Department of Biomedical Engineering Ryan Peters Department of Biology Malavika Kesavan Department of Astronomy Elizabeth Palmer Industrial Design Calvin Tabor Scott Dailey Clean Cool: The Next Iteration of Green Refrigeration Overview Clean Cool represents the next iteration of green refrigeration. Our project goals were to select a greener insulation and develop an innovative design while maintaining the device's affordability in order to promote consumer adoption. Introduction The unity of wants and needs are essential to the functionality and progression of society. Over time food has evolved into a central component of modern cultures. With the invention of the modern commercial refrigerator in 1911 by General Electric and its subsequent mass production in the decades that followed, the way we store and consume food was revolutionized.1 The cultural norm of a daily trip to the market or the daily delivery of milk to the doorstep no longer exists in modern America. While the increasingly expanding population has experienced an explosion of new technologies over the past few decades, the refrigerator remains a constant in the American home. 99.9% of the 130 million households in the United States currently own a refrigerator, with 17% of these households owning two or more.2 In this light, the refrigerator may symbolize the modernization of society and the vast increase in our standard of living over the past century. However, like any developing technology there exist flaws and negative, unintended consequences. In particular, the modern refrigerator has had a harmful impact on the environment. The growth of our population and advancements in technology over the past century has started to deplete the ZRUOG¶VQDWXUDOUHVRXUFHVThere has been a recent effort to find advancements in technology that not only expand function, but also minimize their effects on the environment. Refrigerators are the second largest consumer of electricity in the average US home3, consuming between 450-850 kWh with a yearly cost of $51.80-$97.84 (average cost of residential electricity in the US is $0.1151/ kWh).4 This means that each refrigerator releases 1500 lbs of CO2, a greenhouse gas that has been attributed to global warming and other harmful effects on the environment. All of the consumer refrigerators in the United States alone release a combined 114 million tons of CO2 per year. Therefore, while the cost of operating a modern refrigerator may seem minimal, the overall impact on the environment is significant. Public opinion in the US strongly agrees with these sentiments, with 91% of respondents believing that it is important to protect the environment from the effects of energy consumption. However, 94% of respondents also believe it is important to keep energy costs low.5 The refrigerator is a perfect device to address these concerns because of its wide reach. By increasing the efficiency of the modern refrigerator, we provide the function we as a society have grown accustomed to experiencing, DVZHOODVORZHULQJHQHUJ\FRVWVDQGWKHSURGXFW¶VRYHUDOOHQYLURQPHQWDOLPSDFWV The need for energy conservation is not a new concern. The US government has recognized the need to decrease our energy consumption and has enacted several recent pieces of legislation. The Appliance and Equipment Energy Efficiency Standard Act of 2005 provided energy tax incentives and updated the efficiency standards of the National Appliance Energy Conservation Act of 1987. 6 Energy Star is a government program that awards special certification to appliances that are 30% more efficient than government standards. In addition, both the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 1 Auburn University; http://www.industrialdesignhistory.com/node/148 Department of Energy; http://www.eia.doe.gov/emeu/reps/enduse/er01_us.html 3 Department of Energy; http://www.eia.doe.gov/energyexplained/ 4 Department of Energy; http://www.eia.gov/cneaf/electricity/epa/epaxlfile7_4.pdf 5 State of Virginia: Energy Division; http://www.dmme.virginia.gov/DE/RelatedProgs/energystar.shtml 6 State of New York; http://www.dec.ny.gov/environmentdec/19124.html 2 2009 and Cash for Appliances offered rebates to trade in old, inefficient appliances such as refrigerators for newer, more energy efficient models.7 The average lifespan of a refrigerator is 13 years.8 The Department of Energy suggests buying a new refrigerator once this time period has passed because the efficiency decreases significantly afterwards.9 This decline in energy efficiency is strongly affected by the insulation. Insulation for refrigerators is usually a loose-blow fill polystyrene derivative and over time this settles toward the bottom, decreasing its effectiveness. In addition, a major problem with refrigerator insulation is water leakage. Over time, moisture leaks into the compartment containing the insulation, causing a degradation of the material. Finally, there is currently no standardized way to safely dispose of insulation since many of them are treated with flame retardants and other chemicals that are harmful to the environment.10 Many of these concerns such as carbon footprint, energy efficiency, and insulation can be addressed with modifications to the overall design and selection of a new insulation material. Taking RXULQWXLWLYHJUDVSRIZKHUHHQHUJ\HIILFLHQF\FRXOGEHLPSURYHGDQGEDVHGRQRXUJURXS¶VEDFNJURXQG and interests, we developed a two-pronged approach for refrigerator innovation. First, we examined the material used to insulate the refrigerator. In our research, we found that a common household sponge can surprisingly act as an efficient and cost-effective insulator. Second, we re-examined the life cycle of the refrigerator which led to an innovative design that incoUSRUDWHVWKH³W\SLFDO$PHULFDQOLIH´EXWFDQ also be marketed globally. Background: Refrigeration Refrigeration is the process of transferring heat from a low-temperature environment to a hightemperature environment. This is against the thermodynamic gradient and therefore needs an energy input to occur. Refrigerators require a working fluid called refrigerant which is used in the refrigeration cycle. The most common refrigeration cycle is the vapor-compression refrigeration cycle. The refrigerant enters as a vapor into the compressor and is compressed further, causing the compressor to increase in temperature. As the compressor is cooled, the refrigerant condenses and flows down the coils of the condenser into the capillary tube. In the capillary tube, the pressure and temperature drop significantly, and the cold refrigerant enters the evaporator where it absorbs heat from the interior of the refrigerator and turns back into a vapor, thus completing the cycle.11 It was decided to keep the basics of this design because any modifications would have been beyond the scope of our project goals. However, there are many components in this system that are already being targeted in other development projects such as the cooling system and internal temperature control. Insulation 7 Department of Energy; http://www.energysavers.gov/financial/70020.html National Association of Home Builders; http://www.nahb.org/fileUpload_details.aspx?contentID=99359 9 Department of Energy; http://www.energysavers.gov/your_home/appliances/index.cfm/mytopic=10020 10 Jacob, James W.; Methods of insulating refrigerator cabinets and other insulting spaces; October 30, 1962; No. 234,085 11 ³)XQGDPHQWDOVRI7KHUPDO-)OXLG6FLHQFHV´-7). 8 Background :LWKWKHDLPWRDOOHYLDWHDUHIULJHUDWRU¶VLPSDFWRQWKHHQYLURQPHQWRQHRIRXUSULPDU\FRQFHUQV is its insulation. This vital component is responsible for preventing heat from entering the colder interior of the refrigeraWRU DQG WKXV GLFWDWHV LQ ODUJH SDUW D UHIULJHUDWRU¶V HQHUJ\ HIILFLHQF\ WKURXJKRXW LWV lifespan. Among most common insulation currently used in a refrigerator are made of polyisocyanurate or polystyrene foam (Dynblast).12 Both have a low specific heat capacity, low thermal conductivity (defined as the inverse of thermal resistance), and a low density, all properties desired in an insulator. However, these materials also have a high carbon footprint and can be damaging to the health of both humans and animals, as well as the environment. Cellulose is an alternate material that has similar properties, but does not have the same environmental damage and a reduced potential for adverse health effects. Even so, there are still problems with cellulose insulation including flammability, the potential for pests, and thermal resistance. To decrease the chance of flammability we can add powdered borax in ratio of 1:3.13 It is unlikely that pests would be an issue in this situation considering that the insulation will be placed in a vacuum tight area. In order to help evaluate the selection of cellulose against other leading insulators, we contacted material scientists Drs. Marsha Bischel and Amy Campbell from Armstrong, a manufacturer of flooring, ceiling and cabinet products (as referred by Dr. James Cawley from the Department of Materials Science and Engineering). They deal commonly with insulation used in walls and ceilings and provided useful insight in a shared conversation. According to them, one of the strongest competitors among ³JUHHQ´ LQVXODWRUV are soy-based Spray Polyurethane Foams (SPF) which are often used with environmentally harmful isocyanates. However, research indicates that only a maximum of 15% of the foam is actually soy-based, and the rest is petroleum-based which leads to a large amount of marketing hype.14 Perhaps their most pressing point however when considering environmental impact is the toxicity of materials used to prevent flammability. Insulating materials are duly treated to prevent fires in EXLOGLQJVDQGKRXVHVEXWDWWKHHQGRIDUHIULJHUDWRU¶VOLIHWKHFKHPLFDOVZLWKLQWKHLQVXODWLRQPDNHVIRU dangerous and toxic disposal during the decomposition phase at a landfill.15 Because our overall product would also be concerned with energy efficiency throughout its lifespan, Drs. Bischel and Campbell pointed out that our primary concerns ought to be with respect the entire lifecycle of the refrigerator (from manufacture through its entire usage), rather than just attempting to improve energy expenses solely at the manufacturing stage. The energy efficiency during WKH UHIULJHUDWRU¶V ORQJ OLIH RI RSHUDWLRQ DQG XVDJH IDU RXWZHLJKs the small time and energy expended during manufacture. With that focus in mind, a refrigerator insulation that, for example, starts with a given resistivity to heat flow and holds that strength after 50 years is much more preferred than one that starts with a stronger resistance but worsens greatly over that same time period. Energy consumption therefore depends heavily on how well the refrigerator is insulated during its lifespan. 12 American Chemistry Council; http://www.polyurethane.org/s_api/sec.asp?CID=903&DID=3616 (Cellulose Plant and Process) 14 Spray Foam; http://www.sprayfoam.com/npps/story.cfm?nppage=187 15 Environmental Protection Agency; http://www.epa.gov/dfe/spf_presentation_2009_epa_osha_niosh_cpsc.pdf 13 Next, we aimed to gain insight from a current refrigerator producer and were fortunate to speak directly with Scott Shaver, a household appliances and refrigerator manufacturing manager from General Electric (GE). Supporting our conversation with the scientists from Armstrong, he explained that a selection of blowing agents exist that can be used in the process of inserting insulators into the shell of a refrigerator (a standardized manufacturing procedure, which all use spray-in foam). The blowing agents range from historically freon (CFCs, SKDVHG RXW LQ WKH ¶V due to environmental concerns) to some use of hydrochlorofluorocarbons (HCFCs, also contain harmful effects to the ozone, being phased out by 2020 per the Montreal Protocol implemented through the U.S. Clean Air Act) 16, to the more modern use of cyclopentane (much more friendly for the atmosphere since he explains it is heavier than air, however must be disposed of properly to avoid entering a landfill). GE currently has partnered with the EPA to implement the Appliance Recycling Centers of America (ARCA) method to recover 95% of insulating foam found in refrigerators, in order to capture these toxins and greenhouse gases from leaking into the atmosphere.17 :KHQ DVNHG DERXW FRQVLGHULQJ ³JUHHQHU´ LQVXODWLRQ WKH manager pointed out that with foam insulation, energy efficiency is very high. Given the same lifecycle energy concerns as described by the scientists from Armstrong, he also prioritized the strength of the insulator with its impact on energy usage during the lifespan of the refrigerator. According to GE manager, any switch away from current insulators such as polyurethane must satisfy three main parameters: (1) customer demand for as large amount of space within the refrigerator as possible (i.e. the thinner the insulator can be to remain just as effective, the better), (2) federal and customer demand IRUHQHUJ\HIILFLHQF\WREH³JUHHQHU´DQGFXVWRPHUGHPDQGIRUDIIRUGDELOLW\ Analytical Assessment Following the notion of innovative use of preexisting materials, we further narrowed our selection to cellulose sponge; LWVXSSRUWVRXU³JUHHQ´SULRULWLHVIRULWVKLJKUHF\FOHGFRQWHQWZKLOHDOVR bearing pockets for air that would make it a good insulator. Prioritizing the major concerns about refrigerator insulation described by Drs. Bischel and Campbell from Armstrong, as well as the insights gained in our own research, we began an analysis of our selection. As previously described, the desired characteristics for an insulator are to carry a low heat transfer, low specific heat capacity, low conductivity and high R-value (thermal resistance), values not yet detailed for our material. Initially, to test the feasibility of cellulose the sponge as an insulator, a qualitative experiment was performed in order to demonstrate that our choice of material is comparable to commonly used insulation. In order to test this, a wooden box with a removable lid was constructed with the dimensions 14.5cm x 14.5cm x 14.5cm, with the wood walls 1.8cm thick. A smaller box, composed entirely of the selected insulation, was constructed with the dimensions 10cm x 10cm x10cm, with the insulation walls 1.7cm thick. The smaller insulation box was lined with plastic (Ziploc bags) which was then placed in the larger wooden box. The large wooden box was sealed, ¾ cup boiling water (100º C) was poured into the container, and a thermometer (with a stopper) was placed through a sealed hole in the top to measure the temperature over time. This process was performed with cellulose sponge, Styrofoam (polystyrene), pink housing insulation, and a control trial consisting of no insulation. Typical insulation 16 17 Penton Media; http://contractingbusiness.com/columnists/cb_imp_5837/ The Fast Company; http://www.fastcompany.com/1725706/ge-epa-team-up-to-slash-appliance-landfill-waste used in refrigerators is the loose blow-in fill which is generally a form of polystyrene. Given that Styrofoam consists of polystyrene and contains similar insulative properties, we took that material to be a fair comparison to current refrigerator insulation. Figure 1 shows the results of our experiment to compare insulation cooling rates. Measurements for all of the trials were started at 75º C in order to produce standardized results that can be effectively compared. The control trial (no insulation) cooled much faster than those with insulation which is to be expected. However, the Cellulose sponge, Styrofoam, and Pink Insulation all performed fairly closely, with the styrofoam performing the best (defined as the longest time to drop in temperature) followed by the cellulose and then the pink insulation. Therefore, this proves in our qualitative experiment that the cellulose sponge is on par with current insulators. While we have proved qualitatively that the cellulose sponge is comparable to current insulation, since cellulose sponge is not already used as an insulator, quantitative assessment has proved difficult. Material specifications, as provided by the sponge manufacturer 3M, unfortunately did not detail its thermal properties for this reason. Similarly, the materials database18 used by professionals on campus also lacked information for a sponge form of cellulose. At the suggestion of Dr. David Schiraldi from the Department of Macromolecular Science and Engineering, our next step was to contact the laboratory on campus capable of performing such tests. Testing was available for late February and successfully 18 CES EduPack 2010 (Access granted by Dr. DeGuire) scheduled, but due to unforeseeable complications within the laboratory group itself, at the last minute this option became unavailable prior to early May. Despite these setbacks, we were able to estimate the thermal properties of our cellulose sponge to fall within a range of typical values for other cellulose-based insulators (see Table 1). Upholding our SULPDU\ REMHFWLYH WR XVH D ³JUHHQHU´ LQVXODWLRQ LQ DGGLWLRQ WR DQ LQQRYDWLYH GHVLJQ WKH XVH RI D cellulose-based product remains a key component for our refrigeration design. Perhaps one of the strongest arguments against a sponge insulator is its natural tendency to attract moisture which can significantly affect insulation effectiveness, so in response this necessitates the use of a vacuum seal (namely a Mylar bag). Mylar is the common name for BoPET (Biaxially-oriented polythylene terephthalate) and is known to have good barrier properties. It is readily available for ordering in a variety of sizes as well as properties (some have aluminum coating to reflect heat). It is not currently used in refrigerators, but is used in some housing situations, electrical insulation, and a variety of other ways including fire resistant blankets.19 One point to note from Table 1 is the avoidance of using a vacuum seal for insulation even though the R value is significantly higher than the other insulator options. This is due primarily to the fact that it is impossible to get a perfect vacuum seal which would decrease the true effectiveness of the insulator. When speaking with Scott Shaver of GE, he mentioned that the equipment involved would be expensive as they would need to reach a pressure level of 10-5 Torr. In addition, the time to make one seal would take 3-4 minutes which would slow down the entire mass production process. Though this cost will be higher, the product will be viable for a longer period of time providing much higher energy savings and a lower environmental impact due to life cycle. Polyisocyanurate also appears to be at first glance a strong candidate for a material due to its high recycled content. However, the main drawback is that polyisocyanurate is very flammable and releases toxic elements into the environment. In addition, polyisocyanurate is more difficult to recycle than other insulations such as polystyrene, reducing the green appeal for its entire life cycle.20 Table 1: Insulator Comparison18 Material R-Value (m^2*K/W*in) % Recycled Material Commonly Used Chemicals in Manufacturing Manufacturing Carbon Footprint Expanded Polystyrene Foam (XPS) 5.0 -- -- 3.42-3.78 lb/lb Cellulose Loose Fill 3.7 75%-85% Some Borate is needed (flame retardant) 1.25-1.35 lb/lb Pink Housing 4.5-5.0 -- -- 3.5-4 lb/lb 19 20 Plastics; http://www.grafixplastics.com/mylar_apps.asp Air Quality Sciences; http://www.aerias.org/DesktopModules/ArticleDetail.aspx?articleId=95 Insulation Fiberglass 2.5-3.7 Max 30% Uses formaldehyde based glue Cellulose wet spray 3.4 75%-85% Some Borate is needed as a flame retardant Polyisocyanurate 4.3-8.3 Up to 100%21 trischloropropylphosphate (TCPP) Cellulose Sponge Estimated ~4.5 75%-85% Consider using Borate 1.25-1.35 lb/lb Vacuum seal 30-50 -- < 1 lb/lb 1.25-1.35 lb/lb DESIGN The Development of the Concept When considering how to redesign the refrigerator itself, we decided to focus on the aesthetic appeal of a simple external shape. The design should appear sophisticated, visually agreeable with a variety of kitchen styles and be easy to manufacture. Throughout the concept development stages, we continued to prioritize simplicity and ease of use, rethinking unnecessary functions and adding features that would enhance the performance to make it more user-friendly. In our first drawings of the designs, we considered stackable units, a variety of orientations and sizes, and compartmentalization of the refrigerator in order to increase energy efficiency and reduce wasted space. As these ideas matured, we maintained concepts that were most central to our mission of increasing energy efficiency by improving the way users interact with the refrigerator and how it operates. The refinement stage began by combining these ideas into a single design. Refining the Concept 7KH ILUVW VWDJH RI UHILQHPHQW FRQFHUQHGPRGXODULW\ DQG VSDFH FRQVHUYDWLRQ $ ³JURZ-with-PH´ concept was devHORSHG OHDGLQJ WR D PRGXODU ³PLQL-IULGJH´ GHVLJQ VWDQGLQJ WZHQW\-eight inches tall. Ideally, young adults would purchase a single unit for dormitory style or other group living arrangement early in life, and be able to add onto it with another unit or freezer later in life, rather than purchasing a new full-size refrigerator. This would save the customer money, conserve resources by adding onto the previous refrigerator rather than replacing it, and create repeat business for retailers who sell the unit. 21 American Chemistry Council; http://www.polyurethane.org/s_api/sec.asp?CID=903&DID=3616 Several additions were made to the initial concept. To help save energy beyond the insulation choice, we integrated shelves that allow users to seal off unused areas of their refrigerator. More userfriendly additions included proposing a piggy-back power system allowing the top unit in a stack to plug into the one below it, sourcing power from one cord plugged into a single outlet. We also added a light to the inside of the handle to make the refrigerator easier to find for late night snackers. Consolidation of Ideas and Incorporation of User Input In the semi-final round of the competition we were encouraged to investigate several changes that would further improve how users interact with the product as well as suggestions to make our product more feasible, sustainable, and energy efficient. Affordability, efficiency and the maximization of interior space were put at highest priority. The following renderings show the model in its final form, displaying the glass door concept, the sealing capability of the shelves, and the general interior. Regarding the external design, the outer skin of each unit can differ depending on the tastes of the market in which it is sold. The skins could possibly be produced locally in their respective markets, using locally appropriate materials and processes. This means not all refrigerators will have a metal skin. There are already many refrigerators on the market today that do not. Some high-end full-size refrigerators have a wood covering to match the cabinets in kitchens, but this means families who use their refrigerators as a message board would not be able to use magnets on it, and may be turned off. Our solution to this problem is that any optional non-metal skins for our refrigerator will have magnets embedded in the back of the skin to maintain this useful and expected feature. From a design and engineering standpoint, we were encouraged to look at designing for disassembly. In order to understand the issues associated with disassembling a refrigerator as they are currently manufactured, we took one apart. From the process and our background research, traditional refrigerators are not only difficult to take apart but very difficult to recycle. The metal shell for example, was attached to the back of the machine with adhesive and the insulation had been reaction injection molded into the void between it and the inner plastic shell. The insulation was fused to the outer metal skin, and the condenser coils buried in the insulation foam, making this more difficult to separate without appropriate machinery or chemicals. With this experience fresh in our minds, we set out to make material separation in our refrigerator much easier at the end of its usable life. Our shell is made entirely of one type of plastic for ease of recycling. Additionally, the condenser coils are separate from the insulation making them easier to remove. Finally, a retractable cord, power supply, and circuitry are all contained in a metal box on the rear of the unit for easy removal during disassembly, or replacement. Luckily, sticking with a simple, elegant, confident shape makes cleaning very easy. The smooth straight sides and rounded edges of each unit leave very few crevices for built-up dirt and grease to hide, and because the exterior is completely sealed off to keep the insulation dry, the entire unit can be sprayed off if need be. The plastic interior is easy to clean, and even if a wood shell was selected, the whole unit is no more difficult to maintain than a kitchen table. Furthermore, the shelves can be easily removed and washed in a kitchen sink, and the interior is waterproof sealed as well. We also considered a feasible solution to an earlier concept of using a glass door that allowed XVHUVWR³EURZVH´WKHFRQWHQWVRIWKHLUUHIULJHUDWRUZLWKRXWOHWWLQJWKHFRRODLURXWDQGZDVWLQJHQHUJ\ The initial concern was that energy would be slowly lost through the glass itself, not a strong insulator. The solution we came to is similar to a screen door. We simply integrated a glass door into the insulated door, sharing a common hinge so that users can open one or both depending on their need. For example, if the user is taking inventory of their refrigerator before a grocery run, they can browse without letting cool air escape. Our innovation will help reduce the energy loss created by this habit. Finding a home for the freezer was our next mission. We had played with the idea of making the freezer another modular piece that could fit on top of the refrigerator, but decided instead to include one in each of the units. This way, a two-unit system is comparable to a full size refrigerator in terms of freezer capacity without the need to add another unit. Additionally, the full-size configuration will only use two compressors, like their traditional full-size refrigerator counterparts, rather than the three that would be needed to add a separate freezer. Finally, the individual units needed to be around thirty-two inches in height to be compatible with European under-counter applications and comparable to U.S. mini-fridges. If two of these units were stacked, a freezer would be above an acceptable use height. Including a freezer section in each unit makes them a more complete product individually, and allows them to fit common placements in both Europe and the United States. Regarding modularity and spacing, stacking two units requires a way to secure them to one another. Our solution uses four feet located at the corner of each unit that slide-lock into corresponding spaces on the top of every unit. In a full-size scenario where the units would need to be stacked and locked, the back would likely be facing a wall like most full-size refrigerators do. This means they would have to be pulled away from the wall to be stacked and un-stacked, eliminating the possibility that they unintentionally become unattached. MARKETING With such a versatile design, our final product could be easily adapted to many living situations and tastes with little modification. The appeal of the Clean Cool refrigerator is that it gives more consumer options in terms of look and size, saves consumers money on energy bills in the long term, and does not compromise functionality when ready to upgrade to a larger refrigerator. A consumer needs only to add another module. To further gain user input on the use of refrigerators, we conducted a brief survey consisting of four columns, as quoted from the survey itself: 1. Just Getting (or restocking) ± ³you know what you want to take out (or put in) the fridge and you spent no time browsing´ 2. Just Looking ± ³well, you browsed the fridge but you didn't see what you wanted´ 3. Looking and Getting ± ³success! you started browsing the fridge, and lo and behold, you found something you wanted´ 4. Date and Time ± ³pretty straightforward, MM/DD and HH:MM´ (allowing for averaging over days) It was found that in a sorority dorm, with 30 girls and two normal refrigerators, that each was opened approximately 20 times a day over 5 days. More than half the time this action involved looking around the refrigerator before grabbing food (if anything). When considering two typical non-collegestudent households, refrigerators were opened about 20-25 times a day during the days individuals spent most often at home, with about 2 of those times spent looking, according to our sample group. However, in speaking with other families it is apparent that looking to check the levels of groceries and what leftovers are available are highly ranked on the list of reasons why their refrigerator is open. The glass door design component would appease both such clientele then, for this reason. From mini-fridge information and general understanding of college student life, if you have a small refrigerator, you typically know exactly what goes in there since it is such a small personal space. There is no need to "look around" because one usually remembers what little he keeps there. Hence very little time and energy, if any, is spent browsing. We also broadened our scope from the domestic market to the inclusion of international markets. Our final design is of a height compatible with European under-counter applications, comparable to traditional mini-fridge sizes in the U.S., and when stacked, comparable to U.S. full-size refrigerators as well. The resulting universal core can serve international markets without modification. Furthermore, the pURGXFW¶V GHVLJQ-for-GLVDVVHPEO\ FRQVLGHUDWLRQV ZLOO KHOS LW PHHW (XURSH¶V PRUH rigorous recycling standards in addition to the upcoming Energy Star 2014 standards in the United States. Just as notable, there appears an equal opportunity for presence in the Asian market. While in Europe a major constraint is space, rolling blackouts and unreliable power are more frequent in Asia. More and more people are moving from pre-industrial to industrial lifestyles and with this comes with a greater access to food and drink that needs to be stored. However, since infrastructure lags behind population expansion and upward mobility, many times electricity is only available for a portion of the day or unreliable. In places such as this (parts of Asia and even some European countries like Armenia), it would be advantageous to have a refrigerator that better maintains temperature to prevent spoilage, reducing costs as well as illness. This was apparent when we spoke with two different families from India. Both were small business owners (one of textiles and another of a health clinic) and both stated that this would benefit them on the condition that the refrigerator is on par with the cost of the average refrigerator. Further support for its global appeal is the customization of the units. In addition to size choice because of its modularity, the outer skin can be tailored to the tastes of many customers. Changes in color, texture, pattern, material, and general shape can be made quickly and inexpensively in production to address trends and locations. For example, it carries the potential to offer a "local" feel ± skins made of the product of the country, such as bamboo in the Chinese market. Since our product is most tailored to the middle class, and consumers looking to lessen their impact on the environment, this applies to a large subset of the population. Typical broad methods of advertisement by popular media of billboards, magazines and newspapers would then be most appropriate, with special emphasis on reaching out to college-aged students looking to purchase their first mini-fridges (the beginning of the proposed life cycle of our modular refrigerators). Scaling to Mass Production Manufacturing Process The standard manufacturing process for refrigeration is detailed below:22 1. The exterior of the machine is made from coiled sheets of steel and the interiors are made from rust-resistant aluminum lined with an acrylic shell 2. A shearing machine slices steel into pieces for the top, back, and sides 3. Each piece goes to a punch press to create holes for wiring 4. Break press forces the steel against a forming dye to form edges 5. Workers place the pieces of the refrigerator for the outer shell into an assembly apparatus which holds them together 6. The interior is formed via a vacuum forming machine which heats a sheet of plastic and shapes it against an aluminum mold 7. The excess plastic is carved off of the interior pieces 8. The freezer and fridge sides are slid into place 9. Copper tubes are laid along the outer edge which circulate gas to prevent moisture buildup 10. A precut face frame is placed into position 11. Foam is injected between the interior and exterior walls which insulates and gives the refrigerator structural rigidity 22 Science Channel; http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YE-TqX-FBeI a. Blowing agents are inserted from the "doghouse" (bottom back part of the fridge), and the foam is blown upward such that it splatters at the top of the fridge and grows downwards. b. Insulation is overpacked to 12% above baseline to avoid air pockets c. Doors are insulated by using a nozzle spray similar to the shell method, or by spraying onto the outer door and laying the inner door on top of it 12. The internal circuitry is installed including: a. An evaporator b. Electrical control panel connected to a microprocessor c. Compressors d. Radiator 13. Finally, the refrigerator doors are added The goal of our refrigerator design is to maintain as much of this manufacturing process as possible which will allow us to decrease initial manufacturing costs. While the internal circuitry and its installation are going to remain largely the same in the manufacturing of our new product, the main difference will be in the addition of the insulation. While current insulation in refrigerators are injected inbetween the walls, our cellulose sponge insulation needs to come in pre-cut sheets to maintain its stability. In addition, we need to address the issue that plagues all insulation which is moisture which can lead to mold and decreased effectiveness. Therefore, to accommodate these two requirements, we will vacuum seal the insulation into the sides of the walls using a Mylar bag which adds a layer of protection against moisture and creates a singular component that eliminates the need to insert insulation after the refrigerator has already been assembled. In addition, vacuum sealing the insulation will allow for a tight fit which negates the benefit of injecting the insulation to ensure total and complete coverage of insulation. The rest of the manufacturing process is common practice for the refrigeration industry so the only excess costs incurred will be the costs for new casts for the individual parts. The rest of the process has been proven for decades and we can qualitatively say that after these initial investments, the product will be able to be effectively mass produced on a global scale. In addition, the dimensions of our current refrigerator (´ ZLGH ´ GHHS DQG ´ WDOO) are similar to the dimensions of currently manufactured mini-fridges which will allow us to use similar casts and electronic components. Market Analysis US Sales and Revenue An initial examination of the overall consumer refrigeration market shows a saturated, slow growth industry, however there still exists a great potential for revenue. As mentioned earlier, nearly every household in the United States has a refrigerator, with 17% of households having two or more refrigerators.2 According to the 2010 Census, there are 130 million housing units in the United States, which represents an installed base of at least 150 million refrigerating units in operation. Approximately 12 million refrigerators were sold in the US in 2010. It is conservatively estimated that growth will remain steady at the pre-recession 3% yearly growth, which accounts for natural population growth as well as replacement of existing units.23 Our goal is 5% US market penetration in year 2020, which would mean about 800,000 sales. At an estimated cost of $300 per stackable unit, this would result in about $240 million / yr in revenue in 2020. World Sales and Revenue While the more affluent US market represents an initial marketing focus for the introduction of our product and ramping up mass production, the real potential for revenue and profit margins exist in our international sales. As discussed earlier, there are several issues in overseas countries that need to be addressed, including inconsistent and unreliable access to electricity and the impoverished regions of the country which lack an affordable refrigerating solution. The main growth in the expansion of the global middle class has been in Asia, as demonstrated in Figure 2 below highlighting the explosion in both the size and expenditures of the middle class: Figure 2: Change in Size of Middle Class by Region24 This represents a new untapped market for future growth opportunities. Worldwide there were about 90 million refrigeration units sold in 2010, with Asia (excluding Japan) accounting for more than a third of those sales (approximately 31.5 million sales). Worldwide the growth is an average of 3% annually, with higher growth of nearly 5% concentrated in the high economic growth developing Asian countries including China, India, and Vietnam.25 With that being said, we believe the best use of resources would be to focus on this expanding Asian market in conjunction with the introduction into the US market. With 5% annual growth as 23 Jarn; http://www.ejarn.jp/Type_news_inside.asp?id=11271&classid=4 Asian Development Bank; http://www.adb.org/Documents/Books/Key_Indicators/2010/pdf/Special-Chapter02.pdf 25 Jarn; http://www.ejarn.jp/Type_news_inside.asp?id=11271&classid=4 24 previously mentioned, in 2020 there will be approximately 51 million refrigerators sold per year. If we assume a 10% market penetration in year 2020 for this relatively fast growth market, this would equate to about 5 million sales per year. At an estimated $300 per stackable unit, this would result in about $1.5 billion / yr in revenue in 2020. Additional revenue could be gained from marketing the product to low-growth European countries, however at this time it would be much harder to gain significant market penetration into this saturated and stable market, so we believe the bulk of our international expansion should be focused on the opportunity for high revenue and market penetration that exists with the rapidly expanding Asian middle class. Profitability Due to the minimal changes in manufacturing processes and the huge potential for growth both domestically and internationally, this product can overcome the initial investment costs for further research and development as well as one-time manufacturing upgrade equipment costs by rapidly moving to mass production. Most of the components, materials, and required labor will be the same resulting in no significant deviation from current industry standard prices. The main increase in cost will be due to the change in insulation. $VVXPLQJD´WKLFNQHVVRILQVXODWLRQZKLFKLVVWDQGDUGRQPRVW small refrigerators, this would result in approximately 3 ft3 of insulation. The R value of expanded polystyrene foam was found to be 5.0 m2*K/W*in whereas the R value of cellulose insulation is about 3.7 m2*K/W*in. While we could not locate the R value for cellulose sponge after an exhaustive technical literature and internet search, we assume that the R value would be higher since we are introducing air into the component which is a very strong insulator. Therefore, when comparing insulation we will use 3.7 as our very conservative estimate, keeping in mind that costs may be lower than we expect. Using this 3.7 value, we would need approximately 35% more insulation to achieve the same thermal properties, requiring 4 ft3 of cellulose sponge. Therefore, the original expanded polystyrene would cost $42.78 / ft3 compared to the cellulose sponge cost of $46.89 / ft3, meaning an increase of 3% over a standard refrigerator priced at $300. In a 2008 survey sponsored by DuPont and Mohawk Industries, respondents replied that they would be willing on average 8.3% more for a product that uses renewable resources.26 This means any increase in price over baseline for the insulation would be tolerated as it falls within this value. Since most companies group refrigeration devices in with other home appliances when they report their finances to the SEC, the location of a profit margin figure was difficult. In other instances, there is no clear separation on the financial documents between consumer and commercial refrigeration revenue and profits. Therefore, we asked Scott Shaver, manufacturing manager from General Electric, directly regarding the financial side of the business, in respect to just the consumer refrigeration market. He replied that the average price of a refrigerator is between $700 and low $800's and that the typical profit margin on just the fridge component is about 15%. Therefore, this confirms our original assertion that this is a very profitable approach regardless of any increased costs that are not passed onto the consumer for sake of competitiveness in the market. 26 HGTV; http://www.hgtvpro.com/hpro/nws_industry_news/article/0,2624,HPRO_26519_5847752,00.html Prospects for Future Innovation In our initial research, it was apparent that many components of the refrigerator have room for innovation and progress. However, most of these considerations were out of the scope of our project. One electrical component that was considered was the compression cooling unit. In the past decade, Freon (CFC) has been phased out and replaced with hydrochlorofluorocarbons (HCFCs) and ultimately hydrofluorocarbons (HFCs) which are less damaging to the environment. New technology has been devised and tested by Cool Chips plc in which there is no need for any refrigerant. The device is essentially a silicon chip where a low level of current is run through the chip to cool the surrounding air27. The potential of this chip has already been demonstrated in commercial refrigeration. Since this is a new technology that has only been developed in the last five years, it is not yet prevalent in the market. It is our belief that this technology, if incorporated into our current design, would be an additional improvement to making our product more "green." This technology is projected to cost only $5-15 when mass production has been reached because the metal used in the product does not have to be pure, driving down the cost considerably. Most refrigerator cooling units operate at 45% Carnot efficiency. However, this new cooling chip is greatly improved, operating at 55% Carnot efficiency28. While this is still in the patent phase, there has been a strong interest in the potential of this technology as it would be greener, smaller, and more efficient when compared to current solutions. Conclusion There is a large demand among the American population for increased energy efficiency accompanied by the advancements in technology. Refrigerators are an essential component of the American lifestyle, from the mini-IULGJHLQWKHFROOHJHVWXGHQW¶VGRUPURRPWRWKHIXOO-scale refrigerators that come along with moving out and starting a family. By focusing on two key aspects of the heavily developed refrigerator, insulation and its overall design, we were able to take a large step toward our ultimate goal of developing the next iteration of green refrigeration. While the design and engineering are important aspects of a product, it is the market research and plan that help move ideas out into society. The strength of our product lies in its versatility because it is able to cross borders. It is not like DQ ³$PHULFDQ FDU´ WKDW LV WRR ZLGH IRU WKH QDUURZ URDGZD\V RI ,WDO\ ,W LV E\ GHVLJQ PRGXODU DQG customizable, giving it the capacity to be sold in places such as Europe and Asia, where the latter has a large growing market for refrigerators due to its growing middle class and expanding infrastructure. With further developments to the product, greater environmental and economic benefits could assuredly be yielded both domestically and internationally, but as any movement toward the preservation of the environment, each iteration is a step forward in the right direction. 27 28 Cool Chips Inc; http://www.coolchips.gi/technology/index.shtml Kanellos. Michael; http://news.cnet.com/2100-1008_3-5194349.html?tag=nefd.top Acknowledgments · · · · · · · · Dr. Malcolm Cooke, Case Western Reserve University Dr. David Schiraldi, Case Western Reserve University Dr. Marsha Bischel29, Armstrong Materials Scientist Dr. Amy Campbell30, Armstrong Materials Scientist Scott Shaver31, GE Appliances Engineering Manager Saint-Gobain Representatives and Sponsors Adrian Slattery, CIA Matt Beckwith, CIA Additional Resources http://www.adb.org/Documents/Books/Key_Indicators/2010/pdf/Special-Chapter-02.pdf http://buildingsdatabook.eren.doe.gov/TableView.aspx?table=5.1.3 http://www.energysavers.gov/your_home/designing_remodeling/index.cfm/mytopic=10170 http://www.energysavers.gov/your_home/insulation_airsealing/index.cfm/mytopic=11660 http://www.healthyhouseinstitute.com/a_681-Fiberglass_Insulation_Use_With_Care http://www.polyurethane.org/s_api/sec.asp?CID=903&DID=3616 http://www.madehow.com/Volume-5/Sponge.html http://news.cnet.com/2100-1008_3-5194349.html?tag=nefd.top 29 Bischel, Marsha. Personal Interview. 25 February 2011. Campbell, Amy. Personal Interview. 25 February 2011. 31 Shaver, Scott. Personal Interview. 25 February 2011. 30
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