1 REFLEXIONS UPON REGIONAL GROUPS OF STATES: The three Moslem organisations By Jan-Erik Lane For ECPR, Nicosia, April 2006 Abstract Regional organisation covers more and more states. They come in different forms and serve a variety of purposes. To pin down some of the main differences among them one may look at regional coordination mechanisms in the Muslim civilisation. There only the Gulf Cooperation Council is considered to display strong agency, whereas the Aral League targets diffuse ethnic goals attempting the coordination of the Arab nation, whereas the Islamic Conference expresses the amorphous religious community of Moslems. Given that regional organisation comes with a cost, as an increasing number of employees and communities/bodies must be paid for, it seems essential to enquire into the benefits of regional organisations, especially when they appear to lack agency, as with the League and the Conference. Perhaps these two organisations deliver other benefits than the tangible outcomes of economic integration that the GCC promotes? Theorising the process of regionalisation one needs to distinguish between intentions and functions. INTRODUCTION Regional groups of states now cover most of the existing 200 states of the world. Some socalled rogue states are not accepted as members in regional groups. A few very important states have decided to remain outside of the process of regionalisation, at least formally so – Japan, India and China for example. Yet, regional organisations cover most of the globe (Lane, 2006). What are the basic motives behind setting up and operating such regional groups of states? Can regional coordination be driven by religion? It is sometimes said that the EU amounts to a Christian Body, but no one would state that officially. Yet, the Gulf Cooperation Could (GCC) has an officially stated religious goal, namely to further the interests of Islam, including Sharia Law. Actually, all three coordination mechanisms in the Muslim civilisation refer publicly to religion, and two of them mention the interests of the Arab nation. Yet, regional coordination must have more mundane interests than religion and ethnicity. I will discuss the problem of motives by looking more closely at the three regional groups of states in the Moslem civilisation, namely the GCC, the Arab League and the Islamic Conference. Whereas the Arab League was the first regional group of states to be created, the Moslem Conference has only existed some thirty years. The Arab League contains an ethnic marker, while the Islamic Conference employs a religious marker. Yet, the interests that these two organisations pursue cannot be described as chiefly either ethnic or religious. What, then, is their rationale? The Gulf Cooperation Council targets economic cooperation in the form of a common market. 2 What follows in this paper is more an explorative analysis of the incentives towards regionalisation than an indebt empirical inquiry into these three Moslem groups of states. There is little research published on these organisations, but from official materials and the past record of events one may construct an image of how they operate. The theme of a chock of civilisations has become more and more relevant for understanding the politics of globalisation. And recent developments taking place in the Moslem civilisation play no doubt a major role in fuelling this civilisation tension. Do Moslem or Arab countries really coordinate as a compact civilisation? RELIGIOUS or ETHNIC COORDINATION: Is it at all feasible? Although these three organisations all claim to defend the religion of the Arab or Moslem civilisation, this objective could not possibly be a first priority. The reason is simply that the Moslem world is much too divided into various religious groups and sects to allow any real coordination of religious interests. Besides the major split between the Sunnis and Shi'as, there is in addition a rich carpet of religious sects as well as the newly emerging Moslem Brotherhood. In reality, no form of religious coordination has ever worked for the Moslem civilisation in general or the Arab civilisation in particular. Any attempt to move beyond the minimal ambition of protecting Islam in general and building mosques in e.g. Russia would immediately bring forward the immense tensions among different religious groupings. The growth of Moslem Brotherhood as an omni present organisation in all Moslem countries, openly or secretly, has made the religious scene even more confusing. Several of the member states in the Arab League and the Islamic Conference face anarchy within their borders due to religious conflict. The strategy chosen in relation to terrorist groups like e.g. Al-Qaeda differs from one government to another. The basic interests of the members of these Moslem organisations must be searched for elsewhere than religion. What might matter for the 22-57 governments being members of either the Arab League or the Islamic conference or both is to show a united common front against other civilisations, especially the so-called Occidentals. Yet, such a posture would face a credibility problem, given the evidence of huge internal splits, especially in terms of religion. Thus, there must exist interests – real or imagined, which lead government to support for these organisations. These regional organisations have fairly large budgets and many employees meaning costs have to be covered. What are, then, the benefits? COSTS AND BENEFITS IN REGIONAL ORGANISATION Assuming that human beings when engaging in social interaction, whether in elementary forms or complex forms, seek to capture some benefits while holding down costs, we may ask why governments would set up and run regional organisations. Presumably, because they bring more benefits than costs to the states, whose agents the respective governments are. Since regional organisation admits of a variation in size, one may calculate in a rough manner the cost function, Cost = f (Size) since more of regional organisation invariably involves more employees, more bodies, more expenses, etc. Let me focus upon the direct costs of regional organisation and entirely bypass the indirect ones, meaning the costs imposed upon others. 3 The principal difficulty with regional organisation is to estimate the other side of the coin, the benefits of setting up and running regional bodies – the value of such mechanisms. The benefits include both the private incentives of the people involved in regional organisation and the social objectives, furthered, one hopes, by those organisations. Regional organisations would no doubt be subject to the law of Parkinson's disease, as the employees and functionaries in these bodies chase lucrative employment and other contracts. But why would the principals of regional organisation be involved in playing such Niskanen games? Since the private benefits of private organisation could not possibly be larger that its total costs, there must be other benefits involved order to get the basic equation going: Benefits > Costs, in regional organisation. I do not wish to propose that regional organisations are capable of achieving rationality, i.e. Total Benefits – Total Costs = Maximum, but I would insist that social objectives make a difference. Yet, the accomplishment of social objectives is seriously problematic to pin down with any set of actors, also governments. Stated goals may not be the real ones, objectives and functions may be confused, and a group of actors like states tend to disagree about what should be done or what has been achieved. REGIONAL INTEGRATION: Three Dimensions One may see in the regional organisation in the Muslim civilisations as experiences of the typical variety of objectives in regionalisation. Thus, governments may bind their states in regional organisations orientation, towards economic, foreign policy or cultural objectives, speaking ideal-typically. It is far from certain that economic motives would be the most powerful force in regionalisation. Yet, economics offers some of the most relevant conditions for the joining up of regional groups - the GCC case. There are regional organisations that almost exclusively target economic objectives, like the NAFTA and the Mercosur. However, many regional organisations have multiple goals and economic ones may not be preponderant. Foreign policy goals may loom largely behind regionalisation, either as defence against a perceived foreign threat or as a mechanism for containing conflict among the participant states. Here, one would place the Arab League here. The ASEAN would be another example of this goal type. Foreign policy integration may produce little in terms of visible outcomes, as the existence of peace is taken for granted. Yet, it may be as important as the highly visible signs of economic integration and growth. Foreign policy integration tends to be slow and frustrating, but if it contains conflict, then it may be worth while. The problem with the Arab League is that it failed in many respects with regard to its foreign policy goals. Finally, regional groups may target culture or Third Sector functions, like the Islamic Conference. It is not clear that the benefits outweigh the costs in this type of organisation. CAUSES AND FUNCTIONS OF STATE REGIONALISATION One may go back to the distinction between conditions and functions when one attempts to theorize the growing relevance of regional groups of states (Merton, 1968). The emergence of a system of regional groups of states has a number of seminal consequences, which may not have been foreseen at the time of their creation. These so-called latent functions could prove 4 very important to humanity when it comes to the governance of globalisation. Yet, these effects are not the same as the causes of regionalisation or motives. One of the major functions of regionalisation is to facilitate global coordination. Thus, attempting to govern the process of globalisation – economically, environmentally, and politically – is much facilitated when the number of players is brought down. Whatever the efficiency of the meetings of G7 or G8 and G20 may be, it means a difference, if Europe speaks with one voice instead of 25-30 voices. In the so-called dialogue of civilisations it saves time and effort, when the regional groups of states communicate with each other, as happened for instance in the Mohammed caricature affair in early 2006. However, facilitating the communication between civilisations may never have been an explicit or implicit goal behind the erection of a regional group of states. The causes of regionalisation are to be sought among the interests that drive the players in this new type of interaction, i.e. mainly the governments of the states of the world. And these interests could display great variety, from symbolic ones to tangible economic ones. Whether the functions served by regionalisation also constitute motives is an entirely open question, given the ever-present difficulty in predicting macro outcomes. The separation between causes and functions is as valid as the recognition of a variety of objectives behind regionalisation. There is not one single model of regionalisation, as regional groups of states may be set up for a variety of motives, serving a diversity of intended or unintended functions. Regionalisation is not the same as regional economic integration, as outlined in the well-known Balassa model (Balassa, 1985). Economic motives may play a subordinate role, political or cultural objectives taking precedence. One highly tangible goal is security, i.e. foreign policy cooperation. To avoid war may be worth the costs of setting up and supporting a regional organisation. Although one sometimes reads about the delay in payments from one or two member states of the Arab League, it may certainly be stated that most of these states can afford to pay the yearly dues, especially the Oil Monarchies and the Petrol Republics. As a quid pro quo, they would receive a guarantee of peace and non-interference in internal affairs – a precious goal in turbulent times no doubt. Foreign policy coordination could amount to merely mutual respect and territorial integrity. But these goals may be highly valued by the governments concerned, as is the case for instance in the ASEAN. Regulating war and enhancing peace may develop into the major preoccupation, not by fiat but by unfortunate circumstances – see West African integration with ECOWAS. The systemic and long-run instability typical of Western and Central Africa cannot be compared with the so-called football war that once broke out between some of the participating states in the Caribbean regionalisation. Today, regional cooperation in the Caribbean (CARICOM) focuses upon economic integration with future prospects for collaboration with NAFTA and MERCOSUR as well as with the ANDES. Thus, it is difficult to tell generally whether political objectives or economic goals play the major role in the ongoing regionalisation processes around the world. Both political and economic functions may be served whatever the incentives at regionalisation could have been from the start. If mainly economic goals were to be served, then why would not the governments of the states of the world move directly to a multi-lateral approach favouring the creation of one global market economy, governed by the Bretton Woods framework: the World Bank, the IMF and the World Trade Organisation? Most economies in the world are today so-called open ones. Thus, it would be in the interest of countries to opt for a global regime of low trade 5 restrictions and similar rules for foreign direct investment. Countries could also negotiate an encompassing system of bilateral free trade agreements. Can one then perhaps conclude that regionalisation is only a temporary phenomenon in the unstoppable trend towards one global market economy? This logic would apply when countries enter regional groups for predominantly economic reasons and such a logic will most probably reduce the number of regional organisations in Latin America and possibly also in Africa, but regionalisation is not mainly driven by economic goals such as maximising the size of the market, improving the predictability of economic rules enforcement and attracting FDR:s. Culture also plays a major role, as two of the regional groups covering Moslem countries testify to. Probably politics and security loom very large in regionalisation. Table 1 has some basic facts about several regional groups of states, although the list is not exhaustive. Table 1. Some Regional blocs Regional bloc Area (km²) GDP (PPP) ($US) Population Member millions states 1 in Per billions capita European Union 3978 460 11800 25,480 25 Caribbean Community and Common Market CARICOM 462 14 642 4,409 14+1 3 Economic Community of West African States ECOWAS 5113 252 3425 1,361 15 Economic and Monetary Community of Central Africa CEMAC 3020 35 851 2,435 6 East African Community EAC 1764 98 1042 1,065 3 South African Community of Nations CSN 17339 370 2868 7,749 10 Gulf Cooperation Council GCC 2286 36 5362 14,949 6 Southern African Customs Union SACU 2693 51 5414 10,605 5 Common Market of East and Southern Africa COMESA 3779 119 142 1,193 5 North American Free trade Area NAFTA 21589 431 12890 29,942 3 6 Association of South East Asian Nations ASEAN 4400 554 2172 4,044 10 South Asian Association for Regional Cooperation SAARC 5137 1467 4,074 2,777 8 Eurasian Economic Community EurAsEC 20789 208 1,689 8,118 6 Central American Common Market CACM 423 38 159 4,219 5 Pacific Regional Trade Agreement 528 PARTA 78 23,074 2,954 12+2 3 One may compare these organisations with a few mega states: India 3288 1103 3433 3,100 China 9597 1307 7249 5,200 Russia 17075 144 1282 8,900 In the Muslim civilisation there is besides the GCC also the Arab League and the Islamic Conference. What, more specifically, do they coordinate? SHORT HISTORY OF THE MOSLEM GROUPS OF STATES In the Muslim world one finds three active regional organisations: the Arab League and the Islamic Conference as well as Gulf Cooperation Council. The Conference comprises many more countries than the League, as it is based upon religion whereas the former focuses upon ethnicity. Yet, their interests go much beyond both religion and ethnicity. The GCC has the ambition of delivering a compact body. There is not a large literature analysing these regional groups of states, not even in Arabic. No attempt can be made here to deal in great depth with the details of these two organisations. Instead, I will focus upon a few theoretical questions that arise in relation to the Arab League and the Islamic Conference as well as the GCC, namely: 1) What is their basic rationale: politics, economics or culture? 2) Why three organisations? Regional organisation can be done on several grounds. The interesting thing about the three organisations for the Muslim world is that they really are not at all about religion. The Muslim civilisation is as divided as the Christian civilisation into various communities and sects. No 7 organisation could possible represent them all, given the intense struggle between the many currents of Islam. What, then, are these organisations promoting as agents of their principals: the Arab governments and the Muslim states. Let me look at the officially stated goals. The Organization of the Islamic Conference (OIC) is an inter-governmental organization that includes fifty-seven member-states. The governments of these Moslem states have decided to pool resources together in an effort to speak with one voice in order to safeguard the interests and ensure the progress and well-being of their peoples and those of other Muslims in the world over - at least so it is stated officially. What could these common interests be? The Organization was established in Rabat in 1969. It was argued that the main goal of creating the organisation was to liberate Jerusalem and Al-Aqsa from so-called Zionist occupation. However, this is of course not true as such an unrealistic objective could not possibly warrant the taking on of all the costs of this organisation, rationally speaking. The First Islamic Conference of Ministers of Foreign Affairs was held in Jeddah in 1970 and it did set up a permanent General Secretariat as a liaison among Member States and charged it to coordinate their action. The Conference appointed its Secretary General with Jeddah as its temporary Headquarters of the Organization, with the argument that the coming liberation of Jerusalem would make this now Jewish site the permanent Headquarters of the organisation. The Islamic Conference has promoted several religious aims, building Islamic Colleges, and Cultural Institutes and Centres to spread Islamic culture and dispense the teaching of Arabic as the language of the Koran. Yet, two and a half years after Rabat the Islamic Conference of Foreign Ministers adopted the Charter of the Organization, aiming at strengthening solidarity and cooperation among Islamic States also within the political, economic, cultural, scientific and social fields. Under the Charter, the Organization aims to: “1. Strengthen: a) Islamic solidarity among Member States; b) Cooperation in the political, economic, social, cultural and scientific fields: c) The struggle of all Muslim people to safeguard their dignity, independence and national rights. 2. Coordinate action to: a) Safeguard the Holy Places; b) Support the struggle of the Palestinian people and assist them in recovering their rights and liberating their occupied territories. 3. Work to: a) Eliminate racial discrimination and all forms of colonialism; b) Create a favourable atmosphere for the promotion of cooperation and understanding between Member States and other countries.” The Charter enumerates guiding principles governing OIC activities. Here it should be underlined that one may find some tangible objectives, namely: “Full equality among Member States Observation of the right to self determination and noninterference in the internal affairs of Member States. Observation of the sovereignty, independence and territorial integrity of each State. The settlement of any dispute that might arise among Member States by peaceful means such as negotiations, mediation, conciliation and arbitration. A pledge to refrain, in relations among Member States, from resorting to force or threatening to resort to the use of force against the unity and territorial integrity or the political independence of any one of them.” These guiding principles deal more with the internal relationships between the Moslem countries than with the idea of a future destruction of Israel. These guiding norms are thus much more realistic than the officially stated one goal of making Jerusalem the capital of the Islamic Conference. Foreign policy objective when mundane and realistic may warrant the taking on of sizeable costs. 8 The Organization has main bodies as well as secondary organs, institutions and specialized committees. The formal structure of Islamic Conference as follows: The Conference of Kings and Heads of State and Government is the supreme authority of the Organization, which meets once every three years to decide upon the Organization's policy. The Conference of Foreign Ministers meets once a year to examine a progress report on the implementation of its decisions taken within the framework of the policy defined by the Islamic Summit. The General Secretariat is the executive organ of the Organization, entrusted with the implementation of the decisions of the two preceding bodies. There is in addition a wide structure of committees including e.g. The Al-Quds Committee, the Standing Committee for Information and Cultural Affairs COMIAC), the Standing Committee for Economic and Trade Cooperation (COMCEC), the Standing Committee for Scientific and Technical Cooperation (COMSTECH) and the Islamic Peace Committee, chaired by the Heads of State. In addition, fourteen Committees deal with other important issues such as Palestine, the Sahel, Afghanistan, and Kashmir etc. The number and types of secondary organs and institutions, working toward the achievement of the OIC objectives, have been steadily increased in order to cover various areas of cultural, scientific, economic, legal, financial, sports, technological, educational, media, as well as vocational, social and humanitarian. Actually, one would expect to find such a rich umbrella of various supporting organisations, given the rather fluid goal function of the mechanism, covering the whole range of civil society tasks. From the perspectives of objectives, funding and running Third Sector functions promotes both mutual understanding between countries and the private interests of officials in a secure and high salary, which is most probably tax exempt. One may identify a specific propose behind these Third Sector functions, namely the inculcation of a common spirit among key citizens of the member states. The achievement of this goal could have long-term consequences for the coherence of the regional organisation, which is as important as the protection of foreign policy goals or the advancement of the economic objectives. The League of Arab States, or Arab League, antedates the Islamic Conference, being a voluntary association of sovereign states whose peoples are mainly Arabic speaking. Its stated purpose is to strengthen various kinds of ties among member states, coordinate their policies and direct them towards the common good. It has 22 members, including Palestine. Actually, UK first launched the idea of the Arab League in 1942, as the British wanted to rally the Arab countries together against the Axis powers. The league was, however, created in 1945 with the purpose of freeing those Arab countries that were still under colonial rule, and preventing the Jewish minority in Palestine from creating a Jewish state. The highest body of the league is the Council, which consists of representatives of member states, usually the foreign ministers, their representatives or permanent delegates. Each member state has one vote, irrespective of its size. The council meets twice a year, in March and September, and may convene a special session on request of two members. However, the day-to-day running of Arab League affairs is entrusted to the general secretariat. Headed by a secretary-general, it is the administrative body of the league and the executive body of the council and the specialised ministerial councils. Thus, the Arab League, founded in Cairo, by Egypt, Iraq, Lebanon, Saudi Arabia, Syria includes Tran Jordan (Jordan, as of 1950), and Yemen, Algeria (1962), Bahrain (1971), Comoros (1993), Djibouti (1977), Kuwait (1961), Libya (1953), Mauritania (1973), Morocco (1958), Oman (1971), Qatar (1971), Somalia (1974), Southern Yemen (1967), Sudan (1956), 9 Tunisia (1958), and the United Arab Emirates (1971). Egypt's membership was suspended in 1979 after it signed a peace treaty with Israel; the league's headquarters was moved from Cairo, Egypt, to Tunis, Tunisia. In 1987 diplomatic ties with Egypt were resumed, as Egypt was readmitted to the league in 1989 and the league's headquarters was moved back to Cairo. The Arab League states that it conducts political, economic, cultural, and social programs designed to promote the interests of member states. Moreover, it claims that it has served as a forum for member states to coordinate their policy positions and deliberate on matters of common concern, settling Arab disputes and limiting conflicts. It is true that the Arab League has offered a platform for the drafting and conclusion of documents promoting economic integration among member states, such as the creation of the Joint Arab Economic Action Charter with principles for economic activities of the league. It is also true that it has played role in shaping school curricula, and preserving Arab cultural heritage. Moreover, the Arab League has launched literacy campaigns, and reproduced intellectual works, and translated modern technical terminology for the use of member states. It has encouraged measures against crime and drug abuse and deals with labour issues (particularly among the emigrant Arab workforce). The Arab League has thus fostered cultural exchanges between member states, encouraged youth and sports programs, helped to advance the role of women in Arab societies, and promoted child welfare activities. Yet, its foreign policy achievements have been meagre. The original charter of the Arab League created a regional organization of sovereign states that was neither a union nor a federation. The members eventually formed a joint defence council, an economic council, and a permanent military command. However, Arab unity has been all but lacking on most critical issues. The Gulf Cooperation Council was established in 1981 in Riyadh between: Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia and UAE, given the special relations between them, their similar political systems based on Islamic beliefs, joint destiny and common objectives. The GCC is a regional common market with a defence planning council. The GCC Charter speaks of the common qualities: the creed of Islam, as a common destiny, saying also that cooperation among these states serves the sublime objectives of the Arab nation. Cooperation in the military field loosens large among the GCC states. The security challenges in an unstable regional environment, like the Gulf area, have led the GCC States towards coordination of their policies and mobilization of their capabilities. The immediate objective was to protect them from the threat posed by the Iran-Iraq War and Iranian-inspired activist Islamism. The chiefs of staff and defence ministers of the Gulf States have developed plans for mutual defence and launched efforts to form a joint command and a joint defence network. Ground and air units of the six member states have carried out multilateral exercises. Military assistance, funded mainly by Saudi Arabia and Kuwait, was extended to Bahrain for fighter aircraft and a modern air base, and to Oman to improve its defensive capability at the Strait of Hormuz. Based on security an aggression against any one of them is deemed an aggression against all of them. Yet, little concrete has been achieved in terms of a common military defence mechanism. A two-brigade Peninsula Shield Force was created, based in Saudi Arabia. In addition to a headquarters staff, the force consisted of one infantry brigade of about 5,000 men with elements from all GCC states in 1992. Its mission, however, had not been publicly defined. The force could be enlarged at a time of threat. Thus, it was reinforced prior to the Persian 10 Gulf War in 1991 but did not take part in the war as a distinct unit. The GCC States seek to build up their defence forces according to a common conception with unified operational procedures, training, and military curricula as well as compatibility of their military systems. Moreover the armed forces of the GCC States have carried out joint military exercises with the Peninsula Shield Force. The structure of the Secretariat-General amounts to a broad based organisation including: (1) A Secretary-General appointed by the Supreme Council for a period of three years renewable only once. (2) Three Assistant Secretaries-General for political, economic and military affairs, as well as the head of the GCC delegation to Brussels, who are appointed by the Ministerial Council for three renewable years, upon nomination of the Secretary-General. (3) Directorsgeneral of the Secretariat-General sectors as well as other staff that are appointed by the Secretary-General. The administrative structure comprises a number of sectors: Political Affairs, Economic Affairs, Military Affairs, Human and Environment Affairs, Legal Affairs, Office of the Secretary-General, Finance and Administrative Affairs, Patent Bureau, Administrative Development Unit, Internal Auditing Unit, and Information Centre, in addition to the GCC Delegation in Brussels and the Telecommunications Bureau in Bahrain. The GCC has tried to act in the field of foreign affairs, as manifested in the formulation of a homogeneous Gulf stance towards political and security issues of interest. The GCC Member States claim that they use the following guidelines when dealing with international issues: the Charter of the United Nations, abiding by the rules of international conduct, respecting their Arab and international obligations, adhering to the principles of good neighbourliness, mutual respect of sovereignty, non-acquisition of others' land by force, respect of others' sovereignty over their resources, and observance of negotiation as an effective instrument for settlement of disputes, in line with the principles of peaceful co-existence as declared by the United Nations and confirmed by international laws. Yet, more spectacular than foreign policy cooperation is the economic integration with the GCC. An important achievement in this regard is the repeal of entry visas and residence permit requirements for the GCC citizens travelling to other GCC Member States. The GCC Member States set up a free trade zone already in 1983, according to which the goods of national origin have become exempted of customs tariffs. This is seen by the GCC itself as the first stage in the process of economic integration. The GCC Member States aim at setting up a customs union. Riyadh summit in 1999 approved a timetable to set up such union effective March 2005. Although the customs union represents the second stage of economic integration, however, the GCC has already advanced in great strides in the fulfilment of the third stage, which is the initiation of a Gulf Common Market. Such a goal entails the free movement of goods and abolishing of barriers to the movement of elements of production, especially people and capital. Cooperation in security encompasses the fields of traffic, punishment and correction establishments, immigration and passports, airport security, antidrug trafficking, anti-arms and explosives smuggling, border guards, coast guards, and civil defence. Specialised committees have been formed to strengthen cooperation in these fields. The Unified Economic Agreement lays down certain guidelines: equal treatment of GCC citizens in respect of freedom of movement, work, residence, engaging in economic activities, movement of capital, and ownership of real estate including practice of retail and wholesale trade, ownership of shares and real estates, engaging in different professions and economic activities such as agriculture, industry, contracting, animal resources, establishment of hotels and restaurants, establishment of training centres, and obtaining loans from industry 11 development funds and banks in the GCC States. Such implementations have paved the way for setting up the Gulf Common Market. In addition, GCC States have attempted to unify their economic policies. Indeed, a number of instruments relevant to the objectives and policies of the development plans have been ratified, as well as Joint Agricultural Policy, Unified Industrial Development Strategy, the General Framework of the GCC Population Strategy, and the Long-Term Comprehensive Development Strategy 2000-2025. With respect to linking GCC infrastructures, the Member States seek to accomplish the first phase of linking high voltage electricity grids. They also endeavour to complete the direct land route, the network of communications, and the Gulf network of ATM. The GCC coordinates trade policies and relations with other economic blocks. The GCC has launched negotiations with major trading partners and signed the Cooperation Agreement between GCC Member States and the European Economic Community in 1988. At present, negotiations are ongoing with the European Union to reach a free trade agreement. Moreover, the GCC is also involved in an economic dialogue with the United States of America resulting in a free trade agreement in 2006. Commercial cooperation aims to abolish customs barriers among GCC States and exempt national products from customs duties. Other major objectives include the unification of customs tariffs as well as the coordination of export and import policies in order to create a common negotiating position. The GCC states that it has sought to harmonise regulations and laws paving the way towards total unification, surprisingly on the basis of Koranic jurisprudence. To that end, and since 1982, Islamic Sharia is laid down the only source for legislations and jurisprudence in Member States. It could of course be argued that medieval law is not a suitable foundation for legal harmonisation. But all the three Moslem regional groups emphasize their adherence to the basics of Islam. It is only that the GCC has shown that the modern objective of regional economic coordination can be accomplished despite such religious bedrock. Thus, behind the veil of religion all three Moslem organisations pursue political or economic goals, the GCC more than the other two. INCENTIVES IN REGIONALISATION Regional groups of states must have some common interests in order to take on the costs of regionalisation. As the costs could be quite substantial, there must be some tangible benefits to be riped from setting up an elaborate regional organisation. The incentives among the participants need not coincide. Thus, some governments may engage in regionalisation for reasons of foreign policy whereas others pursue economic interests or cultural needs. The publicly stated goals cannot be taken as the real objectives of the participants. Thus, there is bound to be confusion about what action the regional organisation should pursue, as explicit ends collide with implicit ones and the various governments have different strategies. The following goals appear to be relevant to the two Moslem organisations: (1) Military objectives: Only the Arab League could have some common military goals, such as counteracting Israel, defending the rights of Palestinians and safeguard the independence of Arab states. It is difficult to imagine some common defensive or offensive objectives among the large number of governments participating in the Islamic Conference. The Arab League has been much occupied with the Israeli-Palestine conflict. However, since the Seven Days War and the Yom Kippur War, there has been little coordination among the 12 Arab governments. Although it is commonplace to express some form of rejection of Israeli policies or even the state of Israel, the Arab League has not conducted a common strategy in relation to this conflict. On the contrary, meetings of the League often break up prematurely due to internal dissent concerning what to do in relation to Israel. Some of the Gulf Monarchies have very strong ties with the US, as evidenced in the two Gulf wars concerning Iraq. As a matter of fact, between several Arab states there is considerable tension with a risk for military confrontation, at least of a minor nature, such as with Algeria and Morocco. The only instance of complete foreign policy coordination was the oil export ban after the 1973 war with Israel. The Nasser effort towards an Arab nation-state comes to nothing despite support from the so-called Bath parties. (2) Economic objectives: The Arab states have such different economies that economic policy coordination must be extremely difficult to accomplish. The key resource is of course fossil fuels, but it is extremely in egalitarian in its distribution. The Gulf Monarchies have a labour shortage that is often filled by qualified persons from Arab countries that lack oil or gas. The League may help in the circulation of qualified people between Arab states. Yet, the petrol and gas revenues for the single states with such resources are so immense that they do not need any coordination among the League members. In stead, what needs coordination is the transfer of resources from the rich Arab countries to the poor ones. No effort has been made to set up something reminiscent of the European efforts at a common single market. One may actually argue that the Islamic Conference has achieved more than the Arab League in terms of economic coordination. (3) Cultural objectives: The Arab civilisation displays enough coherence to serve as the basic for cultural coordination through the League. Perhaps it is not too daring to state that culture offers more of cement than economics or foreign policy. Thus, the Arab part of the Moslem civilisation has always maintained its distinctness with the Islamic civilisation. The League operates a number of programmes with cultural orientations fostering the Arab legacy. Yet, there is bound to be overlap between the cultural efforts of the two Moslem organisations, as the Islamic conference operates the following institutions: The Islamic Fiqh Academy, The Statistical, Economic, Social Research and Training Centre for Islamic Countries (SESTRIC), The Research Centre for Islamic History, Art and Culture (IRCICA) and The Islamic Centre for the Development of Trade (CIDC). TALK AS REGIONAL ORGANISATION STRATEGY The symbolic uses of regional organisation should not be underestimated. When the European Union serves as the benchmark for the creation of regional groups of states, then the focus is upon the accomplishment of concrete objectives through the achievement of results, such as economic integration and free circulation of people and goods. Why should the Arab League be measured according to this measuring rod? The Arab League is more a symbolic organisation than a rational organisation for pursuing real goals. It serves the purpose of masking the complete absence of common interests among the Arab governments, which is not an important non-task to accomplish. The Arab governments can employ the Arab League as a buffer against turmoil and uncertainties, referring difficult issues to the deliberations of the League, only to delay the manifestations of 13 strong internal dissent. In a different sense according to a different logic, an organisation that achieves symbolic union where there is no real common heart is not mean accomplishment. One may argue similarly with regard to the Islamic Conference. Since it is paid through the immense petrol revenues, there is no financial difficulty to operate such an organisation with 57 member states. But what is it to promote? It can only endorse the vague interests of cultural and economic cooperation, as the cultural and economic diversity of the member states would prohibit any other line of action. In a post-modern age with considerable emphasis upon symbolic action, any organisation that expresses vaguely the values of Moslem or Arab countries may prove useful, even if they accomplish little specifically. The concept of Islamic finance appears to be a highly viable one, originating with the Islamic Conference, although it actually has its origin with Mawdudi, the main theoretician of Moslem Brotherhood. Both Moslem organisations operate according to the strict logic of unanimity voting, meaning that member state sovereignty could not be tampered with. It is unthinkable that the member states in these organisations would allow for supranationality. These bodies constitute intergovernmental mechanisms. There is a large carpet of subsidiary Bodies of the Arab League as well as helping organs. If talk is cheap although not costless given so many additional bodies within the League, then no action may be the best strategy. In terms of tangible outcomes not much can be found for either The Arab League or the Islamic Conference, with one major exception: Islamic Finance. UNINTENDED OUTCOMES: Islamic Finance The Islamic Conference has actually helped promote financial coordination – Islamic finance, which is rapidly spreading with Moslems around the world. The assets of Islamic financial institutions could be as huge as $300bn. Most of the large Western financial institutions, following the example of Citibank, have their own Islamic subsidiaries or, at the very least, Islamic "windows" or products aimed at their Islamic clientele. The Islamic Development Bank is an international financial institution established in pursuance of a Declaration of Intent issued by the Conference of Finance Ministers of Muslim Countries held in Jeddah in 1973 The present membership of the Bank consists of 56 countries, where the basic condition for membership is that the prospective member country be a member of the Organization of the Islamic Conference. The Bank was created to foster the economic development and social progress of member countries and Muslim communities in accordance with the principles of Shariah Law. The Bank participates in equity capital and grants loans for productive projects and enterprises besides providing financial assistance to member countries. The Bank is also required to assist Muslim communities in non-member countries. The Bank's main office is in Jeddah. Two regional offices have been opened in 1994, one in Rabat, Morocco, and the other in Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia. In July 1996, the board of Executive Directors approved the establishment of an IDB Representative Office in Kazakhstan, to serve as a link between IDB member countries and Central Asian Republics. The Bank also has field representatives in eleven member countries: Indonesia, Iran, Kazakhstan, Libya, Pakistan, Senegal, Sudan, Gambia, Guinea Bissau, Mauritania and Algeria. 14 The early years of Islamic finance were dominated by oil-producing Arab states, especially Saudi Arabia, and to some extent Egypt and Pakistan. But the new paradigm of Islamic finance reflects the diversity of the Islamic world. A wide range of Islamic products is now available in at least 75 countries. Financial innovation and scholarship has originated within Muslim minorities outside the Islamic world. Growing areas of Islamic finance fall outside traditional banking products within areas of finance, such as insurance (takaful) or microlending and Islamic mutual funds. The Islamic Development Bank started to accept deposits and financial resources through Shariah compatible modes when modern Islamic finance took off in the early 1970s as a result of the rise of pan-Islamism and the oil boom. With the start of the Organisation of the Islamic Countries movement (OIC) in 1970, the idea of updating traditional Islamic banking became part of the agenda, demanded by Islamic scholars, particularly in Pakistan (Mawdudi). Research institutes focusing on Islamic economics and finance were established in the Muslim world. In 1974 the OIC summit in Lahore voted, after oil prices quadrupled, to create the inter-governmental Islamic Development Bank (IDB), which became the cornerstone of a new banking system inspired by religious principles. In 1975 the Dubai Islamic Bank - the first modern, non-governmental Islamic bank - was opened. In 1979 Pakistan embarked on a full Islamisation of its banking sector. Sudan and Iran followed suit in 1983. Jurisprudents within Islam have been occupied with reinterpreting a rich legal but precapitalist tradition to suit the requirements of the modern era (Kuran, 1986). There was the core problem of interest or usury: although commerce had always been central to the Islamic tradition, profits from pure finance were viewed with suspicion. The Koran states that profits from commerce are fundamentally different from those generated by money lending (sura 2, verse 275). More specifically, Islam prohibits what is called riba, which is variously interpreted, sometimes as usury (or excessive interest), but more often as any kind of interest. Islamic scholars equate riba with interest, even though they accepted that time must be priced. But they objected to the fixed, pre-determined aspects of interest-based lending with its inherent risk of lender exploiting borrower. In the early days of Islam, the dominant form of finance consisted in a partnership between lender and borrower, based on the fair sharing of both profits and losses - a logic similar to today’s venture capital where financiers link their fate to the firms in which they invest, which according to T. Kuran was less dynamic than the joint-stock company institution in Western capitalism (Kuran, 2006). Yet, today Islamic banking includes developmental and social goals with profit-and-losssharing (PLS), or partnership finance, oriented towards cash-poor but promising entrepreneurs, in stead of conventional, collateral-based lending, which favours established businesses. Islamic finance has promised to benefit local communities and draw into the banking system people who shun riba-based finance. In addition, banks were to contribute to, as well as manage, zakat funds earmarked for a variety of charitable and social purposes. But economic realities have framed the development of Islamic finance. The first Islamic banks were committed to partnership finance - mudaraba (commenda partnership) and musharaka (joint venture) - though most of their operations consisted of cost-plus operations such as murabaha, where the bank would purchase the goods needed by the borrower, then resell them to the borrower at a profit. Remuneration of deposits (current, saving or investment accounts) was based on a profit-and-loss sharing logic: investment accounts were remunerated based on the performance of specific investments by the bank; and holders of savings accounts shared in the bank’s overall profits. 15 Islamic financial institutions display today innovation and dynamism, it seems. The Islamic commitment to private property, free enterprise and the sanctity of contracts has combined with the Western notions of privatisation and deregulation, while respecting the zakat and other religiously based redistribution schemes. Perhaps it is true that Islamic finance became a tool for entrepreneurs to get around restrictive state regulations. In contrast to the 1970s, when literal, legalistic and scholastic interpretations dominated, interpretation (ijtihad) today focuses on making modern financial instruments more compatible with the basic Islamic principles from the Koran and Tradition. The common perception that Islam is rigid and fossilised is hardly in agreement with the theory of Islamic finance, which emphasises the practical employment of adaptive mechanisms, including departures from tradition for reasons of local custom (’urf), public interest (maslaha) or necessity (darura). The reputation of Islamic banks was though tainted by the failure of Islamic Money Management Companies (IMMCs) in Egypt in 1988 and by other scandals such as e.g. the BCCI (Bank of Credit and Commerce International) collapse in 1991. People dismissed Islamic finance as a passing fad associated with the oil boom. However, Islamic finance has thrived with financial innovation, blurring distinctions between commercial banking and other areas of finance. The downgrading of interest and the use of fees as a major source of revenue for financial institutions allowed Islamic bankers to sidestep the controversial riba issue. Deregulation fostered the creation of tailor-made Islamic products. Until the 1970s financial institutions could sell only a narrow range of financial products. With the lifting of constraints on products that could be devised to suit every need, religious or not, Islamic products could be created. Thus, slicing and splicing makes it possible to separate the interest and principal components of a bond, and handle them separately. Islamic finance, as promoted by the Islamic Organisation, is spreading into the Occidental World. It has strengthened economic activities for Moslems around the world, although sceptics exist about the possibility of Islamic finance on a grand scale (Kuran, 2004). The Islamic Conference may be more important through its unintended consequences than through its intended ones, to speak with Merton. The political effects in the long-run from building mosques at many places, such as e.g. with the Volga Tatars in Russia (KAZAN), cannot be underestimated. EFFICIENCY OR VIABILITY OF REGIONAL GROUPS It certainly seems to be the case that the Arab League is little effective in promoting real outcomes. Why, then, does it continue its operations? Admitting the role of prestige, or lost prestige, in defending the status quo of established organisations, one would still be inclined to look for some benefits, however intangible, that leads the principals to pay for these kinds of agents. Only symbolic gains could count for the Arab League, as it has been little instrumental for achieving economic or political real outcomes. Things are entirely different with regard to the GCC, which seems to operate according to the model of the European Union (Lane, 2006), or at least aim at doing so in the future. The Islamic Conference could only be effective when concentrating upon vague civilisation goals, i.e. culture and Third Sector functions. The Islamic Conference helped promote a most concrete and widespread outcome, namely Islamic finance. Yet, this phenomenon knows no country borders and needs no regional apparatus to operate. Organisations come and go. They are all man made devices and can only be viable as long as the benefits outweigh the costs. Predominantly economic organisations seldom fail the test of 16 viability, as their mission is clear from the outset. Predominantly defence organisation may also be considered viable, because avoiding meaningless wars counts highly with most governments. Viability may fail when organisations target diffuse cultural objectives, such as religion or ethnicity. CONCLUSION The late 20th century and the early 21rst century have witnessed the regionalisation of the state with the creation of regional groups of governments on all continents. In the Moslem world one finds one regional organisation based upon language and another organisation based upon religion. While the Arab League covers countries with several mutual borders, the Islamic Conference includes countries that are wide apart geographically. The GCC is the only compact organisation with a capacity to coordinate concretely. The basic logic of these regional groups of states thus differs markedly. One set of regional groups – NAFTA, MERCOSUR, SACU and the EU – concentrates upon economic integration in order to promote a high level of economic growth as a response to the Asian challenge. Another set of regional groups – ASEAN, CIS, ECOWAS, CACM – have strong common foreign policy objectives. What, then, do the regional groups in the Moslem civilisation maximise, if anything? Two of the Moslem organisations emphasize much culture as the cement of the coordination, but it is more symbolic than the achievement of tangible goals. Yet, also political symbolism counts, especially in the post-modern period. Thus, doing lots of symbolic things, taking no action but merely refraining from doing the wrong things, endorsing lofts principles, may reduce tensions among the Moslem countries, which after all remain at a high level. I would suggest that the Arab League and the Islamic Conference are more symbolic organisations than real ones. The GCC has a different logic altogether. 17 SOME LITERATURE AND MATERIALS Tim Niblock and Rodney Wilson, Political Economy of the Middle East, Edward Elgar, 1999. Volume 3: Islamic Economics. Bela Balassa (1985) Change and Challenge in the World Economy Basingstoke: Palgrave Macmillan Timur Kuran, “The economic system in contemporary Islamic thought: interpretations and assessment”, International Journal of Middle Eastern Studies, Vol. 18, No. 2, 1986, pp. 135164. Reprinted in Niblock and Wilson. Kuran, T., Islam and Mammon: The Economic Predicaments of Islamism (Princeton: Princeton University Press, 2004).. Kuran, T., "Modern Islam and the Economy," in New Cambridge History of Islam, vol. 6, gen. ed. Michael Cook, vol. ed. Robert Hefner (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2006). Merton, R.K. (1968) Social Theory and Social Structure. New York: Macmillan. Lane, J-E (2006) Globalisation and Politics. 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