The newsletter of Technopolis An international research business focusing on the evaluation and development of policy in the fields of research and innovation April 2017 - N° 16 Editorial 2 Circular Economy: regulatory barriers in a paradigm shift 3 International comparison of energy transitions: bold choices have shaped today’s systems4 Innovative tools for regulatory assessment: an example on chemical policy5 The Green Growth Paradox: combining private sector development and environmental protection6 Technopolis Group designs a waste heat recovery guarantee fund7 The importance of standardisation as an instrument for a proactive environmental policy8 Technopolis Group explores the environment and economy nexus April 2017 - N° 16 ‘T echnopolis Group is strongly committed to contributing to an environmentally sustainable society. Our ambition is to use our decades-long experience in research, innovation and economic policy to address societal challenges. For this purpose, we established in 2015 a cross-border and multi-office Thematic Business Unit on ‘Green Economy’ that brings together the work we do on this topic in many geographical locations. Key areas that we cover include eco-innovation, circular economy, resource efficiency, sustainable energy and energy efficiency. As editor of this edition of the Technopolitan, we are pleased to introduce Ruslan Zhechkov, who has led this Business Unit since the summer of 2016. Ruslan is an economist with 16 years of experience in conducting research and providing advice in a number of fields at the crossroads of environment and economy. These include: transition to a low-carbon economy, environmental infrastructure investments, eco-innovation, and economic and fiscal aspects of waste, water and climate policy. There are strong synergies between green economy policies and ‘mainstream’ research and innovation policies. However, there are also some differences. While general research and innovation policies mostly rely on financial instruments (e.g. institutional funding, grants, loans and credits), the green economy domain uses a wider set of policy measures, such as regulation, legislation, financial engineering and standardisation. We have expanded and innovated our policy support services to analyse, design and evaluate a broader range of instruments. This edition of |the| technopolitan gives a flavour of the work we have done on green economy in the past year. The first article discusses regulatory barriers for the circular economy, based on a study for the European Commission. Energy transitions today rely on bold decisions taken in the past, as our country comparison illustrates. A fitness check on EU regulatory frameworks led us to develop an innovative method to conduct Cumulative Cost Assessments, in this case for the chemicals industry. Emerging and developing countries have an urgent need for private sector development, to balance economic growth and environmental protection. Standardisation is an excellent way to have a pro-active environmental policy as our German study shows. And finally, financial engineering instruments are being used more and more, demonstrated by our design of a waste heat recovery guarantee fund. Patries Boekholt, Group Managing Director [email protected] 2 April 2017 - N° 16 Circular Economy: regulatory barriers in a paradigm shift At the end of 2015, the European Commission introduced the Circular Economy Package: “An EU action plan for the circular economy that establishes a concrete and ambitious programme of action, with measures covering the whole cycle: from production and consumption to waste management and the market for secondary raw materials.” Regulation plays an important part in the Circular Economy Package. In order to gain more insight into this, Technopolis Group, in consortium with Fraunhofer ISI, Thinkstep and the Wuppertal Institute, conducted an analysis of the regulatory barriers for the Circular Economy in Europe. The study team went through a longlist of 60 sectors and materials, taking deep dives into 30 of them, and finally published 10 case studies in our report. In each case, we considered the volume of the material lost, its environmental impact and the economic opportunity to be gained. From the analysis, we concluded that regulatory barriers for the Circular Economy can be categorised in six ways, stemming from: 1. T he lack of definitions and the occurrence of gaps in legislation 2. Unclear definitions of targets in legislation – for example, in the context of the Waste Framework Directive compared to traditional linear approaches. Overall, the circular economy paradigm defies borders, whether national, sectorial or technological. We concluded that, to ensure its success, it is important to conduct a thorough and more holistic assessment of the potential for circularity before looking at the removal of regulatory barriers. Issues beyond existing legislation hamper circularity; the issue is at system level. As yet, there is no clear recipe to achieve a circular economy in Europe through legislation. As many stakeholders and sources stated in the research for this project, however, internalising environmental costs and the value of recuperation of materials, combined with extended producer responsibility – which stimulates design for circularity – could well be part of such a regulatory approach. 3. Outdated or irrational definitions for the numerical limits in regulations – for example, in the REACH and ‘Classification, labelling and packaging’ (CLP) regulations This could create economic incentives for frontrunners to invest in circular economy processes, innovation and business models. Introducing such a change requires new regulation and careful implementation, possibly with increasingly strict targets to make entrepreneurs invest and innovate. 4. L agging or incomplete implementation or enforcement of legislation – notably, the Waste Framework Directive and the Exports and Shipment Regulation An integrated analysis of regulatory barriers and economic incentives is required, in order to develop or support circular economy alternatives. 5. Different and conflicting national implementations of legislation – notably, directives or national action plans derived from the Waste Framework Directive, Basel Convention and WEEE Directive 6. Regulations that conflict with each other because they represent conflicting values, for example: hygiene vs food waste or livestock hygiene vs nutrient transportation. More than just regulation A related barrier, though not directly due to legislation, is a lack of information on the amount of material or value lost as waste, which holds back actions to stimulate circularity. National borders can also hamper shipment of waste to the most efficient processing facilities, which means they fail to reach sufficient scale of operations. Other barriers include stringent requirements to use specific technologies that were the best available at the time, which now prevent the emergence of innovative new ones. In almost all cases, regulatory barriers do not prevent more circular solutions, but they do make them more costly (sometimes unnecessarily) The final report is available on our website at: http://www. technopolis-group.com/expertise/green-economy/ For more information, please contact: [email protected] [email protected] 3 April 2017 - N° 16 International comparison of energy transitions: bold choices have shaped today’s systems All countries in Europe face the challenge of ensuring a stable supply of energ y that is affordable and clean at the same time. While it could be argued that all countries have access to the same globalised technolog y base, historically, institutional choices have led countries to emphasise different approaches in achieving a transition towards a more sustainable energ y system. In 2016, Technopolis Group analysed how the energy transition is going in Belgium, Denmark, France, Germany and the United Kingdom compared to the Netherlands. Our aim was to answer the questions: Why is the energy system the way it is? What are the institutional factors? And how does the behavior of particular actors shape the outcome? From the five country reports, we conclude that a long-term vision shapes both the energy system and the industrial system that builds it. It is clear that through consistently upholding strategic choices, investors gain confidence and start contributing to that choice. In time, a choice for sustainability becomes a vested interest of the investors and industries contributing to it. We thus see a tipping point in the transition, where industrial structure is redefined to such an extent that industry becomes a driver of alternative energy and technology policy rather than an opponent. Different strategic choices Denmark is the most prominent example, where a focus on fossil fuel independence since the 1970s implied choices for wind-energy – their most abundant natural asset – and district heating. District heating covers most urban areas and is increasingly fed by renewable heat sources. Moreover, Denmark is now a key exporter of wind-energy technology and the industry is asking for more ambitious environmental targets to boost their market. In France, the consistent focus on nuclear energy was driven by the desire for independence. Here too, this has resulted in a successful technology export sector, though societal movements are increasingly questioning nuclear energy as a responsible strategy. The successful German Energiewende policy is largely paid for and supported by civil society rather than industry. As industry pays little of the cost, they resist less, while entrepreneurial citizens and energy cooperations quickly grow in numbers and size. These are now becoming the drivers of change. In the Netherlands, Belgium and the United Kingdom, strategic choices for affordability and security have prevailed. As such, the market is still dominated by traditional energy suppliers using mostly conventional energy technology. We further observe that much attention is on electricity as an energy carrier, and on clean electricity production. However, electricity usually represents only one-third of total final energy consumption. In addition, buildings remain an enormous challenge in all countries, due mostly to finance and the question of who pays for renovations, tenants or owners. Transport receives an increasing amount of attention, and rightly so, but technical solutions for many means of transport are either uncompetitive economically or in their performance. As for aviation, the energy density it requires forces the sector to rely on liquid fuels for the foreseeable future. In conclusion, we see that systemic change requires perseverance to reach a tipping point, beyond which energy systems become self-propelling and accelerating. In addition, there is an urgent message for policy makers: tackling the built environment should have a high priority, as energy poverty is an emerging issue for the poorest households. This forces us to ask the question: will we pay their heating or renovation costs for them? The reports can be downloaded from: http://www.technopolis-group.com/expertise/green-economy/ For more information, please contact: [email protected] [email protected] 4 April 2017 - N° 16 Innovative tools for regulatory assessment: an example on chemical policy Europe is a global leader in the production of chemicals. While chemicals are used in everyday products, and cover a broad range of applications, the impact of a series of chemical substances on the environment and health remains uncertain. Recently, chemical policy has been at the top of the EU political agenda: hot topics include the classification of glyphosates (one of the most used substances in pesticides), restrictions on use of Bisphenol A (primarily used to make plastics), human exposure to a “cocktail effect” of chemicals in our bodies, and the definition of criteria to characterise endocrine disruptors. The EU’s pioneering, ground-breaking and comprehensive chemical legislative framework impacts the chemical industry as well as consumers’ health and the environment. Its further development will be a critical turning point for ecological modernisation, influencing the EU and the rest of the world. Regulatory Costs. The former developed a methodology for the Commission’s new instrument, the so-called cumulative cost assessment2, and focused on the costs borne by chemical companies operating in the EU. The latter compares these results with the costs borne in competitor countries – China, India and the United States – using a cost-justification approach that investigates what are the expected returns at the given costs. Technopolis Group’s team is investigating the respective legislative frameworks, their levels of enforcement, and the subsequent benefits: such as new product lines or markets, more environmentally sensitive practices and reduction in occupational hazards. Margot Wallström, the former Vice President of the European Commission, has described chemicals as “a blessing and a curse”. These paradoxical feelings are shared by the European population at large: the 2013 Chemical Flash Eurobarometer suggests that while three-quarters of Europeans consider that new chemical substances are involved in most industrial innovations, opinions on whether these substances contribute to a better environment are deeply divided. Results from the cumulative cost assessment at a glance: The European Commission’s Directorates General for the Environment (DG ENV) and the Internal Market, Industry, Entrepreneurship and SMEs (DG GROW), are jointly running a Fitness Check on the most-relevant chemical legislation1, assessing whether the regulatory framework for chemicals is fit for purpose. The exercise should make EU chemical regulation more efficient for industry and better for environmental protection and human health. The EC launched two flagship studies under the Fitness Check: one on the regulatory fitness of the legislative framework governing risk management for chemicals – the ‘Classification, labelling and packaging’ (CLP) Regulation and related legislation (excluding REACH) – and the other on the most relevant chemical legislation other than CLP. The latter, led by Amec Foster Wheeler and involving Technopolis Group, reviews the current approaches to identifying hazards outside CLP. It performs specific assessments to manage the risks to the environment and health. Balancing costs and returns In addition, Technopolis Group has led two studies that will provide relevant data to the Fitness Check: the Cumulative Cost Assessment for the Chemical Industry and its ongoing follow-up study on the International Comparison of Cumulative The stakes of modernising chemical legislation and the chemical industry are higher than ever. Through its past and current work on chemical policy, Technopolis Group reiterates its commitment to supporting policy makers in making the right choices, in terms of social and environmental sustainability, for a safer and responsible chemical industry. For further information, please contact: [email protected] 1 Evaluation and fitness check roadmap, http://ec.europa.eu/smart-regulation/roadmaps/docs/2015_grow_050_refit_chemicals_outside_reach_en.pdf 2 DG GROW, Cumulative Cost Assessment for the Chemical Industry, 2016, https://ec.europa.eu/growth/sectors/chemicals/ec-support_en 5 April 2017 - N° 16 The Green Growth Paradox: combining private sector development and environmental protection Balancing economic growth and environmental protection has long been a major policy dilemma and subject of public debate. While this issue is relevant for all countries, it is particularly so for developing countries. These countries have an urgent and major need for private sector development (PSD), but also possess some of the world’s most important natural capital stocks and are especially vulnerable to environmental damage. Well-known images of deforestation for palm oil production in Indonesia or oil spills in the Niger delta vividly illustrate the environment-economy dilemma. International and bilateral development agencies focus increasingly on supporting developing countries in addressing these challenges. In particular, the quest for a framework that provides ‘win-win’ solutions gathered speed in the 2000s through the OECD’s Green Growth Strategy. This strategy focuses on exploiting the significant economic potential of new ‘green’ sectors such as renewable energy, thereby creating new green jobs. Strengthened by the policy objectives for sustainable private sector development (PSD) in the new Sustainable Development Goals, donors have recently begun focusing on a more holistic ‘green PSD’ approach. This approach seeks to go beyond simply avoiding potential negative spillovers and addressing trade-offs between environmental and economic objectives, instead it aims to build mutual synergies based on integrated approaches. Key questions that are raised include: • How can PSD initiatives strengthen the environment and increase natural capital (beyond protection)? • How can environmental protection measures generate positive spill-overs for PSD and innovation? • What kind of business environment reform (BER) measures can support green PSD? Turning ambition into action Technopolis Group is supporting donor agencies and policy makers in translating these ambitions into policies and action, by facilitating learning through analysis, monitoring and evaluation. It is currently working with the Donor Committee on Enterprise Development (DCED), a multi-donor forum focused on PSD, identifying how to support policy makers in scoping synergies and trade-offs between environmental sustainability and business environment reform. Working with Globelics, a global research network on the role of innovation in development, Technopolis Group produced a policy brief on how innovation linkages between natural resource-intensive industries and the rest of the economy can help countries to achieve sustainable PSD and escape the ‘resource curse’. Through an evaluation of the Compete Caribbean Program funded by the Inter-American Devleopment Bank, Global Affairs Canada and the Department for International Development of the UK, we investigated the capacity challenges faced by policy makers in integrating the environmental perspectives in BER initiatives. A few initial lessons emerge from this work. First of all, specific policy instruments seem very well placed to contribute to ‘green PSD’, including the introduction of environmental standards, business license reform, research and innovation capacity building, integral landscape (ecosystem services) management schemes and subsidy reform. However, the ability to mix environment and PSD is not limited to the choice of policy instruments and policy mixes. In addition, it includes involving private sector and environmental stakeholders in the design and implementation of these initiatives, strengthening environmental safeguards in capital investments, and capacity building for programme management and staff on environmental sustainability or BER. New insights are expected to emerge as the work advances, as recent programmes enter operational or evaluation stages, and as pilot initiatives are gradually scaled up. Technopolis Group will continue to provide sound advice to policy makers and practitioners based on its pioneering work in this field. For more information, please contact: [email protected] [email protected] 6 April 2017 - N° 16 Technopolis Group designs a waste heat recovery guarantee fund Financial engineering instruments (FEIs) contribute increasingly to public policies in Europe, notably within the implementation of the cohesion policy1. A large variety of FEIs exists, ranging from loans to interest rate subsidies or rebates, and from equity or venture capital to guarantees. In comparison to ‘traditional’ grants, FEIs have several advantages: • Sustainability, as they are repayable investments, they are revolving and impact positively the leverage of public money • Improved quality of projects, as investments must be repaid and therefore the pressure for success is bigger • Fostering co-operation between public and private sectors, as the repaying of investments offers a return, and thus private sector involvement in (and funding for) public policy objectives. For several years, Technopolis Group has been active in this field. For instance, ex ante evaluation is a condition for the implementation of FEIs funded by EU programmes. Technopolis Group has supported several regions in defining FEIs on a range of topics, including economic and agricultural development, innovation, renewable energy development and energy-efficient housing refurbishment. FEIs are not used only in the implementation of European policies. Due to scarce public funds, national and regional administrations also deploy FEIs. Recently, Technopolis Group contributed to a feasibility study for a guarantee fund to support industrial waste heat recovery projects. Waste as a hot topic Heat is a necessary by-product of processes using energy. Waste heat is released, for example, in the hot fumes of a combustion engine or in a factory chimney. Waste heat recovery, therefore, deals with energy efficiency and is an important concern for industrial stakeholders, as it contributes both to mitigation of environmental impacts and improved competitiveness by cutting energy-related expenses. power plant produce about 10-13 TWh annually. Although the potential is significant, very few waste heat recovery projects are implemented in practice. Complexity, lack of end-users, technical constraints (e.g. set up during downtime periods), extended payback periods, and lack of visibility of industrial activities are some of the underlying reasons for the low take-up. Cluster Energie 2020, ADEME Hauts de France and the Regional Council ordered a study on the feasibility of a guarantee fund to cover some of the risks associated with these projects. It comprised a technical and economic study, and risk analysis of different types of projects4, and an optional part on legal and financial engineering, and structuring of the fund. Partnering with an engineering company, a law firm and a financial consultancy, Technopolis Group was responsible for the risk analysis of the projects and defining the fund’s response to cover these risks. The study selected industrial stakeholders in Nord-Pas de Calais with waste heat recovery projects either in development, already implemented or abandoned. With our technical partner, we conducted a market study to characterise the projects, understand the risks, and assess the potential impact of a guarantee fund and its ideal characteristics. Using regional analogies, this first analysis was then scaled up to the regional and national levels. During the second phase, we assisted the legal and financial partners in defining the structure of the fund, notably by performing a benchmark study. Legal proposals and business plans were discussed with the project steering committee. As a result, a fund covering only the residual risk left after all other solutions (insurance, commercial agreement, etc.) was deemed interesting and useful by most stakeholders, with a potential to boost the number of projects implemented. For instance, the fund could partially cover projects in which one of the stakeholders closed down, but not technical risks. Due to a significant level of risk, and in order to attract private investors, extension to the national level is recommended. Discussions with national stakeholders, notably the Agency for Environment and Energy Management (ADEME), are currently underway. For more information, please contact: [email protected] In the industrial Nord-Pas de Calais region, it is estimated that industrial waste heat, above 100°C2, represents 7 TWh a year. In France, industrial waste heat above 100°C amounts to 51 TWh, equivalent to 16% of energy inputs3. For comparison, the two nuclear reactors of the Fessemheim 1 D uring 2014-2020, the European Commission aimed at mobilising at least 10% of the European Structural and Investment Funds (ESIF) through financial engineering instruments. 2 The lower the temperature, the lower the interest in recovery. 100°C is deemed a lower limit. 3 ADEME 2015, La Chaleur Fatale Industrielle 4 Types of projects studied included direct supply to an external industrial stakeholder, internal use or supply to a heat network 7 April 2017 - N° 16 Information The importance of standardisation as an instrument for a proactive environmental policy Today, almost all goods and services are standardised. A standard is, according to DIN EN 45020, a document defining the recurring application rules, guidelines or characteristics for activities or their results. In everyday life, however, the impact of norms and standards often goes unnoticed, such as paper formats – for example, DIN A4 – and the standards for office supplies and furniture based on them. Standardisation is a joint task of science, industry and society. However, developments in the field of standardisation have changed over the past 30 years. While standardisation used to focus primarily on technical and economic aspects, consumer and environmental protection are becoming increasingly important. Standardisation activities are shifting from national to the European level. In addition, European legislation increasingly relies on European (CEN) standards as an instrument to develop legislation – for example, for environmental and quality requirements. As a result, a tension has arisen in which national areas of activity become ever less important. In this context, the Frankfurt office of Technopolis Group was commissioned by the Federal Environmental Agency (UBA) to carry out a comprehensive analysis of the possibilities for influencing and shaping standardisation processes in all fields relevant for environmental protection. This study is based on analysis of the overall situation of European standardisation activities and will develop recommendations and guidelines for the central question: which measures can the UBA use to optimise its standardisation work, considering future developments in European and international standardisation activities? For more information, please contact [email protected] Follow Technopolis Group Subscription To receive |the| technopolitan electronically, please sign up for our newsletter via our web site. 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