ABSTRACT OCCUPANCY, HABITAT USE, AND SEASONAL FLUCTUATIONS OF MEDIUM TO LARGE MAMMALIAN PREDATORS AND OMNIVORES IN SIERRA NEVADA FOOTHILL OAK WOODLAND Mammalian predators are known to be sensitive to relatively low levels of habitat perturbations, and disturbances to these species are underway due anthropogenic development and climate change in the Sierra Nevada Foothills (SNF) of California. This was the first study to use motion-activated cameras to detect these target species in oak woodland habitat of the central SNF. From February 2014 to February 2015 seven mammalian predators were detected on the Sierra Foothill Conservancy’s McKenzie Preserve at three different elevations: coyote (Canis latrans), gray fox (Urocyon cinereoargenteus), bobcat (Lynx rufus), striped skunk (Mephitis mephitis), raccoon (Procyon lotor), American badger (Taxidea taxus), and black bear (Ursus americanus). Occupancy models indicated that the bobcat, coyote, gray fox, and raccoon were using the preserve with 100% probability, and were widely distributed throughout the preserve. Habitat use was patchy for the American badger, black bear, and striped skunk. Generalized linear models showed interactions between the gray fox, raccoon, bobcat and coyote to suggest coexistence on the preserve is being maintained through resource partitioning and not temporal or spatial separation. This newly established baseline of mammalian predators is informative for future monitoring, management, and development plans in the SNF. Ryan Michael Smith December 2015 OCCUPANCY, HABITAT USE, AND SEASONAL FLUCTUATIONS OF MEDIUM TO LARGE MAMMALIAN PREDATORS AND OMNIVORES IN SIERRA NEVADA FOOTHILL OAK WOODLAND by Ryan Michael Smith A thesis submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Master of Science in Biology in the College of Science and Mathematics California State University, Fresno December 2015 APPROVED For the Department of Biology: We, the undersigned, certify that the thesis of the following student meets the required standards of scholarship, format, and style of the university and the student's graduate degree program for the awarding of the master's degree. Ryan Michael Smith Thesis Author Paul R. Crosbie (Chair) Biology Steven Blumenshine Biology Madhusudan Katti Biology For the University Graduate Committee: James Marshall, Division of Graduate Studies AUTHORIZATION FOR REPRODUCTION OF MASTER’S THESIS X I grant permission for the reproduction of this thesis in part or in its entirety without further authorization from me, on the condition that the person or agency requesting reproduction absorbs the cost and provides proper acknowledgment of authorship. Permission to reproduce this thesis in part or in its entirety must be obtained from me. Signature of thesis author: ACKNOWLEDGMENTS The completion of this thesis has been made possible by the roles my professors, the university’s College of Science and Mathematics, the Sierra Foothill Conservancy, undergraduates and my wife have played in the duration of the process. I would like to acknowledge and thank them all. My committee chair and advisor, Dr. Paul Crosbie played the most integral role in guiding me through the process and furthering my abilities to design, conduct, analyze, and finish this thesis. My remaining committee members, Dr. Madhusudan Katti and Dr. Steven Blumenshine, I thank for providing constructive mentoring and guidance. Dr. John Constable was an inspirational professor and source of encouragement when I was first starting to consider the graduate program, and then again in the classroom and during numerous brief encounters throughout the program. Thank you all. To the College of Science and Mathematics, for offering the M.S. in Biology and the financial support provided by the Faculty Sponsored Student Research Award, I am grateful. To the Department of Biology, thank you for your professionalism and guidance in and out of the classroom. Thank you to undergraduate biology students Francisco Barajas and Jessica Wilson for their assistance in the field. Thank you to the Sierra Foothill Conservancy; for permission to collect data at the McKenzie Preserve. Lastly, I want to thank my family. To my dad, Tim Smith, for his company and assistance on hikes up and down the hills. To my mom, Judy Smith, for her support in the flatlands. Finally, to my wife, Candice, for her love, patience and ability to make my time away from our boys, Holden and Sawyer, as unnoticeable as possible. Thank you. TABLE OF CONTENTS Page LIST OF TABLES .................................................................................................. ix LIST OF FIGURES .................................................................................................. x INTRODUCTION .................................................................................................... 1 Overview ........................................................................................................... 1 Sierra Nevada Foothills ..................................................................................... 2 Target Species ................................................................................................... 4 Mesocarnivores ................................................................................................. 9 Sierra Foothill Conservancy............................................................................ 15 Camera Trapping and Occupancy ................................................................... 16 Goals and Objectives....................................................................................... 17 MATERIALS AND METHODS ........................................................................... 18 Study Area Description ................................................................................... 18 Camera Trap Sites ........................................................................................... 23 Measurement of Habitat and Weather Variables ............................................ 23 Image Count and Management ....................................................................... 24 Analysis ........................................................................................................... 25 RESULTS ............................................................................................................... 33 Capture Data.................................................................................................... 33 Target Species Distribution and Habitat Use .................................................. 39 Species Occupancy.......................................................................................... 43 DISCUSSION......................................................................................................... 47 Mammalian Mesocarnivore Distribution and Activity ................................... 48 Habitat and Environmental Characteristics..................................................... 50 viii Page Intraguild Interactions ..................................................................................... 52 Future Research ............................................................................................... 54 REFERENCES ....................................................................................................... 56 APPENDICES ........................................................................................................ 65 APPENDIX A: POSITIVE CAPTURE IMAGES OF EACH TARGET SPECIES..................................................................................... 66 APPENDIX B: MEASUREMENT OF HABITAT VARIABLES COLLECTED FROM SAMPLING SITES ................................................ 71 LIST OF TABLES Page Table 1 -- Sampling Site Locations and Elevations within the McKenzie Preserve ................................................................................ 20 Table 2 -- Habitat Descriptions for Each of the Six Sampling Sites within the McKenzie Preserve ................................................................................ 22 Table 3 -- Relative Use of Study Sites by the Six Target Species on the SFC’s McKenzie Preserve in the SNF.............................................................. 33 Table 4 -- Resulting Categories of Habitat Variables Showing Significant Differences in Relative Activity of Target Species and the Variables VIF ......................................................................................................... 41 Table 5 -- Top Ranked Use Models Incorporating Survey-Period Specific Covariates for Each Target Species (bobcats, coyotes, gray foxes, and raccoons) ................................................................................................ 44 Table 6 -- Estimated Mean Seasonal Detectability of Target Species (bobcats, coyotes, gray foxes, and raccoons) at the McKenzie Preserve .............. 45 Table 7 -- Use of McKenzie Preserve Models Incorporating Site-Specific Covariates for Each Target Species (bobcats, coyotes, gray foxes, and raccoons) ................................................................................................ 46 LIST OF FIGURES Page Figure 1 -- Concept map of interspecies interactions in the SNF. Solid arrows indicate negative impact at point of arrow, dotted lines indicate potential negative impact (adapted from Lesmeister et. al 2015). .......... 10 Figure 2 -- Map of the Sierra Foothill Conservancy’s (SFC) McKenzie Preserve and the location of the 6 study sites. ........................................ 19 Figure 3 -- High elevation Sites 2 (top) and 3 (bottom) in the summer and winter. ..................................................................................................... 20 Figure 4 -- Mid elevation Sites 1 (top) and 4 (bottom) in the summer and winter. ..................................................................................................... 21 Figure 5 -- Low elevation Sites 5 (top) and 6 (bottom) in the summer and winter. ..................................................................................................... 21 Figure 6 -- Camera mounts at sampling sites on a tree and t-post. ........................ 24 Figure 7 -- Residuals of relative activity of target species at each of the six study sites on the Sierra Foothill Conservancy’s McKenzie Preserve of the SNF ............................................................................................... 34 Figure 8 -- Total number of captures of each species during each season of the study ........................................................................................................ 35 Figure 9 -- Mean monthly activity of the entire guild of mammalian carnivores and each individual species, represented by the frequency of capture each month .............................................................................................. 36 Figure 10 -- Diel activity of the six target species represented by the frequency of capture at each hour of the day ........................................................... 36 Figure 11 -- Total number of captures of all target species combined for each month compared to the mean temperature each month .......................... 37 Figure 12 -- Total number of captures of all target species combined for each month compared to the total monthly precipitation ................................ 38 Figure 13 -- Total number of captures of all target species combined for each month compared to monthly relative humidity....................................... 38 Figure 14 -- Generalized linear models of raccoon activity in response to coyote activity in the winter (top left), spring (top right), winter (middle left) and bobcat activity in the winter (middle right), spring (bottom left), summer (bottom right) ...................................................... 42 xi Page Figure 15 -- Generalized linear models of gray fox activity in response to coyote activity in spring (top left) and bobcat activity in winter (top right), spring (bottom left), summer (bottom right) ................................ 43 INTRODUCTION Overview Mammalian predators are known to be sensitive to relatively low levels of habitat perturbations, and disturbances to predator assemblages may have a considerable impact on the health and functionality of the larger ecosystem (Noss et al., 1996; Crooks et al., 2002; Faeth et al., 2005; Ordenana et al., 2010). Even though predatory mammals have been well studied globally (Lucherini et al., 2009; Schuette et al., 2013; DiMarco et al., 2014; Monterroso et al., 2014a), nationally (McDonald et al., 2008; Beschta and Ripple, 2009; Lesmeister et al., 2015), and within California (Hilty et al., 2006; Ordenana et al., 2010; Wang et al., 2015), little is known of the contemporary mammalian carnivore community in the Sierra Nevada foothills of California. Oak woodland habitats of the Sierra Nevada foothills are currently considered to be undergoing threats to their continued viability due to anthropogenic development and climate change (Jongsomjit et al, 2013). Projections indicate the intensity of these threats to increase in coming years. Thus far, no studies have been conducted that assessed the diversity, distribution, or habitat use of mammalian predators in oak woodland habitats of the Central San Joaquin Valley foothills. This study employed a noninvasive method of data collection, camera trapping, within semi-protected oak woodland habitat of the Sierra Nevada foothills to estimate mammalian carnivore diversity, distribution, habitat use, and occupancy. In addition, temporal and spatial use of a habitat immersed within a matrix of anthropogenic development by these species allowed inference of behavioral adaptations. Finally, the study attempted to provide recommendations 2 for habitat management to preserve healthy mammalian populations in the study area and immediate surroundings. Sierra Nevada Foothills The United States Department of Agriculture Forest Service (USDA-FS) defines the Sierra Nevada Foothills (SNF) as an ecological subregion of the United States (http://www.fs.fed.us/land/pubs/ecoregions/ch33.html#M261F). The SNF stretch from Lake Almanor (Plumas.County), 264 km north of Sacramento, south to Tehachapi (Kern County) along the western slope of the Sierra Nevada mountains at an elevation of 152-1,520 m (Storer et al. 2004), a distance of 782 km. They are one of the most diverse and widely distributed habitats in California (Schoenherr, 1992). The biological diversity of the region can be attributed in part to geologic processes from 250-150 mya, climate, topography, soil composition, and the presence of 12 large river systems that run from the Sierra Nevada mountains and through the western foothills (Storer et al. 2004). The central region of the SNF (within the counties of Mariposa, Madera, Fresno, and Tulare) is composed of a patchwork of grasslands, chaparral, riparian habitat, oak woodlands, and mixed oak and conifer forest. Predominant tree species include the Gray Pine, Pinus sabiniana; Blue Oak, Quercus douglasii; and Interior Live Oak, Quercus wislizeni (Schoenherr, 1992). Winter rainfall and runoff in the SNF frequently form vernal pools when the water is unable to percolate into the soils. These conditions form ecological islands, and an estimated 50% of over 100 plant species associated with these vernal pools are endemic to California (Schoenherr, 1992). Nearly 66% (1.131 million ha) of vernal pool habitat has been lost to human disturbance and grazing, with the greatest number of pools in the best condition remaining on the high terraces of 3 the SNF (Schoenherr, 1992, pg. 526). Despite the diversity and endemism of the habitats of the SNF they are one of the least protected against climate change (Wiens et al., 2011) and anthropogenic pressures (Underwood et al., 2009 and Martinuzzi et al., 2013). Development projections in California’s oak woodlands show the Central Valley and SNF to be the region of the state under the greatest threat by 2040 (Gaman & Firman, 2006) with urban and suburban development doubling and exurban developments tripling in the same region of the SNF by 2070 (Jongsomjit et al., 2013). This study was conducted at a site in this central region of the SNF, within Fresno County, northeast of the large metropolitan and suburban area of Fresno and Clovis, CA, USA and in proximity to the foothill communities of Friant, Prather and Auberry. Two large suburban developments are in various stages of development near the study site: Ventana Hills, less than 6 km (3.7 miles) to the west of the study site, a 122 ha (302 acre) gated community containing 90 one ha (two acre) plots (http://www.livevh.com/site-plan.htm) and the Millerton New Town Project, over 3,000 houses being developed east of Friant (http://abclocal.go.com//story?section=news/local&id=8574426). When climate change projections and an estimated decrease in the probability of species occurrence are considered, the effects of anthropogenic perturbations of natural habitats in the Central Valley and SNF may be potentially amplified (Jongsomjit et al., 2013). Further, 18 bird species associated with oak woodlands are predicted to expand their ranges in response to climate change, finding refuge in the central region of the SNF, which is projected to experience an 80% habitat loss due to exurban development (Jongsomjit et al., 2013). This predicted shift in response to climate change has been observed in Sierra Nevadan bird, butterfly, mammal and tree species over the last 35-100 years, and some 4 species have shifted down (Moritz et al., 2008; Tingley et al., 2009; Forister et al., 2010; Crimmins et al., 2011). This trend suggests that regular monitoring of the biological communities of the SNF must occur on a routine basis and the first step in the process is to establish accurate baselines. Quantitative estimates of medium to large mammalian carnivore habitat use in SNF habitats appear to be unknown; general statements of species presence in the SNF are all that are available. However, surveys have been conducted using camera trapping at higher elevations of the Sierra Nevada Mountain Range (Zielinski et al., 2005). This study focused on the community of mammalian omnivores and carnivores residing within a specific landscape of the central SNF. Target Species The historical range of several medium to large-sized carnivores and omnivores includes the SNF ecoregion. Those animals are members of several families : Canidae – Coyote (Canis latrans), Gray Fox (Urocyon cinereoargenteus); Felidae – Mountain Lion (Puma concolor), Bobcat (Lynx rufus); Mustelidae – Striped Skunk (Mephitis mephitis), Spotted Skunk (Spilogale putorius), Badger (Taxidea taxus), various members of the Mustela genus (Weasels and Minks); Procyonidae – Ringtail (Bassariscus astutus), Raccoon (Procyon lotor); Ursidae – Black Bear (Ursus americanus) (Barrett et al., 1980; Jameson & Peeters, 1988); and the only marsupial in the United States, Virginia Opossum (Didelphis virginiana), a non-native species introduced to California in 1910 (Jameson & Peeters, 1988). Preliminary data (P.R. Crosbie et al. pers. observ.) indicated that a sub set of the taxa above were the most likely occupants of the preserve: coyotes, bobcats, raccoons, skunks, badgers and gray foxes, and these were considered the target taxa described below. 5 Canidae Canis latrans (Coyote) is a Nearctic canid that includes 19 subspecies varying in size between geographic locations, but with males always larger (10.3-16 kg) than females (8-14.2 kg). The coyote inhabits diverse habitats distributed throughout the US and Canada and between Northern Alaska (70˚ N) and Costa Rica (10˚ N) (Bekoff and Gese, 2003). The mean home range of coyotes in a fragmented habitat of California’s Santa Monica Mountains and Simi Hills was 6.17 km2 for males and 2.84 km2 for females (Riley et al, 2003). Coexistence with other carnivores is common and likely mediated by resource partitioning. However, in some areas coyote tolerance for smaller canids and bobcats can be low and they are particularly likely to kill swift, kit and gray foxes. Coyotes are opportunistic predators with a diet dominated by lagomorphs, rodents and ungulates. Their diet also includes birds, amphibians, lizards, berries and fruit. The availability of food plays a major factor in regulating pack size, reproductive rates, survival, dispersal and space use patterns (Bekoff and Gese, 2003). Mating season is between January and March. Litters averaging six pups are born after a ~63 day gestation, typically in April. Dispersal of young occurs within the first or second year during the autumn or winter months. Population density of the coyote is estimated to be 0.2-0.4/km2 (Bekoff and Gese, 2003). Urocyon cinereoargenteus (Gray Fox) is distributed within wooded, brushy and rocky habitats of North America, from southern Canada southward to northern South America. Most recently this the range of the gray fox has expanded into the Great Plains and regions in northeastern United States. California gray fox populations are most abundant between 1150-1525 m and favor brushy vegetation associated with rugged broken terrain. Home range of California individuals averaged 129 ha (males) and 122 ha (females) that included dens in hallowed logs 6 or trees, rock outcroppings, and underground burrows in brush and wooded habitats. Gray foxes breed between January and April, varying among geographic location. Population density ranges from 0.4-1.5/km2 depending on location. Gray fox mass can range from 3-7 kg; males are slightly larger than females. The presence of gray foxes can negatively influence weasel populations yet have no effect on skunks, raccoons or opossums. Main interspecific threats to the gray fox are man, golden eagles, coyotes and bobcats. Gray fox diet is composed mainly of mammals, rabbits and rodents in the winter. During summer months invertebrates can dominate their diet while plant foods are consumed more in autumn months (Cypher, 2003). Felidae Lynx rufus (Bobcat) is distributed throughout Canada, the United States and Mexico except in Hawaii, Alaska, Vancouver Island, Prince Edward Island or Newfoundland. Habitat selection is variable and is typically determined by prey availability. It is common for males and females to prefer different habitats seasonally. Males can prefer higher elevations in the summer months and lower elevations in rocky terrain with a southwest facing slope in the winter. Bobcats are polygamous and females are seasonally polyestrous mating between December and July. Females most commonly begin mating during their second spring and give birth to a litter of 1-6 kittens. California populations have been estimated to be 0.7-0.9/km2. The average size of the bobcat is between 4.1-18.3 kg. Their diet is strictly carnivorous consisting predominantly of lagomorphs, sciurids and ground dwelling microtines. The bobcat will also prey on mule deer, white tailed deer, galliformes, reptiles, fish and insects. As food availability decreases the home 7 range of the bobcat increases. Home ranges are always smaller for females than males. The home range of a male bobcats overlap with other males and females and the size is influenced by adjacent and overlapping home ranges (Lariviere and Walton, 1997). Research in California’s Golden Gate National Recreation Area in Marin County found the bobcat’s mean home range 1453 ha (males) and 633.1 ha (females) in rural areas and 638.5 ha (male) and 105.9 ha (female) in urban areas (Riley, 2006). Daily movement of males in Montana averaged 4.9 km and 1.1 km for males and females, respectively (Lariviere and Walton, 1997). Procyonidae Procyon lotor (Raccoon) is distributed from Southern Canada south to Panama. They are not hibernators but have been known to remain in hollowed trees during exceptionally cold winters. Raccoons more typically occupy a den site for an average 1.5 days before shifting to other available dens in hallowed trees, ground dens vacated by striped skunks, or rock crevices. Breeding season is predominately in March, but can vary between December and June with geographic location. The average litter size is between 1.9 and 5 young. Each can grow to be an average 5.94 kg (females) and 6.76 kg (males). The average home range of the raccoon is 49 ha and will decrease in size as density increases. Diet includes a wide range of plant and animal matter: berries, nuts, seeds, arthropods, rarely vertebrates, and accounts of sea turtle and bird eggs. Predators include man, bobcat, coyote, and owls. The raccoon becomes active before sunset to feed throughout the night to finish before sunrise (Lotze and Anderson, 1979; Gehrt, 2003). 8 Mustelidae Mephitis mephitis (Striped Skunk) is distributed throughout Southern Canada, the United States, and Northern Mexico from sea level to 1800 m. Density estimates range from 1.8-4.8/km2 and fluctuate greatly as a possible result of disease outbreaks and high recruitment and turnover rates. Within an average minimum adult home range of 378.0 ha (female) and 511.5 ha (male) mountain lions, coyotes, bobcats, badgers, foxes, Great horned owls, and eagles are the striped skunk’s main predators. Though primarily insectivorous the striped skunk is opportunistic and its diet can shift between animal and plant matter: arthropods, mice, voles, eggs and young of ground nesting birds, fruits and berries. The striped skunk is active within one hour of sunset through the night until dawn throughout the year except for up to 118 days of winter. During these winter months communal denning of multiple females and one male can occur as early as late fall through early spring. Breeding also takes place during February or March. Females with young will remain in a den trough the spring and summer with an average litter size of 5.8-7.8. Adult striped skunks will grow to be 1.2 – 5.3 kg (Wade-Smith and Verts, 1982). Taxidea taxus (Badger) can weigh up to 12 kg and is distributed throughout southern Canada, western and central United States, and northern Mexico at elevations lower than sea level to 3660 m. The density of badgers is estimated to be 1/2.6 km2 and have an average overall home range size of 850 ha that varied with season: 725 ha (summer), 53 ha (autumn), and 2 ha (winter). Though not true hibernators, badgers can experience torpid in winter at higher elevations and latitudes. Diet of the badger consists of mostly rodents, fish, snakes, insects, honey combs, bees, larvae, and bank-swallow eggs. Predators include the coyote and golden eagle (Long, 1973). 9 These species can be defined as mesocarnivores or mesopredators due to their size and taxonomic characters. Despite little being known about the presence or abundance of mesocarnivores in the SNF, recent studies suggest their ecological role to be diverse and important (Prugh et al., 2009 and Roemer et al., 2009). Mesocarnivores’ population dynamics are influenced by habitat fragmentation and urbanization, and temporal and spatial trophic and intraguild interactions (Prugh et al., 2009 and Roemer et al., 2009). Mesocarnivores Only recently has research shown that mesocarnivores may have a much more vital ecological role than once assumed. The near complete eradication and considerable range reduction of North American carnivores (Laliberte and Ripple, 2004) has complicated the web of direct and indirect interactions within terrestrial ecosystems (Prugh et al., 2009). Among the biomes of North America, temperate grasslands, savannas and broadleaf/mixed forests have experienced the greatest number of lost carnivore and ungulate species (Laliberte and Ripple, 2004). Consequently, the structure and function of these communities and ecosystems can be altered further due to the absence of predator driven direct effects and by feardriven indirect effects induced by a small number of large carnivorous animals (Roemer et al., 2009). In the absence of apex large carnivores the importance of their ecological function may be assumed by the smaller (<15 kg) species defined as mesocarnivores (Roemer et al., 2009). Regardless of the largest most dominant carnivores in an ecosystem being present, mesocarnivores have a relatively high species richness and abundance and exhibit a great range of character traits: solitary to highly social, frugivorous to hypercarnivorous, habitat specialists to generalists (Roemer et al., 2009). These 10 ecological traits and their necessity for movement within a landscape contribute to their heterogeneous sensitivities to habitat fragmentation variables, making them effective focal organisms for evaluating habitat conditions and functional connectivity in fragmented areas (Crooks, 2002). Furthermore, mesocarnivores have the potential to strongly impact ecosystem function and health both directly and indirectly. These impacts can then be influenced by anthropogenic habitat fragmentation and urbanization, and trophic and intraguild interactions. Only recently has the role of the mesocarnivore been more intensely studied. A recent study (Lesmeister et al. 2015) of a mesocarnivore guild in Illinois suggested a possible network of interactions between members of the guild. A similar conceptual model (Figure 1) was developed for the target mammals in this study. Coyote Bobcat Badger Striped Skunk Gray Fox Raccoon Figure 1 -- Concept map of interspecies interactions in the SNF. Solid arrows indicate negative impact at point of arrow, dotted lines indicate potential negative impact (adapted from Lesmeister et. al 2015). 11 Effects of Fragmentation and Urbanization Mammalian carnivore populations generally have a low resilience to habitat disturbance and ecosystem alteration due to characteristics such as low population density, large range size and slow population growth rates (Noss et al. 1996; Ordeñana et al., 2010). Therefore, land use change and habitat fragmentation are explicit and sustained threats to mammalian carnivore populations (Crooks, 2002; Riley, 2003; Hilty et al., 2006; Ordeñana et al., 2010; Goad et al., 2014) and are projected to reduce habitat of Mediteranean like ecosystems in Califonia by 7% before 2051 (Martinuzzi et al., 2013). These threats of habitat loss and the projections of climate change in California make the SNF and similar Mediterranean like habitats and ecosystems areas of biodiversity significance, posing real challenges to their conservation (Martinuzzi et al., 2013). Establishing a baseline of species richness in such habitats will be critical in measuring the effectiveness of conservation actions and the biological response of species to habitat perturbations and climate change. In Colorado exurban development has been shown to have varying impacts on habitat use by carnivore species: both bobcats and coyotes were negatively impacted by development, while red foxes found potential refuge in exurban developed areas (Goad et al., 2014). In the same study Black bears were found to be mainly using the periphery of exurban development, only using urban areas as a source of food. (Goad et al., 2014). Proximity to and intensity of urbanization in Southern California negatively impacted species richness in a study detecting 12 carnivore species (9 native, 3 nonnative) (Ordeñana et al., 2010). Oak woodland and vineyard landscapes of northern California, undergoing increased fragmentation from agricultural development, indicate a decreased probability of native mammalian predator occurrence in large vineyards relative to small isolated 12 vineyards and native oak woodland habitat (Hilty et al., 2006). In addition to the reduction of species richness and abundance due to habitat alteration and fragmentation, there may also be shifting activity patterns, increased home range size, and human imposed mortality among mesocarnivores (Riley et al., 2003; Salek, 2015; Wang et al., 2015). Radio telemetry studies in Southern California showed home range sizes and nocturnal activity patterns of bobcats and coyotes, two large mesocarnivores and apex predators in some communities, to increase with their association to altered and developed habitats (Riley et al., 2003). In a metaanalysis of 411 articles, Salek (2015) found home range size of 6 mesocarnivores to decrease and population density to increase for 3 mesocarnivore species as the proximity to urbanization increased. Additionally, human imposed mortality from vehicle collisions and poisoning are indicated to affect mesocarnivores in fragmented habitats (Riley et al., 2003). These studies strengthen findings that suggest minimizing the impact on carnivores at edges of protected habitats, which may be essential to conservation efforts (Woodroffe and Ginsberg, 1998). It is acknowledged that the impact of land use change and habitat fragmentation may be relative to the body mass, diet, social structure or resource specialization of the species (Crooks, 2002). Despite these relative sensitivities among mammalian carnivores, effects of anthropogenic disturbance on native habitat includes: carnivore extirpations, potentially leading to additional loss of species, the release of the more resilient mesocarnivores and potential trophic cascades (Soule et al., 1988, Crooks and Soule, 1999; Hilty et al., 2006; Casanovas et al., 2012). This suggests that in ecosystems controlled by top-down forces, predators can function as strong indicators of ecosystem health due to their place in the community’s food web (Faeth et al., 2005). 13 Mesocarnivores and Trophic Control Soule et al. (1988) described an ecological phenomena they called “mesopredator release” as an increase in the abundance of small and medium sized predators and omnivores (mesocarnivores) when larger more dominant predators are absent. Prugh et al. (2009) broadened the definition to the expansion in density, distribution, or change in behavior of middle ranked predators following the decline of apex predator density or distribution, making mesopredator release the result of intraguild interactions among predators. The exclusion of vertebrate predators from boreal grasslands of western Finland showed indirect effects on the vegetation cover of specific species of plants suggesting a species level trophic cascade (Norrdahl et al., 2002). The presence of predators controlled vole populations from reaching high densities which resulted in the decline of biomass in plant species available to herbivory during winter months. Abiotic factors (e.g. ice and snow) during the winter months provided protection to herbaceous plant species. In a similar study conducted in Norway, seasonality also influenced the degree of indirect effects predators had on plant communities from predation on vole populations. On islands free of mammalian mesocarnivores, coverage by dwarf shrub species was reduced by 50% compared to mainland sites were activity of mammalian predators was high, suggesting a stronger community level trophic cascade (Hamback et al., 2004). These field experiments suggest the potential for the mesocarnivores to trigger top down species level cascades. Determining relative activity levels of mesocarnivores between seasons may assist land managers in strategically implementing management plans. In addition to the changing trophic dynamics of a community, mesopredator release suggests investigating further the ecological function of mesocarnivore species. Mesocarnivores can potentially ascend to the 14 role of apex predator as a result of mesopredator release (Laliberte and Ripple, 2004; Prugh et al., 2009). Therefore, understanding intraguild interactions and the mechanisms that promote coexistence become important in conserving ecosystem function. Intraguild Interactions Intraguild interactions include a range of behaviors that prevent competitors from establishing habitat, and finding food and mates, and are classified into two categories: exploitative and interference interactions. Exploitative interactions, between both prey and predator species, directly result from a low density of resources. Intraguild interference interactions among predators are unique for two reasons: interactions can more frequently result in death of a competitor and can arise in environments when resources are not a limiting factor (Linnell and Strand, 2000). Therefore, in the presence of intense intraguild interactions, avoidance behavior can minimize negative effects on an individuals’ fitness and its coexistence with the competitor (Schuette et al., 2013). Selection for avoidance behaviors in mesoccarnivores is greater than it is in the prey species of apex predators; two ways mesocarnivores reduce interaction with apex predators are through selection of habitat with greater refuge, and changing foraging and activity periods (Ritchie and Johnson, 2009). A number of studies have documented avoidance both spatially and temporally. In a diverse carnivore community in sub-Saharan Africa, subordinate species have evolved a temporal niche that avoided peak activity periods of dominant competitors (Schuette et al., 2013). In the high Andes of South America two similar sized specialist cat species, the Andean cat (Leopardus jacobita) and 15 the Pampas cat (Leopardus culpaeus), appeared to be segregating their activity temporally to avoid interference interactions (Lucherini et al., 2009). Intraguild interactions between most target species in this study were investigated in Illinois, showing gray foxes to display both temporal and spatial shifts in behavior as a likely response to the presence of coyotes (Lesmeister et al., 2015). Furthermore, two studies in Southern California found gray foxes to shift activity patterns in response to coyotes and bobcats. Gray fox abundance was reduced in grassland and open valley oak habitats, two habitats with increased coyote and bobcat abundance (Fedriani et al., 2000), and temporal activity of gray foxes was greater during the day and lesser during night than both the coyote and bobcat (Farias et al., 2012). Finally, coyote and raccoon detection was negatively impacted by puma occupancy in a camera trapping study conducted in the Santa Cruz Mountains of California (Wang et al., 2015). Each of these studies suggest the differences in habitat use and activity patterns are, in part, a response to minimize risk and exposure to larger or stronger intraguild competitors. Considering the high interspecific overlap of resource use among the target species of this study and the anthropogenic effects underway in the SNF, establishing a baseline of temporal and spatial activity patterns and understanding how sympatric carnivore species are minimizing costly interactions can prove valuable when designing conservation efforts and monitoring programs. This and similar studies can play integral roles in conservation planning and guide surveying protocols and efforts. Sierra Foothill Conservancy The Sierra Foothill Conservancy (SFC) operates in the central region of the SNF ecological subregion and states Puma concolor, Lynx rufus, and Urocyon 16 cinereoagenteus to be target species protected within their preserves and easements (http://www.sierrafoothill.org/index.php/about-us/facts/). Additionally, the International Union for Conservation of Nature’s Redlist of Threatened Species describes habitat loss and fragmentation to be major threats to Puma concolor (Caso et al., 2008), Lynx rufus (Kelly et al., 2008), and Urocyon cinereoagenteus (Cypher et al., 2008) populations. The goals of the SFC on its preserves are to protect selected endangered, threatened or specially protected species (e.g. mountain lion) and to preserve and manage foothill habitats and clean water resources to ensure continuing public benefits (http://awww.sierrafoothill.org/index.php/about-us/mission/). Therefore, establishing an understanding of mammalian species composition and distribution within local communities is essential in the conservation and management of regional ecosystems. This study evaluated the presence, occupancy and seasonal distribution of mammalian mesocarnivores within oak woodland habitat of the SNF, and was the first of its kind in SNF habitats. Camera Trapping and Occupancy Capturing medium-sized mammals alive is expensive, impractical, and may lead to mortality from capture myopathy or other physical trauma. Camera trapping methods are inexpensive, noninvasive, and effective at studying elusive and difficult to observe animal species that roam over areas too large to sample completely (O'Brien, 2011). Monterroso et al. (2014b) found camera traps to be more effective than snare traps when detecting mesocarnivores. Additionally, analysis of camera trapping data, when addressing species detectability and spatial variability, allows inferences to be made about animal populations (O'Connell et al., 2011). For example, camera trapping data can be used with site occupancy 17 modeling to make robust analyses and biological inferences (Tobler et al., 2009; Hines et al., 2010; O'Connell & Bailey, 2011; Cove et al., 2012). The occupancy models can then be used to develop estimates of habitat use by diverse vertebrates (Manley et al., 2004; Mattfeldt et al. 2009; Tobler et al., 2009; Krauze-Gryz et al., 2012; Schuette et al., 2013). Goals and Objectives 1) What is the presence, distribution, and habitat use of mammalian carnivores and omnivores in Sierra Foothill habitats? 2) How does the presence and occupancy of mammalian carnivores and omnivores and their use of habitat change seasonally? 3) What selected environmental, temporal and spatial variables correlate with the presence and occupancy of each identified species between studied habitats? MATERIALS AND METHODS Study Area Description The SFC manages eight nature preserves and conservation easements that total over 10,117 ha (25,000 acres) within the foothills of the central Sierra Nevada mountain range between Yosemite (YNP) and Kings Canyon (KCNP) National Parks. The McKenzie Preserve (Figure 2) encompasses 1,197 ha (2,960 acres) of grassland with oak woodlands on south facing slopes that approach basalt lava tables; the north facing slopes of these lava tables are chaparral and pine forest and drain into the San Joaquin River (http://www.sierrafoothill.org/ preserves.htm). The sampling sites for this study are within a landscape currently under encroachment from urban development of varying degrees. The geographic location (latitude and longitude) and elevation of all sites were recorded (Table 1). The six sampling sites within the boundaries of the McKenzie Preserve were chosen based on differing habitat variables (e.g. amount of ground cover, substrate type, and dominant vegetation), accessibility, and likelihood of detection of the target species. These sites collectively represented each of the main habitats (i.e. oak woodland, mixed oak and conifer, grassland, seasonal riparian) and elevation ranges (Table 2) found on the preserve to allow inferences about differential habitat use by the target species. Three elevation ranges were defined on the preserve (i.e. low, mid, and high) and two sampling sites were located within each of these elevation ranges (Figures 3-5). The dominant plant species and degree of vegetative and canopy cover were recorded for each sampling site and weather variables were collected for the entire preserve throughout the study. 19 3 2 1 5 4 6 Figure 2 -- Map of the Sierra Foothill Conservancy’s (SFC) McKenzie Preserve and the location of the 6 study sites. 20 Table 1 -- Sampling Site Locations and Elevations within the McKenzie Preserve Site GPS Location Elevation (m) 1 TN 37˚01.238’, W 119˚35.097’ 354 2 N 37˚01.497’, W 119˚35.442’ 563 3 N 37˚01.563’, W 119˚35.237’ 561 4 N 37˚00.644’, W 119˚35.750’ 340 5 N 37˚00.654’, W 119˚35.518’ 269 6 N 37˚0.094’, W 119˚35.511’ 236 Figure 3 -- High elevation Sites 2 (top) and 3 (bottom) in the summer and winter. 21 Figure 4 -- Mid elevation Sites 1 (top) and 4 (bottom) in the summer and winter. Figure 5 -- Low elevation Sites 5 (top) and 6 (bottom) in the summer and winter. 22 Table 2 -- Habitat Descriptions for Each of the Six Sampling Sites within the McKenzie Preserve Elevation Range Low Elevation General Habitat Description Site 5 Site 6 (236 to 269 Riparian habitat along Riparian habitat along meters) seasonal creek seasonal creek Open Bromus dominated Sparse oak woodland grassland Bromus dominated Oak woodland grasses surrounding open grassland Mid Elevation Site 1 Site 4 (340 to 354 Mixed oak and conifer Predominately oak meters) woodland woodland Bromus dominated grasses Bromus dominated Granite rock outcropping grasses Year around water tank Seasonal creek and pond On slope of hill side High Elevation Site 2 Site 3 (561 to 563 Basalt table top Basalt table top meters) Sparse oak woodland Denser mixed oak and Close proximity to vernal conifer woodland pool habitat Along hiking trail Bromus grasses among Bromus grasses among larger community of larger community of annual plants annual plants 23 Camera Trap Sites At each of the six sites three motion activated digital cameras (Moultrie Game Spy D55, Stealth Cam STC-1850, or Wildgame Innovations Model #W4B, in a randomized combination) were mounted approximately 0.5 m from the ground on available trees or, if suitable trees were unavailable, on steel t-posts (Figure 6). The fields of view (50-52 degrees) of each of the three cameras at each site did not overlap, to provide maximum habitat coverage and increased detectability of target species at each site. Compass direction and coordinates of each camera’s field of view were recorded. A can of wet cat food was used for bait within the flash and detection range (10-18 m) and the field of view of each camera, at each sampling site. The cans were punctured (but not opened), to allow the scent of the food to escape, and fixed to the earth with 20 cm long galvanized steel stakes. Each camera contained an 8 gigabyte memory card that stored images. At 2 - 3 week intervals, each camera station was visited to collect memory cards and replace them with an empty memory card. In addition, bait cans were replaced at every visit and batteries changed on an as needed basis. The cameras were set to collect images continuously for one calendar year beginning in February 2014. The number of trap days was calculated for each site. One trap day equaled one camera operating for one 24 h period. Measurement of Habitat and Weather Variables Habitat variables were quantified at each of the six sampling sites. Each of the three cameras at each site was used as a center point to run 20 m transects in the four cardinal directions (north, south, east, and west). Ground cover substrate (grass, rock, wood, and bare soil) and canopy cover was recorded at each meter along each transect. These data were used to calculate the percentage of the site under tree canopy and covered by each defined ground substrate. Additionally, 24 Figure 6 -- Camera mounts at sampling sites on a tree and t-post. the number of trees within 20 m of each camera was counted and their diameter at breast height (DBH) measured. The number of rodent burrows within 20 m of each camera was also counted to estimate potential rodent prey abundance. To account for gross seasonal averages and variation in weather, variables (i.e. daily low, high and mean °C and relative humidity, and total daily precipitation) were gathered from the Western Regional Climate Center website (http://www.wrcc.dri.edu/) that records data collected at the Hurley California NOAA weather station located ~ 2 km from the preserve in oak woodland habitat. Image Count and Management All images were downloaded for storage and analysis. Information including species, date, and time of day for images capturing target species were recorded into a database. Images taken of the same species at any one of the 25 cameras at the same site within 30 minutes of each other were considered as a single sighting (Wang et al., 2015). Analysis Previous Studies’ Statistical Methods Identifying activity patterns of terrestrial mammals can prove valuable in the construction of conservation and management plans. Activity patterns of animals can be influenced by a number of abiotic and biotic factors within the species’ ecosystem. Camera trap data lend efficiency to the process of defining activity patterns and shifts due to the time stamp that images receive when the camera sensor is tripped. However, generalization and comparison across studies is hampered due to inconsistent analyses of camera trap data to infer species activity. Differences in the activity patterns and habitat use of three canids in central Brazil were assessed using F-statistics of average photographic rates tested under randomization procedures in ECOSIM 7.0 (Jacomo et al, 2004). By contrast, Lucherini et al (2009) compared activity patterns of carnivores in the Andes by calculating a similarity coefficient index using the percentage similarity of Renkonen. Gray fox activity and distribution in southern California was analyzed using a multiple-logistic-regression model and compositional analysis (Farias et al, 2012). Non-parametric kernel density estimation was used to compare temporal activity of eight mammalian carnivores and a marsupial at differing human activity levels in the Santa Cruz Mountains of California (Wang et al, 2015). As a last example, Poisson regression was used to relate the number of photographs of four small mesocarnivore species to the potential impact of larger carnivores and to analyze differences in activity patterns between species in a mesocarnivore 26 guild of southern Illinois. In the same study a mixed-model logistic regression was used to find evidence that mesocarnivores adjust their diel distribution of activity in response to intraguild predation risk (Lesmeister et al, 2015). Explanatory Variables Weather variables were used in reports of descriptive analyses of number of captures of target species and to define seasonal averages. Those variables were daily temperature (mean, TEMPMEAN; maximum, TEMPMAX; minimum, TEMPMIN), daily relative humidity (mean, HUMMMEAN; maximum, HUMMAX; minimum, HUMMIN), and daily precipitation (PRECIP). As these variables were only available for the McKenzie Preserve as a whole, it was not possible to statistically evaluate their possible effects on individual sites or elevations. Sampling site (SITE), elevation range (ELEV), and SEASON (winter, December-February; spring, March-May; summer, June-August; and fall, September-November) were all categorical variables used with ANOVA, KruskalWallis (KW), and occupancy analyses. A scatterplot matrix and a stepwise regression method (Zuur et al., 2007) was used to identify collinearity in habitat variables: percent ground cover (four types, BARE SOIL, ROCK, GRASS, WOOD), density of ground squirrel burrows (BURROW), percent canopy cover (CANOPY), tree density (TREE), and mean diameter at breast height of present trees (AVGDBH). Variables with a variance inflation factor (VIF) less than three were considered to have greater explanatory power (Zuur et al., 2010) and were used in KW and occupancy analyses. Proximity to a water source was originally intended as a measurable variable to be used in analyses, but it could not be ascertained. 27 Temporal, Seasonal, and Site Analyses Activity of target species at varying temporal periods: hour, week, month, and SEASON were described using one of two metrics, either the total number of captures of that species or capture frequency. Capture frequency was defined by dividing the number of captures of a species in a time by the total number of captures of the species in the duration of the study. ANOVA (parametric) and KW (non-parametric) tests were performed to evaluate the significance SEASON, SITE, and ELEV had on the target species rate of capture and activity. The response variable in ANOVA and KW tests, were the mean number of captures and relative activity of each target species, respectively. Relative activity was calculated by dividing the number of captures of each species at each site and season by the number of trap days at that site and season. Post hoc Tukey tests followed up ANOVA analyses of variables with significant differences to identify the specific levels of the variables that showed differing rates of animal capture. Analyses finding significance with the KW test used the Wilcoxon method as a post hoc test to find significance between SITE comparisons. The Steel-Dwass method was the post hoc comparison test used for ELEV and SEASON. All analyses were conducted in SPSS (SPSS Inc., Chicago, IL), and/or JMP® Pro (SAS Institute Inc., Cary, NC). Habitat Analyses Habitat use within the study area was described by changes in relative activity of each target species at each of the six study sites and between differing habitat variables. One way analyses using the KW test were used in consideration of the small number of captures of raccoons, striped skunks and badgers during the 28 study, and to account for the data not showing a normal distribution. These analyses also provide an alternative assessment of animal habitat use by using the relative activity data in the analysis. Relative activity (number of images/number of trap days) of each target species was used as a response variable with the selected habitat variables as explanatory variables. The habitat variables measured and with the most explanatory power were sorted into three categories per variable. The difference between the maximum and minimum measurements of each variable was divided by three to determine an approximate range for each category. For every variable, category 1 represented sampling sites with the minimum metric (e.g. least amount of BARE SOIL), while category 2 were moderate sites and category 3 maximum sites. The three categories were created to address the fact that all 6 sites had differing quantities of each habitat variable and an analysis of the variables without being categorized would have been identical to the analyses of SITE alone. The Steel-Dwass post hoc comparison method was used for habitat variables showing a significant difference in target species activity. Intraguild Interactions Generalized linear models identified fit of relative activity between pairs of potential intraguild predators each season. Neither badgers nor striped skunks were included in these analyses. In every model pair gray fox or raccoon activity were response variables and bobcat or coyote activity were explanatory variables. The count data violates the normality assumption of ordinary least squares linear regression. Therefore, Poisson distribution with a Log link function was used to link the linear predictor of the models with the expected value of the data (Zuur et 29 al., 2007). Finally, to correct for overdispersion in the data, overdispersion tests and intervals were used. All analyses were conducted in JMP® Pro (SAS Institute Inc., Cary, NC). Occupancy Analysis Many previous camera trapping studies have been conducted with the target taxa being large predator species with identifiable individuals (e.g. big cats) (Karanth, 1995; Karanth and Nichols, 1998; Carbone et al., 2001; Soisalo and Cavalcanti, 2006). This study was unable to identify individuals of the target species, as most lacked sufficiently distinctive morphological characteristics (e.g. whisker patterns) needed for individual identification, and many images were of other than head views. Additionally, a general characteristic of the target species is low population density, which was expected throughout the duration of this study. Therefore, the camera images obtained in the study could not be used to employ traditional capture-recapture methods of estimating abundance. However, site occupancy models have been designed to address these specific limitations (i.e. non-detection, imperfect detection and unidentifiable individuals) while permitting unbiased inferences of abundance for each of a study’s target species (MacKenzie et al., 2002). To clarify, a separate analysis was possible for each individual species detected. Site occupancy models are contingent upon the following three assumptions: 1) occupancy state is closed (i.e. no migration events), 2) sites are independent, and 3) there is no unexplained heterogeneity in occupancy or detectability (Bailey and Adams, 2005). It is unclear whether all these assumptions are valid within the McKenzie Preserve. In the case that either the closed occupancy state and/or the site independence assumptions are violated, 30 models have since been developed to relax each of these assumptions allowing greater flexibility (Hines et al., 2010; Kendall et al., 2013). Therefore, using these site occupancy models allowed the analysis of mammalian occupancy within the McKenzie Preserve. In order to address this study’s objectives, occupancy represented the probability that the species occupied the habitat and may also be viewed as a surrogate of abundance measures. In addition, covariates like elevation, vegetation coverage, and occupancy of co-occurring species were incorporated into the models (MacKenzie, Bailey, and Nichols, 2004) to address the biological questions of how the target species are using the habitat throughout the year. Program PRESENCE has been used in multiple studies to model occupancy (Bailey and Adams, 2005; Tobler et al., 2009, Lesmeister et al., 2015, Wang et al., 2015) and was used to conduct all occupancy model analyses for this study. The duration of the study was divided into 28 survey periods (13 days per survey). The count data collected throughout the study was converted to detection (1) non-detection (0) data and used to construct detection histories (e.g. 010110001…) of each site for all 28 survey periods for bobcats, coyotes, gray foxes, and raccoons. These detection histories were then used in Program PRESENCE 9.7 (Hines, 2006) to run single season (not the same as season in this study; season refers here to a single time period, in this case the year of the study) occupancy models for each species. The multiyear lifespan of the target species and their tendency to maintain stable home ranges gave reason to assume occupancy was closed during the course of the study (Riley, 2006; Wang et al., 2015). However, in the case that an individual of any target species moved randomly in or out of the study area during the course of the study, the closed assumption provided the flexibility to interpret 31 occupancy as use (MacKenzie et al., 2005; Cove et al., 2012). Therefore, resulting occupancy estimates have been interpreted to estimate the probability that the target species is using McKenzie Preserve (ψ). Habitat site specific variables with significance from the Kruskall-Wallis analyses for each target species were used in occupancy models as site-specific covariates. The survey period-specific covariates used were SEASON, TEMPMEAN, HUMMEAN, and PRECIP; these variables change with survey periods, the first with every seven periods, and the latter three with each of the 28 periods. These site and survey covariates were incorporated into the occupancy models with a logit link function to account for possible heterogeneity in use (ψ) and detectability (p) during the course of the study (MacKenzie et al., 2005). This avoided biased estimates of and identified changes in probability of species ψ and p as a result of the modeled covariates. SEASON data was converted to a series of four binary indicator variables, one for each of the four seasons (MacKenzie, 2012). All other variables were treated as continuous covariates and were ztransformed for use in the occupancy models (Lesmeister et al., 2015; Wang et al., 2015). Finally, it was assumed that the study design violated the assumption of site independence. This violation is understood to overstate occupancy (use) estimates due to a form of overdispersion resulting from fewer effective sampling sites than the actual number of sampling sites (6 in this study) (MacKenzie et al., 2005). Detection probability (p) was established first. For each of the target species, a model holding both ψ and p constant and equal for all 28 surveys (psi(.)p(.)) was used to compare models incorporating all possible combinations of the four survey period-specific covariates (Lesmeister et al., 2015). These variables accounted for heterogeneity in detection during each survey period. 32 Models were ranked by their Akaike’s Information Criterion (AIC) values and model weight (ѡ), with the lowest AIC values as an indicator of model support (MacKenzie et al., 2005). Once a top model was established using the survey period-specific covariates, it was used to model site-specific covariates and account for any heterogeneity in ψ. The site-specific covariates used for each target species were those thought to have a biological effect on ψ and found to be significant in the Kruskall-Wallis analyses for the target species. Each of the determined covariates was added to the top model (Lesmeister et al., 2015) individually and collectively. Again, models were ranked by their AIC values and ѡ, the lowest AIC values indicated greater model support (MacKenzie et al., 2005). RESULTS Capture Data During the study, 18 cameras were continuously on for a calendar year (20 February 2014 to 19 February 2015), except for technical reasons (e.g. battery failure). With three cameras at each sampling site a total of 5,619 trap days were used for analysis. Sites averaged 936.5 trap days each. A total of 1,157 images were taken of target species. Coyotes were captured most frequently (580) followed by gray foxes (250), bobcats (181), raccoons (97), striped skunks (32), and badgers (17). Two images of black bears were captured at two of the study sites, insufficient number to be included in any analysis. A representative image of each species is included in Appendix A. Badgers, bobcats, gray foxes, and raccoons were captured more at mid elevation Site 1 than any other site. High elevation sites (Site 2 and 3) had the fewest number of captures of badgers, bobcats, coyotes, raccoons, and striped skunks (Table 3). Table 3 -- Relative Use of Study Sites by the Six Target Species on the SFC’s McKenzie Preserve in the SNF Species N Relative Use of Sites (ELEV Site#)* Badger 17 Mid 1, Low 5, Low 6, Mid 4, High 3 Bobcat 183 Mid 1, Low 5, Low 6, Mid 4, High 2, High 3 Coyote 580 Low 6, Mid 1, Mid 4, High 3, Low 5, High 2 Gray Fox 250 Mid 1, Mid 4, High 3, High 2, Low 5, Low 6 Raccoon 97 Mid 1, Low 6, Mid 4, High 3, Low 5, High 2 Striped Skunk 32 Mid 4, Mid 1, Low 6, Low 5, High 3 *sites listed in descending order of activity 34 The varying number of captures translated into difference in relative activity for each target species among sites, with coyotes most active at each of the six study sites, showing positive residuals at each site (Figure 7). The badgers and striped skunks were the only two species to have negative relative activity residuals at every site. 0.12 Residuals of Relative Activity 0.1 0.08 0.06 0.04 0.02 0 -0.02 -0.04 Badger Bobcat Coyote Gray fox Raccoon Striped skunk Badger Bobcat Coyote Gray fox Raccoon Striped skunk Badger Bobcat Coyote Gray fox Raccoon Striped skunk Badger Bobcat Coyote Gray fox Raccoon Striped skunk Badger Bobcat Coyote Gray fox Raccoon Striped skunk Badger Bobcat Coyote Gray fox Raccoon Striped skunk -0.06 1 2 3 4 5 6 Study Site and Target Species Figure 7 -- Residuals of relative activity of target species at each of the six study sites on the Sierra Foothill Conservancy’s McKenzie Preserve of the SNF Differences in relative activity were also seen between seasons, the total number of captures of the six target species was greatest in the fall (396) and summer (372) seasons. The winter season saw the fewest number of captures (164). During the spring season, 225 images of target species were captured (Figure 8). However, variation between species did exist. The badgers and the 35 striped skunks were not detected during multiple winter months of the study. All six species were seen during at least one month of the spring, summer, and fall seasons (Figure 9). Peak activity for striped skunks was in the summer while bobcats, gray foxes and raccoons saw two peaks, one in the summer and a second in the fall. Badger and coyote activity peaked in the spring and again during the fall, although the total number of badger captures (17) was small. Coyotes were consistently active throughout the year, with a comparable number of captures throughout the year, but peaking in late summer and fall months. At the smaller temporal scale, of hour, the diel activity of each target species was analyzed. All six of the target species used for analysis were found to be active primarily during the hours of dusk, night, and dawn (Figure 10). Bobcats, coyotes, and gray foxes were the three target species most frequently captured during the day. However, their frequency of capture remained low relative to dark hours. 600 Number of Captures 500 400 Fall 300 Summer Spring 200 Winter 100 0 Badger Bobcat Coyote Gray Fox Raccoon Striped Skunk Figure 8 -- Total number of captures of each species during each season of the study 36 0.35 Capture Frequency 0.3 0.25 0.2 0.15 0.1 0.05 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Month Coyote Striped Skunk Gray Fox Badger Bobcat Mean Freq Raccoon Figure 9 -- Mean monthly activity of the entire guild of mammalian carnivores and each individual species, represented by the frequency of capture each month 0.3 Capture Frequency 0.25 0.2 0.15 0.1 0.05 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 Hour of Day Coyote Gray Fox Bobcat Raccoon Striped Skunk Badger Figure 10 -- Diel activity of the six target species represented by the frequency of capture at each hour of the day 37 Changes in mean monthly temperature and relative humidity and total precipitation were compared to changes in the total number of captures of the entire mammalian mesocarnivore guild. The guild was more active during periods of warmer mean temperatures (Figure 11). Months with higher total precipitation and the following month saw a decrease in the number of captures (Figure 12). Finally, captures were higher when relative humidity was lower (Figure 13). These comparisons corresponded with the monthly and seasonal shifts seen in guild capture frequencies. 160 60 140 50 40 100 80 30 60 20 40 10 20 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Month Animal Captures MEANTEMP C Figure 11 -- Total number of captures of all target species combined for each month compared to the mean temperature each month MEANTEMP (ͦC) Number of Captrures 120 38 160 500 450 140 400 350 100 300 80 250 200 60 150 Precipitation (mm) Number of Captures 120 40 100 20 50 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Month Animal Captures Precipitation Figure 12 -- Total number of captures of all target species combined for each month compared to the total monthly precipitation 160 100 90 140 80 Number of Captures 70 100 60 80 50 40 60 30 40 20 20 10 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 Month Animal Captures RHMEAN Figure 13 -- Total number of captures of all target species combined for each month compared to monthly relative humidity Relative Humidity (%) 120 39 Target Species Distribution and Habitat Use Capture and Relative Activity Variations by Season and Site The differences in mean number of captures or relative activity of each target species were not significantly different between any of the four seasons. Differences in mean number of captures between sites were found to be significant (P < 0.05) for bobcats, coyotes, and raccoons. Post hoc Tukey tests showed bobcat captures to be significantly higher at Site 1 than all five other sites: Site 2 (P = 0.006), Site 3 (P = 0.005), Site 4 (P = 0.032), Site 5 (P = 0.035) and Site 6 (P = 0.025). Site 1 produced significantly higher numbers of raccoon captures when compared with Site 2 (P = 0.004), Site 3 (P = 0.005), Site 4 (P= 0.006) and Site 5 (P = 0.004). Coyote numbers were higher at Site 1 than at Site 2 (P = 0.024) and Site 5 (P = 0.037), and Site 6 had significantly higher capture numbers than Site 2 (P = 0.026) and Site 5 (P = 0.040). Differences in relative activity between sites was also found to be significant for bobcats (P = 0.0089), raccoons (P = 0.0093), and coyotes (P = 0.0122). Non parametric post hoc tests using the Wilcoxon method showed that bobcat activity at Sites 1 and 5 was higher than activity at Site 2 (P = 0.0304) and Site 3 (P = 0.0294). Coyote activity at Site 1 was higher than activity at Sites 2, 3, 4, and 5 (P = 0.0304). Also, Sites 4 and 6 showed greater coyote activity than Site 2 (P = 0.0304). Site 1 also showed greater raccoon activity when compared with Sites 2 (P = 0.0265), 3 (P = 0.0304), 4 and 5 (P = 0.0294). Lastly, raccoon activity at Site 6 was higher that Site 5 (P = 0.0294). Spatial differences in capture were also seen between elevations for both bobcats and gray foxes (P < 0.05). Bobcats were seen more at the mid elevation sites than the higher elevation sites (P = 0.018), while gray foxes were captured 40 more at the mid elevation sites than the low elevation sites (P = 0.006). No other target species was captured more or less times at the three different elevations. The KW analysis of relative activity at the three elevation ranges, indicated differing amounts of activity for the bobcat (P = 0.0019), coyote (P = 0.0133), gray fox (P = 0.0075), and badger (P = 0.0206). Bobcats were less active at the high elevation sites than at both the low (P = 0.0072) and mid (P = 0.0148) elevation sites. Coyotes were active at the mid elevation sites more than at the high elevation sites (P = 0.0108), while the gray foxes were more active at the mid elevation sites than the low elevation sites (P = 0.0191). Finally, badgers showed greater activity at the low elevation sites when compared with the high elevation sites (P = 0.0248). Neither raccoons nor striped skunks were more or less active at the three different elevations. Habitat Species Activity Analysis Measurements of habitat variables are reported in Appendix B. All ground cover and canopy cover variables are reported as percent cover. BURROW and TREE are counts and represent density. AVGDBH was measured in cm. All habitat variable measurements were different at every site; not one site had a similar measurement in any variable as any other site. The variables with the strongest explanatory power were WOOD, ROCK, CANOPY, TREE, and BURROW (P < 0.05; VIF < 3.0) and each was divided to make three categories for inclusion in KW analyses (Table 4). All five habitat variables tested against relative activity of target species was significant for at least one of the species. ROCK was significant for the gray foxes (P = 0.0092). Sites with moderate rock coverage had higher activity than the sites with the least amount of rock cover (P = 0.0103). Bobcat activity was significantly different between 41 Table 4 -- Resulting Categories of Habitat Variables Showing Significant Differences in Relative Activity of Target Species and the Variables VIF Habitat Variable 1 2 3 VIF WOOD% 0-3 4-7 8-11 * ROCK% 0-6 7-14 15-21 1.85 CANOPY% 4-10 11-17 18-24 1.51 TREE 3-10 11-18 19-27 1.14 BURROW 0-25 26-50 51-78 2.05 % Numbers represent the percent ground and canopy cover * Wood was the response variable in the last step of the regression model and was not given a VIF sites with differing percentages of WOOD (P = 0.0132). Sites with less wood cover had greater bobcat activity (P = 0.0147). Canopy cover showed differences in activity for badgers (P = 0.0248), bobcats (P = 0.0019), coyotes (, P = 0.0026), and raccoons (P = 0.0007). Sites with the most canopy cover showed more activity relative to sites with a moderate canopy (badgers P = 0.0250, bobcats P = 0.0077, coyotes P = 0.0055, and raccoons P = 0.0051). Only coyotes (P = 0.0476) and raccoons (P = 0.0036) were more active at the sites with a large canopy relative to sites with the least canopy cover. Bobcats were the single species showing more activity at sites with the least canopy cover relative to the sites with a moderate canopy (P = 0.0148). The number of trees at sites was significant for gray foxes only (P = 0.0179). Sites with the most trees had more activity than the sites with the least number of trees (P = 0.0257). Finally, burrow count was significant for gray fox activity only (P = 0.0168). Sites with the least number of rodent burrows had greater activity of gray foxes than sites with a moderate number of burrows (P = 0.0257). 42 Intraguild Interactions Raccoon activity responded positively to bobcat and coyote activity (Figure 14). The seasonal responses to bobcat activity were seen in the winter (P < 0.0001), spring (P = 0.0002), and summer (P < 0.0001). The positive relationship between the raccoon and coyote was seen in winter (P = 0.0062), spring (P = 0.0022), and fall (P < 0.0001). Figure 14 -- Generalized linear models of raccoon activity in response to coyote activity in the winter (top left), spring (top right), winter (middle left) and bobcat activity in the winter (middle right), spring (bottom left), summer (bottom right) 43 Gray fox activity also showed a response to bobcat and coyote activity (Figure 15). In the winter, gray fox activity declined as bobcat activity increased (P = 0.0289). Spring (P = 0.0002) and summer (P = 0.0057) seasons showed an increase in gray fox activity as bobcat activity increased. The coyote was positively related to gray fox activity in the summer season only (P = 0.0121). Figure 15 -- Generalized linear models of gray fox activity in response to coyote activity in spring (top left) and bobcat activity in winter (top right), spring (bottom left), summer (bottom right) Species Occupancy The models with ∆AIC values ≤ 2 from the top model, and psi(.),p(.) for comparison, are shown in Table 5 (Lesmeister et al., 2015). Support for the raccoon model was not strengthened by any of the four survey period-specific covariates. In all other cases, top supported models included a single covariate or 44 an interaction between two covariates (bobcats: MEANTEMP; coyotes: MEANTEMP+PRECIP; gray foxes: SEASON+MEANHUMID). Table 5 -- Top Ranked Use Models Incorporating Survey-Period Specific Covariates for Each Target Species (bobcats, coyotes, gray foxes, and raccoons) Model Bobcat psi(.),p(MEANTEMP) psi(.),p(MEANTEMP+MEANHUMID) psi(.),p(MEANTEMP+PRECIP) psi(.),p(.) Coyote psi(.),p(MEANTEMP+PRECIP) psi(.),p(MEANTEMP) psi(.),p(MEANTEMP+HUMID) psi(.),p(.) Gray Fox psi(.),p(SEASON+MEANHUMID) psi(.),p(SEASON+MEANTEMP+MEANHUMID) psi(.),p(SEASON+MEANHUMID+PRECIP) psi(.),p(.) Raccoon psi(.),p(.) psi(.),p(MEANTEMP) psi(.),p(SEASON) psi(.),p(MEANHUMID) psi(.),p(PRECIP) AIC ΔAIC ѡ K 223.84 225.46 225.48 233.46 0 1.62 1.64 9.62 0.5281 0.2349 0.2326 0.0043 3 4 4 2 141.53 142.75 143.3 148.78 0 1.22 1.77 7.25 0.5044 0.274 0.2082 0.0134 4 3 4 2 209.3 210.51 211.08 232.86 0 1.21 1.78 23.56 0.5111 0.2791 0.2099 0 7 8 8 2 205.02 206.14 206.63 206.63 207.01 0 1.12 1.61 1.61 1.99 0.3527 0.2015 0.1577 0.1577 0.1304 2 3 6 3 3 AIC - Akaike’s Information Criteria value ΔAIC – Difference between the AIC value of the top ranked model (MacKenzie, 2012) ѡ – AIC model weight; measure of support for the model being the best K – Number of parameters in the model MEANTEMP had positive coefficient estimates for both the bobcat (0.5478 ± 0.1657) and coyote (0.7655 ± 0.2405). Additionally, PRECIP produced a positive coefficient estimate (0.4276 ± 0.2573) in the coyote model. The top gray fox model estimated a negative coefficient for MEANHUMID (-0.7748 ± 0.3667). 45 SEASON was a second covariate in the top gray fox model. The coefficient estimates during the winter and fall were positive, while the spring and summer were negative. Estimates of p are reported from the output of each top model. Model output indicated p estimates to be the same at all sites for each survey period. However, p for the bobcats, coyotes, and gray foxes varied across all 28 survey periods. The calculated mean 95% confidence interval for the seven survey periods of each season are reported in Table 6. The summer season estimated the highest p for both bobcats (p = 0.4715 - 0.7088) and coyotes (p = 0.8439 -0.9678). The fall season estimated the highest p for gray foxes (p = 0.5513 - 0.8661). Bobcat and coyote detection was lowest in winter (bobcats: p = 0.1930 - 0.3901; coyotes p = 0.5896 - 0.8723). During the spring, gray foxes were least likely to be detected (p = 0.1070 - 0.3820). The raccoon estimated p was constant across all survey periods of the study (p = 0.2225 - 0.3586). Table 6 -- Estimated Mean Seasonal Detectability of Target Species (bobcats, coyotes, gray foxes, and raccoons) at the McKenzie Preserve Winter p Spring p Summer p Fall p Bobcat 0.19 - 0.39 0.32 - 0.49 0.4715 - 0.71 0.34 - 0.52 Coyote 0.59 - 0.87 0.75 -0.90 0.84 -0.97 0.76 - 0.91 Gray Fox 0.17 -0.44 0.11 - 0.38 0.31 - 0.61 0.55 - 0.87 Raccoon 0.22 - 0.36 0.22 - 0.36 0.22 - 0.36 0.22 - 0.36 After each of the determined site-specific covariates modeled to account for heterogeneity in ψ, support was not added to the top models produced by the survey period-specific covariates for any of the target species (Table 7). Estimates of ψ are reported from the output produced in each of the top models for each 46 target species. The probability of use (ψ) of the McKenzie Preserve by bobcats, coyotes, gray foxes, and raccoons was 1.0 ± 0.0. When the ψ parameter estimates are derived with consideration of the detection history for each species at each sampling site, the parameter is called conditional psi (ψc) (MacKenzie, 2012). The 95% confidence interval of ψc was 1.0-1.0 for all species modeled. Table 7 -- Use of McKenzie Preserve Models Incorporating Site-Specific Covariates for Each Target Species (bobcats, coyotes, gray foxes, and raccoons) Model Bobcat psi(.),p(MEANTEMP) psi(CANOPY),p(MEANTEMP) psi(WOOD),p(MEANTEMP) psi(ELEVAT),p(MEANTEMP) psi(WOOD+CANOPY+ELEVAT), p(MEANTEMP) Coyote psi(.),p(MEANTEMP+PRECIP) psi(ELEVAT),p(MEANTEMP+PRECIP) psi(CANOPY),p(MEANTEMP+PRECIP) psi(ELEVAT+CANOPY),p(MEANTEMP+ PRECIP) Gray Fox psi(.),p(SEASON+MEANHUMID) psi(BURROW),p(SEASON+MEANHUMID) psi(TREE),p(SEASON+MEANHUMID) psi(ELEVAT),p(SEASON+MEANHUMID) psi(ELEVAT+BURROW+TREE),p(SEASON+ MEANHUMID) Raccoon psi(.),p(.) psi(CANOPY),p(.) psi(ELEVAT),p(.) psi(CANOPY+ELEVAT),p(.) AIC ΔAIC ѡ K 223.84 225.84 225.84 225.84 0 2 2 2 0.4644 0.1708 0.1708 0.1708 3 4 4 4 229.84 6 0.0231 6 141.53 143.53 143.53 0 0.5344 2 0.1966 2 0.1966 4 5 5 145.53 4 0.0723 6 209.3 211.3 211.3 211.3 0 2 2 2 7 8 8 8 215.3 6 0.0231 10 205.02 207.02 207.02 209.02 0 2 2 4 0.4644 0.1708 0.1708 0.1708 0.5344 0.1966 0.1966 0.0723 AIC - Akaike’s Information Criteria value ΔAIC – Difference between the AIC value of the top ranked model ѡ – AIC model weight; measure of support for the model being the best (MacKenzie, 2012) K – Number of parameters in the model 2 3 3 4 DISCUSSION This study captured 1,157 images used for analysis during the winter (February and December), spring, summer and fall seasons of 2014 and the winter (January and February) season of 2015. Historically, more than 12 species of mammalian omnivores and carnivores were estimated to inhabit the region of the SNF where this study was conducted (Barrett et al., 1980; Jameson & Peeters, 1988). This study detected seven of those species, establishing a contemporary baseline of species richness in a localized area of the SNF. All of the detected species are considered to be mesocarnivores with heterogenous sensitivities to habitat fragmentation (Crooks, 2002; Ordenana et al., 2010). Detection of these animals within the McKenzie Preserve suggests that there is sufficient connectivity to adjacent and suitable foothill habitat where these mammals would also be expected to occur. Species that might have been detected but were not are either small, have patchy distributions and more restricted habitats (spotted skunk, ringtail, and various weasels), or have very low population densities (mountain lion) (Jameson & Peeters, 1988; Crooks, 2002). The apparent reduction of species in this mammalian community agrees with the assertion that the predators of North America are experiencing a reduction of their ranges (Laliberte and Ripple, 2004). Despite this possible reduction, this study provided insight into how the activity of the six analyzed species was distributed spatially and temporally within the McKenzie Preserve of the SNF. Additionally, habitat and environmental characteristics were identified that may be important for both the coexistence and sustainability of mammalian predator populations and for future research designs. 48 Mammalian Mesocarnivore Distribution and Activity Five of the six study sites captured all six species (badger, bobcat, coyote, gray fox, raccoon, and striped skunk) used in analyses. Site 2 was the only site that lacked both badgers and striped skunks. Additionally, the occupancy models estimated the probability of habitat use on the McKenzie Preserve to be 100% for bobcats, coyotes, gray foxes, and raccoons. Badgers and striped skunks were not incorporated in occupancy models; both were detected a small number of times, 17 and 32 respectively. This could be partly due to their home ranges being smaller than the McKenzie Preserve and partly due to patchy distribution (Long, 1973; Wade-Smith and Verts, 1982). Also, the differing number of captures for each species and the occupancy estimates may be interpreted as insight into species abundance. Allowing for this interpretation, badger and striped skunk abundances were depressed relative to the other target species, while an elevated abundance was suggested for the coyote, with 580 captures. In this study the number of captures was used to represent activity, because animals of any of the species were not individually identifiable, as they lacked distinctive intraspecific markings, unlike for example, big cats (Karanth and Nichols, 1998), and facial images are often necessary for definitive identification; many captures in this study were not head-on. That badger and striped skunk activities were relatively lower than all the other species, reaching zero during winter months, is supported by their natural history. Badgers can retract their home range to 55 ha and experience a torpid condition during winter months (Long, 1973) and striped skunks can remain inactive for 118 days during the winter season (Wade-Smith and Verts, 1982). Overall, Site 1 had the most activity throughout the duration of the study. In both the ANOVA and Kruskall-Wallis analyses Site 1 had significantly higher 49 activity than at least one other site for bobcats, coyotes, and raccoons. This elevated activity may be attributed, in large part, to the water trough at the site. The locations of other permanent water sources within the preserve, either natural or anthropogenic, were not available. Without this information, water availability could not be considered as a potential reason bobcats showed elevated activity at Site 5 relative to Sites 2 and 3. Coyotes were also more active at sites other than Site 1; Sites 4 and 6 had greater coyote activity than Site 2. This could be partly due to an increase in the number of captures of coyotes in the summer and fall and the proximity of Site 6 to a natal den. Site 6 captured coyote pups in July (see Appendix A), only two months after the birth month of coyotes (Bekoff and Gese, 2003). Raccoons were also more active at Site 6 than Site 5. This could be a result of Site 6 being closest to the preserve entrance, picnic area, and where the preserve’s only trash receptacles are located. Raccoons are generalists and are successful at exploiting areas with greater anthropogenic use and alteration (Bateman and Fleming, 2012). Alternatively, the raccoon does have an estimated home range of 49 ha (Gehrt, 2003), small enough for McKenzie Preserve to accommodate multiple raccoon home ranges. Therefore, Sites 1 and 6 may have been in greater proximity to a number of raccoon home ranges than Sites 2, 3, 4, and 5. According to the most supported occupancy models, for all species, there was no difference in the probability of use between study sites, ψ = 1 for all sites. Bobcats, coyotes, and badgers were all more active at the low and mid elevation sites than the high elevation sites. Bobcats have been shown to be more active at higher elevations in the summer (1852 m) and lower (1365 m) elevations in the winter, but this study did not occur at similar elevations (Koehler and Hornocker, 1989). However, the Koehler and Hornocker (1989) study suggests that bobcat activity on McKenzie Preserve could be higher in the winter, possibly 50 providing refuge from higher elevation snow, but no significant difference in activity was found between seasons for the bobcat or any other target species. This could be due to the current state of drought in California, although without any previous assessments of mammalian activity, this is speculation. The activity of bobcats at lower elevations could be explained by the geology of the McKenzie Preserve. The high elevation sites atop basalt lava tables are less likely to support abundant prey populations (e.g., lagomorphs and rodents, many of which burrow) for both bobcats and coyotes. Badgers are also dependent on the ability to burrow and hunt (Long, 1973) and may find this more possible at the lower elevation sites. High points on the McKenzie Preserve are nearly 1000 m below the optimal elevation range for gray fox activity, 1150 – 1525 m (Cypher, 2003). However, the mid and high elevation study sites (340 – 563 m) had more gray fox activity than the low elevation sites (236 – 269 m). This indicates that gray foxes are finding suitable habitat well below the range were they are expected to be most abundant, but still at the highest elevations of the preserve. Diel activity of all species was lowest during the day and highest during the hours of twilight and night. This corresponds with the normal nocturnal nature of the species in the study. Badgers, raccoons, and striped skunks are almost entirely nocturnal (Long, 1973; Wade-Smith and Verts, 1982; Gehrt, 2003). Only the striped skunk was captured during the daytime hours, once during the ninth hour of the day. Badgers and raccoons were never captured during the day. Habitat and Environmental Characteristics The habitat variables found to have any association with the target species were variable aspects of ground cover (WOOD and ROCK), CANOPY, TREE, and BURROW. WOOD may have had a positive relationship with activity of 51 bobcats, coyotes, or gray foxes due to their prey base likely finding refuge in fallen woody debris, as has been previously hypothesized (Bunnell and Houde, 2010; Lesmeister et al., 2015). Lower percentages of wood debris were associated with higher bobcat activity. Site 1 had the very least amount of wood debris, but did have the water trough and a higher number of bobcat captures than any of the other sites. This was the same case with ROCK. The gray fox showed greater activity as sites with moderate ROCK cover. This agrees with the natural history of the gray fox, being associated with rugged terrain and rocky outcroppings for denning (Cypher, 2003). However, Site 1 had a moderate amount of ROCK ground cover and the water trough, confounding this inference. TREE and CANOPY are variables indicating tree density and maturity. Sites with higher numbers and percentages of these variables were thought to exhibit higher activity from species more associated with mature forest patches: gray foxes (Cypher, 2003; Farias et al., 2012) and bobcats (Lariviere and Walton, 1997) for denning, cover, protection, or escape from larger predators (e.g. coyotes). This was supported by a positive relationship between the TREE variable and gray fox activity. The two sites with the greatest number of trees had the highest gray fox activity, possibly suggesting that gray foxes were more active in these habitats on the preserve to potentially den or escape coyote interaction (Farias et al., 2012). However, this inference is confounded by Site 1, with the water trough, being one of the two sites with the greatest number of trees. Sites with the highest percent of canopy cover saw more activity in badgers, bobcats, coyotes, and raccoons. CANOPY and bobcat activity supports the association of the bobcat with wooded habitats, especially in the summer season (Koehler and Hornocker, 1989). Still, the high category of CANOPY included Site 1 (with the water trough). 52 All the results for these variables, including the relationship of sites with the least number of burrows seeing the greatest levels of gray fox activity, are confounded by the water trough at Site 1. Site 1 was not discarded in the analyses because the site sample size was already small at n = 6. Any future study would have to account for this, to allow for any accurate inferences about the impact of these variables on the activity of the target species. And it is clearly essential to know the locations of permanent water sources within the preserve. Intraguild Interactions In all but one instance, activity of gray foxes and raccoons was positively associated with increased activity of bobcats or coyotes. In all cases raccoon activity was aslo positively associated with both bobcat and coyote activity. The increase of activity by gray foxes in the spring as coyote activity increased contradicts findings in previous studies, reporting evidence for interference interaction between the two species (Fedriani et al., 2000; Farias et al., 2012; Lesmeister et al., 2015). This allows for the presumption that there would have been a decrease in gray fox activity. The generalized linear models did not find a significant fit, positive or negative, between coyote and gray fox activity during any other season. However, bobcat activity was negatively related to gray fox activity during the winter season. This can be explained by a potential overlap in diet during the winter, found in previous studies (Neale and Sacks, 2001). The winter diet for the gray fox consists predominately of lagomorphs and rodents, more than during any other season (Fedriani et al., 2000; Cypher, 2003), causing a dietary overlap with the hypercarnivorous bobcat (Lariviere and Walton, 1997; Fedriani et al., 2000). During the spring and summer seasons, when the gray fox diet shifts to comprise invertebrates and plant material (Cypher, 2003), the 53 generalized linear models showed positive interaction in activity between the bobcat and gray fox. The co-occurrence of all six target species throughout the study and the lack of evidence of avoidance at the temporal or spatial scales addressed in the study, other than bobcats and gray foxes in the winter, suggests niche differentiation and resource partitioning to be allowing coexistence of the target species on McKenzie Preserve (Azevedo et al., 2006). Perhaps an analysis of the data at smaller temporal scales or an experiment designed at a larger spatial scale would have identified differences between these species, as found in previous studies (Schuette et al., 2012; Monterosso et al., 2014; Lesmeister et al., 2014; Wang et al., 2015). This was the first quantitative survey of the mammalian carnivore community in SNF oak woodland habitat. The study produced a baseline assessment of mammalian mesocarnivore richness for a local region of oak woodland habitat in the SNF, providing a preliminary indication of distribution and habitat use. Additionally, the probability of habitat use on McKenzie Preserve in combination with the intraguild interactions identified suggests the species of the community are successfully addressing the pressures of exploitative and interference interaction and are coexisting by their use of temporal, spatial and resource partitions. Nevertheless, species activities at larger scales remain unknown, and the results here suggest further studies of mammalian population dynamics are warranted throughout the SNF, one of the most anthropogenically threatened and degraded ecosystems in the state. 54 Future Research Addressing the violation of independence between sampling sites, increasing the number of sampling sites, and covering a larger and more diverse area of SNF habitat would not only clarify the results of the single species occupancy models, but also allow the use of species co-occurrence occupancy models, and multi-season occupancy models. These changes and additions, and more adequate control of confounding variables (e.g. sources of water), would give potential to more clearly interpret potential intraguild interactions underway within SNF oak woodland habitat. Additionally, a redesign would allow greater attention on which habitat variables have associations with mesocarnivore use, occupancy, abundance, colonization and extinction (MacKenzie et al., 2004; Bailey et al., 2014; Wang et al., 2015). The probability of detection identified in this study can inform future researchers what time of year and during what seasons to concentrate data collection and surveying efforts. The probability of detecting coyote and bobcat presence is greatest in the summer, suggesting future surveying for coyotes or bobcats take place in that season, perhaps with greater sampling breadth and intensity to allow for more accurate estimates of habitat use. The study also suggests focusing gray fox surveys in the fall. Addressing these suggestions can improve the efficiency of future studies. Additionally, these future studies would be valuable for monitoring programs and conservation management plans, considering the ongoing anthropogenic development and climate change underway in the region. Additionally, they could be compared with the results here to identify and monitor changes in richness and shifts in activity and distribution of the species. Furthermore, the non-detection of the mountain lion suggests the coyote has ascended to become the apex predator in the community (Laliberte and Ripple, 55 2004; Prugh et al., 2009). Also, the detection of the black bear suggests a potential change in distribution and exploitation of the exurban development in the region (Goad et al., 2014), maybe as a response to drought conditions or climate change. These changes also indicate potential for future community shifts and top down trophic cascades with potential to impact bird populations (Crooks and Soule, 1999) and vegetation (Norrdahl et al., 2002; Hamback et al., 2004). 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Positive capture image of coyote pups at Site 6. 69 Positive capture image of a gray fox at Site 3 Positive capture image of a raccoon at Site 1. 70 Positive capture image of a striped skunk at Site 1. Positive capture image of a black bear at Site 5. APPENDIX B: MEASUREMENT OF HABITAT VARIABLES COLLECTED FROM SAMPLING SITES 72 Habitat Variables Collected from Each Sampling Site SITE ELEVAT BARE ROCK GRASS WOOD BURROW CANOPY TREE AVGDBH WATER 1 354 14 10 75 1 25 20 19 24.08 Annual 2 563 19 21 60 0 0 17 5 51.5 No 3 561 2 14 73 11 0 18 27 21.69 No 4 340 3 7 90 0 78 9 16 34.7 Seasonal 5 269 0 0 100 0 40 4 3 27.9 Seasonal 6 236 21 5 74 0 30 24 8 36.55 Seasonal ELEVAT – Elevation measured in meters BARE – Mean percent of ground cover within the 20 m radii circles around each camera that is bare soil ROCK – Mean percent of ground cover within the 20 m radii circles around each camera that is rock GRASS – Mean percent of ground cover within the 20 m radii circles around each camera that is grass WOOD – Mean percent of ground cover within the 20 m radii circles around each camera that is wood debris BURROW – Total count of burrows within the 20 m radii circles around each camera CANOPY – Mean percent of 20 m radii circles around each camera that is under canopy cover TREE - Total count of tress within the 20 m radii circles around each camera AVGDBH – Mean diameter of trees at breast height WATER – Type of water source at each site Fresno State Non-Exclusive Distribution License (to archive your thesis/dissertation electronically via the library’s eCollections database) By submitting this license, you (the author or copyright holder) grant to Fresno State Digital Scholar the non-exclusive right to reproduce, translate (as defined in the next paragraph), and/or distribute your submission (including the abstract) worldwide in print and electronic format and in any medium, including but not limited to audio or video. 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