JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH, VOL. 108, NO. B8, 2380, doi:10.1029/2002JB002174, 2003 Granular memory and its effect on the triggering and distribution of rock avalanche events S. J. Friedmann Department of Geology, University of Maryland, College Park, Maryland, USA G. Kwon and W. Losert Department of Physics, International Solar-Terrestrial Physics and Institute for Research in Electronics and Applied Physics, University of Maryland, College Park, Maryland, USA Received 27 August 2002; revised 13 February 2003; accepted 21 March 2003; published 15 August 2003. [1] Rock avalanches are uncommon, large, catastrophic events in which granular masses of rock flow at high speeds, commonly with unusually long runouts. Necessary conditions for rock avalanche occurrence include high relief, steep slopes, and a prefractured (granular) groundmass. An additional parameter, antecedent shear of the granular mass in the direction of failure, may be prerequisite. In many instances the basement mass of the eventual landslide underwent internal strain subparallel to the direction of mass wasting, commonly focused along a basal surface (e.g., fault). New experimental data from laboratory experiments indicate that shear of a granular mass produces subtle anisotropy in grain arrangements that strongly affects the subsequent distribution of deformation and rearrangement, the failure threshold, and the rate at which steady state conditions are reached. This phenomenon may help to explain the spatial clustering of rock avalanche deposits. If memory of prior shear is also relevant on larger scales, taking deformation history into account could greatly enhance INDEX TERMS: 1815 Hydrology: Erosion and prediction of rock avalanche occurrence. sedimentation; 1869 Hydrology: Stochastic processes; 7223 Seismology: Seismic hazard assessment and prediction; 8010 Structural Geology: Fractures and faults; 9820 General or Miscellaneous: Techniques applicable in three or more fields; KEYWORDS: Rock avalanche, granular flow, landslide hazard, seismic triggering Citation: Friedmann, S. J., G. Kwon, and W. Losert, Granular memory and its effect on the triggering and distribution of rock avalanche events, J. Geophys. Res., 108(B8), 2380, doi:10.1029/2002JB002174, 2003. 1. Introduction [2] Rock avalanches are spectacular and catastrophic examples of natural granular flows of great magnitude. Workers have recognized deposits from these events for over 100 years under a variety of circumstances and settings [e.g., Heim, 1932; Shreve, 1968; Friedmann, 1997]. Tectonically active regions constitute by far the most common setting for rock avalanching [Keefer, 1984a, 1993], and while some events started due to undercutting [e.g., Daly et al., 1912; Heim, 1932], the vast majority are believed to have begun due to ground accelerations associated with seismic events [e.g., McSaveney, 1978; Hadley, 1978]. These events are common in arid and semi-arid settings [e.g., Keefer and Wilson, 1989; Yarnold, 1993], although they occur in humid settings, undersea [e.g., Moore et al., 1989], and on other planets [e.g., Howard, 1973; Luchitta, 1979; McEwan, 1989]. [3] They also represent a significant hazard, associated historically with >20,000 deaths and major property destruction in populated areas [e.g., Pflaker and Ericksen, 1978]. Historic landslides in these areas have generated Copyright 2003 by the American Geophysical Union. 0148-0227/03/2002JB002174$09.00 ECV eyewitness accounts that provide key insight into the physics of rock avalanche transport. However, there are no eyewitness accounts of rock avalanche triggering. Because these events are uncommon and difficult to predict, little is known about how to best predict their occurrence in high-risk regions, including seismically active areas. [4] This paper attempts to improve the understanding of probability of event occurrence and distribution by examining the role of basement deformation history on triggering through a combination of field, literature, and experimental approaches. Field and literature studies focus on the direction of basal deformation relative to the direction of flow, as a factor that may influence avalanche probability and runout length. The experimental work specifically builds upon recent advances in the physics of granular materials. 2. Rock Avalanche Occurrence [5] Much previous work has focused on the physics of transport for rock avalanches. Their unusual physics centers on a key feature: exceptionally long runout. On earth, rock and debris avalanches runout between 3 and 10 times their fall heights; on Mars, over 25 times [Shaller, 1991]. This requires extremely low internal angles of friction, often less 8-1 ECV 8-2 FRIEDMANN ET AL.: GRANULAR PHYSICS AND ROCK AVALANCHE TRIGGERING Figure 1. Source characteristics for avalanching behavior. (a) Plot of relief (m) versus slope (degrees) for 47 rock avalanche deposits. All events require an initial slope >25° (after Keefer [1984b]). (b) Plot of failure angles for steady state avalanches. Height (h) is measured in grain diameters (d). For flows thicker than 10 grain diameters, failure also requires a 25° slope (after Daerr and Douady [1999a]). than 10° (most natural landslides, for comparison, have internal fiction angles near 30°). This long runout, farböschung or drop height versus runout length (H/L), is what makes rock avalanches both extremely devastating and difficult to predict. Despite hundreds of examples and observations, there is no agreement among workers concerning the physics that produce this effect. Many disparate transport models exist, including air lubrication [Shreve, 1968], inelastic collision [Bagnold, 1954; Campbell et al., 1995] frictional melting of the rocks themselves [Erissman, 1979], and fluidization due to internal vibrational modes of the rocks (known under the potentially misleading name of acoustic fluidization) [Melosh, 1979, 1987]. Most of these models are consistent with local observations but inconsistent with universal observations or physical constraints [Shaller, 1991; Yarnold, 1993; Friedmann, 1997]. To date, few of these models have received direct tests through physical or numerical experiments (exceptions include Campbell et al. [1995] and Hsu [1975]). No tests have attempted to determine the importance of various processes within these models, nor attempted to parameterize key inputs. Moreover, no model currently predicts under what circumstances long runout will occur, nor what that runout will be. [6] Relatively little work has focused on the necessary conditions for rock avalanche initiation. Keefer [1984b] documented three critical preconditions for flow initiation by examining the basement terrains of many rock avalanche systems. He demonstrated that high relief (>150 m drop height), steep slopes (>25°), and a prefractured (granular) groundmass were necessary conditions for flow initiation (Figure 1a). The last point, a prefractured groundmass, is central to this discussion because it implies that insights from granular physics may help to better understand the initiation process. In locations without a penetratively fractured basement, failure initiates in other modes (e.g., rock slide, slump) that do not exhibit long runout. Keefer [1993] continued to assess the potential for rock avalanche triggering by looking for factors that would increase the potential for flow-failure mode (e.g., bedding surfaces dipping out of the rock face), producing a logic-tree for gauging the relative potential for flow initiation. Schmidt and Montgomery [1995] argue that some critical relief must be exceeded before deep-rooted failure can occur. In short, as relief increases, the force of the rock’s mass ultimately exceeds the local yield strength, determined by a variety of geological factors. This is consistent with Keefer’s [1984b] recognition of the minimum critical relief threshold for rock avalanche failure. [7] In recent and ancient settings, rock avalanche deposits exhibit a dense clustering of events wherein successive events occur directly on top of or adjacent to previous events. Although many studies document this spatial clustering [e.g., Mudge, 1965; Shreve, 1968; Eppler et al., 1987], they have not examined the underlying causes that lead to multiple events within a restricted spatial framework. Other aspects of the spatial distribution (e.g., why an event initiates in one portion of the range versus another) also have not received significant research. The spatial distribution may hold further clues about the avalanche triggering mechanism and valuable information for hazard assessment. [8] To shed light on these key issues, we have chosen three examples from the literature in which the spatial occurrence of the rock avalanche event is noteworthy and points to additional root circumstances to failure. These studies include two exceptionally well know cases, one recent and one historic, and one ancient case with a large number of rock avalanche occurrences. 3. Blackhawk Landslide 3.1. Background [9] Along with the Frank, Elm, and Sherman Glacier slides, the Blackhawk serves as an archetypical example of FRIEDMANN ET AL.: GRANULAR PHYSICS AND ROCK AVALANCHE TRIGGERING ECV 8-3 Figure 2. Blackhawk Landslide, California. (a) Birds-eye view looking southward of the landslide and the source region. Landslide is 1 mile wide. (b) Close-up image of transverse flow waves from landslide surface. Ridges are commonly 4– 6 m in relief and spaced 50 m apart. (c) Granular framework of landslide with inherited bedding features; white bar is 2 m. (d) Jigsaw breccia within landslide (close-up of Figure 2c). (e) Trace of map view extent of Blackhawk and Silver Reef rock avalanche deposits, north = top. Note close spatial arrangement and potential for multiple Silver Reef lobes or events. rock avalanche deposits. One of the best studied examples in the world [Shreve, 1968; Johnson, 1978; Shreve, 1989], the landslide sits in the northern San Bernardino Mountains near Apple Valley, CA, and comprises 3 108 m3 of granulated rock (Figure 2). It features many characteristics classically attributed to rock avalanche deposits, including a penetratively deformed granular framework, ‘‘jigsaw’’ breccias, and inherited stratigraphy and structures. Transverse waves of constant height and spacing transect the surface of the slide, developed either during or near the cessation of flow (Figure 2b). The flow is broadly lobate, and displays prominent raised levees along the edges of flow. The slide ran out very far, with an estimated internal angle of friction near 10°. [10] Despite it’s prominence in the landscape and literature, it is only the best exposed and expressed of several landslides in that area. At least one and potentially two other events called the Silver Reef slide(s) occur adjacent to the Blackhawk [Shreve, 1968] (Figure 2e). Many of the same features found within the Blackhawk are found in the Silver Reef slides, including transverse flow waves, a penetratively deformed granular framework, long runout, ‘‘jigsaw’’ breccias, and inherited stratigraphy and structures. On the basis of their quality of preservation and shallow burial depth, these landslides are probably late Pleistocene and close in age to the Blackhawk, and most workers consider the Silver Reef event(s) to be identical in origin and nature [Shreve, 1968; Shaller, 1991]. [11] Importantly, these landslides are the only Quaternary rock avalanche deposits to be found nearby. The nearest documented rock avalanche deposit, the Martinez Mountain Landslide, occurs over 150 km to the south [Jennings, 1973]. However, the other preconditions for rock avalanche triggering are maintained along the range front, including steep, high-relief terrain, fractured basement, and bedding surfaces dipping out of the rock face. This region is well known for large seismic shaking associated with earthquake faults and is part of an active fold/thrust belt several hundred kilometers in length [e.g., Agnew et al., 1992; Hutton et al., 1991]. Despite the abundance of seismictriggering events in the Pleistocene, there are no other rock avalanche events exposed along the San Bernardino Mountains, along strike, north or south side. This suggests that local characteristics in Blackhawk canyon are also critical to the initiation of rock avalanche behavior. 3.2. Basement Configuration [12] The source regions for the Blackhawk and Silver Reef landslides are well exposed and easily accessed reentrants within the San Bernardino mountain front (Figure 3). Several workers [Shreve, 1968; P. Sadler, unpublished maps] have mapped the basement source region for these landslides and documented key stratigraphic and structural relationship. One relationship is noteworthy. Along much of the range front, older reverse faults crop out near the piedmont. These are mostly north vergent, dipping to the south ECV 8-4 FRIEDMANN ET AL.: GRANULAR PHYSICS AND ROCK AVALANCHE TRIGGERING Figure 3. Evacuated source area reentrants of Blackhawk and Silver Reef landslides, birds-eye view. Upper arrow points to Blackhawk Canyon. Note contact between light and dark units dipping at 15° into valley at right. This contact is the folded Voorhies thrust. The lower arrow points into Grapevine Canyon, the source area for the Silver Reef event. Arrow 0.5 miles in length. (Figure 4a). In Blackhawk Canyon reentrants, however, the Voorhies Thrust and its imbricates dip both to the south and north due to folding by lower structures. This geometry is due to a local structural culmination. [13] Here, both the antecedent strata and the subjacent bounding fault dip northward toward the adjacent basin (Figure 4b). This means the material above the fault underwent strain synthetic and sub-parallel to the vector of landslide initiation. In other words, before exhumation, the basement rocks underwent bulk shear in the same direction as the subsequent flow to a first order, moving out of the range front and downward into the basin. This is true only within the Blackhawk source reentrant. Elsewhere along the range front, the basement rocks and their key structural surfaces dip in the opposite direction from previous shear. 4. Frank Landslide 4.1. Background [14] The Frank Landslide in Alberta is Canada’s greatest landslide disaster and one of its 10 greatest natural disasters (Figure 5). More than 12% of the population of Frank, at least 70 people, died in the event, and 75% of the homes were destroyed [Daly et al., 1912; Anderson, 1968]. The failure was instigated by coal mining underneath the eventual failure plane, similar to the undermining of the Elm landslide basement [Heim, 1932]. The rock avalanche flowed at an estimated 40 m/s, moving across the valley and up the opposite side 130 m and leaving a thickness of debris up to 45 m. Volume estimates are on the order 3 107 m3. [15] Although the Frank event is the only major historic rock avalanche in the vicinity of Turtle Mountain, there is evidence of previous major landslides there. Local Native Americans reportedly avoided Turtle Mountain, referring to Figure 4. Simplified diagrams of basement structure in Blackhawk source region [after Shreve, 1968]. Each cross section is roughly 1.5 km in length and runs N-S across northern San Bernardino Mountains. (a) Cross section 1.3 km east of Blackhawk Canyon axis, along Miles Canyon. Note the dip of Voorhies and Santa Fe thrusts out of the mountain due to subjacent folding. (b) Cross section along east edge of Blackhawk Canyon. Note the southward tip of the Voorhies thrust and its imbricates shallow toward the landslide scarp, suggesting flattening and northward dip within the canyon, synthetic and subparallel to the landslide paleoflow vector. See color version of this figure at back of this issue. FRIEDMANN ET AL.: GRANULAR PHYSICS AND ROCK AVALANCHE TRIGGERING ECV 8-5 it as ‘‘the mountain that walks.’’ There are many other types of landslide deposits around the mountain as well, including slumps and debris flows. 4.2. Basement Configuration [16] Since the Frank event is the only clear rock avalanche event that crops out near Turtle Mountain, there is no case for clustering of rock avalanches along strike or nearby. However, the specific locus of failure is of interest (Figure 6). Early workers argued that the slide initiated along joint surfaces within the basement [McConnell and Brock, 1904; Daly et al., 1912] or along bedding surfaces [e.g., Allen, 1933; Norris, 1955]. The joint networks are critical to the story in order to create a penetratively fractured basement, forming a granular mass. However, much of the length of Turtle Mountain shares this characteristic with the slide area, making this condition nonunique. On this basis, workers argue that the likelihood of future events is relatively high. [17] Subsequent mapping of the source area for the slide reveals important local distinctions [Cruden and Krahn, 1978]. Within the slide area, the failed strata overlie a minor imbricate reverse fault that verges eastward out of the range front. Elsewhere along the range front, this fault dips westward and the overlying rock mass moved to the east. Within the slide source region, however, the reverse fault dips eastward, so that the basal slip plane, the overlying granular mass, and the rock avalanche flow azimuth are all coincident and verge eastward (Figure 6c). In addition, bedding-parallel flexural slip occurred along stratal boundaries within the slide region, also with the same sense of vergence (see their photo 12). Thus, within the source region, there were multiple modes of shear and deformation down and outward into the basin. [18] Cruden and Krahn [1978] also collected shear strength measurements along various surfaces within the Frank event source region. They determined that the fault and flexural-slip surfaces were significantly weaker than other anisotropic surfaces (joints and bedding planes), even weaker than a diamond-saw cut. This is consistent with work-softening along these surfaces in the direction of vergence. This is reinforced by the observation that deepseated creep apparently preceded the slide event. 5. Shadow Valley Basin Figure 5. The Frank Landslide, Alberta, Canada. (a) The slide scarp and headwall on the east side of Turtle mountain. Photo courtesy of E-an Zen. (b) Birdseye view of the landslide toward the east. Note railroad track crossing landslide. Reproduced with the permission of the Minister of Public Works and Government Services, Canada, 2003, and courtesy of Natural Resources Canada, Geological Survey of Canada. (c) Granular framework for the slide. Reproduced with the permission of the Minister of Public Works and Government Services, Canada, 2003, and courtesy of Natural Resources Canada, Geological Survey of Canada. 5.1. Background [19] The Shadow Valley basin is a Miocene supradetachment basin of the eastern Mojave Desert [Friedmann et al., 1996; Friedmann, 1999]. It occurs above the Kingston Peak-Halloran Hills detachment fault, a west-vergent, lowangle normal fault [Davis et al., 1993]. This fault cuts older, east-vergent reverse faults in the Clark, Mesquite, and Mescal Mountains, reversing their sense of shear (Figure 7). [20] The Shadow Valley basin contains many large volume mass-wasting deposits (30 – 50%), including megabreccias, glide-blocks, lahars, and debris flows [Friedmann et al., 1996; Friedmann, 1997; Bishop, 1997]. More than 19 megabreccias crop out within the basin, representing nearly 10% of basin fill with a minimum volume of 3.5 109 m3. All are interpreted to be rock avalanche deposits. This density and clustering of events is typical of other supradetachment basins, many of which contain abundant, ECV 8-6 FRIEDMANN ET AL.: GRANULAR PHYSICS AND ROCK AVALANCHE TRIGGERING Figure 7. The Shadow Valley basin, eastern Mojave Desert. Map showing location of basin and Kingston Peak-Halloran Hills Detachment Fault (thick dashed line). A, Avawatz Mountains; CM, Clark Mountain; HH, Halloran Hills; KPP, Kingston Peak Pluton; MM, Mesquite Mountains; MR, Mescal Range; N, Nopah Range; SM, Shadow Mountains; SDVFZ, Southern Death Valley Fault Zone. large megabreccia deposits [e.g., Hodges et al., 1989; Topping, 1993; Yarnold, 1994; Friedmann and Burbank, 1995; Ingersol et al., 1996; Miller and John, 1999]. 5.2. Basement Configuration [21] The source region for the Shadow Valley rock avalanches is well constrained. On the basis of directional flow features within the deposits and their lithology, the megabreccias originated in a structural reentrant along the eastern basin edge [Friedmann et al., 1996; Friedmann, 1997]. The primary fault surface that formed the reentrant is curviplanar and corrugated, and rock avalanches preferentially formed within these corrugations (Figure 8). [22] The sense of slip along the basin-bounding fault was westward, dipping gently out of the range front. Rock avalanches entering the basin from the range-bounding fault would have flowed in the same direction, probably initiating along synthetic faults or fractures near the main fault. This is consistent with sense-of-shear indicators in both the rock avalanche deposits and basement structures within the reentrants. Figure 6. Several cross sections through Turtle Mountain, basement for the Frank event. In all cross sections west = L and east = R. (a) Through north peak of Turtle Mountain, after Daly et al. [1912]. (b) Through south peak of Turtle Mountain, after Norris [1955]. Note prominent fold beneath the Turtle Mountain fault. (c) Through southern slide area, after Cruden and Krahn [1978]. Note the small, imbricate thrust above the Turtle Mountain fault dipping out of the bedrock surface. 6. Application of Granular Physics: Granular Memory [23] Several mechanisms behind rock avalanche phenomena may be understood from granular physics experiments. Studies of the physics of granular matter focus on particles that are orders of magnitude smaller (on the submillimeter to centimeter scale), and often round. The aim is to reveal the physical principles that are generic to a system of many, inelastic particles that interact through direct contact. Some effects may be purely geometric, others due to friction between particles. For a review of recent studies of granular FRIEDMANN ET AL.: GRANULAR PHYSICS AND ROCK AVALANCHE TRIGGERING ECV 8-7 Figure 8. (a) Map of eastern detachment, including truncated basement units. Both detachment and basement strata dip toward the west into the basin parallel to the fault’s vergence and displacement. (b) Outcrop of a portion of the KHDF; image approximately 40 m high. Note thick band of sheared breccia along fault. (c) Close-up of the fault; field of view approximately 2 m across. Note the asymmetric sense of shear (top to the left) and the granular nature of the gouge. (d) Strata from the lower Shadow Valley basin. The four dark ridges are stacked rock avalanche deposits. Image is approximately 500 m wide and shows 150 m strata. flow, see, for example, Jaeger et al. [1996], Clement [1999], and Rajchenbach [2000]. [24] How can rock avalanche properties be scaled down for comparison to simple granular shear flow models? The scaling law depends on the specific contact forces used in the model. For the simplest model of inelastic Hertzian contact forces between spheres, if the lengths are scaled by a factor c, time and dissipation will have to scale as Sqrt(c), and the elastic constant requires a more complicated rescaling [Poeschel et al., 2001]. However, several granular shear flow properties appear robust, independent of shear rates, pressures, or particle properties. These flow properties, i.e. ECV 8-8 FRIEDMANN ET AL.: GRANULAR PHYSICS AND ROCK AVALANCHE TRIGGERING that shear is localized in a shear band, and that the shear stress is roughly independent of shear rate, may manifest themselves also in rock avalanches. Other effects such as frictional heating or comminution are not captured in scaled experiments. [25] Here we describe recent work on the physics of granular shear flow with a focus on the start of flow. We apply these results to provide a possible explanation for clustering of avalanche locations and for the dependence of slide regions on antecedent shear history. 6.1. Experimental Approach [26] To investigate granular shear flows, the material (1 or 2 mm glass beads in most experiments) is placed into a Couette cell, which consists of two independently moveable concentric cylinders, as shown in Figure 9a. The gap between cylinders is 44 mm, and a glued-on layer of glass beads roughens the cylinder walls. The motion of particles on the top surface is imaged with a high-speed CCD camera that can capture up to 3000 frames/s (see inset, Figure 9a). Particle tracking software allows us to extract the motion of grains at a resolution of 1/20 of one pixel for up to 2000 grains per frame. This permits measurements of the time-dependent velocity of particles averaged over different regions away from the shear surface, as indicated in Figure 9b. [27] The height of the granular surface, a measure of the average density, is determined by imaging a region similar to the one shown in the inset from a shallow angle. [28] In addition to steady state shear flow of the inner cylinder, the start of shear flow is studied in great detail. Preliminary results are presented by Losert and Kwon [2001]; complete results and a detailed discussion of the physics will be presented elsewhere (M. Toiya et al., Shear reversal in granular flows, submitted to Physical Review E, 2003) (hereinafter referred to as Toiya et al., submitted manuscript, 2003). 6.2. Results [29] In steady state shear flow, velocity gradients are confined to a thin shear band, roughly 5 particle diameters wide [Losert et al., 2000; Mueth et al., 2000]. Figure 9b shows particle velocity as a function of distance from the shear surface normalized by the shear rate for a large range of speeds and pressures, indicating that shear banding is not sensitive to pressure or shear rate. The location of the shear band is sensitive to the flow geometry and remains near the smaller surface area of the inner cylinder at all times, even when both cylinders, or only the outer cylinder are rotated [Losert and Kwon, 2001]. [30] How does this shear band start? When the flow is stopped and then restarted in the same direction (Figure 10a) the shear band forms immediately, and a steady state velocity profile is reached before the inner cylinder is moved by one particle diameter. This implies that the configuration of grains retains an imprint of the earlier shear history, leading to an immediate transition to steady state. [31] However, when the flow is restarted in the direction opposite to the prior shear, particles far from the sheared surface move significantly during the initial transient (Figure 10b) [Losert and Kwon, 2001]. The height of the granular column, which indicates the density of the material, is shown in Figure 11a as a function of time after Figure 9. (a) Schematic and image of a granular shear cell. Granular material (1 mm glass beads) is confined in a 44 mm gap between movable inner and outer cylinders. The bottom of the shear cell can move with either cylinder. Flow of material is imaged from above with a high-speed CCD camera (see inset). The average velocity of particles within two regions close to the inner cylinder will be indicated as solid and dotted lines respectively in subsequent figures. (b) Distance from the inner shear surface as a function of velocity (normalized by the shear rate). Shear is confined to a thin shear band, 5 particle diameters wide. The shearband width is roughly exponential, independent of shear speed (from 0.004 to 0.3 rotations/s) or pressure (up to more than 100 N/m2). FRIEDMANN ET AL.: GRANULAR PHYSICS AND ROCK AVALANCHE TRIGGERING ECV 8-9 has not yet been determined and is the subject of current experimentation. [32] A potential mechanism for the behavior under shear reversal is shown in Figure 11b. During shear, particle contacts are preferentially in the direction of the main shear stress, at about 45°. When shear is restarted in the opposite direction those contacts break, and the system can rearrange without much shear resistance and compact slightly. [33] This granular memory of the direction of prior shear thus appears as the result of shear anisotropies. Two dimensional experiments on birefringent disks have shown that the network of load bearing particle contacts becomes strongly anisotropic (B. Behringer, personal communication, 2002) In addition, experiments have shown an additional kind of granular memory. Vertically shaken granular matter of exactly the same initial density will evolve differently, depending on the magnitude of prior shaking [Josserand et al., 2000]. In free flows on a sand pile, the flow properties were shown to depend on the pile preparation, in addition to the expected dependence on pile density [Daerr and Douady, 1999b]. For rocks, this implies that in addition to the density of the arrangement, rock bodies may be stacked in a way that reflects the direction and magnitude of prior shear. 7. Discussion [34] The clustering effects of multiple rock avalanche events and the specific occurrence of individual events can be explained through the application of granular physics to flow initiation and transport. Specifically, the most recent Figure 10. (a) Average velocity of particles in different regions (two of the regions are highlighted in Figure 9a). As shown below, shear is stopped and restarted in the same direction at t = 0 s. The velocity in each region reaches steady state immediately. (b) Same as Figure 10a, except that shear is started in the opposite direction. Particles far from the shear surface move significantly when the shear is started. a restart. When shear is restarted in the same direction, the density does not change. When shear is restarted in the opposite direction, however, the material compacts by about 0.5 particle diameters over a characteristic length of several particle diameters. In other words, the granular framework collapses significantly (Toiya et al., submitted manuscript, 2003). The system then slowly dilates back to the original density over longer timescales. Whether this gradual dilation is accompanied by a transient increase in shear strength Figure 11. (a) A drop in layer height of 0.5 particle diameters accompanies shear reversal. Restart in the same direction does not alter the layer height. The shear speed is 0.25 particle diameters/s. (b) Possible particle rearrangement during shear reversal. During shear, particles preferentially are in contact along the shear direction; during reversal, these contacts break, and particles can move until new contacts form along the new shear direction. ECV 8 - 10 FRIEDMANN ET AL.: GRANULAR PHYSICS AND ROCK AVALANCHE TRIGGERING Figure 12. Hypothetical flow profile derived from observations of rock avalanche deposits (after Friedmann [1997]). landslide’s eventual course. In support of this hypothesis, many recent rock avalanche deposits crop out at the base of normal faults with a sense of shear sub-parallel to transport [e.g., Longwell, 1951; Burchfiel, 1966; Blair, 1999]. This characterization can be used to better predict the future occurrence and distribution of rock avalanche hazards. Application of this precondition would significantly reduce the potential hazard areas, allowing policy makers and local workers to focus prevention, mitigation, and evacuation strategies in a small number of locations. 8. Conclusions previous shear sense is a critical control on the subsequent shear for granular rock assemblages in terms of locus of failure, material yield strength, distribution of shear within the granular mass, and time needed to approach steady state. Importantly, the experimental results demonstrate that shear initiation in the direction opposite the previous shear direction requires the reorganization of a large granular volume to accommodate the new direction of shear stress. It is reasonable to assume that all of these factors affect the initial failure conditions of rock avalanches. It is also reasonable to assume that these factors affect the early history of granular interaction, specifically the density of the granular network and the number of collisions between grains during flow. [35] As argued by Bagnold [1954], Melosh [1987], and Campbell et al. [1995], energy is lost through inelastic granular collisions. This takes place during transport, and the mode of macro-scale granular interactions distinguishes rock avalanches form other geostrophic flows. Melosh [1979] argues that rapid energy loss results in rapid jamming of grains, terminating runout. Following the experimental results, synthetic shear reduces the number of granular collisions, thus reducing the initial lost energy during flow. This may enhance the likelihood of flow when other triggering forces bring the granular mass to failure. [36] This is most important as the flow approaches steady state conditions. Previous experimental results indicate that at steady state, only a thin shear band of grains is required for flow to occur, commonly no more than five grain diameters thickness [Losert et al., 2000] (Figure 9b). Such a flow configuration would confine frictional or collisional dissipation to a thin layer, thus potentially reducing overall energy loss in the flow. This flow profile was predicted for rock avalanches by Friedmann [1997] and is consistent with common features of rock avalanche deposits such as jigsaw breccias, shear bands, inherited stratigraphy, and a basal mixing zone (Figure 12). It is also consistent with the Savage-Hutter granular flow model [Savage and Hutter, 1989]. Granular flow initiated with synthetic shear deformation reaches steady state almost immediately. By comparison, antithetic shear deformation produces a much broader zone of shear and compaction, with potentially greater frictional and collisional dissipation. It may also take much more time to evolve into a thin shear band, and may not ever reach steady state in a gravity-driven flow. [37] If these observations are accurate and appropriate, then the most-recent shear history becomes important to rock avalanche triggering. Specifically, an event will initiate with a much greater probability if and only if the source region followed a deformation trajectory similar to the [38] The sense of shear in rock avalanche source regions commonly matches the antecedent shear sense. This suggests a link and necessary precondition for rock avalanche triggering. [39] Granular materials ‘‘remember’’ sense of shear due to anisotropies in granular contact network. This ‘‘memory’’ can help to explain the clustering and specific occurrence of rock avalanches. This new precondition to rock avalanche initiation may be used to create enhanced hazard assessments for rock avalanche potential. [40] Acknowledgments. The authors would like to thank Jeff Harp for field assistance, Peter Sadler for invaluable help and expertise in the field, and E-an Zen. This manuscript was greatly improved through the reviews of D. K. Keefer, H. J. Melosh, and one anonymous reviewer. Special thanks go to the Univ. of Maryland Dept. of Physics and the College of Computer, Math, and Physical Sciences. This work was partially funded by NASA grant NAG32736 (proposal 01-OBPR-02-075). References Agnew, D., et al., Future seismic hazards in southern California; Phase I: Implications of the 1992 Landers earthquake sequence, 42 pp., Calif. Geol. Soc., Sacramento, 1992. Allen, J. A., Report on the stability of Turtle Mountain, Alberta, Dep. of Geol., Univ. of Alberta, Edmonton, Alberta, Canada, 1933. Anderson, F. W., The Frank Slide Story, 60 pp., Frontiers Unlimited, Calgary, Alberta, Canada, 1968. Bagnold, R. A., Experiments on gravity-free dispersions of large solid particles in a Newtonian fluid under shear, Proc. R. 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C., Tertiary sedimentary rocks associated with the Harcuvar core complex in Arizona (USA): Insights into paleogeographic evolution during displacement along a major detachment fault system, Sediment. Geol., 89, 43 – 63, 1994. S. J. Friedmann, Department of Geology, University of Maryland, College Park, MD 20742, USA. ([email protected]) G. Kwon and W. Losert, Department of Physics, IPST, and IREAP, University of Maryland, College Park, MD 20742-3511, USA. FRIEDMANN ET AL.: GRANULAR PHYSICS AND ROCK AVALANCHE TRIGGERING Figure 4. Simplified diagrams of basement structure in Blackhawk source region [after Shreve, 1968]. Each cross section is roughly 1.5 km in length and runs N-S across northern San Bernardino Mountains. (a) Cross section 1.3 km east of Blackhawk Canyon axis, along Miles Canyon. Note the dip of Voorhies and Santa Fe thrusts out of the mountain due to subjacent folding. (b) Cross section along east edge of Blackhawk Canyon. Note the southward tip of the Voorhies thrust and its imbricates shallow toward the landslide scarp, suggesting flattening and northward dip within the canyon, synthetic and subparallel to the landslide paleoflow vector. ECV 8-4
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