THEME IX: The New Oil Business AAPG FORUM: Independent Producers Re-Exploring Mature Fields Building a European Independent V. J. Hamilton Oil field in Schodnica - 1909 THE CASE FOR EUROPE 6 Europe offer good prospects for oil and gas exploration 6 22.3 billion bbls of oil and 8.7 trillion cm of natural gas in 11 selected provinces of Europe according to estimates by the United States Geological Survey (2000) 6 Europe has not yet been thoroughly explored In the USA there are 15.7 square kilometers per exploration well (1 well in 6 square miles) Compared with Europe where there are 151.2 square kilometers per exploration well (1 well in 58 square miles) In Spain for example there are 684 square kilometers per exploration well (1 well in 264 square miles) THE CASE FOR EUROPE Tethys Oil locations in Europe Square kilometer / Well THE CASE FOR EUROPE en m Li ark th ua ni a Fr an ce Ire la nd La tv Po ia rtu ga l G re ec e Sp ai Be n Sw lgiu itz m er U ni l te and d St at es 1000 800 600 400 200 0 D Sq km Square kilometer / Well for 10 European countries and the US Country INVESTMENT ATTRACTIONS 6 Low political risk 6 Zero currency risk 6 Under explored compared with North America 6 Low level of competition 6 Extensive existing infrastructure 6 Recently de-regulated gas markets TECHNOLOGICAL DEVELOPMENT 6 Advances in geophysics Exponential increase in computer processing capacity New seismic data processing programs 3D-seismic increases data density which improves drilling accuracy 6 Advances in drilling technology Horizontal well drilling recovers more oil at a faster rate Under-balanced drilling improves production rates EUROPEAN NATURAL GAS MARKET - NETWORK 1970 2002 EUROPEAN NATURAL GAS MARKET - OVERVIEW 6 Natural gas constitutes 24 percent of energy demand in Western Europe (2002) European natural gas demand & supply 6 Demand for natural gas in Europe is expected to rise from 482 bcm in 2000 to 901 bcm in 2020 according to Eurogas Undefined supply 6 European production totalled 310 bcm in 2002 6 Increase in demand from power 2002 generation due to lower cost and environmental issues 2010 2020 European demand European production Import + European production TETHYS OIL - LICENSE EVALUATION PROCESS Study of existing geological and geophysical data Analysis of local infrastructure Analysis of fiscal terms and commercial terms and conditions of the proposed license Negotiation or auction DEAL MAKING OPTIONS 6 Licensing Rounds (0) 6 Farmins (3) 6 Corporate acquisitions (2) 6 Directly from governments (4) 6 Asset exchanges (1) TETHYS OIL LOCATIONS © 2000 C.R. Scotese PALEOMAP Project TETHYS OIL - 2001- 2006 6 2001 - Tethys Oil founded as a Swedish company 6 2002 - Denmark – 1st exploration license award (1/02 in Zealand) 6 2003 - Spain – Interests in 1 production license (La Lora) and 2 exploration licenses (Valderredible and Huermeces) - Turkey – Interests in 3 exploration licenses (Hoto and Ispandika) - Denmark – Interests in 1 exploration license (1/03 in Jutland) 6 2004 - Spain – Interests in 1 exploration license (Basconcillos-H) - Tethys Oil IPO - Denmark – Drilling phase approval - Turkey – Drilled Koctepe-1 well in Hoto license 6 2005 - Turkey – Interests in 2 exploration licenses (Thrace) - France – Interest in 1 exploration license (Attila) - Morocco – Reconnaissance license award (Bouanane) 6 2006 - Morocco – Farm out to Dana for exploration license - Oman – Exploration license award (Block 15) DENMARK - KARLEBO GEOLOGICAL SETTING AND DRILLING SITE Li c e ns e ar e a Li n e o f s ec t i on Upper Tertiary We l l s ba s e m en t f au l t s Lower Tertiary LICENSES 1/03 1/02 Cretaceous Triassic and Jurassic Silurian Lavo-1 Cambrian and Ordovician Helsingborg crystalline basement Copenhagen Malmo Kungstorp-1 Granvik-1 Hollviken- 1 Ljunghusen-1 Hollviken-2 Falsterborev-1 Smygehuk-1 Figure 5 DENMARK - KARLEBO PROSPECT FRANCE – ATTILA LICENSE 6 Tethys interest 40 % with Galli Coz 60 % (operator) 6 Area 1,986 km2 6 Natural gas prospects 6 Drilling planned in 2007 FRANCE - ATTILA LICENSE AND SURROUNDING AREA License Many oil fields One gas field FRANCE - PROSPECT AND LEADS 1 Prospect and 4 Leads 1 FRANCE - PIERRE MAUBEUGE PROSPECT SPAIN - EXPLORATION LICENSES 6 Tethys interest 50% with Ascent Resources plc (operator) Production License 6 Play concept: shallow surface anticlines for oil and natural gas 6 Technical work completed 6 Operator contracting a drilling rig Exploration Licenses SPAIN - HONTOMIN PROSPECT SEISMIC LINE 28 S84 B Hontomin-4 -8 6 BG-84- ) 09 ig (or Sal1 BG-1N P BG -6 7 BG BG -84 -0 4 BG-66 BG-24 BG-25 -25 E 23 85 S- BG -8 4 B G -02 -84 W -02 E BG-1N S85 BG -8 4 B-0G3 -68 BG -8 8 S- 85 3 -2 E Hon1 Hon2 S-85-23 BG W Hon3 Mon1 S- BG-26 BG-8409 23W 85 3 -2 S-8 5-25 BG BG 88 HonSW2 S- 85 -2 1 BG -69 404 BG -84 E HonSW1 -8 -840 -03 BG BG8 1 Hontomin-4 SUMMARY 6 CORE AREA OF ONSHORE EUROPE 6 LOW EXPLORATION COSTS AND EXISTING INFRASTRUCTURE 6 BENEFIT FROM EUROPEAN GAS MARKET DEREGULATION 6 LIMITED COMMITMENTS AND FINANCIAL EXPOSURE 6 “MORE OIL CAN BE FOUND IN OLD AREAS WITH NEW IDEAS THAN WITH OLD IDEAS IN NEW AREAS” Discovery consists of seeing what everyone else has seen and thinking what no one else has thought.
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