, twenty newspapers are being led by similar center with similar titles. They exaggerate small issues to kill the hope of the youth.’223 During his leadership he has never accepted variety and different views and whenever a different view tried to find a place in public with his speeches, Khamenei securitized that as the agent of enemy. Instead of accepting different views he wants people and political figures to be united: ‘my dears, if we were united and as one, if people were intimate with officials, then the enemy could do nothing against us but unfortunately we have the agents of enemy inside the country.’224 Moreover, in his view, not being united is because of the enemy activities as well. He wants people and officials to not saying anything if they see problems because the enemy wants this; ‘do not talk about differences, talk about similarities. If judiciary arrests somebody do not make it as an excuse for controversy. If intelligence service does 222 Kadivar, Mohsen. The Trivialization of Shiia Marjaiyyat: Impeaching Iran's Supreme Leader on his Marjaiyyat. Kadivar.com, 2014: 22. 223 Khamenei, Ali. “speech for youth”. 2000. http://farsi.khamenei.ir/speech-‐content?id=3003 224 ibid 69 something wrong do not make a big issue of it because this is what enemy wants. Enemy does not want to see us united.’225 This situation will lead us to think that the enemy conception, to some extent has a domestic usage for Iran’s supreme leader. Although, trauma, ideology and geopolitical issues made him to think that others are enemies, however, he uses this very well in order to suppress the opposition and makes the way of his leadership smooth. Alizadeh and Javedanfar in the interview for this research both confirmed this idea. Alizadeh argued: ‘the enemy has a practical function for him. Generally speaking, all the ideological regimes need to have enemies to find them guilty. Khamenei claims that all the problems of the country are because of the enemy and he never accepts that the problems can be their own fault. He even announced a fatwa that criticizing the regime is Haram.’ Javedanfar also believes that Khamenei is exploiting the issue of Israel. In his view Israel is a matter that Khamenei plays with it relating the domestic situation. He offered some example: ‘now Rouhani is trying to normalize Iran’s relation with the U.S but when Khamenei does not want Rouhani anymore he will attack Israel in order to embarrass Rouhani. That is what he did to the former reformist president Khatami as well. During Khatami era when he was tying to restore Iran’s image in the world Khamenei ordered the arrest of 13 Jews to show Khatami who was in charge. In sum, the conservatives are using Israel to undermine reformists and they are using it in the Arab world to say that they are the true supporter of Palestine. It seems the only area for them to hold their legitimacy in the eyes of their supporters.’ 7.3. Conclusion This chapter was about arguing that Iran’s supreme leader is the main actor of the process of securitization. This is due to his constitutional position that grants him the power to be decisive in security issues. Moreover, because of both subjective and objective issues; he believes that the others are enemies and he sees all of their actions as harmful proposals, therefore for him all the sectors (political, economical, social) are the matters of securitization. Moreover, because of domestic difficulties with other factions he masterly uses the enemy in order to follow his path. As his 225 Khamenei, Ali. “speech at new year ceremony”. 1999. http://farsi.khamenei.ir/speech-‐content?id=2936 70 leadership has legitimacy deficit and he faces strong internal opponents he needs to use the enemy and crucial situation caused by enemy as and excuse to force his opponents keep quiet. 71 Conclusion: Making National Security In a Complex Web of Uncertainty Theoretical Conclusion This thesis has given an account of and the reasons for the widespread use of multitheoretical perspective for explaining Iranian perception of national security and securitization of the others as enemies. Moreover, it has argued that ideas of Copenhagen school of security studies are the best instruments to analyze this task because of the theoretical shortages found in both realism and constructivism. Realism does not seem appropriate enough for explaining Iranian security situation. Although, the current situation and security differences between Iran and its rivals and enemies can be explained by realism but it is unable to say why this situation happened in the first place. Realism does not include internal political change and the nature of units and also the role of identities and values in its analysis, thus, it is unable to offer an answer for the question what was the reason that Shah’s friendship with the U.S and Israel turned to enmity after the revolution. If it was not because of a political change in Iran’s ruling regime and new values and ideas of the new revolutionary regime then what was that? Constructivism, compare to realism, seems more satisfactory, however, it lacks the intentions to analyze geopolitical matters that are needed for finding a comprehensive understanding of national security perceptions. As Copenhagen school tries to include both realism and constructivism implications in its two pillars structure, it was therefore chosen as the principal theory of this research. According to this school; contrary to systemic level that its structure is permanent, the regional level has durable structure and it makes regional security complexes to finding a new situation by a significant shift in arrangements of units, the patterns of amity and enmity or the distribution of power. This research tried to prove that the shift in the political system of Iran caused by the Islamic Revolution created new patterns of amity and enmity in the region and because of that the Middle East faced a new security situation after Iran’s revolution. 72 Main Findings This study set out to determine the Iranian perception of national security. In doing so, both subjective and objective matters were required to be analyzed. Objective issues were analyzed in a regional perspective but if one accepts the aforementioned argument about inadequacy of realism, then, it is to say that for understanding people’s perception of national security, understanding their culture, historical background and ideas is a must, because the explanation of objective condition is not simply enough. It was shown that historical trauma, Shiism and Persian nationalism play a major role in the way that Iran’s supreme leader thinks of the others. In addition, because speeches of Iran’s supreme leader were the major primary sources of this research, a short review of Iran’s political system was necessary in order to show the importance of the supreme leader and the role he plays in the country’s political life. The evidence from this study suggests that the IRI’s leaders feel unsafe, isolated and uncertain about their future. Iranian’s nationality and religion are the leading causes of their disputes with Arab-Sunni states of the region. Moreover, the IRI ambition of becoming the leader of Islamic world and a regional hegemon is another reason for its rivalry with some Arab states (Saudi Arabia, Egypt) that makes their difficulties with Arabs even more complicated. Regarding Israel, however, the regime’s revolutionary interpretation of Shiism and its commitment to Palestine does not allow for it to start a normal relationship with Israel. Given the fact that Israel has already possessed nuclear weapons and Iran is accused of following the same path, is another issue of security concern, not only for these two states but also for the entire region. Arabs fear a nuclear Iran as much as Israel does. Regarding the U.S., it seems that trauma is the main reason of enmity with it. 1953 coup against Mossadeq democratic elected government, support of Saddam during Iran-Iraq war and sanctions are the main sources of historical trauma that made Iran’s leader to believe that the U.S ultimate aim is to withdraw the Islamic Republic. The military presence of the U.S in the region and its bases in almost all of Iran’s neighbor’s territories is enough for Iranian to fear a regime change by military invasion of the U.S. 73 The results of this study, therefore, indicate that these factors together make Iran’s leader to see everybody as a potential enemy. When in the minds of a country’s leaders all others are enemies then their perception of national security will be different with specific characteristic. In this situation they tend to securitize all the sectors and as it was shown that is what Iran’s supreme leader exactly does with his speech acts. In his speeches he utters that enemy can use and is using all sectors (political, economical, social and cultural) to harm the country and its Islamic republic, thus, they are matters of national security. All of these results aside, it can be said that the most significant finding of this study was the fact that for Iran’s leader the enemy has a functional use in order to solve internal problems. It has been discussed that the current supreme leader’s political and religious legitimacy is under question, therefore, he needs an excuse to suppresses his opponents and saying that the country is in crucial situation because of the enemy seems the best option that he has in his hands. With the use of enemy conception he tries to convince people and the regime opponents that the only way to survive is following his path and be united under his leadership. As a final thought it is worth considering that because of the cohesion found in Khamenei’s speeches regarding his perception of national security and enemy conception during twentyfive years of his leadership, it seems that any substantive change in Iran’s security and foreign policy requires a substantive shift in Iran’s leadership. Suggestions for further studies It was discussed in this research that how the lack of personal legitimacy of the current supreme leader affected his leadership. However, this discussion demands more researches from the perspective of political psychology and has the potential of being a separate study. This issue has been deliberately left aside in this thesis to avoid more complications. Moreover, the role of audience in securitization was explained in the theory chapter. In the view of Copenhagen school of security studies, the process of securitization is successful when the targeted audience accepts it. 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Regarding the fact that for many years you were part of the country’s foreign policy apparatus, I want to know how is the actual process of decision making in foreign policy and national security in Iran. Alizadeh: it is good to mention that during my years as an Iranian diplomat I’ve been asked this question several times by foreign diplomats because they had no idea as well who had final word in Iran. Due to the fact that Iran’s system is centralized thus the process of decision-making can be different from other countries. All over the world the ministry of foreign affairs is one of the most important organizations involved in the foreign policy and national security decision-making, however, when I review my years as an Iranian diplomat I can mention lots of instances where an issue had been decided without the ministry of foreign affairs even knowing about it. One example that I can mention now is Khomeini’s fatwa against Salman Rushdie. The ministry of foreign affairs was totally unaware of that and everybody was shocked when they heard the fatwa. The thing is that although the ministry of foreign affairs is not involved in many issues, however, it still holds all the responsibilities for the consequences. When Khomeini issued a death fatwa against a British citizen it damaged the relations between the two countries harshly and it was considered the ministry’s fault not Khomeini’s So I can say when exploring the organizations involved in decision-making process, the ministry of foreign affairs cannot be seen as one of constant decision makers. This ministry is maximally responsible for operating the decision taken elsewhere. Q: what is the reason behind that? Is it the lack of trust or something else? Alizadeh: the IRI is a post-revolutionary regime and one of the consequences of every revolution is the deconstruction of the former structures and replacing them 82 with new structures and the problem is that the revolutionary structures are immature and it takes time for them to learn how to adjust themselves to international standards of foreign policy. After three decades, however, the IRI still has not learned that every institution and organization has its own functions therefore I do not think it is because they do not trust the foreign ministry On the other hand the way that they look at international relations is important as well. When Mr. Jalili writes his dissertation about prophet of Islam’s diplomacy we can see that they have a specific understanding of international relations. They divide the world to Islamic world and the world of blasphemy and in their view even Saudi Arabia and Egypt are not in Islamic world. As long as they have this mentality nothing changes. Mr. Velayati, the former minister of foreign affairs, says in his memoirs that Khomeini said something about other countries and when we told him that these kind of comments harmed our relations with those countries Khomeini replied that he had nothing to do with governments and he was speaking with people. But the problem is that Khomeini was not only a religious figure, he was the first person of the country according to constitution and his comment mattered. That is the same about Khamenei. Q: there are different sides in Iran’s political structure and they have always had a power conflict with each other. To what extent the rivalry between these sides affects Iran’s foreign policy and national security? Alizadeh: it is a famous saying inside the regime that “the supreme leader has the final word” it means when he decides all the discussions should be over and it is true that he has the power to decide about an issue over night and announce it and after that everybody should accept it. However we see that sometimes he is affected by the discourse of the administration and sometimes he even uses the same discourse as the president. For example we see that during the era of the reformist president, Khatami, Khamenei somehow copied the president discourse about democracy. But he neither before nor after the Khatami era even mentioned democracy. 83 Q: this is a good example. That is true that to some extent the leader copied Khatami’s discourse of democracy but we see that at the same time the organizations which acts under the full control of leader, like revolutionary guards, did everything they could in order to cripple the reformist government of Khatami. Alizadeh: yes that is true and I do not say that during that time Khamenei really believed in democracy. The thing is that he always tries to express the same discourse as the administration and we have seen that during the presidency of Hashemi, Khatami, Ahmadinejad and now Rouhani. The moderation is the main slogan of Rouhani and interestingly since last year Khamenei used this slogan as well. However, he always acted in a same way during the past 25 years but he wanted to show publicly that he is not against the administration in order to express that he stands aside the different sides but he always took sides with radicals because he is the most radical himself. Q: you mentioned Khamenei’s discourse. When we read his speeches during his leadership we see that he always talk about enemy. What is the reason behind this? Alizadeh: the enemy has a practical function for him. Generally speaking, all the ideological regimes need to have enemies to find them guilty. Khamenei claims that all the problems of the country are because of the enemy and he never accepts that the problems can be their own fault. He even announced a fatwa that criticizing the regime is Haram. Let me give you an example to explain more the practical function of enemy for him. When Obama took power in the U.S he started sending a series of secret letters directly to the leader’s office in order to achieve a breakthrough. He even asked his embassies to invite Iranian diplomats all over the world for the first time after the revolution to attend in the U.S national day celebration and I personally received the invitation letter. We see that during this time the Green Movement started in the reaction of the manipulation of the presidency election in 2009. In one of his speeches about the Green movement he said that the demonstrators and oppositions had been motivated by “mean England” and they even captured some of Britain’s 84 embassy staff. He never named the U.S in this speech, which was unprecedented because he usually blamed the U.S in all the occasions. However, soon after Obama condemned the violation of demonstrations rights, Khamenei included the U.S again in his speeches as source of political unrests inside the country. So it shows that he uses the concept of enemy regarding the domestic situation. 85 Appendix II Interview: Meir Javedanfar Method of Interview: Skype Q: Before the revolution Israel was one of the closest allies to the Shah regime. What was the reason that after the Islamic revolution the relationship shifted to enmity? Javedanfar: I think the most important factor was the Islamic Revolution in 1979 and the fact that the supreme leader Khomeini wanted to install his system of Velayat-e-Faghih and Velayat-e-Faghih the way he saw it was representing god in earth to only Shias and in order to do that he saw the United States and Israel as enemy. Even in the 60s he was very anti Israel. From 1960 until his exile in 1964 he repeatedly attacked the Shah’s relationship with Israel. So, this enmity came from his worldview. He saw the Islamic Umma as Mostazaafin who are victims of Mostakbarin and the point is that he wanted to lead Islamic Umma and regarding the fact that he belonged to a minority branch of Islam (Persian Shia) he needed to be more militant than Arabs towards Israel. Q: history offers some proofs that he used enmity with Israel as an excuse to provoke people to uprise against shah or as you said he wanted to strengthen his position as the leader of the Islamic world by opposing Israel. This interpretation tends to say that Iran’s leaders used the issue of Israel as a tool for following their political goal. To what extent enmity with Israel is a part of their ideology? Javedanfar: I think for Khomeini and even now for Khamenei and the conservative side it is part of the ideology and that is why they did not change their attitude but they used this ideological believe very well for their political aims. The point is for Khomeini it was part of, not the most important part, of his revolutionary rhetoric and for the revolution to be successful and to be exported abroad they needed to have a model which was compatible with Islamic Umma and because Iranians were Shia and 86 the majority of Islamic world were Sunni, being anti Israel was the only part of Islamic revolution that was compatible with the ideal of Islamic Umma. But we cannot extend this to all the people of Iran who made the revolution possible. They made the revolution because of many other reasons such as democracy, social justice, independence, etc. I think not having relation with Israel was not one of the main goals of all the revolutionaries. I think Khomeini needed something to present him as the true leader of Islamic cause and it was being anti Israel. It has to be said that different sides of the regime have different views about Israel. For example, Khatami did not agree a hostile attitude toward Israel or even Rafsanjani with a hostile attitude toward Israel in the past, lately said that Israel is not the enemy. But on the other hand Ahmadinejad was such an extremist. But the problem is Khamenei as the supreme leader still has an extremist point of view about Israel and as long as he holds this view there cannot be any change. Q: there is a difference between different sides inside the regime. On one side we have conservatives and on the other side we have moderates and reformists. Regarding the constant conflict between these sides is it right to say that Khamenei and his conservatives allies use Israel in order to strengthen their position in Iran? Javedanfar: Israel is not only a matter of foreign policy or national security for Iran. It is a matter of domestic policy as well. Especially, we can see it during the presidency of Ahmadinejad. Ahmadinejad as one of the closest allies to Khamenei in 2005 said Israel should be wiped off the map and he denied Holocaust as a signal to reformist to saying them that their era was over. Khamenei and his allies are losing the social support of people and they are going politically bankrupt, thus, they need something to deliver to their supporters and that is being anti Israel and the U.S. but the problem is the majority of the Iranians do not buy this because in their Israel is not the enemy. Q: domestic aspects aside, what are the benefits of hostility with Israel for the Islamic republic? Javedanfar: I think Iranian conservatives are miscalculating the situation. Israel is not their biggest enemy. Their biggest enemy is Sunni-Arab states and as the situation 87 goes on in Syria and Iraq, Iran’s problem with Sunnis will go deep. Iran’s leaders want to present themselves as the leader of Islamic world but the Sunnis don’t consider Shias as Muslims at all. In their view Iranians are only Persians not Muslims and everybody knows the historical conflict between Arabs and Persians. Maybe Israel is the only way that Iran’s leader can get some supports between Sunni-Arabs but here is another problem which is as more as they stick to their anti Israel attitude, Iranian people go away from them. Conservatives are stuck in a vicious cycle and the more they try to strengthen their position the more they lose. The problem is the regime in Iran is going beyond just undermining Israel. It is making anti Semitic statements when Khamenei questions holocaust. The question here is how far he goes and what is he doing. The Islamic republic needs to pick an enemy either Israel or Sunnis because they cannot fight everybody. Now we are entering a new era because Iran is sending troops to Arab countries, they have troops in Syria and Iraq, which is totally new for Iran, and it will deepen Iran’s problem with Arabs and costs both financially and politically a lot for Iran. Due to this situation Khamenei needs reform his anti Israel policy but I do not see him doing it. Q: Khamenei securitizes repeatedly Israel and claims that Israel is behind most of the problems of the country (political, economical, etc.). Is this claim real or they just use it as an excuse to cover their own shortages? Javedanfar: he is exploiting this issue. Israel is not the biggest enemy of Iran. During the early years of the revolution Israel tried to show its goodwill. For example, during the war with Iran, Israel helped Iran by giving weapon to the country but Iranians never wanted to have a normal relations with Israel. From 1979 until 2009 for thirty years Iran said Israel should be wiped off the map but only since 2009 Netanyahu said that all the options are on the table. If for thirty years somebody tells to your face that you should be dead, one day you will turn around and say I will defend myself. Jewish people and Iranians have friendship that goes to biblical time. Not many nations that are mentioned in bible as favorably as Iranian people are but the regime in Iran is loosing its legitimacy and the more illegitimate they become the more anti Israel they will be. I think Khamenei is more responsible for Iran not having a good relation with Israel more than Israelis. It is a fight that started by Islamic Republic and has been continued by them. For example, now Rouhani is 88 trying to normalize Iran’s relation with the U.S but when Khamenei does not want Rouhani anymore he will attack Israel in order to embarrass Rouhani that is what he did the former reformist president Khatami as well. During Khatami era when he was tying to restore Iran’s image in the world Khamenei ordered the arrest of 13 Jews to show Khatami who is in charge. In sum, the conservatives are using Israel to undermine reformist and they are using it in the Arab world to say that they are the true supporter of Palestine. It seems the only area for them to hold their legitimacy in the eyes of their supporters. 89 Appendix III Interview: Mohsen Kadivar Method of Interview: Skype Q: there are two general views about IRI. One view believes that IRI acts according to its ideology regarding foreign policy and national security and the other view sees IRI as a rational actor who is seeking its national interests. In your view to what extent each of these affects IRI’s foreign policy and national security doctrine? Kadivar: although IRI was created as a theocratic regime but in practice the leaders of the IRI acted in a pragmatist manner and appeared as a rational actor. However from the very beginning ideology was one of important factors of the IRI in foreign policy but it has never been the only one and has always perched alongside the other factors. For instance, if ideology was the only guide of IRI in foreign policy it should have supported Muslims of Chechnya in their conflict with Russia but it sided with Russians. This is true about the violation of Muslims rights in China as well. Iranian leaders have always turned a blind eye to Chinese Muslims because their sever need to China and Russia. If we take a look to the history of the IRI we see that they follow national interests as the first factor and ideology is the second factor as long as it is not in contradiction with national interest. However, the issue of Israel is more complicated and should have been analyzed separately. Q: the IRI is, however, a theocracy and its identity is tied with religion and most of its supporters support it because its ideological aspects. Regarding this issue if in a case a contradiction between the ideology and interest happens what would be the IRI choose in order to not loosing its religious supporters? Kadivar: the IRI, in nature, is not too different with other political regimes and in many cases they have shown that they act as a rational actor and ideology is one of factors involved in their decision making, however if a contradiction between ideology and interest happens there is a formula in Islam which is “put first things 90 first”226. According to this formula they look at every case to see what is the most important. If in a case the most important is ideology they act according to the ideology and if it is interests they act based on interests. Thus, there is no distinct line that says that up to that line they act according to ideology and after that they follow interests. Q: so it is to say that the IRI act based on this famous saying of Khomeini: “ the survival of the regime is the most important”? Kadivar: exactly. The IRI is seeking survival like every other states but the main difference is that it is non-democratic and when talking about survival, this survival is not tied up with the will of the majority of people therefore some times there is a conflict between national interests and the regime interests. Q: regarding Israel, as you said it is a complicated conflict. Iran and Israel were allies with friendly relationships before the revolution. These two countries are not even neighbors of have geopolitical disputes. The other thing is that many of Israelis have Iranian origins and thousands of years Jews have been living peacefully in Iran. All of these issues can say that Iran and Israel have the potential to be close allies. However, many believe that the main source of the current enmity between the two countries is Khomeini’s attitude rooted in his Islamic beliefs toward Israel. Do you agree with them? Kadivar: if we go back to 60s we can see that opposing Israel was not only limited to Khomeini and there were others who were critical to Khomeini but shared the same idea with him regarding Israel. Opposing Israel has not started with Khomeini and the IRI. Since 1948 after the creation of Israel and especially after the six days war in 1967, Public conscience of the Muslims all over the world was injured. There were many in Iran like Ayatollah Musavi Zanjani who was one of the leaders of the National Front and an opposition to Khomeini as well or Ayatollah Taleghani or Ayatollah Shariatmadari. All of these had different views with Khomeini in other aspects of political and social life. 226 “Put first things first” seems to be the closest translation of the formula. However, it can be translated as the most important of important as well. 91 Q: all of these people that you named were clerics and obviously the source of their resistance against Israel was their Islamic belief. The enmity between Iran and Israel started with an ideological reason from Iranian side and then turned to a classic enmity between two states however it seems that the nature of the enmity is still ideological. I want to reformulate my previous question and ask whether it is possible that the IRI someday leaves its ideology and starts a good relationship with Israel in order to enhance its interests? Kadivar: first I should mention that opposing Israel is in limited to Muslims. Before the Islamic revolution we had communists who were opposing Israel. Or in the western academia we had Edward Saied or even now Noam Chomsky who as a leftist criticizes Israel. Answering to your question, however, I should say that opposing Israel is embedded in the IRI’s nature but for example Iran’s problem with the U.S is not the same. Therefore, it is possible that one day Iran and the U.S have good relationships and we are witnessing now that they started to solve a part of their problems with dialogues but it never happens regarding Israel and since the IRI doesn’t change substantively its nature they never go toward the normalization of their relationships with Israel. Q: if we compare Khamenei to Khomeini we can see that there is a huge difference between these to regarding their political and religious status. The question is how this difference affected Khamenei’s leadership? Kadivar: considering the foreign policy, I believe that Khamenei followed the footprints of Khomeini. But the difference is that Khomeini conducted his extreme foreign policy when people were affected by revolutionary emotions and most of them were supporting him. However, Khamenei is repeating Khomeini’s rhetoric in a situation in which people are not affected by revolutionary emotions anymore because they are realists now the most important point is that the Islamic Republic and Khamenei himself do not have the support of at least half of the people. Another difference is Khomeini during his ten years as the supreme leader became more experienced and in his late years he showed to understand the nature of foreign policy but Khamenei after 25 years is still repeating Khomeini’s early rhetoric. 92 Regarding the domestic policy it is important to take a look at both Khomeini and Khamenei’s personal characters. Khomeini had a strong character and because of that he was able to act, as a balancer between different actors but due to Khamenei’s political and religious lack he officially supported one side in order to make them his allies. Q: in all of his speeches, Khamenei emphasizes on enemy and claim that the enemy is behind all of the country’s problems. How do you interpret this? Can we say that it is a political tactic in order to suppress his oppositions? Kadivar: if we compare Khamenei to Khomeini we see that there is no difference between them regarding using the enemy for suppressing the opposition. Khomeini did this as well in several occasions. But as I described before Khomeini had the support of people and his oppositions were somehow confronting the people as well. But because Khamenei does not possess the support of people his tactic to use the enemy as an excuse for suppressing his oppositions does not work because people know it is not true. On the other hand it should be mentioned that if we go through the history of Iran after the revolution we see that the enemy is not something constructed by them Iran’s leader. The U.S and Israel did everything they could to overthrow the revolutionary regime. And the most important thing is that in my view the main reason of the revolution is 1953 coup conducted by CIA when they overthrow Mossadeq’s democratic elected government. This coup caused strong anti American emotions between people. Or during the war they supported Saddam. If we look at the situation fairly we cannot say that all the current problems has been caused by the IRI and to some extent they actions are actually reactions to the U.S policy in the middle east. 93
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