The Rankings Methodology e keep our methodology as consistent as possible from year to year so that it is possible to create a time series of data, or to just compare one year’s winner to another. Even with this in mind, though, it is important to update the methodologies and improve them over time. We constantly examine our financial ratios in order to better measure companies’ performance. The measures developed for the 2004 Rankings remain unchanged and are likely to remain so, giving us now six years of completely consistent comparison. W calculating and considering, but also one that should be separated from overall financial performance. For our rankings methodology, we have chosen six performance ratios, namely Total Return to Shareholders (TRS), ROE, ROA, Profit Margin, Price to Book and Asset Turnover. To evaluate financial As a review, we define financial performance as companies’ ability to improve operating efficiency and to create shareholder value. Based on this understanding, we distinguish between performance ratios and financial strength ratios. The performance ratios focus on evaluating the operating efficiency and the ability to create value; while the financial strength ratios emphasize companies’ financial safety and health. While we do not believe that financial strength necessarily has direct impact on or is a direct indicator of companies’ performance levels, it provides a good benchmark from a creditor’s standpoint and ensures the sustainability of company operations, and we therefore believe it is a metric very worth www.marinemoney.com strength, we look at Current Ratio, Debt to Capitalization, and Interest Coverage Ratio. From a valuation point of view, we leave the EV/EBITDA ratio as a straightforward, standalone benchmark. This year again, we have ranked and present performance and financial strength separately. In each of these divisions, we rank each company’s performance for each indicator and then compute average rank scores based on the unweighted average of those indicator ranks. The overall rank is determined according to the average rank scores, with smaller being better, a rank of one, of course, being the best. Equations for the financial PERFORMANCE Total Return to Shareholders = Change in share price + Dividend ––––––––––––––––––––––––––––– Share price at beginning of period Asset Turnover = Sales ––––––––––––––––––––––––––––– Total assets Profit Margin = EBITDA ––––––––––––––––––––––––––––– Sales ROE = Net income ––––––––––––––––––––––––––––– Average shareholders' equity ROA = EBIT ––––––––––––––––––––––––––––– Average total assets P/B = Market value of equity ––––––––––––––––––––––––––––– Book value of equity FINANCIAL STRENGTH Current ratio = Current assets ––––––––––––––––––––––––––––– Current liabilities Debt to capitalization = Total debt ––––––––––––––––––––––––––––– Debt + Equity Interest (Debt) coverage ratio = EBIT ––––––––––––––––––––––––––––– Interest payments VALUATION EV/EBITDA = Enterprise value ––––––––––––––––––––––––––––– EBITDA Marine Money J u n e / j u l y 2 0 1 5 39 ratios we use for Marine Money Rankings are listed in Figure 1, and in the following paragraphs we provide detailed descriptions of each metric, as well as justifications for inclusion. Performance Ratios Total Returns to Shareholders (TRS): There are some who would argue that TRS is all that matters for public companies. TRS measures investors’ total returns, amounting to gains from stock appreciation and dividend income, during the holding period. In Marine Money’s ranking system, we measure TRS for the period of the complete fiscal year. Not all companies, however, report on a calendar year, but are included with the appropriate fiscal year end. TRS essentially measures how companies’ actual performance beat market expectations, based on the belief that capital markets have efficiently factored in companies’ future performance and created value at the associated risk levels. In our rankings, the higher the TRS, the better the rank. 2 0 1 5 On the other hand, TRS demonstrates a high performance level relative to market expectations rather than an absolute high performance level. For example, a fair performance in a laggard company will result in a good jump of stock price. But in such a scenario, this would not mean the company is performing well according to an absolute standard – the reason that we do 40 Marine Money J u n e / j u l y not consider TRS a sufficient metric to measure public company performance. This year we have fine-tuned the calculation by using the local currency for share prices and dividends, thereby eliminating dollar exchange rate aberrations. Price to Book Ratio Price to book ratio naturally makes up the deficiency of TRS by measuring an absolute level of performance. We believe the P/B ratio demonstrates how efficiently companies utilize invested equity capital to create value. A higher P/B ratio in the same industry reflects a market view of better future performance with the same amount of equity invested, because better performance will lead to greater discounted cash flows and better current valuation. Note that the P/B ratio is often used as a valuation multiple, and a P/B value below the industry average may mean the company is undervalued. In our ranking method, higher P/B ratios lead to a better performance ranking – but of course it is very important to remember that it all depends at what value ships are put in the book. Return on Equity ROE is an all-time favorite to provide a shortcut performance evaluation metric for equity investors. Return on equity tells us the percent returned for each dollar (or other monetary unit) invested by shareholders. It not only directly measures the earnings returned to equity holders, but also factors in multiple performance metrics like leverage, profit margin and asset turnover. Return on Assets In our 2004 Rankings, we changed our definition of the return part of ROA from net income to EBIT. That decision stands today. The rationale behind this adjustment was that EBIT provides a more consistent comparison between the returns and the asset inputs. For ROA, we want to evaluate how efficient the firm is based on its ability to create value using total assets, consisting approximately of debt and equity. If we calculate ROA using net income, we would neglect the difference brought about by different levels of leverage. When two firms show the same level of net income over assets, a highly levered firm creates more EBIT with the same total assets than a low-levered firm. In other words, to compare apples to apples, we use EBIT over average total assets in calculating ROA. Although subject to much debate, we have chosen to treat the impact of asset sales as a below the line item ensuring comparable comparisons based upon earnings from operations rather than distortions created by more active asset traders. This treatment is consistent with an on-going concern rather than that of a trader. Profit Margin Regarding profit margin, we use EBITDA over sales instead of net income over sales, because we believe EBITDA is a less manipulated metric that better reflects a company’s performance outcomes. Net income is easier to manipulate or distort by using different accounting and taxation policies. For example, different depreciation policies lead to different final net incomes, even when the same EBITDA is created. It comes back again to our original intention, to provide a more correct benchmark to measure maritime companies’ performance: how efficient a company utilizes resources to maximize shareholders’ value. Asset Turnover Ratio Finally, we utilize the Asset Turnover Ratio as a direct measurement of the firm’s efficiency in using assets. It is not as complex as other ratios, but as a representative of other turnover ratios, it is still valuable in the evaluation of performance. Asset turnover measures the percent of sales a company is able to generate from its assets. It reflects the level of capital a company has tied-up in assets and how much in the way of sales that company can generate from total assets. A high asset turnover rate implies that companies can generate strong sales from a relatively low level of capital. Low turnover would imply very capital-intensive operations. Financial Strength Ratios To measure companies’ financial strength, we focus on their financial structures and ability to fulfill liabilities. We use www.marinemoney.com Incident Response • Media Training • Drills • Reputation Building • Litigation Support PROTECTING REPUTATION The leading global communications network for the shipping industry MTI Network is the world’s leading media response and public information service dedicated to the shipping industry. Today some 6,000 vessels including gas carriers - tankers – bulkers – reefers – roros - offshore rigs and support vessels and passenger ships are directly registered with the MTI Network, offering 24/7 global reputation protection services. The Network provides a range of media training courses and drills in support of OCIMF’s TMSA initiative and works closely with leading P+I Clubs, Maritime Law Firms, Class Societies and Maritime Organisations. J u n e / j u l y MTI Network Web Site Address: http://www.mtinetwork.com MTI UK • MTI USA • MTI Benelux • MTI Italy • MTI Spain • MTI Greece • MTI Scandinavia • MTI South Africa • MTI Brazil • MTI Canada • MTI Hong Kong • MTI Singapore • MTI Japan • MTI Australia • MTI India • MTI Middle East • MTI Turkey 2 0 1 5 42 Current Ratio, Debt to Capitalization Ratio, and Debt Coverage Ratio to evaluate companies’ financial strength. Current Ratio A low current ratio would reflect possible insolvency problems, as companies need enough liquid assets to meet short-term liabilities. While we recognize that a very high current ratio might imply that companies are not investing idle assets productively, we focus on the financial health of firms and would consider a higher current ratio to mean a stronger financial position. Debt to Capitalization Ratio Leverage is a double-edged sword. On the one hand, higher gearing incurs more fixed interest obligations and increased financial risk, while on the other hand, the use of debt can help improve earnings in a rising market and companies can benefit from a debt tax shield where they do not pay taxes for interest payments. Generally, companies seek balance in the use of debt and equity to maximize their riskadjusted profits. Considering the low level of taxation typical among shipping companies, however, and from the point of view of financial safety, a lower debt to capitalization ratio offers less risky operations and therefore increases a company’s standing with regard to our financial strength metric. Interest Coverage Ratio The Debt, or Interest Coverage, Ratio represents the margin of safety in making interest payments. Debt holders require a high coverage ratio to ensure capability to repay from operations. A higher coverage ratio implies that a company can create enough cash to repay its debt liabilities. Valuation EV to EBITDA We don’t aim to provide a comprehensive valuation analysis with this issue, but EV/EBITDA provides a good snapshot of a company’s valuation multiple relative to the industry average. EV/EBITDA measures the multiple of a company’s market value over the cash flows the company creates; EBITDA is essentially shorthand for free cash flow. A relatively low ratio may indicate that the firm is undervalued, and it generally means that earnings are relatively high with regards to the value of the company. Generally, a company with a relatively low EV/EBITDA multiple would be a good buy, so long as EBITDA is stable. There you have it. Now you have everything you need to analyze the data incorporated herein. We hope you find both the rankings and the company snapshots that follow useful and interesting. Incident Response • Media Training • Drills • Reputation Building • Litigation Support Marine Money www.marinemoney.com
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